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Xauusdanalysis

Gold Surges 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Slump & Trade Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has skyrocketed 37% in 2025, building on a 27% rally in 2024, fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, loose monetary policies, and global economic/geopolitical unrest. With US jobs growth tanking in August 2025 and unemployment climbing to 4.3%, markets are betting big on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let’s dive into today’s (08/09/2025) action and uncover trading opportunities tailored for Indian investors! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Shining Bright 🌟 Massive Rally: Gold thrives in low-rate, high-uncertainty environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Weak USD and central bank purchases are key drivers. 📈 US Jobs Slump: August data shows a sharp slowdown in hiring and a 4.3% unemployment rate, boosting Fed rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand. Fed Drama Fuels Gold: Trump’s attempt to sack Fed Governor Lisa Cook and pressure for rate cuts has sparked legal battles, shaking USD confidence. Tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after lower court losses) further drive gold as a hedge. Standard Chartered sees more upside amid these uncertainties. Demand Dip in India: Record-high prices have slowed physical gold demand in India and China this week, but the bullish outlook remains strong for Indian investors chasing safety. Gold’s your ultimate bet in this volatile market—will the Fed’s next move keep the rally alive? Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Grabs—Stay Sharp! 📉 In today’s early Asian session, gold dipped to 358x before a swift rebound, smashing last week’s ATH resistance at 3600 and hitting 361x. No major news triggered this spike, but continuous ATHs mean fast liquidity sweeps—beware of traps! Avoid FOMO: Focus on broken round levels for BUY setups or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but watch out for false breakouts. Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644 Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626 SL: 3630 TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606 Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636 SL: 3644 TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596 Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594 SL: 3591 TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614 Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579 SL: 3571 TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619 Gold’s breaking out, but fakeouts are everywhere—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could push for new highs. 📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating close to 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently forming imbalance around intraday highs, while demand is positioned lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves designed to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow. • 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, suitable for liquidity sweep reaction. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction • Entry: 3,565 – 3,563 • Stop Loss: 3,560 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,585 o TP2: 3,595 o TP3: 3,600+ 👉 Expectation is for liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend. 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction • Entry: 3,594 – 3,596 • Stop Loss: 3,601 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,592 o TP2: 3,590 o TP3: 3,585 → 3,580 → 3,570 → 3,560 👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp trades only with strict risk control. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,630 – 3,628 • Stop Loss: 3,637 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,610 o TP2: 3,600 o TP3: 3,590 👉 Targeting liquidity lying below intraday lows; best for quick short opportunities. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626–3,630 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps are short-lived opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection – 08.09.25🔎 Chart Analysis Price Action Current price: 3588.15 Support Zone (S1): Around 3575 – 3578 Resistance Zones: R1 ≈ 3590 R2 ≈ 3600+ Projection shows a possible bounce from support → break R1 → move toward R2. Indicators Stochastic (5,3,3): Current: %K 21.78, %D 31.90 Oversold region → “Tends to Buy” signal. RSI (14): Value: 58.55 (above 50) Suggests short-term uptrend momentum. Overall Projection Market bias: Bullish (Buy Setup) If price respects support at S1, probability is high for upside movement towards R1 → R2. Risk: If support S1 breaks, downtrend continuation is possible. ✅ Summary (08.09.25): Buy Bias on 1H timeframe. Support: 3575 zone Target 1: 3590 (R1) Target 2: 3600 (R2) Indicators confirm bullish momentum (RSI > 50, Stoch oversold).
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD – Early Week Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Early Week Trading Scenario Hello Traders, The Asian session opened the new week with mild fluctuations in gold, followed by a pullback into the major liquidity zone created during last week’s bullish wave. At present, price is showing signs of breaking below the 3585 support. If a strong M15 candle closes under this level, it can be considered a short-term correction signal. In that case, a light sell position may be initiated, targeting the 3560 zone. The 3560 level stands out as a reliable support, aligning with the ascending trendline. This makes it a key area for buying in line with the prevailing uptrend, with the potential for price to extend higher and even revisit its all-time highs. However, if price climbs back to retest the trendline, any short positions from that area should be approached cautiously and only with clear confirmation. Another potential buy zone lies near 3516, where the market previously cleared the liquidity from the closest FVG. Overall, gold is likely to require some corrective moves before continuing its broader trend. In particular, short trades should only be considered when the reversal structure is clearly validated. This is my trading perspective for gold today. Please take it as a reference for your own strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥” The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market. 🔍 Market Structure Breakdown: Previous Liquidity Sweep Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August. This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure. Strong Impulsive Rally From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback. However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction. Resistance & PRZ Reaction The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level. Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback. 🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move: 1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500 This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point. Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support) If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
1
XAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPIXAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPI Hello Traders, Gold delivered a strong rally last week, consistently printing new highs on a daily basis. While this is not unusual, it has introduced caution in the market. Investor sentiment continues to lean heavily towards buying gold, underlining its importance as a safe-haven asset. Fundamental Outlook In the coming week, the release of US CPI and PPI data will be a key focus. These indicators will provide important insight into the financial health of the US economy and could directly influence the Fed’s decision on a potential rate cut in September. Technical Perspective Gold has already broken through the Fibonacci 1.618 level, with the next target aligning around the 2.618 extension near 3687. Before reaching this zone, a mild correction at FVG (Fair Value Gap) areas cannot be ruled out. For the long term, the zone around 3467 – 3475 is considered a strong buying region, supported by the confluence of FVG, Dibo, and Volume Profile. Trading Strategies Bullish Priority: Long positions remain favored. The 3467–3475 zone offers an attractive entry for longer-term buyers. Bearish Condition: Short opportunities should only be considered if there is a confirmed reversal structure, with price breaking below 3510 or showing rejection signals near the 2.618 Fibonacci level. Conclusion For the upcoming week, gold remains a buy-on-dip market. Traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels, while staying flexible with short-term strategies as intraday updates unfold. Proper risk management remains crucial given the upcoming macroeconomic data releases.
TVC:XAXLong
by BrianLionCapital
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 7, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still declining → a corrective move may occur before turning bullish again. • H4: Currently in the overbought zone → a main downward move is expected tomorrow. • H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term upward bounce may appear tomorrow morning. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: o Price is forming a 5-wave structure (i, ii, iii, iv, v) in black. o Currently, wave iii (black) is in its final stage. o Waves i, ii, iii were formed after a momentum cycle → the next corrective cycle will likely indicate where wave iv (black) will end. • H4 timeframe: o Price may be completing wave v (purple). o Once wave v (purple) finishes → the market is expected to enter corrective wave iv (black). • H1 timeframe: o As in the previous plan, the ABC correction in blue looks like a 3-wave structure, but there is also the possibility of a Flat pattern forming. o In a Flat scenario, price may break above the previous high and then reverse downward. o Currently, price showed overlapping moves followed by a strong breakout → suggesting two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: o Wave v (purple) is unfolding, with price heading toward the wave v target. o Two target zones: 3614 and 3678. o In this case → avoid counter-trend trades, wait for corrective wave iv (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in line with wave iii (black). Scenario 2: o A Flat structure is forming. o Wait for wave C to complete wave iv (purple). o H4 momentum supports this scenario (decline to oversold then reversal). o Wave C targets: 3553 and 3530 → ideal Buy entry zone. Trading Plan 1. Buy Zone 1: 3353 – 3350 o SL: 3340 o TP1: 3596 2. Buy Zone 2: 3532 – 3530 o SL: 3522 o TP1: 3552
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis ✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum. 📌 Key Levels: POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area) Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669 Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup. 📈 Strategies Applied: Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs. Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support. EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal. Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm 🎯 Trade Idea: Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone) Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation) Target: 3,668 – 3,670 ⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_JOHN144
1
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone. Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact. If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone. Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Weekly Outlook: Big Bullish Move + Key US DataMarket View: Gold (XAUUSD) finished the week with strong momentum after Nonfarm pushed price close to $3600/oz ATH. On the daily chart, the candle closed almost full body (only ~30% wick), showing no profit-taking yet. The weekly chart is also strongly bullish – confirming that buyers are in control. This signals more upside likely in the coming week and month. Key US Events This Week: Wed, Sep 10: Core PPI & PPI m/m → If higher than expected, USD may strengthen short-term, creating pressure on gold. Thu, Sep 11: CPI (Core, m/m, y/y) + Jobless Claims → the most important release. Lower CPI + higher claims = bullish for gold. Higher CPI = hawkish Fed = pressure. Fri, Sep 12: UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations → could shift Fed outlook further. 👉 Fundamentals may bring volatility, but overall medium-term trend remains bullish. Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): After the Nonfarm breakout, gold is consolidating sideways. Levels to watch: Support: 3574 – 3551 – 3530 – 3516 Resistance: 3600 – 3621 – 3633 – 3649 – 3669 – 3678 Trading Plan: BUY bias (preferred): Long on dips near 3574–3550 SL: below 3530 TP: 3600 → 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669 → 3678 SELL scalp (alternative): Only if 3530 breaks with strong CPI surprise → target 3516/3527 Summary: ✅ Gold stays in a strong uptrend on Daily & Weekly charts. Macro factors support more upside if inflation keeps easing. 👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) as the key decision levels. Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily plans and quick updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan Ahead of NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGGold (XAUUSD) has slowed down after a strong bullish rally and is now consolidating in a sideways range 355x – 354x, waiting for today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data to set the next major move. 📊 Macro View: If NFP comes out better than expected, USD strength could push Gold lower into 352x – 350x zones, filling liquidity gaps before buyers step in. If NFP is worse than forecast, Gold may break above ATH 357x and test higher liquidity zones near 3594+. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3560 – 3576 3594 🔑 Key Support Levels 3540 3528 – 3514 3502 – 3488 – 3478 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View) 🔵 BUY Zone: 3488 – 3486 🔴 SL: 3480 ✔️ TP: 3492 – 3496 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???? 🔵 BUY Scalp: 3528 – 3526 🔴 SL: 3520 ✔️ TP: 3532 – 3536 – 3540 – 3550 – 3560 – ???? 🔴 SELL Scalp: 3574 – 3576 🔴 SL: 3580 ✔️ TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ???? 🔴 SELL Zone: 3593 – 3595 🔴 SL: 3600 ✔️ TP: 3588 – 3584 – 3580 – 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – ???? 📊 MMFLOW Trading View: Gold is building momentum inside the 3540 – 3565 range. Break below 3540 → correction towards 352x – 350x. Break above 3565 → retest of 357x – 3595 supply zone. Best setups are waiting for price reaction near 3515 – 3528 (Buy Zone) or 3576 – 3595 (Sell Zone).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Price Analysis – Testing Resistance near Sell ZoneAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,551.40, showing minor intraday losses (-0.03%). The chart indicates a strong resistance zone between 3,556–3,563, identified as the “sell zone,” with an All-Time High (ATH) slightly above at 3,578.12. Price is consolidating beneath this resistance, struggling to break higher. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a potential retracement toward 3,511–3,520 if sellers gain momentum. The Ichimoku cloud shows mixed signals, with price hovering around the equilibrium, indicating indecision in the short term. A break above 3,563 could trigger bullish continuation toward ATH, while rejection at this level may lead to a pullback into the highlighted FVG region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingProTrader
Gold Slips After Peak: Trade Fed Uncertainty & Jobs Report!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟 Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉 US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market. Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦 Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand. Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers. Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉 Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts! Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586 Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560 SL: 3564 TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535 Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578 SL: 3587 TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538 Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524 SL: 3520 TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549 Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498 SL: 3490 TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538 Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Trade the Fed Drama & Jobs Data Wave!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟 Historic Surge: Gold soared to an all-time high before US jobs data showed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 openings and steady hiring, pointing to a softening labor market. This fueled gold’s rise, with $3,600/oz as the next target. 📈 Fed Rate Cut Fever: Post-data, the odds of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s Sept 16-17 meeting jumped from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller stressed the need for a cut this month, with future moves tied to economic trends. 🏦 Key Data Ahead: All eyes are on today’s (04/09) ADP employment and US jobless claims, plus the big monthly payrolls report on 05/09. These could steer the Fed’s path and gold’s trajectory. Fed Drama Boosts Gold: On Sept 3, Fed Governor Lisa Cook pushed back against Trump’s attempt to oust her, while Trump keeps slamming Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Worries about Fed independence are shaking confidence in USD assets, making gold the go-to safe haven. Trump’s also gearing up to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸 Gold’s Sweet Spot: As a non-yielding asset, gold shines in uncertain times and low-rate environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Technical Analysis: Bullish Run Continues, Buy Dips but Watch Reversals! 📉 After the Asian session opened, gold plunged to the 351x zone before bouncing back above 352x. This could be big players flushing out retail liquidity—a classic move during relentless all-time highs (ATHs) that create large FVGs. Stick to BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, brace for a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data incoming. Stay sharp for volatility! Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596 Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3560-3562 SL: 3566 TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547 Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596 SL: 3604 TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546 Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506 SL: 3502 TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521 Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491 SL: 3483 TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open Gold is blazing, but today’s data could shake things up—keep your risk tight! If it stays above 352x, bulls might charge to new highs. 📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expect price to pull lower towards demand areas before the next bullish leg. 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity) • Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 • Stop Loss: 3,535 • Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 o Stop Loss: 3,470 o Target: 3,508 – 3,526 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 o Stop Loss: 3,435 o Target: 3,500+ ⚖️ SMC Bias • Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. • Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. • Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025 ———————————— Momentum • D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close. • H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal. • H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength. ———————————— Wave Structure • D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form. • H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple). • H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern. o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner. o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple). o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level. ———————————— Targets • Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469. • Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan. ———————————— Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 • SL: 3490 • TP1: 3524 Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 • SL: 3459 • TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Bearish Pressure Builds: Gold Poised for More RetreatGold retreated sharply today as expected, and directly hit my expected retracement target of 3520-3510 area; the lowest point happened to be around 3511. We added a lot of short positions around 3575 and 3578 overnight, which helped us to make considerable profits during the gold retreat. All short positions made a total profit of 1830pips after being closed. Since gold has begun to retreat from 3578, and the retracement has reached 670 pips in the short term, a retracement that is rare in recent times, as gold has shown obvious signs of retreat, once large funds begin to withdraw, it may trigger serious selling sentiment in the market. Taking this opportunity, the gold market may usher in a round of sharp correction. Moreover, after gold retreats, 3578 is expected to become the interim peak, which will limit the room for gold to rebound while being conducive to the downward pressure on gold. In addition, gold rose sharply before the NFP market, probably to reserve room for the NFP market to fall, so I think gold still has the demand and space to continue to retreat, so the current decline has not ended yet, and I think the current short-term rebound provides us with good conditions for entering the short market. According to the current structure, gold still needs to retreat after fluctuating at high levels. Therefore, in trading, we can still look for suitable opportunities to short gold during the gold rebound. First of all, we need to pay attention to the short-term resistance area of 3545-3555. Once gold cannot effectively stand in this area during the rebound, gold will also test the 3510-3500 area. After falling below this area, it is expected to continue to the 3490-3480 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
2
GOLD Daily Plan – Sideway before ADP & NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGAfter yesterday’s strong rally, Gold (XAUUSD) corrected by over 60 Prices, moving back to the VPOC 3537 zone. This pullback indicates a potential short-term ATH near 357x, where SELL positions were shaken out and BUY positions booked profits. Currently, Gold is consolidating ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K previously, weaker job data could pressure USD and provide upside momentum for Gold. The 60+ point drop highlights profit-taking by institutions and created liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price into the 353x–354x sideway zone. A clear breakout of this zone will decide today’s trend direction. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3540 – 3548 – 3560 – 3576 🔑 Key Support Levels 3526 – 3515 – 3502 – 3490 – 3476 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View) 🔵 BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500 🔴 SL: 3494 ✔️ TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? 🔵 BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475 🔴 SL: 3470 ✔️ TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ??? 🔵 SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561 🔴 SL: 3566 ✔️ TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ??? 🔵 SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576 🔴 SL: 3580 ✔️ TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ??? 📊 MMFLOW TRADING View: Today’s outlook suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP releases. Sideway accumulation dominates between 353x–354x, but whichever side breaks first will set the day’s direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context Gold is currently reflecting a short-term bearish setup after a Change of Character (ChoCH) near 3,536.556. The market is reacting from supply and creating liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. We anticipate the price to move lower towards demand areas before the next upward push. 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Trade) Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 Stop Loss: 3,535 Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 Stop Loss: 3,470 Target: 3,508 – 3,526 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 Stop Loss: 3,435 Target: 3,500+ ⚖️ SMC Bias Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. Mid-term: Expecting liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. Long-term: Bullish order flow intact as long as deeper demand (3,441) is respected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context Gold continues to show a bullish trend with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. The price is currently consolidating around the 3,533–3,540 range, with a noticeable FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market is likely to sweep liquidity before making another upward move. 📍 Key Levels • Resistance (Sell Zones): 3,564 | 3,575–3,576 | 3,586 | 3,595 • Support (Buy Zones): 3,528 | 3,508 | 3,494 | 3,480–3,478 | 3,468 🛠️ Trade Ideas ✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing) • Entry: 3,480 – 3,478 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,473 • TP (Take Profit): 3,485 – 3,490 – 3,500 – 3,515 – 3,520 – 3,530 📌 Expectation: Price is expected to fill the FVG and react from the demand zone before resuming its upward trend. ✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction) • Entry: 3,501 – 3,503 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,491 • TP (Take Profit): 3,510 – 3,525 – 3,545 – 3,550 📌 Expectation: A short-term liquidity grab above the 3,500 psychological level, leading to a bullish push. ❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play) • Entry: 3,575 – 3,573 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,582 • TP (Take Profit): 3,565 – 3,555 – 3,545 – 3,530 – 3,520 📌 Expectation: A strong supply zone where smart money may target liquidity before a price reversal. 🔑 SMC Insights • BOS confirms a bullish bias, but the price may pull back to address the FVG imbalance. • Liquidity is likely to be present around 3,480–3,500 before a push towards 3,575 or higher. • High probability of buying at demand zones (dips) and selling at extreme supply zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 4/9/2025 Momentum • D1: Currently showing bearish reversal signals. We need to wait for today’s daily candle close to confirm. If confirmed, it is likely that the recent rally has ended and the market will enter a corrective phase lasting several days. • H4: Momentum is moving into the oversold zone, suggesting that the current downward correction may be close to completion. Afterward, a rebound is expected within the next 1–2 H4 candles. • H1: Momentum is in the oversold zone and showing signs of turning upward, indicating a short-term bullish bounce is likely. Wave Structure • D1: The first bearish candle has appeared after a steep rally, suggesting a 5-wave structure. The ongoing correction will help determine whether this was the completion of a larger Wave 5 or just Wave 1 within Wave 5. • H4: After reaching 3578, price turned lower. This likely marked the completion of black Wave 5, as well as the green wave and purple Wave iii. The market is now in the corrective phase of purple Wave iv. • H1: Purple Wave iii has completed, including both black Wave 5 and green Wave v. An ABC corrective structure is currently forming, but its formation time is relatively short, which means extra caution is needed as the correction may not be fully completed or could extend further. 📍 Target zones for the completion of purple Wave iv: • Zone 1: 3498 • Zone 2: 3469 Once purple Wave iv is completed, the uptrend is expected to continue into purple Wave v with projected targets: • Target 1: 3602 • Target 2: 3667 Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 o SL: 3490 o TP1: 3524 • Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 o SL: 3459 o TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟 New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈 Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦 USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉 Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸 Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022. Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉 Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control! Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574 Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545 SL: 3,549 TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530 Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523 Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508 SL: 3,504 TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528 Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473 SL: 3,465 TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC