I Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD June 16, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) in green, with the market currently in wave 4.
Last Friday, after breaking above the 3444 high, price failed to continue toward 3482 and instead reversed lower. This behavior suggests that wave 4 is developing as a Flat correction in black abc structure.
👉 Based on this outlook, wave c is expected to complete around 3314, marking the end of wave 4 in green. From there, a bullish impulse is anticipated to complete wave 5.
🔎 Momentum Overview
D1 timeframe: Momentum is rising → indicating the dominant trend for early this week is likely bullish.
H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining → supporting the scenario that wave c of wave 4 may still have one more leg down.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn downward → suggesting a potential drop during the Asian session on Monday.
🚨 However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could trigger unexpected price spikes, especially during the Asian session.
📈 Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 3415 – 3412
Stop Loss: 3405
Take Profit 1: 3444
Take Profit 2: 3482
Xauusdanalysis
GOLD PRICES STEADY AHEAD OF US CPI & TRADE TALKSSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3324
Gold is currently testing the liquidity zone during the Asian trading session, exhibiting signs of a potential false breakout. While the metal is showing signs of recovery, the broader fundamental backdrop remains uncertain.
As of Monday, gold is trading steadily around the 3300 level, supported by a weaker US dollar and cautious sentiment among market participants ahead of upcoming US-China discussions and the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data scheduled for Wednesday. Robust Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) figures for May have strengthened the dollar and diminished expectations for a near term FED rate cut. Nonetheless, ongoing domestic challenges in the US are exerting downward pressure on the currency. Investors are repositioning ahead of the CPI release.
From a technical standpoint, the trend remains bullish. Although the price previously breached structural support, it has rebounded during the Asian session following a false breakdown of both the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Price action in the near term will be influenced by the 3300–3335 range.
Resistance levels: 3325, 3343, 3375
Support levels: 3303, 3275
Gold appears to be approaching the 3325–3335 zone for a potential retest. Should the dollar continue to weaken and gold sustain a move above the 3340 level, the bullish momentum may persist. However, caution is warranted-a false breakout within the 3325–3335 area could signal a breakdown of the bullish structure and result in a renewed downward move.
GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H CHART – BULLISH BREAKOUT TRADE SETUP🔵 Trendline Breakout 📈
📏 Price broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
🔼 This breakout is often seen as a buy signal by traders.
🧱 Resistance Area 🛑
🔹 Price has entered and broken through a horizontal resistance zone.
🔄 This zone may now flip into support, adding confidence to the long setup.
🟧 Demand Zone 📦
📍 Marked between 3,267 – 3,298.
🛡️ Strong buying interest historically observed in this area.
📉 EMA (70) at 3,298.065 acts as dynamic support.
🟦 Entry Point 🚪
🎯 Entry Level: 3,322.930
🔄 Enter after retest confirmation or bullish candle above resistance.
🔴 Stop Loss ⛔
⚠️ SL Level: 3,267.993
💣 Below the demand zone and EMA — protecting against false breakouts.
🟩 Target Point 🎯
🚀 TP Level: 3,490.000
📌 Prior high zone — strong historical resistance expected here.
💰 Trade Setup Summary
✅ Buy Above: 3,322.930
❌ Stop Loss: 3,267.993
🎯 Target: 3,490.000
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable (approx. 1:3)
🔎 Technical Confidence Levels
🔵 EMA Support ✅
🔵 Trendline Breakout ✅
🔵 Resistance Flip ✅
🔴 False Breakout Risk
Gold Surges Amid Middle East TensionsXAUUSD – Gold Surges Amid Middle East Tensions | What’s Next After 3430 Break?
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Overview
Gold prices accelerated sharply in the Asian session on June 13 after Israel launched a large-scale airstrike campaign against Iran, targeting nuclear facilities including the Natanz uranium enrichment site.
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu declared the mission would continue until the Iranian nuclear threat is “completely neutralized.”
Iran suffered major losses and scrambled its air force to prepare for retaliation.
WTI oil jumped over 8%, gold spiked to $3,430/oz, and US equities dropped sharply.
While the US claimed it would not participate directly in the attack, it vowed to defend its forces in the region if threatened.
This rapidly escalating geopolitical conflict has triggered a renewed flight into safe-haven assets, with gold leading the pack.
📉 Technical Outlook – M30 / H1 Chart
🔹 Trend Structure
Gold has broken out decisively above 3,392, forming a strong bullish leg and carving new short-term support around 3,412 – 3,426.
Price action is forming a Higher High – Higher Low structure within a rising channel.
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A visible FVG between 3,405 – 3,412 has formed. As long as price holds above this zone, bullish continuation is favored.
🔹 EMA Structure
Price is well above all key EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200), confirming a strong bullish environment. EMA13 continues to guide intraday momentum.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone
Watch for potential distribution or profit-taking around 3,441 – 3,456 – a major resistance area if no further escalation occurs.
🧠 Market Sentiment & Behavior
Investor sentiment has shifted firmly into risk-off mode.
Funds are flowing heavily into gold, oil, CHF, and JPY.
Price volatility is likely to spike further, as headlines continue to drive intraday sentiment.
🎯 Updated Trade Setup – 13 June
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3384 – 3382
Stop-Loss: 3378
Take-Profit: 3388 → 3392 → 3396 → 3400 → 3405 → 3410
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3454 – 3456
Stop-Loss: 3460
Take-Profit: 3450 → 3446 → 3442 → 3438 → 3434 → 3430
✅ Conclusion
The renewed conflict between Israel and Iran is fueling gold’s rise as global risk appetite collapses. Technically, the trend remains bullish, but volatility is extremely elevated. Traders should watch key price zones closely and avoid emotional trades during event-driven spikes.
⚠️ Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Let key levels confirm bias before entering.
XAUUSD – CPI Data Pushes Gold HigherXAUUSD – CPI Data Pushes Gold Higher | Should You Follow the Trend or Sell the Top?
Gold prices surged strongly after the US CPI report came in lower than expected. This triggered a sharp drop in the US Dollar and yields, while boosting demand for safe-haven assets. The question now: Is this the beginning of a new leg higher, or a setup for a short-term correction?
🌐 MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT
📰 US CPI (May): Increased only 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY vs. forecast of 2.5%.
➤ This softer inflation reading reignited expectations that the Fed may cut rates as early as September.
📉 USD Weakness: The Dollar Index (DXY) dropped ~0.4%, making gold cheaper and more attractive for global investors.
📉 Bond Yields Falling: US 10Y yields declined, further increasing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe asset.
💡 Market Psychology: Traders are rotating capital back into gold ahead of FOMC and geopolitical uncertainties (China, Middle East).
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H1 & H4 STRUCTURE
🔹 Trend Structure
Gold remains in a Higher High – Higher Low formation since the 3,312 level. Price recently broke above the 3,360–3,374 resistance and is now consolidating around 3,375 — a possible accumulation before breakout.
🔹 Price Channel
Gold is respecting an ascending channel with the lower bound aligning with the key support area at 3,339 – 3,345. As long as this zone holds, bulls are in control.
🔹 EMA Indicators
EMA13 / EMA34: Price is comfortably above both — indicating strong short-term momentum.
EMA89 / EMA200: Both EMAs are well below price action, confirming a medium-term bullish trend.
🔹 Caution Zone
Resistance at 3,392 – 3,395 is a key area to watch for reversal patterns (Pin Bars, Bearish Engulfing, etc.)
If price pulls back to 3,339 – 3,345 and holds, it can offer high-probability long entries with trend continuation.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3324 – 3322
Stop-Loss: 3318
Take-Profit Targets: 3330, 3334, 3338, 3342, 3346, 3350
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3337 – 3335
Stop-Loss: 3330
Take-Profit Targets: 3341, 3345, 3350, 3354, 3360, 3370, 3380
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3392 – 3394
Stop-Loss: 3398
Take-Profit Targets: 3388, 3384, 3380, 3375, 3370, 3360, 3350
🧠 CONCLUSION
The lower-than-expected CPI has given gold a short-term macro boost, and technically, bulls remain in control. However, caution is needed near the 3,392 zone — where price could face strong supply and trigger a pullback.
✅ Trade with confirmation, not assumptions. Let the price action guide your next move.
Gold Holds Breath for CPI – Decisive Catalyst or Price Trap?XAUUSD: Gold Holds Breath for CPI – Decisive Catalyst or Price Trap?
🌍 Macro Landscape: Gold Awaits CPI, Real Interest Rate Pressure
The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a highly sensitive phase as investors hold their breath for the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report during the U.S. session. CPI is the most crucial inflation gauge, and any deviation from expectations can trigger significant market shocks, especially for safe-haven assets like gold.
In this context, real interest rates are playing a pivotal role. If inflation cools faster than anticipated (lower CPI), pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates will increase, leading to a drop in bond yields and making gold more attractive. Conversely, if inflation remains "sticky" (higher CPI), the Fed may maintain a "higher-for-longer" policy stance, pushing bond yields up and putting downward pressure on gold due to the increased opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.
🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence: Fed's Caution, BoJ's Waiting Game
Federal Reserve (Fed): FOMC members continue to signal patience with rate cuts. Recent inflation data shows persistent price pressures, particularly in the services sector, reinforcing the Fed's hawkish bias. This creates pressure on gold if the USD continues to strengthen due to higher interest rates.
Bank of Japan (BoJ): (While not directly related to XAUUSD, global policy divergence still impacts capital flows and sentiment. For Gold, our focus is primarily on the Fed and other major central banks.)
The divergence in global monetary policies, especially between the Fed and other major central banks, is creating a volatile environment for the gold market.
🌐 Capital Flows: Gold & USD – The Safe-Haven Race Amid Instability
Global capital flow models suggest that the USD and Gold are currently the two most sought-after safe-haven assets amidst geopolitical tensions (such as US-China tensions) and EU fiscal risks.
If the upcoming CPI data surprises the market, it could trigger significant capital flows between the USD (a yielding asset) and gold (a non-yielding asset). A lower-than-expected CPI could boost inflows into gold, while a higher CPI could reinforce USD strength and push gold prices lower.
📊 Technical Structure (M30 Chart): Gold in Decision Zone
On the M30 chart for XAUUSD:
Primary Trend: Gold prices are currently in a consolidation or slight correction phase, accumulating before the CPI news. The EMA 13 - 34 - 89 - 200 indicators present a mixed picture, with the price oscillating around the short-term MAs, while the longer-term MA (EMA 200) still acts as dynamic support/resistance. A "fan-out formation" or MA crossovers will be crucial signals confirming the next trend direction.
Crucial Resistance Zone (SELL Zone): Around 3374 - 3376. This is a strong resistance area where the price has reacted or has the potential to reverse. If the price rallies and approaches this zone before or after the CPI news without breaking through, it presents a potential selling opportunity.
Crucial Support Zone (BUY ZONE): Around 3314 - 3312. This is a strong support area where the price may find significant buying pressure to bounce. If the price corrects to this zone and shows bullish reversal signals (e.g., hammer candle, bullish engulfing), it presents a potential buying opportunity.
🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations
Scenario 1 – BUY (Await reaction at support):
Entry: 3314 - 3312 (Wait for bullish reversal candle confirmation or strong buying pressure in this zone).
Stop-Loss: 3308 (Just below the support zone for capital protection).
Take-Profit:
TP1: 3318
TP2: 3322
TP3: 3326
TP4: 3330
TP5: 3335
TP6: 3340
Scenario 2 – SELL (Await reaction at resistance):
Entry: 3374 - 3376 (Wait for bearish reversal candle confirmation or strong selling pressure in this zone).
Stop-Loss: 3380 (Just above the resistance zone for capital protection).
Take-Profit:
TP1: 3370
TP2: 3366
TP3: 3362
TP4: 3358
TP5: 3352
TP6: 3348
TP7: 3340
⚠️ Key Events to Watch:
U.S. CPI Report (U.S. session): This is the most critical event, which will dictate gold's primary direction in the short term. Be prepared for strong volatility upon its release.
Any statements from Fed members: Comments on inflation or monetary policy can impact market sentiment.
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 🪙📈
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound market structure with well-defined zones of support and resistance:
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,400
Price has been rejected multiple times from this level, as indicated by red arrows. It marks a strong supply zone.
🟢 Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,300
Price has bounced several times from this demand area, forming a reliable support base.
📏 Intermediate Level: $3,319.38
Marked with a purple line, this is likely a mid-range liquidity zone or a previous minor structure level.
🔄 Price Action Insights:
Double Bottom Formation: Notable at the support zone, confirming strong buying interest (highlighted with orange circles and green arrows). This pattern often signals a bullish reversal.
Current Price: Trading near $3,375.645, approaching the resistance area again.
Projected Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation 📈: Break and close above the resistance could trigger momentum to the upside — watch for a breakout with strong volume.
Pullback Scenario 🔁: A rejection from resistance could cause a retest of $3,319.38 or even the support zone, forming a higher low before a potential rally.
🧠 Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Bias 🐂 as long as price holds above $3,319.38.
Watch for Breakout 🚀 above resistance with volume confirmation for long entries.
Caution ⚠️ near resistance; ideal to wait for either a breakout or clear rejection.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart reflects accumulation within a range, with bullish structure emerging. A break above $3,400 could shift market sentiment decisively upward, while a failure at resistance invites a deeper pullback.
XAUUSD Bearish Rejection Setup Unfolding – June 11, 2025XAUUSD Bearish Rejection Setup Unfolding – June 11, 2025 🧠🔍
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔴 Resistance Rejection Zone (Supply Area)
Price recently tested the $3,440 - $3,460 resistance zone, marked with red arrows. This zone previously acted as a strong supply area, leading to aggressive sell-offs.
📉 Bearish Rejection Candle
A rejection occurred near the same supply zone again, hinting at a potential double top or failure to break structure. Sellers seem to defend this area aggressively.
📍 Current Price: $3,338.6
Price is hovering below mid-range resistance at $3,396.5, indicating weakness after a failed breakout.
📉 Bearish Plan in Motion:
🔁 Scenario Highlighted:
Price might retest the $3,396.5 level (purple line) before resuming the downward move (illustrated by the blue and black arrows).
A breakdown below the $3,290.3 support zone will likely trigger further downside.
🎯 Target Levels:
1st Target: $3,290.3 – Key structural support. A close below this level will confirm the bearish momentum.
2nd Target: $3,207.0 – Final support area aligned with previous accumulation zone.
🛑 Invalidation Point:
A sustained breakout above $3,460 would invalidate the bearish bias and suggest continuation to the upside.
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bearish 📉
Strategy: Sell on pullback to $3,396.5 with stops above $3,460.
Targets: 🎯 $3,290.3 ➡️ $3,207.0
Watch for a strong bearish confirmation candle below $3,290.3 to load in shorts.
🔔 Stay alert for volume spikes and lower time-frame breakdowns to fine-tune entries! 💼📊
GOLD IN SIDEWAY PHASE, WAITING FOR A BREAKOUT THROUGH KEY LEVELSXAU/USD TRADING PLAN 10/06/2025 – GOLD IN SIDEWAY PHASE, WAITING FOR A BREAKOUT THROUGH KEY LEVELS!
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Geopolitical tensions and monetary policy: The market is currently in a wait-and-see phase, with major decisions pending from important meetings, especially statements from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and global conflict situations. These factors could have a significant impact on market sentiment and volatility in gold.
Weak economic data from major economies such as the U.S. and the Eurozone indicates challenging economic conditions, leading investors to view gold as a safe-haven asset.
Interest rates: Although the Fed continues its rate hike policy, financial market uncertainties could continue to support gold as a preferred asset class.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
On the M30–H1 timeframe, XAU/USD is currently moving within a rising channel. After the correction in Wave 4, gold has bounced back in the 335x region and is now preparing to confirm the next trend. Signals from EMA indicate accumulation, potentially setting up for a strong rally ahead.
Key resistance levels: 3,338 – 3,345 (unexplored FVG region). If gold breaks above 3,345, a continued rise to 3,353 is highly likely.
Key support levels: 3,282 – 3,275. If gold retests these levels without breaking them, the chances of a rebound are strong.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,302 - 3,304
SL: 3,296
TP: 3,306 → 3,310 → 3,314 → 3,318 → 3,325
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3352 - 3354
SL: 3,358
TP: 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320
⚠️ NOTE:
Risk management: Expect significant volatility as the market awaits important news this week.
Wait for confirmation: Technical signals are for guidance; clear confirmation from the charts is needed before entering trades.
📌 CONCLUSION:
Gold is currently in a sideway phase and may be preparing for a breakout if these key support and resistance levels are breached.
Traders should monitor both macroeconomic factors and strategic price zones to make informed trading decisions.
Potential Breakdown with Retest or Reversal Zone This chart represents a classic Double Top pattern, a bearish reversal signal indicating strong resistance around the 3,380 - 3,390 USD zone (marked with two white circles).
🔍 Key Zones and Levels:
1. Resistance Zone (~3,380 - 3,390 USD):
Price was rejected twice here.
Suggests strong selling pressure and buyer exhaustion.
2. Mid Support/Retest Zone (~3,337.857 USD):
Marked with a horizontal white line.
Could act as a short-term resistance if price retraces.
3. Demand Zone (~3,330 - 3,337 USD):
Highlighted green box: potential reversal/retest zone.
Bullish scenario: price bounces from here and heads back to retest resistance.
4. Current Price (~3,309.980 USD):
Price has broken below the demand zone and is approaching strong horizontal support.
5. Lower Support (~3,265 - 3,270 USD):
Highlighted with blue horizontal lines and purple arrows.
Could be the next bearish target if breakdown is confirmed.
🔄 Two Possible Scenarios:
📉 Bearish Continuation:
Price retests the broken demand zone (now resistance).
Rejects and forms a lower high.
Falls toward the lower support around 3,265–3,270 USD.
📈 Bullish Reversal:
Price reclaims the green demand zone.
Pushes above 3,337.857 USD level.
Heads back to retest the double top area (~3,380
✅ Conclusion:
The bias is currently bearish, supported by:
Double top formation.
Breakdown below key demand zone.
Momentum favoring further downside
However, a bullish reversal is possible if price reclaims the 3,337 USD zone and shows strong bullish structure.
Waiting for the Breakout: Consolidation or Trend Continuation?XAUUSD – Waiting for the Breakout: Consolidation or Trend Continuation?
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a narrowing range, building momentum after rebounding from the 3.276 support area. Despite short-term uncertainties, the overall macroeconomic landscape continues to favor bullish scenarios — though key resistance levels must be cleared to confirm continuation.
🌍 MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT
USD Weakness: The DXY continues to trade under pressure, increasing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
US–China Trade Talks: Ongoing high-level negotiations in London could either ease geopolitical tensions or fuel safe-haven demand, depending on outcomes.
Global Risk Appetite: With US debt ceiling concerns still looming and the Fed showing hesitancy to cut rates soon, gold remains in focus as a hedge.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (30M–H1)
The price has formed a descending wedge structure and is hovering near key EMAs (13–34–89–200).
A breakout above 3,334 could trigger a short-term bullish wave, while failure at this zone would likely lead to deeper correction toward 3,276 or lower.
📍 STRATEGIC KEY LEVELS
Resistance: 3,334 – 3,336 – 3,362 – 3,390
Support: 3,300 – 3,276 – 3,250
🧭 TRADING SCENARIOS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,276 – 3,274
SL: 3,270
TP: 3,280 → 3,284 → 3,288 → 3,292 → 3,296 → 3,300
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3,334 – 3,336
SL: 3,340
TP: 3,330 → 3,326 → 3,322 → 3,318 → 3,314 → 3,310
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,362 – 3,364
SL: 3,368
TP: 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,335 → 3,330 → 3,320
✅ SUMMARY
Gold remains in a critical range, and traders should focus on well-defined zones to capitalize on volatility. Use confirmation-based entries and respect risk parameters — especially as macro headlines and technical patterns align for a potential breakout.
NFP STORM BREWING: WILL GOLD BREAK HIGHER OR DIVE LOWER?XAUUSD – NFP STORM BREWING: WILL GOLD BREAK HIGHER OR DIVE LOWER?
Gold enters a highly sensitive phase ahead of tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release – one of the most influential data points for global financial markets. With US-China trade tensions rekindling and sovereign debt concerns mounting in the US, the yellow metal could experience a major breakout or a sharp reversal during the New York session.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK
US-China trade talks have resurfaced, with concerns around tariffs and strategic metals dominating headlines. China's recent stance signals it may take stronger defensive actions.
The US national debt is projected to hit $55 trillion by 2034, prompting global central banks to ramp up gold purchases as a strategic hedge.
Fed Chair Powell reiterated a “no rush to cut” stance, yet political pressure is mounting – especially with Donald Trump urging immediate rate cuts following the weakest ADP job growth in two years.
Unemployment Claims released today came in slightly better than expected (236K vs. 240K), adding fuel to speculations around a softer NFP print – potentially bullish for gold.
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
The chart shows a clean impulsive wave structure. After hitting the resistance zone at 3408–3410, gold entered a consolidation range.
Price is currently hovering around EMA 89–200, suggesting trend divergence and uncertainty ahead of NFP.
A breakdown below the 3344–3332 support zone could push price down to the FVG (Fair Value Gap) at 3320, which may act as a strong liquidity pool for buyers.
⚠️ KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance: 3380 – 3392 – 3408 – 3436
Support: 3365 – 3350 – 3344 – 3332 – 3320
🧭 TRADE SETUPS
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3408 – 3410
Stop Loss: 3415
Take Profit: 3404 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 → 3350
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
✅ CONCLUSION
Gold is poised for a volatile breakout with NFP acting as the key catalyst. A soft jobs report may trigger a breakout above 3410, while stronger-than-expected numbers could fuel a bearish reversal. In this sensitive phase, traders should stick to defined zones and wait for confirmed liquidity reactions rather than chasing price impulsively.
Gold Uptrend Continues June 6, 2025As yesterday Gold made high of 3403, I was expecting to cross upto 3430 but it dropped sharply. News was strong and as it made cautious to investors and safe heaven asset declines moved back to riskers market to 3340.
Now today you can check a pattern and gold is moving in that support and resistance, expecting it to move upward. Currently the situation is unexpected as gold may come down to 3340 and then move upward or directly upward from 3358. Our target is 3375-3389-3400.
Key point.
Resistance - 3360, 3375, 3389, 3400
Support - 3340, 3354
Any Query Reach Us or comment down
Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
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There is high risk of loss in Trading Forex, Crypto, Indices, CFDs, Features and Stocks. Choose your trade wisely and confidently, please see if such trading is appropriate for you or not. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Highly recommended - Information provided by Pro Trading Point are for Educational purpose only. Do your investment according to your own risk. Any type of loss is not our responsibility.
HAPPY TRADING.
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XAUUSD – Bearish Outlook from Resistance Zone📊 XAUUSD – Bearish Outlook from Resistance Zone
🕒 Date: June 5, 2025
💰 Instrument: Gold (XAUUSD)
📍 Current Price: 3,352.730 USD
🟨 Key Resistance Level
🔴 Price has sharply reacted from the 3,375–3,400 USD zone, highlighted as a strong resistance area.
📉 This zone has previously triggered significant sell-offs, confirmed again by the current bearish rejection (red arrow 🔻).
📉 Bearish Market Structure
The price structure suggests a classic lower high rejection scenario with potential for further downside:
🔻 Immediate Drop Expected
After rejection from resistance, the price shows early signs of breakdown. A minor pullback is expected before continuation.
🧭 TP1 – First Target Zone:
📍 3,245.560 USD
This level aligns with a previous demand area (light red box), likely to act as temporary support or reaction point.
🎯 TP2 – Final Bearish Target:
📍 3,127.527 USD
This blue demand zone is a major support level, previously a strong rally base (green arrow 🟢). Expect buyers to step in here again.
🔄 Trade Idea Summary
💼 Setup Type: Resistance Rejection
🛑 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry Zone: ~3,350–3,360 USD (confirmed rejection)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,245.560 USD
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,127.527 USD
🔒 Stop Loss: Above 3,400 USD (outside resistance zone)
📌 Observations:
🔁 The market repeated its previous pattern: bouncing from the blue demand zone and rejecting at the yellow resistance zone.
🧱 A solid breakdown below TP1 could accelerate movement toward TP2.
🔍 Watch for any bullish reaction around TP2 for potential reversal setups.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📆 Outlook: Short-term to mid-term swing
Chart Overview Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)🔍 Chart Overview
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 2H (2-hour candles)
Date/Time: Chart ends on June 5th, 2025, 19:14 UTC.
🟩 Support & Resistance Zones
✅ Resistance Zone
Level: Around 3,355 – 3,375 USD
📌 This zone has seen repeated tests and rejections, indicating strong selling pressure.
✅ Support Zone
Level: Around 3,160 – 3,180 USD
🛡️ Price bounced from this zone previously, confirming it as a strong support area.
⚙️ Key Observations
📈 Range-Bound Trading
The price is currently trapped between the strong support and resistance zones.
Multiple rejections at the resistance zone suggest sellers are active above 3,355 USD.
💡 Horizontal Consolidation
Price has formed a horizontal range (sideways movement) in recent sessions.
This range-bound behavior signals market indecision or a buildup before a potential breakout.
📉 Previous Price Action
🔽 Sharp Reversal Drop
Around the middle of May, there was a strong rejection at resistance, followed by a rapid sell-off to the support zone.
This shows that the resistance zone is significant and that sellers are quick to act.
🔮 Potential Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout
If price closes above 3,375 USD with strong momentum, expect a potential bullish rally toward 3,400+ USD.
✅ Bearish Rejection
If price fails to close above 3,355 USD and shows rejection candles (like dojis or bearish engulfing patterns), price may retest 3,280 USD and even support at 3,160 USD.
🔔 Key Takeaway & Trader’s Tip
⚠️ Watch for breakout signals near resistance and support.
✅ Volume spikes and momentum indicators will help confirm true breakouts or fakeouts.
🔍 Neutral to Bearish Bias
Given repeated rejections at resistance, short-term bias is neutral to bearish unless a breakout occurs.
📝 Summary with Emojis
🔴 Resistance Zone: 🔝💪
🟩 Support Zone: 🛡️🟢
📉 Bearish Momentum likely below 3,355 USD
📈 Bullish Breakout above 3,375 USD
🕵️♂️ Watch for consolidation and breakout setups!
GOLD - BULLISH OUTLOOK WITH SHORT TERM PULLBACKSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently testing the liquidity zone near the 3350 level, exhibiting signs of a potential false breakout above resistance within the prevailing upward trend. A short-term correction may occur before the continuation of the broader bullish movement.
The fundamental backdrop in the market remains complex and somewhat contradictory. Presently, attention is centered on geopolitical developments, particularly the heightened tensions between Russia and Ukraine following the recent weekend escalation. Market participants are closely monitoring diplomatic negotiations taking place in Turkiye. Additionally, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding international tariff policies continues to exert pressure on sentiment.
Since the session's open, gold has demonstrated strong upward momentum, approaching a key liquidity & resistance zone. A false breakout at resistance appears to be forming, which could prompt a corrective pullback toward a key area of interest. Simultaneously, the US dollar is testing a support level, potentially signaling a local correction before resuming its directional movement. This interplay may influence gold prices, which retain an overall bullish outlook.
Resistance levels: 3350, 3365, 3409
Support levels: 3303, 3264
The price has broken out from a consolidation phase, having tested resistance and triggered liquidity above the 3350 mark. Given the current positioning, a retracement toward support levels is plausible before the uptrend resumes.
Gold Awaits NFP Data: Will It Explode or Break Down from Range?XAUUSD – Gold Awaits NFP Data: Will It Explode or Break Down from Range?
Gold remains in a consolidation phase, coiling tightly ahead of the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. With traders on edge, the market is poised for a breakout – but in which direction?
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL INSIGHT
Donald Trump reignited pressure on the Federal Reserve, calling for an immediate rate cut, especially after the recent ADP Employment Report showed the weakest job growth in over two years.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, however, maintains a cautious stance, emphasizing that “no rush” to cut rates unless inflation convincingly trends lower.
Meanwhile, U.S. national debt is projected to hit $55 trillion by 2034, with unchecked fiscal expansion. This is fueling a global central bank gold-buying spree, with many purchases not even officially reported.
💡 This confluence of macroeconomic stress, monetary uncertainty, and geopolitical tension is pushing gold into the spotlight as a safe haven.
🔍 MARKET POSITIONING & SHORT-TERM DRIVERS
Unemployment Claims released today: 236K vs previous 240K – slightly positive, but not strong enough to offset weak labor momentum.
Treasury yields remain high (10Y at 4.55%), suggesting that while inflation fears persist, risk appetite is fragile.
The NFP release will likely serve as the catalyst for gold's next directional move, especially as liquidity builds up in a narrowing technical structure.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
Price is consolidating within a sideways range between 3333–3380, forming a classic liquidity trap just below key resistance.
The 3352–3333 zone is a critical structural support. A break below this level opens the door for a dip toward the FVG liquidity zone around 3320–3318.
On the upside, 3388–3400 remains a rejection zone. A clean breakout could target 3409 and even Fibonacci extension resistance at 3435–3445.
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS
Resistance: 3388 – 3392 – 3400 – 3409
Support: 3355 – 3333 – 3320 – 3318
🧭 TRADING STRATEGY
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3320 – 3318
SL: 3314
TP: 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3408 – 3410
SL: 3414
TP: 3404 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3370
✅ FINAL THOUGHTS
Gold is currently at the eye of the storm, with both fundamental and technical indicators aligned for volatility. The coming NFP release could tilt the balance sharply.
Stay disciplined: trade key zones only, wait for confirmation, and prioritize risk management. In markets like these, precision beats prediction.
Gold on it’s target - Next Move BullishOur yesterday analysis went TRUE . As expected after reaching high gold came down for correction. As you all know today there is PMI news today, so market will come down and after that take upward momentum. So do wait for it and after that execute the trade.
Key point.
Support - 3348, 3335, 3329
Resistance - 3354, 3362, 3371
Any Query Reach Us or comment down
Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
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Gold Stalls Ahead of Key Trade TalksGold Stalls Ahead of Key Trade Talks – Will Price Explode Out of the 3345–3370 Range?
After Monday’s explosive rally, gold is currently consolidating within a tight price range. The market is at a critical juncture, awaiting high-level trade talks between the U.S. and China — an event that could serve as a major catalyst for the next directional move.
🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT
A major trade call between Trump and President Xi Jinping is on the horizon. This conversation could reset global trade expectations and potentially trigger large moves in risk assets.
Last week’s strong U.S. jobs data (NFP) pushed back expectations of Fed rate cuts. Treasury yields remain elevated, which is temporarily capping gold’s upside.
Market sentiment is neutral-to-cautious, with traders waiting for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown before committing capital to new positions.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
Gold appears to be in a wave 4 correction, consolidating after completing wave 3.
EMAs remain aligned to the upside (bullish), suggesting the broader trend still favors buyers.
Key range:
Above 3370 → breakout confirmation → momentum push toward 3400–3410
Below 3345 → breakdown → fast dip to 3310–3300 to complete wave 4 and initiate wave 5 upward
🧭 STRATEGIC ZONES
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3317 – 3315
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profits:
3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360
This zone aligns with a strong FVG + EMA89 support. A bullish reaction here could provide a high-probability entry for the next impulsive leg upward (wave 5).
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3372 – 3374
Stop Loss: 3378
Take Profits:
3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3356 → 3350 → 3345
3370 is a critical resistance zone. Any rejection at this level with weak momentum or divergence could open a short-term bearish correction back toward 331x levels.
✅ SUMMARY
Gold is trapped in a decision zone between 3345–3370. The market awaits clarity from macro headlines and technical breakout signals. Until then, traders should watch key levels closely, stay patient, and position accordingly based on price action confirmation at strategic zones.
XAU/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Ahead!XAU/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Ahead! 💥
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Instrument: Gold vs US Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: Daily
Current Price: $3,363.26
Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,470
Support Zone: $2,970 – $3,100
🧠 Market Context:
Gold has recently approached a well-defined resistance zone near the $3,380–$3,470 range. Price action shows multiple rejection wicks and failed attempts to break above this level, indicating strong selling pressure from bears. 🐻
The current candlestick structure suggests the market is printing lower highs, which may indicate a transition from a consolidation phase into a potential bearish trend.
📉 Projection:
The chart projects a move down toward the support zone, around $2,970–$3,100, possibly due to:
Repeated rejections at the resistance zone 🔄
Lack of bullish momentum near highs ⚠️
Bearish engulfing or reversal candlestick formations 🔻
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Level Type Price Zone Action
🔴 Resistance $3,380 – $3,470 Strong rejection expected
🟢 Support $2,970 – $3,100 Major demand zone; potential bounce
🧭 Trading Outlook:
⚠️ If price fails to break above the resistance zone, short opportunities may develop with a target near the support zone. A confirmed break and close below $3,300 would strengthen bearish sentiment.
📌 Bearish Bias Maintained Until Resistance Breaks
MARKET WAITS FOR TRUMP–XI TRADE CALL XAUUSD PLAN – JUNE 3XAUUSD PLAN – JUNE 3 | GOLD CORRECTS AFTER $100 SURGE | MARKET WAITS FOR TRUMP–XI TRADE CALL
After an explosive $100+ rally earlier this week, gold has entered a sharp correction phase, dropping $30 during the Asian session. This pullback comes as the market anticipates a high-level trade call between former President Trump and President Xi Jinping, which could reshape short-term expectations around US–China relations and global risk sentiment.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – POLITICS MEETS FINANCE:
The upcoming Trump–Xi call is expected to guide markets over the next few sessions and may impact trade risk positioning.
Investors have begun profit-taking following the aggressive rally, leading to temporary risk-off sentiment and cash-out flows.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, wave 3 (the strongest wave) may have completed, and price could now retrace into lower FVG zones to gather liquidity for the next upward move.
📈 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (H1–H4 – EMA 13/34/89/200):
On higher timeframes (H4 and D1), gold maintains a strong bullish structure.
Price appears to have peaked near 3,402 – 3,409, and is now retracing toward the key FVG support zone between 3,320 – 3,310.
EMAs are beginning to compress after a strong expansion – suggesting the market may consolidate or correct further in the short term.
🧭 KEY PRICE LEVELS:
Support: 3,346 – 3,340 – 3,318 – 3,310 – 3,295
Resistance: 3,374 – 3,388 – 3,402 – 3,410
🔍 TRADE SETUPS:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,320 – 3,318
Stop Loss: 3,314
Take Profits:
3,324 – 3,328 – 3,332 – 3,336 – 3,340 – 3,344 – 3,350 – 3,360 – 3,374+
Buy on dips into the liquidity zone or after confirmation candles near EMA13–34 support. Ideal entry for positioning ahead of a potential wave 5 continuation.
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,388 – 3,390
Stop Loss: 3,394
Take Profits:
3,384 – 3,380 – 3,376 – 3,370 – 3,366 – 3,360 – 3,350
Sell only if there is a strong rejection or bearish divergence near the recent highs – this zone marks the top of wave 3 and potential exhaustion.
📌 SUMMARY:
Gold’s macro structure remains bullish, but short-term corrections are expected. Price may dip into FVG zones to absorb liquidity before launching the next move. Avoid FOMO and follow technical zones with disciplined SL.
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀
🔍 Chart Overview:
This chart illustrates the price movement of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on a mid-term time frame, highlighting a potential bullish breakout scenario from a key resistance zone.
🟩 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 🛡️
➤ $3,140 – $3,200
This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times, preventing further declines and serving as a springboard for bullish moves.
Breakout Zone (Current Level): ⚡
➤ $3,340 – $3,390
Price is currently testing this crucial resistance-turned-potential-breakout zone. A successful close above this level could confirm bullish continuation.
First Target: 🎯
➤ $3,435.87
This intermediate resistance aligns with a previously tested high. It may act as the first barrier after the breakout.
Second Target: 🥇
➤ $3,502.13
This is the major resistance zone. If bulls maintain momentum, this area will likely be tested.
🧭 Market Structure & Bias:
Price is forming higher lows, signaling growing bullish strength.
The chart shows a bullish breakout of a sideways consolidation zone.
The upward arrows and curved projection suggest a potential pullback-retest scenario at the breakout level before rallying towards targets.
🧠 Trading Plan (Illustrated by Chart):
📈 Breakout Entry:
Wait for confirmation above $3,390 with strong bullish candles and volume.
🔁 Retest Opportunity:
If price pulls back to the breakout zone ($3,340 – $3,390), this may serve as a solid re-entry point for long positions.
🎯 Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,435
TP2: $3,502
🛑 Invalidation:
A strong close back below $3,320 may invalidate the bullish bias.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart indicates a bullish continuation setup for XAU/USD with clearly defined breakout, retest, and target zones. Traders should monitor price action closely around the breakout area for confirmation before entering long positions. Risk management remains key. 🧮⚖️
Gold (XAU/USD) – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Setup🧠 Chart Pattern Identified: Inverse Head & Shoulders
🟡 Left Shoulder ➡️ Formed at a local dip.
⚫ Head ⬇️ Deepest low around 3,274.103.
🟡 Right Shoulder ➡️ Bouncing near the same zone.
🔁 This is a classic bullish reversal pattern — a break above the neckline could signal a strong upside move.
📊 Key Levels & Zones
🔵 Support Zone:
🟦 Area: 3,274 – 3,294
✅ Strong bounce seen here (highlighted by the head and shoulders base)
🔵 Resistance Zone:
📏 Just below 3,305 (marked as neckline)
✋ Price must break this to confirm the reversal
🔵 Target Point:
🎯 3360 📈
📏 Based on the height from head to neckline
🔵 Stop Loss Zone:
❌ 3,274.526
🔻 Below the head for safe risk control
⚙️ Trading Setup Summary
🔹 📍 Entry Point:
📌 Around 3,294.449
🚪 Enter on breakout above neckline
🔹 🎯 Target Point:
🏁 3360
🔹 🛑 Stop Loss:
🚫 3,274.526
🔹 Risk-Reward Setup:
🔍 Targeting a move of ~65 points
⚖️ Risk of ~20 points → solid R/R ratio
📈 Indicator:
🧮 EMA 70 ➡️ 3,305.005
⏳ Price currently testing it — a break above EMA would boost bullish confirmation.
📅 Economic Events:
📆 Multiple event icons suggest upcoming news — expect volatility!
⚠️ Be cautious during these times.
✅ Final Thoughts:
📊 Pattern suggests a bullish breakout is near 🚀
🔒 Use stop-loss and enter after breakout to manage risk effectively
🎯 Keep an eye on volume during breakout — it confirms strength






















