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Xauusdanalysis

XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043Market Context Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended. This is continuation behavior, not distribution. The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish — but where the dip becomes opportunity. Technical Structure (H1) Market has already confirmed bullish BOS Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it Pullback is corrective in nature This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup. Key Zones to Watch Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970 Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940 Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899 Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880 As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact. Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary) If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds Buyers step in → continuation toward: 5,020 5,043 (1.618 extension) Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative) If price loses 4,933 Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899 Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure Summary Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend. The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs. This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
2
Next week: Will gold listen to the Fed… or the White House?🔎 Context Next week could be highly volatile as monetary policy and geopolitics converge. Donald Trump signaled a potential 100% tariff on Canadian goods if Canada moves closer to trade deals with China—raising trade-war risks. At the same time, military assets are being deployed en masse around Iran, heightening concerns that tensions could escalate. 👉 Safe-haven flows may return, with gold potentially opening the week gap-up and early buying. 🧠 Quick take Primary trend: Bullish At elevated prices: a short, sharp shakeout is possible to absorb liquidity No top/bottom calls—watch price reactions at key zones 📌 Key levels to watch 🟢 Supports: 4920–4900 | 4890–4882 | 4850–4830 | 4660–4640 🔴 Observation resistances: 5006–5030–5090 | 5110–5115 | Current ATH 🎭 Weekly scenarios (reference only) Early week: Gap-up / early push Pre-FOMC: Chop & liquidity sweep Then: Deep shakeout or base-building and continuation 👉 Distribution at the top—or just a pause before the next leg higher?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043 Market Context Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended. This is continuation behavior, not distribution. The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish — but where the dip becomes opportunity. Technical Structure (H1) Market has already confirmed bullish BOS Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it Pullback is corrective in nature This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup. Key Zones to Watch Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970 Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940 Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899 Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880 As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact. Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary) If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds Buyers step in → continuation toward: 5,020 5,043 (1.618 extension) Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative) If price loses 4,933 Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899 Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure Summary Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend. The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs. This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Weekly analysis of XAUUS/Gold with buy and sell scenarios...Gold has reached to Level 2 as we analysed few weeks back. Gold has created a strong weekly momentum candle showing positive sentiment. But there is divergence with volume. Candle is strongest amongst last four weekly candles while volume is lowest. On daily time frame there are consecutive 5 buy candles. RSI is also over 80 and oversold All these brings a caution So, price may take a pause or pull back to adjust pricing. Now we need to be cautious and plan for rangebound pull back. 1. Price has created higher highs in lower time frames and created micro structures. 2. Now price may pull back with some delivery change in lower time frames. 3. Still, we should be positive till delivery changes at 4H/1H TF. 4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (4H/1h/15m) at FVG zone. 6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HareeyMarketMantraah
2
BTCUSD Daily Chart – Corrective Phase with Potential Trendline BPrice Structure: Bitcoin is trading around $88,800, coming off a strong rejection from the $95k–$97k area. The broader structure since November shows a downtrend transitioning into consolidation, with recent price action respecting a rising diagonal trendline support (blue dashed line). Price is currently testing this trendline, making this a decision zone. Trend & Key Levels: Immediate Support: $87,500 – $88,000 (trendline + recent swing lows) Major Support: $83,000 – $85,000 (range bottom / demand zone) Immediate Resistance: $91,000 – $92,500 Major Resistance: $95,000 – $100,000 RSI (14): RSI is around 41.7, below the 50 midline but above oversold. This suggests weak momentum, yet not exhaustion. No strong bullish divergence is confirmed yet, but downside momentum is slowing. Awesome Oscillator (AO): AO remains negative, though histogram bars are flattening. This indicates bearish momentum is losing strength, not yet reversed. MACD (12,26,9): MACD is still below the zero line with a bearish crossover, but the histogram is contracting. This often precedes either sideways consolidation or a potential bullish reversal if price holds support. Overall Bias: Neutral to cautiously bullish if the trendline holds. A daily close below $87k would invalidate the trendline and open the door toward $83k–$80k. A strong bounce with volume could target $92k → $95k initially. Scenario Outlook: Bullish Scenario: Trendline holds → RSI curls up → MACD histogram flips positive → move toward $95k+ Bearish Scenario: Trendline breaks → increased selling pressure → retest of $83k support zone Conclusion: BTC is at a critical inflection point. Momentum indicators are weak but stabilizing, suggesting a possible short-term bounce, though confirmation requires a strong bullish daily close above $91k. Until then, expect choppy price action near support.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD – H1: Strong UptrendXAUUSD – H1 Technical Outlook: Extension Risk Near Highs as Geopolitical Tension Builds | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade in a strong bullish structure, with price pushing higher along an ascending trendline. However, as the market approaches upper resistance zones, price action suggests the rally may be entering a more sensitive phase, where extension risk and volatility increase. 📈 Market Structure & Price Action The short-term trend remains bullish, with price respecting the rising trendline. Recent price action shows strong impulsive buying, followed by shallow pullbacks — a sign of aggressive demand. However, price is now trading near the upper boundary of the trend channel, where upside continuation often becomes less efficient and more reactive. The current structure favors continuation, but risk increases as price stretches further from value. 🔍 Key Technical Zones on H1 Immediate resistance / reaction zone: 4987 – 5000 This area represents a short-term ceiling where price may hesitate or form a temporary consolidation. Sell zone (extension area): 5053 – 5070 A premium zone where upside becomes increasingly extended and profit-taking or corrective reactions are more likely. Key support & value zones below: 4663 – 4629 (prior acceptance + structural support) 4595 – 4570 (deeper value area aligned with Fibonacci retracement) These lower zones remain important reference points if price transitions from extension into correction. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Primary scenario (bullish continuation): If price consolidates above 4987 and accepts higher, the market may extend into the 5053–5070 zone. Any move into this area should be monitored closely for exhaustion signals rather than late breakout chasing. Alternative scenario (pullback into structure): Failure to hold above 4987–5000 could trigger a corrective move back toward 4663–4629, where buyers may look to re-engage at better value. Lana prefers waiting for reactions at key zones, not chasing price when it is already extended. 🌍 Geopolitical Context (Why Volatility Matters Now) Recent reports indicate that the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group has entered the Indian Ocean, with expectations of moving toward the Arabian Sea in the coming days. The increased U.S. military presence in the Middle East, amid concerns of potential escalation involving Iran, adds a layer of geopolitical uncertainty. Historically, such developments tend to: Increase short-term volatility in gold Support gold as a hedge, while also triggering sharp profit-taking swings This backdrop reinforces the importance of risk management and patience, especially when price is trading near premium zones. 🧠 Lana’s Perspective Gold remains bullish, but not every bullish phase is a good place to buy. As price trades higher into premium and extension zones, Lana focuses on structure, value, and reaction, not emotional momentum. ✨ Respect the trend, manage extension risk, and let price come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam PlanXAUUSD (H3) – Liam Plan Late-stage expansion | Look for distribution and sell reactions Quick summary Gold has rallied aggressively and is now trading in late-stage bullish expansion, sitting near premium pricing after multiple impulsive legs. On the macro side, political commentary from Europe highlights a structural shift in global power: Europe’s influence is weakening as US–Russia discussions bypass Brussels. BRICS and SCO now represent over half of the world’s population. Calls for renewed EU–Russia energy cooperation underline long-term uncertainty in Europe’s geopolitical positioning. This backdrop keeps gold structurally supported, but at current levels, risk shifts toward distribution rather than clean continuation. Macro context (supportive, but asymmetric risk) The global balance of power continues to shift from West to East, reinforcing long-term demand for hard assets. However, much of the near-term geopolitical premium is already priced in after the recent vertical move. Result: upside continuation is possible, but risk/reward now favors reaction sells over fresh buys. ➡️ Conclusion: don’t fight the macro trend, but don’t chase price either. Technical view (H3 – based on the chart) Gold remains in a broader uptrend, but price action shows signs of deceleration and potential distribution near the highs. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Premium sell zone: 5000 – 5050 (upper range / distribution area) ✅ Sell reaction zone: 4920 – 4950 (local highs / rejection area) ✅ Bullish retracement support: 4700 – 4750 (fib + structure) ✅ Major liquidity / deep support: 4350 – 4450 Price is trading far above equilibrium, increasing the probability of rotation back into value or sell-side liquidity. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – late-stage reaction) A. SELL at premium / distribution zone ✅ Sell: 5000 – 5050 Condition: clear rejection / loss of momentum on M15–H1 SL: above the high TP1: 4920 TP2: 4750 TP3: 4450 (if distribution expands) Logic: Late-stage rallies often form rounded tops or distribution patterns before rotating lower. This zone favors risk-defined shorts, not breakout buys. B. SELL lower high / reaction ✅ Sell: 4920 – 4950 Condition: failure to hold highs + bearish shift on lower TF TP: 4750 → 4450 Logic: This area acts as a reaction zone inside the distribution range — ideal for tactical sells. 2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – value only) BUY only at deep retracement ✅ Buy zone: 4350 – 4450 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong bullish reaction TP: 4700 → 4920 Logic: This is the first area where long-term buyers regain a clear R:R edge. No interest in buying above value. Key notes Late-stage trends punish impatience. Avoid mid-range entries. Expect false breakouts near the highs. Confirmation > conviction. What’s your bias here: selling distribution near the highs, or waiting patiently for a deeper pullback into 4700–4450 value? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – Next Week Could Be Gold’s True Breakout MomentOver the past week, the market has shown something very different: Gold is no longer behaving like a typical safe-haven asset — it is trading as a fully accepted trend at a new price regime. 🔥 Why next week is critical for Gold USD continues to weaken, with DXY sliding toward multi-month lows → a strong tailwind for gold. ATHs are being broken without distribution, signaling institutional acceptance rather than emotional FOMO. Sell pressure at the highs is limited — buyers step in quickly on even shallow pullbacks. 👉 These are classic signs of a trend expansion phase, not a market top. 🧠 Structure perspective (Weekly → H1) Higher-timeframe structure remains clearly bullish (Higher Highs – Higher Lows). Recent pullbacks are rebalancing moves, with no confirmed bearish CHoCH. Weekly demand and IP zones continue to be defended → active smart-money participation. In simple terms: The market is no longer asking “Should we buy gold?” It is asking “Where is the next safe BUY?” 🎯 Primary bias for next week (MMF View) Priority: BUY pullbacks — not chasing ATHs Focus on entries at demand / IP zones. Avoid emotional buys at extension levels; healthy pullbacks are part of strong trends. The bigger picture: 👉 $5,000 is no longer just psychological — it is being technically priced in. ⚠️ What to watch Expect volatility around macro events and Fed expectations. Short-term noise is normal, but only a structural break changes the trend. 🧩 Final takeaway Gold is entering a phase where: ATHs are no longer ceilings, Pullbacks are opportunities, Patience outweighs prediction. In strong trends, traders don’t lose because they’re wrong — they lose because they’re impatient. Next week, the question isn’t “Will gold rise?” 👉 It’s “Can you follow the flow with discipline?”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | January 23, 2025 Momentum – Daily (D1) momentum is still in a preparing-to-reverse phase, but there is no confirmed signal yet. Therefore, at this stage, we continue to wait for a daily candle close to confirm the reversal. – H4 momentum is currently preparing to reverse to the downside, which suggests that on the H4 timeframe we may see a corrective bearish move in the coming sessions. – H1 momentum is approaching the oversold zone, indicating that in the short term on H1, a corrective bullish move is likely to appear soon. Wave Structure Daily (D1) timeframe – On D1, price remains within the blue wave 5 structure. – Price has already reached the projected target zone, therefore today we need to closely monitor the possibility of a reversal, especially as D1 momentum is also preparing to turn. H4 timeframe – On H4, the orange wave 3 structure is still developing, with an internal five-wave structure in green. – Currently, price is moving within green wave 5. – Once green wave 5 is completed, price will complete orange wave 3 and is expected to transition into the corrective phase of orange wave 4. H1 timeframe – Within green wave 5, we can observe a five-wave purple structure (1–2–3–4–5), with price currently positioned in purple wave 5. – Inside purple wave 5, the internal structure is likely forming five black waves (1–2–3–4–5). – At this point, price may have completed black wave 3 and is preparing to form black wave 4. – This scenario aligns well with H4 momentum preparing for a bearish reversal, reinforcing the corrective expectation. Target Zone & Confluence – The projected target for black wave 4 is currently estimated at the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement of wave 3, around the 4908 area. – This zone is also my preferred buy area, especially with the confluence of H4 momentum moving toward oversold conditions. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4909 – 4907 Stop Loss: 4889 Take Profit 1: 4929 Take Profit 2: 4957
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam Buying StrategyXAUUSD (H4) – Liam Continuation Plan Trend remains strong, but price is extended | Buy pullbacks, not highs Quick summary Gold continues to trade firmly within a strong bullish structure. Macro pressure on safe-haven demand has eased slightly as US–EU geopolitical and trade tensions cool, while rising oil prices (supported by Saudi Aramco’s demand outlook) keep inflation expectations alive. Despite the bullish trend, price is currently extended near the upper range, so execution today should focus on buying pullbacks at structure, not chasing breakouts. Macro context (supportive, but less explosive) Reduced geopolitical friction between the US and Europe has eased panic-driven flows. Oil prices pushing higher keeps inflation expectations sticky, limiting downside pressure on gold. USD remains relatively stable (USD/CAD holding firm), suggesting gold strength is structure-driven rather than pure fear trade. ➡️ Conclusion: trend-friendly environment, but volatility is now more technical than headline-driven. Technical view (H4 – based on the chart) Gold is respecting a clean ascending trendline, with impulsive legs followed by shallow pullbacks. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Upper extension / continuation target: 5000+ zone ✅ Bullish continuation buy zone: 4580 – 4620 (previous breakout + fib support) ✅ Trendline support: dynamic (ascending) ✅ Deeper correction support: 4400 – 4450 Price is currently trading above the 1.618 fib expansion, which increases the probability of short-term consolidation or pullback before continuation. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A. BUY pullback into structure (preferred setup) ✅ Buy zone: 4580 – 4620 Condition: hold above trendline + bullish reaction on M15–H1 SL: below structure / trendline TP1: recent high TP2: 4900 TP3: extension toward 5000+ Logic: This zone aligns with prior resistance turned support and fib retracement — a higher-probability continuation entry than buying highs. B. BUY deeper dip (only if volatility increases) ✅ Buy zone: 4400 – 4450 Condition: strong rejection / liquidity sweep TP: 4580 → 4800+ Logic: This is the last clean structural support within the current trend. A dip here would likely be corrective, not trend-ending. 2️⃣ SELL scenario (counter-trend, tactical only) ❌ No swing SELL bias while price holds above the ascending trendline. Shorts only make sense as very short-term scalps at highs with clear lower-TF rejection. Key notes Strong trends punish impatience — wait for pullbacks. Avoid entries mid-leg after impulsive candles. If price accelerates vertically without retrace, stand aside. What’s your approach: waiting for the 4580–4620 pullback to join the trend, or staying flat until a deeper correction toward 4450? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – H2 Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Liquidity Pullback Within a Strong Bullish Structure | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade within a well-defined bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent surge was impulsive, followed by a healthy retracement that appears to be rebalancing liquidity rather than signaling a trend reversal. Price action remains constructive as long as the market respects key structural levels and the ascending trendline. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows still intact. Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, which has acted as reliable dynamic support throughout the uptrend. The recent pullback occurred after an aggressive upside expansion, fitting the classic sequence: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation No clear distribution pattern is visible at this stage. As long as structural support holds, the bias remains BUY on pullbacks, not selling strength. 🔍 Key Technical Zones & Value Areas Primary Buy POC Zone: 4764 – 4770 This area represents a high-volume node (POC) and aligns closely with the rising trendline. It is a natural zone where price may rebalance before resuming the bullish trend. Secondary Value Area (VAL–VAH): 4714 – 4718 A deeper liquidity zone that could act as support if sell pressure temporarily increases. Near-term resistance: 4843 Acceptance above this level strengthens the continuation scenario. Psychological reaction zone: 4900 Likely to generate short-term hesitation or profit-taking. Higher-timeframe expansion targets: 5000 (psychological level) 2.618 Fibonacci extension, where major liquidity may be resting. 🎯 Trading Plan – H2 Structure-Based ✅ Primary Scenario: BUY the Pullback Buy Entry: 👉 4766 – 4770 Lana prefers to engage only if price pulls back into the POC zone and shows bullish confirmation on H1–H2 (trendline hold, strong rejection of lower prices, or bullish follow-through). Stop Loss: 👉 4756 – 4758 (Placed ~8–10 points below entry, beneath the POC zone and the ascending trendline) 🎯 Take Profit Targets (Scaled Exits) TP1: 4843 First resistance zone — partial profit-taking recommended. TP2: 4900 Psychological level with potential short-term reactions. TP3: 5000 Major psychological milestone and upside expansion target. TP4 (extension): 5050 – 5080 Area aligned with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension and higher-timeframe liquidity. The preferred approach is to scale out gradually and protect the position, adjusting risk as price confirms continuation. 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) According to Goldman Sachs, central banks in emerging markets are expected to continue diversifying reserves away from traditional assets and into gold. Average annual central bank gold purchases are projected to reach around 60 tons by 2026, reinforcing structural demand for gold. This ongoing accumulation supports the idea that pullbacks are more likely driven by positioning and profit-taking, rather than a shift in long-term fundamentals. 🧠 Lana’s View This remains a pullback within a bullish trend, not a bearish reversal. The focus stays on buying value at key liquidity zones, not chasing price at highs. Patience, structure, and disciplined execution remain the edge. ✨ Respect the trend, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – ATH now normal, $5,000 target.Market Context – When ATH Is No Longer a Spike Gold has entered a phase where every pullback is being aggressively bought, signaling strong institutional acceptance of higher prices. The market is no longer reacting emotionally to new highs — instead, ATHs are forming within structure, not as exhaustion. With: Persistent safe-haven demand A cautious Fed outlook Ongoing geopolitical and macro uncertainty ➡️ $5,000 is evolving from a psychological level into a realistic technical target. Structure & Price Action (H1) Bullish structure remains intact with Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Current declines are corrective pullbacks, not reversals — no bearish CHoCH confirmed. Price continues to respect the ascending channel and demand zones, confirming trend continuation. Key takeaway: 👉 No distribution signs at the top — ATHs are being defended by structure. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Focus on buying pullbacks, not chasing ATH: BUY Zone 1: 4,837 – 4,782 (Demand + trendline confluence) BUY Zone 2: 4,713 (Deeper IP / demand zone) ➡️ Execute BUYs only after clear bullish reactions. ➡️ Avoid FOMO at extended levels. Upside Targets (ATH Continuation): TP1: 4,919 TP2: 5,027 (Extension zone approaching the $5,000 milestone) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 4,919 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs. Invalidation H1 close below 4,713 invalidates the bullish structure and requires a full reassessment. Summary Gold remains in ATH continuation mode. The optimal strategy is not trying to top-pick, but patiently buying pullbacks in alignment with higher-timeframe flow. At this stage, $5,000 is no longer a question of “if” — only “when.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD (Gold) – Short-Term Bullish Rebound Within Broader ConsolPrice Action Gold has rebounded from the recent swing low near 4775–4780, forming higher lows. Price is moving along an ascending trendline (blue dashed line), indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the broader structure still looks like a range / consolidation after a prior impulsive move. RSI (14) RSI is around 54, back above the mid-line (50). Earlier bearish RSI divergence played out, but momentum is now recovering, suggesting buyers are regaining control. No overbought condition yet → room for further upside. Awesome Oscillator (AO) AO remains below zero, but red bars are shrinking. This signals waning bearish momentum and a potential shift toward bullish pressure. MACD (12,26,9) MACD is still slightly below the signal line, but histogram is contracting upward. Early signs of a bullish crossover forming if momentum continues. Key Levels Immediate Support: 4800 / 4775 Trend Support: Rising trendline from recent low Resistance: 4850 → 4875 Upside Extension: 4900+ if bullish continuation confirms
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
2
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Grab Completed, Buy the DipMarket Context Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, leaving behind multiple liquidity pockets and imbalance zones below. The current pullback is technical in nature, serving as a rebalancing phase after expansion rather than a trend reversal. From a macro perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious Fed outlook continue to support Gold, keeping the broader bias tilted to the upside. Technical Structure (H1 – MMF) Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows. The recent sell-off is a liquidity grab into previous demand zones. No confirmed bearish CHoCH at this stage. Price is still holding above the major H1 GAP liquidity zone. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Prefer BUY setups on pullbacks into: BUY zone 1: 4,759 – 4,729 BUY zone 2 (deep): 4,669 – 4,600 Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure hold. Avoid FOMO at premium levels. Upside Targets TP1: 4,817 TP2: 4,892 TP3: 4,898 (liquidity sweep zone) Alternative Scenario If price fails to hold above 4,729 and sweeps deeper liquidity into the GAP H1 zone, wait for re-accumulation signals before re-entering BUYs. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the bullish setup and requires a full structure reassessment. Summary The broader trend remains bullish. The current move is a corrective pullback into liquidity, offering high-quality buy-the-dip opportunities. Patience and confirmation remain key — let price come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
4
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 22/01/2026 1. Momentum – D1 momentum is currently preparing to reverse, which warns that the market may enter a corrective phase or move sideways for at least several days. We need to wait for today’s daily candle close to confirm this signal. – H4 momentum is preparing to reverse to the upside, signaling the possibility of a bullish move on the H4 timeframe today. This is an important move that needs to be closely monitored. – H1 momentum is currently rising and approaching the overbought zone, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is weakening. When H1 momentum enters the overbought area and reverses, a short-term corrective decline is likely to occur. 2. Wave Structure D1 Timeframe – On the daily timeframe, price is currently in the late stage of the blue wave 5. – At the same time, D1 momentum is preparing to reverse, therefore we need to wait for today’s daily close for confirmation. – If the D1 momentum reversal to the downside is confirmed, this would warn of a relatively extended corrective move following the D1 trend. – In that scenario, price may: – Move back inside the rising price channel – Test the lower boundary of the channel – Or even decline deeper toward the previous wave 4 base around 4276 – Therefore, we must anticipate and prepare for deeper corrective scenarios. H4 Timeframe – With yesterday’s decline, the current structure is likely forming orange wave 4. – Using the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of orange wave 3, the potential target zone for wave 4 is around 4667. – At the moment, H4 momentum is preparing to reverse upward, signaling that a bullish move may appear today. – This upward move is very important because: – If H4 momentum reverses up and reaches the overbought zone – But price fails to create a new high – This would warn of a deeper corrective process on the higher timeframe. H1 Timeframe – On H1, price has already reached the target of the purple wave 4. – However, there is currently a confluence of multiple wave 4 structures from higher timeframes, so caution is required. – H1 momentum is preparing to move into the overbought zone, which warns of a potential decline within the next few hours. – This decline creates an expectation that price may sweep liquidity below around 4737, which is the target zone for the Buy setup. 3. Expectations and Price Targets – After the corrective move, the next bullish leg will be very important due to the overlap of multiple wave structures on higher timeframes, meaning volatility is expected to be significant. – Therefore, profit targets should be set appropriately and managed flexibly. – The most ideal target for the bullish move is the completion of purple wave 5 around 4959. – However, as analyzed on the H4 timeframe: – If momentum rises but price fails to break the previous high – In that case, it is advisable to prioritize taking profits in this area, as it may signal the formation of wave 4 on the H4 timeframe, leading to a deeper decline. 4. Trading Plan – Buy setup: 4738 – 4736 – SL: 4728 – TP1: 4758 – TP2: 4816 – TP3: 4870
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Trendline broken, focus on Buying liquidityMarket Context After a strong impulsive rally, Gold has broken below the short-term ascending trendline, signaling a technical correction and liquidity rebalancing phase. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the current decline is still viewed as corrective rather than a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious monetary policy outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps deeper pullbacks attractive for institutional accumulation rather than aggressive selling. Structure & Price Action (H1) Short-term bullish trendline has been broken → transition into a corrective phase. No confirmed bearish CHoCH on H1 at this stage. Price is rotating within a range, targeting liquidity pools below. Multiple Demand + Liquidity + H1 GAP zones are located beneath current price. Upper zones remain Supply / Liquidity Sell areas for potential reactions. Key Levels to Watch Supply / Liquidity Sell: 4,949 – 4,874 Mid reaction zone: 4,824 Primary BUY zone: 4,755 – 4,729 Deep BUY zone (H1 GAP – Liquidity): 4,665 – 4,600 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy at Discount Look for BUY setups at: BUY zone 1: 4,755 – 4,729 BUY zone 2: 4,665 – 4,600 (H1 GAP & liquidity) Entries only after clear bullish reactions and structure holding. Avoid premature entries while price remains mid-range. Upside Targets TP1: 4,824 TP2: 4,874 TP3: 4,949 (upper liquidity sweep) Alternative Scenario If price fails to reach lower zones and holds above 4,824, wait for a break & retest to re-enter BUY positions in trend direction. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the BUY bias. Stand aside and reassess overall market structure. Summary The broader bullish bias remains intact, while the current move represents a healthy pullback for liquidity absorption. The optimal strategy is patience—BUY at discounted zones with confirmation, not by chasing price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Short-Term Trendline Broken, Focus on Buying Liquidity Market Context After a strong impulsive rally, Gold has broken below the short-term ascending trendline, signaling a technical correction and liquidity rebalancing phase. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the current decline is still viewed as corrective rather than a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious monetary policy outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps deeper pullbacks attractive for institutional accumulation rather than aggressive selling. Structure & Price Action (H1) Short-term bullish trendline has been broken → transition into a corrective phase. No confirmed bearish CHoCH on H1 at this stage. Price is rotating within a range, targeting liquidity pools below. Multiple Demand + Liquidity + H1 GAP zones are located beneath current price. Upper zones remain Supply / Liquidity Sell areas for potential reactions. Key Levels to Watch Supply / Liquidity Sell: 4,949 – 4,874 Mid reaction zone: 4,824 Primary BUY zone: 4,755 – 4,729 Deep BUY zone (H1 GAP – Liquidity): 4,665 – 4,600 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy at Discount Look for BUY setups at: BUY zone 1: 4,755 – 4,729 BUY zone 2: 4,665 – 4,600 (H1 GAP & liquidity) Entries only after clear bullish reactions and structure holding. Avoid premature entries while price remains mid-range. Upside Targets TP1: 4,824 TP2: 4,874 TP3: 4,949 (upper liquidity sweep) Alternative Scenario If price fails to reach lower zones and holds above 4,824, wait for a break & retest to re-enter BUY positions in trend direction. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the BUY bias. Stand aside and reassess overall market structure. Summary The broader bullish bias remains intact, while the current move represents a healthy pullback for liquidity absorption. The optimal strategy is patience—BUY at discounted zones with confirmation, not by chasing price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD 45-Minute Chart – Strong Uptrend with Overbought MomentumMarket Structure & Trend XAUUSD is in a clear bullish trend, respecting a rising trendline on the 45-minute timeframe. Price is making higher highs and higher lows, confirming strong upside momentum. Recent candles show continuation strength, not a reversal pattern yet. 2. RSI (14) RSI is around 75.8, firmly in overbought territory. Multiple bearish divergence labels are visible: Price makes higher highs RSI makes lower or flat highs This suggests bullish momentum is weakening, not that price must immediately fall. Interpretation: Overbought + divergence = risk of pullback or consolidation, especially near resistance. 3. Awesome Oscillator (AO) AO is strongly positive (~88) and rising. Green histogram dominance confirms bullish momentum is still active. Slight flattening at the top hints momentum may be peaking. 4. MACD (12,26) MACD line above signal line → bullish continuation Histogram is positive but losing expansion, aligning with RSI divergence. This often precedes pause or shallow correction, not an instant reversal. 5. Price Behavior Price is still above trendline support No decisive bearish engulfing or breakdown candle yet Buyers remain in control, but late buyers face higher risk
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
2
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong Uptrend Market Context (News → Flow) Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session. Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode: USD weakens amid political uncertainty Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection. Technical Structure (H1 – SMC) Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage ➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play Key Decision Zones Upper FVG: 4,765.425 Mid support: 4,727.188 Current impulse high: 4,883.900 These are reaction zones, not chase levels. Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation If price holds above 4,765.425 Bullish structure remains intact Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback If price loses 4,765.425 A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias Summary Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative. Gold is not reacting emotionally — it is pricing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong UptrendMarket Context (News → Flow) Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session. Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode: USD weakens amid political uncertainty Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection. Technical Structure (H1 – SMC) Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage ➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play Key Decision Zones Upper FVG: 4,765.425 Mid support: 4,727.188 Current impulse high: 4,883.900 These are reaction zones, not chase levels. Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation If price holds above 4,765.425 Bullish structure remains intact Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback If price loses 4,765.425 A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias Summary Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative. Gold is not reacting emotionally — it is pricing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – H2 Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Pullback Builds Value Before the Next Expansion | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent rally was clearly impulsive, and the current move looks like a technical pullback to rebalance liquidity, not a trend reversal. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context XAUUSD remains bullish, with the higher-high / higher-low structure still intact. Price is also respecting the ascending trendline, which has acted as key dynamic support throughout this uptrend. The current sequence aligns well with a classic bullish cycle: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation. As long as structural support holds, Lana’s primary bias remains: BUY with the trend, not sell against it. 🔍 Key Technical Zones & Value Areas Buy POC (Value Zone): 4764 – 4770 This area aligns with a high-volume node (POC/VAH) and the rising trendline, making it a strong value zone for dip-buying opportunities. Near-term resistance: 4843 A key level that needs to be re-accepted to confirm the next continuation leg. Psychological reaction zone: 4900 Likely to produce hesitation, profit-taking, or short-term volatility. Upper expansion targets: 5000 and potentially the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, where higher-timeframe liquidity may be resting. 🎯 Trading Plan (H2 Structure-Based) ✅ Primary Scenario: BUY the Pullback Buy entry: 👉 4766 – 4770 Lana prefers to engage only if price pulls back into the POC zone and shows bullish confirmation on H1–H2 (trendline hold, clear rebound / rejection of lower prices). Stop Loss: 👉 4756 – 4758 (Placed ~8–10 points below entry, under the POC zone and below the ascending trendline) 🎯 Take Profit Targets (Scaled Exits) TP1: 4843 First resistance — scale partial profits and reduce risk. TP2: 4900 Psychological level — expect possible reactions. TP3: 5000 Major psychological objective and expansion milestone. TP4 (extension): 5050 – 5080 Potential 2.618 Fibonacci extension / higher-timeframe liquidity zone. Lana’s approach is to scale out into targets, then protect the position by managing risk (e.g., moving SL to breakeven once price confirms continuation). 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) Gold remains supported by its role as a safe-haven and strategic reserve asset amid ongoing geopolitical and financial uncertainty. Recent headlines highlighting the rise in the value of large gold reserves reinforce that institutional demand for gold as a long-term hedge remains active, which supports the medium-term bullish bias. 🧠 Lana’s View This is a pullback within an uptrend, not a bearish reversal. Lana focuses on buying value, not chasing highs. Stay patient, trade the structure, and let price come into your zone. ✨ Respect the trend, stay disciplined, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2