Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea:
Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing).
There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap.
The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance.
🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward)
Parameter Plan
Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout).
Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled.
Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance.
⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch)
FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited.
A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin.
But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid.
Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
Xauusdforecast
XAUUSD Pullback Zone Buy Setup – Demand Re-Entry Toward Higher TMarket Structure & Price Action Analysis
Trend Context:
Price recently pushed into a higher-timeframe supply zone (the blue area) and rejected strongly, creating a short-term downtrend.
Pullback Behavior:
Price is currently retracing downward, breaking minor support levels and forming lower lows, but the bearish momentum appears to be slowing.
Demand Zone (Entry Area):
Your marked Entry zone (around 4177–4180) aligns with:
Previous consolidation
A prior breakout origin
A sweep of liquidity (the pin-bar wick marked with the red circle)
This makes it a high-probability demand area for a bullish reaction.
📌 Trade Idea Breakdown
Entry
Around 4177–4180 where price may retest the demand zone.
Confirmation
Look for:
Bullish engulfing
Strong rejection wick
Break of short-term structure (e.g., break above 4198)
Target
Re-test of the upper supply zone (around 4208–4215).
This aligns well with your green projection arrow.
🎯 Bias
Bullish from demand → Targeting supply, as long as price holds above 4177 and shows bullish confirmation.
If price breaks below this zone with momentum, bullish setup becomes invalid.
Bullish Breakout & Golden Zone Reversal AnalysisChart Analysis (Gold – 15m)
1. Trend Structure
Price has been moving inside a descending channel, showing short-term bearish pressure.
Now price is attempting a breakout from the channel, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
2. Key Support Zones (Demand Areas)
4,187.08 → First support where buyers reacted.
4,178.10 → Deep liquidity zone (strong demand).
These levels align with Fibonacci retracement clusters:
0.618 (4,186.98)
0.705 (4,184.22)
0.79 (4,181.51)
This confirms a high-probability reversal zone.
3. Fibonacci Strategy
Price touched the 0.618–0.79 golden pocket and bounced.
This supports a long setup targeting the 1:1 impulse projection.
4. Moving Averages (EMA Strategy)
EMA 70 and EMA 200 are above price during correction.
A breakout + retest above EMAs would confirm further bullish momentum.
5. Breakout Strategy
A clear breakout above the descending channel suggests the beginning of a new bullish leg.
6. Target Projection
The measured move indicates:
Target Point: 4,240.21
Expected gain: ≈ +1.25% (≈ 52.5 points)
7. Signal Summary
✔️ Support respected
✔️ Breakout forming
✔️ EMA alignment improving
✔️ Fibonacci golden zone bounce
✔️ Bullish target activated
📌 Final Signal
Bullish Bias (Long) above 4,187
🎯 Target: 4,240
🛡 Stop-loss: Below 4,178 NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NSE:NIFTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:SI1!
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI – SSS Liquidity SChart Analysis
1. Market Context
The chart shows XAUUSD after a decline, now tapping into an EXTREME POI (Point of Interest).
Price reached a previous demand zone where strong reactions occurred before.
2. Liquidity Structure
Multiple areas are labeled “SSS” (Sell-Side Liquidity / Sell-Side Sweep).
Price appears to have:
Swept liquidity beneath local lows (SSS).
Tapped the extreme POI.
Shown an immediate rejection wick, indicating buyers stepping in.
This suggests the market may be exhausting sellers and preparing for a bullish leg.
3. Execution Zone
The grey region represents the entry zone (likely a demand imbalance / mitigation area).
The large blue box above marks the risk-to-reward projection for a long position.
4. Targets
You’ve placed two clear targets:
Target 1
A mid-range liquidity level at approximately 4217.279.
Represents a logical first take-profit based on prior structural inefficiencies.
Target 2
The upper area (labeled “TARGET”), aligning with:
Prior swing highs
A supply zone
A premium pricing zone (after retracement)
This would be the full TP for the bullish move.
5. Bias Summary
Bias: Bullish
Reason: Liquidity sweep + POI tap + structure showing potential for upside displacement.
The setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts:
Sweep → Mitigation → Displacement → Targeting Imbalances & Liquidity Pools
1. Bullish Reversal Setup From POI Toward Key TargetChart Analysis (Gold – 30m)
Trend Structure:
Price is currently in a corrective down-move inside a rising channel, but overall structure still respects higher-timeframe bullish momentum.
🔵 Key Zones
Bullish POI (Demand Zone): Lower blue zone – strong reaction point from previous impulsive move.
Bullish Order Block: Upper blue zone – price is retesting this area for liquidity collection.
📈 Indicators Used
EMA 70 & EMA 200:
Price is oscillating between both EMAs.
EMA 70 above EMA 200 → bullish bias still intact.
Liquidity Sweep:
Wick rejections below structure indicate liquidity grab before bullish reaction.
📌 Market Behavior
Price is expected to dip into POI to collect liquidity.
From POI, a bullish reversal is projected toward target zone 4,264.57.
🎯 Target
4,264.57 (Highlighted target level; aligns with channel top + liquidity zone)
📊 Summary Signal
Price likely retraces into the Bullish POI, then forms a strong bullish impulse toward the target. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CME_MINI:ES1! NYMEX:CL1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! NSE:NIFTY1! COMEX:SI1!
Gold Price at Critical Resistance Breakout or Rejection SetupChart Analysis (All Strategies Used)
1️⃣ Trend Analysis
Price is moving inside a descending structure, but recently broke above the short-term trendline, showing bullish momentum.
EMAs 70 & 200 are acting as dynamic support—bullish signal
2️⃣ Support & Resistance
Strong resistance zone: 4,228 – 4,236 (multiple rejections earlier).
Support zone: around the 4,195 – 4,200 region.
If price stays above support + EMAs, bullish continuation likely.
3️⃣ Breakout Strategy
Price is retesting resistance again.
A clean breakout above 4,236 can send the price toward the buying target: 4,263.60 🚀.
4️⃣ Rejection / Pullback Strategy
If price fails at 4,236 and rejects strongly, expect a drop back toward:
Support 4,195
Selling Target: 4,162 📉
5️⃣ EMA Strategy
Price is above both EMAs → trend favors buyers.
If price dips and closes below EMA 70 + EMA 200, selling pressure strengthens.
6️⃣ Risk–Reward Strategy
Buy setup: Break & retest above 4,236 → target 4,263.
Sell setup: Strong rejection at resistance → target 4,162.
Good RR on both sides depending on breakout vs. rejection.
📌 Final Summary
Price is at a critical resistance zone (4,236).
➡️ Breakout = BUY toward 4,263
➡️ Rejection = SELL toward 4,162 CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:ES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME_MINI:MES1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! COMEX:SI1! NYMEX:CL1! CME_MINI:NQ1!
Gold 4H Technical Outlook: Demand Zone Re-Test and Bullish ContiChart Analysis (Gold – 4H)
1. Market Structure
Price is in a clear ascending channel, respecting both the support line and rejection line.
Recent pullback has returned to a demand zone (4,114–4,148), which has acted as a strong buy area before.
2. Key Zones
Demand Zone: 4,114 – 4,148
Strong reaction expected; buyers previously stepped in here.
Target Point: 4,319
Based on channel top + measured move projection (153 pts).
3. Moving Averages (EMA 200 & EMA 70)
Price is trading above both EMAs, indicating bullish market sentiment.
EMA70 is acting as dynamic support inside the channel.
EMA200 supports the overall long-term uptrend.
4. Pattern Recognition
A bullish flag (red highlighted area) recently broke upward, confirming continuation.
Current movement shows another retest of the demand zone, which aligns with the channel support.
5. Trendline Analysis
Support trendline has been touched multiple times — strong confirmation.
Rejection line shows sellers but remains intact inside the channel.
6. Price Action Signals
Recent wicks near the demand zone show buyer interest.
Higher lows continue to form.
🎯 Expected Move
If price maintains above 4,114–4,148, the next target remains:
➡️ 4,319 (upper channel resistance)
Bullish continuation is favored unless price closes below 4,114, which would break structure. CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:NQ1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! NYMEX:CL1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:SI1!
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 02.12.25“Gold is currently reacting strongly from the premium weekly support zone.
A clear bullish engulfing candle has formed at the bottom, indicating strong buying pressure.”
Next:
Price was moving inside a parallel downtrend channel, but
The bearish structure has now broken, confirming a potential trend reversal.
The market has also broken the trendline, showing strong momentum from buyers.
After breaking the trendline, price is expected to:
Retest the break level (support turning from resistance).
Continue bullish towards Resistance R1 around 4228–4232.
If momentum holds, the move may extend towards Resistance R2 at 4255–4260.
This structure aligns with a clean liquidity grab, followed by trend reversal and bullish continuation.
🎯 Key Points (Easy to Explain on YouTube)
✅ Premium Weekly Support Zone Hit – strong reversal area
✅ Bullish Engulfing Formed – confirmation of buyer strength
✅ Downtrend Channel Broken – trend reversal confirmation
✅ Expecting Retest → Buy Continuation
🎯 Target 1: Resistance R1 (4230 level)
🎯 Target 2: Resistance R2 (4260 level)
⛔ Stop Loss: Below Weekly Support Zone (around 4185)
📌 Summary for Your Video / Telegram Post
“Gold is showing a strong bullish reversal from the premium weekly support zone.
A bullish engulfing followed by a clean trendline break confirms a potential buy setup.
As long as price holds above the retest zone, we expect upside targets towards 4230 and 4260.”
If you want, I can also prepare:
✔ YouTube Title + Description
✔ Thumbnail text (big bold letters)
✔ Short-form script (30–45 sec)
✔ Hashtags
✔ PDF or PNG formatted analysis
Just tell me “make title, description & thumbnail” and I’ll generate it.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 02.12.25Market Structure
Price has broken the uptrend line, causing a corrective move inside a descending channel.
The correction is respecting channel boundaries (multiple rejections on top & bottom).
🔹 Key Zones
Support Zone: 4180 area
→ Confluence of FVG (Fair Value Gap) + Demand Zone + Channel Bottom.
Target Zone: 4218–4220
→ Retest of the broken structure zone.
🔹 Buy Setup Logic
Price dipped into OBEY CHANNEL + FVG + SUPPORT zone (blue/purple box).
Expectation: Price should bounce from support and move higher.
First target aligns with:
Channel Top
Breaked zone retest
Previous minor structure level.
🔹 Projection Outcome
A bullish push towards 4218.89 zone is projected if support holds.
SL should be placed below the 4168–4170 zone under channel + FVG.
Resistance Rejection → Bearish Pullback Toward Support🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Major Resistance 🟥📉
🔍 Key Technical Insights
Price rejected the major resistance zone around 4,245 – 4,255
Rising Support Line has been broken → signals weakening bullish momentum ❌
Current structure favors a pullback toward demand area
Market seeking liquidity below recent swing lows 💰
🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers)
Target Type Price Area Sticker
TP1 → Support Retest 4,210 – 4,215 🎯
TP2 → Demand Zone 4,195 – 4,205 📉💰
📌 TP1 is your high-probability target
📌 TP2 is for extended move if bearish momentum continues ⬇️
📌 Trade Setup Idea
📍 Sell Entry Zone:
➤ 4,238 – 4,245 (after failed breakout)
🎯 Take Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,215 🎯
➤ TP2: 4,200 📉💸
🧭 Overall Market Outlook
Factor Bias
Short-term Trend Bearish Pullback 🔻
Liquidity Downside targets in focus 💧
Resistance Reaction Strong rejection 🚫
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation Setup Toward 4,223 After Liquidity 1. Market Structure
The chart highlights a COCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure.
Several smaller coch points confirm internal bullish structure building.
2. Liquidity & POI Zones
There is a clear liquidity sweep near the PDL (Previous Day Low), where price dipped into a demand zone to collect orders.
An Extreme POI (Point of Interest) sits below current price — this acted as the strong reaction zone for the bullish move.
PDH (Previous Day High) is marked as an early short-term target/liquidity area.
3. Expected Move
The projection (zig-zag line) indicates bullish continuation after a pullback into the POI zone.
The target is marked around 4,223.629, matching the red horizontal resistance line.
The EMA (9) serves as dynamic support, showing price respecting the bullish trend.
4. Probability Outlook
As long as price stays above the trendline and POI, the bias remains bullish.
A break below the POI would invalidate the setup and open the lower liquidity region again.
“BOS Confirmed — Demand Retest for Next Bullish Leg🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Setup from High Probability Demand Zone 🆙
🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Insights
Price created a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside → confirming bullish momentum ✔️
Retested the Demand Line + Support Zone → buyers defending strongly 💪
High Probability POI (previous accumulation zone) remains valid with liquidity swept below → smart money accumulation evidence 💰
Current pullback = healthy retracement into demand before potential continuation
🎯 Targets (With stickers)
🎯 Target Zone Price Region Sticker
TP1 → Retest recent high 4,165 – 4,175 🎯
TP2 → Liquidity above highs / extended target 4,180 – 4,195 🚀💸
TP1 hit possibility is HIGH due to bullish structure 📈
TP2 depends on strength of breakout ⬆️
📌 Trade Idea (High Probability Setup)
🟩 Buy Entry Zone:
➤ 4,120 – 4,130 (pullback entry at support)
🟢 Take-Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,170 – TP2: 4,190
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3+ ✔️
🧭 Market Structure Sentiment
Factor Outlook
Trend Bullish 📈
Liquidity Upside still available 💧
Smart Money behavior Accumulation & continuation expected 💼
⚠️ Just watch if price breaks below the demand line → would weaken this bullish plan.
GOLD broke out of the H4 trendline — real breakout or trap? Hello Traders! 👋
Gold has broken out of the H4 descending trendline, boosted by geopolitical tension and a weaker USD.
But the real question is: Is this a true breakout or just FOMO before a drop?
Here are the key zones I’ll be watching today:
BUY Zones (SL 10 – TP 10)
• 4165 – 4155
• 4170 – 4175
• 4140 – 4145
• 4110-4108
• 4099-4096
SELL Reaction Zones (SL 10 – TP 10)
• 4200 – 4203
• 4212 – 4215
• 4230-4035
• 4245 – 4247
👉 If price breaks below 4133, the trendline fails → potential sell-continuation setup.
📌 Bias: BUY is the main play — SELL only for short reaction scalps.
💬 What do YOU think — real breakout or classic bull trap? Drop your thoughts below!
❤️ Let’s discuss & grow together!
BTC/USD – Support Reclaim Signals Potential Bullish ContinuationChart Analysis
1. Key Support Zone (≈ 90,350 – 90,920)
Your chart highlights a strong support zone where price previously reacted.
Price has reclaimed this area, showing that buyers stepped in aggressively.
This support aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, strengthening its validity.
2. Current Price Structure
BTC is consolidating just above support, forming a minor bullish structure.
A higher-low formation is visible, suggesting buyers remain in control.
The drawn white arrow also suggests an expected retest before continuation.
3. Local Resistance Cluster (≈ 92,500 – 94,000)
The upper shaded zone marks a major resistance, possibly a supply region.
This aligns with Fib extension levels (2.618–3.618).
This is the area where sellers are likely to show up again.
4. Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Chart)
If BTC holds above 90,920, a rally toward the resistance zone is likely.
The large grey projection box indicates a potential move to ~93,500–94,000.
Momentum from the recent strong bullish candle also supports the upside.
5. Bearish Risk Scenario
Losing 90,350 on strong volume could invalidate the bullish setup.
If that happens, price may revisit 87,500–88,000 (Fib confluence).
WHICH SIDE TO CHOOSE TODAY — BUY OR SELL?1. Quick Market Context
PPI, Core PPI, and Retail Sales came in weak → low inflation → Fed may cut rates in December.
Price has broken out of the H4 accumulation zone → BUY bias for today.
Tonight we have Unemployment Claims → if the data is higher → XAU tends to continue rising.
✅ MAIN STRATEGY – BUY ON DIP
📌 All setups follow SL 100 pips – TP 100 pips
🎯 BUY ZONE 1 (Primary Entry)
4130 – 4136
→ Open BUY.
→ Retest zone after breakout.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 BUY ZONE 2 (Major Support Zone)
4108 – 4113
→ Strong BUY zone.
→ If broken → deeper correction possible.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🔵 POTENTIAL BUY ZONES (SWING ENTRIES)
Use for bottom-picking with flexible RR (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4...)
4100 – 4102
4092 – 4094
4088
4060 – 4066
→ For swing setups: SL/TP depends on larger RR (not fixed 10 pips).
❌ SECONDARY STRATEGY – SELL REACTION (COUNTERTREND / QUICK SCALP)
📌 SELL setups also follow SL 10 pips – TP 10 pips.
🎯 SELL ZONE 1 (Strongest Reaction Area)
4192 – 4195
→ Short SELL for quick reaction.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 SELL ZONE 2
4200 – 4202
→ Psychological resistance → SELL scalp.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 SELL ZONE (Fibo Extension)
4180 – 4187
→ Short-term SELL for a small pullback.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🔶 BI / INVALIDATION ZONES
If price breaks these levels → short-term trend shifts:
Break below 4108 → BUY invalid → potential drop to 4100 / 4092.
Break above 4202 → SELL invalid → upside extension toward 4215 – 4220.
⚠️ Risk Management
Manage your capital strictly, observe market reactions, and adjust accordingly.
This plan is for reference only, not financial advice.
Trade responsibly.
Have a good day, guys!
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup Toward Liquidity TargetsChart Analysis
Your chart shows a potential bearish reversal on XAUUSD with a clear smart-money structure. Here’s the breakdown:
1. Market Structure
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) indicate a shift from bullish momentum to bearish intent.
Price made a final sweep / liquidity grab at the recent high before sharply dropping into your marked entry zone.
2. Entry Zone
The “ENTRY” mark aligns with:
A bearish mitigation zone from the last up-move
A distribution pattern forming (rounded top + BOS)
This suggests institutional selling activity.
3. Target One – 4,080.064
This level is a logical first target because:
It aligns with previous demand acting as newly created liquidity.
You expect a corrective pullback before continuation—your white zig-zag path reflects this.
4. Target Two – 4,040.652
A deeper liquidity pool and the next major imbalance area.
If price breaks Target One, momentum likely accelerates.
This is the main downside liquidity sweep zone.
5. Context
The shaded half-circle structures highlight swing points where price formed lower highs, reinforcing the bearish narrative.
The clean equal-lows and imbalances under price give strong bearish draw-on-liquidity.
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations
📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance)
Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line
📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support)
Buyers defending higher lows
Strong bullish reaction off support
💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$)
Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal
Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up
🟢 Bullish Confirmation
If price holds above demand line + support zone
Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest
🎯 Suitable Target Levels
Target Level (Approx) Status
🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest
🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation
📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario)
Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩
Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌
Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯
Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀
RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈
🧭 Market Sentiment
📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish
🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target
XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart
Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown:
1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side)
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent.
CHoCH followed by accumulation zones.
Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points).
Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation.
2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation
Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength.
Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible.
Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone.
3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right)
Market reaches Premium Ceiling Zone.
Signs of exhaustion appear:
Lower high formations
Reversal zone highlighted
Shift in character from expansion → distribution
4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming
The chart shows:
A potential descending structure
Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline
First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902
Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700
These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing.
5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart
Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached
Smart money distributing positions
Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas
Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward
Gold (XAU/USD) 2H Chart Analysis – Sell Setup from High ProbabilBased on the chart you provided, Gold is currently reacting near a High Probability POI (supply zone) after a corrective bullish move. The structure still shows:
Lower highs and lower lows → Bearish market structure
Price is approaching a supply zone where sellers previously dominated
Liquidity has been taken above internal highs (marked as "$$$"), indicating a liquidity grab
This supports a short position idea from the supply zone.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Zone / Level Meaning
4,125 – 4,150 USD High Probability POI / Supply (Sell area)
4,080 – 4,100 USD Entry region (price is currently here)
4,040 – 4,025 USD First reaction / partial take zone (50% area)
3,990 – 4,000 USD Main Target (previous demand + equal lows)
🎯 Suggested Target
Primary Target: $4,000
(Exactly aligning with your chart’s marked “TARGET” zone where liquidity sits)
If momentum continues and structure breaks more aggressively:
Extended Target: $3,975 – $3,960
(deeper sweep into demand)
🛑 Risk Management
Detail Level
Stop Loss Above 4,155 USD (beyond POI + liquidity)
R:R Potential Approx. 1:3 to 1:4
📌 Summary
Price has retraced into a key supply zone
Liquidity was taken → seller confirmation likely
Expectation is continuation downward towards the liquidity pool below
📊 Title Recommendation:
“Gold Retests Supply Zone – Bearish Continuation Toward $4,000 Expected”
XAUUSD Bullish Retracement Setup from Support Zone Toward Key Re1. Market Structure
Price is currently trading near a major support zone (~4055–4060 area), highlighted in blue.
Multiple rejections from this zone in the past indicate strong buying interest.
The structure shows higher lows forming intraday, suggesting bullish pressure building.
2. Key Zones
🔵 Support Zone (Entry Region)
Marked around 4055–4060.
Price dipped into this zone and bounced, showing a potential demand area for long positions.
🔵 Resistance Level (First Target Region)
Around 4081–4098.
This is the first major resistance the price is likely to test after bouncing.
🔵 Final Target Zone
4120 area, the upper major resistance.
Previous highs around this level show strong selling interest historically.
3. Expected Price Movement
The chart suggests a potential bullish move:
Price bounces from the support (entry) area.
Climbs toward 4081 (minor resistance).
Retraces slightly.
Continues upward toward 4097–4100.
Final push toward 4120 target zone.
This is a classic retracement + continuation bullish structure.
4. Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 4055–4060 (support zone)
First TP: 4081
Second TP: 4097–4100
Final Target: 4120
Stop Loss: Below 4050 (beneath support zone)
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 21.11.25XAUUSD / GOLD 1H SELL projection based on the chart you uploaded:
✅ Overall View
The chart shows a confirmed uptrend line break + clean retest, which is a strong bearish signal on 1H timeframe. Your setup is technically correct and follows proper structure.
📉 SELL SETUP ANALYSIS
1. Entry Zone
Your entry is placed exactly at the support → turned resistance zone after the trendline break + retest.
This is a smart location because:
Price rejected the retest
Previous support is now acting as resistance
Weak bullish candles on retest confirm sellers are active
🛑 Stop Loss
Stop loss is placed above the retest wick, which is correct.
Because:
If price moves above this, structure becomes bullish again
SL protects you from fake breakout
🎯 Targets
TP1 – Resistance 1 (Now Support Zone)
Good first target. High probability area where price may react.
TP2 – R2
This level has strong confluence:
Previous consolidation zone
Fresh liquidity area
High chance price may reach here if bearish momentum continues.
TP3 – R3 (Final Target)
This is your deep liquidity zone ($$$).
Smart money usually reaches this zone after trend reversal.
⭐ Trade Quality Rating: 9/10
Reasons:
Trendline break + retest = strong confirmation
Clean structure
Proper RR setup
Logical TP placements
SL placed safely
📌 Suggested Trade Plan
Enter only if candle closes below your entry zone again
Book partial profits at TP1
At TP1: move SL to breakeven
Let runner hit TP2 / TP3
XAUUSD – Bearish Retracement Into Supply Zones With Potential Sh1. Overall Context
The market recently had a strong bearish leg after rejecting the upper resistance zone (labelled HIGH PROB POI).
Price is currently retracing upward into a series of supply zones, indicating a potential area for continuation shorts.
2. Key Zones
High Probability POI (Supply)
This is the upper beige zone.
Previously caused a strong sell-off → confirms strong institutional presence.
If price pushes this high again, it may offer the most reliable reversal area.
Extreme POI
The central horizontal zone marked “EXTREME POI”.
Current price is tapping into it.
Market may react here if sellers decide to re-enter early.
3. Internal Structure
A series of labeled SSS (Sell-Side Sweeps) indicate liquidity grabs beneath short-term lows.
After sweeping these lows, price retraced upwards, likely moving toward premium territory to fill sell orders.
The 80% level marked on the chart seems to be your optimal entry zone within the inefficiency/imbalance.
4. Entry Idea
Your marked entry level 4080 sits inside the grey supply block.
This aligns with:
Prior breakdown zones
Fresh supply
Retracement to premium pricing
Liquidity sweep structure
This creates a high-probability short setup, assuming the trend continues downward.
5. Expectation
If price respects the first supply zone (grey box), downside continuation should follow.
Current Market Structure & Key Observations Previous Trend: The Current Market Structure & Key Observations
Previous Trend: The chart shows a strong uptrend from late October, peaking around November 14th at approximately $4,400. This peak marked a significant reversal.
Correction/Reversal: Since the peak, the price has undergone a sharp downward correction or potential reversal.
Trendline Interaction: The price has recently fallen to and is currently interacting with a major long-term ascending trendline (the solid black line).
Current Price: The price is hovering right at the trendline, indicated by the dashed pink line at approximately $4,034.
Analysis of the Projected Path (Red Lines)
The red lines drawn on the chart suggest a specific bearish scenario:
Trendline Break and Retest: The price is shown to break below the ascending trendline. This is a critical technical signal, often indicating the end of the uptrend and the start of a downtrend.
Pullback/Retest: The price then executes a pullback back up to the broken trendline (now acting as a resistance level). The projected high for this pullback is around $4,060.
Bearish Continuation: After failing to break back above the trendline, the price is projected to continue its decline, heading towards the area of $3,900 and then possibly $3,850 in the following days.
Potential Scenarios (Alternative View)
While the red lines illustrate a clear bearish path, it's important to consider an alternative:
Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (As Projected)
Action: If the price confirms a breakout below the trendline (closes below it on multiple candles), the trendline turns into resistance.
Target: The focus shifts to lower support levels, with initial targets around $3,900 - $3,850. This confirms the end of the recent uptrend.
Scenario 2: Trendline Hold/Bounce
Action: If the trendline acts as strong support and the price fails to close significantly below it, it could lead to a bounce.
Target: A bounce would target the previous swing high before the major drop, potentially aiming back toward $4,150. This would maintain the longer-term bullish structure.






















