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Xauusdanalysis

LiamTrading – Medium-term Gold Outlook H4Let's prepare the scenario for the new week, folks! In my opinion, gold in the coming week may start to show a medium-term correction phase. However, it is important to note that nothing is absolutely certain on a larger timeframe. If you are trading intraday, stay closely aligned with price action to ensure higher accuracy. Gold closed the weekly candle at 3759.85 – a price level that clearly indicates hesitation. The end-of-week session showed a rejection of price increase, mainly due to profit-taking pressure, so it cannot be immediately confirmed that a downtrend will begin. The upward price channel is still strong, so it is essential to maintain a buying trend mindset to ensure the confidence in holding profits remains firm. The upward structure is still stable, but the RSI has reflected a weakening in buying sentiment. To confirm a medium-term correction, gold needs to break 3720. At that point, a reasonable strategy would be to wait to sell around 3737–3740 (retracing to the trendline), targeting the support area coinciding with the highest volume profile cluster at 3645. Conversely, the buying scenario will occur when: - Price touches the 3735 boundary and a candle rejection reaction appears. - Or gold breaks above the minor resistance at 3780, in which case you can buy immediately, with expectations towards the 3850 area. Next week, be patient and wait for market confirmation to increase the probability of success. I will continue to share detailed scenarios in each trading session for everyone to stay updated.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 FrameXAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 Frame: Prioritise buying, the 3790 – 3720 zone decides the trend Hello Trader, Trading is a journey, and the most important destination is conquering oneself. On the D1 frame, gold has experienced a series of consecutive strong increases, indicating that buyers still maintain the advantage. The buying force shows no clear signs of weakening, even though gold has recently reacted with a slight decrease around 3790. Currently, the price is accumulating around 3760 – the closing candle zone for this week. Basic Outlook Political pressure from President Trump on the Fed is increasing, as the market expects an easing move soon. However, Chairman Powell remains cautious, prioritising price stability over inflation issues. This factor may continue to keep gold in the position of an important safe-haven asset, especially in the context of policy uncertainty. Technical Outlook The price zone of 3790 – 3720 will play a decisive role in the medium-term trend for next week. If 3790 is broken, gold will have the opportunity to advance to the Fibonacci Extension zone of 3822. Further, strong resistance lies around 3840 – 3860. If 3720 is breached, selling pressure will retest the strategic support zone at 3650. This is also the confluence area with the upward trendline on D1. MACD Indicator: continues to support buyers, the histogram remains positive, not showing a clear decrease signal. Volume: no significant selling pressure has appeared, indicating that gold is entering an accumulation phase, waiting for a breakout. Trading Scenario for Next Week Buying Scenario (priority): Buy around 3650 – 3660 (if there is an adjustment). SL: below 3640. TP: 3720 – 3790 – 3822. Selling Scenario at Resistance: Sell around 3822 – 3830 (Fibo + strong resistance). SL: above 3840. TP: 3790 – 3760 – 3720. Conclusion In the medium term, the upward trend still prevails. Next week, gold will revolve around the 3790 – 3720 mark, and reactions here will pave the way for the next trend. The priority strategy is to buy at the support zone of 3650, while observing reactions at 3822 to consider short-term selling orders. Short-term scenarios will be updated during the day, helping you be more proactive with market fluctuations. Follow me and the community to update the earliest scenarios
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Back to 4H Frame – Fed & Inflation Shape Gold PathGold on the 4H timeframe is consolidating near premium supply after multiple liquidity sweeps. Recent U.S. inflation data kept the dollar resilient, while traders anticipate upcoming Fed commentary for clearer policy direction. Price rejected from the 3,795 supply pocket and is now retracing toward discount demand zones. Market structure suggests engineered sweeps below support before bullish continuation into Q4. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,692 – 3,694 (SL 3,685): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab, ideal for continuation longs. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,795 – 3,797 (SL 3,804): Premium supply pocket where liquidity sweeps may trigger short-term rejections. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,692 – 3,694 • Stop Loss: 3,685 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,715  TP2: 3,740  TP3: 3,760+ 👉 Smart money may engineer a sweep below 3,694 before reversing higher. Watch for bullish rejection patterns at demand. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Supply Reaction • Entry: 3,795 – 3,797 • Stop Loss: 3,804 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,780  TP2: 3,765  TP3: 3,750 👉 Short-term liquidity scalp opportunity against trend. Valid if price fails to break above breakout point. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Bias remains bullish medium-term, but intraday sweeps into demand zones are expected as Fed officials continue to push cautious monetary guidance. Liquidity hunts around 3,795 supply and 3,694 demand will likely define the week’s volatility before a decisive breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Traders Watch Gold Surge Ahead of Fed’s Next MoveGold 1H – Consolidation Before Fed Clarity Gold on the 1H timeframe is currently trading around 3,746, moving within a well-defined consolidation range. Price action highlights a premium supply zone at 3,775–3,773 and a discount demand zone at 3,723–3,725. The market structure shows earlier signs of BOS and ChoCH, with engineered liquidity sweeps becoming evident. A potential Mitigation → Expansion sequence is in play, where a liquidity grab near discount demand could fuel a bullish leg toward premium supply. From a macro perspective, today’s headlines underscore the cautious stance across financial markets as investors await the Federal Reserve’s upcoming guidance. Lingering inflationary concerns, coupled with speculation around the timing of future rate cuts, have kept volatility elevated. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks continue to underpin safe-haven demand for gold, adding an extra layer of support at discount levels. This combination of technical liquidity zones and macro uncertainty sets the stage for tactical plays: fading moves into the supply zone while remaining prepared for dip-buying opportunities at defined demand areas. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL GOLD 3,775–3,773 (SL 3,782): Supply zone coinciding with a buy-side liquidity pool above 3,780, offering downside targets at 3,760 → 3,745 → 3,730. • 🟢 BUY GOLD 3,723–3,725 (SL 3,718): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab potential, with upside targets at 3,745 → 3,760 → 3,775+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3,775–3,773) • Entry: 3,775–3,773 • Stop Loss: 3,782 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,760  TP2: 3,745  TP3: 3,730 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3,723–3,725) • Entry: 3,723–3,725 • Stop Loss: 3,718 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,745  TP2: 3,760  TP3: 3,775+ ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note With the Fed’s next move looming, traders should anticipate engineered sweeps into both premium and discount liquidity pools before the market establishes clearer direction. The tactical edge comes from aligning intraday setups with liquidity hunts: • Fade supply at 3,775–3,773 if rejection confirms. • Buy dips into 3,723–3,725 if liquidity is swept cleanly. The broader narrative of inflation concerns, dollar sensitivity, and safe-haven flows reinforces the case for two-sided opportunities. Expect gold to remain volatile within this consolidation range, with sharp moves likely as liquidity is targeted ahead of Fed clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
Jobs vs. Inflation: Gold Steady Before PCE ShowdownHello, investors! Gold saw only a marginal 0.1% gain, closing at $3,739.42/oz on September 25. This struggle was due to better-than-expected US jobs data (jobless claims dropped sharply), which slightly pared back the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut in October (down to 85%). However, Gold maintains support from dovish Fed comments and potential political instability (like Trump's proposed 100% drug tariff). The entire market focus now shifts to today's (Sept 26) PCE Inflation Report. Expert Alert: If the PCE data is hotter than anticipated, Gold could face sharp, temporary downward pressure. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern and has yet to break the $375x resistance. While more selling pressure is possible before the PCE release, the long-term trend remains bullish. Outlook: Prioritize Buy if the price maintains above the Key Level $373x. If the news causes the price to break $373x, be ready to flip the strategy to Sell. Key Resistance: $3755, $3768, $3778 Key Support: $3738, $3727, $3712 Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3739 - $3737 SL: $3733 TP: $3742 - $3747 - $3752 - $3757 - $3767 BUY ZONE Zone: $3704 - $3702 SL: $3694 TP: $3712 - $3722 - $3732 - $3742 - $3762 SELL ZONE Zone: $3776 - $3778 SL: $3786 TP: $3768 - $3758 - $3748 - $3728 - $3708 The market is at a critical juncture. What is your game plan for today? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #PCE #Fed #Inflation #TradingView #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – FIBO MATRIX Trading Plan | Key Levels for TodayMarket Snapshot Gold is attracting steady buying interest as dovish Fed expectations keep the USD capped near 3-week highs. At the same time, geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns add to safe-haven demand. Focus now shifts to US PCE inflation data, which could trigger the next big move. 📍 Important Price Zones (M30) 🔴 SELL Reaction Zones 3767 – 377x → Major rejection area (Fibo 0.786). 3810 – 3817 → Strong SELL zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618). 🟢 BUY Support Zones 3725 → First support zone. 3690 – 3695 → Deep pullback support (Fibo confluence). 🎯 Trading Ideas 1️⃣ SELL Setup Entry: 3767 – 377x (if rejection signal shows). Targets: 3750 → 3725. SL: Above 3778. 2️⃣ BUY Setup Entry: 3725 with bullish confirmation. Targets: 3760 → 377x. SL: Below 3715. 3️⃣ Deep BUY Opportunity Entry: 3690 – 3695 zone. Targets: 3725 → 3760. SL: Below 3685. ⚡ Trading Insights Respect the Fibo reaction levels for clean entries. Risk range: 6–8 USD to avoid stop hunts. Book profits in steps: 1R → 2R → 3R for strong RR balance. 💬 Community Talk Do you see gold breaking above 3770 first, or dropping to 3725/3695 before bouncing back? Share your chart view 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Range 3735–3755 now serves as trend confirmation zoneXAUUSD – Range 3735–3755 now serves as trend confirmation zone Technical Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) is moving within a narrow range of 3735–3755, and this price zone currently acts as a “pivot point” to confirm the next direction. Short-term resistance: 3755–3772, price has reacted strongly multiple times. If not decisively broken, selling pressure may continue. Key support: 3735, this is the decisive zone – breaking it will confirm a downward trend, targeting lower levels. Stronger resistance: 3790–3793, confluence of several previous peaks, where strong selling pressure may form. EMA200 H1 (3723) still supports the major uptrend, but the price has moved far and is now in the phase of retesting supply – demand zones. RSI (14) around 45–48, not yet in oversold territory but leaning towards the sellers. From a technical perspective, this is a market phase that requires confirmation: breaking above 3755 will reopen the upward momentum, while losing 3735 will reinforce short-term downward pressure. Trading Scenarios Sell Scenario (preferred if resistance holds): Sell 3769–3772, SL 3775, TP: 3755 – 3746 – 3737 Sell 3791–3793, SL 3798, TP: 3783 – 3772 – 3760 – 3745 Sell when price confirms below 3735, SL 3742, TP: 3726 – 3715 – 3702 – 3690 Buy Scenario (trend-following on breakout): Buy when price confirms above 3755, SL 3747, TP: 3766 – 3778 – 3790 Buy 3705–3702, SL 3697, TP: 3717 – 3726 – 3744 – 3763 – 3780 – 3790 Price Zones to Watch 3735–3755: trend confirmation range, most important in the short term. 3769–3772 and 3791–3793: strong resistance zones, potential Sell zone. 3702–3705: deep Buy zone, combined with strong support and EMA200. 3790: key resistance level, breaking it will reinforce the major uptrend. Outlook The gold market is in a decisive phase at the 3735–3755 range. Sellers have a short-term advantage, but if the price exceeds 3755, the uptrend may soon return. The best strategy is to trade based on price confirmation at key zones, combining profit-taking at each successive TP level to optimise gains. This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses in upcoming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 26, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Currently decreasing → the corrective trend is likely to continue. It may take about 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter the oversold zone, after which a reversal could occur. • H4: Momentum is rising → today we may see a bullish move or sideways range. • H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term bullish reversal is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: o As analyzed previously, wave 5 (yellow) has already reached its first target at 3789. o It may take around 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter oversold → showing that the bearish leg is weakening. o Considering depth and time, the market is likely within wave 4 of wave 5. Once the correction completes, the uptrend should resume toward the second target. • H4: o A WXY corrective structure is developing. o The ABC (blue) has completed wave W → the market may now be in wave X, followed by a Y-wave decline to finish the correction. • H1: o Wave X appears to be forming a triangle, currently in the final wave e. o However:  If price rises sharply above 3762, it would suggest the corrective phase is already completed.  The target area for wave e is around 3752 → potential Sell zone.  If price breaks below 3729, it confirms wave Y is in play, targeting 3713 and 3698 → potential Buy zones. ⚠️ Note: If the Buy target is reached first, the Sell setup will be canceled. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan 🔻 Sell Zone • Entry: 3751 – 3753 • SL: 3761 • TP: 3729 ________________________________________ 🔺 Buy Zone 1 • Entry: 3714 – 3712 • SL: 3704 • TP: 3751 ________________________________________ 🔺 Buy Zone 2 • Entry: 3699 – 3696 • SL: 3686 • TP: 3751
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Trading Plan: Gold Awaits PCE Catalyst📊 Market Context Gold remains in consolidation mode after a sharp run earlier this week, holding steady below 3750. The market is now laser-focused on the US Core PCE Index, which could provide fresh direction for both the dollar and precious metals. With US yields stabilising and risk sentiment shifting, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains intact — but traders are weighing whether the recent pullback is a healthy correction or the start of a deeper retracement. Meanwhile, the geopolitical backdrop continues to offer underlying support, while positioning in ETFs and futures suggests investors are cautious, awaiting clearer signals from the Fed. The upcoming data will likely decide whether gold breaks higher towards fresh highs or retests deeper liquidity zones. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price capped near short-term resistance at 3770–3772. Immediate supports are 3741 and 3722, with deeper demand zones at 3690–3688 and 3670–3668. The structure indicates possible liquidity sweeps before a decisive move. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zone: 3770–3772 Support / Buy Zones: 3690–3688, 3670–3668 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan BUY ZONE 1: 3690–3688 SL: 3684 TP: 3695 - 3700 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - ??? BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668 SL: 3664 TP: 3675 - 3680 - 3690 - 3700 - 3710 - ??? SELL ZONE: 3770–3772 SL: 3777 TP: 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Notes Watch for false breakouts at 3770–3772 before reversal. PCE release may inject volatility across gold and USD pairs. Position sizing and risk control are crucial into data. ✅ Summary Gold is at a crossroads — safe-haven demand is still supportive, but technical resistance near 3770 remains a hurdle. Core strategy: buy dips into 3690–3670 zones, while staying cautious of short-term sell setups at 3770–3772. Manage exposure, wait for confirmation, and be prepared for volatility once PCE data hits. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and next-level trade setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – Gold may fake a move before dropping Gold is trading around the 375x region and might exhibit a "fake breakout" upwards before adjusting downwards. The price structure on the H4 chart shows: Strong resistance is located at the 3770–3773 region, coinciding with the 0.786 – 1.0 Fibonacci extension area. This is a confluence zone prone to a downward reaction. The main trendline remains upward, but the RSI is gradually weakening, indicating that the buying force is not as strong. Short-term support is at 3710–3713, also the 0.5 – 0.618 fibo zone, suitable for buy scalping orders. A larger support area is at 3688–3691, where it converges with the trendline bottom and important Fibonacci, considered a sustainable "buy zone." Trading Plan Reference Sell: 3770 – 3773, SL 3778, TP 3756 – 3743 – 3725 – 3710 Buy scalping: 3710 – 3713, SL 3705, TP 3725 – 3736 – 3748 – 3760 Buy zone: 3688 – 3691, SL 3684, TP 3699 – 3710 – 3725 – 3736 – 3745 – 3760 In summary, gold may create a false upward move to the resistance zone 3770–3773 before reversing to adjust. Traders should patiently wait for confirmation signals at key price zones to enter optimal orders and manage risks tightly. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you find it useful, follow for the fastest updates on upcoming scenarios, continuously updated at comulity
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading XAUUSD Scenario Today Fibo & Volume Profile AnalysisLiamTrading XAUUSD Scenario Today:Fibo & Volume Profile Analysis Gold, after testing the 375x zone, has shown clear signs of weakening. On the H1 chart, the price structure is forming an adjustment phase aligning with key Fibonacci and Volume Profile levels. This is the time when the market starts to “filter” liquidity, creating opportunities for both short sell orders and buy orders at strong support zones. Technical Analysis Fibonacci indicates the 0.786 – 1.0 zone around 3756–3758 coincides with strong resistance and FVG, with a high potential for a reversal. Volume Profile points out the POC area around 3735–3740, if breached, it will pave the way for deeper downward pressure. The confluence support zone of 0.618 fibo + large volume around 3688–3691 is suitable for scalping buy. Further, the area 3648–3651 is reinforced by VAL and the bottom of the volume profile, making it a strong long-term “Buy zone.” Trading Plan Reference Sell zone: 3756 – 3758, SL 3763, TP 3750 – 3748 – 3736 – 3710 – 3690 – 3655 Buy scalping: 3688 – 3691, SL 3685, TP 3701 – 3715 – 3728 Long-term Buy zone: 3648 – 3651, SL 3640, TP 3670 – 3688 – 3700 – 3718 – 3733 – 3755 In summary, gold is moving in accordance with the technical structure confirmed by Fibonacci and Volume Profile. Today's scenario prioritises observing reactions around the sell zone 3756–3758 to find short opportunities, and waiting to buy at value zones 369x and 365x for the recovery wave. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you want the fastest updates on the next gold scenarios, follow me and join the community to stay informed.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continue on H4XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continue on H4, price returns below trendline: prioritise correction scenario Hello Trader, Based on the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 frame and current price behaviour, gold has returned to trading below the trendline, indicating a weakening short-term uptrend and paving the way for a downward correction before the market decides the next trend. The upper zone has created a clear “sell zone”; below, two defensive buy zones appear suitable for both scalping and medium-term. Main Technical Picture Wolfe Waves: wave 5 completes near resistance, then price falls back below the trendline — aligning with the correction scenario along Wolfe's target line 1–4. Trendline & price box zone: the close below the rising trendline indicates “acceptance” below; immediate resistance lies at the 375x–376x cluster (sell zone). Momentum: H4 MACD slows, histogram narrows → high probability of a pullback – retest before a new decision. Detailed Trading Scenarios 1) Sell according to correction trend (priority) Entry: 3756 – 3759 SL: 3764 TP: 3745 → 3732 → 3715 → 3690 → 3672 Reason: the 375x zone coincides with the sell zone + upper trendline; selling at retest offers a good R:R ratio. Confirmation/Negation: if H4 closes above 3764 and holds, the short-term sell scenario weakens. 2) Buy scalping in buffer zone Entry: 3701 – 3703 SL: 3695 TP: 3715 → 3732 → 3745 → 3766 Note: this is just a rebound in the correction phase; lock each step and move SL according to TP1. 3) Buy medium-term (strong base zone) Entry: 3648 – 3651 SL: 3644 TP: 3672 → 3698 → 3708 → 3722 – 3727 Reason: the 365x zone coincides with the demand/accumulation volume on H4; suitable for catching a deep rebound along with the larger trend. Management: this is a medium-term order, so divide volume, lock each step and move SL to breakeven after TP1. Refer to my scenario if you find it reasonable, trade accordingly, and if you enjoy trading gold with high-quality scenarios, follow me.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
XAUUSD – The downward trend continues to be prioritisedThe downward trend continues to be prioritised (Wolfe Waves Pattern H4) Hello Trader, Gold is following the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 chart, after bouncing off the upper resistance zone and returning below the trendline. This indicates that the short-term upward momentum has weakened, and the scenario of a downward adjustment continues to be prioritised at this stage. Technical Analysis Wolfe Waves are clearly formed, wave 5 has hit resistance and a reversal signal has appeared. The price failed to hold above the upper trendline, while the MACD shows weakening upward momentum. The 3746 – 3748 zone is considered the main “sell zone” in the short term. Nearby support zones: 3709 – 3711 and deeper at 3675 – 3678. Further, the area around 3650 is an important “buy zone” in the medium term. Trading Scenario Sell following the trend (priority) Entry: 3746 – 3748 SL: 3754 TP: 3733 → 3720 → 3702 → 3690 Buy Short-term Scalping Entry: 3709 – 3711 SL: 3705 TP: 3722 → 3730 → 3745 Buy Deep Support Scalping Entry: 3675 – 3678 SL: 3670 TP: 3688 → 3696 → 3710 → 3725 Medium-term Buy Zone Entry: around 3650 This is a high-volume accumulation zone, coinciding with strong support on H4. This area is suitable for considering medium-term buy orders if the price adjusts deeply. Conclusion In the short term, the bearish scenario continues to be prioritised, especially when the price remains below the 3748 zone. Buy strategies should only be considered in the form of scalping or at the important buy zone around 3650. The current gold market is still in a distribution phase, so patience is needed to observe candle confirmations at entry zones to optimise the R:R ratio. This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to Wolfe Waves on H4. You can refer to and combine with personal strategies for the best risk management. Follow me to receive the latest scenarios when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold 1H – Will Gold Correction Extend Toward Discount Zones?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading close to 3,745 after a series of bearish pushes, with premium resistance placed at 3,780–3,778 and another resistance pocket at 3,748–3,746. On the downside, discount demand is noted at 3,713–3,706, with a deeper support near 3,665. Recent CHoCH signals highlight short-term bearish bias, indicating that liquidity sweeps into resistance zones may occur before price retraces towards discount areas. Today’s headlines around renewed U.S. inflation concerns and expectations of a slower Fed pivot are dampening sentiment, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to support safe-haven bids. This combination is likely to keep intraday volatility elevated, with liquidity grabs around resistance zones expected before a clearer directional move emerges. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,780–3,778 (SL 3,787): Premium resistance where sweeps may trigger rejection toward 3,760 → 3,740 → 3,730. • 🔴 SELL GOLD 3,748–3,746 (SL 3,755): Intraday resistance aligned with 0.5–0.618 retracement, targeting 3,730 → 3,720 → 3,715. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,697–3,699 (SL 3,692): Discount demand with liquidity confluence, offering upside targets at 3,715 → 3,730 → 3,745+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Run (3,780–3,778) • Entry: 3,780–3,778 • Stop Loss: 3,787 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,760  TP2: 3,740  TP3: 3,730 🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Rejection (3,748–3,746) • Entry: 3,748–3,746 • Stop Loss: 3,755 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,730  TP2: 3,720  TP3: 3,715 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,697–3,699) • Entry: 3,697–3,699 • Stop Loss: 3,692 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,715  TP2: 3,730  TP3: 3,745+ ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note With U.S. inflation concerns and geopolitical risks creating mixed drivers for gold, intraday strategies can look to fade liquidity sweeps into premium resistance while keeping an eye on buy opportunities from well-defined discount demand zones. Expect sharp moves around 3,780 liquidity grabs before corrections extend down into the 3,713–3,706 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Hi Traders, Anfibo here!Hi Traders, Anfibo here! Market Overview – XAUUSD Gold (XAUUSD) is currently holding steady within the H4 bullish channel, showing that the overall uptrend remains intact. While there has not been a major breakout in recent sessions, the technical structure still suggests buyers have the upper hand. That said, the market is slowing down around a key resistance zone. For short-term opportunities, it’s important to focus on reactions at support and resistance levels to capture profits effectively. Key Levels Support: 3748 – 3733 – 3703 Resistance: 3768 – 3777 – 3788 – 3799 Trading Plan for Today Sell Scalp Setup Entry: 3770 – 3765 Stop Loss: 3780 Take Profit: 3720 – 3705 Buy Zone Setup Entry: 3700 – 3705 Stop Loss: 3695 Take Profit: 3760 – 3800 ⚠️ Always use stop-loss and follow strict money management rules to protect your capital. Wishing you all successful trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ANFIBO_
Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? Hello, investors! Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news? Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are: Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26. Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term. Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"? Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point. Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776 Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692 The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – The SELL trend has been confirmed Technical Analysis After a strong rally hitting the resistance zone of 3770–3780, gold (XAUUSD) failed to maintain momentum and began forming consecutive declines. This signals that selling pressure is dominant in the short term. The 3767–3769 zone coincides with a local resistance, where the market has reacted multiple times → confirming its role as a distribution zone. Fibonacci Retracement levels from the most recent upward wave show the 0.618 area around 3700–3705 acting as short-term support, where a technical rebound may occur. The 3673–3675 zone confluences with Fib 2.618 and EMA200 → strong support, considered the main Buy zone for long-term buyers. RSI (14) is currently below 50, momentum leans towards a decline, confirming that a corrective trend is prevailing. Trading Scenario SELL Scenario (trend-following priority): Entry: 3767–3769 SL: 3775 TP: 3755 – 3740 – 3733 – 3710 – 3694 Buy scalping Scenario (short-term support reaction): Entry: 3701–3704 SL: 3698 TP: 3710 – 3722 – 3736 Buy zone Scenario (priority for medium-term rebound): Entry: 3673–3675 SL: 3666 TP: 3688 – 3696 – 3705 – 3720 – 3736 Price zones to watch 3767–3769: important resistance, priority Sell zone. 3700–3705: short-term support, potential Buy scalping area. 3673–3675: main Buy zone, confluence of support + Fibonacci. 3694 and 3736: key intermediate levels, where partial profit-taking is advisable. The main short-term trend is leaning towards SELL, however, important support zones may offer opportunities for counter-trend Buy or trend-following Buy after price correction. This is a reference scenario based on resistance – support and Fibonacci. Follow me if you love trading gold and want to read the latest analyses in the community.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Fed Cuts & Geopolitical Risks Keep Gold Strong📊 Market Overview Gold is holding firm above 3750 USD/oz, extending gains and refreshing daily highs in the European session. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates this year are supporting bullish sentiment, while ongoing geopolitical tensions keep safe-haven demand elevated. For Indian traders, this combination of softer USD and global uncertainty keeps gold attractive both as a hedge and a short-term trading instrument. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price structure remains bullish while holding above 3750. Buy Zones: 3742–3740 (main support) and 3757–3755 (scalp setup). Resistance nearby at 3778, with extended upside potential towards 3813–3815 (liquidity sell zone). A rejection at 3813–3815 could trigger a short-term pullback to demand levels. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3778 - 3813 - 3815 Support / Buy Zones: 3757 - 3755 - 3742 - 3740 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE (Main Setup): 3742–3740 SL: 3735 TP: 3748 - 3752 - 3756 - 3760 - 3770 - 3780 - … ✅ BUY SCALP (Quick Entry): 3757–3755 SL: 3750 TP: 3762 - 3766 - 3780 - … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap): 3813–3815 SL: 3820 TP: 3810 - 3805 - 3800 - 3795 - 3790 - 3780 - … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch out for false breakouts at 3813–3815 — liquidity sweeps are likely before reversals. Focus on buying confirmed pullbacks rather than chasing price mid-range. Keep trade size moderate — volatility can increase on Fed comments or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold’s bullish trend remains intact, supported by Fed cut expectations and geopolitical risks. Trading plan: buy dips at 3757–3755 and 3742–3740, aiming for 3770–3780, while monitoring the 3813–3815 zone for short-term sell opportunities if rejection occurs. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for intraday setups, liquidity-based strategies, and high-probability trade ideas tailored for global traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Trading Plan: After Record High Pullback📊 Market Context Gold is struggling to recover after the pullback from its all-time high near 3791 USD/oz. During the Asian session on Thursday, price action turned cautious as traders await US mid-tier data and further comments from Federal Reserve officials. While the long-term outlook remains bullish, in the short-term, XAU/USD faces potential liquidity sweeps and sharp volatility around key zones. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) ATH zone 3791 triggered heavy selling pressure. Price is currently moving below the 3755–3757 downtrend reaction zone, signaling short-term weakness. Strong demand/liquidity sits at 3712 and deeper at 3688–3686 (CP + OBS Buy Zone). Sell-side liquidity lies at 3775–3777, likely to trigger reactions on retests. A broader Liquidity Sell Zone is visible at 3824–3830, only valid if 3777 breaks cleanly. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance / Sell Zones: 3775–3777 - 3791 - 3824–3830 Support / Buy Zones: 3712 - 3688–3686 📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan ✅ BUY ZONE (priority): 3688–3686 SL: 3680 TP: 3696 - 3700 - 3705 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - … ✅ SELL ZONE (scalp): 3775–3777 SL: 3782 TP: 3770 - 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - 3730 - … ⚠️ Risk Notes Be careful with false breakouts at 3775–3777 before reversals. Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range; wait for price action confirmations at zones. US data and Fed speeches can bring volatility – adjust position sizes accordingly. ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating after its sharp rally to 3791 ATH, waiting for new catalysts from the US and Fed. Main plan: buy dips at 3688–3686 aiming for 3720–3730, while a short-term sell opportunity at 3775–3777 remains valid if rejection signals appear. If bulls clear 3777, the upside opens towards 3824–3830 liquidity. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time liquidity setups and BIGWIN strategies!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDLiamTrading – XAUUSD Scenario Today: Opportunities at Key Price Levels Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently fluctuating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakthroughs. The technical structure on the H1 chart shows the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans. Technical Analysis RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the possibility of a short-term correction. The upper price range around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions. Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x exhibit dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices adjust. The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed for the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak. Reference Trading Plan Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650 Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790 Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790 In summary, the main trend still leans towards an increase, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is very high. Traders need to patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entries, while managing risk tightly. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 25, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum on the daily chart has turned bearish, indicating that the main downtrend may continue. • H4: Momentum on H4 is about to turn bullish, suggesting a possible upward move today. However, if this bullish reversal fails to break the previous high, the downtrend will remain intact. • H1: Momentum on H1 is declining and about to enter the oversold zone. This downward move may need around 2 more H1 candles before entering oversold territory and reversing. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: o The first target of wave 5 (yellow) was reached at 3789. o Price is currently reacting at this level. With D1 momentum turning bearish, there is a strong possibility that wave 5 (yellow) has already completed, meaning price could move towards 3632 and potentially break below it. • H4: An ABC corrective structure (blue) has formed, opening three scenarios: 1. The correction is complete → price rallies strongly, breaking the previous high to continue the uptrend. 2. Price rallies but with overlap, forming a Flat 3-3-5 pattern → price may rise toward the previous high at 3793. 3. Price remains in a zigzag structure → another decline may occur to complete wave C. 👉 Given the bearish momentum on D1, I lean more towards scenario 2 and 3. 👉 Note: In scenarios (1) and (2), price must hold above 3729, then break 3752, which could lead to a minimum rally towards 3777. • H1: Under scenario 3 (further decline to complete wave C): o Price may break below 3718. o Wave 5 (black) targets:  3713 (first target).  3698 (second target). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3729 – 3726 o SL: 3717 o TP: 3751 • Buy Zone 2: 3714 – 3711 o SL: 3703 o TP: 3751 ________________________________________ ⚠️ Important Note The market is likely in a corrective wave at a higher structure. • Characteristic: Price often shows overlapping moves. • Therefore: Manage trades carefully, avoid over-risking, as reversals can happen at any time – this is typical of corrective waves.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX