XAGUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAGUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Xagusdanalysis
XAGUSD/SILVER 4H BUY PROJECTION 06.09.24In this latest upward cycle of the silver market, Fed interest rate moves are playing an oversized role in pumping up silver prices. In early July, as analysts factored in the rising potential for interest rate cuts in the remainder of 2024, silver prices were once again testing May's nearly 12-year high.
XAG/SILVER 4H BUY PROJECTION 19.08.24Silver tends to outperform gold in terms of return and can deliver a higher return on investment. However, silver's real value is as a hedge and safe haven asset and the primary reason to own silver is not about wealth accumulation but about wealth protection and hedging risk in an uncertain world.
XAGUSD - This pullback is an opportunity!Silver was following an upward move with gold and stayed strong until there came some dollar strength-ness, last week gold sold off heavily and thus pushing silver lower towards 29.2 levels, this bearishness may vanish with coming days, as global tension rise due to war situation, and risk off assets like gold and silver may show bullish moves again, if you want to buy silver, consider for a strict stop-loss.
Important- This is my own view and not financial advice, trading is highly risky, do calculate your risk before trading.
XAGUSD View! SPDR Gold shares are traveling higher along with underlying gold futures, both trading at record levels. SPDR Gold is up 1.8%, to $227.90 a share, above the previous closing high of $224.56 set in May. Gold futures trade up 1.5% to $2,466.40 an ounce — which would eclipse the May record of $2,438.50. Uncertainty stemming from the assassination attempt on former President Trump is sending safe haven markets higher this week, with the U.S. dollar up 0.2%. Also buoying gold is the rising prospects for a Fed rate cut in September. (kirk.maltais@wsj.com; @kirkmaltais)
💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 19.65, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 26.20 breaks.
If the support at 19.65 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of resumption of uptrend is increased.
While the RSI resistance #2 at 64 is not broken, the probability of price increase would be too low.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 22.85 on 10/06/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 25.65 and maximum to Major Resistance (26.20) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 53.
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A second Chance to Buy in SilverMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 16.55, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 18.75 breaks.
If the support at 16.55 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 16.55 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The Falling Wedge taking shape and as a bullish pattern suggests we will soon see another leg higher if price breaks and closes above downtrend.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 16.90 on 10/01/2019, so more gains to resistance(s) 18.10 and maximum to Major Resistance (18.75) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 48.
New trading suggestion:
*There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (16.55). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
* If you missed our first HUNT , you have a second chance to buy above the suggested support line (16.55).
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to " Buy zone " then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether " Bullish Engulfing ", " Hammer " or " Valley " in other words, NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone. To learn more about " Entry signal " and the special version of our " Price Action " strategy FOLLOW our lessons :
Trade Setup:
We opened 6 BUY trade(s) @ 15.21 based on 'Valley' entry method at 2019.07.10.
Total Profit: 861 pip
Closed trade(s): 630 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 231 pip Profit
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 15.30 touched at 2019.07.11 with 8 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 15.60 touched at 2019.07.16 with 38 pip Profit.
TP3 @ 16.20 touched at 2019.07.18 with 98 pip Profit.
TP4 @ 17.20 touched at 2019.08.07 with 198 pip Profit.
TP5 @ 18.10 touched at 2019.08.27 with 288 pip Profit.
8 + 38 + 98 + 198 + 288 = 630 pip
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 17.53(current price) - 15.21(open price) = 231 pip
1 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 231 x 1 = 231 pip
All SLs moved to Break-even point.
Take Profits:
TP6= Free
A second Chance to Buy in SilverMidterm forecast:
16.55 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 48 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 15.95 on 08/01/2019, so more gains to resistance(s) 17.20, 18.10 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 69.
New trading suggestion:
*There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (16.55). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
* If you missed our first HUNT , you have a second chance to buy above the suggested support line (16.55).
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to " Buy zone " then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether " Bullish Engulfing ", " Hammer " or " Valley " in other words, NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone. To learn more about " Entry signal " and the special version of our " Price Action " strategy FOLLOW our lessons :
Trade Setup:
We opened 6 BUY trade(s) @ 15.21 based on 'Valley' entry method at 2019.07.10.
Total Profit: 686 pip
Closed trade(s): 342 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 344 pip Profit
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 15.30 touched at 2019.07.11 with 8 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 15.60 touched at 2019.07.16 with 38 pip Profit.
TP3 @ 16.20 touched at 2019.07.18 with 98 pip Profit.
TP4 @ 17.20 touched at 2019.08.07 with 198 pip Profit.
8 + 38 + 98 + 198 = 342 pip
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 16.94(current price) - 15.21(open price) = 172 pip
2 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 172 x 2 = 344 pip
All SLs moved to Break-even point.
Take Profits:
TP5= @ 18.10
TP6= Free
A trading opportunity to buy in SilverMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 14.80, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 16.20 breaks.
If the support at 14.80 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 49 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 15.55 on 06/21/2019, so more losses to support(s) 15.30, 15.15, 14.95 and minimum to Major Support (14.80) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 63.
Trading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support zone (14.95 to 14.80). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (14.95)
Ending of entry zone (14.80)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to "Buy zone" then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether "Bullish Engulfing" , "Hammer" or "Valley" in other words,
NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of the reversal patterns is formed in the zone.
To learn more about "Entry signal" and the special version of our "Price Action" strategy FOLLOW our lessons:
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 15.15
TP2= @ 15.30
TP3= @ 15.60
TP4= @ 16.20
TP5= @ 17.20
TP6= @ 18.10
TP7= Free
Ignored us now face the consequences
In short our additional full net short size in both of our precious metals is well justified from the reward and risk perspective at the time of writing this article/idea
In our previous post we already mentioned many times that friday's session can be volatile and very tricky to predict and could affect gold and silver prices in short term and that seems to be the case for silver,The white metal declined at the start of the session but quickly erased all the downswing from it's initial low,we already mentioned that white metal could reach to about 16.600 and this level has already reached but the real question is silver about take a big decline same as in lat dec 2017?
yes,that's very probable but here is a twist decline may not start immediately it can take some days to start,if you try to look at the lack of a visible rally in friday and compare it with proximity of the triangle apex reversal you will get your answer,in short we still may see a small rally in white metal in about 3-4 days before it plunges back
we were and still are in a situation where white metal metal could decline sharply immediately or it could go up just a bit and then decline anyway.we don't think waiting for better prices in gold and silver will be an informed decision ,That's why we decided to increase our net short size in our portfolio management.
in our last post we wrote which is still up to date
In friday's intrday follow up,silver moved higher than its target level but gold didn't,it served a strong bearish sign as it was clear that silver is outperforming gold in a dramatic manner in short term,most of the time it helps to make big decline in white metal.
session seems very similar to the mentioned nov 1 2017 session and implications therfore are bearish anyway
mining stocks reversal-gold mining stocks moved much lower after the closing bell,thing to note is despite the rally and strength in S&P 500 It moved lower,really miners only had the strength for the intial rally,Before the closing bell bears had took control over the miners and bulls were exhausted,
It's not happen very often when HUI index,miners and precious metals all generating the same signal,in short if you try to look at mining stock and precious metals it seems very likely that we are going to see big decline soon,only currency market is not cofirming our view at this point so it might postpone the decline for short term.
Imagine the gold without usd
you can't na? so let's jump right into our usd index the biggest factor which determines the prices of precious metals in near term,in our previous post we told that USD index was above its strong support level and big picture is remained bullish,USD index didn't even touched its support level but instead it moved higher,so did usd index already made its final bottom?
Still as a portfolio manager/ trader we try to think without being attached to our current position so we could form a unbiased perspective on precious metal market
what could go wrong-Breakdown below the 89.300 level will complete a short term head and shoulders pattern and this pushes prices down to feb low,it will means that 87.600 will be the next target but is it possible? in trading anything can but the probability is much-much lower as the multiple long term resistance level are present around the jan and feb low,on a short term head and shoulders pattern and this pushes prices down to feb low,on a short term basis a move below 89.300 can precide a quick decline to about 88.70,well this is a less likely outcome,the most probable outcome will be that we could see a rally above 91.20 which will precides a big rally to almost 94,this will be a very critical sign that small breakdown is invalidated below the very long term declining resistance
overall our full net short position is justified at the time of publishing this article