Turned down right from the opening of the new weekGold prices edged lower at the start of the week after posting solid gains from haven flows that were seen outperforming higher government bond yields across most of the globe. The price of precious metals decreased not because gold's upward momentum was over, but because the market needed to consolidate with resistance at 1,985 USD/ounce.
The geopolitical situation and macroeconomic factors of the Middle East may have contributed to the increase in gold prices. The decline in the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund ETF reflects the worsening outlook for corporate bonds. This credit squeeze also affected Wall Street stock indexes and increased risks to other assets.
The Middle East situation is unlikely to find a peaceful solution soon, which could maintain demand for gold despite higher Treasury yields. The 2-year Treasury note reached 5.25% last Thursday but fell to 5.10% over the weekend. The 10-year note also hit its highest level since 2007, briefly surpassing 5.0% before settling at 4.95%.
The chart shows that the rise in the 10-year Treasury yield and the USD index has not yet affected the price of gold, but it is worth keeping an eye on in case of sudden movements in those markets.
The sell-off of the iShares high-yield ETF could have broader consequences for stocks as companies face higher borrowing costs.
SELL zone 1982$ - 1980$ - stoploss: 1986$
Buy zone1945$ - 1947$ - stoploss: 1940$
Xauusd(w)
Gold update and analysis todayHello dear friends!
At the end of the last week's session, gold increased significantly to a high level of 1932 USD with the screen breaking from the downtrend.
Today, when starting a new trading week, gold will have the potential to decrease slightly when checking the breakthrough, currently trading at 1919 USD - 1918 USD. However, the global situation tends to continue supporting the price increase of gold, so it is likely that we will soon witness new prices higher in the near future.
Gold supports the buyerHello everyone!
Gold is solidifying its upward momentum after receiving yesterday's data, currently trading around $1937 with a resistance level at $1945.
Gold has formed a cup pattern, indicating that the possibility of buying gold will continue to grow if it breaks out of the psychological resistance level. This can be seen as a positive catalyst for gold. The expected upward movement is towards $1980.
Gold conquered 2100 USD next yearHello dear friends, Precious metals continue to decline today, currently maintaining at $1914 per ounce, with little change compared to yesterday's trading session.
The 1-day chart shows a breakout from the downward channel at $1910 USD. This currency pair has started to target $1900 USD. Gold may maintain stable growth above $1800 USD in the short-term selling pressure in the near future, potentially pushing Gold to conquer a higher level of $2100 USD per ounce in the coming year.
XauUSD turned on the price increased sharply?Currently, the gold market is moving sideways with uncertain fluctuations, currently trading at the level of 1919 USD. The buyers pushed the price up and then formed a range. I believe that in the near future, Gold will test the support level of 1900-1902, and we may see the upward trend continue. On the 4-hour timeframe, the price bounced from the resistance zone. My target is the resistance zone at around 1947 USD.
XAUUSD - Conquered with 1970 USD challengesHello traders!
Today, Gold continues to maintain its positive trend with trading prices around $1936, after receiving a series of good news from the market yesterday.
Looking at the technical picture on the 1-hour time frame, we can see that Gold is staying within an upward channel. However, it is currently consolidating around the highest level, so sellers will likely push the price of Gold down in the near future, testing the $1915 level. This upward trend is expected to continue with a projected increase to $1915.
Potential gold trades from supportDear friends, Gold prices continue to recover amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, reaching a two-month high of $1,962.62 per troy ounce. XAU/USD maintains its upward momentum, trading around $1,949 in the US session as the US dollar attracts attention following the stock market plunge.
In the short term, the 4-hour chart indicates a potential downward correction, although it also shows that the upward trend is still dominant for XAU/USD.
Support levels: $1,938.20, $1,926.50, $1,912.35
Resistance levels: $1,962.60, $1,978.90, $1,987.40
The buffalo side continues to occupy goldDear friends, Gold continues to maintain its modest increase, trading around $1955. However, Gold is showing signs of slowing down. In fact, every time it decreases in price, it is being heavily bought. This is somewhat expected given the current political situation in the Middle East. Gold is definitely a safe haven for organizations at this time. My projected increase is at $2000.
Long term gold. 2050 COMINGCurrently gold is trading around 1980 USD and has increased a total of 7 USD today. It can be seen that after the Fed chairman's speech yesterday, gold's reaction was not too strong but still developed with the highest impressive number in the past two weeks since October 6.
The reason gold prices increased cannot help but mention the fact that the gold market continues to benefit as the Israel-Hamas conflict continues to intensify. Besides, the cooling of the USD also partly supported gold's return.
With gold retesting the level of 1,964 USD/ounce, this precious metal will easily surpass levels in the range of 1,985 - 1,995 USD/ounce.
All resistance zones are not enough to slow down the rise of gold.
Let me know your mind!
Old vertex test thanks to the increase in channelDear friends, Gold continues to rise as predicted, thanks to the favored safe haven during times of volatility. In a recent development, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at the possibility of raising interest rates. However, the market does not see this as a tightening statement. It seems that there are too many external risks impacting the economy. This will support the price of gold.
In the near future, "Any data showing a decline in the US economy will further support the price of gold. A recession will force the Fed to lower rates, pushing gold up to $2,100." The strong positive trend in the 1D direction indicates that gold will continue to rise significantly, with my target at $2,017 and then the highest peak at $2,065.
Powell believes that current interest rates are not too high.Powell believes that current interest rates are not too high. "Are the policies too tight? I think not." However, he admitted "rising interest rates make it difficult for everyone".
The Fed also emphasized that their targets have recently performed well. Inflation in September is currently 3.7%, down sharply from more than 9% in the middle of last year. "Recent figures show progress on both of our goals: maximizing employment and stabilizing prices. The economy is still handling quite well," he said.
However, the comments came on the same day as a report showing the number of people filing for unemployment benefits last week was the lowest since the beginning of the year. This shows that the labor market is tightening, which could put upward pressure on inflation.
In recent days, many Fed officials said the agency may temporarily stop raising interest rates. Even the most pro-tightening members think the Fed will wait for more impact from previous interest rate hikes on the economy. The market now also expects the Fed to stop raising interest rates, at least for now.
The question now is when will they start reducing interest rates. "When the environment remains risky and uncertain, we will be more cautious. The Fed will make decisions based on upcoming data, as well as prospects and risks," Powell said.
Gold buyers approach $1,990 resistance amid overbought RSIGold Price rises to the highest level in three months on early Friday, rising for the fourth consecutive day, amid a softer US Dollar and mixed sentiment. That said, the Greenback dropped heavily on Thursday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled no rate change in the short term. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD’s successful break of the 200-day SMA and previous resistance line stretched from May added strength to the bullion’s run-up earlier in the week. With this, the precious metal is all set to poke a three-month-old horizontal resistance region surrounding $1,990. However, the quote’s upside past $1,990 appears difficult as the RSI (14) line hovers within the overbought region, suggesting a pullback in the prices. Even if the bulls manage to cross the $1,990 hurdle, the $2,000 psychological magnet will act as an additional upside filter before giving control to the Gold buyers.
Alternatively, the 200-day SMA and the multi-month-old resistance-turned-support line, respectively near $1,930 and $1,905, appear as short-term key supports to watch for Gold sellers during the price reversal. Following that, the $1,900 round figure and August month’s low of around $1,885 will act as the final defense of the XAUUSD buyers ahead of directing the commodity prices to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of November 2022 to May 2023 upside, close to $1,842. In a case where the bears keep the reins past $1,842, the monthly low of near $1,810 and the $1,800 threshold will be on their radar.
To sum up, Gold price is likely to remain sturdy unless it breaks $1,905. However, the metal’s pullback appears overdue.
GOLD today. Continues to draw in safe haven investments🌷US Dollar, Treasury Yields, Israel, Federal Reserve, GVZ Index - Talking Points
- Gold prices appear to be comfortably above the USD level during Wednesday's trading session
- Treasury yields after hitting new highs again but gold seems unaffected by that
- The US dollar has been volatile despite global instability. Will XAUUSD continue to rise?
🌷World gold price stood at 1,937 USD/ounce, a sharp increase of 22 USD/ounce compared to the same hour yesterday morning. The precious metal is holding its position high as a haven despite US government bond yields rising to multi-year highs.
🌷Two-year Treasury notes traded at 5.24% for the first time since 2006 on strong economic data. US retail sales in September exceeded forecasts, causing Treasury bond yields to increase. The US Dollar rose against the British Pound, Yen and Canadian Dollar, but remained mostly stable elsewhere. RBA signals a more hawkish stance on the Australian Dollar.
🌷The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has supported gold as a safe-haven asset, despite the usual challenge posed by rising returns on low-risk assets such as Treasury bonds. Resolution of the situation seems distant as it continues to develop.
🌷The XAUUSD market will continue to attract safe haven flows due to the Israel-Hamas conflict. If there are signs that the Fed is nearing the end of this rate hike cycle, that would be good for gold, even if we don't get any rate cuts anytime soon. It is forecasted that gold will fluctuate in the range of 1,900 USD/ounce until there is some ceasefire or the conflict subsides.
Plan trading
SELL GOLD 1951-1953
SL 1955
TP 1940
BUY GOLD 1935-1937
SL 1932
TP 1950
GOLD - Deep reduction, long analysisHello dear friends!
Today, the price of gold has made a slight adjustment and is currently trading at $1911 since the time of writing, a decrease of $18.48 or -0.96% for the day.
Last week, gold witnessed its best weekly increase since mid-March due to growing safe-haven demand amidst the ongoing Israel-Hamas military conflict. In the current politically unstable situation, investors are flocking to gold. Additionally, the US declaration of tightening sanctions on Russia's crude oil exports on Friday has caused oil prices to rise to $90 per barrel. I believe that oil prices will continue to rise, and the role of gold as a safe haven will help counter inflation, which is beneficial for gold.
For these reasons, gold buyers will continue to drive the price of gold higher in the near future, with a slight test of previously broken resistance levels before the upward momentum resumes. The expected increase is around $1952 - $1960.
XAUUSD amid rising political tensions Gold prices (XAU/USD) hovered around $1,950 after retreating from the two-month high of $1,962 in early Asian trading on Thursday. The precious metal's rebound was bolstered by escalating political tensions in the Middle East, driving the flow towards safe-haven assets.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the USD against six major currencies, rose to 106.55. US Treasury yields surged, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield reaching 4.911%, the highest since 2007, while the 2-year Treasury bond yield remained at 5.229%.
On Wednesday, Federal Reserve officials reiterated their stance on maintaining interest rates. These comments pushed US bond yields higher, reflecting strong growth prospects in the US. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that it's too early to determine if there's a need for further policy rate actions, suggesting a wait-and-see approach. New York Fed President John Williams emphasized the central bank's need for a gradual monetary policy to curb inflation, indicating that the policy trajectory depends on data.
Moreover, the ongoing political conflict between Israel and Hamas remains a focal point. Gaza authorities reported Israeli airstrikes killing 500 people at a Palestinian hospital on Tuesday, while Israel claimed the casualties resulted from a Palestinian attack. Escalating political tensions in the Middle East and market instability might drive demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
Gold traders will monitor the US Unemployment Claims and Philly Fed Index, as well as Existing Home Sales data later on Thursday. Additionally, Fed Chair Powell is expected to deliver a speech. Market participants will interpret signals from the data, seeking trading opportunities around gold prices.
Weekend gold analysisHello dear friends!
Currently, gold continues to show positive growth with prices reaching a high of $1886, the highest in two weeks.
This upward trend is driven by increasing expectations of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve. This data further strengthens the likelihood of the Fed tightening monetary policy. As a result, US Treasury bond yields surged overnight, leading to a significant recovery of the US Dollar (USD) due to short positions being covered. This USD recovery is seen as a crucial factor putting downward pressure on gold prices.
However, the downtrend established from the peak of $2050 on the 1D chart has yet to be broken. With this downward momentum, gold may still continue to rise during this phase, with a potential increase to $1912 before the threat of a price decline is reassessed.
Gold prices have adjusted after a series of increases last week.OANDA:XAUUSD The price of gold (XAU/USD) is experiencing a remarkable surge on Friday due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Israel-Palestine conflict.
In times of uncertainty, traders are turning to the precious metal as a safe haven, while the US dollar (USD) is also strengthening.
The escalation of the conflict in Gaza has led Israel to shift its focus from aerial to ground operations, causing an increase in geopolitical tensions and strengthening safe-haven assets.
The worsening consumer sentiment in the United States and the dovish comments made by Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker have added pressure to US Treasury yields.
Gold price at the end of the session, the price decreases slightHello dear friends, Gold today has shown its first signs of decrease after a week of continuous price increases. Currently, this precious metal is trading at $1873.
With higher-than-expected inflation data announced on Thursday (US time), it has taken away the gains that gold had previously enjoyed due to safe-haven buying pressure, forcing the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates at a prolonged limited level.
Although gold has reached its highest level in 2 weeks and is very close to $1900 per ounce, it has not been able to maintain that increase. The higher CPI data from the US has limited the upward momentum of gold on Wednesday. This has put pressure on gold and it is likely to have a downward trend in the near future. My target is $1835.
Update gold price at the beginning of the week!Hello dear traders! It's great to see you all again for this week's Gold chat.
As predicted over the weekend, Gold has indeed opened strong today, maintaining its upward momentum. The sellers were unable to break through the $1800 support level, resulting in a robust price surge to reach $1850.
The market will be eagerly awaiting the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) report for September on Wednesday and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Thursday. These reports are expected to provide further insights into the Federal Reserve's next moves.
Meanwhile, 43% of retail investors participating in online polls on Main Street expect an increase in gold prices this week, while 42% predict a decrease and 15% believe prices will remain stable in the short term.
Gold analysis today, expected 1900 USDHello dear friends! Samson is pleased to be here to chat and analyze today's market.
Currently, Gold is maintaining its recovery level since it last dropped to $1810. On the 4-hour chart, we can observe that Gold is in an upward trend but consolidating around $1822. Gold has successfully reached the earlier forecast by Samson. Currently, Gold is trading around $1861. On the other hand, with the market receiving important news today, according to Samson's personal prediction, there is a possibility of a slight downward correction to $1840, followed by strong support to continue pushing the price towards a recovery level of $1900, which Samson highly values.
Gold increases, expected to increase 1900 USD?Gold continues to rise today as the market received positive news from the PPI. Currently, gold is trading at a high level since the beginning of the week and reaching a trading level of 1877 USD.
Regarding prospects: The IGCS index indicates that about 83% of retail traders have a long position on gold. This suggests that prices may continue to decline in the near future. However, the betting ratio on the downside has increased compared to yesterday and last week, with ratios of 18.59% and 26.67% respectively. Considering this, recent changes in exposure levels indicate that prices may soon start to rise again.