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Xauusdanalysis

Gold Slips After Peak: Trade Fed Uncertainty & Jobs Report!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟 Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉 US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market. Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦 Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand. Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers. Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉 Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts! Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586 Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560 SL: 3564 TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535 Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578 SL: 3587 TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538 Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524 SL: 3520 TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549 Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498 SL: 3490 TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538 Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Trade the Fed Drama & Jobs Data Wave!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟 Historic Surge: Gold soared to an all-time high before US jobs data showed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 openings and steady hiring, pointing to a softening labor market. This fueled gold’s rise, with $3,600/oz as the next target. 📈 Fed Rate Cut Fever: Post-data, the odds of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s Sept 16-17 meeting jumped from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller stressed the need for a cut this month, with future moves tied to economic trends. 🏦 Key Data Ahead: All eyes are on today’s (04/09) ADP employment and US jobless claims, plus the big monthly payrolls report on 05/09. These could steer the Fed’s path and gold’s trajectory. Fed Drama Boosts Gold: On Sept 3, Fed Governor Lisa Cook pushed back against Trump’s attempt to oust her, while Trump keeps slamming Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Worries about Fed independence are shaking confidence in USD assets, making gold the go-to safe haven. Trump’s also gearing up to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸 Gold’s Sweet Spot: As a non-yielding asset, gold shines in uncertain times and low-rate environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Technical Analysis: Bullish Run Continues, Buy Dips but Watch Reversals! 📉 After the Asian session opened, gold plunged to the 351x zone before bouncing back above 352x. This could be big players flushing out retail liquidity—a classic move during relentless all-time highs (ATHs) that create large FVGs. Stick to BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, brace for a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data incoming. Stay sharp for volatility! Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596 Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3560-3562 SL: 3566 TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547 Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596 SL: 3604 TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546 Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506 SL: 3502 TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521 Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491 SL: 3483 TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open Gold is blazing, but today’s data could shake things up—keep your risk tight! If it stays above 352x, bulls might charge to new highs. 📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expect price to pull lower towards demand areas before the next bullish leg. 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity) • Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 • Stop Loss: 3,535 • Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 o Stop Loss: 3,470 o Target: 3,508 – 3,526 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 o Stop Loss: 3,435 o Target: 3,500+ ⚖️ SMC Bias • Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. • Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. • Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025 ———————————— Momentum • D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close. • H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal. • H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength. ———————————— Wave Structure • D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form. • H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple). • H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern. o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner. o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple). o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level. ———————————— Targets • Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469. • Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan. ———————————— Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 • SL: 3490 • TP1: 3524 Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 • SL: 3459 • TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Bearish Pressure Builds: Gold Poised for More RetreatGold retreated sharply today as expected, and directly hit my expected retracement target of 3520-3510 area; the lowest point happened to be around 3511. We added a lot of short positions around 3575 and 3578 overnight, which helped us to make considerable profits during the gold retreat. All short positions made a total profit of 1830pips after being closed. Since gold has begun to retreat from 3578, and the retracement has reached 670 pips in the short term, a retracement that is rare in recent times, as gold has shown obvious signs of retreat, once large funds begin to withdraw, it may trigger serious selling sentiment in the market. Taking this opportunity, the gold market may usher in a round of sharp correction. Moreover, after gold retreats, 3578 is expected to become the interim peak, which will limit the room for gold to rebound while being conducive to the downward pressure on gold. In addition, gold rose sharply before the NFP market, probably to reserve room for the NFP market to fall, so I think gold still has the demand and space to continue to retreat, so the current decline has not ended yet, and I think the current short-term rebound provides us with good conditions for entering the short market. According to the current structure, gold still needs to retreat after fluctuating at high levels. Therefore, in trading, we can still look for suitable opportunities to short gold during the gold rebound. First of all, we need to pay attention to the short-term resistance area of 3545-3555. Once gold cannot effectively stand in this area during the rebound, gold will also test the 3510-3500 area. After falling below this area, it is expected to continue to the 3490-3480 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
2
GOLD Daily Plan – Sideway before ADP & NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGAfter yesterday’s strong rally, Gold (XAUUSD) corrected by over 60 Prices, moving back to the VPOC 3537 zone. This pullback indicates a potential short-term ATH near 357x, where SELL positions were shaken out and BUY positions booked profits. Currently, Gold is consolidating ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K previously, weaker job data could pressure USD and provide upside momentum for Gold. The 60+ point drop highlights profit-taking by institutions and created liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price into the 353x–354x sideway zone. A clear breakout of this zone will decide today’s trend direction. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3540 – 3548 – 3560 – 3576 🔑 Key Support Levels 3526 – 3515 – 3502 – 3490 – 3476 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View) 🔵 BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500 🔴 SL: 3494 ✔️ TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? 🔵 BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475 🔴 SL: 3470 ✔️ TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ??? 🔵 SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561 🔴 SL: 3566 ✔️ TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ??? 🔵 SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576 🔴 SL: 3580 ✔️ TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ??? 📊 MMFLOW TRADING View: Today’s outlook suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP releases. Sideway accumulation dominates between 353x–354x, but whichever side breaks first will set the day’s direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context Gold is currently reflecting a short-term bearish setup after a Change of Character (ChoCH) near 3,536.556. The market is reacting from supply and creating liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. We anticipate the price to move lower towards demand areas before the next upward push. 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Trade) Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 Stop Loss: 3,535 Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 Stop Loss: 3,470 Target: 3,508 – 3,526 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 Stop Loss: 3,435 Target: 3,500+ ⚖️ SMC Bias Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. Mid-term: Expecting liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. Long-term: Bullish order flow intact as long as deeper demand (3,441) is respected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context Gold continues to show a bullish trend with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. The price is currently consolidating around the 3,533–3,540 range, with a noticeable FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market is likely to sweep liquidity before making another upward move. 📍 Key Levels • Resistance (Sell Zones): 3,564 | 3,575–3,576 | 3,586 | 3,595 • Support (Buy Zones): 3,528 | 3,508 | 3,494 | 3,480–3,478 | 3,468 🛠️ Trade Ideas ✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing) • Entry: 3,480 – 3,478 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,473 • TP (Take Profit): 3,485 – 3,490 – 3,500 – 3,515 – 3,520 – 3,530 📌 Expectation: Price is expected to fill the FVG and react from the demand zone before resuming its upward trend. ✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction) • Entry: 3,501 – 3,503 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,491 • TP (Take Profit): 3,510 – 3,525 – 3,545 – 3,550 📌 Expectation: A short-term liquidity grab above the 3,500 psychological level, leading to a bullish push. ❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play) • Entry: 3,575 – 3,573 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,582 • TP (Take Profit): 3,565 – 3,555 – 3,545 – 3,530 – 3,520 📌 Expectation: A strong supply zone where smart money may target liquidity before a price reversal. 🔑 SMC Insights • BOS confirms a bullish bias, but the price may pull back to address the FVG imbalance. • Liquidity is likely to be present around 3,480–3,500 before a push towards 3,575 or higher. • High probability of buying at demand zones (dips) and selling at extreme supply zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 4/9/2025 Momentum • D1: Currently showing bearish reversal signals. We need to wait for today’s daily candle close to confirm. If confirmed, it is likely that the recent rally has ended and the market will enter a corrective phase lasting several days. • H4: Momentum is moving into the oversold zone, suggesting that the current downward correction may be close to completion. Afterward, a rebound is expected within the next 1–2 H4 candles. • H1: Momentum is in the oversold zone and showing signs of turning upward, indicating a short-term bullish bounce is likely. Wave Structure • D1: The first bearish candle has appeared after a steep rally, suggesting a 5-wave structure. The ongoing correction will help determine whether this was the completion of a larger Wave 5 or just Wave 1 within Wave 5. • H4: After reaching 3578, price turned lower. This likely marked the completion of black Wave 5, as well as the green wave and purple Wave iii. The market is now in the corrective phase of purple Wave iv. • H1: Purple Wave iii has completed, including both black Wave 5 and green Wave v. An ABC corrective structure is currently forming, but its formation time is relatively short, which means extra caution is needed as the correction may not be fully completed or could extend further. 📍 Target zones for the completion of purple Wave iv: • Zone 1: 3498 • Zone 2: 3469 Once purple Wave iv is completed, the uptrend is expected to continue into purple Wave v with projected targets: • Target 1: 3602 • Target 2: 3667 Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 o SL: 3490 o TP1: 3524 • Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 o SL: 3459 o TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟 New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈 Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦 USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉 Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸 Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022. Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉 Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control! Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574 Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545 SL: 3,549 TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530 Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523 Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508 SL: 3,504 TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528 Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473 SL: 3,465 TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
GOLD crosses $3500! What’s next for Indian traders?Gold (XAUUSD) has shown massive momentum, moving nearly 50–60 points daily. Price is now reacting at an important FIBO extension level. Sellers are stepping in, but so far there is no strong confirmation on higher timeframes (H1–H2). 📊 MMFLOW VIEW Sideways consolidation → Breakout → New ATHs every day. Liquidity & FVG zones are still favoring the BUY side. SELL is only safe when higher timeframe volume confirms. For now: Focus on BUY entries from liquidity zones. 🔑 KEY LEVELS Resistance: 3440–3446 (ATH) | 3564 | 3576 | 3586 | 3595 Support: 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480 | 3468 🎯 MMFLOW PLAN ✅ BUY ZONE: 3481 – 3479 SL: 3474 TP: 3486 – 3490 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – ??? ✅ BUY SCALP: 3496 – 3494 SL: 3490 TP: 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? ❌ SELL ZONE: 3576 – 3578 SL: 3584 TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3555 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 ⚠️ Important for Indian traders: GOLD is extremely volatile right now. Don’t rush into trades. 👉 Wait for confirmation at Key Levels, use proper Risk Management, and target smart entries for maximum profit. 🔥 This is the MMFLOW TRADING PLAN – Follow us on TradingView for daily GOLD strategies and never miss the next big move!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started?XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started? Hello traders, Gold is now showing signs of a corrective move lower. Price has already dropped by nearly 40 dollars, signalling that selling pressure is starting to build. Traders are accepting lower prices at this level, but to truly confirm a bearish shift, we need to see price action around the 3530 zone, which acts as a key level for validation. On the higher timeframe, gold has rallied almost 250 dollars (2500 pips) in just two weeks, a very strong bullish run. However, with the upcoming NFP release today and tomorrow, the market could redistribute liquidity. Current forecasts suggest weak NFP numbers, and if that plays out, gold may still push higher – but this remains speculative. Trading strategy for now: Short entries: around 354x, aiming for a medium- to long-term move lower. Potential buy zones: watch for reactions at the FVG liquidity gaps around 3510 – 3460 – 3430, where strong demand previously created imbalances. For now, my outlook remains medium-term short, while staying flexible around key liquidity levels. Take this as reference, and share your views in the comments – let’s discuss together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Approaches All-Time High with Strong Bullish MomentumAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is showing strong bullish momentum after breaking through the buy zone around the $3,450 level. Price action has respected the ascending channel and successfully pushed above key resistance levels. Currently, gold is trading at $3,473, with the next major target set at the all-time high (ATH) of $3,550, as highlighted on the chart. The breakout above the consolidation zone suggests continued buyer strength, supported by high trading volume. If the bullish momentum sustains, we can expect a new ATH around $3,550+, while a failure to hold above $3,450 may bring a short-term pullback toward $3,400 – $3,346 support levels. Overall, sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks ready to test higher highs if momentum continues. Would you like me to also create a trade plan (entry, stop loss, take profit levels) for this setup?
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
XAU/USD Bullish Setup – OB Zone to $3,590 TargetChart Overview (XAU/USD – 30m): Current price: $3,534 Price is in a strong bullish channel (higher highs & higher lows). Market forming an ATH (All-Time High) and consolidating. 📌 Strategies Applied: 1. Trendline Strategy: Price respecting support & rejection lines inside ascending channel. Trend remains bullish as long as price holds above support. 2. Order Block (OB) Zone: Identified buying zone at $3,501 – $3,514. Strong support + liquidity area → possible rebound point. 3. Moving Averages (EMA): EMA 70 (3,508) and EMA 200 (3,464) both acting as dynamic support. EMA alignment confirms bullish momentum. 4. Risk–Reward Setup: Entry near OB Zone: $3,501 – $3,514 Stop-loss: below $3,500 Target: $3,590 (R:R ~ 1:3). ✅ Summary: Gold is in a strong bullish trend 🚀. The OB Buying Zone aligns with EMA support, offering a low-risk long entry. As long as $3,500 holds, price likely pushes towards the target zone $3,589 – $3,590.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_JOHN144
XAUUSD – Is Fibo 1.618 Strong Enough to End the Rally?XAUUSD – Is Fibo 1.618 Strong Enough to End the Rally? Hello traders, Gold has now posted six straight daily gains, showing the strong momentum behind this buying wave. This reflects the current sentiment in global markets, where gold continues to be treated as one of the most important safe-haven assets amid ongoing tariff discussions and a flood of news. Part of this move has been driven by speculation around former US President Trump. While the news itself is unclear and not fully verified, it has been enough to influence global financial markets and push gold higher in recent sessions. From a technical perspective, gold has already broken out of its daily trend channel and extended strongly higher. Right now, price is pausing around the Fibonacci 1.618 extension at 3536, which is acting as a dynamic resistance. If a bearish structure forms on the M15 timeframe, a short entry could be activated at this level. Short scenario: Watch 3536 – if bearish confirmation appears on M15, short positions may be considered. Buy scenario: The broader uptrend remains intact. A retest of the previous highs at 3500–3505 could offer a strong long entry for the medium to long term. From a market psychology standpoint, this price area will be closely observed: buyers have already taken profits, while sellers have been partially liquidated. This means lower timeframes will be crucial for spotting clean entries. This is my view on gold for today. Take it as reference, trade with discipline, and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 03/09/2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still overlapping. As mentioned in the previous plan, with 6 consecutive daily candles in this condition, a reversal may occur today or tomorrow. • H4: Momentum is preparing to turn bearish. If a confirming candle closes, we may see a downward move on H4. • H1: Momentum is also turning bearish but right above the oversold zone. This suggests the correction on H1 may be near completion, followed by another upward move. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1: Price is still in an uptrend, possibly wave 1 of wave 5 or the final larger wave 5. Current wave targets are 3602 or 3667. This aligns with momentum on D1, which has been overlapping for 6 candles, signaling that in 1–2 more candles a reversal is likely. • H4: A 5-wave purple structure is forming – the dominant structure of the current rally. Price is currently running in wave iii (purple). o Inside wave iii purple, a 5-wave green structure has already formed and is nearing its final stage. o Wave iii and iv green appear completed, and price is now in wave v green, which has broken the previous high of wave iii green, confirming its development. • H1: o The first target of wave v green was hit at 3542. The second target remains at 3585. o Within wave v green, a 5-wave black sub-structure is visible. o The Asian session opened with a breakout above the previous high, implying 2 scenarios: 1. Wave 5 black has completed after reaching the first target (3542). 2. Or it is forming a wave 4 black flat, holding above 3525 before heading to 3570–3585. If price drops below 3525, it means wave 5 black has completed. Then, wave iv purple will target the zones 3498 and 3469 – areas to look for the next buy opportunity. ________________________________________ Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 o SL: 3400 o TP1: 3524 • Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 o SL: 3459 o TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold on Fire – Will XAUUSD Keep Breaking Higher?Gold (XAUUSD) is showing unstoppable momentum this month. With the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakening and markets expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, investor sentiment is shifting away from holding cash. For Indian traders, this means one thing: Gold is the ultimate safe-haven play right now. 🔎 Macro View FED rate cut expectations → Pressure on USD → Bullish for Gold. Risk sentiment: Investors worldwide are running to gold for safety. With strong global inflows, gold could continue to make new all-time highs (ATHs) in the coming months. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1/H4) Gold has been forming sideway accumulation zones followed by strong breakouts. This shows volume and market flow still favor bulls. BUY ZONE: 3482 – 3480 SL: 3474 TP: 3486 – 3490 – 3495 – 3500 – 3505 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? SELL ZONE (only for short-term counter-trade): 3540 – 3542 SL: 3548 TP: 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ??? At the moment, there are no strong signals for selling. Trend bias = BUY on dips until we see sentiment reversal. ⚠️ Risk Note The market is highly volatile right now with sudden liquidity sweeps. Always stick to TP/SL discipline to protect your account. 💡 Conclusion: Gold remains in a powerful bullish trend, supported by both macro and technical factors. For Indian traders, the best strategy is to stay aligned with the bulls — buy dips and ride the wave. ✅ Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market plans and gold insights. Let’s capture this historic rally together!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 2/9/2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still overbought and has been “sticking together” for about 5 consecutive daily candles. Usually, this amount of candles is enough for a potential reversal. This suggests that price may rise for only 1–2 more D1 candles before a daily reversal occurs. • H4: Momentum is currently turning upward, which indicates that today the market is likely to continue higher for at least 2 more H4 candles. • H1: Momentum is turning down. This implies that before H4 can continue its upward move, H1 may first produce a short corrective pullback and then resume the uptrend in line with H4. ——————————————- Wave Structure • D1: Price is still within wave 5 after completing a correction. Since D1 momentum has already stayed overbought for 5 candles, a multi-day correction may soon develop. This correction will clarify whether the current move is wave 1 of a larger wave 5, or if the larger wave 5 has already finished. • H4: Price is completing the 5-wave structure (1-2-3-4-5 in red). Breaking above the wave 3 high confirmed that wave 5 in red is unfolding. With momentum on H4 turning up, the upward progress of wave 5 in red is expected to continue. • H1: Within the 5-wave red structure, we can currently count 9 waves, where the upward waves are nearly equal in length. This reflects an extended wave iii (green). Counting 9 waves also hints that wave iii green is near its end, which implies wave 5 red may also be approaching completion. Drawing an Elliott channel from wave 2 to wave 4 (red) and extending it over the top of wave 3 shows that wave 5 red is nearing the upper boundary of the channel. This supports the expectation that wave 5 red is close to finishing. On a smaller scale, the current short-term decline in H1 looks like wave 4 of wave 5 red. The target zones for wave 4 have already been marked on the chart. ————————————— Principle & Plan • We do not enter against wave iii, especially in the case of an extended wave iii. • Wait for wave iv to complete in order to look for buying opportunities into wave v (green). ————————————— Wave iv targets: • 23.6% retracement of wave iii: 3479.3 • 38.2% retracement of wave iii: 3459.7 Wave 5 target: • Projected at 3577.6 (the farthest TP). ————————————— Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3481 – 3478 o SL: 3470 o TP1: 3521 • Buy Zone 2: 3461 – 3459 o SL: 3450 o TP1: 3521
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1
XAUUSD – Sell Strategy ActivatedXAUUSD – Sell Strategy Activated Hello traders, Gold has followed the expected scenario, reacting precisely around the 3508–3510 zone. This correction is a good signal to consider a bearish outlook. However, for a clearer confirmation, price needs to close an M15 candle below 3466. If that happens, the previous bullish wave will be considered invalid, giving a stronger probability for the Sell setup. Structurally, gold is still within the main rising channel, which means an early short entry should wait until liquidity from the small FVG zone above is fully taken. Technical indicators are supporting this view: MACD has shown consistent bearish momentum in the last 4 H1 candles. Several indicators are already showing divergence, pointing to weakening bullish strength. Sell zone to watch: around 3488–3491. Setup invalidated if price breaks above the nearest resistance. At this stage, the appetite for new long positions is fading, and buying at these levels carries greater risk. Remember, no trend moves in one direction forever – for price to reach higher targets, secondary corrective moves are necessary. This is my trading scenario for gold in the coming sessions. Take it as reference and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAU/USD Bullish Setup – Buy from POI Zone Towards 3545 TargetXAU/USD (15M Chart) Analysis Trend Analysis: Price is in a clear uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows above the EMA 70 & EMA 200. Both EMAs are pointing upward, confirming bullish momentum. POI & FVG Zone: A POI/FVG buying zone (highlighted in pink) is marked between 3481 – 3491, acting as a strong demand area for re-entry if price retraces. Chart Pattern: Price has broken out of a rising wedge formation and is retesting the breakout zone, showing potential continuation to the upside. Support & Resistance: Support: 3481 – 3491 zone (FVG & EMA confluence). Resistance/Target: 3545.608 (major target point). Entry & Risk Management: Entry: Buy near 3491 or 3481 (within POI/FVG zone). Stop Loss: Below 3480 (to protect against false break). Target: 3545 (approx. +55 points). Strategy Confirmation: Trend-following: Bullish continuation above EMAs. FVG/POI: Perfect re-entry buying zone. Breakout strategy: Price broke wedge → retest → continuation expected. Risk-Reward Ratio: Around 1:4, favorable trade setup. ✅ Summary: XAU/USD remains bullish above EMAs. Ideal trade is to buy the dip at 3481–3491 zone with a target at 3545 and stop loss below 3480. Multiple strategies align for upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_JOHN144
1
Gold Surges $70+ – Is XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?🔥 Market Update Gold (XAUUSD) just made a massive rally of more than $70, shaking the entire trading community. The rise in geopolitical tensions is pushing safe-haven demand to extreme levels, and gold has once again become the most-watched asset worldwide. For Indian traders, where gold holds not just market value but also cultural importance, this move is a wake-up call – volatility is at its peak, and discipline is key. 🔎 Macro Outlook 🌍 Global geopolitical risks → Strong inflows into gold as a safe haven. 💵 USD and bond yields are not enough to stop buyers rushing to gold. 📊 Upcoming US PCE data & Fed decisions could bring even bigger swings. 📊 Technical View (H4) After the sharp rally, gold built a base around CP Zone H4 before breaking out again. Key Support Levels 3,462 – 3,443 → Must hold to keep the bullish structure intact. Key Resistance Levels 3,487 – 3,518 → Likely area for pullback or reaction. A clean break could target 3,536+ next. 📌 Possible Market Scenarios ✅ Scenario 1 (Preferred) Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and can push towards 3,536. ⚠️ Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback) Break below 3,462 → Retest of 3,443 before buyers step back in. 🎯 Trade Plan (Reference Only) ✅ BUY ZONE 1 Entry: 3453 – 3451 SL: 3446 TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2 Entry: 3444 – 3442 SL: 3438 TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ??? ❌ SELL ZONE Entry: 3512 – 3514 SL: 3518 TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470 💡 Key Takeaways for Indian Traders Gold is in a powerful uptrend, driven by global uncertainty. But after such a sharp move, a technical pullback is very possible. Best approach now: ✔️ Wait for dip-buying opportunities near strong supports. ✔️ Respect stop loss – capital protection comes first. ✔️ Keep an eye on global news that can spark instant volatility. This is the kind of market where patience + discipline = survival and profit. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading