XAUUSD – Sell Strategy ActivatedXAUUSD – Sell Strategy Activated
Hello traders,
Gold has followed the expected scenario, reacting precisely around the 3508–3510 zone. This correction is a good signal to consider a bearish outlook. However, for a clearer confirmation, price needs to close an M15 candle below 3466. If that happens, the previous bullish wave will be considered invalid, giving a stronger probability for the Sell setup.
Structurally, gold is still within the main rising channel, which means an early short entry should wait until liquidity from the small FVG zone above is fully taken.
Technical indicators are supporting this view:
MACD has shown consistent bearish momentum in the last 4 H1 candles.
Several indicators are already showing divergence, pointing to weakening bullish strength.
Sell zone to watch: around 3488–3491.
Setup invalidated if price breaks above the nearest resistance.
At this stage, the appetite for new long positions is fading, and buying at these levels carries greater risk. Remember, no trend moves in one direction forever – for price to reach higher targets, secondary corrective moves are necessary.
This is my trading scenario for gold in the coming sessions. Take it as reference and share your thoughts in the comments.
Xauusdanalysis
XAU/USD Bullish Setup – Buy from POI Zone Towards 3545 TargetXAU/USD (15M Chart) Analysis
Trend Analysis:
Price is in a clear uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows above the EMA 70 & EMA 200. Both EMAs are pointing upward, confirming bullish momentum.
POI & FVG Zone:
A POI/FVG buying zone (highlighted in pink) is marked between 3481 – 3491, acting as a strong demand area for re-entry if price retraces.
Chart Pattern:
Price has broken out of a rising wedge formation and is retesting the breakout zone, showing potential continuation to the upside.
Support & Resistance:
Support: 3481 – 3491 zone (FVG & EMA confluence).
Resistance/Target: 3545.608 (major target point).
Entry & Risk Management:
Entry: Buy near 3491 or 3481 (within POI/FVG zone).
Stop Loss: Below 3480 (to protect against false break).
Target: 3545 (approx. +55 points).
Strategy Confirmation:
Trend-following: Bullish continuation above EMAs.
FVG/POI: Perfect re-entry buying zone.
Breakout strategy: Price broke wedge → retest → continuation expected.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Around 1:4, favorable trade setup.
✅ Summary:
XAU/USD remains bullish above EMAs. Ideal trade is to buy the dip at 3481–3491 zone with a target at 3545 and stop loss below 3480. Multiple strategies align for upside continuation.
Xau USD Bullish Structure Xau USD is making Higher High pattern . From 3325 it's moving upward with Higher High pattern . It's moving up . From here I m seeing again 10 -15 point movement . It's bullish Structure at higher level . We can wait for retracement if you are safe player. Consult your financial advisor before making any position in stock market.
Gold Surges $70+ – Is XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?🔥 Market Update
Gold (XAUUSD) just made a massive rally of more than $70, shaking the entire trading community.
The rise in geopolitical tensions is pushing safe-haven demand to extreme levels, and gold has once again become the most-watched asset worldwide.
For Indian traders, where gold holds not just market value but also cultural importance, this move is a wake-up call – volatility is at its peak, and discipline is key.
🔎 Macro Outlook
🌍 Global geopolitical risks → Strong inflows into gold as a safe haven.
💵 USD and bond yields are not enough to stop buyers rushing to gold.
📊 Upcoming US PCE data & Fed decisions could bring even bigger swings.
📊 Technical View (H4)
After the sharp rally, gold built a base around CP Zone H4 before breaking out again.
Key Support Levels
3,462 – 3,443 → Must hold to keep the bullish structure intact.
Key Resistance Levels
3,487 – 3,518 → Likely area for pullback or reaction.
A clean break could target 3,536+ next.
📌 Possible Market Scenarios
✅ Scenario 1 (Preferred)
Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and can push towards 3,536.
⚠️ Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback)
Break below 3,462 → Retest of 3,443 before buyers step back in.
🎯 Trade Plan (Reference Only)
✅ BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3453 – 3451
SL: 3446
TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3444 – 3442
SL: 3438
TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE
Entry: 3512 – 3514
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470
💡 Key Takeaways for Indian Traders
Gold is in a powerful uptrend, driven by global uncertainty.
But after such a sharp move, a technical pullback is very possible.
Best approach now:
✔️ Wait for dip-buying opportunities near strong supports.
✔️ Respect stop loss – capital protection comes first.
✔️ Keep an eye on global news that can spark instant volatility.
This is the kind of market where patience + discipline = survival and profit. 🚀
Gold 01/09: FVG Retracement – Buy on Dips, Short near 3515SMC Market View – 01 September
Gold is continuing its bullish order flow, with clear BOS and ChoCH signals already confirmed. Price has formed an FVG (Fair Value Gap) near 3463, and is now showing momentum towards the 3515 supply zone.
✅ BUY Setups
Buy Zone 1: 3418 – 3422
Strong demand area with trendline support and liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss: 3410
Targets: 3430 – 3445 – 3455 – 3460+
Buy Scalp Zone: 3352 – 3350
Deeper liquidity grab area, suitable for quick scalps.
Stop Loss: 3344
Targets: 3360 – 3380 – 3400
👉 All buy zones are aligned with the dominant bullish structure. Best approach: wait for retracements to go long.
❌ SELL Setup
Sell Zone: 3515 – 3517
H1 supply area overlapping with resistance.
Stop Loss: 3522
Targets: 3500 – 3485 – 3475 – 3465 – 3450
👉 Short trades here are only meant for quick pullbacks. The bigger bias remains bullish unless a strong bearish ChoCH shows up.
📌 Conclusion
Main bias: Buy on dips at 3415–3422, 3442–3447, and scalp at 3352–3350.
Secondary play: Short at 3515–3520 targeting demand.
Key level: Watch the FVG at 3463 for market reaction.
Will Gold Return to 3400?Market Context
Price has registered multiple bullish break of structure, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
A supply zone around 3449 – 3451 may trigger liquidity-driven reactions.
The fair value gap between 3360 – 3310 is still open and could pull price down before continuation.
Key Levels
Supply Zone: 3449 – 3451
Buy Zone 1: 3396 – 3400 (Stop Loss: 3390)
Buy Zone 2: 3310 – 3315 (Stop Loss: 3303)
FVG Zone: 3360 – 3310
Trading Scenarios
Primary Buy Setup
Entry: 3396 – 3400
Stop Loss: 3390
Target: 3449 – 3460 liquidity sweep
Secondary Buy Setup
Entry: 3310 – 3315
Stop Loss: 3303
Target: 3396 – 3449
Counter-trend Sell
Entry: 3449 – 3451, provided rejection is visible
Stop Loss: above 3458
Target: 3400 demand
Summary
The overall bias stays bullish with two key demand zones in play: 3400 for a shallow retracement and 3310 for a deeper liquidity sweep. Short positions near supply remain valid only as quick counter-trend trades.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (01/09/2025)
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum has been stuck in the overbought zone for the past 4 days, showing strong buying pressure. However, this also creates noise since extended overbought conditions can reverse at any time.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn down in the overbought zone. Once an H4 candle closes with confirmation, we can expect a correction lasting around 4–5 H4 candles.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the overbought zone. Within 1–2 more H1 candles, a short-term pullback is likely.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
Price has risen sharply and steeply, with momentum staying overbought for a long time. This suggests that wave 4 has likely completed, and the market is entering a long-term uptrend. The minimum target is 3684 (equal to the length of wave W).
• H4 timeframe:
Price is currently in red wave 3. We expect a correction into red wave 4, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn down.
• H1 timeframe:
o Wave i (green) is labeled as a leading diagonal, even though wave ii (green) did not retrace as deeply as expected.
o Price is now in an extended wave iii (green).
o Within wave iii (green), a 5-wave structure 1-2-3-4-5 (red) is unfolding. Red wave 3 has already completed with its internal 5-wave (black).
o The target for black wave 5 was achieved at the Fibonacci 0.618 projection of black waves 1–3 → confirming that red wave 3 has completed and price is now correcting into red wave 4.
• Red wave 4 outlook:
Likely to take shape as a zigzag, flat, or triangle. Two retracement zones are identified:
1. 3462 – 23.6% retracement of red wave 3.
2. 3447 – 38.2% retracement of red wave 3.
Considering the guideline that wave 4 often returns to the territory of wave 4 of a smaller degree, and that H4 momentum needs more time to move into the oversold zone, we select 3447 as the primary target for a sell setup.
________________________________________
Trade Plan
• Buy Zone: 3448 – 3446
• Stop Loss: 3438
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3485
o TP2: 3521
Bitcoin – Technical Outlook for the New WeekBitcoin – Technical Outlook for the New Week
Hello traders,
BTC continues to follow the expected path. On the chart, price has held steady after breaking down from the rising channel, and the medium-term bearish structure on the H4 timeframe remains in play.
For the longer term, we would still need to see breaks of major supports on higher timeframes to confirm that deeper downside is possible. But for now, the structure remains unchanged from my previous analysis.
Short zone: still valid around 111k
Long zone: still valid around 105k
As the new week begins, BTC may consolidate further for another 1–2 sessions to build liquidity before showing its next clear move.
This is my updated technical view for BTC – take it as reference, and plan your trades with discipline. What’s your outlook for this week? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Gold (XAUUSD) Testing Support Before Potential Move HigherAnalysis:
The chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a strong uptrend within a rising channel, supported by higher lows.
Support Level: Price is currently testing a key support around 3,404–3,405. This level also aligns with the trendline, making it an important zone to hold.
Resistance Zone: The next major resistance lies between 3,430–3,445, where selling pressure could emerge.
Trend Outlook: As long as the support level holds, the bullish momentum remains intact, with potential for price to continue higher toward the resistance zone.
Risk Factor: A breakdown below the support and trendline could weaken the bullish structure and may trigger a pullback toward 3,390.
📈 Bias: Bullish above support, targeting resistance at 3,430–3,445.
📉 Invalidation: Bearish pressure may come into play if price closes below 3,390.
XAU/USD – End-of-Month Trading Strategy | MMFlow TradingGold is entering a short-term correction phase as we close the month. Looking at historical data, in the last 4 months, Gold has shown deep liquidity sweeps at month-end before continuing its upward rally. Today, we could see a similar setup.
📊 Market Context:
Month-end candles often create long wicks (343x → 335x).
If price breaks below 3395, we could see deeper liquidity grabs.
US Session has PCE Data release – expected to match the previous reading. This may trigger short-term volatility, providing opportunities for intraday traders.
📌 Key Levels
🔺 Resistance (Sell Zone)
3434 – 3436 → Short-term selling opportunity.
3424 – 3435 → A breakout here opens the path to new highs.
🔻 Support (Buy Zone)
3395 – 3390 → Important intraday liquidity zone.
3376 – 3374 (VPOC Area) → Strong demand zone, likely to attract buyers.
3363 – 3355 (Deep Liquidity Zone) → Extreme scenario, less likely without major news.
📌 Trade Plan
✅ Long Setup (Buy Zone)
Entry: 3376 – 3374
Stop Loss: 3369
Targets: 3380 – 3385 – 3390 – 3400 – 3410 – 3420 – ???
🎯 This aligns with the VPOC zone, highly probable for bullish reaction.
✅ Short Setup (Sell Zone)
Entry: 3434 – 3436
Stop Loss: 3440
Targets: 3430 – 3425 – 3420 – 3410 – 3400
⚠️ Short trades are better executed in Asian & European sessions to catch the correction move before US volatility.
📍 Summary:
Watch 3395 – 3375 closely → if this holds, September could bring strong bullish momentum.
Month-end dips are often the best opportunities to position for the next ATH rally.
Patience + precise levels = high probability setups.
🔥 Stay tuned with MMFlow Trading for precise institutional-style analysis & real-time market insights.
Gold 29/08: Smart Money Looks at 3444 or 3395 LevelsMarket Context (SMC View):
Gold faced rejection from the 3423 liquidity zone and is now pulling back.
Demand is seen near 3397–3395, which can give a bounce if price tests it.
Premium supply zones above 3422 and 3442 are good areas to look for selling opportunities.
🔼 BUY SCENARIO
Buy Zone: 3397 – 3395
Stop Loss: 3389
Targets: 3405 → 3415 → 3425
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 1 (Price Action)
Sell Zone: 3422 – 3424
Stop Loss: 3430
Targets: 3412 → 3400
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Swing)
Sell Zone: 3442 – 3444
Stop Loss: 3452
Targets: 3425 → 3412 → 3400
📌 Conclusion & Notes
Bias: Buy near 3397–3395, then watch for possible liquidity grabs at 3422–3424 or a bigger sweep near 3442–3444 to go short.
Key Levels: 3422–3424 is the first intraday supply zone, while 3442–3444 is the major swing sell zone.
Tip: Wait for rejection candles or confirmation before selling.
Risk: Gold is very volatile; use strict stop losses and manage capital carefully.
A strong ~1:10 RnR XAUUSD/Gold trade idea.Gold has created a good price action which may lead to a very high RnR price movement.
Here are signals identified for the trade.
1. It is breaking trend inline after and earlier fake out. Which is a strong signal for upside move.
2. Taking reversal at golden zone of 4H last swing.
3. Rejection candle at 1H.
4. Bullish diversanse is already observed in RSI
5. Taking support from bullish trend line.
6. 5m W pattern is created and breakout done.
7. Price is taking pull back to broken resistance.
8. It may 1:10 trade if everything goes as plan.
9. Price rejection should be observed at the pullback level before taking further upside movement.
P.S.- This is jut an idea not trade recommendations.
Gold Trading Scenario – Friday OutlookGold Trading Scenario – Friday Outlook
Hello traders,
Fridays are often challenging for forex traders. As the week closes, bankers wrap up their positions, creating unpredictable market moves. This is especially tricky for those who rely on timing-based strategies, so it’s important to watch the smaller fluctuations closely today.
Looking at the current gold structure, the uptrend remains intact. Buying pressure is strong enough to push towards the next projected levels. Technical indicators continue to support a bullish view, with MACD showing steady momentum as both volume and moving averages remain positive.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold is moving in **wave 5**, which is typically an extended wave. This allows us to maintain a bullish outlook unless price breaks below **3386** and confirms with at least one candle close on the M15 timeframe or higher. In that case, the scenario would be invalidated. Until then, buying around this level with a stop-loss just below the key support zone (about 1 dollar lower) remains the preferred approach.
Selling opportunities are not yet ideal, but for those looking at short setups, the **3450 zone** should be monitored as a major resistance. In the shorter term, **3430** can act as a reaction level for temporary sells.
Fridays also tend to bring more news-driven traps, so be extra cautious. It’s a day that can really test less experienced traders.
This is my view for today’s session – use it as reference, and trade with discipline.
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Divergence has appeared at H4 – TOP IS ABOUT TO BE FORMEDGold SMC Daily Plan – 28/08
Market Context (SMC view):
Gold is trading near 3395–3396 after a sharp bullish rally. Early bearish divergence is visible on H4, hinting at a short-term top.
Key resistance is at 3400 – a clean breakout above may trigger liquidity sweep towards 342x–343x, retesting the old ATH.
On the downside, if 3370 support breaks, price may correct deeper into 335x BUY zone for a strong bullish setup.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3396–3400 (Sell Zone), 342x–343x (Liquidity sweep area)
Support: 3370, 3354–3352 (Buy Zone), 3325 (SL for longs)
SMC Zones & Liquidity Pools:
BUY ZONE 1: 3354–3352 (below liquidity sweep under 3370)
SL: 3347
TP: 3365 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 → 3400+
BUY ZONE 2: 3380–3382
SL: 3374
TP: 3390 → 3400 → 3415 → 3430 → 3450+
SELL ZONE: 3408–3410 (above recent high)
SL: 3416
TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3375 → 3360
Trading Plan & Scenarios:
Sell Setup (Primary Bias – Divergence Play):
Look for liquidity grab above 3396–3399 (into resistance).
Enter short with SL above 3403.
Partial profits at 3390–3380–3375; keep runner towards 3360 if support breaks.
Buy Setup (Counter Play – Break & Retest):
If price dips into 3354–3352 BUY zone, wait for bullish confirmation (choch/BOS on lower TF).
Enter long with SL below 3347.
Targets: 3365 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 → 3400+
Confluences:
H4 bearish divergence signalling possible exhaustion at top.
Liquidity pools above 3396 and below 3370 remain untapped.
FVG and imbalance align with 335x buy zone.
XAU/USD – Big Move Loading? Liquidity Grab Before the Next RallyGold has been holding strong at higher levels, consolidating near resistance without showing a real liquidity sweep yet. With key US data coming in (Prelim GDP q/q & Unemployment Claims), the market could be setting up for a sharp correction first – before the next bullish leg in September, especially as USD weakens and Fed rate cuts get closer.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3400 → A breakout can quickly push Gold to 342x – 343x, retesting old ATH.
Support: 3370 → A breakdown can send price into the 335x BUY Zone for a clean long setup.
📌 MMFLOW Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE
3356 – 3354
SL: 3349
TP: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
❌ SELL ZONE
3424 – 3426
SL: 3430
TP: 3420 → 3395 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 3370
🎯 MMFLOW View
End of month often comes with liquidity flushes before the market decides its next big move. Watch for a potential drop into 335x as a golden buying opportunity before Gold makes a run at new highs.
👉 Trade with discipline. Stick to Key Levels. No FOMO.
🔥 What do you think traders?
Will Gold break 3400 first or flush to 335x for the perfect buy?
👇 Drop your views in the comments – let’s analyze together!
GOLD 15 Chart Buy Stop🛎 Trade Suggestion
✅ XAUUSD 15M Chart BUY STOP
(watch for bullish engulfing or rejection wick on 5M/15M.)
Entry: 3396.50
Targets: 3399 / 3402 / 3405
Stop: 3389.50 (Risk 1-2%)
Reasoning: Break above premium PD array + bullish MSS + upside liquidity above 3400
⚠️ Risk Disclosure applies
Gold 27/08: Smart Money Targets 3405 or Sweeps 3355?Gold SMC Daily Plan – 27/08
Market Context (SMC View):
Price is consolidating around 3378, holding the liquidity trendline with multiple BOS and ChoCH, indicating strong smart money activity.
Key resistance: 3393–3406 (supply & liquidity pool).
Key support: 3352–3358 (demand zone) with an Order Block (OB) near 3325.
A possible liquidity sweep could happen above 3405 or below 3355 before confirming the next trend move.
📊 Key Liquidity Zones & Entries
✅ Sell Zone: 3402–3406
SL: 3410
TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3360
✅ Buy Zone 1: 3352–3358
SL: 3345
TP: 3360 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395
✅ Buy Zone 2 (intraday pullback): 3376–3380
SL: 3370
TP: 3385 → 3395 → 3405
SMC Scenarios for 27/08
Scenario 1 – Liquidity Grab at Resistance:
If price sweeps 3402–3406, look for fake breakout signals.
Short from this zone with the TP levels mentioned above.
Scenario 2 – Buy on Dip (Demand Zone):
If price retraces deeper to 3352–3358, wait for bullish confirmation to go long.
If price respects the trend and holds 3376–3380, consider intraday buy opportunities.
SMC Notes:
Focus on buying dips unless a liquidity grab occurs first at 3402–3406.
Keep an eye on price action near the trendline & OB at 3325 for potential high-probability reversal setups.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – August 28, 2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is still in a bearish reversal zone (overbought). Price is stalling but has not yet given a clear reversal confirmation → showing that bullish strength is weakening.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is also turning bearish → from now until the US session, price is likely to continue sideways or decline further.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish → suggesting a short-term corrective rally or sideways movement.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: At the moment, there are two possible wave counts (as mentioned in yesterday’s plan). Both scenarios point to the same outcome: after completing the correction, price will move higher.
o Key note: The final corrective structure is a triangle. Once this triangle completes, it typically signals a strong upward breakout, confirming the end of the corrective phase.
• H4 timeframe: Price is consolidating within a contracting triangle, leaving two possibilities:
1. Leading diagonal for wave 4 (abcde) → once completed, price could drop sharply towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
2. Ending triangle for wave d → a strong wave e decline is expected before the next rally begins. In this case, the signal to watch is price testing the lower boundary of the triangle.
• H1 timeframe: A leading diagonal is forming, while RSI shows bearish divergence at the top. This supports the sell scenario. However, since H1 momentum is currently bullish, we expect one more push higher into resistance at 3403, which will provide a potential short opportunity.
o Note: Today’s US Jobless Claims data could trigger a stop-hunt move upward before a strong sell-off. Ahead of the news, price may continue ranging between 3385 – 3387.
Trading Plan
• Since price has not dropped significantly yet, it is likely still within wave 5 of the triangle. The upper resistance at 3403 is an ideal sell zone.
• A safer option: wait for price to break below the triangle’s lower boundary and close beneath it → then look for a breakout sell setup.
• Target: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 3345.
Trade Setup
• Sell Zone: 3403 – 3405
• Stop Loss: 3413
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3374
XAUUSD Price Action Analysis Current Market Overview
Price is trading at 3,371.67 🟢, showing bullish momentum after bouncing from the highlighted support zone (purple box).
The support zone (3,358 – 3,348) is currently holding strongly, converting old resistance into support 🔄.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone (3,358 – 3,348) 🛡️ → Price respected this area, confirming it as a demand zone.
Immediate Support: 3,358.65 🟪
Secondary Supports: 3,348.60 📉 | 3,325.99 📉 | 3,311.63 📉
📈 Bullish Scenario
If buyers maintain momentum above 3,358, price may attempt a move toward 3,380+ 🚀.
Break above 3,380 could signal continuation to new highs 📊✨.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A strong break back below 3,358 could re-test 3,348 → 3,325 → 3,311 ⬇️.
Failure to hold support may trigger deeper correction.
✅ Professional Takeaway
Market sentiment is bullish as long as price stays above 3,358 support zone 🟩.
Traders may look for buy opportunities on dips near support with targets toward 3,380 – 3,390 🎯.
Watch price reaction closely at the purple zone for confirmation before entering.
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Gold Eyes 3400! 🚀Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum as the USD weakens, and buyers are stepping in with strong FOMO-driven demand. However, a short-term correction (1–2 days) is still possible before the next big leg higher.
The smart play? ⚡ Wait for clean pullbacks into strong liquidity zones — buy low, hold, and ride the trend.
📊 Short-Term View (M15–H1)
Break below 337x could push Gold quickly down to 335x–334x to fill liquidity gaps.
Bigger picture remains bullish with a potential run to 3400 and beyond.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: 3363 – 3356 – 3349 – 3335
Resistance: 3385 – 3391 – 3402 – 3425
🎯 Trading Plan
✅ Buy Setups
Scalp Buy: 3356 – 3354
SL: 3350
Targets: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
Swing Buy Zone: 3336 – 3334
SL: 3330
Targets: 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3380 → 3400+
❌ Sell Setups
Scalp Sell: 3385 – 3387
SL: 3390
Targets: 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3365 → 3350
High-Risk Sell Zone: 3401 – 3403
SL: 3407
Targets: 3396 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370
📌 Takeaway
Gold is still bullish overall, but short-term dips are healthy and provide the best entry points. Stay patient, wait for price action to confirm at key support, and let the market pay you.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 27/08/2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing reversal signals, as mentioned in yesterday’s plan. Currently, D1 is in the overbought zone, suggesting that bullish momentum has weakened and the market needs at least one corrective move to regain strength.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning bearish. We need to wait for the current candle to close for confirmation, but there is a high probability that today’s main trend will be bearish.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing to turn up. If price rises into the overbought zone, then reverses bearish without breaking above 3394, there is a strong chance of a long-term decline – creating a sell opportunity.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: With current reversal signals, there are two possible scenarios:
1. Triangle abcde – as shown in previous plans.
2. Combination correction (WXY) – where wave W is a zigzag, wave X is a double zigzag, and wave Y is a triangle (as on the chart). In this case, price may decline back toward 3311.
👉 Both scenarios are valid, with no clear dominance, so continued observation is required.
• H4 timeframe: A diagonal ending triangle is forming, combined with H4 momentum turning bearish. Although we need confirmation from the current H4 close, it is clear that bullish momentum is weakening → we should look for sell opportunities in line with H4 momentum.
• H1 timeframe: According to yesterday’s plan, we expected wave 3. However, several factors suggest otherwise:
o Price corrected deeply toward 3350.
o The rebound lacked strong momentum.
o An ending diagonal triangle appeared (not typical in wave 3, as it reflects very weak buying pressure).
o RSI shows bearish divergence, further confirming weakening bullish momentum.
Altogether, these point to a likely strong and sharp decline once the pattern completes.
📌 Ideal target zone: 3387 – 3390. If the current drop is wave A or wave 1, then the rebound of wave B or wave 2 should unfold within this zone.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 3387 – 3390
• Stop Loss: 3397
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3371
o TP2: 3350
o TP3: 3330