XAUUSD trading plan for the week of June 4, 2024
So after Friday's sharp drop, we had a profit of 500 pips. This decrease also confirmed the completion of orange wave C in the ABC correction.
After the ABC correction is completed, we bet that the previous downtrend wave will continue.
- With Friday's decline, we see that the momentum has entered the oversold zone, showing that sellers are showing signs of exhaustion. So in the immediate future there will need to be a short-term correction for sellers to regain their strength.
- We measure that this decrease is likely to end at 2 price zones: 2309 or 2395.
- With the assumption that the price range ends at 2309, we measure the target of this temporary upward adjustment ending at 2340.
- Then the price continues to decrease to complete the big wave 5 at the target price areas that we measured before, which are 2256 and 2210.
- When does our wave counting process fail? That's when this rally price broke through the 2374 area, then confirmed that we have to do the wave count again, then I will update later if it happens.
- On the H4 chart, I have drawn important resistance and support zones, which we can rely on to plan Scalping when the price approaches these zones.
- I will update specific price developments every day.
Xauusd(w)
XAUUSD June 21, 2024 Is the rising wave over?Our wave C target has been achieved, looking at the price we see
- Yesterday after the news of unemployment benefits was announced, the price increased sharply to our target area of 2364 and is currently correcting. So the price increased sharply and quickly, which is the characteristic of wave 3, then the price decreased and adjusted until now, so it is likely that the price is in wave 4.
- So we may have wave 5 to end this wave C and from current price data we can measure the target area for this wave C from 2364 to 2374.
We will consider the price range from 2364 to 2374, this is a very good price range to sell down.
After the price reaches the target of wave C as above, if the price breaks the 2387.5 zone, then our trading plan must change.
In case the price drops, we have the goal of completing the big wave 5 as shown on the chart at area 2256 and area 2210.
Evaluate the strategy and outlook for gold prices today!Current Trend: The 4-hour chart shows gold in a short-term uptrend. The price is above the EMA 34 and EMA 89, showing that the upward momentum is still strong.
Critical Support Zone: 2,335 USD - 2,333 USD, coincident with the EMAs, acting as a strong support zone.
Key Resistance: $2,387 is the resistance to watch out for. If the price breaks this level, the uptrend could be further strengthened.
Trading strategies:
Buy: When the price adjusts to the support area around 2,335 USD and shows signs of rebounding.
Sell: When the price approaches the resistance level of 2,387 USD and shows signs of strong rejection.
21TH JUNE GOLD PREDICTIONHere are some factors that might explain the sharp rise in gold prices on June 20, 2024:
US Federal Reserve Decision: The Federal Reserve announced that it would pause interest rate hikes for the foreseeable future, citing concerns over economic growth and inflation stability. This decision led to a drop in bond yields and a weaker US dollar.
Inflation Concerns: The latest CPI report showed inflation rising faster than expected, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge.
Geopolitical Tensions: Rising tensions between the US and China over trade policies created uncertainty in the markets, prompting a flight to safe-haven assets.
Stock Market Decline: The US stock market experienced a significant drop due to disappointing earnings reports from major companies, driving investors towards gold.
ETF Inflows: There was a notable increase in inflows into gold ETFs, reflecting heightened investor interest in gold.
Today we have strategy based on technical analysis
Sell zone: 2362- 2365
Stop Loss: above the zone
R:R = 1:3
Buy zone: 2330 - 2337
Stop Loss: Below the zone
R:R = 1:3
XAUUSD Important Levels BreakoutHey Family, XAUUSD is showing a great opportunity and forming Rectangular box Pattern, let's see breakout sustain or not.
what is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us for sharing more idea. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
Gold price creates new breakthrough!At the start of the trading session on June 21st, gold prices saw an uptick, spurred by market anticipations of an impending rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve, following weaker-than-expected retail sales data earlier in the week.
While gold may have lost some of its upward momentum, the overall market sentiment remains largely optimistic. Numerous hedge funds have pivoted towards gold, which has helped maintain a solid support level at $2,300 per ounce.
A significant pillar bolstering the gold market is its status as a safe-haven asset, providing a hedge against risk amid ongoing global geopolitical instability.
Gold Price Forecast
The gold market is poised for a resurgence as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy becomes more defined. With an expected shift in policy direction, investment demand from the West is likely to increase, potentially setting the stage for gold to soar.
XAUUSD 21 juin 2024 La vague montante est-elle terminée ?Notre objectif de vague C a été atteint, au vu du prix que nous observons
- Hier, après l'annonce de la nouvelle des allocations de chômage, le prix a fortement augmenté jusqu'à notre zone cible de 2364 et est actuellement en train de se corriger. Le prix a donc augmenté fortement et rapidement, ce qui est la caractéristique de la vague 3, puis le prix a diminué et s'est ajusté jusqu'à présent, il est donc probable que le prix soit dans la vague 4.
- Nous pourrions donc avoir la vague 5 pour mettre fin à cette vague C et à partir des données de prix actuelles, nous pouvons mesurer la zone cible de cette vague C de 2364 à 2374.
Nous considérerons la fourchette de prix de 2364 à 2374, c'est une très bonne fourchette de prix à vendre.
Une fois que le prix a atteint l'objectif de la vague C comme ci-dessus, si le prix franchit la zone 2387,5, alors notre plan de trading doit changer.
En cas de baisse des prix, nous avons pour objectif de compléter la grande vague 5 comme indiqué sur le graphique dans les zones 2256 et 2210.
Gold braces for consecutive second weekly gain, focus on $2,390Gold price seesaws at the highest level in a fortnight early Friday, after rising the most in five weeks the previous day. That said, a successful breakout of the 50-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from May 20 backed the precious metal’s run-up on Thursday. Apart from that, upbeat RSI and bullish MACD signals also keep the XAUUSD buyers hopeful of witnessing the second consecutive weekly gain. With this, a two-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $2,390 gains major attention, a break of which will allow bulls to aim for the $2,400 and the $2,410 levels ahead of challenging the record high of around $2,450.
Meanwhile, a convergence of the 50-SMA and aforementioned trend line stretched from May, close to $2,344 at the latest, appears the key support to watch during the Gold price decline. Following that, the $2,300 threshold and an 11-week-long rising support line of near $2,293 will be the last defense of the XAUUSD buyers. It’s worth noting that the monthly of $2,286 and May’s low surrounding $2,277 will act as additional downside filters before giving control to the bears.
To sum up, the Gold buyers are well in control but the upside room appears limited.
Gold buying strategy is preferredDear traders!
Gold price today recorded a slight recovery, the price moved to 2337 USD and in the short term is still supporting this upward movement when from the precious metal analysis chart, it has reached an important resistance level and Get momentum when breaking the trendline.
It is expected that after the trend adjustment, the price will continue to go up, the Buy target and strategy are prioritized in that case.
Plan transaction on June 20
👨💻 XAUUSD BUY zone 2328 - 2325
🔹SL 2322
🔹TP 2334 - 2340 - 2350
Wishing you Full City 💵💵
XAUUSD on June 20, 2024 after bank holiday
Today will be announced the number of applications for unemployment benefits. This index will tell us how the current economic situation is affected by the Fed's policy on interest rates.
If these indexes decrease, it will tell us that the Fed's recent policies have not had a large impact on the economic situation, which will create conditions for the Fed to maintain its hawkish policy and then the USD will increase. and XAU will decrease
If this policy increases compared to the previous period, this signals that the Fed's policies are negatively impacting the economy, affecting all classes of people, creating pressure for the Fed to relax interest rates in the future. in the near future and this will cause the USD to decrease and XAU to increase.
Price broke out of the triangle wedge this morning with a strong candle. So we are leaning towards the ABC correction model
- So the price target of wave C as last time we measured at 2 price zones 2350 and 2365 price zone.
- After the price reaches this target, the price will continue to trend down to complete the large wave C in the D1 time frame.
- Our current trading plan is to wait until the wave C target at 2350 or 2364 to find a selling point or we can go to smaller time frames for scalping trading.
XAUUSD 15M BUY PROJECTION
XAUUSD can be influenced by global news and economic data releases, but its price does not fluctuate as rapidly as that of stocks, cryptocurrencies and other risky assets. In times of economic uncertainty, investors use gold to save their funds. Knowing their funds are safe.
XAUUSD 20-6-2024Hello Traders,
Today morning price went up and able to sustain above the level, i am very bullish on gold and will try to plan LONG only untill prices stays above 2336.
next target -
1. 2354.62
2. 2379
3. 2386.97
and i will plan my short if price comes down to 2332.30 and takes the liquidity from the upside. like a fakeout.
all the levels are mentioned in chart
Thank you for all your support
NOTE : Not a finance advice.
"Gold Slips as USD Rallies, Investors Eye Fed's Next Move"Key Points:
USD and Bond Yields Impact: Gold prices edged lower at the start of the week, influenced by a strengthening USD and rising bond yields.
Awaiting Economic Data: Investors are keenly awaiting economic data and commentary from Federal Reserve officials for clearer guidance on interest rate cuts.
Price Range Forecast: In this environment, gold is expected to trade sideways between $2,300 and $2,335.
Upcoming U.S. Economic Reports: Key U.S. data this week, including retail sales figures, weekly jobless claims, and PMI indices, are anticipated to shed light on the Fed's rate direction.
Support from Fed Policy Expectations: Despite the lack of major movements, gold remains supported by expectations that the Fed will eventually pivot its policy stance.
Global Political Uncertainty: Additionally, political unrest in France is heightening global risk aversion, boosting the demand for gold as a safe haven.
XAUUSD Trading strategy for complex corrections
Look at H1
- We see that currently the price is tending to form a triangle correction pattern.
- As I said before, the price is currently in a complicated adjustment process, we can only wait for the model to complete to determine the next trend.
- And I am also predicting an ABC correction model with the target wave C on the chart with 2 price ranges 2350 and 2365. However, currently we see that the price is in a position where it can form a triangle correction model and ABC correction pattern may continue. So at the present time we wait at the price of 2341.8 to confirm any model.
- If the price breaks 2341.8, the targets of wave C continue to be completed. Then we wait for the target levels of wave C, i.e. area 2350 or area 2365, to sell down.
- If the price cannot break the 2341.8 area, the price may form a triangle correction pattern abcde. Then we wait for the price to break the lower boundary of the triangle pattern to sell to the target area of wave 5.
In general, in a complex adjustment process, it is not feasible to conduct many transactions in this area, so we should patiently wait for the target areas. In this process we will prioritize Scalping
GOLD IS BULLISH ABOVE 2325 till 2335 2340 2345.Good Morning Traders,
Till the time gold is moving above 2325
we can see more up levels 2335 22340 and 2345.
If Gold will break 2325 and sustain below then only
we can see 2310 2302 and 2298
Our preference is sell from high
Plan accordingly, Happy Trading 😉
XAUUSD June 18, 2024 a potential sharp declineGold prices are recovering after last week's sell-off as the US economy forced the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance. Weak manufacturer inflation data and a rise in initial jobless claims supported lower interest rates. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions, such as increased attacks by Hezbollah on Israel and more Russian warships in the Caribbean, have contributed to this rebound.
Looking at the adjustment process from June 8 to the present time, we can see that this is a complicated adjustment process.
- Trading in a complex correction is not recommended. We watch for this adjustment process to complete
- During this process we can scalp in short price ranges in smaller frames.
- When the price reaches the expected targets, we will consider placing an order.
Looking at H1, we see that the wave C correction process is still continuing. We observe the price reaching the target price zones 2350 and 2356.
- The price will confirm the target areas of wave C when it breaks out of the 2341.8 area, then we focus on observing the chart to find a Sell order.
- In case the price breaks out of the 2296 price range, it is likely that the adjustment process has been completed and if the price also breaks out of the 2287 area, then the target price area for wave 5 is 2256 and 2210 will be the areas we focus on. closely to find Buy orders.
XAUUSD After a week of volatile news from the Fed
Last week we observed that US inflation indicators showed signs of cooling down.
- Wednesday's CPI dropped from 3.45 to 3.3%
- PPI index decreased -0.2%
Inflation indicators decreased while economic indicators were negative
- As the unemployment rate and unemployment benefit application rate increase
This shows that the Fed's monetary policy is effectively reducing inflation, specifically consumer price CPI and production costs, while also reflecting the negative economic impact of the policy. this book. This requires that the Fed may begin to loosen monetary policy in the near future
Look at D1
- We see that the correction has completed wave B and is continuing wave C of wave 4.
- We can measure the target of wave C at 2 price zones 2256 and 2210 price zones.
- We have a price zone confirming the final wave 4 which is the 2150 price zone. If the price breaks through this zone, our ABC wave counting process is no longer correct, then we have to re-plan a new plan based on new data.
Look at H1
- The price has broken out through the 2323 zone and is testing this zone again. Looking at the reversing momentum in the oversold area, it is likely that the price has successfully tested and continues to rise to the target areas of wave C above.
- Yesterday we measured the target wave C which is 2 areas 2354 and 2360
- The target area of wave C is a very good area for us to look for Sell down orders
- Combined with chart D1, we will have the price range where this decrease will end at 2256 or 2210.
- We also have a zone that denies this wave counting process when the price surpasses the 2388 zone, then the price has entered an uptrend and we are forced to change our trading strategy at that time (I will update later if that happens).
What's changed in the gold price in the new week?Hello, let's analyze today's gold price!
In the chart, although gold on Friday had a strong recovery of nearly 300 pips, in the long term it is still in a downtrend with the price channel remaining stable.
Regarding the target and upcoming direction: From technical analysis, I expect the price to decrease more after the adjustment reaches the upper limit of the price channel.
The target is 2280 USD.
And you, what are your thoughts, do you think gold will increase or decrease this week?
XAUUSD - Gold prices increased slightly at the end of the week⏩XAUUSD news to pay attention to this week are: Unemployment Claims, Retail Sales m/month, Unemployment Claims, PMI....
This week, the gold market is expected to be quiet without important economic data. Investor concerns will turn to developments and interest rate decisions of major central banks in Europe, including the Swiss Central Bank and the Bank of England.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2342, SL: 2346
🟢BUY GOLD: 2308 - 2305, SL: 2301
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2340
📉 Breakout below: 2312
🔼Support: 2312 - 2305 - 2291
🔽Resistance: 2338 - 2340
Everyone, let's have the information to have a plan to safely evaluate the market. Wishing everyone a lucky new week
US OIL ANALYSISFX:USOILSPOT
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Update the latest gold price today!Today, gold has decreased slightly by 10 USD, currently trading around 2315 USD. This comes as the US Dollar tumbled following the release of much-anticipated economic data. Gold's short-term downtrend continues.
Technical analysis:
Trendline Break: From a technical standpoint, gold has broken above its trendline, signaling continued bearish momentum.
EMA Confirmation: The bearish outlook is further supported by gold trading below the 34 EMA and 89 EMA.
Price Target: The next important level to watch is $2300, which remains the desired target in this downtrend.
What do you think about gold's movement? Are you expecting the next decline or do you see a potential turnaround? Let's discuss!