Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 10, 2025🌀
🔹 Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal → the market may enter a corrective decline, possibly lasting through the end of this week.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → a short-term recovery could appear today, pushing the indicator into the overbought zone.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the overbought area and turning down → a short-term decline is likely.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: Price has reached the projected target of wave iii (black). With D1 momentum reversing downward, wave iv (black) may be forming. Since wave ii (black) was relatively long, there is a possibility that wave iv (black) could unfold more quickly.
• H4: Yesterday’s decline may suggest that wave v (purple) has temporarily completed. If this scenario plays out, price could move into a corrective phase toward the wave iv target area. The correction may develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle.
• H1: Price is consolidating within the liquidity zone 3657 – 3631. With H4 momentum hinting at correction, one possible scenario is sideways movement here to complete wave B, followed by a decline into wave C.
o If price breaks and closes below 3631 → the liquidity zone at 3595 may act as the next support.
o Potential targets for wave C:
3595 (aligned with 23.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Or 3556 – 3528 (aligned with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
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🔹 Trade Scenarios (for reference only)
• Sell Zone: 3657 – 3659
o SL: 3667
o TP1: 3631
o TP2: 3563
• Buy Zone 1: 3596 – 3594
o SL: 3585
o TP1: 3669
o TP2: 3749
• Buy Zone 2: 3557 – 3555
o SL: 3547
o TP1: 3597
o TP2: 3705
📌 Note: The Sell setup at 3657 should be considered with small position size as it goes against the main trend. If price reaches 3595, this Sell scenario could lose validity.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD – PPI Ahead: Key Liquidity Levels & Trading PlanMarket View:
After yesterday’s sharp drop where sellers dominated the liquidity zone, gold (XAUUSD) is now recovering from 362x → 364x during the Asian session. In the short term, price may range between 362x–365x in Asia/Europe before going sideways to await the PPI release in the US session.
Today’s PPI is expected at 0.3% vs 0.9% previous, signalling cooling inflation. However, actual data could come in higher – often creating a “news trap”. From a technical view, gold may need to retest 360x liquidity before resuming its uptrend ahead of CPI & the upcoming FED meeting.
👉 In short: Structure stays bullish, but short-term liquidity sweeps are likely before continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3647 – 3654 – 3665 – 3674 – 3704
Support: 3635 – 3613 – 3600 – 3586
Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY Zone: 3600 – 3598
SL: 3592 (or tighter at 3580)
TP: 3605 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+
🔴 SELL Zone: 3703 – 3705
SL: 3710
TP: 3698 → 3694 → 3690 → 3680 → 3670 → 3660+
Summary:
✅ Gold remains in an uptrend, but may retest 360x liquidity before heading higher.
✅ PPI today & CPI tomorrow could trigger traps – caution is advised.
👉 Watch the key levels and follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily updates & BIGWIN setups!
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyOn the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading above 3,650 after a clear break of structure. Price has created demand footprints near 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance is seen around 3,670 and premium supply is at 3,687–3,689. This indicates a possible engineered retracement into discount demand zones before a move towards liquidity above 3,688.
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block in line with bullish flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong base for buyers.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, possible liquidity sweep.
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,634
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,650
TP2: 3,665
TP3: 3,680+
👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before price continues bullish.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,640+
👉 Best for swing buyers seeking higher risk-reward on a deeper liquidity grab.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,687 – 3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,694
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels, good only for scalping with strict risk.
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may push price into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand zones before expanding higher. Safer setups are buying dips; short positions at 3,687 should be treated only as quick scalps.
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has blasted through $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), smashing a new all-time high as weak US jobs data ramps up bets for a Fed rate cut next week. With a massive 38% YTD gain after 27% in 2024, gold's on fire—driven by a weakening USD, central bank hoarding, easing policies, and global uncertainty. For Indian investors, this is prime time amid rising demand and INR volatility. Let’s analyze today’s (09/09/2025) market and spot trading opportunities! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟
Historic Break: Weak US jobs (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates slash the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold—perfect for India’s festive season buys! 📈
Expert View: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals sees gold hitting $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with dips as buy chances. Ongoing labor weakness and Fed easing into 2026 will keep supporting it.
Global Boosters: China’s PBOC extended gold buys to 10 months in August. Falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near 5-month lows make gold even more attractive for Indian rupee holders.
Data Watch: Eye US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for Fed clues. Tariff wars and geopolitics add safe-haven fuel—great for India’s gold ETFs and physical demand.
Gold’s your ultimate hedge in this setup—will the Fed’s cut keep the party going for Indian portfolios?
Technical Analysis: Breakout Frenzy with Traps—Buy the Dips! 📉
Gold’s power surge blew past 3600 with no brakes, but eye the Fibo 2.618 at 3685 for a possible breather. Bullish momentum screams BUY, but watch FVG traps from the fast climb. Key focus: 3641—break below pulls back to 3600; hold above and bulls target 3685. Ideal for Indian traders riding the rupee-gold link!
Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690
Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675
SL: 3679
TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655
Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686
SL: 3694
TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open
Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639
SL: 3635
TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659
Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603
SL: 3595
TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open
Gold’s breaking out big, but traps await—confirm at key levels! Holds support? Bulls aim for 3685. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #IndiaTrading #INR #MCX
XAUUSD – Intraday Plan: Bullish Trend + Key Liquidity ZonesMarket Pulse:
The US jobs data (05/09) showed a slowdown in hiring. According to CME FedWatch, there is an 88% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in September, and 12% for a 0.5% cut. Lower rates support gold as a non-yielding asset.
Gold has already gained 38% YTD, after rising 27% in 2024. A weaker USD, central bank buying (China added gold for the 10th month in a row in August), loose monetary policy, and global risks keep gold in a strong bullish trend.
👉 Market bias: Macro + liquidity flows favour BUY.
Technical View (M30):
Price stays in an up channel, making higher lows.
3616–3596 is the key support zone.
Liquidity SELL zones at 3653–3655 and 3675–3677 may give short intraday pullbacks before trend continues.
Execution Plan (Today):
🔵 BUY ZONE #1: 3618 – 3616
SL: 3610
TP: 3624 → 3630 → 3635 → 3640 → 3650 → 3660 → 3670+
🔵 BUY ZONE #2: 3598 – 3596
SL: 3590
TP: 3602 → 3606 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+
🔴 SELL ZONE #1: 3653 – 3655
SL: 3660
TP: 3648 → 3644 → 3640 → 3635 → 3630 → 3620
🔴 SELL ZONE #2: 3675 – 3677
SL: 3681
TP: 3670 → 3665 → 3660 → 3650 → 3640
Summary:
✅ Gold trend stays bullish – best setups are buying dips into liquidity zones.
⚡ Intraday scalps possible at SELL liquidity zones.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily precision setups.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 09/09/2025🌀
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🔹 Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising but occurs in the overbought zone → the upside potential is limited.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to reverse. Although H4 candles are still pushing up, a divergence is forming → signaling weakening bullish strength.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum remains in the overbought zone → no expectation for an extended bullish leg.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
o Price is in the final stage of wave iii (black) and preparing for wave iv (black).
o By principle, it is better to stay patient and wait for wave iv to complete before looking for Buy entries into wave v (black), rather than trying to catch the top of wave iii.
o Current price is approaching the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave i (black).
• H4 timeframe:
o Price is currently within wave v (purple).
o Since it has already broken above wave iii (purple), a reversal could happen anytime.
o Completion of wave v (purple) will also complete wave iii (black).
• H1 timeframe:
o Inside wave v (purple), a full 5-wave structure (green) can be counted.
o The potential confluence zone for the end of wave 5 (green), wave v (purple), and wave iii (black) is 3669 – 3678.
o After this zone, price is expected to correct into wave iv (black), which often develops sideways and shallow.
➡️ Once wave iv (black) is complete, the market is expected to continue higher into wave v (black).
➡️ High liquidity zones highlighted by the Volume Profile will act as support, preventing a deep decline and providing momentum for wave v (black).
• Wave iv usually retraces back to the wave 4 of a smaller degree. Currently, we have two key areas:
o Wave 4 (green) around 3597
o Wave iv (purple) around 3552 – 3530
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🔹 Trading Plan
1. Buy Zone 1: 3598 – 3596
o SL: 3588 (or 3579 for wider risk tolerance)
o TP1: 3669
2. Buy Zone 2: 3553 – 3550
o SL: 3540
o TP1: 3597
XAUUSD – Weekly Trading Plan: Bulls Still in Control MMFLOW TRADING PLAN XAUUSD
Market View:
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading exactly as expected from our weekly outlook. After the big Nonfarm push near $3600/oz ATH, price is consolidating around 357x–358x while holding the rising trendline. Both Daily and Weekly charts remain bullish, showing that buyers are still strong. The bias for this week stays upside, but volatility can come from key US data (PPI, CPI, Jobless Claims, UoM Sentiment).
Technical Outlook (H1 Chart):
Structure is bullish as long as price holds above 3550.
If 3592 breaks cleanly → more upside towards 3620–3640+.
If 3575 or 3530 breaks → expect a pullback before buyers return.
Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3552 – 3550 | SL: 3544 | TP: 3556 → 3560 → 3565 → 3570 → 3575 → 3580 → ????
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3573 – 3571 | SL: 3567 | TP: 3578 → 3582 → 3586 → 3590 → ????
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3598 – 3600 | SL: 3604 | TP: 3595 → 3590 → 3585 → 3580 → 3570 → 3560 → ????
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3631 – 3633 | SL: 3638 | TP: 3626 → 3622 → 3618 → 3614 → 3610 → 3600 → ????
Summary:
✅ Gold remains in a strong uptrend.
👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) – these levels will decide the next big move.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily setups and updates.
Gold Surges 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Slump & Trade Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has skyrocketed 37% in 2025, building on a 27% rally in 2024, fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, loose monetary policies, and global economic/geopolitical unrest. With US jobs growth tanking in August 2025 and unemployment climbing to 4.3%, markets are betting big on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let’s dive into today’s (08/09/2025) action and uncover trading opportunities tailored for Indian investors! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Shining Bright 🌟
Massive Rally: Gold thrives in low-rate, high-uncertainty environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Weak USD and central bank purchases are key drivers. 📈
US Jobs Slump: August data shows a sharp slowdown in hiring and a 4.3% unemployment rate, boosting Fed rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand.
Fed Drama Fuels Gold: Trump’s attempt to sack Fed Governor Lisa Cook and pressure for rate cuts has sparked legal battles, shaking USD confidence. Tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after lower court losses) further drive gold as a hedge. Standard Chartered sees more upside amid these uncertainties.
Demand Dip in India: Record-high prices have slowed physical gold demand in India and China this week, but the bullish outlook remains strong for Indian investors chasing safety.
Gold’s your ultimate bet in this volatile market—will the Fed’s next move keep the rally alive?
Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Grabs—Stay Sharp! 📉
In today’s early Asian session, gold dipped to 358x before a swift rebound, smashing last week’s ATH resistance at 3600 and hitting 361x. No major news triggered this spike, but continuous ATHs mean fast liquidity sweeps—beware of traps! Avoid FOMO: Focus on broken round levels for BUY setups or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but watch out for false breakouts.
Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644
Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626
SL: 3630
TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606
Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636
SL: 3644
TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596
Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594
SL: 3591
TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614
Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579
SL: 3571
TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619
Gold’s breaking out, but fakeouts are everywhere—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could push for new highs. 📊💡
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating close to 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently forming imbalance around intraday highs, while demand is positioned lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves designed to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow.
• 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, suitable for liquidity sweep reaction.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,565 – 3,563
• Stop Loss: 3,560
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,600+
👉 Expectation is for liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,596
• Stop Loss: 3,601
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,592
o TP2: 3,590
o TP3: 3,585 → 3,580 → 3,570 → 3,560
👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp trades only with strict risk control.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,630 – 3,628
• Stop Loss: 3,637
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,610
o TP2: 3,600
o TP3: 3,590
👉 Targeting liquidity lying below intraday lows; best for quick short opportunities.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626–3,630 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps are short-lived opportunities.
XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection – 08.09.25🔎 Chart Analysis
Price Action
Current price: 3588.15
Support Zone (S1): Around 3575 – 3578
Resistance Zones:
R1 ≈ 3590
R2 ≈ 3600+
Projection shows a possible bounce from support → break R1 → move toward R2.
Indicators
Stochastic (5,3,3):
Current: %K 21.78, %D 31.90
Oversold region → “Tends to Buy” signal.
RSI (14):
Value: 58.55 (above 50)
Suggests short-term uptrend momentum.
Overall Projection
Market bias: Bullish (Buy Setup)
If price respects support at S1, probability is high for upside movement towards R1 → R2.
Risk: If support S1 breaks, downtrend continuation is possible.
✅ Summary (08.09.25):
Buy Bias on 1H timeframe.
Support: 3575 zone
Target 1: 3590 (R1)
Target 2: 3600 (R2)
Indicators confirm bullish momentum (RSI > 50, Stoch oversold).
XAUUSD – Early Week Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Early Week Trading Scenario
Hello Traders,
The Asian session opened the new week with mild fluctuations in gold, followed by a pullback into the major liquidity zone created during last week’s bullish wave.
At present, price is showing signs of breaking below the 3585 support. If a strong M15 candle closes under this level, it can be considered a short-term correction signal. In that case, a light sell position may be initiated, targeting the 3560 zone.
The 3560 level stands out as a reliable support, aligning with the ascending trendline. This makes it a key area for buying in line with the prevailing uptrend, with the potential for price to extend higher and even revisit its all-time highs. However, if price climbs back to retest the trendline, any short positions from that area should be approached cautiously and only with clear confirmation.
Another potential buy zone lies near 3516, where the market previously cleared the liquidity from the closest FVG.
Overall, gold is likely to require some corrective moves before continuing its broader trend. In particular, short trades should only be considered when the reversal structure is clearly validated.
This is my trading perspective for gold today. Please take it as a reference for your own strategies.
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥”
The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market.
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown:
Previous Liquidity Sweep
Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August.
This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure.
Strong Impulsive Rally
From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback.
However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction.
Resistance & PRZ Reaction
The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level.
Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.
🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move:
1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500
This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point.
Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support)
If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
XAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPIXAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPI
Hello Traders,
Gold delivered a strong rally last week, consistently printing new highs on a daily basis. While this is not unusual, it has introduced caution in the market. Investor sentiment continues to lean heavily towards buying gold, underlining its importance as a safe-haven asset.
Fundamental Outlook
In the coming week, the release of US CPI and PPI data will be a key focus. These indicators will provide important insight into the financial health of the US economy and could directly influence the Fed’s decision on a potential rate cut in September.
Technical Perspective
Gold has already broken through the Fibonacci 1.618 level, with the next target aligning around the 2.618 extension near 3687.
Before reaching this zone, a mild correction at FVG (Fair Value Gap) areas cannot be ruled out.
For the long term, the zone around 3467 – 3475 is considered a strong buying region, supported by the confluence of FVG, Dibo, and Volume Profile.
Trading Strategies
Bullish Priority: Long positions remain favored. The 3467–3475 zone offers an attractive entry for longer-term buyers.
Bearish Condition: Short opportunities should only be considered if there is a confirmed reversal structure, with price breaking below 3510 or showing rejection signals near the 2.618 Fibonacci level.
Conclusion
For the upcoming week, gold remains a buy-on-dip market. Traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels, while staying flexible with short-term strategies as intraday updates unfold. Proper risk management remains crucial given the upcoming macroeconomic data releases.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 7, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still declining → a corrective move may occur before turning bullish again.
• H4: Currently in the overbought zone → a main downward move is expected tomorrow.
• H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term upward bounce may appear tomorrow morning.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
o Price is forming a 5-wave structure (i, ii, iii, iv, v) in black.
o Currently, wave iii (black) is in its final stage.
o Waves i, ii, iii were formed after a momentum cycle → the next corrective cycle will likely indicate where wave iv (black) will end.
• H4 timeframe:
o Price may be completing wave v (purple).
o Once wave v (purple) finishes → the market is expected to enter corrective wave iv (black).
• H1 timeframe:
o As in the previous plan, the ABC correction in blue looks like a 3-wave structure, but there is also the possibility of a Flat pattern forming.
o In a Flat scenario, price may break above the previous high and then reverse downward.
o Currently, price showed overlapping moves followed by a strong breakout → suggesting two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1:
o Wave v (purple) is unfolding, with price heading toward the wave v target.
o Two target zones: 3614 and 3678.
o In this case → avoid counter-trend trades, wait for corrective wave iv (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in line with wave iii (black).
Scenario 2:
o A Flat structure is forming.
o Wait for wave C to complete wave iv (purple).
o H4 momentum supports this scenario (decline to oversold then reversal).
o Wave C targets: 3553 and 3530 → ideal Buy entry zone.
Trading Plan
1. Buy Zone 1: 3353 – 3350
o SL: 3340
o TP1: 3596
2. Buy Zone 2: 3532 – 3530
o SL: 3522
o TP1: 3552
XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area)
Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669
Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup.
📈 Strategies Applied:
Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs.
Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support.
EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal.
Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation)
Target: 3,668 – 3,670
⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact.
If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone.
Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
Weekly Outlook: Big Bullish Move + Key US DataMarket View:
Gold (XAUUSD) finished the week with strong momentum after Nonfarm pushed price close to $3600/oz ATH. On the daily chart, the candle closed almost full body (only ~30% wick), showing no profit-taking yet. The weekly chart is also strongly bullish – confirming that buyers are in control. This signals more upside likely in the coming week and month.
Key US Events This Week:
Wed, Sep 10: Core PPI & PPI m/m → If higher than expected, USD may strengthen short-term, creating pressure on gold.
Thu, Sep 11: CPI (Core, m/m, y/y) + Jobless Claims → the most important release. Lower CPI + higher claims = bullish for gold. Higher CPI = hawkish Fed = pressure.
Fri, Sep 12: UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations → could shift Fed outlook further.
👉 Fundamentals may bring volatility, but overall medium-term trend remains bullish.
Technical Outlook (H1 Chart):
After the Nonfarm breakout, gold is consolidating sideways. Levels to watch:
Support: 3574 – 3551 – 3530 – 3516
Resistance: 3600 – 3621 – 3633 – 3649 – 3669 – 3678
Trading Plan:
BUY bias (preferred):
Long on dips near 3574–3550
SL: below 3530
TP: 3600 → 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669 → 3678
SELL scalp (alternative):
Only if 3530 breaks with strong CPI surprise → target 3516/3527
Summary:
✅ Gold stays in a strong uptrend on Daily & Weekly charts. Macro factors support more upside if inflation keeps easing.
👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) as the key decision levels.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily plans and quick updates.
XAU USD WEEKLY CHART Xau USD gold given massive return in last some months . U can Check on our chart . It's given buy on weekly chart near 1932 . Now Xau USD standing near 3560+ that's a massive return. You can check my old views on Xau USD of 15 min Chart.
Still we can see good movement from here on 15 min Chart . Good Support near 3550 .
Consult Your Financial Advisor Before Making any position in stock market/ XAU USD .
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan Ahead of NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGGold (XAUUSD) has slowed down after a strong bullish rally and is now consolidating in a sideways range 355x – 354x, waiting for today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data to set the next major move.
📊 Macro View:
If NFP comes out better than expected, USD strength could push Gold lower into 352x – 350x zones, filling liquidity gaps before buyers step in.
If NFP is worse than forecast, Gold may break above ATH 357x and test higher liquidity zones near 3594+.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
3560 – 3576
3594
🔑 Key Support Levels
3540
3528 – 3514
3502 – 3488 – 3478
📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View)
🔵 BUY Zone: 3488 – 3486
🔴 SL: 3480
✔️ TP: 3492 – 3496 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ????
🔵 BUY Scalp: 3528 – 3526
🔴 SL: 3520
✔️ TP: 3532 – 3536 – 3540 – 3550 – 3560 – ????
🔴 SELL Scalp: 3574 – 3576
🔴 SL: 3580
✔️ TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ????
🔴 SELL Zone: 3593 – 3595
🔴 SL: 3600
✔️ TP: 3588 – 3584 – 3580 – 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – ????
📊 MMFLOW Trading View:
Gold is building momentum inside the 3540 – 3565 range.
Break below 3540 → correction towards 352x – 350x.
Break above 3565 → retest of 357x – 3595 supply zone.
Best setups are waiting for price reaction near 3515 – 3528 (Buy Zone) or 3576 – 3595 (Sell Zone).
Gold Price Analysis – Testing Resistance near Sell ZoneAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,551.40, showing minor intraday losses (-0.03%). The chart indicates a strong resistance zone between 3,556–3,563, identified as the “sell zone,” with an All-Time High (ATH) slightly above at 3,578.12. Price is consolidating beneath this resistance, struggling to break higher.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a potential retracement toward 3,511–3,520 if sellers gain momentum. The Ichimoku cloud shows mixed signals, with price hovering around the equilibrium, indicating indecision in the short term.
A break above 3,563 could trigger bullish continuation toward ATH, while rejection at this level may lead to a pullback into the highlighted FVG region.
Gold Slips After Peak: Trade Fed Uncertainty & Jobs Report!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟
Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉
US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market.
Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦
Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand.
Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers.
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉
Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts!
Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586
Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560
SL: 3564
TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535
Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578
SL: 3587
TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538
Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524
SL: 3520
TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549
Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498
SL: 3490
TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538
Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡
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Trade the Fed Drama & Jobs Data Wave!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟
Historic Surge: Gold soared to an all-time high before US jobs data showed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 openings and steady hiring, pointing to a softening labor market. This fueled gold’s rise, with $3,600/oz as the next target. 📈
Fed Rate Cut Fever: Post-data, the odds of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s Sept 16-17 meeting jumped from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller stressed the need for a cut this month, with future moves tied to economic trends. 🏦
Key Data Ahead: All eyes are on today’s (04/09) ADP employment and US jobless claims, plus the big monthly payrolls report on 05/09. These could steer the Fed’s path and gold’s trajectory.
Fed Drama Boosts Gold: On Sept 3, Fed Governor Lisa Cook pushed back against Trump’s attempt to oust her, while Trump keeps slamming Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Worries about Fed independence are shaking confidence in USD assets, making gold the go-to safe haven. Trump’s also gearing up to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸
Gold’s Sweet Spot: As a non-yielding asset, gold shines in uncertain times and low-rate environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market!
Technical Analysis: Bullish Run Continues, Buy Dips but Watch Reversals! 📉
After the Asian session opened, gold plunged to the 351x zone before bouncing back above 352x. This could be big players flushing out retail liquidity—a classic move during relentless all-time highs (ATHs) that create large FVGs. Stick to BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, brace for a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data incoming. Stay sharp for volatility!
Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596
Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3560-3562
SL: 3566
TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547
Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596
SL: 3604
TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546
Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506
SL: 3502
TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521
Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491
SL: 3483
TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open
Gold is blazing, but today’s data could shake things up—keep your risk tight! If it stays above 352x, bulls might charge to new highs. 📊💡