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Xauusdanalysis

Fed Set to Cut 50bps: Gold Gains as the Bullish Wave Forms Again📌 Macro Overview US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives the green light for a potential 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September. July CPI remains soft → USD weakens, bond yields fall, boosting gold’s bullish outlook. Gold briefly touched $3,370/oz, closing at $3,355.9/oz (+0.24%). Gains capped as US equities continue to break records and geopolitical tensions ease. Market focus now shifts to PPI data, jobless claims, and the anticipated Trump–Putin meeting for the next directional cues. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW Analysis The bullish recovery wave is clearly re-emerging after a corrective phase, with price hunting liquidity zones left behind in the recent retracement. Preferred strategy: Trade around key liquidity levels or continuation zones for SELL opportunities; BUY entries will be taken earlier to catch the recovery wave within the current price channel. Price Structure & Observation Zones: Short-term uptrend channel intact, primary support at 3336 – 3334 (Liquidity – OBS BUY Zone). Major resistance at 3394 – 3396 (Liquidity Grab Zone + H1 Supply). 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Catch the recovery wave Entry: 3336 – 3334 SL: 3330 TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 – ??? 🔹 SELL SCALP – Counter-trend at resistance Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 📊 Key Levels Resistance: 3365 – 3370 – 3395 Support: 3340 – 3336 – 3330 💡 MMFLOW Strategy Tip: Wait for price to retest the 3336 – 3334 BUY ZONE for trend-following BUY positions. Watch for liquidity absorption signals at 339x – a potential SELL reversal zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold Price Faces Key Resistance — Can Bulls Break $3,440?The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) 1-hour chart shows a strong bullish structure within an upward channel, supported by higher highs and a recent ATH (All-Time High) retest. Resistance Zone: $3,410 – $3,440 is acting as a significant supply area. Price may face selling pressure here. Support Levels: First support lies near $3,300 (supply zone), followed by the $3,225–$3,250 demand zone. Trend: The price is respecting the upward trendline, but a break below could trigger a retest of the green supply zone. Bullish Scenario: A breakout and close above $3,440 could lead to a continuation toward $3,475+. Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the resistance zone with a break below $3,300 could push price toward the $3,225 support. Overall, gold is currently in a bullish trend, but needs to overcome the $3,440 barrier for further upside momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD setup is a buy trade, showing a bullish outlook for gold. The entry price is 3369, the stop-loss is 3364, and the exit price is 3379. The trade aims for a 10-point profit while risking 5 points, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2. Buying at 3369 suggests the trader anticipates upward momentum, potentially supported by a weaker US dollar, lower Treasury yields, or increased safe-haven demand. The target at 3379 is set near a resistance area, allowing profits to be booked before potential selling pressure appears. The stop-loss at 3364 limits downside risk if the market turns bearish. This setup is ideal for short-term trading with disciplined execution and proper risk management.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (August 13, 2025) 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. By the end of today, it is likely to be fully in oversold territory. This stage often leads to strong price movement – either a sharp decline or a bullish reversal. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close for confirmation. If confirmed, a recovery move is likely to occur today. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently tightening and approaching the overbought zone – a typical sign of sideways price action. This explains why, despite the high probability of a recovery, H1 does not yet provide a good entry signal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence between price and the indicator – a pattern often seen in wave 3 or wave 5. This supports the view that wave 5 (black) has completed around the 3333 level. • With a complete 5-wave structure, wave A (red) of the ABC (red) correction may already be in place. • A recovery in wave B (red) is expected, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn upward. Wave B typically forms a 3-wave corrective structure, where price moves in a choppy, overlapping manner rather than trending strongly. • Wave B target zones: 1. 3371 2. 3381 These two levels are close to each other, so they can be treated as one combined zone. The plan is to take the first target as the base level while extending the SL to cover the second target. If price approaches these levels, it’s best to watch real-time price action before entering a trade. • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, the 3323 zone remains a good Buy opportunity (as per the previous analysis). ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Sell Setup: • Entry Zone: 3371 – 3373 • SL: 3385 • TP1: 3358 • TP2: 3331 • TP3: 3323 Buy Setup: • Entry Zone: 3323 – 3321 • SL: 3313 • TP1: 3331 • TP2: 3357 • TP3: 3371 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence, often seen in wave 3 or 5, suggesting wave 5 (black) may have completed around 3333. • Wave A (red) of the ABC cycle may be complete; wave B (red) is expected to recover in a 3-wave, choppy pattern. • Wave B target zone: 3371–3381 (treated as one zone; monitor price action before entry). • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, 3323 remains a potential Buy zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD SURGES AFTER CPI – TARGETING 337x BEFORE SELL-OFF? MMFLOW TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 📌 Market Overview Following the CPI release, gold reacted with strong buying momentum (FOMO BUY), pushing prices swiftly from the 333x area up to 335x. The main driver here is the BUY side taking advantage of remaining liquidity gaps above, aiming to break through the critical 3358 resistance – the first major barrier before reaching 337x, a key equilibrium zone that previously acted as a strong price-holding area for SELL orders. Current structure indicates: Short-term trend: Bullish, but approaching key distribution levels. Liquidity Hunt: A decisive break above 3358 with strong volume could trigger a rapid move towards 337x, activating SELL volume from pending limit orders. Macro context: No major news events today, with expected daily range ~35–40 points, increasing the chance of range-bound traps before a breakout. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW View Market Structure: Gold has formed a Higher Low around 333x and is now testing short-term resistance. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones: Liquidity BUY ZONE at 3338–3336 has reacted well, confirming BUYers are still defending this zone. Supply Zone / CP Zone at 3375–3377 aligns with an H1 Order Block, holding a high concentration of pending SELL orders. Volume Flow: Increasing volume as price approaches resistance suggests a potential “last push” before a reversal. 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Following the main trend Entry: 3338 – 3336 SL: 3332 TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔹 SELL SCALP – At the distribution zone Entry: 3375 – 3377 SL: 3382 TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376 Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310 💡 MMFLOW Insight: With the current setup, the optimal strategy is to wait for a BUY opportunity near early support (334x) to ride the short-term bullish momentum, then watch for price reaction at 337x to catch potential SELL entries once top-side liquidity is swept.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
PROACHING LIQUIDITY ZONE – WAITING FOR CPI TO DECIDE NEXT MOVE📌 MARKET RECAP Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking through key trendlines and nearby support zones. The selling pressure came from: Profit-taking after the recent strong rally. USD strength expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast ~0.1% better than the previous reading). Geopolitical factor: Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks moving towards a conclusion, fueling risk-off sentiment. 🧐 WHAT’S NEXT? If CPI beats expectations → USD strengthens → Gold could drop further into the Liquidity Zone 333x – 330x. If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward key level 337x (previous breakdown zone) for a retest before deciding direction. 🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN 1️⃣ BUY SCALP 📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329 📌 SL: 3325 📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 2️⃣ BUY ZONE 📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308 📌 SL: 3304 📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ??? 3️⃣ SELL SCALP 📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365 📌 SL: 3370 📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 4️⃣ SELL ZONE 📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378 📌 SL: 3382 📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 ⚠️ RISK NOTE CPI is the market’s dice roll – even a small deviation could trigger massive stop hunts. Always watch the KeyLevels marked on the chart before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAU/USD Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone !Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup. Price has pulled back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and high supply/demand zone near 3,329–3,315, aligning with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Key Points: Support Zone: 3,329–3,315 (demand + FVG). Bullish Rejection Expected: Price may bounce from this zone, targeting upper resistance levels. Upside Targets: TP1: 3,356 TP2: 3,375 TP3: 3,440–3,459 (major resistance) Invalidation: A daily close below 3,315 could open room for deeper downside toward 3,278–3,245. Indicators: EMA(9) and Ichimoku showing potential for trend resumption if price closes above 3,362. Overall, the chart suggests a buy setup on bullish confirmation, aiming for the 3,375–3,459 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance?XAUUSD – Game of Patience: Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance? | MMFlow Trading 1. Market Context The week opened with a sharp sell-off in Gold — driven by profit-taking and stop-loss hunting on late-week FOMO BUY positions. Buying momentum is fading, while sellers are lurking at the ascending channel’s support. Price is currently reacting at KeyLevel 336x–337x, with H1 candles showing lower wicks → signs of indecision. 2. Technical Outlook Overall structure: Still within an H1-H4 uptrend channel, but BUY momentum is weakening. No clear SELL confirmation yet → need a BreakDown from the channel to confirm seller dominance. Scenario 1: Break the channel → target 335x & 333x zones. Scenario 2: No break → price may rebound to retest 339x – 340x – 342x resistance levels. 3. Fundamental & Macro View This week brings major USD economic data: CPI & PPI. Forecasts lean positive for USD, which could increase downward pressure on Gold. However, expect false breakouts before/after news releases — risk management is key. 4. MMFlow Trading Plan BUY SCALP Entry: 3353 – 3351 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3375 – 3380 BUY ZONE Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3325 TP: 3336 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 SELL SCALP Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 SELL ZONE Entry: 3425 – 3427 SL: 3430 TP: 3420 – 3415 – 3410 – 3405 – 3400 – 3390 – 3380 5. Risk Management Avoid FOMO — wait for clear candle confirmations before entering. Reduce position size ahead of CPI/PPI events. Focus on pre-defined key levels, avoid trading in noise zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAUUSD Weekly Plan Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep?XAUUSD Weekly Plan – Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep? 1. Market Context Last week, Gold kept moving inside the H2–H4 bullish channel, pushing into the FVG High Zone and approaching the major resistance at 3426–3428 (OBS Sell Zone). Momentum is fading – candles are compressing, and volume is dropping – signaling potential distribution. 2. Macro Outlook (High-Impact USD Data Ahead) CPI – Aug 12 → Primary driver. PPI – Aug 14 → Usually a leading signal for CPI. Unemployment Claims – Aug 14 → Short-term impact. Expectations: CPI & PPI likely better than previous month → USD strength → Gold correction (liquidity sweep to the downside). Weaker-than-expected CPI/PPI → USD weakness → Gold could spike for one last bullish leg before reversing. 3. Technical Overview H2 bullish channel top aligns with FVG High Zone → big players’ sell limit & profit-taking area. Main scenario: Test 3426–3428 → Bearish reaction → Channel breakdown → Retest 3395–3400 (VPOC) → Drop toward liquidity pools below. 4. Key Levels SELL Zone: 3426 – 3428 SL: 3434 TP: 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 BUY Zone: 3330 – 3328 SL: 3322 TP: 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380 5. Trading Plan 🔹 Primary SELL Setup: Wait for price to reach 3426–3428 with H1/H2 bearish candle confirmation. Take profits gradually at each downside target. 🔹 Counter-trend BUY: Enter only if price sweeps liquidity into 3330–3328 with strong bullish reaction. 6. Trader’s Notes Gold may still push $30–$40 higher early next week before hitting OBS Sell Zone. Expect large SELL volume once in this zone (profit-taking + top-picking by big players). This should be a short-term correction, not a full trend reversal. Best to SELL from highs and hold after a confirmed channel breakdown. 7. Risk Note High-impact week → Possible false breaks before/after CPI & PPI. Avoid oversized positions during news releases. A break & hold above 3434 with strong volume invalidates SELL scenario → wait for new structure. 📌 Summary: Bias: SELL from 3426–3428 → Target liquidity pools down to 3360. Backup Plan: BUY from 3330–3328 if liquidity grab confirmed. Manage risk tightly, especially during high-volatility events. — MMFlow Trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 6, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal. However, we need to wait for today’s candle to close to confirm the signal. While waiting for confirmation, price may still experience a minor upward move on lower timeframes, but the current bullish momentum is weak and unlikely to extend far. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is also preparing to reverse. We need to observe the current H4 candle for confirmation. Notably, the reversal signal is forming just below the overbought zone, suggesting there may be one more upward push before a potential decline. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. It may take 1–2 more bearish candles before a short-term bullish rebound occurs. ________________________________________ 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update Yesterday’s bullish move was disappointing — instead of pushing directly to the 3402 or 3419 target zones to complete Wave 5, price only broke slightly above 3385 before reversing. This behavior complicates wave analysis by introducing conflicting possibilities. We currently consider two main scenarios: Scenario 1: Wave 5 is not yet complete • Given that D1 momentum is preparing to reverse downward, it’s unlikely that the current move is Wave 1 of Wave 5. A more likely scenario is that Wave 3 of Wave 5 has completed and price is currently in Wave 4. • The current corrective structure has stopped at the 0.382 Fibonacci level. As long as price remains above 3370 (the 0.5 Fib level), this strengthens the case for a Wave 4 retracement before another leg up in Wave 5. • Since bullish strength appears limited, we now focus on two main target zones for Wave 5: 3395 and 3402, instead of the previous high at 3419. Scenario 2: Full 5-wave structure is complete – now in correction • If the 5-wave pattern has already finished, the current decline marks the beginning of a corrective phase. • With current momentum conditions, this is still a viable scenario. However, due to the remaining upside possibility, we recommend waiting for today’s D1 candle to confirm momentum before taking any trade. ________________________________________ 📌 Trade Plan For experienced traders: • Wait for price to reach the 3395–3402 zones. • Look for reversal signals in those areas to enter short positions. Suggested trade plan for newer traders: • Sell Zone: 3395 – 3398 • Stop Loss: 3408 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3385 o TP2: 3370 o TP3: 3349 ________________________________________ ✅ Note: This trade plan should be reassessed after today’s D1 candle closes for confirmation of the momentum shift.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave – GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave Gold is currently trading inside a large sideways triangle pattern, with price compressing toward the apex. However, based on recent candle structure and yesterday’s reaction at the key level, there’s strong momentum building for bullish continuation—likely forming a Wave 3 breakout if price can decisively break above the current descending trendline. 🔎 Technical Breakdown: ✅ BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 (confluence of CP ZONE + GAP + OBS BUY from yesterday) 📈 Price already reacted with +160 PIPS profit from this zone, confirming buyer control ⛓️ Descending trendline is compressing price – a breakout above it could unleash strong bullish momentum 🔄 SELL ZONE: 3339 – 3341 marked by OBS SELL ZONE + liquidity layer 📰 Fundamental Focus: Today is Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day. With current forecasts pointing toward weaker-than-expected U.S. job data, the dollar could face pressure—creating the perfect scenario for gold to spike higher on BUY-side FOMO. 📌 Trade Plan: 🎯 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 ❌ Stop Loss: 3270 🎯 Take Profits: 3280 – 3284 – 3290 – 3294 – 3300 – 3305 – 3310 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 ⚠️ SELL ZONE (counter-trend): 3339 – 3341 ❌ Stop Loss: 3345 🎯 Take Profits: 3335 – 3330 – 3325 – 3320 – 3315 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 📌 Key Notes: Favor BUY setups in line with the trend—focus on reaction zones outlined on the chart. If NFP data is bearish for the dollar, wait for strong confluences before entering any SELL, and avoid shorting prematurely against bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Breakout Watch: Will XAUUSD Surge to $3760?Gold (XAUUSD) has spent the last few weeks coiling within a tight consolidation range, but the wait may soon be over. The daily chart shows a textbook rectangle formation, a powerful pattern that often precedes significant trend continuation. With prices currently pushing toward the upper resistance of this range, a bullish breakout could be imminent—and potentially explosive. Let’s dive deep into the technical setup, the potential breakout targets, and what levels traders should be watching right now. 📉 The Pattern: Channel Consolidation Since late May 2025, gold has been trapped in a sideways structure defined by: Resistance Zone: $3,600 – $3,620 Support Zone: $3,270 – $3,290 This structure has formed after a massive prior rally earlier in the year, making it a classic bullish continuation pattern. Each pullback into support has been met with buying, while resistance has repeatedly held—but now momentum is building. Technically, this consolidation has validated itself with multiple swing points at both the upper and lower boundaries. The pattern is clean, well-respected, and supported by repeated reactions at both support and resistance levels. If the price breaks and sustains above the $3,620 resistance area, the pattern will be considered complete, signaling continuation of the prior bullish trend. While volume analysis isn't included in the chart, typically such breakouts are supported by increased participation, which can offer added confirmation. If a breakout occurs, traders can target multiple price levels based on the height of the rectangle added to the breakout point. The first logical target would be around $3,616, followed by a swing-based target at $3,762. These levels are based on technical projection methods using the measured move technique. Importantly, price has already reached a reversal confirmation target around $3,430, which further validates bullish strength. However, no setup is complete without acknowledging the risks. If gold fails to sustain the recent rally and instead breaks below $3,280 support, the current setup would be invalidated. This would shift the outlook to bearish and could push prices toward $3,200, $3,120, and possibly even lower toward the psychological support at $3,000. From a trading perspective, the ideal bullish entry would be on a daily candle close above $3,620 or on a retest of the breakout zone with strong buying confirmation. A protective stop loss can be placed below the breakout candle or around the $3,550 area. Initial targets remain $3,616 and $3,762. In the bearish case, a breakdown below $3,280 would be a cue for shorting opportunities with stops above $3,300 and downside targets at $3,200 and $3,120. In summary, gold is at a critical point on the chart. The current structure suggests a potential breakout is coming, and traders should be ready to act based on confirmed moves beyond key levels. Whether this pattern leads to a strong bullish continuation or a failed setup, the movement is expected to be sharp and potentially rewarding. This is a high-probability setup worth watching closely in the coming days. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradZoo
Liquidity Sweep Complete – Bullish Continuation Ahead?GOLD ANALYSIS 31/07: Liquidity Sweep Complete – Bullish Continuation Ahead? 🔍 Technical View | XAUUSD | 2H Chart | End of Month Setup Gold has completed a final liquidity sweep around the 3269–3271 zone and has since rebounded strongly, in line with the prevailing bullish structure. The sharp drop yesterday during the FOMC rate statement appears to have served its purpose: grabbing final sell-side liquidity before preparing for the next bullish leg. As of now, price is reacting at the 3295 zone, which coincides with the M30 CP (Change of Character) Zone, showing minor intraday retracement. A healthy pullback is likely before a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline that has been holding price down over recent sessions. 🔵 BUY Strategy: Trend Continuation Setup We’re watching for potential re-entries on a dip toward the OBS Buy Zone (3286–3284), created after the recent bullish move. This could be the last opportunity to catch the next impulsive leg higher. Buy Zone: 3286–3284 Stop Loss: 3278 Targets: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3330 → ??? Key breakout confirmation will come if price closes strongly above 3313 (first key resistance). If broken, this opens the door toward the VPOC zone at 3328–3330, where a high-volume cluster awaits. 🔴 SELL Strategy: Short-Term Rejection Levels Shorts only become favorable below the VPOC Sell Zone (3328–3330). If price closes above this area, bearish pressure is likely to fade, and bulls will dominate the next leg. Sell Zone: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3335 Targets: 3324 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 ⚠️ Important: Selling inside a bullish breakout structure is high-risk unless the market gives clear rejection at major supply. Always wait for price action confirmation. 🕯️ Monthly Candle Insight (July Close) Today marks the final trading day of July. Notably, the last two monthly candles have closed as Doji with long wicks, reflecting deep indecision and ongoing liquidity grabs. This aligns with the upcoming interest rate cut discussions at the next FOMC, which could ignite significant volatility. 📌 Summary: Liquidity sweep at 3269–3271 is likely complete. Price now retracing after strong bullish rebound from OBS Buy Zone. Watch for confirmation above 3313, then 3328–3330 for breakout toward higher zones (335x–337x). End-of-month close + macro narrative (FOMC) will be crucial to confirm direction. 💡 Pro Tip: Avoid entering late into reactive moves. Wait for retests of clean liquidity zones and use volume-based confluences to validate bias. 📲 Follow us @MMFlowTrading for real-time updates, macro analysis, and market structure insights on gold & major pairs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD: Is This a Bottom or the Calm Before the Storm?🌐 Fundamental & Macro Landscape The recent US–EU trade and defense pact has temporarily reduced gold’s appeal as a safe haven. The US Dollar and stock markets remain strong thanks to positive macroeconomic data. Current sentiment is risk-on, which typically shifts capital away from metals and into riskier assets. But the real volatility could come later this week: 📅 High-Impact Events to Watch: US ADP Employment Report FOMC Statement + Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) These will likely decide whether gold resumes its uptrend or continues sliding lower. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading within a parallel bullish channel after rebounding from local lows. However, price is now approaching a key resistance zone around 3342, where we might see either a breakout or a rejection, depending on market sentiment during the upcoming data releases. 🔍 Key Price Zones 🔺 Short-Term Resistance: 3342 🔺 Major Supply Zone: 3369–3388 (Order Block + FVG + Fib 0.5–0.618) 🔻 High-Liquidity Demand Area: 3293–3290 🔻 Deep Demand Zone (FVG): 3275–3273 🔺 Long-Term Resistance Target: 3416 📈 Trade Plan – Based on Price Reaction, Not Prediction The best trades come from waiting for the right reaction at key zones. No chasing. No guessing. ✅ Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Scalp Setup) Entry: 3293 – 3291 Stop Loss: 3286 Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Works well in high-liquidity zones for quick short-term gains. ✅ Scenario 2 – Buy from Deeper Support (Swing Setup) Entry: 3275 – 3273 Stop Loss: 3269 Targets: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Great setup if price absorbs selling pressure and reverses from FVG demand. ❌ Scenario 3 – Short from Short-Term Resistance Entry: 3340 – 3342 Stop Loss: 3346 Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310 🔴 Valid only if price fails to reclaim above 3342. ❌ Scenario 4 – Short from Major Supply Zone Entry: 3369 – 3372 Stop Loss: 3376 Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320 🔴 Higher risk – only act after confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks or bearish candle pattern). ⚠️ Risk Management Tips Avoid entering right at London or New York opens – too much volatility and false breakouts. Always wait for confirmation (candle rejection, pin bars, engulfing, etc.). Use strict stop-loss rules – FOMC + NFP can spike price in both directions. 💡 Final Tips for Indian Traders Trade with patience – the best setups often appear when others are panicking. Respect your capital – don’t overleverage during high-volatility news events. Focus on price action – not emotions or fixed bias. 📌 If you found this gold analysis helpful, feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments or follow for daily updates on XAU/USD. Let’s grow and trade smarter, one setup at a time. Namaste 🙏 | Trade safe, trade with clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
3