All eyes on GoldAs discussed in yesterday's update gold is still looking good to more higher and gold is following that statement perfectly , as you can see on hourly chart after a small pullback in yesterday trading session gold price took support at weekly pivot (2640) and after that price moving in higher side, for today also the CPR relation is positive and gold price is taking support on CPR area and we can expect continuation in higher side , weekly R1 is at 2677 and at that level we can expect another small pullback and then price can continue in higher side towards 2685 or higher level, there is no sign of good reversal so we have to wait for higher levels for any selling opportunities , the only limiting factor that currently stopping the gold bulls is strong dollar Index chart, but I think DXY is also due for correction which can help gold bulls to make a good move in higher side : overall the scenario is still favourable for buying on Intraday .
Xauusd(w)
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a better trader
thank you
Gold : Still looking goodDespite the strong Dollar Index gold doing good and currently trading near to All time high and still looking good to go higher, on technical basis also, If we watch the daily CPR formation , CPR is ascending for today also + gold price trading above weekly pivot (2640),So technically the price is still favourable for bulls and we can expect continuation in higher side as per this formation, yesterdays decline/ correction was not convincing enough for bears and I think it is normal corrective structure after a bullish structure and this correction can add more fuel for incoming bullish structure at least towards 2685.
In Lower side we have to watch weekly Pivot as major Level for continuation or reversal point .
XAUUSD’s Final Wave Completion – What’s Next?XAUUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the hourly chart, offering a potential breakout setup. The correction has spanned over two weeks, during which the price has frequently crossed the EMAs (50/100/200 ) on the hourly timeframe. Meanwhile, the 20 EMA has consistently acted as solid support on the daily timeframe.
The pair has completed its final wave 5 of wave (C) at 2604 and has since started to rise sharply. Currently, XAUUSD faces a strong resistance level at 2670 , which marks the high of wave (B). If the price breaks above 2670 , traders can target the following levels: 2685 - 2715 - 2735 +. If the breakout fails, the correction may continue, as 2670 is the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
Further updates will follow soon.
XAUUSDENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
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Gold: Bulls seek $2,647 breakout and US data validationGold prices continue to recover after the US inflation data, despite staying within a two-week bearish trend. Early Friday, buyers look forward to the first readings of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Consumer Inflation Expectations for October, along with the September Producer Price Index (PPI).
Bulls brace for fresh record high
Whether it's the US Dollar's muted reaction to better-than-forecast Consumer Price Index (CPI), optimism around potential stimulus from China, or expectations of softer US data, gold prices aim for a fresh all-time high. Technically, the recent breakout above the 100-SMA, bullish MACD signals, and a positive RSI (14) reinforce the upward momentum.
Technical levels to watch
Among the key technical levels, $2,647 gains immediate attention as it comprises the top of the bearish channel, a break of which will defy the fortnight-long bearish chart pattern. Following that, the precious metal’s quick jump toward the all-time high surrounding $2,685 can’t be ruled out. Moreover, a clear breakout past $2,685 would signal strong momentum for gold buyers, potentially paving the way for a rise beyond the $2,700 mark.
On the downside, the 100-SMA at $2,636 provides immediate support for gold prices, alongside an upward-sloping trend line from early August near the $2,600 mark. If XAUUSD falls below $2,600, the focus will shift to the bottom of the bearish channel and the 200-SMA, which are near $2,595 and $2,580, respectively. Notably, if prices break below $2,580, gold could enter a short-term bearish trend, potentially targeting the $2,540-$2,530 range.
Upside looks promising
With expectations of lower Fed rates and potential softness in upcoming US data, combined with bullish technical indicators, gold prices seem poised for upward movement. This bullish outlook could change only if the US statistics challenge the likelihood of two more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would negatively impact the US Dollar—an outcome that appears unlikely.
Gold : Ready for another rallyAs discussed since the beginning of this week that every Dip is a buying opportunity on gold, gold seems to following that and yesterday trading session after CPI numbers gold printed a good positive day closing and now trading above weekly S1 , Weekly S1 was acting as resistance on Intra day.
For today the daily CPR relation is positive and price opened with a little gap on CPR (Virgin CPR) this is indication that price is in good bullish momentum right now and if price hold above weekly S1 (2626) then bulls can target weekly pivot on Intra day (2650). .
EURJPY LONGFOREXCOM:EURJPY
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Gold after FOMC and before CPIYesterday, Gold traded Sideways to bearish and closed the day in the red zone near the price of 2610. On Hourly chart price seems to be forming a new sideways range near to psychological support. On the hourly chart, gold is still trading below the weekly pivot and bulls need to claim this level to see higher price .
The FOMC’s Minutes published yesterday showed that some officials would’ve preferred a 25 bps cut, though all participants favored lowering interest rates. Regarding the Fed’s dual mandate in both cases, almost all officials saw inflation risks tilted to the downside, while risks to the labor market were on the upside. Following the data, the CME FedWatch Tool shows odds for a 25 bps interest rate cut were lowered from 85.2% a day ago to 75.9%. This means that some market participants positioned themselves toward the Fed holding rates unchanged, with odds at 24.1%, up from 14.8% on Tuesday. and for fundamentals now we have to shift focus to release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).
For Intra day price is trading near to weekly pivot( Watch weekly S2 and S3 for possible reversal )and it is a good idea to look for buy for a swing trade with calculated risks.
what to expect from FOMCAs the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) releases its minutes today, the impact on gold prices is expected to be significant. Currently, gold is trading in a tight range, as markets are awaiting clarity on the Fed's future monetary policy stance. If the FOMC minutes hint at continued hawkishness, signaling higher or persistent interest rates, gold may face downward pressure due to the stronger U.S. dollar and rising yields, making non-yielding assets like gold less attractive.
Conversely, if the FOMC minutes suggest a more dovish outlook—indicating a potential slowdown in rate hikes or even rate cuts—gold could see an upward move as lower interest rates tend to benefit safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and strong demand from central banks are providing medium- to long-term support for gold(
So, if today's minutes suggest easing monetary policy in the near future, you could expect a rebound in gold prices. However, a more aggressive stance by the Fed could result in further gold price declines. Keep an eye on the broader market reaction to get a clearer direction.
Gold : Buy the dip is now ON...Gold finally breakdown the consolidation range in yesterday trading session and now trading under the support level (2640) which is going to act as resistance for now ...this is the correction that everyone was expecting, but retailer started crying early and now saying that the trend is reversed ,but higher time frame is still bullish , for any deep correction or reversal price need to breakdown 2550 on daily close. On price action ,price is now moving towards the weekly S2 (Near psychological support level :2600); If we watch the Volume distribution on daily time frame we can see a good support at 2570-90 area, so we can plan buy the dip at current price or on test of that high volume area.
For Today the Focus is now shifts to the FOMC Minutes and we have to wait the market reaction on FOMC minutes also.
Gold : time to come out from ConsolidationGold price is in consolidation from last 6 days and on price action it is clear that 2640 level acting as good support and breakdown from this level will result in good decline on Intra day.....Now for buy in swing we can wait for price to test weekly S1(2626) or weekly S2 (2600-01) area; For swing buy wait for price confirmation on H4 close or daily close.
(Sell and then buy case)
EURUSD SHORT - 1H TIMEFRAMEFOREXCOM:EURUSD - 1H
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Gold : on Hold from last week ..What next?Last week gold printed a indecisive candle on weekly time frame ..the current price action formation is a tringle and price will remain indecisive under this formation ..For Intra day we have to wait for breakout (on confirmation) and then we can trade in direction of breakout...Last week we have seen a good bullish candle on DXY , and we have seen that gold remained under pressure due to that ...For this week also we can expect more higher level on DXY which can push the gold price in lower side ...In lower side we can plan buy trade near weekly S1 (2626) or at weekly S2 (2600 area).
(Overall it's a buy the Dip scenario on Higher TF )
#XAUUSD:Will Further Escalation In Middle East Support The BullsGold was retested on Friday after USD data came out in support of the USD. The DXY rose back strongly, leading many USD pairs to melt heavily. Furthermore, the gold price dropped to the 2633 region and then retested a few more times before ranging between 2633 and 2658. Now, since the last three daily candles closed with strong wick rejections, we believe the price is likely to continue going up, up until 2730.
Fundamentals and technical analysis support our view since the ongoing conflict in the Middle East is likely to worsen in the coming days. That will likely raise concerns among investors worldwide.
If you like the idea, please like and comment. Let's discuss the idea in the comment box.Gold was reassessed on Friday following the release of USD data that favored the USD. The DXY experienced a significant increase, causing several USD pairs to decline sharply. Furthermore, the gold price fell to the 2633 region and underwent multiple retests before fluctuating between 2633 and 2658. Given that the last three daily candles closed with notable wick rejections, we anticipate a continued upward trend in the price, potentially reaching 2730.
Our perspective is supported by both fundamental and technical analyses. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to escalate in the coming days, potentially generating increased investor apprehension worldwide.
If you find this analysis valuable, please indicate your approval by liking and commenting. We encourage a constructive discussion of this concept in the comment section.
XAU/USD Analysis: Sideways Range and Awaiting BreakoutGold (XAU/USD) is currently in a sideways consolidation phase on the H4 timeframe, with price oscillating between key levels. After reaching a recent high near $2,685, the price has now settled around the $2,640 - $2,650 range. The market is awaiting significant catalysts, including key US labor market data later this week, which could trigger a breakout from this tight range.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support : $2,630 - $2,640. This zone has acted as a floor, where buyers have previously stepped in.
Resistance : $2,665 - $2,685. A breakout above this level could pave the way for further upside momentum.
Strategy :
While Gold is currently moving sideways, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout either above resistance for a long position or below support for a potential short. A bullish breakout could target $2,700, while a break below $2,630 could signal further downside towards $2,600.
Trade Plan:
Buy: On breakout above $2,665, targeting $2,685 and potentially $2,700.
Sell: On breakdown below $2,630, targeting $2,600.
With important economic data ahead, it's critical to monitor both technical setups and fundamental news, as they will likely influence the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold : Still Sideways Gold is stuck in sideways range this week, Price wants to go in higher side and getting help from the middle east war but DXY limiting the upside potential and currently running with good pullback and seems like going to close the week with good gain and targeting 103 now.....gold also extends its sideways consolidative price move in a familiar range held since the beginning of the current week and trading with no clear direction ... Today is week closing and we have High impact data (NFP) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report might influence expectations about the pace of the Fed rate-cutting cycle. This, in turn, will play a key role in driving the US Dollar demand in the near term and provide some meaningful impetus to the gold price ; and with the continues war news gold price remains within striking distance of the all-time peak touched last week.
From a technical perspective, the range-bound price action might still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase against the backdrop of the recent strong runup to the record peak.On the flip side, the weekly low, around the 2,630-2,624 area, which coincides with a short-term ascending channel resistance breakpoint, might continue to offer support and act as a key pivotal point. A convincing break below might prompt aggressive technical selling and drag the Gold price below the 2,600 mark : For today it's better to wait and watch till we see a range breakout (Broad range 2630-2670-72) after data and then we can open position accordingly.
Gold: “Bullish Pennant” lures XAUUSD buyers on US NFP DayGold prices are starting to rise, reducing weekly losses on the first positive day in three. This reflects a market shift toward the traditional safe-haven asset as investors remain cautious ahead of the US employment report for September, particularly the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data.
Buyers remain in control
Even though gold has lacked momentum over the past two weeks, it is holding above the late September breakout from a four-month trend line resistance, which now acts as support. The XAUUSD also forms a “Bullish Pennant” pattern, attracting buyers. The rising RSI (14) indicates strength, but the sluggish MACD and pre-NFP jitters are holding back immediate movement in the precious metal.
Key technical levels to watch
Gold's immediate focus is on the bullish pennant's resistance line, currently near $2,665, which poses a challenge for intraday buyers. Above that, the recent all-time high of $2,685 and the $2,700 mark will attract bulls. If gold trades successfully above $2,700, it could target around $2,735, which is the theoretical goal of the pennant.
On the downside, support levels are set at $2,638 and $2,635, thanks to the pennant's bottom line and a long-term resistance-turned-support. Further down, an upward-sloping support line from early August and the 200-SMA will provide additional support for XAUUSD near $2,580 and $2,560, respectively.
Gold bulls can overlook pullbacks
Although US employment data may pose challenges for gold buyers, several strong support levels make it tough for sellers to regain control. This suggests that bulls can stay confident, even if prices experience a pullback—unless there’s a significant drop below the 200-SMA.
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 03.10.24Reason for Bullish
Several media outlets reported that Israel delivered a harsh response to the recent Iranian attack by bombing central Beirut in the early hours of Thursday. Lebanese security officials said that three missiles also struck the southern suburb of Dahiyeh, the place of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah's killing. Lebanese health officials also reported that multiple people were injured following Israel’s strike in Beirut.
Iranian forces on Tuesday used hypersonic Fattah missiles for the first time and 90% of its missiles successfully hit their targets in Israel. Tehran said this attack was in response to Israeli killings of militant leaders and aggression in Lebanon against the Iran-backed armed movement Hezbollah and in Gaza.
Despite the increasing risks of the Israel-Iran conflict turning into a wider regional war in the Middle East, Gold price is struggling to capitalize on the risk-off flows, as diminishing odds of a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Fed in November keep the sentiment around the US Dollar underpinned at the expense of the non-interest-bearing Gold price.
Gold : Current Price Action FormationGold is currently stuck in sideways move and circling near to weekly pivot (2650) : on H1 we can see that the price action forming a tringle structure and we have to wait for breakout on this structure and we can trade on the side of breakout for Intraday.
For Higher side we have to watch 2685 as resistance and in lower side we have 2630 as support.
Gold remains close to record high Gold remains close to record high and yesterday gold price rallied over 1% and the main reason for this rise is geopolitical uncertainty, driving risk aversion and boosting safe-haven demand for OANDA:XAUUSD
ongoing tensions keep bullish momentum alive for new record highs, An escalation of the Middle East conflict could pave the way for higher prices. Although momentum favors buyers, also daily CPR moving into ascending side and also price trading above weekly pivot: but the Higher Time frame looks like in Sideways (2685-2630).
🔵 For Intra day Buy : Wait for breakout on 2670-72 area towards 2685 or higher level if breakout from recent ATH level.
🔵 For Intra day sell : Very risky to sell as due to geopolitical scenario but technically if price drops below 2,652-50 (breakdown CPR on H1 or H4) , the door opened to testing the recent low around 2630.
🔵 For Swing trade : Buy the dip is still valid