Get started

Xauusdanalysis

GOLD Awaiting Sell Reaction at Peak & Buy Pullback Support🔍 Market Context After a series of strong Break of Structure (BoS) , gold has reached a new ATH at 4,385 USD – marking a sustainable uptrend over the past 3 sessions. However, this peak area is currently acting as a significant psychological and technical barrier . Buying momentum is temporarily slowing as the price reacts to the Liquidity Zone around 4,351 – 4,385 USD . The market is in a phase of liquidity rebalancing . The major trend remains upward, but the current price area may see a short-term correction before further wave expansion. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,385 USD Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,430 – 4,435 USD → high liquidity resistance zone, potential for short-term sell reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,284 – 4,282 USD → nearby support zone, confluence with trendline. Order Block | Fibonacci Zone: 4,226 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluencing with Fibo 0.618, high reversal potential. Overall Structure: remains bullish , but showing short-term signs of weakness as the price fails to hold above 4,360. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Rejection at peak area 4,385 – 4,433 USD Entry: 4,430 - 4,435 SL: 4,440 TP: 4,425 → 4,420 →4,415→4,410→4405 ✅ Condition: Appearance of rejection or strong bearish engulfing candles at high Liquidity zone. ➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup – sell when the price sweeps the peak and clear sell signals from major players appear. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Pullback at 4,284 – 4,282 USD Entry: 4,284 – 4,282 SL: 4,272 TP: 4,290 → 4,300 → 4,310/Open ✅ Condition: Strong H1 candle reaction at support or minor reversal structure. ➡️ Buy with the main trend, taking advantage of a slight pullback around the support Liquidity zone. 3️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – OB Deep Zone 4,226 – 4,230 USD Entry: 4,226 – 4,230 SL: 4,190 TP: 4,235 → 4,240 → 4,250/Open ✅ Condition: Appearance of bullish BoS or confirming bullish engulfing candle. ➡️ This is a deep discount zone, suitable for swing orders following the main trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at high zones (4,360+). Prioritize observing price behavior at 4,284 and 4,226 before entering orders. Sell orders at 4,385–4,430 are only triggered if there is a clear confirmation signal. Maintain moderate volume, avoid averaging down without confirmation. 💬 Conclusion Gold is accumulating after reaching the peak of 4,385 USD , this is a crucial phase to determine the correction before the new upward wave. The most effective strategy now is sell reaction at the high peak area 4,385 – 4,430 and buy with the trend at 4,284 – 4,226 USD when confirmation appears. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell Reaction: 4,385 – 4,430 → TP 4,284 – 4,226 Buy Pullback: 4,284 – 4,282 Buy OB Deep: 4,226 – 4,230
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (17/10/2025)🔹 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe: The D1 momentum is now fully in the overbought zone → the probability of a reversal is very high. A corrective move could occur either today or on Monday next week. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum has been sticking together in the overbought zone. Currently, there are about 5 candles holding the oscillator at this level — typically, 5 to 8 candles mark a potential reversal cycle. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is still rising → price may extend slightly higher or move sideways to accumulate before a clearer signal appears. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Chart: The recent D1 candles are steep and impulsive, showing strong bullish pressure — indicating we are likely in Wave 3 (yellow). I’ve adjusted the wave labels for better accuracy with current price structure. Once D1 momentum reverses, we can expect the start of Wave 4 (yellow) correction. H4 Chart: • Waves (1) and (3) in blue are similar in length → suggesting Wave (5) blue may become an extended wave. • Since price has broken above the Elliott channel, we should wait for a strong downward reaction together with momentum reversal on H4 to confirm: ✅ Wave (5) blue is complete, ✅ and Wave (3) purple has also finished. ⇒ Then, the market would begin Wave (4) purple correction. 💡 Note: During an extended Wave (5), avoid selling against the trend. Be patient and wait for the first downward move — if it’s not deep, then buying from the next pullback would be a more reasonable strategy. H1 Chart: Within the blue Wave (5) on H1, we can see a five-wave red structure developing, and price is now in red Wave (3). Inside red Wave (3), there’s another five-wave black sub-structure, currently in black Wave (4). By drawing the Elliott channel, we can see that black Wave (4) is likely forming a flat correction, and one final small drop may still occur to complete the structure. 🎯 Ideal Target Zone: • The high-liquidity area around 4297. • This is a likely completion zone for the current flat pattern. • If price doesn’t reach that level, we’ll use channel support confluence to identify the next valid entry area. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4298 – 4296 Stop Loss: 4276 Take Profit 1: 4363
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Money Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Money Leaving Bitcoin for Gold? Hello traders community, XAUUSD (Gold) is showcasing extraordinary strength, continuously breaking records and reaching new heights. The upward momentum seems relentless, despite technical indicators entering the "overbought" zone. While Gold shines, the Crypto market is witnessing selling pressure, indicating a clear shift of safe-haven capital. This analysis will delve into the factors driving the market and outline a detailed trading strategy for this tidal wave. 📰 Macro Analysis & Capital Flow The market is being led by a very clear narrative: Capital is seeking the ultimate safe haven. Gold Ascends, Bitcoin Challenges: The contrasting movements between the two assets considered "digital gold" and "physical gold" is the most notable highlight. While XAUUSD continuously sets new peaks, Bitcoin has plummeted sharply after hitting a historic high, currently struggling at the critical support level of $107,000. If this level breaks, a new wave of selling could be triggered, further driving capital flow into Gold. "Doping Dose" from the US Economy: Gold's strength is bolstered by the weakening USD. Factors such as the potential US government shutdown and particularly the market betting that the Fed will continue cutting interest rates to support a slowing economy have reduced the allure of the greenback and interest-bearing assets. Global Uncertainty: Trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions cannot be overlooked. In a risk-laden environment, Gold remains the top choice for institutional investors and central banks to preserve value. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30 chart shows a perfect and sustainable bullish structure. Ascending Channel: The price is moving very disciplined within an upward sloping channel. The lower support line of the channel is an extremely important dynamic support area. Key Support Zone - "Buy Zone": The $4285 - $4287 area is a confluence of the lower channel line and the old structure zone. This is an ideal area for Buyers to wait, watching for corrections to join the main trend. Resistance and "Breakout": The price has formed a short-term sideways structure after forming a peak around $4380. A confirmed "breakout" through this area will open up the next upward space, targeting higher liquidity zones. Next Target - "Sell Liquidity": The liquidity zone of the Sellers and the extended target of this bullish wave lies at $4468 - $4470, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension level. This is where profit-taking pressure and sellers may appear. 🎯 Detailed Trading Plan The main strategy is "Buy the Dip" - Look to buy when the price corrects to key support areas. Sell orders should only be considered when there is a clear reversal signal at strong resistance zones. Scenario 1: Trend Following Buy (Priority) 📈 Entry Zone: $4285 - $4287. Stop Loss: $4280. Take Profit: $4310 - $4355 - $4377 - $4400. Scenario 2: Counter-Trend Sell (High Risk) 📉 Entry Zone: Look to sell at the liquidity zone above $4468 - $4470. Stop Loss: $4476. Take Profit: $4453 - $4423 - $4410 - $4388. Conclusion Gold's upward momentum is supported by both technical factors and solid macro narratives. Although the price is in the overbought zone, the saying "never fight a strong trend" is absolutely true at this moment. Minor corrections, possibly to the EMA zone or the lower channel line, should be seen as opportunities to increase Buy positions. Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing everyone a successful trading day! Follow me to get the earliest strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Fibo BUY Zone Mandatory for Trend Continuation.🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Bulls Are Unstoppable! Gold is the most sought-after asset as XAU/USD aims directly for the $4,300 mark and further. Primary Catalyst: Financial markets remain cautious amidst the ongoing US government shutdown. Driving Force: Widespread USD weakness—fueled by the funding battle in the US government—strengthens the bullish case for Gold. Record Strength: XAU/USD is maintaining positive upward momentum despite extreme overbought conditions. Technical Focus: In this continuous Bull market, FIBO is the paramount tool for identifying the critical pullback points to initiate BUY entries. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Our core strategy remains BUY ON DIPS at the most precise Fibo levels, leveraging the strong Parabolic structure. 1. Strategic BUY Zone (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): This is the most crucial Fibo support zone where we anticipate a high-probability pullback: 4,321.332 The REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5. This is the most vital retracement point to catch the next growth wave. 2. Sell/Take-Profit Targets (FIBO SELL TARGETS): These are the Fibo extension targets where the Longs are aiming: TP Target 1 (Extension) 4,436.179 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 1.5 - 1.618. The next immediate target for the rally. TP Target 2 (Deep Extension) 4,538.394 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 2.5 - 2.618. The long-term target if momentum remains unchecked. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Patiently wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5 at 4,321.332. Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles), confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry. Targets (TP): Aim for TP Target 1 (4,436.179) and further to TP Target 2 (4,538.394). ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Warning: Given the extreme overbought conditions, always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the Fibo BUY ZONE and maintain stringent risk management! Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD: Prioritise Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Far?XAUUSD: "No More Gold to Sell" - Prioritise Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Far? Hello trading community, The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a state of "extreme euphoria", continuously setting new highs. The upward momentum is not only driven by technical charts but also bolstered by extremely strong macro factors. This article will analyse why the strategy "Prioritise Buying on Dips" is optimal, and the $4400 mark, though seemingly high, may not be the final stop. 📰 Macro Analysis: "No More Gold to Sell!" The market is witnessing a physical supply shock that we cannot ignore: Supply Shock: Japan's largest gold retailer had to temporarily halt gold bar sales due to overwhelming buying demand. This is a clear signal that physical gold demand is far outstripping available supply. When physical gold is scarce, the paper market price must rise to reflect true value. Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year German government bond yield (representing Europe) has fallen to its lowest since June. Lower yields make Gold (a non-yielding asset) significantly more attractive compared to holding bonds. Both these factors are creating a "perfect storm" supporting the price rise of XAUUSD. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30/H1 chart shows a very sustainable parabolic uptrend structure: Trend: The uptrend is undeniable. The price is moving within a steep upward channel, with all selling efforts quickly absorbed by buyers. Fibonacci Extension: The Fibonacci extension levels are acting as the next price targets: Zone $4382 (Fib 2.273): Conquered. Zone $4407 - $4410 (Fib 2.407): This is a potential "Sell Scalping" zone, where a short correction might occur. Zone $4480 - $4483 (Fib 2.618): This is a strong resistance "Sell Zone", the next target for buyers. Volume Profile (VPVR): Support "Buy Retest" ($4290 - $4300): This is an extremely important liquidity zone, a broken old peak and also an area with large accumulated trading volume. Buyers will strongly defend this zone. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy The main trend is to Buy. All sell orders (Sell) at this time carry high risk and should only be considered for short-term scalping to catch corrections. Scenario 1: Buy the Dip 📈 Entry Zone: Wait for a price correction to the "Buy retest" zone $4290. Stop Loss: $4280. Take Profit: $4312 - $4334 - $4372 - $4390. Scenario 2: Sell Scalping ⚡️ Entry Zone: Look to sell at the Fibo $4410 zone. Stop Loss: $4420. Take Profit: $4393 - $4380 - $4370. (Note: Counter-trend order, go small volume and take quick profit). Scenario 3: Sell at Strong Resistance Zone 📉 Entry Zone: $4480. Stop Loss: $4490. Take Profit: $4463 - $4442 - $4410. Summary The combination of a strong technical uptrend and a fundamental supply shock is pushing Gold into a new price cycle. The $4400 mark has been conquered, and with this momentum, the long-term target of $5000 is no longer a fantasy. The wisest strategy is to "go with the flow", looking to Buy at key support zones. Wishing traders a successful week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Pause for the Gold Rally#Gold Technical Analysis Report - USD **Chart Analysis: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 3M** **Current Price Level:** $2,618 USD Key Observations: Gold is currently testing a critical resistance level at 4380.399, which aligns with major Fibonacci extension levels identified on yearly and quarterly charts. The price action shows a consolidation phase after the recent rally, with the market displaying indecision around this significant technical barrier. Technical Levels: The Fibonacci retracement structure reveals multiple support zones below the current resistance. Should price face rejection at 4380.399, technical analysis suggests potential pullback zones at 3743, 3403, and 3166 based on the proportional PA (Price Action) alignment on higher timeframe charts. Market Sentiment: The long-term uptrend remains intact, with the price structure maintaining higher lows and higher highs from the 1999-2026 timeframe. Current momentum appears to be consolidating before the next directional move, typical of markets approaching significant resistance levels. Trading Considerations: Traders should monitor how price responds at the 4380.399 resistance. A break above this level could signal continuation toward 5410 (2.618 Fibonacci extension). Conversely, a rejection could lead to a retest of the identified support zones. Risk management is essential given the proximity to resistance and current consolidation phase. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by earnwhileulearn
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Rally Toward New HighsAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained uptrend. The recent breakout above the resistance zone near $4,150–$4,170 indicates renewed buying interest and momentum buildup. After a brief retest of the breakout area, price has started climbing again — a sign of trend continuation supported by bullish candle formations and strong market sentiment. Technical Outlook: Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,170 (previous resistance turned support) Bullish Confirmation: Continuation pattern with clean structure and volume support Momentum Bias: Strongly bullish while above $4,150 🎯 Target: $4,300 – $4,320 zone 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $4,140 to limit downside risk 📈 Summary: As long as gold stays above the breakout level of $4,170, the market remains bullish, with upside potential toward $4,300–$4,320, aligning with the next major resistance area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Maintains Upward Channel Toward $4320 TargetAnalysis: The XAU/USD 45-minute chart shows gold continuing its steady rise within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action maintains higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained bullish trend. Currently, gold is testing the midline of the channel, suggesting a possible minor pullback before resuming upward momentum toward the projected resistance near $4320. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the channel, acting as the next potential target zone for buyers. As long as the price remains above the lower channel support, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above $4320 could open further upside potential, while a drop below the channel could signal early weakness or short-term consolidation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones. Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur. After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected. FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested. OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate. Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break), → open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday). Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD. ➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD , and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again), → open buy orders in line with the main trend. Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD. ➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone. Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones. Keep light volume when trading against the main trend. Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day. 💬 Conclusion Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone. If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing. The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear. Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Completion of Wave 5Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Completion of Wave 5, Awaiting Strong ABC Correction Wave Hello trading community, Gold continues to make waves as it extends its record-breaking rally, setting a new all-time high above 4,240 USD. However, after a strong upward cycle, technical signals indicate a short-term correction (ABC Wave) is forming to gather liquidity before the uptrend resumes. 🧭 Technical Analysis (30m Chart – XAUUSD) Based on the 30-minute chart, the price structure suggests the possibility of:Completing Elliott Wave: Gold seems to have completed the 5th Impulse Wave (Elliott Wave 5), reaching the peak area near 4240 USD. ABC Wave Forming: After Wave 5, the market tends to enter a correction phase following the ABC Wave pattern. Wave A: Formed from the peak of Wave 5 to the 4200 USD area. Wave B: Currently in progress (recovering upwards). Wave C: The preferred scenario is a deeper corrective drop to the Buy Support area to gather enough liquidity for the next upward move. Liquidity Zones to Watch:Sell Resistance (Sell Scalping): Around 4240 – 4270 USD. This is the technical peak and the final resistance of the price channel, ideal for scalping sells.Buy Support: Area 4170 – 4180 USD. This is a crucial support zone where Wave C is expected to end to trigger the next upward move. 🎯 Intraday Trading Scenario (Europe & US) Today's preferred scenario is to watch for selling (Sell) to catch the corrective wave and then watch for buying (Buy) at strong support zones. 📉 Sell Scalping (Priority to sell to catch corrective Wave C) Based on the expectation that the price will complete Wave B and start Wave C down to gather liquidity.📍 Entry: 4266 – 4268 (Watch for selling at the channel peak resistance) 🛑 SL: 4275 🎯 TP: 4245 - 4222-4210.5 (Targeting the temporary support zone) 📈 Buy Swing (Following the main trend)Wait for the price to correct deeply to the important liquidity zone before rising again. 📍 Entry: 4181 – 4183 (Buy Support area – where Wave C ends) 🛑 SL: 4175 🎯 TP: 4190 - 4205 - 4233 - 4250 (Targeting a breakout of the peak) 📌 Fundamental View & Conclusion Main Driver: Gold prices remain firm near historical highs due to sustained safe-haven demand and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in the future (long-term supportive factor).Conclusion: Gold is in a short-term technical correction phase (ABC Wave) during the European and US sessions to consolidate the foundation before continuing the uptrend. 4180 USD is an extremely important liquidity zone to trigger a new upward move. 👉 Follow me for detailed updates as the price approaches the outlined Entry zones!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
GOLD: 419x FIBO! READY FOR 426x TARGET.Gold is surging near $4,210, backed by Fed rate cut expectations and ongoing trade tensions. The long-term structure is rock-solid Bullish. Our plan is simple: WAIT and BUY the intelligent pullback! 🎯 THE BUY REACT ZONES (H1) We are prioritizing Longs and patiently waiting for the price to hit the exact FIBO RETRACE levels. 1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot): Zone: 4194 - 4190 (Our key Fibo Retrace Buy Zone). Action: Look for the price to correct here. Execute a BUY (Long) upon confirmed H1/M30 candle reversal signals. 2. DEEPER STRATEGIC BUY: Zone: 4,145.676 (Our major Order BUY zone). Zone 2: 4124 - 4120 (Fibo Extension Buy Zone). Action: If the first zone fails, be ready to load up at these deeper accumulation points. 3. TAKE PROFIT TARGET: Target: 4264 - 4268 (The Fibo Extension Sell Zone). AD Note: Sells are only for quick scalps; we wait for the major Fibo reaction at 426x. ⚠️ Immediate Focus: WAIT for the 419x retest. Discipline is key to catching this trend continuation!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Pulls Back From All-Time High – Correction Looks Limited📊 Market Overview Gold slightly corrected from its all-time high near $4,239, showing early signs of a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish. Despite the correction, fundamental sentiment still supports Gold: 💬 US–China trade tensions and geopolitical risks continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. 💵 The US Dollar remains under pressure amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year. ⚖️ Ongoing concerns about a possible US government shutdown further enhance Gold’s attractiveness. These factors suggest that the current dip is likely a healthy correction within a strong uptrend, not a reversal. 🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW Wave View) Gold has likely completed a minor Wave (V) on the M30 chart, forming a new ATH Zone near 4,239. Currently, price is unfolding a corrective A–B–C pattern, expected to find support at key liquidity zones before resuming the uptrend. Our model highlights two potential BUY setups and a short-term SELL scalp opportunity for today’s trading session. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔵 BUY Setup 1 Zone: 4,184 – 4,182 SL: 4,178 TP: 4,188 – 4,192 – 4,196 – 4,200 – 4,210 – 4,220 – ??? 🟢 BUY Setup 2 (Deeper Retrace) Zone: 4,148 – 4,146 SL: 4,140 TP: 4,152 – 4,156 – 4,160 – 4,170 – 4,180 – 4,190 – 4,200 🔴 SELL SCALP Opportunity Zone: 4,230 – 4,234 SL: 4,238 TP: 4,220 – 4,215 – 4,210 – 4,200 – 4,190 – ??? ⚙️ MMFLOW Trading View 📈 Price is currently respecting Wave (A) of the correction. We expect a possible (B) retracement toward 4,220 – 4,230, followed by (C) decline completing near 4,147 – 4,150 (Fibo 0.618 / CP Buy Zone). From there, Smart Money may re-enter long positions targeting a fresh liquidity sweep toward the 4,285 SELL ZONE. In short: The uptrend remains intact, only a short-term correction is unfolding. Patience is key — best opportunities will likely appear around 4,150 – 4,180 range. The structure aligns perfectly with both technical confluence (Elliott + Liquidity Zones) and macro sentiment. If the market holds above 4,140, Gold could aim for new highs toward 4,285 – 4,300 in the next few sessions. However, traders should: ✅ Always use Stop Loss — volatility is high near record highs. ✅ Avoid overtrading in narrow pullback zones. ✅ Focus on reaction at key liquidity levels before entering. ⚡️ Summary Gold remains technically bullish with limited downside correction. Watch for price reaction around 4,184 and 4,147 — both zones represent strong liquidity areas where Smart Money may look to buy again. After completing this correction, a new impulsive leg up toward 4,285+ could unfold, potentially marking the next all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges - Trading Strategy as Gold Adjusts Hello traders community, Today's trading session witnessed a strong "Price Rejection" of XAUUSD at the new peak, triggering a nearly $20 drop. Although the long-term bullish structure remains intact, the profit-taking signal from buyers is evident. This article will delve into the analysis of key price zones and outline a detailed trading strategy in the context of the adjusting market. 📊 Technical Analysis The H1 chart provides us with an overview of the current liquidity zones and price structure: Fibonacci Resistance Zone: The price reacted strongly at the confluence of the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension levels, around the $4240 area. A strong bearish candle emerged right after the price touched this zone, confirming it as an extremely potential "Sell zone." Sellers have officially stepped in. Point of Control (POC) and Liquidity: The Volume Profile (VPVR) indicator shows the area with the highest trading volume concentration (POC) is at $4196. This is the "magnet" zone attracting price in the short term. If the price recovers, this will be the decisive tug-of-war zone. Key Support Zones: $4196 (Buy Scalping): The POC zone acts as the first price support point. Scalping traders can look for short-term buying opportunities here. $4158 (Buy Zone): This is a stronger support zone, the bottom of the previous uptrend, and also an area with significant trading volume. Buyers are likely to return strongly if the price adjusts here. 📰 Market Sentiment Profit-Taking Pressure: After a hot growth streak, Gold's sharp drop of nearly $20 is a healthy adjustment move. The selling force mainly comes from short-term profit-taking traders. "Sharks" Still Accumulating: Notably, while the price adjusts, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its gold holdings by 1.15 tonnes. This move shows that large institutions remain optimistic about Gold's long-term prospects and are taking advantage of the dip to accumulate more. This is a signal contrary to short-term price action, which traders need to pay special attention to. 🎯 Actionable Trading Plan With the current technical signals and market sentiment, we prioritize the strategy of selling when the price recovers (Sell the Rally). Scenario 1: Sell on Downtrend (Sell) 📉 Entry Zone: Wait for the price to recover to the $4228 zone. This is the "retest" area of the liquidity zone previously controlled by sellers. Stop Loss: $4235, above the nearest minor peak. Take Profit: $4210 - $4188 - $4165 - $4133. Scenario 2: Buy at Strong Support (Buy) 📈 Entry Zone: If the price continues to drop, look to buy at the "Buy zone" $4158. Stop Loss: $4150, a safe level below the support zone. Take Profit: $4173 - $4190 - $4205 - $4230. Scenario 3: Short-Term Scalping (Scalping Buy) ⚡️ Entry Zone: Quick buy at the POC zone $4196. Stop Loss: $4188, a short and tight stop loss level. Take Profit: $4210 - $4228. Summary In the short term, sellers are temporarily dominant after Gold failed to conquer the $4240 resistance zone. The main strategy is to sell when the price recovers. However, the buying action of the SPDR fund indicates that the medium and long-term uptrend remains very solid. Therefore, buying orders at strong support zones like $4158 are also an opportunity not to be missed. Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing all traders an effective trading day! Note: This analysis is based on personal views and is for reference purposes only, not direct investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Flows Continue to Support GoldMarket Context: Gold has attracted strong buying for the fourth consecutive session, supported by a mix of global risk factors: renewed US–China trade tensions, rising geopolitical uncertainty, and growing fears of a prolonged US government shutdown. Meanwhile, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve are keeping the USD under pressure — further enhancing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. During the Asian session, XAU/USD printed a fresh all-time high, with bulls now eyeing a potential extension toward the 4,200 USD/oz region amid escalating global concerns. Technical Outlook (M30): Gold continues to respect its ascending channel structure, maintaining dynamic support between 4,167 – 4,154. As long as price holds above 4,139, the broader trend remains bullish, with the next liquidity target sitting at 4,240 – 4,241. Key Zones to Watch: Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,240 – 4,242 ATH Zone / Short-Term Resistance: 4,190 – 4,200 OBS Buy Zone – CP Trendline Support: 4,141 – 4,139 Secondary Buy Zone: 4,114 – 4,112 Trading Plan: 🔹 BUY Zone Entry: 4.141 – 4.139 SL: 4.134 TP: 4.145 → 4.150 → 4.155 → 4.160 → 4.170 → 4.180 🔹 BUY Zone Entry: 4.114 – 4.112 SL: 4.106 TP: 4.120 → 4.125 → 4.130 → 4.140 → 4.150 🔹 SELL Zone (Scalp Reaction) Entry: 4.240 – 4.242 SL: 4.248 TP: 4.235 → 4.230 → 4.225 → 4.220 → 4.210 → 4.200 Summary: The bullish market structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 4,139 zone. Watch for potential long opportunities from 4,141 – 4,139, where the confluence of trendline and order block support could trigger fresh demand. Bulls remain in control, targeting the 4,240 – 4,241 liquidity area in the coming sessions. 📊 What’s your take — will gold break above 4,200 or pause for a correction first? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure insights and institutional-style setups. 🟣 Chart: XAUUSD M30 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity pools, CP confluence and key buy/sell zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (16/10/2025) 🔹 MOMENTUM D1: Currently, the daily momentum has formed five consecutive bullish candles and is now approaching the overbought zone. 👉 This indicates a high probability of a correction within the next 1–2 days. H4: Momentum on H4 is still rising. Today, the price may continue to climb slightly or move sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone before a potential reversal. H1: Momentum on H1 is also nearing the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term pullback could occur during the Asian session. ________________________________________ 🔹 WAVE STRUCTURE D1 Chart: The structure remains within an extended Wave (5). With D1 momentum about to enter the overbought area and this bullish phase already lasting for five candles, there is a strong chance of a correction today or tomorrow. H4 Chart: The price is currently in orange Wave (5), while purple Wave (3) is still unfolding. Since H4 momentum is rising, price may extend slightly higher or consolidate sideways before a possible reversal. H1 Chart: Price is now in yellow Wave (5), where five minor blue waves have been completed. The price zone around 4242.89 corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of blue Waves 1–3. Within blue Wave (5), we can also count five smaller black sub-waves, and interestingly, 4242.89 again aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level of black Waves 1–3. ➡️ This creates a strong resistance area, from which a deep correction forming purple Wave (4) is highly possible. ________________________________________ 🔹 TRADING PLAN • Avoid holding long positions for too long — this stage is best suited for short-term scalp trades. • Focus on observing price action and waiting for a confirmed top formation before planning any Swing setups. • Sometimes, staying on the sidelines is the best strategy. 👉 I will update the Swing signal once a clearer confirmation appears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD – Buyers Reclaim Structure, Targeting Liquidity Zone🔍 Market Context After a strong Liquidity Sweep yesterday, gold has rebounded and formed consecutive Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming buyers have regained control. The price has now filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4,191 – 4,202) and is heading towards the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD — a concentration of pending sell orders and stop-losses from previous short positions. The current structure shows strong bullish momentum , however, the possibility of a correction from this high liquidity area is noteworthy. 💎 Technical Analysis Liquidity Sweep: Completed, clearing liquidity below 4,070. FVG (Fair Value Gap): 4,191 – 4,202 → filled, confirming price balance. Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,237 – 4,240 → potential resistance zone, likely strong reaction. OB Zone | Buy: 4,143 – 4,145 → nearby support, expected first reaction when price corrects. OB Deep | Buy: 4,110 – 4,115 → deep demand zone, confluence with Premium Zone 4,156 – 4,118. Overall Structure: The main trend remains bullish , with strong upward momentum but requires a technical correction for re-accumulation. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at liquidity zone When the price approaches the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD , observe candlestick reaction (rejection, bearish engulfing). If confirmation signals appear, open a short-term sell order . Target: OB Buy Zone 4,145 → 4,110 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,245 USD. ➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup, high probability when the market encounters resistance confluence with Fibonacci zone 0.786–1.0. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Buy with trend from OB If the price corrects to the OB Zone 4,143 – 4,145 USD and shows a clear reaction (strong rejection or minor structure break), → a buy with the main trend can be opened. Target: return to 4,200 → 4,235 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,130 USD. If the price drops further, the OB Deep Buy 4,110 – 4,115 USD will be the final “liquidity attraction” zone for a new upward bounce. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at 4,200+ as it is near the liquidity resistance zone. Prioritise short-term sell at 4,237 if clear signals are present. When price corrects to OB, wait for reaction before buying, do not bottom fish early. 💬 Conclusion After completing the liquidity sweep, gold has confirmed a return to bullish structure with multiple consecutive BoS. Currently, the price is approaching the liquidity zone 4,237 USD – a short-term correction is highly likely. The 4,145 – 4,110 USD zone will be where buyers await reaction to accumulate orders and continue the medium-term uptrend. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Short sell at 4,237 USD if reversal signals are present. Wait to buy at OB zone 4,145 – 4,110 USD when clear reaction occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD 1H Buy Limit Projection — 15.10.25🟡 Overall Setup This is a 1-hour timeframe projection chart for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD). The market is currently in a strong uptrend, moving inside an ascending channel (blue trendline). The price at the time of projection: $4,198.76 🧭 Key Zones & Plan Entry Zone (Buy Limit): Marked at $2203–$2206 (FVG zone — Fair Value Gap). The chart suggests to wait for breakout and retest of the yellow zone before buying. Support Zone: Highlighted in yellow box, indicating strong demand area where the breakout is expected to happen. “CANDLE MOVEMENT AREA” below shows the probable pullback path. Trade Timing: Suggested after 11:30 AM (October 15). Waiting for structure confirmation before entry. 🏁 Target Levels TP 1: Around $4,228 – $4,243 (0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone). TP 2: Around $4,320, which is the top of the ascending structure. ⚠️ Stop Loss Zone SL is placed below $4,165, under the yellow demand zone. Protects against false breakout. 📈 Price Movement Projection The black line arrows project the expected retracement down to entry zone, then bullish breakout and rally upward toward target zones. Trend continuation is expected until tomorrow with breakout & retest. ✅ Summary of Strategy: Trend: Bullish Action: Buy at retest zone (2203–2206) TP: 4243 (TP1) / 4320 (TP2) SL: Below 4165 Timing: After 11:30 AM IST
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Markets Brace for U.S. Retail Sales & Fed Volatility XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold prices hover near ₹4,190 after an early-week rally as traders brace for U.S. Retail Sales data and a new round of Federal Reserve speeches later today. Recent gains were fueled by softer inflation readings, yet the dollar remains resilient amid hawkish undertones from Fed officials. Markets are now balancing between expectations of slower growth and persistent rate-cut caution. A stronger-than-expected Retail Sales print could pressure gold temporarily, but any dovish signal from Fed speakers may quickly restore bullish momentum. Expect liquidity hunts on both sides before a confirmed direction forms. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure remains bullish after multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmation. • Price is approaching the Premium Zone (4211–4209) — a potential liquidity sweep area where short-term sellers may react. • Below, the H1 FVG Buy Zone (4145–4149) offers a discount entry aligned with recent BOS support and previous mitigation points. • Maintaining a bullish bias while awaiting clean reaction within the FVG zone is key for continuation toward new highs. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4211 – 4209 SL: 4218 TP targets: 4190 → 4175 → 4155 🟢 Buy Setup: 4145 – 4147 SL: 4138 TP targets: 4170 → 4190 → 4220+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entry to avoid false breaks. • Expect high volatility around Retail Sales and Fed remarks — spread widening is likely. • Partial take-profits near intra-day liquidity points are recommended. ✅ Summary XAUUSD remains bullish on structure but faces a potential liquidity grab around 4211–4209 before retracing into the H1 FVG buy zone (4145–4149). Smart money may seek to accumulate long positions after a controlled pullback, especially if Fed commentary echoes a slower policy tightening path. Intraday bias leans Buy the Dip, with caution around macro-driven volatility spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Pullback Opportunity Within Strong Bullish MomentumAnalysis: The XAU/USD chart shows that gold has maintained a powerful upward trajectory, breaking out of its previous consolidation channel (highlighted in purple). After the breakout, price surged to new highs near 4,120, confirming strong bullish momentum. Currently, the market is showing a minor pullback toward the 4,090–4,060 zone — a region aligning with previous resistance turned support. This retracement appears healthy and could provide buyers a chance to re-enter before another leg up. The bullish continuation setup is supported by: Previous breakout retest: The price is testing the prior resistance area, which could now act as strong support. Momentum structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain intact. Favorable risk-reward ratio: The long position targets around 4,180, with stops below 4,060 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
GOLD AT ATH! $4,200 BATTLE – Which Fibo Zone Fires First?Gold is fiercely battling the $4,200 mark after hitting a new All-Time High near $4,220. Bulls are pausing, but macro risks (geopolitics, trade war warnings) keep the trend Long. Our focus: Sniping the Reaction Zones. 🎯 THE FIBO ACTION ZONES (H1/M30) 1. STRATEGIC BUY ZONE (Optimal Long Entry): Zone 1: 4162 - 4158 (The crucial Fibo Retest/0.618 support). Zone 2: 4144 - 4140 (Deeper strong support). Action: Wait for the pullback into 4162 - 4158 and execute a BUY upon bullish confirmation. 2. SELL/TP ZONES (Profit Taking & Resistance): TP Target 1: 4208 - 4212 (Immediate Fibo Resistance). TP Target 2: 4225 - 4250 (Fibo Extension 1.5 - 1.618). Action: Look for SCALP SELL opportunities or take profits (TP) here if price rejects these levels. 📈 TODAY'S MOVE: Patience for the 416x retest. Join the Long trend aggressively only after a solid bounce confirmation! ⚠️ Risk Management: Keep SL tight below your chosen BUY Zone. Discipline over FOMO!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Record Highs in Focus📈 Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Record Highs in Focus, Prudent Strategies Amidst Fed Uncertainty Good afternoon to the UK Trading Community, Spot Gold (XAUUSD) has delivered an exceptional performance, decisively clearing the $4,200/ounce hurdle and establishing an unprecedented All-Time High (ATH). While some inevitable profit-taking is surfacing, the fundamental bullish structure remains firmly in place. 🧭 Market Intelligence & Core Sentiment Momentum Check: Gold’s robust ascent, jumping nearly 1.4% today, suggests the asset has broken free from conventional price ceilings. This momentum is encouraging a significant inflow of capital from private retail investors. The Fed Factor: The primary short-term concern stems from the ambiguous "Hawkish" commentary emanating from the Federal Reserve Chairman. This lack of clarity is injecting substantial volatility and triggering sharp, localised selling pressure (profit-taking). Structural View: The overarching strong uptrend persists. Any recent dips should be viewed as natural profit-taking episodes and not yet a conclusive shift in the prevailing market direction. 📊 Technical Deep Dive (30m Chart – XAUUSD) Referring to the 30-minute time frame, the price action is clearly encapsulated within a strong near-term Uptrend Channel. However, the market is currently testing a crucial resistance barrier. Critical Resistance Zone: Located between 4206–4210. This area represents a clear confluence point—the apex of the rising channel and a strong technical ceiling—making it the immediate source of any potential selling interest. Demand Zone (Buyer's Territory): Settled around 4145–4150. This marks a vital support area, offering a preferable entry point for trend-following long positions once a clear retracement materialises. Price Forecast: Having seen rejection at the channel's high, we anticipate a likelihood of price continuing to correct back towards our identified Demand Zone before gathering sufficient momentum for another attempt at the ATH. 🎯 Calculated Trading Scenarios for the Session We present balanced strategies to effectively trade the current high-volatility environment. 📉 Tactical Sell (Scalping the Retracement) This strategy aims to capture the short-term pullback from the immediate supply zone. 📍 Sell Entry: 4206 – 4208 🛑 SL: 4214 (A notably tight Stop Loss is essential given the overwhelming bullish bias) 🎯 TP Targets: 4188 → 4162 → 4144 → 4123 📈 Strategic Buy (Riding the Primary Trend) The prudent approach: waiting for the market to offer a better price at key support. 📍 Buy Entry: 4145 – 4147 (The high-probability Demand Zone) 🛑 SL: 4138 🎯 TP Targets: 4167 → 4192 → 4204 (Aiming for a potential sustained breakout) 📌 Conclusion and Forward View Gold is undeniably on a formidable upward trajectory. Nonetheless, the influence of central bank rhetoric is causing significant market chop and potential corrections. Recommended Action: We favour a tactical Sell Scalp at the resistance zone 4206–4208 alongside preparing for a strategic Trend-Following Buy at the key support 4145–4147. Capital Preservation: Maintaining a disciplined, tight Stop Loss and ensuring prudent position sizing is paramount while navigating these record-high volatility levels. I shall provide continuous daily updates on Gold, drawn from my 8 years of trading expertise. 👉 Be sure to follow for timely, detailed trade analysis!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (15/10/2025) 1. Momentum D1: Daily momentum is currently rising and still has room to move into the overbought zone. ➡️ Therefore, the main trend on the D1 timeframe remains bullish until D1 momentum reaches the overbought area and shows signs of reversal. H4: Momentum on H4 is also rising strongly. ➡️ The upward move is likely to continue until H4 enters the overbought zone and starts to turn down. H1: H1 momentum is showing slight bearish divergence, suggesting a possible minor corrective pullback in the short term. 2. Wave Structure D1 Structure: Price is currently in wave 5 (yellow). A larger correction is only expected once D1 momentum enters the overbought zone, signaling the end of wave 5. For now, momentum remains bullish → further upside movement is still likely. H4 Structure: Price is retesting the previous high. There are two possible scenarios: 1️⃣ Formation of a corrective flat or triangle pattern. 2️⃣ Wave 5 (yellow) — which belongs to wave 3 (purple) — is still extending upward. H1 Structure: After a strong correction, price has rallied back toward the previous high around 4193, which serves as a key resistance zone. If 4193 holds and price reverses downward, we may see: • Flat correction: Targeting the 4102 zone – this will be the potential buy area. • Triangle correction: Price will consolidate narrowly, not dropping deeply toward 4102. If price breaks above 4193, the next target could be 4234, which may complete wave 5 (yellow). Since D1 momentum is still rising, it’s not ideal to counter-trade the trend at this stage. 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4103 – 4101 Stop Loss: 4091 Take Profit: 4151
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH, prioritise buying according to POC 4,146–4,148 🟡 Gold continues to make higher highs after a strong rise in the Asian session; the upward channel structure remains intact. On H1, POC ~4,147–4,148 is the nearest support point; above is the resistance cluster according to FE 1.618 ~4,186 and the sell zone 4,221–4,240. Key levels Support: 4,146–4,148 (POC) • 4,140 (short-term invalid). Resistance/targets: 4,166 • 4,186 (FE 1.618) • 4,188–4,200 • 4,221 (sell scalping) • 4,240 (sell zone). Trading scenarios Buy 1 – POC pullback Entry 4,146–4,148 | SL 4,140 | TP 4,166 → 4,188 → 4,200 → 4,245. If it pulls back to POC and H1 shows a confirmation candle/mid-trendline support, prioritise buying. Buy 2 – Shallow retest If the price only dips ~4,160–4,162 then rebounds above POC, additional buying is possible with SL 4,152, TP as above. Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry 4,240 | SL 4,250 | TP 4,222 → 4,200 → 4,188 → 4,160. Only trigger when there is a clear rejection signal at 4,221–4,240; this is a counter-trend trade. Invalidation & management Buying bias weakens when H1 closes below 4,140 or breaks the lower channel edge. After TP1, move SL to entry; avoid chasing price in the 4,18x–4,20x area when volume is thin. 🎯 Quick context The upward momentum is maintained due to expectations of the Fed ending QT/looser conditions and safe haven flows; however, the 4,221–4,240 area may create a short-term reaction before the uptrend continues. Trade well with this scenario!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX