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Xauusdanalysis

XAU/USD – Tug of War Before CPI: Sideway or Breakout? 1. MARKET CONTEXT The US government reopens after a 40-day shutdown (a historic record). Investors are on the sidelines observing ahead of tomorrow's CPI announcement → the market is likely to sideway awaiting news. 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–M30) Main fluctuation range: 4097–4148 Break 4097 → adjust deeply to 407x – 403x Break 4148 → trigger short-term increase, target 418x – 4205 Decision zone: 4097 & 4148 3. TRADING PLAN 🎯 Main strategy: Trade within the range (Sideway) → “Buy low – Sell high” according to support/resistance zones RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:2 | SL: 10 points | TP: 10–20 points BUY zone: 4097–4100 (strong support) → TP 4110–4120 Buy scalp: 4120–4124 → TP 4140–4145 Buy swing: 407x / 403x (if there is a candle reaction) SELL zone: 4145–4147 → TP 4125–4100 If break 415x & retest, switch to Buy breakout → Entry 4140–4145 | TP 416x–418x–4205 4. SUMMARY Main trend: Sideway awaiting CPI news Strategy: “Break whichever range, trade that range” Focus zones: Upper range: 414x (Sell) Lower range: 4095–4100 (Buy)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold consolidates in an upward channel; await correction to 4090/4041 – break 4145 to confirm further rise Quick context: USD recovery causes gold to move sideways during the Asian session. Price is moving within an upward channel, hitting the upper trendline and reacting around 4100, not forming a lower low yet. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, a break of 4145 is needed; otherwise, prioritise the technical correction scenario towards liquidity zones. Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) Channel & Trendline: Channel top coincides with 4135–4145 → likely to see profit-taking pressure. Holding the lower edge of the channel ~4085–4090 keeps the upward structure valid. Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity 4090: price pull/volume attraction zone before choosing direction. Fibonacci Retracement + old resistance ~4041–4043: strong confluence for a bounce if deep correction occurs. Main resistance: 4130–4135 (retest of channel top), 4145 (pivot confirming rise), 4200 (sell scalp area if clear rejection appears). Main support: 4084–4086 (channel edge/liq), 4041–4043 (Fib + S/R), deeper 4020 is a defensive point for buyers. Trading Scenarios (optimised for mobile reading) Scenario 1 – Buy shallow pullback (trend-following priority) Entry: 4084–4086 SL: 4078 TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4135 → 4160 Suggestion: Wait for rejection candle at 4090 or M15 reversal signal before entry. Scenario 2 – Buy deep (Fib + S/R) Entry: 4041–4043 SL: 4036 TP: 4056 → 4072 → 4095 → 4120 Suggestion: Prioritise when price fills the gap and leaves a clear lower wick. Scenario 3 – Sell scalp at resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4130–4132 SL: 4138 TP: 4112 → 4100 → 4088 → 4060 Note: Quick scalp only; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4145. Bonus – Sell scalp 4200 Condition: Clear rejection on smaller timeframe. SL: above the nearest recent high. Reference TP: 4185 → 4166 → 4145. Risk Management & Invalidation Short-term bullish bias remains valid if price holds above 4085–4090. H2 closes above 4145 → prioritise buying on breakout, limit all sell orders. H2 closes below 4036 → risk of deeper test around 4020. Risk per trade 0.5–1%, move SL to breakeven at +1R, do not average against the trend. Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the earliest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Holding Above 4100$ Market Prepares for Next Wave ExpansionGold continues to sustain momentum above 4,100$, maintaining its bullish market structure as traders price in expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. While the US Dollar shows brief recovery, the underlying flow still supports safe-haven demand — especially as global risk sentiment remains fragile and the US government moves closer to reopening. 📊 Technical Overview (H1 – MMFLOW Structure) Price is currently consolidating within the 4,108$–4,113$ liquidity pocket, where prior breakout demand aligns with short-term Fibonacci retracement (0.382–0.5). This zone continues to attract buy-side liquidity, suggesting accumulation rather than exhaustion. As long as 4,085$ remains protected, the bias stays bullish toward 4,172$ – 4,203$ (Fibo 1.272–1.618). However, failure to break above 4,172$ may trigger a short-term reaction sell before the next impulsive leg resumes. 🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Setup 🌸 BUY Scenario (Liquidity Retest) Buy Zone: 4,086 – 4,084 Stop Loss: 4,080 Targets: 4,090 → 4,095 → 4,100 → 4,110 → 4,120 → 4,130 → 4,150+ 🔥 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Reaction Zone) Sell Zone: 4,172 – 4,174 Stop Loss: 4,180 Targets: 4,165 → 4,160 → 4,150 → 4,140 → 4,130 → 4,120 🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Price is language — liquidity is intent. The market is not random; it’s engineered to test conviction before expansion.” Bias remains bullish above 4,085$ – any dip into the liquidity base could offer the last accumulation before the next breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WHEN PRICE ADJUSTS💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WHEN PRICE ADJUSTS 🎯 🌤Overview Good morning traders 💬 Gold is experiencing a slight adjustment after encountering resistance at the VAH zone on the Volume Profile. This is a natural reaction in the current uptrend. The price observation zone for today's adjustment is around the H4 trendline at 4078, deeper is the VAH zone 4020, where there is good liquidity for buyers. Although there might be a short-term adjustment, the main trend remains upward. Therefore, I prioritise waiting to Buy at the support zone, rather than entering a trade against the trend. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) 📈 The price is maintaining a medium-term upward structure, with no reversal signals yet. 🟣 The 4075–4078 zone coincides with the trendline + liquidity zone – a potential buying area for short trades. 🔹 VAH around 4020 is strong support, suitable for long-term Buy if the price adjusts deeply. 💫 The 4200–4203 zone remains a major resistance (Sell Zone) – expect a downward reaction when the price approaches. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💖 Buy scalping (short-term) Entry: 4075–4078 ｜ SL: 4070 TP: 4095 – 4105 💖 Buy zone (main priority) Entry: 4018–4021 ｜ SL: 4011 TP: 4035 – 4042 – 4075 – 4095 💢 Sell zone (short reaction) Entry: 4200–4203 ｜ SL: 4210 TP: 4186 – 4165 – 4140 💢 Sell scalping (short-term) Entry: 4122–4124 ｜ SL: 4130 TP: 4105 – 4086 – 4060 – 4040 ⚠️ Important Note The 4048 zone is strong resistance – closely observe price reactions here. Prioritise Buy according to the main trend, Sell should only be considered as a short-term reaction. 🌷Be patient and wait for the price to adjust to the support zone to buy according to Smart Money flow. If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold Reaches Supply Zone: Prepare for a Pullback to FVG📊 Market Structure Gold continues to maintain its bullish structure after breaking the structure high (BoS) at the 4,000 USD zone and forming a steep bullish channel over the past 3 sessions. Currently, the price is precisely hitting the Order Block 4,140 – 4,150 USD — a critical supply zone formed from the previous distribution. The H1 candle is showing slight technical reaction signs , implying the potential for a short pullback to re-accumulate liquidity. If a pullback occurs, the Premium Zone 4,080 – 4,085 USD and FVG 4,025 – 4,035 USD will be ideal areas to look for buy signals. The bullish structure is only invalidated if the H1 candle closes below the Support 4,006 USD zone. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block: 4,140 – 4,150 USD → main supply zone, where profit-taking pressure appears • Premium Zone: 4,080 – 4,085 USD → medium-term rebalancing zone • FVG Zone: 4,025 – 4,035 USD → potential discounted price zone for BUY orders • Support Zone: 4,000 – 4,006 USD → critical defense zone 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at OB 4,145 USD If the price continues to react downwards at the 4,140 – 4,150 USD supply zone: • Entry: 4,143 – 4,147 • SL: 4,155 • TP1: 4,085 • TP2: 4,035 → Short-term setup, targeting the rebalancing zone before buying back in line with the trend. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation from FVG Zone When the price pulls back to the FVG / Premium Zone and creates a confirmed bullish signal: • Entry: 4,030 – 4,035 • SL: 4,006 • TP1: 4,090 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,170 → Trend-following setup, preferred when the price re-accumulates and a clear rejection appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Buyers still control the market, but the current OB touch may trigger a short pullback before the bullish wave continues. The ideal scenario is “tap OB → pullback FVG → continuation,” maintaining a stable bullish structure towards the 4,170 USD target. “Buy the dip where fear replaces greed — that’s where the next impulse begins.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 11, 2025🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Daily momentum has closed, showing that bullish strength is fading. We’ll wait for today’s daily candle to confirm whether a reversal is forming. • H4 timeframe: The two momentum lines are sticking together — this indicates that while upward pressure remains, it is weakening, suggesting a possible formation of wave X top. • H1 timeframe: H1 momentum is turning down from the overbought zone. With all three timeframes (D1, H4, H1) aligned, the current price area is likely marking a wave top. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: The corrective wave (4) is still developing. Once D1 momentum fully reverses and moves into the oversold zone, it may mark the final stage of the correction phase. • H4 timeframe: Price has reached the wave X target area around 4145. With both D1 and H4 momentum in the overbought zone and starting to turn down, this level is likely the completion of wave X. After that, price may begin a decline to complete wave Y. The duration of wave Y is expected to correspond to the time it takes for D1 momentum to move from overbought to oversold. • H1 timeframe: The red 5-wave structure has completed, with price currently in wave (5). The target area for wave (5) lies between 4145 and 4050, overlapping with the wave X target zone. Therefore, the sell entry from yesterday around 4145 remains valid. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan • Sell Zone: 4145 – 4147 • Stop Loss: 4165 • Take Profit 1: 4075 • Take Profit 2: 4046 • Take Profit 3: 3932 ⚠️ Note: If price closes below 4046, it will confirm that purple wave Y is in progress. In that case, the target of wave Y could extend below 3855.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO RISE?I. BASIC CONTEXT On November 10, 2025, gold prices surged after the market reacted positively to news of the U.S. government reopening. The current market sentiment expects the FED to cut interest rates soon as recent economic data indicates a weakening U.S. economy. Lower interest rates mean cheaper money, a weaker USD, thereby driving funds into safe-haven assets like gold. The current rally is seen as a news-based pullback, potentially extending to key resistance areas before the market establishes a medium-term trend. II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Main timeframe: H2 Market structure: Gold prices have broken out of the accumulation triangle pattern. Formation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern → signaling the correction phase has ended. III. TRADING SCENARIOS ✅ Main scenario: WATCH TO BUY THE TREND (BUY THE DIP) Trend expectation: Prices continue to extend the pullback to resistance areas 4180–4220. Buy zones (BUY ZONES): Zone 4105–4103 (near old H2 resistance → becoming new support). Zone 4115–4116 (confirmation area post-breakout). Deeper zone: 407x – 405x (Fib 0.618, trendline confluence area). If prices retest the H2 structure: 4040 – 4035. Buy stop: When prices break through the 416x area with strong candle force → a buy stop can be placed to follow the breakout momentum. Note to check the timing and candle force on H2/M30 to confirm momentum. ⚠️ Alternative scenario: WATCH TO SELL REACTION If clear signs of weakness appear at resistance, consider a short SELL reaction at: 4180–4185 4205–4220 These are potential profit-taking areas for the current pullback wave. IV. RISK MANAGEMENT Stop Loss (SL): 10 points Take Profit (TP): 10–12–13 points depending on setup RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:1.3 Prioritize capital management according to the principle R ≤ 1% account/order. Additionally, monitor news on Mr. Trump's actions during this period. The U.S. government has reopened this week, so expect a fair amount of news, stay alert. Trade effectively
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
1
SONA (XAU/USD): BREAKOUT DONE! FED CUT KA FAYDA. KAB KHARIDEIN?📰 Fundamental Analysis: Bada Game Changer (MUST READ) Bhaiyon aur Behnon, fundamental factors are very strong for Gold (Sona)! Rate Cut Ki Umeed (Expectation): Market is expecting more than 60% probability for another Fed Rate Cut in December. Kam rates means Dollar (DXY) will be weak, aur Gold (non-yielding asset) becomes dhamakedaar (explosive/exciting)! Economy Thodi Slow Hai: US Consumer Sentiment slid to 50.3 (lowest since June 2022). Yeh data supports a 'Dovish' Fed, jisse Sona ko aur support milta hai (which gives more support to Gold). 💡 Is Hafta Ka Main Focus: Watch out for FOMC member speeches on Wednesday. Poora market unki taraf dekh raha hai (The entire market is looking towards them) for the next direction! 📊 Technical Analysis: Setup Ekdum Solid Hai! Gold ne ek powerful Breakout diya hai from the consolidation range (4,044 - 4,060). Matlab, trend ab pakka Bullish ho gaya hai! (Meaning, the trend is now definitely Bullish!) Entry Ka Wait Karo (Patience is key): DON'T JUMP IN NOW! Wait patiently for a pullback to the Demand Zone/CP (4,081 - 4,114). This is the best place to initiate a Long position. Targets (TP): If the CP zone holds, the targets are 4,155, 4,185, and the big level at 4,236. Stop-Loss (SL): Keep it safe below 4,044. 🎯 Strategy Summary: Fatafat Dekho! Strategy: Wait and Buy (Long) in the 4,081 - 4,114 area. Risk: Dhyaan rakhna (Be careful) if price closes below 4,044. #XAUUSD #Gold #Sona #FedRateCut #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #FOMC #IndianTraders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold – Bullish Trendline Retest Points Toward Move to 4,120 USDAnalysis (English): Gold (XAU/USD) is maintaining a clear bullish uptrend, supported by a strong ascending trendline. After a sharp push upward, the price is now pulling back, moving toward a key demand zone aligned with the trendline. The chart projection indicates a likely scenario: ✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable) Price corrects down into the demand zone and touches the trendline. Buyers step in and defend the level. A bullish continuation move develops, pushing price toward the upper resistance zones at: 4,100 USD 4,115 – 4,120 USD As long as the price remains above the trendline, the bullish structure stays intact. ⚠️ Bearish Risk If the price breaks below the trendline (around 4,050 USD), momentum could slow and shift into a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold H1 – End of Wave 5: Is a Corrective ABC Coming?⚡ XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 11/11 📈 Elliott Wave Context Gold has completed a clean 5-wave impulsive structure on the H1 timeframe, with Wave 5 pushing into the premium zone above 4130. Price now shows early exhaustion at the highs, suggesting the market is preparing to transition into a corrective ABC phase. A confirmed reversal signal will be: ✅ H1 close below the Wave 2–4 trendline → confirming the start of Wave A. 🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure) • Wave 1: Initial rally from 3964 • Wave 2: Shallow pullback near 3985 • Wave 3: Strong impulsive breakout toward 4070+ • Wave 4: Mid-cycle correction holding structure • Wave 5: Final push topping around 4130–4140 (current swing high) The 5-wave impulse is now completed → market likely moves into A–B–C correction. 📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC) Wave A • First levels: 4105 (Fibo 0.236) • Main target zone: 4078 (Fibo 0.382) Wave B • Corrective rebound toward o 4105, or o 4115–4120 Wave C • Strongest leg of correction • Ideal target zones: o 4035 (Fibo 0.618 retracement of the full 1–5 impulse) o 4004 (Fibo 0.786 retracement) • Wave C often ≈ Wave A → aligns with 4035–4004 📌 Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-Based) ✅ Scenario 1 – SELL the upcoming correction (Preferred) Entry: • After H1 candle closes below the 2–4 trendline, or wait for a Wave B retest into 4105–4120. Stop Loss: • Above the Swing High → 4145 Take Profit: • TP1: 4078 • TP2: 4035 • TP3: 4004 ✅ Scenario 2 – BUY only if wave invalidation occurs If gold breaks and holds above 4145, Wave 5 may be extending. Entry: above 4145 SL: 4120 TP: 4170–4200 ✅ Summary Gold has finished a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now likely entering a corrective ABC structure. The highest-probability opportunity today is to sell the Wave B retracement and target deeper corrective zones at 4035–4004.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChloeTrader
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur today Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025 Quick glance: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the rising channel. With the USD potentially volatile as the US nears “reopening”, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for. Technical Analysis Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top around 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling. Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction. FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap likely to fill and rebound. VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support during deep corrections. POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic level if the market weakens more than expected. Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension). Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, matching FVG & VAH → priority buy point if price corrects. Trading Scenarios Buy shallow pullback (trend-following) Entry: 4083–4085 SL: 4077 TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166 Note: Require rejection/wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R. Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile Entry: 4025–4028 SL: 4020 TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112 Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and rebounds; exercise caution with volume. Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4135–4140 SL: 4148 TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090 Note: Only a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140. H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; breaking further 4020 might drag to POC ~3990. Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only when support/resistance is confirmed broken on entry timeframe). Which level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING ON TUESDAY💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING ON TUESDAY 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold continues its upward momentum in the first two days of the week, supported by the cash distribution policy for low-income individuals and the reopening moves by the US government under President Trump. These factors are putting downward pressure on the USD, helping gold prices maintain a short-term upward trend. 💹 Technical Analysis 🟣 Currently, the price is touching the VAH area according to the Volume Profile and showing a slight reaction – however, the support trendline around 4110–4113 remains an ideal buying zone to continue following the trend. 🔹 The 4200–4203 area (Fibonacci Extension 2.618) coincides with the strong resistance of H4, likely to see a short adjustment reaction before continuing to extend to the 43xx area. 🎯 Trading Plan Reference 💖 BUY Scenario (priority trend-following) Entry: 4110–4113 ｜ SL: 4106 TP: 4132 – 4150 – 4175 – 4200 – 4250 💢 SELL Scenario (short-term reaction) Entry: 4200–4203 ｜ SL: 4207 TP: 4188 – 4165 – 4148 ⚠️ Important Notes Prioritise buying according to the main upward trend, especially when the price reacts at the H4 trendline. Sell orders are only for short-term reactions, and profits should be secured early when the first TP is reached. USD volatility remains a key factor to closely monitor this week. 🌷 Conclusion The upward trend of gold is still maintained 💛 Be patient and wait for the price to react at the 4110–4113 area to buy according to the trend, and take advantage of pullbacks at resistance to manage orders effectively. If you find this useful, don't forget to 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold Retests FVG Preparing for a New Uptrend, Target 4,120 USD📊 Market Structure Gold has officially broken the bearish structure (BoS + ChoCH) by surpassing the 4,025 USD zone, confirming a significant shift in market momentum. Following a series of consecutive BoS and a break of the downtrend line, the price is entering a balanced retest phase (FVG 4,030 – 4,040 USD) . As long as the price maintains above the 4,020 USD support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and it is expected to target the Liquidity Zone 4,070 – 4,090 USD , further extending to the Order Block 4,118 – 4,125 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • FVG Retest Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 USD • Trendline Support: around 4,000 USD • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,090 USD • Final Target (OB): 4,118 – 4,125 USD 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Main FVG Retest If the price retraces to the FVG zone of 4,030 – 4,040 USD and forms a bullish confirmation signal (bullish candle / rejection wick): • Entry: 4,033 – 4,038 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,070 • TP2: 4,090 • TP3: 4,120 → Enter at the “discount” zone after the market absorbs liquidity. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Defensive (deep trendline retest) If the price slightly sweeps the small OB zone around the trendline: • Entry: 3,998 – 4,004 • SL: 3,985 • TP1: 4,070 • TP2: 4,120 → The structure remains intact, this entry has a high RR, suitable for mid-term swing. ⚠️ Invalidation: • If the price closes an H1 candle below 3,985 USD → the short-term uptrend is invalidated. 🧠 Vincent’s View The buyers are fully controlling the H1 structure after breaking the downtrend line that lasted nearly 2 weeks. The price is likely to complete the FVG – trendline – breakout retest before continuing to expand towards the liquidity peak of 4,120 USD. This is the “buy-the-dip” strategic phase for this week. “Smart money buys the discount while everyone waits for confirmation.” ⚜️🟡 ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING ...💛 XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING SCENARIO 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 The price structure of gold is still on track as per the previous scenario — those who have bought according to the prior plan might have already profited and should continue to hold their ground. The price in the Asian session at the start of the week has risen steadily, breaking through the 4021 zone, confirming a short-term uptrend and aiming to retest the upper edge of the H4 price channel. This is a positive signal before the market might enter a deeper correction in the mid-week sessions. In terms of news, the latest statement from US President Trump indicates that the government shutdown might soon end — this is a factor that could cause significant USD volatility, thereby having a short-term impact on gold prices. 💹 Technical Analysis 📈 On the H4 frame, the price remains within the medium-term upward channel, maintaining the structure of “higher lows”. 🟣 Breaking the 4021 zone confirms that upward momentum is prevailing, and the Sell Zone Liquidity 4090–4100 continues to be the short-term target for testing. 🔹 After hitting this zone, a correction is expected towards the 3920 – 3785 zone (Buy Zone Fibonacci) – where buyers might return strongly. 💫 The current price signal is entirely in line with the previous technical scenario, with no need to change the trading plan. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💢 SHORT scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 LONG scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 🌷 Conclusion Gold prices are moving exactly as predicted in the structure 💛 Be patient, maintain discipline, and stick to the key price zones – this is the time when perseverance will yield the greatest advantage.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025) Momentum W1 timeframe: Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend. D1 timeframe: Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone. When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure W1 timeframe: The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5). D1 timeframe: The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple. • Wave W (purple) has been completed. • Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected. Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth. A notable possibility: • Wave W is complete. • Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black). • Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e). This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897. H4 timeframe: Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart. Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area. Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y. The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple). At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone. It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario...LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario: Successful Box Breakout, Watch for Retest at 4056 & Deep Buy at 3998–4000 The price has just broken out of the accumulation box and accelerated as per the weekend scenario. Bullish inclination for the day, with a near-term target of 4080 → 4110; the 4110–4112 zone is a suitable psychological resistance for scalping. Prioritise buying at the 4056 retest or deep buying at 3998–4000 when the price sweeps liquidity and then rebounds. The US Senate takes further procedural steps to end the shutdown. Expectation of systemic risk cooling → pressure on USD decreases, supporting gold in the short term. The process still has a few steps, fluctuations around news hours might be volatile → adhere to technicals, manage risks tightly. Technical Analysis (H1/H2) – Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci Structure & Trendline: Box breakout upwards, trend-following capital dominates. Short-term uptrend when the price holds above 4056 (retest point of breakout zone). Support/Resistance (S/R): Support: 4056 (retest), 4025–4038 (FVG liquidity fill), 3998–4000 (Buy Zone Liquidity). Resistance: 4110–4112 (psychological + short-term supply cluster), 4160–4165 (Fibo extension). Fibonacci Extension: 1.618 coincides with 4110–4112 → likely reaction/scalp sell. 2.272 targets ~4160 → extended target/final profit exit. Today's Trading Scenario Continuation Buy (priority) Entry: 4056–4060 (retest of breakout zone) SL: 4048 TP: 4080 → 4110 → 4160 Management: Move SL to breakeven at +1R; partial close at 4080/4110. Deep Liquidity Buy (cautious volume) Entry: 3998–4000 SL: 3992 TP: 4020 → 4045 → 4080 → 4110 Note: Enter only with clear rejection candle (long lower wick, M1–M15 reversal) or after FVG fill and rebound. Scalp Sell at Psychological Resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4110–4112 SL: 4118 TP: 4100 → 4080 → 4065 Note: Abandon trade if H1 closes strongly above 4112 or if the uptrend is too strong (breakout with volume). Invalidation & Notes Short-term bullish bias invalidated if H1 closes below 4048 → may test deeper at 4025–4038 or 3998–4000. Avoid entering trades close to news hours about the US government reopening process. Risk per trade: 0.5–1%, adhere to discipline of moving SL at +1R. If you find this useful, comment on the price levels you're watching and hit Follow on LiamTrading to receive daily updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 1H – Is This Pump Temporary or the Start of a Bigger Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extended its bullish leg overnight, driven by a sharp upside displacement following a clean ChoCH on the H1 structure. However, the impulsive rally is now pushing deep into premium territory, where higher-timeframe supply begins to re-enter the picture. Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of U.S. consumer confidence data and upcoming comments from several Fed officials. • A hawkish tone could strengthen the dollar intraday, making the current rally vulnerable to a pullback. • A neutral or dovish signal may allow gold to sweep higher liquidity before forming its next decisive move. Price is currently tapping into resting buy-side liquidity above 4060–4070, with the next pool sitting just beneath the 4090 supply zone, making this an ideal location for short-term reversals. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: H1 bias remains bullish after the major ChoCH, but price is now entering an exhaustion phase as it reaches unmitigated supply. • Premium Zone: 4090–4088 aligns with the freshest H1 supply, formed right before the displacement — a prime location for a short-term reversal. • Liquidity Sweep: The candles show aggressive wicks into higher liquidity, suggesting the market may engineer one final sweep into 4090 before rotating downward. • Discount Zone: 3974–3976 lines up with unmitigated demand and sits directly below the previous accumulation range — an ideal discount level for continuation buys if price retraces. 🔴 Sell Setup (High-Probability Reversal) • Entry: 4090 – 4088 • Stop-Loss: 4100 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4040 (first liquidity pocket) → 4005 (return to structure) → 3976 (discount zone & demand confluence) 🟢 Buy Setup (Demand Reaction Setup) • Entry: 3974 – 3976 • Stop-Loss: 3967 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4005 → 4040 → 4080 (Only valid if price performs a liquidity sweep into 3976 and prints a clean M15 ChoCH.) ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Avoid entering early inside the premium zone — wait for bearish confirmation (M5–M15 BOS). • The demand at 3974–3976 is strong but only valid once liquidity beneath the range has been fully taken. • Do not chase buys near current levels; price is overextended and has no discount alignment. • Partial profits should be secured at each liquidity point, with stops trailed using structural highs/lows. • Intraday bias remains bullish-to-neutral, but current price is at an extreme, making shorts more favorable short-term. ✅ Summary Gold is reaching into a major premium zone near 4090, where a short-term reversal becomes highly probable. The 4090–4088 supply provides a clean, high-quality SMC continuation-short setup, while the 3974–3976 demand zone remains the strongest location for reactive long positions. Stay patient — today’s movement will likely determine whether the recent pump is temporary or the beginning of a broader structural shift. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Breaks Out from Accumulation, Eyes Wave 3 Expansion🔍 Market Context Gold kicked off the new week with strong upside momentum, perfectly aligning with MMFLOW’s previous outlook — calling for a Wave 3 impulse from the accumulation base around 3,940$ – 3,970$. The market’s reaction in early Asia confirmed a bullish structural shift, as gold continues to gain traction amid stable yields and cautious sentiment around the US Dollar. Macro catalysts remain balanced, but liquidity behavior suggests smart money is loading into the breakout phase, positioning early for a potential run toward the 4,100$ handle this week. If momentum sustains, this move could mark the official mid-term reversal that MMFLOW anticipated — setting up a broader recovery phase into year-end. 📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Structure) Gold continues to follow its Elliott Wave recovery path, now developing Wave (3) within the medium-term bullish cycle. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (accumulation base & breakout retest) • 🎯 Target 1: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (Wave 3 completion zone) • ⚙️ Target 2 / Extended: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term momentum, return to neutral structure. The breakout above 4,000$ reinforces bullish sentiment, while higher highs and sustained volume through 4,072$ would confirm a new impulsive phase with room to expand further. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View This breakout isn’t random — it’s a smart-money-led accumulation exit after weeks of liquidity sweeps. The narrative remains consistent: “Buy the dips inside strength.” As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the probability of retesting 4,100$+ remains high, and a move toward 4,200$ before year-end cannot be ruled out. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When the crowd hesitates, liquidity has already chosen direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions. Macro Summary Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend. Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones. Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci) Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels. Fibonacci of the most recent up wave: The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base. Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710. Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone. Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark). Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928. Trading Scenario for the New Week Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047. Entry: 4048–4055 SL: 4018 TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R. Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range) Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945) SL: 3895 TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047 Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario. Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4 SL: 4225 TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal) Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205. Risk & Invalidation The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928. D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382). Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame. Summary Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold just ended the week with a candle closing at the 4001 region, after a slight rise and then holding steady in the upward channel on the H4 frame. The current sideways movement is making it difficult for many traders to find short-term entry points. However, the 4090 area still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term destination before the market adjusts for a deeper decline. From my perspective, gold might rise another leg to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – an important Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely. 💹 2. Technical Analysis 📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous one. 🟣 The 4090–4102 area is a liquidity region yet to be swept, located at the channel's peak – a high probability of a downward reaction. 🔹 The potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area. 💫 Main scenario: Price might test the upper liquidity region, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 BUY scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Prioritize short-term Sell if there is a strong reaction at the 4090–4100 region. Long-term Buy only if the price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 region. Limit emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before major volatility. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is following the accumulation path before forming a major wave 💛 Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical regions 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the coming week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD. Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD. The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline. If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones. Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area. • Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers. • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB: If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 3,972 – 3,975 • SL: 3,960 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,070 → Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed. 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance: If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal: • Entry: 4,045 • SL: 4,065 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 3,985 → Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion . Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact. Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above. “Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 07/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 4H – Key Liquidity Zones Ahead of US PMI & Fed Commentary🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to consolidate within a tight 4H range as traders prepare for a week influenced by U.S. PMI releases, Fed speeches, and shifting rate-cut expectations. Mixed economic signals — including softer labour data but resilient manufacturing prints — have kept gold trapped between supply overhead and stacked demand levels below. Institutional flows remain cautious, with markets waiting for clarity on the Fed’s stance. This uncertainty often fuels liquidity-driven sweeps, making this week especially favourable for SMC-style setups. Short-term volatility is expected as price interacts with major liquidity pools on both ends of the range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price is moving within a well-defined range structure, with repeated liquidity grabs on both sides indicating accumulation by larger players. • The latest 4H ChoCH signals continued hesitation from buyers near the mid-range, hinting that the market may engineer another sweep before committing to a directional leg. • A significant Premium Supply Zone at 4154–4152 sits just above recent equal highs — an attractive area for liquidity hunts followed by potential short-term distribution. • Conversely, the Discount Demand Zone at 3907–3909 aligns with previous structural reaction levels and sits below a liquidity shelf, making it an ideal zone for re-accumulation. • Expect engineered stop-hunts around mid-range liquidity (4000–4016) before a stronger move develops. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3907–3909 SL: 3900 TP targets: 3978 → 4003 → 4016 → 4125 Rationale: • Discount zone within the current 4H range • Liquidity resting below the structure lows • Potential accumulation before the next bullish impulse 🔴 Sell Zone: 4154–4152 SL: 4161 TP targets: 4080 → 4016 → 3978 → 3920 Rationale: • Premium supply positioned above equal-high liquidity • Likely area for a sweep before corrective downside • Confluence with previous 4H structure rejection ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH or BOS confirmation inside each zone before entering. • Expect liquidity manipulation around 4000–4016, especially during US session opens. • Avoid entries 10–15 minutes before major Fed or PMI releases to limit spread expansion. • Scale partial profits at each structural target to lock in gains while letting runners play out. ✅ Summary Gold remains in a controlled 4H range with clear institutional footprints above and below the current price. Smart Money is likely to engineer a move into either the 4150 supply or the 3900 demand before choosing its next major direction. Both setups offer high-probability opportunities when combined with intraday confirmations. Stay patient, wait for liquidity sweeps, and respect structure. Premium sells remain valid at 4154–4152, while discounted buys are favoured at 3907–3909. 🔔 FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader