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LiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendlineLiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendline, waiting to break the structure for a breakout After testing the upward trendline twice, gold bounced up and then moved sideways around the 4065 area. On H4, this price zone has accumulated for almost a week – indicating that the selling force is not liquid enough to push the price down deeply, while there is still plenty of price gap above according to Fibonacci. My preferred scenario: gold continues to "compress" within the triangle, then breaks out to create a new wave. Macro – Fed context Fed member Collins emphasized that there is still reason to be cautious about cutting rates in the December meeting. She stated: This is a complex phase, and it's not unusual for internal disagreements within the Fed. The Fed must balance between the two goals of employment and inflation, which are moving in opposite directions. This makes it difficult for the market to clearly price the interest rate scenario, so gold continues to choose to accumulate around important technical zones instead of breaking out in one direction. Technical Analysis – Trendline, Fibonacci, Volume Profile The current H4 structure is a triangle model with: A downward sloping trendline from the old peak 42xx. An upward sloping trendline from the late October low, acting as dynamic support. Zone 4060–4070: the "balance" price zone last week – where the price moved sideways the longest, serving as a reference point for the short-term trend. Key levels: 4132: near resistance, coinciding with the VAH area of the current Volume Profile. 4171: higher resistance, near the Fibonacci 1.0 area of the recovery wave. 4242: Fibonacci extension confluence zone (1.618) + historical resistance – where strong profit-taking is likely. 4347: 2.618 expansion zone – reference target if the peak is successfully broken. 4022 and 3997: important support close to the lower trendline – main buy zone if there is a liquidity sweep. When the price decisively breaks out of one of the trendlines, the new trend on H4 will be clearer; the trading plan will follow this breakout direction. Risk management and invalidation H4 closes below 3997: the triangle structure is broken downward, fully prioritizing sell orders to lower zones – at that point, medium-term buy orders should not be held. H4 closes above 4245 with good volume: considered a successful triangle peak breakout, discard all sell orders in this area and focus on buying according to the new trend. Which scenario are you leaning towards for next week: breaking up to test 4242–4347 or sweeping down to 4022–3997 before bouncing back? Leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1💛 XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1, AWAITING A NEW BREAKOUT THIS WEEK 🎯 🌤 Overview of the New Week Hello everyone, Lana here 💬 Gold, after a very strong rise from the 3,500 region to above 4,400, is entering a "resting" phase on the D1 frame: the price continuously tests the upward trendline but has not yet broken it to confirm a downtrend. The market is clearly waiting for a real breakout before forming a new medium-term wave. Next week, we have CPI and PPI – important inflation data that could act as a catalyst to push gold out of the current accumulation zone. 💹 Technical Analysis (Daily Triangle) On the D1 frame, when connecting the descending peaks and ascending bottoms, gold is in a narrowing triangle pattern. The upward trendline below is still maintained, indicating that the medium-term trend has not reversed. Below are important zones: ≈ 3,890: if the price closes below this area, it could confirm medium-term weakening. Fibonacci & psychological resistance zone 3,800–3,900: strong support, confluence with old price structure. POC Volume Profile around 3,650: if a deep decline scenario occurs, this will be the next price attraction zone. Above, the old peak zone around 4,300–4,400 remains a large liquidity zone, a natural target if gold breaks the upper edge of the triangle. In summary: the more compressed the triangle, the stronger the breakout – the direction will depend heavily on CPI/PPI data & Fed expectations. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan (Medium-Term) 💖 Scenario 1 – Maintain Uptrend (priority when the trendline is not broken) Observe the reaction at the D1 upward trendline (area around 4,000). If the price continuously bounces from the trendline and stays above the 3,890 area, you can: Prioritize buying according to the trend at support retests on H4–H1. Medium-term targets: 4,150 → 4,250 → 4,300–4,400 if the triangle breaks upwards. 💢 Scenario 2 – Triangle Breaks, Shifts to Medium-Term Decline If D1 closes below 3,890: Consider this a signal confirming medium-term weakening. Prioritize selling at newly formed resistance zones. Step-by-step targets: 3,800 → 3,700 (POC) → 3,500 (strong previous support). In both scenarios, specific entry points should be refined on smaller frames (H4, H1) based on price action/OB/FVG. ⚠️ Note News & Risk Management Next week's CPI & PPI could be the "final blow," pushing gold out of the triangle – volatility can be wide and fast, spreads may widen. Last week's NFP news hardly created big waves for gold after the US government shutdown, indicating the market is holding strength waiting for more important data. 🌷 Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold on D1 is in the final stage of the accumulation triangle – this is a time where patient observation is as important as a beautiful entry point 💛 Next week, I will continue to update daily details on smaller frames so everyone can have more specific entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold is compressed; next week’s US data will pick a side.Gold is being compressed, the upcoming US data week will determine which side is squeezed. Good evening everyone, Brian here with a view on XAUUSD on the H2 and H4 frames for the upcoming week. Fundamental Analysis – a "tailor-made" week for the USD Next week is packed with US data, meaning gold will react more to numbers than narratives: Core PPI, PPI, and Retail Sales Initial Unemployment Claims Prelim GDP q/q Core PCE Price Index m/m – the Fed's preferred inflation measure If inflation and growth come out weak, the market will lean more towards the slow growth / easing policy narrative. This usually puts pressure on the USD and supports gold, especially when real yields gradually decrease. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data will strengthen the USD, increase yields, and create short-term downward pressure on gold. In such a context, price and liquidity areas around news release times will be more important than usual – typically, fading emotional spikes back to structural areas is safer than chasing the initial move. Technical Analysis – triangle, FVG, and key support areas On the H4 frame, gold is still trading within a broad triangle structure. The previous decline has stalled, with prices continuously reacting at the upward support line and around 4,000, but there has yet to be a clear breakout from the pattern. When zooming into H1–H2: The price has broken a short-term downtrend line and closed strongly above – this is an early signal that selling pressure in this move is weakening. The nearest support is around 4050–4040, deeper is the 4000–3998 support band (marked on the chart as important support). As long as it holds above 4,000, the structure remains positive. Above, we have a very important confluence area around 4135–4160 including: Fibo 0.382 of the most recent main decline An old fair value gap (FVG) and resistance block Chart note: "Gold will go strong if it passes this price range" – aligns with my view: if the price accepts above this area, the potential for a stronger upward move will open up. Around 4100 is an area prone to "large liquidity response" – expect strong profit-taking and position restructuring if the price returns to this area. Currently, I consider the market to be accumulating above 4,000 in a corrective pattern, with a slight upward bias as long as 4,000 is maintained. Key Price Areas Resistance: 4100 – first liquidity area 4135–4160 – Fibo 0.382 + FVG + strong resistance Support: 4050–4040 – nearest intraday support 4000–3998 – large frame support; if broken, the picture changes 3940 area – stronger support if 4k is breached Trading Scenarios for Next Week (All are for reference only, not investment advice.) Scenario 1 – Buy when price corrects above 4,000 (foundation for the next upward wave) Idea: follow the forming upward bias as the price respects the triangle support and the 4,000 mark. Entry area: 4050–4040 or any clean retest of the broken downtrend line on smaller frames Cautious position addition area: 4025–4005 if there is a deep sweep to 4,000 with a strong bounce reaction Stop loss: below 3990–3988 depending on risk appetite Targets: First: 4100 (liquidity area) Second: 4135–4140 (lower edge of FVG/resistance) Extended: 4155–4160 if a strong continuation move appears Signals to wait for: wick rejections from support, bullish engulfing candles, or clear intraday structural phase shifts to higher highs and lows. Scenario 2 – Break & Retest Long above 4135–4140 If the price doesn't give a deep correction and runs straight up: Condition: H2/H4 candle closes clearly above 4135–4140 and holds on retest Entry: when price pulls back in a controlled manner to the 4135–4140 area, turning this area from resistance to support SL: below 4120 TP: 4180 → 4200+ depending on momentum strength This is the "gold goes strong" scenario as noted on the chart – viewing the FVG/0.382 area as a launchpad for a larger impulsive upward wave. Scenario 3 – Bearish scenario if 4,000 is broken If fundamentals and flows turn against gold, decisively pushing the price below 4,000, the bullish view needs to be set aside. Condition: daily candle closes clearly below 4000–3998 Plan: wait for the price to retrace up to retest 4000–4020 from below Entry: short when rejection signals appear at that retest area TP: 3960 → 3940, then reassess the structure When below 4,000, the triangle will break down, and the market is likely to hunt deeper liquidity areas before potentially forming a new medium-term upward wave. In summary: as long as 4,000 holds, I prioritize the buy scenario on corrections, respecting the upward potential to 4135–4160 and beyond. If there is a decisive break below 4,000, the picture will reverse – then retracements up will be opportunities to look for shorts. Trade according to what the structure shows, not what I hope for. Manage risk tightly around next week's data points and let the major price areas "do the heavy lifting." If this perspective helps you plan better, don't forget to follow Brian for weekly gold analysis and share your scenarios in the comments to compare.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold is stuck in a wide range, ready for a decisive break.Good evening traders, Brian here with a fresh look at gold on the 2-hour chart. Price is compressing in a broad sideways range, building energy for the next leg – the break from this structure will set the tone for the coming sessions. Fundamental analysis The core driver remains the Fed’s December decision. The market is effectively split on whether we see a cut or a delay: A camp of institutions argues that rising unemployment and softer data could still justify a 25-basis-point cut in December, keeping pressure on the dollar and supporting gold on dips. Others point out that the Fed is short of clean, up-to-date data and may prefer to wait until next year before committing to an easing cycle. As a result, pricing for a December cut is roughly “fifty–fifty” and highly sensitive to the next run of labour-market and activity data. In short: the macro backdrop is undecided, so intraday direction will be driven mainly by levels and liquidity until the next data catalyst hits. Technical analysis On the H2 chart, gold is in a broad consolidation after the recent sell-off: Price is trading inside a descending structure, repeatedly respecting the short-term trendline from the recent high. The Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulse shows the 0.382 level lining up with a prior fair-value gap and horizontal resistance – this forms a key rejection zone overhead. Below price, there is a confluence of support where the rising trendline meets a small bullish FVG around 4027–4029, followed by a more important horizontal support band near 3998. The volume profile highlights a Value Area High (VAH) around 4075–4080, which is likely to act as a reaction zone if price rotates back into it. Until we break convincingly out of this structure, I treat it as a large accumulation range with a slight downside bias: sellers are still defending lower highs, but buyers are stepping in aggressively at trendline support. Key levels Resistance zones: 4080–4085 (VAH / short-term supply) 4135–4145 (Fibonacci 0.382 + FVG + structural resistance) Support zones: 4027–4029 (trendline + FVG confluence buy area) 3995–4000 (important horizontal support) 3940 region (deeper support if the range finally breaks down) Trade scenarios 1. Primary long – buy the trendline/FVG confluence Entry: 4027–4029 Stop: 4023 Targets: 4035 – 4050 – 4068 – 4080 Idea: look for price to react at the rising trendline where it overlaps with the small FVG. A clean rejection candle or shift in intraday order flow from that zone sets up a rotation back towards the VAH and potentially the upper boundary of the range. 2. Break-and-retest short – if the trendline fails Trigger: clear H1/H2 close below the rising trendline and the 4027 area Plan: wait for price to retest the underside of the broken trendline / prior support Entry: on rejection of that retest Initial targets: 4000, then 3940 if momentum accelerates This scenario treats any breakdown as a structural shift, using the retest as a lower-risk point to join the move rather than chasing the first leg. 3. Intraday scalp zones These are discretionary, short-term opportunities for active traders: Reaction sells: around 4085, and higher up if we spike into the 4135–4145 resistance band. Look for exhaustion or rejection patterns back into the range (potential targets 4060 then 4033). Reaction buys: into 3998–4000 if we see a liquidity sweep below the current range, with tight stops and quick profit-taking back towards the mid-range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold H1 – Is This Just a Range or a Break Incoming?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (21/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a compressed intraday range as markets react to the latest discussion on whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates anytime soon. According to new reports, policymakers remain cautious, and early rate-cut expectations are fading as inflation progress slows. This shift pushes USD stronger, increases Treasury yields, and temporarily weakens gold’s bullish momentum. Key takeaways from the news: • Fed officials note that inflation is “still not where it needs to be,” reducing the probability of early rate cuts. • Markets have scaled back expectations for a Q1 cut, keeping USD supported. • Higher yields → tighter financial conditions → gold struggles to break premium levels. • Institutions are likely engineering liquidity grabs on both sides before committing to a new directional move. Price is currently sitting near the 4030–4045 zone, right above discount liquidity, waiting for a catalyst to break out of the short-term compression. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Market Structure: Gold has completed a clear CHoCH + short-term bearish sequence and is now compressing into the discount zone around 4030. • Premium Sell Zone (4H Supply): 4128–4130 aligns with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above internal highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4030–4028 sits inside the last clean demand zone where a previous sweep occurred. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4128–4135 → Sell-side liquidity: below 4028–4020 Institutions are likely to sweep one side before delivering direction. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4128 – 4130 • Stop-Loss: 4140 • Take-Profit: → 4080 (minor imbalance fill) → 4045 (range EQ) → 4030–4028 (discount demand retest) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4030 – 4028 • Stop-Loss: 4020 • Take-Profit: → 4060 (short-term reaction level) → 4095 (inefficiency fill) → 4120 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4030–4028 pocket and shows bullish displacement from discount. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • USD strength may spike unexpectedly as rate-cut bets fade — reduce position size during volatility. • Avoid trading inside the 4045–4085 chop zone unless a clean structure break forms. • Manage trades aggressively once liquidity levels are taken. • Expect engineered manipulation during low-volume Asian hours. 📝 Summary Gold is compressing inside a narrow intraday range as markets reassess the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. SMC structure suggests a two-sided liquidity sweep before a decisive move: • Sell Zone: 4128–4130 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4030–4028 (discount demand) Expect classic accumulation → sweep → displacement patterns until macro conditions create a new trend. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD Bullish Retracement Setup from Support Zone Toward Key Re1. Market Structure Price is currently trading near a major support zone (~4055–4060 area), highlighted in blue. Multiple rejections from this zone in the past indicate strong buying interest. The structure shows higher lows forming intraday, suggesting bullish pressure building. 2. Key Zones 🔵 Support Zone (Entry Region) Marked around 4055–4060. Price dipped into this zone and bounced, showing a potential demand area for long positions. 🔵 Resistance Level (First Target Region) Around 4081–4098. This is the first major resistance the price is likely to test after bouncing. 🔵 Final Target Zone 4120 area, the upper major resistance. Previous highs around this level show strong selling interest historically. 3. Expected Price Movement The chart suggests a potential bullish move: Price bounces from the support (entry) area. Climbs toward 4081 (minor resistance). Retraces slightly. Continues upward toward 4097–4100. Final push toward 4120 target zone. This is a classic retracement + continuation bullish structure. 4. Trade Idea Bias: Bullish Entry: 4055–4060 (support zone) First TP: 4081 Second TP: 4097–4100 Final Target: 4120 Stop Loss: Below 4050 (beneath support zone)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD: Gold Set to Test Downtrend Line!⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/21/2025 🔍 Market Context After adjusting from the 4,107 USD area, gold is moving sideways in the liquidity rebalancing zone – indicating a tug-of-war between the two sides. The consecutive CHoCH – BOS movements forming around the 4,006 USD bottom show that buying pressure is starting to reappear. The current decline seems to be just a correction phase, not yet showing enough signs of a complete reversal of the medium-term uptrend structure. 📊 Technical Structure Downtrend line: continues to act as dynamic resistance – a confirmation area for the recovery trend if broken. OB Bullish (4,006 USD): confluence with the previous liquidity bottom, is a potential BUY Zone. Break–Resistance (4,045 USD): the first level to surpass to confirm buying pressure. OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD): short-term supply zone – short-term SELL Zone, may witness profit-taking reactions if the price touches it. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price may retest the OB Bullish / BUY Zone (4,006–4,025 USD).  – When a clear upward reaction appears, gold is likely to break through the downtrend line, heading towards OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD). 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:  – If the price does not hold the 4,006 USD area, the short-term structure will be invalidated, opening the possibility of retreating to a lower equilibrium area around 3,985 USD. 💎 Key Zones BUY Zone: 4,006 – 4,025 USD → demand zone confluence OB + liquidity bottom. SELL Zone: 4,086 – 4,107 USD → potential supply zone if the recovery trend is activated. 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is in a short-term accumulation state with signs of capital flow gradually leaning towards the buyers. The retest phase of the 4,006 USD support area will be the key confirmation for a reversal – retest – continuation phase. As long as the price stays above this area, the priority remains a buy-the-dip scenario in the short term. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is operating in a "break or hold" zone – clear confirmation is needed before following the trend. Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not trading advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure, short-term downside takes control Gold has dropped sharply by more than $20 in a short time, losing over 1% on the day and moving close to the lower 4,030 area. The previous bullish structure has officially been broken, 4040 failed to hold, and today’s focus continues to be selling with the trend until the 4000–398x support zone shows clear reactions. Macro Analysis Gold prices declined as expectations for a December rate cut weakened: JPMorgan no longer forecasts a Fed rate cut in December, opposite to their earlier 25 bps cut scenario. Some institutions still believe rising unemployment and weaker economic data may force the Fed to cut 25 bps at the upcoming meeting. The market is currently pricing the probability of a December rate cut at nearly “50–50,” creating strong uncertainty and putting short-term pressure on gold, even though the metal still benefits in the long term if the rate-cut cycle begins. Technical Analysis H1 – Bearish structure, price channel, and support zones After breaking below 4040, price formed a series of Lower Highs – Lower Lows, confirming a Dow-theory bearish structure on H1. A falling channel is forming; the channel’s upper boundary aligns with the short-term resistance zone at 4050–4060. 4000 zone: a key psychological support. If broken decisively, the medium-term structure may shift into a deeper corrective phase. Buy Zone 3987–3989 Strong support confluence + Fibonacci extensions (1.618/2.272) of the current bearish swing Optimal area for catching a corrective bounce if clear reversal signals appear Key Resistance Levels Today 4052–4054: retest of former support + upper boundary of falling channel → ideal area for a pullback-sell setup. Trading Scenarios Today (LiamTrading) Scenario 1 – SELL with the prevailing downtrend (priority) Entry: 4052–4054 SL: 4060 TP: 4030 → 4015 → 3990 Logic: Price retraces to resistance + channel top, suitable for trend-continuation selling. Prefer setups where M15 shows rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 405x. Scenario 2 – BUY at strong support 398x (counter-trend bounce) Entry: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP: 3999 → 4014 → 4040 → 4080 Logic: 398x is a high-confluence support zone; trigger only when clear price reaction appears (long lower wicks or reversal patterns on M15–H1). This is counter-trend, so use smaller position sizes and take partial profits. Risk Notes & Invalidation H1 closes above 4060: short-term bearish structure weakens → pause all sell setups and reassess. H1 closes below 3980: buy zone fails → downside could extend further; only sell setups preferred. Always keep risk per trade at 0.5–1%, and once reaching +1R, move SL to break-even. Are you leaning towards continuing to sell with the trend, or waiting to buy the dip at 398x? Follow LiamTrading on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure, short-term downside takes control Gold has dropped sharply by more than $20 in a short time, losing over 1% on the day and moving close to the lower 4,030 area. The previous bullish structure has officially been broken, 4040 failed to hold, and today’s focus continues to be selling with the trend until the 4000–398x support zone shows clear reactions. Macro Analysis Gold prices declined as expectations for a December rate cut weakened: JPMorgan no longer forecasts a Fed rate cut in December, opposite to their earlier 25 bps cut scenario. Some institutions still believe rising unemployment and weaker economic data may force the Fed to cut 25 bps at the upcoming meeting. The market is currently pricing the probability of a December rate cut at nearly “50–50,” creating strong uncertainty and putting short-term pressure on gold, even though the metal still benefits in the long term if the rate-cut cycle begins. Technical Analysis H1 – Bearish structure, price channel, and support zones After breaking below 4040, price formed a series of Lower Highs – Lower Lows, confirming a Dow-theory bearish structure on H1. A falling channel is forming; the channel’s upper boundary aligns with the short-term resistance zone at 4050–4060. 4000 zone: a key psychological support. If broken decisively, the medium-term structure may shift into a deeper corrective phase. Buy Zone 3987–3989 Strong support confluence + Fibonacci extensions (1.618/2.272) of the current bearish swing Optimal area for catching a corrective bounce if clear reversal signals appear Key Resistance Levels Today 4052–4054: retest of former support + upper boundary of falling channel → ideal area for a pullback-sell setup. Trading Scenarios Today (LiamTrading) Scenario 1 – SELL with the prevailing downtrend (priority) Entry: 4052–4054 SL: 4060 TP: 4030 → 4015 → 3990 Logic: Price retraces to resistance + channel top, suitable for trend-continuation selling. Prefer setups where M15 shows rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 405x. Scenario 2 – BUY at strong support 398x (counter-trend bounce) Entry: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP: 3999 → 4014 → 4040 → 4080 Logic: 398x is a high-confluence support zone; trigger only when clear price reaction appears (long lower wicks or reversal patterns on M15–H1). This is counter-trend, so use smaller position sizes and take partial profits. Risk Notes & Invalidation H1 closes above 4060: short-term bearish structure weakens → pause all sell setups and reassess. H1 closes below 3980: buy zone fails → downside could extend further; only sell setups preferred. Always keep risk per trade at 0.5–1%, and once reaching +1R, move SL to break-even. Are you leaning towards continuing to sell with the trend, or waiting to buy the dip at 398x? Follow LiamTrading on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD Near Breakdown – Bears Eying Liquidity SweepGold remains under pressure after a stronger-than-expected NFP print reduced near-term Fed rate-cut expectations. The USD stays moderately supported, while weak risk sentiment keeps gold in a cautious, defensive phase. 📊 Technical Snapshot (H1–M30) Price continues to reject the descending trendline and the supply zone 4,054–4,078. Lower highs structure intact → bearish momentum remains dominant. Liquidity pockets sit at 4,013 and especially 3,989, a key downside magnet. Any pullback toward 4,054 is likely just a retest before continuation lower. 🎯 MMF Intraday Plan Primary Bias: SELL – follow the trend Sell 4,054–4,078 SL: 4,090 TP: 4,013 → 3,989 → 3,975 Countertrend BUY (only at deep liquidity): Buy 3,985–3,990 SL: 3,972 TP: 4,013 → 4,054 ⚡️ MMF View As long as price stays below the trendline and lower-high structure, gold remains in distribution. A sweep of the 3,99x liquidity zone is highly likely before any meaningful reversal can form.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 20, 20251. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum is turning upward, suggesting the market may see a mild bullish retracement or continue moving sideways within a narrow range. H4: H4 momentum is also preparing to turn upward. This indicates that today we may see a slight bullish push on the H4 chart, or price may continue to move sideways. H1: H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward, meaning we may see a small corrective bounce or continued sideways movement. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1: Price is currently moving sideways with small candle bodies. Combined with rising momentum, this suggests the market may continue forming a short-range corrective bounce. H4: Our main expectation remains a 5-wave structure for wave Y (purple). Currently, price may be: • Entering the early phase of wave 3, or • Still completing wave 2. 👉 A clear confirmation for wave 3 will only come when price breaks below 4001. At that point, we expect price action to turn fast and steep—characteristics of a true wave 3 decline. H1: I have temporarily labeled the current structure as a bearish wave sequence since our primary bias is a developing red wave 3. In this scenario, price may already be in the early part of wave 3. ❗️If price breaks above the green wave 2 high at 4097, this wave count becomes invalid. It would mean the market is still in red wave 2, and I will update the plan if that happens. ________________________________________ 3. Trade Plan Sell Zone: 4093 – 4096 SL: 4016 TP1: 4000 TP2: 3885 TP3: 3746
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD: Gold's Final Correction Before a Strong Rebound📊 Market Structure – Elliott Wave + SMC Gold has completed impulse wave 1–5 at the peak of 4,207 USD and is entering an Elliott correction phase in the form of ABC . Wave A : bottomed at Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 USD Wave B : retraced upwards, creating consecutive Equal Highs and small BoS but has not broken the larger structure Wave C : is forming, may extend down to the Demand Zone if the price loses 4,030 SMC signals reinforce the scenario of a completed correction: A series of Equal Lows → the market still has liquidity below to "sweep" towards the Demand Zone The area BoS – 4,076 is the decisive structure: if not broken upwards, the correction trend continues The area FVG + Resistance 4,152 USD is the target for a major retracement wave after completing wave C => In summary: the market is in the final phase of correction. Once wave C is completed, gold is likely to rebound strongly in the larger trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones 🔹 Demand Zone – Main BUY area 4,008 – 4,020 USD → Strong Demand confluence + Elliott wave C + liquidity below. → High probability of reversal. 🔹 Reaction Zone – Temporary reaction area 4,030 – 4,040 USD → If the price retraces early but hasn't swept the bottom → the correction may still continue. 🔹 Supply & FVG Zones (Strong resistance) 4,152 – 4,207 USD → Main target of the retracement wave after the ABC pattern is completed. 🎯 Trading Plan – Vincent’s Execution Map 1️⃣ BUY Setup – According to Wave C (top priority) Wait for the price to complete wave C at the Demand Zone: Entry: 4,012 – 4,020 SL: below 3,984 TP1: 4,076 TP2: 4,128 TP3: 4,152 TP4: 4,207 → This is the main setup of the day, confluence of both SMC + Elliott. 2️⃣ BUY Aggressive – Early buy according to Break of Structure If the price breaks BoS 4,076 before reaching Demand: Entry: 4,070 – 4,076 SL: 4,040 TP: 4,128 – 4,152 – 4,207 → Setup for those who want to catch the impulsive wave early. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Small trend (not the main trade) Only enter when the price retraces to Fibo: Entry: 4,092 – 4,106 SL: 4,116 TP: 4,040 → 4,020 → Short-term scalp, aiming to complete wave C. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend still leans towards Bullish Reversal after correction. As long as the price holds Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 , gold can rebound strongly back to the target of 4,152 – 4,207. “Liquidity always shows the way – patience is the real advantage.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 21/11/2025 ✍️ Analyzed by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Gold Adjusts, Awaiting Fibo 4,092 Confirmation📊 Market Structure Gold is moving in the ABC–D–E adjustment pattern after a strong decline from the peak. Current structure: Wave (C) peaks at the 4,128 – 4,130 USD region and strong selling pressure appears. The price then creates a temporary bottom (D) but does not touch the Demand Zone at 4,007 USD, indicating the BUY side still has strength. Currently, the price is in a small upward adjustment phase to form wave (E). Key points: The major trend still leans towards an increase as long as the bottom at 4,007 USD is not broken. The BUY side is looking for a complete structure to continue pushing up to the FVG region. 💎 Key Technical Zones 1. Fibo Retracement Zone — 4,092 USD Confluence region of: Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 Adjustment structure (small wave) → Suitable for light SELL scalp, according to candle reaction signals. 2. FVG Zone — 4,128 – 4,151 USD This is a large FVG region, coinciding with the market's "loss cost." If the price pushes up as expected in wave (E), this is the main SELL region of the day. 3. Supply Zone — 4,207 – 4,210 USD Extremely strong region, if the price breaks the FVG, it will move to this region. This is the extended target for the BUY side if the market rises strongly. 4. Demand Zone — 4,007 – 4,020 USD The strongest liquidity bottom region of the session. If the price breaks 4,092 and does not maintain structure, gold will retest this region before a major increase. 🎯 Trading Plan – According to the current chart 1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Main scenario Wait for the price to retrace to the Fibo 4,092 USD region and observe the reaction: Entry: 4,092 SL: 4,105 TP1: 4,075 TP2: 4,060 TP3: 4,030 (lower FVG) → This is a short-term scalp order, suitable for the current weak market. 2️⃣ SELL Setup – FVG Zone If the price breaks 4,092 and runs up to FVG: Entry: 4,126 – 4,151 SL: 4,160 TP1: 4,092 TP2: 4,060 TP3: 4,030 → This is the best SELL region of the day. 3️⃣ BUY Setup – Demand Zone Only activate if the market drops deeply: Entry: 4,020 – 4,007 SL: 3,995 TP1: 4,060 TP2: 4,092 TP3: 4,128 – 4,151 → Buy according to the major trend when the price reaches the liquidity bottom region. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current market is in a controlled adjustment phase. Priority: ✔ SELL scalp at 4,092 ✔ Beautiful SELL at 4,126–4,151 ✔ BUY only activates when reaching 4,020–4,007 The major trend is still waiting to complete the wave pattern to push up to the Supply Zone 4,207 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Bearish Retracement Into Supply Zones With Potential Sh1. Overall Context The market recently had a strong bearish leg after rejecting the upper resistance zone (labelled HIGH PROB POI). Price is currently retracing upward into a series of supply zones, indicating a potential area for continuation shorts. 2. Key Zones High Probability POI (Supply) This is the upper beige zone. Previously caused a strong sell-off → confirms strong institutional presence. If price pushes this high again, it may offer the most reliable reversal area. Extreme POI The central horizontal zone marked “EXTREME POI”. Current price is tapping into it. Market may react here if sellers decide to re-enter early. 3. Internal Structure A series of labeled SSS (Sell-Side Sweeps) indicate liquidity grabs beneath short-term lows. After sweeping these lows, price retraced upwards, likely moving toward premium territory to fill sell orders. The 80% level marked on the chart seems to be your optimal entry zone within the inefficiency/imbalance. 4. Entry Idea Your marked entry level 4080 sits inside the grey supply block. This aligns with: Prior breakdown zones Fresh supply Retracement to premium pricing Liquidity sweep structure This creates a high-probability short setup, assuming the trend continues downward. 5. Expectation If price respects the first supply zone (grey box), downside continuation should follow.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD: Gold in Downtrend, Waiting for Demand Surge⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/20/2025 🔍 Market Context After the technical rebound at the beginning of the week, gold returns to adjust within the descending channel pattern, indicating that short-term upward momentum is temporarily weakening. The current structure reflects a rebalancing state after the price was rejected at the 4,127 USD supply zone – coinciding with the 30-minute frame Supply Zone. However, the Demand Zone below still plays an important role in maintaining the medium-term upward structure. 📊 Technical Structure Supply Zone (4,127 USD): main resistance area, confluence with the nearest peak – where the price was strongly rejected during the Asian session. OB Bearish (4,106 USD): short-term supply area, highly likely to be retested after completing the adjustment phase. Demand Zone (4,013 USD): main support area in the descending channel, also the confluence point between the channel boundary and the lower liquidity zone. Liquidity Sweep: signal indicating that lower liquidity has been absorbed, opening up the possibility of forming a higher low. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ Price continues to fluctuate within the descending channel, retesting the 4,013 USD Demand Zone. 2️⃣ If a clear price reaction occurs, the market is likely to break the channel, opening up a technical rebound to OB Bearish 4,106 USD or Supply Zone 4,127 USD. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,013 USD area will temporarily invalidate the rebound structure, bringing the price back to a lower balance area around 3,990 USD. 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is in a corrective pullback phase – where the market needs to regenerate liquidity before forming a new expansion wave. A reasonable scenario is sweep – retest – expansion: sweep lower liquidity, retest the supply area, then determine the main trend for the end of the week. Buyers still have a slight advantage as long as the Demand Zone is maintained. 🛡️ Risk Note This is a phase of market liquidity accumulation, fluctuations may be erratic.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
Brian here with the gold outlook for November 20thGood morning everyone, Brian here with the gold outlook for November 20th. The ABC correction phase of gold is nearly complete, and the market is preparing to enter a new wave phase amidst a flurry of USD data today. Fundamental Analysis Today's focus remains on the US labor data: NFP (or revisions), Unemployment Rate, and Initial Jobless Claims. If the data shows a cooling labor market, expectations for the Fed to soon pivot to a rate-cutting cycle will rise, weakening real yields, putting pressure on the USD, and supporting gold prices. Conversely, "too good" data will strengthen the dollar, allowing for a short-term repricing move, potentially dragging gold down to lower liquidity zones before recovering. US session liquidity may be thin before the news release, making it prone to spikes due to algorithms and large flows simultaneously adjusting positions. Overall, the macro backdrop still favors "buying the dip" for gold, but you must accept strong volatility around news time. Technical Analysis On the chart, gold has completed an ABC corrective wave within a descending channel, part of a larger uptrend. The current descending channel only serves as a corrective leg after the previous upward wave; prices are trading above the "mean" area of the bullish structure, indicating the larger market structure remains bullish. Below is the liquidity zone / demand zone 4013–4015, coinciding with the previous low and the lower channel boundary – if there's another stop-hunt to this area, it is still considered an opportunity to join the upward move, as long as 4008 is not breached. Above, the 4086–4100 cluster is the decision zone: breaking and holding above here will confirm exiting the corrective channel, triggering an impulsive leg towards resistances 4132–4146 and further to 4187. In summary, the main bias remains bullish, prioritizing buy strategies at support zones or after breakout confirmation. Key Price Levels Resistance: 4086 – 4100 – 4110 – 4132 – 4146 Support: 4040 – 4030 – 4015 Trading Scenarios Buy Scenario 1 – Continuation Breakout Entry: 4086 SL: 4078 TP: 4100 – 4120 – 4140 Prioritize when price breaks up and retests 4086–4100 as a new support zone, confirming exit from the descending channel. Buy Scenario 2 – Deep Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4015–4013 SL: 4008 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4070 Watch for strong price reactions at the demand zone, with pin bars or engulfing candles signaling order flow returning to buyers. Sell Scenario – Sell Reaction at Strong Resistance Entry: 4144–4146 SL: 4151 TP: 4132 – 4120 – 4100 Short-term sell strategy, leveraging the high supply zone if price rises straight up without sufficient accumulation. The medium-term upside target if the bullish wave develops as expected remains the 4187 area. What do you think of this scenario? Remember to follow Brian for daily gold insights and comment your views below to join the discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed, waiting for confirmation during the European session Overall, gold is in a corrective downtrend after the previous bullish move. On the H1 timeframe, a clear Dow bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows) has formed. However, the support zone around 4,030 and the lower Fibonacci cluster are still potential areas where buying pressure may appear. Today’s European session will be crucial to confirm whether price continues to drop deeper or bounces back, aligning with the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern developing on H4. Macro – Short Fundamental Outlook The minutes from the Fed’s October meeting revealed a strong internal division: One group opposed rate cuts and wanted to maintain current levels. The other group supported cutting rates and even suggested further reductions in December. This lack of consensus shows high uncertainty in monetary policy, encouraging defensive flows to continue favouring gold. In the long run, gold only surges when confidence in the financial system weakens — a gold price peak is not a sign of prosperity but a warning signal. Technical Analysis – H1 (trendline, Fibonacci, liquidity) Price is trading below the short-term descending trendline, confirming that the bearish phase remains active. The 4,082–4,090 zone is an important liquidity zone — repeatedly tested and now acting as near-term resistance. The 4,029–4,031 cluster is a key support area: Overlaps with technical support + Fibonacci retracement. Beginning of the large FVG that extends down to 3,985 (Fibo 1.618 + psychological support). Above current price, the 4,129–4,130 zone is strong resistance. If price breaks and holds above this area, the bearish Dow structure will weaken significantly. Suggested Trading Scenarios BUY Scenario – Buying at Support / Fibonacci Logic: Price holds above the support–Fibonacci zone, showing bottom-fishing demand. Entry BUY: 4,029–4,031 SL: 4,022 TP: 4,040 → 4,065 → 4,090 → 4,120 Only consider buying if price shows strong reaction at 4,029–4,031 (long wick rejection or clear reversal candle on M15–H1). Cancel this BUY plan if H1 closes below 4,022. SELL Scenario – Following the current bearish structure (preferred if trendline remains intact) Logic: Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline and gets rejected. Entry SELL: 4,098–4,100 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,088 → 4,070 → 4,035 → 4,000–3,985 Only sell if price touches 4,098–4,100 with clear rejection (bearish pin bar/engulfing). If H1 closes above 4,105 and breaks the trendline strongly, stop all sell setups and reassess. Key Levels for Scalping 4,082 – 4,060 – 3,985 – 4,129 These levels can be used for quick intraday trades, but reduce position size and take profit fast. Important Notes If price closes firmly above the descending trendline and holds above 4,090–4,100, bias will gradually shift toward BUY setups, as an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming on H4. If the 4,029–4,022 support breaks decisively, gold is likely to drop toward the FVG and Fibonacci 1.618 zone around 3,985. What scenario are you leaning toward for gold today — a pullback for another sell, or holding the bottom for a rebound? Leave your view in the comments and follow LiamTrading for daily XAUUSD updates on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
OVERVIEW MARKET CHART M30 11/201. Current Context Gold is trading around 4,071, sitting right above the 4,068–4,071 intraday support zone. Price recently tapped the descending trendline and got rejected, showing short-term selling pressure. However, the broader structure still remains in a wide sideways range, not a strong downtrend yet. Stronger demand zones sit lower at 4,041 and 4,009. ⸻ 2. Price Action at 4,071 Currently gold is: • Retesting 4,068–4,071 support • Showing lower wicks → light buying pressure • Still trading below M30/H1 downtrend line This suggests the probability of sideways movement – accumulation – or a small bullish retest is high. 📌 If 4,068 breaks → price may head to 4,056 and then 4,041 📌 If 4,071 holds → price may bounce toward 4,077–4,080, possibly 4,085 ⸻ 3. Conclusion (Real-Time) 👉 No BUY yet – wait for confirmation at 4,071 👉 No SELL yet – only sell if price closes below 4,068 👉 Low volatility – prioritize safety
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
XAU/USD – Inverse H&S Forming, Gold Eyes Bullish Reversal🔍 Market Context Early today, Gold dropped nearly 70 points, but immediately rebounded strongly from 4040, signaling aggressive BUY interest and a clear rejection of downside continuation. On the H2 chart, XAU/USD is shaping a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern — a classic reversal structure that often precedes a strong bullish expansion. The macro layer for today is packed with high-impact catalysts: 📌 Key Data & Events – 20 Nov Speech by U.S. President Donald Trump Barkin (2027 FOMC voter) speaks on economic outlook Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting Minutes Williams (permanent FOMC voter) speech U.S. Unemployment Rate Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Initial Jobless Claims ➡️ A heavy news lineup capable of triggering high volatility and validating (or rejecting) the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis – MMF View Gold bounced sharply from BUY ZONE 4044–4046 with strong volume. The market structure is creating a complete Inverse H&S formation. The Neckline Zone 4101–4111 is the key breakout level — clearing this zone opens the door for a full bullish reversal. Trendline compression + liquidity sweeps show buyers gaining control. Strategy for today: BUY bias. SELL only for quick scalps. 🎯 MMF Daily Trading Plan BUY (Priority Setup – Swing / Intraday) Buy 4046–4048 SL: 4039 TP: 4060 → 4085 → 4100 → 4125 ✔️ BUY aligns with the reversal pattern + fresh liquidity shift. SELL (Scalping Only) Sell 4146–4148 SL: 4154 TP: 4132 → 4120 → 4110 ✔️ SELL only if price taps liquidity at upper supply and rejects clearly. ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch 4101 – 4111 – 4142 → liquidity clusters + breakout confirmation 4029 → major support in case volatility spikes from news 🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Outlook If Gold holds its corrective pullback and breaks above the Neckline (4101–4111), we may see a strong continuation toward: 4146 → 4187 → 4210+ The Inverse H&S on H2 is a powerful bullish setup — smart positioning favors building long exposure and holding into high-impact events.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines: Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes. This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones. Key implications from the news: • The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations. • Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside. • Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers. • Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists. Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence. • Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster). → Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4145 – 4147 • Stop-Loss: 4155 • Take-Profit: → 4085 (minor imbalance) → 4045 (range midpoint) → 4004 – 4002 (discount demand) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4004 – 4002 • Stop-Loss: 3997 • Take-Profit: → 4040 (short-term range high) → 4075 (inefficiency fill) → 4140 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations. • Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs. • Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves. • Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken. 📝 Summary Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply. SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges: • Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation) Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE ...💛 XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE TO PRIORITISE BUY SETUPS 🎯 🌤 1. Overview – Today’s Market Picture Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬 During the Asian session this morning, gold completed the right shoulder of a very clear Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the H3/H4 timeframe. Those who bought following the previous setup are now in a favourable position, and in my view, this is still a good time to hold Buy positions and prepare for additional entries once the market confirms the trend. On the macro side, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25bp in December has dropped to around 30–33%, while the likelihood of keeping rates unchanged remains dominant. This means the USD is not weak enough to push gold sharply higher, but also not strong enough to suppress it—creating a volatile range-bound environment, which is ideal for technical-pattern trading. 💹 2. Technical Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders & Market Structure The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern has formed quite cleanly: Left shoulder → Head → Right shoulder, all supported by the long-term ascending trendline. The demand zone around 4040–4050 is acting as a liquidity box supporting the entire structure. The neckline is currently around 4089–4090: Once price breaks above and closes above 4089, we can consider a confirmed bullish trend. After the breakout, gold may extend toward 4145 → 4200, which aligns with higher liquidity zones + upper FVGs. Zone 4130–4132: A major liquidity cluster—where many take-profit orders & short-term sell orders may appear. If this zone is broken decisively, price may accelerate quickly toward 4200. Zone 4040: This is both the bottom of the pattern and a key support. The bullish structure fails if gold closes below 4040 on H4, which would invalidate the Inverse H&S pattern. Overall, price is currently compressing right below the neckline, and just one strong breakout could trigger the next bullish wave. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan (For Study Purposes Only) 💖 Primary BUY Scenario – Following the Pattern 1️⃣ Buy on retracement to support Entry: 4060–4063 SL: 4055 TP: 4088 → 4108 → 4130 → 4143 → 4200 2️⃣ Buy the neckline breakout Condition: Price breaks the descending trendline & neckline, and closes above 4089. Entry: around 4089–4092 SL: 4080 TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200 💢 Notes on SELL Setups Selling now is counter-trend against the pattern and not the priority. Consider only short-term sells if: Price reacts strongly at 4132–4145, and Clear bearish signals appear on M15–M30 (pin bar, bearish engulfing, rising sell volume). ⚠️ 4. Fundamental Factors to Watch High probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged → market may stay flat before data releases, then spike in volatility. Gold remains sensitive to data: employment, inflation, and speeches from Fed officials. 🌷 In summary The Inverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD supports the bullish scenario as long as price stays above 4040 💛 Strategy: Prioritise Buy setups: first at 4060–4063, then on the breakout above 4089. Watch the 4132–4145 zone closely—if broken, the move toward 4200 becomes highly probable. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold Recovers, Targeting FVG & Liquidity Zone 4.20x📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a deep decline from the 4,20x zone and continuously created bearish BoS, indicating sellers controlled the period from 14–18/11. However, a significant sign appeared when: Price created an Order Block at 4,008 USD Then surged to create a Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe The market maintained higher lows on the intraday structure This indicates that selling momentum has weakened, and buyers are starting to rebuild a short-term bullish structure. Currently, the price is approaching the Supply & Resistance zone at 4,086 USD – the zone confirming the strength of the BUY side. If the price decisively breaks this zone, the next targets are clear: FVG 4,150 USD Liquidity Zone 4,202 USD – where old peak liquidity is concentrated 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block: 4,000 – 4,009 USD → the main reversal zone of the current rally • Supply & Resistance: 4,078 – 4,086 USD → trend confirmation point • FVG Zone: 4,132 – 4,150 USD → zone where a corrective reaction may occur • Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,195 – 4,205 USD → target of large capital flows 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY according to structure 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following Activated when price breaks and retests the 4,086 USD zone: Entry: 4,086 – 4,090 SL: 4,058 TP1: 4,132 TP2: 4,150 TP3: 4,202 → This is the highest probability setup: a new uptrend is forming + retesting the invalidated supply zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup 2 – Deep Retracement (safer) If the price is rejected at 4,086 and returns to test the lower zone: Entry: 4,050 – 4,058 (Premium Zone on chart) SL: 4,028 TP: 4,086 → 4,132 → 4,150 → This setup offers a higher R:R, suitable for patient traders. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – For intraday only If the price hits FVG 4,150 and shows strong rejection signals: Entry: 4,148–4,150 SL: 4,160 TP: 4,130 → 4,100 → Not for swing traders. This is merely a technical reaction at the FVG zone. 🧠 Vincent’s View The main trend of the day leans towards recovery – expanding towards upper liquidity. As long as the price remains above 4,008 USD, the BUY side will continue to lead the market. “Follow the structure, follow the liquidity — the market never lies.” ⚜️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 19/11/2025 1. Momentum • D1: Daily momentum has started to reverse. If today’s D1 candle closes bullish, the reversal will be confirmed, and we can expect an upward move in the coming days. • H4: H4 momentum has already reversed from the oversold zone. This suggests price may either pull back slightly or move sideways in the short term. • H1: H1 momentum is turning upward, indicating that price may produce a short-term rise or continue moving sideways with a mild bullish bias. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • D1 Structure: Price is currently inside the purple Y wave. After the recent decline and with momentum preparing to reverse, a bullish correction is likely. This upcoming move could be: • Wave 2 of the larger 5-wave purple structure, or • A new bullish trend if price breaks the previous high when D1 momentum reaches the overbought zone. • H4 Structure: A 5-wave green structure has completed. Therefore, a corrective move is expected — either: • A 3-wave ABC correction for wave 2, or • A new impulsive 5-wave structure if this marks the beginning of a new uptrend. If price rises slowly with overlapping waves, we lean toward a 3-wave correction. If price rises decisively with minimal overlap, we lean toward an impulsive 5-wave structure. • H1 Structure: The 5-wave green pattern is clear. The current upward correction shows strong wave overlap — a sign of an ABC corrective move. This scenario is reinforced if price continues to move slowly and sideways with mild upward bias. Price is now inside a large liquidity zone at 4046 – 4096. Sideways movement is expected here; if H1 candles compress tightly, avoid long-term trades and focus on short take-profit exits. ________________________________________ 3. ABC Correction Target I continue to expect the corrective ABC wave to complete at 4145, which is our ideal sell zone. If ABC finishes at 4145 and price reverses strongly: • We will likely enter wave 3 of the purple Y wave • This decline will be fast, sharp, and decisive • Once wave 3 is confirmed, we can hold sell positions longer for extended profits ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 🔻 Sell Zone: 4145 – 4147 🛑 Stop Loss: 4165 🎯 Take Profit Targets: • TP1: 4096 • TP2: 3897 • TP3: 3746
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX