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Xauusdanalysis

Macro Pressure or Opportunity to Accumulate?XAUUSD 24–28 June: Gold Slides to Buy Zone – Macro Pressure or Opportunity to Accumulate? 🔍 Macro Outlook – A Volatile Week for Gold Traders Gold is navigating through a complex macroeconomic landscape this week, with multiple factors weighing in: ✅ Middle East Tensions Resurface Israel has declared plans to retaliate against Iran following a ceasefire violation, increasing geopolitical risk. This situation historically supports safe-haven demand for gold when it escalates. ✅ US Economic Data May Soften Fed’s Tone The U.S. economy is showing early signs of cooling: Housing market data fell short of expectations. PMI data indicates manufacturing and services are slowing. If the Core PCE Index (set to release this week) confirms soft inflation, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September may solidify, putting pressure on the USD and boosting gold. ✅ China & India Are Stocking Up on Gold India’s jewelry and central bank demand is on the rise ahead of budget season. Meanwhile, China continues to increase its gold reserves for the 19th consecutive month, offering underlying support to the price. 📉 Technical Analysis – Is the Correction Bottoming Out? XAUUSD remains in a downward-sloping channel on the H1/H4 chart, but prices are approaching key support zones with strong historical demand. EMA 34 – 89 – 200 still show downward momentum. However, RSI divergence is forming on the lower timeframes, signaling potential bullish pressure. A clear FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $3367–$3369 zone presents a strong liquidity zone for reversal. ✅ Trading Plan for XAUUSD 🔵 BUY ZONE: $3278 – $3276 Stop Loss: $3270 Take Profits: TP1: $3282 TP2: $3286 TP3: $3290 TP4: $3294 TP5: $3298 TP6: $3302 TP7: $3305 TP8: $3310 📌 Reason to Buy: Price is approaching the bottom of the descending channel with visible demand zone, enhanced by RSI divergence and macro geopolitical pressure favoring safe-haven flows. 🔴 SELL ZONE: $3367 – $3369 Stop Loss: $3375 Take Profits: TP1: $3364 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3356 TP4: $3352 TP5: $3348 TP6: $3344 TP7: $3340 TP8: $3330 TP9: $3320 📌 Reason to Sell: This is a key FVG resistance area where sellers have previously stepped in aggressively. If price retests without momentum, it's likely to reject back toward support. 📎 Summary for Indian Traders This week’s gold strategy is a balance between short-term technical plays and long-term macro shifts. Keep your eyes on PCE data, USD movement, and any flare-up in Middle East tensions. Each of these could serve as catalysts for either a bounce or continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD 23/06 – Bears Losing Steam as FVG Zone Returns to PlayXAUUSD – Gold Sets Up for a Strategic Bounce Amid Fed Dovish Shift and Yield Retreat 📊 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL INSIGHTS – WEEK AHEAD Gold enters the final week of June with renewed investor focus amid softening Fed rhetoric and weakening US Treasury yields. Here's what Indian traders need to watch: 🔻 Fed Signals & Rate Cut Bets Rising Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech and comments from FOMC members will shape the tone. Market now prices in a 65% probability of a rate cut in September, according to CME FedWatch. If Powell leans dovish, expect renewed demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Conversely, hawkish surprises may pressure prices downward. 📉 US Dollar and Bond Yields Losing Momentum The US Dollar Index (DXY) is retreating after peaking, while 10-year yields hover near 4.23% but fail to break higher. Weakening yields and profit-taking on the dollar strengthen the safe-haven narrative for gold, particularly attractive to Indian investors during times of global volatility. 🌍 Geopolitical Tensions & Capital Flow Rotation Ongoing concerns in the Middle East, Ukraine, and Indo-Pacific increase gold’s appeal as a hedge. Institutions have started rotating capital from equities to safe-haven assets. ETF inflows and central bank reserves—particularly from China and India—underline long-term accumulation. 🧠 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – STRUCTURE & SENTIMENT On the H1 chart, XAUUSD remains within a broader descending channel but has printed a potential reversal setup from the BUY ZONE (3327–3325). The recent drop filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG), offering strong confluence support. Price action shows early signs of accumulation with bullish divergence on RSI and price holding above the trendline support. Immediate resistance is seen at 3355–3360, with stronger supply anticipated near the SELL ZONE (3398–3400), aligning with a high-timeframe trendline. 🎯 TRADING PLAN – UPDATED FOR SHORT/MEDIUM TERM 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325 SL: 3320 TP: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → ??? This zone aligns with key structural support and the base of FVG. A break above 3360 may trigger acceleration toward 3375–3390. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3405 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360 Ideal area to fade potential spikes driven by news or sentiment. Look for rejection wicks or RSI divergence before entering. ⚖️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK With central banks tilting toward easing, gold may reclaim dominance as a macro hedge. India’s gold imports are expected to increase if prices consolidate below 3350. Patience and discipline around key zones are critical—let price validate direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis For June - 23 - June 27 ~~ Fundamental Analysis ~~ Key Drivers Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating conflicts in the Middle East (e.g., Israel-Iran) continue to drive safe-haven demand for gold. However, recent U.S. delays in decisions regarding Iran conflict involvement have led to investor hesitation, contributing to the current narrow trading range. Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed maintained interest rates at 4.25%–4.5% on June 12, 2025, with no immediate rate cuts signaled. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell noted that tariffs could increase inflation, potentially capping gold’s upside in the short term. A hawkish Fed stance could pressure gold prices, while global policy easing could support bullish momentum. U.S. Dollar Strength: A recovering U.S. dollar has exerted downward pressure on gold, as seen in recent pullbacks from highs above $3,450. Economic Data: Upcoming U.S. labor market data (e.g., May data) and inflation reports (e.g., core PCE price index) could influence gold prices. Rising inflation expectations may drive XAU/USD toward higher prices. China’s Economy: A weakening Chinese economy due to U.S.-China trade tensions could reduce gold demand, while a recovery could bolster prices. Long-Term Outlook Bullish Case: Continued global policy easing, escalating geopolitical conflicts, or a recovering Chinese economy could push gold toward $3,500 or higher in 2025, supported by safe-haven flows. Bearish Case: Easing geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation, or a hawkish Fed could lead to declines toward $3,000 Refer Chart for your reference -- Disclaimer -- This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. #Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
OANDA:XAUUSD
by renderwithme
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉 The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels: 📊 Technical Breakdown: 🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow. This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals. 🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉 A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection. Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation. 🔸 Target Level 🎯 The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows. This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown. 🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕ Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼 Current Price: 3,368.750 Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯 Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️ 📌 Outlook: The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones. 📉 Bias: Bearish ⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation. 📉 The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels: 📊 Technical Breakdown: 🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow. This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals. 🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉 A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection. Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation. 🔸 Target Level 🎯 The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows. This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown. 🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕ Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼 Current Price: 3,368.750 Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯 Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️ 📌 Outlook: The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones. 📉 Bias: Bearish ⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure. Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias. Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection: First target: 3,435 – 3,452 Final target zone: 3,500+ Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum. Conclusion: Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis 1. Rising Channel Structure Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely. 2. Support & Resistance Confluence The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs. 3. Harmonic Pattern in Play The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C. 4. Trade Scenarios Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500). Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A. 🛠️ Technical & Market Context Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range . Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor . ✅ Trade Strategy Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320) Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380) Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360) 🔍 Summary Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD – Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend?XAUUSD – Goldman Sachs Issues a Storm Warning: Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend? As gold continues to trade in a narrow range for the sixth week, one major catalyst could be on the horizon — Goldman Sachs has issued a bold warning about the US debt crisis. Indian traders, this may be the signal we’ve been waiting for… 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US DEBT SET TO BREAK WWII RECORDS US public debt is approaching historic highs, with interest payments projected to exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — surpassing even defense and healthcare spending. Goldman warns that if urgent action isn’t taken, the US may face aggressive fiscal tightening, which could shrink GDP without lowering the debt-to-GDP ratio. Root causes: overspending, rising interest rates, and deep political division. 📌 For Indian investors, such instability in the US economy tends to weaken the USD and increase demand for gold, which has always been a trusted asset in Indian households and institutional portfolios alike. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Updated – M30/H1) Gold remains within a strong descending channel, and price action is currently showing signs of a bearish continuation setup. The zone at 3,338.422 is acting as a mid-pivot. A pullback to the upper trendline (around 3,368.048) is expected before the next leg lower. EMA ribbons are stacked downward, confirming short-term bearish momentum. If the bounce toward 3,368 fails to break out, we expect price to revisit the FVG zone near 3,325.783, and possibly extend toward 3,309.256. ✅ TRADING PLAN (Unchanged Zones) 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308 SL: 3303 TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ??? 🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323 SL: 3318 TP: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420 SL: 3424 TP: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398 SL: 3403 TP: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS As we close the trading week, market liquidity may spike suddenly after Thursday’s US bank holiday. This could trigger a decisive move — either a breakout or a trap. ✅ Stick to your SL/TP, avoid emotional trading, and let the market confirm the direction. Gold remains structurally bearish, but any shift in global sentiment — especially driven by US debt concerns — could flip the script fast. Watch. Plan. Execute. Let the market come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Potential long setup before big drop ?Gold is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after a prolonged pullback within the Keltner Channel. Price is consolidating near the lower boundary of the 1H channel, indicating possible accumulation. The Heikin Ashi candles are flattening, and momentum appears to be stabilizing. 📍 Entry Zone: Near 3,369 🎯 TP1: 3,391 – aligned with mid-Keltner resistance and recent structure 🎯 TP2: 3,415 – upper Keltner band, offering a strong confluence zone 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3,357 – under recent support and Keltner lower band
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
short term downtrend! sell gold 3379Plan XAU day: 19 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Gold prices show minimal gains as the Asian session begins, following the Fed’s decision to maintain rates while indicating they are still considering two rate cuts. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump’s comments on Iran triggered a pullback toward a weekly low of $3,362 before settling at around current levels. XAU/USD is trading at $3,375, up 0.19%. On Wednesday, the Fed kept rates unchanged as expected and updated its economic projections for the United States (US). The median forecasts suggest that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be lower than in March’s projections, while the unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly. Inflation is likely to end around the 3% level, and the Federal Funds Rate forecast indicates policymakers are anticipating 50 basis points of easing personal opinion:!!! Gold price confirms downtrend in Asian session, price zone 3379 following downtrend line Important price zone to consider : !!! SELL point: 3379 zone Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JJainy
2
GOLD GEARS UP FOR THE NEXT MOVE? All Eyes on Middle East & FedXAUUSD – GOLD GEARS UP FOR THE NEXT MOVE? All Eyes on Middle East & Fed 🌐 MACRO VIEW – WHAT'S MOVING GOLD? 🔺 Fed stays on hold, but Powell remains hawkish – His recent speech signals that inflation may persist due to ongoing geopolitical risks and rising commodity costs... 🔥 Middle East tensions could be the game-changer for gold prices: If the US steps in as a mediator to de-escalate tensions between Israel and Iran, gold could see a deeper correction toward the 3,357–3,345 support zone, possibly lower... On the other hand, Trump’s reported alignment with Israel and possible airstrikes on Iran would likely send gold soaring back to 3,417–3,440 levels, acting as a safe haven trigger. 📉 TECHNICAL SETUP (M30) Gold is moving inside a descending channel, compressing within key EMAs (13–34–89–200). A potential inverse head & shoulders pattern is forming at the bottom, signaling possible bullish breakout if confirmed. Support remains firm around 3,345–3,357, while price struggles to break above the upper trendline. ✅ TRADING PLAN 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,345 – 3,357 Entry: Look for bullish rejection and confirmation SL: Below 3,342 TP: 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403 → 3,417 → 3,440 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440 Entry: Wait for rejection and bearish confirmation near resistance SL: Above 3,445 TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,373 → 3,357 💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS Even though the broader trend remains bullish, gold is not yet ready for a breakout – consolidation continues. Smart traders should stay patient, watch for clean setups, and manage risk well. Keep an eye on political developments, especially involving Iran, Israel, and the US, as they could trigger sharp moves in gold. Trade smart. Let the market come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Consolidates Ahead of Fed: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?🟡 XAUUSD 18/06 – Gold Consolidates Ahead of Fed: Buy Signal or Bull Trap? 🌐 MACRO & SENTIMENT OVERVIEW The US Dollar Index (DXY) gained 0.7% to start the week, as markets anticipate the Fed may keep rates higher for longer due to rising oil prices and global geopolitical uncertainty. However, with the upcoming FOMC meeting and US retail sales data, there is a strong potential for a shift in tone if growth shows signs of weakness. Geopolitical tensions – particularly in the Middle East (Israel–Iran conflict) – continue to support gold’s defensive appeal, even as short-term profit-taking creates volatility. 📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – M30 Chart Gold is currently trading inside a descending channel, but price structure remains above EMA 13–34–89, keeping the potential for a bullish reversal alive. Liquidity has been absorbed multiple times near 3,345, aligning with dynamic support from trendline and horizontal structure → a key decision zone for bulls. On the upside, resistance between 3,440 – 3,445 remains a critical distribution zone, likely to trigger sell reactions if price fails to break convincingly. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343 SL: 3339 TP: 3350 – 3354 – 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3380 – 3400 – ??? 📌 This zone overlaps with trendline and recent demand areas. Watch for bullish price action confirmation (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) before entering. If confirmed, we expect a strong bounce targeting the upper channel and beyond. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444 SL: 3448 TP: 3438 – 3434 – 3430 – 3425 – 3420 – 3410 – 3400 📌 This is a strong supply area that has rejected price multiple times. Look for reversal signals like bearish divergence or rejection wicks to consider short entries. ✅ SUMMARY Gold is caught in a critical reaccumulation zone ahead of the FOMC statement. Patience is key: allow the market to react at liquidity zones and follow price behavior instead of chasing moves. Stick to your zones – protect your capital – and let the setups come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+. 📍 Trading Plan 🎯 Entry Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448). Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce). 🛑 Stop‑Loss For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389). For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360). 🎯 Profit Targets Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450). Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone. 🎥 Path Potential minor pullback toward trendline. Bounce establishes support. Surge toward top of range. Breakout with trend continuation to new highs. 📊 Trade Risk & Reward Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2. 📌 Key Levels to Monitor Level Role $3,360 Swift dip support (green base line) $3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone $3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle $3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high 🧭 Market Context & Drivers Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows investing.com +15 reuters.com +15 barrons.com +15 forex24.pro +1 goldpredictors.com +1 . Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+) fxempire.com . Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces fxstreet.com . ✅ Summary Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact. Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445. Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360). Targets: Near-term: $3,448–3,450 Medium-term: $3,500+ Stay tuned for Fed statements and Middle East headlines—they’ll be catalysts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
2
Gold Consolidating at Key Support: Is the Next Move a Reversal?XAUUSD 17 June – Gold Consolidating at Key Support: Is the Next Move a Reversal? After a strong rally to 3,448 – the highest level in 8 weeks – gold faced profit booking and pulled back sharply towards 3,385. However, price is now sitting at a critical confluence of technical zones, and smart money may be preparing for the next strategic leg. Let’s decode the structure... 🌐 Macro & Market Sentiment Geopolitical heat remains: Israel–Iran tension is far from cooling. Trump's statements about evacuating Tehran and pushing for a new nuclear deal are fueling safe-haven demand. Fed policy meeting + US Retail Sales ahead: These upcoming events will shape inflation expectations and rate path clarity. Traders are cautious but alert. Capital rotation: Large funds may be temporarily exiting gold and shifting into oil and stocks—triggering short-term volatility, not trend reversals. 📊 Technical Breakdown (M30-H1 Confluence) Trend channel: Gold is currently trading within a descending short-term channel after failing to hold above the 3,440–3,448 supply zone. EMA alignment (13-34-89-200): Squeezing closer, indicating momentum exhaustion and possible bullish crossover if support holds. Fair Value Gap (FVG) + historical support + ascending trendline align near 3,345 → strong liquidity pocket forming here. 🎯 Trade Setups for Today ✅ BUY Setup (Liquidity Rebound) BUY ZONE: 3,344 – 3,342 SL: 3,338 Targets: → 3,348 → 3,352 → 3,356 → 3,360 → 3,364 → 3,368 → 3,372 → 3,380+ 🧠 Ideal entry if price forms bullish rejection candle in this zone, especially during London open. Look for long-tail or inside bar confirmation. ⚠️ SELL Setup (Scalp-Only if Rejected) SELL ZONE: 3,440 – 3,442 SL: 3,446 Targets: → 3,436 → 3,432 → 3,428 → 3,424 → 3,420 → 3,415 → 3,410 📌 Only short if there's strong rejection from this supply zone. No blind entry—wait for clear bearish momentum or reversal wick with high volume. 🧭 Market Psychology Retail traders were trapped on the breakout—smart money likely unloading at highs. Price is now retracing to gather liquidity. If the 3,344 zone holds, we could see a powerful impulsive recovery. Don’t trade the noise — trade the zones. Volume behavior around these levels will reveal market intention. 📌 Final Thoughts This is a classic case of controlled retracement after a breakout. If gold finds support at the BUY ZONE, the next bullish wave could target 3,400+ again. But if the 3,345 area fails, deeper correction toward 3,320 is possible. 🧘‍♂️ Stay patient. Let price come to you. ✅ Follow structure, respect SL, and trade with clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation SetupThe chart illustrates a bullish market structure for XAU/USD, with price action currently trending upwards. Key technical observations: Support Zone: Price has recently bounced from a support zone around 3,399.710, indicating strong buying interest. Bullish Projection: A bullish continuation is expected. The chart outlines a potential scenario with a minor retracement towards 3,432.835 or 3,399.710, followed by a strong upward move. Targets: Immediate resistance is around 3,502.669. If broken, price may aim for 3,550.351. Final projected target lies near 3,680.000, which aligns with a historical supply zone. Indicators: The green enveloping bands suggest increasing volatility, with the price respecting the upper band, supporting bullish momentum. Conclusion: XAU/USD appears poised for a bullish breakout continuation. A potential pullback could offer a buy opportunity, targeting higher resistance zones as long as the structure remains intact.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
Gold Drops After Asian FOMO: Bull Trap or Liquidity Grab?🟡 XAUUSD 16/06 – Gold Drops After Asian FOMO: Bull Trap or Liquidity Grab? After a strong bullish rally in the Asian session driven by fear-based headlines and war news, gold (XAUUSD) suddenly reversed sharply — confusing many retail traders who jumped in late. But when we look deeper into price behavior and volume, the story becomes clearer... 📌 Key Fundamental Insights 🔸 Geopolitical headlines (war tensions, assassination attempts) triggered a FOMO rally in gold early in Asia. 🔸 However, the lack of follow-through volume suggests this may have been a bull trap—a smart money strategy to unload positions into emotional buying. 🔸 Big funds could be reallocating capital temporarily from gold into: 🔹 Stocks (tech & value sectors are correcting attractively) 🔹 Oil (Middle East tension = higher oil price = strong institutional interest) 🔍 Technical Outlook (M30 Chart) The technical structure shows a textbook liquidity play: 🔻 Price spiked into resistance at 3456, then reversed 🧊 EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening → signs of potential bearish crossover on M15–M30 📉 Volume has been declining → confirms exhaustion of the FOMO move 📦 A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits below current price, acting as a magnet for liquidity 🎯 Strategy Setup Scenario 1: BUY from FVG (Liquidity Reclaim) Entry: 3383 – 3385 SL: 3377 TPs: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+ Structure favors a bounce from this zone if confirmed by price action during London or NY sessions. Scenario 2: SELL if price re-tests 3456–3458 Entry: Only on clear rejection SL: 3462 TPs: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430 ⚠️ Avoid shorting blindly — only trade confirmed rejections with strong candle setups. Market Psychology Right Now Big players may be unloading gold to rotate into oil and equities Asian FOMO = retail got trapped Volume profile shows imbalance: market likely seeking liquidity lower before moving higher again 📝 Final Thoughts Gold is in a volatile reaccumulation zone. Rather than chasing price, it’s better to let the market come to your planned zones. The 3383–3385 zone will be critical. If it holds, we may see a solid bounce into next week. Discipline beats emotion. Respect your SL and stick to the zone logic. 📌 Follow for intraday updates. Will post re-entry plan during London session if price reacts early.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD: Further levels using Elliott Wave TheoryWe successfully forecasted the path of gold in our post on May 12th. Now, GOLD is looking like it's entering an impulse wave. Wave (1) of this impulse was completed on 23rd May. The price then falls between the zone 38.2% and 50% to form wave (2). This was also predicted by us. Currently, GOLD is in wave (3). Now, to get the targets of wave (3), we have two possibilities. 1. Wave (3) goes to 100% and then reverses. This case is of the Terminal impulse. And the further path of GOLD can be predicted later. 2. Wave (3) goes to 161.8% (minimum). This is the case of Trending or normal impulse. And further path of GOLD can be predicted accordingly. For now, GOLD is looking like going to touch at least the 100% (3490.81) level. This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci. This analysis is for educational purposes only. This is not any buying recommendations.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by theprofityogi
4
I Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD June 16, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 timeframe, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) in green, with the market currently in wave 4. Last Friday, after breaking above the 3444 high, price failed to continue toward 3482 and instead reversed lower. This behavior suggests that wave 4 is developing as a Flat correction in black abc structure. 👉 Based on this outlook, wave c is expected to complete around 3314, marking the end of wave 4 in green. From there, a bullish impulse is anticipated to complete wave 5. 🔎 Momentum Overview D1 timeframe: Momentum is rising → indicating the dominant trend for early this week is likely bullish. H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining → supporting the scenario that wave c of wave 4 may still have one more leg down. H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn downward → suggesting a potential drop during the Asian session on Monday. 🚨 However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could trigger unexpected price spikes, especially during the Asian session. 📈 Trade Plan Buy Zone: 3415 – 3412 Stop Loss: 3405 Take Profit 1: 3444 Take Profit 2: 3482
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD PRICES STEADY AHEAD OF US CPI & TRADE TALKSSymbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3324 Gold is currently testing the liquidity zone during the Asian trading session, exhibiting signs of a potential false breakout. While the metal is showing signs of recovery, the broader fundamental backdrop remains uncertain. As of Monday, gold is trading steadily around the 3300 level, supported by a weaker US dollar and cautious sentiment among market participants ahead of upcoming US-China discussions and the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data scheduled for Wednesday. Robust Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) figures for May have strengthened the dollar and diminished expectations for a near term FED rate cut. Nonetheless, ongoing domestic challenges in the US are exerting downward pressure on the currency. Investors are repositioning ahead of the CPI release. From a technical standpoint, the trend remains bullish. Although the price previously breached structural support, it has rebounded during the Asian session following a false breakdown of both the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Price action in the near term will be influenced by the 3300–3335 range. Resistance levels: 3325, 3343, 3375 Support levels: 3303, 3275 Gold appears to be approaching the 3325–3335 zone for a potential retest. Should the dollar continue to weaken and gold sustain a move above the 3340 level, the bullish momentum may persist. However, caution is warranted-a false breakout within the 3325–3335 area could signal a breakdown of the bullish structure and result in a renewed downward move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
1
GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H CHART – BULLISH BREAKOUT TRADE SETUP🔵 Trendline Breakout 📈 📏 Price broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal. 🔼 This breakout is often seen as a buy signal by traders. 🧱 Resistance Area 🛑 🔹 Price has entered and broken through a horizontal resistance zone. 🔄 This zone may now flip into support, adding confidence to the long setup. 🟧 Demand Zone 📦 📍 Marked between 3,267 – 3,298. 🛡️ Strong buying interest historically observed in this area. 📉 EMA (70) at 3,298.065 acts as dynamic support. 🟦 Entry Point 🚪 🎯 Entry Level: 3,322.930 🔄 Enter after retest confirmation or bullish candle above resistance. 🔴 Stop Loss ⛔ ⚠️ SL Level: 3,267.993 💣 Below the demand zone and EMA — protecting against false breakouts. 🟩 Target Point 🎯 🚀 TP Level: 3,490.000 📌 Prior high zone — strong historical resistance expected here. 💰 Trade Setup Summary ✅ Buy Above: 3,322.930 ❌ Stop Loss: 3,267.993 🎯 Target: 3,490.000 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable (approx. 1:3) 🔎 Technical Confidence Levels 🔵 EMA Support ✅ 🔵 Trendline Breakout ✅ 🔵 Resistance Flip ✅ 🔴 False Breakout Risk
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jameshead007
Gold Surges Amid Middle East TensionsXAUUSD – Gold Surges Amid Middle East Tensions | What’s Next After 3430 Break? 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Overview Gold prices accelerated sharply in the Asian session on June 13 after Israel launched a large-scale airstrike campaign against Iran, targeting nuclear facilities including the Natanz uranium enrichment site. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu declared the mission would continue until the Iranian nuclear threat is “completely neutralized.” Iran suffered major losses and scrambled its air force to prepare for retaliation. WTI oil jumped over 8%, gold spiked to $3,430/oz, and US equities dropped sharply. While the US claimed it would not participate directly in the attack, it vowed to defend its forces in the region if threatened. This rapidly escalating geopolitical conflict has triggered a renewed flight into safe-haven assets, with gold leading the pack. 📉 Technical Outlook – M30 / H1 Chart 🔹 Trend Structure Gold has broken out decisively above 3,392, forming a strong bullish leg and carving new short-term support around 3,412 – 3,426. Price action is forming a Higher High – Higher Low structure within a rising channel. 🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) A visible FVG between 3,405 – 3,412 has formed. As long as price holds above this zone, bullish continuation is favored. 🔹 EMA Structure Price is well above all key EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200), confirming a strong bullish environment. EMA13 continues to guide intraday momentum. 🔹 Key Resistance Zone Watch for potential distribution or profit-taking around 3,441 – 3,456 – a major resistance area if no further escalation occurs. 🧠 Market Sentiment & Behavior Investor sentiment has shifted firmly into risk-off mode. Funds are flowing heavily into gold, oil, CHF, and JPY. Price volatility is likely to spike further, as headlines continue to drive intraday sentiment. 🎯 Updated Trade Setup – 13 June 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3384 – 3382 Stop-Loss: 3378 Take-Profit: 3388 → 3392 → 3396 → 3400 → 3405 → 3410 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3454 – 3456 Stop-Loss: 3460 Take-Profit: 3450 → 3446 → 3442 → 3438 → 3434 → 3430 ✅ Conclusion The renewed conflict between Israel and Iran is fueling gold’s rise as global risk appetite collapses. Technically, the trend remains bullish, but volatility is extremely elevated. Traders should watch key price zones closely and avoid emotional trades during event-driven spikes. ⚠️ Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Let key levels confirm bias before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – CPI Data Pushes Gold HigherXAUUSD – CPI Data Pushes Gold Higher | Should You Follow the Trend or Sell the Top? Gold prices surged strongly after the US CPI report came in lower than expected. This triggered a sharp drop in the US Dollar and yields, while boosting demand for safe-haven assets. The question now: Is this the beginning of a new leg higher, or a setup for a short-term correction? 🌐 MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT 📰 US CPI (May): Increased only 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY vs. forecast of 2.5%. ➤ This softer inflation reading reignited expectations that the Fed may cut rates as early as September. 📉 USD Weakness: The Dollar Index (DXY) dropped ~0.4%, making gold cheaper and more attractive for global investors. 📉 Bond Yields Falling: US 10Y yields declined, further increasing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe asset. 💡 Market Psychology: Traders are rotating capital back into gold ahead of FOMC and geopolitical uncertainties (China, Middle East). 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H1 & H4 STRUCTURE 🔹 Trend Structure Gold remains in a Higher High – Higher Low formation since the 3,312 level. Price recently broke above the 3,360–3,374 resistance and is now consolidating around 3,375 — a possible accumulation before breakout. 🔹 Price Channel Gold is respecting an ascending channel with the lower bound aligning with the key support area at 3,339 – 3,345. As long as this zone holds, bulls are in control. 🔹 EMA Indicators EMA13 / EMA34: Price is comfortably above both — indicating strong short-term momentum. EMA89 / EMA200: Both EMAs are well below price action, confirming a medium-term bullish trend. 🔹 Caution Zone Resistance at 3,392 – 3,395 is a key area to watch for reversal patterns (Pin Bars, Bearish Engulfing, etc.) If price pulls back to 3,339 – 3,345 and holds, it can offer high-probability long entries with trend continuation. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3324 – 3322 Stop-Loss: 3318 Take-Profit Targets: 3330, 3334, 3338, 3342, 3346, 3350 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3337 – 3335 Stop-Loss: 3330 Take-Profit Targets: 3341, 3345, 3350, 3354, 3360, 3370, 3380 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3392 – 3394 Stop-Loss: 3398 Take-Profit Targets: 3388, 3384, 3380, 3375, 3370, 3360, 3350 🧠 CONCLUSION The lower-than-expected CPI has given gold a short-term macro boost, and technically, bulls remain in control. However, caution is needed near the 3,392 zone — where price could face strong supply and trigger a pullback. ✅ Trade with confirmation, not assumptions. Let the price action guide your next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Holds Breath for CPI – Decisive Catalyst or Price Trap?XAUUSD: Gold Holds Breath for CPI – Decisive Catalyst or Price Trap? 🌍 Macro Landscape: Gold Awaits CPI, Real Interest Rate Pressure The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a highly sensitive phase as investors hold their breath for the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report during the U.S. session. CPI is the most crucial inflation gauge, and any deviation from expectations can trigger significant market shocks, especially for safe-haven assets like gold. In this context, real interest rates are playing a pivotal role. If inflation cools faster than anticipated (lower CPI), pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates will increase, leading to a drop in bond yields and making gold more attractive. Conversely, if inflation remains "sticky" (higher CPI), the Fed may maintain a "higher-for-longer" policy stance, pushing bond yields up and putting downward pressure on gold due to the increased opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. 🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence: Fed's Caution, BoJ's Waiting Game Federal Reserve (Fed): FOMC members continue to signal patience with rate cuts. Recent inflation data shows persistent price pressures, particularly in the services sector, reinforcing the Fed's hawkish bias. This creates pressure on gold if the USD continues to strengthen due to higher interest rates. Bank of Japan (BoJ): (While not directly related to XAUUSD, global policy divergence still impacts capital flows and sentiment. For Gold, our focus is primarily on the Fed and other major central banks.) The divergence in global monetary policies, especially between the Fed and other major central banks, is creating a volatile environment for the gold market. 🌐 Capital Flows: Gold & USD – The Safe-Haven Race Amid Instability Global capital flow models suggest that the USD and Gold are currently the two most sought-after safe-haven assets amidst geopolitical tensions (such as US-China tensions) and EU fiscal risks. If the upcoming CPI data surprises the market, it could trigger significant capital flows between the USD (a yielding asset) and gold (a non-yielding asset). A lower-than-expected CPI could boost inflows into gold, while a higher CPI could reinforce USD strength and push gold prices lower. 📊 Technical Structure (M30 Chart): Gold in Decision Zone On the M30 chart for XAUUSD: Primary Trend: Gold prices are currently in a consolidation or slight correction phase, accumulating before the CPI news. The EMA 13 - 34 - 89 - 200 indicators present a mixed picture, with the price oscillating around the short-term MAs, while the longer-term MA (EMA 200) still acts as dynamic support/resistance. A "fan-out formation" or MA crossovers will be crucial signals confirming the next trend direction. Crucial Resistance Zone (SELL Zone): Around 3374 - 3376. This is a strong resistance area where the price has reacted or has the potential to reverse. If the price rallies and approaches this zone before or after the CPI news without breaking through, it presents a potential selling opportunity. Crucial Support Zone (BUY ZONE): Around 3314 - 3312. This is a strong support area where the price may find significant buying pressure to bounce. If the price corrects to this zone and shows bullish reversal signals (e.g., hammer candle, bullish engulfing), it presents a potential buying opportunity. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations Scenario 1 – BUY (Await reaction at support): Entry: 3314 - 3312 (Wait for bullish reversal candle confirmation or strong buying pressure in this zone). Stop-Loss: 3308 (Just below the support zone for capital protection). Take-Profit: TP1: 3318 TP2: 3322 TP3: 3326 TP4: 3330 TP5: 3335 TP6: 3340 Scenario 2 – SELL (Await reaction at resistance): Entry: 3374 - 3376 (Wait for bearish reversal candle confirmation or strong selling pressure in this zone). Stop-Loss: 3380 (Just above the resistance zone for capital protection). Take-Profit: TP1: 3370 TP2: 3366 TP3: 3362 TP4: 3358 TP5: 3352 TP6: 3348 TP7: 3340 ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: U.S. CPI Report (U.S. session): This is the most critical event, which will dictate gold's primary direction in the short term. Be prepared for strong volatility upon its release. Any statements from Fed members: Comments on inflation or monetary policy can impact market sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 🪙📈 📊 Technical Overview: The chart presents a clear range-bound market structure with well-defined zones of support and resistance: 📍 Key Levels: 🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,400 Price has been rejected multiple times from this level, as indicated by red arrows. It marks a strong supply zone. 🟢 Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,300 Price has bounced several times from this demand area, forming a reliable support base. 📏 Intermediate Level: $3,319.38 Marked with a purple line, this is likely a mid-range liquidity zone or a previous minor structure level. 🔄 Price Action Insights: Double Bottom Formation: Notable at the support zone, confirming strong buying interest (highlighted with orange circles and green arrows). This pattern often signals a bullish reversal. Current Price: Trading near $3,375.645, approaching the resistance area again. Projected Scenarios: Bullish Continuation 📈: Break and close above the resistance could trigger momentum to the upside — watch for a breakout with strong volume. Pullback Scenario 🔁: A rejection from resistance could cause a retest of $3,319.38 or even the support zone, forming a higher low before a potential rally. 🧠 Strategy Outlook: Bullish Bias 🐂 as long as price holds above $3,319.38. Watch for Breakout 🚀 above resistance with volume confirmation for long entries. Caution ⚠️ near resistance; ideal to wait for either a breakout or clear rejection. 📌 Conclusion: The chart reflects accumulation within a range, with bullish structure emerging. A break above $3,400 could shift market sentiment decisively upward, while a failure at resistance invites a deeper pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight