XAUUSD – H1 Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysis | Lana ✨
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, and the current price action is best understood as a healthy pullback within an uptrend, not a reversal.
📈 Market Structure & Trendline
Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, confirming higher highs and higher lows.
The impulsive leg at the start of the week created a clear liquidity imbalance, which is now acting as a key demand zone.
As long as price holds above this structure, the bullish bias stays intact.
🔢 Fibonacci Confluence
Using Fibonacci on the latest impulsive move:
0.618 – 0.5 retracement zone aligns perfectly with the current consolidation.
This confluence strengthens the idea that the market is rebalancing before continuation, rather than distributing.
🟢 Key Buy Zones (Preferred)
4510 – 4520
Liquidity imbalance + trendline support
→ Ideal zone to wait for bullish confirmation
This zone represents value, where smart money typically looks to re-enter the trend.
🔴 Resistance & Reaction Zone
4635 – 4637 (Fibonacci extension 2.618)
→ Strong resistance and profit-taking area
→ Possible short-term sell reaction, not a confirmed reversal
Avoid chasing buys near this zone without a clear breakout and acceptance.
🧠 Trading Scenario
Base case: Price pulls back into the buy zone (4510–4520), reacts, and continues higher following the trendline.
Alternative: Deeper pullback but structure remains bullish as long as trendline holds.
Invalidation: A clean break and acceptance below the trendline would signal a deeper correction.
✨ Lana’s Notes
Trend is your friend — but entries matter more than bias.
Buy value, sell reactions.
Let Fibonacci, structure, and trendline do the heavy lifting.
No FOMO, no chasing.
Trade the structure. Respect the trend. React, don’t predict. 💛
Xauusdanalys
XAUUSD (H4) – Monday StrategyGeopolitical shock risk, gold may spike | Trade liquidity and reaction zones only
Quick summary
News around Trump’s claim that Maduro has been detained, plus Venezuela’s response (they don’t know his and his wife’s whereabouts and are demanding proof of life), raises geopolitical uncertainty sharply. For gold, that’s a classic catalyst for a gap/spike at Monday open.
So my rule for Monday: no FOMO, only trade liquidity zones and confirmed reactions on the chart.
1) Macro context: Why gold can surge on Monday
Rising geopolitical tension often drives flows into safe-haven assets like gold.
When facts are unclear and tensions escalate, the market can open with:
✅ sharp spikes, ✅ liquidity sweeps, ✅ wider spreads.
➡️ Best approach: wait for price to hit levels, then trade the reaction — not the headline.
2) Technical view (H4 – based on your chart)
Gold is currently moving inside a larger structure after a heavy move, and your chart highlights the key zones clearly:
Key zones
Sell test support 4450 (pullback area where price may get sold)
Liquidity 4330 (major liquidity magnet)
OB 4309 (order block / short-term reaction zone)
Support 4277 (intermediate support)
Buy zone 4203–4206 (deep support / swing buy area)
3) Monday trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): Spike up → SELL around 4450
✅ If gold pumps on the headline at the open:
Sell around 4450 (sell-test zone)
SL: above the most recent swing high (refine on lower TF)
TP1: 4330
TP2: 4309
TP3: 4277
Logic: Headline-driven opens often spike to sweep buy-side liquidity first, then rotate back into value/liquidity.
Scenario B: Sweep down → BUY at liquidity zones
✅ If price gets pulled down first:
Buy around 4330 (Liquidity)
Buy confirmation at 4309 (OB)
SL (guide): below 4300
TP: 4380 → 4450 (scale out)
Logic: 4330 is a major liquidity magnet and often produces a sharp reaction bounce.
Scenario C (worst-case dump): BUY the deep support 4203–4206
✅ If volatility is extreme and price flushes:
Buy: 4203 – 4206
SL: 4195
TP: 4277 → 4330
Logic: This is a deep swing-buy area if the market does a hard liquidity reset.
4) Key notes for a headline-driven Monday open
Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes if spreads widen.
Only enter once price hits the level and shows a clear reaction (rejection / engulf / MSS on M15).
Reduce size — geopolitical opens can whip hard.
Do you think Monday’s move sweeps up into 4450 first, or drops straight into 4330 liquidity?
XAUUSD (H4) – Tuesday ForecastBroke the old ATH, trend continuation | Buy the pullback at 4442, sell premium at 4559
Strategy summary
Gold has broken the previous all-time high (ATH) and the bullish structure remains intact. Today my priority is still buying with the trend, but only on a clean pullback — no chasing. The secondary plan is a reaction sell at a premium Fibonacci zone if price extends too aggressively.
1) Technical view (based on your chart)
The breakout above the old ATH is a strong bullish signal: we have a clear higher high and price is building a new base.
The chart highlights a Buy VL / value area just below current price — a logical pullback zone to reload longs.
Above, there’s a 1.618 Fibonacci premium sell zone, where profit-taking often shows up.
Key point: The trend is bullish, but the higher we go, the more likely we see sharp wicks and quick pullbacks. Stay disciplined and trade the levels.
2) Trade plan for today (clear entry, SL, target)
Scenario A (priority): BUY the Asia pullback
✅ Buy: 4442
SL: 4435
Target: 4747 (your projected target)
Logic: This is a clean pullback into the session value area. If price holds here, continuation becomes the higher-probability path.
Scenario B: SELL the premium Fibonacci reaction
✅ Sell: 4559
SL: 4568
TP: scale out on the reaction (short-term profit-taking), or manage based on momentum after rejection
Logic: 4559 is a premium Fibonacci zone. If price spikes into it, a rejection move is very common — but only sell with reaction, not by chasing.
3) Macro context (why gold stays supported)
XAU/USD is building on yesterday’s strong rally (+2%) and is printing fresh record highs for a second day.
Price is pushing toward the 4,500 psychological level during Asia, supported by multiple safe-haven drivers.
Comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent add uncertainty around the long-term reliability of Fed policy — and uncertainty typically supports gold.
4) Risk management (Liam rule)
Don’t chase after breakout. Only buy at 4442 as planned.
Risk per trade: max 1–2%.
If stopped out, wait for the next structure — no revenge trading.
What’s your bias today: buying the 4442 pullback, or waiting for a 4559 reaction sell?


