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Xauusdanalysis

11th JUNE GOLD PREDICTIONTo analyze the gold price scenario as described, with a focus on selling in the zone of 2325-2332 and a stop loss (SL) placed 5 points above this zone, it's important to consider several factors that influence gold prices, such as market trends, economic indicators, and geopolitical events. Here's a structured analysis: Current Market Trends Price Movement: As of your stated range (2325-2332), it seems you are looking at a relatively high point in recent price movements. It's crucial to examine the short-term and long-term trends to understand if the current price is at a peak or if it has potential to climb higher. Volatility: The specified narrow selling zone and tight stop loss suggest that the market is possibly experiencing low to moderate volatility. However, it's essential to monitor volatility indices or historical price fluctuations to confirm this. Technical Analysis Resistance and Support Levels: The specified selling zone (2325-2332) should be assessed to determine if it aligns with key resistance levels identified through historical price analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD June 11, 2024 waiting for an opportunity to buy up?This week we have important news: CPI news. Last week's Nofarm newsletter provided indicators that allow the Fed to continue maintaining monetary policy as rising employment data gives the Fed confidence that people can still withstand tightening monetary policy. But with other recent data, the US economy is clearly being adversely affected by the Fed's monetary policy. On Wednesday, CPI news will be released and will clearly show us the Fed's trend in the near future. When the forecasted indicators are very positive for the Fed's work to control inflation. If the news is announced as expected, it could be a signal for the Fed to loosen its monetary policy. Looking at H4, we see the recovery after the sharp decline last week, signaling that wave 4 is forming. - Looking at the corrective wave structure, we see that there have been 3 corrective waves a b c and the current position of wave c has also reached the target area that we predicted the day before. - It is possible that wave C in the corrective structure or wave 4 as shown on the chart has now formed and we expect wave 5 to continue the downtrend. - Looking at the momentum of the H4 frame, we see that the H4 momentum has reversed to decrease in the overbought area, this reinforces the upcoming decline. - We measure the end target of wave 5 ending at 2 price target areas: area 2264 and area 2229. In the immediate future, we can look for sell down orders When the price continues to target wave 5, which is 2264 or 2229, we look for buy orders. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD week 2 June 2024 where will the decline come?Last week, China announced that it would stop buying Gold in May, making investors worried, leading to a sharp drop last Friday. In addition, the published Nonfarm news also showed that the change in US employment rate increased sharply from 165k to 275k. These are the things that caused Gold to have a sharp decline on Friday Looking at D1, we see that the sharp drop in price on Friday completely negated the increase last week. - This also confirms that wave 5 has not yet started when the price breaks below the 2318 zone - So the wave 4 correction model now becomes a Flat model with the top of wave b equal to the bottom of wave a. - From the measurement, we can measure the target of wave c in wave abc or wave 4, there will be 2 targets: area 2260 and area 2205. - This correction process, the abc process in wave 4, is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through 2452 - This correction is negated (i.e. our current wave counting model is no longer valid) when the price breaks below 2145. - Looking at the current momentum indicator, it is preparing to reverse and decrease so in the short term, the price will continue to decline, so we should limit bottom fishing at the current price range. Our trading plan is to observe two target zones, the 2260 zone and the 2205 zone, to find a buy signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
7th JUNE GOLD ANALYSISTo analyze the potential movement in gold prices based on the anticipation of nonfarm payroll news, and with specific target prices and stop-loss settings as you've described, we'll look into several factors: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) News Impact: The nonfarm payroll report is a key economic indicator that represents the total number of paid U.S. workers excluding farm employees, government employees, private household employees, and employees of nonprofit organizations. Significant deviations from expectations in this report can cause substantial volatility in the financial markets, including gold. Gold's Response to Economic Indicators: Typically, gold is considered a safe-haven asset. In times of economic uncertainty or when the data is worse than expected, investors might flock to gold, driving up its price. Conversely, if the economic outlook is strong, gold prices can decrease as investors turn to riskier assets. Technical Analysis: You mentioned specific price targets for gold: Entry Zone: 2394-2398 Stop-Loss (SL): 5 prices above the entry Risk-Reward Ratio: You've set a risk-reward ratio of 1:3. This means for every unit of risk taken, the potential return is three times that risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
2
Gold is bullish above 2360 2362 till 2385 2395Good Morning Traders, Till the time gold is moving above 2360 and 2362 we can se more above levels 2380 2385 and 2390 2395. If Gold will break 2360 and sustain below then only we can see 3450 2345 and 2340 Reson for gold bullishness is Israel’s war on Gaza updates:At least 40 people died in the strike on the United Nations-run school in Nuseirat, medical workers at the nearby Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital said. Our preference is sell from high and buy from dip Plan accordingly, Happy Trading 😊
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by vikasvasusharma
6th June GOLD ANALYSISWhen analyzing the recent price movement of gold and its implications, it's important to consider several factors that could influence the market and trading strategies. Here’s a structured analysis based on your current observations: 1. Technical Analysis Breaking the Bearish Channel: Gold breaking out of a bearish channel signifies a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This breakout is a technical signal that often encourages traders to look for buying opportunities as the expectation for upward movement increases. Lack of Clear Resistance: The absence of identifiable resistance levels following the breakout suggests that gold might have a relatively unobstructed path higher in the short term. However, historical price levels, psychological price points (like round numbers), and Fibonacci extensions might serve as implicit resistance levels. 2. Entry Zone and Price Targets Buying Zone (2351 - 2356): This narrow zone appears to be selected based on recent price consolidations or retracements post-breakout. It's crucial to monitor price action within this zone for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or rebounding from moving averages. Risk-Reward Ratio (1:2.5): This ratio implies that for every unit of risk (e.g., a dollar, a point), there is an expectation to make 2.5 times that in profit. This risk management strategy is aggressive and aims for higher returns but should be backed by strong conviction in the bullish scenario.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuruTop
5th JUNE GOLD ANALYSISFor a refined analysis of gold trading, considering the given sell zones, we can focus on two specific strategies that traders can deploy: a reactive approach where traders wait for the zones to activate before selling, and a proactive approach where traders set limit orders in advance. Here’s how each can be implemented effectively: Strategy 1: Reactive Selling Strategy Sell Zone 1: 2347-2354 Sell Zone 2: 2358-2364 Overview : This strategy involves waiting for the price of gold to enter the specified sell zones before executing a sell order. Traders monitor the market actively and react once the conditions align. Execution : Monitoring: Traders need to keep a close eye on gold prices as they approach the sell zones. This can be facilitated through real-time price alerts. Confirmation : Once the price enters a sell zone, look for technical confirmation of a price reversal, such as bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, hanging man) or technical indicators like the RSI turning downwards from overbought conditions. Sell Execution: Execute the sell order only after confirming that the price is likely to decline, ensuring it's not merely touching the zone before a further upward movement. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just above the highest point of the sell zone to minimize losses if the price unexpectedly rises. Profit Targets: Determine exit points either at a fixed profit target or at the next significant support level lower than the sell zones. Strategy 2: Proactive Limit Order Strategy Sell Zone 1: 2347-2354 Sell Zone 2: 2358-2364 Overview: This strategy uses limit orders set at predefined prices within the sell zones, allowing traders to automatically enter trades without needing to monitor prices continuously. Execution : Setting Limit Orders: Place sell limit orders at the higher end of each sell zone (e.g., 2354 and 2364) to capture the initial reversal momentum. Volume and Momentum Analysis: Before setting the orders, analyze historical volume and momentum data to ensure these points have previously acted as strong resistance levels. Stop-Loss: Place stop-loss orders just above the sell zones to protect against breakout risks. Automatic Execution: Since this strategy doesn't require continuous monitoring, it is suitable for traders who cannot watch the markets at all times. However, periodic checks are recommended to adjust the orders based on recent market behavior. Profit Targets: Set automatic take-profit levels based on historical support levels or predetermined profit goals. Risk Management Both strategies require careful risk management. It's vital to: Determine the size of the trade based on a percentage of the total trading capital to avoid significant impacts from a single trade. Use a risk-reward ratio that justifies the potential risk, typically no less than 1:2. Be aware of market news and economic events that could influence gold prices drastically, adjusting strategies as needed. Conclusion By using these strategies, traders can optimize their trading approach based on their ability to monitor the markets and their risk tolerance. The reactive strategy is ideal for those who can actively manage their trades, while the proactive strategy suits those needing a more set-and-forget approach. Both strategies leverage the defined sell zones to maximize potential returns while minimizing risks, accommodating different trading styles and schedules.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
4th June Gold AnalysisAs of now, the gold price stands at $2,351 per ounce. To capitalize on potential selling opportunities, we've delineated two key zones where we anticipate strong sell entries, guided by the Smart Money concept, which focuses on identifying areas where institutional money is likely to have a significant impact. First Sell Zone: 2356-2362 USD - This zone is identified as a potential area for initiating sell orders. The range closely aligns with minor resistance levels where institutional sellers are expected to enter the market. Traders should monitor price action closely in this band for signs of reversal patterns or rejection signals that indicate a good selling opportunity. Second Sell Zone: 2365-2370 USD - Slightly higher on the scale, this zone represents a more aggressive selling area. It is selected based on historical resistance and the likely presence of order blocks placed by institutional traders. Entering sell orders in this zone could yield higher returns, but it comes with a greater risk, necessitating stringent risk management strategies. By employing the Smart Money concept, we focus on zones where large market players are likely to create significant price movements. Traders are advised to wait for confirmatory signals within these zones before placing trades to ensure alignment with smart money actions and to maximize the potential for profitable outcomes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone?We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset. Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area - Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong - Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5 - Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time. - We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
31ST MAY GOLD ANALYSISTo analyze the gold price scenario where it corrects before rising to target levels of $2,357 to $2,362, where a selling strategy could be implemented with a stop-loss (SL) of 5 points below the entry price, we need to consider several factors that influence gold prices. This includes technical analysis and market sentiments. Technical Analysis Trend Analysis: If gold prices are trending upwards, the correction might be a retracement in a larger bullish trend. Tools like Fibonacci retracement levels can help identify potential support levels during corrections. Resistance Levels: The specified target prices ($2,357 to $2,362) must be analyzed within the context of historical resistance levels. If these prices have previously acted as resistance, they may do so again. Volume and Momentum: Volume during the rise should be observed; increasing volume can confirm the strength behind the upward movement. Momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the MACD can provide insights into whether the gold price is overbought or oversold during these phases. Moving Averages: Using moving averages (like the 50-day or 200-day) can help smooth out price data to identify the general direction of the market trend and potential reversal points. Market Sentiments Geopolitical Events: Events like economic sanctions, elections, or military conflicts can affect market sentiment and influence gold prices. Economic Data: Releases such as inflation reports, employment data, and GDP growth can impact investor behavior towards safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Actions: Decisions on interest rates or comments from central bank officials can lead to market movements. Strategy Implementation Entry Point: Determining the entry point during the correction phase is crucial. It should ideally be at a significant support level where the price is expected to rebound. Stop-Loss (SL): Placing the SL at a price 5 points below the entry level is a risk management technique to minimize potential losses should the market move against your position. Take Profit (TP): Setting the selling point at $2,357 to $2,362 based on prior resistance levels allows for profit realization before potential pullbacks. Risk Management Risk/Reward Ratio: Ensure that the potential reward justifies the risk being taken. A common approach is to aim for a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2. Position Sizing: Calculate the appropriate position size based on how much of your total capital you are willing to risk on a single trade. Conclusion Implementing this strategy requires monitoring the market closely for signs that support the hypothesis of a correction followed by a rise. Always be prepared to adjust the strategy based on new market data and economic indicators.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
3rd June Gold AnalysisTo create a focused analysis for a sell plan strategy on gold using the Smart Money Concept (SMC) indicator, especially considering the ongoing strong downtrend, we'll consider the current market dynamics, how the SMC indicator can guide decisions, and outline a specific strategic approach referred to as "2331-2336". Current Gold Market Dynamics The price of gold is influenced by a myriad of factors. Key among these are: US Dollar Strength: Typically, gold moves inversely to the U.S. dollar. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand. Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can lead to lower gold prices as investors seek yield-bearing assets. Economic Confidence: Improved economic outlooks often draw investors away from gold, which is considered a safe haven during uncertainty. Technical Factors: Technical selling can be triggered when gold breaks key support levels, leading to further declines.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals. The news was announced yesterday Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6% Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k News that pending home sales are down 7.7% Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control. Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy. The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. . Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded. - After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week. - Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332. Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD on May 30, 2024, the rally is about to beginWith the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. Today will release news on unemployment claims, preliminary GDP, and pending home sales, with forecasts worse than last period, if tonight's actual index reflects correctly. This seems to signal that the US economy is being affected by monetary policy due to maintaining current high interest rates. Tomorrow is an important day to announce the PCI index (Index of price changes and consumer goods purchased by consumers excluding food and energy). If this index cools down, it could influence the Fed to loosen current monetary policy. Looking back over recent times, we see that the CPI inflation index has begun to show signs of decreasing, combined with economic pressure that may cause the Fed to decide to loosen its monetary policy, especially tomorrow if PCI index cooled down. Looking at H1, we see that the price has completed wave 4 and is continuing to complete wave 5. - We see that the current price has broken below the supply and demand balance zone as shown on the chart - With the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. - We wait for the price to reach the 2322.7 or 2311.5 areas to find reversal signals to decide to buy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
29th MAY GOLD ANALYSISCurrent Price Movement Support Zone: 2348 - 2343 Resistance Level: 2370 Correction Phase: 2348 - 2343 The gold price is expected to correct downwards to the support zone between 2348 and 2343. Reasons for Correction: Profit-taking by short-term traders. Testing previous support levels to establish a stronger base for the next upward move. The gold price is currently undergoing a correction phase within the support zone of 2348 - 2343. It is expected to rebound and test the resistance at 2370 if the technical indicators align with the bullish scenario. Continuous monitoring of the moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume will provide insights into the strength and direction of the next price movement. This analysis should be supplemented with up-to-date market news and fundamental factors that could impact gold prices, such as economic data releases and geopolitical developments.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuruTop
2
28th May GOLD ANALYSISCurrent Market Overview: Gold is currently exhibiting a fluctuating trend influenced by a mix of global economic factors, including interest rate decisions by major central banks, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuations in the U.S. dollar. As of the latest data, gold prices are trading within a range, showing both bullish and bearish signals. Technical Analysis: Gold's price action suggests a potential for both upward and downward movement within specified zones. Key technical indicators such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Fibonacci retracement levels are being considered to determine optimal entry and exit points. Trade Plan Sell Zone: 2366-2370 Entry Point: Initiate sell orders within the range of 2366 to 2370. Rationale: This zone is identified as a potential resistance level where selling pressure is expected to increase. Historical price action shows multiple rejections at this level, suggesting a strong sell-off point. Buy Zone: 2338-2341 Entry Point: Initiate buy orders within the range of 2338 to 2341. Rationale: This zone is identified as a potential support level where buying pressure is expected to increase. Historical price action indicates strong buying interest at this level, making it a strategic entry point for long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD May 28, 2024 How will gold inflation cool down?We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order. With recent signs of cooling inflation and the fact that the US economy in particular has been directly impacted by high interest rates, the employment rate has decreased. These things will make the Fed's statements no longer resolute in maintaining high interest rates. In addition, the European central bank ECB also announced data to support the interest rate cut in June. Signals show that gold will continue to be supported in the near future to continue its upward price trend. Looking at H1, we see that wave 4 is about to complete. With the price data from the morning of the previous day, we measured the price target at the 2351-2355 range, but now that we have new price data, we have more information. The 2 new target areas are area 2362.5 and area 2371 - Plus the momentum in the H4 frame is still in the overbought zone, this shows that the upward price momentum is showing signs of weakening, besides the H1 momentum is increasing and is also about to approach the oversold zone. reinforces the goals of wave 4 - We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP