Xauusd(w)
DXY 1 D - ANALYSIS 10 AUG 2024
Definition: Explain what the DXY (US Dollar Index) is and how it measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of major foreign currencies.
Importance: Highlight why the DXY is a crucial indicator for forex traders, investors, and economists.
2. Market Analysis
Current Trends: Present recent trends in the DXY, including historical data and recent movements.
Technical Analysis: Use charts and technical indicators to analyze patterns that suggest a potential decline in the DXY. Include tools like moving averages, RSI, MACD, and support/resistance levels.
3. Economic Indicators
Impact of Economic Data: Discuss how economic data (like GDP growth, employment figures, and inflation rates) affects the DXY.
Federal Reserve Policies: Explain how interest rate changes and monetary policy from the Federal Reserve influence the DXY.
4. Global Factors
Geopolitical Events: Examine how global geopolitical events, such as trade wars, political instability, or international conflicts, can impact the DXY.
Comparative Currencies: Compare the US dollar’s performance with other major currencies like the Euro, Yen, or Pound.
5. Risk Management
Risk Factors: Outline potential risks involved in selling the DXY, including unexpected economic announcements or geopolitical events.
Strategies: Offer strategies for managing risk when betting against the DXY, such as setting stop-loss orders and diversifying investments.
6. Case Studies
Historical Examples: Provide case studies or historical examples where selling the DXY proved profitable or unprofitable. Analyze these cases to offer insights into current market conditions.
7. Expert Opinions
Interviews: Feature insights from financial analysts, economists, or trading experts who can provide professional opinions on the DXY’s future.
Market Sentiment: Summarize current market sentiment and how it aligns with or contrasts against your position on selling the DXY.
8. Actionable Insights
Investment Strategies: Suggest specific trading strategies for those interested in selling the DXY, such as short selling, options trading, or futures contracts.
Tools and Resources: Recommend tools, platforms, or resources that traders can use to track DXY movements and execute trades.
9. Conclusion
Summary: Recap the key points discussed and reinforce why selling the DXY could be a profitable strategy.
Charts and Graphs: Use visual aids to illustrate trends, technical analyses, and economic impacts.
Infographics: Create infographics to simplify complex information and make it more accessible.
Videos/Webinars: Host video analyses or webinars to provide a dynamic and engaging way to discuss DXY selling strategies.
GOLD - SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE BREAKOUT. MORE UPSIDE AHEAD ?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold was trading inside the flat 2420 - 2370 forming a symmetrical triangle. Traders were continue to struggle for the area of 2400 & it just gave a breakout.
Around 2400, There is a rather encouraging situation indicating how the bulls continue to hold the support of the global trend.
The issue of aggressive easing of the US Fed policy is still relevant. Likewise, speculators are closely watching developments around Iran's attack on Israel. If it happens, it is likely to give additional impetus to the growth of gold prices. Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims of the US may provide short-term potential for the markets.
Support level as of now: 2380
The problem with the triangle, price behavior and the current situation is that the market is neutral, as the price is in consolidation.
Prerequisites for growth:
- Bullish market retention on the larger timeframe
- Strong reaction to the key support zone
- Strong buyers have not left the market yet and continue to buy back the asset
- Fundamentally, gold has strong support (hedge asset)
- Strong market reaction to a false break of local support
- Buyers do not let the price go below 2380
- Retests of 2400 continue
- Volumes
- Large pool of liquidity, interesting for MM, above 2420
- Fundamental nuances due to the Middle East
P.S. : I'm holding hold position in Gold with 2380 SL.
Gold buyers take a breather above 100-SMA, focus on $2,450Gold's recent strong performance suggests a positive sentiment among buyers, especially with its breakout above the 100-SMA and supportive RSI and MACD indicators. This technical strength points to a potential push towards the $2,450 resistance level, with further challenges anticipated at around $2,470 from a mid-July trend line, and additional resistance at $2,495 and $2,500.
On the downside, sellers will need a break below the 100-SMA, currently around $2,411, to gain momentum. Such a move could test the $2,400 mark, with further support levels at $2,383 and $2,350.
In summary, while Gold is currently on the buyers' radar, the upcoming resistance levels may cap the upside potential.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24The allure of non-yielding bullion tends to increase when interest rates are lowered because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases. Investor sentiment has played a significant role in the recent spike in gold prices. The current market positioning reflects a strong bullish outlook on gold.
XAUUSD/GOLD 30M Buy Projection 08.08.24Reason for Bullish
oday, US Dollar is expected to fall against the Gold (per ounce), as the forecast expects the XAU/USD exchange rate to move to $ 2,391.05 from the current rate of $ 2,401.74. In the next 7 days, US Dollar is predicted to increase compared to the Gold (per ounce) by $ 2,352.97.
XAUUSD 6/8/2024 Is this rally over?
This past week we have seen a lot of volatile news that has affected the direction of gold prices
With the unstable geopolitical situation causing large fluctuations in gold prices
- Looking at H1 we see a completed ABC corrective wave structure. Following an ABC corrective structure we expect a 5 wave bullish structure. Obviously not excluding the possibility of a complex correction wave then I will update if it happens
- Currently we expect a bearish correction to confirm wave 1 and wave 2 completed and wave 1 and 2 confirmed when price closes above 2365.6
- This current correction we expect a yellow abc wave pattern and target at 2385 price zone or 2377anh price zone
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2385 - 2382
SL 2363
TP1: 2393
TP2: 2404
TP3: 2418
SELL ZONE: 2421 - 2424
SL: 2447
TP1: 2408
TP2: 2396
TP3: 2385
XAUUSD/GOLD 30M Sell Projection 06.08.24Overall, selling gold provides a dependable and efficient means to secure liquidity, address immediate financial needs, and make the most of a valuable and universally accepted asset. Urgent Cash Needs: Life throws curveballs. Unexpected expenses, medical bills, or emergencies can necessitate quick cash.
Gold Trend Monday analysis Gold touch the price around 2477 after USA NON FARM PAYROLL figures disapoint the insitution invester and i think unemployment rate ticked up from 4.1 to 4.3.
Bullion rallied sharply capitalizing on the fall of the USA 10 year treasuary bond yield which taked up 15 basis point to 3.815%
i thinked that you make the shot position on the price around 2455 and make SL 2477 and target TP 1 2445.00 TP 2 2435.00 TP 3 2400.00
Use small lot on the chart take small risk on your equity.
XAUUSD 5/8/2024 correction is over?
Looking at H1 we see the ABC correction wave structure.
Looking at the ABC correction model, we see that we are likely to have an unusual correction model, when wave C does not exceed wave A.
- So now we need to observe to confirm whether the correction wave has ended
- The confirmation condition is that if this downtrend closes above the 2413 zone, then we have the price entering the uptrend wave and then the target price zone is the 2500 zone.
Currently we have a trading plan
SELL ZONE 2456 - 2459
SL 2466
TP1: 2447
TP2: 2442
TP3: 2433
BUY ZONE: 2426 - 2423
SL: 2416
TP1: 2433
TP2: 2442
TP3: 2455
XAUUSD/GOLD 04.08.24 DETAILED SELL PROJECTIONAfter coming within a touching distance of a new all-time high near $2,480 with the immediate reaction to disappointing US labor market data on Friday, Gold reversed its direction and declined below $2,420. Profit-taking ahead of the weekend might be weighing on XAU/USD
Today trend gold is bullishToday market open after get 20 Point moves up ISRAIL and HAMAS war and may be gold will move more up because USA also include in war that why Gold may be move up market open around 2438.00 and make high around 2468.00 and Indian time according 6:00 PM HIGH impact news like NFP ( NON FARM PAYROLL ) gold start manipulation to people and my scenario gold will pump more upside but gold break today low 2438.00 and close a candle with strong move definitely we gone for sell in gold.
Gold buyers keep eyes on US NFP, inverse Head and ShouldersEarly Friday, Gold price reverses the previous day’s pullback from a two-week high as traders await the US monthly employment data for July. That said, the recent bias supporting the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) frequent rate cuts in 2024 allowed the precious metal to remain firmer within an inverse Head and Shoulders (H&S) bullish chart formation. Apart from that, the bullion’s successful recovery from the 50-SMA, bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI conditions also underpin the upside bias about the spot Gold price known as the XAUUSD.
With this, the Gold price appears well-set to rise within the aforementioned bullish chart formation. The same highlights a five-week-old support-turned-resistance line surrounding $2,480 as an immediate upside hurdle. Following that, the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern, close to $2,494 by the press time, quickly followed by the $2,500 threshold, will be crucial to watch. In a case where the quote manages to stay firmer past $2,500, it becomes capable of aiming for the theoretical target of the inverse H&S formation, namely the $2,700 psychological magnet.
On the contrary, Gold buyers remain hopeful unless the quote breaks an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, near $2,381. Also restricting the bullion’s short-term downside is the 50-SMA support of around $2,365. In a case where the precious metal stays weaker past $2,365, it defies the bullish chart formation and becomes vulnerable to drop further toward the lows marked in June around $2,280. That said, the $2,300 and May’s bottom of $2,277 will act as additional supports to watch during the XAUUSD’s further downside.
To sum up, the Gold price remains in the bullish trend and signals further advances ahead of the key US employment data comprising the widely known Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Hence, the scheduled data’s capacity to harm the XAUUSD buyers appears limited even with the upbeat outcome.
XAUUSD 1/8/2024 after FOMC news?
Looking at H1, we see that after this morning's FOMC news, we see that XAU has increased to the 2458 zone
- As I analyzed in the previous plan, when the price breaks through the 2402 zone and then tests again and does not fall below this zone, the price will continue the 5-wave trend instead of the 3-wave ABC.
- Regarding the trend, after the price follows the 5-wave model, the next wave target is the 2500 price zone as analyzed before.
- Looking at the present, we see that wave 3 in the blue 5-wave structure is completing, and the price has now started blue wave 4
- Measuring the wave 4 target, we have the price zone of 2433. This will be the price zone we are waiting for as a BUY target
- The target of wave 5 will be specifically determined by me after wave 4 is formed. With the current data, I am expecting wave 5 to end at the price zone of 2500
Trading plan
BUYZONE: 2433 - 2430
SL: 2423
TP1: 2422
TP2: 2450
TP3: 2465
SELL ZONE: 2467 - 2470
SL: 2477
TP1: 2450
TP2: 2422
TP3: 2433
Will GOLD take Support & Return to Bullish Trend ?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold is entering the correction phase after a breakout failure scenario of ascending channel resistance and the previous ATH. The fundamental background is changed by Thursday's news that supported the dollar index.
Overall, the structure & environment on is still bullish. If the price finds a strong support in the near future, for example 2390-2400, this area may get the status of an intermediate bottom, thus forming a new trading range.
There is no news today, thus the fundamental background remains the same. Trading has been complicated lately by the presidential race in the USA. The statements of Powell, politically dependent Fed, Trump can be perceived by traders quite strongly. But the medium-term outlook is determined by the fact that politicians are generally set to lower the dollar (DXY), which is generally favorable for gold, which may soon return to the bullish trend phase.
The price may continue the correction to trend support, but due to the pool of liquidity in the area where the price may land within the correction, gold may get a reaction in the form of a bounce to the nearest resistance, make a double bottom & may test channel resistance in future.
XAUUSD - The uptrend continues when the trent breaks 2393Gold declined near $2,380 per ounce on Tuesday, extending losses from the previous session, as investors look forward to upcoming policy meetings from major central banks this week. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but all eyes will be on any indications of a potential rate cut in September. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan is expected to lift rates by 10 basis points to 0.1%
Upper border breakout: 2393 - 2400
Lower border breakout: 2376 - 2370
Resistance: 2400 - 2407 - 2412 - 2418
Support: 2376 - 2367 - 2361 - 2353
Price ranges to note:
SELL price range 2417 - 2419 stoploss 2422
BUY price range 2354 - 2352 stoploss 2348
Note: Full TP, SL to be safe and win the market.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Today trend gold is bullishI think gold will move up side and USA data come negative and i think gold entry around 2392.00 TP 1 2408.00 TP 2 2402.00 TP 3 2408.00 Stop loss around 2387.00 market some volatile then news come so please make your sl is where then data will release. Time remaing around us data 2 hour 15 minutes left so please be care full today in news data .
XAUUSD 7/30/2024 How far will the price go?
After the 5-wave downtrend structure, we are witnessing an increase from 2354 to 2402
- So we will have 2 cases either the 5-wave downtrend structure has completed wave C then we have the current increase as a 5-wave structure, case 2 is the 5-wave downtrend structure above has just completed wave 1 in the 5-wave structure of wave C so the current increase is wave 2 and will have an ABC wave structure.
- We will have an important price to confirm that is the price of 2402, both cases need the price to break out through 2402. After the price breaks out through 2402 and the price returns below 2402, then we will lean towards the current situation being just a correction wave 2 in the 5-wave structure of the purple wave C. If the price breaks out through 2418, we will lean towards the possibility that this is a 5-wave increase structure and the possibility that the price will break through the peak of 2433.
So at the 2418 area, this is the current area containing a large amount of supply, which will be a strong resistance level for the price, so when the price touches this area, there will be a reaction, and we will choose this area as the SELL target
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2415 -2418
SL: 2425
TP1: 2402
TP2: 2390 TP3: 2374 BUY ZONE: 2357 - 2354 SL: 2347 TP1: 2365 TP2: 2374 TP3: 2382
XAUUSD 1H Sell Projection Customs duty cuts: The Indian government announced cuts to customs duty on gold in the Union Budget 2024, reducing it from 15% to 6%.
Concerns over demand in China: Demand for gold in China may also have contributed to the price drop.
Better-than-expected US data: Better-than-expected US Q2 GDP and jobless claims data may have also put downward pressure on gold prices.
XAUUSD 7/29/2024 Is the uptrend over?
Looking at H1, we can see that the corrective uptrend may have ended.
- The price will continue to move in a downtrend to complete the purple wave C as shown on the chart.
During the move to the target price zone of wave C, we see that at the 2374 treble line, this is the previous breakout price zone and has not been retested, so there is still a very strong demand force in this price zone.
- We expect the price to bounce back to the 2374 zone, so we will place a BUY order in this zone.
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2376 - 2373
SL: 2366
TP1: 2382
TP2: 2400
TP3: 2410
SELL ZONE: 2314 - 2417
SL: 2424
TP1: 2401
TP: 2382
TP3: 2365