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XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION Reason for Bullish Interest Rate Cuts and Economic Indicators Two Federal Reserve policymakers voiced their opinion on Tuesday, stating it would be “reasonable” to expect three interest rate cuts in the U.S. within the year. This perspective comes despite a backdrop of robust economic indicators, which have led some investors to question the feasibility of such moves. The anticipation of interest rate adjustments is a critical factor influencing financial markets and investment strategies. Surge in Gold Prices The price of gold has surged over 10% since the start of the year, cementing its status as a preferred hedge against inflation and a sanctuary amid political and economic uncertainty. This significant uptick is largely due to considerable purchases by central banks and a rising demand for safe-haven assets. Gold and Silver Prices Today As of April 5th, 2024, the precious metals market has observed noteworthy movements. Gold prices have reached new highs, driven by global trends and market dynamics, reflecting the continuous appeal of gold as an investment. U.S. Economic Outlook Recent data indicates a slowdown in the growth of the U.S. services industry for March, with a concurrent reduction in the prices businesses pay for inputs, hitting a four-year low. These developments suggest a potentially favorable outlook for inflation, influencing investment decisions and monetary policy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 10.09.24Reason for Bearish Gold prices have continued to hit fresh highs in 2024 due to a wide range of factors — from escalating geopolitical risks and the interest rate outlook to budget deficit concerns, inflation hedging and central bank buying. Gold’s blistering rally this year was partly fueled by expectations the Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates as many as three times in 2024, as stubborn inflation started to ease. But current projections suggest only one rate cut is penciled in for the remainder of 2024. Traditionally, a weaker U.S. dollar and lower U.S. interest rates increase the appeal of non-yielding bullion. But a significant decoupling started to emerge in early 2022 and gold’s relationship with U.S. real yields has broken down even further this year. “Gold’s resurgence has come earlier than expected, as it further decouples from real yields. We have been structurally bullish gold since the fourth quarter of 2022 and with gold prices surging past $2,400 in April, the rally has come earlier and has been much sharper than expected. It has been especially surprising given that it has coincided with Fed rate cuts being priced out and U.S. real yields moving higher due to stronger labor and inflation data in the U.S,” said Gregory Shearer, Head of Base and Precious Metals Strategy at J.P. Morgan.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD 15M ASCENDING TRIANGLE BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24Reason for Bullish Key Takeaways The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows. Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically break out of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle, although this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy. A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern. A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline. A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout. A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Sideways: Waiting for a Breakout to Determine the Next TrenGold is currently trading sideways between resistance at 2,530 and support at 2,480, awaiting a breakout to determine the next trend. EMA 34: Acting as near-term support, indicating a short-term uptrend. If the price falls below EMA 34, selling pressure could increase. EMA 89 provides medium-term support; maintaining the price above EMA 89 will support the uptrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals from a breakout model. A price move beyond the resistance or support levels will signal a clear trading opportunity. Whales are trading large volumes, creating strong volatility and potentially causing unexpected gold price increases.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Romio_pro
Gold poised to surge on NFP and U.S. inflation data.Tonight, key figures for NFP, Employment Change, and the U.S. Unemployment Rate will be released. The labor market outlook is predicted to be negative, with Nonfarm Payrolls expected to reach only 164K and the unemployment rate to drop to 4.2%. Average hourly earnings are forecasted to increase from 0.2% to 0.3%, indicating rising inflation pressure. This could cause significant volatility for the USD and push gold prices higher. The 4H XAUUSD chart shows a breakout from the downtrend channel, with gold surpassing resistance at 2,526 USD and support from EMA 34 (2,505 USD) aiding the upward move. Interestingly, after this breakout, gold is likely to continue toward the target of 2,550 USD, a level many investors are anticipating. Stay updated with market news for more accurate trading. Wishing everyone successful trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks. Technical Analysis Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold. Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x. Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555 Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440 SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536 BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492 BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD/GOLD NFP NEWS FORCAST 06.09.24The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a monthly US labor market indicator that measures the number of jobs added or lost in the previous month. The NFP report is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is usually available on the first Friday of each month. The NFP report is a significant economic indicator that can have a big impact on the global financial markets. Here are some reasons why the NFP report is important: Forex market The NFP report is one of the most significant news announcements in the foreign exchange (forex) market, causing large movements in the market. Interest rate policy The Federal Reserve pays close attention to the NFP report when setting interest rate policy. Economic expansion Increasing NFP numbers may indicate economic expansion, but they may also be a sign of inflation. Economic concerns Decreasing NFP numbers may indicate broader economic concerns. There are two ways to trade the NFP report: Before the release Use deductive reasoning to predict the market's direction before the NFP number is released.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
Gold: Edges higher within bullish channel, focus on $2,530 & NFPGold buyers are gearing up for potential weekly gains as the metal rebounds from a resistance-turned-support level that's been holding steady for seven weeks. With the crucial US August jobs report, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), on the horizon, traders are cautious before the release. A smoother road for bulls Gold's recent bounce from past resistance and a 2.5-month-old bullish trend channel suggest more gains ahead. That said, supportive RSI and weakening bearish MACD signals also favor buyers. Important technical levels to watch A 13-day-old descending trend line, close to $2,530 at the latest, guards immediate upside of the gold price ahead of the all-time high surrounding $2,532 marked in August. Following that, the aforementioned bullish trend channel’s upper line, close to $2,558, and the $2,600 round figure will gain attention of the buyers. On the contrary, sellers will wait for a clear downside break of the multi-day-old previous resistance line, near $2,470 as we write, for taking fresh entries. Even so, a convergence of the 50-SMA and bottom line of previously stated bullish channel, near $2,439, will be a tough nut to crack for the bears before taking control. It’s worth noting that the 100-SMA level around $2,388 acts as an additional downside filter. What Next? Gold buyers are poised for potential new highs, but gains might be limited before the key US jobs data is released.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD 6/9/2024 Where will the uptrend end? Looking at H1 we are seeing a 5-wave bullish structure forming, - Currently looking at the price data, the wave 4 structure is forming, the completion of wave 4 and wave 5 are confirmed when the price breaks through 2523, then we have the confirmation of wave 5. - After a 5-wave structure will be an adjustment according to the 3-wave ABC structure. - I have estimated the wave 5 target at the price range of 2530 - 2533, which is also our SELL target - Then the ABC correction structure has a target to end at the price range of 2500 - 2497, which will be our BUY target. - I still do not rule out the possibility that the big correction wave has not been completed yet, then the target of wave C that I mentioned in the previous plan is the price zone of 2464 - 2467, which will be our BUY target when the price breaks through 2472 Our trading plan will trade according to the ABC downtrend and wait for the ABC downtrend structure to complete, then we will BUY up Trading plan SELL ZONE: 2530 -2533 SL: 2540 TP1: 2523 TP2: 2518 TP3: 2509 BUY ZONE: 2500 - 2497 SL: 2400 TP1: 2518 TP2: 2523 TP3: 2530 BUY ZONE: 2467 - 2464 SL: 2457 TP1: 2482 TP2: 2493 TP3: 2518
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD - Accumulation , Manipulation and Distribution Today before "ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: news big players took the advantage of news and followed ICT PO3 pattern which is ACCUMULATION MANIPULATION DISTRIBUTION ICT power of three is the strategy which exposes the smart money traps for retail traders. ICT power of 3 concept is also known as AMD setup because of the three main concepts accumulation, manipulation and distribution. Accumulation phase is when market ranges near important level and smart money accumulate their positions in this area. Manipulation phase, as obvious from the name, is to manipulate the retail traders. After accumulation smart money moves the market in opposite direction . Distribution phase is the real move. After manipulating retail traders smart money add their positions toward the real direction of market hence moving market opposite to retail mindset. In above chart i tried to show this po3 strategy developed by ICT . Before the red folder news market was ranging.. post that big players manipulated towards the order block and made high 2523.. and started distribution and till now made low near 2504. Elliott wave and ICT concepts are very easy to learn if one keeps positive mindset of learning. Disclaimer : Study is for educational purpose
FX:XAUUSD
by MDstockmagic
7
Gold Analysis September 5Fundamental Analysis Gold prices edged up in Asian trade on Thursday. A US jobs report showed on Wednesday that employment fell to a three-and-a-half-year low in July, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further in September, which in turn acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. Moreover, concerns about the health of the US economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further supporting the safe-haven precious metal. However, gold prices lacked strong buying interest as traders appeared reluctant to place strong bullish bets, preferring to wait for key details on the US monthly employment report - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report - due on Friday. Meanwhile, the US economic agenda on Thursday - including the ADP report on private sector employment, the weekly jobless claims and the ISM services PMI - will be looked at for short-term opportunities. However, expectations of the imminent start of the Fed's policy easing cycle could continue to support Gold. Technical Analysis Gold is moving back in the sideways range of 2490-2505. After an old liquidity sweep to 2472. The Asian session's upside momentum is not strong enough to break the technical level of 2508. When the European session pushes up to 2508 without breaking through, we can set up a SELL signal at this area. The sell trend may extend further than there is still a way to move up to ATH. Today, when the US session enters, pay attention to the resistance zone of 2512-2514 for a SELL strategy. And the push to the low zone this week and next week could create momentum for the FOMC to push gold to a new ATH. Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535 Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440 SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518 BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456 BUY price zone 2480 - 2478 stoploss 2475
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader