XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone?We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone.
As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset.
Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area
- Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong
- Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5
- We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5
- Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time.
- We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone.
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
Xauusdanalysis
31ST MAY GOLD ANALYSISTo analyze the gold price scenario where it corrects before rising to target levels of $2,357 to $2,362, where a selling strategy could be implemented with a stop-loss (SL) of 5 points below the entry price, we need to consider several factors that influence gold prices. This includes technical analysis and market sentiments.
Technical Analysis
Trend Analysis: If gold prices are trending upwards, the correction might be a retracement in a larger bullish trend. Tools like Fibonacci retracement levels can help identify potential support levels during corrections.
Resistance Levels: The specified target prices ($2,357 to $2,362) must be analyzed within the context of historical resistance levels. If these prices have previously acted as resistance, they may do so again.
Volume and Momentum: Volume during the rise should be observed; increasing volume can confirm the strength behind the upward movement. Momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the MACD can provide insights into whether the gold price is overbought or oversold during these phases.
Moving Averages: Using moving averages (like the 50-day or 200-day) can help smooth out price data to identify the general direction of the market trend and potential reversal points.
Market Sentiments
Geopolitical Events: Events like economic sanctions, elections, or military conflicts can affect market sentiment and influence gold prices.
Economic Data: Releases such as inflation reports, employment data, and GDP growth can impact investor behavior towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Central Bank Actions: Decisions on interest rates or comments from central bank officials can lead to market movements.
Strategy Implementation
Entry Point: Determining the entry point during the correction phase is crucial. It should ideally be at a significant support level where the price is expected to rebound.
Stop-Loss (SL): Placing the SL at a price 5 points below the entry level is a risk management technique to minimize potential losses should the market move against your position.
Take Profit (TP): Setting the selling point at $2,357 to $2,362 based on prior resistance levels allows for profit realization before potential pullbacks.
Risk Management
Risk/Reward Ratio: Ensure that the potential reward justifies the risk being taken. A common approach is to aim for a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Position Sizing: Calculate the appropriate position size based on how much of your total capital you are willing to risk on a single trade.
Conclusion
Implementing this strategy requires monitoring the market closely for signs that support the hypothesis of a correction followed by a rise. Always be prepared to adjust the strategy based on new market data and economic indicators.
3rd June Gold AnalysisTo create a focused analysis for a sell plan strategy on gold using the Smart Money Concept (SMC) indicator, especially considering the ongoing strong downtrend, we'll consider the current market dynamics, how the SMC indicator can guide decisions, and outline a specific strategic approach referred to as "2331-2336".
Current Gold Market Dynamics
The price of gold is influenced by a myriad of factors. Key among these are:
US Dollar Strength: Typically, gold moves inversely to the U.S. dollar. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand.
Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can lead to lower gold prices as investors seek yield-bearing assets.
Economic Confidence: Improved economic outlooks often draw investors away from gold, which is considered a safe haven during uncertainty.
Technical Factors: Technical selling can be triggered when gold breaks key support levels, leading to further declines.
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
The news was announced yesterday
Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6%
Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k
News that pending home sales are down 7.7%
Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control.
Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy.
The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. .
Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded.
- After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week.
- Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332.
Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
XAUUSD on May 30, 2024, the rally is about to beginWith the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5.
Today will release news on unemployment claims, preliminary GDP, and pending home sales, with forecasts worse than last period, if tonight's actual index reflects correctly. This seems to signal that the US economy is being affected by monetary policy due to maintaining current high interest rates.
Tomorrow is an important day to announce the PCI index (Index of price changes and consumer goods purchased by consumers excluding food and energy). If this index cools down, it could influence the Fed to loosen current monetary policy.
Looking back over recent times, we see that the CPI inflation index has begun to show signs of decreasing, combined with economic pressure that may cause the Fed to decide to loosen its monetary policy, especially tomorrow if PCI index cooled down.
Looking at H1, we see that the price has completed wave 4 and is continuing to complete wave 5.
- We see that the current price has broken below the supply and demand balance zone as shown on the chart
- With the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5.
- We wait for the price to reach the 2322.7 or 2311.5 areas to find reversal signals to decide to buy.
XAUUSD 4H DECENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN FORMED 30.05.24A descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern in technical analysis that's characterized by two trendlines: a descending upper trendline and a second, flatter horizontal trendline that's lower than the first. The pattern is formed by a series of lower highs that meet the flat support line at the bottom
29th MAY GOLD ANALYSISCurrent Price Movement
Support Zone: 2348 - 2343
Resistance Level: 2370
Correction Phase: 2348 - 2343
The gold price is expected to correct downwards to the support zone between 2348 and 2343.
Reasons for Correction:
Profit-taking by short-term traders.
Testing previous support levels to establish a stronger base for the next upward move.
The gold price is currently undergoing a correction phase within the support zone of 2348 - 2343. It is expected to rebound and test the resistance at 2370 if the technical indicators align with the bullish scenario. Continuous monitoring of the moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume will provide insights into the strength and direction of the next price movement.
This analysis should be supplemented with up-to-date market news and fundamental factors that could impact gold prices, such as economic data releases and geopolitical developments.
28th May GOLD ANALYSISCurrent Market Overview:
Gold is currently exhibiting a fluctuating trend influenced by a mix of global economic factors, including interest rate decisions by major central banks, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuations in the U.S. dollar. As of the latest data, gold prices are trading within a range, showing both bullish and bearish signals.
Technical Analysis:
Gold's price action suggests a potential for both upward and downward movement within specified zones. Key technical indicators such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Fibonacci retracement levels are being considered to determine optimal entry and exit points.
Trade Plan
Sell Zone: 2366-2370
Entry Point: Initiate sell orders within the range of 2366 to 2370.
Rationale: This zone is identified as a potential resistance level where selling pressure is expected to increase. Historical price action shows multiple rejections at this level, suggesting a strong sell-off point.
Buy Zone: 2338-2341
Entry Point: Initiate buy orders within the range of 2338 to 2341.
Rationale: This zone is identified as a potential support level where buying pressure is expected to increase. Historical price action indicates strong buying interest at this level, making it a strategic entry point for long positions.
XAUUSD May 28, 2024 How will gold inflation cool down?We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order.
With recent signs of cooling inflation and the fact that the US economy in particular has been directly impacted by high interest rates, the employment rate has decreased. These things will make the Fed's statements no longer resolute in maintaining high interest rates.
In addition, the European central bank ECB also announced data to support the interest rate cut in June.
Signals show that gold will continue to be supported in the near future to continue its upward price trend.
Looking at H1, we see that wave 4 is about to complete. With the price data from the morning of the previous day, we measured the price target at the 2351-2355 range, but now that we have new price data, we have more information. The 2 new target areas are area 2362.5 and area 2371
- Plus the momentum in the H4 frame is still in the overbought zone, this shows that the upward price momentum is showing signs of weakening, besides the H1 momentum is increasing and is also about to approach the oversold zone. reinforces the goals of wave 4
- We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order.
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
XAUUSD May 22, 2024 Is the current correction over?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
Financial freedom is true freedom.
Yesterday there were many statements from members of the Fed
1. Fed's Jefferson says it's too early to know whether deflation will last.
2. Fed's Mester says economic conditions do not support three rate cuts.
3. Fed's Bostic expects only one rate cut this year.
The main content is to maintain the increase in interest rates. This information continues to support the current adjustment period
Looking at the H1 chart we see
- The current correction process is likely to be an abcde triangle correction wave model.
- This process is likely entering the final stage of the correction. Looking at the price model, we wait for wave e to form to end the correction.
- The correction process is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through the peak of wave d (2433.8), then the price continues to increase to the target of 2500
Trading plan
If price stays above 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2408
If the price breaks down to 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2401
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
GOLD | STRONG PULLBACK WE CAN EXPECT HERE
#GOLD Setup: We will take a BUY position @ 2355 and collect profit at 2360, 2365 & 2370
Many confluence confirmed: Uptrend.
Risk:- 0.50-1%
Tips: Keep trailing your SL after 80+ Pips to lock your profit.
Thanks to all those who have followed me and liked my post.
Special thanks to all those who DM me and commented on my analysis wanting to know more about the trade.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD CLEARCUT UPMOVE In this chat you can see the trendline
The prise crossed the trendline lable
Its mean the prise breaked the trendline
And its also itts breaked the rectangle small zone
It will take time to break fully
But..
After full breakout a good fall momentum will shown in gold
So keep in your mind
This can break
Stay connected with gold
Watch in lower timeframe
After a good confermation
just enter
#XAUUSD Has Already Acquuired Big Liquidity For NFP Data As expected, the market movers executed a well-coordinated setup to clear out sellers who had entered short positions below 2300. This move triggered stop losses for sellers. Subsequently, after reaching 2320, many buyers entered the market anticipating a further rise towards 2350. However, the market makers took advantage of this, triggering stop losses for both buyers and sellers, thus achieving the necessary liquidity for a significant movement ahead of tomorrow's NFP.
I anticipate that during the NFP release, we may witness a move towards 2200-2180 if we observe another H4 closing below 2290.
Once We Get H1/H4 Closing Below 2295 We Can Sell Till 2286-2280 with Sl around 2305 .If H4 Closes Below 2290 Than It Will Confirm Our Bearish Trend And We Can Expect 2260-2200.
Gold weekly outlook Imp area are 2132 to 2324 if break more fallGood Morning Traders,
Gold weekly outlook Imp area are 2132 to 2324 if break more fall
Gold is consolidating in 2350 to 2325 area and
around 100 EMA. IF we see gold is also in falling wedge.
If gold will break 2324 area and sustain we can see deep
correction till 2300 2290 and 2285 and 2275.
If gold sustain above 2350 2354 we can see more
up levels till 2360 2365 and 2370 2375.
Our recommendation is selling from every high.
Geo political can change the game,
else we can see bearishness in gold
Even we have Fed Rates event this week
so check all the things before trading,
Plan accordingly, Happy Trading
DOUBLE TOP VISIBLE IN XAUUSD - SHORT OPPORTUNITY IN GOLD ?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold has given a huge up move in recent months after breaking out of 2070 - 2080 zone.
Gold went till 2430 on 12 April and witnessed sharp selling immediately from that level. After consolidating, It tested 2420 level today again and exhibited sharp selling from that level for the second time.
XAUUSD CMP - 2392
I'm planning to short it between 2392 - 2410 with SL above 2427.
Gold is following a support trendline. I will add more position on breaking this trendline.
Targets will be 2358 - 2338 - 2300 - 2260
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
XAUUSD 13.04.24 SELL & BUY PROJECTION Reson For Sell
1.Reached all time High and Seller Pushes to Lower
2. Breaked Support @ 2365
3.Retesting the Breaked Zone
Reason For Bullish
1. Obey Trendline $ Support @ 2310-20
2.Fundamendal News and Politics
Overall Possible Outcomes
XAUUSD SELL 2355-60
SL 2370
TP 2320
XAUUSD BUY 2310-2320
SL 2270
TP 1 2360
TP 2400
TP 3 2430
XAUUSD BUY PROJECTION 07.04.24Reason Behind Buy
1. Breaked Resistance @ 2310
2. Will Retest Trendline + Support @ 2310
3. Next XAUUSD/GOLD Move towards last week High 2331
4. Jio Politic War - Reason 1
5. US intrest Rate - Reason 2
Overall Possible outcomes
XAUUSD BUY @ 2295-2310
SL 2267
TP 2330
TP 2 2400
GOLD DAILY ANALYSISGo through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
SHUBHAM_FX 'BIAS for the DAILY.
Current price- 2150
"if Price stay above 2172 then next target is 2200 and 2250 and above that 2310.
"if Price stay below 2165 then next target is 2130 and 2112 and below that 2088.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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