XAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with LiquidityXAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with Liquidity and Volume Profile
Gold remains bullish on the H4 timeframe and continues to respect a well-defined rising channel. With price approaching extended areas, the higher-probability approach is to buy pullbacks at value zones and treat the upper boundary as a short-term profit-taking area rather than chasing momentum.
TECHNICAL CONTEXT
The uptrend structure is still intact, with price forming higher lows inside the channel.
After a strong impulsive leg, the market is now consolidating and rebalancing, which favours execution around Volume Profile and FVG zones.
The upper channel boundary often acts as a short-term exhaustion area, while value zones below offer better risk-to-reward long entries.
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN
Buy the pullback at key value and liquidity zones
Buy POC: around 4485
Buy zone FVG support: around 4368
Rationale:
The 4485 POC is a high-volume area where price frequently reacts during pullbacks.
The 4368 FVG aligns with channel support and represents an imbalance area that price often revisits before continuation.
Expected behaviour:
A pullback into POC or the FVG zone, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN
Short-term sell scalp near the upper boundary
Sell scalping zone: around 4600
Note:
This is strictly a short-term scalp if price reaches the upper channel boundary and shows clear rejection. It is not a trend reversal thesis.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The H4 trend remains bullish, but the channel range is wide, making chasing price riskier.
Volume Profile and FVG zones define higher-probability execution areas.
The best edge comes from buying pullbacks at value, while treating 4600 as a potential short-term reaction zone.
