Gold: Pullback remains elusive beyond $2,570, US data, Fed eyedGold snaps three-day winning streak while retreating from an all-time high, marked the previous day, as traders await the US Retail Sales and monetary policy announcements from the Federal Reserve (Fed), scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. In doing so, the precious metal eases from the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its July-September moves.
Buyers remain optimist
Gold’s recent dip comes as the RSI (14) moves back from the overbought zone and marked failure to break through the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension level on prices. Sellers are also eyeing a potential bear cross on the MACD. Despite this, gold remains above the two-month-old resistance line near $2,570, keeping buyers hopeful with dovish expectations from the Fed.
Technical levels to watch
For intraday sellers, the $2,570 level is key as it has turned into support. If gold continues to decline, the 50% and 38.6% Fibonacci Extension levels around $2,560 and $2,540 could be next obstacles. Below these, the bears might target the month-old resistance line and an upward trend line from early August, near $2,525 and $2,515, respectively. However, gold buyers will stay optimistic unless the price clearly falls below the 200-SMA level at $2,487.
On the flip side, if gold breaks above recent peaks around $2,590, it could target the $2,600 level before approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,610. If gold buyers push past $2,610, the focus will shift to the 100% Fibonacci Extension near $2,650 and then the $2,700 mark.
Sellers need a strong motive to retake control
Overall, gold remains bullish despite the recent pullback. For sellers to gain control, they would need not only a drop below the 200-SMA but also strong US data and a hawkish stance from the Fed.
Xauusd(w)
Gold Hits Record High Above 2,570 USDXAUUSD is trading around 2,578 USD after breaking through a key resistance level.
The upward trend remains strong with solid support at 2,560 USD.
There is a possibility of a pullback to this support zone before continuing the rise toward 2,612 USD.
In terms of news: The 10-year US Treasury yield remains in the red, below 3.7%, as markets reassess the likelihood of significant Fed rate cuts, which is boosting XAUUSD higher.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS 15M TIMEFRAMEFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Update plan GOLD
"Gold has currently formed a Local Reaccumulation.
It has left a few LPS at levels: 2508 and 2520.
At the moment, gold might push a few more points with the purpose of sweeping SELL liquidity.
I expect wave 3 of this upward movement to extend to 2577 - 2580, followed by a short-term correction.
The condition to maintain the upward trend is to hold the key support at 2500!
On Friday, the 13th, trade carefully and manage your capital!"
Gold: Prices renew all-time high under $2,600, but expect bumpsGold prices hit a fresh record high around $2,570 early Friday as it extends the previous day’s upside break of a three-week-old resistance, now support around $2,525. This rise is fueled by increasing expectations of significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve and a push against a rising trend line from mid-July.
A bumpy road for the bulls ahead…
Despite the Fed's rate cut hopes supporting gold, an eight-week resistance line and an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a possible price pullback. Additionally, a potential bounce in the US Dollar, especially with upcoming reports on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, might give gold buyers a temporary pause. Nevertheless, the breakout above resistance and bullish MACD signals keep the buyers optimistic.
Technical levels to watch…
To continue climbing, gold prices need to break above a two-month resistance line around $2,570. If successful, gold could quickly reach the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) level of the bullion’s late July to early September moves near $2,581 and then target $2,600. If gold surpasses $2,600, it could aim for the 78.6% and 100% FE levels around $2,610 and $2,650, respectively.
If prices pull back, they might first test the 50% and 38.2% FE levels near $2,560 and $2,540. A key support level at $2,525 could also come into play. If gold drops below $2,525, it might struggle to hold above $2,500 and $2,470, making those levels significant for potential declines.
What next?
Gold buyers are expected to remain strong, thanks to anticipated rate cuts from major central banks like the Fed. However, there might be a temporary dip in prices before the next rally.
Gold Hits 2,570 USD Peak, Support at 2,521 USDGold is currently trading around its all-time high near 2,570 USD after a strong rally fueled by rising expectations of a significant Fed rate cut.
The 34 and 89 EMA lines show that the upward trend is still intact, though a short-term correction is possible.
Key support levels lie at 2,501 USD and 2,521 USD, where investors may find buying opportunities.
Gold could rise to the 1.618 level, where it will face psychological resistance before continuing upward towards the next target at 2.618.
xauusd wave C ... is buying opportunity ??XAUUSD in ABC corrective wave where
wave B retaced 100% of wave A.. and took lot of time to complete.
now expecting wave C to take lesser time to complete.
Wave C down in progress where minimum target of 2502 low made..
important support zone to watch is 2504-2500.
if broken than more down side possible 2490-85
Will be looking for buying opportunity if bullish candlestick pattern formed.
Disclaimer : study is educational
Gold Prices May Rise Due to Lower CPI, Support Near 2,500 USDTTonight, the CPI data will be released and is expected to be lower than the previous reading, which could lead to a significant rise in gold prices.
The chart shows gold in a short-term uptrend, with prices breaking above the 20 SMA and other moving averages, reinforcing short-term buy signals.
Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating increased market volatility, and the price is moving within the upper band, showing strong buying pressure.
The RSI at 63.57 signals a rising market, but it's approaching the overbought zone. If the RSI exceeds 70, it may suggest a short-term correction.
Given the current trend, the recommended strategy is to buy when the price pulls back to the key support level around 2,500 USDT. The potential target for the next price increase is 2,545 USDT.
XAUUSD: Breaking the Resistance Zone!Gold prices are currently fluctuating within a clear resistance and support range. At present, the price is positioned between the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, indicating a tug-of-war in the trend.
The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are converging, signaling a potential trend breakout as the price moves out of this range.
The key resistance level is around 2,525, a zone where prices have previously been rejected, indicating strong selling pressure.
There are two main support levels: one near 2,470 (Support 1) and another closer at 2,489 (Support 2). The price has tested Support 2 once and is showing signs of retesting it.
If the price holds above the 2,489 support level and shows signs of a rebound, it may retest the resistance zone at 2,523.48. If this level is breached, the next target could be 2,538.21.
Trading Strategy: Wait for clear signals from price action as it reaches the critical resistance and support zones. If the price breaks out of these zones, consider trading in the direction of the new trend.
Golden Indicator based 1%gain Xauusd 2520 to 2550...30pts TargetBuy Condition
Xauusd buy above 2520
stoploss 2513...........7 pts
Tp1.......................2530.....10pts
Tp2.......................2546.....26pts 1 % gain...All time high
Tp3.......................2550......30 pts
This level based on Golden Indicator and education purpose only
Current mkt price : 2513
XAUUSD Awaits Break of $2,530 Resistance Under CPI PressureXAUUSD is in a mild uptrend, trading around $2,517 with a key resistance level at $2,530.
If the price breaks above this level, the uptrend could continue. However, failure to breach it may lead to a correction toward the $2,501 support level.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are still supporting the current uptrend, but if the price falls below them, a downtrend might resume.
U.S. economic news, especially the CPI report, will heavily impact gold prices, as a higher-than-expected inflation rate could strengthen the USD, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
XAUUSD - Identifying the Bias of Reaction Zones/LinesThis is how I determine the trend when the price reacts at a reaction zone or line.
I look at the nearest adjacent waves to see how the price behaves when it touches that zone. Sometimes, a line or zone may have both biases, but there are also zones with only one clear bias.
The plan was to take profit and then sell, but it seems the reaction in this zone was too strong, and the price moved quickly, leaving no time to enter the trade.
The Chartist
XAUUSD 12/9/2024 will the gold price continue to decrease
Looking at H1, we see a complete Elliot structure has been completed including 5 main waves and 3 abc correction waves, I used purple to symbolize on the chart
- Following a complete structure is a new trend that coincides with the main trend with a 5-wave structure
- Currently, we predict that wave 1 in the new trend has been completed and wave 2 is being completed
- The target area of wave 2 I measured at the area of 2508 - 2505, we will use this price area as the target to BUY up according to wave 3
- At that time, we measure the target of wave 3 at least at the area of 2538 - 2541 and this price area will be our Sell target to catch the wave 4 correction down
- I still reserve a case that the current price wave 2 continues to adjust according to the abc structure that has not ended, then we will have a target BUY at 2494 - 2491
Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 2508 - 2505
SL: 2498
TP1: 2516
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2532
BUY ZONE: 2494 - 2491
SL: 2484
TP1: 2500
TP2: 2508
TP3: 2520
SELL ZONE: 2538 - 2541
SL: 2548
TP1: 2531
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2517
Gold analysis September 11Fundamental Analysis The steady rise continued throughout the early part of the European session and took the commodity to a fresh weekly high, with buyers now looking to build on the upside momentum beyond the $2,525-2,526 supply zone. The US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on the gains recorded over the past three days and withdrawn from the monthly top amid dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a weaker risk-on sentiment in general has prompted some safe-haven flows and lifted Gold closer to its all-time high in the last hour. However, bulls may refrain from positioning for any further upside moves and prefer to pause ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. The key US CPI report will play a key role in investigating market expectations on the size of the Fed's September rate cut and determine the next leg of the directional move for the precious metal.
Technical Analysis Gold's push to 2529 in European trading promises a breakout of all-time highs early today. The current key zone around 2529 in European trading could push prices back to 2540. The top is a push to the psychological port zone which is also the Fibonacci level of 2555. Contrary, if 2029 fails to break, prices could soon push to the 2517 zone before the CPI data and also the US session. and revisit the 2495 support zone and 2555 resistance when the news is released. because if the news pushes up, there will be no good entry to sell until the 2540 and 2555 areas.
Resistance above: 2535 - 2540 - 2550-2555…
Support: 2512 - 2506 - 2499 - 2493 - 2485
SELL 2537 - 2529 Stoploss 2442
SELL 2554 - 2556 Stoploss 2559
BUY 2508 - 2506 Stoploss 2503
BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 2491
Golden Indicator based signals Xauusd 2499 to 2515..16 pointsXauusd buy above only 2499.25
stoploss 2493.50.....6 points
Tp-1................2503.....4points
Tp-2................2509.....9.50 points
Tp-3.................2515.....16 points
This level based on Golden Indicator and education purpose only