GOLD - ENTERS COREECTION PHASESymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase following approximately six weeks of aggressive upward movement. Price action is forming a consolidation range while continuing to pressure the support zone.
The recent record breaking rally became overheated, prompting profit-taking and long liquidation. Additionally, a gradual shift in market sentiment and macroeconomic backdrop is contributing to capital outflows. However, ongoing US–China trade negotiations, the US government shutdown, and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, including the cancellation of Trump’s meeting with President Putin, continue to pose economic risks that could provide underlying support for the precious metal.
Overall, the current pullback appears to be a healthy corrective pause within the broader structure. The 4000 level remains a critical support area. A sustained recovery above 4110 would indicate that buyers are interested, though further momentum largely depends on developments surrounding global trade policies.
Resistance levels: 4100, 4110, 4163
Support levels: 4058, 4000
A decisive breakdown of the lower boundary of the trading range could trigger a deeper corrective wave. The 4000 level is the primary focus, as strong volatility may occur around this zone. Given the current market conditions - with declines matching the previous intensity of the rally, patience is warranted until momentum stabilizes, enabling more informed technical decisions.
Xauusdforecast
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal.
The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern.
Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest.
The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow.
Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests.
📊 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry Zone For**Analysis:**
The chart illustrates a possible bullish reversal scenario after a recent downward move in Gold (XAU/USD). The marked *Change of Character (ChoCH)* indicates an early sign of a trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Price has entered a **consolidation zone** near the support area, where the **entry level** is highlighted. This zone suggests accumulation and potential preparation for an upward move.
The setup shows:
* **ENTRY:** Around current support, within the highlighted range.
* **STOP:** Below the recent low, providing risk control if the reversal fails.
* **TARGET:** The projection points to a **100% measured move**, aligning with a strong bullish continuation potential toward 4,700 levels.
If price maintains structure and confirms a breakout above the short-term resistance, it may initiate a new **bullish impulse phase**.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis:
Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line.
A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060
Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200
Target (Bullish): 4,383
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. KSE:GFH KSE:AGLTY KSE:SENERGY KSE:KFH KSE:CLEANING KSE:NCCI KSE:EKTTITAB KSE:EQUIPMENT KSE:NIH KSE:THURAYA KSE:FUTUREKID KSE:ALEID KSE:URC KSE:URC KSE:ARKAN
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout.
Key observations:
Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum.
Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones.
Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest.
Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold) based on your chart:Chart Summary
Current Price: Around $4,140
Trend Lines: A descending trade line shows the overall short-term bearish trend.
Support Zone: Clearly marked between $4,080 – $4,120 (“SUPPORT BUY ZONE”).
Target: The upside target is labeled near $4,383.
Technical Outlook
🔹 Support Zone Reaction
Price recently dipped into the support buy zone, forming a potential bullish reversal wick.
This area is acting as a strong demand zone, attracting buyers around $4,100.
🔹 Downtrend Channel
The pair remains under a downward-sloping trade line, suggesting the short-term market bias is still bearish.
However, a breakout above this trendline could trigger bullish continuation toward the $4,383 target.
🔹 Short-Term Scenario
Bullish Case (Primary Plan):
If gold holds above the support zone ($4,080–$4,120) and breaks the trendline resistance (~$4,200),
→ next target area: $4,300–$4,383.
Confirmation comes with a clear candle close above $4,200.
Bearish Case (Alternative Plan):
If price fails to break the descending trade line and drops below $4,080,
→ possible continuation toward $4,040 – $4,000.
Key Levels
Type Level (USD) Description
🎯 Target 4,383 Major resistance / profit zone
⚔️ Resistance 4,200 Descending trendline zone
🛒 Support Zone 4,080–4,120 Demand / Buy zone
❌ Invalid Below 4,080 Break below = bearish continuation
Summary
📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently retesting its support zone, showing early signs of a bullish rebound.
A confirmed breakout above the trendline could lead to a rally toward $4,380.
However, losing support below $4,080 would invalidate the bullish setup and reintroduce downside risk. EUREX:FDAX1! ICEEUR:BRN1! ICEEUR:WBS1! EUREX:FESX1! EUREX:FGBL1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:GWM1! ICEEUR:Z1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FGBM1! ICEEUR:W1! ICEEUR:RC1!
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 19.10.25(XAUUSD/GOLD 4H Weekly Sell Projection — 19.10.25):
🟡 Chart Overview
Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Timeframe: 4H (4-hour)
Projection: Bearish/Sell
Pattern Date: 19 October 2025
📊 Key Technical Structure
Trend Channel:
The price has been moving in an upward trend channel.
It reached the upper boundary near the 4,448.371 level (All-Time High/Resistance R2).
Reversal Formation:
A Three Black Crows candlestick pattern is formed at the top — a classic bearish reversal signal indicating potential downtrend continuation.
Strong Bearish Momentum followed this pattern.
Breakout Zone:
Price broke below the ascending channel.
“Breakout Zone Retest & Obey” suggests the price tested the previous support as new resistance.
Support & Resistance Zones:
R2 / ATH: 4,448.371
R1 / Fair Value Gap: ~4,281.132
Last Week Low Support S1: ~4,175–4,225 zone
Support S2: ~4,093.117
Potential final target around the lower support zone.
📉 Trade Projection
Entry Zone: Around 4,281–4,321 (after retest confirmation).
Stop Loss: Above 4,321 (previous resistance area).
Take Profit Target: ~4,093 (Support S2 zone).
Risk/Reward: Favorable short setup if bearish momentum continues.
🧭 Additional Notes
“Three Black Crows” near the ATH level adds high probability for a deeper retracement.
If support at 4,175 breaks cleanly, continuation to 4,093 is expected.
Watch for lower-high formations confirming the bearish structure.
A failure to break S1 may lead to a short-term range or bullish pullback.
Gold Maintains Upward Channel Toward $4320 TargetAnalysis:
The XAU/USD 45-minute chart shows gold continuing its steady rise within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action maintains higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained bullish trend.
Currently, gold is testing the midline of the channel, suggesting a possible minor pullback before resuming upward momentum toward the projected resistance near $4320. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the channel, acting as the next potential target zone for buyers.
As long as the price remains above the lower channel support, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above $4320 could open further upside potential, while a drop below the channel could signal early weakness or short-term consolidation.
Gold Pullback Opportunity Within Strong Bullish MomentumAnalysis:
The XAU/USD chart shows that gold has maintained a powerful upward trajectory, breaking out of its previous consolidation channel (highlighted in purple). After the breakout, price surged to new highs near 4,120, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Currently, the market is showing a minor pullback toward the 4,090–4,060 zone — a region aligning with previous resistance turned support. This retracement appears healthy and could provide buyers a chance to re-enter before another leg up.
The bullish continuation setup is supported by:
Previous breakout retest: The price is testing the prior resistance area, which could now act as strong support.
Momentum structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain intact.
Favorable risk-reward ratio: The long position targets around 4,180, with stops below 4,060 support.
Gold → Ready for the Next Bullish WaveGold (XAUUSD) continues to gain momentum as shifting global conditions drive investors toward safer assets. The ongoing uncertainty in financial markets, coupled with renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and interest rate adjustments, has strengthened gold’s long-term appeal.
Recent market behavior reflects consistent institutional demand, with traders positioning ahead of potential monetary easing cycles. As confidence in traditional currencies weakens, gold remains a preferred store of value for both investors and central banks.
Structurally, the market is maintaining a healthy uptrend, showing controlled corrections within a broader bullish framework. The latest price movements suggest that momentum is building for another upward phase, possibly targeting new historical zones if global instability persists.
In summary, gold’s outlook stays constructive — supported by both macroeconomic sentiment and steady technical momentum.
How do you see the XAUUSD trajectory evolving — continuation of growth or a major pause ahead?
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Setup – Support Holding Strong!Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of bullish strength after testing the $4,000–$3,970 support zone, where buyers are stepping back in. The recent consolidation above support suggests a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
The setup highlights:
Support Zone: Around $3,970 – $4,000, acting as a key accumulation area.
Bullish Trigger: A breakout above minor resistance could drive momentum higher.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $4,101
🎯 Target 2: $4,150
🎯 Target 3: $4,200
Stop Loss: Below $3,970 to protect against a downside breakout.
📈 Outlook: As long as price sustains above support, Gold remains bullish, aiming for a breakout towards $4,150 and $4,200 levels.
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold Spot) 1-hour chart shows a strong upward trend within a well-defined ascending channel. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
Currently, gold is trading near $3,959, staying comfortably above the trendline support, which has repeatedly acted as a dynamic base for buyers. The projected movement (blue arrow) suggests a potential short-term retracement toward the lower channel boundary, followed by a rebound toward the upper resistance zone around $4,000–$4,035.
As long as gold remains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal further upside potential, while a drop below the trendline may lead to short-term consolidation.
Summary:
Trend: Bullish
Support: $3,915 – $3,925 (trendline zone)
Resistance: $3,995 – $4,035
Bias: Buy on dips near trendline support for potential continuation toward new highs.
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level"Technical Analysis
This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward.
Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend.
Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in.
Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
“Gold Price Action: Bullish Momentum with Key Correction ZonesAnalysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot)
The chart shows a clear uptrend channel, supported by higher highs and higher lows.
Price recently pulled back after testing the $3,915 zone, which is acting as a short-term resistance.
Multiple support zones are highlighted (around $3,760 and $3,700), which can provide strong buying opportunities on retracement.
The structure suggests impulse–correction–impulse movement, aligning with bullish continuation patterns.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the $3,760–$3,780 support, continuation towards $3,915 (previous high) is expected.
A breakout above $3,915–$3,920 will open the door for further upside, targeting $3,960–$3,980.
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below the trendline support (~$3,760), deeper correction is possible toward $3,680–$3,640 (TP1 zone).
That zone is mentioned on the chart as a strong re-entry point for long positions.
✅ Suitable Target (Bullish):
Immediate Target: $3,915 (previous high)
Extended Target: $3,960 – $3,980
⚠️ Correction Target (Bearish Pullback):
$3,680 – $3,640 (strong buy zone for re-entry)
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis:
The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios:
Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run.
Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical Outlook:
Support: $3,855 / $3,785
Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935
Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline
Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chartXAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chart.
Here’s a clear technical summary of what your chart shows:
🔹 Overall Structure
The chart projects a bullish move for XAUUSD (Gold).
Title: Weekly Buy Projection – 05 Oct 2025
Main trend: Ascending continuation pattern (marked by blue upward trendlines).
Current price zone: around $3,886.45.
🔹 Key Levels
Support S2: around $3,838 – $3,846
Support S1: around $3,870 – $3,878
Resistance 1: around $3,900 – $3,910
Resistance 2 (New ATH): around $3,939 – $3,970
🔹 Pattern & Projections
Golden Ratio (0.618 Fibonacci) formed near $3,874, signaling a retracement support.
Bullish engulfing candle noted at Support S1, confirming buying interest.
Possible Double Top highlighted near Resistance 1, indicating a short-term pullback risk before continuation.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between $3,875–$3,890, suggesting potential liquidity refill before next le
Gold Market Outlook – Bullish Trend Building MomentumGold continues to follow a structured bullish cycle, where each consolidation phase has been followed by a breakout and expansion. Market behavior shows liquidity being collected in sideway ranges, then released to fuel upward momentum.
At the current stage, price is trading around $3,870, showing signs of a potential short-term pullback to gather liquidity from the mid-zone. Once this corrective move stabilizes, the chart suggests a renewed bullish impulse with a projected upside target toward the $3,965 level.
This pattern highlights that the market remains in a controlled bullish phase, where temporary retracements are acting as setups for continuation rather than reversal. The underlying flow still favors higher levels as long as buyers maintain activity after corrections.
Gold Market Analysis – Sell Opportunity Emerging in XAU/USDGold has been climbing with strong momentum, but the current leg is showing signs of transition. After a period of consolidation, the market expanded upward, taking liquidity from previous highs and creating an extended run. This behavior often reflects the final stage of a bullish cycle before rebalancing begins.
What stands out now is the engineered path of price: a push into untested liquidity zones above, followed by a potential shift as large players unwind positions. Once liquidity is collected at the extremes, price tends to rotate back into inefficiencies left behind during the rapid climb.
This suggests gold is not simply trending higher, but moving through a liquidity cycle. The near-term structure favors a sweep of higher levels, then a corrective phase where price retraces to refill imbalances and reset order flow for the next directional move.
The Unstoppable Rise of GoldTechnical Analysis (XAU/USD):
Gold is trading around $3,816, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at $3,797, $3,759, and $3,718. As long as price stays above the $3,718 zone (major support), the bullish structure remains intact.
The chart indicates two bullish scenarios:
A direct continuation higher from current levels.
A potential retest of the $3,797 – $3,759 zone before another push upward.
Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between $3,860 – $3,900, with further momentum potentially extending beyond $3,925.
Fundamental Analysis:
Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold.
Inflation Hedge: Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand.
Central Bank Purchases: Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward $3,759–$3,718 may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
“Gold (XAU/USD) – Breakout Play from Resistance (1-Hour View)Chart Structure & Key Levels
You’ve drawn a resistance zone above current price. The label “this is the resistance area here if break we will hold” points to a horizontal resistance line or zone.
You also show a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance.
On the lower side, you mark LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) points, implying the prior structure was in a downtrend or consolidation.
Your trade setup (green = target area, red = stop area) suggests you are expecting a break above resistance and a move upward with three target levels:
• TP1 at ~ 3,759.74
• TP2 at ~ 3,779.03
• TP3 at ~ 3,799.67
What Your Setup Implies (and Risks)
Bullish Bias on Breakout
You are expecting that if price breaks above the resistance zone + trendline, that resistance may flip into support, allowing the price to rally further. This is a classic breakout reversal expectation.
If the breakout is confirmed (with strong candle close above, ideally with volume), then the path is “clearer” for your targets.
Stop / Risk Control
Your red zone (stop area) is placed below the resistance/trendline region. If price fails and falls back below this, your trade idea would be invalidated.
Target Levels Logic
TP1 is relatively conservative, just above resistance.
TP2 and TP3 stretch further to capture the upside momentum if the breakout has strength.
Additional Considerations & Technical Tips
Confirm the Breakout
Don’t just enter on a quick wick above resistance. Wait for a sustained close above the zone (on your timeframe) to reduce the chance of a false breakout.
Check volume: higher-than-average volume on the breakout gives it more credibility.
Watch for Retest
Often after a breakout, price returns to retest the broken resistance (which now may act as support). This retest can offer a better entry with lower risk.
Manage Risk Aggressively
The more distant your TP3, the more room for price to reverse. Consider scaling out of the trade (taking partial profits as price hits TP1, TP2) to lock in gains.
Keep an Eye on Macro / Fundamental Factors
Gold (XAU/USD) is sensitive to U.S. monetary policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and geopolitical risk.
For example, stronger U.S. data or hawkish Fed statements could work against a bullish breakout in gold.
Divergences & Momentum Indicators
Use RSI / MACD / ADX to check whether momentum supports your breakout idea. If momentum is weak or showing divergence, be cautious.
Timeframe Alignment
Make sure that higher timeframes (4H, daily) are not giving strong bearish signals conflicting with your breakout bias on the 1-hour chart.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 28.09.25XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (27.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of what it shows:
Current Price Level: Around 3,759.85.
Technical Zones Marked:
Broke the Uptrend Line (earlier support turned resistance).
Bearish Engulfing Failed (bullish strength seen).
Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 3,740–3,750 zone, acting as a demand zone.
Projection Path:
Price expected to bounce from the FVG/demand area.
Then follow an upward zigzag movement toward the target zone around 3,860.
Trend Channel:
Multiple parallel blue channels drawn indicate a bullish structure.
Projection suggests continuation of the uptrend.
Target Price:
Marked close to 3,860, aligning with the upper channel line.
🔑 Summary of Projection:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,740–3,760 (Fair Value Gap zone)
Target Zone: 3,860
Risk Area: If price breaks below 3,720, projection may fail.
👉 Do you want me to prepare a trading plan (entry, SL, TP, and risk %) based on this projection for you?
XAUUSD/GOLD 30 MIN BUY PROJECTION 23.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 30-min buy projection chart you shared for 23.09.25. Here’s the breakdown of what the chart indicates:
🔎 Chart Analysis
Trend: Price is moving within a bullish (upward) channel, shown by the blue trend lines.
Entry Zone: Around 3749.687 (marked as ENTRY, just above Support 1).
Stop Loss (SL): Around 3743.131, below the 30-min FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Supports:
Support 1: ~3749 zone
Support 2: ~3755–3757 zone
Take Profits:
TP1: Around 3765–3767 level (mid-channel target).
TP2 (ATH – All-Time High for this projection): Around 3783–3785.
Projection Path:
Price expected to bounce near entry zone → rise towards TP1 → possible pullback → continue bullish momentum towards TP2 ATH following the 30-min uptrend line.
⚡ Trading Idea (based on chart)
Buy Entry: ~3749
Stoploss: ~3743
TP1: ~3765
TP2: ~3783
This setup offers a risk-reward ratio > 1:3, which is strong for an intraday buy trade.
👉 Do you want me to calculate the exact risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup so you can evaluate position sizing?
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations:
The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level.
A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723.
A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum.
The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement.
The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.