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Xauusdanalysis

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (15/10/2025) 1. Momentum D1: Daily momentum is currently rising and still has room to move into the overbought zone. ➡️ Therefore, the main trend on the D1 timeframe remains bullish until D1 momentum reaches the overbought area and shows signs of reversal. H4: Momentum on H4 is also rising strongly. ➡️ The upward move is likely to continue until H4 enters the overbought zone and starts to turn down. H1: H1 momentum is showing slight bearish divergence, suggesting a possible minor corrective pullback in the short term. 2. Wave Structure D1 Structure: Price is currently in wave 5 (yellow). A larger correction is only expected once D1 momentum enters the overbought zone, signaling the end of wave 5. For now, momentum remains bullish → further upside movement is still likely. H4 Structure: Price is retesting the previous high. There are two possible scenarios: 1️⃣ Formation of a corrective flat or triangle pattern. 2️⃣ Wave 5 (yellow) — which belongs to wave 3 (purple) — is still extending upward. H1 Structure: After a strong correction, price has rallied back toward the previous high around 4193, which serves as a key resistance zone. If 4193 holds and price reverses downward, we may see: • Flat correction: Targeting the 4102 zone – this will be the potential buy area. • Triangle correction: Price will consolidate narrowly, not dropping deeply toward 4102. If price breaks above 4193, the next target could be 4234, which may complete wave 5 (yellow). Since D1 momentum is still rising, it’s not ideal to counter-trade the trend at this stage. 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4103 – 4101 Stop Loss: 4091 Take Profit: 4151
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH, prioritise buying according to POC 4,146–4,148 🟡 Gold continues to make higher highs after a strong rise in the Asian session; the upward channel structure remains intact. On H1, POC ~4,147–4,148 is the nearest support point; above is the resistance cluster according to FE 1.618 ~4,186 and the sell zone 4,221–4,240. Key levels Support: 4,146–4,148 (POC) • 4,140 (short-term invalid). Resistance/targets: 4,166 • 4,186 (FE 1.618) • 4,188–4,200 • 4,221 (sell scalping) • 4,240 (sell zone). Trading scenarios Buy 1 – POC pullback Entry 4,146–4,148 | SL 4,140 | TP 4,166 → 4,188 → 4,200 → 4,245. If it pulls back to POC and H1 shows a confirmation candle/mid-trendline support, prioritise buying. Buy 2 – Shallow retest If the price only dips ~4,160–4,162 then rebounds above POC, additional buying is possible with SL 4,152, TP as above. Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry 4,240 | SL 4,250 | TP 4,222 → 4,200 → 4,188 → 4,160. Only trigger when there is a clear rejection signal at 4,221–4,240; this is a counter-trend trade. Invalidation & management Buying bias weakens when H1 closes below 4,140 or breaks the lower channel edge. After TP1, move SL to entry; avoid chasing price in the 4,18x–4,20x area when volume is thin. 🎯 Quick context The upward momentum is maintained due to expectations of the Fed ending QT/looser conditions and safe haven flows; however, the 4,221–4,240 area may create a short-term reaction before the uptrend continues. Trade well with this scenario!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold → Ready for the Next Bullish WaveGold (XAUUSD) continues to gain momentum as shifting global conditions drive investors toward safer assets. The ongoing uncertainty in financial markets, coupled with renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and interest rate adjustments, has strengthened gold’s long-term appeal. Recent market behavior reflects consistent institutional demand, with traders positioning ahead of potential monetary easing cycles. As confidence in traditional currencies weakens, gold remains a preferred store of value for both investors and central banks. Structurally, the market is maintaining a healthy uptrend, showing controlled corrections within a broader bullish framework. The latest price movements suggest that momentum is building for another upward phase, possibly targeting new historical zones if global instability persists. In summary, gold’s outlook stays constructive — supported by both macroeconomic sentiment and steady technical momentum. How do you see the XAUUSD trajectory evolving — continuation of growth or a major pause ahead?
TVC:GOLD
by XAU_EMPIRE
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | October 14, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: Daily momentum has started to turn upward from the oversold zone, suggesting that the bullish pressure may continue throughout the week. H4: On the H4 chart, momentum is stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating that a reversal could occur at any moment. Currently, there have been 13 consecutive bullish candles in the H4 momentum cycle — a typical length before a reversal often appears. 👉 Therefore, avoid chasing long positions (Buy) at this stage. H1: H1 momentum is also deep in the overbought area, which means a short-term correction could take place soon. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1: The current pattern shows that Wave 5 is extending, which makes it difficult to project the exact target using Fibonacci ratios. However, an extended fifth wave usually ends with a sharp and decisive decline, which serves as a confirmation that Wave 5 has completed. H4: Price is currently forming Wave 5 (yellow), which also represents Wave 3 (purple) in the higher degree. Thus, the uptrend is still intact for now. Once Wave 5 (yellow) — equivalent to Wave 3 (purple) — finishes, the market will likely enter a corrective phase (Wave 4 purple), which would align with a momentum reversal on H4. H1: On the Elliott channel drawn from Wave 2 → Wave 4 → Wave 3 (yellow), price has broken above the upper boundary, which could be a throw-over pattern. If price returns and closes back inside the channel, it would confirm the completion of Wave 5. Connecting Wave 1 and Wave 3 highs, we can see that price is now above this trendline, and the 4157 zone coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension of Waves 1–3 — forming a strong confluence area where a correction is likely to begin. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan At the moment, price is sitting around a major top, where the Monthly Wave 3 and the Weekly Wave 5 structures converge. 👉 This means volatility could be high and unpredictable. For now: • Avoid swing trades, • Focus only on short-term scalp opportunities with tight targets, • Wait for a clear confirmation signal at the top zone before entering new positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
2
m15 timeframe sees gold drop sharply by 50 points 🔍 Market Context Gold prices have just reached an all-time high (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD mark, following a steep upward rally over several sessions. Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of structure (BoS) – a sign that the upward momentum is weakening . Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , and this is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price zone that needs to be filled. Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction. Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deeper demand zone, large liquidity confluence, possibly becoming the main "accumulation point." Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish . 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD zone without surpassing it, → consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase. Target: the first OB Buy Zone at 4,050 USD . Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak). ➡️ This scenario suits short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation. 2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection . Upon confirmation, initiate a trend-following buy order . Target: zone 4,125 → 4,145 USD or the previous peak at 4,180 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD. If the first OB zone does not hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD zone will be an ideal area for long-term "accumulation." ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled. Prioritise trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge). Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital. 💬 Conclusion After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase . The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend. If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Short-term sell when price reacts at FVG. Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed bullish signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by radingserver91
XAUUSD — Decline reaction not yet confirming reversal XAUUSD — Decline reaction not yet confirming reversal | Prioritise buying on Fibonacci retracement 🟡 Summary: The rapid decline at the start of the session did not break the upward structure. Gold continues to move within the Fibonacci expansion wave; prioritise buy-the-dip at confluence zones. Sell orders are only for short-term scalping when there's a clear rejection signal. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1) Structure & Price Behaviour Price is increasing in steps, the recent correction hasn't violated key lows, leaning towards a trend pullback. The chart shows multiple Fib expansion levels (0.618/0.786/1.618/2.618); the 4120–4135 zone is the short-term trading hub, above it are clusters 4160–4188–4179 and further 4200–4220. Volume has slightly decreased compared to previous sessions → likely to see pullbacks at support before continuing. Price Zones to Watch Resistance: 4160–4162, 4179, 4200. Support: 4116–4118, 4102, 4073, 4062–4065, 4024. Significance: 4062–4065 coincides with Fib + old resistance (good confluence for buying); 4116–4118 is the nearest retest; 4160–4162 is a sell retest only for scalping. If 4116–4118 holds and H1 closes above 4130, the probability of retesting 4155/4188 increases. If 4062–4065 breaks and stays below 4057, the adjustment range may extend to 4024. 📰 Fundamental Factors (Highlights) Central banks continue to buy gold, supporting fundamental demand. On 14/10, gold led the commodity basket this year; expectations of Fed rate cuts in upcoming sessions are the main driver for holding gold. Gold ETF: attracted an additional ~2 billion USD (~14 tonnes) last week; YTD cumulative ~68 billion USD, annual demand ~645 tonnes (second only to the 2020 record). ⇒ The cash flow picture supports a medium-term uptrend, although short-term fluctuations remain around Fib/resistance levels. 🎯 Trading Plan (European–American session) — if–then Scenario 1 — BUY near retest (priority) Entry: 4116–4118 SL: 4110 TP: 4134 → 4155 → 4188 → 4222 Condition: if price retests 4116–4118 and a confirmation candle/rebound momentum appears on H1. Scenario 2 — BUY at Fib + old resistance (backup) Entry: 4062–4065 SL: 4057 TP: 4082 → 4098 → 4115 → 4135 Condition: only activate when there's a pullback at 4062–4065; better if reclaiming 4073/4102 afterwards. Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (scalping) Entry: 4160–4162 SL: 4168 TP: 4134 → 4118 → 4100 → 4078 Note: only sell when there's a clear rejection signal (long wick/distribution volume); do not chase price. Invalidation & Risk Management Loss of 4057 → reduce buy priority, wait for new signals at 4024. Risk ≤1–2%/order; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️ Summary Bias: Upward; current decline reaction not confirming reversal. Strategy: Prioritise buy at 4116–4118 and 4062–4065; sell only for scalping at 4160–4162 when signalled. Levels to watch: 4102 – 4073 – 4024 – 4179 – 4200. Note: This article is for reference purposes only, not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
GOLD CRASH ALERT: +60 PRICES DUMP! Waiting for the Ultimate Fibo React BUY Zone. FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan Gold just suffered a brutal 60-point plunge from 416x to 411x, triggered by mounting geopolitical tensions. The market is volatile, and deep correction is highly likely. We must trade smart, not emotionally. 🎯 EMERGENCY ACTION ZONES (H1/M30) Avoid chasing! We only trade when price hits our calculated FIBO REACTION ZONES. 1. SCALP SELL RETRACEMENT: Zone 1 (High): Watch the 407x area (4,077.605). Zone 2 (Key Fibo Resistance): The 405x area (4,048.493). Action: If price bounces back into either zone, look for strong bearish rejection to execute a SCALP SELL. 2. CRITICAL BUY REACT ZONE (The Lifeline): Zone: We are waiting for the AD's updated FIBO REACTION zones that conform to the new deep trend. Action: DO NOT BUY BLINDLY. Only enter a Long when the price reaches these deeper support levels and gives a strong, confirmed BUY REACT signal. ⚠️ Immediate Focus: OBSERVE & WAIT. The AD will provide continuous updates. Manage risk strictly—this volatility demands discipline!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”; prioritise trading around key zones 🟡 Gold just dropped nearly 90 points during the Asian session – a time typically lacking volume, resulting in a “flush” that wiped out many leveraged positions. The larger trend remains bullish, but short-term risks of a deep pullback are present before the European–American markets engage. The accompanying image shows: Price peaked and then broke the upper edge of the H1 uptrend channel → quickly fell to the mid-channel zone. Thick Volume Profile cluster around 4.07x, POC ~4,075; below lies VAL ~4,025. Sell retest zone marked around 4.14x; grey boxes indicate buy zones at 4,075 and 4,056. Key Levels Resistance: 4,143–4,150, 4,122, 4,160. Support: 4,075 (POC), 4,056 (buy scalping), 4,025 (VAL). Scalping watch: 4,057 – 4,085 – 4,160 – 4,025. Trading Scenarios SELL retest (reaction, higher risk) Entry: 4,143 SL: 4,150 TP: 4,122 → 4,105 → 4,078 → 4,050 Idea: activate only upon clear rejection at 4.14x (long wick/engulfing H1). BUY at POC zone Entry: 4,075 SL: 4,067 TP: 4,089 → 4,100 → 4,122 → 4,155 BUY scalping (shallow pullback) Entry: 4,056 SL: 4,049–4,050 TP: 4,075 → 4,089 Invalidation: short-term buy bias weakens if H1 closes below ~4,025 (VAL). If this zone breaks, prioritise waiting for a failed retest to consider selling with the continued downtrend. Practical Notes The range is currently very wide; the European session will increase volume, making false breaks more likely. After TP1, move SL to entry to secure the position. Sell orders are merely reaction trades at 4.14x; prioritise buy-the-dip at 4,075/4,056 upon confirmation signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Sharp Pullback After Hitting New ATHMarket Context: Gold has seen a steep intraday drop after hitting a fresh all-time high at 4,179 USD/oz, extending beyond the morning target of 4,170–4,172. The move likely reflects profit-taking amid broader market caution, as the US Dollar strengthened and GBP fell sharply, indirectly weighing on XAUUSD. Silver also followed the correction, down over 2%, trading near 51 USD/oz after peaking at 53.60 earlier. Despite this drop, the overall market sentiment remains defensive — both metals are still up about 2% for the week, suggesting this is a technical retracement, not a full trend reversal. Technical Outlook (M30): Price has broken below the short-term rising channel and is now retesting key liquidity areas. Watch the 4,134 – 4,135 zone for a potential retest (50% pullback) before continuation toward lower buy zones. End Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,165 – 4,170 Retest Zone (50% Down): 4,134 – 4,135 CP Buy Zone / Fibo 0.618: 4,052 – 4,054 OBS Buy Zone: 4,000 – 4,005 Trading Plan: 🔹 Sell Setup (Correction Play): Entry: 4,134 – 4,136 Stop Loss: 4,142 Take Profit: 4130 - 4125 - 4120 - 4110 - 4100 - ??? 🔹 Buy Setup (Reaction Zone): Entry 1: 4,052 – 4,054 (Fibo 0.618 Confluence) Stop Loss: 4,044 Take Profit: 4056 - 4060 - 4065 - 4070 - 4080 - 4090 - ??? Summary: Gold’s sharp drop after a new ATH signals a short-term correction phase while the broader bullish trend stays intact. A pullback toward 4,052 or even 4,000 could attract buy-side liquidity before any recovery. Keep an eye on 4,135 for a potential retest before continuation. 📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement or the start of a deeper correction? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for precise intraday setups and structure-based analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. Retail Sales & Fed RemarkXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is trading around the ₹4,110 mark, consolidating after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week. Traders are now shifting focus to U.S. Retail Sales data and a series of Federal Reserve remarks due later today — both key drivers that could influence near-term expectations for the next rate decision. After last week’s soft inflation signals, gold initially extended higher, but rising Treasury yields and cautious sentiment ahead of today’s macro releases have slowed momentum. Any hawkish Fed tone or stronger consumer spending data could weigh on XAUUSD, triggering a liquidity sweep from the premium zones before the next accumulation phase begins. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure shows a confirmed BOS on lower timeframes, signaling the end of the previous impulsive leg. • Price currently sits within a Mitigation Zone (4117–4110), reacting to prior imbalance after a clean sweep of internal liquidity. • The Premium Liquidity Zone (4217–4215) aligns with a Rejection Block and is likely to act as a short-term Sell Zone. • Below, the 4056–4058 area marks a Buy-Side Support, overlapping with a previous ChoCH and internal discount OB. • Expect a short-term sell reaction from premium zones before a possible bullish mitigation bounce off support. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4217–4215 SL: 4224 TP targets: 4200 → 4175 → 4160 🟢 Buy Setup: 4056–4058 SL: 4050 TP targets: 4070 → 4090 → 4100+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing either setup. • Be cautious during Fed remarks — volatility spikes are common around liquidity levels. • If price reacts impulsively from 4217 with displacement, partial shorts are favored. • Conversely, if 4056 holds and forms clean bullish structure, it could serve as the base for the next expansion leg. ✅ Summary Gold is likely to engineer a liquidity grab in the premium zone (4217–4215) before retracing into the mitigation area near 4056–4058, where smart money may accumulate long positions. The day’s direction will hinge on how markets interpret upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed tone — expect volatility and false breaks before the true directional move forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAU/USD – Liquidity Cleared, Gold Reloads for the Next Breakout🔍 Market Context This morning, gold price (XAU/USD) experienced a classic liquidity sweep : The price surpassed the previous high of 4058 , touched 4060 , wicked strongly , and short-term corrected – a textbook “liquidity hunt” by major funds. After this drop, the price recovered back to the old ATH zone (4055 – 4060) . This indicates that short-term sellers have weakened , and buyers are reclaiming the crucial structure zone . Therefore, selling strategy is no longer optimal , instead, the market is preparing for a re-accumulation – next breakout. 💎 Technical Analysis Current ATH: 4060 USD Previous High: 4058 USD This morning's liquidity sweep “cleared out” liquidity above, paving the way for a re-accumulation phase before the next rise. The zone 4048 – 4052 is acting as a retest zone – if it holds, this could be the “launchpad” for a breakout to higher price zones. Overall Structure: still bullish , no signs of medium-term reversal. ⚙️ Key Price Zones Retest Zone: 4048 – 4052 → support zone after the sweep, where the price might bounce back. Breakout Zone: 4065 – 4070 → zone confirming buyers regain dominance. Extended Target: 4090 – 4100 USD. Invalidation Zone: below 4040 USD → if breached, the short-term bullish structure will weaken. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Buy Continuation Scenario – Buy with the main trend Wait for the price to retest the 4048 – 4052 zone , observe bullish candle reactions or confirmation signals (Engulfing, Rejection). Open a buy order upon confirmation of holding the support zone. Target: 4065 → 4090 USD. Stop Loss: below 4040 USD. ➡️ This is a trend-following scenario, with the highest probability when the market has completed the liquidity sweep and is re-accumulating. 2️⃣ Buy Breakout Scenario – Buy on confirmed breakout If the price breaks and closes above 4065 , it signals that major funds have returned. Open buy stop or limit retest breakout around 4065 – 4070. Extended Target: 4090 → 4100 USD. Stop Loss: below 4050 USD. ➡️ This scenario suits momentum traders, avoiding the risk of “fake breakout” by waiting for clear confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not sell against the trend at the ATH zone, as liquidity above has been taken. Maintain reasonable volume when trading around the peak zone. Prioritize buying when there is confirmation of the bullish structure holding the 4050 zone . 💬 Conclusion This morning's liquidity sweep has shaken out weak hands , while helping gold pave the way for the next rise . Currently, the price is re-accumulating around the old peak zone 4055 – 4060 , and if the zone 4048 – 4052 continues to hold, there is a high possibility that gold will break out to the 4090 – 4100 USD zone in the upcoming sessions. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Wait to buy at the support zone or buy when the price breaks above 4065. Avoid selling against the trend now – the risk is very high as major funds have shifted to the accumulation phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 1H – Potential Liquidity Sweep Before Fed SpeechesXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold remains steady near ₹4,065, as traders eye upcoming U.S. PPI data and Fed officials’ speeches later today for new guidance on the inflation outlook. The recent rise in Treasury yields has slightly capped gold’s upside momentum, but underlying safe-haven demand persists amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty. If the PPI print shows softer inflation, gold could attract renewed buying; however, a hotter reading may spark another liquidity sweep lower before any sustained rally. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • ChoCH confirmed at 4060+, showing potential exhaustion in the current short-term uptrend. • Price tapped the premium zone (4080–4078), aligning with previous liquidity and imbalance — ideal for a short-term sell setup. • A BOS formed at 4017, opening the way for retracement toward the discount zone (3999–3997). • The 3997–3999 area is a strong demand zone, overlapping with a prior ChoCH and liquidity void — a potential reversal area for bulls. • Expect a liquidity grab at 3990 before a bullish reaction if structure holds. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4080–4078 SL: 4087 TP targets: 4040 → 4015 → 4000 🟢 Buy Setup: 3999–3997 SL: 3990 TP targets: 4035 → 4060 → 4100+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before triggering entries. • Avoid over-leverage during Fed speech hours — price may fake out around liquidity levels. • If price sweeps 4080 liquidity and rejects impulsively, partial short entries are favored. • Conversely, if 3997 holds firm with strong bullish structure, watch for re-entry confirmation to ride the next expansion. ✅ Summary Gold is currently playing within a premium-to-discount framework, as smart money may engineer a sweep of 4080 liquidity before driving price down toward 3997–3999 to collect buy-side orders. After that, a strong bullish reaction is expected from the demand zone if macro conditions (like soft PPI or dovish Fed tone) support it. Stay patient — structure confirmation is key before entering either direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAU/USD: GOLD HITS NEW ATH! Buy or Sell Now?Gold (XAU/USD) is absolutely on fire, hitting a Fresh All-Time High (ATH) this morning! This massive breakout isn't random; it's a direct outcome of global risk factors lining up, making gold the ultimate safe haven: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trade War Reloaded: Trump's shocking 100% tariff threat on China exports has brought back major global uncertainty. Though he's softened his tone, the damage to sentiment is done, pushing money into gold. ⚠️ Geopolitical Heat: Warnings about sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine keep geopolitical tensions brewing, acting as a continuous tailwind for the metal. 🏛️ US Shutdown Drama: The ongoing US government funding deadlock is a big worry, further driving flight-to-safety flows. ✂️ Fed Rate Cut Confidence: High probability of Fed rate cuts in Oct/Dec (96%/87%) provides strong support, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Structure is Full-On BULLISH! The price action today is textbook, showing exactly how Smart Money operates: Liquidity Sweep & FVG: Price first wicked sharply below 4000 for a classic Liquidity Sweep—hunting weak hands' Stop-Losses—and created a temporary Fair Value Gap (FVG), before reversing with massive momentum. Structural Break (BOS & MSS): This aggressive move resulted in a clean Break of Structure (BOS) above the old ATH at 405x, confirming a major Market Structure Shift (MSS). The trend is now unequivocally BULLISH. Trading Plan - The Right Way: Priority: Stick with BUY positions! The bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the Order Block (OB) support at 405x. This is the key level. Big Warning: Don't try to short the top (sell dò đỉnh)! The risk of getting caught in a liquidity grab or price trap at these highs is extremely high. Stay away from counter-trend moves. Sell Scenario (Only if): We only consider a short-term SELL if there's a strong, confirmed candle close below 405x. In that case, we might target a minor pullback to 4000 for profit booking, but the main goal remains to BUY on dips. 👉 Bottom Line: Fundamentals and technicals are singing the same tune. 405x is the line in the sand. Trade carefully, manage your stop-loss, and always do your own research (DYOR). #GOLD #XAUUSD #ATH #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #FED #SmartMoney #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis #SafeHaven #DYOR
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakoutXAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakout | European–American session scenario & detailed trading plan 🟡 Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within the rising price channel. The European–American session prioritises buying in line with the trend at confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak zone. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30) Market Structure Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks. Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135. Key Price Zones & Confluence Support: 4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest. 4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and thick volume cluster (VPVR). Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, note reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618). Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see short rejection before deciding the next direction. Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are levels to monitor price action. Structure Reading Suggestion: If a “buy test trend” occurs near the channel bottom, prioritise finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement. 📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights) Imperial Bank of Commerce: concerns over long-term inflation support gold’s rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination. State Street: delayed rate cuts expectations keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase. Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to lower rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold. Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs is cautious with copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises. Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; as yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130. 🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then) Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority) Entry: 4057–4059 SL: 4052 TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125 Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim channel boundary, continue buying with the trend. Scenario 2 — DEEP BUY at buy zone Entry: 4022–4024 SL: 4016 TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090 Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 thereafter. Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary) Only consider short selling when clear rejection appears at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target to pull back to 4100/4088. Do not chase price. Invalidation & Risk Management If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stand aside and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC). Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL principles first, position later. 🛡️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD HIT MY STOP LOSSGold just broke above our previous OB/Liquidity resistance around 4040–4055, taking out the short-side liquidity and confirming a bullish market structure shift (MSB) on 15M and 1H timeframes. 🔹 Previous plan: Sell-limit at resistance — invalidated as price made a new high. 🔹 Current bias: Bullish continuation towards 4078 → 4095 → 4120. 🔹 Pullback zones to watch: • 4035–4045 (OB retest / liquidity grab area) • 4005–4020 (golden pocket confluence) 🧠 Trading Plan: Wait for price to retrace into key support zones. Look for bullish rejection / confirmation before entering long. First TP near 4078, extended targets 4095+ SL below 4020 zone (structure invalidation). 💬 Price action respected structure beautifully. Remember — the market doesn’t care about our limits, only about liquidity. Trade what’s visible, not what’s emotional. #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #ForexTrader #SmartMoneyConcepts #LuxAlgo #OrderBlockTrading #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction #GoldAnalysis #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #DayTrading #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #alphatechfinances
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by VALHALLA-FX
Sniping the Next BUY Zone for Maximum Gains.The sentiment is clear: Bulls are running the show, preparing for potentially an eighth consecutive weekly gain. Our strategy is simple—wait for the intelligent retest to join the momentum. 🎯 THE TARGET ZONES (M30/H1) We're focusing on the two most crucial zones derived from Fibo React Logic: 1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot): Zone: 4018 - 4014 (Our key Fibo Retest Zone). Action: Wait for Gold to pull back to this area. Execute a BUY (Long) only upon confirmed M30/H1 candle rejection (e.g., Bullish Engulfing/Pin Bar). 2. TAKE PROFIT TARGET (The Next Peak): Zone: 4094 - 4098 (Fibo Extension/SELL React Zone). Action: This is the primary TP for our Long entries, representing the next major target for the buyers. 📈 TRADING SCENARIO Strategy: Patience is key. Let the market retrace to 4018 - 4014. Once confirmation hits, ride the wave up to 4094 - 4098. 🚨 Risk Alert: Be disciplined with your Stop Loss. Maintain strict risk management, especially if the price fails to hold the 4018 - 4014 zone. Let's trade with precision today!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing the trend towards 4,130Gold has broken 4,060 and set a new historical peak thanks to the US-China trade tensions and the expectation of an early Fed rate cut. The main trend remains upward; the next target level according to the channel structure is 4,130. Technical H4→H1 The upward channel has been maintained for several weeks; breaking 4,060 confirms continuation. Nearest liquidity zone: 4,030–4,032. Medium-term volume POC: ~3,988. Target/resistance clusters by rhythm: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130. Trading Plan Buy 1 (retracing to the liquidity zone) Entry: 4,030–4,032 SL: 4,025 TP: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Buy 2 (medium-term POC) Entry: 3,988 SL: 3,980 TP: 4,022 → 4,050 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry: 4,130 SL: 4,140 TP: flexible according to price reaction; prioritize closing at 4,070 if a clear rejection candle appears. Invalidation: short-term upward structure weakens if H1 closes below 3,980. Quick Notes Prioritize “buy-the-dip” at 4,03x and 3,988; sell orders are only reaction trades at 4,130. When TP1 is reached, move SL to entry to protect the position. Volatility around US data release times may create false breaks; maintain disciplined risk management. I will provide immediate updates as price paths change, real-time trading is the best way to be accurate and successful.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold StrongMarket Overview: Gold stays firm as fresh US–China trade tensions and ongoing geopolitical concerns push investors toward safe assets. Expectations of another Fed rate cut are putting pressure on the USD, giving extra strength to gold. Even though short-term indicators show some overbought signs, overall sentiment still favours the bulls. Near-Term Outlook: As long as price remains inside the rising channel, we expect a possible move toward the 4,090–4,100 liquidity zone. A rejection from 4,092–4,095 could lead to a short-term pullback before continuation. Important Levels: Liquidity Buy Zone 1: 4,039 – 4,037 Liquidity Buy Zone 2: 4,017 – 4,015 Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,092 – 4,095 Support: 4,010 – 4,000 Resistance: 4,110 – 4,126 Trading Plan: 🔹 Buy Setup #1 Entry: 4,039 – 4,037 Stop Loss: 4,032 Targets: 4,044 → 4,048 → 4,052 → 4,056 → 4,060 → 4,070 🔹 Buy Setup #2 Entry: 4,017 – 4,015 Stop Loss: 4,010 Targets: 4,022 → 4,026 → 4,030 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 🔹 Sell Setup (Scalp Opportunity) Entry: 4,092 – 4,095 Stop Loss: 4,100 Targets: 4,090 → 4,085 → 4,080 → 4,070 → 4,060 Summary: Bias stays bullish while gold holds above 4,015 – 4,020. Safe-haven demand and softer USD outlook continue to support the upside move. Look out for a liquidity sweep around 4,092 before further continuation upward. 📊 What do you think — will gold break higher or reject from 4,090? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure updates and precise trade plans. 🟣 Chart: XAUUSD H1 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity areas and OB zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (13/10/2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Overview In the previous plan, I predicted an upward correction after a panic sell-off, which was identified by an unusually extended blue wave C on H1. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Momentum D1 Momentum is currently reversing downward, however, since price and momentum are diverging, the bullish pressure remains strong. H4 Momentum has now entered the overbought zone, so within the next 1–2 H4 candles, a corrective decline may occur. H1 Momentum is currently falling, while price is moving sideways, so we should continue observing this zone carefully. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Wave Structure D1 Chart: • Price is still within the yellow wave 5. • Although D1 momentum is declining, the extended wave 5 structure suggests that once a correction begins, the first drop will likely be steep and deep. • The divergence between D1 candles and D1 momentum only signals weakening bullish strength, not yet a confirmed reversal. H4 Chart: • Price is currently moving along the upper boundary of the channel. • Earlier, a blue ABC structure completed, and now price is forming three consecutive peaks near the previous high. • This setup hints at a WXY pattern, where wave Y may develop as either: 1️⃣ A Flat (5-wave) pattern, or 2️⃣ A Triangle. H1 Chart: • A blue ABC correction has been completed, followed by a rally back to the previous top. • Price is now moving sideways around this zone. • Given that the ABC correction is done, there are two possible outcomes: o (1) The correction is complete, and price is now in a 5-wave impulsive rally, meaning further upside. o (2) The correction is still developing, and price may continue to drop as described in the H4 scenarios. ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Additional Notes • The current wave structure shows significant overlap, and given the previous panic sell, this slow recovery makes sense — it likely represents a leading diagonal (wave 1 triangle). • In such a case, once price breaks out of the channel, it should accelerate sharply into a strong wave 3. • However, since price remains sideways, this scenario may instead represent wave X of a continuing correction. ⚠️ Important: Unlike the Friday Buy setup, which had strong confluence, the current scenario presents two conflicting possibilities, so the probability is not high. ________________________________________ 🔹 5. Trade Plan Sell Setup (Short-Term): • Sell Stop: 4040 • SL: 4058 • TP1: 4010 Risk Management: If price rises strongly above, confirming wave 3 behavior, then cancel the Sell setup. As mentioned, this signal has lower probability and a relatively wide stop, so it’s better to either observe or enter with a small position size.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
1
$4024 Gold: 8-Week Jhakaas Record! BUY Pivot $398x!Hello, traders! Gold just wrapped up an impressive 8-week winning streak, closing the session at $4,024.40/oz (Futures). This bada (big) rally was immediately triggered by President Trump's unexpected tariff threat on China, which, boss, fueled a massive rush toward safe-haven assets. Fundamentals & Technical Bias: Buying the Pivot Core Drivers: Escalating trade panga (conflict) thanks to Trump, steady Fed rate cut expectations, and ongoing global gadbadi (instability) are all making Gold the top safe haven. Technical Recovery: After a deep correction to $394x, Gold recovered super fast and closed firmly above $399x. This confirms that buying power is dominant and the bullish momentum is pakka (confirmed). Priority Bias: BUY (Long). $398x is the critical short-term pivot point. Risk management is key, remember that. Risk Warning: Only switch to SELL (Short) if the price rapidly breaks below $398x due to major negative news. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4064, $4084, $4104, $4124 Support: $3984, $3951, $3934 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at the Pivot) BUY ZONE (Pivot $398x): $3984 - $3982 SL: $3974 TPs: $3992, $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032 SELL ZONE (Counter-Trend): $4024 - $4026 SL: $4034 TPs: $4016, $4006, $3996, $3986, $3976 Will this trade war tension take Gold past $4100 next week? Kya lagta hai? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4KGold #TrumpTariffs #8WeeksUp #Pivot #TradingView #PaisaBanega
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy Hello trading community! Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the main trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies. 📊 Technical Analysis Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures: Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers. Key Support: The price range of $3970 - $3974 is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible. Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area) are significant barriers. Sellers might be active in these areas. Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any break below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 area. 📰 Fundamental Analysis The market is influenced by mixed information streams, creating uncertainty and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario: ⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasised the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labour market fluctuations. This implies that the FED might continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD). 📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark is raising concerns about an asset "bubble" and potential crisis risks. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe haven asset, attracting funds when market risks are high. The contradiction between FED policy and market risk sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation. 🎯 Trading Strategy Based on the above analysis, we can build two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend. Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈 Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 area. Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone). Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080. Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉 Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance area of $4077 - $4080. Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak). Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970. Summary The main trend of Gold remains bullish, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to look for buying opportunities at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones. Always remember to manage your capital strictly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX