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Xauusdanalysis

XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Major Levels, Market Structure, and 🔍 XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Major Levels, Market Structure, and Trade Ideas In this detailed analysis of XAU/USD, we highlight key supply and demand zones, dynamic trendlines, and the interplay of structural shifts to help traders navigate the current price action effectively. 🔴 Key Supply Zone (Week & Day A+ Selling Area) Location: Above 3,320- 3,330 Significance: This red zone has historically acted as a strong resistance area. Price has failed multiple times to break above it convincingly, suggesting institutional selling pressure. Implication: Any revisit to this zone could trigger bearish rejection, making it a key level for short setups. 🟢 Major Demand Zone (Week & Day A+ Buying Area) Location: 3,230–3,260 region Significance: This green zone has consistently provided support for price, as shown by multiple bounces from it. It suggests strong buying interest from institutions or large market participants. Implication: Traders can watch for bullish price action in this area to confirm potential long opportunities. 📈 Dynamic Trendlines 🔵 4H Down-to-Up Trend Line: This ascending trendline, drawn from major swing lows, suggests that the broader 4H market structure remains bullish. Use: Acts as dynamic support for possible bounces. 🔴 4H Up-to-Down Trend Line: This descending trendline captures the bearish structure in the 4H timeframe, connecting the lower highs and indicating ongoing selling pressure. Use: Functions as a dynamic resistance area. ✅ 15M Change of Character (CHoCH) This micro timeframe level marks a shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish, providing early confirmation for potential reversals or continuation plays. Use: Intraday traders can utilize this for short-term entries in line with the broader bias. 🔻 Monthly Low Level Location: Around 3,120 Significance: This level marks the lowest point in the recent monthly cycle and serves as a crucial support area for the broader trend. Implication: A break below this level would suggest further downside potential. 💡 Trade Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario If price retests the Week & Day A+ Buying Area (3,240–3,260) and forms bullish confirmation (like a bullish engulfing candle or 15M CHoCH shift), a long trade could be initiated. Potential Targets: 4H descending trendline near 3,300 Week & Day A+ Selling Area above 3,320 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario If price reaches the 4H descending trendline or the selling zone above 3,320 and forms bearish rejection, shorts can be considered. A break below the 4H ascending trendline and the demand zone would open the door for deeper downside, with the ultimate target at the Month Low near 3,120. 📝 Conclusion XAU/USD is consolidating within a crucial range, balancing supply and demand forces. The dual-trendline structure signals a potential breakout in the coming sessions. Short-term traders can leverage the 15M CHoCH for early entries, while swing traders should focus on the interplay between the higher timeframe zones and trendlines. 📌 Reminder: Always wait for confirmation before entering trades and manage risk according to your trading plan. 🔔 Follow for updates! Let me know if you have any questions or want to discuss your own analysis. Happy trading! 🚀✨
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradeX_Live
3
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD H1 30/05/2025 🔍 Wave Structure Update As of now, price has broken above the X wave high and is undergoing a retracement. This is a positive signal, suggesting that Wave 1 (black) of the larger green impulsive wave may have completed. Currently, price is likely in Wave 2 (black) – offering a good opportunity to position for the upcoming Wave iii (green). Within Wave 2, we expect classic corrective structures such as zigzag or flat to form. Based on current price action, a short-term bounce followed by another leg down is anticipated to complete the corrective phase. 🎯 Potential Wave 2 Target Zones • Target 1: 3290 • Target 2: 3272 ❗ If price drops further to 3245, the assumption that Wave 2 has ended may be invalid. In that case, the broader correction could continue toward 3215 (Wave Y target). 📈 Momentum Outlook D1 Chart: Momentum shows signs of reversal to the upside – supporting a bullish bias for the coming week. H4 Chart: Momentum is weakening, suggesting price may move sideways or pull back today as part of Wave 2 development. H1 Chart: Currently oversold, indicating a likely short-term bounce or sideways movement to maintain this oversold condition until H4 also reaches oversold. 🧭 Trading Plan 🔹 Scalp Buy • Entry: 3291 – 3289 • SL: 3286 • TP1: 3306 • TP2: 3324 • TP3: 3346 🔹 Main Buy Zone • Entry: 3272 – 3269 • SL: 3262 • TP1: 3290 • TP2: 3324 • TP3: 3373
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
2
XAUUSD PLAN END-OF-MONTH CASHOUT OR TREND REVERSAL? XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 30 | GOLD DROPS SHARPLY IN ASIAN SESSION | END-OF-MONTH CASHOUT OR TREND REVERSAL? Gold surprised the market this morning with a sharp drop of nearly $30/oz, despite closing yesterday with a strong bullish daily candle. Profit-taking pressure near month-end and uncertainty surrounding US–China trade negotiations have returned gold to a bearish technical structure in the short term. 🌍 MACRO OVERVIEW: US–China trade talks show no clear progress, with both sides signaling a cautious and non-committal stance. Hedge funds and large players may be exiting ahead of monthly/weekly candle closes, causing increased volatility. Meanwhile, investors are waiting for key US PCE inflation data and more Fed speeches, keeping risk sentiment fragile. ➡️ The market remains technically weak and highly reactive. Price is vulnerable to quick liquidity sweeps and false breakouts — best to stay reactive and trade confirmed zones. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200): Gold has broken below EMA89 and is now trading beneath all major EMAs, indicating a strong short-term downtrend. The resistance zone at 3,322–3,324 aligns with the EMA200 and a descending trendline, making it a prime area for short entries on rejection. Key support sits at 3,266–3,264. A break below could send price to test deeper levels at 3,235 or even 3,210, following the broader descending channel. The 3,274–3,276 zone (EMA13 crossing below EMA34) may offer minor reactions for scalpers in the London session. 🔍 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,266 – 3,264 Stop Loss: 3,260 Take Profits: 3,270 – 3,274 – 3,278 – 3,282 – 3,286 – 3,290 – 3,300 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,322 – 3,324 Stop Loss: 3,328 Take Profits: 3,318 – 3,314 – 3,310 – 3,306 – 3,300 – 3,295 – 3,290 – 3,280 🎯 INTRADAY SCALPING IDEAS: BUY SCALP: 3,274 – 3,276 | SL: 3,270 | TP: 1R (50 pips max) SELL SCALP: 3,302 – 3,304 and 3,310 zone | SL: 50–60 pips | Flexible TP 📌 SUMMARY: The current momentum is bearish. Focus on short setups unless price clearly reclaims key EMAs. Scalping opportunities exist around reaction zones. With month-end volatility at play, avoid FOMO and stick to strict SL discipline. 💬 Found this plan helpful? LIKE – COMMENT – FOLLOW for daily GOLD strategies from the MMF Team, crafted for serious traders in India and beyond!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis – Daily & Intraday OutlookOn the daily timeframe, we are observing a bearish price action structure. If the market continues to move lower, potential downside targets could range between 3288 to 3259. However, on the 1-hour timeframe, post the Asian session liquidity hunt, the market has started to show signs of selling pressure. If the market retraces during the London session, it could present a high-probability sell opportunity on the lower timeframes, potentially offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. That being said, as we all know, trading is a game of probabilities. With every opportunity comes risk, and no trading setup or strategy can guarantee 100% success. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Disclaimer : Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author is not liable for any losses incurred from trading or investing based on this analysis.
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_With_TradingHax
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD H1 Timeframe 29/05/2025🔍 Current Wave Structure Price is currently correcting within a WXY structure, also known as a double zigzag. At the moment, the market is progressing through wave Y, with two potential targets: 🎯 Target 1: 3245 – already reached, and price has bounced sharply from this zone. 🎯 Target 2: 3215 – a deeper target, requiring further confirmation from price action and real-time momentum. 📈 If wave Y has already ended at 3245, the market may now be in wave 1 of a new bullish cycle. Once wave 1 completes, we’ll look for wave 2, which typically offers a prime entry point for wave 3. 👉 Wave 2 often forms as a zigzag or flat correction. Using Fibonacci confluence and liquidity zones, the potential wave 2 pullback area is 3265 – 3262. ⚡️ Momentum Outlook 🕯 D1: Momentum is entering oversold territory → high probability of bullish reversal today or tomorrow. 🕯 H4: Reversal setup is forming; current H4 candle closes in just over an hour → watch for confirmation. 🕯 H1: Momentum is rising. Wait for a pullback in H1, followed by renewed bullish momentum without breaking below 3245 — that’s likely the end of wave 2 and the entry point for wave 3. 📌 Important Note: If H4 momentum reverses downward and price fails to break above 3324, it could signal a continuation of the broader downtrend, with 3215 remaining as the next wave Y target. 🛒 Trade Setu p BUY ZONE: 3265 – 3262 Stop Loss: 3255 Take Profits: • TP1: 3290 • TP2: 3324 • TP3: 3346 ❗️ If price breaks below 3245, it would confirm that wave Y is still in progress. In that case, monitor the 3215 zone for a new buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD RETESTING KEY ZONES AHEAD OF INFLATION DATA XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 29 | GOLD RETESTING KEY ZONES AHEAD OF INFLATION DATA | HOLDING OR BREAKING? After yesterday’s sharp decline, GOLD is showing signs of stabilization around the 3,270 region. This appears to be a consolidation phase before the market reacts to key macro events — particularly the upcoming Core PCE inflation report and a string of Fed speeches this week. 🌍 MACRO LANDSCAPE: US 10-year yields are holding steady near 4.5%, continuing to pressure gold in the short term. Fed officials remain cautious about rate cuts, pushing back against dovish expectations. However, concerns over structural fiscal pressure (including Fed losses and budget cuts) support the long-term bullish case for gold. ➡️ In the short term, the market remains range-bound, and tactical entries near key zones offer the best opportunities. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): Gold is consolidating below a major resistance zone at 3,308–3,310, which aligns with the descending trendline and 200 EMA. Fibonacci retracement zones (0.5–0.618) also highlight strong resistance around 3,297–3,309. On the downside, support at 3,263 is key; a break below may expose the broader demand zone near 3,246. 🔍 TRADE SETUPS – MAY 29: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,247 – 3,245 Stop Loss: 3,241 Take Profit Targets: 3,251 – 3,255 – 3,260 – 3,264 – 3,270 – 3,275 – 3,280 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,263 – 3,261 Stop Loss: 3,257 Take Profit Targets: 3,266 – 3,270 – 3,275 – 3,280 – 3,290 – 3,300 🔻 SELL SCALP: 3,294 – 3,296 Stop Loss: 3,300 Take Profit Targets: 3,290 – 3,286 – 3,282 – 3,278 – 3,274 – 3,270 – 3,260 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,308 – 3,310 Stop Loss: 3,314 Take Profit Targets: 3,304 – 3,300 – 3,296 – 3,292 – 3,288 – 3,280 📌 STRATEGY TIP: Price is range-bound ahead of key data. Avoid entering mid-range. Wait for price to reach the edges (BUY/SELL zones) and look for clear rejection or confirmation candles. Stick to strict risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 28 |WATCHING FOMC + EU TRADE TENSIONS XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 28 | GOLD REBOUNDS SLIGHTLY BUT REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE | WATCHING FOMC + EU TRADE TENSIONS Gold staged a mild technical recovery after last week’s heavy sell-off of nearly $100. While the bounce offers short-term opportunities, overall structure remains under bearish pressure unless bulls can reclaim the upper distribution zone. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – TRADE POLICY & MONETARY UNCERTAINTY: Trump has delayed the 50% tariff on EU goods until July, calling recent trade talks “positive.” In response, US 10-year yields spiked back above 4.55%, signaling market expectations for prolonged high interest rates. Meanwhile, the Fed has announced a 10% workforce cut due to ongoing operational losses from interest payments — a rare move that underscores deeper fiscal constraints. ➡️ With mixed risk sentiment and no clear policy direction, Gold remains a safe-haven focus — but vulnerable in the short-term if yields and the dollar continue to rise. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): Gold is currently trading below the 3,335–3,346 resistance zone, which has repeatedly rejected bullish attempts. If price fails to reclaim this zone, we could see renewed bearish momentum toward the lower FVG support. The Fair Value Gap near 3,248 remains a major zone of interest if sellers regain control. 🔍 TRADE PLAN – UPDATED LEVELS: 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,344 – 3,346 Stop Loss: 3,350 Take Profit: 3,340 – 3,336 – 3,332 – 3,328 – 3,324 – 3,320 🔻 SELL SCALP: 3,326 – 3,328 Stop Loss: 3,332 Take Profit: 3,322 – 3,318 – 3,314 – 3,310 – 3,305 – 3,300 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,278 – 3,276 Stop Loss: 3,272 Take Profit: 3,282 – 3,286 – 3,290 – 3,294 – 3,298 – 3,302 – 3,310 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,246 – 3,244 Stop Loss: 3,240 Take Profit: 3,250 – 3,254 – 3,258 – 3,262 – 3,266 – 3,270 – 3,280 📌 STRATEGY TIP: Avoid mid-range entries. Let price come to your zones. Prioritize confirmed reactions, especially near structural levels like 3,335 and 3,248.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Observation (XAUUSD): If Gold (XAUUSD) breaks below the 3279.05 level on the 1-hour time frame, there is a possibility of a move towards the weekly support around the 3241 level. This is purely a technical observation based on current price action and support levels. Disclaimer: This is not a trade setup or a trading signal. The content shared is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Trade_With_TradingHax
3
GOLD TRADING INSIDE COMPRESSION ZONE WAITING FOR A CLEAR BREAK XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 27 | GOLD TRADING INSIDE A COMPRESSION ZONE – WAITING FOR A CLEAR BREAKOUT Gold continues to consolidate below the 3,364 resistance zone after a rejection late last week. The market is currently trading within a compression range, preparing for a breakout – but direction still depends heavily on macro triggers and technical structure. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: U.S. 10-year yields remain above 4.5%, keeping the dollar stable and applying short-term pressure on precious metals. The Fed’s cost-cutting moves and operational losses are raising deeper concerns about long-term monetary stability. Risk sentiment is mixed, and institutional money continues to flow cautiously into gold as a long-term value hedge, especially with equities showing signs of exhaustion. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): Price failed to break through the 3,345–3,364 resistance zone, triggering a pullback toward the mid-range. Key support around 3,311 is now being tested – a decisive level that could determine whether bulls can regain momentum or bears take control. If price breaks below 3,311, we could see a deeper dip toward the 3,298–3,288 demand zone, which may offer a better re-entry for buyers. On the upside, a confirmed break above 3,364 could open the door for a move into the Fair Value Gap toward 3,407. 🔹 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3,314 – 3,312 Stop Loss: 3,308 Take Profit Targets: 3,318 – 3,322 – 3,326 – 3,330 – 3,340 – 3,350 🔵 BUY ZONE Entry: 3,298 – 3,296 Stop Loss: 3,292 Take Profit Targets: 3,302 – 3,306 – 3,310 – 3,314 – 3,320 – 3,330 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3,346 – 3,348 Stop Loss: 3,350 Take Profit Targets: 3,342 – 3,338 – 3,334 – 3,330 – 3,320 – 3,310 🔻 SELL ZONE Entry: 3,364 – 3,366 Stop Loss: 3,370 Take Profit Targets: 3,360 – 3,356 – 3,352 – 3,348 – 3,344 – 3,340 – 3,330 📌 Note: Price is trading in the mid-range of a larger structure. Best opportunities remain near the edges of support/resistance with confirmation. Avoid overtrading in the middle zone. Let the market come to your areas of value. 💬 If you found this plan helpful, Like + Comment + Follow for daily GOLD strategies from the MMF Team.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan – 27th May 2025 📊 Wave Structure – XAUUSD – H1 Timeframe Price is likely in a corrective phase — wave iv (orange) — after completing five internal green waves within wave iii. During this correction, we’ve seen an abc zigzag form, followed by an unclear upward bounce. This gives rise to two key scenarios: 🔸 Scenario 1: Wave iv is complete The abc pattern is finished, and price appears to be forming an initial triangle structure. We could currently be in wave 2. 👉 A breakout and H1 candle close above 3343 would confirm the start of a new uptrend. In this case, prefer buying on dips. 🔸 Scenario 2: Zigzag correction is still ongoing Wave X seems complete, and price may now be developing wave Y — either as another abc or triangle. 👉 This scenario gets confirmed if price breaks below the wave c (green) low at 3324. 🎯 Wave Y downside targets (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile): • Target 1: 3317 • Target 2: 3290 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Momentum has already confirmed bearish → Downside pressure likely to persist through the week. H4 Momentum is currently rising → Price could see a short-term rally or sideways action today. H1 Momentum is nearing oversold → We wait for it to flip to overbought. If price fails to break 3349, there may be room for a scalp sell. However, if 3349 is broken, wave X could extend further — or it might mark the start of a new bullish leg. We’ll reassess accordingly. 📌 Trade Plan Buy Zone: 3317 – 3314 Stop Loss: 3307 Take Profit 1: 3334 Take Profit 2: 3373 ✅ Only execute if H1 momentum shifts bullish. ❗ If this zone breaks, next buy opportunity lies around 3290.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – Plan for May 27, 2025📊 Price is likely in the middle of a wave iv (orange) correction, following the completion of a 5-wave structure (green) that formed wave iii. During this correction, an ABC zigzag pattern has already formed. The recent upward move remains unclear, which opens up two possible scenarios: 🔸 Scenario 1 – Wave iv is completed The ABC structure looks complete. Price appears to be forming a leading diagonal, currently in wave 2. A confirmed breakout above 3343 with a candle close would validate a new bullish trend → favoring Buy entries in line with the larger trend. 🔸 Scenario 2 – Ongoing zigzag correction (double structure) Wave X has completed, and price may now be developing wave Y (either an ABC or triangle pattern). This scenario is confirmed if price breaks below wave c (green) at 3324. 🎯 Wave Y Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile): • Target 1: 3317 • Target 2: 3290 🔍 Momentum Outlook: • Daily (D1): Bearish momentum confirmed → downside likely to dominate into the end of the week • H4: Momentum rising → short-term bounce or consolidation expected today • H1: Near oversold → watch for bullish reversal. If price fails to break above 3349, scalp shorts may be considered. However, a break above 3349 could mean wave X continues as an extended ABC, or a new bullish trend has started — to be updated accordingly. 📌 Trading Plan: Buy Zone: 3317 – 3314 Stop Loss: 3307 Take Profit 1: 3334 Take Profit 2: 3373 ✅ Only enter on H1 bullish momentum reversal ❗ If this zone fails, watch for the next Buy opportunity near 3290
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Pull Back Before NFP Week?XAUUSD PLAN – 26/05 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Pull Back Before NFP Week? Gold is currently trading near a major resistance zone after a sharp rebound last week. With Fed policies still hawkish and trade tensions between the US and EU on hold, the market is entering a wait-and-see phase — ideal for structured trades. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Trump Delays 50% Tariffs on EU Until July 9: This cooled market tension temporarily but doesn’t eliminate the risk long term. US 10-Year Yields Surge Back Above 4.55% right after, showing bond markets are still pricing in tighter conditions. The Fed Faces Strategic Losses: As rate hikes increase reserve interest payments, the Fed is trimming 10% of its workforce — a rare signal of operational pressure. ➡️ Investors should brace for volatility ahead of NFP and watch closely for central bank reactions. 🔍 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H1/H4 View: Gold is respecting a rising channel while consolidating near the 3360–3366 region — a key sell zone with potential for reversal. The chart also shows clear Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) above and below current price, signaling pending liquidity sweeps. 🔑 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3364 – 3366 → Local top and key reversal zone 3406 – 3408 → FVG upper bound, potential blow-off target if breakout occurs 🔻 Support Zones: 3324 – 3326 → 20 EMA retest, potential bullish bounce 3310 – 3308 → Trendline + EMA89 confluence 3304 → Break below this area could invalidate short-term bull bias 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🟢 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3326 – 3324 Stop-Loss: 3320 Take-Profit: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3310 – 3308 Stop-Loss: 3304 Take-Profit: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3364 – 3366 Stop-Loss: 3370 Take-Profit: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3406 – 3408 Stop-Loss: 3412 Take-Profit: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3385 → 3380 ⚠️ STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION: If price breaks above 3366 with momentum, expect a run to 3408 and possibly 3450. If price rejects 3366 or fails to hold above 3320, scalpers can look for quick shorts with tight stops. 📌 Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Wait for strong rejection or breakout confirmation to enter.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Chart Overview🔍 Current Market Position Price: $3,358.125 Currently near resistance zone ($3,420–$3,470) Historical reaction in this zone shows multiple rejections 🛑 📌 Key Levels 🔺 Resistance Point: ~$3,420–$3,470 Rejected here 3 times ➡️ strong supply zone 🔻 Support Level: ~$3,150 Past price bounced here multiple times 🟠 💪 Strong Support: ~$2,950 Major bounce seen in early May 👊 🧭 Pattern Outlook Repeated resistance test 🔁 ➡️ potential double/triple top 📉 Blue arrow suggests bearish projection towards $3,050–$2,950 If support at $3,150 fails 🔓, expect deeper drop to strong support 🔮 Forecast 🔽 Bearish Bias High chance of reversal from resistance Target: $3,050 and possibly $2,950 🎯 ⚠️ Watch for Price Action at Resistance: Rejection = short opportunity 🔧 Break of $3,150 Support: May accelerate bearish move 🧨 📌 Summary: Market shows clear resistance rejection history. If it plays out again, we may see a strong drop toward lower support zones. Ideal for short setups 📉💼
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VikingFx-Community
Will Gold Surge with a Gap Up as US-China Trade War Heats Up?XAU/USD Analysis: Will Gold Surge with a Gap Up? (26/5 - 30/5) Fundamental Outlook US-China Trade War: China's halt on US goods imports weakens the USD, boosting gold (inverse USD correlation). Trump’s 50% EU Tariff Threat: Potential EU retaliation could spike global uncertainty, driving investors to gold as a safe haven. Gold Demand: Rising trade tensions and inflation fears are pushing capital into gold, especially in India and China with upcoming festivals. Macro Drivers Monetary Policy: US Fed: Trade war fallout may pressure rate cuts, reducing USD appeal and supporting gold. China’s PBOC: Possible Yuan devaluation could lift gold prices in USD terms. Market Sentiment: Expect VIX spikes from trade uncertainties, favoring gold. Strong physical gold demand in Asia supports prices. Key Events: US PCE inflation and consumer confidence data (watch for high inflation boosting gold). Monitor EU/China trade retaliation statements. Technical Analysis (H4 Chart) Trend: Gold is in a strong ascending channel with support (3,325) and resistance (3,407 - 3,444). Current Price: 3,407.554, testing key resistance (3,407 - 3,444). Support Levels: 3,361.648 (mid-channel), 3,325.347 (channel support). Resistance: 3,444.436 (all-time high). Price Action: Recent Doji candle at resistance suggests possible pullback before continuation. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3,325 - 3,340 3,361 - 3,407 Scenarios: Bullish: Break above 3,444 with momentum could trigger a gap up, targeting 3,500 Bearish: Failure at 3,444 may lead to a pullback to 3,361 or 3,325. Gap Up Probability: 60% chance at market open (26/5), driven by bullish sentiment. Trading Plan Buy Strategy Entry: 3,361 - 3,370 (pullback to FVG or mid-channel). Take Profit: 3,444 (resistance), 3,500 (breakout target). Stop Loss: Below 3,325 (channel support). Sell Strategy Entry: Sell on rejection at 3,444 with bearish confirmation (e.g., strong bearish candle or head-and-shoulders). Take Profit: 3,361 (FVG zone). Stop Loss: Above 3,444. Best Trading Times Monitor market open (26/5) for gap-up confirmation. Trade during London/New York sessions for optimal liquidity. Key Takeaways Gold is poised for potential upside due to trade war escalation and USD weakness. Watch for a breakout above 3,444 for a possible gap up or a pullback to 3,361 for buying opportunities. Stay updated on US inflation data and trade policy news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD PLAN 23/05–YIELD CURVE FLIPS Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off🔥 GOLD PLAN 23/05 – YIELD CURVE FLIPS | Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off at 3360? Global markets are heating up again as risk sentiment shifts. A major alert comes from the U.S. bond market: For the first time since October 2021, the yield curve between the 5-year and 30-year treasuries inverted to +1.00%, signaling strong expectations for inflation and future growth concerns. 🌍 MACRO CATALYSTS DRIVING GOLD: Iran warns the U.S.: “Leash your mad dog!” – escalating rhetoric as Israel is rumored to be preparing a strike on Iran's nuclear sites. Tehran vows to retaliate and holds the U.S. accountable. Goldman Sachs says: “Only one way – BUY GOLD!” Following the failed 20-year bond auction, rising deficits, and fiscal stress, GS urges investors to move into gold and crypto. The return of risk-off sentiment makes Gold the #1 safe haven asset, attracting global institutional flow. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart): Critical resistance at 3358–3360 is a key decision zone. A breakout here may trigger a strong move toward previous highs (ATH zone: 3390–3400). Major support lies around 3276–3274. A breakdown here may expose gold to deeper pullbacks below the 3200 handle, revisiting the FVG zone. 📌 TRADE PLAN FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TP: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340 🔻 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3350 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TP: 3340 – 3336 – 3332 – 3328 – 3324 – 3320 ⚠️ Caution: With geopolitical risk and bond market stress rising, volatility is expected to spike. Be patient and trade only on confirmation from key zones. 🎯 Stick to the plan. Don't chase the price. Protect your capital.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – Plan XAUUSD 23/5/2025At the moment, we’re monitoring two possible wave scenarios: 🔸 Scenario 1 – ABC Correction Completed The bullish move from the 3123 zone to the current price may have formed a completed ABC corrective structure (labeled on the top-left of the chart). If this scenario is correct, the correction has ended and the market is now entering a new 5-wave bearish impulse. Within this structure: • Wave 1 is already completed • Price is currently retracing as Wave 2 This view is supported by the strong reaction around the 3247 zone. 📍 Ideal target for Wave 2: around 3325 🔸 Scenario 2 – Bullish 5-Wave Structure in Progress A potential impulsive structure with waves 1-2-3-4-5 is currently labeled on the chart. In this count: • Wave 3 (yellow) has completed • The market is now in Wave 4 (yellow) Wave 4 appears to be unfolding as an A-B-C corrective pattern: • Wave A has completed • Price is now forming Wave B (black) ✅ This scenario requires a daily close above 3247 for confirmation. 📍 Target for Wave B: also near 3325 🔎 Momentum Analysis • Daily (D1): Overbought – the uptrend is weakening → likely a larger corrective move ahead • H4: Momentum rising → favors a short-term bullish bounce • H1: Momentum just flipped bullish → current rally may extend further 📌 Trade Plan (for both scenarios): SELL ZONE: 3325 – 3328 Stop Loss: 3335 Take Profit 1: 3279 Take Profit 2: 3247 📈 Wait for price action around the 3325 zone to confirm which scenario plays out.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD - EXPECTING A PULLBACK BEFORE RESUMING UPTRENDSymbol - XAUUSD Gold is breaking out of its descending price channel and approaching the key area of interest at 3346. A potential false breakout above resistance could prompt a short-term correction before the upward trend resumes. Gold is advancing for the third consecutive session, trading above the 3300 level, supported by a weakening US dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions. Investor demand for safe-haven assets is increasing amid concerns surrounding US fiscal policy, ongoing trade frictions with China, and the possibility of a military strike by Israel on Iran. Additional support for gold stems from market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and diminished outlook for the dollar. From a technical standpoint, the price is approaching a significant order block and resistance zone between 3345-3360. Since the session opened, the upward momentum appears to have reached its limit, suggesting that a retest of this key level could result in a false breakout and subsequent pullback. Nonetheless, given the prevailing macroeconomic conditions, any corrective move may be temporary, with the broader bullish trend likely to persist thereafter. Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409 Support levels: 3288, 3265, 3245 Gold has re-entered the buy zone. However, the fundamental backdrop remains volatile. A reduction in economic risks could prompt renewed downward pressure. At present, attention is centered on the 3346–3360 range, where a false breakout remains a probable scenario, potentially preceding further gains.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by akshit_official
4
GOLD - SHORT SQUEEZE BEFORE THE DROP?Symbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3247 Gold is currently undergoing a phase of consolidation. The market lacks a decisive catalyst, and given the prevailing uncertainty in the macroeconomic landscape, traders have largely adopted a cautious, wait and watch approach. This period of consolidation may give way to a sharp movement at any time but the direction remains uncertain. Investors are closely monitoring signals from the Federal Reserve and ongoing trade negotiations. The US dollar continues to exert downward pressure on gold amid anticipation of trade talks involving China, India, South Korea, and Japan along with recent statements from the Federal Reserve. Previously, gold received support from a weaker dollar following Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. However, rising risk appetite and optimism surrounding potential peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have reduced safe-haven demand for gold. Key market drivers namely, Fed commentary and international negotiations will remain crucial in shaping the future trajectory of both the dollar and gold prices. From a technical perspective, the price remains within a downtrend and is currently in consolidation. A breakout from this range could be accompanied by significant momentum. However, my view is that any movement against the prevailing trend is unlikely to be sustained. A retest of resistance may result in a renewed decline. Key Resistance Levels: 3257, 3265 Key Support Levels: 3204, 3153 Within the broader bearish trend, the most probable scenario is a short squeeze followed by a downside breakout from the consolidation triangle. As fundamental pressures and economic risks gradually ease, gold may continue to lose value. A false breakout in the 3250-3265 zone could potentially trigger a continuation of the downward trend toward the 3150-3120 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
1
Is Gold Set to Explode or Fake Out at 3400?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – TERROR ATTACK SHOCKS MARKETS | Is Gold Set to Explode or Fake Out at 3397? Markets have just been hit by fresh geopolitical tension: An Israeli diplomat was shot dead in Washington D.C. during a high-profile Jewish community event near the Holocaust Museum. The shooter allegedly shouted political slogans, and the FBI is now treating the case as a potential anti-Semitic terrorist act. Former President Donald Trump called the event “disgusting” and urged the U.S. to stand strong against extremism. 🟡 This incident triggered a wave of risk aversion, pushing safe-haven assets like GOLD into the spotlight once again. 🌐 FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT: The USD remains under pressure due to weak U.S. economic data (housing, manufacturing, retail). Despite the Fed’s “higher for longer” tone, markets are pricing in potential rate cuts by Q3. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East & U.S. soil may fuel further gold demand in the short term. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart): Price is nearing FVG resistance at 3395–3397, which could serve as a liquidity trap for breakout traders. Key mid-zone resistance: 3344–3356, where price might stall or reverse if upward momentum weakens. Strong support levels: 3303 – 3288 – 3277, aligned with previous structure and demand zones. 📌 TRADE PLAN: Buy zone: 3296 - 3294 SL: 3290 TP: 3300 - 3304 - 3308 - 3315 - 3320 - 3330 - ??? Buy Scalp: 3316 - 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 - 3324 - 3328 - 3332 - 3340 - 3350 Look for bullish reaction from the support zone and enter with proper risk management. 🔻 Sell zone: 3395 – 3397 SL: 3401 TP: 3390 - 3386 - 3380 - 3376 - 3370 🔻 Sell Scalp: 3358 - 3360 SL: 3364 TP: 3354 - 3350 - 3346 - 3342 - 3338 - 3330 If price spikes into FVG and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal, short setup is valid. ⚠️ Warning: Due to geopolitical headlines and gold trading near psychological resistance, expect high volatility and potential for traps. 🎯 Stick to your zones. Manage TP/SL properly. Do not chase price!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
FED HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?GOLD PLAN 21/05 – FOMC HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING? The recent surge in gold has paused just as traders digest the latest Federal Reserve signals. Despite rising geopolitical risks and weakening U.S. economic data, Fed officials continue to project a “higher-for-longer” rate stance, keeping the dollar afloat and adding pressure on gold’s rally. 📉 However, the technical structure tells another side of the story. ⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Bearish Trap or Hidden Bullish Opportunity? On the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is showing signs of consolidation after tapping into a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3328–3356 area. We now observe two key FVG zones above and below current price, highlighting high volatility and potential liquidity grabs. 🔍 A short-term bullish scenario is forming if gold retraces towards 3250–3252 support, where trendline confluence and dynamic support suggest strong demand. Conversely, any strong rejection from 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could activate a bearish play back towards the lower structure levels. 💹 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3252–3250 Stop Loss: 3246 Take Profit Targets: 3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3277–3275 Stop Loss: 3272 Take Profit Targets: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔻 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3354–3356 Stop Loss: 3360 Take Profit Targets: 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3334 Take Profit Targets: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 🌍 MACRO INSIGHT: Fed’s hawkish tone is weighing on precious metals, but gold remains attractive under geopolitical uncertainty and de-dollarization trends. China and other central banks continue their accumulation, suggesting long-term bullish pressure is intact. Watch for U.S. data this week – especially PMI and jobless claims – which could provide short-term catalysts. 📌 Stay cautious and disciplined. Stick to your zones and manage risk tightly – volatility is increasing. 👉 If you found this useful, don’t forget to like, comment and follow for daily gold insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD - RETEST OF TREND RESISTANCE BEFORE POTENTIAL DECLINESymbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3246 Gold is staging a modest recovery amid ongoing market uncertainty. However, a significant resistance zone lies ahead, which could limit further upside and potentially initiate a reversal. Since the session's open, prices have rebounded slightly following a week-long decline. The current upward momentum is constrained by mixed market signals: on one hand, pressure on the US dollar and Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating are providing support for gold. On the other hand, elevated bond yields and prospects of new US trade agreements are capping gains. Market participants are closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve commentary and tracking developments in US trade negotiations with key global partners. In an environment marked by concerns over fiscal stability and weaker economic indicators, gold may maintain a positive bias. However, the emergence of favorable trade news could shift sentiment and lead to renewed downward pressure. Key Resistance levels: 3257, 3265 Key Support levels: 3204, 3153 A failed breakout above the identified resistance range would signal a lack of upward momentum. Should the price consolidate below the 3257 level following a false breakout of the 3257-3265 zone, it may trigger a reversal and drive the market toward key support levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
3
GOLD MARKET UPDATE - BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!🔥 GOLD MARKET UPDATE – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE SHAKES INVESTORS | BE READY FOR BIG MOVES! Gold experienced a sharp drop following the latest hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, as they reaffirmed that current monetary conditions remain stable and tight. This has caused confusion and panic among many investors, leading to a wave of sell-offs during the U.S. and early Asia sessions. 📉 On the higher timeframes, Gold appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern – a classic consolidation structure before a potential continuation move. Despite the strong bullish momentum seen during the Asian and European sessions yesterday, the key resistance near 325x held firm, preventing any major breakout. For now, Gold seems to be trapped in a new sideways range, and unless price decisively breaks above 325x, we may continue to see choppy price action within this zone. ⚠️ However, if the current selling momentum persists and the price breaks down below the lower trendline support, the bearish flag setup could play out, with up to 80% probability, signaling a potential strong continuation of the downtrend. Traders should stay extremely alert – a major price movement could happen at any moment! 🔑 Key Support Levels: 3205 3294 3280 3262 🔑 Key Resistance Levels: 3244 3262 3278 3286 💹 Scalping Setup – BUY: Entry: 3294–3292 Stop Loss: 3288 Take Profit Targets: 3298 – 3302 – 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3272–3270 Stop Loss: 3266 Take Profit Targets: 3276 – 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3330 🔻 Scalping Setup – SELL: Entry: 3242–3244 Stop Loss: 3248 Take Profit Targets: 3238 – 3234 – 3230 – 3226 – 3220 – 3210 🔻 SELL Zone: Entry: 3276–3278 Stop Loss: 3282 Take Profit Targets: 3272 – 3268 – 3264 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240 📌 Remember to always follow your TP/SL strategy to protect your capital!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1