New week yellow: The trend of reducing the gameSamson greets everyone!
The downward trend in prices continues at the beginning of the new week. Currently, at the opening of the week, precious metals are trading around $1938. There are no new developments in the tense situation in the Middle East, and the USD continues to strengthen. The Federal Reserve has not clearly determined the possibility of an interest rate hike, which negatively affects the price of gold.
On the 4-hour chart, Gold is showing signs of a reversal and is trading below two downward trend channels. Therefore, the downward trend is playing a favorable role in the market this week. The expected support level for this decline is $1915.
Xauusd(w)
Gold prioritizes short sellingSamson greets everyone!
Gold prices today are still being negatively impacted in the market as the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuation of the greenback against six major currencies, is at 105.685 points (a decrease of 0.09%). The "hawkish" signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell on Friday have weighed down gold, as this precious metal is currently lacking supportive factors.
The downward trend continues to serve as an opportunity for short-selling traders. There may be a slight recovery, but it will only play a role as a corrective trend because selling gold remains the top priority strategy in the current situation.
Gold continues to decline?In the short term and based on the 4-hour XAU/USD chart, we can observe that the bullish side is once again testing the level of 1954 USD. However, a retreat at the level of 1953 USD would push the gold price to seek the resistance level of 1960 USD once again before further decline is expected at the level of 1945 USD.
Gold left 2000 USD again. What happens next?Today, the price of gold continues to move away from the $2,000 range, which it has been trading around since the beginning of the week. Currently, the precious metal is trading around $1,951. Here are some important pieces of information:
Factors contributing to the decline in gold prices:
- The current operating interest rate in the US is at its highest level in 22 years, at 5.25% - 5.5%.
- Another reason for the decrease in gold prices is the sharp drop in oil, which is closely related to gold. The price of WTI crude oil has fallen to $77 per barrel.
Despite the increase in the value of the US dollar, precious metals still attract the attention of major investors.
Technical analysis:
As predicted by Samson yesterday, gold has dropped below the key support level of $1,950 and has shown slight signs of recovery from this level at the start of today's trading session. However, the overall trend is still unclear. Gold needs to maintain its current support level in order to potentially return to $1,975. On the other hand, breaking the current support level could lead to a further decline towards the next support level at $1,933.
Gold price consolidated near the lowest level in three weeksSamson, hello everyone!
Currently, Gold (XAU/USD) continues its efforts to achieve any meaningful recovery in European trading session, currently trading at $1949. Some officials from the Federal Reserve this week have given mixed signals about the future path of interest rate hikes, which has led to money flowing out of the yellow metal, resulting in no profit since the beginning of this week. Furthermore, investors now seem less concerned about further escalation in the Israel-Hamas conflict. This is considered another factor contributing to the erosion of demand for safe-haven precious metals.
Expectations of continued decrease in US Treasury bond yields have weakened the US Dollar (USD). Additionally, market caution, along with China's economic difficulties, is believed to have somewhat supported precious metals and limited their downside. Traders are now awaiting the release of the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further motivation ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.
What is the last gold price of the week's trading session?Dear friends, Gold has put an end to its three-day downward trend. The escalating political tensions in the Middle East have increased the demand for safe haven assets like gold, despite the higher interest rates on US Treasury bonds. The XAU/USD price is currently trading around $1,958, showing a 0.03% increase for the day.
According to previous analysis, the current price of the precious metal is hovering around $1,960 and receiving support from the key level of $1,950. This next recovery phase, also known as the corrective wave in Dow Theory.
Support levels: $1,945.20, $1,933.20, $1,923.10
Resistance levels: $1,965.30, $1,978.30, $1,989.00
Gold price tries to keep on the lowest level in two weeksHello everyone, Gold (XAU/USD) continues to decline for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, currently trading at $1966 and losing 0.12% for the day. However, the precious metal is trying to hold above the two-week low around the $1957-$1956 area touched on Tuesday as traders await clearer guidance on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path before making new bets.
Amid the risk of significant events, the US Dollar (USD) is trying to maintain a recovery from its lowest level since September 20 reached on Monday, which is believed to be putting some pressure on the price of Gold. This indicates that the overall trend in the stock market is more subdued, along with increasing concerns about worsening economic conditions in China, which may act as a favorable driving force and limit losses for XAU/USD as a safe haven.
XAUUSD Key Level for Intraday As per price action we can see that price is falling from the weekly open and printed 3 big bearish candles and bulls not able to push it above the pivot level, today also price trading under the daily pivot which is in bears favour.
For bulls watch current price zone (1945-52) it is support zone as per VP.
Next support level is at 1933 (Fib retracement Level).
on HTF there is no confirmation of buy and bulls have to wait for rejection/confirmation from lower levels and bears can keep selling till pivot level is safe on daily close
Gold price today: Reduce shock?Samson, Hello every one!
The gold price did not surpass the resistance level of $1,990/ounce last night and had to decline. As of 6:00 AM on November 7th, today's gold price was trading at $1,977, a decrease of $8 compared to the previous opening price, and it has continued to decline to $1,970 at the time of writing.
In this context, the unexpected increase in the USD Index from 104 points to 105 points has caused the gold price to decline. This has led to the strengthening of the USD against six other major currencies, including the Euro, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, and CHF.
The rise in the 10-year US bond yield to 4.64% per year has motivated many people to invest in bonds. As a result, the flow of money into precious metals has been restricted, making them less attractive and causing a sudden decrease in their prices.
Outlook and trend analysis:
Gold is expected to continue declining with a projected decrease to $1,953 before any motivating factors drive the price back up.
What are your thoughts on this matter?
Gold price recovers slightly after the shock reduction!The price of gold is currently experiencing a gentle recovery after receiving support at the $1965 USD level, and is now trading at $1970 USD at the start of the morning session.
In terms of news impacting gold:
The new influx of US dollars has caused XAU/USD to drop to $1,956.65 per troy ounce on Tuesday, with the precious metal trading in the red at around $1,965 USD.
The US dollar is rebounding as the market becomes more uncertain, with Federal Reserve officials warning that tightening monetary policy due to speculative interest rates may not be over.
Speaking at various events, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) agreed that inflation has eased but may require additional measures to bring it back to 2%. The financial market remains cautious despite the looming risks to economic growth at a record pace, putting pressure on gold and causing its price to decline!
In terms of technical analysis on the 4-hour chart:
Gold quickly dropped from the support level of $1980 and swiftly reached $1965 USD. Currently, the precious metal is bouncing back from the $1965 support level after forming a new bottom in that area, limiting the possibility of further price declines.
Latest gold update todayGold continues to decline, moving further away from the 2005 USD level since yesterday's trading session. At the time of writing, the price is trading at 1983 USD, providing clear evidence of the downward trend.
Forecast: The upward momentum of gold is being hindered by various factors, including loose monetary policies implemented by several countries worldwide.
The expected level for this decline is 1960 USD. Before any catalysts emerge to support a strong upward momentum once again.
Latest gold update today, should note what?Gold prices fell today in the context of the unexpected increase in the USD Index from 104 points to 105 points. This has given impetus to the USD to appreciate against 6 other major currencies, including the Euro, JPY (Japanese Yen), GBP (British Pound), CAD (Canadian Dollar), SEK (Swedish Krona), and CHF (Swiss Franc).
Meanwhile, the 10-year US bond yield reaching 4.64% per year has prompted many to invest in bonds. As a result, the flow of money into precious metals has been limited. Today, gold prices faced additional downward pressure.
On the other hand, investor sentiment is highly optimistic as most central banks are believed to have completed their interest rate tightening cycle. Additionally, the temporary easing of military conflict between Israel and Hamas has encouraged capital outflow from safe haven assets, including gold.
Exiting the uptrend channel has led to an impressive price decrease at the time of writing, with gold trading at $1974. In the near future and according to the 4-hour chart, the next target level could potentially be the support level at $1965.
Bull flag challenges Gold sellers, Fed Chair Powell eyedGold price remains pressured at the lowest level in two weeks, down for the third consecutive day, as market players await Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech. That said, a downside break of the 100-SMA joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the XAUUSD bears hopeful. However, a bull flag chart formation defends the commodity buyers unless the quote stays beyond the $1,960 level comprising the stated flag’s lower line. In a case where the bullion prices remain weak past $1,960, the 200-SMA level surrounding $1,921 will act as the final defense for the buyers.
On the contrary, the Gold Price recovery needs validation from the 100-SMA level of around $1,975. However, a confirmation of the next bull run could only be made if the XAUUSD manages to defy the short-term bearish channel pattern, forming part of the bull flag, by crossing the $2,000 round figure. Even so, the monthly high of around $2,010 and the $2,050 round figure might test the commodity’s upside before pushing them toward the yearly peak of $2,067.
Overall, the Gold fades bullish momentum ahead of the week’s key event. However, the chart formation can surprise the markets with a fresh run-up if Powell advocates one more rate hike in 2023.
Gold continues to show the strength of price increaseSamson, hello everyone!
Last week, we received a lot of significant news, including the Fed's interest rate decision. Despite that, gold has maintained its strong upward momentum, trading around $1985 per ounce in the past week, with a few small touches of $2000. Currently, gold has paused at $1992 and shows no signs of stopping its price rally, indicating its long-term growth potential is still intact.
The previous uptrend was broken at $1987, but gold quickly formed a new uptrend channel and is still operating well within that trend. The next target for this precious metal will be to reach the $2005 level in the coming week and conquer the weekly high at $2010.
What changes in gold price at the beginning of the new week?Hello everyone!!
Today: Gold prices touched the $1990-1991 mark at the beginning of Monday and performed well in an upward trend on the 4-hour chart.
Instead of worrying about the Israel-Hamas conflict, the market will now shift its focus to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with the only question being when and how much. The catalyst for gold's sustained recovery will be lower interest rates in the US and a weaker USD, both of which are gradually taking shape. Difficulties in the bond market and hesitation from the Fed could significantly increase the price of gold.
Gold continues to increase? XAU!!At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), the value of USD against a basket of global currencies, fluctuated around 106.17 after rebounding from a weekly low of 105.81. US Treasury bond yields remain low, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield at 4.663%, the lowest since October 13.
The market is confident that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is nearing the end of its tightening cycle, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell made it clear that financial conditions will need to be tightened to avoid further interest rate hikes. This puts pressure on the Greenback and supports gold priced in USD.
Upcoming Gold News: Attention on Friday will focus on the US Non-Farm Payrolls data. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings for October will be released. Traders will take cues from the data and look for trading opportunities around the price of gold.
Samson's perspective is that gold will continue its upward trend, currently consolidating around the $1980-$1990 range. It is possible that this Friday, there could be a significant increase in gold prices during the US session.
GOLD Key Levels to watch Price facing resistance at 2000,currently trading inside high volume range (1970-2000)
Best scenario For sell:Price need to trade under daily and weekly Pivot Average
Best scenario For Buy: Price need to trade above daily and weekly Pivot Average
Overall it is good for buy the dip till 1970 is safe , on breakdown of 1970 price can extend the decline towards fib support level
Audusd decreases with trendsDear friends, AUDUSD continues to decline after failing to break out of the previous downtrend, and it is currently trading around 0.6345.
The 4-hour chart indicates an extended downward trend, suggesting that the price may continue to decrease within the stable trend on the 4-hour timeframe.
The next target for this currency pair could be a drop towards the trendline at 0.6220. Do you agree with my analysis?
Gold recovered in the short termSamson greets everyone!
Similar to yesterday, gold experienced significant fluctuations after the evening news and quickly returned to trading around $1987, with little change compared to the same time yesterday. Gold prices are seeking support from the weak performance of the US dollar and low interest rates on US Treasury bonds as they try to stabilize after significant losses caused by uncertain policies of the Federal Reserve.
In Samson's personal opinion, the low level of $1977 may be tested once again and then be considered an important support level to push gold prices back up.
XauUSD - Maintain a good increase in 1980 USDHello everyone!
Today, gold has seen a slight increase in price as people speculate that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will have a softer monetary policy. As a result, the value of the USD has cooled off a bit.
However, the upward momentum of gold has been restrained as the USD continues to rise due to the challenging economic conditions in many countries and the tendency of their central banks to loosen monetary policies.
At the time of writing, the price of gold is trading at $1988. The resistance level is seen at $1992, and there is a possibility that gold will retreat from this level and seek support around $1972. If it respects this support level, there is a potential for gold to increase towards the medium-term target of $2005 by next year.