Gold Faces Rejection at Resistance Zone – Potential Bearish CorrAnalysis:
The gold price (XAU/USD) is currently testing a strong resistance zone near $4,235–$4,240, where previous bullish momentum appears to be slowing down. Sellers are showing interest in this area, suggesting a potential bearish reversal or correction phase.
A clear support zone lies around $4,140–$4,150, which serves as the target for the expected downward move. If price breaks below this support, further declines could extend toward the next demand zone.
However, if gold breaks and closes above the resistance zone with strong volume, it could invalidate this bearish setup and open the path to new highs.
Key Points:
Resistance Zone: $4,235 – $4,240
Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,150
Short-term Bias: Bearish correction expected
Target: Support zone near $4,145
Xauusdanalysis
XAU/USD – Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to Support Hook: XAU/USD – Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to Support 4,151 USD
Body: 📊 Market Structure
After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD region, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment.
The price has touched the Resistance Zone 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone 4,151 USD – which previously created an impulsive move.
Below Support 4,151, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD.
As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply area + where a downward reaction occurs
• Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting upward reaction
• Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of the upward structure
• Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → next wave expansion area
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend-following priority
If the price adjusts correctly to discount areas:
• Entry 1: 4,151 USD
• Entry 2: 4,104 USD (best area – confluence OB)
SL: below 4,090 USD
TP1: 4,208
TP2: 4,237
TP3: 4,260
→ Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend)
If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 area and creates a clear rejection:
Entry: 4,218 – 4,230
SL: 4,245
TP1: 4,180
TP2: 4,151
→ Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The current structure is very precise:
Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continue upward wave.
The 4,151 USD area is the focal point to observe.
The 4,104 USD area is the best BUY area if the market wants to hunt deeper liquidity.
As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, buyers still hold the entire advantage.
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction!
Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure.
If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak.
Strong Resistance:
4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise.
4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction.
Important Support:
4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline.
4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs.
Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction.
📈 Daily Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority)
Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support)
SL: 4120
TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198
Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x.
Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend)
Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest
Entry: 4174–4176
SL: 4182
TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110
Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order.
Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest)
Entry: 4212–4216
SL: 4202
TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285
🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans
President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…).
Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs.
This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term.
⚠️ Invalidation Condition
H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100.
H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout.
Which price area are you observing?
Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
HOW MANY BUYER TRAPS BEFORE NEW ATH GOLD ?📈 Analysis of Gold Trading Plan (SMC/Order Flow)
🔍 Current Market Context
Structure: The market has shown a strong bullish trend, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Done Sweep around the ₹4,145 price level.
Liquidity:
The market performed a "First Sweep Here" (initial liquidity grab) after the rally, signaling a readiness for a correction.
The main liquidity target for the upward move (Big Boy Liquidity) is set above the ₹4,240 level.
Recent Price Action: After hitting the peak and the initial sweep, the price experienced a sharp decline, creating a correction zone.
🎯 Proposed Trading Plan
The plan focuses on two main scenarios: a Short-term Sell (SELL SCALP) and a Primary Buy (BUY GOLD).
1. Primary Buy Scenario (BUY GOLD)
This is the main scenario to continue the bullish trend (Long).
Entry Zone: BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124.
This zone is likely a critical Order Block or an unmitigated Demand Zone, positioned just below the previous liquidity sweep and acting as a strong support/Displaced/Fair Value Gap (FVG) area.
Stop Loss (SL): SL 4120.
This stop-loss level protects the long position, placed just below the key entry zone to avoid being shaken out by minor liquidity grabs.
The indicated Stoploss Buyer area (around ₹4,145 - ₹4,150) suggests the price drop might aim to sweep prior buyers' liquidity before bouncing from the ₹4,124 - ₹4,126 zone.
Take Profit (TP): The ultimate target is the Liquidity Limit Big Boy (above ₹4,240).
2. Short-term Sell Scenario (SELL SCALP)
This is a short-term trading opportunity (Scalping) during the corrective move.
Entry Zone: SELL SCALP 4208 - 4210.
This area likely represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block following the sharp drop, where hidden selling pressure resides.
Stop Loss (SL): SL 4212.
This is a very tight stop loss, placed just above the entry zone.
Take Profit (TP): The target is the BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124 area (the primary buy entry zone).
⚠️ Key Considerations
Timeline: This plan requires the price to move according to the predicted scenario (drop to the buy zone before rallying).
Confirmation: Traders should wait for structural confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., a Change of Character - CHoCH or a bullish BOS) at the 4126 - 4124 buy zone before entering the trade to improve the probability of success.
Risk Management: Using the suggested Stop Loss (SL) is mandatory for capital protection.
Will gold continue to rise? XAUUSD forecast 14/10/251. Fundamental Analysis
Yesterday, gold dropped ~100 points from 4248 → 4145 due to information that after the US Government reopened, some important economic data (CPI, employment) might not be released on schedule.
This has lowered the expectation of a December rate cut to <50%, causing a technical adjustment.
➡ The major trend is still upward – today, prioritise BUY.
Key level: 4208–4213
Above 421x: adjustment ends → prioritise BUY.
Below 421x: the price may retest the lower BUY zone.
2. BUY Zone (priority) – SL 10 points, TP 10–20 points (RR 1:1 → 1:2)
zone 1 : 4140–4143
Zone 2: 4134–4130
zone 3: 4120–4112
3. SELL Reaction Zone – SL 10 points, TP 10 points (RR 1:1)
zone 1: 4245–4248
zone 2: 4280–4285
zone 3: 4300–4305
4. Notes
Today is Friday → trade safely, quick TP.
Do not chase orders, only enter when the price hits the zone.
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1)
Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides.
Key observations from MMFlow structure:
• Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area)
4,174 – 4,159
→ Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential.
→ If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup.
• Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line
4,207 – 4,212
→ This is the key breakout ceiling.
→ A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave.
• Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target)
4,244 – 4,252
→ Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style)
🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias)
Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159
SL: below 4,150
TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+
Why?
This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload.
🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest)
Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212
Entry: Retest of 4,207
SL: below retest wick
TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252
Why?
Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs.
🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred)
Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection.
Entry: 4,207 – 4,212
SL: above 4,220
TP: 4,174 → 4,159
Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish.
🧠 MMFlow Insight
The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITISE BUY ACCORDING TO PRICE CHANNEL...💛 XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITISE BUY ACCORDING TO PRICE CHANNEL, WATCH FOR ADJUSTMENT MOVES 🎯
🌤 Overview
Gold is maintaining its upward channel on H1 → main mindset: hold Buy longer than Sell.
Asian–European sessions present multiple liquidity clusters suitable for scalping and optimising entry points.
Fundamentals: DXY retreats around 99.15, market reduces expectations of Fed rate cut in December; Fed's Collins hints rates may remain unchanged longer → gold's range may experience short-term fluctuations.
💹 Technical (ICT view)
H1 upward channel maintains a structure of higher lows; the lower trendline is the main support.
4163–4165: confluence of trendline + liquidity (ideal Buy entry point).
4130–4133: deeper support; below that is the 4100–4080 zone (medium-term support; around Fibo ext 1.618 ≈ 4114 and 2.618 ≈ 4054).
Nearby resistance: 4215–4225; a decisive break opens up to 4260.
🎯 Trading Plan Reference
Buy #1 (priority): 4163–4165 │ SL 4157 │ TP 4180 → 4195 → 4220 → 4260
Buy #2 (deeper support): 4130–4133 │ SL 4125 │ TP 4150 → 4175 → 4190 → 4220
Sell (only with confirmation):
Scenario A: M15/M30 gives strong rejection signal at 4215–4225 → SL 4230 │ TP 4200 → 4188 → 4165.
Scenario B: H1 closes below 4157 (breaks structure) then fails retest → target 4135 → 4115 → 4100.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Prioritise Buy according to trend; Sell orders are only short-term reactions.
Use M15/M5 to time entries at the specified zones.
If H1 closes below 4125, consider narrowing buy positions, wait for the 4100–4080 zone.
🌷 Conclusion
H1 upward channel still guides the flow 💛. Patiently wait for adjustments to 4163–4165 or 4130–4133 to buy according to trend, manage orders tightly as price approaches 4215–4225.
If useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates ✨
Gold Technical Retracement Before Continuing Main Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/14/2025
🔍 Market Context
After establishing a short-term peak around 4,239 USD, gold is undergoing a technical retracement to rebalance its structure.
The most recent decline formed a Break of Structure (BOS), but the Support Zone around 4,145–4,174 USD continues to serve as a foundation for the medium-term uptrend.
The current price structure indicates the market is re-accumulating momentum before expanding again.
📊 Technical Structure
Order Block (4,239 USD): a short-term resistance zone where the price may react slightly before continuing upward.
Support Zone (4,145–4,174 USD): a confluence zone with Fibo 0.236–0.382, playing a balancing role in the current cycle.
Liquidity Targets:
• 4,261 USD – intermediate liquidity zone.
• 4,293 USD – main expansion target if the uptrend is maintained.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario:
1️⃣ The price may retrace to the Support Zone or form a higher low around 4,174 USD, then recover to the OB zone at 4,239 USD.
2️⃣ If the uptrend structure breaks, the market may test deeper towards 4,145 USD before bouncing back.
As long as the price holds above this support zone, the primary trend remains bullish continuation.
🧠 Analyst’s View
This is a phase of market re-accumulation after a rapid increase.
Maintaining a higher low structure will be a confirmation signal for the next expansion phase towards 4,261–4,293 USD.
Buyers are still controlling the cash flow, while sellers mainly participate in the short-term resistance zone.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is in a slight correction phase – avoid impulsive actions when the price has not completed the accumulation zone.
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Prepares for New ExpansionWave⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/13/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a short correction at the start of the week, gold has clearly formed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 30-minute chart, indicating that bullish momentum has returned.
This morning's Asian session witnessed a strong recovery from the Support Zone, confirming that buying pressure remains dominant in the current structure.
The market is approaching the “expansion phase” – where prices typically expand to seek liquidity above.
📊 Technical Structure
Order Block 1 (4,208 USD): a short-term support area, likely to serve as a retest point after the expansion move.
Order Block 2 (4,184 USD): confluence of Fibonacci 0.5–0.618, a deep equilibrium zone within the bullish structure.
Support Zone: the main foundation of the medium-term uptrend, still being preserved.
Extension Levels:
• 4,249 USD → first expansion target.
• 4,267 USD → intermediate liquidity zone.
• 4,292 USD → maximum expansion target within the current cycle.
🎯 Market Outlook
Today's scenario leans towards a continuation bullish direction:
1️⃣ Price may technically correct to the OB 4,208 or 4,184 USD area.
2️⃣ Upon a bullish reaction, the market is likely to expand to 4,267 – 4,292 USD, where short-term selling liquidity is concentrated.
3️⃣ Losing the 4,184 USD level will temporarily shift the structure to rebalancing (sideways).
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is in the “expansion reaccumulation” phase, meaning after attracting liquidity below, prices begin to expand following the main trend.
Continuous BOS signals indicate that buyers are reasserting control.
As long as prices remain above the 4,184 USD area, the intraday bias remains predominantly bullish.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is expanding rapidly, so pullback reactions to the OB area may be highly volatile.
Let your trade ideas run and let's observe together.
Gold Maintains Uptrend, Watch for Pullback to Buy with Cash Flow🔍 Context & Market Structure
After a strong upward impulse from a low liquidity area, the price has broken the downtrend structure and formed a bullish BoS on H1.
Currently, gold is accumulating above the Support Zone at 4,183 USD after creating a new peak and leaving a FVG just below the current price .
Above is the Liquidity Zone $$$ around 4,232 USD – a concentration of sell-side stop losses and buy-side profit-taking orders, likely to create a “final push” that attracts liquidity.
=> Overall: the main trend remains bullish , prioritising waiting for a pullback to discount levels to buy with the trend rather than chasing orders at high levels.
💎 Key Technical Zones
Liquidity Zone $$$: around 4,232 USD – upper liquidity area, prone to profit-taking reactions.
Current FVG: price gap area just below the current price (around 4.20x) – expected to “fill the gap” before continuing.
Support Zone 1: 4,183 USD – nearest support, confluence with the area where the upward impulse began to slow.
Support Zone 2: 4,140 USD – stronger support, aligning with the old structure.
Liquidity Clear: 4,101 USD – lower liquidity area, if swept, it would be a very attractive discount for swing buyers.
📈 Proposed Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy with the trend at FVG / 4,183 USD
Priority to wait for the price to:
Either fill the FVG around 4.20x and show a rejection candle,
Or clearly retest Support 4,183 USD with a bullish reversal signal on M15–H1.
When a confirmation signal appears:
→ Consider buying (BUY) around 4.19x – 4.18x .
Stoploss: below 4,175 USD (below the nearest low and support).
TP reference:
TP1: 4,210 USD
TP2: 4,232 USD (Liquidity Zone $$$)
TP3: trailing if the price breaks through 4,232 and maintains the bullish structure.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback Before Continuing Upward
If the price clearly breaks 4,183 USD and closes an H1 candle below:
→ Avoid buying hastily, wait for the price to continue adjusting to Support 4,140 USD or even Liquidity Clear 4,101 USD .
At these zones, if there appears:
strong rejection candles,
or small reversal structures (bullish ChoCH on M15),
→ Then consider buying at a discount with better RR, targeting a return to 4,183 → 4,210 → 4,232 USD.
3️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario (for experienced scalpers only)
If the price hits Liquidity Zone 4,232 USD but shows strong rejection (long wick, high sell volume):
→ Consider short-term sell scalp back to the 4.20x – 4,183 USD area.
This is a counter-trend trade, so:
keep the volume small,
short TP,
tight SL above the newly formed peak.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Do not FOMO buy when the price is testing near the 4.23x area – this is a prone-to-sell area.
Prioritise waiting for a pullback to FVG / Support for a better entry point and RR.
Always adjust volume according to actual SL, avoid over-leverage during strong market volatility.
“Buy the dip in liquidity zones, do not chase orders at the peak – that's how to go with the big money flow.”
GOLD H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data for Directional Clarity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (13/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, with intraday traders now focused on the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release — a key inflation metric that often shapes Fed expectations.
• A hot PPI reading could strengthen the USD and trigger a sell-off from premium levels.
• A softer print may weaken the dollar, encouraging another liquidity grab above 4250.
Institutional order flow shows potential for engineered liquidity sweeps around both extremes before the next directional push.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Still bullish overall, but showing early distribution near the 4250 handle.
• Premium Zone: 4255–4253 aligns with an unmitigated supply and prior buy-side liquidity pool — a prime short setup if price reacts after a liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4168–4166 sits within the recent FVG and above EMA100 — a valid area for re-accumulation and continuation if price corrects deeper.
• Liquidity: Equal highs at 4255 and lows near 4156 signal potential stop-hunt traps before a decisive move.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,255 – 4,253
• Stop-Loss: 4,265
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,182 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,148 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,110 (discount reaction zone)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps buy-side liquidity and confirms bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,166 – 4,168
• Stop-Loss: 4,156
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,210 (short-term liquidity pocket)
→ 4,248 (imbalance fill zone)
→ 4,255 (final liquidity target)
📌 Valid only if price mitigates the FVG and reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for PPI volatility before entering trades.
• Avoid trading mid-range (4180–4210) – low R/R zone.
• Scale out partials near liquidity points and trail stops post-confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk: 1–2% max per setup.
Summary
Gold is in pre-news equilibrium, with both buy- and sell-side liquidity pools clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4255–4253 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4168–4166 (discount re-entry area)
Expect engineered liquidity grabs before a decisive move — patience and structure confirmation remain key.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time Smart Money updates ⚡
LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci perspective on the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci perspective on the upward wave: watch for sell at 2.618 @ 4229–4231, wait to buy at FVG 4174–4172
Quick context: News of the US government reopening eases tensions, but gold prices in the Asian session this morning only rose slightly before moving sideways – accumulating. On M45, the triangle has broken upwards but buying momentum hasn't truly exploded; the market may test the price gap areas (FVG) before choosing the next direction.
Technical Analysis
Trendline & M45 structure: The rise after breakout is running along the short-term upward trendline; the old triangle peak becomes resistance near 4215.
Fibonacci Extension:
2.272 ≈ 4215: pivot point; staying above this opens the path for higher levels.
2.618 ≈ 4229–4231: extended resistance – a zone prone to rejection/short reversal.
FVG & Liquidity Zones:
FVG #1: 4195–4198 – likely to fill before continuing upwards.
Liquidity: 4184–4188 – volume attraction zone between FVG and trendline.
Fibo 0.618 + FVG: 4172–4174 – strong confluence for the buyback scenario in line with the trend.
Invalidation point: breaking 4166 weakens the M45 upward structure, risking a pullback to lower zones.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Trend-following Buy (priority)
Entry: 4172–4174 (Fibo 0.618 + FVG)
SL: 4166
TP: 4190 → 4215 → 4240 → 4280
Note: Prioritise when a clear rejection candle/lower wick appears at 417x.
Scenario 2 – Counter-trend Sell scalp at extended resistance
Entry: 4229–4231 (Fibo 2.618)
SL: 4236 (above the nearest peak)
TP: 4215 → 4196 → 4186 → 4175
Note: Quick scalp; abandon if M45 closes strongly above 4231–4233.
Scenario 3 – Buy on break & hold of 4215 (break & retest)
Condition: M45 closes above 4215, retests holding 4212–4216
Entry: 4216–4218
SL: 4207
TP: 4229–4231 → 4260 → 4285–4300
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the latest updates.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 13/11/2025🔸 1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
• D1 momentum continues to close inside the overbought zone, signaling weakening buying pressure.
• A bearish reversal may occur at any moment.
H4 Timeframe
• H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to contract → a potential signal that H4 may soon turn downward.
H1 Timeframe
• H1 momentum is currently oversold, so a short-term bounce is likely to push momentum back toward the overbought area.
________________________________________
🔸 2. Wave Structure
D1 Structure
• No significant change compared to yesterday; price is still heading toward the completion zone of wave X.
H4 Structure
• Price is inside wave X and currently reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of wave W (purple).
• This area aligns with both D1 and H4 momentum, creating a strong reversal confluence.
• We wait for an H4 bearish close to confirm the potential top of wave X.
• Note: The current H4 candle is compressing tightly, so one more upward spike is still possible before reversal.
H1 Structure
• Within the red 5-wave sequence, a smaller 5-wave black structure is developing.
• RSI showed a bearish divergence at the top of wave 3 (black) → early signal of a wave 5 top forming.
• Based on wave projections, wave 5 black (which also completes wave 5 red and wave X) may extend into:
o 4223 (0.382 Fibo of wave 1–3)
o 4248 (0.618 Fibo of wave 1–3)
Confluence for wave-top formation:
• RSI divergence between wave 3 and wave 5
• H1 momentum rising into overbought then reversing
→ This supports the expectation of wave X topping around these zones.
________________________________________
🔸 3. Trading Plan
You have three entry options, depending on your trading style:
✅ 1. Sell Limit: 4223 – 4225
• SL: 4233
• TP1: 4181
• TP2: 4145
• TP3: 4046
✅ 2. Sell Limit: 4248 – 4250
• SL: 4260
• TP1: 4181
• TP2: 4145
• TP3: 4046
✅ 3. Sell Stop at 4181
• Trigger only when the candle closes below 4181 (wave 4 black low).
• This method offers stronger confirmation, since structure breaks down before entry.
________________________________________
📌 Summary
• Wave X is approaching its final target area and multiple signals support a potential top.
• H1 may still push higher toward 4223–4248 before reversing.
• These two zones are strong sell areas with momentum and divergence confluence.
• All three entry methods (limit – limit – breakout) provide strategic options depending on risk preference.
Gold Bullish Continuation Setup from Ascending Channel Support✅ Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold)
1. Market Structure
Price is moving inside a clean ascending channel, showing a sustained uptrend.
The lower boundary (rejection line) is acting as strong support, where buyers have entered repeatedly.
The current price action is showing a pullback toward this support area, which is typical before a continuation move higher.
2. Current Price Action
Price has retraced back into the buy zone near the channel support.
Candlesticks show slowing bearish momentum, suggesting buyers may soon take control.
Your chart projection indicates a possible bullish bounce.
3. Trade Setup
✅ Buy Zone: Near the rejection line / lower channel
✅ SL (Stop-Loss): Below the support line — smart placement to protect against channel breakdown
✅ Target: Upper resistance of the channel (around 4230 – 4260 zone)
This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio, based on trend continuation.
4. Bullish Expectation
As long as price stays above the rejection line, the uptrend remains valid.
A bounce from this zone is likely to push price toward the target box.
Gold (XAU/USD) Testing Key Resistance – Potential Pullback BeforAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 4145, approaching a significant resistance zone between 4100 and 4120, marked as the first target region. This level previously acted as strong resistance, and price may experience a temporary pullback before resuming upward momentum.
The strong psychological support zone near 3890–3920 served as a solid foundation for the recent bullish reversal, confirmed by double-bottom formations and consistent higher highs.
If gold maintains momentum above 4120, the next upside target lies around 4210, aligning with previous structural highs and a major supply zone. However, rejection from the current resistance could trigger a short-term retracement toward 4100 before another push upward.
Summary:
Immediate Resistance: 4100–4120
Next Target: 4210
Key Support: 3890–3920
Bias: Bullish above 4100, potential retracement before continuation
Gold Hits a 3 Week High but the Real Move Might Still Be LoadingGold just tapped $4,213 — the highest level in three weeks, powered by growing expectations of a dovish Fed and optimism around the potential reopening of the US government.
But the real story isn’t the headline spike — it’s the structure forming right beneath it.
📌 Why this zone matters right now
Price is pulling back into $4,179–$4,165, a clean Demand zone aligning with Fibo + breakout structure.
Buyers remain firmly in control despite a mild USD recovery.
The market swept liquidity around $4,207, hinting at accumulation before the next expansion.
The broader pattern resembles a falling-wedge breakout, often appearing before strong upside continuation phases.
🎯 Most Probable Scenario (Mind Insight)
Gold is in a “compression before expansion” phase.
Once this squeeze resolves, momentum is likely to continue in the direction that’s already dominant — and right now, that’s the bulls.
🔶 MMF BUY Zone
$4,179 → $4,165
Looking for a shallow pullback before the next leg.
🔼 Bullish Targets
• $4,207 (liquidity tap)
• $4,228 (Fibo 1.618)
• $4,236 (Fibo 1.786 — major reaction zone)
🧠 Key Takeaway
As long as Gold holds above $4,165, the bullish structure remains intact and the upside expansion toward the upper Fibo cluster stays in play.
XAU/USD OUTLOOK – TODAY 13/11/25
The US House has approved the reopening of the government, now just awaiting President Trump's signature. This means US economic data will gradually be released again, promising a week of strong and unpredictable fluctuations.
In terms of technicals, gold maintains an upward trend after breaking the H4 sideway boundary, but signs of overbought conditions and H4 peak divergence are emerging.
In smaller time frames (M30 – H1), slight divergence is also beginning to appear, so BUY positions need to be selected carefully, avoiding FOMO. SELL should only be short-term reactive trades.
🎯 Scenario for the day
Morning
Expecting sideway ~30 points within the 4180 – 4212 range
You can WATCH FOR TRADES WITHIN THIS RANGE
if the price breaks through 4212, then wait for a retest back to 4205 to buy up.
Afternoon
Wait for gold to adjust to reasonable BUY zones:
4160 – 4162
4152 – 4148
4123 – 4120
If a strong adjustment occurs:
Beautiful BUY at 4070 – 4040 (deep support zone).
🎯 Target increase:
4280 – 4285
4300 – 4305
🎯 Reactive SELL:
4255, 428X, 430X
(SL 10 – TP 10)
⚠️ Important Note
The overall trend is still uptrend, but attention is needed:
H4 shows signs of overbought + peak divergence.
M30 – H1 shows slight divergence, indicating the market may have a short adjustment before continuing to rise.
BUY should only be entered at beautiful support zones, if a bad candle is seen → close short and exit quickly.
SELL is only reactive selling at strong resistance zones, not holding for long.
XAUUSD – REFERENCE SCENARIO FOR 13/11 – TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5💛 XAUUSD – REFERENCE SCENARIO FOR 13/11 – TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold is currently trading around the 4210 region, indicating that the upward momentum has slowed after two strong days of gains.
According to Elliott wave, wave 5 may not have ended yet, and this region is becoming a strong resistance – where prices can accumulate or adjust at any moment.
Besides technical factors, political news from the US President's administration is causing significant USD fluctuations, leading to a wide range of gold movements in the short term. Therefore, today it is crucial to prioritise risk management and monitor price reactions in the 4210–4260 region.
💹 Technical Analysis
📈 On the H4 chart, gold is approaching the resistance area of 4210–4260, which also coincides with the 0.236 Fibonacci and the previous FVG zone.
🟣 The bearish view (ABC correction) will be confirmed when the price breaks below 4180 – targeting an adjustment to 4120–4050.
🔹 The bullish view remains valid if the price closes the H4 candle above 4212, in which case the trend could extend to 4250–4280.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario (on breakout)
Entry: 4230–4232 | SL: 4225
TP: 4165 – 4190 – 4250
💢 SELL Scenario (reaction at resistance)
Entry: 4265–4267 | SL: 4273
TP: 4249 – 4215 – 4200
⚠️ Important Note
Closely monitor reactions at the levels: 4246 – 4212 – 4260 – 4280.
USD is highly volatile due to political factors, which may cause rapid fluctuations in gold.
🌷 Gold is at a crucial transition zone – Elliott wave 5 may soon end or expand further 💛
Be patient for clear confirmation, as at this stage, even a small deviation can change the entire price structure.
If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to keep updated with daily gold insights with me ✨
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 12 November 2025🔹 Momentum
• D1: The daily momentum has completed its upward phase, indicating that we may expect a bearish wave to bring the D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
• H4: The H4 momentum is currently preparing to turn upward, suggesting a potential bullish move lasting 4–5 H4 candles before the next larger decline.
• H1: The H1 momentum is also about to turn upward, implying that a short-term rally could begin from the current levels.
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: On the daily chart, price remains within wave (4) yellow. We expect a downward move aligned with D1 momentum, lasting 4–5 daily candles, to complete this corrective wave.
• H4: On the H4 chart, price is currently inside wave X (purple). As H4 momentum approaches the oversold zone while price continues to move sideways, it suggests that one more upward leg may occur to complete wave X.
• H1: On the H1 chart, price has already formed a 3-wave correction, which I mentioned in yesterday’s update. Currently, wave 4 (red) is forming, and once price breaks above the top of wave 3 (red), wave 5 (red) will be confirmed.
🎯 Wave 5 (red) is expected to target the 4200 zone, which is our primary Sell Zone.
If price breaks above 4145 and RSI forms a lower high compared to RSI at wave 3, this will create a bearish RSI divergence, confirming that wave 5 is forming — a good opportunity to look for Sell setups.
However, if price breaks below the bottom of wave 4 (red), it may indicate a truncated wave 5, which would trigger strong selling pressure and lead to a sharp, steep decline.
📈 Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 4199 – 4201
• Stop Loss: 4215
• Take Profit 1: 4145
• Take Profit 2: 4046
• Take Profit 3: 3932
XAU/USD – Price Accumulating in a Narrow Range, Ready to Expand⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/12/2025
🔍 Market Context
Gold maintains a neutral structure after forming a Change of Character (CHoCH) around the 4,144 USD area.
Yesterday's session witnessed a narrow fluctuation between the Demand Zone – Support Zone, indicating the market is absorbing liquidity before determining the next direction.
The medium-term upward momentum remains unbroken, but the price needs a clear balancing phase before continuation.
📊 Technical Structure
Demand Zone (4,144 USD): a short-term supply – demand area where the market previously reacted strongly, now becoming a potential testing zone.
Support Zone (4,099 USD): confluence structure – an area where buying flows may return when the price retests.
Order Block (4,081 USD): a deep defensive zone, corresponding to the main Discount area in the current cycle.
Equal Lows (EQL) & CHoCH: indicate a short-term transition between two sides, but the overall bias slightly leans towards an increase.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario for the day:
1️⃣ Price may fluctuate within the 4,099–4,144 USD balance zone to attract liquidity.
2️⃣ If a strong reaction occurs from the Support Zone or Order Block, gold may establish a new upward move towards 4,165–4,180 USD.
3️⃣ Conversely, if the price closes below 4,081 USD, the short-term structure will temporarily shift to neutral, prioritizing a re-accumulation phase.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Current price behavior reflects a “pause phase” in the larger upward structure.
When the market balances at lower levels, the key observation is not the bounce, but the reaction when liquidity is swept — where the true momentum of the trend is reignited.
As long as the price does not break the 4,081 USD mark, the medium-term upward trend remains intact.
🛡️ Risk Note
This is a technical analysis, not investment advice.
The market can change rapidly during US sessions – wait for clear confirmation from price action before participating.
XAUUSD H1 – Double Tap Liquidity & Reentry Setup🕊️ Market Context
Gold just delivered a beautiful liquidity sweep from the highs at 4148, after multiple CHoCH–BMS transitions confirmed structural bullish intent.
We are now seeing price forming equal lows, tapping the buy zone (4090–4085) — a clean H1 demand block aligned with the 0.618 retracement.
💎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure:
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, following multiple BMS breaks to the upside.
Current pullback is corrective — a typical liquidity sweep to rebalance inefficiency.
BUY ZONE: 4090 – 4085 (SL 4080)
→ H1 Demand (OB) + 0.618 Fib confluence.
→ Watching for M15 CHoCH confirmation before entering long.
Target: 4148
→ Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) resting above previous highs — likely magnet for the next push.
🪶 Trading Plan
I’ll wait patiently for a clean sweep + M15 confirmation around 4085–4090 to re-enter long.
As long as price respects 4080, my bias remains bullish, targeting the next BSL @ 4148.
No trade if price fails to confirm on lower timeframe — patience over impulse. 💛
💭 Karina’s Note
This setup perfectly reflects the essence of SMC — liquidity engineering before continuation.
It’s not about catching every move; it’s about aligning with the story the market is telling.
This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice.
✨ Like & Follow for daily London session updates ✨
Gold H1 – 5-Wave Complete Amid Fed Rate Hopes & Dollar Rebound🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 12/11 | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold appears to have completed a clear 5-wave impulsive advance on the H1 chart, with wave 5 reaching into the premium zone around 4,149–4,151. Concurrently, macro news is supporting bullion: weaker US labour data and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have bolstered safe-haven flows.
Now price is retracing from the highs, suggesting that a classic corrective ABC sequence may be forming.
🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure)
• Wave 1: Initiation rally from ~3,965
• Wave 2: Shallow pull-back to near ~4,000
• Wave 3: Strong impulse past ~4,080 → extended
• Wave 4: Controlled correction holding trend-line support
• Wave 5: Final push topping near ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE)
With the 5-wave impulse complete, the market is likely shifting into:
Wave A → bear leg
Wave B → corrective rebound
Wave C → deeper decline
📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC)
Wave A projection:
• Likely break below the 2-4 trend-line
• First reaction zone: ~4,081 (Fibonacci 0.382)
• Main downside target: ~4,059 (BUY ZONE)
Wave B projection:
• Corrective rebound toward either ~4,108 or ~4,149 (upper premium)
Wave C projection:
• Key downside targets:
o ~4,037 (Fibo 0.618)
o ~4,025–4,010 (trend-line support)
Wave C often equals Wave A in length → aligns with ~4,059 zone for potential cycle end.
Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-based)
Scenario 1 – SELL the corrective wave (A–B–C)
Preferred strategy given completed impulse.
Entry: After H1 candle breaks below 2-4 trend-line, or on Wave B retest into ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE)
Stop Loss: Above wave-5 high: ~4,155
Take Profit zones:
• TP1: ~4,081
• TP2: ~4,059
• TP3: ~4,037
Scenario 2 – BUY only if correction invalidates
If gold refuses to break the 2-4 trend-line and pushes above ~4,155 → wave 5 may extend.
Entry: Above ~4,155
SL: ~4,149
TP: ~4,175–4,200
📌 Summary
For 12/11, gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now ripe for a corrective ABC pattern. With macro forces (Fed rate-cut expectations, weaker dollar) providing backdrop, the highest-probability trade is to sell the Wave B retest and ride Wave C toward deeper support near ~4,059. Stay patient, let the structure confirm the impulse → correction transition before committing.
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Monitor FVG 4,060📊 Market Structure
After completing the structure break (ChoCH + BoS) at the 4,080 USD zone, gold has sustained a strong upward momentum and created Equal High 4,140 – 4,145 USD , corresponding with the short-term resistance Order Block .
Currently, the price is technically reacting in this area, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure from buyers after a prolonged rally.
The H1 structure remains bullish as the main support zones have not been broken.
A potential scenario is that the price will adjust to FVG zones or support to absorb liquidity before bouncing towards the Liquidity Zone 4,197 USD — the upper liquidity peak.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• OB & Resistance: 4,127 – 4,140 USD
• Support Zone: 4,104 – 4,107 USD
• FVG Zone #1: 4,060 – 4,067 USD
• FVG Zone #2: 4,031 – 4,037 USD
• Liquidity Target: 4,197 USD
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Pullback Scalping
If the price reacts sharply downward at the OB zone 4,127 – 4,140 USD:
• Entry: 4,132 – 4,137
• SL: 4,150
• TP1: 4,104
• TP2: 4,067
→ Short-term trade, leveraging the pullback to the support zone to prepare for the next BUY setup.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation
When the price completes its adjustment to the FVG or Support Zone and a bullish signal appears (rejection / engulfing):
• Entry: 4,067 or 4,037
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,140
• TP2: 4,197
• TP3: 4,210
→ Main setup in the current trend. Prioritize buying at the discount zone after sufficient liquidity is absorbed at the lower zone.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The H1 structure remains buyer-favored. Current adjustments are technical, not reversals.
The FVG zone around 4,060 USD is a key point to observe price behavior — if a clear reaction occurs, this could be the starting point for the next upward wave to 4,197 USD .
“Liquidity fuels the next move — let the market breathe before the impulse.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 11/12/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent






















