Get started

Xauusdanalysis

XAU/USD: Buy at FVG + Fibo, sell at Upper Liquidity◆ Market Context (M30) Gold maintains an upward trend with previous BOS movements. After the push to the nearest peak, the price is undergoing a technical correction to rebalance liquidity before choosing the next direction. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The current decline is a pullback, with no bearish CHoCH confirming a reversal. • The retracement area coincides with FVG + Fibo (0.5–0.618) → potential BUY reaction zone. • Above exists Liquidity $$$ (Sell) – a target to attract liquidity if the price surges. ◆ Key Levels • FVG – Fibo BUY: 4,466 – 4,461 • Liquidity SELL: ~4,584 • Intermediate resistance: 4,524 • Invalid bullish: H1/M30 closes below 4,455 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – BUY Pullback (priority) • Wait for price to retrace to 4,466–4,461 • Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low • Targets: 4,524 → 4,584 • SL: below 4,455 ➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue • If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles • Follow the trend, take partial profits at 4,524 ➤ Scenario C – SELL Reaction (short-term) • When price hits Liquidity ~4,584 • Only SELL if a clear rejection appears (wick/engulfing) ◆ Summary • Main bias: Bullish. • Strategy: Buy the dip, avoid counter-trend SELL without CHoCH. • Decision zone: 4,466–4,461 | Target: 4,524 → 4,584.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Bullish Trend Intact, Focus on Buy-the-Dip Market ContextGold continues to trade firmly within an ascending channel, maintaining its bullish momentum after the latest impulsive move. The market is currently in a technical pullback phase, which is considered healthy within an uptrend rather than a sign of reversal. On the fundamental side, dovish Fed expectations and the outlook for lower interest rates keep pressure on the USD, providing ongoing support for gold. As long as this macro backdrop remains unchanged, downside moves are expected to stay corrective. Technical Structure (H1) Bullish market structure remains valid (Higher Highs & Higher Lows) Price is holding above the ascending trendline No confirmed bearish break of structure Overall bias remains bullish continuation Key Price Zones Primary BUY Zone: 4,480 – 4,470 (Trendline support + demand zone + structure support) Deeper Support: 4,444 Upside Targets / Resistance: 4,512 → 4,563 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY If price pulls back into 4,480 – 4,470 and holds on H1 → Look for BUY setups aligned with the main trend This zone represents a high-probability area for smart money re-entry Targets TP1: 4,512 TP2: 4,563 Scale out near major resistance areas Alternative Scenario If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,500 → Wait for a break & retest before considering continuation BUYs Avoid chasing price near the upper resistance zone Invalidation A H1 close below 4,444 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and require reassessment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold 1H – Traps form near 4500–4420.Gold 1H – Liquidity Compression Sets Traps Around 4500–4420 🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean impulsive expansion, currently hovering in a premium zone near recent highs. With price extended from the mean, the market is vulnerable to liquidity engineering rather than immediate continuation. CPI uncertainty and mixed USD flows continue to reduce directional conviction, favoring stop hunts at key psychological levels instead of clean breakouts. This environment often rewards patience and confirmation-based execution rather than anticipation. Smart Money is likely to manipulate both sides of the range — sweeping late buyers above 4500 or shaking out weak longs into the 4420 discount before the next meaningful expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure with signs of short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4500–4502 (premium) or 4420–4418 (discount) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Price is trading deep in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg created unmitigated FVGs below current price • Momentum is slowing near highs → distribution risk • Liquidity is resting clearly above 4500 and below 4420 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4500 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4470 2. 4450 3. 4420 – extension if USD firms or risk-off accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and bullish structure support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4450 2. 4475 3. 4500 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Extended bullish moves increase fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around CPI-related or Fed-driven headlines 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but trading at premium levels where conviction is fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before the next expansion: • A sweep above 4500 may fade toward 4450–4420, or • A liquidity grab near 4420 could reload bullish flow toward 4475–4500+ Let price reveal intent — Smart Money waits, retail rushes. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – Smart Money Traps Near 4540–4450 Range🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, but price is now trading inside a compression zone after a clear impulsive expansion. With year-end liquidity thinning and traders positioning ahead of fresh Fed rate expectations and USD yield fluctuations, Gold is vulnerable to liquidity manipulation rather than clean continuation. Recent USD softness and mixed macro headlines keep Gold supported, yet extended pricing near highs increases the probability of stop hunts on both sides before the next decisive move. Smart Money behavior here favors range engineering — drawing in breakout traders above highs and shaking out impatient long positions below key demand — before revealing true intent. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish HTF structure with short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at premium (4540–4542) or discount (4450–4448) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Recent CHoCH signals short-term distribution risk • Price is trading in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg left unmitigated inefficiencies below • A defined scalping range has formed between premium and discount • Liquidity rests clearly above 4540 and below 4450 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 Rules: ✔ Sweep above premium buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4510 2. 4485 3. 4450 – extension if USD strengthens or yields push higher 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and prior demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FGV fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4480 2. 4510 3. 4540 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium trading increases fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session and thin year-end liquidity • Reduce risk around Fed-driven or USD yield headlines 📍 Summary Gold is still bullish by structure, but current price action signals liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to engineer stops before expansion: • A sweep above 4540 may fade back toward 4485–4450, or • A liquidity grab near 4450 could reload long positions toward 4510–4540+ Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 23/12/2025 1. Momentum D1 (Daily): The D1 momentum has already shifted to the upside. However, this reversal is occurring directly within the overbought zone. This suggests that the current bullish move may not be sustainable for long, and the risk of a medium-term reversal should be carefully monitored. H4: H4 momentum is currently compressed, indicating that the bullish move still has room to continue. That said, a momentum reversal can occur at any time. A single confirmed bearish H4 candle would likely trigger a corrective move lasting several H4 candles. H1: H1 momentum is currently turning down. Therefore, in the short term, there is a high probability of a pullback on the H1 timeframe, especially if the decline extends over several consecutive H1 candles. 2. Elliott Wave Structure D1: The current D1 wave structure shows that price has broken above the Wave 3 high. Although this does not completely invalidate the flat correction scenario, it serves as an important warning signal that requires close attention. The 127% extension of the purple W wave is the next key observation zone. According to Elliott Wave theory, if price breaks below the base of wave W, wave X often extends toward the 127% level of wave W. If price decisively breaks this zone, we must prepare for the possibility of a new bullish trend, potentially with a larger upside expansion. In that case, an updated scenario will be provided. H4: Wave 5 (blue) is currently extending. At this stage, the priority remains observation and confirmation from H4 momentum. If a confirmed bearish H4 candle appears, we will reassess whether a short-term top has already been formed. H1: Within the red 5-wave structure, wave 5 is showing signs of extension. Inside this red wave 5, a smaller black 5-wave structure is developing. When wave 5 extends, precise target projection becomes more challenging. Therefore, at this stage, we use the 127% extension of the purple W wave on D1, around the 4514 price zone, as the primary observation target. If price breaks strongly above 4514, the probability of a new bullish trend increases significantly. If price reaches this zone and reverses downward, the D1 flat correction scenario remains valid, and the downside target of the purple Y wave may be adjusted higher than initially expected. 3. Trading Plan & Targets The 4514 zone is considered the primary Sell observation area. However, it is important to emphasize: - Top picking always carries very high risk, even though potential rewards may be large - With an extended wave 5, price action can become highly volatile and irregular - Therefore, position sizing and strict risk management are mandatory Sell Zone: 4514 – 4516 Stop Loss: 4535 Take Profit 1: 4420 Take Profit 2: 4348
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold retests highs as upside momentum shows signs of fatigueGold saw a strong rally, reaching the 4497 zone before facing resistance and correcting toward 4431. The price later bounced and revisited the upper area near 4493, confirming it as a significant reaction zone. Multiple attempts at the highs indicate that buying strength may be losing pace, with price action showing hesitation near supply. After such an extended move, some rebalancing is natural. From the current area, selling pressure may slowly build, allowing room for a corrective move. A drift toward the 4400 zone is possible as volatility cools and short-term traders adjust positions. If sellers remain engaged, price action may stay subdued into the close and carry a softer tone into the next session. Staying disciplined with risk is important near these levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
XAU/USD: Buy on pullback in strong upward trend!◆ Market Context (M30) Gold is in a clear upward trend, demonstrated by a series of consecutive BOS and gradually higher lows/highs. After a strong push, the price is currently consolidating sideways in the premium area, indicating the market is pausing before choosing the next direction. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The upward structure remains intact, with no bearish CHoCH appearing. • The current adjustment area is the Buy Zone – where the price previously created a BOS. • This sideways movement is rebalancing, often a precursor to the next upward move if support is not broken. ◆ Key Levels • Buy Zone: 4,476 – 4,464 • Invalid upward: clear break below 4,464 • Upper targets: ▪ 4,531 ▪ 4,565 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Wait for a pullback or hold within Buy Zone 4,476 – 4,464 • Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low • Targets: ▪ 4,531 ▪ 4,565 • SL: below 4,464 ➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue • If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles • Follow the trend, manage orders partially at target levels ➤ Scenario C – Defensive • If 4,464 is clearly broken • Short-term upward structure invalidated → stay out and wait for a new setup ◆ Summary • Main trend: Strong bullish. • Priority strategy: BUY with the trend, do not SELL against it. • Decision area: 4,476 – 4,464. • Next targets: 4,531 → 4,565.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAUUSD – 3H Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – 3H Technical Analysis ✅ Lana is waiting for a pullback to enter safer BUY positions 💛 Trend: Strong bullish trend, continuously printing new highs Timeframe: 3H Current status: Price is moving vertically with no meaningful correction so far Strategy: Do not chase price. Wait for a pullback into liquidity zones to look for BUY setups. Market Context During today’s Asian session, gold surged aggressively and moved close to the 4,500 level — a price area never seen before. The rally has been extremely steep, with almost no pauses or minor pullbacks, clearly showing that buying pressure is dominating the market. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a continued dovish stance from the Fed are weakening the USD. At the same time, escalating geopolitical tensions are strengthening gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. The clean breakout above 4,375–4,380, followed by 4,400, has attracted additional momentum-driven and speculative flows into the bullish trend. 3H Technical Outlook On the 3H timeframe, the bullish market structure remains very clear, and price continues to respect the rising channel. However, after such an extended and sharp move, entering trades at elevated levels becomes increasingly risky. From Lana’s perspective, during phases like this, patience is far more important than chasing the market. Waiting for a proper pullback offers better risk-to-reward opportunities. If buying pressure remains strong after a consolidation or corrective phase, higher upside targets around 4,580 are entirely possible. Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching 🔹 Near-term BUY zone – Liquidity area Buy around: 4,415 This is the nearest liquidity zone where price may return to “reload” before continuing higher. Lana will closely monitor price reaction and structure at this level. 🔹 Longer-term BUY zone – Deeper correction Long-term Buy: 4,38x If the market delivers a clearer and deeper pullback, this zone becomes a higher-probability area for safer medium-term BUY opportunities. Trading Notes Avoid chasing price during periods of excessive volatility Only enter trades when lower timeframes form a clear structure in line with Dow Theory Reduce position size and prioritise risk management during highly euphoric market conditions 📌 Follow Lana as we analyse XAUUSD together on a daily basis.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
XAU/USD – Strong Bullish Expansion, Focus on Pullback BuysMarket Context Gold has delivered a strong bullish expansion after breaking out of the previous consolidation range. The impulsive move confirms aggressive buy-side participation, suggesting that the market is now in a trend-continuation phase rather than distribution. From a macro perspective, expectations around a dovish Fed outlook and future rate cuts continue to weaken the USD, providing a supportive environment for gold. This keeps the broader bias tilted to the upside, with pullbacks viewed as opportunities to reload long positions. Technical Structure (H1 – Short-Term) Clear Bullish BOS confirmed after range breakout Price is holding above prior resistance → flipped to support Current price action shows rebalancing after impulse No bearish structure break so far Key Price Zones Primary BUY Zone: 4,420 – 4,410 (previous resistance + demand + structure base) Intermediate Support: 4,433 – 4,432 Upside Liquidity / Resistance: 4,466 4,500 4,540 – 4,550 (sell-side reaction zone) Trading Plan – MMF Framework Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback If price pulls back into 4,420 – 4,410, look for acceptance and bullish reaction This zone is ideal for trend-following BUY setups Expect continuation toward higher liquidity levels Upside objectives: TP1: 4,466 TP2: 4,500 TP3: 4,540 – 4,550 (possible reaction / partial profit area) Alternative Scenario If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,432, wait for a break & hold above 4,466, then look for continuation buys on shallow pullbacks Avoid chasing price directly into the 4,540+ area Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,405 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and suggest a deeper corrective phase. Summary Gold is in a strong bullish trend after a clean breakout. Current moves are rebalancing, not reversal. Bias remains BUY on pullbacks, targeting higher liquidity while respecting reaction zones above.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) – Daily Chart Analysis: Strong UptrendOverall Trend Gold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong long-term uptrend on the daily timeframe. Price is making higher highs and higher lows, trading near the upper range around 4,485. The broader bullish structure is intact despite minor pullbacks. Price Action Recent candles show steady bullish continuation, but momentum is slightly slowing. Price is approaching a descending trendline resistance (blue dashed line), which could act as a short-term cap. A breakout above this trendline would confirm further upside continuation. RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI is around 81, clearly in the overbought zone. Previous “Bear” divergence labels suggest that momentum has weakened before at similar RSI levels. This increases the probability of a short-term correction or consolidation, even if the main trend remains bullish. Volume Volume has picked up recently, supporting the latest price advance. However, volume is not expanding aggressively, hinting at possible buyer exhaustion near current highs. MACD MACD remains above the signal line and in positive territory, confirming bullish momentum. The histogram is modest, suggesting momentum is positive but not accelerating strongly. Key Levels Resistance: 4,500 – 4,550 zone and the descending trendline. Support: 4,350 – 4,300 (previous consolidation zone). A daily close below support could trigger a deeper pullback toward 4,100–4,200. Outlook: Bullish bias remains dominant, but conditions are overbought. Short-term traders should be cautious of a pullback or sideways consolidation. Medium- to long-term traders may look for buy-the-dip opportunities as long as price holds above key support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD: Buy on BOS, FVG + Fibo retracement!◆ Market Context (M30) Gold has just broken the rising BOS and created a strong push to the short-term peak area of 4,417. After the impulse, the market enters a pullback to rebalance—a common behavior before continuing the main trend. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The rising structure remains valid (HH–HL). • The FVG + Fibo zone (0.5–0.618) around 4,374 is the preferred area to look for buying pressure. • The OB below ~4,339 is a deeper support area if the pullback extends. • No bearish CHoCH yet → prioritize the bullish continuation scenario. ◆ Key Levels • Nearest peak/resistance: 4,417 • FVG + Fibo (BUY zone): ~4,374 • Deep OB: ~4,339 • Invalid rise: clear break of 4,339 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Wait for price to retrace to 4,374 (FVG + Fibo) • Condition: rejection candle / maintain HL • Targets: ▪ 4,397 ▪ 4,417 (peak) ▪ extend if peak is broken ➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback • If 4,374 is breached • Monitor OB ~4,339 for buying reaction • Only BUY with structural confirmation ➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue • If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,397 • Follow the trend towards 4,417+ • Avoid FOMO at premium ◆ Summary • Context: pullback in an uptrend. • Decision zone: 4,374 → 4,339. • Upper target: 4,417. • Prioritize BUY according to structure, manage risk when price is at premium.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Chumtrades XAUUSD | ATH Is Not a Reason to ShortMacro bias: US CPI cooled, while expectations for Fed easing in 2026 remain intact. Japanese bond yields surged, signaling capital rotation away from speculative assets and into safe havens like gold. The macro backdrop continues to support gold. Structure: Gold has broken above ATH, with the previous high around 438x now acting as support. Short-term high is forming near 4420. The uptrend remains dominant on H1 & M30. Bias: 👉 Prefer BUYs in line with the trend ❌ Avoid FOMO chasing ⚠️ SELL only for short-term scalps after lower-timeframe structure breaks BUY zones: 438x (previous ATH) 4350–4353 4336–4330 Invalidation: A clear close below 4320 opens a move toward 4310 / 4300 In this case, the H1–M30 bullish structure is invalidated Risk note: Momentum is very steep → sudden pullbacks are possible. Manage risk tightly and focus on buying at key zones, not emotions.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
2
XAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacksXAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛 Uptrend confirmed: Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛 Quick Summary Trend: Strong bullish, no clear signs of correction Status: New ATH has been established Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Focus on Buy setups, waiting for pullbacks into liquidity zones Market Outlook Gold is maintaining a very strong bullish momentum and continues to print new highs. When drawing the price channel, price is currently testing the upper boundary, suggesting a potential minor reaction or a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The next Fibonacci target is around 4414, which may act as a short-term technical reaction zone. However, the primary trend remains bullish. Technical Perspective After a strong breakout, the market often revisits liquidity or value areas before continuing higher. Lana does not chase price at elevated levels; instead, she prefers waiting for technical pullbacks to enter trades in line with the dominant trend. Preferred Buy Trading Plan Buy Scenario 1 – Near-term liquidity zone Buy: 4371 – 4374 SL: 4165 This zone contains strong liquidity and is suitable for looking for bullish continuation if price pulls back slightly. Buy Scenario 2 – Deeper pullback zone Buy zone: 4342 – 4339 SL: 4330 If the market corrects more deeply under year-end liquidity conditions, this is Lana’s preferred zone to look for a safer entry. Fundamental View Spot gold has surpassed the 4,400 USD/oz level for the first time, recording a gain of nearly 68% for the year. The bullish momentum is not limited to gold but has also spread to silver and platinum, supported by: Expectations of further Fed rate cuts Strong inflows into ETF funds Net buying by central banks Escalating geopolitical tensions The year 2025 is closing with a very impressive picture for the precious metals sector. Lana’s Notes 🌿 Strong uptrend → prioritise Buy on pullbacks, avoid FOMO Always set clear stop-loss levels and reduce position size during high volatility If price does not return to the planned zones, Lana is comfortable staying on the sidelines
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAU/USD – Bullish Structure Intact, Buy Pullbacks Into DemandMarket Context Gold continues to trade firmly within a rising trend channel, confirming that bullish momentum remains in control. The latest impulse leg successfully broke above the previous consolidation range, signaling strong participation from smart money. From a macro perspective, expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance and move toward rate cuts next year continue to support gold. As a result, current pullbacks are viewed as technical rebalancing, not trend reversal. Technical Structure (H1 – Short-Term) Market structure remains Higher Highs – Higher Lows Price is holding above the ascending trendline Current price action shows a pullback / rebalancing phase after expansion No confirmed bearish BOS at this stage Key Technical Zones Upper liquidity / resistance: 4,410 – 4,420 Intermediate resistance: 4,374 – 4,384 Primary BUY pullback zone: 4,350 – 4,355 Deeper demand / trend defense: 4,330 – 4,335 Trading Plan – MMF Logic Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Prefer waiting for price to pull back into 4,350 – 4,355 Look for price acceptance / selling pressure absorption Expect continuation toward the upside with trend momentum Target references: TP1: 4,374 TP2: 4,384 TP3: 4,410+ Alternative Scenario If price fails to pull back deeply and holds above 4,362, wait for a break & retest to rejoin the trend Avoid chasing price in premium zones Invalidation Level A confirmed H1 close below 4,330 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and suggest broader consolidation. Summary Gold remains structurally bullish. The current correction is a healthy pullback after expansion, not a reversal. Bias stays BUY on dips, focusing on discounted zones aligned with the dominant flow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold 1H – CPI Ambiguity Sets Liquidity Traps Near 4400🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (22/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading near the upper boundary of a well-defined bullish channel as markets react to renewed uncertainty surrounding U.S. inflation data and the Fed’s policy outlook. Recent CPI-related commentary has reignited debate over whether inflation is cooling fast enough to justify near-term easing, keeping USD flows unstable and risk sentiment mixed. This macro backdrop favors liquidity engineering over clean continuation, with Smart Money likely targeting both premium and discount extremes to induce breakout traders before the next directional expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure approaching premium exhaustion Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4400–4402 (premium) or 4340–4338 (discount) before meaningful displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains valid • Price is pressing into buy-side liquidity near channel highs • Clear impulsive leg up created an unmitigated FVG above 4370 • Rising structure shows signs of short-term distribution, not confirmed reversal • Liquidity rests clearly above 4400 and below 4340 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4400 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4370 2. 4350 3. 4340 – extension if USD strengthens on CPI reassessment 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4360 2. 4385 3. 4400 – extension if USD weakens amid CPI doubt ⚠️ Risk Notes • CPI-driven uncertainty increases fake breakouts • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around unexpected Fed or inflation headlines 📍 Summary Gold is trading at a decisive premium within a bullish structure, but CPI ambiguity keeps conviction fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity at the extremes before committing: • A sweep above 4400 may fade toward 4350–4340, or • A liquidity grab near 4340 could reload bullish flow toward 4385–4400+ Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Week 4 of December 1. Momentum Overview Weekly (W1) Weekly momentum is currently preparing to reverse to the downside. If a confirmation candle appears next week, a weekly bearish trend is likely to be established. This would indicate the beginning of a multi-week corrective phase. Daily (D1) Daily momentum has already confirmed a bearish reversal. Therefore, the downside bias is expected to dominate in the coming week. H4 H4 momentum is approaching bearish confirmation. This suggests that selling pressure may begin to emerge as early as the Asian session at the start of the week. 2. Elliott Wave Structure Weekly (W1) The price structure on W1 clearly shows that the market is positioned at the top of Wave 3 (yellow). Combined with the weekly momentum preparing to reverse, the market is likely to continue into Wave 4 (yellow), developing as a flat corrective structure. After Wave X is completed, price is expected to decline in line with weekly momentum to complete Wave Y. The completion of Wave Y may take several weeks, until weekly momentum reaches the oversold zone. Daily (D1) Within the purple Wave X structure, price is forming a red ABC corrective pattern. Inside red Wave C, we observe a five-wave impulse structure (1–2–3–4–5) in blue. At present, price is trading in blue Wave 5. With daily momentum already reversing to the downside, I expect blue Wave 5 to be complete, which implies: - Red Wave C has finished - Purple Wave X has also completed Following this, the market should enter a declining phase to form Wave Y. Regarding time symmetry: - Wave W previously took approximately 3 weeks to complete - Therefore, Wave Y is expected to last at least a similar duration In the coming week, I want to see strong selling pressure, with sharp downside movement, forming a clear five-wave bearish structure. H4 Structure Looking at the blue Wave 5, we can identify an internal five-wave red structure (1–2–3–4–5). The breakout above 4365 suggests that the price objective of red Wave 5 has already been achieved. Currently: - Daily momentum has reversed bearish - H4 momentum is also turning bearish - Price failed to break and hold above 4365 - The latest candle closed below 4348 Based on these combined signals, I expect the top of Wave 5 to be in place. 3. Volume Profile & Price Scenarios From the Volume Profile perspective: - 4348 is a high-liquidity zone acting as a strong resistance - Price has not yet been able to break decisively above this area Primary bearish scenario: If price closes below 4317 (a low-liquidity void) at the start of the next session, the market is likely to move quickly through this area and decline toward the next high-liquidity zone near 4215. This scenario would provide strong confirmation that Wave 5 has completed. Alternative scenario: If price breaks above and holds above 4348, Wave 5 may extend further, potentially forming a terminal triangle. In that case, I will continue to monitor higher target zones and provide updates once additional data becomes available. 4. Trading Plan At current levels, this is a potentially strong sell zone. However, to define a precise entry plan, I need additional confirmation from price action at the market open tomorrow. Once clearer signals appear, I will update the trading plan accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Weekly analysis of XAUUS/Gold with buy and sell scenarios...Last week gold moved in a range, as we analyzed and closed below the high of previous week. Weekly candle is indecision candle and now price is near to all time high level. Coming week, we may see a range bound market crating both buy and sell side scenario till price break all time high with volume and conviction. We should track price movement cautiously within the range. We may also witness a breakout of all time high if market and global events/news support it…. 1. Price has created higher highs in lower time frames and created micro structures. 2. Now it is choppy till breakout the all-time high or support level. 3. Price is continuously running above EMAs confirming up move for now. 4. There is a POI nesting multiple PD arrays including daily FVG. We may see reversal from this level. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HareeyMarketMantraah
XAUUSD (D1) – Weekly OutlookLana focuses on buying discounted zones, preparing for a possible ABC correction 💛 Quick summary Higher timeframe (Daily): The main uptrend remains intact and structurally strong Elliott Wave: Gold likely completed Wave 5, with a potential ABC corrective phase ahead to complete the cycle Liquidity: Christmas week and year-end positioning may cause thin liquidity and irregular price movements Plan: No chasing. Lana waits for price to reach key buy zones at 4250 and 4205 Market context for next week Next week’s trading activity may slow down due to the Christmas holiday and preparations for the year-end. Thinner liquidity often leads to sharp, irregular moves and liquidity sweeps. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to support gold, while USD weakness adds further tailwinds. Because of this, Lana prefers a zone-based approach rather than trying to predict exact tops or bottoms. Technical view on D1 On the Daily chart, gold still shows a solid bullish foundation. However, from an Elliott Wave perspective, price appears to be finishing the final impulsive wave (Wave 5). After a Wave 5 completion, a corrective ABC structure is common, allowing the market to rebalance before the next major move. For Lana, a correction is not bearish—it’s an opportunity to look for higher-probability buys at discounted levels instead of chasing price at elevated zones. Key levels Lana is watching 1) Primary buy zone: 4250 This level previously acted as a strong resistance and was decisively broken. Liquidity remains concentrated in this area, making it a favorable zone to look for buying opportunities if price pulls back. 2) Long-term buy zone: 4205 (POC from Volume Profile) This is a major Point of Control where price previously accumulated heavily. If the ABC correction extends deeper, this zone becomes a key area for longer-term positioning. Trading plan for next week (overview) Early in the week, Lana will observe lower timeframes to confirm entries. Priority is given to pullbacks toward 4250; deeper corrections may offer opportunities near 4205. With thin holiday liquidity, Lana plans to: reduce position size keep stop losses clearly defined scale out profits once price reacts from the zones Lana’s note 🌿 Holiday weeks often bring fewer clean setups but more unexpected liquidity grabs. Lana will stay patient, trade selectively, and focus only on price levels that truly make sense. This is Lana’s personal market view, not financial advice
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
Gold shows bullish near 4355 bearish close indicates reversal.Gold is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with the price moving up to 4355. However, the market closing with bearish pressure indicates a potential reversal. The 4355 level is an important resistance point, and traders might consider entering a sell trade here. Setting a stop loss at 4374 would provide some room for price action to fluctuate while keeping risk in check. If the resistance at 4355 holds, the market could retrace towards 4320, which is the next key support level. The confirmation of this move should be based on the price action around the resistance zone. Traders should be cautious and monitor the market closely for any signs of a breakout above 4374, which would invalidate this bearish setup. It's important to always use proper risk management, and adjusting the stop loss accordingly if the market behaves differently than expected can help reduce potential losses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
1
XAUUSD | Awaiting Reaction at OB + Fibo to Confirm Next Move◆ Market Context (M30) The price is maintaining an uptrend with a supporting trendline. After a strong push creating a short-term peak, the market enters a pullback to rebalance. The current decline has not broken the upward structure. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The rapid decline creates an OB + Fibo Sell zone ~4,335 (retesting the premium area). • The price has reacted at the trendline ~4,315, indicating that buying pressure still protects the structure. • Liquidity above 4,367 – 4,372 remains → potential for liquidity draw if the trend continues. ◆ Key Levels • OB + Fibo Sell: ~4,335 • Trendline / Support: ~4,315 • Liquidity (upper target): 4,367 → 4,372 • Invalid uptrend: clear break below trendline ~4,315 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Await price reaction around the trendline ~4,315 • Condition: candles rejecting decline / maintaining higher lows • Targets: ▪ 4,335 ▪ 4,367 → 4,372 (Liquidity) ➤ Scenario B – Short-term Sell • If the price retraces to OB + Fibo ~4,335 but does not break • Observe rejection signals to SELL back to 4,315 • Only a scalp against the main trend ➤ Scenario C – Breakdown (defensive) • If the trendline ~4,315 is decisively broken • Stay out / wait for a new CHoCH before BUYing again ◆ Summary • Context: pullback within an uptrend. • Decision zones: 4,315 (trendline) and 4,335 (OB + Fibo). • Upper target: 4,367 → 4,372. • Avoid FOMO; prioritize BUYing pullbacks according to the structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
1
XAUUSD M45: SELL at OB 4.331–4.339, BUY at 4.306–4.3121) Market Context (M45) – SMC & Price Structure The spike up followed by a strong sell-off is a liquidity event (liquidity sweep), creating a clear bearish displacement. After the sell-off, the price is retracing in a pullback/retest manner → prioritize the strategy “SELL retracement at supply zone,” or “BUY reaction at demand zone” if there is a sweep down. 2) Key Levels Liquidity Sell (liquidity peak): 4.367.982 OB Bearish (Sell Zone): 4.331.123 – 4.338.610 Liquidity Support (Demand): 4.312.463 – 4.306.358 Current reference price: ~4.326 (currently in the middle of the range, not an optimal entry point) 3) Trading Plan Scenario A – SELL at OB Bearish (priority) If the price retraces to the 4.331 – 4.339 zone and shows rejection signals: pinbar / shadow downward engulfing or bearish ChoCH on M15–M45 Then prioritize SELL following the retracement in the short-term bearish structure. Reference targets: TP1: 4.312 TP2: 4.306 Invalidation: M45 candle closes firmly above 4.339 and holds → stop the SELL idea. Scenario B – BUY at Liquidity Support (reversal scenario) If the price is pulled down to the 4.312 – 4.306 zone and shows signs of sweep + reclaim (piercing down then closing back up the zone). Upon confirmation, watch for BUY retracement. Reference targets: TP1: 4.331 TP2: 4.339 Note: if the price touches the OB Bearish again without breaking it, prioritize closing and observing the reaction. Scenario C – Sweep up to Liquidity Sell 4.368 then reverse If the price breaks above OB Bearish and continues to run liquidity up to 4.368. The 4.368 zone is suitable for finding a sell reaction (only SELL with confirmation signals). 4) News on 18/12 affecting gold On 18/12, there is US CPI (November): the most impactful news on gold as it directly affects interest rate expectations, yields, and USD. On the same day, there are usually Initial Jobless Claims and activity indicators (e.g., Philly Fed), which can easily create short-term spikes for XAUUSD. After the CPI day, the market often exhibits liquidity sweeps on both ends before choosing a direction → avoid FOMO, prioritize trading at the right zone. 5) Quick Conclusion Short-term bias: prioritize SELL retracement at OB 4.331–4.339 until the price strongly reclaims above. Defensive scenario: BUY reaction at 4.312–4.306 if there is a sweep + confirmation. Avoid entering trades in the middle of the range; wait for “right zone – right signal.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD H1 Main Trend for the Weekend Gold failed to confirm a sustainable upward momentum after yesterday's price reaction, prioritizing a short-term adjustment scenario before reassessing the trend PRIORITY SCENARIO Strategy to sell based on reactions at large volume areas, suitable for the current short-term structure Focus sell area: 4332 – 4342 Technical basis: these are areas concentrated with volume according to the Volume Profile, where price is likely to show distribution reactions after a weak recovery Expected movement: price recovers to the large volume area for distribution, then continues the adjustment phase Daily target: Heading towards the 4275 area, coinciding with the Fibonacci retracement area and underlying support Position management: Sell should only be held short-term. If the price surpasses and stabilizes above 4342, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell orders. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Monitor price reactions at deeper support areas to reassess trading opportunities Strong support area: around 4275 Technical context: this is the convergence area between structural support and Fibonacci retracement, likely to show defensive buying force Expected movement: if the price reacts well at this area, the market may enter a re-accumulation state MAIN REASON On H1, the previous upward phase failed to maintain a clear upward structure, indicating weakening buying force Volume Profile helps identify the 4332 – 4342 areas as advantageous entry points for the sell reaction scenario The 4275 area serves as a reasonable adjustment target in the context of a typically momentum-lacking weekend market MACRO CONTEXT AND MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK While short-term fluctuations lean towards adjustment, major institutions still maintain a positive outlook for gold in the medium and long term. Goldman Sachs forecasts gold prices could reach $4,900/oz by the end of 2026, supported by strong buying demand from central banks and positive impacts from the Fed's interest rate cut cycle. This suggests that short-term declines may be more of a technical adjustment rather than a reversal of the long-term trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
Liquidity Grab Completed, Waiting for Pullback to ContinueMarket Context Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, sweeping buy-side liquidity above the previous highs. After this expansion, price is now entering a short-term consolidation / pullback phase, which is expected behavior following a liquidity grab rather than a full trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed stance continue to limit downside pressure on Gold, keeping the broader bias supported despite intraday corrections. Technical Structure (Short-Term) The larger structure remains bullish Recent move shows a liquidity grab at the highs, followed by rejection Current price action suggests rebalancing into demand zones No confirmed bearish market structure shift so far Key Technical Zones Upper Resistance / Sell Reaction: 4,360 – 4,365 Intraday Resistance: 4,333 – 4,336 Buy Zone (Pullback Area): 4,300 – 4,305 Deeper Demand / Liquidity Support: 4,275 – 4,280 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Expect price to retrace into 4,300 – 4,305 or deeper toward 4,280 Look for bullish reaction / stabilization to rejoin the trend Upside targets: TP1: 4,323 TP2: 4,335 TP3: 4,360+ (liquidity) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 4,323 and breaks higher directly, wait for a clean retest before considering continuation setups. Avoid chasing price at premium levels. Invalidation A sustained break and H1 close below 4,275 would weaken the bullish continuation scenario and shift focus to deeper consolidation. Summary Gold remains in a bullish environment, with current weakness viewed as a technical pullback after liquidity grab. Bias remains buy-the-dip, prioritizing patience and confirmation at key demand zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1