Analysis of the gold trend in the Asia-Europe session on 14/08/2Analysis of the gold trend in the Asia-Europe session on 14/08/2024:
After forming a double bottom pattern at 2380, gold experienced a nearly 100-point increase. Yesterday, the PPI did not help gold break through the resistance zone of 2473-2475. If gold breaks the area of 2458-2460, it will officially confirm the double top pattern.
However, today's CPI is still a mystery. Is this a correction phase or just a fake breakout? The long-term trend remains a BUY, but short-term SELL trades can be made at the peak area.
Key price levels to watch: 2473-2475, 2444-2447, and 2430-2434.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2473 - 2475
SL 2479
TP 2468 - 2458 - 2445.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2444-2447
SL 2441
TP 2455 - 2468 - 2485 - 2509.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2430-2433
SL 2427
TP 2444 - 2458 - 2468 - 2509.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD 13/8/2024 Has the Downtrend Started?
Yesterday was an unusual bullish day, although we had profit with sell orders, the price increased to the 2476 area, which gave us an extended yellow wave 5, which also means that the black wave 3 has been completed
- Currently the price is in the 4th wave correction, we expect a yellow ABC correction and this is an opportunity for us to trade in the direction of wave 5.
- Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2442 - 2439
SL: 2432
TP1: 2450
TP2: 2458
TP3: 2469
BUYZONE: 2435 - 2432
SL: 2425
TP1: 2440
TP2: 2450
TP3: 2458
SELL ZONE: 2470 - 2473
SL: 2480
TP1: 2458
TP2: 2450
TP3: 2442
SELL ZONE: 2492 - 2495
SL: 2502
TP1: 2476
TP2: 2469
TP3: 2458
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10RISK REWARDGOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
GOLD - SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE BREAKOUT. MORE UPSIDE AHEAD ?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold was trading inside the flat 2420 - 2370 forming a symmetrical triangle. Traders were continue to struggle for the area of 2400 & it just gave a breakout.
Around 2400, There is a rather encouraging situation indicating how the bulls continue to hold the support of the global trend.
The issue of aggressive easing of the US Fed policy is still relevant. Likewise, speculators are closely watching developments around Iran's attack on Israel. If it happens, it is likely to give additional impetus to the growth of gold prices. Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims of the US may provide short-term potential for the markets.
Support level as of now: 2380
The problem with the triangle, price behavior and the current situation is that the market is neutral, as the price is in consolidation.
Prerequisites for growth:
- Bullish market retention on the larger timeframe
- Strong reaction to the key support zone
- Strong buyers have not left the market yet and continue to buy back the asset
- Fundamentally, gold has strong support (hedge asset)
- Strong market reaction to a false break of local support
- Buyers do not let the price go below 2380
- Retests of 2400 continue
- Volumes
- Large pool of liquidity, interesting for MM, above 2420
- Fundamental nuances due to the Middle East
P.S. : I'm holding hold position in Gold with 2380 SL.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24The allure of non-yielding bullion tends to increase when interest rates are lowered because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases. Investor sentiment has played a significant role in the recent spike in gold prices. The current market positioning reflects a strong bullish outlook on gold.
Gold Trend Monday analysis Gold touch the price around 2477 after USA NON FARM PAYROLL figures disapoint the insitution invester and i think unemployment rate ticked up from 4.1 to 4.3.
Bullion rallied sharply capitalizing on the fall of the USA 10 year treasuary bond yield which taked up 15 basis point to 3.815%
i thinked that you make the shot position on the price around 2455 and make SL 2477 and target TP 1 2445.00 TP 2 2435.00 TP 3 2400.00
Use small lot on the chart take small risk on your equity.
XAUUSD 5/8/2024 correction is over?
Looking at H1 we see the ABC correction wave structure.
Looking at the ABC correction model, we see that we are likely to have an unusual correction model, when wave C does not exceed wave A.
- So now we need to observe to confirm whether the correction wave has ended
- The confirmation condition is that if this downtrend closes above the 2413 zone, then we have the price entering the uptrend wave and then the target price zone is the 2500 zone.
Currently we have a trading plan
SELL ZONE 2456 - 2459
SL 2466
TP1: 2447
TP2: 2442
TP3: 2433
BUY ZONE: 2426 - 2423
SL: 2416
TP1: 2433
TP2: 2442
TP3: 2455
XAUUSD 1/8/2024 after FOMC news?
Looking at H1, we see that after this morning's FOMC news, we see that XAU has increased to the 2458 zone
- As I analyzed in the previous plan, when the price breaks through the 2402 zone and then tests again and does not fall below this zone, the price will continue the 5-wave trend instead of the 3-wave ABC.
- Regarding the trend, after the price follows the 5-wave model, the next wave target is the 2500 price zone as analyzed before.
- Looking at the present, we see that wave 3 in the blue 5-wave structure is completing, and the price has now started blue wave 4
- Measuring the wave 4 target, we have the price zone of 2433. This will be the price zone we are waiting for as a BUY target
- The target of wave 5 will be specifically determined by me after wave 4 is formed. With the current data, I am expecting wave 5 to end at the price zone of 2500
Trading plan
BUYZONE: 2433 - 2430
SL: 2423
TP1: 2422
TP2: 2450
TP3: 2465
SELL ZONE: 2467 - 2470
SL: 2477
TP1: 2450
TP2: 2422
TP3: 2433
Will GOLD take Support & Return to Bullish Trend ?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold is entering the correction phase after a breakout failure scenario of ascending channel resistance and the previous ATH. The fundamental background is changed by Thursday's news that supported the dollar index.
Overall, the structure & environment on is still bullish. If the price finds a strong support in the near future, for example 2390-2400, this area may get the status of an intermediate bottom, thus forming a new trading range.
There is no news today, thus the fundamental background remains the same. Trading has been complicated lately by the presidential race in the USA. The statements of Powell, politically dependent Fed, Trump can be perceived by traders quite strongly. But the medium-term outlook is determined by the fact that politicians are generally set to lower the dollar (DXY), which is generally favorable for gold, which may soon return to the bullish trend phase.
The price may continue the correction to trend support, but due to the pool of liquidity in the area where the price may land within the correction, gold may get a reaction in the form of a bounce to the nearest resistance, make a double bottom & may test channel resistance in future.
Today trend gold is bullishI think gold will move up side and USA data come negative and i think gold entry around 2392.00 TP 1 2408.00 TP 2 2402.00 TP 3 2408.00 Stop loss around 2387.00 market some volatile then news come so please make your sl is where then data will release. Time remaing around us data 2 hour 15 minutes left so please be care full today in news data .
XAUUSD 7/30/2024 How far will the price go?
After the 5-wave downtrend structure, we are witnessing an increase from 2354 to 2402
- So we will have 2 cases either the 5-wave downtrend structure has completed wave C then we have the current increase as a 5-wave structure, case 2 is the 5-wave downtrend structure above has just completed wave 1 in the 5-wave structure of wave C so the current increase is wave 2 and will have an ABC wave structure.
- We will have an important price to confirm that is the price of 2402, both cases need the price to break out through 2402. After the price breaks out through 2402 and the price returns below 2402, then we will lean towards the current situation being just a correction wave 2 in the 5-wave structure of the purple wave C. If the price breaks out through 2418, we will lean towards the possibility that this is a 5-wave increase structure and the possibility that the price will break through the peak of 2433.
So at the 2418 area, this is the current area containing a large amount of supply, which will be a strong resistance level for the price, so when the price touches this area, there will be a reaction, and we will choose this area as the SELL target
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2415 -2418
SL: 2425
TP1: 2402
TP2: 2390 TP3: 2374 BUY ZONE: 2357 - 2354 SL: 2347 TP1: 2365 TP2: 2374 TP3: 2382
XAUUSD 1H Sell Projection Customs duty cuts: The Indian government announced cuts to customs duty on gold in the Union Budget 2024, reducing it from 15% to 6%.
Concerns over demand in China: Demand for gold in China may also have contributed to the price drop.
Better-than-expected US data: Better-than-expected US Q2 GDP and jobless claims data may have also put downward pressure on gold prices.
XAUUSD 7/29/2024 Is the uptrend over?
Looking at H1, we can see that the corrective uptrend may have ended.
- The price will continue to move in a downtrend to complete the purple wave C as shown on the chart.
During the move to the target price zone of wave C, we see that at the 2374 treble line, this is the previous breakout price zone and has not been retested, so there is still a very strong demand force in this price zone.
- We expect the price to bounce back to the 2374 zone, so we will place a BUY order in this zone.
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2376 - 2373
SL: 2366
TP1: 2382
TP2: 2400
TP3: 2410
SELL ZONE: 2314 - 2417
SL: 2424
TP1: 2401
TP: 2382
TP3: 2365
XAUUSD 7/26/2024 Is there a pullback?
Looking at H1, we see that the price breaking the 2382.5 zone has confirmed that the price is in the purple wave C
- From the peak of 2433 to the bottom of 2353, we see a small 5-wave structure has been completed and now we see that the bullish recovery wave is continuing, we expect a corrective wave
- The target of the rebound wave I measured at the price zone of 2402 and the price zone of 2411
- So this increase we expect is a rebound wave before the bearish wave continues to the target zone of the purple wave C
- The target of the purple wave C we measured at the zone of 2334 and the zone of 2307
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2366 - 2363
SL: 2356
TP1: 2382
TP2: 2394
TP3: 2402
SELL ZONE: 2310 - 2312
SL: 2320 TP1: 2400 TP2: 2390 TP3: 2382
XAUUSD : 07/25/24 first short and than long99% SUCCESSFUL TRADE.
FIRST TRADE:
SELL XAUUSD - profit upto $8USD
SECOND TRADE:
BUY at the bottom where you booked the profit and hold the position for the entire bullish price action.
Do your own analysis before taking a trade.
NOTE:
PRICES HAVE BEEN MARKED FOR YOUR REFERENCE. THIS IS WHAT I ANALYSE. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN ANALYSIS BEFORE TAKING A TRADE.
XAUUSD 4H Sell Limit Projection 25.07.24The direct impact of Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's surprise cut of customs duty on gold, silver and other precious gems and jewellery has been on the streets. Prices have crashed by around Rs 4,000 in the few hours since the budget proposal was made in parliament.2 days ago
XAUUSD July 24, 2024 Where will the rally go?
As in the previous day's forecast, after the 5-wave trend is the ABC correction wave
- Looking at H1 we can label wave a and wave b as shown on the chart. Currently, we expect wave C to complete so we can enter orders
- Wave C target we measure 2 targets: price range 2420 and price range 2433.
- After completing the next abc correction, it will be a 5-wave pattern following the previous downtrend
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2431 - 2435
SL: 2440
TP1: 2411
TP2: 2394
TP3: 2382
BUY ZONE: 2476 - 2471
SL: 2466
TP1: 2382
TP2: 2394
XAUUSD 1H W Pattern Formation 24.07.24The W pattern is made up of several key components. The first bottom usually forms after a prolonged price decline, indicating the lowest point of the current downtrend. The price then rises, forming the middle peak, before declining again to form the second bottom.