#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/12/2025A flat opening is expected in Nifty 50, with price continuing to respect the same consolidation structure observed over the last few sessions. The index is trading near 26,000, which is acting as a short-term equilibrium zone where buying and selling pressure are evenly matched. This confirms that the market is still in a wait-and-watch mode, requiring a clear breakout for directional conviction.
On the upside, a sustained move above 26,050 will be the key trigger for bullish momentum. Holding above this level can open the path for long trades, with upside targets placed at 26,150, 26,200, and 26,250+. A clean breakout above this resistance may invite follow-through buying toward higher levels.
On the downside, if the index fails to hold 25,950–25,900, selling pressure may increase. In such a scenario, short positions can be considered with downside targets at 25,850, 25,800, and 25,750-, where strong demand is expected. Until a decisive breakout occurs, traders should continue to focus on range-based trades, using strict risk management and avoiding aggressive directional bets.
X-indicator
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/12/2025)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, with the index continuing to trade within the same defined range seen over the last few sessions. Price is currently hovering around 59,450, which remains a key pivot area where repeated rejections and short-term buying have occurred. This clearly highlights a consolidation phase, suggesting that the market is waiting for a decisive breakout to establish direction.
On the upside, a sustained move above 59,550 will be a positive signal. Holding above this level can trigger buying, with upside targets placed at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A breakout above this zone may gradually shift momentum toward the psychological 60,000 level.
On the downside, failure to sustain above 59,450–59,400 may invite fresh selling pressure. In that case, selling positions can be considered, with downside targets at 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050-, where strong support is placed. Until price breaks decisively on either side, traders should expect range-bound movement, focusing on level-based trades and strict risk management rather than directional aggression.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 16th December 2025🔵 NIFTY 50 – Intraday Trading Plan 📊
💼 Index: NIFTY 50
⏱️ Time Frame: 15-Minute Candle
🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Breakout) 📈
🔹 Condition:
➡️ Enter BUY only if price breaks and CLOSES above the high of the 15-minute candle above 26082
🔹 Buy Above: 26082
🎯 Upside Targets:
Target 1: 26105
Target 2: 26145
Target 3: 26185
💡 Logic:
Closing above 26082 confirms bullish momentum
Indicates strong buying interest and trend continuation
🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown) 📉
🔹 Condition:
➡️ Enter SELL only if price breaks and CLOSES below the low of the 15-minute candle below 25975
🔹 Sell Below: 25975
🎯 Downside Targets:
Target 1: 25945
Target 2: 25899
Target 3: 25865
💡 Logic:
Sustained close below 25975 shows seller dominance
Confirms bearish momentum
🚫 NO TRADING ZONE (For Trend Trading) ⚠️
📌 Range: 25975 – 26081
❌ Avoid trend-following trades in this zone
🔄 Market may remain range-bound & volatile
⚠️ Higher probability of false breakouts and whipsaws
⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY (Quick Trades Only) 🎯
🔹 Scalping Zone: 25975 – 26081
✔️ Watch for clear price rejection at these key levels
✔️ Rejection can be in the form of long wicks, strong rejection candles, or failed breakouts
📉 Scalp SELL
If price gets rejected near resistance
Enter SELL on the break of the rejection candle LOW
📈 Scalp BUY
If price gets rejected near support
Enter BUY on the break of the rejection candle HIGH
🎯 Scalping Target:
💰 20 – 25 points
🛑 Strict Stop Loss is mandatory
🧠 Important Trading Rules ✔️
Always wait for 15-minute candle close for trend trades
Scalping trades should be quick and disciplined
Do not overtrade inside the no-trade zone
Risk management is more important than profits
📢 DISCLAIMER ⚠️
This analysis is shared strictly for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor.
Trading in stock markets involves market risk and potential capital loss.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Gold Trading Strategy for 16th December 2025🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Intraday Trading Plan 💰
📊 Time Frame Considered:
⏱️ 1 Hour Candle
🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Breakout) 📈
🔹 Condition:
➡️ Buy only if price breaks and CLOSES above the high of the 1-hour candle above 4322
🔹 Buy Above: 4322
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 4325
Target 2: 4338
Target 3: 4349
💡 Logic:
Sustained closing above 4322 indicates bullish momentum
Buyers are expected to dominate above this resistance
🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown) 📉
🔹 Condition:
➡️ Sell only if price breaks and CLOSES below the low of the 1-hour candle below 4276
🔹 Sell Below: 4276
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 4265
Target 2: 4253
Target 3: 4241
💡 Logic:
Closing below 4276 confirms bearish strength
Sellers gain control below this support zone
⚠️ NO TRADE ZONE (Trend Trading) 🚫
📌 Range: 4286 – 4322
❌ Avoid trend trades inside this zone
🔄 Market may remain sideways / choppy
⚠️ Higher chance of false breakouts
⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY (Advanced Traders Only) 🎯
🔹 Key Levels:
4286 (Support)
4322 (Resistance)
🔹 Setup:
✔️ Watch for clear rejection candles (wick rejection / strong rejection close) from 4286 or 4322
✔️ Take trade only on the break of the rejection candle
🎯 Scalping Target:
💰 5 – 10 points
📌 Best suited for quick trades with strict risk management
🛑 Risk Management Rules 🧠
Always wait for candle CLOSE confirmation
Use proper Stop Loss
Trade with discipline and patience
Avoid over-trading in the no trade zone
📢 DISCLAIMER ⚠️
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI-registered financial advisor.
Gold trading involves high risk and may result in financial loss.
Please consult your financial advisor and trade at your own risk.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Gold Looks Prime for All-Time High Breakout📈 Technical Analysis of the Chart
The chart shows XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) moving in what appears to be an upward-sloping channel — higher lows are marked by trend-line support.
Price recently revisited the lower boundary (support zone + trendline) and appears to have held firm — a bullish signal (i.e. a “retest & bounce”).
The annotation “POI” (Point of Interest) near that bounce suggests a probable pivot from support → initiating the next leg up.
On the upside, the chart projects a move toward a new all-time high (ATH) — the red horizontal line — implying a breakout of the current consolidation zone.
If gold breaks above current resistance and stays above the channel’s upper boundary, that increase could accelerate with bullish momentum. This aligns with typical breakout + retest strategies often used in gold trading.
Conversely, if price fails to hold this support zone and drops below the trendline, the bullish setup would be invalidated — a risk to watch, especially if sentiment shifts.
Technical conclusion: The chart shows a classic channel-retest setup — if upward momentum continues, a move toward the all-time high is well justified. The current bounce from support provides a favorable entry setup for bulls, with manageable risk if a stop-loss is set just below the channel support.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
Gold’s recent strength is driven by expectations of lower interest rates: as a non-yielding asset, gold tends to benefit when rates fall because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases.
A weaker U.S. dollar — often accompanying potential rate cuts — makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, adding further demand support.
Broad economic context: unsteady global growth, geopolitical uncertainty, and rising demand for safe-haven assets help maintain strong gold demand.
Market forecasts remain bullish: some analysts see gold reaching as high as $4,950/oz by 2026, with a more likely base-case target around $4,500/oz — assuming rate cuts and continued macroeconomic uncertainty.
That said, the key risk remains in a potential rebound of the U.S. Dollar or abrupt shift in monetary policy (e.g. fewer rate cuts than expected) — either could undercut gold’s rally.
Fundamental conclusion: The macro backdrop — rate-cut expectations, weak USD, and global uncertainty — strongly supports a continuation of gold’s upward trajectory. If these tailwinds persist, gold’s push toward new highs is fundamentally justified.
✅ What This Setup Means & What to Watch
If bullish scenario plays out
Expect price to challenge the all-time high. A breakout may target or even exceed prior ATHs.
A bounce-and-run scenario may attract momentum traders, fueling further upside.
Key triggers to monitor
Keep an eye on announcements from Federal Reserve: rate-cut decisions or dovish signals accelerate gold demand.
Watch USD strength: a strong dollar could cap gains or reverse the uptrend.
Monitor global risk sentiment — geopolitical events or economic slowdown fears tend to push money into gold.
Risk control considerations
Use the channel support / trendline as a stop-loss anchor. A breakdown below could invalidate the bullish bias.
Consider that strong moves in the dollar or surprising inflation data might compress gold’s upside or spark a pullback.
"BTCUSD WARNING THIS IS NOT A DIP… A MAJOR DROP IS COMING”⚠️ BTC MARKET WARNING – HIGH RISK ZONE AHEAD 🚨
This is not a normal analysis.
This is a clear market warning.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD is showing strong bearish signals on the higher timeframe, and ignoring these signs could be extremely costly. The chart clearly suggests that the market is preparing for a deeper correction, not a small pullback.
🔴 PRICE ACTION – DISTRIBUTION CONFIRMED
Bitcoin has faced strong rejection near the top, visible through long upper wicks and consecutive bearish candles.
After making higher highs, the market has lost structure, and price is now forming lower highs and lower lows.
➡️ This behavior typically signals a trend reversal, not a temporary dip.
🔴 KEY SUPPORTS HAVE TURNED INTO RESISTANCE
Multiple important levels have already been broken:
Previous support zones are now acting as strong resistance
Price is failing to reclaim the 86,000 area, which is a major red flag
This clearly indicates that buyers are losing strength, while sellers are in control.
🔴 RSI CONFIRMS BEARISH CONTINUATION
Weekly RSI has dropped below the 45–44 zone
This area historically signals bearish continuation
Repeated bearish signals on RSI confirm weak market momentum
⚠️ When RSI breaks and holds below this level on higher timeframes, corrections often last weeks or even months.
🔴 DOWNSIDE TARGETS – THIS IS NOT A SMALL DROP
If the current structure continues, the following downside levels are likely:
🎯 Target 1: ~83,200
🎯 Target 2: ~79,200
🎯 Target 3: ~70,000 (High-probability zone)
This represents a potential 18–20% downside, which is completely normal on a weekly chart after a strong rally.
🔴 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY – THE BIGGEST TRAP
What is happening right now:
Traders are aggressively buying the dip
Overconfidence after a long bullish run
Emotional decisions without confirmation
📉 This phase is where most retail traders lose money.
🧠 CLEAR WARNING MESSAGE
The market is no longer here to reward emotions — it is here to test discipline.
Long positions carry high risk
No stop-loss equals account damage
Blind dip-buying is a retail trap
🛑 WHAT SHOULD TRADERS DO NOW?
✔️ Protect capital
✔️ Wait for higher-timeframe confirmation
✔️ Avoid emotional trading
✔️ Only experienced traders should consider short-term setups with strict risk management
⚠️ FINAL WARNING
Those who respect the warning will survive.
Those who ignore it will remember this phase.
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 15—16✅ 4-Hour (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Overall Structure: High-Level Pullback, Trend Not Reversed
After failing to hold above the 4353 level, gold pulled back and is currently trading near 4300 (pivot level 4303).
This move represents a technical correction following an advance, rather than a trend reversal.
As long as the 4255–4245 zone is not decisively broken, the H4 medium-term bullish structure remains intact.
2️⃣ Moving Average Structure (H4)
MA5 has turned downward, and price has fallen below MA5
MA10 and MA20 remain upward-sloping
MA20 ≈ 4275 acts as a key support level
➡️ Short-term weakness + medium-term bullish bias remain in place
➡️ 4275–4250 is the core support zone for this corrective phase
✅ 1-Hour (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Short-Term Structure: Pullback Continues, Bears in Control
On the H1 chart, price has formed a structure of lower highs and lower lows.
Consecutive bearish candles have broken below MA5 and MA10, indicating bearish short-term momentum.
The H1 timeframe remains in a continuation of the corrective phase.
2️⃣ Moving Average System (H1)
MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover
MA20 ≈ 4326
Price is trading below MA20
➡️ All rebounds are currently viewed as corrective bounces
🔴 Key Resistance Levels (Resistance)
◾ 4320–4330 (H1 MA20 resistance)
◾ 4340–4350 (Pullback from previous highs + strong resistance)
🟢 Key Support Levels (Support)
◾ 4300–4295 (Short-term pivot zone)
◾ 4275–4255 (H4 Bollinger mid-band + MA20)
◾ 4210 / 4170 (Trend defense zone — a break below signals structural weakening)
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Sell on Rallies (Primary Strategy)
📍 Look for rejection signals in the 4320–4330 zone
🎯 Targets: 4300 / 4275
⛔ Protection: A sustained hold above 4350
Reasons:
◾ H1 bearish structure remains intact
◾ Rebounds are capped by MA20
◾ Aligns with trend-following logic during a corrective phase
🔰 Buy on Pullbacks (Secondary Strategy)
📍 After stabilization in the 4275–4255 zone, consider light long positions
🎯 Targets: 4300 / 4330
⛔ Protection: A decisive break below 4245
Reasons:
◾ H4 medium-term bullish structure remains valid
◾ Confluence support from Bollinger mid-band and MA20
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 3 of December 2025
1. Momentum
Weekly (W1):
Weekly momentum is approaching the overbought zone. There is a high probability that in the coming week, W1 momentum will enter the overbought area and start showing signs of a bearish reversal.
Daily (D1):
D1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to turn down. We need confirmation from a clear bearish D1 candle. Once confirmed, the market is likely to enter a corrective move lasting approximately 4–5 days.
H4:
H4 momentum has already turned bearish. However, it still needs around 2–3 more H4 candles to reach the oversold zone, indicating that short-term downside momentum remains intact.
2. Elliott Wave Structure
Weekly Timeframe (W1)
On the weekly chart, wave X (purple) appears to be in its final phase. Price is currently trading near the base of wave W, suggesting a high probability that this structure is forming a flat correction.
Key characteristics of a flat pattern:
- Price can retrace back to the origin of wave W.
- It may even exceed the W low/high and create a marginal new extreme.
- However, this breakout is typically limited before price reverses to complete wave Y.
In the current context, weekly momentum has not yet confirmed a bearish reversal. Therefore, the possibility of one final upward push in wave X cannot be ruled out before a larger decline begins.
Daily Timeframe (D1)
On the daily chart, wave X (purple) is developing as an ABC structure. At present:
- The red wave C has already completed a 5-wave internal structure.
- Price is now trading within the green wave 5 of wave C.
With D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there is a high probability that green wave 5 is nearing completion. Once this wave ends, price is expected to decline to form wave Y.
However, an important caution remains:
- D1 momentum has not yet confirmed a bearish reversal.
- Therefore, attempting to catch the exact top of wave X carries risk.
- As discussed on the weekly timeframe, flat corrections can allow price to equal or slightly exceed the wave W level before reversing.
H4 Timeframe
Looking more closely at the H4 structure:
- The 5-wave sequence (1–2–3–4–5 in green) within the red wave C has completed.
- Wave 5 reached its projected target near 4334, after which price started to decline sharply.
H4 momentum still requires 2–3 candles to reach oversold conditions, suggesting:
- The current bearish leg still has room to extend.
- The most probable scenario is a continuation lower toward the POC zone (green line) around 4215 – 4187, followed by a corrective bounce.
If this scenario unfolds:
- The current decline is likely forming wave 1 down of a new 5-wave structure for wave Y.
- The subsequent recovery would be wave 2, typically unfolding as an ABC corrective move.
- This wave 2 rally would provide a high-probability sell opportunity, especially if H4 momentum rebounds into the overbought zone again.
3. Key Notes & Risk Awareness
One critical point to emphasize:
- Weekly momentum is preparing to enter the overbought zone and potentially reverse.
- Daily momentum is already overbought.
- This momentum confluence suggests that the coming decline could be more extended, aiming to push weekly momentum back toward oversold conditions.
In practice, weekly momentum often requires multiple oscillations (commonly around three reversals) to complete a full corrective cycle. Therefore:
- Patience is essential during this phase.
- Avoid prematurely adopting a long-term bullish bias.
- Always wait for price action confirmation.
This analysis represents a directional warning and scenario planning only. All expectations must be confirmed by real-time price behavior.
4. Conclusion
For the upcoming week, the primary bias favors a bearish corrective phase.
Detailed trading plans (entries, stop loss, and targets) will be updated daily as new price data becomes available.
Britannia IndustriesBritannia Industries is showing a constructive bullish setup, trading above its rising trendline and key moving averages, with price consolidating just below the falling resistance line. RSI near 60 reflects improving momentum, while MACD has turned positive, indicating a potential trend resumption. As long as the stock holds above the ₹5,880–5,900 support zone, the bias remains positive, with a decisive breakout above ₹6,100 likely to open upside toward ₹6,300–6,400, while a close below ₹5,800 would weaken the bullish structure.
IDFC First BankIDFC First Bank remains in a medium-term uptrend, trading above its rising trendline and key moving averages, with price consolidating near recent highs in a tight range. RSI around 64 signals healthy momentum without being overbought, while MACD above the zero line indicates trend continuation despite mild short-term consolidation. As long as the stock holds above the ₹80–81 support zone, the bias stays positive, with a breakout above ₹84.5 likely opening the path toward ₹88–90, while a close below ₹78 would weaken the bullish structure.
UPLUPL remains technically bullish, trading above its rising trendline and key moving averages, with price consolidating in a healthy ascending channel near resistance. Momentum indicators like RSI (~62) and MACD above the zero line suggest continuation rather than exhaustion. As long as the stock holds the ₹745–750 support zone, the bias remains positive, with a breakout above ₹778 likely to trigger the next up-move toward ₹805–830. A decisive close below ₹735 would invalidate the bullish setup.
BTCUSD (Bitcoin) ViewBTCUSD (Bitcoin) has filled its gap down and is now consolidating in a sideways range between 92,972 and 88,564. A breakout from this range will likely determine the next directional move.
📉 Current Market Structure
Gap Down Filled: Bitcoin opened with a gap down today, but price action has since retraced to fill that gap, a common behavior in CME futures trading.
Sideways Range: BTCUSD is now consolidating between 92,972 (resistance) and 88,564 (support). This range-bound behavior reflects indecision in the market, often preceding a breakout move.
Volume & Momentum: Sideways movement typically shows declining volume and momentum, which aligns with the current structure seen on daily charts.
📊 Strategy Considerations
Breakout Traders: Watch for a strong candle close above 92,972 or below 88,564 with volume confirmation.
Range Traders: Until breakout, consider fading moves near the edges of the range with tight stops.
My BSE Intraday Short Trade Setup — 08 Dec 2025After a successful intraday win on 05 Dec 2025, where 30 points were captured in BSE, I have decided to post my intraday trade setups daily with full transparency and structure.
Staying consistent with the same rules and discipline, BTR Auto Buy/Sell Indicator has now identified another high-probability intraday SHORT setup in BSE on 08/12/2025.
🔍 Market Context
✔ Stock: BSE Ltd
✔ Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
✔ Volatility: Ideal for intraday trading
✔ Structure: Price reacted from Supply Zone & Point of Control
📊 Indicator Used
🚀 BTR Auto Buy/Sell Signal System
✔ Approx. 70% win rate
✔ Clear bearish signal generation
✔ Works best with structure & zones
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
🔴 Entry:
– Short entry triggered when BTR generated a Bearish signal
– Signal formed near Supply Zone, adding strong confirmation
🛑 Stop Loss:
– Day Swing High
🎯 Targets:
– 25 / 50 / 75 / 100 points
– Partial booking recommended to protect profits
📉 Trade Outcome
✔ Breakdown followed immediately after entry
✔ Price respected supply zones
✔ Smooth intraday bearish continuation
✔ Disciplined exit near intraday support
This trade once again highlights the power of signal + structure + patience.
🧠 Key Lesson
Intraday trading is not about trading every move —
it’s about waiting for high-probability setups and executing without emotion.
Same stock.
Same indicator.
Same rules.
Different day — same consistency.
📌 What’s Next?
From now on, I will be posting daily intraday trade setups — both BUY & SELL — using the BTR Auto Buy/Sell System.
📌 Follow for daily live setups
💬 Private Message for BTR Indicator & trade logic
Trade smart. Stay disciplined. Let probability work. 📊🔥
BSE Intraday Winning Trade — +50 Points (Today) 15 Dec 2025Discipline + Structure + Signal = Consistent Profits
Today’s intraday session in BSE Ltd delivered another clean and controlled winning trade, capturing 50 points using my rule-based BTR Auto Buy/Sell Signal System.
This trade once again proves that following the system without emotion is the real edge in intraday trading.
📌 Trade Overview
• Stock: BSE Ltd
• Timeframe: 15-Minute
• Market Condition: Smooth intraday volatility
• Execution Style: Pure price-action + indicator-based
📊 Setup Logic
✔ Price reacted from a key zone
✔ BTR generated a clear trade signal
✔ Entry taken only after confirmation
✔ No prediction — only reaction
The market respected structure throughout the session, allowing the trade to move comfortably in our favor.
🎯 Trade Management
• Entry: On BTR signal confirmation
• Stop Loss: Day swing high/low (structure-based)
• Targets: 25 → 50 → 75 → 100 points
📌 50 points booked with discipline, without chasing or overtrading.
🧠 Key Learning
Intraday success doesn’t come from:
❌ Overtrading
❌ Guessing tops or bottoms
It comes from:
✔ Waiting for your setup
✔ Executing the plan
✔ Managing risk properly
Same stock.
Same rules.
Same mindset.
👉 Consistent results.
📈 Final Note
This is not about one trade —
it’s about repeating the same high-probability process every day.
📌 Follow for daily intraday trade ideas
💬 Private Message for BTR Indicator & strategy details
Trade smart. Stay disciplined. Let probability work. 🔥📊
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