Gold 1H – Bulls Seek Re-Entry Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extends its advance above $4,030 as traders position ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes and key U.S. inflation expectations data. The metal remains supported by persistent geopolitical risk and renewed central-bank demand, while Treasury yields hover near monthly lows.
However, sentiment is mixed after the IMF warned of slower global growth, keeping the dollar steady and prompting potential short-term corrections before continuation.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price structure shows a clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside following a higher-low formation. The market is currently reacting near premium liquidity at 4068–4066, where a rejection could trigger a retracement toward the discount buy zone at 3969–3971 before resuming the bullish leg.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3969–3971 (Discount Demand / FVG) – potential re-entry area for continuation buyers.
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4066 (Premium Liquidity) – possible engineered sweep zone for short-term sellers.
🔑 Key Levels
• BUY Zone: 3969–3971 (main support 3960)
• SELL Zone: 4068–4066 (liquidity pool)
• Psychological Resistance: 4070
• Intraday Pivot: 4035
💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3969–3971
SL: 3960
TP: 3980 – 3990 – 4005 – 4020 – 4035+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4068–4066
SL: 4075
TP: 4050 – 4035 – 4020 – 4000
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Expect liquidity sweeps near 4068 before the U.S. session. Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (ChoCH / BOS) before entry.
Volatility may spike around the Fed minutes, so partial profits and tight stop management are advised.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish above 3960, with intraday retracements likely before continuation.
Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates buy reactions around 3970 and short-term rejections at 4068, aligning with the current SMC structure and macro catalysts ahead of FOMC updates.
🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for live setups, liquidity plays, and real-time gold structure updates!
Xauusdanalysis
GOLD M30 – Bulls Defend $4,000, Eyes on 4,100+Gold’s historic surge above the $4,000 psychological barrier is now consolidating, with buyers defending the 3996$ support (Fibo 0.618 reaction). The structure remains bullish, while intraday traders are eyeing the next reaction zones for both continuation and scalp opportunities.
📊 Technical Levels to Watch (Fibo Matrix – M30)
3996$ Support Zone: Breakout retest + Fibo 0.618 → must-hold for bulls.
4018 – 4020: First intraday resistance, potential short-term reaction.
4043$: Expansion-based psychological barrier.
406x – 407x: Key SELL Reaction Zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618) → scalp rejection likely.
4095$+: Upper liquidity expansion, next major target if momentum extends.
🎯 Francis Trade Plan
✅ BUY Setup:
Entry: 3996 – 4000 zone.
Targets: 4018 → 4043 → 406x.
SL: Below 3984.
⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp only):
Entry: 406x – 407x reaction.
Targets: 4020 → 4000.
SL: Above 4096.
🔑 Francis View
The breakout at $4,000 signals strength, and bulls still dominate.
👉 Dips into 3996 support remain attractive BUY opportunities.
👉 Short-term scalpers can prepare for reaction SELLs around 406x – 407x.
📌 Bias: Bullish above $3996 – 4,100 zone remains the next liquidity magnet.
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERS
Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust increases in recent history.
Let's take a look at the key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇
🔻 SELL Scenario
SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980
SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980
🟩 BUY Scenario
BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
📈 Technical Analysis
The medium-term upward price channel continues to be stable.
Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong.
The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 zone, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension.
The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, once anticipated by many traders to reject gold prices, but now could become a strong demand zone.
🧭 Macroeconomic Perspective
If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market may aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce.
Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged:
US public debt is increasing
Central banks are diversifying foreign reserves
The USD is weakening
All of which support gold's medium-term upward trend.
⚡️Summary
Gold remains in a solid upward structure, even as it approaches overbought territory.
There might be strong corrections, but as long as the upward structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
GOLD XAU/USD – Intraday Plan | Bulls Targeting 4,000$Gold has once again proven its safe-haven dominance, pushing close to 3,980$ during the Asian session. Despite USD fluctuations and global market risk-on vibes, buyers remain firmly in control. The psychological milestone of 4,000$ is now directly in focus.
🔎 Technical Snapshot (M30)
Trend remains bullish, supported by the Fibo channel.
Dip-buying pressure continues to dominate intraday price action.
Sellers will only gain short-term control near the 3988 – 4000$ resistance zone.
🔑 Key Trading Levels
BUY Zone (Fibo 0.618): 395x → Ideal intraday demand.
Support Zone: 393x → Must hold for bullish structure.
Immediate Resistance: 397x → Current ATH zone.
SELL Reaction Zone: 3988 – 4000$ → Potential short scalp.
Major Resistance: 4000 – 4006$ → Strong psychological wall.
📌 Trading Plan (FranCi$$ Style)
✅ BUY on Dips
Entry: 395x – 393x
Targets: 3975 → 3988 → 4000$
Stop Loss: Below 392x
⚡ SELL Scalp
Entry: 3988 – 4000$
Targets: 3970 → 3950$
Stop Loss: Above 4015$
🎯 Final Take
Gold’s path remains upward, but the 4000$ barrier is where bulls meet the biggest challenge. Smart traders will look to buy dips for continuation and use scalp sells only at strong rejection zones.
🔥 Stay tuned with FranCi$$ for realtime intraday updates – precision signals, scalping setups, and golden opportunities!
XAUUSD – Waiting for breakout confirmation at 3956XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION & WAIT FOR NEW TREND CONFIRMATION WHEN BREAKING 3956
Hello trader 👋
Gold is fluctuating in a short-term accumulation phase, following a strong rally last week. The technical structure on the H1 frame shows the price is retesting the central support area around 3956, which will determine the next direction.
In the current context, price action is mainly restrained within the rising channel, but buying momentum has slowed. The market is waiting for new trend confirmation – either breaking up to the 4000 area or adjusting to lower support.
🔎 Technical Perspective
Fibonacci 0.618 – 1.618 indicates significant resistance at the 3997–4000 area, coinciding with a strong liquidity zone.
The medium-term uptrend line remains intact, however, the RSI momentum shows slight divergence – warning of a potential adjustment.
Key price areas to watch: 3956 – 3946 – 3927 – 3917.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenarios
🔴 Main SELL Scenario:
Entry: 3997 – 4000
Stop Loss: 4005
Take Profit: 3976 → 3945 → 3928 → 3910
👉 Sell at the Fibonacci extension area + psychological resistance 4000 (high liquidity zone).
🔴 SELL upon confirmation of breaking 3956:
Entry: 3959 – 3961
SL: 3965
TP: 3945 → 3928 → 3910
👉 Short-term breakout order when the price closes below 3956, confirming a daily downtrend.
🟢 BUY when price retraces to support:
Entry: 3942 – 3944
SL: 3938
TP: 3955 → 3970 → 3990
👉 Suitable for Buy strategy following the short rising channel, prioritised when there is a strong candlestick reaction.
🟢 BUY at deep support area (POC & Trendline):
Entry: 3900 – 3898
SL: 3892
TP: 3910 → 3928 → 3940 → 3955 → 3970
💡 Macro Perspective
Many major financial institutions have raised their December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900/oz, citing that central banks in emerging markets continue to diversify foreign exchange reserves into gold.
This reinforces the belief that the long-term uptrend remains robust.
📌 Summary:
Gold is in an accumulation phase waiting for a new direction around the 3956 area.
Strict capital management – the market may experience strong volatility when political news and US data return.
share your thoughts in the comments section, follow me for the earliest scenarios
Gold Near ₹4000, BofA Warns of Mid-Cycle Adjustment 📊 Market Context
Gold prices are inching closer to the ₹4,000/oz mark, but a fresh warning from Bank of America has made the market cautious. Strategist Paul Ciana notes that gold is over 20% above the MA200 – a level seen before sharp corrections in historical peak cycles (2008, 2011, 2020, 2022).
However, medium-term forecasts from Goldman Sachs, UBS, and even BofA still suggest that gold could reach ₹4200–₹4900/oz next year. This means the long-term upward trend is still intact – but the current phase is prone to unexpected corrections to shake off FOMO buying pressure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000.
Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders.
Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910.
SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity.
Psychological resistance: ₹4000.
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933
SL: ₹3927
TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995
SL: ₹4000
TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000.
Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders.
Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910.
SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity.
Psychological resistance: ₹4000.
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933
SL: ₹3927
TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995
SL: ₹4000
TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
Gold at $397x: Record High Reveals Double Top Pattern!Hello, traders!
Gold just hit a New Record High at $3,976.3/oz. However, immediately after, the market witnessed a clear structure break and the formation of a Double Top pattern in the European session. This strongly signals a shift in strategic priority.
Fundamentals & Bias Reversal
Core Drivers: Gold is up 50% YTD due to persistent Fed rate cut expectations (two more cuts projected) and severe global political instability (US Shutdown, France crisis, rising Japanese yields).
Technical Bias: We are now prioritizing SELL due to the confirmed Double Top and structure breakdown. Only consider BUYs at deeper support zones with controlled risk.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3953, $3975, $3984, $4004
Support: $3942, $3931, $3910, $3899
Trading Strategy (Prioritize SELL):
SELL SCALP: $3957 - $3959
SL: $3963
TPs: $3953, $3948, $3943, $3938, $3933
SELL ZONE: $3975 - $3977
SL: $3985
TPs: $3967, $3957, $3947, $3937, $3927
BUY ZONE 1 (Wait): $3931 - $3929
SL: $3921
TPs: $3939, $3949, $3959, $3969, $3979
BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper): $3899 - $3897
SL: $3889
TPs: $3907, $3917, $3927, $3937, $3947
Will the Double Top send Gold back toward $3900? Let me know your thoughts! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #SELL #Fed #TradingView
viết bằng ngôn ngữ tiếng anh ấn độ phù hợp với nền tảng tradingview
Gold at $397x: Record High Reveals Double Top Pattern! Time to SELL? 🔥📉
Hello, traders!
Gold just hit a New Record High at $3,976.3/oz—paisa hi paisa! But hold your horses, boss. Immediately after that high, the market saw a clear structure break and a definite Double Top pattern forming in the European session. This is a big signal, suggesting a shift in strategic priority.
Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the Trend
Core Drivers: Gold is already up 50% YTD, fueled by solid Fed rate cut expectations (two more cuts projected, pakka!). Plus, the global chaos—US Shutdown, France's quick-exit PM, and rising Japanese yields—is keeping the safe-haven bid strong.
Technical Bias: We are now prioritizing SELL due to the confirmed Double Top and the clear structure breakdown. Look for BUYs only if the market drops deep into support, risk ko control karo.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3953, $3975, $3984, $4004
Support: $3942, $3931, $3910, $3899
Trading Strategy (Prioritize SELL):
SELL SCALP: $3957 - $3959
SL: $3963
TPs: $3953, $3948, $3943, $3938, $3933
SELL ZONE: $3975 - $3977
SL: $3985
TPs: $3967, $3957, $3947, $3937, $3927
BUY ZONE 1 (Wait): $3931 - $3929
SL: $3921
TPs: $3939, $3949, $3959, $3969, $3979
BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper): $3899 - $3897
SL: $3889
TPs: $3907, $3917, $3927, $3937, $3947
Will this Double Top be the beginning of a correction, or is $4000 still in the cards? Tell me your move! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #SELL #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: What is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below.
1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂
Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" (Break of Structure).
Every time Gold breaks an old peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the upward trend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely overwhelming and shows no sign of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave."
2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐
To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is extremely important. Based on the chart, we have 2 noteworthy potential buying zones:
Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level, where prices often tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone.
Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave.
3. Target Conquest - What’s Gold’s Next Destination? 🎯
Once we have a buying position, where will our target be?
Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits.
Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is an important "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders of the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves.
Summary & Advice
Main trend: UP.
Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to important support zones.
Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG).
Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target).
Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for all your trades.
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN?
Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your opinions and perspectives in the comments below. We will discuss together to find the best opportunities!
👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analyses!
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected Before Key CPI Data💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is stabilizing below the $4,000 mark as traders await this week’s U.S. CPI data and fresh remarks from the Federal Reserve. After a strong multi-week rally, the metal is showing early exhaustion near premium liquidity zones, where engineered pullbacks often occur before continuation.
While the mid-term bias remains bullish, several analysts — including those from Citi and UBS — caution that gold could face short-term corrections if the dollar regains strength. The market continues to price in around a 65% probability of a December rate cut, keeping volatility elevated and sentiment uncertain.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price has slipped slightly below the ascending channel after consecutive BOS signals, indicating a potential short-term retracement before resuming the uptrend.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3932–3930 (Breakout & FVG zone) – an ideal discount area where buyers may re-enter the market.
🔴 Sell Zone: 4009–4007 (Premium liquidity) – a key region for short setups if price rejects strongly.
🔑 Key Levels
• BUY Zone: 3932–3930 (main support 3923)
• SELL Zone: 4009–4007 (liquidity reaction area)
• Psychological Resistance: 4000
💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3932–3930
SL: 3923
TP: 3945 – 3955 – 3965 – 3975 – 3980+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4009–4007
SL: 4016
TP: 3995 – 3980 – 3975 – 3965 – 3955
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 4000–4010 region acts as a high-liquidity magnet, where false breakouts and engineered sweeps may occur before reversals.
Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (BOS or rejection candle) before entry.
Avoid overleveraging ahead of CPI — expect volatility spikes and rapid shifts in sentiment.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish but vulnerable to intraday retracements near 4009–4007. Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates potential buy reactions from 3932–3930 and short-term rejections near 4009–4007. Holding above 3923 keeps the bullish outlook intact with upside targets toward 3970–3980.
🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time updates, live setups, and advanced SMC insights as gold reacts to CPI data this week!
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAINXAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAIN
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently moving sideways after a strong previous surge. The market is temporarily lacking momentum as the US government remains shut, causing economic data to be delayed – this reduces liquidity and makes many short-term traders hesitant to open new positions.
Currently, the price structure remains within the upward channel, but there are signs of accumulation and tug-of-war around key resistance – support zones. Therefore, the suitable strategy at this stage is “Buy at support zones, Sell at psychological resistance”, combined with POC (Point of Control) on Volume Profile to identify the price area with the highest liquidity.
⚙️ Technical Structure
The overall trend remains bullish, however, short-term corrective waves may appear as the price approaches strong resistance zones.
Thick volume areas clearly shown on the chart are where large investors are accumulating or distributing orders.
RSI is currently in the neutral zone → no overbought signals yet, so the possibility of range-bound movement remains high.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenario
🔴 SELL ZONE (Strong resistance – priority sell reaction)
Entry: 3,970 – 3,972
SL: 3,977
TP: 3,952 → 3,935 → 3,920 → 3,905
👉 Note: This is a psychological resistance zone – confluence between the upper edge of the price channel and the previous volume peak.
🔴 SELL SCALPING (short-term sell when support breaks)
Entry: 3,923 – 3,925 (wait for support break confirmation)
SL: 3,930
TP: 3,910 → 3,900 → 3,885 → 3,860
🟢 BUY ZONE (buy at support + POC volume profile)
Entry: 3,883 – 3,885
SL: 3,875
TP: 3,900 → 3,915 → 3,940 → 3,965 → 4,000
👉 This is a strong technical support zone, coinciding with the POC of Volume Profile – high liquidity, high rebound potential.
💡 Insights & Notes
The upward price channel remains intact, but buying power is gradually weakening, making short-term corrections likely.
Be patient and wait for directional confirmation before entering trades, avoid FOMO during sideways phases.
Limited news this week due to the US political situation → market is prone to tug-of-war, low volatility.
📌 Summary:
Buy at liquidity support zone (3,883–3,885).
Sell reaction at psychological resistance zone (3,970–3,972).
Maintain a flexible mindset within the fluctuation range, wait for clear confirmation signals to increase winning rates.
Stay updated with new gold articles by following me
LiamTrading – Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark?
Hello everyone,
Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term correction.
According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “too hot,” and a mid-cycle correction could occur soon.
📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation)
Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming:
The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal zone.
The Buy zone 3963–3965 is the retest point of local support, where sellers often tend to take short-term profits.
The Wolfe trend line indicates the possibility that the price will take liquidity above the peak zone before a corrective decline appears.
If a correction occurs, the 3940–3955 zone will be the first reaction area, where strong buying support is present.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy retest:
📍 3963–3965
🛑 SL: 3960
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000
Sell following Wolfe wave:
📍 3988–3990
🛑 SL: 3995
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945
🧭 Medium-term Outlook
Although the upward momentum remains dominant, the momentum is gradually decreasing and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation rhythm.
Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback, before gold gains momentum to advance to the ATH zone of $4000 in the late-week sessions.
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short correction is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure.
Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo zones – Volume Profile – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern.
I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily.
👉 Follow me to not miss important wave rhythms!
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 7, 2025)📊
________________________________________
🔹 Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
Yesterday’s D1 candle closed and confirmed that the upward move is still continuing.
However, momentum has started to turn in the overbought zone, indicating that the upside move may not last long — this is a typical overextension signal, often seen at the top of a wave.
H4 Timeframe:
Momentum on H4 is reversing in the overbought zone, meaning the short-term uptrend can still continue today, but traders should be cautious as this is a sensitive area for potential reversals.
H1 Timeframe:
Momentum on H1 is turning upward, suggesting there could be one more short-term bullish push before exhaustion.
➡️ Conclusion:
Over the past few days, price has diverged from momentum across multiple timeframes — a classic sign of a potential top formation.
👉 Be extremely cautious with long-term positions.
________________________________________
📈 COT (Commitment of Traders) Analysis
Commercials:
Currently 18% Long / 82% Short — this means hedgers are heavily shorting to protect against downside risk.
This behavior is typically seen at major tops.
Institutional Traders:
Holding 83% Long / 17% Short, showing extreme bullish sentiment among large funds.
Such sentiment often appears near market peaks.
Retail Traders:
69% Long / 31% Short, indicating that retail traders are FOMO-buying, which reflects a classic crowd behavior at the top.
🧭 Summary:
The current COT data strongly warns of a potential top formation in the market.
Notes:
• Commercials: Hedgers trading against the main trend to reduce business risk.
• Institutionals: Large speculative funds trading with the main trend.
• Retail Traders: Small investors, usually following market emotion.
________________________________________
🌊 Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
Price remains within wave 5 (yellow).
Momentum is in the overbought zone, so a correction could occur anytime.
→ For now, use the wave structure and price channel to observe potential topping reactions.
H4 Timeframe:
Wave 5 (purple) is approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 target around 3986.
Combined with D1 momentum still slightly rising within the overbought zone, price may continue higher for 1–2 more days before turning down.
According to additional H1 measurement, the second target lies at 4006.
H1 Timeframe:
The 5-wave (black) structure has been relabeled based on the latest data.
Calculated projection shows Wave 5 = 0.618 of Waves 1–3, targeting 4006.
→ The potential target zone is 3985 – 4006.
Currently, momentum divergence against price is developing — this typically happens in the final wave of a trend.
Combined with COT’s top warning, the market is now slow and choppy, consistent with a distribution and topping phase.
________________________________________
🧭 Trading Plan
• Maintain strict discipline at this stage.
• Reduce position size and avoid holding long-term trades.
• Wait for clear top confirmation before planning the next swing setup.
________________________________________
👉 Summary: Wave 5 is likely completing. Both momentum and COT warn of a potential top — stay patient, observe reactions, and avoid large positions until a confirmed reversal appears.
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context
Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil.
US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold.
Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal.
Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”.
👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline.
BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum.
BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally.
SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps.
Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618).
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883
SELL Zone: 3949–3950
Resistance: 3950, 3994
Support: 3900, 3880
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902
SL: 3898
TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883
SL: 3878
TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ???
⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950
SL: 3955
TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation.
Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones.
Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements.
✅ Summary
Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
GOLD Marching Toward $4,000 Zone? Gold Holds Firm Above 3,900Gold starts the week with relentless bullish momentum, breaking through 3,900 USD for the first time and eyeing new record highs.
The rally is fueled by safe-haven demand as the US government shutdown drags on and market expectations grow for an upcoming Fed rate cut. Despite a stronger USD and risk appetite in equities, gold buyers remain firmly in control.
🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix)
📍 Reaction Buy Zones
3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 support) → Short-term demand pocket.
386x (Fibo 0.618 H1) → Stronger liquidity-backed support, high-probability rebound zone.
📍 Reaction Sell Zones
393x – 394x (Fibo Extension 1.5 – 1.618) → Intraday resistance, possible rejection.
4,000 (Psychological Round Level) → Key psychological barrier; heavy liquidity likely.
🎯 Trade Plan
1️⃣ BUY Scenario
Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x, wait for bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3925 → 3940 → 4000.
Stop Loss: Below 3850.
2️⃣ SELL (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 393x – 394x or rejection at 4000.
Targets: 3900 → 3884.
Stop Loss: Above 3952.
⚡ Key Insights
Trend bias remains bullish → Prefer long setups from strong Fibo supports.
3925 is the immediate hurdle, 4000 the ultimate psychological wall.
Watch USD volatility and Fed commentary for intraday direction.
💬 What’s your take, India?
Do you expect Gold to hit 4,000 this week, or will sellers defend the zone? Drop your setups 👇
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis:
The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios:
Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run.
Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical Outlook:
Support: $3,855 / $3,785
Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935
Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline
Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
Gold Hits $394x! New ATH: Fed & BoJ Drive the Rally.Hello, traders!
Gold (XAU/USD) has just delivered a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after comfortably breaching that $3900 level. This strength, bhai, is getting serious support from two big monetary policy moves: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new PM. Paisa hi paisa!
Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the FOMO
Dual Drivers: Market sentiment is clear—the Fed is expected to cut rates two more times, and the dovish BoJ outlook only adds more fuel, creating a rock-solid foundation for Gold.
Safe-Haven: The continuous US Shutdown drama and geopolitical tensions are keeping that safe-haven bid strong.
FOMO Warning: The momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high. Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to secure a safer entry point. Discipline is key, boss.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3954, $3963
Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908
SL: $3904
TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893
SL: $3885
TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966
SL: $3974
TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916
Are you placing your bets on a $4000 target this week? Let me know your plan! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldFever
LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave continues
Hello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritise precious metals.
Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with price reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendline, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend: Strong upward, Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact
Main Support Zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with Fibo 1.0 confluence + upward trendline
Psychological Resistance Zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo extension 2.0 – 3.6
RSI is moving into the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying force but short-term correction signs need to be observed.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping
📍 3909 – 3911
🛑 SL: 3904
🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990
Buy swing
📍 3888 – 3890
🛑 SL: 3882
🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990
Sell scalping
📍 3956 – 3958
🛑 SL: 3964
🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890
Sell swing
📍 3997 – 3999
🛑 SL: 4010
🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925
🧭 Trend Analysis
With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term.
The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, watch for pullbacks to optimise entry, and avoid FOMO at the peak.
Adjustments to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions.
💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session.
Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent
✳️ Hello to all traders,
Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities.
📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure
From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable.
🔹 Break of Structure (BoS):
Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant.
Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Demand Zone:
After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate.
Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally.
🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit
If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend.
🔸 US Government Shutdown:
This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets.
Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets.
🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates:
The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset.
🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data:
The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty.
In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role.
🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan
When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced.
Strategy:
Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169.
Entry signals:
Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as:
Pin bar candles, engulfing
Or BoS on the M15 chart
Targets:
Short-term: $3950 – $3990
Long-term: Target “+1000 pips”
Risk management:
Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account.
🧭 Conclusion
The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers:
USD is under downward pressure
Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold
The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally
The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture.
👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity.
💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
Gold 1H – Liquidity Plays Between 3794 and 3918Gold on the 1H timeframe is fluctuating within a defined range after multiple ChoCH signals, with liquidity concentrated at both premium supply and discount demand. Current price action suggests engineered sweeps remain likely: upside liquidity sits near 3918–3916, while downside support aligns with 3794–3796. This dual structure sets up both tactical sell and buy plays depending on liquidity grabs.
From the macro perspective, gold traders are balancing caution ahead of upcoming U.S. data releases with the backdrop of a resilient dollar and persistent geopolitical risks. These drivers reinforce intraday volatility, where engineered liquidity hunts at extremes provide clearer opportunities.
⸻
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3918–3916 (SL 3925): Premium supply sweep zone. Downside targets at 3896 → 3872 → 3853.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3794–3796 (SL 3788): Discount demand aligned with structural lows. Upside targets at 3819 → 3853 → 3872+.
⸻
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Grab at 3918–3916
• Entry: 3918–3916
• Stop Loss: 3925
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3896
• TP2: 3872
• TP3: 3853
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand at 3794–3796
• Entry: 3794–3796
• Stop Loss: 3788
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3819
• TP2: 3853
• TP3: 3872+
⸻
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains liquidity-driven and range-bound, with engineered sweeps expected at both premium highs and discount lows. Flexibility is crucial: fade rallies into the 3918 supply zone, while preparing to scale into longs if liquidity clears into the 3794 demand base.
Gold 1H – Will CPI Repricing Push Gold Into FVG Reversal?Gold on the 1H timeframe is reacting near 3,928 after a clean structure break and buildup toward the premium zone 3960–3958, where liquidity remains above recent highs. Market structure shows a bullish impulse leg forming, but engineered sweeps at premium supply are likely before continuation. The defined FVG buy zone around 3840–3842 marks discount territory for potential re-entry if price retraces deeper.
From the macro side, gold is consolidating as traders brace for this week’s U.S. CPI data and renewed Treasury yield volatility. The dollar’s firm tone and cautious risk sentiment following stronger U.S. job figures are keeping gold capped near short-term supply. Still, geopolitical tensions and central-bank demand continue to provide underlying support, reinforcing the buy-on-dip narrative toward year-end.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3960–3958 (SL 3967): Premium liquidity sweep zone targeting retracement toward 3940 → 3900.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3840–3842 (SL 3833): Discount demand and FVG mitigation aligned with higher-timeframe support. Upside targets 3860 → 3880 → 3900+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep at 3960–3958
• Entry: 3960–3958
• Stop Loss: 3967
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3940
• TP2: 3920
• TP3: 3900
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Mitigation at 3840–3842
• Entry: 3840–3842
• Stop Loss: 3833
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3860
• TP2: 3880
• TP3: 3900+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains liquidity-driven within a mid-range structure. Expect engineered sweeps into 3960–3958 before deeper pullbacks into discount demand near 3840–3842. Tactical bias favors fading rallies at premium while preparing to join the continuation move from discount FVG support if CPI-related volatility clears the liquidity pools.
New ATH: Shutdown Fuels Gold's Seventh Straight WinHello, traders!
Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, boss, with futures hitting a whopping $3,908.9/oz. This rally is powered by growing tension over the US Government Shutdown and the solid expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October, no less!).
Fundamentals & Outlook: Pure Safe-Haven Rally
Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a proper bullish driver now. It's delaying key economic reports, creating huge uncertainty, and attracting big safe-haven capital flows.
Rate Cut Certainty: The market is absolutely banking on a Fed rate cut, giving massive support to non-yielding Gold.
Technicals & Trading Strategy: Focus on $3867
The weekly buying power is super strong. Gold is holding steady near the $3900 mark. The $3867 level is our critical line, bhai; if the price stays above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942
Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865
SL: $3857
TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915
BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827
SL: $3824
TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887
SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904
SL: $3912
TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864
SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944
SL: $3952
TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904
What's your view? Will the US political drama help Gold finally break past $3900 next week? Tell me below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldRush