Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout – Trade Setup & Key Levels🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Trend Line Breakout:
📉⬇️ A downward trend line was broken, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
📈✅ The price has moved above the trend line, confirming the breakout.
🔹 Support & Resistance Zones:
🟦 Support Area: $3,000 - $3,010 (Buy Zone)
🟥 Resistance Area: $3,030 - $3,040 (Sell Pressure)
📊 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy Plan:
🔄 Wait for a pullback to the support zone (🟦 light blue area) before entering.
🎯 Target: $3,056.97 📈🏁
🛑 Stop Loss: $2,999.02 ❌🚨
📈 Indicators & Confirmation:
📊 DEMA (9-period) = $3,026.48 (near the current price, suggesting a neutral-to-bullish trend).
🔥 Conclusion:
🔵 Bullish Setup Active 🚀
⚠️ Wait for price reaction at support before entering.
❌ If price drops below $2,999, the setup is invalidated.
📌 Final Tip: Watch for a bullish candlestick pattern 📊 at support before executing the trade! 🎯
Xauusdanalysis
Gold short-term analysisGold has slightly risen and fallen back during the day, and the overall trend remains in a volatile trend. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has begun to gradually diverge downward, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3038!
It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, after touching the previous support band, there are signs of stabilization. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
From the overall situation, gold is definitely in the bull market stage. At present, there is strong buying defense at the 3000 mark, and the "W" double bottom has appeared below. If it successfully breaks through the 3035 watershed, it is expected to test the pressure near 3045 and the historical high of 3057. Now the low point of the callback begins to move up slowly, showing a small upward trend. Note that if 3038 breaks and stabilizes, it may continue to break upward in the short term. Follow the trend after the break!
Key points:
First support: 3016, second support: 3008, third support: 2993
First resistance: 3030, second resistance: 3038, third resistance: 3046
Operation ideas:
3010-3013, SL: 3002, TP: 3025-3035;
3036-3038, SL: 3049, TP: 3018-3010;
GOLD - BULLISH STRUCTURE INTACTSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3018
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase, having broken through channel resistance and is now consolidating above the downtrend line. Market participants are awaiting key economic data and potential developments in the ongoing tariff dispute.
President Trump has confirmed plans to implement retaliatory tariffs on April 2, with limited exemptions. These new duties have raised concerns regarding the impact on the US economy, leading to a weakening of the US dollar and increased demand for gold. Additionally, market attention remains focused on ongoing discussions between the US, Ukraine, and Russia. There is also significant focus on US durable goods orders data, as a strong reading could temper expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, potentially limiting further gains in gold.
Resistance levels: 3033, 3045, 3056
Support levels: 3013, 3004
Gold may test the support zone before resuming its upward movement. Market attention is concentrated on the current consolidation range of 3033 to 3013. A decisive break of this zone could pave the way for further upward momentum, with key resistance levels at 3045 and 3056.
Gold Next Move 3100?4-Hour Chart (Mid-Term View)
🔑 Key Observations:
Uptrend Remains Intact:
Price is still above the 50 EMA, indicating continued bullish strength.
Key Resistance at $3,038:
A break above this level could trigger further upside momentum.
Support Levels:
$3,011 and $3,007: First support zone.
$2,983: Stronger support.
Potential Scenario:
Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above $3,038 , the next target would be $3,048 and beyond.
🔸 Failure to Breakout : If rejected at resistance, price might retrace to $3,011 or lower.
1-Hour Chart (Short-Term View)
🔑Key Observations:
✅ Ranging Market: Gold is consolidating within a horizontal range between $3,009 and $3,037, forming a sideways movement.
✅ Ascending Trendline : The price is gradually increasing with a rising trendline acting as dynamic support.
🔸Key Resistance Levels:
$3,037-$3,048: Strong resistance zone.
All-Time High Above $3,057.5: Major resistance if the price breaks above $3,048.
✅Support Levels:
🔹$3,021 - 3,009: Key intraday support zone.
🔹$3,004 and $2,985: Stronger support zones below.
Moving Averages:
Price is above the 50 EMA (red line), indicating bullish strength.
The 200 EMA (blue line) is far below, showing overall long-term bullish sentiment.
💡 Potential Trade Setup:
🔹Breakout Strategy: A breakout above $3,037-$3,048 could lead to new highs.
Range Trading: If the price remains within the range, traders can buy near support ($3,009) and sell near resistance ($3,037-$3,048).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday/Scalping View)
🔑Key Observations:
Recent Breakout Attempt: Price has tested the $3,030-$3,038 resistance zone.
200 EMA & 50 EMA Cross:
The red (50 EMA) is above the blue (200 EMA), signaling bullish sentiment.
Support Zone Identified (~$3,007-$3,022):
Price reacted strongly from this level, indicating strong buyer demand.
Trade Plan for Scalpers:
✅ Long Entrie s: Look for pullbacks near $3,022 with stop-loss below $3,007.
✅ Short Entries : If price rejects $3,038, look for short trades targeting $3,022 or lower.
🌟 Final Conclusion & Trading Plan:
📌 Bullish Scenario:
🔹A break above $3,038 will confirm a bullish breakout.
🔹Potential target = $3,048, then all-time high $3,060+.
🔹Best strategy: Buy the breakout with proper stop-loss below $3,022.
📌 Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break $3,038, expect a pullback to $3,011 - $3,007.
Possible short opportunities below $3,007 targeting $2,983.
📌 Neutral/Ranging Market:
Until price breaks $3,038 or drops below $3,007, expect sideways movement.
🔹 Recommended Trading Approach:
✅ Breakout traders: Watch for a confirmed break and retest above $3,038.
✅ Range traders: Buy near $3,009-$3,022 and sell near $3,038.
✅ Scalpers: Look for quick trades within the range of $3,007 - $3,037.
📉 Risk Management:
🔸 Keep a stop-loss below $3,007 if buying.
🔸 Keep a stop-loss above $3,038 if shorting.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
📢Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
Will GDP Disappoint? Gold Traders Brace for Volatility📰 Trump's Latest Comments on Tariffs — Market Stays Calm
Early this morning (late US session), Trump made comments regarding trade tariffs.
Unlike previous occasions, his statements didn’t trigger strong market reactions.
He stated:
“Reciprocal tariffs will be eased, applied broadly to all countries, but not harshly.”
🔹 Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on imported cars starting April 2,
🔹 But held back on imposing tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals for now.
→ It seems that most investors had already priced in these announcements, leading to minimal volatility during his speech.
📊 Key Focus Today – Final GDP q/q
Later today, the market will shift its attention to the Final US GDP (quarterly) —
This is the broadest measure of inflation, capturing changes in prices of all goods and services within GDP.
Considering that recent US inflation data (CPI & PPI) have been weak,
AD believes this GDP figure may also disappoint.
⚠️ However, today's move may be limited to ~30 points, as tomorrow's Core PCE is the true highlight of the week.
🟡 GOLD STRATEGY – Intraday Setup
Gold may revisit resistance levels or even retest recent highs before a potential strong drop — possibly the BIG SHORT scenario AD has been anticipating.
Plan for today:
Look for potential BUY setups during the Asian & London sessions, especially near support zones marked on the chart.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Support: 3019 – 3011 – 3002 – 2988
🔺 Resistance: 3036 – 3046 – 3056
🎯 Trade Zones for 27/03:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3002 – 3000
SL: 2996
TP: 3006 – 3010 – 3014 – 3018 – 3022 – 3026 – 3030
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3041 – 3037 – 3032 – 3028 – 3024 – 3020
🧠 Final Note:
This week’s market volatility is heavily tied to two major data releases:
✅ Today’s Final GDP, and
✅ Tomorrow’s Core PCE
→ During Asian & European sessions, trade at key levels only.
→ US session could bring surprises — AD will update instantly if needed.
GOOD LUCK HOMIES! Stay sharp and trade with discipline.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold Awaits – A Major Move Is Just Around the CornerGold has shown consistent structure since the start of this week.
Today, there are no major economic events, so price is likely to continue moving sideways within the current range, as previously analyzed in AD’s plan.
📌 Important Events Coming Up:
🔸 Thursday: US Quarterly GDP data
🔸 Friday: PCE Inflation Report (Key inflation indicator)
👉 These are the two most impactful news releases this week, and essentially wrap up Q1/month-end flows.
→ Global traders will be closely watching Thursday & Friday, so stay extra cautious during these two sessions.
🔄 Today’s Market Behavior:
Gold continues to range within the same channel shared earlier this week.
There is no clear breakout or strong directional move yet.
The market is essentially waiting for Thursday & Friday's data — which could act as the catalyst for a stronger bearish correction, in line with AD’s mid-term outlook.
🔍 Current Trading Strategy:
As shared from the beginning of the week, AD continues to trade reactions at key support and resistance zones.
Without a confirmed breakout, the approach remains:
→ Trade the range. React to both ends of the zone.
🧭 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057
🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988
🎯 TRADE ZONES:
BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986
SL: 2982
TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015
SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020
🧠 Final Reminder:
There is no breakout confirmation yet → market is still in accumulation mode.
Be patient, avoid FOMO, and watch price reaction closely at each zone.
➡️ Trade clean levels. Enter only when setups are clear — stay out if not.
Protecting your capital always comes first.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold (XAUUSD) 3100 Or 2900 ?🔍 15M Chart Analysis
📊 Trend: Ranging market
🔑 Key Levels:
✅All-Time High Zone ($3,057) – Major resistance
✅Support at $3,006-$3,010 – Key demand area
✅Current Range: $3,020 - $3,035
🚨 EMA Analysis:
✅ Price is fluctuating around the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, confirming consolidation.
Conclusion:
✅Market is in a ranging phase; a breakout above $3,035 could push the price toward the all-time high.
✅A drop below $3,020 could see price testing $3,006 support.
🔍 1H Chart Analysis
📊Trend: Short-term bearish to neutral
🔑 Key Observations:
✅Descending trendline (Orange Line) was broken, indicating potential bullish recovery.
✅POI Level ($3,006-$3,007) – Strong demand zone, price bounced from here.
✅Resistance Area ($3,035-$3,040) – If price reaches here, sellers may step in.
🚨 EMA Analysis:
✅Price broke above the 50 EMA (Red Line), indicating early bullish momentum.
200 EMA (Blue Line) still below, confirming overall bullish trend.
Conclusion:
✅If price sustains above the trendline breakout, next target would be $3,035-$3,040 resistance zone.
✅A rejection from the current level could push the price back to $3,006 POI.
🔍 4H Chart Analysis
📊Trend: Bullish (Price above 50 EMA & 200 EMA)
🔑 Key Support Levels:
✅$2,983 – Previous support level
✅$2,957 – Strong support zone
✅$2,930 – Near the 200 EMA, potential major support
Key Resistance Levels:
✅$3,022-$3,023 – Immediate resistance zone
🚨 EMA Analysis:
✅50 EMA (Red Line) is acting as dynamic support, price is currently hovering around it.
✅200 EMA (Blue Line) far below, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Conclusion:
✅As long as price holds above the 50 EMA, bulls remain in control.
✅A break below 50 EMA could lead to a retest of $2,983 or $2,957 support zones.
Overall Summary & Trade Ideas
✅ Bullish Bias on higher timeframes (4H), but short-term market is ranging (15M).
📌 🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Above $3,035 → Bullish breakout towards $3,050+
Below $3,020 → Bearish pressure towards $3,006
⚠️ Trading Plan:
🔵For Long Positions : Buy above $3,025 with a target of $3,040-$3,050.
🔵For Short Positions : Sell below $3,020, targeting $3,006.
Wait for a breakout from the range for a clearer trade setup.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
📢Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
GOLD short-term analysis, where will it fall?Yesterday, gold hit a high of 3033 before falling back. After the rebound, the downward trend continued. The daily line continued to fall, the RSI indicator turned downward, and the price fell to the current MA10 daily moving average. The price of the four-hour chart and the hourly chart runs along the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands.
The short-term moving average of the K-line on the 4-hour chart currently maintains a relatively good oscillating downward trend. The current rebound has basically completed the technical form repair. Pay attention to the possible secondary decline trend after the rebound repair is completed.
The current gold daily chart shows that the gold price has peaked and retreated, and the Bollinger Bands are opening downward, but the gold price is still running at a high level. The KDJ indicator on the disk is glued to the upper overbought area to form a dead cross. On Monday, the gold price did not clearly indicate the direction of rise and fall, and it was more in a consolidation pattern. It is recommended to pay attention to the pressure and support of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages in the range of 3035-3000 US dollars, and try to trade with the trend after breaking.
The 4-hour gold chart shows that the SAR indicator resistance point has moved down to around $3035, and the daily MA5 moving average overlaps to form a double suppression in the short term. If the bulls want to restart, they still need to break through this position strongly. If the 4-hour real candle falls below the 3000 mark, refer to last week's low of 2981 and the weekly MA5 moving average support point of 2960. The trading ideas and direction remain unchanged. The main strategy is to sell at high levels and hold in the medium term, and then consider buying at short-term lows!
Key points:
First support: 3002, second support: 2993, third support: 2980
First resistance: 3018, second resistance: 3030, third resistance: 3046
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2990-2993, SL: 2982, TP: 3010-3020;
Sell: 3027-3030, SL: 3038, TP: 3010-3000;
Gold (XAU/USD) Next Possible Move?
🔍 4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Trend: The price was in an uptrend, but a potential reversal has formed.
✅Key Bearish Signal: The presence of an Evening Star candlestick pattern at resistance (~$3,038) signals a potential trend reversal.
✅ Moving Averages:
✅ 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The price is testing this level as support.
✅ 200 EMA : Positioned lower, suggesting that the long-term trend is still bullish, but short-term weakness is visible.
📉 Support Levels:
✅$3,005 (Minor Support)
✅$2,981 (Stronger Support)
📉 Resistance Levels:
✅$3,038 (Key Resistance)
🔹 Summary:
The formation of an Evening Star at resistance suggests a potential downtrend unless the price strongly holds above the 50 EMA. A breakdown of $3,005 could accelerate selling toward $2,981.
🔍 1-Hour Chart Analysis:
📊Key Observations:
Trendline Resistance : A descending trendline is pushing prices lower.
50 EMA Resistance : Price is failing to break above the 50 EMA, confirming selling pressure.
🚨 200 EMA Support : Price is holding above the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic support.
🚨 Point of Interest (POI) Zone : The blue-shaded area is a key demand zone, where buying pressure might increase.
🚨 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Below: There’s an imbalance below $2,981, which price may fill before rebounding.
🔹 Summary :
If the 200 EMA support at $3,002 fails, a move toward the FVG zone near $2,981 is likely. A break above the trendline resistance and 50 EMA would signal a possible bullish reversal.
🔍 15-Minute Chart Analysis:
📊Key Observations:
📉 Bearish Crossover: The 50 EMA crossed below the 200 EMA, a bearish sign indicating selling pressure.
📉 Lower Highs Formation : Price is making lower highs, respecting the trendline resistance.
📉 Support Zone Holding : The blue POI level is still acting as a temporary support.
🔹 Summary:
The short-term momentum is bearish, as indicated by the EMA crossover and trendline rejection. However, if buyers step in at the POI level, a short-term bounce may occur. If support at $2,999-$3,002 breaks, expect further downside.
📌 Trading Plan & Key Levels to Watch
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
A break above the trendline and 50 EMA (~$3,020) could lead to a push toward $3,038.
A strong bounce from $2,981 (support level) could provide buying opportunities.
📍 Bearish Scenario:
A break below $3,002 (200 EMA support) may trigger a move toward $2,981.
If $2,981 breaks, the price could target the FVG area ($2,955 - $2,930).
📉 Conclusion
Short-Term Trend: Bearish unless the price reclaims $3,020+.
Key Support: $3,002, $2,981
Key Resistance: $3,020, $3,038
Strategy: Watch for a breakout above trendline for bullish confirmation or a break below $3,002 for bearish continuation.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
📢 Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAU/USD (Gold) Bullish Trade Setup – Key Levels & Targets📊 XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
🔹 Entry & Risk-Reward Setup
🟢 Buy Zone: $3,015 - $3,017 ✅
🛑 Stop Loss: $3,003.14 ❌ (Protects against downside risk)
🎯 Target Point: $3,045.40 🚀
🔹 Take Profit Levels (TP)
🟡 TP1: $3,021.01 🥇 (First checkpoint)
🟡 TP2: $3,029.73 🥈 (Second target, stronger resistance)
🔵 Final Target: $3,045.40 🏆 (Major resistance level)
🔹 Market Structure & Price Action
📉 Recent Drop: Found support near $3,003 📌
📈 Potential Upside: Price attempting a bullish reversal 📊
⚠️ Watch for breakout at $3,021+ for confirmation! 🚀📊
XAU#25: Is the correction over? What's next?Prices OANDA:XAUUSD stabilized around $3,022/ounce after a slight decline two days ago, reflecting strong safe-haven demand due to economic and geopolitical uncertainty. So is this correction over? Let's look at the next plan FOREXCOM:XAUUSD :
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Risks of economic recession and war conflict still exist:
🔹The Trump administration's reciprocal tariff policy may be more moderate than expected, reducing concerns about trade conflicts, but Wall Street is still betting on a 50% chance of a US recession due to slow currency circulation. This is one of the factors supporting Gold's rise
🔹 Risks from the Middle East and Ukraine are still unknown. Negotiations are still reaching certain agreements, but the impact on market confidence is insignificant. The fear psychology is still pushing money into Gold as a safe haven asset.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: The uptrend remains unchanged. Closing the session last Friday with a bearish candle is considered a profit-taking move after a series of days of gold price increase.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: The 3000 area is playing an effective support role when the price bounces back. However, the correction wave has not shown any signs of ending.
🔹 **H1 Frame**: The bearish price structure is very clear. If the 301x area is still held, the price may seek the resistance zones above to confirm the price reaction.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
✅ From the basic information to the reflected horizontal line, it can be seen that at the present time, the price can still continue to decrease. However, there are certain risks when FOMO establishes a SELL position in the current area. The price may not drop deeply to the lower area immediately but will sweep SL at both ends. We can wait for the price reaction in the upper resistance area to find a safer position.
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
Gold Outlook – Breakout or Pullback in the Final Week of March?🧠 Final Week of March: Will Gold Break Out or Pull Back? Complete Market Outlook + Trade Plan for XAUUSD
🌐 1. Fundamental Overview – Macro Factors Driving Gold
Gold experienced a sharp $50+ correction last week after printing new all-time highs. The recent price action was shaped by several key macroeconomic factors:
🔸 The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and delivered a more cautious tone — suggesting no immediate rate cuts, which strengthened the USD and put pressure on gold.
🔸 US Dollar Index (DXY) recovered above the 104 mark, adding bearish momentum for XAUUSD.
🔸 Upcoming US inflation data (PCE this Friday) is the main event of the week — market participants are positioning cautiously ahead of this.
🔸 End-of-quarter fund flows may trigger erratic moves and profit-taking, especially as institutions rebalance portfolios.
Despite this pullback, late-week buying activity suggests that buyers are still defending key zones, and the medium- to long-term bullish structure remains intact.
📈 2. Technical Analysis – Chart Structure & Price Action
✅ Market Context:
Price broke out of the short-term ascending channel but is still respecting the major uptrend structure
Currently testing support zones with potential for either continuation or deeper correction
Key zone around 3,013.67 is holding for now, but volatility is expected
🆕 Monday Opening (March 25, 2025) Update:
Gold opened with weakness after a brief end-of-week bounce
Price is currently stalling at a key Fibonacci retracement area (0.5–0.618) on H1/H2
Buyers have lost momentum, suggesting a consolidation or second leg down may be forming
🔁 Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Price holds above 3,000 / 2,987 zone
Rebound to test 3,031.80 → breakout → targets 3,046.38 and 3,057.58
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold 3,000 → break below 2,987 → opens downside continuation
Price could revisit deeper demand zones below (e.g., 2,970–2,950)
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,031- 3,046 - 3,057
Support: 3,013 - 3,000.33 - 2,987
🎯 TRADE PLAN – XAUUSD
BUY ZONE: 3000 – 2998
SL: 2994
TP: 3004 – 3008 – 3012 – 3016 – 3020
SELL ZONE: 3030 – 3032
SL: 3036
TP: 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – 3000
Trade within reaction zones. Prioritize partial profits and always protect your capital with tight SLs.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is still technically bullish but in a corrective phase
Market awaits confirmation from either bulls or bears before a clean breakout
News flow + macro data (PCE) will be key catalysts this week
Stay patient, trade the levels, and let price action lead
— AD | Money Market Flow
WEEKLY GOLD OUTLOOK – BIG PICTURE VIEW FOR THE HOMIES!🔍 Let’s take a quick look at Gold on the higher timeframes (W1 & D1) —
The weekly and daily candles are showing long upper wicks, indicating strong rejections from the highs due to last Friday’s correction.
📉 Gold dropped more than 50 points toward the end of the week, but later bounced back with a late-session recovery.
Looking at the W1 and D1 candles, there are early signs of a possible reversal, but momentum still seems not strong enough, as prices retraced over 20 points into the close, making the candle bodies close above 50% of the full D1/W1 range.
🧭 From AD’s perspective, price has now reacted at the all-time high zone, and we need to wait for Monday to confirm whether the bulls can push higher again — only then can we establish a full directional bias for the upcoming week.
We're now stepping back to get a broader view of price action and macro sentiment, reviewing all the latest news & market developments before entering the final week of the month...
📈 Current View from AD:
Gold is still moving inside its main bullish channel on the higher timeframes. However, in order for a true reversal to form, strong selling pressure must come in, triggering larger volumes and pushing price down into low-liquidity zones.
That said, buyers stepped back in near the weekly close, so we’ll need to closely watch:
Possible weekend gaps
Price action around the Sunday night open
This will help us determine the most accurate direction heading into Monday.
⚠️ There’s a chance we’ll see another drop, as this current bullish retracement is reaching the 0.5 – 0.618 zones on H1 and H2.
But like AD said, the real story unfolds on Monday once the leftover weekend volume gets absorbed and clean market structure reveals itself.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056
Support: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986
📊 Based on the MA indicators AD uses, short-term moving averages are starting to cross over mid- and long-term MAs, indicating a potential major trend shift on higher timeframes.
💡 If this structure holds into early next week, we might get early SELL opportunities, so stay alert and stick close to candle structure.
📍AD has already marked the key levels on the chart —
These are high-probability zones for entry or breakout traps, so don’t miss out on golden opportunities. Save them. Watch them.
💬 Wishing everyone a warm and joyful weekend with your family and loved ones.
AD will drop a post tomorrow on market psychology — if you’re interested, drop a boost and leave a comment!
GOOD WEEKEND HOMIES! 💛
"XAU/USD Price Action Analysis: Targeting $3,063 or Reversal to Alright! Let's break down the chart analysis. 📊
🔹 Chart Overview:
Pair: XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-hour (H1)
Price Level: Current price at $3,030.44
Target Point: $3,063.97
🔥 Key Observations:
Supply and Demand Zones:
The highlighted blue zones suggest resistance (supply) where price was rejected twice (blue arrows).
The larger gray zones below indicate potential demand/support.
Double Top Formation:
The double blue arrows point to a possible double-top pattern, hinting at a bearish reversal. However, the price hasn't strongly broken below the neckline yet.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds the current demand zone and breaks above the immediate resistance, we could see a rally towards the target of $3,063.97. 💹🚀
Bearish Scenario: If it fails to hold the support zone, it may drop to the lower demand area around $3,000. 🔻
📉 Conclusion:
Entry Idea: Long above the supply zone break with a target of $3,063.97.
Stop Loss: Below the current demand zone at around $3,020.
Risk Management: Watch for strong price action before entering.
Gold Analysis -MMF- Profit-Taking Signals Opportunity🚀 Critical Levels Today! 📊
✅ Yesterday’s Recap: Our previous analysis hit around 90% accuracy 🎯, with gold responding perfectly at historical highs, prompting traders to book profits early in the European session. The bearish momentum is continuing into today's Asian session. 📉
📌 Market Sentiment:
Profit-taking is the primary driver at these historic highs. Investors are carefully eyeing lower liquidity zones for re-entry, positioning themselves strategically for future gains as global economies lean towards rate-cut cycles and an era of cheaper money. Historically, such cycles strongly favor gold prices. 🌟💰
📌 Technical View:
Technical signals align closely with fundamentals: reversal signals at recent highs are mild, suggesting cautious profit-taking rather than aggressive short-selling. Gold traders are merely scouting temporary peaks cautiously, not heavily bearish yet. ⚠️🔍
📉 Critical Levels:
🛑 Resistance: 3038 | 3046 | 3056 | 3070
🟢 Support: 3030 | 3025 | 3014 | 3005
Currently, gold has broken the bullish H1 channel, testing immediate support at 3025. A strong breakdown below this level could trigger deeper bearish moves, especially today—Friday volatility could drive intense movements targeting lower liquidity zones. 🔻🔥
🎯 Strategic Trading Zones:
🚨 BUY ZONE: 📈
Entry: 3006 - 3004
Stop Loss (SL): 3000 🛡️
Take Profit (TP): 3010 | 3015 | 3020 | 3025 | 3030 🎯
🚨 SELL ZONE: 📉
Entry: 3056 - 3058
Stop Loss (SL): 3062 🛡️
Take Profit (TP): 3052 | 3048 | 3044 | 3040 | 3035 | 3030 🎯
⚡ Today’s Action Plan:
Focus closely on Asian & European sessions. Updates will be provided ahead of the US session, anticipating high volatility and profit-booking activities. Stay disciplined, strictly adhere to your TP & SL to protect your account! 🙌💼
Gold short-term analysis and buying planJudging from the current market situation, short-term bulls continue to take the initiative, which will undoubtedly increase the probability of gold prices hitting the 3070-3080 area, but we also need to be prepared for high-level bulls to leave the market and make profits, and be prepared for the trend to change.
Today, Friday, since the market is still in the trend bullish structure channel, coupled with yesterday's bottoming and rebounding trend, we need to pay attention to Friday's re-high action. Trading ideas: Buy at a low position during the intraday correction, and sell after the historical high or new high is under pressure. It is planned to trade in the 3030-3060 range.
For intraday operations, it is recommended to buy on pullbacks without buying at high positions. For the support below, pay attention to the 3030-3032 area. As long as the price can keep running above, the probability of seeing the 3050-3060 area during the day is very high. On the contrary, if the support breaks down, it will most likely test the 3023 area. As for the resistance, pay attention to the 3060 area. It is expected that the possibility of a breakthrough today is very small. However, considering that the current support has moved up, it is only recommended to participate in the sale when the price approaches 3055 for the first time.
Key points:
First support: 3040, second support: 3032, third support: 3023
First resistance: 3054, second resistance: 3060, third resistance: 3077
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3031-3035, SL: 3022, TP: 3050-3060;
Sell: 3055-3057, SL: 3066, TP: 3020-3030;
More signals will be updated in the VIP group
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – Gold Price Analysis🔍 Key Observations:
🟢 Support Zone:
H1 Support Area 📉: $3,036.67 - $3,044
Price is currently testing this zone (🔵).
🔴 Resistance Level:
$3,053.45 (🛑 Immediate Barrier)
📈 Trade Setup:
✅ Potential Buy Entry near support (🟢)
🎯 Target Zone: $3,080 - $3,090 (📍🚀)
❌ Stop-loss: Below $3,036.67 (⚠️🔴)
📊 Price Action:
If support holds 🟩, price could move UP (⬆️) toward the target 🎯
If it breaks down ⬇️, price may fall further (⚠️📉).
📌 Conclusion:
Bullish 📈 if the price respects support (🟢)
Bearish 📉 if it breaks below stop-loss (⚠️).
GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan: Will Gold Break $3100? 🚀Published by MMFlowTrading on March 20, 2025
Overview 📊
Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong uptrend on the H1 timeframe, with price action moving within a clear ascending channel 📈. The recent breakout above the $3000 psychological level signals robust bullish momentum 💪. However, key resistance levels are approaching, and upcoming economic events might influence the next move. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors to craft today’s trading plan! 🧠
Technical Analysis 🔍
Ascending Channel:
Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel (highlighted in orange on the chart) 📉📈. The price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries, indicating a healthy uptrend. Currently, the price is near the upper channel resistance at $3070.612 🚧.
Key Resistance Levels (VPOC High):
The nearest resistance is at $3070.612, a high-volume node (VPOC) where sellers might step in 🛑.
If this level is broken, the next targets are $3081.053 and $3097.774, with a potential push toward the psychological $3100 mark 🎯.
Key Support Levels:
The closest support is at $3031.774, aligning with the lower channel boundary and a previous VPOC level 🛡.
A deeper pullback could test $3024.254 or even $3017.197, where buyers previously stepped in (marked by yellow circles on the chart) 📍.
Additional Key Levels:
Resistance: $3054 - $3061 - $3070 🚧
Support: $3044 - $3038 - $3031 - $3026 🛡
Fundamental Analysis 🌍
US Dollar Strength:
Gold has an inverse relationship with the USD 💱. On March 20, 2025, the market is awaiting the US Jobless Claims data and Fed speeches, which could impact the USD 📅. If the data indicates a weaker US economy, the USD might weaken, supporting Gold’s rally toward $3100 🚀.
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing global uncertainties (e.g., Middle East tensions, US-China trade talks) continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like Gold 🛡. This fundamental factor supports the bullish bias in the short term.
Interest Rates:
The Fed’s recent dovish stance on interest rates (as of early 2025) has reduced the opportunity cost of holding Gold, further fueling its uptrend 📉.
Trading Plan 📝
Buy Setup (BUY ZONE: $3032 - $3030) 🟢
Stop Loss (SL): $3026 ⛔️.
Take Profit (TP): $3038 - $3042 - $3046 - $3050 - $3060
Sell Setup (SELL ZONE: $3069 - $3071) 🔴
⛔️Stop Loss (SL): $3075
Take Profit (TP): $3065 - $3060 - $3055 - $3050
Market Note ⚠️
The market has been hitting all-time highs (ATH) after the FOMC storm early this morning 🌪. Traders, please stay cautious and strictly follow your TP/SL to keep your accounts safe! 🛡💡
Conclusion 🏁
Gold is at a critical juncture near $3070. A breakout above this level could pave the way to $3100, driven by strong technicals and supportive fundamentals 🚀. Alternatively, a rejection might lead to a pullback to the $3032 - $3030 buy zone. Stay disciplined and trade smart! 💪
What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 For more daily trading ideas, follow me on TradingView
XAU/USD PLAN VIEW – PREPARE FOR THE FOMC STORM!📊 This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting on March 19, where the Fed will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook. Gold remains bullish but is now approaching key resistance zones, which could lead to a short-term correction before determining its next direction.
⚠ Important Note: The following PLAN VIEW applies before the FOMC meeting. Once we approach the event, traders should consider closing positions to protect their accounts, as extreme volatility is expected when the news is released.
🔥 Fundamental Analysis – What’s at Stake in This FOMC?
📌 1️⃣ Fed Expected to Hold Rates at 4.25% - 4.5% but…
The Dot Plot & Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will guide the market’s expectations.
If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, the USD may strengthen, pressuring gold.
If the Fed signals a dovish shift, the USD could weaken, pushing gold higher.
📌 2️⃣ Central Banks Are Still Buying Gold
China, Russia, Poland, and India continue stockpiling gold, reducing dependence on the USD.
This ongoing trend supports gold’s long-term bullish momentum, despite possible short-term pullbacks.
Technical Analysis – XAU/USD Key Levels
🔹 Primary Trend: Bullish, but facing strong resistance.
🔹 Price Channel: Gold remains within an uptrend, though a short-term pullback is possible.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Resistance:
3,055 - 3,071 – If gold faces rejection here, a correction could follow.
📍 Support:
3,021 - 3,009 – A key area to watch if a pullback occurs.
2,986 - 2,948 (FVG Zone H1) – Deeper liquidity levels if selling pressure increases.
🎯 PLAN VIEW – BEFORE FOMC
BUY ZONE: 3010 - 3008
SL: 3004
TP: 3015 - 3020 - 3024 - 3028 - 3032
ELL ZONE: 3054 - 3056
SL: 3060
TP: 3050 - 3046 - 3042 - 3038 - 3030
⚠ Key Warning:
As we approach FOMC, consider closing all positions to avoid unnecessary risks, as the market reaction can be highly unpredictable.
🔥 A storm is coming with the FOMC – trade smart and protect your capital! 🚀
Gold uptrend movement expected , may hit upto 3022/3040 Symbol Gold or XAUUSD
Timeframe 30 Minutes
Analysis uptrend movement pole flag pattern creation.
Expected targets is 3022/ 3040
We hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey.
Please note: Published ideas are for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Also, please respect the risk - stop loss (SL) should not be more than 2% of the capital.
DISCLAIMER: We are not SEBI registered. All the videos uploaded in this channel are solely for educational purposes."
Short-term strategy before the Fed's interest rate decisionGold continued to rise yesterday, up more than 1%. This is the power of the trend. Don't guess whether it has reached the top. This is not in line with market logic, because there is no turning signal. The risk of guessing that it has reached the top is relatively high. Of course, the market is always relative. It is impossible to keep rising. It is necessary to prevent the risk of large adjustments!
Yesterday, the highest impact of the US market was 3038. There may be room for a short-term rise, but you must pay attention to the future. Going long is also a short-term profit exit. The daily and weekly lines are in an overbought divergence state. The price deviates far from the short-term moving average, and the risk of stepping back is getting bigger and bigger. Be bullish but not blind, and don't chase more. The short-term has risen three times, and the possibility of a pullback needs to be prevented later!
Pay attention to the news of the Fed's interest rate decision. There was not much risk in going long before this. It should be a strong form. Gold continued to set new highs in 1 hour, but it is obviously not appropriate to enter at a high level now. It is better to wait patiently for a decline and continue to buy. Gold focuses on the support near the starting point of 3015 and continues to go long. The market is changing rapidly. Since the gold bulls continue to be strong, gold will continue to trade with the trend.
Key points:
First support: 3023, second support: 3016, third support: 3002
First resistance: 3039, second resistance: 3048, third resistance: 3056
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3013-3015, SL: 3004, TP: 3035-3045;
Sell: 3048-3050, SL: 3059, TP: 3020-3010;
For more daily analysis, click on my avatar to view
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup – Bullish Momentum Ahead?Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis
🔹 Entry Point: 3,026.90 🔵
🔹 Stop Loss: 3,019.58 - 3,019.07 ❌ (Risk Zone)
🔹 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 3,034.64 🎯
TP2: 3,041.72 🚀
Final Target: 3,053.04 🏆
📈 Trend Analysis:
🔸 The market has been in a strong uptrend 📈 before pulling back to the entry zone.
🔸 The trade setup suggests a buy (long) position, aiming for higher levels.
🔸 If momentum continues, price may reach TP1 → TP2 → Final Target.
⚠️ Risk-Reward Ratio:
✅ Potential Reward: ~27 points 🏅
❌ Risk: ~7-8 points 🚨
💰 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable setup)
🔻 Risk Factor:
If price drops below 3,019.58, the trade will hit stop loss and may indicate a trend reversal 🔄.
📢 Conclusion:
Bullish trade setup looking promising if price holds above the entry point and moves towards TP targets! 🚀🔥