XAU/USD – Gold Eyes 4,100$ as Safe-Haven Demand Holds Firm🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to attract buyers for the second consecutive day, as renewed safe-haven demand supports a modest recovery from last week’s lows near 3,890$.
While the Fed’s hawkish stance keeps the Dollar firm, concerns over a prolonged US government shutdown and weaker macro sentiment have limited further USD gains — allowing gold to stabilize above the 3,970–3,990$ zone.
Still, with mixed fundamentals in play, traders remain cautious ahead of next week’s US data releases and policy speeches.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Gold has successfully broken its short-term downtrend, reclaiming momentum from the 3,933–3,973$ liquidity zone.
Price is now consolidating below the psychological 4,000$ handle, forming a clean breakout–retest structure.
Key Levels:
• Immediate Support: 3,973$ – 3,933$ (Breakout & Retest Zone)
• Resistance 1: 4,035$ – 4,050$
• Resistance 2 / Target: 4,114$ – 4,127$ (Fibo 1.618 extension)
• Extended Bull Target: 4,148$+ if momentum sustains
Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,930$ would invalidate the bullish scenario and re-open short-term downside liquidity toward 3,890$.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold holds the breakout above 3,970$, the bias remains bullish —
buyers may continue driving price toward 4,100$+, aligned with fib extensions and prior supply structure.
However, any hawkish narrative from Fed speakers could trigger intraday pullbacks before continuation.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Smart money never rushes the breakout — it builds conviction where liquidity confirms direction.”
Xauusdanalysis
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Outlook $5,000 USD and Priority BUY... LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Outlook $5,000 USD and Priority BUY Strategy at POC $3973
Hello traders community,
Gold is positioned between an extremely optimistic long-term outlook (forecast $5,000 USD in the next 12-18 months by Bank of America) and short-term technical adjustments.
Although Gold has broken the upward trendline, a sustainable downward trend has not been confirmed.
BUY positions are still prioritised!
🔥 LONG-TERM CONTEXT & INFLATION
Long-Term Push: Gold prices adjusted for inflation have DOUBLED in the past 4 years.
Highlight: Gold reinforces its role as an anti-inflation asset as real prices soar to all-time highs.
📊 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
Strategy: Buy at POC Zone to leverage liquidity advantage.
🟢 BUY Scenario (BUY Primary) - Buy at High Value Zone
Logic: The $3973 - 3975$ zone is right above the Buy POC (highest value zone).
Entry (BUY): $3973 - 3975$
SL: $3968$
TP1: $3988$ | TP2: $4000
Buy Up Target 2: Buy when price retests the trendline around $4002$.
🔴 SELL Scenario (SELL Scalping) - Preemptive strike at resistance zone
Entry (SELL): $4032 - 4034$
SL: $4040$
TP1: $4022$ | TP2: $4015
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note)With the $5,000 USD forecast and inflation factors, the risk of SELL is increasing.
Focus on BUY at POC $3973$ and absolute SL.
Trade responsibly and with discipline!
XAU/USD — Rejection Expected from Resistance Zone for Bearish CoCurrent Price: $4,005
Resistance Zone: $4,020 – $4,040
Gold is approaching a strong resistance area that previously triggered a pullback.
Trend Structure:
The market is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, but momentum shows signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary.
Key Observation:
A false breakout or rejection at the resistance could initiate a downward correction.
Bearish Signal Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell): $4,015 – $4,035 (look for rejection candles or bearish engulfing near resistance)
Target 1: $3,960
Target 2 (Main Target): $3,913
Stop Loss: $4,045 above resistance zone EUREX:FDAX1! ICEEUR:RC1! ICEEUR:BRN1! ICEEUR:WBS1! EUREX:FESX1! EUREX:FGBL1! EUREX:FDXM1!
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5
Confirmation:
Wait for bearish confirmation candle on 15M or 30M timeframe.
Break below $3,980 will strengthen bearish momentum toward target.
Signal Summary (📉 Sell Setup):
Direction Entry TP1 TP2 SL ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:W1! EUREX:FGBM1! EUREX:FGBS1! EUREX:FGBS1! ICEEUR:GWM1! EUREX:FXXP1! EUREX:DOWF1! ICEEUR:XZ1!
🔻 SELL 4,015 – 4,035 3,960 3,913 4,045
🇺🇸 IMPACT OF FED AFTER FOMC DECISION🇺🇸 IMPACT OF FED AFTER FOMC DECISION
Hello traders,
The latest Federal Reserve rate decision shook global markets — pushing Gold (XAUUSD) and Bitcoin lower while the US Dollar strengthened sharply.
The Fed cut interest rates for the second time this year, bringing them down to 3.75%–4%, but the announcement to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) by 1st Dec 2025 was the real game changer.
This is the moment to stay calm, read the market structure, and act according to your plan.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS – THE FED’S DOUBLE IMPACT
Rate Cut (Normally Bullish for Gold):
The second rate cut should, in theory, support Gold prices. However, much of this was already priced in before the announcement.
QT Ending (USD Strength Booster):
Ending QT signals that the Fed is trying to rebalance its monetary stance. This boosted the US Dollar Index (DXY), putting heavy selling pressure on both Gold and BTC.
Market Reaction:
Gold saw a sharp drop right after the announcement, then moved sideways in a wide range. During today’s Asian session, Gold fluctuated nearly $70 before retracing slightly.
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – WIDE RANGE, BUILDING BULLISH STRUCTURE
Looking at the current XAUUSD market structure:
Structure: Gold is currently consolidating in a wide range. However, a bullish structure seems to be forming with higher lows — a sustainable Dow-style uptrend pattern.
Trading Plan: Stay flexible and trade both sides —
🔴 Sell (Short) near liquidity resistance zones.
🟢 Buy (Long) from deep liquidity supports.
🎯 TRADING ACTION PLAN
🔴 SELL CONTINUATION – Short from Resistance
Entry Zone: 4005
Stop Loss: 4013
Targets:
TP1: 3990
TP2: 3975
TP3: 3960
TP4: 3943
🟢 BUY RECOVERY – Long from Support
Entry Zone: 3907–3909
Stop Loss: 3902
Targets:
TP1: 3933
TP2: 3954
TP3: 3970
TP4: 3999
⚖️ FINAL THOUGHTS
The Fed’s decision has reshaped the short-term outlook.
A $70 volatility range shows Gold’s high liquidity — but also high risk.
📌 LiamTrading’s Note:
A strong bullish structure is building up on the lower timeframes. Patience is key — wait for the ideal Buy zone near 3907 to catch the next recovery leg.
Always maintain strict risk and capital management, especially during post-FOMC volatility.
Are you ready to ride this 70-dollar range?
👉 Tap LIKE 👍 and COMMENT your setup!
StevenTrading - XAUUSD: OUTLOOK FOR 30 OCT...StevenTrading - XAUUSD: OUTLOOK FOR 30 OCT – NEW BULLISH CYCLE AT $3942$
Hello traders,
Gold is gaining traction as the USD weakens and safe-haven demand returns.
We believe Gold has completed its Elliott Wave ABC correction and is now beginning a new bullish cycle.
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
Recent rate-cut news hasn’t changed Gold’s structure much immediately, but overall market sentiment is shifting toward looking for bullish confirmation.
🎯 DETAILED ACTION PLAN
🟢 PRIORITY BUY – Starting the New Bullish Wave
This is the main scenario, based on the view that Gold has finished its corrective phase and is now seeking a strong support zone for an upward move.
Logic Entry:
The $3942 - 3944$ range lies just above $3938$ (Support) and aligns perfectly with a potential Buy Zone on the chart.
Entry: $3942 - 3944$
Stop Loss (SL): $3935$ (tight SL below key technical support)
Take Profit (TP1/TP2): $3966$ | $3980$ (short-term swing targets)
🔴 SELL SCALPING – Testing Short-Term Resistance
This setup is for quick scalping trades when Gold retests the psychological resistance zone near $4000$.
Logic Entry:
The $4003 - 4005$ range is just below the $4017$ resistance.
This offers a short-term selling opportunity before a confirmed breakout of the bullish structure.
Entry: $4003 - 4005$
Stop Loss (SL): $4010$
Take Profit (TP1/TP2): $3989$ | $3970$
⚙️ Core Watch Levels
Resistance: $4017$
Support: $3938$
💡 Pro Tip: Focus on Buy setups around the $3942 liquidity zone to catch the early stage of the new bullish cycle. Strict stop-loss discipline is a must!
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand.
Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion.
However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps.
• Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply).
• Short-Term Targets:
– 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.
– 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension.
• Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility.
Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound.
⚜️ Summary
This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset.
The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment.
Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context
Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout.
Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand.
At the moment, price is reacting within the FVG 3,942–3,979 USD area, staying below the descending trendline.
If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return.
💎 Key Technical Levels
• Bearish Order Block: 4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline.
• FVG Zone 1: 3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area.
• FVG Zone 2: 3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside.
• Bullish Order Block: 3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone
• Entry: 4,012 – 4,022 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,035 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,979
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,900
– TP4: 3,882
– TP5: 3,789
✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow.
2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone
• Entry: 3,882 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,865 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,910
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,979
– TP4: 4,012
– TP5: 4,022
✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB.
💬 Summary
Current structure remains short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced.
The most efficient approach is to sell near premium zones (4,022) and buy back near discount (3,882) .
Expected range in the next 24–48 hours: 3,880–4,020 USD .
💡 Tagline:
“Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 30/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
GOLD | Is This the FINAL Short Setup Before the Next Move? Welcome Traders!
Forget the noise — focus on structure and sentiment. Gold is holding firm near $3,950, but the macro backdrop just got tighter.
The question now: Can demand strength beat Powell’s new hawkish tone?
1. Market Insight – Powell vs. Demand
Two forces are pulling Gold in opposite directions:
🐻 Bearish Catalyst:
Powell hinted that another rate cut in December is unlikely, and the Fed plans to continue balance sheet reduction — strengthening the USD and weighing on non-yielding assets like Gold.
🐂 Bullish Support:
Persistent central bank demand and ETF inflows continue to provide a safety net, tightening overall Gold supply.
🎯 Outlook:
Expect sideways compression before a potential breakout. We’re stalking the strategic Sell Zone to align with the bearish fundamentals.
📊 2. Structure Check – Where Bears Wait
The market is approaching a major confluence zone:
SELL LIMIT Zone: $4,057 — intersection of the descending trendline and key horizontal resistance.
Immediate Support: $4,005 — target for the first leg down.
3. Action Plan – The Short Sniper Setup
Entry: SELL LIMIT $4,057
Stop-Loss: just above the descending trendline
TP1: $4,005 (short-term support retest)
Extended Target: $3,938 if breakdown accelerat
Powell’s hawkish tone is clear — but will bears finally take control from $4,057$, or will central bank demand defend the rally?
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | October 30, 2025
1️⃣ Momentum
• D1 Timeframe:
D1 momentum remains entangled. Yesterday’s daily candle closed at its lowest point, rejecting all intraday bullish attempts. However, it has not yet broken the previous candle’s low — this suggests that the bearish trend is still intact, though weakening, and a potential reversal could occur within the next 1–2 days.
• H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is approaching the oversold zone, indicating a possible short-term recovery lasting around 4–5 H4 candles.
• H1 Timeframe:
The price is currently either consolidating or continuing its short-term decline.
If it continues to cling to the 3927 liquidity zone, a further breakdown is likely.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Wave Structure
• D1 Timeframe:
Price is now sitting near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3) in yellow — a typical correction level for wave (4).
Therefore, if the decline continues or the correction extends, it’s highly probable that we are in wave (4) of the yellow count, and the current drop is only the first sub-wave of this corrective phase.
• H4 Timeframe:
Currently, price is around the 0.872 extension of wave (3) in purple, which is not ideal for a completed wave (4).
When combining the D1 and H4 structures, both indicate that the market is likely forming a corrective wave (4) in yellow, and a recovery move may soon appear as D1 momentum begins to turn upward.
👉 If this scenario is confirmed:
o If price breaks above the previous wave (3) high (around 4400), it would confirm the start of a new impulsive wave upward.
o If price rises slowly and the highest target only reaches around 4400 before turning down again → this move is likely part of the corrective wave (4) before another bearish leg resumes.
• H1 Timeframe:
The current formation suggests a potential double zigzag structure.
To confirm this setup, price needs to break below 3892. This is a strong liquidity zone, so if price reaches it, a temporary bounce could occur.
Key liquidity zones above to watch: 3927 – 3953 – 3995.
If price fails to break above the previous red wave X, these zones may act as strong resistance levels, pushing the market lower again.
Target areas for the red wave Y are:
o 3814
o 3786
________________________________________
3️⃣ Trade Plan
Scenario 1:
• Buy Zone: 3815 – 3813
• SL: 3804
• TP1: 3892
Scenario 2:
• Buy Zone: 3787 – 3785
• SL: 3776
• TP1: 3892
________________________________________
📌 Summary:
D1 momentum is weakening and nearing the oversold zone → a potential bullish rebound could develop in the coming sessions.
The 3815 – 3785 area remains a key buy zone, while 3927 – 3995 should be closely monitored as resistance levels to confirm the next directional move.
Gold Rebounds Toward OB, but Deeper Correction May Follow🔍 Market Context
After forming a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the Order Block 4,012 USD — aligning with a small Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge.
This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup.
If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools.
💎 Key Technical Structure
BoS (bearish): confirms a break below prior bullish structure.
Order Block (OB): 4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG.
FVG zone: 3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone.
Supply Zone: 3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept.
Liquidity Zone: 3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD
Entry: 4,010 – 4,020
SL: 4,035
Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15).
➡️ Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD
Entry: 3,850 – 3,860
SL: 3,830
TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1).
➡️ Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD.
BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone.
Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise.
💬 Conclusion
Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure.
As long as price stays below 4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails.
Next major target: 3,891 – 3,851 USD .
👉 Strategic Plan:
Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯
Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯
💎 Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth.
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 29/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
technical analysis for your XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart:XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – 29 Oct 2025
Market Structure
The previous descending channel has been broken to the upside, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Price retraced back to a support level zone (≈ $3,920 – $3,940), where buyers are likely to defend.
Key Levels
Support Zone: 3,920 – 3,940
→ Price already tested this area with strong rejection wicks, showing buyer interest.
Resistance Zone: 3,980 – 4,020
→ Short-term resistance; a breakout above 4,020 confirms bullish momentum.
Target Level: 4,142
→ As marked on your chart, this is the projected bullish target after confirmation of upward continuation.
Price Action
After a downward correction, gold found support and formed a double-bottom-type pattern near the 3,940 level.
Price is currently consolidating above support, signaling potential accumulation before an upward push.
Momentum Outlook
If price holds above 3,940, expect a move towards 4,000 → 4,020, followed by a breakout to 4,142 (target).
However, if 3,920 support breaks, the price may retest 3,880–3,860, resuming short-term bearish momentum.
📈 Trading Bias
Bullish bias above 3,940 (target 4,142).
Bearish only below 3,920 (target 3,860). EURONEXT:NH7X2025 EURONEXT:PE6X2025 EURONEXT:PE7X2025 EURONEXT:A57X2025 EURONEXT:AJ7X2025 EURONEXT:AJ7X2025 EURONEXT:B16X2025 EURONEXT:B17X2025 EURONEXT:BC6X2025 EURONEXT:BC7X2025 EURONEXT:BC8Z2025 EURONEXT:FE6X2025 EURONEXT:MH7X2025
Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview
After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, showing caution as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid easing U.S.–China trade tensions.
Currently, the price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating below the psychological $4,000 mark.
💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15)
Gold continues trading in a short-term ascending channel, showing a corrective recovery inside a larger downtrend.
Immediate Support Zones:
• 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone
• 3,918 → Structural invalidation area
Resistance & Key Reaction Levels:
• 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term resistance
• 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence)
📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085–4,102.
📍If it rejects near 4,094–4,102, a correction toward 3,961–3,937 is likely.
🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead
Markets expect a 25bps rate cut. A hawkish tone from Powell may pressure Gold, while a dovish one could send it above $4,100.
🧭 Summary
Gold keeps a short-term bullish bias but remains fragile ahead of FOMC.
Expect volatility around 4,000–4,100; key reactions near 4,094–4,102 will decide the next move.
🛡 Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity.
GOLD (XAU/USD) — Calm Before the FOMC Storm Gold is currently consolidating above $3,950, signaling a pause in volatility as traders await the FOMC decision for the next directional move.
1️⃣ Macro Outlook & Core Bias – FOMC in Focus 🔑
Market Pause: After rebounding during the Asian session, Gold’s upside momentum remains limited. Market participants are cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy update.
Headwinds: Renewed optimism on US–China trade and a slightly stronger USD are capping Gold’s advances.
Game Plan: Stay tactical — identify scalp zones and prepare for a major breakout once the FOMC event unfolds.
2️⃣ Technical Setup – Descending Channel in Play 📉
Structure: Price action is holding above $3,950, but movement remains confined within a descending channel/flag.
Bias: Short-term demand persists, yet the broader structure still favors bears.
Preferred Setup: Watch for BUY scalps from lower demand zones toward the Fibo/channel resistance area.
3️⃣ Trading Plan – Precision & Patience 💰
🟩 BUY Scenario (Long Scalp)
Buy Zone: $3,939.468
Strategy: Look for long scalps targeting the Fibo 0.5 resistance.
Stop-Loss: Tight SL just below the $3,939 level.
🟥 SELL Scenario (Short Setup)
Scalp Sell Zone: $4,015.646 (Fibo 0.5)
→ Short scalps targeting a retest of the channel midline.
Main Sell Zone: $4,046.448 (Fibo 0.618 / Channel Ceiling)
→ Ideal entry for a continuation short, aligning with the overall bearish channel.
4️⃣ Trader’s Take 🚀
The FOMC decision will set the tone —
Are you eyeing a bounce from $3,939, or waiting for the $4,046 rejection to ride the next wave down?
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks.
The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD.
However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish.
The break below the ₹4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame.
Immediate resistance: ₹3,985 – ₹4,000 (former support, now supply zone).
Target zones:
• Short-term liquidity area near ₹3,925–₹3,930
• Extended target sits around ₹3,880–₹3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618.
Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above ₹4,020–₹4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the broken ₹4,000 zone and fails to regain it,
expect sellers to extend control toward ₹3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting.
That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside.
⚜️ Summary
Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural.
The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment,
and liquidity below ₹3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound.
Watch the reaction near ₹3,920–₹3,880 —
that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.
StevenTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias StrategyStevenTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias Strategy - Anticipating Wave 5 and Trendline Test at $3935
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with a detailed Gold analysis!
Gold is currently consolidating above the $3.950 mark, eagerly awaiting the FOMC interest rate decision for new momentum. Structurally, we anticipate Gold to follow the 5-wave structure of Elliot Wave Theory at this juncture. The Buy (Long) strategy remains the primary focus in the medium term, concentrating on a trendline retest for entry.
1. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTAL FLOW
The Gold market is governed by anticipation:
Current Status: Gold is trading sideways above $3.950. Traders are keenly awaiting further signals regarding the Fed's future path for rate cuts.
Psychological Barrier: Gold needs to convincingly break the $4.000 psychological mark to solidify the case for a sustained rally. This hinges entirely on the outcome of the FOMC decision.
2. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: ELLIOTT WAVE SCENARIO
Based on the H1 chart analysis (referencing image_fa2a75.png):
Wave Structure: Gold appears to be in the consolidation phase after waves 3 and 4. The next step is the potential formation of Wave 5, aiming to complete the cycle or confirm a new bullish trend.
Ideal Buy Zone (High-Prob): The $3935 - 3937 zone is a crucial confluence. This area aligns perfectly with the "Buy test trendline" zone (see chart) and offers strong support to initiate the potential next bullish wave.
Scalping Sell Zone: The nearest resistance and potential short-term selling area is the Sell entry Liquidity zone around $4058 - 4060.
3. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
The primary focus is the Buy Continuation trade aligned with the expected mid-term correction.
🟢 Primary BUY Scenario (BUY Primary)
Entry Zone (Buy): $3935 - 3937
Stop Loss (SL): $3929 (Maintain tight SL)
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3955 | TP2: $3978 | TP3: $3995 | TP4: $4022 | TP5: $4055
🔴 SELL Scalping/Hedge Scenario (SELL Secondary)
Entry Zone (Sell): $4058 - 4060
Stop Loss (SL): $4066
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $4045 | TP2: $4022 | TP3: $4005 | TP4: $3968
4. 🧠 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)
Gold is at a decisive point before the FOMC. The buying scenario is favoured, but discipline must be absolute.
GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus)
Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup!
🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC
Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish.
Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally.
Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30).
🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES
🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$).
Strategy: BUY on confirmation here.
TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance).
TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance).
SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone.
Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC | Focus on Buying the Retracement near $3914
Hello Traders,
After a strong sell-off, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing early signs of recovery, building a minor upward structure.
We continue to focus on buying the pullback, viewing this move as a short-term correction within the broader downtrend.
Expect higher volatility as the FOMC decision approaches.
📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTALS
The market is holding steady ahead of the FED announcement:
🟢 Technical Recovery:
Gold reversed part of its decline during the Asian session, bouncing slightly from a 3-week low as traders await the FOMC rate decision.
🔴 Headwinds:
However, optimism around US-China trade talks and a stronger USD continue to limit the upside momentum.
📊 TECHNICAL VIEW & TRADING PLAN
We are focusing on high-probability liquidity zones for both long and short opportunities:
🟢 Primary BUY Setup (Retracement Buy)
Looking for a retest of the key buy-side liquidity zone to trigger the next recovery wave.
Entry Zone (Buy): $3914
Stop Loss: $3906 (Tight SL recommended)
Take Profit: TP1 $3933 | TP2 $3956
🔴 SELL Setup (Retest / Short-Term Scalping)
Using the broken trend area for short opportunities.
Entry Zone (Sell): $4048
Stop Loss: $4056
Take Profit: TP1 $4035 | TP2 $4022
🧭 SUMMARY & TRADER’S NOTE
Gold is now in a decision zone — volatility will spike around FOMC.
Trade with discipline:
✅ Enter only at confirmed liquidity zones.
✅ Always respect your Stop Loss.
✅ Manage your capital carefully before the news release.
Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined session!
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 29, 2025)
Momentum
• D1: Momentum remains compressed, but yesterday’s candle closed with a long lower wick — a clear sign of weakening downside pressure. A bullish daily close today would confirm a potential D1 reversal.
• H4: Momentum is preparing to turn down from the overbought zone, yet the current upward move is still weak. We need to monitor whether price can hold above the previous low once H4 momentum drops toward oversold.
• H1: Momentum is falling, but price is supported around 3953 and capped near 3994.
As long as price holds above 3927 and avoids breaking 3892, the next H4 oversold phase could confirm a stronger upside structure.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1: The current decline equals 0.382 retracement of wave (3) yellow, a key Fibonacci level.
• H4: Wave (4) purple has already retraced 0.782 of wave (3) — unusually deep for a normal 4th wave (which typically stops around 0.382–0.5).
This suggests the ongoing correction may represent wave (4) yellow on the D1 timeframe.
If true, the market could now be forming wave W of a larger W–X–Y structure, meaning the upcoming recovery might only be a slow, overlapping X wave before another decline.
• H1: The 5-wave black structure seems completed.
A break above 3995, followed by a test of 4050, would confirm the end of wave (5) black and the start of a corrective move upward.
________________________________________
Summary
Price volatility is still high — avoid limit orders for now and watch how price reacts at key zones.
• 🔹 Support: 3953 – 3927 – 3892
• 🔹 Resistance: 3994 – 4050
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context
After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone .
If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD .
💎 Key Technical Structure
Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH).
Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance.
Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone.
Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone
Entry: 4,010 – 4,015
SL: 4,025
Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open
➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions.
2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone
Entry: 4,043 – 4,060
SL: 4,065
Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open
➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4.
3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD
Entry: 3,945 – 3,950
SL: 3,965
TP: 3,884
➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone.
4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD
Entry: 3,900
SL: 3,880
TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open
✅ Condition:
Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1).
➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range.
Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1).
If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support.
The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom.
👉 Comprehensive Strategy:
Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯
Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯
Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯
🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 28/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAUUSD SELL TRADE | WILL 4150 ACT AS A BARRIER?Yesterday, Gold experienced a significant sell-off after breaking below our previously identified positional sell level at 4185, triggering a sharp decline down to 4004.
Currently, Gold is showing signs of a retracement. The 4150 level is now acting as a strong resistance.
Trade Idea:
Sell Gold near 4150
Stop Loss: 4157.6
Target Levels: 4121, 4111, and 4101
Note: Monitor price action around these levels closely and manage risk accordingly.
Do you agree with this bearish outlook?
👍 Like if you’re ready to short!
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Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Gold Breaks Key Support Zone — Bearish Momentum Builds Below $4,Analysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) 45-minute chart shows a clear breakdown below the established support zone, indicating a shift in market sentiment from consolidation to bearish momentum.
The support zone around $4,050 – $4,000 had previously held multiple times, acting as a strong demand area.
The recent breakout below this zone confirms a potential trend continuation to the downside.
Price action suggests a bearish pattern with lower highs and lower lows forming before the breakout.
A retest of the broken support (now resistance) may occur before the next leg lower.
The next major target lies near $3,900 – $3,850, aligning with the projected measured move.
Technical Outlook:
If gold fails to reclaim the $4,050 level, further downside pressure remains likely. However, a close back above this level could invalidate the bearish breakout and signal a possible false break.
Steven Trading - XAUUSD: Stay Close to the Descending ChannelSteven Trading - XAUUSD: Stay Close to the Descending Channel, Clear SELL/BUY Opportunities Ahead of the FED 🎯
Welcome, everyone, Steven Trading is back with a detailed Gold (XAU/USD) strategy for the start of the week!
Currently, Gold is trading steadily within a clearly established descending channel on smaller time frames. Our task is to stay close to the channel to look for Sell signals at resistance zones and Buy signals reacting at key support areas.
1. 📊 IN-DEPTH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Steven's TA)
Based on M30/H1 analysis (refer to images):
Main Trend: Gold is in a descending channel, closely following sell signals. Lower Highs and Lower Lows are continuously being formed.
Important SELL Zone: The 38.2% Fibo level at $3973 is acting as a crucial resistance. This is a technical confluence zone to closely monitor for executing trend-following Sell orders.
Ideal BUY Zone: A strong and potential support area to catch reaction waves is around $3890 - 3900. This area lies at the bottom of the descending channel, expected to create a bounce reaction.
2. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & CASH FLOW (Context)
The market is in a tug-of-war ahead of the crucial Fed meeting:
Short-term Support 🟢: Gold prices have paused in a two-day downtrend as safe-haven demand returns ahead of the Fed meeting. The US dollar (USD) hit a weekly low due to dovish Fed expectations, reducing concerns about US-China trade, which supports Gold prices.
Long-term Support: The Bank of Korea (BOK) has planned to purchase gold – the first addition since 2013, providing long-term psychological support.
Focus: All attention is on the Fed meeting, determining the medium-term trend of USD and XAU/USD. Gold is seeking to reclaim the 21-day SMA at $4061.
3. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
We prioritise trading within the channel range:
🔴 SELL Scenario (Stay Close to the Channel)
Entry Zone: $3973 - 3975 (Important 38.2% Fibo Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): $3979 (Set a tight SL)
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3955 | TP2: $3930 | TP3: $3910 | TP4: $3888
🟢 BUY Reaction Scenario (Channel Bottom)
Entry Zone: $3895 - 3897
Stop Loss (SL): $3890
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3922 | TP2: $3944 | TP3: $3975 | TP4: $3998
4. 🧠 Notes and Discipline (Steven's Note)
Discipline is number 1: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. If the market goes against the plan, we accept the small predetermined risk.
Psychology: XAU/USD is testing the crucial 38.2% Fibo support level as the Fed meeting approaches. Volatility will be high, be patient for the right price zone.
Risk Management: Only trade with a risk volume of 1-2% of the account.
Do you agree with this strategy? Like 👍 and Follow 🔔 to not miss the next insights from Steven!
GOLD (XAU/USD): SHORT OPPORTUNITY — RIDING THE FINAL BEAR LEG!1. MACRO VIEW: THE FED DECISION & MARKET TENSION
The Gold market is currently caught in a tug-of-war:
Downside Pressure (USD): Positive developments in the US-China trade talks are easing global risk concerns, which often reduces demand for safe-haven Gold.
Upside Support (Gold): Traders are fully pricing in a 25bps Fed rate cut on Wednesday, putting downward pressure on the US Dollar (which is supportive of Gold). Geopolitical tensions (Russia-US) add further safe-haven appeal.
Key Takeaway: While USD weakness is supportive, our Technicals strongly suggest a corrective move needs to conclude first. The FOMC decision is the ultimate game-changer.
2. TECHNICALS: STRUCTURE CONFIRMS THE BEARISH BIAS
Trend Shift: Gold’s strong previous rally has ended. The structure has been clearly broken, confirming a Bearish Shift for the short-term trend.
Expected Move: We are looking for a classic technical pullback (Retest) to the newly formed resistance zone. Following this retest, we expect sellers to push the price down to complete the correction.
3. 💡 TRADE STRATEGY (THE SHORT SETUP)
We are positioning for a SELL (SHORT) trade, anticipating the end of the corrective phase:
Ideal Entry Zone (Entry): 3,949.849 (Retesting the previous major Support, now acting as Resistance)
Take Profit (TP1): 3,929.793
Take Profit (TP2): 3,878.287 – 3,811.333 (The Major Demand Zone Target below)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 3,949.849 (Placed above the confirmed resistance)
⚠️ Important Note: The FED rate decision on Wednesday guarantees high volatility. Trade cautiously and ALWAYS prioritize risk management!
What is your view on Gold's bottom? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #FOMC #TradePlan






















