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Xauusdanalysis

XAUUSD (H2) - Liam Plan (Jan 28)XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 28) New ATH, strong safe-haven flow | Follow trend, buy FVG pullbacks only Quick summary Gold continues to print new all-time highs as global capital rotates into safe-haven assets amid persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty tied to recent US policy decisions. Additional support comes from concerns around Fed independence and expectations of lower US rates, keeping real yields capped. Despite the bullish backdrop, price is now extended above equilibrium. The edge is not in chasing strength, but in waiting for pullbacks into imbalance and liquidity zones. ➡️ Bias stays bullish, execution stays patient. Macro context (why gold stays bid, but volatile) Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty keeps structural demand for gold intact. Rate-cut expectations and doubts around Fed autonomy weaken the USD’s long-term appeal. USD is attempting a technical bounce, but this has not shifted gold’s underlying bid. ➡️ Conclusion: macro supports higher prices, but short-term moves will likely rotate to rebalance inefficiencies. Technical view (H2 – based on the chart) Price is trending cleanly higher after multiple bullish BOS, riding an ascending structure and expanding into premium. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Major extension / sell-side target: 5280 – 5320 (2.618 fib expansion) ✅ FVG / continuation buy zone: 5155 – 5170 ✅ Structure support: 5000 – 5050 ✅ Trend invalidation (deeper): below 4950 Current price action suggests a likely path of push → pullback → continuation, rather than straight-line expansion. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A. BUY the FVG pullback (cleanest setup) ✅ Buy zone: 5155 – 5170 Condition: price taps FVG and shows bullish reaction (reclaim / HL / displacement on M15–H1) SL (guide): below 5125 or below reaction low TP1: recent high TP2: 5280 TP3: 5320+ if momentum expands Logic: This FVG aligns with prior buy-side liquidity and structure — a high-probability continuation zone. B. BUY deeper structure support (only if volatility spikes) ✅ Buy zone: 5000 – 5050 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong rejection TP: 5170 → 5280 Logic: This is value within trend. No interest in longs above premium if this level breaks. 2️⃣ SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction only) SELL at extension (scalp / tactical only) ✅ Sell zone: 5280 – 5320 Condition: clear rejection / failure to hold highs on lower TF TP: 5200 → 5170 Logic: Extension zones are for profit-taking and short-term mean rotation, not trend reversal calls. Key notes New ATHs invite FOMO — don’t be that liquidity. Best trades come after pullbacks, not during impulse candles. Reduce size around Fed headlines. What’s your plan: buying the 5155–5170 FVG pullback, or waiting for a stretch into 5280–5320 to fade the reaction? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
1
XAUUSD – M45 Tech AnalysisXAUUSD – M45 Technical Outlook: Strong Momentum, Now Watch Liquidity Reactions | Lana ✨ Gold has surged above $5,250, extending its buying position with strong momentum. Price action remains constructive, but as the market pushes deeper into premium territory, liquidity reactions become more important than raw momentum. 📈 Market Structure & Price Action Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish structure. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) points on the chart highlight persistent buyer control. The recent leg higher was aggressive, indicating momentum-driven buying, but also increasing the likelihood of short-term reactions. At current levels, the market is extended above value, which often precedes either consolidation or a controlled pullback. 🔍 Key Technical Zones on M45 Upper Supply / Reaction Zone: 5280 – 5310 This area represents a premium zone where price may face profit-taking or liquidity sweeps before choosing direction. Immediate Support (Channel Mid / Retest Zone): 5200 – 5220 A key area where price could pull back and attempt to hold structure. Strong Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: around 5050 Marked clearly on the chart, this is a deeper level where liquidity is resting and where stronger buyer reactions could emerge if the pullback extends. As long as price remains inside the channel, the broader bullish bias stays intact. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Extension With Caution: If price continues higher into the 5280–5310 zone, expect increased volatility and potential short-term rejection. This area is better suited for risk management and observation, not aggressive chasing. Scenario 2 – Healthy Pullback (Preferred): A pullback toward 5200–5220 would allow price to rebalance liquidity while maintaining structure. Holding this zone supports continuation within the channel. Scenario 3 – Deeper Liquidity Sweep: If volatility expands, a move toward the ~5050 sell-side liquidity zone could occur before a stronger continuation leg develops. 🌍 Market Context (Brief) Gold’s sharp move above $5,250 reflects ongoing demand for safe-haven assets amid persistent macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Strong daily gains reinforce bullish sentiment, but such vertical moves also tend to attract short-term profit-taking, making structure and liquidity levels critical. 🧠 Lana’s View The trend is bullish, but not every bullish move is a buy. At extended levels, Lana focuses on how price reacts at liquidity zones, not on chasing momentum. ✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near extremes, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 28/01/2026 1. Momentum Daily (D1) – D1 momentum is still overlapping, indicating that the broader bullish move may continue. – The prolonged overbought condition reflects excessive market enthusiasm, which also serves as a warning of increasing risk. H4 – H4 momentum is approaching the overbought zone. → This suggests that a corrective move on H4 is likely to occur within the next few hours. H1 – H1 momentum is currently overbought. → This indicates that short-term bullish momentum is weakening, and a corrective phase on H1 is likely before the trend resumes. 2. Elliott Wave Structure Daily Wave Structure (D1) – On the daily timeframe, we continue to see an extension of the blue Wave 5. – This is understandable given the current global environment, where geopolitical and economic risks remain elevated, pushing capital flows into safe-haven assets such as gold and silver. – However, this strong shift toward safe assets also highlights growing systemic risks within global economies. – As mentioned last Sunday, historically, recent FOMC cycles have typically occurred during periods of consolidation or correction, followed by the start of a long-term bullish trend after the announcement. – The key difference this time is that price has already rallied strongly ahead of FOMC. Therefore, today’s FOMC release may trigger significant volatility. H4 Wave Structure – As discussed in yesterday’s plan, the recent corrective move did not differ materially in size, duration, or target compared to previous corrective waves within the yellow Wave 3 structure. → This strongly suggests that the pullback was merely a sub-wave within yellow Wave 3, keeping the bullish structure intact. H1 Wave Structure – On H1, a black 5-wave structure appears to be forming inside yellow Wave 3. – As previously stated, during an extended wave, assigning precise labels while price is still unfolding is extremely difficult and often impractical, especially under extreme market sentiment. – However, one point remains very clear: Looking back at previous overbought RSI conditions (highlighted on the chart), each corrective phase was followed by a new price high. – Currently, RSI is once again deeply overbought, leading me to expect another upside push to form a new high after the correction, at least until a clear RSI divergence appears at the top. 3. Key Price Zones – With H4 and H1 momentum preparing to turn bearish, we focus on lower support zones to look for buy opportunities in line with the dominant trend. Potential support zones – 5192 – 5101 Upper resistance – On the upside, multiple Fibonacci projections from different wave structures converge around 5323. → This zone represents a strong resistance area. 4. Trading Plan Buy setup zone 1 – Entry: 5193 – 5191 – Stop Loss: 5172 – TP1: 5249 – TP2: 5323 Buy setup zone 2 – Entry: 5102 – 5100 – Stop Loss: 4982 – TP1: 5192 – TP2: 5323
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Bullish TrendQuick summary Gold is still trending higher inside a clean rising channel, but price is now approaching a weak high / liquidity pocket where stop-runs are likely. Macro backdrop adds fuel for volatility: reports suggest the US is pressuring Ukraine toward territorial concessions as part of peace talks — this kind of uncertainty often keeps safe-haven demand supported, but it can also create fast spikes + fake breaks. ➡️ Today’s rule: follow the uptrend, but only buy at liquidity test points. No chasing highs. 1) Macro context (why spikes are likely) If markets start pricing a forced compromise in the Ukraine conflict: risk sentiment can swing quickly, headlines can trigger instant pumps, then sharp retraces. ✅ Safe approach: let price hit your zones first, then trade the reaction — not the headline. 2) Technical view (H1 – based on your chart) Price is respecting an ascending channel and building liquidity around key levels. Key levels (from the chart): ✅ Support / buy liquidity zone: 4,995 – 5,000 ✅ Flip / reaction zone: 5,047 ✅ Upper resistance / supply: 5,142 ✅ Weak High / liquidity target: 5,192.6 ✅ Extension target (1.618): 5,240.8 Bias stays bullish while inside the channel, but near 5,192–5,240 we should expect liquidity sweep → pullback behavior. 3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) A) BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A1. BUY the pullback into the flip zone (cleanest R:R) ✅ Buy: 5,045 – 5,050 (around 5,047) Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on M15) SL (guide): below 5,030 (or below the reaction low) TP1: 5,085 – 5,100 TP2: 5,142 TP3: 5,192.6 Logic: This is the best “trend-following” entry — buy support, sell into liquidity above. A2. BUY deep liquidity sweep (only if volatility hits) ✅ Buy: 4,995 – 5,000 Condition: sweep + strong reclaim (fast rejection / displacement up) SL: below 4,980 TP: 5,047 → 5,142 Logic: This is the strongest liquidity test zone on your chart — ideal for a bounce if price flushes. B) SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction scalps only) B1. SELL the weak high sweep (tactical scalp) ✅ If price runs 5,192.6 and shows rejection: Sell: 5,190 – 5,200 SL: above the sweep high TP: 5,142 → 5,085 Logic: Weak highs often get swept first. Great for quick mean reversion back into the channel. B2. SELL extension (highest-risk, but best location) ✅ Sell zone: 5,235 – 5,245 (around 5,240.8) Only with clear weakness on M15–H1 TP: 5,192 → 5,142 Logic: 1.618 extension is a common exhaustion pocket — don’t short early, short the reaction. 4) Key notes Don’t trade mid-range between 5,085–5,142 unless you’re scalping with tight rules. Expect false breakouts near 5,192 and 5,240 during headlines. Best execution today = buy support, take profits into liquidity. Question: Are you buying the 5,047 pullback, or waiting for the 5,192 sweep to sell the reaction? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
2
XAUUSD (Gold) 45-Minute Chart – Strong Bullish Continuation AbovTrend: Gold is in a clear bullish trend. Price has made higher highs and higher lows, accelerating strongly on Jan 28 with a breakout and momentum expansion. Market Structure: Earlier consolidation zones (value areas) were broken to the upside, followed by acceptance above prior ranges. The most recent move shows impulsive buying, suggesting institutional participation rather than a weak breakout. Volume Profile (VCP): Previous High Volume Nodes (HVN) around 5,080–5,120 acted as resistance, now flipped into support. Current price is trading above the Point of Control (POC), which confirms bullish control. Low volume above indicates price discovery, meaning less resistance overhead. Key Levels: Resistance: 5,270–5,300 (current highs / psychological zone) Immediate Support: 5,120–5,100 (previous value area high) Deeper Support: 5,020–4,980 (range low & demand zone) Bias: Bullish while above 5,100 Pullbacks into previous value areas are likely to attract buyers. Trading Insight: Best opportunities are buy-the-dip setups rather than chasing highs. A rejection with high volume below 5,100 would be the first warning sign of a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
GOLD Buy Pullbacks in Bullish TrendMarket Context (M30) Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish continuation phase, holding firmly inside a well-defined ascending channel. Recent pullbacks are technical retracements for liquidity rebalancing, not signs of distribution or trend exhaustion. On the macro side, persistent USD weakness, sustained safe-haven demand, and only modest Fed easing expectations keep the broader backdrop supportive for gold. This combination allows upside momentum to remain controlled and constructive rather than emotional. ➡️ Overall bias: Bullish – prioritize BUY setups aligned with the main trend. Structure & Price Action M30 structure remains intact with clear Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Price continues to respect previous demand and key levels, confirming active buyer participation. No bearish CHoCH has been confirmed. The current leg is expanding toward higher Fibonacci extensions, reinforcing trend continuation. Key insight: 👉 As long as structure holds, pullbacks represent opportunity — not risk. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Focus on patience and execution at discounted levels, not chasing price at extensions. BUY Zone 1: 5,185 – 5,170 (Short-term demand + channel support) BUY Zone 2: 5,106 – 5,085 (Key level confluence + trendline support) ➡️ Execute BUYs only after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️ Avoid FOMO at extended highs. Upside Targets: TP1: 5,250 TP2: 5,309 (Next ATH extension zone) Alternative Scenario If price holds firmly above 5,250 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed M30 close below 5,044 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled bullish expansion, driven by structure and macro flow. The edge is not calling the top, but buying pullbacks within demand while the trend remains intact. As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD - H1 Gold structurally bullishXAUUSD – H1 Gold remains structurally bullish near all-time highs| Lana ✨ Gold is extending its bullish momentum for a second consecutive session and continues to trade near all-time highs. Price action remains constructive, with the market holding above key structure while deciding between continuation or a deeper pullback into value. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The short-term and medium-term structure remains bullish, with price respecting the ascending channel. The recent push above previous highs confirms strong demand, but current price action also shows signs of consolidation near ATH. This behavior is typical after an impulsive rally, where the market pauses to build acceptance or rebalance liquidity before the next directional move. As long as price holds above the rising structure, the bullish thesis remains valid. 🔍 Key Technical Zones to Watch ATH Reaction Zone: 5080 – 5110 This is a sensitive area where price may consolidate, fake out, or briefly reject before choosing direction. Primary Pullback / Buy Zone: 5000 – 5020 A key structural level aligned with prior resistance-turned-support and the midline of the bullish channel. Secondary Support (Deeper Pullback): 4920 – 4950 A stronger value area if volatility increases or liquidity is swept below the channel. Upside Expansion Zone: 5180 – 5200+ If price accepts above ATH, this becomes the next upside objective within the channel. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (H1 Structure-Based) Scenario 1 – Continuation Above ATH: If price consolidates above 5080–5110 and shows acceptance, gold may extend toward 5180–5200. This scenario favors patience and confirmation rather than chasing immediate breakouts. Scenario 2 – Pullback Into Structure (Preferred): A pullback toward 5000–5020 would allow the market to rebalance liquidity and offer a higher-quality continuation setup. Holding this zone keeps the bullish structure intact. Scenario 3 – Deeper Correction: If price loses the primary support, the 4920–4950 zone becomes the next key area to watch for buyer response and trend defense. 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) Gold continues to benefit from heightened geopolitical risks and ongoing trade uncertainty, reinforcing its role as a safe-haven asset. At the same time, market attention is shifting toward the outcome of the two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday, which may introduce volatility and short-term repricing. This backdrop supports gold structurally, while also increasing the likelihood of sharp intraday swings around key levels. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold remains bullish, but near ATH levels, discipline matters more than conviction. Lana prefers buying pullbacks into structure, letting price confirm, and avoiding emotional trades during headline-driven volatility. ✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near the highs, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation, ATH Expansion Still in PlayGold continues to trade within a strong bullish channel, maintaining its ATH expansion structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature and shows clear signs of liquidity absorption rather than distribution. On the macro side, sustained USD weakness, safe-haven flows, and a still-cautious Fed outlook keep gold supported at elevated levels. ➡️ This environment favors trend continuation, not top-picking. Structure & Price Action H1 structure remains bullish with Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact. The recent drop has respected key demand zones and the ascending trendline. No bearish CHoCH confirmed → downside moves remain corrective. Price is rebalancing after an impulsive leg, preparing for the next expansion. Key takeaway: 👉 Pullbacks are opportunities to position with the trend, not signs of reversal. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – BUY the Pullback Focus on patience and structure confirmation. BUY Zone 1: 5,045 – 5,020 (Rebalance area + intraday demand) BUY Zone 2: 4,985 – 4,960 (Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after bullish reaction (rejection wicks / structure hold). ➡️ Avoid chasing price at highs. Upside Targets (ATH Extension): TP1: 5,106 TP2: 5,198 (upper extension zone) Alternative Scenario If price holds firmly above 5,106 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,960 would weaken the bullish structure and require a reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion phase. As long as structure and demand zones hold, the path of least resistance stays to the upside. The MMF approach remains unchanged: buy pullbacks, follow structure, and let the trend do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Entry setup 11Before Trade Entry Follow the Step:-(check list) Step 1:- Identify the Trend Step 2:- Bullish Trend Wait for Support Price & Reversal Candlestick(Take Buy) Step 3:- Bearish Trend Wait for Resistance & Reversal Candlestick(Take Sell) Step 4:- Fibonacci retracement confirm Step 5:- Wait for Reversal candlestick My Trading Role:- 1. Don't Lose capital 2. Trade less Earn More Focus On:- 1. Quality Trades 2. Risk Management 3. Self - Discipline RISK WARNING:- All trading involves risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose. This chart has not given any investment advice, only for educational purposes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingHelperTeam
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 27/01/2026 1. Momentum Daily (D1) – D1 momentum is currently compressing. This indicates that bullish pressure is still present; however, momentum has weakened, so a potential reversal risk exists. → The broader trend remains bullish, but strong corrective moves should be treated with caution. H4 – H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone. → This suggests that H4 is likely preparing to form a base and initiate a bullish reversal in the near term. H1 – H1 momentum is currently declining. → In the short term, H1 may continue to correct for several more H1 candles before completing the pullback. 2. Wave Structure Daily (D1) Wave Structure – On the daily timeframe, price remains within a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) marked in blue. – At this stage, blue wave 5 is extending, making it very difficult to precisely identify the termination point. – In Elliott Wave theory, extensions reflect extreme bullish sentiment. – When market psychology normalizes, the corrective move that follows is often sharp and aggressive. → Therefore, the current phase of XAUUSD requires a high level of caution. H4 Wave Structure – The corrective structure on H4 is expanding and developing multiple internal sub-structures. → As a result, accurate wave identification is not feasible until the structure is fully completed. – For now, we rely on two key principles to define observation zones: – Waves of the same degree often show similarities in time and price length. – Waves within a structure typically maintain Fibonacci relationships with one another. – Based on these principles, I am temporarily labeling a 1–2–3–4–5 structure in yellow on the H4 timeframe for monitoring purposes. – Up to this point, the H4 correction remains consistent with the internal corrective waves within yellow wave 3. H4 Scenario Monitoring – If H4 momentum reverses upward and price breaks above the previous high, the market is likely still within yellow wave 3. – Conversely, if the upcoming H4 rally fails to produce a new high, the probability increases that price is transitioning into yellow wave 4. H1 Wave Structure – On the H1 timeframe, an ABC structure has formed, and price is currently in a corrective rebound. – However, at the present moment: – H1 momentum has already turned bearish – Price has failed to create a new high → Therefore, no immediate entry is warranted. We should wait for: – H1 momentum to decline into the oversold zone – At that point, a Buy setup can be considered based on: – The ABC corrective structure on H1 – Alignment with the anticipated bullish reversal in H4 momentum 3. Target Zone – A Fibonacci confluence zone from multiple waves is located around the 4957 price area. → This zone is considered the potential termination area for the current H1 correction. – Regarding profit targets: – We will continue monitoring subsequent momentum reversals on H1 and H4 – Once bullish momentum is confirmed, trade management will be handled in phases. 4. Trading Plan – Buy Setup Zone: 4958 – 4955 – Stop Loss: 4937 – Take Profit Levels: – TP1: 4978 – TP2: 5021 – TP3: 5060
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1
XAUUSD – Bullish continuation, ATH expansion activeGold continues to trade within a strong bullish channel, maintaining its ATH expansion structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature and shows clear signs of liquidity absorption rather than distribution. On the macro side, sustained USD weakness, safe-haven flows, and a still-cautious Fed outlook keep gold supported at elevated levels. ➡️ This environment favors trend continuation, not top-picking. Structure & Price Action H1 structure remains bullish with Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact. The recent drop has respected key demand zones and the ascending trendline. No bearish CHoCH confirmed → downside moves remain corrective. Price is rebalancing after an impulsive leg, preparing for the next expansion. Key takeaway: 👉 Pullbacks are opportunities to position with the trend, not signs of reversal. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – BUY the Pullback Focus on patience and structure confirmation. BUY Zone 1: 5,045 – 5,020 (Rebalance area + intraday demand) BUY Zone 2: 4,985 – 4,960 (Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after bullish reaction (rejection wicks / structure hold). ➡️ Avoid chasing price at highs. Upside Targets (ATH Extension): TP1: 5,106 TP2: 5,198 (upper extension zone) Alternative Scenario If price holds firmly above 5,106 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,960 would weaken the bullish structure and require a reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion phase. As long as structure and demand zones hold, the path of least resistance stays to the upside. The MMF approach remains unchanged: buy pullbacks, follow structure, and let the trend do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Weekly Risk StrategyXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Weekly Risk Plan Late-stage rally into macro risk | Sell premium, buy liquidity only Quick summary Gold continues to push higher, driven by escalating geopolitical and macro risk: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US–Iran tensions remain elevated 🏦 FOMC: ~99% Fed holds rates, with a high chance of hawkish guidance from Powell 🇺🇸 US government shutdown risk later this week This is a classic environment for headline spikes and liquidity grabs. Price is now trading at premium levels, so the edge shifts to reaction trading, not chasing strength. Macro context (supportive, but dangerous to chase) Geopolitical stress keeps safe-haven demand alive. A hawkish Fed message can trigger sharp USD/yield reactions, even if rates are unchanged. Government shutdown headlines often produce fast whipsaws, not clean trends. ➡️ Conclusion: volatility will increase, but direction will be decided at liquidity levels — not by the news itself. Technical view (H2 – based on the chart) Gold is in a strong bullish structure, but price has entered a late-stage expansion after multiple impulsive legs. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Major SELL zone (premium / exhaustion): 5155 – 5234 ✅ Current impulsive high area: ~5060 ✅ Buy-side liquidity (already built): 4700 – 4800 ✅ Sell-side liquidity / value zone: 4550 – 4600 The structure suggests a high probability path: push higher to clear buy-side liquidity → rotate lower into sell-side liquidity. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – distribution at premium) A. SELL at premium extension (primary idea) ✅ Sell zone: 5155 – 5234 Condition: rejection / loss of momentum on M15–H1 SL: above the high TP1: 5000 TP2: 4800 TP3: 4600 (sell-side liquidity) Logic: This zone represents late buyers and FOMO entries. Ideal area for distribution and mean rotation, especially during macro headlines. B. SELL failed continuation ✅ If price spikes above 5060 but fails to hold (fake breakout): Sell on lower-TF breakdown TP: 4800 → 4600 Logic: Headline-driven spikes often fail after liquidity is taken. 2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – value only) BUY only at sell-side liquidity ✅ Buy zone: 4550 – 4600 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong bullish reaction TP: 4800 → 5000+ Logic: This is the first area where long-term buyers regain R:R advantage. No interest in buying above value. Key notes for the week Expect false breaks around FOMC. Reduce size during Powell’s speech. Avoid mid-range entries between 4800–5000. Patience pays more than prediction. What’s your bias this week: selling the 5155–5234 premium zone, or waiting for a deeper pullback into 4600 liquidity before reassessing? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – Weekend Geopolitical Shock → GAP & Continuation Market Context (Why the GAP?) Over the weekend, geopolitical tensions escalated sharply, triggering a strong risk-off reaction at the start of the week. Typical market response: Capital rotates out of risk assets USD softens amid uncertainty Gold opens with a bullish GAP on Monday and continues higher This is not a low-liquidity weekend GAP, but a safe-haven driven GAP, which historically does not need to be filled immediately. HTF Structure (H1–H4) Overall structure remains clearly bullish Multiple bullish BOS are still intact The latest impulse created a large FVG above equilibrium Current pullback is technical rebalancing, not a trend reversal ➡️ Market behavior: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation Key Zones for the Week Upper FVG / reaction zone: 5,020 – 5,000 Mid FVG (decision zone): 4,988 – 4,960 Lower FVG / strong support: 4,960 – 4,940 HTF Order Block: around 4,910 – 4,900 As long as price holds above 4,960, the bullish structure remains valid. Weekly Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback & Continuation (Primary Bias) If price pulls back into 4,988 – 4,960 and shows bullish reaction FVG is respected → trend continuation Next upside objectives: 5,040 – 5,080 Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Still Corrective) If price loses 4,960 Expect a deeper retracement toward 4,940 – 4,910 for rebalancing Only a confirmed H1/H4 close below 4,900 would weaken the bullish structure Summary The Monday GAP reflects real defensive capital flows, not technical noise. With geopolitical risks still elevated, buy-the-dip remains the dominant strategy. No chasing highs. No FOMO after the GAP. Trade the pullback. React at FVG. Let structure confirm continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
XAUUSD – H1 Outlook: New All-Time HighXAUUSD – H1 Outlook: New ATH, Now Watch the Pullback Structure | Lana ✨ Gold has printed fresh all-time highs and is now trading near the $5,100 psychological area. After six consecutive bullish sessions, the trend is still strong — but at these levels, the market often needs a controlled pullback to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion. 📌 Quick Summary Trend: Bullish (strong momentum, new ATH) Timeframe: H1 Focus: Don’t chase highs → wait for pullback into structure Key idea: Pullback → hold support → continuation toward upper supply 📈 Market Structure & Price Action Price is moving inside a bullish expansion leg, and the current area is a typical “extended” zone where volatility can increase. A pullback toward the first clean structural support is healthy and often needed after a steep rally. As long as price holds above key supports, the bias remains continuation, not reversal. 🔍 Key Zones From the Chart 1) Upper Supply / Profit-taking Area 5100–5130 (approx.) This is the area where price is likely to face selling pressure / profit-taking, especially after a vertical rally. 2) Primary Support (Pullback Buy Zone) 5000–5020 This is the most important “structure retest” area on the chart — a logical zone for price to rebalance before continuation. 3) Deeper Value Zone (If Pullback Extends) 4750–4800 (Fibo value cluster on chart) If the market pulls deeper, this becomes the more attractive value zone to watch for stronger reactions. 4) Major Demand Zone (Extreme Support) 4590–4630 (lower purple demand area) This is a deeper base zone if the market shifts into a larger correction. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (Structure-Based) ✅ Scenario A (Primary): Buy the Pullback Into Structure Buy Entry: 5005 – 5015 SL: 4995 – 5000 (8–10 points below entry) TP Targets (scale out): TP1: 5065 – 5075 (retest of recent high) TP2: 5100 (psychological milestone) TP3: 5125 – 5135 (upper supply / extension zone) TP4: 5150+ (if breakout accepts) Idea: Let price come back to support, confirm, then ride the trend — no chasing. ✅ Scenario B (Alternative): Deeper Pullback Into Value If price fails to hold 5000–5020 and dips deeper: Buy Entry: 4760 – 4790 SL: 4750 – 4755 TP Targets: TP1: 4900 TP2: 5000 TP3: 5100 TP4: 5125 – 5135 🌍 Macro Context (Short & Relevant) Gold’s upside momentum is being supported by: Safe-haven flows amid ongoing geopolitical and trade uncertainty Expectations of further Fed easing Continued central bank buying Strong inflows into ETFs This backdrop helps explain why pullbacks are more likely to be profit-taking and positioning, not a structural trend change. ✨ Lana’s View Gold is bullish — but the best trades usually come from patience, not excitement. At ATH levels, Lana prefers buying pullbacks into structure, scaling out into targets, and letting the market do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 26/01/2025 Momentum – Weekly momentum (W1) has now turned bullish, therefore the uptrend is likely to continue for the next few weeks on the weekly timeframe. – Daily momentum (D1) is currently overlapping in the overbought zone, which warns that a potential reversal could occur during this week. – H4 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, so there is a high probability that price may continue to rise at the beginning of the Asian session. Wave Structure Weekly Wave Structure (W1) – On the weekly timeframe, a five-wave structure (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) in orange is forming, and price is most likely developing within an extended wave (5) in orange. – Inside the orange wave (5), we can observe a five-wave structure in blue, with price currently located in blue wave 5. – With weekly momentum having just turned bullish, wave (5) still has the potential to extend further. However, special attention is required: although momentum continues to support the bullish move, the price target of orange wave (5) has already reached the Fibonacci 1.0 projection of orange wave (1)–(3), therefore the risk of reversal in this zone is very high. Daily Wave Structure (D1) – Within the blue five-wave structure, price is currently located in blue wave 5. – Inside blue wave 5, an orange five-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) is developing, and price is most likely in orange wave 3 at the moment. – With daily momentum preparing to reverse in the overbought zone, this suggests that price may reverse to the downside during this week, thereby forming orange wave 4. H4 Wave Structure – On the H4 timeframe, a five-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in purple is forming, and price is currently in purple wave 5. – Inside purple wave 5, we continue to observe a five-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in black, with price most likely located in black wave 5. – There is currently a confluence zone of Fibonacci levels, measured from wave structures across different degrees, converging in the price range between 5010 and 5038. This indicates that this area is very likely to act as a strong resistance zone for the current bullish move. – If tomorrow’s D1 candle closes with confirmed bearish momentum reversal, and price fails to break above the 5010–5038 resistance zone, then this area is likely to mark the end of orange wave 3 on the D1 timeframe, with the market transitioning into orange wave 4 on D1. Trading Plan – A specific trading plan will be updated tomorrow, once more real price data and clearer confirmation signals are available.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1
XAUUSD - ATH confirmed, buy pullbacks to 5,100+Gold continues to trade in a strong ATH expansion phase, not a blow-off move. The latest impulsive rally confirms that buyers remain in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed quickly and efficiently. On the macro side, USD weakness persists, safe-haven flows remain active, and the market still prices only modest Fed easing — a combination that continues to support gold at elevated levels. At this stage, ATHs are no longer resistance — they are areas of acceptance. Structure & Price Action Bullish structure remains intact with clear Higher Highs – Higher Lows. No bearish CHoCH has formed despite the sharp upside extension. Current consolidation near the highs suggests continuation, not exhaustion. Pullbacks are corrective and aligned with the ascending trendline and demand zones. Key insight: ATH is being defended by structure → trend continuation remains the primary bias. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Focus on patience, not chasing price. BUY Zone 1: 4,984 – 4,970 (Former resistance turned demand + short-term rebalancing) BUY Zone 2: 4,928 – 4,910 (Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity absorption) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️ Avoid FOMO at the highs. Upside Targets (ATH Extension): TP1: 5,085 TP2: 5,120+ (extension if momentum sustains) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 5,085 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,910 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion, supported by both structure and macro flow. The edge is not predicting the top, but buying pullbacks into demand while the trend is intact. As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
HTF Bullish Context: Buy the Pullback, Not the Market Context Gold remains in a strong higher-timeframe bullish structure. Momentum is driven by sustained risk-off flows and persistent demand for safe-haven assets. In this environment, pullbacks are opportunities, not signs of reversal. Technical Structure (HTF → LTF Alignment) Price previously confirmed a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside. The latest impulsive leg created a clear bullish FVG. Current price is consolidating below 4,953, signaling a corrective pullback, not distribution. Structure remains intact as long as price holds above the key demand zone. Key Levels (Decision Zones) Current high: 4,953 Discount pullback zone (FVG): 4,906 – 4,887 Deep support / structure low: 4,810 Upside projection (1.618): 5,061 Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation If price reacts and holds above 4,900 FVG is respected → continuation toward 4,953, extension to 5,061 Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback If price loses 4,900 Expect a deeper retracement toward 4,810 Structure remains bullish unless HTF closes below 4,810 Summary This is a trend continuation environment. Chasing highs carries poor risk-reward. Buy the pullback. Respect the FVG. Let structure do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043Market Context Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended. This is continuation behavior, not distribution. The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish — but where the dip becomes opportunity. Technical Structure (H1) Market has already confirmed bullish BOS Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it Pullback is corrective in nature This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup. Key Zones to Watch Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970 Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940 Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899 Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880 As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact. Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary) If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds Buyers step in → continuation toward: 5,020 5,043 (1.618 extension) Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative) If price loses 4,933 Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899 Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure Summary Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend. The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs. This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
2
Next week: Will gold listen to the Fed… or the White House?🔎 Context Next week could be highly volatile as monetary policy and geopolitics converge. Donald Trump signaled a potential 100% tariff on Canadian goods if Canada moves closer to trade deals with China—raising trade-war risks. At the same time, military assets are being deployed en masse around Iran, heightening concerns that tensions could escalate. 👉 Safe-haven flows may return, with gold potentially opening the week gap-up and early buying. 🧠 Quick take Primary trend: Bullish At elevated prices: a short, sharp shakeout is possible to absorb liquidity No top/bottom calls—watch price reactions at key zones 📌 Key levels to watch 🟢 Supports: 4920–4900 | 4890–4882 | 4850–4830 | 4660–4640 🔴 Observation resistances: 5006–5030–5090 | 5110–5115 | Current ATH 🎭 Weekly scenarios (reference only) Early week: Gap-up / early push Pre-FOMC: Chop & liquidity sweep Then: Deep shakeout or base-building and continuation 👉 Distribution at the top—or just a pause before the next leg higher?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043 Market Context Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended. This is continuation behavior, not distribution. The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish — but where the dip becomes opportunity. Technical Structure (H1) Market has already confirmed bullish BOS Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it Pullback is corrective in nature This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup. Key Zones to Watch Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970 Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940 Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899 Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880 As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact. Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary) If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds Buyers step in → continuation toward: 5,020 5,043 (1.618 extension) Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative) If price loses 4,933 Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899 Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure Summary Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend. The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs. This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Weekly analysis of XAUUS/Gold with buy and sell scenarios...Gold has reached to Level 2 as we analysed few weeks back. Gold has created a strong weekly momentum candle showing positive sentiment. But there is divergence with volume. Candle is strongest amongst last four weekly candles while volume is lowest. On daily time frame there are consecutive 5 buy candles. RSI is also over 80 and oversold All these brings a caution So, price may take a pause or pull back to adjust pricing. Now we need to be cautious and plan for rangebound pull back. 1. Price has created higher highs in lower time frames and created micro structures. 2. Now price may pull back with some delivery change in lower time frames. 3. Still, we should be positive till delivery changes at 4H/1H TF. 4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (4H/1h/15m) at FVG zone. 6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HareeyMarketMantraah
2
BTCUSD Daily Chart – Corrective Phase with Potential Trendline BPrice Structure: Bitcoin is trading around $88,800, coming off a strong rejection from the $95k–$97k area. The broader structure since November shows a downtrend transitioning into consolidation, with recent price action respecting a rising diagonal trendline support (blue dashed line). Price is currently testing this trendline, making this a decision zone. Trend & Key Levels: Immediate Support: $87,500 – $88,000 (trendline + recent swing lows) Major Support: $83,000 – $85,000 (range bottom / demand zone) Immediate Resistance: $91,000 – $92,500 Major Resistance: $95,000 – $100,000 RSI (14): RSI is around 41.7, below the 50 midline but above oversold. This suggests weak momentum, yet not exhaustion. No strong bullish divergence is confirmed yet, but downside momentum is slowing. Awesome Oscillator (AO): AO remains negative, though histogram bars are flattening. This indicates bearish momentum is losing strength, not yet reversed. MACD (12,26,9): MACD is still below the zero line with a bearish crossover, but the histogram is contracting. This often precedes either sideways consolidation or a potential bullish reversal if price holds support. Overall Bias: Neutral to cautiously bullish if the trendline holds. A daily close below $87k would invalidate the trendline and open the door toward $83k–$80k. A strong bounce with volume could target $92k → $95k initially. Scenario Outlook: Bullish Scenario: Trendline holds → RSI curls up → MACD histogram flips positive → move toward $95k+ Bearish Scenario: Trendline breaks → increased selling pressure → retest of $83k support zone Conclusion: BTC is at a critical inflection point. Momentum indicators are weak but stabilizing, suggesting a possible short-term bounce, though confirmation requires a strong bullish daily close above $91k. Until then, expect choppy price action near support.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd