Get started

Xauusdanalysis

Price hits FVG: Get ready for Market Maker's next move!In the current market context, the price structure is clearly showing the regulation of Smart Money as it continuously creates new liquidity zones, breaks structures, and leaves important footprints like OB – FVG – BOS. Below is a trading plan built based on the observed price zones on the chart: 🟥 1. Market Context – Role of OB Sell Price has reacted strongly at the Order Block Sell in the 4,237 – 4,256 zone. This is where a strong push down occurred (accompanied by a structure break – BOS), confirming this as an active supply zone. ➡️ This will be the key level to monitor all pullbacks in the coming time. 🟩 2. Current Market Structure – Market Structure After the OB Sell is activated, the market creates a bearish BOS. Price is moving down to approach the Liquidity Buy below in the 4,154 – 4,161 zone. On the way, price leaves a Fair Value Gap (FVG) – a zone that can be used as a retracement point to continue selling. ➡️ Overall bias: Bearish intraday – favor sell on pullback. 🟨 3. Main Trading Plan – SELL SETUP 🎯 Area of Interest FVG: 4,197 – 4,214 This is the ideal price zone for price to return to balance before continuing the downtrend. 📌 Entry SELL: Preferred scenario: Price retraces to fill FVG → reacts → creates a small bearish structure (BOS M1–M5) → Sell. 🎯 Targets: TP1: 4,170 — intermediate support zone TP2: Liquidity Buy: 4,154 – 4,161 TP3 (extended): 4,144 if liquidity below continues to be swept 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the FVG peak or above the nearest OB zone: 4,214 – 4,227 ➡️ High probability when price fails to break 4,214–4,227 and continues to create lower highs. 🟦 4. Secondary Scenario – SHORT-TERM BUY (Countertrend) Only activated when price hits Liquidity Buy and a clear reversal signal appears: 📌 Entry BUY: After sweeping liquidity in the 4,154–4,161 zone Wait for bullish BOS confirmation on a lower timeframe 🎯 Targets: 4,184 4,197 4,214 (maximum – hit FVG and exit) ➡️ This is just a retracement trade, not trend-following, so risk management is crucial. ⭐ 5. Summary View The market is moving in line with Smart Money behavior: Sweep liquidity above (Sell-side Liquidity) → Create OB → Push price down Leave FVG → Attract price back → Continue distribution Main goal: Sweep Liquidity below 👉 The main trend remains SELL until the Liquidity Buy below is hit and a strong reversal structure is created.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EcdysisTrading
1
XAU/USD: Gold Consolidates, Awaiting Pullback for Breakout📊 Market Structure (H1) Gold is moving within a converging triangle pattern – with the bottom being pushed higher by buying pressure, while the top is continuously blocked by the H1 descending trendline. After the previous strong decline, the market has consecutively created bullish ChoCH , indicating that capital flow is starting to return, but the pivotal supply remains at the OB Bearish 4.23x area – where the price is currently stuck. Currently, the price is testing the upper edge of the triangle + supply area, which is primarily used for distribution and liquidity sweep. → Not an optimal area for FOMO BUY. 💎 Key Levels – Important Areas • OB Bearish – 4.23x: confluence with descending trendline → high probability area for strong reaction or Liquidity Sweep. • FVG – 4.21x: H1 price gap, the market tends to return to fill before continuing. • OB Bullish – Buy Zone – 4.201: H1 demand + lower edge of current range → priority area to observe BUY according to trend. • Liquidity Buy – 4.170: lower liquidity area → price may sweep deep before bouncing strongly if the medium-term uptrend remains effective. • Upper Target – 4.25x: expanded target if gold successfully breaks the converging triangle. 🎯 Trading Plan – Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Priority Scenario: Pullback to OB Bullish If the OB Bearish 4.23x area reacts (wick rejection, reversal pattern, weakening momentum), expect the price to retreat to: → FVG 4.21x → OB Bullish 4.201 At the 4.20x area, if a bullish ChoCH / engulfing / strong pin bar appears, this will be a reasonable BUY area according to the trend. Suggested TP: • TP1: FVG 4.21x • TP2: Retest OB Bearish 4.23x • TP3 expanded: 4.25x area if price breaks the triangle Invalidation: H1 closes below 4.195 → stay out and wait for reaction at Liquidity 4.170. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario: Deep Sweep to Liquidity Buy If OB Bullish 4.20x does not hold and the price breaks down strongly, do not catch the falling knife. → Wait for gold to reach Liquidity Buy 4.170 → Observe reaction: long wick, selling pressure depletes, new HL formation… Only BUY again when the signal is clear. If the 4.170 area is broken strongly by an H1 candle → temporary uptrend structure loses effectiveness, reduce volume or stay out until the market stabilizes. ⚠️ Risk Management This is a trading plan based on an idea – not an immediate entry signal. Do not BUY directly at the 4.23x resistance area. Be patient for a pullback to the discount area (4.20x – 4.17x) and always set clear risk. “Liquidity tells the truth — structure confirms the path.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: H1 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & TrendlineXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Trendline: prioritize Sell, wait for a “good deal” in the liquidity zone 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold is touching the trendline just as yesterday's scenario – this is an area where strong price reactions may occur. The current structure shows that the price is gradually distributing below the trendline, with no clear signal that buyers have regained control. In the short term, Brian prioritizes the Sell scenario, utilizing the POC – VAH – FVG areas of the Volume Profile to find entry points. 2. Volume Profile – Key price areas to note Short-term POC/VAH area around 3,488–3,492 (according to his chart): This is an area where dense trading occurred, the profile “bulges” out, indicating strong market interest. When the price returns to this area, a reaction is expected – suitable for entering orders in the current priority direction. Sell-side liquidity below: If gold cannot hold the POC/VAH area and is pushed down, the liquidity area below will become a reasonable target for the next downward move. Gold is likely to fluctuate sideways on Friday to close the weekly candle below the trendline, then consider a clearer break at the start of next week. 3. Trading scenario for next week Scenario 1 – Prioritize Sell at the Volume Profile area Main mindset: When the price returns to the POC/VAH areas above, prioritize finding short signals instead of chasing buys. Watch for clear candle reactions (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) at the thick profile area. Target: Gradually close towards lower liquidity areas (sell-side liquidity) below. Depending on price behavior, the target can be expanded if selling pressure intensifies at the start of the week. Scenario 2 – Break trendline & buy the retracement If gold decisively breaks the downtrend line, closes above, and maintains the new structure: Then, the strategy will shift to buying the retracement at the trendline itself (now acting as support). The POC/VAL area below will then become a reasonable “buy zone” to follow the new upward trend. In summary: before a clear break occurs, Brian still prioritizes selling at high liquidity areas, rather than rushing to catch the bottom. 4. Fundamental context – Large capital still supports gold Central banks are increasing gold purchases: In October, global central banks net purchased +53 tons of gold, the highest level since 11/2022. This figure increased by +194% compared to July, marking the third consecutive month of increased purchasing speed. This indicates: Short-term selling pressure may appear around the trendline/resistance, but long-term capital flow still favors gold. Any deep declines later may still attract buying power from large institutions. 5. Risk management suggestions Maintain the mindset: Sell is the current priority scenario, not the only option – if the structure changes, be ready to switch to buy. Do not overlook the nearest liquidity/swing low area to place SL – avoid dragging SL too far due to emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
SMC TRADING PLAN – XAUUSD (1H)1. Market Context Observing the chart shows: The price is moving in a short-term downtrend, indicated by the downtrend line that has been tested multiple times but not decisively broken. Twice the price touched the trendline, it created a strong reaction → confirming this as a dynamic resistance zone. The market has created MSS (Market Structure Shift) at both the top and bottom → indicating a transition phase, suitable for scalping trades at reaction zones. The price levels you marked (4,230 – 4,219 – 4,192 – 4,181) are indeed potential liquidity pools / order blocks. 2. Main Trend & Smart Money Intentions ✔ What is Smart Money doing? Attracting liquidity below around the 4,158 – 4,160 area (noted as “Liquidity” on the chart). Pushing the price up to retest resistance around the trendline to hunt the liquidity of the Long side at the top. Then bringing the price to a deeper discount area → then deciding to push up to break or continue distributing. That is: Short-term Buy – Short-term Sell – then stronger Buy at the liquidity bottom → This is the standard Liquidity Hunt – MSS – Reversal model in SMC. 3. Two Main Scenarios Scenario 1 – SELL from resistance (priority) The price is approaching the trendline and resistance area you marked. This is a high-probability setup. Ideal SELL zone: 📍 4,219 – 4,221 (reaction zone + FVG + Trendline retest) Scalping target: TP1 → 4,192 TP2 → 4,181 If a strong break: extend to 4,160 – 4,158 (main liquidity area) Stoploss: 4,230.7 (above the liquidity sweep area) Reason for SELL Touching the downtrend line → strong technical reaction. This is the Premium zone of the upward move. Likely to form a short-term distribution before pushing down to hunt liquidity. Scenario 2 – BUY from liquidity zone (secondary priority) If the price dives down to take liquidity first, prioritize Buy at the bottom zone. Strong BUY zone (Liquidity Zone): 📍 4,160 – 4,158 → This is the bottom marked by Smart Money to hunt stoploss & create a new bottom. Target: TP1 → 4,181 TP2 → 4,192 TP3 → 4,219 – 4,230 (expecting to push the price to take top liquidity) Stoploss: 4,146 Reason for BUY Clear liquidity zone, created by the previous low bottom. Coincides with the lower trendline. Two previous MSS indicate the market is in an accumulation phase for a short-term reversal. 4. Detailed Trading Plan 🎯 SELL Setup – Quick Scalp (priority) Entry: 4,219 – 4,221 SL: 4,230 TP: TP1: 4,192 TP2: 4,181 TP3: 4,160 (if price breaks down) High probability because: trendline reaction + premium zone + liquidity build-up. 🎯 BUY Setup – Safe (wait for price to hunt down) Entry: 4,160 – 4,158 SL: 4,146 TP: TP1: 4,181 TP2: 4,192 TP3: 4,219 – 4,230 High probability because: main liquidity zone + discount zone + potential for smart money to push up from the bottom. 5. Trading Advice Only take orders when there is a clear reaction: wick rejection, minor structure break on M5. Do not enter orders in the middle of the zone – only trade when the price hits the key level. Scalping should prioritize quick TP because gold's range is quite strong. 📌 Conclusion Your chart gives very clear signals according to SMC: SELL at Premium – Buy at Discount – all revolving around liquidity hunt & MSS. Two trading zones have been extremely clearly identified: ✔ SELL Zone: 4,219 – 4,221 ✔ BUY Zone: 4,160 – 4,158
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EcdysisTrading
XAU/USD – Gold Retests Bullish OB, Preparing for a Major Recover📊 Market Structure After the Liquidity Sweep around the 4,26x highs, Gold shifted into a short-term distribution phase and formed a series of bearish ChoCHs. However, the entire current decline remains a corrective move, as price is now approaching the Bullish Order Block at 4,155 – 4,158 USD, which is also the primary support of the prevailing trend. The ascending trendline has not been fully broken → buyers still have structure support. The main scenario: price may continue sweeping deeper into the Bullish OB, or even tag the Deep OB at 4,129 – 4,130 USD, before initiating a strong bullish recovery. 💎 Key Technical Zones Bullish OB: 4,155 – 4,158 USD → primary BUY zone Deep OB: 4,129 – 4,130 USD → safer BUY zone (deep retest) Bearish OB: 4,211 – 4,213 USD → short-term SELL reaction Liquidity Above: 4,239 – 4,240 USD 🎯 Trading Plan – Two Clear Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend-Following Priority When price taps the Bullish OB 4,155 – 4,158 and prints a clear rejection candle: Entry: 4,155 – 4,158 SL: 4,128 TP1: 4,188 TP2: 4,211 TP3: 4,239 TP4: 4,260+ → A trend-aligned setup: low risk – high reward. → If price does not react at the Bullish OB, wait for a deeper BUY at the Deep OB (safer). 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – For Intraday Traders Only If price retraces into the Bearish OB 4,211 – 4,213 and shows rejection: Entry: 4,211 – 4,213 SL: 4,225 Short TP: 4,188 → 4,175 → This is only a reaction play. Do NOT hold long-term since the main trend remains bullish. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is likely in its final corrective phase before starting a new bullish leg. As long as 4,129 remains intact, buyers maintain full control. Smart money is likely accumulating around the Bullish OB before pushing price back toward 4,239 – 4,260. ⚡ “Smart money always returns to where strength began — buy where the market was born.” ⏰ Timeframe: H1 📅 Updated: 04/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
1
Gold Uptrend: Retest 4,211 to Surge to 4,236 → 4,254After the Asian session, gold continues to maintain a short-term upward structure as prices consistently create higher lows (HL) and remain trading above the rising trendline. The weakening USD due to expectations of a dovish Fed is also supporting the flow of funds back into precious metals. Currently, the market is entering a "compression" zone below resistance, signaling signs of accumulation before a new expansion phase. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Flow (H1) 1️⃣ Key Supports 4,211 – 4,212 → important retest zone + trendline confluence + previous HL low. 4,187 – 4,188 → deeper support, strong previous buying zone. When prices hold above 4,211 → short-term trend remains bullish. 2️⃣ Key Resistances / Liquidity Zones 4,236 → nearby supply zone, liquidity cluster. 4,254 – 4,255 → expansion target, large liquidity zone above. Prices are reacting at the descending trendline, but the upward momentum remains in control. 🧭 Trading Scenario according to MMF ▶️ Main Scenario – BUY with the trend Wait for price retest: 🔹 BUY zone: 4,211 – 4,213 🔹 SL: below 4,206 🔹 TP1: 4,236 🔹 TP2: 4,254 Logic: Price breaks the intraday down structure, creates higher HL, and is gradually approaching the descending trendline → high breakout potential. ▶️ Alternative Scenario – Deeper BUY If the market "flushes" to take liquidity: 🔹 BUY at 4,187 – 4,189 TP similar to the main scenario. 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish when prices hold above 4,211. Priority: BUY at retest → SELL only for short-term scalping. Target: 4,236 → 4,254 is a liquidity zone that the market can easily be pulled up to sweep.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Pullback to OB & Fibo, then upward trend!1. Market Cont1. Market Context In the M30 timeframe, the price is in a correction phase after forming a strong bottom area around 4,192–4,195. From there, the market has generated a series of positive signals: the price line gradually moves higher, with consecutive CHoCH appearances, indicating weakening selling pressure and a shift in cash flow towards accumulation. The resistance area of 4,230–4,240 remains a significant barrier. If it is broken with a clear closing candle, the upward structure will be confirmed, and the price may expand to higher areas. 2. Key Price Areas (SMC Mapping) Upper Resistance 4,230–4,240: strong reaction area, acting as the first barrier. 4,255–4,256: the next expansion area when the upward trend is confirmed. 4,289–4,290: the final target in the expansion structure of the upward wave. Support Area – Buying Point 4,200–4,216: OB combined with Fibo area, where the price may adjust to regenerate liquidity before rising. 4,192–4,195: strong low area, where the market has reacted strongly before. 3. Fibo & Price Action In the current upward move, the price has approached the 0.786 Fibo and encountered resistance at 4,230–4,240. A correction to the 0.382–0.5 area (corresponding to OB 4,200–4,216) would be reasonable before the market continues to retest higher areas. Notable price action signals: The consecutive appearance of bullish CHoCH indicates that buying pressure is in control. The 4,192 low is still protected and acts as an important low of the recovery phase. If the price retests the OB cleanly, this is a good trigger point for a new upward move. 4. Trading Plan Preferred Scenario: Buy according to structure Buy Waiting Area: 4,200–4,216 (OB + Fibo) Stop Loss: below 4,192 Targets: 4,230–4,240 4,255 4,289–4,290 Confirmation Conditions The price needs to clearly break the resistance area of 4,230–4,240 to trigger upward momentum. The retest of the OB must occur with reduced liquidity and a confirming candle pattern. 5. Summary The market structure shows a short-term upward trend is forming. The price is likely to adjust to the 4,200–4,216 area before continuing upwards to 4,240 and further to 4,255–4,290. The appropriate strategy is to wait to buy in the OB & Fibo area under the condition of clear confirmation signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell ...XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell Setup at the Extension Zone Gold continues its upward momentum as the USD weakens sharply, breaking the descending trendline and forming a Wolfe Wave pattern on the H1 chart. Price is currently rotating around the POC – VAH cluster of the previous distribution zone, making it very likely to react before the NFP release. At this stage, I prioritise buying with the main trend, but I also prepare a short-term sell setup if the market becomes “overstretched” before the news. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Priority BUY at POC/VAH Buy: 4,209 – 4,212 SL: 4,205 TP: 4,233 – 4,260 – 4,299 Reason: Price is retesting the POC – VAH cluster right after breaking above the descending trendline. The Wolfe Wave structure points toward higher targets, aligning with the continuation of the bullish trend. The 4,209–4,212 zone offers good liquidity, allowing a tight stop loss while maintaining an attractive R:R. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL Reaction at the Upper Extension Zone Sell (only if a clear reversal signal appears): 4,323 – 4,325 SL: 4,333 TP reference: 4,299 – 4,260 – 4,233 Reason: The 4,323–4,325 zone is an upper extension area, overlapping with the Wolfe Wave resistance and a previous supply zone. If price is “pushed” into this region before NFP, and H1 candles show long upper wicks or weakening volume, I will consider it a counter-trend sell opportunity back toward the POC/support areas. This is a counter-trend trade, so position size should be smaller and execution must be clean and quick. 1️⃣ Fundamental View Before NFP The USD is attempting to recover from its late-October lows but is restricted by expectations of the Fed turning dovish soon. Recent data shows a cooling U.S. economy and a slowing labour market—raising the probability of a 25bps rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. Additional developments: The Government Accountability Office has launched an investigation involving a “Fed critic.” Kevin Hassett stated that he believes the Fed may cut rates soon. These factors strengthen the narrative that the interest rate peak is behind us. Although Challenger job cuts dropped sharply compared to the previous month, the overall economic picture still suggests slowing growth, which supports gold in the medium term. Summary: Fundamentals remain supportive for gold. NFP will only determine how deep or how fast the next correction will be—not a trend reversal unless the numbers are extremely out of expectations. 2️⃣ Technical Outlook from the Chart On H1, gold has broken the descending trendline and moved back above the POC area of the previous downmove. A Wolfe Wave pattern has formed, projecting targets higher than current price. Price is currently hovering around POC – VAH: If it holds above 4,209–4,212, the next targets are likely 4.26x–4.29x. If price gets strongly rejected near 4.32x before or after NFP, this becomes a valid zone to look for sell reactions. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Risk Management Priority: BUY at 4,209–4,212, SL 4,205, TP 4,233–4,260–4,299 Sell setup at 4,323–4,325 is activated only when reversal signals appear If NFP causes excessive volatility, prioritise waiting for price to stabilise around the POC before re-entering new setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR BUY SCALPING AT 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE ...XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR BUY SCALPING AT 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA 1. Fundamental Analysis Toward the end of this week, the market is almost “holding its breath” ahead of the PCE report – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, considered the final key puzzle piece before the year-end meeting. Recent surveys show weakening consumer confidence and rising recession risks. However, Black Friday and holiday shopping numbers indicate demand is still fairly strong. For that reason, PCE will play the decisive role: If inflation continues to cool, the market will strengthen its ~87% expectation of a 25bps rate cut by the Fed, supporting equities and, in the medium term, providing a positive foundation for gold. Before the data release, gold typically trades sideways with compressed volatility as money stays on the sidelines waiting for clearer signals. Today, Lana treats the session purely as a scalping day, without opening any long-term positions. 2. Technical Analysis H1 timeframe: Gold is moving inside an ascending price channel, with each low higher than the previous one. The lower trendline of the channel passes through the 4180–4185 zone. Above, resistance sits at 4219, and further up at the POC cluster 4241–4244. But with the current sideways behaviour, price has not shown any intention of a strong breakout. During Thursday and Friday morning, the range became noisy, with candles clustering around the mid-channel area – a sign of accumulation while waiting for a breakout. For this reason, Lana avoids buying or selling in the middle of the range. She focuses only on clear liquidity zones near the rising trendline for scalping. 3. Key Price Levels Buy scalping zone: 4185 – 4180 (trendline support + liquidity zone) Secondary support: 4165 – 4156 Near resistance: 4219 Major resistance / POC: 4241 – 4244 4. Trading Scenario ⭐ Primary (and only) scenario – Weekend Buy Scalping Buy: 4185 – 4180 Stop Loss: 4178 Take Profit: At least +15–20 pips from entry (Traders may choose to secure partial profits at nearby resistance levels.) Today, Lana will not open any long-term positions — she focuses solely on this scalping setup. Next week, once the PCE data and the Fed’s decision provide clearer market direction, she will share more detailed updates. 💛 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold analysis updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 5/12/2025 1. Momentum Analysis D1: Daily momentum has begun moving into the oversold zone, indicating that the current corrective phase may be nearing completion. We will wait for a bullish daily candle to confirm the reversal. H4: H4 momentum is declining, suggesting that price may continue to drop or move sideways to bring momentum into the oversold area. H1: H1 momentum is currently rising, so the market may see a short-term upward move or sideways action at this timeframe. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure D1 – Higher-Timeframe Structure Price remains within the green ABC structure of wave X. With D1 momentum entering the oversold zone and preparing to reverse, the market may continue upward for 4–5 days. The upward momentum range on D1 is quite large, meaning wave C could push higher toward the previous top or even exceed it—potentially forming an expanded flat or even initiating a new uptrend. We will continue monitoring to refine the strategy. ________________________________________ H4 – Medium-Term Wave Count Price is currently forming green wave 4, developing mostly sideways. A strong bullish candle will likely confirm that wave 4 is complete, allowing the market to begin green wave 5. Projected target for wave 5 (green): 4329 ________________________________________ H1 – Short-Term Structure Price is fluctuating inside a major liquidity zone: • Upper liquidity zone: 4184 – 4245 • Lower thin-liquidity zone: 4144 – 4184 This creates two possible scenarios: ________________________________________ Scenario 1 – Black ABC correction If price closes below 4184, it will break through the thin-liquidity zone. In this case: • Wave C (black) targets 4144, where C = A • If price drops deeper into the green wave 1 area → the current wave count becomes invalid, and a new structure will be updated accordingly ________________________________________ Scenario 2 – Triangle structure for wave 4 If price fails to break below 4184, the triangle pattern for wave 4 remains valid. The two red trendlines outline this structure, and price may currently be in wave d or e. We will wait for a strong bullish candle breaking the upper triangle boundary to trigger a breakout entry. ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Triangle scenario • Wait for a bullish breakout above the upper boundary. ABC correction scenario • Wait for price to reach 4144 to trigger the buy setup. ________________________________________ ✅ Buy Zone: 4146 – 4144 ❌ SL: 4124 🎯 TP1: 4184 🎯 TP2: 4245 🎯 TP3: 4329
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Bullish Breakout & Golden Zone Reversal AnalysisChart Analysis (Gold – 15m) 1. Trend Structure Price has been moving inside a descending channel, showing short-term bearish pressure. Now price is attempting a breakout from the channel, signaling a potential bullish reversal. 2. Key Support Zones (Demand Areas) 4,187.08 → First support where buyers reacted. 4,178.10 → Deep liquidity zone (strong demand). These levels align with Fibonacci retracement clusters: 0.618 (4,186.98) 0.705 (4,184.22) 0.79 (4,181.51) This confirms a high-probability reversal zone. 3. Fibonacci Strategy Price touched the 0.618–0.79 golden pocket and bounced. This supports a long setup targeting the 1:1 impulse projection. 4. Moving Averages (EMA Strategy) EMA 70 and EMA 200 are above price during correction. A breakout + retest above EMAs would confirm further bullish momentum. 5. Breakout Strategy A clear breakout above the descending channel suggests the beginning of a new bullish leg. 6. Target Projection The measured move indicates: Target Point: 4,240.21 Expected gain: ≈ +1.25% (≈ 52.5 points) 7. Signal Summary ✔️ Support respected ✔️ Breakout forming ✔️ EMA alignment improving ✔️ Fibonacci golden zone bounce ✔️ Bullish target activated 📌 Final Signal Bullish Bias (Long) above 4,187 🎯 Target: 4,240 🛡 Stop-loss: Below 4,178 NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NSE:NIFTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:SI1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS144
XAU/USD: Buy Gold on Support Retest, Bullish StructureGold continues to fluctuate within a compression model + ascending support, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the market wants to accumulate before bouncing to the upper supply zones. Recent data shows USD cooling as the market increases expectations that the FED will be more dovish → creating a support base for XAU/USD's short-term rise. 📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Frame (MMF Flow) 1️⃣ Key Support: 4,187 – 4,188: BUY zone + lower trendline + strong price reaction. Price just retested and bounced → confirming active buying remains. 2️⃣ Near Resistance: 4,211 – 4,212: mid-liquidity zone → expected to create HL before breaking the downtrend line. 3️⃣ Main Target Zone: 4,236 → strong resistance, confluence multiple times from the market. Further: 4,254 → large supply zone, is an extended target if price breaks out. 🧭 Trading Scenario According to MMF Main Scenario – BUY with Trend BUY again when price retests 4,187 – 4,188 or BUY when price breaks 4,212 then retests. TP Targets: TP1: 4,212 TP2: 4,236 TP3: 4,254 SL: below 4,182. Idea: price creates an absorption model + HL on trendline → potential to pull up to the upper liquidity zones. Secondary Scenario – SELL Reaction Only for scalp traders: SELL reaction at 4,236 – 4,238 TP: 4,212 SL: 4,243 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish on H1 when price holds 4,187. Priority: BUY at the bottom – SELL at the top only for scalp. Wait for the downtrend line to break to extend the target to 4,254.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Recovery structure testing 4,239 – 4,2611. Market Context On the M30 timeframe, the previous downtrend has started to weaken. The price has formed a series of Equal Lows patterns, indicating that the short-term bottom is protected, followed by a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a slight Break of Structure (BOS). This reflects that the selling pressure has decreased in intensity and the market is transitioning into an accumulation phase, preparing for a recovery. The downtrend line is still valid, but the price is approaching the breakout area. Closing candles above this line will confirm a phase transition. 2. Key Price Areas Upper Supply Zone 4,239 – 4,240: the nearest strong reaction area, acting as the main resistance. 4,261: coincides with the 1.272 Fibonacci of the correction wave, a notable liquidity area. 4,282 – 4,283: expansion target, corresponding to Fibonacci 1.618. These areas will be points where the market may show counter-reactions during the uptrend. Lower Demand Zone 4,168 – 4,154: the Demand Zone formed from the previous strong reversal. This is the area where the market effectively absorbed selling pressure and may continue to act as support during corrections. 3. Fibo and Price Action The current uptrend is following a standard pullback structure: from the 4,168 bottom, the price recovers to Fibonacci levels like 0.236 – 0.382, then forms a small correction before approaching the downtrend line again. If the price surpasses the trendline, the next targets will be: 4,213 (Fibo 0.618), then the main supply zone 4,239 – 4,240. Closing candles above this area will pave the way for the next targets at 4,261 and 4,282. 4. Trading Plan Buy Scenario – prioritize during correction Early buy position: 4,188 – 4,195 (retest small structure and trendline) Optimal buy zone: 4,168 – 4,154 (Demand Zone + deep Fibo correction) Stop loss: below 4,150 Targets: 4,213 4,239 – 4,240 4,261 expanding to 4,282 Short-term Sell Scalp Scenario Reaction zone: 4,227 – 4,230 (near resistance + 0.786 Fibo) Stop loss: 4,236 Target: 4,205 – 4,195 Note: This is only a short-term strategy, not the main trend. 5. Summary • The market structure is transitioning from a downtrend to an accumulation – recovery phase. • If the price surpasses and holds above the trendline, the nearest target will be 4,239 – 4,240. • The supply zones 4,239 – 4,261 – 4,282 will play a decisive role in the next uptrend. • The most effective trading strategy remains to wait for a buy during corrections to the strong support zone 4,168 – 4,154.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold (XAU/USD): FED WILL CUT! ADP HAS MADE IT CLEAR.🎯 Fundamental Summary SHOCKING News: ADP private payrolls unexpectedly DECREASED by 32,000 (completely contrary to the expected increase). Impact on Fed: This weak labor data strongly reinforces the expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next meeting. Conclusion: A lower interest rate environment is the main "tailwind," boosting demand for non-yielding Gold. 📈 Technical Analysis The market is approaching a decisive zone. Gold needs a breakthrough: Strong Supply Zone (Key Level): $4,200 – $4,212 Expected Action/Reaction: If Gold breaks and closes above $4,212, the fundamental momentum will prevail, confirming a strong UP trend. Important Demand Zone (Strong Support): $4,131 – $4,140 Expected Action/Reaction: The final support area. If there is a deep decline, this is a potential buying point based on the news. #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #FundamentalAnalysis #Fed #ADP #LaborMarket #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
what do you think about today's gold price?Hello Traders, what do you think about today's gold price? Today the market will have news related to Unemployment Benefits, so I expect the trading range to be slightly narrow and liquidity relatively low. Please be more cautious in placing orders and managing capital. Below are the important support – resistance zones I am monitoring today: 🔵 BUY ZONE (Support) 4180 – 4184 4160 – 4165 4150 – 4155 4130 – 4133 ➡️ These are strong support zones – prioritize watching for Buy in the Sideway range. 🔴 SELL ZONE (Resistance) 4240 – 4244 4250 – 4255 ➡️ These are the upper resistance zones – suitable for watching for Sell when the price rebounds to the range. 👀 NEAREST OBSERVATION ZONE 4217 – 4220 ➡️ This is the directional zone, observe price reactions to determine continuation or adjustment forces. 🎯 Trading orientation for the day Personal style: SL10 price – TP10 price. Trade within the Sideway range, Buy low – Sell high. Break any zone, trade that zone, avoid holding orders against the trend. Low liquidity → trade lightly & manage capital tightly. ⚠️ Note: This is a personal trading plan, not investment advice. Please consider it as reference material. Wishing you a successful trading day – enter and win! 💹✨
TVC:GOLD
by Chum_trades
Gold 1H – Will 4242 Displace or 4170 Unlock the Next Leg?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (04/12) 📈 Market Context Gold squeezes into engineered liquidity as Donald Trump signals policy authorization for ultra-compact car production in the U.S., adding risk-on volatility to USD narratives. Markets may front-run sentiment shifts into commodities like gold. Expect fast bilateral sweeps before institutions reveal intent. On H1, structure toggles between premium supply at 4242–4244 and discount demand at 4170–4168. The next directional leg requires MSS + BOS + displacement confluence. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes Liquidity Zones & Key Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Bias invalidation only via structure break + displacement validation. Expected Sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 Rules: ✔ Zone tap 4243 → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15) ✔ Clean bearish BOS down + candle displacement ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement Targets: 1. 4200 – 4190 2. 4182 – 4176 3. 4170 – 4168 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up ✔ Displacement candle away from discount ✔ Wick rejection into FVG fill / OB retest confirm Targets: 1. 4186 2. 4210 3. 4242+ ⚠️ Risk Notes • Both sweeps = traps until BOS + Displacement confirms intent • No averaging inside compression • SL = structural invalidation only • Reduce size during headline-driven spikes 📍 Summary Two institutional paths today: • 4243 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4170 or • 4169 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into 4242+ Trade the structure. Let price narrate the intent. Patience = edge. 🚀 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – H1 in a Downward Channel | Prefer Selling at Channel...XAUUSD – H1 in a Downward Channel | Prefer Selling at Channel Top & Buying at Trendline + Fibonacci Market Structure (H1) Gold is currently sliding inside a well-defined downward channel after forming a top around the 4.22x–4.23x region. With this structure in place, I avoid taking trades in the middle of the channel. Instead, I focus only on the two extreme zones: Sell at the upper channel resistance Buy at the lower trendline + Fibonacci confluence 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 1️⃣ Sell Scenario – Short Position at Resistance 4,203 Sell: 4,203 Stop Loss: 4,225 (aggressive) 4,249 (safer for swing positions) Take Profit: 4,183 → 4,161 → 4,143 Why 4,203 Is a Strong Sell Zone It is the upper resistance of the H1 descending channel. Price previously faced strong selling pressure here (supply zone). If gold pulls back to retest 4,203, I prioritise short positions following the channel structure. The first target is the recent low near 4,183, and extended targets lie at 4,161–4,143, aligned with mid-channel demand. 2️⃣ Buy Scenario – Long Position at Channel Bottom (Trendline + Fibonacci) Buy: 4,142 Stop Loss: 4,119 (aggressive) 4,098 (safer option) Take Profit: 4,170 → 4,198 → 4,205 Why 4,142 Is a High-Quality Buy Zone Confluence of the major ascending trendline, Fibonacci support, And a previous demand area. If gold falls into this zone and prints strong bullish reactions (pin bars, long wicks, rising volume), I consider it a valid counter-trend buy setup, aiming for the mid-channel and the 4.20x resistance. 📌 1️⃣ Fundamental Context The USD is attempting a short-term rebound from its lowest levels since late October, creating temporary pressure on gold. However, this recovery is limited because the market expects the Fed to shift toward a more dovish stance: Recent macro data shows the US economy is cooling, with slowing growth. Labour market conditions appear softer in November. As a result, the probability of a 25bps rate cut at next week’s FOMC meeting has increased. This keeps the medium-term outlook for gold positive, even though the current phase on H1 is still a technical correction. Summary: Short-term downside within the H1 channel, But medium-term bias for gold remains supported by rate-cut expectations. 📌 2️⃣ Technical Outlook & Market Psychology The H1 descending channel indicates a distribution/correction phase following a strong upward move. Each touch of the channel top triggers selling — showing sellers remain active at higher prices. The lower boundary + long-term trendline near 4.14x acts as an attractive area for medium-term buyers waiting for discounted entries. Current sentiment: Short-term traders: prefer selling at resistance and buying at support within the channel. Medium-term traders: patiently wait for deeper zones near 4.14x, avoiding FOMO entries around 4.20x. 📌 3️⃣ Execution Plan I avoid trading in the middle of the channel. Only act at the two extremes: Sell setup: 4,203 Buy setup: 4,142 Risk per trade is limited to 1–2% of the account. Choose SL depending on timeframe (aggressive vs. conservative). If price breaks the channel decisively Above 4,249 (H1 close) or Below 4,098, → I cancel all current setups and reassess the structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA | Sell 4190–4194 and Buy 4100–4102 | 04/12 ...XAUUSD – LANA | Sell 4190–4194 and Buy 4100–4102 | 04/12 1. Fundamental Analysis The current market sentiment is dominated by concerns about a global economic slowdown. In a recession cycle, bond yields in the US and Europe tend to fall faster than in Japan, as these regions still have more room for rate cuts. This results in: A narrowing yield spread, causing USD/JPY carry trades to unwind. Increased risk-off sentiment, pushing money back into JPY and safe-haven assets like gold. If risk aversion strengthens further, USD/JPY may experience sharp declines rather than a slow drop. Such volatility in the currency market often triggers strong swings in gold as well, providing better liquidity zones to trade — instead of chasing price at unfavourable levels. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, gold is currently being squeezed between two major trendlines: Upper descending trendline: drawn from the 4,245–4,260 highs, indicating sellers are active whenever price touches this line. Lower ascending trendline: extending from the previous month’s low, acting as support for the medium-term uptrend. Key zones on the chart: Timing zone 4190–4194: Near the descending trendline + previous volume cluster. This is Lana’s preferred short-term Sell zone. Buy zone at POC – VAL (Volume Profile): A price area where strong trading activity occurred previously — potential buying interest if price corrects deeper. Buy Liquidity Zone 4100–4102: Located just above the major ascending trendline. An attractive liquidity zone for trend-continuation buys if the market flushes downward. Summary: Price may first retrace to 4190–4194 and weaken from there. If price drops to 4100–4102 and holds the ascending trendline, this becomes a solid area to consider buying again. 3. Key Price Levels to Watch Resistance / Sell zone: 4190 – 4194 Invalidation for Sell (wide SL zone): 4219 – 4231 Support / Buy zone: 4100 – 4102 SL options for Buy setup: 4081 – 4063 – 4045 (depending on individual risk appetite) 4. Trade Scenarios ⭐ Short-Term Sell Setup Sell entry: 4190 – 4194 SL: 4219 – 4231 TP: 4181 – 4155 ⭐ Deep Buy Setup (Trend-Following) Buy entry: 4100 – 4102 SL: 4081 – 4063 – 4045
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI – SSS Liquidity SChart Analysis 1. Market Context The chart shows XAUUSD after a decline, now tapping into an EXTREME POI (Point of Interest). Price reached a previous demand zone where strong reactions occurred before. 2. Liquidity Structure Multiple areas are labeled “SSS” (Sell-Side Liquidity / Sell-Side Sweep). Price appears to have: Swept liquidity beneath local lows (SSS). Tapped the extreme POI. Shown an immediate rejection wick, indicating buyers stepping in. This suggests the market may be exhausting sellers and preparing for a bullish leg. 3. Execution Zone The grey region represents the entry zone (likely a demand imbalance / mitigation area). The large blue box above marks the risk-to-reward projection for a long position. 4. Targets You’ve placed two clear targets: Target 1 A mid-range liquidity level at approximately 4217.279. Represents a logical first take-profit based on prior structural inefficiencies. Target 2 The upper area (labeled “TARGET”), aligning with: Prior swing highs A supply zone A premium pricing zone (after retracement) This would be the full TP for the bullish move. 5. Bias Summary Bias: Bullish Reason: Liquidity sweep + POI tap + structure showing potential for upside displacement. The setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts: Sweep → Mitigation → Displacement → Targeting Imbalances & Liquidity Pools
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 04/12/20251. Momentum • D1: The D1 momentum is currently moving downward. We will need about 1–2 more daily candles for D1 momentum to enter the oversold zone, which would create conditions for a potential bullish reversal. • H4: H4 momentum is in the oversold zone. Therefore, today we may see another upward move or a period of sideways consolidation if H4 starts to turn upward. • H1: H1 momentum is decreasing, so a downward move on the H1 timeframe is likely before any reversal upward. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • D1: The D1 chart currently shows 4 consecutive bearish candles. Only 1–2 more candles are needed for D1 momentum to reach the oversold zone and prepare for a reversal. The small candle bodies and lack of strong bearish momentum indicate that wave C may still have one more push to the upside. Potential target zones: 4329 and 4396. • H4: As D1 momentum approaches the oversold zone, today may complete wave 4 (green) within the 5-wave green structure. After that, price is expected to continue upward to complete wave 5 (green). • H1: Yesterday, we expected price to reach 4245, but it only touched 4242 before dropping. With the current structure, I expect a black ABC pattern. The current decline is likely heading toward 4168 or 4144 to complete wave 4 (green). • Important Note: H4 momentum is in the oversold zone and can reverse at any moment. Therefore, 4184 is also a strong support area. If H4 momentum turns upward and price moves sideways within 4184 – 4245, we may see the formation of a triangle correction for wave 4. I will update if this scenario develops. ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan We focus on the zone where wave (C) equals wave (A) in length — which is around 4144, the preferred level for the completion of wave (C) and a Buy setup. Buy Zone: 4146 – 4144 SL: 4125 TP1: 4168 TP2: 4246
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1. Bullish Reversal Setup From POI Toward Key TargetChart Analysis (Gold – 30m) Trend Structure: Price is currently in a corrective down-move inside a rising channel, but overall structure still respects higher-timeframe bullish momentum. 🔵 Key Zones Bullish POI (Demand Zone): Lower blue zone – strong reaction point from previous impulsive move. Bullish Order Block: Upper blue zone – price is retesting this area for liquidity collection. 📈 Indicators Used EMA 70 & EMA 200: Price is oscillating between both EMAs. EMA 70 above EMA 200 → bullish bias still intact. Liquidity Sweep: Wick rejections below structure indicate liquidity grab before bullish reaction. 📌 Market Behavior Price is expected to dip into POI to collect liquidity. From POI, a bullish reversal is projected toward target zone 4,264.57. 🎯 Target 4,264.57 (Highlighted target level; aligns with channel top + liquidity zone) 📊 Summary Signal Price likely retraces into the Bullish POI, then forms a strong bullish impulse toward the target. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CME_MINI:ES1! NYMEX:CL1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! NSE:NIFTY1! COMEX:SI1!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS144
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea: Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing). There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap. The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance. 🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward) Parameter Plan Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone. Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout). Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled. Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance. ⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch) FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited. A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin. But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid. Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader