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Xauusdanalysis

LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodayI would like to share my personal view on gold for the day. The overall trend in XAUUSD continues to be very strong, with the price consistently making fresh highs over the past two weeks. Buying interest has remained steady across sessions, while any corrections have been short-lived, mostly visible on the M15–M30 timeframes. Yesterday, gold broke out of the Pennant pattern on the upside and is now consolidating near 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level aligns with an important Fibonacci zone, providing further technical confirmation. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to conclude near 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a level which has acted as reliable support in the past. After that, gold may enter its final Wave 5, with the potential to move towards the 3,740+ region. Trading setups for consideration: Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744 Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650 Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP will be decided based on the price structure at that time Important levels to keep in focus: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger price reactions and could be useful for intraday scalping opportunities. This is my personal outlook on gold for today. I hope it will be helpful to fellow traders in making better trading decisions. Kindly share your feedback in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?On the 4H timeframe, Gold is consolidating just below 3,600 after a strong bullish rally. The current structure shows price pausing near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This indicates engineered sweeps are likely before the next major move. 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H): 🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone at intraday discount; potential continuation level. 🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if rejection happens. 📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance area likely to get filled. 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction Entry: 3,572 – 3,574 Stop Loss: 3,565 Take Profits: TP1: 3,585 TP2: 3,595 TP3: 3,605 👉 Demand block in line with bullish order flow. Watch for a liquidity sweep and rejection to fuel trend continuation. 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction Entry: 3,530 – 3,528 Stop Loss: 3,537 Take Profits: TP1: 3,520 TP2: 3,510 TP3: 3,500 👉 Intraday supply/pivot area. Best suited for quick scalp trades against the trend, targeting downside liquidity. 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias stays bullish, but intraday shorts can work for scalping purposes. The cleaner setup is to buy from 3,572–3,574 for continuation towards 3,600+. Smart money may attempt a liquidity sweep at 3,530 before pushing higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart) Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows. Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively. Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart). Key Support Levels: 3,561 USD (near-term support) 3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken) 📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD. 🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨ Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens. Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors. Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks. Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions: 🔍 Technical Overview Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits. The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally. 3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario. If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725. 📈 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4) Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target ⚙️ Trading Plan ✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation) Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657). Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart. Take Profit: TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance) TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection) Stop Loss: Below ~3652. Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3. ⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible. Targets: 3670 → 3657. Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707. Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend. 🛡 Risk & Invalidation A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario. For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause. Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone. Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend. Good luck and happy trading,
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold on Fire: Fed Rate Cuts & Global Tensions Fueling the Rally!Hello, fellow traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is on an absolute tear, closing strong at $3,680.80/oz on September 15, 2025, after hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of $3,685.39/oz. The past week has been solid, with gold up 1.6% as the US dollar weakened (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and US bond yields dropped. The market is buzzing with talk of a sure-shot 0.25% Fed rate cut on September 17, with some even betting on a bigger 0.5% move as per the CME FedWatch Tool. Plus, geopolitical tensions and reports of China easing gold import norms are adding more fuel to this fire. Let's do a deep dive and check out some solid trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: All That Glitters Is Gold! 🌟 Fed Rate Cuts: The latest US data is a mixed bag—the August CPI was hot, but the jobs market is cooling down. This is giving the Fed a clear signal to cut rates for the first time since December 2024. Lower interest rates are a big negative for the US Dollar, making non-yielding assets like gold super attractive. This is a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" situation, but right now, the rumor is all about buying gold! Geopolitical Jitters: The upcoming Fed meeting is quite tense, with political drama and a lot of pressure from the White House. This kind of uncertainty is gold's best friend, as it’s the ultimate safe-haven asset. Chinese Demand: Recent reports suggest China is making it easier to import gold, which means more demand is coming from the world's biggest consumer. Strong buying from both official and private players in China is a major tailwind for gold's upward move. Technical Analysis: Breaking All Barriers! 📉 Gold has smashed through the Fibo 2.618 level and is in uncharted territory. What's impressive is that the pullbacks are very shallow, just a $10 blip before it resumes its rally. This shows the bulls are in complete control, and selling pressure is minimal. The strategy is simple: look to buy on dips and be very selective about any shorting opportunities. Resistance Levels: $3704, $3714, $3724 Support Levels: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666 Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management Is Key): Buy Scalp: Zone: $3688 - $3686 SL: $3682 TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706 Buy Zone: Zone: $3667 - $3665 SL: $3657 TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715 Sell Scalp: Zone: $3704 - $3706 SL: $3710 TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686 Sell Zone: Zone: $3724 - $3726 SL: $3734 TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676 Gold is at an ATH—so be careful of liquidity traps around the Fed announcement! Above $3694, the target is the sky; below, we could see a test of $3666. Manage your risk tightly before September 17! What's your plan: buy the dip or sell the top? Let me know your strategy in the comments! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640. • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection • Entry: 3,656 – 3,658 • Stop Loss: 3,663 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,645  TP2: 3,640 👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity. 🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,672 – 3,674 • Stop Loss: 3,679 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,640 👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,614 – 3,612 • Stop Loss: 3,607 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,640  TP3: 3,655 👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658 • Swing sells at 3,672–3,674 • Discount buys at 3,614–3,612 Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 16, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is currently in an uptrend, suggesting that price may continue to rise for the next 5–6 days. • H4: Momentum is turning downward, indicating the possibility of a correction today. • H1: Recently showed a bullish reversal signal, but now there are signs of weakening again. This suggests that the downward move on H1 may not yet be complete. Wave Structure • D1: Yesterday’s daily candle created a new high, which indicates that wave iv (black) has likely been completed. The market is now developing in wave v (black). • H4: Wave iv (black) is likely finished. With H4 momentum turning lower, wave 1 of wave v (black) may already be completed, and the market is now entering a corrective phase. • H1: Wave v (black) is unfolding into a 5-wave structure (green). Combined with weakening H4 momentum, there are two possible scenarios: 1. This is wave 4 (green), with a maximum correction level around 3662. 2. This is wave 2 of wave v (black – D1), with a potential correction target around 3657. Since both scenarios point to a similar price zone, we select 3662–3660 as the buy entry zone. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3662 – 3660 • SL: 3650 • TP: 3698
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
2
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656) • Entry: 3,658 – 3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,651 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,675+ 👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613) • Entry: 3,615 – 3,613 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678) • Entry: 3,676 – 3,678 • Stop Loss: 3,683 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,645 👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 15/09/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. At the beginning of next week (Monday), D1 may officially enter the oversold area and start reversing upward. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also approaching the oversold zone and preparing to reverse. This opens the expectation of a bullish move within the next 1–2 sessions. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, so there may be one more short-term drop to push H1 into oversold conditions before a potential reversal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is still within wave iv (black). In terms of time, wave ii (black) took 7 daily candles to complete. According to the principle of alternation, waves 2 and 4 often differ in nature. With D1 momentum about to reach oversold, there is a high probability that wave iv (black) is near completion. • H4 timeframe: Price is moving sideways, which is consistent with the characteristics of wave iv. If in the next session H4 momentum reverses upward and reaches overbought while price still fails to break above 3657, then the corrective structure may evolve into a triangle or a double three (WXY). • H1 timeframe: An ABC corrective structure seems completed, but instead of rallying, price continues to consolidate within the liquidity block at 3657 – 3631. This suggests a more complex structure is unfolding, either a triangle or a WXY combination. With D1 momentum heading into oversold, the expected downside range is 3631 – 3595, which also aligns with the nearest high-liquidity zones on the chart. ________________________________________ 3. Price Zones & Targets • Breakout level: o 3657 → A strong candle close above this level would confirm a buy signal. • Support / Buy zones: o 3631 – 3632 → Possible bottom of the current correction. o 3593 – 3596 → Scenario if wave iv develops into a WXY structure. • Wave v (black) target: o Projection: 3709 (main target). ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 1. Buy Breakout 3657 o SL: below breakout candle o TP: 3709 2. Buy Zone 3632 – 3630 o SL: 3622 o TP: 3709 3. Buy Zone 3596 – 3593 o SL: 3585 o TP: 3709 ________________________________________ 👉 Summary: Both D1 and H4 momentum are approaching oversold, signaling that wave iv (black) may soon complete. The preferred strategy is to wait for confirmation at liquidity zones (3631 – 3595), or for a strong breakout above 3657, to join the next bullish wave v (black) targeting 3709.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Tensions Fuel Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) bounced from an early Asian dip at $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), staying strong near record highs as weak US labor data locks in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical sparks—Ukraine hitting Russian energy and Iran pushing Qatar to counter Israel—make gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. With big central bank moves this week, let’s dive into the market and spot trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines for Indian Investors 🌟 Fed Rate Cut Fever: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keep USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally—perfect for INR portfolios. The Fed’s set for three rate cuts in 2025, starting 17/09. Geopolitical Boost: Ukraine’s energy strikes on Russia, US pushing NATO sanctions, and Iran’s missile talk in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven demand. China’s relaxed gold import rules add more bullish vibes for MCX traders! Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09) decisions. Soft CPI and labor data mean dips are buying opportunities—don’t miss out! Technical Analysis: Sideways Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉 Gold’s consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, H2 around 3650. If Fed news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) are prime for buying. Watch volume to confirm entries and dodge liquidity traps near round levels. Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666 Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Scalp: Range: 3623 - 3621 SL: 3617 TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641 Buy Zone: Range: 3608 - 3606 SL: 3598 TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646 Sell Scalp: Range: 3654 - 3656 SL: 3660 TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636 Sell Zone: Range: 3665 - 3667 SL: 3675 TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627 Gold’s holding near highs—beware liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls aim for new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Indian traders, keep risk tight with central bank volatility ahead! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for ConfirmationXAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for Confirmation Hello Traders, Gold started the week with a strong bounce of nearly 20 dollars after testing the ascending trendline. This move further confirms the Pennant Flag formation that is currently in play. The key now is to wait for a clear breakout from this structure to position trades effectively. Bullish Scenario A break above the upper trendline, with confirmation ideally above 3657, would signal continuation of the uptrend. Best entry: around 3650, targeting 3680 in the short term. Bearish Scenario The 3627 level is critical. A breakdown below this zone, along with a close under nearby support, would validate the bearish case. Traders can either enter directly on the break or wait for a retest around 3630 for a cleaner entry. Downside targets could extend to 356x or even lower. Medium-Term Buy Setup The 3560 – 3564 zone remains an attractive area, aligning with an FVG and strong volume accumulation. This is a medium-term buying opportunity, with stop-loss placed below 3544. Requires larger account size (above $1000) due to wider stop distance, but offers higher reward potential while aligning with the broader bullish trend. This is my outlook for gold today. Traders can take it as a reference and align it with their own setups. If you trade gold regularly, you can follow me here and join my community to receive updates quickly when the price action changes. 👉 Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined trading week with Gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD CPI UPDATEXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
1
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cut Hype Fuels Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.4% on Friday (12/09/2025), closing at $3,648.55/oz, just shy of its all-time high of $3,673.95/oz (09/09). With a 1.7% weekly gain—its fourth straight week up—gold is riding high on weak US labor data, cementing bets for a Fed rate cut on 17/09. CPI showed inflation up sharply, but labor weakness dominates, making gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. Let’s dive into the market and grab trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold’s Shine Bright for India 🌟 Rate Cut Buzz: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) and a soft PPI push 100% odds for a 0.25% Fed rate cut, with 0.5% less likely (CME FedWatch). Low rates ease USD and Treasury pressure, boosting gold’s appeal for INR portfolios. Global Tailwinds: Gold’s 39% YTD rally (after 27% in 2024) is fueled by a weak USD, China’s 10-month gold buying spree, and global unrest. China’s move to simplify gold import rules signals stronger demand—great for Indian investors! Market Focus: CPI (11/09) showed hotter inflation, but labor weakness keeps Fed easing on track. No major shocks (like Trump tariffs) mean dips are buying opportunities—perfect for MCX futures! Technical Analysis: Consolidation Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉 Gold’s weekly chart shows consolidation at Fibonacci 2.618 (3650), with wide sideways action, closing below 3650 as anticipated. A deeper pullback isn’t confirmed, but liquidity zones at 359x and 354x are ideal for buying, while 370x is a sell zone if the rally continues. Watch volume for reversal or rejection signals to avoid traps. Resistance: 3655 - 3684 - 3694 - 3704 Support: 3621 - 3595 - 3582 - 3559 - 3545 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Zone: 3582 - 3580 (SL: 3572; TP: 3590 - 3600 - 3610 - 3640) – Long-term buy on deeper dips. Buy Zone: 3546 - 3544 (SL: 3536; TP: 3554 - 3564 - 3574 - 3594) – Buy at strong support. Sell Zone: 3703 - 3705 (SL: 3713; TP: 3695 - 3685 - 3675 - 3665) – Sell if rally hits round levels. Gold’s consolidating near highs—beware liquidity traps! Above 3621, bulls eye new highs; below, test 359x/354x. Indian traders, manage risk tightly for Fed volatility! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #USInflation #RateCuts #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong?XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong? Good day, fellow traders, Gold has been on a continuous rise for the past three weeks, even making fresh all-time highs (ATH). This has made trading conditions quite challenging, especially for short-term traders. The reason is simple: Buying: Not easy to find a good entry point. Selling: Very risky as it means going against the strong uptrend, which can be extremely dangerous. Market Structure and Key Levels Gold has touched the psychological Fibonacci 2.618 extension and showed a reaction, after which it started consolidating sideways around 3643 – the closing price of this week. The sideways structure indicates that the market may need more time before making a clear breakout. The current trading range is between 3675 – 3616. Most likely, the price will continue to consolidate within this 60-dollar band and form a compression pattern. Upside Scenario If the price breaks above the range, the next target would be 3800, and in the longer term, the market could even aim for the 4000 level in the coming year. Downside Scenario Traders should keep an eye on liquidity reaction zones (FVG): 3595 – 3568 – 3540. The key long-term buying zone lies around 3500, which would almost complete the liquidity test. Trading Strategy The wise approach is to remain patient and wait for a clear confirmation when price breaks out of the current sideways range. That will provide a higher-confidence setup for entering trades. This is the scenario I am projecting for Gold this week. Traders may use it as a reference and combine it with their own analysis to optimise their trading strategy. If you are actively trading Gold, feel free to follow me and join the community to get the quickest updates whenever price action changes. Wishing all of you a disciplined, successful, and profitable trading week ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sorry I am late in giving the signal but I will say that manipulation in XAU/USD is at extreme level. Keep portfolio at least $1000. Take buy position in XAU/USD as much as possible. Not more than $3630.00. Target 1 3353.00 Target 2 3358.00 Target 3 3365.00 Target 4 3372.00 SL 3630.00 Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position: Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point. Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone. Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry. Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal. Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3. Conclusion Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NaviPips
2
XAUUSD – Breakout Confirmed & Macro Outlook📊 Market Context & Macro View Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out above its short-term descending trendline, signalling renewed bullish momentum after several sessions of consolidation. This breakout aligns with traders pricing in slower US inflation and growing confidence that the Federal Reserve may pause or ease monetary policy in the coming months. 🔹 Macro Drivers Supporting Gold: Soft US CPI & PPI → Cooling inflation strengthens expectations for stable or lower rates. Steady Treasury yields and a weaker USD continue to fuel gold’s upside. Geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation remain long-term bullish factors. ⚠ Risk: Liquidity sweeps remain possible before the Fed meeting—watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals. 🔑 Key Technical Levels (H1) Immediate Resistance: 3,654.17 (React Zone FIB) OBS Sell Zone: 3,664.52 Upper Liquidity Target: 3,679.31 Major Sell Liquidity: 3,709.85 Supports / Buy Liquidity Zones: • 3,637.91 – Breakout Retest • 3,631.63 – CP Support • 3,622.41 – Deeper Liquidity Layer • 3,584.78 – END Liquidity BUY ZONE 📈 Scenario & Outlook London Session: Possible retest at 3,638–3,632 for liquidity collection before the next leg higher. A clean break through 3,654 → 3,664 could spark strong buying toward 3,679–3,709. Losing 3,622 would expose 3,584 as the next major support. 📌 Trading Plan 🔵 BUY ZONE 1: 3,635 – 3,633 SL: 3,629 TP: 3,640 → 3,645 → 3,650 → 3,660 → 3,670 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE 2: 3,621 – 3,619 SL: 3,615 TP: 3,625 → 3,630 → 3,635 → 3,640 → 3,650 → 3,660 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,708 – 3,710 SL: 3,715 TP: 3,704 → 3,700 → 3,695 → 3,690 → 3,680 → ??? 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,679 – 3,681 SL: 3,685 TP: 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665 → 3,660 → ??? ✅ Summary Gold is maintaining its breakout, supported by softer US inflation and a weaker USD. While liquidity sweeps may occur, the overall trend remains bullish above 3,622. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates, liquidity plays, and BIGWIN setups as gold reacts to key macro drivers and price zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 12/09/2025 1. Momentum • D1: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. We should wait for a bullish reversal signal here to confirm a new upward move. • H4: Momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to reverse. This suggests price may continue sideways or move into a corrective decline. • H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and about to reverse → the current upward move is weakening, and a short-term corrective pullback is likely. 2. Wave Structure • D1: The market is forming a 5-wave black structure. The current D1 momentum decline is nearly complete and may reach the oversold zone within 1–2 days, signaling that wave iv (black) is close to completion. • H4: Price is moving sideways. Since H4 momentum is preparing to turn down from overbought, wave iv (black) may still be in progress. We need to wait until H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and reverses up to better evaluate the completion of wave iv. • H1: Price has been consolidating within a high liquidity zone (Volume Profile). The sideways and time-consuming behavior fits the nature of wave iv. o A reliable confirmation of wave iv completion would be a breakout and daily close above 3657. o If price fails to break this level and declines further, wave iv may develop into a triangle or complex corrective pattern. o With both H1 and H4 momentum preparing to turn down, the scenario of wave iv continuing is more likely for now. 3. Trading Plan • Scenario 1: If price breaks and closes above 3657, wait for a retest of this level to look for a Buy Breakout targeting wave v. • Buy Zone 1: o Entry: 3596 – 3594 o SL: 3585 o TP: 3669 • Buy Zone 2: o Entry: 3557 – 3555 o SL: 3547 o TP: 3597
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H chart is currently consolidating near 3,644 after multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) moves, signalling engineered liquidity grabs. Price has formed clear demand footprints around 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is positioned between 3,673–3,680. This suggests a likely retracement into discount demand zones before expansion towards premium liquidity levels. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow. • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep zone, offering strong risk-to-reward. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket, likely to trigger short-term liquidity grabs. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,620 – 3,618 • Stop Loss: 3,613 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,635  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,665+ 👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium supply. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep • Entry: 3,593 – 3,591 • Stop Loss: 3,596 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,610  TP2: 3,625  TP3: 3,645+ 👉 Suitable for swing traders targeting higher R:R after liquidity engineering. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,673 – 3,671 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,635 👉 Scalp trade opportunity at premium supply; overall bias remains bullish, so risk should be managed tightly. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note The broader bias is bullish, but smart money may drive price into 3,620 or even 3,593 demand zones before expansion. Cleaner setups favour buying dips, while shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalps with limited scope.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection. • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday) • Entry: 3,643 – 3,645 • Stop Loss: 3,650 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,620  TP3: 3,600 👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone. 🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,688 – 3,691 • Stop Loss: 3,696 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,680  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,660  TP4: 3,650  Open: 3,625 👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep • Entry: 3,595 – 3,592 • Stop Loss: 3,587 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,615  TP2: 3,625  TP3: 3,635  TP4: 3,645  Open: 3,685 👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645 • Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691 • High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592 Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – CPI Today: Liquidity Sweep & Trading Plan📊 Market View Gold (XAUUSD) is moving under short-term resistance (descending trendline), indicating sellers still dominate in the short term. On the M30 chart, buy-side liquidity zones are clearly stacked at 3,624 → 3,612 → 3,599 → 3,586. 👉 During the European session, expect a breakdown liquidity sweep toward these support zones before any bullish reaction. 📈 CPI View – US Session Soft CPI (below expectations) → Weaker USD, lower yields → Gold could bounce sharply from 3,612 / 3,599 / 3,586 and retest trendline/resistance. Hot CPI (above expectations) → Stronger USD, higher yields → Gold may break 3,612, sweep deeper to 3,599 or 3,586, then recover. ⚠️ High risk of news traps: the first reaction can reverse quickly—wait for retests + confirmation candles before entering. 🔑 Key Levels Dynamic Resistance (trendline): 3,643 – 3,646 React Zone FIB: 3,650 – 3,654 OBS Sell Zone: 3,665 Support / Liquidity Zones: 3,624.36 (Key Zone Support BUY) 3,612.60 (CP/React FIB) 3,599.31 (BUY ZONE) 3,586.49 (END LIQUIDITY – BUY ZONE) 📌 Trading Plan 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,646 – 3,648 SL: 3,652 TP: 3,640 → 3,635 → 3,630 → 3,620 → 3,610 → ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,612 – 3,610 SL: 3,605 TP: 3,616 → 3,620 → 3,625 → 3,630 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE (Primary): 3,600 – 3,598 SL: 3,592 TP: 3,605 → 3,610 → 3,615 → 3,620 → 3,630 → 3,640 → ??? 🛡️ Backup BUY: (If liquidity sweep deepens) 3,58x Hard SL: 3,578 ❗ If 3,578 breaks, don’t re-enter immediately—CPI volatility can extend the move further. ⚠️ Notes & Risk Reduce position size near the CPI release. Wait for confirmation (pin bar / engulfing / retest) before entering trades. Use staggered TPs to lock in profits early. An M30 close above 3,654 invalidates near-term shorts and opens 3,665. ✅ Summary Gold may sweep liquidity into the buy zones before bouncing. Trade the reaction: SELL at 3,646–48 on rejection, BUY at 3,612/3,600 on a clean bounce, and hold a backup BUY at 3,58x with tight risk. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups during CPI volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Latest Trend UpdateXAUUSD – Latest Trend Update Hello Traders, Gold is moving in line with yesterday’s outlook: after a corrective pullback towards 3660, price resumed its decline and is currently trending lower. If this bearish structure is confirmed on the higher timeframes such as H1 and H4, it may signal that a larger corrective phase on the D1 chart has already begun. Key Levels to Watch 3620: Marked as an important support zone from yesterday, now considered the key level to confirm continued downside. 3630: Aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where a reaction could occur before the trend direction becomes clearer. Medium-Term Scenarios Gold could decline towards 3550, before bouncing higher again – this is the preferred medium-term scenario. A deeper move towards 3510 is also possible, where liquidity from previous candle wicks may be retested, before the broader uptrend resumes on the daily timeframe. The reason for favouring this medium-term downside: price has already completed the Fibonacci Extension 2.618, which often signals the potential for a corrective pullback. Trading Strategy Observe reactions around 3630 – 3620 – 3610 for potential buy opportunities aligned with the broader bullish structure. Sell setups should only be considered if price closes firmly below 3620, confirming further downside momentum. This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 10, 2025🌀 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal → the market may enter a corrective decline, possibly lasting through the end of this week. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → a short-term recovery could appear today, pushing the indicator into the overbought zone. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the overbought area and turning down → a short-term decline is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: Price has reached the projected target of wave iii (black). With D1 momentum reversing downward, wave iv (black) may be forming. Since wave ii (black) was relatively long, there is a possibility that wave iv (black) could unfold more quickly. • H4: Yesterday’s decline may suggest that wave v (purple) has temporarily completed. If this scenario plays out, price could move into a corrective phase toward the wave iv target area. The correction may develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle. • H1: Price is consolidating within the liquidity zone 3657 – 3631. With H4 momentum hinting at correction, one possible scenario is sideways movement here to complete wave B, followed by a decline into wave C. o If price breaks and closes below 3631 → the liquidity zone at 3595 may act as the next support. o Potential targets for wave C:  3595 (aligned with 23.8% Fibonacci retracement).  Or 3556 – 3528 (aligned with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Scenarios (for reference only) • Sell Zone: 3657 – 3659 o SL: 3667 o TP1: 3631 o TP2: 3563 • Buy Zone 1: 3596 – 3594 o SL: 3585 o TP1: 3669 o TP2: 3749 • Buy Zone 2: 3557 – 3555 o SL: 3547 o TP1: 3597 o TP2: 3705 📌 Note: The Sell setup at 3657 should be considered with small position size as it goes against the main trend. If price reaches 3595, this Sell scenario could lose validity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX