Gold near to ATHAfter gap down opening Gold price again trading near to ATH and price now sustaining on PWH on H1.
For sell we have to wait for rejection on ATH area (2755-59: for scalping only right now with tight SL on Intraday No confirmation, No sell) and for next move in higher side price need to breakout and need to sustain above this area and then we can look for buy in higher side towards weekly R1 and then R2.
For a safe sell I think better wait for price to close below 2738 (As wee have High volume support at 2738-40,H1 or H4) and in Higher side there is no major confirmation right now.
Xauusd(w)
BTC | XAUUSD | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | 28 OCT | HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
XAUUSD 4H | Liq. Grab or BOSXAUUSD on 4H chart shows a critical order block. Where liquidity may accumulate. Price could either respect the OB, indicating a bearish reaction and potential displacement lower or break of structure. Leading to a bullish expansion towards new ATH.
Watch for potential mitigation in this zone.
Market structure shift will clarify the next move.
XAGUSD - Accumulation , manipulation and Distribution Power of 3: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution (PO3) :
1. Accumulation:
Definition: Accumulation is the phase where institutional traders (also called "smart money") build up their positions (either buying or selling) without causing significant price movement. They do this quietly to avoid attracting attention from retail traders.
Purpose: During accumulation, price often consolidates, moving sideways within a range, creating a liquidity pool as both buyers and sellers participate. The purpose is to gather enough orders (buy/sell) before the next big move.
Example: In forex, accumulation can be seen when a currency pair’s price remains in a narrow range, forming a consolidation pattern such as a rectangle or triangle. Traders often wait for a breakout from this range as a signal of the next move.
2. Manipulation:
Definition: Manipulation is the phase where smart money manipulates the market to trigger retail traders' stop-losses and induce them into the wrong positions. This is often done through a false breakout or a sudden spike in price.
Purpose: The goal is to grab liquidity by triggering stop-losses placed by retail traders near obvious levels of support or resistance. This creates an opportunity for smart money to take the opposite position with minimal slippage.
Example: In forex, a manipulation phase might occur when price breaks out of a consolidation range, tricking retail traders into taking a position. After this false breakout, the price reverses, catching retail traders on the wrong side of the trade.
3. Distribution:
Definition: Distribution is the phase where smart money begins to exit their positions after successfully manipulating the market. This leads to a strong directional move as their large orders push the price significantly.
Purpose: The purpose of distribution is to unload the accumulated positions at a profit. As the market moves in the intended direction, retail traders who were manipulated into taking the wrong positions are forced to exit, adding momentum to the move.
Example: In forex, distribution is visible as a sharp, sustained price movement in one direction (either bullish or bearish). This often follows the manipulation phase and can result in significant price swings.
Disclaimer : Study is for educational purpose.
Gold portrays much-awaited pullback, focus on $2,710 & US dataEarly Friday, gold prices slipped after a brief bounce from a week-long support level, retreating from a point that has shifted from support to resistance. Traders are closely watching the September U.S. Durable Goods Orders. This movement highlights gold's defense against a mid-week rejection of a bullish trend, signaling the anticipated price pullback.
Sellers flex muscles
Gold is struggling to regain momentum, facing rejection from recent highs. With bearish signals from the MACD and an RSI close to 50, further declines in gold prices seem likely. However, strong support levels may challenge sellers' quest for lower prices.
Key technical levels to watch
In the past week, gold has seen multiple peaks and troughs, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) highlighting $2,715-$2,710 as a crucial support zone for sellers. Below that, the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension of gold's movements from September to October and the previous monthly high near $2,686 could attract bearish interest. Importantly, the upward-sloping trend line from early August and the 200-day SMA, around $2,657 and $2,638, respectively, will serve as final defenses for buyers before control shifts to sellers.
On the upside, gold buyers are looking for confirmation from the lower boundary of the bullish channel, around $2,753. A successful breakout could lead to a rise towards the recent peak of $2,758 and potentially up to the channel’s upper line near $2,790. The 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,772 and the $2,800 mark are additional upside filters to watch for the XAUUSD bulls.
Bulls run out of steam
Despite several strong support levels, the anticipated strength of the US dollar after upcoming economic data and recent technical consolidations indicate a potential short-term decline in gold prices. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact unless prices fall below $2,638.
Gold is in correction Gold price facing resistance at Fibonacci golden zone (2733-39: marked with red zone) and now moving towards the support area (green zone : at Wednesday low), under PDH and under resistance trendline sell is good towards the support area where price seems to be completing H&S formation and the neckline is at 2708-10 area, if price breakdown from H&S formation a good correction is expected.
On buying side we have to wait for breakout at PDH and breakout on the resistance trendline (Why Buying? because buying is still good if we go through the footprint chart ,if we watch last two days delta , the delta is negative but not strong enough to justify any deep correction as of now).
BTC | GOLD | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | 24 OCT | HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
Gold : Finally taking a breakAs discussed in yesterday's gold update that gold was due for a correction , accordingly we have seen a good correction in yesterday's trading session. Last day price close with a bearish Engulfing candle from a key level (Weekly R1) and now the major support as per volume (2738-40) is going to act as resistance area, also if we draw Fibonacci levels for last day candle we have now to major resistance in higher side for gold, one is at 2733 and another is 2739, so for intraday under these levels we can look for sell opportunities and we can look 2700 or low as our target .CPR is also descending today , any breach from PDL can result in continuation into lower side.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 24.1024Reason for Bearish
1. Breaked Major Support 2720 yesterday and now retesting tthe breaked Zone
2. Rsi 14 below 50 and tends to be selling confirmation
3. Stochastic Overbiught in abobe 80 and 1h Bearish Movement
Over all Projection
XAUUSD SELL 2720-23
SL 2730
TP 1 2715
TP 2 2710
TP 3 2701
BTC | GOLD | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | 24 OCT | HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
Gold Intraday PlanGold prices extended gains in yesterday trading session for the fifth day out of the last six and reached an all-time high at 2,748, just below of the psychological 2,750 mark. Geopolitical tensions and expectations that the Federal Reserve would continue to lower borrowing costs are helping gold bulls right now.
As per price action gold price Invalidated the Gravestone doji pattern that was formed in Monday trading session and sustaining the price over to major support area 2738-40 (As visible on Volume profile).Today price opened with small gap down which is indication that the current over extended bull run is somewhat exhausting and need a break/ pause ,so selling with calculated risk is seems to be favourable at current elevated levels and if price breakdown this support area on volume profile then we can expect a good correction towards 2700 or low.
Gold : Due for correctionGold prices hit another record high during US session, yet it paused its advance amid elevated US Treasury bond yields and a strong US Dollar (But gold ignored the DXY move completely in last week).
On daily close as per price action we can see a gravestone doji which can open door for correction. So for today the plan is to sell under last day high , we can sell near CPR area(2722-2727) or wait for pullback to daily R1(2735) for possible sell opportunities, On lower side as you can see that price is currently in over elevated region and price did not tested the weekly pivot(2694) , so first we can expect a test at weekly pivot for this correction and then we have to watch how price going to react there .
GOLD - BEAR ATTACK SOON ?GOLD is growing unpredictably towards ATH. The market did not react in any way to last week's US fundamental data and now the price is not reacting to strong levels and liquidity zones. Ahead of ATH after 3 weeks of forming.
Investors remain cautious as the US Fed is expected to follow a path of moderate interest rate cuts (skipping a cut in November, or a 0.25% cut).
The gold price is actively supported by the tense situation in the Chinese markets and lower US Treasury yields, which helps the gold price to take another leap towards the ATH.
Now all eyes will be on Thursday when China holds a press conference and the US retail sales report is released.
Resistance Zone : 2680 - 2688
Support Levels : 2664,2658,2645
Technically, I don't think that the market will let the resistance breakout happen the first time. The pullback from 2685, formed 3 weeks ago, was made on the back of strong economic data, so the huge pool of liquidity above 2685 can be defended quite aggressively by the bears.
Technically, there are no signs for the continuation of growth. They may appear after the retest, but it will become clear after the fact.
P.S. : My short position is open at CMP 2680 with SL 2702.
Weekly Market Review & Outlook: Technical Analysis of BTC, GoldA comprehensive review of the past week's market performance, followed by a detailed technical analysis and outlook for Bitcoin, Gold, and major currency pairs. This video uses multi-timeframe support, resistance, and trendline analysis to predict potential price movements for the upcoming week.
Weekly Market Review & Outlook: Technical Analysis of BTC, GoldA comprehensive review of the past week's market performance, followed by a detailed technical analysis and outlook for Bitcoin, Gold, and major currency pairs. This video uses multi-timeframe support, resistance, and trendline analysis to predict potential price movements for the upcoming week.
XAUUSD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 19.10.24Reason for Bullish
Gold hit a record high last month. Goldman Sachs analysts think it's not done rising.
1
The firm in a Monday note said it has a price target of $2,700 per ounce on the precious metal. That's actually a bit less bullish than before, since the bank is now targeting early next year instead of later in 2024 — but that's still an 8% premium over the $2,525 high on Aug. 27.
2
CNBC. “Gold / US Dollar Spot.”
Gold futures ticked higher Wednesday to around $2,524 an ounce.
Gold renews all-time high within bullish channel, $2,750 eyedGold prices soared to a record $2,710, marking four days of gains as investors flock to safety. Despite a stronger US dollar, gold has remained within a rising trend channel for the past three months.
Caution Ahead
While the bulls celebrate breaking through a three-week-old resistance level, the momentum indicators suggest a potential pullback. With the RSI nearing overbought territory, we might see a brief dip before another surge in prices.
Key technical levels to watch
Gold’s next challenges lie at the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the bullion’s September-October moves, respectively near $2,711 and $2,736, especially amid nearly overbought RSI conditions. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past the $2,736 hurdle, the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line surrounding $2,750 will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers. A breakthrough there could spark a rally towards the psychological $3,000 mark, with potential resistance around $2,800 and $2,900.
On the contrary, Gold’s price has solid support at the $2,700 level and the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension around $2,686. If it falls below these, watch for a key support zone near $2,665, where the late September resistance and the 10-day EMA converge. Should XAUUSD bears keep the reins past $2,665, the channel’s bottom line of near $2,630 will be the last defense of the buyers.
Buyers are likely to stay in control despite a potential pullback
While a short-term pullback in gold prices appears overdue, the overall bullish trend is expected to hold strong due to global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.