Get started

Xauusdanalysis

XAUUSD – US Government Shutdown Pressure on Gold Hello Traders, For the first time since 2018, the US Government is facing the risk of a shutdown. This can only be avoided if Congress passes new funding legislation, but the timing remains uncertain. This political backdrop is exerting strong pressure on the financial markets, and gold – the traditional safe haven asset – has become the focal point for investors. Technical Outlook Gold continues to set new ATHs right in the Asian session today, indicating the uptrend remains intact. The upward price channel on H4 maintains a beautiful structure, with the main trend continuing to favour buying. Yesterday's dip was merely a "liquidity sweep," after which the price quickly returned to its upward momentum. Short positions can be considered when the price hits strong resistance, combining Fibonacci + Trendline, to optimise winning probabilities. Trading Scenario Sell (short-term at resistance): Entry: 3884 – 3886 SL: 3890 TP: 3872 – 3860 – 3845 – 3830 Buy (aligning with the main trend): Entry: 3820 – 3823 SL: 3816 TP: 3835 – 3850 – 3862 – 3880 Conclusion Gold remains strongly supported by the political instability in the US. The medium-term strategy continues to prioritise Buying at support zones, while Selling should only be considered when there is a clear reaction at resistance zones. Traders need to closely monitor political news, as any developments related to the US government could alter the short-term structure of gold. Follow me for the quickest updates on new scenarios as the price path changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
LiamTrading – Follow the Buy trend, target ATH 3915 The gold market continues to demonstrate the strength of an upward trend. After yesterday's shakeout, we witnessed a very clear Long Squeeze: all buying forces were forced to exit, but immediately after, the price quickly rebounded. This is the hallmark of a strong trend – the more it shakes out, the more momentum it creates for a new peak. Today's perspective: Continue to follow Buy, do not SELL against the trend. The Buy position from 3797 is still being held, if the price returns to retest, we will continue to add orders. Prioritise observing the POC of the Volume Profile to place Buy orders; if the price adjusts deeper, the VAL area coinciding with the rising trendline will be an extremely safe buying point. Trading scenario Buy 3847–3844, SL 3840, TP 3868 – 3880 – 3900 – 3915 Buy 3821–3819, SL 3814, TP 3835 – 3850 – 3868 – open In summary: The upward trend remains extremely strong, the short-term target is ATH 3915. Stick to the trend, prioritise Buy to maximise profits. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please follow the scenario and stay tuned for my updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
LiamTrading – Gold continues to be “crazy”LiamTrading – Gold continues to be “crazy”: Strong trend, but awaiting reaction at 3900 Gold has just recorded its 39th all-time high in 2025, now approaching the 3,900 USD/oz mark. This is not only a significant psychological threshold but also coincides with extended Fibonacci levels, making this area a sensitive point in the market. Trend & Trendline On the H4 chart, gold remains firmly within the upward channel formed since early September. The price continuously bounces off the lower trendline and expands its range towards the upper boundary. The lower trendline around 3760–3780 acts as a dynamic support. If the price breaks below this area, a deeper correction scenario towards 3720–3730 will be triggered. The upper trendline is currently “pressing” the price right at the 3897–3900 area, confluencing with the 2.618 Fibonacci. This is a strong resistance, potentially causing profit-taking reactions and creating a technical pullback. Volume Profile & Liquidity The 3800 and 3720 areas are dense volume clusters, indicating significant capital is positioned here. These are also potential Buy zones when the price corrects. The 3640–3650 area is a larger liquidity cluster, but will only be activated if a strong breakdown occurs from the current trendline. Reference Trading Scenarios Sell zone: 3897 – 3900, SL 3905, TP 3885 – 3862 – 3850 – 3833 Short-term Buy zone: 3797 – 3800, SL 3793, TP 3822 – 3840 – 3855 – 3872 – 3890 Medium-term Buy: 3720 – 3730, SL 3710, TP 3760 – 3800 – 3850 Conclusion The upward trend remains very strong, but the 3897–3900 area will be a crucial challenge. If the price is rejected here, we might witness a correction back to the lower trendline before gold continues towards the larger target of 4000 USD. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please manage risks carefully and stay updated with the latest scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Gold Daily Plan | Sharp Drop, What’s Next?Gold printed a sudden 70+ point drop from 388x to 380x, leaving traders questioning: – Was this a big player manipulation? – Or simply institutional profit taking? Key reaction zones will define if Gold holds above 3800 or dives deeper. 📍 Critical Levels 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 387x → Strong resistance where sellers may step in. 🟢 BUY Zones 3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First demand zone. 375x (Fibo Support Zone) → Strong liquidity pocket, potential reversal. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Idea Entry: 387x Targets: 3800 → 3780 SL: Above 3888 2️⃣ BUY Idea Entry: 3780 – 375x Targets: 3838 → 387x SL: Below 3745 ⚡ Trading Notes High volatility expected near 3800 psychological mark. Stick to zone trading – avoid mid-range traps. Monitor USD strength; any spike could pressure XAU further. 💬 Discussion Do you think Gold will break below 3800 or bounce back to test 387x? Drop your views 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
The Unstoppable Rise of GoldTechnical Analysis (XAU/USD): Gold is trading around $3,816, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at $3,797, $3,759, and $3,718. As long as price stays above the $3,718 zone (major support), the bullish structure remains intact. The chart indicates two bullish scenarios: A direct continuation higher from current levels. A potential retest of the $3,797 – $3,759 zone before another push upward. Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between $3,860 – $3,900, with further momentum potentially extending beyond $3,925. Fundamental Analysis: Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset. Central Bank Policies: If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold. Inflation Hedge: Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand. Central Bank Purchases: Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices. Conclusion: Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward $3,759–$3,718 may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold 30/09 - Safe-haven flows surge | Gold sails toward new ATH 🟡 XAU/USD – 30/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News US Politics : Meeting between Trump and bipartisan leaders ended without agreement → growing risk of a US government shutdown by Wednesday. Conflict : Democrats demand concessions, Republicans fiercely oppose → wide gap remains, both sides blaming each other. Market : Investors watch JOLTS data and speeches from 3 FED members, but political risks are the strongest catalyst for Gold. Trend : Safe-haven flows keep pouring into Gold → increasing likelihood of testing new ATH. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : US political seas are stormy, Gold becomes the fortress of safety. The voyage toward ATH is widening. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H1) EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) > EMA 89 (red) → bullish trend clearly dominant. Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Big Volume Dock: 3,827 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) ATH test: 3,916 – 3,917 Market Structure : Gold broke out strongly, now trading around 3,870. Main trend remains bullish, with 3,842 – 3,827 as key anchor zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (main priority) Buy Zone 2 – Big Volume Entry: 3,827 – 3,824 SL: 3,815 TP: 3,870 – 3,899 – 3,916 ⚡ Sell (short scalp – high risk) Sell Zone – ATH test Entry: 3,917 – 3,920 SL: 3,925 TP: 3,899 – 3,870 – 3,856 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails are filled by safe-haven winds, pushing the ship close to ATH. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,842 – 3,827) is the ideal dock for sailors to position Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,916 – 3,920) may unleash violent waves, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. If the political storm from Washington breaks out, Gold’s voyage could surpass the peak and expand its horizon.” 📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the earliest updates. 💬 What’s your view, crew? Will Gold conquer ATH around 3,917 this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Bulls in Control: Buy Zones Lined Up for the Breakout!📊 Market Context Gold is trading near record highs around $3,850, heading toward its best month in 14 years. With Q3 2025 and September closing, gold has surged nearly 12% this month, driven by rising safe-haven demand amid the looming U.S. government shutdown and weaker USD sentiment. The bullish structure remains intact, and dips continue to attract aggressive buyers. 📍 Key Trading Levels 🟢 BUY Zones 3846 – 3843 → Intraday BUY scalp zone SL: 3836 TP: 1R → 2R → 3R → 4R (hold longer if above 389x) 3818 – 3816 → Deeper reaction BUY zone SL: 3810 TP: 1R → 2R → 3R → 4R (limit orders can be set for extended swing positions) 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone Around 387x → Expect heavy profit-taking and short-term pullbacks. 🎯 Trade Plan Prioritize BUY setups only; gold remains in strong bullish momentum. Use the 384x zone for scalps and 381x zone for deeper limit buys. Trail stops once price breaks 389x, opening room for 3920+ targets. ⚡ Trading Notes Volatility may spike with U.S. political risks – manage positions carefully. Avoid chasing highs; wait for structured retracements to BUY zones. Stick to R/R discipline; market rewards patience in strong trends. 💬 Community Insight Do you think gold will smash through 3920+ this week, or will we get another retracement first? Drop your setups and let’s compare strategies 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Market Analysis & Trading Plan 📌 Macro Background Gold prices continue to receive support from the decline in US interest rates and the weakening of the USD. The DXY index decreased by 0.27% to 97.91, reducing the strength of the greenback. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell by 3 basis points to 4.141%. Real yield decreased to 1.761%, providing support for gold as the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower. These factors reinforce the upward trend, although in the short term, gold may still experience adjustments to attract more capital flow. 📈 Technical Structure The H4 frame shows that gold is maintaining a strong upward momentum, however, the RSI has moved deeply into the overbought zone. ⚖️ Trading Scenarios 🔴 Scenario 1 – Sell Scalping Entry: 3,879 – 3,882 SL: 3,890 TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,836 → 3,810 👉 Suitable for short-term orders when the price reacts at high resistance. 🟢 Scenario 2 – Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,805 – 3,808 SL: 3,799 TP: 3,822 → 3,840 → 3,873 → 3,898 👉 Buy in line with the main trend when the price adjusts to the nearby support zone. 🟢 Scenario 3 – Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Support) Entry: 3,745 – 3,742 SL: 3,735 TP: 3,765 → 3,780 → 3,798 → 3,820 → 3,850 👉 This is a value buy zone if the market adjusts strongly, suitable for short swings. 📊 Summary The major trend of gold remains bullish, supported by the weakening USD and declining US yields. In the short term, be aware of the potential for technical adjustments from the resistance 3,879 – 3,882. Priority strategy: Buy on adjustments, Sell only for quick scalping. 📌 Note: Strict capital management, adhere to stop-loss to preserve profits when unexpected fluctuations from US news occur.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 30, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔥 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently bullish. We have 3 consecutive bullish candles so far, meaning there may be only 1–2 more daily candles before momentum reaches the overbought zone → risk of reversal. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is stuck in the overbought zone with 4 consecutive bullish candles. This signals that the bullish force is weakening. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is reversing inside the overbought zone. This shows the bullish force is fading, and price may reverse downward within 1–2 hours. ________________________________________ 🌊 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is moving inside the Elliott channel drawn from wave 2 – wave 4 and wave 3 (yellow). There is not much room left before hitting the upper channel. This matches D1 momentum and the second target zone of wave 5 (yellow). • H4 timeframe: As mentioned in the previous plan, price broke the old high at 3793, confirming wave 5 (purple). However, H4 momentum has been overbought for 4 consecutive candles, signaling that wave 5 (purple) is nearing its end. • H1 timeframe: Currently forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in black inside wave 5 (purple). All timeframes are showing signals that price is approaching a major top. Although the trend is still bullish, sharp pullbacks of over 100 pips happen frequently, making it very difficult to trade with tight stop-losses. ________________________________________ 🎯 Key Price Levels • Price is now testing the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 (black) at 3865. • Upper channels from D1, H4, and H1 converge around 3885. 👉 This is the critical area to look for reversal signals and consider a Sell entry. ________________________________________ 📌 Trading Plan • Swing trades: Be patient, wait for clear signals before entering. • Scalp trades: Possible, but avoid holding positions too long. • Risk management: Strictly apply safe trade management as price is at a potential top zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Will ATH Diminish Gold's Value?Hello Traders, Gold once accounted for up to 21% of total global assets, but now this figure is only about 5%. Two perspectives are clearly visible: Gold is gradually losing its relative importance in the financial system. The total value of global assets has increased significantly (the denominator has expanded), causing gold's proportion to decrease, while the absolute value of gold still plays an important role. Technical Analysis In today's Asian session, gold continues to set higher price levels, indicating a very strong upward momentum. The upward price channel on H1 has touched the upper boundary, showing slight hesitation, but the main trend remains bullish. The H1 and H4 frames maintain strong buying pressure, with market sentiment heavily leaning towards buyers, ready to push prices to higher levels. According to Elliott Wave, the price is currently in wave 5 (market sentiment wave). The current task is to observe the reaction when this wave completes, to prepare for the ABC correction cycle. Regarding Fibonacci, the next important resistance area is at 3880, where a bearish reaction is likely to occur. Trading Scenario Sell (at Fibo resistance 3880): Entry: 3880 SL: 3886 TP: 3866 – 3850 – 3835 Buy (trend-following preferred): Entry: 3813 – 3816 SL: 3809 TP: 3828 – 3843 – 3860 – 3878 👉 Note: Smaller frames H1 – M15 will provide additional confirmation signals to optimize entry points. Conclusion The bullish trend of gold is still prioritized, wave 5 is not yet complete, and the scenario aiming for 4000 – 4050 is entirely feasible. Short-term selling at strong resistance areas can be considered, but risk management must be tight. Traders need to closely follow support – resistance areas in smaller frames to maximize profits. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes and to discuss more scenarios in the community.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
H1 bullish momentum intact | Buy 3,792–3,765, target 3,821🟡 XAU/USD – 29/09/2025 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Structure & Trend H1 continues to print consecutive BoS → bullish trend sustained. Price broke the long-term downtrend line and surged to new highs. EMA 34 & EMA 89 both pointing up and below price → confirming short-to-mid-term bullish momentum. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Key Zones Storm Breaker (Sell Zone / ATH test) : 3,818 – 3,821 Golden Harbor (FVG – Buy Zone) : 3,792 – 3,779 OB Harbor 1 : 3,772 – 3,765 OB Harbor 2 (deeper) : 3,731 – 3,724 Core Idea: 3,792 – 3,765 is the main support “cushion” for trend-follow Buys; 3,818 – 3,821 is the wave edge where profit-taking may occur. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – main priority) Buy Zone 1 – FVG (3,792 – 3,779) Entry: 3,792 – 3,779 SL: 3,765 TP: 3,805 – 3,818 – 3,821+ Buy Zone 2 – OB1 (3,772 – 3,765) Entry: 3,772 – 3,765 SL: 3,758 (below 3,765) TP: 3,792 – 3,805 – 3,818 – 3,821 Buy Zone 3 – OB2 deep (3,731 – 3,724) Entry: 3,731 – 3,724 SL: 3,714 TP: 3,745 – 3,765 – 3,792 – 3,805 ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – scalp only) Sell Zone – Storm Breaker (3,818 – 3,821) Entry: 3,818 – 3,821 SL: 3,828 TP: 3,805 – 3,796 – 3,792 Breakdown Short (conditional) Only consider Short if H1 closes below 3,724 SL: 3,735 TP: 3,710 – 3,700 – 3,690 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails remain filled after consecutive BoS . Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,792 → 3,765) is the anchor dock to board in trend’s direction. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,818 – 3,821) may trigger profit-taking waves – only go Quick Boarding 🚤 if clear signals appear. If the tide drags below 3,724, let the ship retreat to OB2 to gather strength before resuming the northbound voyage.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
Gold 1H – Will the Breakout from Range Sustain?Gold on the 1H timeframe has broken out of its previous consolidation range and is now testing a premium supply zone near 3828–3826. The structure shows a clear BOS after the range, supported by strong bullish momentum. However, engineered liquidity sweeps remain likely before the market establishes sustained direction. From the macro side, today’s headlines highlight persistent inflation worries and a stronger U.S. dollar as traders anticipate upcoming remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Geopolitical tensions in energy markets have also underpinned safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold price action. This alignment of macro drivers and technical liquidity pools suggests two tactical scenarios: fading rejections at supply while preparing to buy dips into the defined demand zone. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL GOLD 3828–3826 (SL 3835): Premium supply zone with upside liquidity sweep potential, offering downside targets at 3810 → 3790 → 3775. • 🟢 BUY GOLD 3757–3759 (SL 3750, Demand Zone): Discount demand area aligned with BOS, with upside targets at 3765 → 3780 → 3795+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3828–3826) • Entry: 3828–3826 • Stop Loss: 3835 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3810  TP2: 3790  TP3: 3775 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3757–3759) • Entry: 3757–3759 • Stop Loss: 3750 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3765  TP2: 3780  TP3: 3795+ ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold remains volatile after breaking out of consolidation. Expect engineered sweeps into both supply and demand zones before directional clarity develops. With macro headlines keeping the dollar firm and inflation risks alive, traders should watch for sharp intraday reversals: • Fade supply rejections if momentum stalls at 3828–3826. • Buy dips into demand if liquidity is swept cleanly around 3757–3759. The broader narrative supports a two-sided strategy until the Fed provides clearer guidance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Forecast: Liquidity Rotation Shaping Price ActionGold Forecast: Liquidity Rotation Shaping Price Action Gold’s recent movement reflects shifting dynamics between liquidity capture and market rebalancing. The push above 3,800 was less about sustained trend extension and more about triggering stops and gathering liquidity before rotating lower. This type of move often indicates that large participants are managing positioning rather than chasing new highs. The current correction phase is part of that process. Price is being driven back into zones where imbalances remain, allowing institutional flow to realign. Instead of showing weakness, this return highlights how markets redistribute liquidity to prepare for the next decisive move. From a flow perspective, gold remains in an accumulation phase. Consolidation pockets reveal ongoing positioning, while the corrective dip reflects controlled market engineering rather than disorder. If this cycle continues, the next stage could see energy released in the form of a renewed expansion leg once sufficient liquidity has been absorbed. In essence, gold is navigating a liquidity-driven cycle: sweep → redistribute → prepare → expand. The underlying order flow still favors upward continuation once the current rebalancing phase completes.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
“Gold (XAU/USD) – Breakout Play from Resistance (1-Hour View)Chart Structure & Key Levels You’ve drawn a resistance zone above current price. The label “this is the resistance area here if break we will hold” points to a horizontal resistance line or zone. You also show a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance. On the lower side, you mark LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) points, implying the prior structure was in a downtrend or consolidation. Your trade setup (green = target area, red = stop area) suggests you are expecting a break above resistance and a move upward with three target levels:  • TP1 at ~ 3,759.74  • TP2 at ~ 3,779.03  • TP3 at ~ 3,799.67 What Your Setup Implies (and Risks) Bullish Bias on Breakout You are expecting that if price breaks above the resistance zone + trendline, that resistance may flip into support, allowing the price to rally further. This is a classic breakout reversal expectation. If the breakout is confirmed (with strong candle close above, ideally with volume), then the path is “clearer” for your targets. Stop / Risk Control Your red zone (stop area) is placed below the resistance/trendline region. If price fails and falls back below this, your trade idea would be invalidated. Target Levels Logic TP1 is relatively conservative, just above resistance. TP2 and TP3 stretch further to capture the upside momentum if the breakout has strength. Additional Considerations & Technical Tips Confirm the Breakout Don’t just enter on a quick wick above resistance. Wait for a sustained close above the zone (on your timeframe) to reduce the chance of a false breakout. Check volume: higher-than-average volume on the breakout gives it more credibility. Watch for Retest Often after a breakout, price returns to retest the broken resistance (which now may act as support). This retest can offer a better entry with lower risk. Manage Risk Aggressively The more distant your TP3, the more room for price to reverse. Consider scaling out of the trade (taking partial profits as price hits TP1, TP2) to lock in gains. Keep an Eye on Macro / Fundamental Factors Gold (XAU/USD) is sensitive to U.S. monetary policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and geopolitical risk. For example, stronger U.S. data or hawkish Fed statements could work against a bullish breakout in gold. Divergences & Momentum Indicators Use RSI / MACD / ADX to check whether momentum supports your breakout idea. If momentum is weak or showing divergence, be cautious. Timeframe Alignment Make sure that higher timeframes (4H, daily) are not giving strong bearish signals conflicting with your breakout bias on the 1-hour chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Daily Gold Trading Plan – London & New York Sessions🏆 Market Overview Gold continues to hold within the upward channel, with active buying emerging whenever prices adjust to the trendline. The daily fluctuation range is identified around 3,795 – 3,820, suitable for short-term trading strategies based on price action. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3,819 – 3,826 → upper edge of the upward channel, potential short-term sell zone. Near Support: 3,790 – 3,793 → upward trendline, favourable buy zone in line with the trend. Deep Support: 3,760 – 3,752 (EMA200) → critical defence if near support is breached. ⚖️ Intraday Trading Scenarios Scenario A – Buy on Correction (Main Priority) Entry Point: 3,790 – 3,793 Stop Loss: below liquidity candle (around 3,785) Take Profit: 3,820 → 3,835 → extend to 3,840+ 👉 Reason: Uptrend dominance, strong buying at trendline, suitable for trend-following. Scenario B – Sell at Upper Edge (Short-term Scalp) Entry Point: 3,820 – 3,826 (when price reacts at resistance) Stop Loss: approximately 6 points (around 3,832) Take Profit: 3,795 – 3,793 (back to support zone) 👉 Reason: RSI has entered overbought territory, favourable for quick sell orders at the upper band. 📊 Daily Fluctuation Range Main Range: 3,795 – 3,820 If resistance breaks: 3,826+ → 3,840 – 3,845 If support is lost: 3,790 → 3,760 💡 Session Notes London: High likelihood of price testing the 3,790 support zone before recovery. New York: Strong volatility may occur when US data is released, with 3,820 being a critical test point. 🧭 Risk Management Prioritise buying on corrections, selling should only be short-term scalping. Maintain stop-loss discipline below 3,785 for buy scenarios. If price breaks below 3,750, cease buying and wait for a new structure to form. 📌 Conclusion: Throughout the day, gold is likely to continue fluctuating within the upward channel. The main strategy is to buy at support – take profit at resistance, while sell orders should only be executed when price touches the upper edge and should be exited quickly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – Gold Bulls Eye New Highs | Francis FiboMatrix Plan📊 Market Outlook Gold keeps climbing with momentum, now approaching the 3,800$ zone. The market is fuelled by expectations of more Fed rate cuts and rising demand for safe-haven assets as global uncertainties stay elevated. Silver is also breaking higher, heading toward its historic $50 target, confirming the broader strength in precious metals. 📍 Trading Levels ✅ BUY Zone: 3782 – 3780 🛑 Stop Loss: 3772 🎯 Take Profits: TP1 → 3800 TP2 → 3829 TP3 → 3848 TP4 → 3885+ (long-term hold if 377x holds support) ⚡ Trading Plan Only look for BUY setups on dips – no shorting in this phase. Keep position sizing balanced; trail stops once price moves past 3829. Bias remains bullish as long as gold holds above 377x support. 💡 Francis Note This is not just a trade – it’s part of the bigger wave. Play the retracements smart, respect risk, and let the trend do the heavy lifting. 💬 Your View? Is gold ready to break beyond 3,885 → 3,900, or will we get a quick pullback first? Drop your charts and setups below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
LiamTrading – Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet...Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet, awaiting ABC corrective wave According to Elliott Wave perspective, gold is currently in wave 5 and no clear reversal signals have appeared. Once wave 5 is completed, a reasonable scenario would be entering the ABC corrective phase. Technical Analysis The current price range remains in an uptrend, supported by the medium-term trendline. Key resistance – support zones are identified based on Fibonacci, Volume Profile, and strong psychological levels. RSI indicates gold is approaching the overbought region, hence short-term Sell orders (scalping) around the peak area might offer an advantage. Trading Plan Reference Sell: 3840 – 3842, SL 3846. This is a strong resistance zone, prioritise scalping if the downward reaction lacks strength. Buy: 3783 – 3785, SL 3779, TP 3800 – 3818 – 3838. Large liquidity Buy: 3740, SL 3733, expecting a strong reaction from this area due to previous accumulation volume. Important Note Early in the week, there are often numerous political – economic news causing noise, which might unexpectedly push gold up. The resistance zones 3840–3850 are strong psychological levels, observe reactions before making decisions. For short-term trading, adhere closely to the plan, while flexibly adjusting when price paths change to maintain an advantage. In summary, wave 5 is still developing and trading opportunities mainly focus on key resistance – support zones. Traders need to manage risks well, patiently wait for confirmation, and remain flexible to adapt to fluctuations. The DXY index fell around 97.95 on Monday, extending the decline into the second session as the risk of a US government shutdown weakens market sentiment and investors await a series of important economic data to be released this week. Wishing you successful trading, follow me and the trading community!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
New ATH Above 3800 & FOMO Buying Still Driving the Market📊 Market Context Gold has once again set a new all-time high above 3800 USD/oz, showing no signs of losing bullish momentum. The surge is fueled by strong FOMO buying flows, as traders continue to pile into safe-haven assets. Concerns about a possible US government shutdown and renewed discussions around tariff policies have weighed on the dollar, while expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts keep gold supported. Meanwhile, Fed speeches and incoming US data remain key drivers that could inject short-term volatility, but the broader bullish narrative remains intact. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price is firmly holding above the 3800 psychological level, confirming the breakout. Buy zones remain intact at 3790–3792 and 3784–3782, with solid demand expected on any dip. Sell liquidity sits around 3823–3825, where short-term profit-taking or traps may emerge before the next leg higher. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zone: 3823–3825 Support / Buy Zones: 3790–3792, 3784–3782 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan BUY ZONE 1: 3790–3792 SL: 3786 TP: 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - ??? BUY ZONE 2: 3784–3782 SL: 3778 TP: 3790 - 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - 3840 - ??? SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Zone): 3823–3825 SL: 3830 TP: 3818 - 3814 - 3810 - 3805 - 3800 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Notes Beware of liquidity sweeps near 3823–3825 before continuation higher. Fed comments and macro data may cause sudden spikes — adjust risk accordingly. Stick to confirmation entries around zones to avoid being trapped by false moves. ✅ Summary Gold is riding strong FOMO-driven bullish momentum, printing new highs above 3800. Main bias: buy on dips at 3790–3782, while monitoring short-term sell liquidity at 3823–3825 for potential pullbacks. The broader trend remains bullish, so patience and disciplined entries will be key.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATHXAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATH, target 3840 Hello Trader, Right at the start of the week, gold has set a new ATH, affirming the upward trend remains dominant. The price structure on H1 shows buying pressure remains quite strong, while adjustments are mainly to balance liquidity. In the current context, the preferred trading strategy is still to wait to buy at key support zones, with a target towards 3840. Basic Context This week, the usual focus would be on the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. However, the risk of a US Government shutdown might delay this crucial report. The US fiscal year runs from 1/10 to 30/9. If Congress does not pass all 12 spending bills, agencies without funding will have to cease operations. In the absence of important economic information, gold continues to benefit from safe-haven sentiment and fiscal policy uncertainty. Technical View The price has broken out and created an ATH, with the 3837 – 3840 zone currently being strong resistance (Fibonacci + market psychology). The 3770 – 3773 zone is near support, coinciding with the trendline and previous liquidity, suitable for buying. MACD on H1 shows buying momentum is maintained, but a correction is needed for price balance before breaking higher. Trading Strategy Short-term Sell (at resistance): Entry: 3837 – 3840 SL: 3844 TP: 3830 – 3800 – 3770 Note: This is only a reactive order at resistance, going against the main trend, so manage risk tightly. Preferred Buy (trend-following): Entry: 3770 – 3773 SL: 3766 TP: 3784 – 3799 – 3810 – 3838 Conclusion This week, gold still prioritises the Buy strategy at support zones. The main target is towards 3840, an important resistance zone and a benchmark for trend strength. The Sell order is only short-term at resistance, while the main scenario remains waiting for a correction to buy up. Follow me for short-term scenario updates during the week, especially as news and US fiscal policy changes can significantly impact gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold awaits PCE | EMA squeeze, big waves ahead🟡 XAU/USD – 26/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News Trump : Announced a 100% tariff on branded drugs if not produced in the US → escalating trade tensions. PCE tonight : The FED’s most important inflation gauge, key to shaping October rate cut expectations (current probability 91.09%). The market is in “hold breath” mode, awaiting the PCE spark to decide the next direction. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold is squeezed between two winds – short-term EMA pressure and major expectations from PCE. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) remains below EMA 89 (red) → short-term bearish pressure persists, but narrowing gap signals big volatility ahead. Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) 3,738 – 3,730 3,718 3,687 3,651 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) 3,755 – 3,773 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ⚡ Sell (scalp at resistance) Entry: 3,773 – 3,776 SL: 3,783 TP: 3,755 – 3,745 – 3,734 ✅ Buy (trend-follow priority) Buy Zone 1 (Scalping) Entry: 3,72x – 3,718 SL: 3,710 TP: 3,750 – 3,769 – 3,776 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper OB) Entry: 3,685 – 3,683 SL: 3,675 TP: 3,690 – 3,695 – 3,700 – 3,705 – 3,7xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails are being squeezed between EMA 34 & 89. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,734 – 3,683) remains the safe dock for sailors to await the big wave. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,773 – 3,776) is raising fierce waves, only suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Tonight’s PCE will be the decisive wind – either pushing the ship beyond 3,78x or forcing it back to retest 3,72x.” 📢 If you find Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest updates. 💬 What do you think? Will Gold break through 3,78x or retest 3,72x first?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 28/09/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still declining → next week we may continue to see sideways movement or further downside following D1 momentum. • H4: Momentum is also decreasing → on Monday, we expect a continuation of the downtrend. • H1: Momentum is oversold and preparing to rise → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term upward move is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: o Price is still within wave 5 (yellow). o If D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and then turns upward, but price remains sideways without reaching 3632, then wave 5 (yellow) may still extend toward the second target at 3887. • H4 timeframe: o A corrective WXY structure is forming. o With H4 momentum turning down, it is likely that wave Y is unfolding. • H1 timeframe: o A declining ABC (blue) structure appeared, followed by a rising ABC (blue) structure toward 3784. o Within this, wave B formed a triangle abcde (red). o This shows two ABC (blue) corrective structures developing within the adjustment, suggesting multiple possibilities for wave Y: 1️⃣ Flat 3-3-5: Wave Y may unfold as a 5-wave sharp decline, with an ideal target around 3713 → this is the expected Buy zone. 2️⃣ Triangle: Price may consolidate sideways above 3718 → patience is required to wait for the pattern to complete. 3️⃣ Large-scale Triangle: If the entire correction is a triangle, price will also sideway above 3718 → wait for completion before acting. • Note: If price breaks above 3792, it may confirm that the corrective structure is complete → next upside target would be 3810. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3714 – 3711 • SL: 3703 • TP: 3733 ________________________________________ 👉 Conclusion: The optimal approach is to wait for confirmation: • Either the triangle structure completes, • Or price declines into the 3713 – 3711 zone to set up a Buy entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX