XAUUSD – Strong Resistance at 3760–3770 Await ConfirmationHello trader,
Gold continues to fluctuate within the accumulation zone after the recent recovery. Although the larger trend leans towards an increase, a clear confirmation at key resistance-support levels is needed for a stronger breakout.
Strong Resistance: 3760 – 3770, converging with the Fibonacci extension zone. This is a crucial level if the price aims to create a new ATH in the mid-term.
Key level Sell: 3685 – 3695, currently a short-term resistance zone. If the price fails to break through, gold may face downward pressure.
Important Support:
3564 – 3574: mid-term support.
3534 – 3540: deep support zone, aligning with previous liquidity.
MACD H4: Histogram remains weak, momentum is unclear → the market needs further confirmation to clearly define the trend.
Trading Scenario
Bullish Scenario
Condition: Price breaks above 3695 and holds.
Entry: Retest 3665 – 3668.
Target: 3680-3698-3715-3730 – 3760 – 3770.
Extension: If successfully surpassing 3770 → expect a move towards 3800+.
Bearish Scenario
Condition: Price fails at 3695 and reverses.
Entry: Sell at 3685 – 3695 zone upon rejection signal.
Target: 3672-3655-3635 – 3600 – 3574.
Extension: If breaking 3574, the decline may target 3540, or even deeper.
Mid-term Scenario
Price may retest 3534 – 3550 to gather liquidity, then rebound following the larger trend. This will be an attractive long-term Buy zone.
The gold market is at a crucial stage: buyers need to break 3695 to confirm the uptrend, while sellers still have opportunities at the short-term resistance zone. Deep support levels will continue to serve as a foundation for mid-term Buy strategies.
Keep a close watch on 3695 and 3760 – 3770 to determine the next direction.
Stay tuned for the latest scenarios as the price structure evolves.
Xauusdanalysis
ETHUSD 2.5R sell side trade scenarioETHUSD is forming sell side trades as current bias and draw on liquidity both are at down side. Price has also left SIBIs to attract price upside for a while and then return back to target. In weekend price may have low volatility and trade possibly generate on Monday or later.
1. There is a daily time frame bearish FVG.
2. There is bearish FVG in 4H TF. Now price is approaching it slowly.
3. These FVGs are forming inside OTE zone.
4. Order flow is bearish. And draw on liquidity is also at downside.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
7. BTC is also forming similar scenario.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 2.5R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
XAUUSD - Flag PatternWhats your take on Guys.
#Institutions Consolidation going on - #Accumulation or #Distribution.
Kind of #Triangle #pattern in formation, ##Flagpattern. DO your analysis, Enter trade on Breakout and confirmation side. Trade with #confluence. i would say accumulate at bottom of pattern with SL and Participate in full swing before #Breakout.
GOLD – Breakout / Swept High – Where to BUY?1. Market Overview
Gold prices are consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after showing a short-term bearish structure.
On the H1 chart, we can see clear supply and demand zones:
• Liquidity Buy Zone near 3640 (potential demand area).
• Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680.
The broader higher-timeframe trend is still bullish, but in the near term the market is retesting liquidity levels.
________________________________________
2. Key Levels & Zones
• Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → important support.
• Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance.
• Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance.
• Long-term Support: 3620 – 3630.
________________________________________
3. Main Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Setup (with trend)
• Wait for price to revisit the Liquidity Buy Zone (3640 – 3645).
• If bullish reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing candle, etc.), consider entering a Long position.
🎯 Targets:
• Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest).
• Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (higher high).
🔴 Short Setup (scalp only)
• If price pushes into the Sell Scalp Zone (3670 – 3680) and faces strong rejection → take a Short scalp.
• 🎯 Target: 3640 – 3645.
⚠ Note: Shorts go against the main bullish trend, so they should be managed quickly and not held for long.
________________________________________
4. Trade Management Notes
• Focus on Long trades near support, as higher timeframe bias is still bullish.
• Short positions should only be taken as scalp setups near resistance.
• Risk control: limit risk to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding trades against the main trend.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance zone.
• A successful breakout may lead price towards 3700+.
• Otherwise, the market is likely to dip back into 3640 before starting the next bullish leg.
Gold 1H – Risk of Premium Sweeps Before ReversalOn the 1H timeframe, gold is consolidating after consecutive BOS and ChoCH signals, showing rejection from premium levels. The market is oscillating between the fresh FVG sell zone at 3,673–3,671 and the deep discount support at 3,634–3,636. Liquidity remains positioned above 3,705 and below 3,632, keeping scope for engineered sweeps before a clearer directional move emerges.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 FVG SELL ZONE 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,705 – 3,703 (SL 3,712)
Major premium liquidity trap, likely to precede continuation lower towards 3,690 → 3,675 → 3,660.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,634 – 3,636 (SL 3,627)
Discount demand zone, aiming for recovery towards 3,645 → 3,660 → 3,670 if defended.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – FVG Rejection (3,673–3,671)
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Targets:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into the FVG before downside extension.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Sweep (3,705–3,703)
• Entry: 3,705 – 3,703
• Stop Loss: 3,712
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,675
TP3: 3,660
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,705 before resuming bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,634–3,636)
• Entry: 3,634 – 3,636
• Stop Loss: 3,627
• Targets:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,660
TP3: 3,670
👉 High risk-reward opportunity if gold defends discount demand; suitable for counter-trend scalps.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains under pressure below 3,673–3,705, favouring short setups into premium sweeps. However, close attention is needed at 3,634–3,636, as buyers may attempt to accumulate and reclaim structure. Best practice: trade smaller lots until the New York session provides confirmation of direction.
Gold Dips After Fed Meeting: What's Next for the Market?Hey traders!
After a super volatile session, gold prices took a hit yesterday (September 18). The precious metal dropped 0.4% to $3,643.40/oz, while futures contracts lost 1.1% to $3,678.30/oz. This comes right after gold hit a new record of $3,707.40/oz in the previous session. Is this a signal for a major correction or just a bit of profit-taking? Let's break it down!
Fundamental Analysis: The Market 'Digests' the Fed's Message
While the Fed did cut rates by 0.25% as expected, the message from the meeting wasn't entirely 'dovish'. Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised doubts about the pace of future policy easing. He stressed that the rate cut was just a "risk management" move to address a weakening labor market, not a firm promise for aggressive easing.
USD Recovers: The Fed's cautious stance helped the USD index gain 0.5%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Long-Term Drivers Still Strong: Despite the short-term dip, experts remain bullish on gold. The core drivers for its rally are still in place:
BRIC Central Bank Buying: Central banks, especially from China, continue to diversify their reserves, moving away from the USD.
Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions are still a key reason for investors to flock to gold.
Swiss Data Confirms: Data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China jumped 254% in August 2025 compared to July, which proves that real demand is super strong.
Technical Analysis: Unpredictable Volatility
After the FOMC meeting, gold was all over the place, breaking through resistance and support levels in a flash. The market is reacting more to macro news than to technical patterns right now.
Resistance: $3671, $3686, $3694
Support: $3647, $3632, $3612, $3598
Outlook: Today, we should still prefer long positions if gold stays above the $365x level. However, if gold closes a candle below $364x during the US session, be cautious and consider a switch to sell positions.
Suggested Trading Strategy (Use Strict Risk Management):
SELL ZONE
Zone: $3686 - $3688
SL: $3696
TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3638
BUY ZONE
Zone: $3616 - $3614
SL: $3606
TP: $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3654 - $3664
The market is super sensitive to news right now. Always be careful and don't overtrade. Do you think this is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #BRIC
XAUUSD – Correction Target on H4Technical Analysis
After reacting at the Sell Zone – FVG around 3,670, Gold could not sustain the upward momentum and is now showing signs of weakness. The H4 structure indicates that the correction phase is extending, with price likely to retest key support areas below.
On the chart, the support zones at 3,633–3,632 and 3,626 are acting as intermediate levels. If these zones fail to hold, selling pressure may push price deeper towards 3,614–3,612, before testing the major support confluence with Fibonacci extension and the potential Buy Zone at 3,579–3,560.
The RSI is currently hovering around 45–50, suggesting momentum is tilted towards a corrective move rather than a strong uptrend.
Trading Scenarios
SELL Setup (preferred):
Entry: on a retest of the 3,665–3,670 Sell Zone
SL: above 3,675
Targets: 3,633–3,632-3,626-3,614–3,612-3,579–3,560
BUY Setup (short-term / scalping):
Entry: consider buys around 3,626–3,625 support
SL: below 3,618
Targets:3,633-3,645-3,650
Key Levels to Watch
3,670: Sell Zone – confluence with FVG post-FOMC.
3,633–3,626: Short-term support; a break below confirms extended bearish pressure.
3,612: Key level for deciding near-term direction.
3,579–3,560: Potential Buy Zone and main corrective target on H4.
Traders may keep these levels on watch and align positions accordingly. Follow for quicker access to future updates.
XAUUSD –Today’s Trading Outlook | Sell Fill Liquidity & Buy Zone
Hello traders,
In the recent sessions, gold has continued to show strong volatility around important liquidity zones and support–resistance levels. The current structure indicates that sellers remain in control in the short term, while buyers are expected to return only if price reaches deeper support areas.
Technical View
Main Resistance: 3670 – 3680, aligning with the FVG zone → key area for Sell to Fill Liquidity.
Short-term Support: 3630 – 3627. A break below could open the way for a deeper decline.
Buy Scalping Zones: 3613 – 3615 and 3595 – 3598, suitable for quick intraday longs.
Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590, confluence with strong liquidity zone and major support.
MACD Indicator: leaning bearish, with a negative histogram, showing selling pressure still dominant.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Setup (priority)
Sell Liquidity Zone: 3670 – 3680
SL: 3685
TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Scalping
Buy Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Buy Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Medium-term Buy
Zone: 3600 – 3590
SL: 3584
Extended TP: 3633 – 3660 – 3675
Conclusion
In the short term, gold is likely to retest the upper liquidity zone before continuing with further declines. Sellers remain in control for now, but deeper support zones will provide potential entry levels for medium-term buyers.
Keep a close watch on these key levels and align your trades with your personal strategy.
Follow along to get the earliest updates whenever market structure changes.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 19, 2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, suggesting that the downtrend may continue until momentum enters the oversold zone. This process could take at least 2 daily candles, including the current one.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward, but repeated reversals at the oversold zone, along with overlapping price action, indicate that the market is in a complex corrective phase.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum has already turned upward, with 3 H1 bullish candles formed. It is expected that within 1–2 more candles, momentum will likely reach the overbought zone.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: The 5-wave black structure has been completed. The current correction is expected to last longer compared to the previous WXY triangle correction.
• H4 timeframe: Wave counting is complicated due to overlapping price movements. With momentum now recovering, wave B is likely unfolding, which will then be followed by the completion of wave C.
• H1 timeframe: A temporary channel can be drawn to observe price behavior. The market is likely in wave B (black), forming a Flat structure (ABC in blue). Wave C (blue) is projected to equal wave A (blue) at the 3667 level. This price zone also coincides with the boundary between high and low liquidity areas on the Volume Profile, making it a strong resistance zone for potential short entries.
Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 3667 – 3670
• SL: 3680
• TP: 3644
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
Gold’s Next Bullish Move: Key Buy Zones & Targets to Watch Today🔥 Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Momentum Alert! 🔥
After a strong rally, Gold bounced back impressively from today’s low at 3633 and is pushing up towards 3673. For intraday traders, the setup is clear: look for dips to jump in on the long side around 3654 - 3646 with exciting upside targets ahead!
📈 Trade Setup – Long on Pullback
Entry: Buy Gold at 3654
Add-on Dip: Add more at 3646
Targets: First target 3670-3675, then aiming for 3685
Invalidation: Cut losses if price falls below 3630
📊 Risk/Reward Snapshot
This is a tight-risk, high-reward setup — perfect for traders who want to keep their stops close while chasing solid gains. As always, manage your risk wisely and size your positions according to your plan.
Do you see the same bullish opportunity?
👍 Drop a like if you’re in!
💬 Share your thoughts or questions below — let’s build a sharp, winning community together!
Your feedback fuels us and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
“XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone Key Observations:
Uptrend Structure:
Price has been consistently making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming an overall bullish market structure.
Break of Structure (BOS) levels confirm continuation of the trend.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
Recently, price created a short-term shift downward (MSS) but retraced into a POI zone (demand area) near 3,646 – 3,659.
Current Setup:
The price bounced from the POI zone and is now recovering upward.
A long position was marked with entry near 3,659, Stop Loss at 3,646, and Target around 3,709.
Bias:
As long as price holds above 3,646 (POI zone), bullish continuation is favored.
If broken below 3,646, bearish correction could extend further.
Gold's U-Turn: A Dive into Fundamentals & Trading StrategyHello, fellow traders! The gold market's moves last night were absolutely wild, not at all what one would expect. After hitting a new all-time high of $3,707.40/oz, gold surprisingly took a U-turn and dropped to $3,681.39/oz. And this happened right after the Fed cut rates by 0.25% as predicted! So, what exactly went down?
Fundamental Analysis: The Fed's Move and Powell's "Cool" Comments
Rate Cut as Expected: The Fed delivered the 0.25% rate cut, its first this year after a pause since late 2024. This action, along with the forecast for two more cuts, met market expectations and initially sent gold soaring.
USD and Bond Yields Drop: Lower interest rates tend to weaken the USD and pull down bond yields, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. This was the initial push for gold's new peak.
Powell's "Hawkish" Spin: Everything changed when Fed Chair Jerome Powell stepped up. He gave some surprisingly "hawkish" statements, suggesting the Fed isn't in a hurry to cut rates and that this move was just "risk management."
The Aftermath: This statement threw cold water on market expectations for a faster, more aggressive rate-cutting path. Powell was quite clever; he met market expectations and diffused political pressure (especially from the Trump administration), all while keeping investors on their toes. As a result, bond yields and the USD bounced back, putting strong selling pressure on gold.
Outlook: This shock might just be temporary. Fundamentally, the Fed starting a loosening cycle is a big long-term positive for gold. While gold might face some headwinds in the short term, the underlying bullish trend is still very much intact.
Technical Analysis: Volatility and Key Levels
Gold had some unpredictable swings after the news. After dropping to the $363x zone, it bounced back super fast. This shows that there's still solid buying power at these key support levels.
Key Support: $3624, $3612, $3600, $3584, $3569
Resistance: $3667, $3675, $3686, $3700
Today's Key Level: The $364x range. If gold holds above this level by the end of the European session, we should look for long positions for the US session.
Trading Setups (Remember to Manage Risk Strictly):
Buy Scalp
Zone: $3639 - $3637
SL: $3633
TP: $3642 - $3647 - $3652 - $3657 - $3667
Buy Zone
Zone: $3606 - $3604
SL: $3596
TP: $3614 - $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3664
Sell Scalp
Zone: $3674 - $3676
SL: $3680
TP: $3671 - $3665 - $3660 - $3655 - $3645
Sell Zone
Zone: $3686 - $3688
SL: $3696
TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3628
Note: The market is highly volatile. Be careful with every trade. Will gold continue its rally or see a deeper correction? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Powell #CMEFedWatch
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate Cut
Hello fellow traders,
The most anticipated event of September is now clear: the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the first reduction this year. Market expectations also indicate the possibility of another 50 basis points cut in the upcoming meeting. In his speech, Chairman Powell highlighted the “dual risk” – inflation could rise further while employment shows signs of weakness.
Technical View
Gold has formed an H1 candle closing below the rising price channel, signalling a possible violation of the medium-term uptrend.
The buying side failed to maintain momentum after the rate cut news, showing caution in entering at elevated price levels.
Medium-term investors may consider waiting for a lower price to enter fresh longs.
However, the downside is not fully confirmed, as price is still hovering around the ascending trendline → selling directly at current levels still carries certain risks.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Strategy
Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
(Stop loss can be moved to breakeven if price reacts well, to hold positions longer).
Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
Buy Strategy
Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672
Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended)
Conclusion
Gold is currently in a sensitive phase after the Fed’s decision to cut rates. Traders must watch price action carefully around major support and resistance levels to confirm a clearer direction.
Stay tuned to this outlook — I will continue to provide updates as the market structure evolves. Follow along to receive the fastest scenario changes as price action develops.
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply zones, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defence.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711)
Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610)
Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680)
• Entry: 3,678 – 3,680
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,675
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,665
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702)
• Entry: 3,704 – 3,702
• Stop Loss: 3,711
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,616–3,618)
• Entry: 3,616 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favourable risk/reward from deep demand.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favour short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade lighter size until direction clarifies post-news.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: A New Trend EmergingHello traders, gold has just formed a new structure as it began a sharp correction following Chairman Powell’s announcement of a Fed rate cut. On the H1 chart, a clear bearish Dow structure is developing, indicating potential medium-term sustainability.
Most buy-side liquidity has already been cleared, which makes the chances of a strong recovery quite low – except for a brief FVG right after the news. However, given overall market sentiment, trading activity in that phase was not significant. The gap formation signals that sellers are now confident in taking control after the Fed’s statement.
The current decline could push gold towards the 363x region, and possibly as far as 361x. A key confirmation level remains at the strong support of 3651, where price previously bounced more than 20 dollars immediately after the news.
Trading plan for today:
Sell 3656 – 3659, SL 3666, TP 3651 – 3646 – 3638 – 3634 – 3626 – 3615
Buy 3634 – 3632, SL 3628, TP 3640 – 3652 – 3660
Buy zone 3607 – 3604, SL 3600, TP 3616 – 3625 – 3638 – 3647 – 3660
This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD for today – use it as a reference for your own trading decisions. If you find this analysis helpful, do follow me for more gold trading scenarios and daily insights.
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping through the key $3,700 level. Price briefly touched 3,702 before retreating back into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs on both sides. With the Fed policy decision expected at 1 AM VN time, volatility is likely to spike. The market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tensions, but short-term positioning indicates possible liquidity grabs before a clear directional move.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H)
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703)
Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660)
Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630)
Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based)
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665)
• Entry: 3,674 – 3,665
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,685
o TP2: 3,695
o TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638)
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,638
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,655
o TP2: 3,670
o TP3: 3,680+
👉 High risk-to-reward setup if stops are hunted before Fed decision.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694)
• Entry: 3,696 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,703
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,690
o TP2: 3,685
o TP3: 3,680
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but the Fed decision risk suggests smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay flexible: short from premium zone (3,696–3,694), and defend longs at demand zones (3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638). Use lighter position sizing until post-Fed clarity emerges.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 18, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Currently, D1 momentum is declining, therefore a downward move is likely to extend over the next 4–5 days.
• H4: Momentum is falling, so today we may see further downside to push momentum into the oversold zone before a potential reversal.
• H1: Momentum is still heading down, suggesting the bearish move is likely to continue.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1: With momentum turning lower, it is highly probable that wave v black has completed and price has entered a corrective ABC phase. If this is the case, the correction will likely last for at least more than one week.
• H4: A 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) within wave v black has been completed. The current decline could be wave A of the correction. We need to observe closely to confirm whether wave A is done. Note: during corrective phases, trading becomes more difficult; targets beyond 500 pips are rarely achieved as price tends to overlap. Toward the end of corrections, price often compresses and whipsaws both sides, so trade with smaller positions and manage risk carefully.
• H1:
o Scenario 1: Wave 1 of wave (5) black has formed, and the market is now in wave 2. This scenario is invalidated if price breaks below 3626.
o Scenario 2: Wave v black has already completed with a 5-wave structure. Price is now in a larger corrective phase (i–ii–iii–iv–v black on the D1). In this case, the correction will likely last longer than previous waves ii and iv – an important guide to prepare for an extended bearish or sideways phase.
On H1, the current drop is steep and impulsive, likely part of a 5-wave structure. The recovery was capped at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, which indicates:
• If this is wave 4 of the decline, price will break below 3649, with wave 5 of A projected toward 3632 → Buy zone.
• If price breaks above the minor high at the 38.2% Fibonacci level, it is more likely wave B of an ABC correction. In that case, the upside targets would be 3677 or 3694 → Sell zones.
⚠️ Note: Once price hits one target, the opposite entry setup will be canceled.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
Buy Zone:
• Entry: 3633 – 3630
• SL: 3620
• TP: 3649
Sell Zone 1:
• Entry: 3676 – 3679
• SL: 3686
• TP: 3657
Sell Zone 2:
• Entry: 3693 – 3696
• SL: 3703
• TP: 3677
LiamTrading – XAUUSD OutlookSharing my personal view on the possible next move for gold.
Based on the current chart structure, the wave formation suggests that XAUUSD is most likely in Wave 4. The correction started yesterday after price touched the 3,700 mark – a round resistance level which also coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This area often attracts heavy liquidity, and the subsequent pullback further supports the view that Wave 4 has been activated.
At present, the key support to watch is 3,675. If this level breaks, the corrective structure could complete around 3,656. On the H1 timeframe, the RSI has moved below the 30 level, indicating oversold conditions. In my view, while the market remains in this phase, it is still preferable to look for selling opportunities, though patience is needed until clearer confluence signals appear.
Trading plan (short-term focus):
Sell entry 3685–3687, SL 3693, TP 3670 – 3656
Buy entry 3656–3654, SL 3648, TP 3675 – 3690 – 3702 – 3721 – 3740
I will continue to share further updates if there are significant moves in price. Wishing everyone successful and effective trading.
Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025
Current Price: ~3666
Key Levels Identified:
Resistance R1: ~3700
Trendline Resistance R2: ~3780
Support S1: ~3623
Support S2: ~3540
📰 News Impact Projection:
If the Federal Reserve Cuts the Funds Rate
Expect bullish momentum.
Strategy: Buy after a retest above Resistance R1 (~3700).
Target: Trendline Resistance R2 → ~3780.
If the Federal Reserve Increases the Funds Rate
Expect bearish momentum.
Strategy: Sell after a retest below Support S1 (~3623).
Target: Support S2 → ~3540.
⚠️ Stop Loss (SL):
Around 3658, near current consolidation zone.
🎯 Summary
Bullish case (Rate Cut): Buy above 3700 → Target 3780.
Bearish case (Rate Hike): Sell below 3623 → Target 3540.
Market direction will strongly depend on FOMC Funds Rate decision.
XAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & ShouldersXAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & Shoulders: Two Key Levels 3657 / 3627
Hello Traders,
Gold opened the week with a bounce of over 20 points from the rising trendline and is now consolidating within a Pennant, which aligns with a small Head & Shoulders structure on the H1 chart. At the moment, the market is waiting for a breakout and confirmation to establish a clearer direction.
Pattern: A narrowing Pennant Flag alongside an H&S (left shoulder – head – right shoulder).
Key Zones to Watch
3655–3660: Crucial reaction zone (trendline + Pennant top).
3627: Critical support — a break below would invalidate the short-term bullish structure.
Fibonacci Levels:
1.618 in the mid-range, 2.618 lower — possible targets for a deeper correction.
MACD (12,26,9): Histogram has turned negative → short-term bearish momentum has the edge, though clear confirmation is still pending.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Setup
Entry: Retest around 3654–3657
Targets: 3663 – 3670 – 3680 → 3695
Stop: Below 3648
Bearish Setup
Entry: Sell directly on breakdown, or wait for a retest near 3671–3674
Targets: 3663 – 3650 – 3633 – 3615 → 3595 → 3568 → 3540
Stop: Above 3679
the market is currently pricing in near certainty of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17th September, while the probability of a 0.50% cut still remains on the table.
If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I’ll update the outlook as soon as the price structure changes — follow me to get the latest setups first.






















