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Xauusdanalysis

GOLD DAILY PLAN MAY 19: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH GOLD DAILY PLAN – MAY 20: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH RUN? Gold opened the new trading week with a powerful GAP UP of over 20 USD, followed by an additional 50 USD rally during the Asia session. This explosive move is being fueled by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty, setting the tone for what could be a highly volatile and profitable week for gold traders. 🔥 Key Fundamental Drivers Behind This Gold Rally: 1️⃣ Putin rejects peace talks – Increased war risks reignite gold’s safe-haven appeal. 2️⃣ U.S. credit rating downgraded – Rising debt and bond yields are pushing investors back to gold. 3️⃣ Trump threatens new trade tariffs – Even a softer version of “Trade War 2.0” could shock global markets, making gold a top hedge. ➡️ With no clear resolutions in sight, gold may soon retest the all-time high of $3,500. 🧠 Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Are Confirming EMA13 has crossed above EMA34 and EMA200 on the M30 chart — a classic reversal confirmation. The main trendline was broken, and price is now retesting the breakout zone. Momentum remains strong, and price structure is shifting bullish. Priority is now to BUY the dips rather than sell counter-trend. 📌 Key Price Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3254 – 3277 – 3288 (If price breaks above 3287, we may quickly see a move toward 3350–3500.) 🔻 Support Zones: 3204 – 3193 – 3186 – 3174 – 3163 (Best areas to watch for confirmation to BUY.) 🎯 Suggested Trade Ideas: BUY Zone: 3186 - 3184 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180 Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 BUY Scalp: 3194 - 3192 Stop-loss: 3189 Take-Profit: 3200 - 3204 - 3210 - 3215 - 3220 SELL Zone: 3287 - 3289 Only scalp or take quick profits near resistance zones Stop-Loss (SL): 3293 Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270 (Note: Avoid holding SELLs, only scalp on strong bearish signals.) ⚠️ Trading Notes: Market is highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines. One comment from Trump or Putin could move gold 50–100 USD in minutes. No need to chase price. Let it come to your zones — and only enter on clear confirmations. 📌 Summary: ✅ Structure has turned bullish across M30 and H4. ✅ Focus on buying dips, not shorting into strength. ✅ Medium-term target zones: 3350 → 3400 → 3500, depending on continued macro pressure. 📣 Follow AD for live trading plans, market sentiment, and smart entry zones every session! Good luck & stay disciplined.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD Technical Analysis for Next Week (May 18–23, 2025) # The following technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) is based on current market conditions, recent price action, and insights, focusing on key levels, trends, and potential price movements for the upcoming week. This analysis integrates technical indicators, support/resistance levels, and market sentiment while critically examining the data for a balanced outlook. # Current Market Overview Price as of May 17, 2025 closed around $3,204 Recent Price Action: Gold has experienced a sharp decline from highs near $3,430–$3,500, dropping to a one-month low below $3,200. Unable to close below support level $3,163 A corrective bounce has occurred, with prices testing key support zones in 4 hour time frame. # Market Sentiment: Mixed, with short-term bearish pressure due to fundamental factors (e.g., US-China tariff truce, Fed's hawkish stance) but potential bullish triggers from renewed dollar weakness or geopolitical shocks. Technical indicators show neutral to bearish signals, with some bullish setups emerging on lower timeframes. (4-Hour) Key Support and Resistance Levels given in the chart for your reference
OANDA:XAUUSD
by renderwithme
GOLD Pullback or Bull Trap? This Move for the WEEK⚡️Will the Recovery Hold or Just a Retest Before Another Drop? 🧠 Macro Backdrop: Geopolitical tension: US-China trade headlines and Russia-Ukraine negotiations continue to stir uncertainty, but risk appetite is still cautious. US CPI and PPI data this week came in weaker than expected → inflation remains soft, but no signal yet for immediate rate cuts from the Fed. Gold has been under pressure for 2 weeks but may be stabilizing as DXY loses steam and equity markets show hesitation. 🔍 Technical Outlook (Chart: M30–H1): Gold is forming a rising wedge within a broader corrective pattern. Yesterday’s rebound from the 3,163 zone has pushed price back above the 20 EMA (black) and is testing the 3,208–3,210 zone. This area is key for today: breakout or rejection? 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance: 3,221 → Local structure neckline 3,235 → Previous supply + Fibo confluence 3,251 → Strong upper bound resistance 🔻 Support: 3,184 → Minor support (demand block) 3,173 → Swing low (key reaction zone) 3,163 → Final line of defense 📈 Trade Scenarios: ⚠️ Scenario A – Bullish Push Above 3,221: If price breaks and holds above 3,221, we may see a bullish continuation to 3,235 and even 3,251. Momentum confirmation: Price must stay above 3,210 on pullbacks. 🔹 Entry: 3,222 – 3,224 🔹 SL: 3,216 🔹 TP: 3,235 → 3,251 ⚠️ Scenario B – False Break & Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,221 and reverses below 3,208 → potential short opportunity targeting lower liquidity zones. 🔻 Entry: 3,220 – 3,218 (after rejection) 🔻 SL: 3,228 🔻 TP: 3,184 → 3,173 → 3,163 ⚠️ Scenario C – Range Play: If price remains between 3,208 and 3,184, scalp inside the range and wait for breakout confirmation. 💬 Follow for real-time setups and live strategy updates during major market sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 16: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 17: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY? Gold is closing out the week with unpredictable volatility, following two extreme sessions where prices dropped over 100 pips, only to rebound aggressively. Are recent news headlines just justifying the price action, or is this a well-orchestrated market trap? 🔍 Technical Breakdown (D1 & H4) On the daily and 4-hour charts, we can clearly see a sharp breakdown, followed by an immediate rebound into the 325x area. 🎯 Key Level to Watch: 3254 – 3256 If price remains below 3256, sellers continue to dominate. If 3256 is broken to the upside, we could see a quick move toward 327x–328x. This zone acts as a decisive barrier between continuation and reversal. 🌐 Macro Perspective – Market Triggers US inflation data continues to disappoint, weakening the USD and halting DXY recovery. US-China tensions flare up again after short-lived optimism, especially around tariff talks and rare earth restrictions. With mixed geopolitical cues, this market is prone to fakeouts and liquidity sweeps, especially ahead of the weekend. 📌 Key Levels to Monitor 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3237 – 3251 – 3261 – 3276 – 3287 🔻 Support Zones: 3205 – 3188 – 3170 – 3143 🎯 Trading Plan 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3172 – 3170 SL: 3166 TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3200 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3142 – 3140 SL: 3136 TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3160 – 3162 SL: 3166 TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3278 SL: 3282 TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3240 ⚠️ Key Notes: Friday sessions often bring major liquidity grabs and false breakouts. Be disciplined with SL/TP management – especially in such volatile conditions. Wait for candle confirmation before reacting — don’t trade emotionally.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD - RESISTANCE RETEST BEFORE THE DROPSymbol - XAUUSD Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase, retesting a significant resistance and liquidity zone within the broader context of a prevailing downtrend. The global trend appears to be approaching a critical juncture, potentially signaling a reversal. Ahead of the forthcoming US inflation report, gold prices have stabilized following a 3% decline, trading steadily around the 3250 level. This consolidation is occurring against a backdrop of a weaker US dollar. Market participants are awaiting the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to provide clearer direction for both monetary policy expectations and asset flows. Support for gold prices is being derived from a combination of factors, including optimism surrounding the US-China trade dialogue, signs of easing geopolitical tensions, and profit-taking on long dollar positions. However, the market remains cautious, closely evaluating the potential implications of inflation data on Federal Reserve policy and the demand for safe-haven assets. Despite the current stabilization, skepticism persists regarding the sustainability of any upward momentum. Technical conditions suggest the possibility of a sharp reversal, with attention focused on key inflection points that could trigger renewed selling pressure. Key Resistance Levels: 3269, 3284 Key Support Levels: 3246, 3200, 3167 Should the CPI report fail to deliver any major surprises, a false breakout within the 3260-3270 resistance zone followed by price consolidation could serve as a catalyst for a decline toward the 3200-3150 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
1
SPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold LosingSPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold Losing Momentum? 📉 SPDR Gold Trust Overview (Apr 24 – May 14, 2025): 🔻 Continuous Net Selling: From April 30 to May 14, SPDR saw 10 consecutive sessions of net selling, unloading over 18.5 tons of gold. 📌 Key Selling Days: May 2: -4.87 tons May 6: -2.29 tons May 14: -2.58 tons 👉 SPDR's gold holdings dropped from ~948.56 tons to ~936.51 tons — a decrease of over 12 tons in just 3 weeks, signaling that institutional capital is exiting gold ETFs. This reflects waning confidence in gold’s short-term upside. 🕯️ Technical Breakdown: Gold's price has broken below the $3200 support zone on the D1 chart, invalidating the bullish defense zone. The Double Top pattern is now around 80% completed, signaling a possible deeper drop unless a strong recovery occurs. Momentum remains strongly bearish, making it difficult to time SELL entries unless lower timeframe resistance shows up. 🧭 Macro Pressures: Optimism around US economic growth and expectations of prolonged high interest rates are weighing on gold. The PPI report and Fed Chair's speech today could trigger further volatility, especially if the rhetoric remains hawkish. CPI earlier this week painted a mixed picture, with sticky inflation — which is bearish for gold. 🧠 What Smart Money Is Doing: Big funds are rotating out of gold and back into risk-on assets like equities and crypto. This shift is not just a technical correction; it reflects a broader macro-driven sentiment change. Gold is currently lacking institutional support. 🎯 Trading Strategy for Today: 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3186 – 3188 SL: 3192 TP: 3182 → 3178 → 3174 → 3170 → 3166 → 3160 → 3150 → 3140 🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Probability Resistance): Entry: 3226 – 3228 SL: 3232 TP: 3220 → 3216 → 3210 → 3206 → 3200 → 3196 → 3190 → ??? 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3154 3174 3188 3206 3226 3254 ⚠️ What to Watch Today: US PPI and Fed speech could trigger extreme volatility in the NY session. Wait for price to pull back toward resistance before SELLING — don’t chase. BUY only if a confirmed D1 reversal or high-volume reaction occurs. 🔚 Final Thoughts: With SPDR aggressively dumping gold and price breaking below critical support, institutional flows are no longer supporting the bull case. As long as price stays under $3200, SELL remains the primary strategy. A break below $3150 opens the path to $3000. 📣 Stay tuned — AD will update real-time strategies as we approach the US session. Follow, trade smart, and always respect your TP/SL. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD - BEARISH FLAG OR BULLISH TREND REVERSAL?Symbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3238 Gold is emerging from a local corrective channel, commonly identified as a 'Flag' formation. Consolidation continues near the base of this potential reversal pattern, with market focus centered on the critical 3200 level. Gold is experiencing downward pressure amid renewed trade optimism and strength in the US dollar. Prices are retreating early Wednesday as market participants engage in profit-taking following a recent rebound from weekly lows. Although US inflation data came in below expectations, it failed to support earlier assumptions of imminent monetary easing. The Federal Reserve’s continued reluctance to initiate rate cuts is exerting additional pressure on the precious metal. Moreover, growing optimism surrounding potential trade agreements between the United States, China, the United Kingdom, and other nations-along with renewed hope for diplomatic progress in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is dampening gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. From a technical standpoint, the outlook remains bearish. The absence of a meaningful rebound from support suggests sustained selling pressure. A consolidation phase appears to be developing ahead of a potential test of the 3200 support level. Key Resistance Levels: 3243, 3257, 3269 Key Support Levels: 3222, 3200 Should price action continue to consolidate within the current local range and repeatedly test support in the 3222-3200 zone, further downside may be anticipated in the short to medium term. However, in consideration of common market maker tactics, a brief short squeeze targeting local resistance zones cannot be ruled out prior to any subsequent decline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
2
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
FX:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
3
Gold Price Faces Heavy Pressure – Key Levels and Strategy GOLD DAILY STRATEGY – 14 MAY 2025 Price fails to hold gains as sellers dominate early Asia – Eyes on 3206 zone! 🔍 Market Sentiment Update: Gold started the day with a slight uptick, but the rally was quickly rejected, and price fell sharply — a clear signal that buying power remains extremely fragile. This kind of price behavior — slow climbs, rapid falls — is typical of a market losing confidence in its upside momentum. At the same time, geopolitical tensions have eased and US-China tariff talks have shown signs of progress, further pressuring gold as safe-haven demand weakens. All major macro indicators are now aligning with the bearish narrative. 🟠 Conclusion? Gold is likely to stay within the current descending price channel, and any bullish pullbacks may be limited unless strong demand re-emerges. 📉 Technical Outlook: Price is trading below key resistance and continues to reject upside attempts. The market is respecting short-term resistance zones and pushing deeper into support. Unless there’s a clear reversal signal, selling on rallies remains the optimal approach. 📌 Key Resistance Zones: 3244 3262 3278 3290 3308 3330 📌 Key Support Zones: 3216 3206 3194 3170 3158 🎯 Trade Setups: 🔴 SELL SCALP Entry: 3257 – 3259 SL: 3263 TP: 3253 → 3250 → 3246 → 3242 → 3238 → 3235 → 3230 → 3220 🔴 SELL ZONE Entry: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3262 → 3258 → 3254 → 3250 → 3240 → 3230 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3196 – 3194 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220 🔵 BUY ZONE (Long-Term Zone) Entry: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190 ⚠️ Final Notes: Price action continues to respect the bearish channel. BUY entries are risky at this point — every bounce is met with resistance. Watch closely for price behavior near 3222–3206 for possible intraday reactions. News events remain critical — any update from US-China talks or surprise Fed remarks could change the bias swiftly. 📌 As always — respect your zones. Stay reactive, not predictive. Trade safe, and let the market show its hand.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
FX:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
XAU/USDBearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target $3050Trend Overview 📉 Downtrend in Play Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354 Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86) Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum. Key Zones & Levels 🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance) 📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41 Strong selling pressure expected here Possible short entry if price gets rejected 🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support) 📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210 Price has previously bounced here 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit) 📍 $3,050 Clear support level – used as a profit target Trade Setup – Bearish Bias 🟩 Entry Point 📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone) 🛑 Stop Loss ❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line) ✅ Take Profit 💰 Target $3,050 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades. Summary 🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone 💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers 📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Jameshead007
GOLD Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal?GOLD UPDATE – Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal? 📊 Market Analysis: Yesterday’s sharp decline in gold prices indicates a temporary easing in geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict and political issues. It seems that the global environment has become slightly less tense recently, which could be a key factor in the correction we are seeing in gold. From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend appears rational, but it is important to note that nothing is set in stone just yet. Further negotiations are expected, and these could lead to significant agreements. After the sharp drop, gold has managed to find some momentum for recovery, filling liquidity gaps and returning to areas of lower liquidity. 🔍 Current Outlook: At the moment, I’m still expecting a possible rebound in gold, but the best opportunity might be to focus on sell positions for the time being. Yesterday’s plan, although bearish, enabled us to catch key levels for potential buy entries. Today, sell entries might be more favorable than buying. The price is likely to continue adjusting as we await more macroeconomic news, especially regarding the US Federal Reserve’s actions. We’ve seen the Fed avoid Trump’s pressure, and there is speculation that interest rate cuts might be postponed until later in the year rather than mid-year as previously expected. If this is the case, gold could potentially revisit the $3000/oz mark in the near future. 🔮 Short-Term Strategy: For now, we will continue trading according to the market’s correction wave. Sell positions might offer a better risk-to-reward ratio in this environment. We may still see some bounces, but they would likely be short-lived unless we see more positive macroeconomic data. 💡 Key Resistance Levels: 3264 3278 3307 3328 💡 Key Support Levels: 3241 3207 3196 3172 3156 🎯 Trade Setup: BUY SCALP: Entry: 3196 – 3164 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3328 – 3330 SL: 3334 TP: 3324 → 3320 → 3316 → 3312 → 3308 → 3300 → 3290 → 3280 📅 Key Event: CPI Announcement Today, we are also expecting the CPI report, a critical piece of data for the month. Be aware that there’s not much to analyze yet regarding this report, but we will update everyone once the data comes out later today. 💼 Risk Management: Given the volatility we’re seeing, proper risk management is essential. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your account and avoid unnecessary risks. 📈 Final Thoughts: Gold is currently facing corrections, but with geopolitical tensions easing, it could lead to more stability and potential breakout opportunities. Keep your trades aligned with key levels and macro news. Keep an eye on CPI and adjust accordingly. 💬 Good luck to everyone! Keep your positions safe and be patient for the right opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND?📉 GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN – RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND? Gold started the week with a sharp gap down, breaking below key levels after weekend developments signaled easing geopolitical tensions and positive progress in US-China trade talks. This calm has dampened safe-haven demand, triggering an aggressive selloff in early Asian hours. 🔍 Technical Outlook – M30 Parallel Channel Gold is currently respecting a descending parallel channel on the M30 chart. Price is pushing lower and has yet to fill the weekend’s gap around the 3326–3328 zone. This remains a critical Key Level for any potential short-term recovery. 🗓️ This Week’s Macro Focus Traders should brace for high volatility as the US economic calendar is packed with top-tier releases: Tuesday: CPI (Consumer Price Index) Thursday: PPI (Producer Price Index) Thursday Night: Fed Chair Powell speaks Meanwhile, ongoing tariff policy updates and geopolitical headlines will continue to stir price action unpredictably. 📌 Trading Bias For now, the dominant trend is bearish. Unless we see a strong bullish reversal pattern or key breakout confirmation, the preference remains selling on rallies. Only if buyers reclaim control around the gap zone (3326–3328) should we look for long setups. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3288 – 3308 – 3328 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3262 – 3246 – 3236 – 3200 🎯 Trade Setups 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244 SL: 3240 TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3326 – 3328 SL: 3332 TP: 3322 → 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3306 – 3308 SL: 3312 TP: 3300 → 3296 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3270 ⚠️ Final Thoughts Gold remains highly reactive to macro news and liquidity traps, especially with so many risk events this week. Trade with caution, follow your TP/SL rules, and stay flexible with your strategy. The market may deliver unexpected volatility—manage your risk smartly. 🟡 Let price guide you — not emotions. 🚨 Stay disciplined. Stay profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?📊 GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND? The gold market is showing significant liquidity sweeps this Friday. In the early Asian session, price pushed down to the 327x region, collecting liquidity, before swiftly rebounding. On the M30 chart, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed and been filled — signaling accumulation and potential setup for a major move. 📉 Technical Perspective: Gold has been moving within a parallel descending channel since yesterday. However, during the late Asian session, we saw the first signs of a possible breakout. If the candle closes above 3,324, this could confirm a breakout — at which point an early BUY entry on the retest would be ideal. 🔥 Fundamental Notes: The market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical news, especially tensions between nations and potential tariff announcements from Donald Trump regarding China. In this climate, trading based on key level reactions is safer than predicting direction. The zones 3,324 and 3,366 will be crucial decision points for bulls and bears. A breakout above 3,366 could shift the short-term trend bullish. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3,345 3,364 3,395 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3,280 3,270 3,256 3,244 3,225 📈 Trade Setup – Friday Strategy: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3,280 – 3,278 Stop Loss: 3,274 Take Profits: 3,285 → 3,290 → 3,295 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,320 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3,364 – 3,366 Stop Loss: 3,370 Take Profits: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330 ✅ Final Note: Fridays often bring sharp liquidity grabs. Stay cautious, especially with heightened geopolitical tension and pending policy statements from global leaders. Always respect your TP/SL zones to protect your capital. 📌 Let price lead. React to structure. Avoid chasing noise. Wishing all traders a safe and profitable end of the week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains?🟡 GOLD 08/05 – POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains? After last night’s FOMC meeting, the outcome came in line with expectations — the Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% and maintained a hawkish tone. Powell reinforced that there is no urgency to cut rates and that future policy will depend on incoming economic data. Despite some dovish hopes from the market, the Fed remained cautious — no pivot, no surprises. 🔥 Geopolitical Tensions: Meanwhile, geopolitical stress between India and Pakistan is escalating again around the Jammu-Kashmir region. This could continue to act as a bullish driver for gold, especially in Asia where safe-haven demand is more sensitive to border conflicts. 🧠 Market View: BUY Setup Still Dominates Over the past few sessions, gold has shown strong accumulation followed by solid bullish momentum. As long as candle structure remains healthy, buying dips near 338x–336x remains the preferred strategy. However, if an unexpected catalyst drives a breakdown below 336x with confirmation from candle close, this could invalidate the short-term bullish bias and open the door for a sell setup, targeting the large liquidity gap between 3354 to 3340. Until then, trade the range — respect top and bottom of key intraday zones. 📉 TECHNICAL ZONES TO WATCH: 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3396 3408 3430 3455 🔻 Support Levels: 3384 3366 3354 3334 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3334 SL: 3330 TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3430 – 3432 SL: 3436 TP: 3426 → 3422 → 3418 → 3414 → 3410 → 3400 ⚠️ Key Event Ahead: Today’s US session brings the Unemployment Claims report — known to trigger high volatility in precious metals. Stay alert, and always wait for confirmation candles before executing trades near critical zones. ✅ Follow for real-time updates and mid-session trade setups. 💬 Drop your view in the comments below – are we going to break higher or revisit liquidity zones?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut FOMC Storm Incoming?Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut – FOMC Storm Incoming? 📅 May 7, 2025 | XAU/USD Intraday Outlook Gold faced a sharp decline in early sessions today, dropping nearly 800 PIPS from 3,435 down to the 3,36x range. While the fall appeared aggressive, the macro backdrop may provide clues — especially ahead of tonight's high-stakes FOMC meeting. 🔍 What Triggered the Sell-off? 1️⃣ China Cuts Rates by 10bps Unexpectedly: Just ahead of U.S.–China trade talks, China slashed its benchmark interest rate by 10bps. While the move supports Chinese markets, it also boosts the U.S. Dollar (DXY), creating headwinds for gold. 2️⃣ Investors Awaiting FOMC Clarity: Traders are hesitant to buy gold near recent highs, especially with the Fed expected to signal rate direction tonight. There’s growing speculation that today's events are part of a broader setup for potential Fed easing. 3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions Not Helping Gold – Yet: Despite renewed tensions between India and Pakistan, and a volatile global climate, gold hasn't responded bullishly — a sign that technicals and macro shifts are temporarily outweighing news-based fear. 📈 Technical Analysis – Dual Scenarios in Play Gold is now moving in a wide, volatile range. Liquidity grabs at both ends are likely, and traders should adopt a flexible, confirmation-based approach rather than sticking to one directional bias. 🔺 Key Resistance Zones: 3,390 3,402 3,416 3,432 3,444 3,468 🔻 Key Support Zones: 3,365 3,356 3,332 3,314 🎯 Trade Plan – May 7, 2025 (Pre-FOMC Strategy) 🔵 BUY SCALP • Entry: 3,355 • SL: 3,350 • TP: 3,360 → 3,364 → 3,368 → 3,372 → 3,376 → 3,380 🔵 BUY ZONE • Entry: 3,332 – 3,330 • SL: 3,326 • TP: 3,336 → 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,348 → 3,352 → 3,358 → 3,365 📌 KEY BUY LEVEL to Watch: → 3,314 – 3,312 ⚠️ This is a critical Fibonacci zone. If broken, trend structure may be compromised. Use wide SL (~6 PIPS) with open TP structure. 🔴 SELL SCALP • Entry: 3,430 – 3,432 • SL: 3,436 • TP: 3,425 → 3,420 → 3,415 → 3,410 → 3,400 🔴 SELL ZONE • Entry: 3,468 – 3,470 • SL: 3,474 • TP: 3,464 → 3,460 → 3,455 → 3,450 → 3,445 → 3,440 → 3,430 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Today’s FOMC statement will likely dominate market direction for the rest of the week. Volatility is expected to increase sharply. With both macro and geopolitical catalysts in play, risk management is non-negotiable. 🔐 Stick to key zones. Avoid trading the news blindly. Wait for price action confirmation — and remember: capital protection beats every setup. 📌 Follow this post to get real-time updates after FOMC and new breakout zones for Thursday.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD IN PLAY - RISKY ROADS AHEAD BUT GOLD KEEPS SURGINGSymbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3468 Gold continues to show strength, testing resistance within the established range, with bullish momentum persisting. The price has moved above the flat consolidation line and entered the buying zone, further progress now depends on the actions of the bulls. The metal is advancing for a second consecutive session, supported by a weakening of US dollar, heightened demand for safe-haven assets, and intensifying geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Market sentiment remains fragile due to trade-related uncertainties and regional instability across Asia, as investors look ahead to forthcoming Federal Reserve decisions and remarks from Powell. Gold is currently breaking out of its previous neutral range. Immediate attention is on the 3369 level and nearby resistance at 3381. The macroeconomic environment remains favorable for gold. If bullish positions are maintained above these key thresholds, upward continuation remains likely. Resistance Levels: 3369, 3381, 3408 Support Levels: 3352, 3330 A potential retest of the local liquidity zone around 3352, possibly triggering a long squeeze, cannot be ruled out prior to a resumed upward move. For now, the focus remains on the 3369–3370 area, which currently serves as a critical support zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by akshit_official
6
Gold Surges Amid War Tensions Is This the Start of a New Bull 🟡 Gold Surges Amid War Tensions – Is This the Start of a New Bull Run? 📈 XAU/USD Weekly Outlook – May 6, 2025 Gold made a strong comeback this morning, jumping over 600 PIPS as investor demand surged in response to escalating geopolitical risks and massive physical demand in Asia — particularly from China and Japan. The current breakout momentum suggests a high probability of new ATHs if macro and political tensions continue. 🔥 Why is Gold Rising Again? 1️⃣ Geopolitical Flashpoint: 19+ Ukrainian UAVs struck Moscow overnight. The attack came just ahead of Russia's Victory Day (May 9) — a symbolic blow that rattled global markets. 2️⃣ China Ramping Up Gold Imports: Reports show China has been quietly stockpiling gold at aggressive levels. Institutional and retail demand has returned strongly to the Asian bullion market. 3️⃣ Fear and FOMO in the Market: Asian investors are driving early-session buying frenzies. Technical retracements are being ignored as price accelerates without respecting classic resistance zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – H4 + D1 Focus Gold has successfully defended the 3312 zone and surged past resistance zones with ease. Current MA13/MA34/MA89 crossovers on higher timeframes confirm a trend reversal and sustained bullish momentum. 🔑 Key Technical Zones to Watch: 🔻 Support Levels: 3355 3335 3313 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3380 3405 3443 3470 🎯 Trade Plan for May 6 – BUY Bias Dominant 🚫 Avoid SELL positions unless confirmed exhaustion appears — momentum is extremely bullish and politically driven. 🔵 BUY ZONE #1: Entry: 3314 – 3312 SL: 3308 TP: 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE #2: Entry: 3335 – 3332 SL: 3329 TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE (High Risk): Entry: 3343 – 3345 SL: 3359 TP: 3339 → 3335 → 3330 → 3326 → 3320 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold is currently in hyper bullish mode. Key level 3313 is now confirmed as a volume-based support (VPOC + FIBO 0.5) and will likely be the base for the next wave. As global headlines point to uncertainty, investors are shifting capital back into gold, supported by physical buying from China. 💬 Patience and proper entry are key. Avoid early sell traps. Focus on the Asia-led FOMO rallies and align your strategy with safe-haven flows.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD - Will Geopolitical Shocks Fuel a Bigger Rally?🚨 GOLD SURGES IN ASIA OPEN – Will Geopolitical Shocks Fuel a Bigger Rally? Gold opened the week with a powerful bullish spike in the Asia session, rallying nearly $30/oz amid renewed global tensions and policy uncertainty. The strong upside momentum marks a potential shift in sentiment after recent corrections. 🌍 What’s Driving the Market? 🔺 Geopolitical Risks Back on the Radar: Tensions are rising again between Russia–Ukraine and India–Pakistan with no clear diplomatic resolution in sight. This reintroduces safe-haven demand for gold as global uncertainty climbs. 🔺 Trump’s Pressure on the Fed: Former President Trump has urged the Fed to cut interest rates sooner, adding further speculation ahead of the FOMC meeting this week. These combined factors have sparked strong buying interest right from the Asia open, with the yellow metal attempting to reclaim lost ground from previous sessions. 📈 Technical Overview (H1 – H2 Focus): 🟢 Key Support Zones: 3250 3246 3238 3224 3204 🔴 Key Resistance Zones: 3278 3288 3301 3314 🎯 Trade Setup for the Day: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244 SL: 3240 TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3300 – 3302 SL: 3306 TP: 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3284 → 3280 → 3270 ⚠️ Final Notes: With the FOMC meeting ahead and geopolitical developments unfolding, traders should expect heightened volatility this week. Gold may continue to attract safe-haven flows if headlines escalate, but any dovish surprise from the Fed could accelerate the rally even further. 📌 Stay alert. Let price come to your zones. Trade the reaction, not the assumption.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD LOSES ITS SHINE - DISTRIBUTION PHASE BEGINSSymbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3244 Gold breaks below 3270, entering a distribution phase amid a strengthening US dollar. The market appears to be in the early stages of a potential trend reversal. On Thursday, gold remained under sustained pressure, trading at a two-week low, as market sentiment responded to statements by President Trump regarding potential trade agreements with multiple countries, including China. Growing optimism surrounding trade negotiations is enhancing risk appetite, thereby diminishing demand for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. Notably, even weak US GDP and inflation figures failed to support gold prices, as investor focus remains firmly on trade developments and upcoming labor market data. Gold's price trajectory is shifting due to the strengthening of the dollar and evolving macroeconomic fundamentals. A break below the recent local low could further reinforce the downward momentum. The initial downside target is set at 3190. A potential retest of the previously breached consolidation support at 3268 may occur before the downward movement resumes. Resistance levels: 3245, 3270 Support levels: 3190, 3186, 3167 A break below the local low of 3221 could act as a catalyst for a deeper decline, with 3190 as the initial target. A retest of the 3245–3270 resistance range cannot be ruled out prior to the continuation of the downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
9
GOLD EYEING A BOUNCE - BULLS PUSH BACK AS DOLLAR DIPSSymbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3260 Gold is currently forming a local bottom and is not poised to continue its downward trajectory. The price is breaking through downward resistance, driven by a weakening US dollar and a complex fundamental environment. At the start of the week, gold stabilized above the 3250 mark as investors gravitated toward defensive assets in response to ongoing uncertainties surrounding US trade negotiations with China and Japan, coupled with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The dollar’s weakness, ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, alongside diminishing expectations for an interest rate cut, is further supporting gold’s demand. The market’s focus remains on developments regarding US trade policies and the potential for a more hawkish stance from the Fed in the coming week. From a technical standpoint, gold is testing the bottom of the trading range as resistance. Should there be no significant reaction to a false breakout and the price continues to challenge the 3268 level, a breakout and subsequent consolidation above this point could pave the way for further gains, with potential targets at 3292 and 3314 Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314 Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204 The price is currently undergoing a second test of the 3269 resistance level since the session commenced. Buyers are actively testing this resistance for a potential breakout. If the bulls manage to break through 3269 and establish a solid consolidation above the 3271 level, the outlook for further growth would be favorable. However, a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 remains a possibility before any sustained upward movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by akshit_official
2