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Xauusdanalysis

XAU/USD – Waiting for 4,203 Retest Before the Next Bullish Leg(MMF Intraday Plan – Dec 03) Gold continues to recover after last week’s deep drop, but the current bullish momentum is still weak and needs a liquidity sweep + clean pullback before pushing higher. On the M30–H1 structure, price is still moving below the descending trendline, suggesting that Gold may need a deeper retest into the 4,203 demand zone—the key area where: ✔️ Fibo 0.618 of the latest impulse ✔️ Previous demand that created strong bullish displacement ✔️ Liquidity resting below the recent short-term lows ✔️ The higher-low (HL) structure of the bullish wave Once this zone holds, Gold is positioned for the next expansion upward. 🧭 Primary Scenario – MMF BUY Setup BUY Zone: 4,203 – 4,205 Stop-Loss: below 4,197 TP1: 4,230 TP2: 4,242 (major target – supply zone + Fibo 1.272) If price breaks above 4,242 with momentum → next bullish extension targets 4,249–4,252. ⚠️ Secondary Scenario (Scalp SELL only) Short-term scalp, not part of the main trend plan: SELL Reaction Zone: 4,230 – 4,232 Stop-Loss: 4,236 TP: 4,215 Use this only as a quick reaction trade while the trend waits for confirmation. 📌 Daily Bias Summary Intraday bias remains BULLISH while price holds above 4,197. Best setup today: wait for a clean pullback into 4,203 for the main BUY. Expect volatility during NY session due to upcoming data → manage positions carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD – Buy Setup from Liquidity Sweep & Fibo 0.618📌 Structure Overview • After a short-term bearish leg, price formed a sequence of ChoCH → BoS → ChoCH, signalling that selling pressure is losing momentum. • The liquidity sweep at the 4,183 – 4,185 lows has reactivated buying interest. • From this newly formed low, price retraced into the bearish OB above and is now correcting based on Fibonacci levels. Overall structure leans toward accumulation – building a base before a potential recovery move. 🔍 Technical Analysis (SMC + Fibonacci) • Key OB Zone: The bearish OB at 4,228 – 4,241 remains a strong supply area — where price reacted on first touch. • Fibonacci Retracement: After the impulsive move 4,184 → 4,228, price is correcting toward standard retracement levels: 0.382 0.5 0.618 Notably: 0.618 overlaps with demand + liquidity zone → high reaction probability. • Current Price Action: Price is pulling back gently into the BUY zone, without forming new lower lows — confirming that selling pressure is fading. 🎯 Trade Plan – BUY Following Smart Money Flow 🟢 Primary BUY Zone: 4,184 – 4,186 ✔ Confluence with Fibo 0.618 ✔ Same area as liquidity sweep low ✔ Aligns with the recovery-trend demand zone Stop Loss: Below 4,170 (clears all remaining liquidity underneath) Short-Term Targets: • TP1: 4,228 – first reaction zone • TP2: 4,241 – bearish OB • TP3 (extended): 4,256 – 4,258 Alternative Scenario: If price breaks 4,241 convincingly and closes above it on M30 → bullish continuation is confirmed → extended targets at 4,270 – 4,280. 📌 Important Notes • Avoid FOMO buying in the middle of the range; wait for demand + Fibo reaction. • When price reaches 4,228 – 4,241, consider partial profits to protect gains. • Structure becomes invalid only if price breaks below 4,170. 💬 Conclusion Short-term bias favours a bullish pullback, with an optimal BUY setup around 4,184 – 4,186. If this zone holds, gold has room to extend its recovery towards 4,241 → 4,256+.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAUUSD: Rate Cut Storm Ahead! Is Gold Set to Soar?1. 📢 FUNDAMENTALS PUSHING PRICE FED About to Cut Interest Rates (90%): Cooling U.S. economic data strengthens the expectation of a 25bps cut next week. This weakens the USD and supports Gold. Geopolitical Risks: Russia-Europe tensions keep the safe-haven demand for Gold high. Key Event: Watch PCE on Friday to better determine the Fed's monetary policy path. 2. 🎯 TECHNICAL ENTRY POINTS The optimal strategy is to BUY ON DIPS at strong support: Optimal Buying Zone (Discount Zone): $4,181 – $4,186. This is the ideal Long Entry Point. Resistance/POC: $4,207. Important short-term level. Upside Target: $4,240. Next profit-taking target. 👉 Conclusion: Be patient and wait for Gold to adjust to the $4,181 - $4,186 zone to enter a buy order with low-risk advantage, leveraging macro upward momentum. #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #InterestRateCut #GoldAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Rising, Monitor BUY at📊 Market Structure Gold is in an accumulation phase after a short-term drop creating ChoCH at lower price levels. The current structure shows that the price has formed an Equal High (EqH) around 4,235 – a sign that the market may be holding liquidity above to support the next push. The price returns to test the area 4,192 – 4,193 USD — this is the nearest support zone, and also the point where previous buying pressure created an upward BoS . If this area continues to hold, the short-term upward structure will be reactivated. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Support Zone (Buy Zone): 4,192 – 4,193 USD • Invalidation: below 4,170 USD • Target 1: 4,237 USD • Target 2: 4,249 USD • Target 3: 4,264 USD • Target 4: 4,284 USD • Liquidity Zone: 4,323 USD 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY Priority 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Support 4,192 If the price retests the area 4,192 – 4,193 and a bullish candlestick signal appears (rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 4,192 – 4,193 • SL: 4,170 • TP1: 4,237 • TP2: 4,249 • TP3: 4,264 • TP4: 4,284 • TP5: 4,323 (sweep liquidity EqH) → This is a setup in line with the short-term trend, as liquidity above the EqH peak remains and is likely to be swept. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – For Intraday Traders Only If the price retests higher resistance zones and reacts with a strong decline: • Waiting SELL Zone: – 4,249 – 4,264 – 4,284 • Short TP: back to 4,225 – 4,216 → This setup only trades against the trend when clear rejection is observed. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current trend still supports the continuation of the upward expansion. The 4,192 USD area is crucial: holding this area → prioritize BUY; losing this area → the market will need to sweep deeper before rising again. ⚡ “Follow the liquidity — the market always returns to collect what it left behind.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 03/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – H1 Sideways, Priority is Trading at Liquidity Zones...XAUUSD – H1 Sideways, Priority is Trading at Liquidity Zones Gold is moving sideways on the H1 timeframe, with price fluctuating around the equilibrium zone and not choosing a clear direction yet. In this condition, I avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range — instead, I only trade at the liquidity edges, where volume is higher and order-flow signals are clearer. 🎯 BUY Scenario – “Liquidity Buy” at the Lower Range Buy: 4.191 – 4.194 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290 The 4.191–4.194 zone is a Liquidity Buy area: It aligns with the most recent sweep low. It sits near a thick volume cluster showing strong absorption of sell orders earlier. If price dips into this zone, I prefer buying back toward the upper boundary of the range, taking partial profits from 4.212 up to 4.26x. This setup follows the idea of catching the defensive buy flow that is protecting the bottom of the accumulation zone. 🔁 SELL Scenario – Sell POC at Upper Range 4.237–4.240 Sell: 4.237 – 4.240 SL: 4.245 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155 The 4.237–4.240 zone is a Sell POC / supply region: Heavy volume sitting at the top. Confluence with the current range high. Price has previously rejected several times from this region. If price returns to this zone, I prefer selling down toward the mid and lower range. SL is kept tight above 4.245 to avoid being caught by a genuine breakout. 1️⃣ Broader Context – Market Shock ≠ Market Collapse 2013 – Abenomics: BOJ’s extreme easing caused volatility, but no systemic crash. 2022–2023: Fed hiked aggressively; risk assets corrected but eventually recovered. Lesson: Modern financial markets are highly resilient to policy shocks. For gold, this means: Current pullbacks are not signs of a trend collapse — they are position re-balancing phases. Our task is to read price levels & liquidity instead of reacting emotionally to short-term news. 2️⃣ Technical View from H1 Price is ranging between ~4.19x and ~4.24x. Volume Profile shows most volume at the centre; liquidity is thin at both edges — perfect zones for stop hunts and reversals. A deeper Buy Zone POC lies around 4.16x. If price breaks below 4.155 and closes beneath it, the short-term bullish structure becomes threatened. With no clean breakout yet, I stick to a mean-reversion strategy: Buy at the liquidity bottom Sell at the supply top Until the sideways structure breaks 3️⃣ Today’s Trading Plan Only trade around the two edges: ✔ Buy Setup Buy: 4.191–4.194 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290 ✔ Sell Setup Sell: 4.237–4.240 SL: 4.245 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155 No entries in the middle of the range to avoid getting “bitten from both sides.” Keep risk at 1–2% per trade, do not widen SL. If price breaks strongly beyond either boundary and stabilizes, I stop the range-trading strategy and wait for a new structure. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow the TradingView account and share whether today you prefer BUY at the bottom or SELL at the POC zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
2
XAU/USD: Peak Sweep Done, Price Distributing in Premium📊 Market Structure • After a strong bullish leg, Gold formed a clear Liquidity Sweep at the highs around 4,261 USD (Fibo Sell) , taking out all liquidity above that zone. • From that high, price gradually weakened and printed a bearish ChoCH (loss of buying pressure; short-term structure no longer clean). • Price is currently trading inside the premium zone between 4,190 – 4,241: – 4,241 = Fibo Sell / liquidity extreme . – 4,225 – 4,216 = lower premium zone , likely to react before retesting the highs. – 4,190 = Liquidity Sweep + short-term support : only if price breaks below and retests from underneath will this zone flip into resistance for SELL continuation. ⇒ Current picture: short-term bearish bias , but sells should come from the premium zones (4,216–4,241) or only after a confirmed break of 4,190 — avoid chasing mid-range. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Fibo Sell Zone: around 4,241.451 → optimal extreme for hunting SELL setups. • Reaction Levels: – 4,225.474 – 4,216.171 • Liquidity Sweep Support: 4,190.485 → main short-term support. • Support / TP Zones: – 4,163.586 – 4,155.294 (old OB) – 4,142.755 – 4,116.058 (deeper low – extended target) 🎯 Trading Plan – SELL Priority From Premium 1️⃣ Primary SELL – Fibo Sell 4,241 & Premium 4,225–4,232 Ideal scenario: price retraces into the upper premium zone and prints a clear rejection signal (pin bar / engulfing / rejection volume). • Entry 1: 4,225 – 4,232 (first scale-in) • Entry 2: 4,235 – 4,241 (add if price sweeps higher) • Stop Loss: above 4,250 • TP1: 4,190 • TP2: 4,163 • TP3: 4,155 • TP4: 4,142 • TP5: 4,116 → Classic “sell the premium” setup: wait for price to return to the swept highs — avoid FOMO in the middle. 2️⃣ SELL Continuation – After Breaking 4,190 Only valid if we get a clear H1 close below 4,190 , confirming the Liquidity Sweep zone has been violated and flipped into resistance. • Condition: H1 close below 4,190 → wait for a retest of 4,190–4,195 from underneath • Entry: 4,190 – 4,195 • SL: above 4,205 • TP1: 4,163 • TP2: 4,155 • TP3: 4,142 • TP4: 4,116 → This setup is only for traders who prefer clean continuation after a confirmed break of support. 3️⃣ Countertrend BUY – Only From Deep Zones • Aggressive: watch for reactions at 4,163 – 4,155 . If strong rejection appears, consider a technical BUY retracement toward 4,190 – 4,216 (scalp). • Conservative: wait for a deep test of 4,116 (stronger demand zone) before searching for BUY setups. → This is strictly countertrend; only take it if strong confirmation appears. Otherwise, skip and focus on SELL opportunities in premium zones. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is currently “hanging” within premium after a very clean top sweep. The safest strategy is to let price return to 4,225–4,241 before selling, or wait for a confirmed break of 4,190 to play continuation. Avoid selling directly at 4,190 while it still acts as support. “Sell the premium, respect the levels – liquidity never lies.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 02/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold Price at Critical Resistance Breakout or Rejection SetupChart Analysis (All Strategies Used) 1️⃣ Trend Analysis Price is moving inside a descending structure, but recently broke above the short-term trendline, showing bullish momentum. EMAs 70 & 200 are acting as dynamic support—bullish signal 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Strong resistance zone: 4,228 – 4,236 (multiple rejections earlier). Support zone: around the 4,195 – 4,200 region. If price stays above support + EMAs, bullish continuation likely. 3️⃣ Breakout Strategy Price is retesting resistance again. A clean breakout above 4,236 can send the price toward the buying target: 4,263.60 🚀. 4️⃣ Rejection / Pullback Strategy If price fails at 4,236 and rejects strongly, expect a drop back toward: Support 4,195 Selling Target: 4,162 📉 5️⃣ EMA Strategy Price is above both EMAs → trend favors buyers. If price dips and closes below EMA 70 + EMA 200, selling pressure strengthens. 6️⃣ Risk–Reward Strategy Buy setup: Break & retest above 4,236 → target 4,263. Sell setup: Strong rejection at resistance → target 4,162. Good RR on both sides depending on breakout vs. rejection. 📌 Final Summary Price is at a critical resistance zone (4,236). ➡️ Breakout = BUY toward 4,263 ➡️ Rejection = SELL toward 4,162 CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:ES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME_MINI:MES1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! COMEX:SI1! NYMEX:CL1! CME_MINI:NQ1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by MR_NARCOS144
Gold Pullback to Bullish OB, Watch for Buy at 4,170–4,155⏰ Timeframe: 30 minutes 📅 Update: 12/02/2025 🔍 Market Context After gold surged from the 4,115 USD area, the price peaked at 4,256 USD, then a small Bearish OB appeared around 4,223 USD (Fibo area 0.618–0.786) – where the market reacted with a slight decline. Currently, the price is in a technical pullback phase after a long rally, forming a bearish CHoCH and a small BoS, indicating the market is rebalancing liquidity before deciding the next direction. However, the main structure (H1–H4) still maintains a bullish bias, so the current adjustment area is only technical – suitable for observing buy opportunities from lower levels. 📊 Technical Breakdown Bearish OB – Fibo Sell (4,223): short-term supply area, first reaction down after the peak of 4,256. Small BoS (4,205): confirms the adjustment structure has formed. Bullish Order Block (4,170–4,155): main demand area confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – where strong buying force may reappear. Extended target: 4,256 → 4,271 (FE 1.272–1.618) if the uptrend continues. 💎 Key Levels 🟢 Support (Buy Zones): • 4,205 USD → short-term balance area, may react quickly. • 4,170–4,155 USD → main Bullish OB area, confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – ideal reaction point. 🔴 Resistance (Sell Zones): • 4,223 USD → small Bearish OB – short-term supply area. • 4,256 USD → main peak, short-term profit-taking area. • 4,271 USD → extended target, upper liquidity area. 🎯 Trading Plan Main Scenario – BUY SETUP (priority): Wait for price to adjust to 4,170–4,155 USD. Observe for bullish reversal signals (CHoCH, engulfing, long rejection). Target increase: 4,223 → 4,256 → 4,271 USD. Alternative Scenario – Deeper Sweep: If price breaks 4,155, expect further liquidity test at 4,138–4,130 USD, before bouncing back. 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is following the “pullback in an uptrend structure” model. As long as the price stays above 4,155 USD, the larger trend remains bullish. The reasonable scenario is to watch for reactions at Bullish OB 4,170–4,155 – this is the area with the highest probability for the next recovery. ⚙️ Reaction Plan BUY zone: 4,170 → 4,155 TP1: 4,223 TP2: 4,256 TP3: 4,271 Invalidation: M30 candle closes below 4,155 🛡️ Risk Note Limit orders between the area (4,205–4,215). Only confirm the trend with clear structural signals at the OB area. Analysis is purely technical – not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
3
Gold H1 – Will 4278–4280 Trigger a Drop Into 4170 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (01/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold. Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone. • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone. • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks. Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288 • Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price touches 4280 zone • Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest) 3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 • Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price dips into 4170 zone • Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel) 2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel) 3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest) ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries. • Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps. • Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation. • Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size. Summary Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg. Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR WAVE 5 BUY, SKIPS ALL SELL SETUPS ON ...XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR WAVE 5 BUY, SKIPS ALL SELL SETUPS ON 03/12 1. Quick Summary Main timeframe: H2 – H4 Data used: TPO, Footprint, Elliott Wave, futures/option flow Core idea: Today Lana prioritises BUY setups only, aligned with Wave 5. Key zone: Buy around 4190–4194, SL 4185, TP targeting the Wave 5 peak near 4315. 2. Futures & Market Profile Data 1. US Session TPO – “Thin” Structure Yesterday’s TPO formed a Thin Profile, which commonly appears after a shakeout in an overall uptrend. The Value Area was accepted at the lower region, but the market did not spend much time there. Upper auction zones remain unfinished → increasing the probability that price will return to retest higher levels. 2. Footprint Chart – Strong Trap Sell with Negative Delta On the H1 candle, the Footprint chart recorded a Trap Sell with Delta around –1113 contracts. Sellers attempted a push down but were absorbed completely, leaving many short positions trapped at the candle’s low. Lana interprets this as a sign that smart money is accumulating — shaking out weak buyers while absorbing fear-based sell orders. 3. Elliott Wave Outlook & Key Price Areas The raw Elliott Wave count is still following the scenario Lana shared earlier this week: Monday: Uptrend confirmed. Tuesday: Wave 4 correction, offering a small sell opportunity. Wednesday (today): Expectation of Wave 5 upward, so Lana focuses on buying. The 4190–4194 zone aligns with the recent swing low and a strong liquidity/accumulation area. Ideal Take-Profit Levels: Minimum: Current Wave 5 high If the wave extends cleanly: Around 4315 Higher liquidity clusters at 4250–4260 and 4365–4370, based on H4/H2 chart structures 4. Trading Plan ⭐ Primary Scenario – ONLY BUY Today Buy: 4190 – 4194 Stop Loss: 4185 Target: Current Wave 5 top Extended target: Around 4315 (traders may divide TP depending on personal strategy) Lana does not recommend selling against the trend today. This is Lana’s personal market view based on TPO, Footprint, and the Elliott Wave model. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Can 4265 Breakout or Trap Into 4185?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Spot gold recently surged — reflecting multi-week highs — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength and rate-cut odds have kept gold bid. From a technical perspective, price sits compressed at the channel top, signaling liquidity plays before the next institutional leg. Macro tone from Powell’s opening remarks on ForexFactory adds volatility fuel. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~4265–4267 (upper-edge pool of liquidity) • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~4186–4184 (demand liquidity near prior displacement base) • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel compression → no blind trading unless structure validates direction Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → FVG/OB Retest → Expansion Gold remains primed for a directional move only after structure confirms intent. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 • Thesis: Liquidity sweep above equal highs at premium edge, followed by engineered bearish BOS confirming institutional selling intent. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price pokes 4266 zone → bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after BOS validation • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (channel EQ retest) 3. 4186 – 4184 (full delivery into discount) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 • Thesis: Discount liquidity tap at institutional base, buy absorption after sweep + bullish BOS signaling new intraday demand. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on rejection wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 4. 4215 5. 4240 6. 4265+ ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside mid-range without CHoCH/BOS validation — sweeps are traps until proven by MSS + BOS. • Use SL for structure invalidation only — no averaging in compression. • Reduce lot size during Powell’s delivery window; macro impulses can run both sides of liquidity fast. 📍 Summary Gold is coiling at highs for liquidity. Either Powell triggers a 4266 sweep → bearish BOS → delivery, or price hunts 4185 discount → bullish BOS → continuation. Trade the structure, not the narrative — wait for CHoCH & BOS + retest to unlock expansion. 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – December 3, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis D1 – Daily Timeframe Daily momentum is currently turning downward. Looking at the D1 candle, price broke above the (A) high but closed back below it. This can be considered a liquidity sweep. We need to wait for today’s daily close to confirm whether price can close above 4245. With D1 momentum moving down, the market is likely to enter a 4–5 day corrective or sideways phase. ________________________________________ H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe H4 momentum is still rising. Based on its current position, the H4 momentum may need 1–2 more candles to reach the overbought zone. Therefore, I expect price to approach the 4245 resistance, where H4 momentum will likely enter the overbought zone and reverse. ________________________________________ H2 – 2-Hour Timeframe H2 momentum is clustered tightly in the overbought zone → reversal can happen at any moment. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure On the D1 chart, an (A)(B)(C) structure of wave X is forming. The technical projection for the upside target is 4329 – 4396. However, current momentum does not support further bullish continuation. According to my trading approach, when uncertainty is high, I always prioritize momentum over wave projection. → Therefore, I treat the daily trend as bearish for now, until momentum shows a clear reversal. “When in doubt, rely on an objective reference point — even if it may be right or wrong.” ________________________________________ H4 Wave Structure On H4, I temporarily label a green 5-wave pattern for easier observation. However, this structure is not confirmed yet, because wave 5 is only valid if price breaks above 4263. At the moment, both scenarios remain possible: • Price may still be in green wave 4, or • Wave X (purple) may already be complete, and price may be developing purple wave Y. Since H4 momentum is still rising and not yet overbought, I expect price to test the 4245 zone. If H4 momentum enters the overbought area and reverses at that zone, it will form a high-probability Sell setup. If price breaks above 4263 while H4 momentum is overbought, we will need to re-evaluate the green 5-wave structure. ________________________________________ H2 Wave Structure On H2, a 5-wave black structure has already completed, followed by a strong decline. Price is now retracing upward. H2 momentum is in the overbought area, which means a reversal can occur at any time. I expect price to reach the 4245 zone for a Sell opportunity. If price fails to reach 4245 and instead drops straight below 4168, then the upper-zone Sell plan will be canceled. ________________________________________ 3. Overall Market Context We are inside a daily corrective wave, meaning multiple scenarios can coexist. This is normal for corrective structures and makes precise forecasting more difficult. → Therefore, trading during this phase requires extra caution and strict risk management to protect the account. ________________________________________ 🎯 Trading Plan Sell Zone: 4244 – 4246 Stop Loss: 4267 TP1: 4184 TP2: 4144 TP3: 4081
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold 4H Technical Outlook: Demand Zone Re-Test and Bullish ContiChart Analysis (Gold – 4H) 1. Market Structure Price is in a clear ascending channel, respecting both the support line and rejection line. Recent pullback has returned to a demand zone (4,114–4,148), which has acted as a strong buy area before. 2. Key Zones Demand Zone: 4,114 – 4,148 Strong reaction expected; buyers previously stepped in here. Target Point: 4,319 Based on channel top + measured move projection (153 pts). 3. Moving Averages (EMA 200 & EMA 70) Price is trading above both EMAs, indicating bullish market sentiment. EMA70 is acting as dynamic support inside the channel. EMA200 supports the overall long-term uptrend. 4. Pattern Recognition A bullish flag (red highlighted area) recently broke upward, confirming continuation. Current movement shows another retest of the demand zone, which aligns with the channel support. 5. Trendline Analysis Support trendline has been touched multiple times — strong confirmation. Rejection line shows sellers but remains intact inside the channel. 6. Price Action Signals Recent wicks near the demand zone show buyer interest. Higher lows continue to form. 🎯 Expected Move If price maintains above 4,114–4,148, the next target remains: ➡️ 4,319 (upper channel resistance) Bullish continuation is favored unless price closes below 4,114, which would break structure. CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:NQ1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! NYMEX:CL1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:SI1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS144
XAUUSD Pullback Zone Buy Setup – Demand Re-Entry Toward Higher TMarket Structure & Price Action Analysis Trend Context: Price recently pushed into a higher-timeframe supply zone (the blue area) and rejected strongly, creating a short-term downtrend. Pullback Behavior: Price is currently retracing downward, breaking minor support levels and forming lower lows, but the bearish momentum appears to be slowing. Demand Zone (Entry Area): Your marked Entry zone (around 4177–4180) aligns with: Previous consolidation A prior breakout origin A sweep of liquidity (the pin-bar wick marked with the red circle) This makes it a high-probability demand area for a bullish reaction. 📌 Trade Idea Breakdown Entry Around 4177–4180 where price may retest the demand zone. Confirmation Look for: Bullish engulfing Strong rejection wick Break of short-term structure (e.g., break above 4198) Target Re-test of the upper supply zone (around 4208–4215). This aligns well with your green projection arrow. 🎯 Bias Bullish from demand → Targeting supply, as long as price holds above 4177 and shows bullish confirmation. If price breaks below this zone with momentum, bullish setup becomes invalid.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
GOLD IN HAND WITH FED'S PUSH: ADJUSTMENT IS AN OPPORTUNITY!Wonderful! I will create another headline focusing on market dynamics and fundamental factors, excluding specific price levels, but still maintaining appeal and information. 🐂 GOLD IN HAND WITH FED'S PUSH: ADJUSTMENT IS AN OPPORTUNITY! 🚀 1. Fundamental Push Main Support Force: Expectations of a dovish Fed and weak US economic data (PMI ISM 48.2) are weakening the USD and increasing bets on a Fed rate cut in December, strongly supporting Gold. Geopolitical risks remain a potential "lifeline." 2. Technical Analysis & Opportunity The main structure (1H) remains an Uptrend. The current price drop is a Pullback. Strategic BUY Zone (DPZ): Range: $4,195.961 – $4,199.760 (Converging with the Uptrend Line). Action: WAIT TO BUY (LONG) when a confirmed reversal signal appears in this zone. Targets: TP1 (Short-term): $4,219.953 TP2 (Long-term): $4,244.426 Stop Loss: Set a safe SL below DPZ, for example: Below $4,190.00. 🔥 Conclusion: As long as XAU/USD holds above the Uptrend Line and DPZ, we prioritize seeking BUY opportunities to continue the main trend. #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #FED #USD #LongOpportunity #MarketStructure
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Favour Short-term Sells & Buy at...✨ XAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Favour Short-term Sells & Buy at POC Gold has just tapped a new high around 4,264 — the highest level in six weeks — and is now entering a technical correction phase. Liquidity on the sell side has been tested, but the medium-term uptrend remains intact, so my plan is to trade both directions: Sell short-term when price retraces into supply Buy again at the POC zone, where buying interest is likely to return 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL at the POC Zone 4.236–4.238 Sell: 4.236 – 4.238 SL: 4.244 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.145 On the H1 chart, 4.236–4.238 is the POC area + the volume distribution top, aligning with the upper boundary of the small consolidation after the steep rally. If price retests this region, I prioritise a scalping sell along the ongoing correction, targeting: 4.220 – 4.202: short-term support 4.180 – 4.145: deeper support, confluence with the major ascending trendline This setup goes against the medium-term uptrend, so I keep position size small and use a firm SL at 4.244. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY at the POC Buy Zone 4.156–4.158 Buy: 4.156 – 4.158 SL: 4.150 TP: 4.175 – 4.190 – 4.225 – 4.250 The 4.156–4.158 zone is the POC Buy area, with: Confluence of the ascending trendline The accumulation zone before price broke out toward 4.26x If gold pulls back deeply and forms a strong reaction (pin bar, long wick, rising buy volume), I consider this a good DCA opportunity following the medium-term uptrend, targeting 4.19x – 4.225, and higher toward 4.25x. 1. Fundamental Context Gold and silver continue to benefit from expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, a weakening USD, and signs of a slowing US economy. Gold has gained +6% in November, marking the 4th consecutive positive month, and is up over 60% YTD — on track for its strongest annual performance in 46 years. Economic and geopolitical uncertainty continues to push flows into safe-haven assets, with silver additionally supported by industrial demand — indirectly strengthening sentiment toward precious metals. Key events on 02/12: 08:00: Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks 22:00: Fed Governor Bowman testifies before the House Financial Services Committee Both events may trigger strong intraday volatility, especially if the Fed’s tone deviates from the market’s “dovish expectations”. 2. Technical & Market Sentiment Outlook After the vertical rally to 4.26x, gold is sliding inside a descending channel on H1, reflecting short-term profit-taking pressure. Sell POC 4.236–4.238 is where sellers are defending aggressively — every retest brings visible supply. Buy Zone POC 4.156–4.158 is where buyers previously absorbed large sell orders before pushing price upward; this zone will likely be defended to protect the medium-term uptrend. Current sentiment: Short-term: Sellers have the edge due to profit-taking after a new high Medium-term: Capital still prefers gold, so I avoid turning fully bearish unless 4.145 breaks decisively 3. Action Plan Short-term Sell if price retests 4.236–4.238 SL: 4.244 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.145 Buy again at 4.156–4.158 if a strong reaction appears SL: 4.150 TP: 4.175 – 4.190 – 4.225 – 4.250 Keep risk per scenario at 1–2% of your account Never widen the SL when the market goes against your position During Powell/Bowman speeches, reduce lot size or stay out to avoid getting hit by sudden spikes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA’S CORRECTION OUTLOOK FOR 02/12✨ XAUUSD – LANA’S CORRECTION OUTLOOK FOR 02/12 1. Quick Update Today, Lana views gold as being in a short-term corrective phase, mainly forming Wave 4 in Elliott Wave, after a strong upward move earlier. The goal is to take advantage of this technical pullback to: Sell short toward lower price zones Then buy again at a strong support area in line with the main trend 2. Technical Analysis The 4250–4260 Liquidity Zone on the weekly timeframe is a very strong liquidity region based on Market Profile. Lana considers this an area prone to a “fake break” — price may push up to grab liquidity before pulling back. Based on Session data, Lana prioritises the scenario where: Price gets rejected around that upper liquidity region Then forms a downward move toward 418x, completing the Wave 4 correction Once Wave 4 is complete, the medium-term uptrend can still continue. 3. Key Price Zones Liquidity / Strong Resistance: 4250 – 4260 Short-term Sell Zone: 4236 – 4241 Buy Zone (Trend-follow Buy): 4180 – 4175 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐ Scenario 1 – Sell with the correction Sell: 4236 – 4241 SL: Above 4245 Target: 418x (can take partial profits around 4180) ⭐ Scenario 2 – Buy with the trend after correction Buy: 4180 – 4175 SL: 4170 TP: Minimum 20 dollars (you may take profit gradually at nearby resistance levels) Lana’s Priority Approach Avoid buying directly at the Liquidity Zone 4250–4260 Be patient and wait for: ✔ Sell at 4236–4241 ✔ Buy at 4180–4175 following the main trend This is Lana’s personal view for the correction phase on 02/12. Please evaluate carefully and manage your risk before entering any trade. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Positive Delta Formation time to buy at dips again. XAUUSDThis footprint shows aggressive sellers getting absorbed, then buyers stepping in and reversing the auction, confirmed by a change in delta and a bullish pin bar structure. What delta is showing - Each candle’s delta is buy volume minus sell volume, so negative delta = aggressive selling at the bid, and positive delta = aggressive buying at the offer. - When you see a series of candles with heavy negative delta at similar prices but price is not breaking lower, it often means sellers are getting absorbed by passive buy limits sitting in the book. Reading your highlighted zone - The previous candle has a strongly negative delta (around −164K), meaning aggressive sellers hit the bid hard at those same price levels but could not push the market down much further, which hints at seller exhaustion or absorption. - The next candle forms a pin bar with a long lower wick and flips to a solid positive delta (around +125K), meaning that after sellers tried again at the lows, aggressive buyers lifted the offer and reclaimed the range, trapping late shorts in the wick. Logical order‑flow narrative - Step 1: Into the low, repeated negative delta shows traders selling aggressively, but the lack of fresh lows means big passive buyers are absorbing that flow at the bid (large negative delta, small net progress in price). - Step 2: On the pin bar candle, sellers again attack the same prices, but this time buyers respond even more aggressively, flipping delta positive and bidding price back above the prior traded cluster – that’s buyer accumulation at the same levels where sellers just loaded up. - Step 3: Once price lifts, those trapped sellers must buy back to exit, adding fuel to the upside; the following candles keep printing higher with mostly positive or improving delta, confirming that control has shifted to buyers and the move is likely to continue. How to trade this logic - Treat “big negative delta at lows + no breakdown” as a potential trap/absorption zone, then look for the next candle to show a clear rejection wick plus a decisive flip to positive delta as entry confirmation for longs. - Manage risk just below the pin bar low (where sellers failed), and only stay in the trade while subsequent footprints keep showing supportive or at least non‑bearish delta; if price makes new highs on weakening or negative delta, start expecting profit‑taking or a possible stall.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by XAUUSDANALYST
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 1 of December 20251. Momentum W1 – Weekly Timeframe Weekly momentum is currently turning upward, exactly as warned last week: if weekly momentum continues to rise strongly, the market may enter a bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. However, the candlestick structure still shows short, overlapping candles, which do not yet reflect a clear long-term uptrend. Therefore, we need to continue monitoring closely. D1 – Daily Timeframe Daily momentum remains compressed in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal on the daily chart in the coming week. H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe H4 momentum is currently rising, suggesting that early in the Asian session on Monday the market may continue with another upward move or remain in a sideways structure. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure W1 – Weekly Timeframe On the weekly chart, the main focus remains on weekly momentum: • If weekly momentum pushes decisively into the overbought zone and price breaks the 4,396 high, the current corrective structure may be considered complete, and the market could begin yellow wave 5. • The initial upside target in this scenario would be the 4,592 region. However, weekly candles still do not support a long-term bullish view, as they lack a pattern of higher highs and higher lows and instead show overlapping behavior. Therefore, for now, we prioritize monitoring the wave structure and momentum on D1. ________________________________________ D1 – Daily Timeframe The strong rally on Friday pushed the price higher, threatening the red 1–2–3–4–5 count. However, to fully invalidate this structure, price must reach or exceed 4,245. → Therefore, at this moment, the red 1–2–3–4–5 wave count remains valid. If price breaks above 4,245, it suggests that purple wave X is still unfolding, forming a W–X–Y Flat correction in purple, with wave Y potentially ending near the previous wave X bottom. If price breaks strongly above the orange wave 3 high (4,383), the market will enter orange wave 5, and given the nature of commodities—where wave 5 often extends—targets could exceed 4,592. ________________________________________ H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe Since the red 1–2–3–4–5 count has not been invalidated, we continue to follow this plan. On the H4 chart: • Price is currently inside blue wave 5, which itself belongs to black wave 5 of blue wave C. • Black wave 5 shows a five-wave internal structure in blue, but with overlapping price action, suggesting a possible ending diagonal formation for black wave 5. If this is indeed an ending diagonal, the market should experience a sharp decline to confirm the pattern. Key confirmation signals to watch on Monday: • A H4 candle closing below 4,184 • Ideally, a stronger close below 4,158 If these conditions appear, we will prioritize breakout trading around: • 4,184 • 4,158 I will provide a detailed update once we have real market data early next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD: Buy Gold at 4,217 or FVG 4,182!📊 Market Structure Gold continues to maintain a strong upward structure after creating a series of BoS continuously from the 4,156 USD region. This morning's H1 breakout pushed the price above the short-term peak, confirming that the BUY side is in full control. The price is currently returning to retest the Demand intraday 4,217 – 4,210 USD area — this is the first support area where buyers can continue to push the upward wave. If the pullback is deeper, gold may reach the FVG 4,182 – 4,172 USD area, coinciding with fibo 0.5 – 0.618 → the most attractive discount area in this wave. The main trend remains bullish as long as the price stays above: • 4,217 – Demand 1 • 4,182 – FVG Discount • 4,156 – Key Demand Zone 💎 Key Technical Zones • Demand Zone 1: 4,217 – 4,210 • FVG Discount: 4,182 – 4,172 • Strong Demand (structure holding bottom): 4,156 • Target Zones: – 4,285 – 4,309 – 4,321 – 4,342 – 4,369 (liquidity above peak) 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest Demand 4,217 When the price touches 4,217 – 4,210 with confirmation signals (long wick, H1 engulfing). • Entry: 4,217 – 4,210 • SL: below 4,200 • TP1: 4,285 • TP2: 4,309 • TP3: 4,342 • TP4: 4,369 → Quick setup – follow the momentum. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – Deep Pullback to FVG 4,182 In case the price shakes strongly before continuing to push the wave. • Entry: 4,182 – 4,172 • SL: below 4,156 • TP: 4,217 → 4,285 → 4,342 → This is the “best” price area to accumulate BUY in the session. 🧠 Vincent’s View H1 shows a strong upward structure, clear momentum. The current adjustment is just a technical pullback before hitting the upper liquidity levels. As long as gold stays above 4,182 – the trend remains bullish and the targets 4,285 – 4,342 are entirely feasible. “Smart money buys the dip — not the hype.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 01/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Early-week continuation buys, targeting Fibonacci ...✨ XAUUSD – Early-week continuation buys, targeting Fibonacci extension zones Gold enters the new week under a very special market backdrop: +6.0% in November, marking the 4th consecutive bullish month. This follows +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September. Year-to-date, gold is up about 60.7%, on track to record its strongest yearly gain in nearly five decades. With a market that is literally making history, I am not trying to pick the top. I continue to prioritise trend-following buys, and only consider quick counter-trend sells at extended Fibonacci levels. 🎯 Scenario 1 – BUY THE DIP in line with the bullish trend Buy: 4,194 – 4,195 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295 The 4,194–4,195 zone on H1 is the VAL / lower boundary of the volume distribution after a strong impulsive move. It aligns with short-term structural support. If price pulls back cleanly into this area and forms a solid rejection candle, I prefer adding BUY positions with the prevailing trend. Take-profit structure: 4,210 – 4,235: Near-term resistance zone, also around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. 4,270 – 4,295: Major extension zone 2.618 Fibo, where selling pressure and short-term reversals may become stronger. 🔁 Scenario 2 – Short-term SELL at Fibo 2.618 extension Sell: 4,285 – 4,287 SL: 4,295 TP: 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210 This is a counter-trend setup, suitable only for small-lot scalping trades. If price is pushed into the 4,285–4,287 region (near the 2.618 Fibo extension) but fails to sustain momentum—leaving long wicks or clear bearish reversal signals—I will consider SELLing back toward 4.26x – 4.24x, and deeper to 4.210. 1. Technical View from the Charts The trend on H1/H4 remains strongly bullish, with higher highs and higher lows, and price respecting the upward channel. The latest impulse has already extended above the 1.618 Fibo, now targeting the 2.618 extension around 4.28x–4.29x. Below, VAL around 4.19x is the first support; deeper lies sell-side liquidity near 4.16x, where many buy-side stops are clustered (only relevant for deeper intraday corrections). Given this structure, every pullback into support is treated as a trend-continuation opportunity, not a reversal signal. 2. Market Sentiment & Action Plan After months of strong gains, the market is showing clear FOMO behaviour. This is why I avoid buying directly at resistance and instead wait for price to return to accepted value zones (VAL/POC) for better risk-to-reward entries. The SELL setup is only a secondary scenario, triggered when price reaches a high Fibo extension and fails—usually leading to heavy profit-taking from earlier buyers. ✅ My Trading Plan Primary Setup BUY 4,194–4,195 SL 4,185 TP 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295 Secondary Setup SELL 4,285–4,287 (only with a clean bearish reversal signal) SL 4,295 TP 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210 Risk per scenario remains capped at 1–2% of the account. No widening of stop-losses, and I stay out if market structure breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel,Prepares for New ATH PushGold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow) Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary. The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity. Key Liquidity Zones 4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone 4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill) Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where: ✔️ Demand zone ✔️ Trend channel support ✔️ Fibonacci retracement all align. A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220 SL: 4,210 TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281 Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR) Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199 SL: 4,188 TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281 SELL Trades Only scalp sells at supply zones (4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283) → Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish. ⚜️ MMF View Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections. As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up. A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction. “In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”XAU/USD – Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel, Prepares for New ATH Push Gold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow) Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary. The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity. Key Liquidity Zones 4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone 4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill) Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where: ✔️ Demand zone ✔️ Trend channel support ✔️ Fibonacci retracement all align. A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220 SL: 4,210 TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281 Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR) Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199 SL: 4,188 TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281 SELL Trades Only scalp sells at supply zones (4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283) → Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish. ⚜️ MMF View Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections. As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up. A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction. “In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD EXPLOSION: XAUUSD READY TO ACCELERATE!📰 BASIC SUMMARY (FA): PRESSURE ON USD AND SAFE HAVEN DEMAND Gold is receiving strong support thanks to: FED DOVISH: Recent comments from FED Governors (Waller, Williams) and information about Kevin Hassett potentially taking the position of FED Chairman (supporting strong rate cuts) are boosting expectations for rate cuts, weakening the US Dollar (USD). GEOPOLITICS/ECONOMICS: News about conflicts in the Black Sea and weakening Chinese manufacturing data (PMI decline) reinforce Gold's safe haven role, pushing prices to a 6-week high. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA): MAINTAINING UPWARD STRUCTURE The 2H chart shows Gold in a clear UPWARD trend (with multiple BOS). The optimal strategy is to wait for price adjustments to the key demand zone: Action: ENTRY (BUY) Price Range: $4,185 – $4,192 (Breakout/Demand zone established. Wait for confirmation here.) STOP LOSS (SL): Below $4,160.9 (Invalidates upward structure if price breaks.) TARGET 1 (TP): $4,244.8 (Nearest resistance.) TARGET 2 (TP): $4,270.1 – $4,276.1 (Main growth target.) Strategy: Patiently wait for a Pullback to the $4,185 – $4,192 zone to enter a LONG position following the trend. ⚠️ IMPORTANT ECONOMIC CALENDAR: Pay attention to the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data and other macro reports this week to assess USD momentum. #XAUUSD #GOLD #GoldAnalysis #FED #Dovish #Uptrend #MarketStructure #TradingView #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC