Xauusd(w)
Gold renews all-time high within bullish channel, $2,750 eyedGold prices soared to a record $2,710, marking four days of gains as investors flock to safety. Despite a stronger US dollar, gold has remained within a rising trend channel for the past three months.
Caution Ahead
While the bulls celebrate breaking through a three-week-old resistance level, the momentum indicators suggest a potential pullback. With the RSI nearing overbought territory, we might see a brief dip before another surge in prices.
Key technical levels to watch
Gold’s next challenges lie at the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the bullion’s September-October moves, respectively near $2,711 and $2,736, especially amid nearly overbought RSI conditions. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past the $2,736 hurdle, the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line surrounding $2,750 will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers. A breakthrough there could spark a rally towards the psychological $3,000 mark, with potential resistance around $2,800 and $2,900.
On the contrary, Gold’s price has solid support at the $2,700 level and the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension around $2,686. If it falls below these, watch for a key support zone near $2,665, where the late September resistance and the 10-day EMA converge. Should XAUUSD bears keep the reins past $2,665, the channel’s bottom line of near $2,630 will be the last defense of the buyers.
Buyers are likely to stay in control despite a potential pullback
While a short-term pullback in gold prices appears overdue, the overall bullish trend is expected to hold strong due to global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
Gold above 2700Gold breakout psychological level of 2700 and now trading above this level after Chinese data ;as per my view buying at these elevated levels is risky (Same goes with sell also : sell is also risky but with proper MM sell seems to be more favorable as per volume distribution ) : So my plan is to sell at every Intra day resistance as per Pivots (R1:2702,R2:2711,R3:2725 and weekly R3: 2734).
Gold Price Climbs Near the PeakHello everyone! What movements has gold shown today? Let's analyze together!
Tensions in the Middle East continue to be the main driver pushing gold prices higher. The ongoing attacks between Israel and Hezbollah have raised concerns about a larger-scale conflict, prompting investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset. While U.S. economic data has been relatively quiet this week, upcoming key reports could significantly impact market sentiment and gold prices in the next trading sessions.
The XAUUSD chart is currently trading around $2,681, indicating that a short-term uptrend is still being maintained, according to Alisa’s analysis. The strong support zone at $2,645 has stabilized gold prices. If gold can break above and close above the resistance level of $2,680, there is a high likelihood of further gains towards higher levels. On the other hand, if it fails to stay above this resistance, gold may retrace to retest the previous support zone.
These are Alisa’s thoughts on gold price movements today. How does everyone feel about this?
Gold again reached at All time High : What next?As expected and as shared on daily updates ,we have seen a good bullish rally on gold again and gold re-tested the ATH level and now facing resistance on Intraday but there is no big indication of good rejection at ATH level: CPR is very extreme today and gold price still showing strength. Today we have some high impact data in US session that can generate good volatility
For today:
For Buy:
We will wait for breakout above 2685 and on breakout we can look for buy on Intraday towards 2700,
For Sell; Price need to see a good decline first /close on H4 and bears at least need to push the price under 2660 (Daily S1 for today) and then only we can look for sell opportunities on Intraday.
Gold Surges Amid North-South Korea TensionsIs everyone ready to explore the latest developments in the gold market? Let’s dive in with Alisa!
The global gold price has experienced a highly volatile trading session. Rising geopolitical tensions between North and South Korea have swiftly reversed the situation, pushing gold prices back up. The event of Pyongyang accusing Seoul of airspace violations has heightened concerns about a potential conflict, prompting investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset.
Gold is currently trading around $2,666 per ounce, moving upward in a rising price channel. While short-term fluctuations are possible, with strong support at $2,660, gold is forecasted to maintain its upward momentum and aim for the $2,680 target in the near future.
With the current complexities of the market, investing in gold could present attractive profit opportunities. However, careful consideration and a clear investment plan are essential before making any decisions.
All eyes on GoldAs discussed in yesterday's update gold is still looking good to more higher and gold is following that statement perfectly , as you can see on hourly chart after a small pullback in yesterday trading session gold price took support at weekly pivot (2640) and after that price moving in higher side, for today also the CPR relation is positive and gold price is taking support on CPR area and we can expect continuation in higher side , weekly R1 is at 2677 and at that level we can expect another small pullback and then price can continue in higher side towards 2685 or higher level, there is no sign of good reversal so we have to wait for higher levels for any selling opportunities , the only limiting factor that currently stopping the gold bulls is strong dollar Index chart, but I think DXY is also due for correction which can help gold bulls to make a good move in higher side : overall the scenario is still favourable for buying on Intraday .
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a better trader
thank you
Gold : Still looking goodDespite the strong Dollar Index gold doing good and currently trading near to All time high and still looking good to go higher, on technical basis also, If we watch the daily CPR formation , CPR is ascending for today also + gold price trading above weekly pivot (2640),So technically the price is still favourable for bulls and we can expect continuation in higher side as per this formation, yesterdays decline/ correction was not convincing enough for bears and I think it is normal corrective structure after a bullish structure and this correction can add more fuel for incoming bullish structure at least towards 2685.
In Lower side we have to watch weekly Pivot as major Level for continuation or reversal point .
Gold loses momentum: Will it drop further?Hello everyone. Today, let’s join Alisa in predicting gold prices!
Gold prices have plunged under pressure from several unfavorable factors. The strengthening U.S. dollar has made gold less attractive compared to other assets, prompting investors to exit the gold market. At the same time, the strong recovery of the U.S. stock market, with significant gains in major indices such as the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500, has attracted investment flows, adding further pressure on gold prices.
Gold is facing downward pressure at the $2,650 per ounce level on the 4-hour chart, dropping $15 per ounce compared to the previous session's peak. The strong resistance level at $2,660 per ounce is limiting the rise of this precious metal. If it fails to break through this resistance, gold prices may reverse and retest the support area around $2,607 per ounce.
What about you? Do you think gold will go up or down?
Gold Price: Will It Continue to Soar or Plateau?Hello everyone, it's Alisa here. Today, let's analyze the gold price together! Will it rise or fall?
The gold market has experienced a highly volatile week with unpredictable developments. Pressure from geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data caused gold prices to fluctuate. However, a wave of hope regarding the Fed adjusting its monetary policy helped gold recover strongly by the end of the week. The upward momentum has continued into the start of this week and is expected to maintain its stability in the new week.
Looking at the technical chart, gold is hovering around the 2,664 level. The price of this metal remains in an uptrend. With support at 2,645, gold is expected to be supported and rise, breaking through the key resistance level of 2,663 and aiming for a new target.
This is my thought, what about you? What do you think?
XAUUSD’s Final Wave Completion – What’s Next?XAUUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the hourly chart, offering a potential breakout setup. The correction has spanned over two weeks, during which the price has frequently crossed the EMAs (50/100/200 ) on the hourly timeframe. Meanwhile, the 20 EMA has consistently acted as solid support on the daily timeframe.
The pair has completed its final wave 5 of wave (C) at 2604 and has since started to rise sharply. Currently, XAUUSD faces a strong resistance level at 2670 , which marks the high of wave (B). If the price breaks above 2670 , traders can target the following levels: 2685 - 2715 - 2735 +. If the breakout fails, the correction may continue, as 2670 is the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
Further updates will follow soon.
Gold Prices Surge: A Boost from U.S. InflationHello everyone. Today is Saturday. Let’s join me in predicting today’s gold prices!
Gold prices continue to rise and are currently hovering at $2,657. This marks the second consecutive session of gains, pushing the total increase of the precious metal to $50 in just two days. The main driving force behind this rise comes from the latest U.S. inflation data, strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates in the near future. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to the increased demand for gold as a safe haven.
Observing the technical chart, the gold price is drawing a very positive picture. With strong support at $2,638, the precious metal is showing a robust uptrend. If gold successfully breaks through the resistance level of $2,660, we can fully expect a powerful new price rally, opening up attractive opportunities for investors.
This is my analysis. What about you? Do you agree with me?
XAUUSDENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.
Gold: Bulls seek $2,647 breakout and US data validationGold prices continue to recover after the US inflation data, despite staying within a two-week bearish trend. Early Friday, buyers look forward to the first readings of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Consumer Inflation Expectations for October, along with the September Producer Price Index (PPI).
Bulls brace for fresh record high
Whether it's the US Dollar's muted reaction to better-than-forecast Consumer Price Index (CPI), optimism around potential stimulus from China, or expectations of softer US data, gold prices aim for a fresh all-time high. Technically, the recent breakout above the 100-SMA, bullish MACD signals, and a positive RSI (14) reinforce the upward momentum.
Technical levels to watch
Among the key technical levels, $2,647 gains immediate attention as it comprises the top of the bearish channel, a break of which will defy the fortnight-long bearish chart pattern. Following that, the precious metal’s quick jump toward the all-time high surrounding $2,685 can’t be ruled out. Moreover, a clear breakout past $2,685 would signal strong momentum for gold buyers, potentially paving the way for a rise beyond the $2,700 mark.
On the downside, the 100-SMA at $2,636 provides immediate support for gold prices, alongside an upward-sloping trend line from early August near the $2,600 mark. If XAUUSD falls below $2,600, the focus will shift to the bottom of the bearish channel and the 200-SMA, which are near $2,595 and $2,580, respectively. Notably, if prices break below $2,580, gold could enter a short-term bearish trend, potentially targeting the $2,540-$2,530 range.
Upside looks promising
With expectations of lower Fed rates and potential softness in upcoming US data, combined with bullish technical indicators, gold prices seem poised for upward movement. This bullish outlook could change only if the US statistics challenge the likelihood of two more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would negatively impact the US Dollar—an outcome that appears unlikely.
Gold : Ready for another rallyAs discussed since the beginning of this week that every Dip is a buying opportunity on gold, gold seems to following that and yesterday trading session after CPI numbers gold printed a good positive day closing and now trading above weekly S1 , Weekly S1 was acting as resistance on Intra day.
For today the daily CPR relation is positive and price opened with a little gap on CPR (Virgin CPR) this is indication that price is in good bullish momentum right now and if price hold above weekly S1 (2626) then bulls can target weekly pivot on Intra day (2650). .
EURJPY LONGFOREXCOM:EURJPY
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Gold after FOMC and before CPIYesterday, Gold traded Sideways to bearish and closed the day in the red zone near the price of 2610. On Hourly chart price seems to be forming a new sideways range near to psychological support. On the hourly chart, gold is still trading below the weekly pivot and bulls need to claim this level to see higher price .
The FOMC’s Minutes published yesterday showed that some officials would’ve preferred a 25 bps cut, though all participants favored lowering interest rates. Regarding the Fed’s dual mandate in both cases, almost all officials saw inflation risks tilted to the downside, while risks to the labor market were on the upside. Following the data, the CME FedWatch Tool shows odds for a 25 bps interest rate cut were lowered from 85.2% a day ago to 75.9%. This means that some market participants positioned themselves toward the Fed holding rates unchanged, with odds at 24.1%, up from 14.8% on Tuesday. and for fundamentals now we have to shift focus to release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).
For Intra day price is trading near to weekly pivot( Watch weekly S2 and S3 for possible reversal )and it is a good idea to look for buy for a swing trade with calculated risks.
Gold Prices Decline for 6 Consecutive Sessions, Facing ResistancGold prices fell for the sixth consecutive session on Wednesday (October 9), driven by a stronger USD and diminished expectations for a more aggressive rate cut in November 2024.
Gold is currently hovering around $2,608.880, after hitting a key support level at $2,575.921. This is a crucial support zone that buyers need to defend to prevent further declines.
At present, gold is facing strong resistance at $2,648.815 and $2,624.834. If these levels cannot be surpassed, gold is likely to continue correcting down to the nearest support at $2,575.985. However, if buyers manage to push prices past the current resistance, the market could see a short-term rally.
The RSI indicator is currently at 36.19, suggesting that bearish momentum still dominates and warning of a potential deeper correction.
The USD Takes the Lead, Gold Loses GroundHello everyone. Today, Alisa will share her perspective on the current situation of gold. Let’s join in the discussion with Alisa!
Even before superstorm Milton made landfall, the gold market had already "sunk" in a storm of sell-offs. The USD, acting as a "lighthouse" of safety amidst uncertainty, continues to attract capital inflows. The recovery of "Wall Street" has further boosted the allure of the greenback, pushing gold prices to new lows.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can clearly see that the downward trend in gold is being reinforced. Although there is support at the 2,608 level, it seems unable to help gold recover as it faces resistance at 2,621. Given the current situation, Alisa believes that gold is likely to continue its downward trajectory, potentially dropping even further.
Today has been another day of significant fluctuations. What do you think about the gold price?
what to expect from FOMCAs the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) releases its minutes today, the impact on gold prices is expected to be significant. Currently, gold is trading in a tight range, as markets are awaiting clarity on the Fed's future monetary policy stance. If the FOMC minutes hint at continued hawkishness, signaling higher or persistent interest rates, gold may face downward pressure due to the stronger U.S. dollar and rising yields, making non-yielding assets like gold less attractive.
Conversely, if the FOMC minutes suggest a more dovish outlook—indicating a potential slowdown in rate hikes or even rate cuts—gold could see an upward move as lower interest rates tend to benefit safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and strong demand from central banks are providing medium- to long-term support for gold(
So, if today's minutes suggest easing monetary policy in the near future, you could expect a rebound in gold prices. However, a more aggressive stance by the Fed could result in further gold price declines. Keep an eye on the broader market reaction to get a clearer direction.