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XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone?We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset. Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area - Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong - Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5 - Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time. - We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
31ST MAY GOLD ANALYSISTo analyze the gold price scenario where it corrects before rising to target levels of $2,357 to $2,362, where a selling strategy could be implemented with a stop-loss (SL) of 5 points below the entry price, we need to consider several factors that influence gold prices. This includes technical analysis and market sentiments. Technical Analysis Trend Analysis: If gold prices are trending upwards, the correction might be a retracement in a larger bullish trend. Tools like Fibonacci retracement levels can help identify potential support levels during corrections. Resistance Levels: The specified target prices ($2,357 to $2,362) must be analyzed within the context of historical resistance levels. If these prices have previously acted as resistance, they may do so again. Volume and Momentum: Volume during the rise should be observed; increasing volume can confirm the strength behind the upward movement. Momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the MACD can provide insights into whether the gold price is overbought or oversold during these phases. Moving Averages: Using moving averages (like the 50-day or 200-day) can help smooth out price data to identify the general direction of the market trend and potential reversal points. Market Sentiments Geopolitical Events: Events like economic sanctions, elections, or military conflicts can affect market sentiment and influence gold prices. Economic Data: Releases such as inflation reports, employment data, and GDP growth can impact investor behavior towards safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Actions: Decisions on interest rates or comments from central bank officials can lead to market movements. Strategy Implementation Entry Point: Determining the entry point during the correction phase is crucial. It should ideally be at a significant support level where the price is expected to rebound. Stop-Loss (SL): Placing the SL at a price 5 points below the entry level is a risk management technique to minimize potential losses should the market move against your position. Take Profit (TP): Setting the selling point at $2,357 to $2,362 based on prior resistance levels allows for profit realization before potential pullbacks. Risk Management Risk/Reward Ratio: Ensure that the potential reward justifies the risk being taken. A common approach is to aim for a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2. Position Sizing: Calculate the appropriate position size based on how much of your total capital you are willing to risk on a single trade. Conclusion Implementing this strategy requires monitoring the market closely for signs that support the hypothesis of a correction followed by a rise. Always be prepared to adjust the strategy based on new market data and economic indicators.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
3rd June Gold AnalysisTo create a focused analysis for a sell plan strategy on gold using the Smart Money Concept (SMC) indicator, especially considering the ongoing strong downtrend, we'll consider the current market dynamics, how the SMC indicator can guide decisions, and outline a specific strategic approach referred to as "2331-2336". Current Gold Market Dynamics The price of gold is influenced by a myriad of factors. Key among these are: US Dollar Strength: Typically, gold moves inversely to the U.S. dollar. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand. Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can lead to lower gold prices as investors seek yield-bearing assets. Economic Confidence: Improved economic outlooks often draw investors away from gold, which is considered a safe haven during uncertainty. Technical Factors: Technical selling can be triggered when gold breaks key support levels, leading to further declines.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD week 1 June 2024 US economy going down?1. US Q1 GDP was revised down due to weak consumer spending. 3. Israel will not end the conflict to reach an agreement to release all hostages. 4. OPEC+ is working on a complex production cut agreement for the period 2024-2025. 5. US April pending home sales suffered the largest decline in three years. With important information last week we see - The US economy is under strong pressure from the Fed's tightening monetary policy. - Besides, OPEC cutting oil production will push oil prices up and when oil prices increase, gold also increases. - The continued escalation of the Israeli conflict will push gold prices higher. Looking at H4 we see - After news of PCE, gold price increased sharply then decreased, completely negating the previous increase and breaking 2323 stone. - The 2323 price range was broken, invalidating our previous wave counting process with the expectation that the correction had ended. So with the 2323 price range being broken, the correction process is still continuing. - So it is possible that the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at the price range 2317 and 2311. - We have the 2465 zone which confirms wave 5 has completed when the price surpasses this zone - Next week we will wait for the price reaction in these areas to conduct buying transactions. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals. The news was announced yesterday Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6% Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k News that pending home sales are down 7.7% Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control. Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy. The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. . Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded. - After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week. - Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332. Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAU- Gold price today: Gold fallsGold dropped to around $2,330 per ounce on Thursday due to increasing US Treasury yields and demand for the greenback following hawkish remarks from Fed officials. Fed Atlanta President Bostic expressed uncertainty about reaching 2% inflation and highlighted significant price gains. Gold moves towards 2350, passing through the lowest bottom of wave 3, but the candlesticks in H4 are leading to a situation where wave 5 is not completed and opens a double bottom pattern. It is easy to break out when the price surpasses the 2361 area SELL GOLD: 2373 - 2375 , SL: 2379 BUY GOLD: 2317 - 2315, SL: 2311 (scalping) Breakout & retest: - Breaking and closing on: 2354 - 2361 - 2374 - Break and close below: 2335 - 2328 - 2315 Support: 2328 - 2316 - 2307 - 2300 - 2290 Resistance: 2350 - 2365 - 2378 - 2384 GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Scalper_Ananda
XAUUSD on May 30, 2024, the rally is about to beginWith the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. Today will release news on unemployment claims, preliminary GDP, and pending home sales, with forecasts worse than last period, if tonight's actual index reflects correctly. This seems to signal that the US economy is being affected by monetary policy due to maintaining current high interest rates. Tomorrow is an important day to announce the PCI index (Index of price changes and consumer goods purchased by consumers excluding food and energy). If this index cools down, it could influence the Fed to loosen current monetary policy. Looking back over recent times, we see that the CPI inflation index has begun to show signs of decreasing, combined with economic pressure that may cause the Fed to decide to loosen its monetary policy, especially tomorrow if PCI index cooled down. Looking at H1, we see that the price has completed wave 4 and is continuing to complete wave 5. - We see that the current price has broken below the supply and demand balance zone as shown on the chart - With the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. - We wait for the price to reach the 2322.7 or 2311.5 areas to find reversal signals to decide to buy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
NASDAQ - IDEA - SETUPFOREXCOM:NAS100 Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Phinics
NZDUSD SHORT 1H TIMEFRAMEFOREXCOM:NZDUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Short
by Phinics
US30 SetupFOREXCOM:US30 Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
FOREXCOM:US30Long
by Phinics
Gold remains vulnerable to further downside, $2,306 eyedGold slides beneath a four-week-old rising support line while extending the previous day’s fall amid a firmer US Dollar early Thursday. That said, the bullion marked the biggest daily loss in a week and snapped a three-day winning streak on Wednesday. It should be noted that the quote’s latest support break joins the bearish MACD signals and steady RSI to keep sellers hopeful. As a result, a convergence of an eight-week-old rising support line and the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), close to $2,306, gains the market’s attention. If at all the precious metal remains weak past $2,306, the monthly bottom of $2,277 and the early April swing low surrounding $2,265 will act as the last defense of the buyers. On the contrary, the XAUUSD’s corrective bounce needs to provide a daily closing beyond the support-turned-resistance line, near $2,340 by the press time, to convince the buyers. Even so, a slew of resistances around $2,360 and $2,390 will challenge the Gold price upside before highlighting a seven-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $2,433. Following that, the recent high of near $2,450 and the $2,500 threshold should lure the bulls. To sum up, the Gold price signals further downside but a clear break of $2,306 becomes necessary to defeat the bulls at least for the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD May 29, 2024 Is the upward correction over?Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 Looking at the preliminary forecast of US economic indicators tomorrow night we see. - Prelim GDP q/q decreased from 1.6% to 1.2% - Unemployment Claims increased from 215K to 218K - Pending Home Sales m/m decreased 3.4% to -1.1% US economic indicators show that the economic situation appears to be weakening due to tightened monetary policies. Maintaining high interest rates today makes it difficult for people and businesses to access capital, leading to a decrease in people's demand for housing consumption, in addition to pushing up raw material prices, leading to increased commodity prices. making it difficult to maintain operations of factories, leading to an increase in people applying for unemployment benefits. This continues to put pressure on the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the near future. Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 and the price is reacting sideways in this area. If the price breaks below the 2352 area and then recovers without exceeding the previous peak area, this is a very good sell down signal. - If the price rises above the 2364 area, we wait for the target wave number 2 of wave 4 to find a sell signal. - After the price completes wave 4, it will continue to trend with wave 5. From the current data, we will get the expected targets of wave 5 at target zone 1 at 2322 and target 2 at zone 2311. - In the target areas of wave 5, we will find suitable conditions to enter a BUY order Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 28, 2024 How will gold inflation cool down?We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order. With recent signs of cooling inflation and the fact that the US economy in particular has been directly impacted by high interest rates, the employment rate has decreased. These things will make the Fed's statements no longer resolute in maintaining high interest rates. In addition, the European central bank ECB also announced data to support the interest rate cut in June. Signals show that gold will continue to be supported in the near future to continue its upward price trend. Looking at H1, we see that wave 4 is about to complete. With the price data from the morning of the previous day, we measured the price target at the 2351-2355 range, but now that we have new price data, we have more information. The 2 new target areas are area 2362.5 and area 2371 - Plus the momentum in the H4 frame is still in the overbought zone, this shows that the upward price momentum is showing signs of weakening, besides the H1 momentum is increasing and is also about to approach the oversold zone. reinforces the goals of wave 4 - We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 28.05.24KEY POINTS: U.S. PCE data due on Friday Traders price in about 62% chance of rate-cut by November Vietnam's central bank to stop domestic gold auctions Gold prices held steady on Tuesday as the dollar eased, while investors looked forward to key U.S. inflation data that could offer clues on how soon the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates. Spot gold GOLD was flat at $2,350.85 per ounce, as of 0350 GMT, after rising about 1% in the previous session. U.S. gold futures GOLD rose 0.8% to $2,352.00.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD May 27, 2024 gold's reaction after a sharp declineWith investors' expectations of interest rate cuts in the market increasingly decreasing, especially when statements from Fed members last week all hinted that there will be no plans to cut interest rates in the near future. This interest rate causes the expectation to buy gold to decrease, leading to a weak demand for accessing the market. Looking at H1 last weekend, we witnessed a strong decline according to the Elliot wave principle. This strong decline may be a characteristic of wave 3 of wave c in the abc correction wave as shown on the chart. - Currently the price is in a recovery phase and this could be wave 4. We measure the target of wave 4 ending at the price range 2351-2355 - Then the price continues to decrease to complete wave 5 as well as wave c, then we have the target price area of this wave 5 at 2322.7 or 2311.5 Trading plan - We can sell at area 2351-2355 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area. - We can buy in 2 areas 2322.7 and 2311.5 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD Trading plan for the week of May 4, 2024Looking at chart D, we see that with the current price level, the candle has not yet closed above 2430, so we will have 2 plans for next week. Last week we saw Information that the Fed still has no plans to cut interest rates and even extends the expected time to reduce interest rates is continuously given by Fed officials. This creates concern that the USD will not weaken, so in the weekend sessions, gold price had a strong adjustment from 2450 to 2332 in the last 2 sessions of the week. This week we pay attention to two important news: Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims and Core PCE Price Index m/m With the forecast decrease in GDP and increase in Unemployment Claims, it is showing the consequences of the tightening economy. Besides, the news of Core PCE Price Index m/m decreasing is a very good sign to help the Fed have monetary plans. currency to run a stable economic development. But we still have to wait for the actual data to be released and it will affect the trend this week. Looking at chart D, we see that with the current price level, the candle has not yet closed above 2430, so we will have 2 plans for next week. First plan - According to the Elliot principle, wave 4 has completed and now the gold price is in wave 5 and this wave 5 is confirmed when the candle closes above 2430. - Wave 5 will include 5 small waves i ii iii iv v - Currently, the price correction last weekend has completed wave i and is preparing to complete wave ii to start wave iii - Looking at the Weekly frame momentum indicator, this indicator has reversed in the oversold area combined with the daily frame momentum as shown on the chart, we see that the momentum has approached the oversold area, signaling that the downward price momentum has weakened. So our trading plan for next week is to go to the H1 area to find candlestick reversal signals to Buy at this price range of 2334. Second backup plan - If the price continues to decline and breaks out through the 2278 area, we will use this backup plan - At that time, the price continues to complete wave c in the corrective wave abc - We have measured the target of ending wave C at area 2211 - Then our trading plan waits for the price to reach this target area and then we enter H1 to look for reversal signals at the 2211 price range to buy up. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Gold braces for biggest weekly loss of 2024, focus on $2,270Gold licks its wounds at the lowest level in a fortnight after falling in the last three consecutive days. With this, the precious metal becomes vulnerable to post the biggest weekly fall since late September 2023. The downside bias takes clues from a clear break of a nine-week-old support line, now immediate resistance near $2,340, as well as the bearish MACD signals and steady RSI. With this, the spot Gold price (XAUUSD) is likely to drop toward the 50-SMA support of $2,309. However, an ascending trend line from early April, close to $2,294 at the latest, will challenge the bullion bears afterward. It’s worth noting that a 3.5-month-old rising support line near $2,270 acts as the final defense of the buyers, a break of which will not hesitate to welcome the bears targeting the $2,200 threshold. On the contrary, the Gold buyers need validation from the $2,340 support-turned-resistance to retake control. Even so, the 10-SMA hurdle of $2,375 and the $2,400 psychological magent will challenge the XAUUSD bulls afterward. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,400, the $2,430 and the $2,450 should allow the bulls to take a breather before pushing them toward the $2,500 round figure. Overall, the Gold price is likely to witness a short-term downside but remains in the bullish trend unless declining below $2,270.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
23rd May Analysis of Gold Price Overview On May 22nd, the price of gold experienced a notable decline, falling from $2415 to $2375. This sharp movement could be attributed to various market factors, including economic data releases, changes in investor sentiment, or geopolitical events. As we look at the price action on May 23rd, gold is anticipated to retest the $2397-$2400 zone. However, there is a prediction that it may fail to establish a head and shoulders pattern, indicating potential future movements. Technical Analysis Price Decline on May 22nd: Support and Resistance Levels: The sharp decline from $2415 to $2375 suggests that there was a strong resistance at the $2415 level, which sellers capitalized on, pushing the price down to $2375, a significant support level. Volume and Momentum: It's crucial to analyze the trading volume during this decline. High volume on the way down indicates strong selling pressure, which might suggest a continuation of the downtrend if the buyers do not step in. Retest of $2397-$2400 Zone: Importance of the Zone: The $2397-$2400 zone is a critical area. If gold manages to break above this zone, it could signal a potential reversal or continuation of the uptrend. Conversely, if it fails to break through, it might indicate that the downtrend will persist. Indicators to Watch: Pay attention to key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). These will provide insights into the strength and momentum of the price movement. Head and Shoulders Pattern: Pattern Characteristics: The head and shoulders pattern is a classic reversal pattern that signals a potential change in trend direction. A successful pattern consists of a peak (head) between two lower peaks (shoulders) and a neckline that connects the lows. Prediction of Failure: If the price fails to break above the $2397-$2400 zone and does not complete the head and shoulders pattern, it could indicate that the bears are still in control. This failure might lead to further declines, potentially testing lower support levels such as $2350 or $2300. Conclusion The price action on May 23rd is crucial for understanding the future direction of gold. The retest of the $2397-$2400 zone will be a significant indicator of whether gold can regain its upward momentum or continue its recent downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the price action, volume, and technical indicators to make informed decisions. A failure to break through the critical zone and establish a head and shoulders pattern could signal further bearishness in the gold market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD May 22, 2024 Is the current correction over?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Yesterday there were many statements from members of the Fed 1. Fed's Jefferson says it's too early to know whether deflation will last. 2. Fed's Mester says economic conditions do not support three rate cuts. 3. Fed's Bostic expects only one rate cut this year. The main content is to maintain the increase in interest rates. This information continues to support the current adjustment period Looking at the H1 chart we see - The current correction process is likely to be an abcde triangle correction wave model. - This process is likely entering the final stage of the correction. Looking at the price model, we wait for wave e to form to end the correction. - The correction process is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through the peak of wave d (2433.8), then the price continues to increase to the target of 2500 Trading plan If price stays above 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2408 If the price breaks down to 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2401 Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP