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Xauusdanalysis

GOLD DIVE—Sniping the $405x Dip Before FOMC!Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is correcting sharply, dropping 1.10% towards $4,065. This weakness is driven by trade optimism, but the underlying Fed rate cut expectation keeps our BUY ON DIPS strategy highly profitable! 🧠 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY (MIND) Bears' Power: Trade optimism is pushing safe-haven assets down. Sellers are targeting the recent uptrend structure. Bulls' Anchor: Weak US inflation data means a Fed rate cut is almost certain (25 bps expected). This long-term USD weakness acts as a floor for Gold. Action Bias: BUY THE DIP at critical Fibo supports, anticipating the Fed decision to fuel the next rally. 📊 KEY LEVELS & ACTION ZONES (H1) We are using the Fibo retracement from the recent high to define our optimal entry points. 🎯 SELL TARGET / CEILING: $4,164.938 (Zone 416x). This is the immediate resistance and the ultimate target for the Long trade. 🔥 HIGH-CONVICTION BUY ZONE: $4,048.493 (Fibo 0.5 Zone 405x). The optimal entry to maximize risk/reward. Strategy: Wait for a clean tag and H1/M30 reversal signal here. ⚡️ SCALP BUY REACT ZONE: $4,077.605 (Zone 407x). A quick bounce area for aggressive buyers. ❌ INVALIDATION: SL must be placed safely below the 0.618 Fibo level of the 405x zone. 📈 TRADING PLAN SUMMARY (DIP BUY) Entry Focus: Prioritize the $4,048.493 (405x) Fibo Zone for a high-quality Long entry. SL Placement: Strict SL below the 0.618 Fibo of the 405x zone. TP Target: Aim for the recent high at $4,164.938 (416x). 💬 TRADER'S QUESTION The drop is here! Are you buying the aggressive 407x level or patiently waiting for the optimal 405x Fibo zone before the expected Fed cut rally?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
[XAUUSD] New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop - Watch for Selling at Liquidity Zone $4195 Hello traders community, The new week begins with XAUUSD (Gold) being "restrained" in a sideways structure. However, don't let this calm deceive you. Technically, this is an accumulation pattern with a clear bearish bias. The market is in "wait" mode, and patience will be the key to catching the next big wave. 📰 MACRO ANALYSIS: TUG OF WAR AHEAD OF FOMC The market is caught between two opposing streams of information: Bearish Pressure: Positive signs of a US-China trade deal are reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, putting pressure on Gold prices. Bullish Support: The weakening USD due to expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates, inadvertently provides some short-term support for the precious metal. Decisive Factor: Traders are "lying low" waiting for this week's two-day monetary policy meeting (FOMC). This will be the main event, determining the medium-term trend of USD and Gold. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: CONTINUATION OF BEARISH STRUCTURE The H1 chart shows a very clear "Sell" scenario: Price Structure: After a strong drop from the peak, the price is moving sideways in an accumulation pattern of a bearish pennant. This is a continuation structure, indicating that the Sellers are "resting" before pushing the price further down. Ideal Sell Zone: The $4195 zone is an extremely strong resistance confluence, marked as "Liquidity strong" on the chart. This is the 0.5 Fibonacci level, the "golden" retracement point of the entire previous decline. This is the old support zone now turned into new resistance. Optimal Scenario: We will wait for the price to pull back to test the $4195 liquidity zone. This is an opportunity for Sellers to enter the market with low risk and high profit potential. 🎯 TRADING PLAN (SELL SETUP) Absolute priority is to Watch for Selling (Sell) in line with the main trend. ENTRY (Sell): $4195 STOP LOSS: $4205 TAKE PROFIT: TP1: $4168-TP2: $4145-TP3: $4122-TP4: $4102 SUMMARY In the context of the market awaiting FOMC news, Gold is likely to make a final "pullback" to the $4195 zone before continuing its downtrend. Be patient and wait for signals at this ideal sell zone. Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Awaits FOMC Breakout While Holding Key Liquidity BaseMarket Overview: Gold remains trapped in a tight range as traders weigh optimism from US–China trade progress against cautious expectations for the upcoming FOMC meeting. The macro picture feels balanced: risk sentiment improves, yet the weaker USD and lingering Fed cut expectations quietly support the metal. In essence, gold isn’t trending — it’s coiling. Liquidity is being built, not lost. Every test of 4,050–4,060 shows strong absorption, while short-term sellers are still defending the 4,186–4,260 region. The market is waiting for a trigger, and the FOMC might be the one that decides which side breaks first. Technical Structure (H1) Price continues to respect the ascending support trendline from 4,003 and the neckline resistance near 4,107. This structure has the DNA of a compression model — narrowing volatility, thinning liquidity, preparing for expansion. If the support at 4,050 holds, a retest of 4,107 → 4,186 remains likely before the next decision point. Conversely, a liquidity sweep under 4,002 could form the last dip before a bigger rally unfolds. Key Structural Levels: Support / Accumulation Zone: 4,058 – 4,050 Mid-Level Pivot / Neckline: 4,107 Upper Supply Zone: 4,186 – 4,260 Deep Liquidity Pool: 4,002 – 3,930 MMFLOW Perspective: For now, gold is accumulating energy — this is not a breakout market, it’s a build-up market. Price action above 4,050 still favours the bulls, but conviction will only return once we see a clean break beyond 4,186. Ahead of FOMC, patience is strategy. The next wave won’t come from guessing policy — it’ll come from reading the flow once volatility hits. Summary: Gold’s structure remains stable — liquidity is concentrated below 4,050, and compression continues within the 4,060–4,186 band. Bias stays neutral-to-bullish as long as the liquidity base holds. 📊 What’s your take? Will the FOMC spark the breakout, or is gold just reloading for the next wave? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for institutional flow analysis and smart money structure updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Ready for a Rebound Wave?🔍 Market Context After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above . However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has clearly shown signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal uptrend line, indicating that buying momentum is returning. The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term rebound wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone. The buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline. 💎 Key Technical Structure Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying forces have appeared. Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → the short-term trend remains bullish. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”. Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum. Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking zone or point to consider reversal. Current structure: → Short-term: bullish corrective move. → Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if it holds above 4,040 USD. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD Entry: 4,060 – 4,070 SL: 4,035 TP1: 4,149 TP2: 4,185 TP3: 4,243 ✅ Condition: Price touches the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing). ➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing the trendline structure + liquidity support zone, often where large buyers re-enter the market. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD Entry: 4,149 – 4,155 SL: 4,130 TP1: 4,185 TP2: 4,243 ✅ Condition: Wait for the price to break the resistance zone 4,149 with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing the candle below 4,130. ➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD. 3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp Reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD Entry: 4,240 – 4,245 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,185 → 4,150 ✅ Condition: Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal. ➡️ Short-term technical sell – exploiting the supply zone reaction, do not hold the position long. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend. If H2 closes the candle below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalid, wait for a new structure. Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,090–4,130). Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when the price exceeds 4,149. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in an ascending re-accumulation phase after a strong decline. As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, there is a high chance gold will rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD . If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market may trigger a stronger recovery momentum towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD . 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation. Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher. 🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.” ⏰ Timeframe: 2H 📅 Update: 27/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD: Structure Broken! Can the Fed Rate Cut Save Gold?Gold has just completed its first losing week in 10, after a historic rally. Following the record peak of $4,381.21, Gold experienced a sharp correction driven by profit-taking and easing US-China trade tensions. However, weaker-than-expected US CPI data has strongly reinforced expectations for an upcoming Fed rate cut, creating a significant market conflict. I. MARKET CONTEXT ANALYSIS (H4) Structure: The prior bullish structure has been broken, shifting the bias to bearish in the short term. Liquidity: Market forces are now targeting key stop-loss zones to collect liquidity before the next major move. Strategy: We look to Sell when price pulls back to the Supply Zone (Premium) and Buy when price sweeps liquidity into the strong Demand Zone. II. DETAILED TRADING PLAN 1. SELL Scenario 📉 (At Supply Zones) Trade 1: Entry: $4,202 - $4,204 SL: $4,212 TP: $4,194 / $4,184 / $4,174 / $4,164 Trade 2: Entry: $4,252 - $4,256 SL: $4,272 TP: $4,236 / $4,216 / $4,196 / $4,176 2. BUY Scenario 📈 (At Demand Zones) Trade 1: Entry: $4,158 - $4,161 SL: $4,151 TP: $4,168 / $4,178 / $4,188 / $4,198 Trade 2 (Critical): Entry: $3,966 - $3,969 (Strong Demand Zone, post-liquidity sweep) SL: $3,949 TP: $3,989 / $4,009 / $4,029 / $4,049 III. RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE Capital: Always limit risk to ≤ 1% of capital per trade. Confirmation: Prioritize waiting for reversal confirmation on lower timeframes (M15/M5) to optimize Risk/Reward ratio. This is the decisive moment! Trade safe and good luck! #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #Forex #Trading #Fed #Inflation
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Rebounds as CPI Cools and USD WeakensMarket Overview: Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals. CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November. As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz. Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart. Technical Outlook (H2): The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg. Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones. Key Technical Levels: Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002 Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940 Resistance / Neckline: 4,211 Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342 Trading Plan – MMFLOW View 🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play) Entry: 4,058 – 4,050 Stop Loss: 4,035 Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260 🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario) Entry: 4,002 – 3,930 Stop Loss: 3,915 Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211 Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues. 🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade) Entry: 4,260 – 4,342 Stop Loss: 4,355 Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058 Weekly Bias & Summary: With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle. However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback. 🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy. Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week. 📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD, Whats the Trend? If Pattern Breaks out?#Gold (#XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 24, 2025 Current Market Bias: **BEARISH** Gold is currently trading at 4,109.12, positioned within a critical decision zone. The price action shows a developing #Descendingtriangle pattern with a clear resistance trendline connecting the recent highs around 4,150-4,200. Key Observations: The market has failed to break above the dynamic resistance multiple times, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price is currently hovering near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (4,153.81) but struggling to maintain above it. The horizontal support around 4,015 has been tested multiple times, forming the base of this triangle pattern. #Breakout Scenarios: 📉 Bearish Breakdown (Higher Probability) If the horizontal support at 4,015 breaks decisively: - First Target: 3,918 (1.272 Fibonacci extension) - Second Target: 3,865 (1.414 Fibonacci extension) - Extended Target: 3,791 (1.618 Fibonacci extension) - Major Support: 3,652 (2.0 Fibonacci extension) This breakdown would represent a continuation of the corrective move from the all-time highs, potentially triggering significant selling pressure as stop-losses are triggered below 4,000. 📈 #Bullish Breakout (Alternative Scenario) If price breaks above the descending resistance trendline AND reclaims 4,150-4,200: - First Target: 4,250 - Extended Target: 4,300 (previous highs) This would invalidate the bearish triangle pattern and could trigger a rally back toward recent highs. #Risk Management The pattern suggests a #risk-reward favoring short positions on breakdown confirmation. Traders should wait for a decisive close below 4,015 with increased volume before entering bearish positions. Stop-loss above 4,150 would be prudent for short positions. Current stance: Monitor the 4,015 support closely - a break here opens the door to significant downside.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by earnwhileulearn
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 24, 2025) 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: • D1 momentum is closing within the oversold zone → bearish strength has clearly weakened. • The probability of a bullish reversal is now very high. • A strong bullish D1 candle close is needed to confirm the reversal. • Once confirmed, price may enter a 5-day bullish rally. H4 Timeframe: • H4 momentum is still declining. • If the current H4 candle closes as it is now, we may see a main bearish move today (around 5 H4 candles). • Since today is Friday, a deeper decline remains possible. → Therefore, careful observation and analysis are required before entering any trades. H1 Timeframe: • H1 momentum continues to decline. • Price may drop toward the 4098 liquidity zone. • If this level breaks, the next potential target is 4050. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: • Price has been moving sideways for several days. • In Elliott Wave theory, when price reaches its target, it often needs time symmetry before the wave completes. • Therefore, this prolonged sideways phase helps maintain time balance. • It’s still too early to confirm whether this is yellow Wave 4 or just Wave 4 within yellow Wave 3. H4 Structure: • There are two possible scenarios: 1. The blue Y wave is still unfolding. 2. The purple Wave 5 has already started forming. • To determine which scenario is valid, we monitor the current H4 bearish phase: o If price does not break the previous low, and H4 momentum enters the oversold zone, it likely indicates purple Wave 5 has begun, with an upside target near 4476. o If price breaks the previous low, the blue Y corrective wave is still in progress, or a larger corrective structure is unfolding. o In that case, we’ll watch the lower liquidity zones, with the ideal completion target for Wave Y around 3927. H1 Structure: • On the H1 chart, Wave C appears to have completed in the form of an Ending Triangle. • According to Elliott theory, after an ending triangle, price should drop sharply and quickly. • However, such a strong drop hasn’t appeared yet, so we continue to observe the price action carefully. There are two main scenarios to consider: 1. If price declines slowly toward the 4050 liquidity zone, showing overlapping waves while H4 momentum moves into the oversold region, it’s likely that Wave 5 has already started. → In this case, we’ll look for buying opportunities. 2. If price falls rapidly and steeply, it suggests that the blue Y wave is still unfolding, or that the market is inside a larger corrective phase. → In this case, price may break below 4004, and we will patiently wait for buy setups around 3953 or 3927. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trading Plan • Sell Setup: o Yesterday’s sell zone at 4149 has already reached about +400 pips. o No new ideal sell zone for now → wait for liquidity breaks to look for the next sell setup. • Buy Setup: o Monitor potential buy reactions at:  4050  3953  3927 ⚠️ Note: Price is currently at a sensitive zone, with each candle showing a range over 200 pips. → Therefore, limit orders are highly risky at the moment and could easily get stopped out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🔱 VALHALLA CORE — XAUUSD (1H) TRADE PLAN Date: 24 Oct 2025 🧭 Market Outlook: Gold dropped hard from the 4,150 area after rejecting the Golden Zone (50–61.8% retracement). Now heading toward our main BUYING ZONE at 4,012–4,004 where we’ll look for a bullish setup. 📉 If Price Pulls Back Up: Sell zone: 4,092–4,150 (Golden Area / Supply zone) SL: Above 4,165 TP1: 4,035 TP2: 4,010 (Buying Zone) 📈 If Price Drops to Buying Zone: Buy zone: 4,012–4,004 SL: Below 3,995 TP1: 4,092 TP2: 4,120–4,150 💡 Plan Summary: Short from the Golden Area = continuation trade. Buy from the Buying Zone = reversal setup. Wait for 1H confirmation before entry (strong candle or rejection wick). Always move SL to BE after TP1 hits.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by VALHALLA-FX
Gold Stuck Near ₹4,100 Ahead of CPIMarket Pulse: Gold is holding steady around ₹4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks. The yellow metal has paused its recovery from ₹4,050 → ₹4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices. This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave. If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above ₹4,155–₹4,160 and opening the path toward ₹4,215 → ₹4,261. But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the ₹4,056 and ₹4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30) Price continues to coil within a tight structure between ₹4,100 – ₹4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance. Market flow suggests accumulation beneath ₹4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion. Key Structure Zones: Resistance Pivot: ₹4,154 – ₹4,155 → Key breakout level Breakout Support (CP Zone): ₹4,056 – ₹4,060 Liquidity Buy Zone: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020 Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): ₹4,215 – ₹4,261 🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style 🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base Entry: ₹4,056 – ₹4,060 Stop Loss: ₹4,045 Targets: ₹4,100 → ₹4,140 → ₹4,155 Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation. 🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup Entry: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020 Stop Loss: ₹4,005 Targets: ₹4,056 → ₹4,100 → ₹4,150 If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow. 🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend. The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above ₹4,056. A confirmed breakout above ₹4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward ₹4,215–₹4,260, while a break below ₹4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush. ⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms. 📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
$4,005 BROKEN! GOLD READY FOR CPI COLLAPSEFranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan (H1 Focus) Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has attracted sellers and is now trading below $4,100. With the US CPI release looming, the DOWNSIDE BREAKDOWN is our highest conviction scenario! 1. Market Snapshot Current State: Gold is consolidating in a Sideway Zone between $4,159 (Resistance) and $4,005 (Critical Support). Pressure: The recent break below $4,100$ and the recovering USD are key bearish factors. The Catalyst: US CPI today. A hot inflation print will fuel the USD and shatter the $4,005$ floor. Dominant Risk: Break below $4,005.438$ confirms the major bearish trend targeting $3,889$. 2. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT) 💰 We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support. Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005.438$. (Wait for H1 close confirmation). STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159.686$. Placed safely above the Sideway Resistance. TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,938.128 (Fibo Target). TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.330 (Ultimate Structural Target). 3. Contingency Scenario (LONG) ⬆️ Activate LONG: Only if Gold decisively breaks $4,159.686$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,237.334. Note: High-risk counter-trend trade, likely requiring a major negative surprise from the CPI report. Community Interaction 🚀 The CPI is coming! Will the data be hot enough to smash $4,005$? Or is the Sideway Zone here to stay? Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Maintains Re-Accumulation Above OB, Wave Recovery Target🔍 Market Context After a sharp decline from the ATH GOLD 4,371 USD peak, gold has completed a liquidity sweep around the 4,010 USD bottom and formed a stable accumulation zone above the Order Block 4,080 USD . The buyers are gradually regaining control as the price holds firm at the OB and shows signs of short-term supply absorption. The Resistance 4,149 USD zone is currently a temporary barrier; if successfully breached – gold could trigger a recovery wave towards the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones at 4,197 and 4,235 USD. The current price structure leans towards a bullish retracement structure – prioritising buy orders when the price reacts from the active demand zone. 💎 Key Technical Structure Order Block (OB): 4,080 – 4,085 USD → crucial support zone, confluence with Fibo 0.786, serving as an accumulation base. Resistance (Breakout Level): 4,149 USD → confirmation zone for upward direction, requires decisive breakout. FVG1: 4,197 – 4,210 USD → first target, short-term supply test zone. FVG2: 4,225 – 4,235 USD → confluence resistance zone, potential profit-taking for recovery wave. ATH GOLD: 4,371 USD → long-term resistance, expanded target if the market maintains strong buying flow. Overall Structure: → Short-term: bullish recovery. → Medium-term: re-accumulation after a deep correction phase. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,080 USD Entry: 4,080 – 4,085 SL: 4,060 TP1: 4,149 TP2: 4,197 TP3: 4,235 ✅ Condition: Wait for the price to retrace to the OB zone and show clear bullish reversal signals (rejection or bullish engulfing). ➡️ This is a classic “Buy the Dip” setup – aligning with the recovery structure, with high probability due to OB + strong Fibonacci confluence. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest zone 4,149 USD Entry: 4,149 – 4,155 SL: 4,130 TP1: 4,197 TP2: 4,235 ✅ Condition: Price breaks through the 4,149 resistance zone with good volume and lightly retests, without closing candles below 4,130. ➡️ Trend-following setup, aligning with the flow when the market confirms a short-term resistance break. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at FVG 4,235 USD (short-term) Entry: 4,230 – 4,235 SL: 4,245 TP: 4,197 → 4,150 ✅ Condition: If gold reacts weakly and there is no follow-up buy at the FVG2 zone → a short-term technical sell can be considered on pullback. ➡️ Short-term sell – only execute if there is no confirmation of continued upward movement. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise BUY according to the main structure (retracement bullish). Do not FOMO buy within the zone (4,110 – 4,130). If H1 closes candles below 4,060 → invalidates the bullish scenario, wait for structure reconstruction. Maintain moderate order size when trading around the FVG zone to avoid noise. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in the process of re-accumulation and preparing for a technical recovery phase. As long as the price holds the Order Block 4,080 USD zone, the recovery structure remains valid, and the feasible target is 4,197 → 4,235 USD . If it breaks through 4,235 USD, the market could extend the rally towards the 4,300 – 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,080 → TP 4,197 / 4,235. Buy more when 4,149 break confirms upward direction. Sell short reaction at 4,235 if there is no signal of continued break. 🔥 “Patience at the base — profits come to those who wait for the OB reaction.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 24/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: GEMING! US-RUSSIA TENSION DI MANA MAU ENTRY?Gold ($4,140/oz) has bounced back nicely after a big drop from the top. This strength is mostly because of the new US sanctions on Russia (more geopolitical heat!) and everyone is waiting for the key US Inflation Data (today, 24/10). Basically, the fundamentals are giving Gold a strong support! 📌 TECHNICALS & THE GAME PLAN (H1) Crucial Resistance (Level Berat): $4,180 - $4,186 Action: Jual (Sell) if price reaches this level and gets rejected. Beli (Buy) only if it breaks decisively above $4,186 for a big continuation. The 'Sweet Spot' Support (Area Cuan): $4,085 - $4,091 Action: Bias BUY. This is the 'Buy The Dip' opportunity. Watch for bullish confirmation here—this is a high-value area. Safety Net (SL Aman): Below $4,057 If this level is lost, watch out! Pressure will mount to push Gold towards $4,000. 💡 VERDICT & STRATEGY Gold is currently consolidating. With all this strong news backing it up, the best strategy is to look for BUY entries around the established support zone. Ideal Entry: $4,085 - $4,091 Stop Loss (SL): Below $4,057 Target (TP): Aim for $4,180 Yuk, trading hati-hati! Don't forget to keep an eye on US Inflation later! 🚀 #XAUUSD #Emas #ForexIndonesia #TradingViewID #Geopolitik #AnalisaTeknikal #BuyTheDip #TradingStrategy #SinyalEmas
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 23, 2025) 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: • The D1 momentum is now in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal at any moment. • Once we see a D1 candle close with a bullish confirmation, it could trigger 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead. H4 Timeframe: • The H4 momentum is currently overbought, indicating a possible downward correction during today’s session. H1 Timeframe: • The H1 momentum is now turning upward, meaning price may rise slightly or move sideways in the short term. • Watch two key liquidity zones: 4098 and 4143. If H1 momentum reaches the overbought zone around these levels, it will align with the H4 bearish momentum, creating a strong resistance area. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: • The D1 momentum is preparing to reverse, showing that the current decline is weakening. • A short-term recovery wave is likely to appear soon. • As discussed in yesterday’s plan, we must observe the upcoming bullish move to confirm whether the recent downtrend has completed. H4 Structure: • The H4 momentum is overbought, meaning a bearish reversal may happen soon. • Price movement is slow and overlapping, suggesting that the next decline could be either: o Wave 4 of Wave Y (blue), or o A larger corrective phase if momentum fully shifts downward. H1 Structure: • The current formation may be developing as a Flat or a Triangle correction. o If it’s a Flat, the 4143 level is a potential completion zone for Wave C (black), after which price could resume its decline. o If it’s a Triangle, the pattern is not yet complete — confirmation will come when price breaks below the lower boundary, offering a Sell opportunity. 🎯 Target zone if the decline unfolds: • Based on the H4 momentum cycle (typically lasting 4–5 candles), • And according to Fibonacci projection, Wave 5 of Wave Y (blue) targets around 3927. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trading Plan • The current H1 candle range is very wide (300–400 pips), while my typical stop-loss size is 100–150 pips. • This makes limit orders risky in the current environment. • Therefore, it’s better to wait for clear confirmation before entering trades, rather than placing early limit orders. 🔹 Sell Zones: • 4143 and 4190 – expected top areas of this correction. • Additionally, if price breaks above liquidity zones and then retests, these can serve as Sell entries aligned with the H4 downward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context After a prolonged decline from the peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below. The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum. This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues. 💎 Key Technical Structure Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders. Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): • FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave. • FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance. OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend. Current market structure: → Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone). → Medium-term: waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD Entry: 4,081 – 4,085 SL: 4,060 TP1: 4,196 TP2: 4,234 TP3: 4,370 ✅ Conditions: Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15. ➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD Entry: 4,196 – 4,200 SL: 4,180 TP: 4,234 → 4,370 ✅ Conditions: The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180. ➡️ Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone. 📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 4,234 – 4,240 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,196 → 4,100 ✅ Conditions: If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear. ➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction. Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180). If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders. 💬 Conclusion Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal . Two important zones to monitor: 4,081 USD (OB Zone): first rebound support zone. 4,234 USD (FVG Zone): zone confirming a new upward structure. If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD. Sell reaction 4,234 USD only when a clear reversal signal appears. 🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 23/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.” 🔍 Market Context After reaching the historic peak ATH GOLD 4,381 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe. Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak. The sellers are regaining short-term dominance, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — which was the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend. If this zone is decisively broken, it is highly likely that the medium-term bullish structure will break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD. 💎 Technical Analysis Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction. Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, may see a temporary pause. Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum creation zone → ATH; if breached, long-term bullish structure is invalidated. Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken. Overall Structure: → Short-term: bearish corrective phase. → Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not broken. 📉 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone Entry: 4,216 – 4,228 SL: 4,240 TP1: 4,043 TP2: 3,956 TP3: 3,689 ✅ Condition: Wait for a clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at the FVG resistance zone. ➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow post-ChoCH, targeting the key OB zone 3,953 USD. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD Entry: 3,956 – 3,953 SL: 3,940 TP: 4,043 → 4,216 ✅ Condition: Price holds OB and a strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again). ➡️ This is the decisive zone for the medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if it breaks, gold enters a new deep decline cycle. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 with reversal signals. BUY at 3,953 only with a clear reaction; if broken, cease all buy orders. When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD. 💬 Conclusion Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) . If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280; but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase towards 3,689 USD – where a large liquidity pool is concentrated at the bottom. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if clear reversal signals appear. Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if strong reaction; If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritise SELL continuation. 🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H – reference H4/Daily 📅 Update: 22/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Kindly Wait for SELL at $4185📰 FUNDAMENTALS (Context is Key) Gold has seen a massive drop—sharpest since 2013, mind you—after hitting that record high of $4,398. This steep fall is primarily technical profit-booking, not any major panga (trouble) on the macro side. The core drivers (inflation, uncertainties) for Gold are still intact, pakka (surely), for the long term. However, short-term, a good correction is compulsory. 📊 TECHNICALS (1H Chart Basis) Market Structure Shift (MSS) Done: The price has given a proper Breakout of the strong support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone is now our New Resistance—the best place for selling, no doubt. The market is currently undergoing a Technical Pullback. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (Actionables) Our main focus is to SELL at the Resistance re-test, which aligns nicely with the changed market structure. 1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade) SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185 SL (Stop Loss): $4193 TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145 2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp) BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055 SL (Stop Loss): $4030 TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185 🔥 Expert Mandate: Kindly wait for the price to revert to the $4183 - 4185 zone. That is where you Do the needful and look for a SELL (Short) setup. The Risk-Reward is quite handsome. Please ensure strict risk management (1-2% capital) is followed. What is your good name for this market? BUY or SELL? Leave your comments and Kindly Follow for the timely updates! #XAUUSD #GOLD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis: Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line. A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high. Key Levels: Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200 Target (Bullish): 4,383 Outlook: Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. KSE:GFH KSE:AGLTY KSE:SENERGY KSE:KFH KSE:CLEANING KSE:NCCI KSE:EKTTITAB KSE:EQUIPMENT KSE:NIH KSE:THURAYA KSE:FUTUREKID KSE:ALEID KSE:URC KSE:URC KSE:ARKAN
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAUUSD – Awaiting a Breakout to Confirm the Next Bullish WaveGold remains under pressure, trading slightly below 4,100 USD/oz despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak global sentiment. On the higher timeframe, the structure still respects its ascending channel, showing no signs of a deep breakdown yet. During the early Asian session, renewed buying interest has started to emerge, supported by a stable inflow of safe-haven demand. Technically, price is attempting to form a bullish continuation structure (Dow wave) around the 4,110 zone. If a breakout above this key level occurs, gold could accelerate toward 4,155, and potentially extend into a corrective bullish wave targeting 4,220–4,260, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement confluence and the CP/OBS sell zone on the chart. Technical Outlook (M30): Price action suggests a potential wave recovery structure forming after last week’s steep decline. The 4,155 level acts as a key inflection point — it will decide whether bulls regain control or bears push for another correction. Key Levels: CP Zone Up / Breakout Base: 4,053 – 4,055 Short-Term Key Level: 4,110 – 4,115 Mid-Level Resistance: 4,155 (structure pivot) Fibo Sell Zone / Wave End Target: 4,220 – 4,263 Trading Plan: 🔹BUY Setup #1 💥Entry: 4,020 – 4,018 ❌Stop Loss: 4,010 ✔️Take Profit: 4,030 → 4,035 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,100 ⏸Bias: Reaccumulation Phase (structure support) 🔹BUY Setup #2 (Scalp Play) 🔔Entry: 4,053 – 4,051 ❌Stop Loss: 4,043 ✔️Take Profit: 4,060 → 4,070 → 4,080 → 4,090 → 4,100 → 4,150 ⏸Note: Ideal for intraday traders watching the breakout base. 🔹SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone) 📊Entry: 4,263 – 4,265 ❌Stop Loss: 4,273 ✔️Take Profit: 4,255 → 4,250 → 4,240 → 4,230 → 4,220 → 4,210 → 4,200 ⭐️Summary: Gold continues to consolidate above 4,050, showing signs of early recovery after the recent 3,000-pip correction. The 4,155 level remains the key pivot for short-term direction — a breakout here could confirm a Wave 3–5 recovery structure, while rejection could bring one more pullback. Macro and geopolitical uncertainty still favour safe-haven flows, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as 4,000–4,020 holds. 📊What’s your take — will gold break above 4,155 to start a new bullish wave, or reject and extend the correction further?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal. The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern. Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest. The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow. Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests. 📊 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis: The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout. Key observations: Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum. Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones. Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest. Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
SELLOFF IMMINENT GOLD TRAPP Final Warning Before $4000 COLLAPSEWelcome Traders! The Gold market (XAU/USD) is tightly constrained, and the pressure from the USD, combined with the technical breakdown risk, makes the SHORT scenario our highest conviction trade! 1. Sharp Technical Analysis The H1 chart confirms a Bearish Consolidation structure after the steep drop from $4,370$. The price is locked in a high-stakes "No-Trade Zone". Dominant Trend: BEARISH (following the breakdown of the Double Top pattern at $4,100$). Consolidation Range (No-Trade Zone): Price is squeezed between $4,005 (Support) and $4,159 (Resistance). Bear Flag Warning: A highly probable Bear Flag pattern is forming, suggesting an explosive downside move upon breakout. Action Mandate: WAIT FOR THE BREAKDOWN CONFIRMATION! 2. Fundamental Analysis: USD Fueling the Drop USD Strength: The USD sustained its upward momentum, increasing the burden on Gold. While a slight pullback occurred at the US open, the overall positive USD momentum remains a significant bearish factor. Impact: Consistent USD demand makes a decisive break above $4,159$ highly unlikely. This heavily favors the scenario where Gold breaches the critical $4,000$ support. 3. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT) We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support. Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005$. Confirm with an H1 candle closing decisively beneath this level. STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159$. Placed safely above the No-Trade Zone Resistance. TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,955.772. The next structural support target. TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.251. The final objective, aligning with the larger pattern target. Contingency Scenario (LONG) Activate LONG: ONLY if Gold decisively breaks $4,159$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,332.127. Note: This is a counter-trend, high-risk trade requiring massive news to justify. Community Interaction 🚀 Are you ready for the break? Will Gold collapse to $3,889$ or surprise us with a break of $4,159$? Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01