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Xauusdanalysis

$4,381 WAS THE FAKE TOP? Gold -5.5%: MSS Confirms SELL!XAU/USD Solid Analysis: Historic Dump and Structure-Based Trade Setup! 1. Fundamental Shock Analysis (Market ka Bhaav) Gold's massive 5.5% fall from its All-Time High (ATH) of $4,381 is a big profit-booking spree after that superb 60% rally this year. This correction was full-on and was pushed by: USD is Strong: Dollar index ne zor pakda (gained strength), making Gold less attractive. Sentiment Change: Market ka bhaav (market sentiment) shifted to Risk-On. The Gist: This is basically a Liquidity Sweep, yaar. They are washing out the weak players before the next big move. 2. Technical Analysis (MSS & Execution) The price action has given a pakka (confirmed) signal: Trend to change ho gaya hai (The trend has changed)! MSS Confirmed: The Market Structure Shift (MSS) is locked at $4,254.549. This is our Supply Zone now—the key resistance for the bears. Demand Testing: Gold is trying to hold the current Order Block (OB) at $4,077. Preferred Strategy: SELL as per the MSS structure. This is the main funda (fundamental principle) now. Optimal SELL Zone: Wait for the retracement to the Supply Zone $4,254.549 (A great limit order setup). Target (TP): TP 1: $4,008 (The crucial psychological $4k level). TP 2: $3,944 - $3,904 (Strong support ka area). Stop Loss (SL): Tight SL above $4,260 (Protecting the MSS point, no compromise). Conclusion: Bhaiyon, don't get trapped by the small bounce. $4,254.549 is the high-conviction point for a short trade on Gold! #GOLD #XAUUSD #MSS #LiquiditySweep #SELLSignal #PakkaTrade
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold) based on your chart:Chart Summary Current Price: Around $4,140 Trend Lines: A descending trade line shows the overall short-term bearish trend. Support Zone: Clearly marked between $4,080 – $4,120 (“SUPPORT BUY ZONE”). Target: The upside target is labeled near $4,383. Technical Outlook 🔹 Support Zone Reaction Price recently dipped into the support buy zone, forming a potential bullish reversal wick. This area is acting as a strong demand zone, attracting buyers around $4,100. 🔹 Downtrend Channel The pair remains under a downward-sloping trade line, suggesting the short-term market bias is still bearish. However, a breakout above this trendline could trigger bullish continuation toward the $4,383 target. 🔹 Short-Term Scenario Bullish Case (Primary Plan): If gold holds above the support zone ($4,080–$4,120) and breaks the trendline resistance (~$4,200), → next target area: $4,300–$4,383. Confirmation comes with a clear candle close above $4,200. Bearish Case (Alternative Plan): If price fails to break the descending trade line and drops below $4,080, → possible continuation toward $4,040 – $4,000. Key Levels Type Level (USD) Description 🎯 Target 4,383 Major resistance / profit zone ⚔️ Resistance 4,200 Descending trendline zone 🛒 Support Zone 4,080–4,120 Demand / Buy zone ❌ Invalid Below 4,080 Break below = bearish continuation Summary 📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently retesting its support zone, showing early signs of a bullish rebound. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could lead to a rally toward $4,380. However, losing support below $4,080 would invalidate the bullish setup and reintroduce downside risk. EUREX:FDAX1! ICEEUR:BRN1! ICEEUR:WBS1! EUREX:FESX1! EUREX:FGBL1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:GWM1! ICEEUR:Z1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FGBM1! ICEEUR:W1! ICEEUR:RC1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold 1H – Bearish Reaction After Consecutive Gains🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context After several sessions of steady gains, gold is showing signs of exhaustion as U.S. Treasury yields stabilize and traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s next move. The market’s focus today is on U.S. housing data and Fed officials’ remarks, which could shape expectations for the December policy outlook. • A hawkish tone from policymakers may strengthen the dollar and pressure gold lower. • Conversely, softer remarks could briefly trigger buying around key discount zones, but the overall tone remains corrective after the recent rally. Market liquidity is concentrated near the ₹4,230 area — where price may tap into unmitigated supply before continuing its bearish leg. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: The overall bias has shifted bearish following consecutive ChoCH and BOS formations. • Premium Zone: The 4,230–4,228 area aligns with an H1 order block and previous liquidity pool — a prime zone for short re-entry. • Liquidity Sweep: The recent upside push toward 4,230 may sweep late buyers before the next bearish leg unfolds. • Discount Zone: Short-term liquidity may rest around 4,080–4,100, which aligns with previous sell-side imbalance (SSI) and acts as an intraday reaction zone. 🔴 Sell Setup • Entry: 4,230 – 4,228 • Stop-Loss: 4,240 • Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,080 → 4,050+ 🟢 Buy Scalp Setup (Short-Term Countermove) • Entry: 4,081 – 4,083 • Stop-Loss: 4,074 • Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,115 (Only valid if liquidity sweep confirms reaction within discount zone) ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Confirm M15 BOS/ChoCH before entry — avoid blind orders during news. • Reduce position size for scalp entries; primary directional bias remains bearish. • Lock partial profits near first liquidity targets and trail stops as structure confirms continuation. ✅ Summary Gold faces near-term correction pressure after multiple bullish sessions. The 4,230–4,228 zone offers a clean premium OB entry for continuation shorts, while reactive buyers may scalp intraday from 4,081 if liquidity sweeps occur. Stay adaptive — today’s sentiment is short-term bearish within a larger range-bound structure. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD RECOVERS: H1 Bounces at $4,150 – Sniping the Fibo SELL Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Weak USD & CPI Focus Drive Recovery Gold price gained some traction in early European trading on Wednesday, recovering above the $4,150 level. Primary Driver: The weaker US Dollar (USD) is currently supporting the price recovery. Mixed Forces: Easing US-China trade tensions are putting some pressure on Gold, but this is offset by Fed rate cut expectations and general market uncertainty, which should limit the downside. Key Event: Traders are keenly focused on the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation report for September this Friday. Any sign of hotter-than-expected US inflation could lift the USD and pressure Gold in the short term. Technical Bias: After the DOUBLE TOP DUMP and a +3000 PIPS move down, the market is now attempting a corrective rally. Our strategy is to SELL the strong Fibo/Volume resistance (Sell on Rally) before looking for the next BUY zone. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the recent major market reversal from the Double Top and the current corrective bounce (Referencing image_43ce7f.png), we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are the primary resistance zones for executing SELL trades, anticipating the continuation of the post-dump correction: REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200: This is the first critical resistance zone (0.5 Fibo retracement) to look for a Short entry. REACTION FIBO - SELL ZONE BIG VOLUME for SELL SIDE 4300 - 4310: This is the major supply/liquidity zone and the ultimate target for the current corrective rally. 2. Strategic BUY Zone (ORDER BUY REACT ZONE): This is the key support area where the previous dump found temporary relief, which we use for stop-loss or potential re-entry: ORDER BUY ZONE 4100 - 4090: This is the immediate support zone formed after the dump, which is currently holding the price. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize SELL on Rally): Wait for the corrective bounce to reach the REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200. Short Entry: Execute the SELL entry upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15) in the 4190 - 4200 zone. Targets (TP): Aim to retest the recent low and the LIQUIDITY PUMP area. Contingency BUY: If price breaks decisively above 4200, the rally may extend to the BIG VOLUME SELL ZONE 4300 - 4310. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Place Stop Loss (SL) above the 4200 zone for the short entry. Watch the US CPI report on Friday closely, as inflation data could cause extreme volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry Zone For**Analysis:** The chart illustrates a possible bullish reversal scenario after a recent downward move in Gold (XAU/USD). The marked *Change of Character (ChoCH)* indicates an early sign of a trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Price has entered a **consolidation zone** near the support area, where the **entry level** is highlighted. This zone suggests accumulation and potential preparation for an upward move. The setup shows: * **ENTRY:** Around current support, within the highlighted range. * **STOP:** Below the recent low, providing risk control if the reversal fails. * **TARGET:** The projection points to a **100% measured move**, aligning with a strong bullish continuation potential toward 4,700 levels. If price maintains structure and confirms a breakout above the short-term resistance, it may initiate a new **bullish impulse phase**.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,2Technical Overview: Gold is currently in a retracement phase, testing a strong BUY ZONE between 4,180 – 4,200. This zone has previously acted as a major support area, where buyers stepped in. The chart shows a possible bullish reversal pattern forming near this zone, suggesting a potential rebound. 🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,200 LME:ZS1! LME:CA1! LME:AH1! LME:NI1! LME:HC1! LME:MC1! LME:PB1! LME:SN1! LME:MZ1! LME:MA1! LME:SR1! LME:AN1! Target: 4,384 Stop-Loss: Below 4,160 Rationale: The buy zone aligns with previous price reactions, confirming strong demand. Wick rejections around 4,190 indicate buyer interest. Price action suggests a possible V-shaped recovery or higher-low formation before continuation upward. 🟥 Bearish Scenario (Alternative): If price closes below 4,160, the support zone will be invalidated. In that case, expect further downside toward 4,120 – 4,100. ⚙️ Summary Table: Parameter Value Trend Bias (Short-Term) Neutral to Bullish Key Support (Buy Zone) 4,180 – 4,200 Target 4,384 Stop-Loss Below 4,160 Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3 📊 Conclusion: Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical support zone. As long as the price holds above 4,160, a bullish rebound toward 4,384 remains likely. However, a confirmed break below this level could trigger a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold 1H – Can Gold Hold Above 4247 as Powell Takes the Stage?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold holds firm near ₹4,230, with traders cautiously awaiting U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today. After a series of softer inflation reports, market sentiment has tilted mildly dovish — yet the U.S. dollar remains steady as investors hesitate to price in early rate cuts. The Fed’s tone today will be critical: a hawkish Powell could trigger short-term profit-taking on gold, while any dovish signals may reignite safe-haven bids. Expect choppy intraday movement with liquidity sweeps around key zones before a confirmed directional move emerges. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • The structure remains bullish, confirmed by previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (ChoCH) earlier in the week. • Price is now approaching a premium supply zone at 4247–4249, where potential short-term sell reactions could appear before retracement. • Below, the discount demand zone at 4184–4186 aligns with prior BOS support and acts as a high-probability reaccumulation area. • If price revisits the buy zone and forms bullish confirmation on M15, continuation toward new highs around 4260+ is favored. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4247 – 4249 SL: 4255 – 4257 TP targets: 4210 → 4195 🟢 Buy Setup: 4184 – 4186 SL: 4174 TP targets: 4210 → 4245 → 4260+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before executing either setup. • Watch for volatility spikes around Powell’s speech and U.S. Retail Sales release — spreads may widen. • Consider partial profits at intra-day liquidity points and trail stops once structure confirms. ✅ Summary XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure but may face a liquidity sweep above 4247–4249 before a deeper retracement into 4184–4186. Institutional activity could drive accumulation near the discount zone if macro data supports dovish sentiment. The intraday bias remains “Buy the Dip”, with tactical sells possible at premium resistance for short-term scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extends its rebound near ₹4 250 as traders weigh the recent uptick in U.S. Treasury yields against growing expectations of a softer Federal Reserve stance. After the latest mixed U.S. economic data, markets are leaning toward a mildly dovish outlook — rate-cut bets for early 2026 are gaining traction, while the dollar remains steady. Today’s focus centers on U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims data, which could steer short-term volatility. A stronger-than-expected report may trigger temporary selling pressure on gold, while weaker figures could revive safe-haven demand and extend the rally toward ₹4 380 +. Expect liquidity hunts before any clear directional move, as institutional players refine positions near the week’s range extremes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Market structure remains bullish, with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming continuation after the earlier accumulation phase. • A short-term Change of Character (ChoCH) signals corrective movement — likely a liquidity sweep before the next bullish leg. • Liquidity resting below ₹4 200 has already been taken, aligning with the discount zone around ₹4 196 – ₹4 198. • A potential re-accumulation is forming; buyers may look for confirmation (M15 BOS/ChoCH) inside this demand zone. • Upside liquidity targets cluster near ₹4 375 – ₹4 380, coinciding with a premium supply zone where sellers might re-enter. 🔴 Sell Setup Entry: 4378 – 4376 Stop-Loss: 4386 Take-Profit Targets: 4325 → 4260 🟢 Buy Setup Entry: 4196 – 4198 Stop-Loss: 4190 Take-Profit Targets: 4250 → 4370 → 4380 + ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for lower-timeframe BOS/ChoCH confirmation before execution. • Be cautious around U.S. macro data releases — spreads and volatility can widen temporarily. • Use partial take-profits at nearby liquidity zones and trail stops once market structure confirms continuation. ✅ Summary Gold maintains its bullish bias above ₹4 200 after sweeping liquidity. A short-term correction could retest ₹4 196 – ₹4 198 for fresh buy entries, while the broader trend remains upward. Only a clean structural break below ₹4 190 would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario. FOLLOW RYAN FOR MORE USEFUL TRADING IDEAS!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD — Prioritise selling on H1 todayXAUUSD — Prioritise selling on H1 today | Sell retest 4313–4315, wait to buy back 4230–4232 🟡 Summary: H1 is moving within a descending channel; the rebound is merely a pullback. The main plan is to sell when the price rebounds to the confluence zone of Fibo 50% + resistance box around 4313–4315. Buying is only a strategy to catch the technical rebound at deep support zones, prioritising 4230–4232 (Fibo 0.236 + support box). The article is optimised for mobile readers: concise – clear zones – if–then. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1) Structure & Context Price has fallen from the recent peak and is moving within a descending channel → intraday trend leans bearish. Zone 4313–4315 coincides with the 50% Fibonacci of the decline + resistance box on the chart (marked “Sell fibonacci 50”) → a nice confluence for sell retest. Support boxes in order: 4288–4292 (near Fibo 0.786 of the rebound wave), 4250–4255, 4230–4232 (Fibo 0.236). Below that is a strong liquidity zone around ~4185–4195 (near EMA200 H1 ≈ 4181). If–Then (structure) If it rebounds to 4313–4315 and prints a clear rejection candle (long tail/closes below the zone), then prioritise selling according to the descending channel. If it breaks 4250–4255 and holds below this zone, then the downward momentum is likely to extend to 4230–4232. If it breaks above 4320 (H1 close), then the intraday sell scenario becomes invalid, shifting to the zone 4336–4345 (next box top). 📰 Basic Context (quick points) Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic about potential improvements in US–China trade negotiations; however, the USD remains strong following banking news (Zions Bank report generally stable, despite some fraud factors) → putting pressure on gold during rebounds. Large central bank inflows into gold and strong net inflows into gold ETFs recently remain a medium-term support; but in the short term, prices are heavily influenced by yields/USD. 🎯 Trading Plan (intraday) — if–then, clear zones Scenario 1 — SELL retest (priority) Entry: 4313–4315 SL: 4320 TP: 4290 → 4277 → 4252 → 4220 Condition: clear rejection appears at zone 4313–4315 (Fibo 50% + resistance box + channel edge). Scenario 2 — BUY technical rebound (secondary, quick) Entry: 4230–4232 (assumption: the zone you provide is 4230–4232) SL: 4224 TP: 4250 → 4272 → 4290 → 4308 Condition: a wick/shadow at 4230–4232; better if it reclaims 4250–4255 thereafter. Scenario 3 — BUY intermediate (support the rhythm) Entry: 4288–4292 SL: 4282 TP: 4302 → 4310 Note: only scalp short when the selling momentum slows at 0.786; do not hold if the market slips back below 4288. Invalidation & Risk Management Close H1 above 4320 ⇒ pause the intraday sell scenario. Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL first – position later. 🛡️ Summary Intraday bias: Bearish within the H1 descending channel; prioritise sell retest at 4313–4315. Buy only to catch technical rebounds at deep supports: 4288–4292 and 4230–4232. Key levels to watch: 4313–4315 | 4320 (invalidation) | 4290 | 4277 | 4252 | 4232 | ~4190. This article is for reference purposes, if you find it useful, follow me to receive the fastest articles.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – Bearish scenario activatedXAUUSD – Bearish scenario activated: watch for sell retest at 4,303–4,305, deep buy at 4,208–4,210 🟡 Gold just hit a historic peak at 4,381 but the subsequent sharp drop opens up the risk of a short-term correction. On H1, the price is blocked by the descending trendline and the sell zone cluster at 4,30x; below are liquidity zones and the bottom trendline waiting to be retested. Quick chart insights The structure shifts to a descending triangle pullback after breaking the upward momentum. Sell zone 4,303–4,305 coincides with the descending trendline + thick volume (VP). Below 4,26x is Liquidity Buy; deeper is the 4,208–4,210 mark near FE 4.236 and the trendline base — the final “shakeout” zone before recovery. Trading plan (if–then) Sell retest (priority in weak rebound) Entry: 4,305–4,303 SL: 4,310 TP: 4,287 → 4,260 → 4,242 → 4,220 Condition: rebound to 4,30x and appearance of rejection/engulfing candle on H1 below the descending trendline. Deep buy (liquidity sweep + bounce back) Entry: 4,210–4,208 SL: 4,204 TP: 4,225 → 4,242 → 4,270 → 4,298 Condition: deep shakeout to 4,21x, appearance of pin bar/absorbing volume at the bottom trendline. Invalidation Sell scenario invalidated if H1 closes above 4,310. Buy scenario invalidated if H1 closes below 4,204 (risk of deeper trendline range). Key levels to watch (easy to view on mobile) Resistance: 4,303–4,305 • 4,320–4,325 (descending trendline) Support: 4,260–4,255 • 4,242 • 4,210–4,208 • 4,200 Expected move: rebound to 4,30x → sell down to 4,26x/4,24x; sweep 4,21x → bounce back to 4,27x–4,29x. Quick context (macro) Expectations of Fed rate cuts + geopolitical risks keep the major trend upward, but post-ATH often sees short-term sell-offs to rebalance positions. Monitor USD/yield fluctuations: a strong USD will support the sell retest scenario; a cooling USD creates opportunities for rebounds from buy zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
GOLD: BUY $4235, TARGET $4450! (FED RATE CUT PLAY📰 MACRO PUSH: Low-Interest Rate Tailwinds Gold is getting a huge boost from the fundamentals: Fed Rate Cuts: Market is pricing 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week. This is spot on for Gold. Low rates = Gold will fly! Safe-Haven: Political instability (US Govt shutdown extending) and trade tensions are pushing safe-haven demand higher. Key Data: Watch for the delayed CPI data on October 24th. It will be a major trigger! Summary: The fundamental conviction for upside is max to max. We are ready for the breakout. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Perfect LONG Setup! The chart shows Gold is correcting back to the main Demand Zone—a confluence of the Uptrend Line and a crucial structural low. This zone is our go-to for a perfect entry. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy We are activating a long position as price revisits our key zone: Position: LONG (BUY) - With full conviction on the primary trend. BUY ZONE (Entry): $4,237 $4,235 (The most critical Demand Zone) SL (Stop Loss): $4,227 (Must protect this level!) TP (Take Profit Targets): TP1: $4,245 TP2: $4,255 TP3: $4,265 TP4: $4,275 Final TP: Open (Expecting a New ATH around $4,450+) DISCLAIMER: This opportunity at the Demand Zone is strongly backed by the macro picture (Fed & Instability). Please use proper risk management! #GOLD #XAUUSD #Fed #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #IntradaySetup
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
GOLD PULLBACK: $4330 SLIDE! Sniping the Fibo BUY Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: USD Stability Triggers Profit-Taking Gold is extending its corrective slide from the all-time high zone, hitting around $4,331 - $4,330. Primary Headwind: The US Dollar (USD) attracted buyers for three consecutive days, causing stability which triggered profit-taking in the overbought Gold market. Long-Term Support: DXY trades slightly negatively due to the US government shutdown and trade tensions, keeping the long-term bullish outlook intact. Technical Bias: The market is in a deep correction/profit-taking phase. Our focus is strictly on finding the FIBO BUY REACT ZONES to join the underlying bullish trend. DO NOT CHASE THE SELL MOVE. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the current corrective structure and the Fibo/Volume zones defined on image_ddd575.png, we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are current resistance areas for short-term rejection or supply zone testing: REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 4340 - 4320: Current resistance. Look for a SCALP SELL opportunity if the price rejects this zone. REACTION SELL ZONE - Big Volume for Sell Side 435x: Major supply/liquidity zone if price attempts a deeper retracement. 2. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the most critical Fibo support zones for initiating Long entries: REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265: The first crucial Fibo Retracement support. REACTION BUY ZONE - Big Volume For Buy Side 4230 - 4220: The high-volume demand zone and optimal entry point for the major Long trade. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265 or 4230 - 4220. Long Entry: Execute the BUY entry only upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15). Scalp SELL Action: If the price strongly rejects the 4340 - 4320 zone, a quick SCALP SELL targeting the nearest BUY ZONE can be considered. Targets (TP): Aim for the highs and the 435x Sell Zone for the Longs. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. DO NOT OVERLEVERAGE in this corrective phase. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone) Stop-Loss: Below $4,310 Market Structure Overview The price is currently moving inside a descending channel (marked as TRADE LINE). A Buy Zone is identified between $4,315 – $4,325, which acts as a strong support area. Price has touched the lower channel line and rebounded upward, indicating buyer interest around that zone. 📉 Short-Term Trend The short-term trend is bearish due to lower highs and lower lows inside the channel. However, momentum shows weakening selling pressure near the buy zone. 🟢 Bullish Scenario If price holds above the Buy Zone and forms bullish candles, expect a potential reversal toward the upper channel line. A breakout above the upper channel would signal a trend shift, targeting: Target: $4,381 – $4,385 (as marked on your chart). 🔴 Bearish Scenario If price breaks below $4,315, it would invalidate the buy zone setup. Next potential support could be around $4,300 or lower. 📊 Trade Plan Example Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone) Stop-Loss: Below $4,310 Take-Profit: $4,380 – $4,385 Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:4 ⚙️ Summary Gold is currently consolidating within a descending channel. A bullish breakout from this structure could open the path toward the $4,381 target zone, confirming short-term bullish reversal momentum. LME:SC1! TMX:SXF1! TMX:CGB1! TMX:CGZ1! TMX:CGF1! TMX:LGB1! TMX:BSF1! TMX:FBA1! TMX:FCN1! TMX:FDO1! TMX:FEB1! TMX:FER1! TMX:FEB1! TMX:FHO1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near ₹4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD. According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend. However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week. A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices. 🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook Gold is currently consolidating around the ₹4,320–₹4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone. Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure. The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward ₹4,305–₹4,260 may attract new buyers. ⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View) 🔼BUY SCALP 📌Entry: ₹4,302 – ₹4,300 (½ volume) ❌Stop Loss: ₹4,292 ✔️Take Profit: ₹4,310 → ₹4,315 → ₹4,320 → ₹4,330 → ₹4,340 → ₹4,350+ 🔼BUY ZONE (Swing) ✨Entry: ₹4,260 – ₹4,258 ❌Stop Loss: ₹4,252 ✔️Take Profit: ₹4,265 → ₹4,270 → ₹4,280 → ₹4,290 → ₹4,300+ 📈Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above ₹4,260. Intraday sell reactions near ₹4,360–₹4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities. ⚡️Key MMFlow Zones CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: ₹4,360 ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: ₹4,448 Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,305 End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,260 Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above ₹4,370–₹4,380 🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Rebound Prepares for Next Waveb]🔍 Market Context After reaching a peak at the ATH GOLD 4,391 USD region, gold has undergone a technical correction — reflecting temporary profit-taking following a strong upward trend. The market structure still maintains a bullish bias as the support zones below (FVG + OB) remain intact and untested. Currently, the price is hovering around 4,325 USD, indicating that selling pressure has weakened. Buyers are likely to return at two strategic zones below — where institutional money (Smart Money) typically accumulates positions before the next upward wave. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,391 USD Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,465 – 4,424 USD → the upper liquidity zone, the main target for the next upward wave. FVG Zone: 4,284 – 4,267 USD → an unfilled gap, likely to be retested. Order Block Zone: 4,244 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluence with Fibo 0.786, high probability of strong reaction. Liquidity Clear $$$: 4,186 – 4,190 USD → the last defense zone of the main upward trend. Overall structure remains bullish ; the current decline is merely a phase of adjustment to “accumulate liquidity” before continuing the upward momentum. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – FVG Zone 4,267 USD Entry: 4,267 – 4,270 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,330 → 4,366 → 4,391 ✅ Condition: Confirming bullish candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) at the FVG zone or a small BoS appears on M15. ➡️ Short-term “buy-the-dip” setup, leveraging the unfilled FVG zone — where technical buyers often initiate positions first. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Order Block Zone 4,244 USD Entry: 4,244 – 4,230 SL: 4,210 TP: 4,284 → 4,366 → 4,391 → 4,424 ✅ Condition: Strong confirming candle (engulfing bullish) or a retracement pattern breaking a small BoS back up. ➡️ Swing-buy setup at deep discount zone — confluence of OB + Fibo 0.786, high probability and optimal R:R. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying in the middle of the range (4,320–4,340). Prioritize waiting for clear reactions at 4,267 and 4,244 before entering trades. If the price closes an H1 candle below 4,210 → pause all buy orders, re-evaluate price action at 4,186. Maintain moderate trading volume during the current rebound phase. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in a phase of healthy technical correction within a major upward trend. The two zones 4,267 USD (FVG Zone) and 4,244 USD (Order Block Zone) are key “accumulation” areas for large capital. When bullish confirmation signals appear, these will be safe buy positions before gold heads back to the peak 4,391 – 4,465 USD . 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy at 4,267 – 4,270 USD if reversal confirmation occurs. Buy at 4,244 – 4,230 USD if a strong OB reaction signal appears. 🔥 “Smart money waits at precise levels — not at the top. The next gold wave will emerge between 4.267 and 4.244.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 1H – Bullish Rebound After Strong Correction🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is attempting to rebound near $4,320 after a sharp correction earlier this week, as traders weigh the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and renewed expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve tone. Markets are now positioning ahead of key U.S. housing and manufacturing data, which could shape short-term sentiment for both the dollar and real yields. • Softer economic numbers may reinforce the case for policy easing in early 2026, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal. • Conversely, stronger data could momentarily pressure XAUUSD, yet the broader uptrend remains intact amid central-bank accumulation and geopolitical tension. Expect a liquidity-driven environment, with price potentially sweeping lower before reclaiming bullish momentum. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Overall bias remains bullish following consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) indicating corrective retracement. • Discount Zone: The $4,270–$4,272 demand area sits within the discount zone of the recent range (swing low to 4454 high), ideal for re-accumulation. • Liquidity Sweep: Recent wicks near $4,300 suggest liquidity has been collected, potentially setting up for another bullish push. • Premium Zone: Upside liquidity clusters near $4,454–$4,452, aligning with a premium supply area where short-term selling may appear. 🔴 Sell Setup • Entry: 4454 – 4452 • Stop-Loss: 4463 • Take-Profit Targets: 4400 → 4330 🟢 Buy Setup • Entry: 4270 – 4272 • Stop-Loss: 4260 • Take-Profit Targets: 4340 → 4380 → 4450 + ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before triggering entries. • Avoid entries during high-volatility windows around U.S. data releases. • Secure partial profits near intermediate liquidity zones, trail stops after BOS confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold maintains a bullish re-accumulation structure following a healthy correction. A retest into the discount zone around $4,270 offers potential long entries targeting the premium zone near $4,450+. Only a decisive break below $4,260 would invalidate the intraday bullish scenario. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for more SMC trading insights ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 21, 2025) 🔹 1. Momentum H4: H4 momentum is currently turning bearish, indicating that the main trend for today is downward. H1: H1 momentum is stuck in the oversold zone, suggesting that price could continue to fall, but at the same time, there’s a risk of a short-term bullish reversal — this should be monitored carefully. M15: M15 momentum is also turning bearish, confirming the potential for short-term downside continuation. 🔹 2. Wave Structure H4 timeframe: The current price structure likely forms a Flat correction (W–X–Y in blue) as part of wave 4 (in purple). The X wave appears completed, and price is now in the declining phase of wave Y. Wave Y may develop in three possible forms: Zigzag 5-wave impulsive Triangle 👉 In Zigzag or 5-wave formations, the target is usually equal to wave A. 👉 In a triangle, price may build higher lows, respecting the upper boundary connecting wave 3 and wave X. H1 timeframe: The H1 structure mirrors H4, but note that H1 momentum remains in the oversold zone, meaning an upward reversal could occur anytime. M15 timeframe: Used mainly for entry timing. Since H4 momentum trend is bearish, we will prioritize Sell setups, especially after liquidity retests or breakdowns on the M15 chart. 🔹 3. Trading Plan Main bias: Bearish (following H4 momentum) Strategy: Focus on Sell setups when price retests or breaks below liquidity zones. Consider Buy setups only if price reaches the 4190 support area, signaling a potential end of wave 4 (purple) and the start of wave 5 (bullish). Buy setup (if wave 4 completes): Buy zone: 4193 – 4190 Stop loss: 4180 Take Profit: 4236 🔹 4. Alternative Scenarios If price breaks sharply above 4381, the current wave count will be invalidated, and price could head toward 4451. If price forms a triangle, with 4381 as the upper boundary and higher-low supports forming the lower edge, a breakout above 4381 would signal a Buy opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD PLAN | When balanced breaks, strength leaves its mark.🔍 Market Context After setting a short-term peak at the 4,385 – 4,372 USD zone, gold has entered a strong technical correction phase, with a series of consecutive red candles breaking the short-term upward structure. The sellers temporarily dominate, pushing the price through the H1 upward trendline. However, the support zone below (Liquidity Zone + Order Block Bullish) is beginning to show absorption, indicating that buyers might return at discounted price zones. 💎 Technical Analysis Previous Bullish BoS: confirms the main trend is still long-term bullish . FVG Down Zone: 4,285 – 4,260 USD → a price imbalance zone left in the downtrend, possibly where the price may retrace to “fill the gap” before choosing a direction. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,222 – 4,218 USD → a short-term support zone where new buying liquidity appears. Order Block Bullish: 4,203 – 4,185 USD → a confluence area between OB and Fibo 0.786, where large capital might return. Deep Bullish OB: 4,142 – 4,128 USD → the last defensive zone for the main upward trend. Order Block Bearish: 4,372 – 4,385 USD → a critical resistance zone, likely to react if the price retraces. The current structure shows gold is in a retracement – liquidity rebalancing phase, with insufficient signals to reverse the trend. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy reaction at Liquidity zone 4,222 – 4,203 USD Entry: 4,222 – 4,203 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,260 → 4,318 → 4,372 ✅ Condition: Strong rejection candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) appears at the support zone or small reversal BoS. ➡️ This is a “buy the dip” setup following the main trend, leveraging the liquidity zone and confluence OB. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Sell reaction at FVG Down 4,285 – 4,260 USD Entry: 4,260 – 4,285 SL: 4,300 TP: 4,222 → 4,203 ✅ Condition: Strong bearish candle or rejection signal appears at the FVG zone. ➡️ This setup is for scalping traders or short-term shorts in the unfilled price balance zone. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price has not confirmed the 4,222 zone. If the price breaks below 4,185 → wait for a re-test to continue selling towards the 4,128 zone. Keep moderate volume, as the market is in a rebalancing phase – liquidity remains noisy. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in a transitional phase after a strong decline . The 4,222 – 4,203 USD zone will be key to determining whether the medium-term upward trend continues. If this zone holds, gold is likely to retest the 4,318 – 4,372 USD zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy reaction at 4,222 – 4,203 USD when confirmed. Technical Sell at FVG 4,260 – 4,285 USD if a clear rejection appears. 🔥 “When the market is unbalanced, the strongest side will leave a mark – and this time, the mark is around the 4,220 USD zone.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
2
GOLD Accumulates Above $4200 Which Fibo React Zone Fires First ?🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Calm Before the Geopolitical Storm Gold is trading above the psychological $4,200 mark but struggled to gain meaningful traction on Monday due to mixed forces. Driving Forces: Increased geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty act as tailwinds for the safe-haven asset. USD Weakness: Expectations for more Fed rate cuts and the US government shutdown weaken the USD, providing support for XAU/USD. Traders have fully priced in two more rate cuts this year, which continues to pressure the US Dollar. Technical Outlook: Gold is currently consolidating above $4,200, signaling that the bullish structure remains intact. We are now watching for confirmation at key Fibo levels before the next breakout. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Our core strategy is to BUY ON DIPS at the identified Fibo Reaction Zones and look for short-term Sells only as resistance tests (Referencing image_58f686.png). 1. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the crucial support zones for initiating Long entries: Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4230 - 422x. This is the immediate, primary support zone where we anticipate the first bounce. Big Volume For The BUY Side 4205 - 4200. This is the major demand zone and the ultimate pullback point to catch the large growth wave. 2. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are high-volume resistance areas for potential Take Profit (TP) or short-term Scalp Sells: Reaction Fibo Sell Zone 4280 - 4285. The first key resistance level where the price may encounter selling pressure. Reaction Fibo Sell Zone 4315 - 4320. The next significant resistance and TP level. Big Volume For The Sell Side 4356 - 4360. The major supply and long-term TP target. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize CHỜ ĐỢI BUY): The market is consolidating. Do NOT FOMO. Patiently wait for the price to correct to the Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4230 - 422x. Long Entry: Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles) at the BUY Zones, confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry. Targets (TP): Aim for the successive SELL Zones: 428x, 431x, and the ultimate target at 4356 - 4360. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. Monitor trade talks closely as they could trigger sharp volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
4,200 or 4,285? Gold’s Next Move Decides It All📊 Market Overview Gold remains under pressure at the start of the week, trading below last week’s record highs, after a sharp correction from the 4,380s down to the 4,240 zone. Investor sentiment is cautious as the market navigates a mix of uncertain U.S. economic data, a still-closed U.S. government, and renewed geopolitical tensions across multiple regions — all of which are fueling both fear and indecision in the market. During early Asian hours, gold showed a mild recovery but continues to move sideways in a tight consolidation range, reflecting indecisive liquidity buildup before the next major move. 🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View) Gold is consolidating between short-term support near 4,206–4,204 and resistance around 4,285–4,287. Liquidity has started to cluster above and below the current range, suggesting that a breakout is imminent. The 4,166 – 4,140 region remains a major Smart Money re-entry zone, aligned with the CP BUY ZONE + OBS demand block. On the upside, 4,313 – 4,342 stands as a key supply zone where large sellers previously stepped in. Until price breaks out decisively, traders should expect choppy intraday conditions with limited follow-through. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🟢 BUY ZONE (Liquidity Re-entry Zone) Zone: 4,206 – 4,204 SL: 4,200 TP: 4,210 – 4,215 – 4,220 – 4,230 – 4,240 – 4,250 – ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone) Zone: 4,285 – 4,287 SL: 4,292 TP: 4,280 – 4,275 – 4,270 – 4,260 – 4,250 – ??? ⚙️ MMFLOW Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If gold sustains above the 4,200 – 4,210 support area, a short-term rebound toward 4,270 – 4,285 can be expected. Breaking above 4,287 would open room toward 4,313 – 4,342 (OBS Sell Zone), where Smart Money may begin distributing again. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: A clean break below 4,200 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 4,166 – 4,140 (CP BUY ZONE). This would still represent a healthy correction within the broader bullish macro structure. ⚡️ MMFLOW Insights Market remains neutral-to-bullish, but current movement reflects accumulation within a compression range. Sideway structure indicates the market is loading liquidity for the next impulsive leg. Patience is key — traders should wait for clean breakout confirmations before scaling positions. ⚠️ Trading Notes ✅ Use tight Stop Losses — gold’s volatility remains unpredictable during macro uncertainty. ✅ Avoid over-leveraging while price stays inside the sideway channel. ✅ Focus on reaction zones (CP, OBS, and liquidity sweeps) for precise entries. 🧭 Quick Summary Gold trades sideways below record highs. Key support: 4,206 – 4,204, key resistance: 4,285 – 4,287. Short-term bias: Range-bound with bullish undertone. Best approach: Buy dips at liquidity zones; wait for breakout confirmation before trend trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – October 19, 2025 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing early signs of bearish reversal. As mentioned in the previous plan, a daily reversal could occur on Friday or Monday. The strong bearish D1 candle on Friday reinforces this signal. If another bearish D1 candle appears on Monday, it will confirm that the main trend for the coming week is likely to turn bearish, pushing D1 momentum toward the oversold zone. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting that the initial downside movement on Monday may not be too strong. A short-term recovery bounce is likely. However, if this bounce fails to break the previous high and momentum reverses downward again, it will confirm the start of a more stable downtrend. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone, which indicates a short-term pullback may occur early in Monday’s session. 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: We can see a strong bearish candle — the largest since the beginning of the uptrend, signaling the first warning of exhaustion. Together with the D1 momentum reversal, this suggests the yellow wave 3 is likely coming to an end, and yellow wave 4 is starting to form. In terms of time, wave 4 could take more than a week to complete. H4 Structure: A sharp decline has pushed the price back inside the ascending channel, indicating that the extended wave 5 may have already ended. If confirmed, the market could continue down toward at least the previous blue wave 4 area. However, because H4 momentum is preparing to rise, a short-term upward correction may occur early Monday. If this upward move is slow and overlapping, fails to break the previous high, and H4 momentum turns down again, that will confirm the completion of blue wave 5. H1 Structure: On the H1 chart, the blue wave 5 from H4 is detailed into five smaller red waves. The recent steep and fast decline suggests a five-wave bearish pattern, possibly wave 1 of a new downtrend or wave A of a corrective move. There is also a possibility of a Flat correction, where wave C extends to 1.618 × wave A (as discussed in the October 17 plan). Overall, the market may present a short-term recovery bounce, providing a buy opportunity early in the week. 3️⃣ Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4153 – 4151 Stop Loss: 4141 Take Profit: 4193 Alternative Scenario: If price fails to break below 4193, monitor H1 momentum as it enters the oversold zone and turns upward — that will be a potential buy signal. In that case, key support areas to watch include: 4243 – 4226 – 4207 – 4194.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour Current Price: 4,253.975 Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal) 📉 Chart Breakdown 1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines) Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels. The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. 2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone) Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance. Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence. 3. Structure Retest and Potential Move After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance). The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern. 4. Target Zone The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support. This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions. 📊 Summary of Key Levels Zone Type Range / Level 4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone 4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area 3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone ⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical) Bias: Bearish Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone. Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance) Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target) Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better 🧭 Conclusion The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior. EURONEXT:AXFZ2025 EURONEXT:FMXX2025 EURONEXT:QL6X2025 EURONEXT:RH6X2025 EURONEXT:VV8Z2025 EURONEXT:2FTX2025
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
1