Profit booking done, Gold again in buying zone\With start of new day of new month, XAUUSD is again in buying zone. The profit booking of the month is done completely.
The buyer on XAUUSD are again on zoom to extend the gains as there are more valid reason for gold to rise highter than settling lower.
Today, the gold price continues to trend upward, driven by several key factors. First, heightened geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties are strengthening gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. Central banks worldwide, particularly in Asia and Europe, are also increasing gold reserves as they diversify away from the U.S. dollar amid "de-dollarization" trends. This demand from institutions and governments is a notable driver of the current rally.
Additionally, expectations around U.S. Federal Reserve policies contribute to the gold surge. Investors widely anticipate potential interest rate cuts in 2024, as the Fed shifts its stance in response to easing inflation and potential economic slowdowns. A lower interest rate environment generally supports higher gold prices, as it decreases the opportunity cost of holding gold compared to yield-bearing assets.
Xauusd-trend
Gold teases bears inside rising wedge ahead of US CPIGold prices remain sustainably below 200-SMA since late April, pressured inside a three-week-old rising wedge of late. Given the steady RSI and sluggish MACD, the bearish bias is likely to prevail. However, a clear downside break of the stated wedge’s support, around $1,844, becomes necessary to confirm the downward trajectory towards the yearly low marked in May, near $1,786. It’s worth noting that $1,830 and $1,810 are likely intermediate halts before directing bears towards $1,786.
On the contrary, an upside break of the 200-SMA, close to $1.,856, isn’t an open invitation to the gold buyers as a six-week-old descending resistance line and the upper line of the stated wedge, respectively around $1,865 and $1,875, could test the advances. In a case where the precious metal rallies beyond $1,875, May’s high of $1,910 and late April top surrounding $1,920 could lure the bulls.
Overall, gold buyers appear to have run out of steam but the bears need validation from both $1,844 and US inflation data.