XAU/USD – Bullish Breakout: Buy Dips Toward $3,409 Target📊 XAU/USD (Gold) – 2H Analysis
Gold has just broken out of its descending channel, showing a clear change of character (CHOH) around the $3,348–$3,358 support zone. This breakout suggests bullish momentum is taking control after weeks of compression.
Key Observations:
✅ Support Zone: $3,348–$3,358 is now a strong demand zone (previous rejection area flipped to support).
✅ Moving Averages: Price is above both the EMA 70 ($3,342) and EMA 200 ($3,346), strengthening the bullish bias.
✅ Projection: A potential continuation rally toward $3,409 (major liquidity target).
⚠️ Risk: If the support zone fails, price could re-test $3,334 or even $3,326.
Trading Plan (Short-Term):
Entry (Buy): Around $3,358–$3,348 (support retest).
Stop Loss: Below $3,342 (under EMAs).
Target 1: $3,390
Target 2: $3,409
👉 In summary: Gold is in a bullish reversal phase, and buying dips into the support zone offers the best risk-reward setup.
Xauusdanalysis
XAU/USD SD + OTE + Fractal Reversal TradeHey traders!
Here you can see all the trades taken by me in accordance with some major concepts of ICT.
1. OTE - Optimal Trade Entry
2. SD - Standard Deviation
3. Fractal Nature - If you can't find a pattern on the HTF, you'll surely find something on the LTF and vice versa. For example:
- The SELL entry over here, we had an FVG on the 5 min TF , there was no other valid level to short the markets.
- The other BUY Entries were taken on HTFs , and gave us very good targets as well!
Standard Deviations when combined with PD arrays , work like a charm and can be used as targets for LTF trades and reversals for HTF trades.
Hope you learned something today!
Share your analysis as well in the comments!
Gold Technical Analysis: Navigating Key Support ?The Gold chart shows a 30-minute timeframe analysis, highlighting recent price consolidation and potential future trends. The analysis suggests a potential V-shape recovery for gold.
Key Levels: The price is currently at a critical juncture, having tested a support zone around 3,326 - 3,333 USD. This zone has proven to be a strong base. Above it, a significant resistance zone is identified between 3,349 - 3,353 USD. Further up, another major resistance is at approximately 3,389 USD.
Price Action: The price has recently experienced a sharp decline and is now in a consolidation phase. The chart projects a potential bounce from the current levels, indicated by the black curved arrow, with the target being the upper resistance zone around 3,389 USD. The green shaded box illustrates the potential upward movement from the current position.
Conclusion: Gold appears to be at a key support level and could be poised for a rally if it successfully breaks above the immediate resistance zone.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4-Hour Chart Analysis
The Bitcoin chart shows a 4-hour timeframe analysis, focusing on a short-term uptrend channel.
Key Levels: The price is trading within an ascending channel. A significant support zone is identified between 112,000 - 114,000 USDT. A "weak supply zone" is marked around 118,000 USDT, which is currently acting as support. A major resistance is at approximately 124,564 USDT.
Price Action: After a strong push towards the channel's upper boundary, the price has pulled back and is now retesting the "weak supply zone." The blue and red arrows project two possible scenarios: a bounce back up towards the channel's high, or a deeper retracement towards the channel's lower trendline. The price movement appears to be following the blue projected path.
Indicators: The Ichimoku cloud and RSI strategy are used to confirm the trend and identify entry/exit points. The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish trend.
Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a pivotal point within its uptrend channel. Its ability to hold the 118,000 USDT level will be crucial for a potential re-test of the 124,564 USDT resistance.
Gold – Medium-Term Buy StrategyGold – Medium-Term Buy Strategy
Hello traders,
Gold continues to move within wave B under Elliott Wave structure. I expect price to retest the trendline once more, with the strong support around 3325 — which already triggered a sharp bounce yesterday — likely to play a key role before wave C begins.
According to Elliott theory, wave C is often the strongest, and in this case, it could extend towards the 339x region. This offers a swing buy opportunity with a reasonable target of 30–40 dollars.
The MACD also supports this outlook, with volume holding above the average line and the MACD (green) remaining on top.
Key Resistance: 3348–3352, must be broken to open the way towards 339x.
Key Support: 3313, if broken, the scenario shifts and longer-term selling pressure could return.
Buy Zone: Around 3327, with profit potential of 40–60 dollars.
This is my personal outlook for gold this week. I hope it helps you align your trading plan.
What do you think about gold’s direction here? Share your views in the comments below.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Key Support Zone in Play: 3330–3315Gold is currently approaching a critical support zone at 3325–3315, where buying interest is expected to build. A confirmed bounce from this area could trigger a potential bullish reversal and a move toward higher targets.
🔻 Trade Setup
Entry: Buy at 3327 | Add on dips near 3310
Targets: Refer to marked zones on the chart
Invalidation: Setup invalid if price closes below 3304
📌 Risk-Reward Outlook:
Tight downside risk with strong upside potential. Stick to your risk management rules and adjust your position size accordingly.
👍 If this setup resonates with you, give it a like and share your thoughts below. Let’s grow and win together!
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
XAU/USD Price Action Zones & Trade Setup (Aug 20, 2025)Analysis:
The market recently made a CHoCH (Change of Character), signaling a possible bearish structure.
First Selling Zone (3340 – 3350): Strong resistance area where sellers may push price down.
Second Selling Zone (3350 – 3360): A deeper liquidity grab area for confirmation shorts.
First Buying Area (3308 – 3320): Demand zone where buyers might step in for a short-term bounce.
Second Buying Area (3270 – 3280): Stronger demand, ideal for swing buy opportunities if price dips further.
Price is currently around 3323, hovering near equilibrium, likely to retest selling zones before dropping to buying areas.
📈 Trade Plan:
Sell Entries
🔹 First Short: Around 3340 – 3350 (First Selling Zone).
🔹 Second Short (confirmation): Around 3350 – 3360 (Second Selling Zone).
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3320 (First Buying Area)
TP2: 3280 (Second Buying Area)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3365
Buy Entries
🔹 First Buy: Around 3310 – 3320 (First Buying Area) for a small bounce.
🔹 Second Buy (stronger): Around 3270 – 3280 (Second Buying Area).
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3340 (back to resistance)
TP2: 3355 (liquidity above first selling zone)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3260
XAUUSD – Gold getting ready for a big breakout!Gold is moving exactly as expected: consolidation – breakout – consolidation again. Right now, price is forming a tight triangle pattern, showing strong pressure for the next move.
👉 With both technical setup and global macro headlines creating indecision, the market is waiting for a clear breakout. Once it happens, we can expect a strong trend in either direction.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3337 – 3343 – 3350 – 3356 – 3365
Support: 3325 – 3320 – 3314
📌 Buy Plan
Buy Zone: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3309
TP: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370
📌 Sell Plan
Scalp Sell: 3348 – 3350
SL: 3355
TP: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
Sell Zone: 3365 – 3367
SL: 3372
TP: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340
🎯 MMFLOW Note
The tighter the range, the stronger the breakout.
Always prepare for both bullish & bearish scenarios.
Wait for confirmation at the Key Levels before taking positions.
Elliott Wave Analysis – BTCUSD 22/8/2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently in the oversold zone, with the downside range narrowing → suggesting the decline is slowing. This supports the potential for a short-term bullish rebound.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward, but the current strength is not yet enough to confirm a sustainable uptrend. Key signal: if H4 momentum enters the overbought zone and price breaks above the previous high, it will confirm a more solid bullish trend.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning down. Ideally, the pullback should not break below the 112k level. If this support holds, it would be the first signal of a possible bullish reversal.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: Price has broken below the wave 4 low and is now reacting around this zone → confirming the risk of a longer-term corrective decline. However, D1 momentum still supports a short-term rebound in the form of wave B. This means we should avoid long-term Buy positions for now, and only treat upcoming upside moves as corrective rallies.
• H4 timeframe: Price remains within a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5, red). This could either be wave A of an ABC correction or wave 1 of a larger corrective structure. Further observation is needed.
• H1 timeframe: A 5-wave structure (black) seems to be forming, with wave 5 potentially unfolding as an ending diagonal (triangle). Once this triangle completes, a sharp upward move is expected. Confirmation will come if price breaks above the 2–4 trendline. For now, watch for a break above 113.5k to trigger entry.
Trading Plan
• Stay patient and wait for a breakout above the 2–4 trendline on H1.
• If confirmed, consider entering Buy positions to ride the corrective rebound.
Gold Outlook After FOMC NewsGold Outlook After FOMC News
The recent FOMC meeting did not bring any new policy measures to support the economy. Chair Powell stated that conditions remain stable, and interest rates were kept unchanged. As a result, markets stayed quiet, with expectations now shifting towards September for potential updates.
On the charts, gold completed wave A after reacting strongly to the trendline on the daily timeframe. I expect the market to now form an ABC corrective structure, which would complete a medium-term Elliott cycle. The recent rally also broke above the descending trendline on H4, confirming that the bullish momentum could be more sustainable.
Currently, price is showing a mild pullback since the Asian session. A retracement of around 40–50% on the recent H4 candle would be a healthy move, and it could retest the broken descending trendline. If confirmed, this would establish a stronger bullish Dow structure, opening room for a longer cycle, at least until wave C completes.
The H4 chart also supports this view, with MACD averages pointing upward and trading volume showing steady growth.
Buy Zone: Around 3334 on the H4 candle, in line with the trend for holding medium- to long-term positions.
Sell Zone: Around 3365, once wave C completes and a new cycle begins.
Gold is now showing clearer technical direction. I hope this scenario helps traders align with the market trend. Wishing you all successful trades.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #MACD #CommodityTrading #FOMC
XAUUSD Bullish Breakout! Ready to Ride Gold’s Pre-FOMC Pump? XAUUSD Bullish Breakout! Ready to Ride Gold’s Pre-FOMC Pump? 🇮🇳
Subheader:
Gold surged past short-term resistances overnight – here’s a clear plan for Indian traders to scalp, swing, and ride the bullish momentum safely.
📊 Market Outlook – MMFLOW India Edition
Primary Bias: Bullish – Buy the dips
Key Observations:
Gold broke through the descending trendline and short-term resistance in a single session.
Early pre-FOMC breakout confirms strong bullish momentum.
Market cleared liquidity below and reclaimed higher zones – bullish case remains strong.
Scenarios:
🔹 Buy near strong support zones (dip-buying opportunities)
🔹 Tactical sells only at confirmed resistance with clear rejection
Technical Insight (Daily Chart):
Strong bullish confirmation candle – pullbacks are ideal reload points for long positions.
🔥 Trading Plan – Buy/Sell Zones & Scalp Strategy
✅ BUY SCALP
Entry: 3333 – 3331
Stop Loss: 3327
Take Profit: 3338 – 3343 – 3348 – 3352 – 3356 – 3360
✅ BUY ZONE (Swing / Positional Trades)
Entry: 3316 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360
🔻 SELL ZONE (Tactical)
Entry: 3368 – 3370
Stop Loss: 3375
Take Profit: 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340 – 3330
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels: 3332 – 3323 – 3315
Resistance Levels: 3348 – 3362 – 3370 – 3383
🚨 Risk Note for Indian Traders
If price dips deep into 331x, watch out for liquidity traps.
Always stick to TP/SL rules – volatility is high around FOMC events.
✨ MMFLOW Reminder
Key Levels = Profits
Buy the dips, ride the bullish momentum
💡 Pro Tips for TradingView India Users
Bookmark support & resistance zones
Observe liquidity sweeps before major news
Use scalp or swing strategies depending on your timeframe
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (21/8/2025)
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Yesterday’s daily candle closed bullish, confirming upward momentum. This suggests that the dominant trend could remain bullish for the next 4–5 days.
• H4 timeframe: Currently in a corrective move with only 2 bearish candles formed so far. This decline may need another 2–3 candles to complete. A potential bullish reversal could occur during the US session tonight.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, signaling a short-term upward move. However, since H4 is still in a corrective phase, it is better to observe for now rather than take immediate action.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
With the bullish confirmation on D1, the corrective a–b–c–d–e triangle scenario remains valid. At present, the market is forming wave 1 and wave 2 in blue. This view will be further confirmed once price breaks above the top of wave 1 (blue).
• H4 timeframe:
Previously, I anticipated a possible ending diagonal for wave C in purple. However, with yesterday’s strong rally and the bullish confirmation on D1, the updated structure is more consistent with:
o Wave B (purple) forming a triangle.
o Wave C (purple) already completed.
This suggests the market has entered wave 1 (yellow) and we are now waiting for wave 2 (yellow) to complete in order to look for buy opportunities.
If price drops below 3314, the extended scenario remains valid with a target around 3298. But since D1 momentum supports the bullish case, I will prioritize the bullish scenario for trading.
• H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum indicates a possible pullback. Typically, wave 2 forms as a zigzag or flat correction, retracing to the Fibonacci levels of 0.5 – 0.618 – 0.782.
I believe wave 1 (yellow) may already be complete. However, if H1 momentum continues to push higher, price could reach around 3362 before finalizing wave 1. In that case, traders can use Fibonacci retracement levels to identify entry points for a buy on wave 2.
Potential retracement zones for wave 2: 3333 – 3327 – 3315.
3. Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: 3333 – 3330
• Stop Loss: 3323
• Take Profit 1: 3350
• Take Profit 2: 3381
• Take Profit 3: 3409
Gold (XAU/USD) Short-Term Bearish Setup1. Well-Defined Resistance Zones
Two horizontal shaded areas labeled Resistance R1 and Resistance R2 mark zones near $3,360–$3,380, where price repeatedly failed to break higher.
Trading ideas from analysts on TradingView reinforce that the immediate resistance lies around $3,364–$3,370. As long as price stays below that, sellers remain in control
TradingView
+1
.
2. Descending Channel & Bearish Momentum
The chart highlights a shift from an earlier ascending channel (green), followed by breakdown and decline — a classic reversal from bullish to bearish.
In line with this, there’s also mention of a bearish flag pattern forming on the 30-minute (M30) timeframe, offering a potential shorting opportunity
TradingView
+1
.
3. Key Support Levels & Targets
Multiple support levels annotated: Support S2 (at two levels) and Support S3, with notable levels around $3,315, $3,301–$3,302, and $3,300.
The annotated price action indicates projected declines toward those levels—especially highlighting $3,314.94, $3,301.55, and $3,300.96 as intermediate and key targets.
Ultimately, the red “High support area” below suggests a broader demand zone, perhaps around $3,280–$3,300, where stronger support may emerge.
4. Trading Plan Illustrated
White arrows depict a descending trajectory: from current levels down to each support, suggesting a sell-on-rally approach.
Blue markers denote possible bounce points for pullbacks before continuation lower.
Broader Market Context
Gold prices have recently been tracking in the $3,330–$3,350 range, facing resistance near $3,350–$3,360 and support near $3,300. Analysts caution that a break below that could push it toward $3,245 or $3,150–$3,120
TradingView
+1
.
Overall momentum has turned cautious or bearish—bearish engulfing patterns, weakening rally strength, and below-average technical indicators emphasize the risk of further declines
FXEmpire
+2
FXEmpire
+2
.
Weak U.S. economic indicators or dovish signals from Fed officials (like Powell) could offer brief relief rallies; but failure to reclaim resistance may extend the slide
FXEmpire
+1
.
Key Levels at a Glance
Level Type Price Range Notes
Resistance ~$3,350–$3,360+ Strong ceiling—decline confirms bearish bias
Support S1 ~$3,315–$3,320 First potential reaction zone
Support S2 ~$3,301 Intermediate target for sellers
Support S3 ~$3,300 Psychological barrier; near high support zone
High Support Area ~$3,280–$3,300 Zone where bullish buyers might regroup
Conclusion
Your chart effectively captures a short-term bearish trend in gold (XAU/USD), showing:
Failed attempts to overcome resistance near $3,360.
A bearish flag breakout signaling potential continuation downward.
Clearly plotted support targets, with bounce zones drawn out.
A visual trade plan suggesting sell-on-rallies targeting declining support levels until reaching a strong demand zone.
To succeed with this setup, traders might wait for a brief rally into one of the identified sell zones (e.g. ~$3,314 or $3,325) before entering shorts, with stop-loss placements above the resistance areas and profit objectives aligned with support levels ($3,301 or near $3,300).
Gold Price Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Levels in PlayGold price continued to slide into liquidity zones during the late US session yesterday and reacted perfectly at the MMFLOW BUY ZONE 3314 – 3316, delivering over +70 pips profit to traders ✅.
At present, on M5–M15, Gold is showing signs of a short-term recovery. However, for a strong upside move, buyers must break through the 3320 – 3322 resistance zone. A confirmed breakout here could trigger momentum towards higher KeyLevels, allowing price to retest important supply zones.
📈 Upside Targets (Intraday): 333x and 334x remain the key areas to watch for take-profits or potential reversal setups.
🔔 Why This Week Matters – The FOMC Decision
The highlight of the week is the FOMC meeting during the US session. Markets are awaiting clarity on the Fed’s next move. Any hint towards a September rate cut could trigger massive bullish momentum, breaking Gold out of its corrective channel.
👉 Asian & European sessions: Focus remains bullish toward 333x – 334x, with potential SELL setups at resistance.
⚠️ US session with FOMC: Expect extreme volatility – risk management is critical.
📉 MMFLOW Technical Trading Plan
🔹 BUY Scalp Setup
Entry: 3311 – 3309
SL: 3305
TP: 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360+
🔹 BUY Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3290 – 3288
SL: 3282
TP: 3295 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370+
🔸 SELL Scalp Setup
Entry: 3342 – 3344
SL: 3348
TP: 3338 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔸 SELL Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3360 – 3362
SL: 3368
TP: 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ Key Notes for Indian Traders
FOMC = high volatility event – manage your exposure carefully.
Stick to strict TP/SL discipline to protect capital.
Smart traders know: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
🔥 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily Gold price analysis, liquidity maps, and Smart Money insights – designed for Forex & Gold traders in India.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 20/8/2025
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum lines are still “sticking” together, signaling that the bearish pressure is weakening. However, without a strong bullish D1 candle to confirm reversal, there is still a risk of sudden downward spikes. Patience is required until a clear bullish confirmation appears.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is currently turning bullish, suggesting a potential upward move today. But caution is needed: if the bullish candles are short, overlapping each other, and when momentum reaches the overbought zone without breaking the previous high → this move is likely just a corrective rebound.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought area, indicating the possibility of a minor pullback or sideways movement in the short term.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: The corrective triangle structure remains valid (only invalidated if price breaks below 3270). The main scenario continues to favor wave 1 and 2 in blue, with price currently in wave 2.
• H4 timeframe: The decline in wave C shows overlapping sub-waves, each formed by 3-wave structures, hinting at the possibility of an ending diagonal for wave C. The pattern is not yet complete, so we need further observation for confirmation.
• H1 timeframe: Within the 5-wave structure of an ending diagonal, wave 3 is typically the strongest and a divergence usually occurs between wave 3 and wave 5 on RSI. Yesterday’s decline pushed RSI into the oversold zone, but no divergence has formed yet. Combined with H4 momentum turning bullish, this suggests the current move is likely wave 3 (yellow). A corrective wave 4 upward is expected, followed by a final decline to complete wave 5 with RSI divergence. Once wave 5 ends, the entire wave C diagonal will be complete, paving the way for a strong bullish rally — a typical characteristic of ending diagonals.
3. Trading Plan
The strategy is based on the ending diagonal pattern:
• Conservative approach: Wait for a breakout above the upper boundary of the diagonal before entering.
• Aggressive approach: Wait for wave 5 to complete and enter at the projected bottom of wave 5.
Trade setup:
• Buy Zone: 3301 – 3299
• Stop Loss (SL): 3219
• Take Profit (TP1): 3314
• Take Profit (TP2): 3362
• Take Profit (TP3): 3381
Gold Consolidates Ahead of FOMC Liquidity SweepGold is currently moving within a narrow range, with downside pressure becoming increasingly evident. With just over a day left before the FOMC meeting – an event that could shape the next major trend – the market seems to be preparing for a sharp liquidity sweep.
👉 At first glance, price action looks frustrating and unclear. But for traders following MMFLOW KeyLevels, this is actually the “golden range”, as key zones continue to hold with remarkable precision.
📉 Today’s Outlook
Main Trend: Ongoing corrective downside move.
Potential Scenario: A deep liquidity sweep towards the 331x zone before a strong bullish rebound.
🔑 Key Trading Levels
SELL Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Short SL: 4 – 5$
🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → extended 3310
📌 Note: Manage risk tightly and watch reactions around KeyLevels – a single BreakOut move post-FOMC could unlock the next major opportunity.
✨ Once again: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily KeyLevel strategies, liquidity maps & smart money insights
🇮🇳 Gold Under Pressure | Key Levels to Watch TodayGold continues to move in line with our weekly outlook. Despite strong rebounds from liquidity zones, the market still faces heavy selling pressure, unable to break out of the 335x – 336x resistance area.
With no major news events scheduled today, price action is expected to remain within range, making KeyLevels the most important zones to trade from.
📌 Trading Bias Today
Priority remains on SELL setups at upper resistance zones. Adjust entries slightly for better risk–reward.
For BUY positions, wait for deeper entries to avoid liquidity sweeps around 333x – 332x, which have been tested multiple times recently.
🔑 Key Market Levels
Resistance: 3346 – 3357 – 3370 – 3383
Support: 3324 – 3316 – 3309
📌 Trading Plan for India Traders
✅ BUY Zone: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3310
TP: 3320 – 3324 – 3328 – 3332 – 3336 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360+
✅ SELL Zone: 3356 – 3358
SL: 3362
TP: 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 – 3330 – 3320
⚠️ Summary
Gold remains inside a bearish channel, waiting for a clear breakout. Until major news like the FOMC hits, expect sideways price action within today’s KeyLevels.
👉 Watch reactions closely around 333x – 336x for the next potential move.
Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market show its hand.
GOLD Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This WeekGold Sideway Compression | Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This Week
Gold is currently consolidating in a tight range, building up energy for a major BreakOut. After the liquidity sweep at the weekly open, price fluctuated strongly between the 332x – 335x zone, but on the H1 timeframe, the overall trend still remains within a descending channel.
Last week, CPI & PPI data failed to deliver a clear direction. This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting, expected to provide stronger signals for gold’s next move.
⏳ Early to mid-week: with limited impactful news, gold may continue to sideway within the narrow range or maintain downside pressure until FOMC is released.
🔑 Key Market Levels
Resistance: 3357 – 3369 – 3383 – 3398
Support: 3335 – 3317 – 3309
📌 Trading Setup
✅ BUY Zone: 3334 – 3332
SL: 3328
TP: 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
👉 If gold breaks the descending channel around 336x, expect a strong move towards 3383 – 3398.
✅ SELL Zone: 3383 – 3385
SL: 3390
TP: 3378 – 3374 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350
👉 If gold fails at higher resistance and reverses, liquidity may be swept back into 333x – 331x, with potential extension down to 329x.
⚠️ Summary
Gold is at a critical decision point: BreakOut or Breakdown.
Before FOMC: sideways / bearish bias within H1 channel.
After FOMC: expect a strong Pump or Dump to define the clear weekly trend.
🔥 Keep a close eye on reactions at KeyLevels (333x – 336x – 338x) to adjust trading strategy accordingly.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 19/8/2025
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Price is still waiting for confirmation of a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. The current decline has lasted for 7 daily candles, which is usually sufficient for a corrective wave → suggesting the down move is in its final stage.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. We can expect 4–5 bullish H4 candles ahead, indicating a possible upward move today.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is tightening in the overbought zone.
o If price makes a strong rally above 3343, the bullish move will be confirmed.
o If price continues to consolidate sideways, a downward liquidity sweep may occur before pushing higher.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: Expectation remains that the abcde red triangle correction has been completed. The market is likely forming waves 1 and 2 (blue) of a new 5-wave bullish sequence.
• H4 timeframe: The red ABC correction has already reached its first target at 3322. Combined with reversal signals on D1 and H4, this level could mark the bottom of wave C red or wave 2 blue.
• H1 timeframe: After a strong rally yesterday, price is now in a deep pullback. This is likely wave 2 red, following the completion of wave 1 red.
o Wave 2 has retraced to the 0.782 Fibonacci level of wave 1, making it a potential ending point.
o However, since H1 momentum is still in the overbought zone, another drop is still possible.
o If price breaks below 3324, then wave C might still be in progress, with key support zones at 3322 – 3315 – 3300.
3. Trading Plan
• Current Buy position 3329–3332 is running with about 100 pips profit → this trade can be held for longer.
o TP1: 3343
o TP2: 3362
o TP3: 3381
• If not in position yet, consider a Buy Limit:
o Entry: 3333 – 3330
o SL: 3323
o TP1: 3343
o TP2: 3362
o TP3: 3381
👉 Note: If price breaks below 3324, I will update with new entry levels at lower support zones.
XAU/USD: Navigating the Uptrend and Key Support LevelsPrice Structure: Gold has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicative of a general uptrend. The chart labels a "high" and a "higher high," confirming this bullish structure.
Support and Resistance:
Two key support areas are identified:
Support area S1: A narrow zone around 3,320 USD. The price recently bounced off this area.
Support area S2: A broader, more significant zone around 3,290 USD, which appears to have been a strong support level in the past.
Several horizontal resistance levels are marked:
Immediate resistance: Around 3,351.231 USD and 3,366.029 USD.
Higher resistance: At 3,408.819 USD and 3,438.677 USD.
Channels and Trendlines:
The price has been moving within a series of ascending channels (highlighted in green rectangles), suggesting a stair-step upward movement.
A primary ascending trendline (black line) serves as a long-term support, with the price currently hovering just above it.
Recent Price Action and Projections:
The price recently broke out of a small downtrend and is showing signs of recovery from the "support area S1."
A potential price path is drawn with a red arrow, indicating a possible move towards the immediate resistance levels around 3,351 USD and 3,366 USD.
The chart highlights two specific price points, 3,360.604 USD and 3,350.685 USD, which likely represent a short-term trading range or target.
Volume: The volume spikes visible at key price points (e.g., at the low on July 30 and during the recent drop) indicate strong market activity.
XAUUSD - SD + OTE + PD Array Entry/ExitThis long trade in XAUUSD includes cumulative entry and exit models.
1. SD - Standard Deviation Target 1 - 3274
Standard Deviation Target 2 - 3408
2. OTE - Optimal Trade Entry ( Equilibrium + 40 pips)
3. PD Array - 4H/15m FVG (caused due to CPI news)
PD array + OTE overlapping perfectly, so there's double confirmation.
Last manipulative leg before IDM (Inducement) and MSS (Market Structure Shift) taken for predicting Standard Deviation Targets.
This is a 1D + 4H PD array at play, with Liquidity of previous weekly candle already taken. So it's very possible that trade hits both of our targets.
Already 333pips captured in this trade, waiting for more, let's see what happens!
Share your thoughts and analysis below in the comments.
I'd honestly like to know about your opinion :)
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn bullish. The current decline has lasted for 5 daily candles – this is often the usual number that completes wave D. Therefore, the current stage is sensitive, and price could reverse upward at any time. However, during such periods, price often sweeps liquidity to the downside first, so caution is required.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is still bearish, suggesting that price may continue falling on Monday. That said, a reversal to the upside on Monday is also possible.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone, with the lines sticking together. If price continues to fall at the Asian session open, a gap may appear. In that case, pay close attention to the downside target zones.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: On the daily chart, we can see a completed abcde corrective structure, followed by a strong rally. The current move is a decline, likely forming waves 1 and 2 (green) within the 5-wave structure of the larger wave 5. The latest D1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating that selling pressure still remains.
• H4 timeframe: A 5-wave impulse (12345, black) has formed, which could represent wave 1 (green). Afterward, a 3-wave ABC correction (purple) developed. The market is likely within wave C (purple) at the moment. With H4 momentum still bearish, this supports the scenario that wave C (purple) is continuing. Key downside targets to watch: 3322 and 3298.
• H1 timeframe: Within wave C (purple), a 5-wave impulse (12345, black) is unfolding. The market is currently in the late stage of wave 4 and the start of wave 5. Wave 5 will be confirmed if price breaks below 3331. Key downside targets for wave 5:
o Target 1: 3322
o Target 2: 3315
o Target 3: 3299
Trading Plan
• Scenario 1:
o Buy Zone: 3323 – 3321
o SL: 3312
o TP1: 3333
o TP2: 3350
o TP3: 3381
• Scenario 2:
o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298
o SL: 3290
o TP1: 3333
o TP2: 3350
o TP3: 3381
XAUUSD Bullish Trend Continuation: Potential Move to $3,400!The price action shows a higher high ("high") and a higher low ("low"), which are characteristic of an uptrend. An upward trendline has been established, connecting a series of higher lows, which is acting as a dynamic support level. A significant horizontal support zone has also been identified around the $3,260 - $3,280 price range, where the price previously found support.
Recently, the price experienced a pullback and bounced off the upward trendline. The analysis anticipates a continuation of the upward momentum toward a key resistance zone. This resistance zone is located around the $3,400 - $3,420 level. A specific target price of $3,408.833 is highlighted within this zone, suggesting a potential area where the upward movement might pause or reverse.
The chart includes a potential corrective wave pattern labeled with "C"s, indicating a recent three-wave pullback within the larger trend. The current price is shown at $3,353.520, positioned above both the horizontal support and the upward trendline, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – August 15, 2025
1. Momentum
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse and the two lines are converging. We need to wait for the daily candle close for confirmation. At this stage, buying pressure is weak, but sudden downward spikes to sweep liquidity are still possible.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential rebound today. If this rebound fails to break above Wave B’s high, another downward move is likely.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning down, so a short-term drop is possible. If price breaks below 3331 and approaches the lower targets, it will align with H4’s upward momentum, creating the basis for a more stable rally.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 Timeframe: The abcde triangle pattern may have completed. We now have a black 5-wave structure, with Wave 1 formed and price possibly in Wave 2. A break below 3270 would invalidate this 5-wave count.
• H4 Timeframe: The black 12345 5-wave structure appears complete. Price may now be forming a purple ABC correction, with Waves A and B done, and price currently in Wave C. Based on Fibonacci from W12345, Wave C has two potential targets:
o Target 1: 3322 (Fibo 0.618)
o Target 2: 3298 (Fibo 0.782)
• H1 Timeframe: Within Wave C, a black 5-wave structure seems to be developing, and price may now be in Wave 4. Wave 4 has two possible targets: 3343 and 3350, after which price could drop to complete Wave 5.
3. Key resistance zones where Wave 5 may end:
• Target 1: 3322
• Target 2: 3315
• Target 3: 3299
4. Trade Plan
• Scenario 1:
o Buy Zone: 3322 – 3320
o SL: 3312
o TP1: 3332
o TP2: 3357
o TP3: 3381
• Scenario 2:
o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298
o SL: 3290
o TP1: 3314
o TP2: 3343
o TP3: 3381