XAUUSD – Gold getting ready for a big breakout!Gold is moving exactly as expected: consolidation – breakout – consolidation again. Right now, price is forming a tight triangle pattern, showing strong pressure for the next move.
👉 With both technical setup and global macro headlines creating indecision, the market is waiting for a clear breakout. Once it happens, we can expect a strong trend in either direction.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3337 – 3343 – 3350 – 3356 – 3365
Support: 3325 – 3320 – 3314
📌 Buy Plan
Buy Zone: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3309
TP: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370
📌 Sell Plan
Scalp Sell: 3348 – 3350
SL: 3355
TP: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
Sell Zone: 3365 – 3367
SL: 3372
TP: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340
🎯 MMFLOW Note
The tighter the range, the stronger the breakout.
Always prepare for both bullish & bearish scenarios.
Wait for confirmation at the Key Levels before taking positions.
Xauusdanalysis
Elliott Wave Analysis – BTCUSD 22/8/2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently in the oversold zone, with the downside range narrowing → suggesting the decline is slowing. This supports the potential for a short-term bullish rebound.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward, but the current strength is not yet enough to confirm a sustainable uptrend. Key signal: if H4 momentum enters the overbought zone and price breaks above the previous high, it will confirm a more solid bullish trend.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning down. Ideally, the pullback should not break below the 112k level. If this support holds, it would be the first signal of a possible bullish reversal.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: Price has broken below the wave 4 low and is now reacting around this zone → confirming the risk of a longer-term corrective decline. However, D1 momentum still supports a short-term rebound in the form of wave B. This means we should avoid long-term Buy positions for now, and only treat upcoming upside moves as corrective rallies.
• H4 timeframe: Price remains within a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5, red). This could either be wave A of an ABC correction or wave 1 of a larger corrective structure. Further observation is needed.
• H1 timeframe: A 5-wave structure (black) seems to be forming, with wave 5 potentially unfolding as an ending diagonal (triangle). Once this triangle completes, a sharp upward move is expected. Confirmation will come if price breaks above the 2–4 trendline. For now, watch for a break above 113.5k to trigger entry.
Trading Plan
• Stay patient and wait for a breakout above the 2–4 trendline on H1.
• If confirmed, consider entering Buy positions to ride the corrective rebound.
Gold Outlook After FOMC NewsGold Outlook After FOMC News
The recent FOMC meeting did not bring any new policy measures to support the economy. Chair Powell stated that conditions remain stable, and interest rates were kept unchanged. As a result, markets stayed quiet, with expectations now shifting towards September for potential updates.
On the charts, gold completed wave A after reacting strongly to the trendline on the daily timeframe. I expect the market to now form an ABC corrective structure, which would complete a medium-term Elliott cycle. The recent rally also broke above the descending trendline on H4, confirming that the bullish momentum could be more sustainable.
Currently, price is showing a mild pullback since the Asian session. A retracement of around 40–50% on the recent H4 candle would be a healthy move, and it could retest the broken descending trendline. If confirmed, this would establish a stronger bullish Dow structure, opening room for a longer cycle, at least until wave C completes.
The H4 chart also supports this view, with MACD averages pointing upward and trading volume showing steady growth.
Buy Zone: Around 3334 on the H4 candle, in line with the trend for holding medium- to long-term positions.
Sell Zone: Around 3365, once wave C completes and a new cycle begins.
Gold is now showing clearer technical direction. I hope this scenario helps traders align with the market trend. Wishing you all successful trades.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #MACD #CommodityTrading #FOMC
XAUUSD Bullish Breakout! Ready to Ride Gold’s Pre-FOMC Pump? XAUUSD Bullish Breakout! Ready to Ride Gold’s Pre-FOMC Pump? 🇮🇳
Subheader:
Gold surged past short-term resistances overnight – here’s a clear plan for Indian traders to scalp, swing, and ride the bullish momentum safely.
📊 Market Outlook – MMFLOW India Edition
Primary Bias: Bullish – Buy the dips
Key Observations:
Gold broke through the descending trendline and short-term resistance in a single session.
Early pre-FOMC breakout confirms strong bullish momentum.
Market cleared liquidity below and reclaimed higher zones – bullish case remains strong.
Scenarios:
🔹 Buy near strong support zones (dip-buying opportunities)
🔹 Tactical sells only at confirmed resistance with clear rejection
Technical Insight (Daily Chart):
Strong bullish confirmation candle – pullbacks are ideal reload points for long positions.
🔥 Trading Plan – Buy/Sell Zones & Scalp Strategy
✅ BUY SCALP
Entry: 3333 – 3331
Stop Loss: 3327
Take Profit: 3338 – 3343 – 3348 – 3352 – 3356 – 3360
✅ BUY ZONE (Swing / Positional Trades)
Entry: 3316 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360
🔻 SELL ZONE (Tactical)
Entry: 3368 – 3370
Stop Loss: 3375
Take Profit: 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340 – 3330
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels: 3332 – 3323 – 3315
Resistance Levels: 3348 – 3362 – 3370 – 3383
🚨 Risk Note for Indian Traders
If price dips deep into 331x, watch out for liquidity traps.
Always stick to TP/SL rules – volatility is high around FOMC events.
✨ MMFLOW Reminder
Key Levels = Profits
Buy the dips, ride the bullish momentum
💡 Pro Tips for TradingView India Users
Bookmark support & resistance zones
Observe liquidity sweeps before major news
Use scalp or swing strategies depending on your timeframe
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (21/8/2025)
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Yesterday’s daily candle closed bullish, confirming upward momentum. This suggests that the dominant trend could remain bullish for the next 4–5 days.
• H4 timeframe: Currently in a corrective move with only 2 bearish candles formed so far. This decline may need another 2–3 candles to complete. A potential bullish reversal could occur during the US session tonight.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, signaling a short-term upward move. However, since H4 is still in a corrective phase, it is better to observe for now rather than take immediate action.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
With the bullish confirmation on D1, the corrective a–b–c–d–e triangle scenario remains valid. At present, the market is forming wave 1 and wave 2 in blue. This view will be further confirmed once price breaks above the top of wave 1 (blue).
• H4 timeframe:
Previously, I anticipated a possible ending diagonal for wave C in purple. However, with yesterday’s strong rally and the bullish confirmation on D1, the updated structure is more consistent with:
o Wave B (purple) forming a triangle.
o Wave C (purple) already completed.
This suggests the market has entered wave 1 (yellow) and we are now waiting for wave 2 (yellow) to complete in order to look for buy opportunities.
If price drops below 3314, the extended scenario remains valid with a target around 3298. But since D1 momentum supports the bullish case, I will prioritize the bullish scenario for trading.
• H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum indicates a possible pullback. Typically, wave 2 forms as a zigzag or flat correction, retracing to the Fibonacci levels of 0.5 – 0.618 – 0.782.
I believe wave 1 (yellow) may already be complete. However, if H1 momentum continues to push higher, price could reach around 3362 before finalizing wave 1. In that case, traders can use Fibonacci retracement levels to identify entry points for a buy on wave 2.
Potential retracement zones for wave 2: 3333 – 3327 – 3315.
3. Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: 3333 – 3330
• Stop Loss: 3323
• Take Profit 1: 3350
• Take Profit 2: 3381
• Take Profit 3: 3409
Gold (XAU/USD) Short-Term Bearish Setup1. Well-Defined Resistance Zones
Two horizontal shaded areas labeled Resistance R1 and Resistance R2 mark zones near $3,360–$3,380, where price repeatedly failed to break higher.
Trading ideas from analysts on TradingView reinforce that the immediate resistance lies around $3,364–$3,370. As long as price stays below that, sellers remain in control
TradingView
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2. Descending Channel & Bearish Momentum
The chart highlights a shift from an earlier ascending channel (green), followed by breakdown and decline — a classic reversal from bullish to bearish.
In line with this, there’s also mention of a bearish flag pattern forming on the 30-minute (M30) timeframe, offering a potential shorting opportunity
TradingView
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3. Key Support Levels & Targets
Multiple support levels annotated: Support S2 (at two levels) and Support S3, with notable levels around $3,315, $3,301–$3,302, and $3,300.
The annotated price action indicates projected declines toward those levels—especially highlighting $3,314.94, $3,301.55, and $3,300.96 as intermediate and key targets.
Ultimately, the red “High support area” below suggests a broader demand zone, perhaps around $3,280–$3,300, where stronger support may emerge.
4. Trading Plan Illustrated
White arrows depict a descending trajectory: from current levels down to each support, suggesting a sell-on-rally approach.
Blue markers denote possible bounce points for pullbacks before continuation lower.
Broader Market Context
Gold prices have recently been tracking in the $3,330–$3,350 range, facing resistance near $3,350–$3,360 and support near $3,300. Analysts caution that a break below that could push it toward $3,245 or $3,150–$3,120
TradingView
+1
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Overall momentum has turned cautious or bearish—bearish engulfing patterns, weakening rally strength, and below-average technical indicators emphasize the risk of further declines
FXEmpire
+2
FXEmpire
+2
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Weak U.S. economic indicators or dovish signals from Fed officials (like Powell) could offer brief relief rallies; but failure to reclaim resistance may extend the slide
FXEmpire
+1
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Key Levels at a Glance
Level Type Price Range Notes
Resistance ~$3,350–$3,360+ Strong ceiling—decline confirms bearish bias
Support S1 ~$3,315–$3,320 First potential reaction zone
Support S2 ~$3,301 Intermediate target for sellers
Support S3 ~$3,300 Psychological barrier; near high support zone
High Support Area ~$3,280–$3,300 Zone where bullish buyers might regroup
Conclusion
Your chart effectively captures a short-term bearish trend in gold (XAU/USD), showing:
Failed attempts to overcome resistance near $3,360.
A bearish flag breakout signaling potential continuation downward.
Clearly plotted support targets, with bounce zones drawn out.
A visual trade plan suggesting sell-on-rallies targeting declining support levels until reaching a strong demand zone.
To succeed with this setup, traders might wait for a brief rally into one of the identified sell zones (e.g. ~$3,314 or $3,325) before entering shorts, with stop-loss placements above the resistance areas and profit objectives aligned with support levels ($3,301 or near $3,300).
Gold Price Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Levels in PlayGold price continued to slide into liquidity zones during the late US session yesterday and reacted perfectly at the MMFLOW BUY ZONE 3314 – 3316, delivering over +70 pips profit to traders ✅.
At present, on M5–M15, Gold is showing signs of a short-term recovery. However, for a strong upside move, buyers must break through the 3320 – 3322 resistance zone. A confirmed breakout here could trigger momentum towards higher KeyLevels, allowing price to retest important supply zones.
📈 Upside Targets (Intraday): 333x and 334x remain the key areas to watch for take-profits or potential reversal setups.
🔔 Why This Week Matters – The FOMC Decision
The highlight of the week is the FOMC meeting during the US session. Markets are awaiting clarity on the Fed’s next move. Any hint towards a September rate cut could trigger massive bullish momentum, breaking Gold out of its corrective channel.
👉 Asian & European sessions: Focus remains bullish toward 333x – 334x, with potential SELL setups at resistance.
⚠️ US session with FOMC: Expect extreme volatility – risk management is critical.
📉 MMFLOW Technical Trading Plan
🔹 BUY Scalp Setup
Entry: 3311 – 3309
SL: 3305
TP: 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360+
🔹 BUY Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3290 – 3288
SL: 3282
TP: 3295 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370+
🔸 SELL Scalp Setup
Entry: 3342 – 3344
SL: 3348
TP: 3338 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔸 SELL Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3360 – 3362
SL: 3368
TP: 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ Key Notes for Indian Traders
FOMC = high volatility event – manage your exposure carefully.
Stick to strict TP/SL discipline to protect capital.
Smart traders know: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
🔥 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily Gold price analysis, liquidity maps, and Smart Money insights – designed for Forex & Gold traders in India.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 20/8/2025
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum lines are still “sticking” together, signaling that the bearish pressure is weakening. However, without a strong bullish D1 candle to confirm reversal, there is still a risk of sudden downward spikes. Patience is required until a clear bullish confirmation appears.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is currently turning bullish, suggesting a potential upward move today. But caution is needed: if the bullish candles are short, overlapping each other, and when momentum reaches the overbought zone without breaking the previous high → this move is likely just a corrective rebound.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought area, indicating the possibility of a minor pullback or sideways movement in the short term.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: The corrective triangle structure remains valid (only invalidated if price breaks below 3270). The main scenario continues to favor wave 1 and 2 in blue, with price currently in wave 2.
• H4 timeframe: The decline in wave C shows overlapping sub-waves, each formed by 3-wave structures, hinting at the possibility of an ending diagonal for wave C. The pattern is not yet complete, so we need further observation for confirmation.
• H1 timeframe: Within the 5-wave structure of an ending diagonal, wave 3 is typically the strongest and a divergence usually occurs between wave 3 and wave 5 on RSI. Yesterday’s decline pushed RSI into the oversold zone, but no divergence has formed yet. Combined with H4 momentum turning bullish, this suggests the current move is likely wave 3 (yellow). A corrective wave 4 upward is expected, followed by a final decline to complete wave 5 with RSI divergence. Once wave 5 ends, the entire wave C diagonal will be complete, paving the way for a strong bullish rally — a typical characteristic of ending diagonals.
3. Trading Plan
The strategy is based on the ending diagonal pattern:
• Conservative approach: Wait for a breakout above the upper boundary of the diagonal before entering.
• Aggressive approach: Wait for wave 5 to complete and enter at the projected bottom of wave 5.
Trade setup:
• Buy Zone: 3301 – 3299
• Stop Loss (SL): 3219
• Take Profit (TP1): 3314
• Take Profit (TP2): 3362
• Take Profit (TP3): 3381
Gold Consolidates Ahead of FOMC Liquidity SweepGold is currently moving within a narrow range, with downside pressure becoming increasingly evident. With just over a day left before the FOMC meeting – an event that could shape the next major trend – the market seems to be preparing for a sharp liquidity sweep.
👉 At first glance, price action looks frustrating and unclear. But for traders following MMFLOW KeyLevels, this is actually the “golden range”, as key zones continue to hold with remarkable precision.
📉 Today’s Outlook
Main Trend: Ongoing corrective downside move.
Potential Scenario: A deep liquidity sweep towards the 331x zone before a strong bullish rebound.
🔑 Key Trading Levels
SELL Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Short SL: 4 – 5$
🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → extended 3310
📌 Note: Manage risk tightly and watch reactions around KeyLevels – a single BreakOut move post-FOMC could unlock the next major opportunity.
✨ Once again: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily KeyLevel strategies, liquidity maps & smart money insights
🇮🇳 Gold Under Pressure | Key Levels to Watch TodayGold continues to move in line with our weekly outlook. Despite strong rebounds from liquidity zones, the market still faces heavy selling pressure, unable to break out of the 335x – 336x resistance area.
With no major news events scheduled today, price action is expected to remain within range, making KeyLevels the most important zones to trade from.
📌 Trading Bias Today
Priority remains on SELL setups at upper resistance zones. Adjust entries slightly for better risk–reward.
For BUY positions, wait for deeper entries to avoid liquidity sweeps around 333x – 332x, which have been tested multiple times recently.
🔑 Key Market Levels
Resistance: 3346 – 3357 – 3370 – 3383
Support: 3324 – 3316 – 3309
📌 Trading Plan for India Traders
✅ BUY Zone: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3310
TP: 3320 – 3324 – 3328 – 3332 – 3336 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360+
✅ SELL Zone: 3356 – 3358
SL: 3362
TP: 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 – 3330 – 3320
⚠️ Summary
Gold remains inside a bearish channel, waiting for a clear breakout. Until major news like the FOMC hits, expect sideways price action within today’s KeyLevels.
👉 Watch reactions closely around 333x – 336x for the next potential move.
Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market show its hand.
GOLD Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This WeekGold Sideway Compression | Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This Week
Gold is currently consolidating in a tight range, building up energy for a major BreakOut. After the liquidity sweep at the weekly open, price fluctuated strongly between the 332x – 335x zone, but on the H1 timeframe, the overall trend still remains within a descending channel.
Last week, CPI & PPI data failed to deliver a clear direction. This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting, expected to provide stronger signals for gold’s next move.
⏳ Early to mid-week: with limited impactful news, gold may continue to sideway within the narrow range or maintain downside pressure until FOMC is released.
🔑 Key Market Levels
Resistance: 3357 – 3369 – 3383 – 3398
Support: 3335 – 3317 – 3309
📌 Trading Setup
✅ BUY Zone: 3334 – 3332
SL: 3328
TP: 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
👉 If gold breaks the descending channel around 336x, expect a strong move towards 3383 – 3398.
✅ SELL Zone: 3383 – 3385
SL: 3390
TP: 3378 – 3374 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350
👉 If gold fails at higher resistance and reverses, liquidity may be swept back into 333x – 331x, with potential extension down to 329x.
⚠️ Summary
Gold is at a critical decision point: BreakOut or Breakdown.
Before FOMC: sideways / bearish bias within H1 channel.
After FOMC: expect a strong Pump or Dump to define the clear weekly trend.
🔥 Keep a close eye on reactions at KeyLevels (333x – 336x – 338x) to adjust trading strategy accordingly.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 19/8/2025
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Price is still waiting for confirmation of a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. The current decline has lasted for 7 daily candles, which is usually sufficient for a corrective wave → suggesting the down move is in its final stage.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. We can expect 4–5 bullish H4 candles ahead, indicating a possible upward move today.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is tightening in the overbought zone.
o If price makes a strong rally above 3343, the bullish move will be confirmed.
o If price continues to consolidate sideways, a downward liquidity sweep may occur before pushing higher.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: Expectation remains that the abcde red triangle correction has been completed. The market is likely forming waves 1 and 2 (blue) of a new 5-wave bullish sequence.
• H4 timeframe: The red ABC correction has already reached its first target at 3322. Combined with reversal signals on D1 and H4, this level could mark the bottom of wave C red or wave 2 blue.
• H1 timeframe: After a strong rally yesterday, price is now in a deep pullback. This is likely wave 2 red, following the completion of wave 1 red.
o Wave 2 has retraced to the 0.782 Fibonacci level of wave 1, making it a potential ending point.
o However, since H1 momentum is still in the overbought zone, another drop is still possible.
o If price breaks below 3324, then wave C might still be in progress, with key support zones at 3322 – 3315 – 3300.
3. Trading Plan
• Current Buy position 3329–3332 is running with about 100 pips profit → this trade can be held for longer.
o TP1: 3343
o TP2: 3362
o TP3: 3381
• If not in position yet, consider a Buy Limit:
o Entry: 3333 – 3330
o SL: 3323
o TP1: 3343
o TP2: 3362
o TP3: 3381
👉 Note: If price breaks below 3324, I will update with new entry levels at lower support zones.
XAU/USD: Navigating the Uptrend and Key Support LevelsPrice Structure: Gold has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicative of a general uptrend. The chart labels a "high" and a "higher high," confirming this bullish structure.
Support and Resistance:
Two key support areas are identified:
Support area S1: A narrow zone around 3,320 USD. The price recently bounced off this area.
Support area S2: A broader, more significant zone around 3,290 USD, which appears to have been a strong support level in the past.
Several horizontal resistance levels are marked:
Immediate resistance: Around 3,351.231 USD and 3,366.029 USD.
Higher resistance: At 3,408.819 USD and 3,438.677 USD.
Channels and Trendlines:
The price has been moving within a series of ascending channels (highlighted in green rectangles), suggesting a stair-step upward movement.
A primary ascending trendline (black line) serves as a long-term support, with the price currently hovering just above it.
Recent Price Action and Projections:
The price recently broke out of a small downtrend and is showing signs of recovery from the "support area S1."
A potential price path is drawn with a red arrow, indicating a possible move towards the immediate resistance levels around 3,351 USD and 3,366 USD.
The chart highlights two specific price points, 3,360.604 USD and 3,350.685 USD, which likely represent a short-term trading range or target.
Volume: The volume spikes visible at key price points (e.g., at the low on July 30 and during the recent drop) indicate strong market activity.
XAUUSD - SD + OTE + PD Array Entry/ExitThis long trade in XAUUSD includes cumulative entry and exit models.
1. SD - Standard Deviation Target 1 - 3274
Standard Deviation Target 2 - 3408
2. OTE - Optimal Trade Entry ( Equilibrium + 40 pips)
3. PD Array - 4H/15m FVG (caused due to CPI news)
PD array + OTE overlapping perfectly, so there's double confirmation.
Last manipulative leg before IDM (Inducement) and MSS (Market Structure Shift) taken for predicting Standard Deviation Targets.
This is a 1D + 4H PD array at play, with Liquidity of previous weekly candle already taken. So it's very possible that trade hits both of our targets.
Already 333pips captured in this trade, waiting for more, let's see what happens!
Share your thoughts and analysis below in the comments.
I'd honestly like to know about your opinion :)
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn bullish. The current decline has lasted for 5 daily candles – this is often the usual number that completes wave D. Therefore, the current stage is sensitive, and price could reverse upward at any time. However, during such periods, price often sweeps liquidity to the downside first, so caution is required.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is still bearish, suggesting that price may continue falling on Monday. That said, a reversal to the upside on Monday is also possible.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone, with the lines sticking together. If price continues to fall at the Asian session open, a gap may appear. In that case, pay close attention to the downside target zones.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: On the daily chart, we can see a completed abcde corrective structure, followed by a strong rally. The current move is a decline, likely forming waves 1 and 2 (green) within the 5-wave structure of the larger wave 5. The latest D1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating that selling pressure still remains.
• H4 timeframe: A 5-wave impulse (12345, black) has formed, which could represent wave 1 (green). Afterward, a 3-wave ABC correction (purple) developed. The market is likely within wave C (purple) at the moment. With H4 momentum still bearish, this supports the scenario that wave C (purple) is continuing. Key downside targets to watch: 3322 and 3298.
• H1 timeframe: Within wave C (purple), a 5-wave impulse (12345, black) is unfolding. The market is currently in the late stage of wave 4 and the start of wave 5. Wave 5 will be confirmed if price breaks below 3331. Key downside targets for wave 5:
o Target 1: 3322
o Target 2: 3315
o Target 3: 3299
Trading Plan
• Scenario 1:
o Buy Zone: 3323 – 3321
o SL: 3312
o TP1: 3333
o TP2: 3350
o TP3: 3381
• Scenario 2:
o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298
o SL: 3290
o TP1: 3333
o TP2: 3350
o TP3: 3381
XAUUSD Bullish Trend Continuation: Potential Move to $3,400!The price action shows a higher high ("high") and a higher low ("low"), which are characteristic of an uptrend. An upward trendline has been established, connecting a series of higher lows, which is acting as a dynamic support level. A significant horizontal support zone has also been identified around the $3,260 - $3,280 price range, where the price previously found support.
Recently, the price experienced a pullback and bounced off the upward trendline. The analysis anticipates a continuation of the upward momentum toward a key resistance zone. This resistance zone is located around the $3,400 - $3,420 level. A specific target price of $3,408.833 is highlighted within this zone, suggesting a potential area where the upward movement might pause or reverse.
The chart includes a potential corrective wave pattern labeled with "C"s, indicating a recent three-wave pullback within the larger trend. The current price is shown at $3,353.520, positioned above both the horizontal support and the upward trendline, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – August 15, 2025
1. Momentum
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse and the two lines are converging. We need to wait for the daily candle close for confirmation. At this stage, buying pressure is weak, but sudden downward spikes to sweep liquidity are still possible.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential rebound today. If this rebound fails to break above Wave B’s high, another downward move is likely.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning down, so a short-term drop is possible. If price breaks below 3331 and approaches the lower targets, it will align with H4’s upward momentum, creating the basis for a more stable rally.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 Timeframe: The abcde triangle pattern may have completed. We now have a black 5-wave structure, with Wave 1 formed and price possibly in Wave 2. A break below 3270 would invalidate this 5-wave count.
• H4 Timeframe: The black 12345 5-wave structure appears complete. Price may now be forming a purple ABC correction, with Waves A and B done, and price currently in Wave C. Based on Fibonacci from W12345, Wave C has two potential targets:
o Target 1: 3322 (Fibo 0.618)
o Target 2: 3298 (Fibo 0.782)
• H1 Timeframe: Within Wave C, a black 5-wave structure seems to be developing, and price may now be in Wave 4. Wave 4 has two possible targets: 3343 and 3350, after which price could drop to complete Wave 5.
3. Key resistance zones where Wave 5 may end:
• Target 1: 3322
• Target 2: 3315
• Target 3: 3299
4. Trade Plan
• Scenario 1:
o Buy Zone: 3322 – 3320
o SL: 3312
o TP1: 3332
o TP2: 3357
o TP3: 3381
• Scenario 2:
o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298
o SL: 3290
o TP1: 3314
o TP2: 3343
o TP3: 3381
3330 Liquidity Zone – A Fresh Bullish Structure is Emerging!The 3330 liquidity zone continues to prove its strength as gold rebounds sharply from this level, forming a clean new bullish structure on the M30 timeframe. Buyers are now pushing price to trade around 334x, and if this momentum holds, the next upside targets lie at the FIB – CP Zones above 335x and 336x.
On the higher timeframe, the corrective wave is still in play, but short-term price action is opening opportunities for both BUY & SELL setups, provided we time our entries with precision.
Market Context & Key News
Today, the market will be watching the Trump–Putin meeting, which could trigger sharp geopolitical-driven moves.
This Friday also brings the usual liquidity sweep, adding to potential volatility.
That’s why MMFLOW recommends observing the trend closely to pick safe entry points and avoid getting caught in false breaks.
Trading Plan
1. SELL Zones
3355 – Prime OBS SELL ZONE, expecting strong reaction.
3362 – Higher resistance, aligned with the descending trendline. Note: Best to take entries here if reached during Asia or early London; late London/NY session tests are prone to false break traps.
2. BUY Zones
Watch 3334 – 3336 for early BUY entries on lower timeframes.
Safe stop-loss: below 3330.
If 3330 breaks → wait patiently for BUY opportunities around 331x.
Action Strategy
Prioritise early BUYs at 3334–3336 with confirmation signals.
SELL at 3355 or 3362 if clear rejection occurs.
Manage risk strictly – SL below 3330 for BUYs and above 3365 for SELLs.
💡 MMFLOW NOTE: This is gold – volatility can erupt at any moment. Control your emotions, wait for precise setups, and you’ll gain the edge.
Fed Set to Cut 50bps: Gold Gains as the Bullish Wave Forms Again📌 Macro Overview
US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives the green light for a potential 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September.
July CPI remains soft → USD weakens, bond yields fall, boosting gold’s bullish outlook.
Gold briefly touched $3,370/oz, closing at $3,355.9/oz (+0.24%).
Gains capped as US equities continue to break records and geopolitical tensions ease.
Market focus now shifts to PPI data, jobless claims, and the anticipated Trump–Putin meeting for the next directional cues.
🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW Analysis
The bullish recovery wave is clearly re-emerging after a corrective phase, with price hunting liquidity zones left behind in the recent retracement.
Preferred strategy: Trade around key liquidity levels or continuation zones for SELL opportunities; BUY entries will be taken earlier to catch the recovery wave within the current price channel.
Price Structure & Observation Zones:
Short-term uptrend channel intact, primary support at 3336 – 3334 (Liquidity – OBS BUY Zone).
Major resistance at 3394 – 3396 (Liquidity Grab Zone + H1 Supply).
🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan
🔹 BUY SCALP – Catch the recovery wave
Entry: 3336 – 3334
SL: 3330
TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 – ???
🔹 SELL SCALP – Counter-trend at resistance
Entry: 3394 – 3396
SL: 3400
TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360
📊 Key Levels
Resistance: 3365 – 3370 – 3395
Support: 3340 – 3336 – 3330
💡 MMFLOW Strategy Tip:
Wait for price to retest the 3336 – 3334 BUY ZONE for trend-following BUY positions.
Watch for liquidity absorption signals at 339x – a potential SELL reversal zone.
Gold Price Faces Key Resistance — Can Bulls Break $3,440?The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) 1-hour chart shows a strong bullish structure within an upward channel, supported by higher highs and a recent ATH (All-Time High) retest.
Resistance Zone: $3,410 – $3,440 is acting as a significant supply area. Price may face selling pressure here.
Support Levels: First support lies near $3,300 (supply zone), followed by the $3,225–$3,250 demand zone.
Trend: The price is respecting the upward trendline, but a break below could trigger a retest of the green supply zone.
Bullish Scenario: A breakout and close above $3,440 could lead to a continuation toward $3,475+.
Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the resistance zone with a break below $3,300 could push price toward the $3,225 support.
Overall, gold is currently in a bullish trend, but needs to overcome the $3,440 barrier for further upside momentum.
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD setup is a buy trade, showing a bullish outlook for gold. The entry price is 3369, the stop-loss is 3364, and the exit price is 3379. The trade aims for a 10-point profit while risking 5 points, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.
Buying at 3369 suggests the trader anticipates upward momentum, potentially supported by a weaker US dollar, lower Treasury yields, or increased safe-haven demand. The target at 3379 is set near a resistance area, allowing profits to be booked before potential selling pressure appears.
The stop-loss at 3364 limits downside risk if the market turns bearish. This setup is ideal for short-term trading with disciplined execution and proper risk management.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (August 13, 2025)
1. Momentum
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. By the end of today, it is likely to be fully in oversold territory. This stage often leads to strong price movement – either a sharp decline or a bullish reversal.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close for confirmation. If confirmed, a recovery move is likely to occur today.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently tightening and approaching the overbought zone – a typical sign of sideways price action. This explains why, despite the high probability of a recovery, H1 does not yet provide a good entry signal.
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2. Wave Structure
• RSI shows a bullish divergence between price and the indicator – a pattern often seen in wave 3 or wave 5. This supports the view that wave 5 (black) has completed around the 3333 level.
• With a complete 5-wave structure, wave A (red) of the ABC (red) correction may already be in place.
• A recovery in wave B (red) is expected, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn upward. Wave B typically forms a 3-wave corrective structure, where price moves in a choppy, overlapping manner rather than trending strongly.
• Wave B target zones:
1. 3371
2. 3381
These two levels are close to each other, so they can be treated as one combined zone. The plan is to take the first target as the base level while extending the SL to cover the second target. If price approaches these levels, it’s best to watch real-time price action before entering a trade.
• Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, the 3323 zone remains a good Buy opportunity (as per the previous analysis).
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3. Trading Plan
Sell Setup:
• Entry Zone: 3371 – 3373
• SL: 3385
• TP1: 3358
• TP2: 3331
• TP3: 3323
Buy Setup:
• Entry Zone: 3323 – 3321
• SL: 3313
• TP1: 3331
• TP2: 3357
• TP3: 3371
2. Wave Structure
• RSI shows a bullish divergence, often seen in wave 3 or 5, suggesting wave 5 (black) may have completed around 3333.
• Wave A (red) of the ABC cycle may be complete; wave B (red) is expected to recover in a 3-wave, choppy pattern.
• Wave B target zone: 3371–3381 (treated as one zone; monitor price action before entry).
• Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, 3323 remains a potential Buy zone.
GOLD SURGES AFTER CPI – TARGETING 337x BEFORE SELL-OFF? MMFLOW TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
📌 Market Overview
Following the CPI release, gold reacted with strong buying momentum (FOMO BUY), pushing prices swiftly from the 333x area up to 335x.
The main driver here is the BUY side taking advantage of remaining liquidity gaps above, aiming to break through the critical 3358 resistance – the first major barrier before reaching 337x, a key equilibrium zone that previously acted as a strong price-holding area for SELL orders.
Current structure indicates:
Short-term trend: Bullish, but approaching key distribution levels.
Liquidity Hunt: A decisive break above 3358 with strong volume could trigger a rapid move towards 337x, activating SELL volume from pending limit orders.
Macro context: No major news events today, with expected daily range ~35–40 points, increasing the chance of range-bound traps before a breakout.
🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW View
Market Structure: Gold has formed a Higher Low around 333x and is now testing short-term resistance.
Key Levels & Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity BUY ZONE at 3338–3336 has reacted well, confirming BUYers are still defending this zone.
Supply Zone / CP Zone at 3375–3377 aligns with an H1 Order Block, holding a high concentration of pending SELL orders.
Volume Flow: Increasing volume as price approaches resistance suggests a potential “last push” before a reversal.
🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan
🔹 BUY SCALP – Following the main trend
Entry: 3338 – 3336
SL: 3332
TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔹 SELL SCALP – At the distribution zone
Entry: 3375 – 3377
SL: 3382
TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340
📊 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376
Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310
💡 MMFLOW Insight: With the current setup, the optimal strategy is to wait for a BUY opportunity near early support (334x) to ride the short-term bullish momentum, then watch for price reaction at 337x to catch potential SELL entries once top-side liquidity is swept.