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Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extends its rebound near ₹4 250 as traders weigh the recent uptick in U.S. Treasury yields against growing expectations of a softer Federal Reserve stance. After the latest mixed U.S. economic data, markets are leaning toward a mildly dovish outlook — rate-cut bets for early 2026 are gaining traction, while the dollar remains steady. Today’s focus centers on U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims data, which could steer short-term volatility. A stronger-than-expected report may trigger temporary selling pressure on gold, while weaker figures could revive safe-haven demand and extend the rally toward ₹4 380 +. Expect liquidity hunts before any clear directional move, as institutional players refine positions near the week’s range extremes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Market structure remains bullish, with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming continuation after the earlier accumulation phase. • A short-term Change of Character (ChoCH) signals corrective movement — likely a liquidity sweep before the next bullish leg. • Liquidity resting below ₹4 200 has already been taken, aligning with the discount zone around ₹4 196 – ₹4 198. • A potential re-accumulation is forming; buyers may look for confirmation (M15 BOS/ChoCH) inside this demand zone. • Upside liquidity targets cluster near ₹4 375 – ₹4 380, coinciding with a premium supply zone where sellers might re-enter. 🔴 Sell Setup Entry: 4378 – 4376 Stop-Loss: 4386 Take-Profit Targets: 4325 → 4260 🟢 Buy Setup Entry: 4196 – 4198 Stop-Loss: 4190 Take-Profit Targets: 4250 → 4370 → 4380 + ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for lower-timeframe BOS/ChoCH confirmation before execution. • Be cautious around U.S. macro data releases — spreads and volatility can widen temporarily. • Use partial take-profits at nearby liquidity zones and trail stops once market structure confirms continuation. ✅ Summary Gold maintains its bullish bias above ₹4 200 after sweeping liquidity. A short-term correction could retest ₹4 196 – ₹4 198 for fresh buy entries, while the broader trend remains upward. Only a clean structural break below ₹4 190 would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario. FOLLOW RYAN FOR MORE USEFUL TRADING IDEAS!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Bearish scenario activatedXAUUSD – Bearish scenario activated: watch for sell retest at 4,303–4,305, deep buy at 4,208–4,210 🟡 Gold just hit a historic peak at 4,381 but the subsequent sharp drop opens up the risk of a short-term correction. On H1, the price is blocked by the descending trendline and the sell zone cluster at 4,30x; below are liquidity zones and the bottom trendline waiting to be retested. Quick chart insights The structure shifts to a descending triangle pullback after breaking the upward momentum. Sell zone 4,303–4,305 coincides with the descending trendline + thick volume (VP). Below 4,26x is Liquidity Buy; deeper is the 4,208–4,210 mark near FE 4.236 and the trendline base — the final “shakeout” zone before recovery. Trading plan (if–then) Sell retest (priority in weak rebound) Entry: 4,305–4,303 SL: 4,310 TP: 4,287 → 4,260 → 4,242 → 4,220 Condition: rebound to 4,30x and appearance of rejection/engulfing candle on H1 below the descending trendline. Deep buy (liquidity sweep + bounce back) Entry: 4,210–4,208 SL: 4,204 TP: 4,225 → 4,242 → 4,270 → 4,298 Condition: deep shakeout to 4,21x, appearance of pin bar/absorbing volume at the bottom trendline. Invalidation Sell scenario invalidated if H1 closes above 4,310. Buy scenario invalidated if H1 closes below 4,204 (risk of deeper trendline range). Key levels to watch (easy to view on mobile) Resistance: 4,303–4,305 • 4,320–4,325 (descending trendline) Support: 4,260–4,255 • 4,242 • 4,210–4,208 • 4,200 Expected move: rebound to 4,30x → sell down to 4,26x/4,24x; sweep 4,21x → bounce back to 4,27x–4,29x. Quick context (macro) Expectations of Fed rate cuts + geopolitical risks keep the major trend upward, but post-ATH often sees short-term sell-offs to rebalance positions. Monitor USD/yield fluctuations: a strong USD will support the sell retest scenario; a cooling USD creates opportunities for rebounds from buy zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
GOLD: BUY $4235, TARGET $4450! (FED RATE CUT PLAY📰 MACRO PUSH: Low-Interest Rate Tailwinds Gold is getting a huge boost from the fundamentals: Fed Rate Cuts: Market is pricing 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week. This is spot on for Gold. Low rates = Gold will fly! Safe-Haven: Political instability (US Govt shutdown extending) and trade tensions are pushing safe-haven demand higher. Key Data: Watch for the delayed CPI data on October 24th. It will be a major trigger! Summary: The fundamental conviction for upside is max to max. We are ready for the breakout. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Perfect LONG Setup! The chart shows Gold is correcting back to the main Demand Zone—a confluence of the Uptrend Line and a crucial structural low. This zone is our go-to for a perfect entry. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy We are activating a long position as price revisits our key zone: Position: LONG (BUY) - With full conviction on the primary trend. BUY ZONE (Entry): $4,237 $4,235 (The most critical Demand Zone) SL (Stop Loss): $4,227 (Must protect this level!) TP (Take Profit Targets): TP1: $4,245 TP2: $4,255 TP3: $4,265 TP4: $4,275 Final TP: Open (Expecting a New ATH around $4,450+) DISCLAIMER: This opportunity at the Demand Zone is strongly backed by the macro picture (Fed & Instability). Please use proper risk management! #GOLD #XAUUSD #Fed #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #IntradaySetup
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
GOLD PULLBACK: $4330 SLIDE! Sniping the Fibo BUY Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: USD Stability Triggers Profit-Taking Gold is extending its corrective slide from the all-time high zone, hitting around $4,331 - $4,330. Primary Headwind: The US Dollar (USD) attracted buyers for three consecutive days, causing stability which triggered profit-taking in the overbought Gold market. Long-Term Support: DXY trades slightly negatively due to the US government shutdown and trade tensions, keeping the long-term bullish outlook intact. Technical Bias: The market is in a deep correction/profit-taking phase. Our focus is strictly on finding the FIBO BUY REACT ZONES to join the underlying bullish trend. DO NOT CHASE THE SELL MOVE. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the current corrective structure and the Fibo/Volume zones defined on image_ddd575.png, we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are current resistance areas for short-term rejection or supply zone testing: REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 4340 - 4320: Current resistance. Look for a SCALP SELL opportunity if the price rejects this zone. REACTION SELL ZONE - Big Volume for Sell Side 435x: Major supply/liquidity zone if price attempts a deeper retracement. 2. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the most critical Fibo support zones for initiating Long entries: REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265: The first crucial Fibo Retracement support. REACTION BUY ZONE - Big Volume For Buy Side 4230 - 4220: The high-volume demand zone and optimal entry point for the major Long trade. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265 or 4230 - 4220. Long Entry: Execute the BUY entry only upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15). Scalp SELL Action: If the price strongly rejects the 4340 - 4320 zone, a quick SCALP SELL targeting the nearest BUY ZONE can be considered. Targets (TP): Aim for the highs and the 435x Sell Zone for the Longs. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. DO NOT OVERLEVERAGE in this corrective phase. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone) Stop-Loss: Below $4,310 Market Structure Overview The price is currently moving inside a descending channel (marked as TRADE LINE). A Buy Zone is identified between $4,315 – $4,325, which acts as a strong support area. Price has touched the lower channel line and rebounded upward, indicating buyer interest around that zone. 📉 Short-Term Trend The short-term trend is bearish due to lower highs and lower lows inside the channel. However, momentum shows weakening selling pressure near the buy zone. 🟢 Bullish Scenario If price holds above the Buy Zone and forms bullish candles, expect a potential reversal toward the upper channel line. A breakout above the upper channel would signal a trend shift, targeting: Target: $4,381 – $4,385 (as marked on your chart). 🔴 Bearish Scenario If price breaks below $4,315, it would invalidate the buy zone setup. Next potential support could be around $4,300 or lower. 📊 Trade Plan Example Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone) Stop-Loss: Below $4,310 Take-Profit: $4,380 – $4,385 Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:4 ⚙️ Summary Gold is currently consolidating within a descending channel. A bullish breakout from this structure could open the path toward the $4,381 target zone, confirming short-term bullish reversal momentum. LME:SC1! TMX:SXF1! TMX:CGB1! TMX:CGZ1! TMX:CGF1! TMX:LGB1! TMX:BSF1! TMX:FBA1! TMX:FCN1! TMX:FDO1! TMX:FEB1! TMX:FER1! TMX:FEB1! TMX:FHO1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near ₹4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD. According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend. However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week. A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices. 🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook Gold is currently consolidating around the ₹4,320–₹4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone. Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure. The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward ₹4,305–₹4,260 may attract new buyers. ⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View) 🔼BUY SCALP 📌Entry: ₹4,302 – ₹4,300 (½ volume) ❌Stop Loss: ₹4,292 ✔️Take Profit: ₹4,310 → ₹4,315 → ₹4,320 → ₹4,330 → ₹4,340 → ₹4,350+ 🔼BUY ZONE (Swing) ✨Entry: ₹4,260 – ₹4,258 ❌Stop Loss: ₹4,252 ✔️Take Profit: ₹4,265 → ₹4,270 → ₹4,280 → ₹4,290 → ₹4,300+ 📈Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above ₹4,260. Intraday sell reactions near ₹4,360–₹4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities. ⚡️Key MMFlow Zones CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: ₹4,360 ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: ₹4,448 Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,305 End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,260 Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above ₹4,370–₹4,380 🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Rebound Prepares for Next Waveb]🔍 Market Context After reaching a peak at the ATH GOLD 4,391 USD region, gold has undergone a technical correction — reflecting temporary profit-taking following a strong upward trend. The market structure still maintains a bullish bias as the support zones below (FVG + OB) remain intact and untested. Currently, the price is hovering around 4,325 USD, indicating that selling pressure has weakened. Buyers are likely to return at two strategic zones below — where institutional money (Smart Money) typically accumulates positions before the next upward wave. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,391 USD Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,465 – 4,424 USD → the upper liquidity zone, the main target for the next upward wave. FVG Zone: 4,284 – 4,267 USD → an unfilled gap, likely to be retested. Order Block Zone: 4,244 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluence with Fibo 0.786, high probability of strong reaction. Liquidity Clear $$$: 4,186 – 4,190 USD → the last defense zone of the main upward trend. Overall structure remains bullish ; the current decline is merely a phase of adjustment to “accumulate liquidity” before continuing the upward momentum. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – FVG Zone 4,267 USD Entry: 4,267 – 4,270 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,330 → 4,366 → 4,391 ✅ Condition: Confirming bullish candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) at the FVG zone or a small BoS appears on M15. ➡️ Short-term “buy-the-dip” setup, leveraging the unfilled FVG zone — where technical buyers often initiate positions first. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Order Block Zone 4,244 USD Entry: 4,244 – 4,230 SL: 4,210 TP: 4,284 → 4,366 → 4,391 → 4,424 ✅ Condition: Strong confirming candle (engulfing bullish) or a retracement pattern breaking a small BoS back up. ➡️ Swing-buy setup at deep discount zone — confluence of OB + Fibo 0.786, high probability and optimal R:R. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying in the middle of the range (4,320–4,340). Prioritize waiting for clear reactions at 4,267 and 4,244 before entering trades. If the price closes an H1 candle below 4,210 → pause all buy orders, re-evaluate price action at 4,186. Maintain moderate trading volume during the current rebound phase. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in a phase of healthy technical correction within a major upward trend. The two zones 4,267 USD (FVG Zone) and 4,244 USD (Order Block Zone) are key “accumulation” areas for large capital. When bullish confirmation signals appear, these will be safe buy positions before gold heads back to the peak 4,391 – 4,465 USD . 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy at 4,267 – 4,270 USD if reversal confirmation occurs. Buy at 4,244 – 4,230 USD if a strong OB reaction signal appears. 🔥 “Smart money waits at precise levels — not at the top. The next gold wave will emerge between 4.267 and 4.244.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 1H – Bullish Rebound After Strong Correction🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is attempting to rebound near $4,320 after a sharp correction earlier this week, as traders weigh the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and renewed expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve tone. Markets are now positioning ahead of key U.S. housing and manufacturing data, which could shape short-term sentiment for both the dollar and real yields. • Softer economic numbers may reinforce the case for policy easing in early 2026, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal. • Conversely, stronger data could momentarily pressure XAUUSD, yet the broader uptrend remains intact amid central-bank accumulation and geopolitical tension. Expect a liquidity-driven environment, with price potentially sweeping lower before reclaiming bullish momentum. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Overall bias remains bullish following consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) indicating corrective retracement. • Discount Zone: The $4,270–$4,272 demand area sits within the discount zone of the recent range (swing low to 4454 high), ideal for re-accumulation. • Liquidity Sweep: Recent wicks near $4,300 suggest liquidity has been collected, potentially setting up for another bullish push. • Premium Zone: Upside liquidity clusters near $4,454–$4,452, aligning with a premium supply area where short-term selling may appear. 🔴 Sell Setup • Entry: 4454 – 4452 • Stop-Loss: 4463 • Take-Profit Targets: 4400 → 4330 🟢 Buy Setup • Entry: 4270 – 4272 • Stop-Loss: 4260 • Take-Profit Targets: 4340 → 4380 → 4450 + ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before triggering entries. • Avoid entries during high-volatility windows around U.S. data releases. • Secure partial profits near intermediate liquidity zones, trail stops after BOS confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold maintains a bullish re-accumulation structure following a healthy correction. A retest into the discount zone around $4,270 offers potential long entries targeting the premium zone near $4,450+. Only a decisive break below $4,260 would invalidate the intraday bullish scenario. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for more SMC trading insights ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 21, 2025) 🔹 1. Momentum H4: H4 momentum is currently turning bearish, indicating that the main trend for today is downward. H1: H1 momentum is stuck in the oversold zone, suggesting that price could continue to fall, but at the same time, there’s a risk of a short-term bullish reversal — this should be monitored carefully. M15: M15 momentum is also turning bearish, confirming the potential for short-term downside continuation. 🔹 2. Wave Structure H4 timeframe: The current price structure likely forms a Flat correction (W–X–Y in blue) as part of wave 4 (in purple). The X wave appears completed, and price is now in the declining phase of wave Y. Wave Y may develop in three possible forms: Zigzag 5-wave impulsive Triangle 👉 In Zigzag or 5-wave formations, the target is usually equal to wave A. 👉 In a triangle, price may build higher lows, respecting the upper boundary connecting wave 3 and wave X. H1 timeframe: The H1 structure mirrors H4, but note that H1 momentum remains in the oversold zone, meaning an upward reversal could occur anytime. M15 timeframe: Used mainly for entry timing. Since H4 momentum trend is bearish, we will prioritize Sell setups, especially after liquidity retests or breakdowns on the M15 chart. 🔹 3. Trading Plan Main bias: Bearish (following H4 momentum) Strategy: Focus on Sell setups when price retests or breaks below liquidity zones. Consider Buy setups only if price reaches the 4190 support area, signaling a potential end of wave 4 (purple) and the start of wave 5 (bullish). Buy setup (if wave 4 completes): Buy zone: 4193 – 4190 Stop loss: 4180 Take Profit: 4236 🔹 4. Alternative Scenarios If price breaks sharply above 4381, the current wave count will be invalidated, and price could head toward 4451. If price forms a triangle, with 4381 as the upper boundary and higher-low supports forming the lower edge, a breakout above 4381 would signal a Buy opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD PLAN | When balanced breaks, strength leaves its mark.🔍 Market Context After setting a short-term peak at the 4,385 – 4,372 USD zone, gold has entered a strong technical correction phase, with a series of consecutive red candles breaking the short-term upward structure. The sellers temporarily dominate, pushing the price through the H1 upward trendline. However, the support zone below (Liquidity Zone + Order Block Bullish) is beginning to show absorption, indicating that buyers might return at discounted price zones. 💎 Technical Analysis Previous Bullish BoS: confirms the main trend is still long-term bullish . FVG Down Zone: 4,285 – 4,260 USD → a price imbalance zone left in the downtrend, possibly where the price may retrace to “fill the gap” before choosing a direction. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,222 – 4,218 USD → a short-term support zone where new buying liquidity appears. Order Block Bullish: 4,203 – 4,185 USD → a confluence area between OB and Fibo 0.786, where large capital might return. Deep Bullish OB: 4,142 – 4,128 USD → the last defensive zone for the main upward trend. Order Block Bearish: 4,372 – 4,385 USD → a critical resistance zone, likely to react if the price retraces. The current structure shows gold is in a retracement – liquidity rebalancing phase, with insufficient signals to reverse the trend. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy reaction at Liquidity zone 4,222 – 4,203 USD Entry: 4,222 – 4,203 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,260 → 4,318 → 4,372 ✅ Condition: Strong rejection candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) appears at the support zone or small reversal BoS. ➡️ This is a “buy the dip” setup following the main trend, leveraging the liquidity zone and confluence OB. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Sell reaction at FVG Down 4,285 – 4,260 USD Entry: 4,260 – 4,285 SL: 4,300 TP: 4,222 → 4,203 ✅ Condition: Strong bearish candle or rejection signal appears at the FVG zone. ➡️ This setup is for scalping traders or short-term shorts in the unfilled price balance zone. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price has not confirmed the 4,222 zone. If the price breaks below 4,185 → wait for a re-test to continue selling towards the 4,128 zone. Keep moderate volume, as the market is in a rebalancing phase – liquidity remains noisy. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in a transitional phase after a strong decline . The 4,222 – 4,203 USD zone will be key to determining whether the medium-term upward trend continues. If this zone holds, gold is likely to retest the 4,318 – 4,372 USD zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy reaction at 4,222 – 4,203 USD when confirmed. Technical Sell at FVG 4,260 – 4,285 USD if a clear rejection appears. 🔥 “When the market is unbalanced, the strongest side will leave a mark – and this time, the mark is around the 4,220 USD zone.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
2
GOLD Accumulates Above $4200 Which Fibo React Zone Fires First ?🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Calm Before the Geopolitical Storm Gold is trading above the psychological $4,200 mark but struggled to gain meaningful traction on Monday due to mixed forces. Driving Forces: Increased geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty act as tailwinds for the safe-haven asset. USD Weakness: Expectations for more Fed rate cuts and the US government shutdown weaken the USD, providing support for XAU/USD. Traders have fully priced in two more rate cuts this year, which continues to pressure the US Dollar. Technical Outlook: Gold is currently consolidating above $4,200, signaling that the bullish structure remains intact. We are now watching for confirmation at key Fibo levels before the next breakout. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Our core strategy is to BUY ON DIPS at the identified Fibo Reaction Zones and look for short-term Sells only as resistance tests (Referencing image_58f686.png). 1. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the crucial support zones for initiating Long entries: Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4230 - 422x. This is the immediate, primary support zone where we anticipate the first bounce. Big Volume For The BUY Side 4205 - 4200. This is the major demand zone and the ultimate pullback point to catch the large growth wave. 2. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are high-volume resistance areas for potential Take Profit (TP) or short-term Scalp Sells: Reaction Fibo Sell Zone 4280 - 4285. The first key resistance level where the price may encounter selling pressure. Reaction Fibo Sell Zone 4315 - 4320. The next significant resistance and TP level. Big Volume For The Sell Side 4356 - 4360. The major supply and long-term TP target. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize CHỜ ĐỢI BUY): The market is consolidating. Do NOT FOMO. Patiently wait for the price to correct to the Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4230 - 422x. Long Entry: Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles) at the BUY Zones, confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry. Targets (TP): Aim for the successive SELL Zones: 428x, 431x, and the ultimate target at 4356 - 4360. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. Monitor trade talks closely as they could trigger sharp volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
4,200 or 4,285? Gold’s Next Move Decides It All📊 Market Overview Gold remains under pressure at the start of the week, trading below last week’s record highs, after a sharp correction from the 4,380s down to the 4,240 zone. Investor sentiment is cautious as the market navigates a mix of uncertain U.S. economic data, a still-closed U.S. government, and renewed geopolitical tensions across multiple regions — all of which are fueling both fear and indecision in the market. During early Asian hours, gold showed a mild recovery but continues to move sideways in a tight consolidation range, reflecting indecisive liquidity buildup before the next major move. 🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View) Gold is consolidating between short-term support near 4,206–4,204 and resistance around 4,285–4,287. Liquidity has started to cluster above and below the current range, suggesting that a breakout is imminent. The 4,166 – 4,140 region remains a major Smart Money re-entry zone, aligned with the CP BUY ZONE + OBS demand block. On the upside, 4,313 – 4,342 stands as a key supply zone where large sellers previously stepped in. Until price breaks out decisively, traders should expect choppy intraday conditions with limited follow-through. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🟢 BUY ZONE (Liquidity Re-entry Zone) Zone: 4,206 – 4,204 SL: 4,200 TP: 4,210 – 4,215 – 4,220 – 4,230 – 4,240 – 4,250 – ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone) Zone: 4,285 – 4,287 SL: 4,292 TP: 4,280 – 4,275 – 4,270 – 4,260 – 4,250 – ??? ⚙️ MMFLOW Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If gold sustains above the 4,200 – 4,210 support area, a short-term rebound toward 4,270 – 4,285 can be expected. Breaking above 4,287 would open room toward 4,313 – 4,342 (OBS Sell Zone), where Smart Money may begin distributing again. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: A clean break below 4,200 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 4,166 – 4,140 (CP BUY ZONE). This would still represent a healthy correction within the broader bullish macro structure. ⚡️ MMFLOW Insights Market remains neutral-to-bullish, but current movement reflects accumulation within a compression range. Sideway structure indicates the market is loading liquidity for the next impulsive leg. Patience is key — traders should wait for clean breakout confirmations before scaling positions. ⚠️ Trading Notes ✅ Use tight Stop Losses — gold’s volatility remains unpredictable during macro uncertainty. ✅ Avoid over-leveraging while price stays inside the sideway channel. ✅ Focus on reaction zones (CP, OBS, and liquidity sweeps) for precise entries. 🧭 Quick Summary Gold trades sideways below record highs. Key support: 4,206 – 4,204, key resistance: 4,285 – 4,287. Short-term bias: Range-bound with bullish undertone. Best approach: Buy dips at liquidity zones; wait for breakout confirmation before trend trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – October 19, 2025 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing early signs of bearish reversal. As mentioned in the previous plan, a daily reversal could occur on Friday or Monday. The strong bearish D1 candle on Friday reinforces this signal. If another bearish D1 candle appears on Monday, it will confirm that the main trend for the coming week is likely to turn bearish, pushing D1 momentum toward the oversold zone. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting that the initial downside movement on Monday may not be too strong. A short-term recovery bounce is likely. However, if this bounce fails to break the previous high and momentum reverses downward again, it will confirm the start of a more stable downtrend. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone, which indicates a short-term pullback may occur early in Monday’s session. 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: We can see a strong bearish candle — the largest since the beginning of the uptrend, signaling the first warning of exhaustion. Together with the D1 momentum reversal, this suggests the yellow wave 3 is likely coming to an end, and yellow wave 4 is starting to form. In terms of time, wave 4 could take more than a week to complete. H4 Structure: A sharp decline has pushed the price back inside the ascending channel, indicating that the extended wave 5 may have already ended. If confirmed, the market could continue down toward at least the previous blue wave 4 area. However, because H4 momentum is preparing to rise, a short-term upward correction may occur early Monday. If this upward move is slow and overlapping, fails to break the previous high, and H4 momentum turns down again, that will confirm the completion of blue wave 5. H1 Structure: On the H1 chart, the blue wave 5 from H4 is detailed into five smaller red waves. The recent steep and fast decline suggests a five-wave bearish pattern, possibly wave 1 of a new downtrend or wave A of a corrective move. There is also a possibility of a Flat correction, where wave C extends to 1.618 × wave A (as discussed in the October 17 plan). Overall, the market may present a short-term recovery bounce, providing a buy opportunity early in the week. 3️⃣ Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4153 – 4151 Stop Loss: 4141 Take Profit: 4193 Alternative Scenario: If price fails to break below 4193, monitor H1 momentum as it enters the oversold zone and turns upward — that will be a potential buy signal. In that case, key support areas to watch include: 4243 – 4226 – 4207 – 4194.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour Current Price: 4,253.975 Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal) 📉 Chart Breakdown 1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines) Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels. The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. 2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone) Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance. Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence. 3. Structure Retest and Potential Move After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance). The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern. 4. Target Zone The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support. This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions. 📊 Summary of Key Levels Zone Type Range / Level 4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone 4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area 3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone ⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical) Bias: Bearish Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone. Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance) Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target) Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better 🧭 Conclusion The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior. EURONEXT:AXFZ2025 EURONEXT:FMXX2025 EURONEXT:QL6X2025 EURONEXT:RH6X2025 EURONEXT:VV8Z2025 EURONEXT:2FTX2025
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 18, 2025Overview and Recent Performance As of October 18, 2025, spot gold closed at $4,196.00, marking a 2.12% decline from the previous day's close of $4,253.97. This pullback came after a volatile session where gold reached an intraday high of $4,380 but failed to sustain above $4,300, closing near the session low. Over the past week, gold has surged approximately 6.5%, extending its year-to-date gain to over 58%. U.S. Federal Reserve policy uncertainty, and safe-haven demand. Earlier in the month, gold notched its 45th all-time high of 2025. Support and Resistance Levels Resistance: Immediate at $4,300 (recent swing high), followed by $4,380 (today's high) and $4,460 (Elliott Wave target). A sustained break above $4,300 could target $4,500 Support: Near-term at $4,196 then $4,137 and $4,100 Deeper support at $4,000, where historical buying interest is strong. ~~ Disclaimer ~~ Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors. Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading. This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by renderwithme
GOLD Awaiting Sell Reaction at Peak & Buy Pullback Support🔍 Market Context After a series of strong Break of Structure (BoS) , gold has reached a new ATH at 4,385 USD – marking a sustainable uptrend over the past 3 sessions. However, this peak area is currently acting as a significant psychological and technical barrier . Buying momentum is temporarily slowing as the price reacts to the Liquidity Zone around 4,351 – 4,385 USD . The market is in a phase of liquidity rebalancing . The major trend remains upward, but the current price area may see a short-term correction before further wave expansion. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,385 USD Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,430 – 4,435 USD → high liquidity resistance zone, potential for short-term sell reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,284 – 4,282 USD → nearby support zone, confluence with trendline. Order Block | Fibonacci Zone: 4,226 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluencing with Fibo 0.618, high reversal potential. Overall Structure: remains bullish , but showing short-term signs of weakness as the price fails to hold above 4,360. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Rejection at peak area 4,385 – 4,433 USD Entry: 4,430 - 4,435 SL: 4,440 TP: 4,425 → 4,420 →4,415→4,410→4405 ✅ Condition: Appearance of rejection or strong bearish engulfing candles at high Liquidity zone. ➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup – sell when the price sweeps the peak and clear sell signals from major players appear. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Pullback at 4,284 – 4,282 USD Entry: 4,284 – 4,282 SL: 4,272 TP: 4,290 → 4,300 → 4,310/Open ✅ Condition: Strong H1 candle reaction at support or minor reversal structure. ➡️ Buy with the main trend, taking advantage of a slight pullback around the support Liquidity zone. 3️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – OB Deep Zone 4,226 – 4,230 USD Entry: 4,226 – 4,230 SL: 4,190 TP: 4,235 → 4,240 → 4,250/Open ✅ Condition: Appearance of bullish BoS or confirming bullish engulfing candle. ➡️ This is a deep discount zone, suitable for swing orders following the main trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at high zones (4,360+). Prioritize observing price behavior at 4,284 and 4,226 before entering orders. Sell orders at 4,385–4,430 are only triggered if there is a clear confirmation signal. Maintain moderate volume, avoid averaging down without confirmation. 💬 Conclusion Gold is accumulating after reaching the peak of 4,385 USD , this is a crucial phase to determine the correction before the new upward wave. The most effective strategy now is sell reaction at the high peak area 4,385 – 4,430 and buy with the trend at 4,284 – 4,226 USD when confirmation appears. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell Reaction: 4,385 – 4,430 → TP 4,284 – 4,226 Buy Pullback: 4,284 – 4,282 Buy OB Deep: 4,226 – 4,230
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (17/10/2025)🔹 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe: The D1 momentum is now fully in the overbought zone → the probability of a reversal is very high. A corrective move could occur either today or on Monday next week. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum has been sticking together in the overbought zone. Currently, there are about 5 candles holding the oscillator at this level — typically, 5 to 8 candles mark a potential reversal cycle. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is still rising → price may extend slightly higher or move sideways to accumulate before a clearer signal appears. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Chart: The recent D1 candles are steep and impulsive, showing strong bullish pressure — indicating we are likely in Wave 3 (yellow). I’ve adjusted the wave labels for better accuracy with current price structure. Once D1 momentum reverses, we can expect the start of Wave 4 (yellow) correction. H4 Chart: • Waves (1) and (3) in blue are similar in length → suggesting Wave (5) blue may become an extended wave. • Since price has broken above the Elliott channel, we should wait for a strong downward reaction together with momentum reversal on H4 to confirm: ✅ Wave (5) blue is complete, ✅ and Wave (3) purple has also finished. ⇒ Then, the market would begin Wave (4) purple correction. 💡 Note: During an extended Wave (5), avoid selling against the trend. Be patient and wait for the first downward move — if it’s not deep, then buying from the next pullback would be a more reasonable strategy. H1 Chart: Within the blue Wave (5) on H1, we can see a five-wave red structure developing, and price is now in red Wave (3). Inside red Wave (3), there’s another five-wave black sub-structure, currently in black Wave (4). By drawing the Elliott channel, we can see that black Wave (4) is likely forming a flat correction, and one final small drop may still occur to complete the structure. 🎯 Ideal Target Zone: • The high-liquidity area around 4297. • This is a likely completion zone for the current flat pattern. • If price doesn’t reach that level, we’ll use channel support confluence to identify the next valid entry area. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4298 – 4296 Stop Loss: 4276 Take Profit 1: 4363
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Fibo BUY Zone Mandatory for Trend Continuation.🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Bulls Are Unstoppable! Gold is the most sought-after asset as XAU/USD aims directly for the $4,300 mark and further. Primary Catalyst: Financial markets remain cautious amidst the ongoing US government shutdown. Driving Force: Widespread USD weakness—fueled by the funding battle in the US government—strengthens the bullish case for Gold. Record Strength: XAU/USD is maintaining positive upward momentum despite extreme overbought conditions. Technical Focus: In this continuous Bull market, FIBO is the paramount tool for identifying the critical pullback points to initiate BUY entries. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Our core strategy remains BUY ON DIPS at the most precise Fibo levels, leveraging the strong Parabolic structure. 1. Strategic BUY Zone (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): This is the most crucial Fibo support zone where we anticipate a high-probability pullback: 4,321.332 The REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5. This is the most vital retracement point to catch the next growth wave. 2. Sell/Take-Profit Targets (FIBO SELL TARGETS): These are the Fibo extension targets where the Longs are aiming: TP Target 1 (Extension) 4,436.179 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 1.5 - 1.618. The next immediate target for the rally. TP Target 2 (Deep Extension) 4,538.394 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 2.5 - 2.618. The long-term target if momentum remains unchecked. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Patiently wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5 at 4,321.332. Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles), confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry. Targets (TP): Aim for TP Target 1 (4,436.179) and further to TP Target 2 (4,538.394). ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Warning: Given the extreme overbought conditions, always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the Fibo BUY ZONE and maintain stringent risk management! Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD: Prioritise Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Far?XAUUSD: "No More Gold to Sell" - Prioritise Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Far? Hello trading community, The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a state of "extreme euphoria", continuously setting new highs. The upward momentum is not only driven by technical charts but also bolstered by extremely strong macro factors. This article will analyse why the strategy "Prioritise Buying on Dips" is optimal, and the $4400 mark, though seemingly high, may not be the final stop. 📰 Macro Analysis: "No More Gold to Sell!" The market is witnessing a physical supply shock that we cannot ignore: Supply Shock: Japan's largest gold retailer had to temporarily halt gold bar sales due to overwhelming buying demand. This is a clear signal that physical gold demand is far outstripping available supply. When physical gold is scarce, the paper market price must rise to reflect true value. Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year German government bond yield (representing Europe) has fallen to its lowest since June. Lower yields make Gold (a non-yielding asset) significantly more attractive compared to holding bonds. Both these factors are creating a "perfect storm" supporting the price rise of XAUUSD. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30/H1 chart shows a very sustainable parabolic uptrend structure: Trend: The uptrend is undeniable. The price is moving within a steep upward channel, with all selling efforts quickly absorbed by buyers. Fibonacci Extension: The Fibonacci extension levels are acting as the next price targets: Zone $4382 (Fib 2.273): Conquered. Zone $4407 - $4410 (Fib 2.407): This is a potential "Sell Scalping" zone, where a short correction might occur. Zone $4480 - $4483 (Fib 2.618): This is a strong resistance "Sell Zone", the next target for buyers. Volume Profile (VPVR): Support "Buy Retest" ($4290 - $4300): This is an extremely important liquidity zone, a broken old peak and also an area with large accumulated trading volume. Buyers will strongly defend this zone. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy The main trend is to Buy. All sell orders (Sell) at this time carry high risk and should only be considered for short-term scalping to catch corrections. Scenario 1: Buy the Dip 📈 Entry Zone: Wait for a price correction to the "Buy retest" zone $4290. Stop Loss: $4280. Take Profit: $4312 - $4334 - $4372 - $4390. Scenario 2: Sell Scalping ⚡️ Entry Zone: Look to sell at the Fibo $4410 zone. Stop Loss: $4420. Take Profit: $4393 - $4380 - $4370. (Note: Counter-trend order, go small volume and take quick profit). Scenario 3: Sell at Strong Resistance Zone 📉 Entry Zone: $4480. Stop Loss: $4490. Take Profit: $4463 - $4442 - $4410. Summary The combination of a strong technical uptrend and a fundamental supply shock is pushing Gold into a new price cycle. The $4400 mark has been conquered, and with this momentum, the long-term target of $5000 is no longer a fantasy. The wisest strategy is to "go with the flow", looking to Buy at key support zones. Wishing traders a successful week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Pause for the Gold Rally#Gold Technical Analysis Report - USD **Chart Analysis: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 3M** **Current Price Level:** $2,618 USD Key Observations: Gold is currently testing a critical resistance level at 4380.399, which aligns with major Fibonacci extension levels identified on yearly and quarterly charts. The price action shows a consolidation phase after the recent rally, with the market displaying indecision around this significant technical barrier. Technical Levels: The Fibonacci retracement structure reveals multiple support zones below the current resistance. Should price face rejection at 4380.399, technical analysis suggests potential pullback zones at 3743, 3403, and 3166 based on the proportional PA (Price Action) alignment on higher timeframe charts. Market Sentiment: The long-term uptrend remains intact, with the price structure maintaining higher lows and higher highs from the 1999-2026 timeframe. Current momentum appears to be consolidating before the next directional move, typical of markets approaching significant resistance levels. Trading Considerations: Traders should monitor how price responds at the 4380.399 resistance. A break above this level could signal continuation toward 5410 (2.618 Fibonacci extension). Conversely, a rejection could lead to a retest of the identified support zones. Risk management is essential given the proximity to resistance and current consolidation phase. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by earnwhileulearn
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Rally Toward New HighsAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained uptrend. The recent breakout above the resistance zone near $4,150–$4,170 indicates renewed buying interest and momentum buildup. After a brief retest of the breakout area, price has started climbing again — a sign of trend continuation supported by bullish candle formations and strong market sentiment. Technical Outlook: Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,170 (previous resistance turned support) Bullish Confirmation: Continuation pattern with clean structure and volume support Momentum Bias: Strongly bullish while above $4,150 🎯 Target: $4,300 – $4,320 zone 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $4,140 to limit downside risk 📈 Summary: As long as gold stays above the breakout level of $4,170, the market remains bullish, with upside potential toward $4,300–$4,320, aligning with the next major resistance area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Maintains Upward Channel Toward $4320 TargetAnalysis: The XAU/USD 45-minute chart shows gold continuing its steady rise within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action maintains higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained bullish trend. Currently, gold is testing the midline of the channel, suggesting a possible minor pullback before resuming upward momentum toward the projected resistance near $4320. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the channel, acting as the next potential target zone for buyers. As long as the price remains above the lower channel support, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above $4320 could open further upside potential, while a drop below the channel could signal early weakness or short-term consolidation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones. Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur. After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected. FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested. OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate. Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break), → open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday). Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD. ➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD , and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again), → open buy orders in line with the main trend. Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD. ➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone. Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones. Keep light volume when trading against the main trend. Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day. 💬 Conclusion Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone. If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing. The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear. Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent