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Xauusdanalysis

XAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for ConfirmationXAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for Confirmation Hello Traders, Gold started the week with a strong bounce of nearly 20 dollars after testing the ascending trendline. This move further confirms the Pennant Flag formation that is currently in play. The key now is to wait for a clear breakout from this structure to position trades effectively. Bullish Scenario A break above the upper trendline, with confirmation ideally above 3657, would signal continuation of the uptrend. Best entry: around 3650, targeting 3680 in the short term. Bearish Scenario The 3627 level is critical. A breakdown below this zone, along with a close under nearby support, would validate the bearish case. Traders can either enter directly on the break or wait for a retest around 3630 for a cleaner entry. Downside targets could extend to 356x or even lower. Medium-Term Buy Setup The 3560 – 3564 zone remains an attractive area, aligning with an FVG and strong volume accumulation. This is a medium-term buying opportunity, with stop-loss placed below 3544. Requires larger account size (above $1000) due to wider stop distance, but offers higher reward potential while aligning with the broader bullish trend. This is my outlook for gold today. Traders can take it as a reference and align it with their own setups. If you trade gold regularly, you can follow me here and join my community to receive updates quickly when the price action changes. 👉 Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined trading week with Gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD CPI UPDATEXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
1
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cut Hype Fuels Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.4% on Friday (12/09/2025), closing at $3,648.55/oz, just shy of its all-time high of $3,673.95/oz (09/09). With a 1.7% weekly gain—its fourth straight week up—gold is riding high on weak US labor data, cementing bets for a Fed rate cut on 17/09. CPI showed inflation up sharply, but labor weakness dominates, making gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. Let’s dive into the market and grab trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold’s Shine Bright for India 🌟 Rate Cut Buzz: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) and a soft PPI push 100% odds for a 0.25% Fed rate cut, with 0.5% less likely (CME FedWatch). Low rates ease USD and Treasury pressure, boosting gold’s appeal for INR portfolios. Global Tailwinds: Gold’s 39% YTD rally (after 27% in 2024) is fueled by a weak USD, China’s 10-month gold buying spree, and global unrest. China’s move to simplify gold import rules signals stronger demand—great for Indian investors! Market Focus: CPI (11/09) showed hotter inflation, but labor weakness keeps Fed easing on track. No major shocks (like Trump tariffs) mean dips are buying opportunities—perfect for MCX futures! Technical Analysis: Consolidation Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉 Gold’s weekly chart shows consolidation at Fibonacci 2.618 (3650), with wide sideways action, closing below 3650 as anticipated. A deeper pullback isn’t confirmed, but liquidity zones at 359x and 354x are ideal for buying, while 370x is a sell zone if the rally continues. Watch volume for reversal or rejection signals to avoid traps. Resistance: 3655 - 3684 - 3694 - 3704 Support: 3621 - 3595 - 3582 - 3559 - 3545 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Zone: 3582 - 3580 (SL: 3572; TP: 3590 - 3600 - 3610 - 3640) – Long-term buy on deeper dips. Buy Zone: 3546 - 3544 (SL: 3536; TP: 3554 - 3564 - 3574 - 3594) – Buy at strong support. Sell Zone: 3703 - 3705 (SL: 3713; TP: 3695 - 3685 - 3675 - 3665) – Sell if rally hits round levels. Gold’s consolidating near highs—beware liquidity traps! Above 3621, bulls eye new highs; below, test 359x/354x. Indian traders, manage risk tightly for Fed volatility! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #USInflation #RateCuts #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong?XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong? Good day, fellow traders, Gold has been on a continuous rise for the past three weeks, even making fresh all-time highs (ATH). This has made trading conditions quite challenging, especially for short-term traders. The reason is simple: Buying: Not easy to find a good entry point. Selling: Very risky as it means going against the strong uptrend, which can be extremely dangerous. Market Structure and Key Levels Gold has touched the psychological Fibonacci 2.618 extension and showed a reaction, after which it started consolidating sideways around 3643 – the closing price of this week. The sideways structure indicates that the market may need more time before making a clear breakout. The current trading range is between 3675 – 3616. Most likely, the price will continue to consolidate within this 60-dollar band and form a compression pattern. Upside Scenario If the price breaks above the range, the next target would be 3800, and in the longer term, the market could even aim for the 4000 level in the coming year. Downside Scenario Traders should keep an eye on liquidity reaction zones (FVG): 3595 – 3568 – 3540. The key long-term buying zone lies around 3500, which would almost complete the liquidity test. Trading Strategy The wise approach is to remain patient and wait for a clear confirmation when price breaks out of the current sideways range. That will provide a higher-confidence setup for entering trades. This is the scenario I am projecting for Gold this week. Traders may use it as a reference and combine it with their own analysis to optimise their trading strategy. If you are actively trading Gold, feel free to follow me and join the community to get the quickest updates whenever price action changes. Wishing all of you a disciplined, successful, and profitable trading week ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sorry I am late in giving the signal but I will say that manipulation in XAU/USD is at extreme level. Keep portfolio at least $1000. Take buy position in XAU/USD as much as possible. Not more than $3630.00. Target 1 3353.00 Target 2 3358.00 Target 3 3365.00 Target 4 3372.00 SL 3630.00 Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position: Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point. Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone. Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry. Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal. Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3. Conclusion Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NaviPips
2
XAUUSD – Breakout Confirmed & Macro Outlook📊 Market Context & Macro View Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out above its short-term descending trendline, signalling renewed bullish momentum after several sessions of consolidation. This breakout aligns with traders pricing in slower US inflation and growing confidence that the Federal Reserve may pause or ease monetary policy in the coming months. 🔹 Macro Drivers Supporting Gold: Soft US CPI & PPI → Cooling inflation strengthens expectations for stable or lower rates. Steady Treasury yields and a weaker USD continue to fuel gold’s upside. Geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation remain long-term bullish factors. ⚠ Risk: Liquidity sweeps remain possible before the Fed meeting—watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals. 🔑 Key Technical Levels (H1) Immediate Resistance: 3,654.17 (React Zone FIB) OBS Sell Zone: 3,664.52 Upper Liquidity Target: 3,679.31 Major Sell Liquidity: 3,709.85 Supports / Buy Liquidity Zones: • 3,637.91 – Breakout Retest • 3,631.63 – CP Support • 3,622.41 – Deeper Liquidity Layer • 3,584.78 – END Liquidity BUY ZONE 📈 Scenario & Outlook London Session: Possible retest at 3,638–3,632 for liquidity collection before the next leg higher. A clean break through 3,654 → 3,664 could spark strong buying toward 3,679–3,709. Losing 3,622 would expose 3,584 as the next major support. 📌 Trading Plan 🔵 BUY ZONE 1: 3,635 – 3,633 SL: 3,629 TP: 3,640 → 3,645 → 3,650 → 3,660 → 3,670 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE 2: 3,621 – 3,619 SL: 3,615 TP: 3,625 → 3,630 → 3,635 → 3,640 → 3,650 → 3,660 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,708 – 3,710 SL: 3,715 TP: 3,704 → 3,700 → 3,695 → 3,690 → 3,680 → ??? 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,679 – 3,681 SL: 3,685 TP: 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665 → 3,660 → ??? ✅ Summary Gold is maintaining its breakout, supported by softer US inflation and a weaker USD. While liquidity sweeps may occur, the overall trend remains bullish above 3,622. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates, liquidity plays, and BIGWIN setups as gold reacts to key macro drivers and price zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 12/09/2025 1. Momentum • D1: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. We should wait for a bullish reversal signal here to confirm a new upward move. • H4: Momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to reverse. This suggests price may continue sideways or move into a corrective decline. • H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and about to reverse → the current upward move is weakening, and a short-term corrective pullback is likely. 2. Wave Structure • D1: The market is forming a 5-wave black structure. The current D1 momentum decline is nearly complete and may reach the oversold zone within 1–2 days, signaling that wave iv (black) is close to completion. • H4: Price is moving sideways. Since H4 momentum is preparing to turn down from overbought, wave iv (black) may still be in progress. We need to wait until H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and reverses up to better evaluate the completion of wave iv. • H1: Price has been consolidating within a high liquidity zone (Volume Profile). The sideways and time-consuming behavior fits the nature of wave iv. o A reliable confirmation of wave iv completion would be a breakout and daily close above 3657. o If price fails to break this level and declines further, wave iv may develop into a triangle or complex corrective pattern. o With both H1 and H4 momentum preparing to turn down, the scenario of wave iv continuing is more likely for now. 3. Trading Plan • Scenario 1: If price breaks and closes above 3657, wait for a retest of this level to look for a Buy Breakout targeting wave v. • Buy Zone 1: o Entry: 3596 – 3594 o SL: 3585 o TP: 3669 • Buy Zone 2: o Entry: 3557 – 3555 o SL: 3547 o TP: 3597
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H chart is currently consolidating near 3,644 after multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) moves, signalling engineered liquidity grabs. Price has formed clear demand footprints around 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is positioned between 3,673–3,680. This suggests a likely retracement into discount demand zones before expansion towards premium liquidity levels. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow. • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep zone, offering strong risk-to-reward. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket, likely to trigger short-term liquidity grabs. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,620 – 3,618 • Stop Loss: 3,613 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,635  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,665+ 👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium supply. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep • Entry: 3,593 – 3,591 • Stop Loss: 3,596 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,610  TP2: 3,625  TP3: 3,645+ 👉 Suitable for swing traders targeting higher R:R after liquidity engineering. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,673 – 3,671 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,635 👉 Scalp trade opportunity at premium supply; overall bias remains bullish, so risk should be managed tightly. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note The broader bias is bullish, but smart money may drive price into 3,620 or even 3,593 demand zones before expansion. Cleaner setups favour buying dips, while shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalps with limited scope.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection. • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday) • Entry: 3,643 – 3,645 • Stop Loss: 3,650 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,620  TP3: 3,600 👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone. 🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,688 – 3,691 • Stop Loss: 3,696 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,680  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,660  TP4: 3,650  Open: 3,625 👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep • Entry: 3,595 – 3,592 • Stop Loss: 3,587 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,615  TP2: 3,625  TP3: 3,635  TP4: 3,645  Open: 3,685 👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645 • Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691 • High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592 Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – CPI Today: Liquidity Sweep & Trading Plan📊 Market View Gold (XAUUSD) is moving under short-term resistance (descending trendline), indicating sellers still dominate in the short term. On the M30 chart, buy-side liquidity zones are clearly stacked at 3,624 → 3,612 → 3,599 → 3,586. 👉 During the European session, expect a breakdown liquidity sweep toward these support zones before any bullish reaction. 📈 CPI View – US Session Soft CPI (below expectations) → Weaker USD, lower yields → Gold could bounce sharply from 3,612 / 3,599 / 3,586 and retest trendline/resistance. Hot CPI (above expectations) → Stronger USD, higher yields → Gold may break 3,612, sweep deeper to 3,599 or 3,586, then recover. ⚠️ High risk of news traps: the first reaction can reverse quickly—wait for retests + confirmation candles before entering. 🔑 Key Levels Dynamic Resistance (trendline): 3,643 – 3,646 React Zone FIB: 3,650 – 3,654 OBS Sell Zone: 3,665 Support / Liquidity Zones: 3,624.36 (Key Zone Support BUY) 3,612.60 (CP/React FIB) 3,599.31 (BUY ZONE) 3,586.49 (END LIQUIDITY – BUY ZONE) 📌 Trading Plan 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,646 – 3,648 SL: 3,652 TP: 3,640 → 3,635 → 3,630 → 3,620 → 3,610 → ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,612 – 3,610 SL: 3,605 TP: 3,616 → 3,620 → 3,625 → 3,630 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE (Primary): 3,600 – 3,598 SL: 3,592 TP: 3,605 → 3,610 → 3,615 → 3,620 → 3,630 → 3,640 → ??? 🛡️ Backup BUY: (If liquidity sweep deepens) 3,58x Hard SL: 3,578 ❗ If 3,578 breaks, don’t re-enter immediately—CPI volatility can extend the move further. ⚠️ Notes & Risk Reduce position size near the CPI release. Wait for confirmation (pin bar / engulfing / retest) before entering trades. Use staggered TPs to lock in profits early. An M30 close above 3,654 invalidates near-term shorts and opens 3,665. ✅ Summary Gold may sweep liquidity into the buy zones before bouncing. Trade the reaction: SELL at 3,646–48 on rejection, BUY at 3,612/3,600 on a clean bounce, and hold a backup BUY at 3,58x with tight risk. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups during CPI volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Latest Trend UpdateXAUUSD – Latest Trend Update Hello Traders, Gold is moving in line with yesterday’s outlook: after a corrective pullback towards 3660, price resumed its decline and is currently trending lower. If this bearish structure is confirmed on the higher timeframes such as H1 and H4, it may signal that a larger corrective phase on the D1 chart has already begun. Key Levels to Watch 3620: Marked as an important support zone from yesterday, now considered the key level to confirm continued downside. 3630: Aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where a reaction could occur before the trend direction becomes clearer. Medium-Term Scenarios Gold could decline towards 3550, before bouncing higher again – this is the preferred medium-term scenario. A deeper move towards 3510 is also possible, where liquidity from previous candle wicks may be retested, before the broader uptrend resumes on the daily timeframe. The reason for favouring this medium-term downside: price has already completed the Fibonacci Extension 2.618, which often signals the potential for a corrective pullback. Trading Strategy Observe reactions around 3630 – 3620 – 3610 for potential buy opportunities aligned with the broader bullish structure. Sell setups should only be considered if price closes firmly below 3620, confirming further downside momentum. This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 10, 2025🌀 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal → the market may enter a corrective decline, possibly lasting through the end of this week. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → a short-term recovery could appear today, pushing the indicator into the overbought zone. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the overbought area and turning down → a short-term decline is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: Price has reached the projected target of wave iii (black). With D1 momentum reversing downward, wave iv (black) may be forming. Since wave ii (black) was relatively long, there is a possibility that wave iv (black) could unfold more quickly. • H4: Yesterday’s decline may suggest that wave v (purple) has temporarily completed. If this scenario plays out, price could move into a corrective phase toward the wave iv target area. The correction may develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle. • H1: Price is consolidating within the liquidity zone 3657 – 3631. With H4 momentum hinting at correction, one possible scenario is sideways movement here to complete wave B, followed by a decline into wave C. o If price breaks and closes below 3631 → the liquidity zone at 3595 may act as the next support. o Potential targets for wave C:  3595 (aligned with 23.8% Fibonacci retracement).  Or 3556 – 3528 (aligned with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Scenarios (for reference only) • Sell Zone: 3657 – 3659 o SL: 3667 o TP1: 3631 o TP2: 3563 • Buy Zone 1: 3596 – 3594 o SL: 3585 o TP1: 3669 o TP2: 3749 • Buy Zone 2: 3557 – 3555 o SL: 3547 o TP1: 3597 o TP2: 3705 📌 Note: The Sell setup at 3657 should be considered with small position size as it goes against the main trend. If price reaches 3595, this Sell scenario could lose validity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – PPI Ahead: Key Liquidity Levels & Trading PlanMarket View: After yesterday’s sharp drop where sellers dominated the liquidity zone, gold (XAUUSD) is now recovering from 362x → 364x during the Asian session. In the short term, price may range between 362x–365x in Asia/Europe before going sideways to await the PPI release in the US session. Today’s PPI is expected at 0.3% vs 0.9% previous, signalling cooling inflation. However, actual data could come in higher – often creating a “news trap”. From a technical view, gold may need to retest 360x liquidity before resuming its uptrend ahead of CPI & the upcoming FED meeting. 👉 In short: Structure stays bullish, but short-term liquidity sweeps are likely before continuation. Key Levels: Resistance: 3647 – 3654 – 3665 – 3674 – 3704 Support: 3635 – 3613 – 3600 – 3586 Trading Plan: 🔵 BUY Zone: 3600 – 3598 SL: 3592 (or tighter at 3580) TP: 3605 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+ 🔴 SELL Zone: 3703 – 3705 SL: 3710 TP: 3698 → 3694 → 3690 → 3680 → 3670 → 3660+ Summary: ✅ Gold remains in an uptrend, but may retest 360x liquidity before heading higher. ✅ PPI today & CPI tomorrow could trigger traps – caution is advised. 👉 Watch the key levels and follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily updates & BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyOn the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading above 3,650 after a clear break of structure. Price has created demand footprints near 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance is seen around 3,670 and premium supply is at 3,687–3,689. This indicates a possible engineered retracement into discount demand zones before a move towards liquidity above 3,688. 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block in line with bullish flow. • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong base for buyers. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, possible liquidity sweep. 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction • Entry: 3,636 – 3,634 • Stop Loss: 3,630 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,650 TP2: 3,665 TP3: 3,680+ 👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before price continues bullish. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test • Entry: 3,594 – 3,592 • Stop Loss: 3,587 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,610 TP2: 3,625 TP3: 3,640+ 👉 Best for swing buyers seeking higher risk-reward on a deeper liquidity grab. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,687 – 3,689 • Stop Loss: 3,694 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,670 TP2: 3,655 TP3: 3,640 👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels, good only for scalping with strict risk. 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may push price into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand zones before expanding higher. Safer setups are buying dips; short positions at 3,687 should be treated only as quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has blasted through $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), smashing a new all-time high as weak US jobs data ramps up bets for a Fed rate cut next week. With a massive 38% YTD gain after 27% in 2024, gold's on fire—driven by a weakening USD, central bank hoarding, easing policies, and global uncertainty. For Indian investors, this is prime time amid rising demand and INR volatility. Let’s analyze today’s (09/09/2025) market and spot trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟 Historic Break: Weak US jobs (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates slash the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold—perfect for India’s festive season buys! 📈 Expert View: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals sees gold hitting $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with dips as buy chances. Ongoing labor weakness and Fed easing into 2026 will keep supporting it. Global Boosters: China’s PBOC extended gold buys to 10 months in August. Falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near 5-month lows make gold even more attractive for Indian rupee holders. Data Watch: Eye US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for Fed clues. Tariff wars and geopolitics add safe-haven fuel—great for India’s gold ETFs and physical demand. Gold’s your ultimate hedge in this setup—will the Fed’s cut keep the party going for Indian portfolios? Technical Analysis: Breakout Frenzy with Traps—Buy the Dips! 📉 Gold’s power surge blew past 3600 with no brakes, but eye the Fibo 2.618 at 3685 for a possible breather. Bullish momentum screams BUY, but watch FVG traps from the fast climb. Key focus: 3641—break below pulls back to 3600; hold above and bulls target 3685. Ideal for Indian traders riding the rupee-gold link! Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690 Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675 SL: 3679 TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655 Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686 SL: 3694 TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639 SL: 3635 TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659 Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603 SL: 3595 TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open Gold’s breaking out big, but traps await—confirm at key levels! Holds support? Bulls aim for 3685. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #IndiaTrading #INR #MCX
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Intraday Plan: Bullish Trend + Key Liquidity ZonesMarket Pulse: The US jobs data (05/09) showed a slowdown in hiring. According to CME FedWatch, there is an 88% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in September, and 12% for a 0.5% cut. Lower rates support gold as a non-yielding asset. Gold has already gained 38% YTD, after rising 27% in 2024. A weaker USD, central bank buying (China added gold for the 10th month in a row in August), loose monetary policy, and global risks keep gold in a strong bullish trend. 👉 Market bias: Macro + liquidity flows favour BUY. Technical View (M30): Price stays in an up channel, making higher lows. 3616–3596 is the key support zone. Liquidity SELL zones at 3653–3655 and 3675–3677 may give short intraday pullbacks before trend continues. Execution Plan (Today): 🔵 BUY ZONE #1: 3618 – 3616 SL: 3610 TP: 3624 → 3630 → 3635 → 3640 → 3650 → 3660 → 3670+ 🔵 BUY ZONE #2: 3598 – 3596 SL: 3590 TP: 3602 → 3606 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+ 🔴 SELL ZONE #1: 3653 – 3655 SL: 3660 TP: 3648 → 3644 → 3640 → 3635 → 3630 → 3620 🔴 SELL ZONE #2: 3675 – 3677 SL: 3681 TP: 3670 → 3665 → 3660 → 3650 → 3640 Summary: ✅ Gold trend stays bullish – best setups are buying dips into liquidity zones. ⚡ Intraday scalps possible at SELL liquidity zones. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily precision setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 09/09/2025🌀 ————————————- 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising but occurs in the overbought zone → the upside potential is limited. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to reverse. Although H4 candles are still pushing up, a divergence is forming → signaling weakening bullish strength. • H1 timeframe: Momentum remains in the overbought zone → no expectation for an extended bullish leg. ————————————- 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: o Price is in the final stage of wave iii (black) and preparing for wave iv (black). o By principle, it is better to stay patient and wait for wave iv to complete before looking for Buy entries into wave v (black), rather than trying to catch the top of wave iii. o Current price is approaching the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave i (black). • H4 timeframe: o Price is currently within wave v (purple). o Since it has already broken above wave iii (purple), a reversal could happen anytime. o Completion of wave v (purple) will also complete wave iii (black). • H1 timeframe: o Inside wave v (purple), a full 5-wave structure (green) can be counted. o The potential confluence zone for the end of wave 5 (green), wave v (purple), and wave iii (black) is 3669 – 3678. o After this zone, price is expected to correct into wave iv (black), which often develops sideways and shallow. ➡️ Once wave iv (black) is complete, the market is expected to continue higher into wave v (black). ➡️ High liquidity zones highlighted by the Volume Profile will act as support, preventing a deep decline and providing momentum for wave v (black). • Wave iv usually retraces back to the wave 4 of a smaller degree. Currently, we have two key areas: o Wave 4 (green) around 3597 o Wave iv (purple) around 3552 – 3530 ————————————- 🔹 Trading Plan 1. Buy Zone 1: 3598 – 3596 o SL: 3588 (or 3579 for wider risk tolerance) o TP1: 3669 2. Buy Zone 2: 3553 – 3550 o SL: 3540 o TP1: 3597
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Weekly Trading Plan: Bulls Still in Control MMFLOW TRADING PLAN XAUUSD Market View: Gold (XAUUSD) is trading exactly as expected from our weekly outlook. After the big Nonfarm push near $3600/oz ATH, price is consolidating around 357x–358x while holding the rising trendline. Both Daily and Weekly charts remain bullish, showing that buyers are still strong. The bias for this week stays upside, but volatility can come from key US data (PPI, CPI, Jobless Claims, UoM Sentiment). Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): Structure is bullish as long as price holds above 3550. If 3592 breaks cleanly → more upside towards 3620–3640+. If 3575 or 3530 breaks → expect a pullback before buyers return. Trading Plan: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3552 – 3550 | SL: 3544 | TP: 3556 → 3560 → 3565 → 3570 → 3575 → 3580 → ???? 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3573 – 3571 | SL: 3567 | TP: 3578 → 3582 → 3586 → 3590 → ???? 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3598 – 3600 | SL: 3604 | TP: 3595 → 3590 → 3585 → 3580 → 3570 → 3560 → ???? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3631 – 3633 | SL: 3638 | TP: 3626 → 3622 → 3618 → 3614 → 3610 → 3600 → ???? Summary: ✅ Gold remains in a strong uptrend. 👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) – these levels will decide the next big move. Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily setups and updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Surges 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Slump & Trade Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has skyrocketed 37% in 2025, building on a 27% rally in 2024, fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, loose monetary policies, and global economic/geopolitical unrest. With US jobs growth tanking in August 2025 and unemployment climbing to 4.3%, markets are betting big on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let’s dive into today’s (08/09/2025) action and uncover trading opportunities tailored for Indian investors! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Shining Bright 🌟 Massive Rally: Gold thrives in low-rate, high-uncertainty environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Weak USD and central bank purchases are key drivers. 📈 US Jobs Slump: August data shows a sharp slowdown in hiring and a 4.3% unemployment rate, boosting Fed rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand. Fed Drama Fuels Gold: Trump’s attempt to sack Fed Governor Lisa Cook and pressure for rate cuts has sparked legal battles, shaking USD confidence. Tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after lower court losses) further drive gold as a hedge. Standard Chartered sees more upside amid these uncertainties. Demand Dip in India: Record-high prices have slowed physical gold demand in India and China this week, but the bullish outlook remains strong for Indian investors chasing safety. Gold’s your ultimate bet in this volatile market—will the Fed’s next move keep the rally alive? Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Grabs—Stay Sharp! 📉 In today’s early Asian session, gold dipped to 358x before a swift rebound, smashing last week’s ATH resistance at 3600 and hitting 361x. No major news triggered this spike, but continuous ATHs mean fast liquidity sweeps—beware of traps! Avoid FOMO: Focus on broken round levels for BUY setups or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but watch out for false breakouts. Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644 Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626 SL: 3630 TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606 Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636 SL: 3644 TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596 Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594 SL: 3591 TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614 Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579 SL: 3571 TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619 Gold’s breaking out, but fakeouts are everywhere—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could push for new highs. 📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating close to 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently forming imbalance around intraday highs, while demand is positioned lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves designed to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow. • 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, suitable for liquidity sweep reaction. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction • Entry: 3,565 – 3,563 • Stop Loss: 3,560 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,585 o TP2: 3,595 o TP3: 3,600+ 👉 Expectation is for liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend. 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction • Entry: 3,594 – 3,596 • Stop Loss: 3,601 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,592 o TP2: 3,590 o TP3: 3,585 → 3,580 → 3,570 → 3,560 👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp trades only with strict risk control. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,630 – 3,628 • Stop Loss: 3,637 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,610 o TP2: 3,600 o TP3: 3,590 👉 Targeting liquidity lying below intraday lows; best for quick short opportunities. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626–3,630 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps are short-lived opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection – 08.09.25🔎 Chart Analysis Price Action Current price: 3588.15 Support Zone (S1): Around 3575 – 3578 Resistance Zones: R1 ≈ 3590 R2 ≈ 3600+ Projection shows a possible bounce from support → break R1 → move toward R2. Indicators Stochastic (5,3,3): Current: %K 21.78, %D 31.90 Oversold region → “Tends to Buy” signal. RSI (14): Value: 58.55 (above 50) Suggests short-term uptrend momentum. Overall Projection Market bias: Bullish (Buy Setup) If price respects support at S1, probability is high for upside movement towards R1 → R2. Risk: If support S1 breaks, downtrend continuation is possible. ✅ Summary (08.09.25): Buy Bias on 1H timeframe. Support: 3575 zone Target 1: 3590 (R1) Target 2: 3600 (R2) Indicators confirm bullish momentum (RSI > 50, Stoch oversold).
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD – Early Week Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Early Week Trading Scenario Hello Traders, The Asian session opened the new week with mild fluctuations in gold, followed by a pullback into the major liquidity zone created during last week’s bullish wave. At present, price is showing signs of breaking below the 3585 support. If a strong M15 candle closes under this level, it can be considered a short-term correction signal. In that case, a light sell position may be initiated, targeting the 3560 zone. The 3560 level stands out as a reliable support, aligning with the ascending trendline. This makes it a key area for buying in line with the prevailing uptrend, with the potential for price to extend higher and even revisit its all-time highs. However, if price climbs back to retest the trendline, any short positions from that area should be approached cautiously and only with clear confirmation. Another potential buy zone lies near 3516, where the market previously cleared the liquidity from the closest FVG. Overall, gold is likely to require some corrective moves before continuing its broader trend. In particular, short trades should only be considered when the reversal structure is clearly validated. This is my trading perspective for gold today. Please take it as a reference for your own strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital