"XAU/USD Price Action Analysis: Targeting $3,063 or Reversal to Alright! Let's break down the chart analysis. 📊
🔹 Chart Overview:
Pair: XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-hour (H1)
Price Level: Current price at $3,030.44
Target Point: $3,063.97
🔥 Key Observations:
Supply and Demand Zones:
The highlighted blue zones suggest resistance (supply) where price was rejected twice (blue arrows).
The larger gray zones below indicate potential demand/support.
Double Top Formation:
The double blue arrows point to a possible double-top pattern, hinting at a bearish reversal. However, the price hasn't strongly broken below the neckline yet.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds the current demand zone and breaks above the immediate resistance, we could see a rally towards the target of $3,063.97. 💹🚀
Bearish Scenario: If it fails to hold the support zone, it may drop to the lower demand area around $3,000. 🔻
📉 Conclusion:
Entry Idea: Long above the supply zone break with a target of $3,063.97.
Stop Loss: Below the current demand zone at around $3,020.
Risk Management: Watch for strong price action before entering.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold Analysis -MMF- Profit-Taking Signals Opportunity🚀 Critical Levels Today! 📊
✅ Yesterday’s Recap: Our previous analysis hit around 90% accuracy 🎯, with gold responding perfectly at historical highs, prompting traders to book profits early in the European session. The bearish momentum is continuing into today's Asian session. 📉
📌 Market Sentiment:
Profit-taking is the primary driver at these historic highs. Investors are carefully eyeing lower liquidity zones for re-entry, positioning themselves strategically for future gains as global economies lean towards rate-cut cycles and an era of cheaper money. Historically, such cycles strongly favor gold prices. 🌟💰
📌 Technical View:
Technical signals align closely with fundamentals: reversal signals at recent highs are mild, suggesting cautious profit-taking rather than aggressive short-selling. Gold traders are merely scouting temporary peaks cautiously, not heavily bearish yet. ⚠️🔍
📉 Critical Levels:
🛑 Resistance: 3038 | 3046 | 3056 | 3070
🟢 Support: 3030 | 3025 | 3014 | 3005
Currently, gold has broken the bullish H1 channel, testing immediate support at 3025. A strong breakdown below this level could trigger deeper bearish moves, especially today—Friday volatility could drive intense movements targeting lower liquidity zones. 🔻🔥
🎯 Strategic Trading Zones:
🚨 BUY ZONE: 📈
Entry: 3006 - 3004
Stop Loss (SL): 3000 🛡️
Take Profit (TP): 3010 | 3015 | 3020 | 3025 | 3030 🎯
🚨 SELL ZONE: 📉
Entry: 3056 - 3058
Stop Loss (SL): 3062 🛡️
Take Profit (TP): 3052 | 3048 | 3044 | 3040 | 3035 | 3030 🎯
⚡ Today’s Action Plan:
Focus closely on Asian & European sessions. Updates will be provided ahead of the US session, anticipating high volatility and profit-booking activities. Stay disciplined, strictly adhere to your TP & SL to protect your account! 🙌💼
Gold short-term analysis and buying planJudging from the current market situation, short-term bulls continue to take the initiative, which will undoubtedly increase the probability of gold prices hitting the 3070-3080 area, but we also need to be prepared for high-level bulls to leave the market and make profits, and be prepared for the trend to change.
Today, Friday, since the market is still in the trend bullish structure channel, coupled with yesterday's bottoming and rebounding trend, we need to pay attention to Friday's re-high action. Trading ideas: Buy at a low position during the intraday correction, and sell after the historical high or new high is under pressure. It is planned to trade in the 3030-3060 range.
For intraday operations, it is recommended to buy on pullbacks without buying at high positions. For the support below, pay attention to the 3030-3032 area. As long as the price can keep running above, the probability of seeing the 3050-3060 area during the day is very high. On the contrary, if the support breaks down, it will most likely test the 3023 area. As for the resistance, pay attention to the 3060 area. It is expected that the possibility of a breakthrough today is very small. However, considering that the current support has moved up, it is only recommended to participate in the sale when the price approaches 3055 for the first time.
Key points:
First support: 3040, second support: 3032, third support: 3023
First resistance: 3054, second resistance: 3060, third resistance: 3077
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3031-3035, SL: 3022, TP: 3050-3060;
Sell: 3055-3057, SL: 3066, TP: 3020-3030;
More signals will be updated in the VIP group
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – Gold Price Analysis🔍 Key Observations:
🟢 Support Zone:
H1 Support Area 📉: $3,036.67 - $3,044
Price is currently testing this zone (🔵).
🔴 Resistance Level:
$3,053.45 (🛑 Immediate Barrier)
📈 Trade Setup:
✅ Potential Buy Entry near support (🟢)
🎯 Target Zone: $3,080 - $3,090 (📍🚀)
❌ Stop-loss: Below $3,036.67 (⚠️🔴)
📊 Price Action:
If support holds 🟩, price could move UP (⬆️) toward the target 🎯
If it breaks down ⬇️, price may fall further (⚠️📉).
📌 Conclusion:
Bullish 📈 if the price respects support (🟢)
Bearish 📉 if it breaks below stop-loss (⚠️).
GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan: Will Gold Break $3100? 🚀Published by MMFlowTrading on March 20, 2025
Overview 📊
Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong uptrend on the H1 timeframe, with price action moving within a clear ascending channel 📈. The recent breakout above the $3000 psychological level signals robust bullish momentum 💪. However, key resistance levels are approaching, and upcoming economic events might influence the next move. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors to craft today’s trading plan! 🧠
Technical Analysis 🔍
Ascending Channel:
Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel (highlighted in orange on the chart) 📉📈. The price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries, indicating a healthy uptrend. Currently, the price is near the upper channel resistance at $3070.612 🚧.
Key Resistance Levels (VPOC High):
The nearest resistance is at $3070.612, a high-volume node (VPOC) where sellers might step in 🛑.
If this level is broken, the next targets are $3081.053 and $3097.774, with a potential push toward the psychological $3100 mark 🎯.
Key Support Levels:
The closest support is at $3031.774, aligning with the lower channel boundary and a previous VPOC level 🛡.
A deeper pullback could test $3024.254 or even $3017.197, where buyers previously stepped in (marked by yellow circles on the chart) 📍.
Additional Key Levels:
Resistance: $3054 - $3061 - $3070 🚧
Support: $3044 - $3038 - $3031 - $3026 🛡
Fundamental Analysis 🌍
US Dollar Strength:
Gold has an inverse relationship with the USD 💱. On March 20, 2025, the market is awaiting the US Jobless Claims data and Fed speeches, which could impact the USD 📅. If the data indicates a weaker US economy, the USD might weaken, supporting Gold’s rally toward $3100 🚀.
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing global uncertainties (e.g., Middle East tensions, US-China trade talks) continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like Gold 🛡. This fundamental factor supports the bullish bias in the short term.
Interest Rates:
The Fed’s recent dovish stance on interest rates (as of early 2025) has reduced the opportunity cost of holding Gold, further fueling its uptrend 📉.
Trading Plan 📝
Buy Setup (BUY ZONE: $3032 - $3030) 🟢
Stop Loss (SL): $3026 ⛔️.
Take Profit (TP): $3038 - $3042 - $3046 - $3050 - $3060
Sell Setup (SELL ZONE: $3069 - $3071) 🔴
⛔️Stop Loss (SL): $3075
Take Profit (TP): $3065 - $3060 - $3055 - $3050
Market Note ⚠️
The market has been hitting all-time highs (ATH) after the FOMC storm early this morning 🌪. Traders, please stay cautious and strictly follow your TP/SL to keep your accounts safe! 🛡💡
Conclusion 🏁
Gold is at a critical juncture near $3070. A breakout above this level could pave the way to $3100, driven by strong technicals and supportive fundamentals 🚀. Alternatively, a rejection might lead to a pullback to the $3032 - $3030 buy zone. Stay disciplined and trade smart! 💪
What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 For more daily trading ideas, follow me on TradingView
XAU/USD PLAN VIEW – PREPARE FOR THE FOMC STORM!📊 This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting on March 19, where the Fed will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook. Gold remains bullish but is now approaching key resistance zones, which could lead to a short-term correction before determining its next direction.
⚠ Important Note: The following PLAN VIEW applies before the FOMC meeting. Once we approach the event, traders should consider closing positions to protect their accounts, as extreme volatility is expected when the news is released.
🔥 Fundamental Analysis – What’s at Stake in This FOMC?
📌 1️⃣ Fed Expected to Hold Rates at 4.25% - 4.5% but…
The Dot Plot & Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will guide the market’s expectations.
If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, the USD may strengthen, pressuring gold.
If the Fed signals a dovish shift, the USD could weaken, pushing gold higher.
📌 2️⃣ Central Banks Are Still Buying Gold
China, Russia, Poland, and India continue stockpiling gold, reducing dependence on the USD.
This ongoing trend supports gold’s long-term bullish momentum, despite possible short-term pullbacks.
Technical Analysis – XAU/USD Key Levels
🔹 Primary Trend: Bullish, but facing strong resistance.
🔹 Price Channel: Gold remains within an uptrend, though a short-term pullback is possible.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Resistance:
3,055 - 3,071 – If gold faces rejection here, a correction could follow.
📍 Support:
3,021 - 3,009 – A key area to watch if a pullback occurs.
2,986 - 2,948 (FVG Zone H1) – Deeper liquidity levels if selling pressure increases.
🎯 PLAN VIEW – BEFORE FOMC
BUY ZONE: 3010 - 3008
SL: 3004
TP: 3015 - 3020 - 3024 - 3028 - 3032
ELL ZONE: 3054 - 3056
SL: 3060
TP: 3050 - 3046 - 3042 - 3038 - 3030
⚠ Key Warning:
As we approach FOMC, consider closing all positions to avoid unnecessary risks, as the market reaction can be highly unpredictable.
🔥 A storm is coming with the FOMC – trade smart and protect your capital! 🚀
Gold uptrend movement expected , may hit upto 3022/3040 Symbol Gold or XAUUSD
Timeframe 30 Minutes
Analysis uptrend movement pole flag pattern creation.
Expected targets is 3022/ 3040
We hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey.
Please note: Published ideas are for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Also, please respect the risk - stop loss (SL) should not be more than 2% of the capital.
DISCLAIMER: We are not SEBI registered. All the videos uploaded in this channel are solely for educational purposes."
Short-term strategy before the Fed's interest rate decisionGold continued to rise yesterday, up more than 1%. This is the power of the trend. Don't guess whether it has reached the top. This is not in line with market logic, because there is no turning signal. The risk of guessing that it has reached the top is relatively high. Of course, the market is always relative. It is impossible to keep rising. It is necessary to prevent the risk of large adjustments!
Yesterday, the highest impact of the US market was 3038. There may be room for a short-term rise, but you must pay attention to the future. Going long is also a short-term profit exit. The daily and weekly lines are in an overbought divergence state. The price deviates far from the short-term moving average, and the risk of stepping back is getting bigger and bigger. Be bullish but not blind, and don't chase more. The short-term has risen three times, and the possibility of a pullback needs to be prevented later!
Pay attention to the news of the Fed's interest rate decision. There was not much risk in going long before this. It should be a strong form. Gold continued to set new highs in 1 hour, but it is obviously not appropriate to enter at a high level now. It is better to wait patiently for a decline and continue to buy. Gold focuses on the support near the starting point of 3015 and continues to go long. The market is changing rapidly. Since the gold bulls continue to be strong, gold will continue to trade with the trend.
Key points:
First support: 3023, second support: 3016, third support: 3002
First resistance: 3039, second resistance: 3048, third resistance: 3056
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3013-3015, SL: 3004, TP: 3035-3045;
Sell: 3048-3050, SL: 3059, TP: 3020-3010;
For more daily analysis, click on my avatar to view
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup – Bullish Momentum Ahead?Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis
🔹 Entry Point: 3,026.90 🔵
🔹 Stop Loss: 3,019.58 - 3,019.07 ❌ (Risk Zone)
🔹 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 3,034.64 🎯
TP2: 3,041.72 🚀
Final Target: 3,053.04 🏆
📈 Trend Analysis:
🔸 The market has been in a strong uptrend 📈 before pulling back to the entry zone.
🔸 The trade setup suggests a buy (long) position, aiming for higher levels.
🔸 If momentum continues, price may reach TP1 → TP2 → Final Target.
⚠️ Risk-Reward Ratio:
✅ Potential Reward: ~27 points 🏅
❌ Risk: ~7-8 points 🚨
💰 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable setup)
🔻 Risk Factor:
If price drops below 3,019.58, the trade will hit stop loss and may indicate a trend reversal 🔄.
📢 Conclusion:
Bullish trade setup looking promising if price holds above the entry point and moves towards TP targets! 🚀🔥
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup – Bullish Breakout AnalysisGold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis
🔹 Entry Point: $3,014.47 - $3,017.24 ✨ 🔹 Stop Loss: $3,005.86 ❌ 🔹 Take Profit Levels: ✅ TP1: $3,020.67 📈 ✅ TP2: $3,027.23 🚀 ✅ Final Target: Above $3,036 🎯
📉 Trend Analysis
🔸 Strong Bullish Momentum 📊🔥 🔸 Price Breakout from Consolidation 📢✅ 🔸 Higher Highs Formation ⬆️📈
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
✔️ Low Risk: Tight Stop Loss 📉🚨 ✔️ High Reward Potential: Profit targets significantly higher 📊💰 ✔️ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Setup ⚖️🔄
🚀 Trading Plan
🟢 Bullish Scenario: ✔️ If price holds above $3,014.47, it could hit TP1 & TP2 🎯🚀
🔴 Bearish Scenario: ❌ If price drops below $3,005.86, stop-loss triggers & trade is invalidated ⚠️📉
💡 Conclusion: This setup suggests a long (buy) trade with a strong bullish bias 📊💎. A breakout above $3,017 could push the price towards higher profit levels 🚀💰.
XAU/USD | 4H | Elliott wave | Long for 3030-3070Gold is wave iv of wave (iii) of wave 5 as shown in chart.
Current wave 4 can be completed anywhere near 2980- 2955 Zone. 2955 if seen would be golden entry, but i am expecting reversal ( start of wave 5 ) before that due to highly bullish momentum.
Wait for reversal confirmation.
Sl would be low of wave 4 and target would 3030.
High probability trade. A perfect execution can be very rewarding. Look for MaCD, RSI and candle sticks patterns for reversal confirmation.
After 3030 wave (iv) of 5 may again take us to the low levels of wave iv of (iii) i.e., 2980-2955 zone before going to 3070+ levels.
GOLD AWAITS FED DECISION – WILL $3,050 BE THE NEXT TARGET?📌 Market Outlook
Gold is holding steady above the $3,000 level as investors remain cautious ahead of the March 19 FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with increasing speculation about a potential rate cut in June.
Despite last week’s price surge, gold’s short-term direction hinges on how the Fed’s economic outlook unfolds. If policymakers signal a dovish stance, we could see new highs beyond $3,050. However, any signs of persistent inflation may trigger a short-term pullback.
📊 Key Technical Analysis
🔹 Support Levels (Buy Zones)
$3,000 – The psychological level where buyers are active.
$2,985 - $2,975 – Strong liquidity zone, likely to provide support.
$2,945 - $2,950 – If tested, this could be a major reaccumulation area.
🔺 Resistance Levels (Breakout Targets)
$3,034 - $3,050 – Key resistance, breaking above could open the door for further upside.
Above $3,050, momentum could accelerate toward $3,080 - $3,100.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2986 - 2984
📍 SL: 2980
🎯 TP: 2990 - 2994 - 3000 - 3005 - 3010
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3033 - 3035
📍 SL: 3039
🎯 TP: 3028 - 3024 - 3020 - 3015 - 3010
⚠ Market Sentiment & Risk Management
Gold is currently trading in an ascending channel with high volatility expected before the Fed’s decision.
Traders should prepare for false breakouts and possible profit-taking moves around key levels.
Stick to strict TP/SL strategies to mitigate risks!
📢 What’s your outlook for gold? Will we break above $3,050 or see a dip first? Let’s discuss! 🚀🔥
XAUUSD 4H BUY PROJECTION – March 18, 2025This chart presents a bullish projection for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential buying opportunity based on trend analysis and key levels of support and resistance.
Key Components of the Analysis:
Uptrend Confirmation:
The price is moving within an ascending channel marked by two parallel blue lines.
The 4H parallel trendline suggests a continuation of bullish momentum.
Possible Buy Zone:
The chart highlights a potential buying area around the trendline, where price may pull back before resuming the uptrend.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Support S1: Around $3,015, where buyers might step in.
Resistance R1: Around $3,030, which could act as the first hurdle for price movement.
Resistance R2: Near $3,053, serving as a major target for bullish movement.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: Around $3,030 (first take-profit level).
Target Price 2: Around $3,053 (second take-profit level).
Stop Loss:
Set at approximately $2,997, below key support, to limit downside risk.
Market Structure & Price Action:
The chart indicates higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend.
A possible W pattern (double bottom) suggests a strong bullish breakout.
Trading Plan Summary:
Buy Entry: Around the support/trendline zone.
Take Profit Levels: First at $3,030, second at $3,053.
Stop Loss: Below $2,997 to manage risk.
GOLD HOLDS ABOVE $3,000 – BIG MOVE AHEAD?📌 Market Overview
Gold remains stable above the $3,000 mark as traders await the March 19 FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but speculation about a rate cut in June 2025 continues. Amid global economic uncertainty, gold maintains its position as a safe-haven asset, benefiting from a low-interest-rate environment.
🔹 Key Fundamental Factors
1️⃣ Fed’s Economic Projections
The upcoming forecasts will provide insights into how policymakers assess Trump’s fiscal policies.
A dovish Fed stance could push gold to new highs.
2️⃣ Safe-Haven Demand for Gold
Low interest rates increase gold’s attractiveness as a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold’s long-term bullish outlook.
3️⃣ Interest Rate & Inflation Impact
Traders anticipate a rate cut by June, fueling gold’s rally.
However, if inflation remains strong, the Fed may delay cuts, causing short-term pullbacks in gold.
📊 Technical Analysis – Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance (Upside Targets)
$3,034 - $3,050: If gold holds above $3,000, a test of this zone is likely.
Breakout Alert: A move past $3,050 could trigger stronger bullish momentum.
🔻 Support (Pullback Zones)
$3,000: A critical psychological level.
$2,985 - $2,975: A potential dip zone where buyers might step in.
$2,945 - $2,950: Strong long-term support—breaking below could indicate a shift in trend.
🎯 Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2986 - 2984
📍 SL: 2980
🎯 TP: 2990 - 2994 - 3000 - 3005 - 3010
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3033 - 3035
📍 SL: 3039
🎯 TP: 3028 - 3024 - 3020 - 3015 - 3010
⚠ Market Caution!
Gold is consolidating above $3,000, but volatility is expected ahead of the Fed meeting.
Watch for potential breakouts or pullbacks—stick to risk management strategies!
📢 Will gold maintain momentum above $3,000, or is a correction coming? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis: Bullish Continuation Towards $This chart represents the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on a 1-hour timeframe, and it includes key technical levels and projections. Here’s an analysis of what it suggests:
Key Observations:
Current Price: $2,983.43 📍
H1 Support Zone: Marked in purple, showing a key short-term support level where buyers may step in.
Previous All-Time High (ATH): The black horizontal line below the support level indicates a former record high, which now acts as a psychological support level.
Target Levels:
First target: $2,998.65 (Blue line)
Final target: $3,020.97 (Higher blue line) 📈
Potential Price Action:
If price holds the H1 support, there is a bullish setup, targeting $2,998 first and then $3,020 if momentum continues. 🚀
If support breaks, price could retest the previous ATH before bouncing back or moving lower.
Market Sentiment:
The overall trend is strongly bullish, indicated by the sharp breakout seen around March 14-15.
A small consolidation is happening, likely forming a base for the next move up.
Conclusion:
Bullish bias remains intact as long as price stays above the H1 support zone.
A break above $2,998 could accelerate movement toward $3,020.
Watch out for any breakdown below previous ATH, as it may indicate a short-term reversal.
Is it time to flee or enter gold?This week, the market focus is on the Fed's interest rate decision and the tension in Yemen in the Middle East.
Gold prices rose to a new record high as the uncertainty of tariffs and bets on the Fed's loosening of monetary policy keep gold prices attractive. Central bank gold purchases and trade uncertainty are the main driving forces behind the rise in gold prices; investment institutions are accelerating the transfer of large quantities of physical gold bars to New York vaults to avoid possible tariffs and take advantage of the price difference between London and New York gold prices for arbitrage.
After the sharp rise, gold entered a shock consolidation, which is also a common trend in this round of upward trend. Although the decline at the end of last Friday was not very strong, the upward trend cannot be easily reversed by a single decline, and greater strength and time are needed.
Although the technical side still maintains the structural operation of the upward trend, we need to consider the historical high price of gold, and it is not easy to chase the rise at a high level. The trading idea at the beginning of the week is to wait for a pullback to buy at a low level, and then sell short-term near the previous historical high or another historical high!
Key points:
First support: 2980, second support: 2972, third support: 2963
First resistance: 3005, second resistance: 3013, third resistance: 3026
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2980-2983, SL: 2972, TP: 3000-3010;
Sell: 3005-3008, SL: 3016, TP: 2990-2980;
GOLD IN A WAIT-AND-SEE MODE – IS A BIG BREAKOUT COMING?📌 Market Overview
Gold is showing weak momentum at the start of the new trading week after a sharp decline from last week's high. This suggests that investors are still waiting for clearer signals before committing to a direction within the current price channel.
This week, market participants will closely watch the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting, where key decisions regarding interest rate policies will be made based on last week’s inflation reports.
Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions are rising after Trump’s recent airstrikes on Iran-backed Houthi forces. However, despite this significant event, gold has yet to show a strong bullish reaction. This raises the need for further confirmation before defining the next major trend.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Support Levels: 2982 - 2976 - 2966 - 2948
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2994 - 3004 - 3015 - 3034
🎯 Trade Setups for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2975 - 2973
📍 SL: 2970
🎯 TP: 2980 - 2984 - 2988 - 2992 - 2998
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3033 - 3035
📍 SL: 3038
🎯 TP: 3030 - 3025 - 3020 - 3016 - 3010
⚠ Caution Ahead! Possible Breakout Incoming!
Gold has been trading within a narrow range since last week, and a strong breakout is highly likely during the late Asian or early European session. Traders should be prepared for high volatility and ensure proper risk management. Stick to TP/SL levels to protect your capital!
📢 What’s your outlook on Gold this week? Will it break higher or continue its correction? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Analysis – Correction or Breakout Ahead?Last week, gold (XAU/USD) hit a new all-time high (ATH) at 3005, but a sharp correction followed, bringing prices down to the 2980 - 2985 zone. This volatility suggests that the market is seeking equilibrium before determining the next move.
For the upcoming week, all eyes are on key economic data from the U.S., particularly the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and inflation indicators. These factors will directly impact the USD and gold’s direction.
📉 Gold Market Outlook
After a strong rally, gold is now in a corrective phase, absorbing liquidity before a potential continuation. Based on the technical chart:
The FVG (Fair Value Gap) formation suggests that gold might revisit lower levels to fill liquidity before resuming its trend.
The overall trend remains bullish, but key support levels need to hold for continued upside movement.
The market awaits signals from the Fed and U.S. economic data to determine the next major move.
🔥 Key Factors to Watch This Week
1️⃣ Federal Reserve Policy – Will Rates Remain High?
The Fed has maintained a hawkish stance, but if upcoming economic data show signs of weakness, expectations of rate cuts or easing policies could support gold.
👉 Scenario 1: If the Fed remains committed to tight monetary policy, gold could face more selling pressure and test deeper support levels.
👉 Scenario 2: If the Fed signals a more dovish stance, the USD could weaken, boosting gold prices.
2️⃣ U.S. Inflation & Economic Data – The Game Changer
Key reports like CPI and PPI will be the driving force behind market movements. If inflation slows down, expectations of a Fed rate cut will rise, pushing gold higher.
👉 Higher-than-expected CPI: The Fed may keep rates high → Stronger USD → Gold under pressure.
👉 Lower-than-expected CPI: Expectations for easing policies increase → Weaker USD → Gold rebounds.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels for GOLD
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
3014 - 3034: A crucial zone where previous selling pressure emerged.
3050: A breakout above this level could open the door for further upside movement.
🔹 Major Support Levels:
2942 - 2915: The FVG zone, where liquidity might be filled before a potential rebound.
2885: A breakdown below this level could trigger a deeper correction.
🎯 Conclusion
Primary Trend: Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, but a short-term correction is possible before resuming the bullish move.
Market Catalyst: The direction of gold this week will be dictated by the Fed’s stance and U.S. inflation data.
Key Levels to Watch: 2915 - 2942 as critical support zones, while 3014 - 3050 will act as major resistance.
🔥 This week, closely watch gold’s reaction at key support and resistance levels to assess its next move! 🚀
GOLD HITS NEW ATH – IS $3,000 JUST THE BEGINNING?📌 Market Overview
Gold has soared to a new all-time high (ATH) following the latest inflation reports (CPI & PPI), confirming the market’s strong bullish sentiment. As expected, weak US economic data caused DXY to plunge to its lowest levels, further fueling gold’s upward momentum. Everything is aligning in favor of gold’s rally – up, up, up! 🚀
👉 Why is gold skyrocketing?
Investors are rushing to buy gold at record-high prices due to economic and political instability.
Former President Donald Trump’s policies are shaking market confidence, making gold the go-to safe-haven asset.
Until USD shows signs of a strong recovery, gold will remain the priority investment.
📊 Will Gold Break Beyond $3,000?
🔹 Short-term bullish outlook:
Asian & European sessions are expected to favor buying, as investors continue to pile into gold.
In the US session, profit-taking may trigger sharp pullbacks, especially as early buyers cash out at higher levels.
Being a Friday, the market could see large liquidations and volatility spikes.
📉 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Major Resistance: $3,000 - $3,019 - $3,039 - $3,052
🔻 Major Support: $2,978 - $2,967 - $2,942 - $2,918
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🔴 SELL ZONE: $3,039 - $3,041
📍 SL: $3,045
🎯 TP: $3,035 - $3,030 - $3,025 - $3,020 - $3,015 - $3,010 - ???
🟢 BUY SCALP: $2,968 - $2,966
📍 SL: $2,962
🎯 TP: $2,972 - $2,976 - $2,980 - $2,985 - $2,990 - $3,000
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2,948 - $2,946
📍 SL: $2,942
🎯 TP: $2,952 - $2,956 - $2,960 - $2,965 - $2,970 - $2,980 - $3,000 - ???
⚡️ Final Thoughts – Caution Ahead!
📌 Despite the strong uptrend, today is Friday, and profit-taking could trigger sudden drops.
📌 Stick to TP/SL strategies to protect capital and avoid getting caught in sharp pullbacks.
📌 Watch for potential liquidations in the US session – big moves are possible!
💬 Do you think gold will push beyond $3,000, or are we in for a sharp correction? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
Gold waiting to be bought or stopped tradingOn Thursday, gold in the US market rushed upward. The price broke through the high point of 2956 and accelerated to rise. The current highest point is 2990. This position is 100% of the previous round of rise and expansion. It belongs to the resistance area. Pay attention to whether it can suppress the bulls. The amplitude after breaking the high is larger than expected!
After gold broke through the previous high of 2956 yesterday, the gold bulls were strong, and it was no longer the same volatile market as before. The gold bulls began to exert their strength!
In the short term, the current increase has been more than 50 US dollars. It is obviously very risky to chase more. Shorting is also against the trend. The trend belongs to the bulls. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upward and the bulls are arranged and diverge. The gold bulls are in high spirits. Gold is likely to set a new record high again and go to the 3000 line. Then there is an obvious trend change. The only way is to follow the trend and go long. Going with the trend is light and fluttering, and going against the trend is messy.
Key points:
First support: 2972, second support: 2963, third support: 2956
First resistance: 2998, second resistance: 3008, third resistance: 3018
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2970-2973, SL: 2962, TP: 2990-3000;
IS GOLD HEADING FOR A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH? USD LOSING GROUND!📌 Market Overview
For the past three months, the US Dollar (USD) has been consistently weakening, signaling a significant shift in the financial markets. With the latest CPI report showing weaker-than-expected figures, USD remains under pressure in the short term. However, long-term indicators suggest a potential recovery, implying short-term weakness but long-term strength for the dollar.
Meanwhile, GOLD continues to benefit from this USD downturn, both fundamentally and technically. As previously highlighted, our bullish bias remains intact, and we will continue to look for early buy opportunities at key support zones while monitoring the next resistance levels at all-time highs (ATH).
📊 CPI Impact on USD & GOLD – What’s Next?
🔹 USD’s Short-Term Weakness vs. Long-Term Resilience
The weaker-than-expected CPI figures have put immediate downside pressure on the USD.
However, in the long run, this could signal a bottoming phase for the dollar, setting the stage for future strength.
For now, USD weakness supports GOLD's bullish momentum, allowing for further upside potential.
🔸 GOLD’s Continued Strength – Aiming for New Highs?
With weaker USD and a risk-off sentiment, GOLD remains a preferred asset for investors.
Our strategy stays focused on buying dips, particularly around key support zones.
The upcoming PPI report (Producer Price Index) will be another crucial factor influencing inflation expectations and USD movement.
📉 Key Technical Levels for GOLD
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
2,945 - 2,956 - 2,972 - 2,988
🔻 Major Support Levels:
2,931 - 2,922 - 2,914 - 2,906 - 2,898
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2,922 - 2,920
📍 SL: 2,916
🎯 TP: 2,926 - 2,930 - 2,935 - 2,940 - 2,950
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,955 - 2,957
📍 SL: 2,961
🎯 TP: 2,950 - 2,946 - 2,942 - 2,938 - 2,930
⚡ PPI Data Tonight – Another Market Mover!
📌 Tonight, the PPI (Producer Price Index) report will be released, measuring inflation at the production level.
📌 A weak PPI print could add short-term bearish pressure on USD, further supporting GOLD’s bullish bias.
📌 However, in the long run, stable inflation could provide support for USD, reinforcing its recovery trend.
📢 Traders, be prepared for increased volatility! Stick to TP/SL levels to protect your capital. 🚀🔥
💬 What’s your view? Do you think GOLD will hit new ATH levels, or will USD start its recovery soon? Let’s discuss in the comments!
XAU#23: Gold Continues SW – Waiting for a Boost from CPI News?🔥 Immediately after the decline FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , there was a recovery with a large amplitude. Looking at the price reaction, we will plan the next step OANDA:XAUUSD : 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Gold rises on tariff concerns, but is under pressure from the Ukraine-Russia ceasefire agreement
🔹Gold prices rise on a weaker USD and increased demand for safe-haven, as concerns about a US economic recession become more evident.
🚀The US market faces risks from Trump's tax policy, Fed interest rates and slowing growth of large technology companies. Weak CPI & PPI data could prompt the Fed to ease policy, creating conditions for gold prices to continue to be supported.
📌 In recent days, trade wars and geopolitics have continuously coordinated the price of gold. Continuous declarations of tax imposition, response and withdrawal have caused the price to fluctuate strongly.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: The bullish price structure has not changed. Yesterday's price increase brought momentum to the prospect of gold's increase. However, to break out of the SW zone, we will need strong enough momentum from both news and price structure.
🔹 **Frame H4**: The downtrend has been confirmed when the price reacted strongly in the resistance zone. The price continues to be in the old SW zone. We will have to wait for confirmation from the price structure in this area to predict the trend and wait for the opportunity to establish a position.
🔹 **Frame H1**: The bearish price structure has been established and yesterday was a recovery to the resistance zone. It is too early to say that the price will break through the SW area.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ At the current price range, the price line is likely to SW waiting for today's CPI news. If we have not established a position, we should not FOMO at this time. Because the information given at this time can change at any time and the price line has not been clearly confirmed.
✅ An ideal scenario when the price has a correction to retest the H4 trendline. The upward momentum will be clearer when the price bounces from support. However, yesterday's price increase has not ended yet, so we should wait for the price structure to appear more clearly to place an order.
💪 **Wishing you successful trading!**