Gold buyers have various obstacles to tackle, including US NFPDespite posting a Doji candlestick on Thursday, the Gold price appears well set for the second consecutive weekly gain as traders await the US employment details for June. In doing so, the XAUUSD defends the mid-week breakout of a month-old descending resistance line, now immediate support around $2,350, backed by upbeat RSI conditions and the bullish MACD signals. Also keeping the bullion buyers hopeful is the quote’s ability to stay beyond the 50-SMA level. However, a slew of upside hurdles and likely upbeat prints of the US jobs report, including the top-tier Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), test optimists ahead of the key data.
Among the resistances, a fortnight-old horizontal area surrounding $2,365-68 caps the immediate upside of the precious metal. Following that, a region comprising multiple tops marked since mid-April, near $2,387-92, will challenge the advances before the last defense of the bears, namely a three-month-old horizontal region around $2,431-34. It’s worth noting that the $2,400 threshold and the all-time high marked in May around $2,450 are extra filters toward the north.
Meanwhile, the Gold sellers will need validation from strong US employment data and a daily closing beneath the resistance-turned-support line surrounding $2,350. In that case, the 50-SMA level of $2,339 will grab the attention of short-term XAUUSD bears. Should the quote remain weak past $2,339, it will quickly drop to $2,318 but a convergence of a three-month-old rising trend line and 50% Fibonacci ratio of March-May upside, near $2,297-96, will be a tough nut to crack for the sellers afterward. If the bullion bears manage to keep the reins past $2,296, the early April swing low of near $2,265 and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of $2,261 can flash on their radars.
Overall, Gold remains bullish ahead of the top-tier data but the upside room appears limited.
Xauusd(w)
XAUUSD July 4, 2024 will the price still decrease?
We expected a shakeout to enter the line but the price did not create this spring and completed the Flat correction pattern with wave c equal to wave a. Then the price increased sharply to the 2365 area
- The completion of wave c means that wave 2 has also completed. Now the price enters wave 3
- The target of wave 3 is at least fibo 1.618% of purple wave 1, so we have the minimum expectation at the price range of 2395
- Looking at the smaller black trend, the price has gone through 4 waves 1234 and we wait for wave 5 to complete and then the price will have a correction before continuing to increase.
- My suggested buying zone is the price range 2342 - 2340, which is the expected target of the completed major correction.
EURUSD TRADE SETUPFOREXCOM:EURUSD FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
GBPUSD SHORTFOREXCOM:GBPUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
3th JULY GOLD PREDICTIONTrading Strategy for Gold
Sell Entry Point:
Entry Range: 2336 - 2340
Stop Loss (SL):
Above: 2340 (suggested precise level: 2342 to give some buffer for volatility)
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: 2330
TP2: 2325
TP3: 2320
Execution Plan
Market Analysis:
Trend: Sideways movement between 2320 - 2340.
Catalyst: Awaiting nonfarm payroll news this week.
Entry Strategy:
Sell Orders: Place sell orders within the 2336 - 2340 range.
Volume Allocation: Consider splitting your position into smaller orders to average into the range.
Stop Loss Management:
SL Placement: Set your stop loss above the 2340 level. A precise level like 2342 ensures some buffer against minor price fluctuations.
Take Profit Strategy:
TP1: Set for 2330 to secure partial profit.
TP2: Set for 2325 for further profit taking if the price continues to move down.
TP3: Final TP at 2320 to maximize profit if the price reaches the lower end of the range.
Risk Management:
Ensure your position size respects your risk management rules.
Avoid over-leveraging to manage potential volatility around the nonfarm payroll announcement.
Monitoring:
Stay updated with news and market sentiment leading up to the nonfarm payroll release.
Be prepared to adjust your strategy if there are significant market movements or news developments.
Summary
Sell at 2336-2340
Stop Loss: 2342
Take Profits: 2330 (TP1), 2325 (TP2), 2320 (TP3)
XAUUSD SHORTFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
XAUUSD July 2, 2024 will the price continue to increase?Looking at H1, we see that the price is having a recovery to the 2334 area. Looking at the recovery candles, we see that these are short-bodied candles, which proves that the price momentum is weak and will not make the price go far. Okay
- Looking at the overall price correction, the price is in a Flat correction model. With this model, we continue to expect the price to complete wave C before continuing.
We continue to wait for the price to touch the target of wave C at the price range 2311 to 2304 to enter a Buy order.
XAUUSD July 1, 2024 Has the uptrend begun?Last week we saw that from H1, the price completed a 5-wave pattern. According to the Elliot principle, this could be wave A or impulse wave 1
- Whether it is a wave A pattern or a complete wave 1 pattern, the 5-wave pattern is always followed by a correction wave
- We expect the abc corrective wave pattern to find a trading setup when wave c completes
- As shown on h1, we see that the correction pattern is in wave b phase and after wave b completes, we will determine the target of wave c to decide to enter the order.
- Looking at h1, we see that the demand zone created by the bottom of wave 4 has been approached many times so this zone has been weakened and there is a high possibility of being breached, this reinforces for us that the bearish wave C will form.
From the current data, we can temporarily measure the target of wave C at two price zones: 2311 and 2304.
From the target area of wave C we can find buy orders
- In case the price breaks through the 2294 zone, our wave counting process is no longer correct, then I will update the new wave counting settings.
- Area 2294 is also a good Stoploss area for our buy order
Gold price at the end of the session: There is still no new breaGold prices are currently correcting in a narrow range and are testing important support and resistance levels. Trading strategies should be built based on price reactions in these zones, while always considering risk management factors.
Support and Resistance:
Critical support: Area around $2,310,000, shown by light blue area.
Key resistance: Area around $2,345,000, shown by the red area.
Potential Scenarios:
The price may continue to correct and retest the light blue support zone. If this support holds, the price is likely to bounce back and retest the red resistance zone.
In case the price fails to hold support, it may continue to fall deeper.
Trading strategies:
Buy order: Consider at the support zone of 2,310,000 USD if there is a signal of a bullish reversal, with the target being the resistance zone of 2,345,000 USD.
Sell order: Consider if the price fails to overcome the resistance zone of 2,345,000 USD, with the target being the support zone of 2,310,000 USD.
What does gold price change at the end of the session?Yesterday, gold prices found a boost, rebounding from the $2,300 level. However, this rally was short-lived and primarily represented a correction within the broader trend. The precious metal remains constrained below the trendline, with accumulation phases and bearish pressure still prevailing. Currently, the price stands at $2,320, marking a 0.33% decline for the day.
Today, the market is awaiting the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index report. This report is regarded as one of the most significant inflation indicators that can influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, as it is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Given its potential to cause substantial market volatility, it is crucial to monitor this report closely and ensure that your take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels are properly set when trading.
XAUUSD June 28, 2024 Where will the price increase go?Yesterday we had a price increase in the 2295 area.
As I said, if in this zone the price increases beyond 2316.8, we have to count the waves again
- We are still in a downtrend and this increase is just a recovery
- The new wave counting process is denoted as on the graph. The price decline ended at 2295, wave 5 has completed and next we have the ABC correction process.
- Wave A is a 5-wave pattern and currently we see the price is in the wave 4 target area.
- Next we have the price will continue to complete wave 5 to complete wave A
- So with the Buy settings we can set the appropriate TP, you can gradually increase the SL to avoid losing profits.
- We have 2 price zones to complete the wave A target: 2332.9 and 2341.4, these are two potential price zones for the current price increase.
28TH JUNE GOLD PREDICTIONAs of June 28, 2024, the spot price of gold is approximately $2,324.10 per ounce. This reflects a small decrease of 0.18% from the previous day
The gold market has been experiencing some fluctuations, but it remains above the $2,300 mark. Analysts suggest that while the market seems somewhat directionless at the moment, it is well-valued with limited downside.
HERE IS THE STRATEGY TODAY:
SELL XAUUSD 2330 - 2335
STOP LOSS 2338
TP 2317
XAUUSD on June 27, 2024, the final decline?
The price has approached the 2295 zone and is currently recovering very weakly in this zone.
- There is a high possibility that the price will continue to break this zone and drop to the 2287 zone.
+ At area 2287, if the price breaks out below this area, the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at price area 2256 or 2210.
+ If the price continues to rebound and surpass the 2315 price range, then we can say that the correction has not ended and the current price is still in a complex correction, then we have to count the waves again ( I will update if this situation happens)
- At this price range, we should only observe or play Scalping because we have two price resistance zones that are quite close to each other, the 2295 zone and the 2287 zone.
Gold strategy today: Should Buy or Sell?Hello everyone, let's explore today's gold prices together!
Yesterday, the gold market seemed relatively calm with minimal fluctuations, and the downward trend continued. Currently, the precious metal is hovering around $2321 and appears to be forming a head and shoulders pattern.
If this pattern completes, we could see the price testing the psychological level of $2300 today. The strategy to sell remains the preferred approach.
Oversold RSI, $2,293 key support challenge Gold sellersGold price remains pressured at the lowest level in a fortnight while justifying the previous day’s downside break of a three-week-old rising support line, now immediate resistance. It’s worth noting, however, that the cautious mood ahead of this week’s key US data/events joins the oversold RSI conditions and an upward-sloping support trend line from early April to challenge bears around $2,2932 of late. Among the key data/events, the US Durable Goods Orders, a debate between the US Presidential Candidate Joe Biden and Donald Trump, as well as the US Core PCE Price Index, also known as the Fed’s preferred inflation, will gain major attention. It should be observed that the XAUUSD’s sustained trading beneath the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and bearish MACD signals join the aforementioned trend line break to help the sellers break the $2,293 key support.
That said, the monthly low of around $2,286, May’s bottom surrounding $2,277 and early April swing lows around $2,267 are additional downside filters to watch during the bullion’s weakness past $2,293. Following that, the 76.8% Fibonacci ratio of the precious metal’s March-May run-up, near $2,210 will act as the final defense of the buyers before directing prices toward March’s monthly low of near $2,146.
Meanwhile, the Gold price recovery needs validation from the catalysts weighing on the US Dollar. Also challenging the XAUUSD bulls is a convergence of the 50-EMA and a three-week-old previous support line, close to $2,324 by the press time. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,324, a descending resistance line from June 07 surrounding $2,364 and the monthly high of near $2,387 will be on the buyer’s radar. Above all, a horizontal area comprising tops marked since April 12, near $2,432-35, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
To sum up, Gold price is likely to stay depressed but the further downside needs support from fundamentals to favour the bears.
Gold price today: Strong decreaseHello everyone, let's find out today's gold price and see what changes!
Currently, gold has just undergone a fairly strong price correction at the end of yesterday. Accordingly, the precious metal quickly plummeted from 2320 USD to the psychological level of 2300 USD and is currently trading around the threshold of 2297 USD.
Accordingly, gold is receiving support around this support level but it is still controlled by the bears. Technical indicators and trend factors are still in favor of sellers and according to DOW theory, gold's target is to find the fibonacci take-profit level of 1.618.
Let's wait for gold's downward move after it breaks out of the current support level!
XAUUSD June 26, 2024 important price zones?
Yesterday's price broke the 2334 zone, confirming the abc wave correction process, which also means that wave 1 and orange wave 2 have completed.
After that, the price continues to decrease to continue completing wave 3. We have the characteristics of wave 3 as moving quickly and sharply,
- So we wait for the candle to close below 2316.8 to confirm the correction to complete.
- The second important price zone to confirm that we are in wave 3 is the price zone 2309 that needs to be broken down and the sufficient condition is that the price breaks below 2287.
- After the price has broken below the 2287 area, the target price area we have measured will be considered the 2256 price area and then the 2210 price area.
- I have listed important price zones so you can have the best trading management plan.
- Trading plan with sold transactions from the 2334 - 2337 range, you can watch these price zones to lock in partial profits or you can DCA when the price breaks out through these price zones.
- When the price breaks out through these price zones, you can find an entry point for a Sell order
27TH GOLD PREDICTION As of June 27, 2024, the price of gold (XAU/USD) is trading at about $2,299, showing a bearish trend. This recent decline in gold prices can be attributed to factors such as increased USD buying and the anticipation of future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Despite this bearish momentum, key support levels remain at $2,300 and $2,287, while resistance is noted at $2,319.43. The 50-day and 200-day EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) at $2,319.43 and $2,331.28 are critical levels for a potential bullish reversal.
Here is the strategy signal today for selling:
SELL XAUUSD 2318-2325
SL 2327
TP 2300
XAUUSD - Prices decrease according to the trendGold fell to around $2,325 per ounce on Tuesday as investors await this week’s US economic reports for clarity on the Federal Reserve’s timeline for interest rate cuts. Key focal points include the core PCE index data, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, alongside consumer spending and income, the third estimate for Q1 GDP growth, and the goods trade balance. Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed Bank President Mary Daly stated on Monday that she does not think the US central bank should lower rates until policymakers are confident that inflation is moving towards 2%.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2341 - 2343, SL: 246
🟢BUY GOLD: 2302- 2300, SL: 2296
⛔️Breakout: top border 2334 - below 2323 - 2316 - 2312
🔼Support: 2316 - 2312- 2306 - 2300
🔽Resistance: 2337 - 2341 - 2345 - 2349 - 2354
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
XAUUSD June 25, 2024 Is the rally over?Yesterday the price touched the wave 4 target zone that we predict is the 2329 zone.
- Currently, the price is reacting at the 2334 area. Looking at the current H1 candlestick model, we see withdrawal candles appearing in this area, proving that there is very strong selling force blocking the price increase in this area.
- The ending target of this correction is around the 2334 zone. It is important that we wait for a reversal confirmation signal in this zone to be able to set up a Sell trade.
- Note that currently on the H1 frame, I am seeing a momentum signal entering the oversold area. This indicates a high possibility that a small price increase will occur. This is a very good opportunity to confirm a reversal. We need to pay attention. close
+ If this increase does not break through 2334.2, then we will have a reversal signal at the 2334.2 price range. So the entry point is when the price breaks to the previous bottom.
+ If the price breaks through 2334.2, then we will continue to observe that the price may approach the 2340 to 2342 range. Then we wait for a reversal confirmation to find a point to enter a sell order.
The market is always fluctuating and nothing is certain, so Deekop wants his analysis to help you strengthen your trading strategy. I will update more when there are fluctuations in the market. Thank you everyone for following
XAUUSD June 24, 2024 Will the downward wave continue?
Prices are recovering after a sharp drop on Friday.
- According to the Elliot wave principle, a sharp wave moving quickly is wave 3 in a series of 5 waves.
- So it is possible that the current increase is a correction in wave 4, so we will continue to have wave 5 continuing to decrease after wave 4 correction is completed.
- The nearest resistance zone is the 2330 zone. We will monitor this zone and it may be the target of wave 4.
- The target zone for wave 5 from the current forecasts is estimated at 2309. After reaching this zone, we will have the completion of the orange wave 1 in the larger wave.
- Then the price recovered to complete the 2 orange correction wave. We predict wave 2 target at 2343.59
Trading plan
- The main trend is downtrend, so for long-term transactions we prioritize sell orders. The best price zone to enter an order is the price zone that completes the orange wave 2, which is the 2343.59 zone. When the price reaches this zone, look for a confirmation reversal signal to enter the order.
- With SCalping trades, we wait for the price to react at the support and resistance zones to enter orders. Note that Scalping trading is a short wave trade, so the TP is usually from 30 pips to 100 pips, so you should focus on managing the trade. Translation to limit risks