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Xauusdanalysis

SONA (XAU/USD): BREAKOUT DONE! FED CUT KA FAYDA. KAB KHARIDEIN?📰 Fundamental Analysis: Bada Game Changer (MUST READ) Bhaiyon aur Behnon, fundamental factors are very strong for Gold (Sona)! Rate Cut Ki Umeed (Expectation): Market is expecting more than 60% probability for another Fed Rate Cut in December. Kam rates means Dollar (DXY) will be weak, aur Gold (non-yielding asset) becomes dhamakedaar (explosive/exciting)! Economy Thodi Slow Hai: US Consumer Sentiment slid to 50.3 (lowest since June 2022). Yeh data supports a 'Dovish' Fed, jisse Sona ko aur support milta hai (which gives more support to Gold). 💡 Is Hafta Ka Main Focus: Watch out for FOMC member speeches on Wednesday. Poora market unki taraf dekh raha hai (The entire market is looking towards them) for the next direction! 📊 Technical Analysis: Setup Ekdum Solid Hai! Gold ne ek powerful Breakout diya hai from the consolidation range (4,044 - 4,060). Matlab, trend ab pakka Bullish ho gaya hai! (Meaning, the trend is now definitely Bullish!) Entry Ka Wait Karo (Patience is key): DON'T JUMP IN NOW! Wait patiently for a pullback to the Demand Zone/CP (4,081 - 4,114). This is the best place to initiate a Long position. Targets (TP): If the CP zone holds, the targets are 4,155, 4,185, and the big level at 4,236. Stop-Loss (SL): Keep it safe below 4,044. 🎯 Strategy Summary: Fatafat Dekho! Strategy: Wait and Buy (Long) in the 4,081 - 4,114 area. Risk: Dhyaan rakhna (Be careful) if price closes below 4,044. #XAUUSD #Gold #Sona #FedRateCut #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #FOMC #IndianTraders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold – Bullish Trendline Retest Points Toward Move to 4,120 USDAnalysis (English): Gold (XAU/USD) is maintaining a clear bullish uptrend, supported by a strong ascending trendline. After a sharp push upward, the price is now pulling back, moving toward a key demand zone aligned with the trendline. The chart projection indicates a likely scenario: ✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable) Price corrects down into the demand zone and touches the trendline. Buyers step in and defend the level. A bullish continuation move develops, pushing price toward the upper resistance zones at: 4,100 USD 4,115 – 4,120 USD As long as the price remains above the trendline, the bullish structure stays intact. ⚠️ Bearish Risk If the price breaks below the trendline (around 4,050 USD), momentum could slow and shift into a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold H1 – End of Wave 5: Is a Corrective ABC Coming?⚡ XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 11/11 📈 Elliott Wave Context Gold has completed a clean 5-wave impulsive structure on the H1 timeframe, with Wave 5 pushing into the premium zone above 4130. Price now shows early exhaustion at the highs, suggesting the market is preparing to transition into a corrective ABC phase. A confirmed reversal signal will be: ✅ H1 close below the Wave 2–4 trendline → confirming the start of Wave A. 🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure) • Wave 1: Initial rally from 3964 • Wave 2: Shallow pullback near 3985 • Wave 3: Strong impulsive breakout toward 4070+ • Wave 4: Mid-cycle correction holding structure • Wave 5: Final push topping around 4130–4140 (current swing high) The 5-wave impulse is now completed → market likely moves into A–B–C correction. 📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC) Wave A • First levels: 4105 (Fibo 0.236) • Main target zone: 4078 (Fibo 0.382) Wave B • Corrective rebound toward o 4105, or o 4115–4120 Wave C • Strongest leg of correction • Ideal target zones: o 4035 (Fibo 0.618 retracement of the full 1–5 impulse) o 4004 (Fibo 0.786 retracement) • Wave C often ≈ Wave A → aligns with 4035–4004 📌 Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-Based) ✅ Scenario 1 – SELL the upcoming correction (Preferred) Entry: • After H1 candle closes below the 2–4 trendline, or wait for a Wave B retest into 4105–4120. Stop Loss: • Above the Swing High → 4145 Take Profit: • TP1: 4078 • TP2: 4035 • TP3: 4004 ✅ Scenario 2 – BUY only if wave invalidation occurs If gold breaks and holds above 4145, Wave 5 may be extending. Entry: above 4145 SL: 4120 TP: 4170–4200 ✅ Summary Gold has finished a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now likely entering a corrective ABC structure. The highest-probability opportunity today is to sell the Wave B retracement and target deeper corrective zones at 4035–4004.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChloeTrader
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur today Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025 Quick glance: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the rising channel. With the USD potentially volatile as the US nears “reopening”, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for. Technical Analysis Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top around 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling. Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction. FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap likely to fill and rebound. VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support during deep corrections. POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic level if the market weakens more than expected. Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension). Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, matching FVG & VAH → priority buy point if price corrects. Trading Scenarios Buy shallow pullback (trend-following) Entry: 4083–4085 SL: 4077 TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166 Note: Require rejection/wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R. Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile Entry: 4025–4028 SL: 4020 TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112 Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and rebounds; exercise caution with volume. Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4135–4140 SL: 4148 TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090 Note: Only a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140. H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; breaking further 4020 might drag to POC ~3990. Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only when support/resistance is confirmed broken on entry timeframe). Which level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING ON TUESDAY💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING ON TUESDAY 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold continues its upward momentum in the first two days of the week, supported by the cash distribution policy for low-income individuals and the reopening moves by the US government under President Trump. These factors are putting downward pressure on the USD, helping gold prices maintain a short-term upward trend. 💹 Technical Analysis 🟣 Currently, the price is touching the VAH area according to the Volume Profile and showing a slight reaction – however, the support trendline around 4110–4113 remains an ideal buying zone to continue following the trend. 🔹 The 4200–4203 area (Fibonacci Extension 2.618) coincides with the strong resistance of H4, likely to see a short adjustment reaction before continuing to extend to the 43xx area. 🎯 Trading Plan Reference 💖 BUY Scenario (priority trend-following) Entry: 4110–4113 ｜ SL: 4106 TP: 4132 – 4150 – 4175 – 4200 – 4250 💢 SELL Scenario (short-term reaction) Entry: 4200–4203 ｜ SL: 4207 TP: 4188 – 4165 – 4148 ⚠️ Important Notes Prioritise buying according to the main upward trend, especially when the price reacts at the H4 trendline. Sell orders are only for short-term reactions, and profits should be secured early when the first TP is reached. USD volatility remains a key factor to closely monitor this week. 🌷 Conclusion The upward trend of gold is still maintained 💛 Be patient and wait for the price to react at the 4110–4113 area to buy according to the trend, and take advantage of pullbacks at resistance to manage orders effectively. If you find this useful, don't forget to 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold Retests FVG Preparing for a New Uptrend, Target 4,120 USD📊 Market Structure Gold has officially broken the bearish structure (BoS + ChoCH) by surpassing the 4,025 USD zone, confirming a significant shift in market momentum. Following a series of consecutive BoS and a break of the downtrend line, the price is entering a balanced retest phase (FVG 4,030 – 4,040 USD) . As long as the price maintains above the 4,020 USD support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and it is expected to target the Liquidity Zone 4,070 – 4,090 USD , further extending to the Order Block 4,118 – 4,125 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • FVG Retest Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 USD • Trendline Support: around 4,000 USD • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,090 USD • Final Target (OB): 4,118 – 4,125 USD 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Main FVG Retest If the price retraces to the FVG zone of 4,030 – 4,040 USD and forms a bullish confirmation signal (bullish candle / rejection wick): • Entry: 4,033 – 4,038 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,070 • TP2: 4,090 • TP3: 4,120 → Enter at the “discount” zone after the market absorbs liquidity. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Defensive (deep trendline retest) If the price slightly sweeps the small OB zone around the trendline: • Entry: 3,998 – 4,004 • SL: 3,985 • TP1: 4,070 • TP2: 4,120 → The structure remains intact, this entry has a high RR, suitable for mid-term swing. ⚠️ Invalidation: • If the price closes an H1 candle below 3,985 USD → the short-term uptrend is invalidated. 🧠 Vincent’s View The buyers are fully controlling the H1 structure after breaking the downtrend line that lasted nearly 2 weeks. The price is likely to complete the FVG – trendline – breakout retest before continuing to expand towards the liquidity peak of 4,120 USD. This is the “buy-the-dip” strategic phase for this week. “Smart money buys the discount while everyone waits for confirmation.” ⚜️🟡 ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING ...💛 XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING SCENARIO 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 The price structure of gold is still on track as per the previous scenario — those who have bought according to the prior plan might have already profited and should continue to hold their ground. The price in the Asian session at the start of the week has risen steadily, breaking through the 4021 zone, confirming a short-term uptrend and aiming to retest the upper edge of the H4 price channel. This is a positive signal before the market might enter a deeper correction in the mid-week sessions. In terms of news, the latest statement from US President Trump indicates that the government shutdown might soon end — this is a factor that could cause significant USD volatility, thereby having a short-term impact on gold prices. 💹 Technical Analysis 📈 On the H4 frame, the price remains within the medium-term upward channel, maintaining the structure of “higher lows”. 🟣 Breaking the 4021 zone confirms that upward momentum is prevailing, and the Sell Zone Liquidity 4090–4100 continues to be the short-term target for testing. 🔹 After hitting this zone, a correction is expected towards the 3920 – 3785 zone (Buy Zone Fibonacci) – where buyers might return strongly. 💫 The current price signal is entirely in line with the previous technical scenario, with no need to change the trading plan. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💢 SHORT scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 LONG scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 🌷 Conclusion Gold prices are moving exactly as predicted in the structure 💛 Be patient, maintain discipline, and stick to the key price zones – this is the time when perseverance will yield the greatest advantage.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025) Momentum W1 timeframe: Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend. D1 timeframe: Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone. When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure W1 timeframe: The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5). D1 timeframe: The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple. • Wave W (purple) has been completed. • Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected. Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth. A notable possibility: • Wave W is complete. • Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black). • Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e). This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897. H4 timeframe: Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart. Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area. Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y. The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple). At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone. It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario...LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario: Successful Box Breakout, Watch for Retest at 4056 & Deep Buy at 3998–4000 The price has just broken out of the accumulation box and accelerated as per the weekend scenario. Bullish inclination for the day, with a near-term target of 4080 → 4110; the 4110–4112 zone is a suitable psychological resistance for scalping. Prioritise buying at the 4056 retest or deep buying at 3998–4000 when the price sweeps liquidity and then rebounds. The US Senate takes further procedural steps to end the shutdown. Expectation of systemic risk cooling → pressure on USD decreases, supporting gold in the short term. The process still has a few steps, fluctuations around news hours might be volatile → adhere to technicals, manage risks tightly. Technical Analysis (H1/H2) – Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci Structure & Trendline: Box breakout upwards, trend-following capital dominates. Short-term uptrend when the price holds above 4056 (retest point of breakout zone). Support/Resistance (S/R): Support: 4056 (retest), 4025–4038 (FVG liquidity fill), 3998–4000 (Buy Zone Liquidity). Resistance: 4110–4112 (psychological + short-term supply cluster), 4160–4165 (Fibo extension). Fibonacci Extension: 1.618 coincides with 4110–4112 → likely reaction/scalp sell. 2.272 targets ~4160 → extended target/final profit exit. Today's Trading Scenario Continuation Buy (priority) Entry: 4056–4060 (retest of breakout zone) SL: 4048 TP: 4080 → 4110 → 4160 Management: Move SL to breakeven at +1R; partial close at 4080/4110. Deep Liquidity Buy (cautious volume) Entry: 3998–4000 SL: 3992 TP: 4020 → 4045 → 4080 → 4110 Note: Enter only with clear rejection candle (long lower wick, M1–M15 reversal) or after FVG fill and rebound. Scalp Sell at Psychological Resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4110–4112 SL: 4118 TP: 4100 → 4080 → 4065 Note: Abandon trade if H1 closes strongly above 4112 or if the uptrend is too strong (breakout with volume). Invalidation & Notes Short-term bullish bias invalidated if H1 closes below 4048 → may test deeper at 4025–4038 or 3998–4000. Avoid entering trades close to news hours about the US government reopening process. Risk per trade: 0.5–1%, adhere to discipline of moving SL at +1R. If you find this useful, comment on the price levels you're watching and hit Follow on LiamTrading to receive daily updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 1H – Is This Pump Temporary or the Start of a Bigger Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extended its bullish leg overnight, driven by a sharp upside displacement following a clean ChoCH on the H1 structure. However, the impulsive rally is now pushing deep into premium territory, where higher-timeframe supply begins to re-enter the picture. Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of U.S. consumer confidence data and upcoming comments from several Fed officials. • A hawkish tone could strengthen the dollar intraday, making the current rally vulnerable to a pullback. • A neutral or dovish signal may allow gold to sweep higher liquidity before forming its next decisive move. Price is currently tapping into resting buy-side liquidity above 4060–4070, with the next pool sitting just beneath the 4090 supply zone, making this an ideal location for short-term reversals. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: H1 bias remains bullish after the major ChoCH, but price is now entering an exhaustion phase as it reaches unmitigated supply. • Premium Zone: 4090–4088 aligns with the freshest H1 supply, formed right before the displacement — a prime location for a short-term reversal. • Liquidity Sweep: The candles show aggressive wicks into higher liquidity, suggesting the market may engineer one final sweep into 4090 before rotating downward. • Discount Zone: 3974–3976 lines up with unmitigated demand and sits directly below the previous accumulation range — an ideal discount level for continuation buys if price retraces. 🔴 Sell Setup (High-Probability Reversal) • Entry: 4090 – 4088 • Stop-Loss: 4100 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4040 (first liquidity pocket) → 4005 (return to structure) → 3976 (discount zone & demand confluence) 🟢 Buy Setup (Demand Reaction Setup) • Entry: 3974 – 3976 • Stop-Loss: 3967 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4005 → 4040 → 4080 (Only valid if price performs a liquidity sweep into 3976 and prints a clean M15 ChoCH.) ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Avoid entering early inside the premium zone — wait for bearish confirmation (M5–M15 BOS). • The demand at 3974–3976 is strong but only valid once liquidity beneath the range has been fully taken. • Do not chase buys near current levels; price is overextended and has no discount alignment. • Partial profits should be secured at each liquidity point, with stops trailed using structural highs/lows. • Intraday bias remains bullish-to-neutral, but current price is at an extreme, making shorts more favorable short-term. ✅ Summary Gold is reaching into a major premium zone near 4090, where a short-term reversal becomes highly probable. The 4090–4088 supply provides a clean, high-quality SMC continuation-short setup, while the 3974–3976 demand zone remains the strongest location for reactive long positions. Stay patient — today’s movement will likely determine whether the recent pump is temporary or the beginning of a broader structural shift. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Breaks Out from Accumulation, Eyes Wave 3 Expansion🔍 Market Context Gold kicked off the new week with strong upside momentum, perfectly aligning with MMFLOW’s previous outlook — calling for a Wave 3 impulse from the accumulation base around 3,940$ – 3,970$. The market’s reaction in early Asia confirmed a bullish structural shift, as gold continues to gain traction amid stable yields and cautious sentiment around the US Dollar. Macro catalysts remain balanced, but liquidity behavior suggests smart money is loading into the breakout phase, positioning early for a potential run toward the 4,100$ handle this week. If momentum sustains, this move could mark the official mid-term reversal that MMFLOW anticipated — setting up a broader recovery phase into year-end. 📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Structure) Gold continues to follow its Elliott Wave recovery path, now developing Wave (3) within the medium-term bullish cycle. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (accumulation base & breakout retest) • 🎯 Target 1: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (Wave 3 completion zone) • ⚙️ Target 2 / Extended: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term momentum, return to neutral structure. The breakout above 4,000$ reinforces bullish sentiment, while higher highs and sustained volume through 4,072$ would confirm a new impulsive phase with room to expand further. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View This breakout isn’t random — it’s a smart-money-led accumulation exit after weeks of liquidity sweeps. The narrative remains consistent: “Buy the dips inside strength.” As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the probability of retesting 4,100$+ remains high, and a move toward 4,200$ before year-end cannot be ruled out. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When the crowd hesitates, liquidity has already chosen direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions. Macro Summary Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend. Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones. Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci) Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels. Fibonacci of the most recent up wave: The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base. Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710. Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone. Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark). Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928. Trading Scenario for the New Week Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047. Entry: 4048–4055 SL: 4018 TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R. Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range) Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945) SL: 3895 TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047 Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario. Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4 SL: 4225 TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal) Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205. Risk & Invalidation The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928. D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382). Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame. Summary Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold just ended the week with a candle closing at the 4001 region, after a slight rise and then holding steady in the upward channel on the H4 frame. The current sideways movement is making it difficult for many traders to find short-term entry points. However, the 4090 area still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term destination before the market adjusts for a deeper decline. From my perspective, gold might rise another leg to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – an important Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely. 💹 2. Technical Analysis 📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous one. 🟣 The 4090–4102 area is a liquidity region yet to be swept, located at the channel's peak – a high probability of a downward reaction. 🔹 The potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area. 💫 Main scenario: Price might test the upper liquidity region, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 BUY scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Prioritize short-term Sell if there is a strong reaction at the 4090–4100 region. Long-term Buy only if the price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 region. Limit emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before major volatility. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is following the accumulation path before forming a major wave 💛 Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical regions 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the coming week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD. Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD. The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline. If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones. Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area. • Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers. • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB: If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 3,972 – 3,975 • SL: 3,960 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,070 → Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed. 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance: If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal: • Entry: 4,045 • SL: 4,065 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 3,985 → Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion . Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact. Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above. “Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 07/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 4H – Key Liquidity Zones Ahead of US PMI & Fed Commentary🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to consolidate within a tight 4H range as traders prepare for a week influenced by U.S. PMI releases, Fed speeches, and shifting rate-cut expectations. Mixed economic signals — including softer labour data but resilient manufacturing prints — have kept gold trapped between supply overhead and stacked demand levels below. Institutional flows remain cautious, with markets waiting for clarity on the Fed’s stance. This uncertainty often fuels liquidity-driven sweeps, making this week especially favourable for SMC-style setups. Short-term volatility is expected as price interacts with major liquidity pools on both ends of the range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price is moving within a well-defined range structure, with repeated liquidity grabs on both sides indicating accumulation by larger players. • The latest 4H ChoCH signals continued hesitation from buyers near the mid-range, hinting that the market may engineer another sweep before committing to a directional leg. • A significant Premium Supply Zone at 4154–4152 sits just above recent equal highs — an attractive area for liquidity hunts followed by potential short-term distribution. • Conversely, the Discount Demand Zone at 3907–3909 aligns with previous structural reaction levels and sits below a liquidity shelf, making it an ideal zone for re-accumulation. • Expect engineered stop-hunts around mid-range liquidity (4000–4016) before a stronger move develops. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3907–3909 SL: 3900 TP targets: 3978 → 4003 → 4016 → 4125 Rationale: • Discount zone within the current 4H range • Liquidity resting below the structure lows • Potential accumulation before the next bullish impulse 🔴 Sell Zone: 4154–4152 SL: 4161 TP targets: 4080 → 4016 → 3978 → 3920 Rationale: • Premium supply positioned above equal-high liquidity • Likely area for a sweep before corrective downside • Confluence with previous 4H structure rejection ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH or BOS confirmation inside each zone before entering. • Expect liquidity manipulation around 4000–4016, especially during US session opens. • Avoid entries 10–15 minutes before major Fed or PMI releases to limit spread expansion. • Scale partial profits at each structural target to lock in gains while letting runners play out. ✅ Summary Gold remains in a controlled 4H range with clear institutional footprints above and below the current price. Smart Money is likely to engineer a move into either the 4150 supply or the 3900 demand before choosing its next major direction. Both setups offer high-probability opportunities when combined with intraday confirmations. Stay patient, wait for liquidity sweeps, and respect structure. Premium sells remain valid at 4154–4152, while discounted buys are favoured at 3907–3909. 🔔 FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery. The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent. Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026. Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed. 📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance. The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence) • 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618) • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$. 🎯 MMFLOW Outlook Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion. If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+. This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold) | November 7, 2025 Momentum D1 timeframe: Daily momentum is turning upward, but just one more bullish candle will push it into the overbought zone. This suggests that the current upward move may not be sustainable, and a short-term correction could occur soon. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is about to turn bullish from the oversold area. If this signal is confirmed, we can expect a short-term upward move. However, as the market is currently in a balanced state, even a small push from either buyers or sellers could shift momentum direction. Therefore, it’s better to observe carefully rather than act too early. 90M timeframe: Momentum on the 90-minute chart is turning downward, indicating a possible short-term pullback before any further advance. ________________________________________ Wave Structure D1 timeframe: The ongoing rise in momentum indicates that wave X is still unfolding, meaning the corrective phase is not yet complete. H4 timeframe: Wave X is currently forming. The liquidity zone at 4028 remains a key level to watch. If the price breaks above this zone, the next target will likely be the upper liquidity zone at 4070. On the H4 chart, the green level around 4007 represents the highest-volume area, currently acting as a strong resistance. Combined with the H4 bullish momentum reversal, it shows buying pressure exists, but the resistance remains heavy, making the 4007–4028 region a key battleground. We should wait for a clear breakout before confirming the next direction. 90M timeframe: • A triangle-like structure seems to be forming, but it’s not yet complete, so confirmation is needed. • Waves a and b appear finished; the market may now be forming wave c (black) or wave d (black). • Since H4 momentum is turning bullish, if the price breaks above 4012, it will likely confirm wave c continuation. • Conversely, if the price drops toward 3950, completing a three-wave WXY (blue) structure, we can consider it wave d instead. Currently, wave c (black) is temporarily labeled since the structure already shows three subwaves completed. Therefore, I expect a decline toward 3950, where we can look for a short-term buy setup. ________________________________________ Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3952 – 3950 • Stoploss: 3935 • TP1: 3980 • TP2: 4000
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish PullbackAnalysis: The chart shows XAUUSD approaching a strong horizontal resistance zone around 4015–4020, a level where price has previously been rejected multiple times (highlighted in yellow). The market recently broke out of a falling channel, showing short-term bullish momentum, but now price is stalling again at this key resistance. The grey zone above suggests a supply area, and the white arrow indicates a projected bearish move. As long as gold stays below this resistance, the probability of a downward correction increases. A potential bearish target appears around 3900–3920 (previous support zone), where buyers may re-enter. Key Points: Strong multi-touch resistance at 4015–4020 Price showing early rejection signs Bearish correction likely if price fails to break above resistance Downside targets: 3920, possibly 3900
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2) After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing against the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 5/11). The advantage will clearly lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and held. Technical Analysis (prioritise H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci) Trendline & Structure The descending trendline is blocking recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports adjustment waves. Closing the H2 candle above the confluence area ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement. Support / Resistance (S/R) Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”). Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone). Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110. Volume Profile (recent session / composite) POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad. LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010. Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing) 1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target. 2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking. Today's Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout direction Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020 SL: 4014 TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110 Management: Partially close at 4045; move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 means POC 4015–4017 should switch roles to support. Scenario 1b – Buy on adjustment wave (before breakout, cautious volume) Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline SL: 3988 TP: 4017 → 4045 Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order. Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence Fibo 1.618 + supply zone) SL: 4056 TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020 Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052. Summary The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected as USD Softens After Jobless Claims🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is trading within a corrective structure today as the U.S. dollar weakens slightly following higher-than-expected Jobless Claims. Market sentiment remains mixed ahead of upcoming Fed speeches, which could provide clues about December policy expectations. • A more hawkish tone could trigger a deeper downside move toward unfilled discount zones. • Conversely, any dovish signals may push gold into a short-term liquidity grab before resuming its corrective trend. Liquidity remains concentrated near the $4,030 area, where price may tap into resting buy-side liquidity before forming the next bearish leg. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Current bias shows corrective bearish intent following recent ChoCH → BOS sequence on H1. • Premium Zone: The 4030–4028 region aligns with an unmitigated H1 supply — ideal for continuation shorts. • Liquidity Sweep: Price may reach 4030 to sweep early breakout buyers before confirming downside continuation. • Discount Zone: Strong demand sits at 3932–3934, overlapping with previous bullish displacement and unmitigated demand. 🔴 Sell Setup • Entry: 4030 – 4028 • Stop-Loss: 4040 • Take-Profit Targets: → 3980 → 3964 → 3934 (major demand zone) 🟢 Buy Setup (Countertrend Reaction) • Entry: 3932 – 3934 • Stop-Loss: 3925 • Take-Profit Targets: → 3964→ 3995 → 4020 (Only valid if liquidity sweep and bullish reaction occur at the demand zone) ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation at both zones to avoid premature entries. • Avoid trading directly at the minor support around 3964 — it is not a valid SMC entry zone. • Prioritize the sell setup; intraday bias remains corrective-bearish within a broader range. • Secure partial profits at the first liquidity target and trail stops according to structure. ✅ Summary Gold is likely to seek premium liquidity near 4030 before resuming its corrective move lower. The 4030–4028 supply area offers a clean continuation-short entry, while 3932–3934 remains the strongest discount zone for reactive long setups. Stay adaptable — the market maintains a mild bearish tone while waiting for further Fed guidance. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold today remains in a phase of indecision – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend. On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying pressure is gradually gaining dominance. The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the upward momentum may extend towards the 4050 area. Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this zone to determine a clearer direction. 💹 2. ICT Perspective 📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend. 🟣 The area 3964–4018 is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands. 🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell orders (scalp) if there is a strong reaction. 💫 When the price surpasses 4018, the upward structure will be confirmed and the expansion target may aim towards 4050 – 4077. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan 💖 BUY scenario (priority when confirmed) Entry: above 4018 ｜ SL: 4011 TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077 💢 Short SELL scenario (scalping) Entry: 4040–4042 ｜ SL: 4046 TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 zone before entering a buy order. If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited. Today is Friday, manage risk more tightly, prioritise accuracy in each order. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is showing positive signals 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 zone – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Consolidation Before Drop**Gold (XAUUSD) – Consolidation Before Potential Downside Move** Gold continues to hover in a consolidation range after the recent breakout and structural shift on the 3H chart. The bullish momentum that previously dominated has now slowed, indicating a possible distribution phase forming near the $4,050–$4,100 zone. The market structure shows repeated rejections at the upper boundary, suggesting that buyers are losing strength. With BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations in the recent candles and a clear lack of higher highs, a potential downside continuation could unfold once the current range is broken. If sellers take control below $3,978, the next liquidity targets lie around **$3,886** and possibly **$3,614**. This scenario aligns with the broader retracement expectation after a strong prior uptrend. However, a confirmed breakout above the consolidation area would shift the short-term bias back to bullish, with upside potential toward **$4,248** and beyond. **Market Outlook:** Neutral → Bearish **Bias:** Short-term corrective move expected **Key Levels:** * Resistance: $4,050 – $4,100 * Support: $3,886 – $3,614 **Tags:** #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSDforecast #GoldPricePrediction #GoldTrading #GoldMarket #Commodities #TradingViewIdeas
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE