XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 04.01.26Price was moving inside a parallel uptrend channel
That channel is clearly broken, which is the first early warning of trend weakness
After the break, price failed to continue higher → bullish momentum exhausted
2️⃣ Major Reversal Patterns
Double Top Formation
Price tested the same resistance zone twice
Both tops were rejected strongly
This confirms buyers are unable to push price higher
M Pattern Confirmation
After the second top, price breaks below the neckline
This confirms trend reversal
3️⃣ Candlestick Confirmation (Very Strong)
At the resistance zone:
Evening Star (Triple Candlestick Pattern) → Classic reversal signal
Bearish Engulfing Candle → Sellers completely overpower buyers
These patterns together give a high-probability SELL confirmation
4️⃣ Resistance Zones
Resistance R2 → Major rejection zone (double top area)
Resistance R1 → Previous supply zone
Price respected resistance and obeyed the trendline → SELL zone
5️⃣ Entry Logic (SELL)
Sell after:
Trendline break
Double top confirmation
Bearish engulfing close
This is a swing low sell setup
6️⃣ Targets & Risk Management
Support S1 → First target / partial booking zone
Support S2 → Final target
Risk : Reward = 1 : 2
Xauusdforecast
XAUUSD (Gold) H1 – Bullish Structure Shift with FVG SupportTechnical Analysis (H1)
Market Structure
The chart shows a clear bullish shift after a prior bearish leg.
A CHoCH (Change of Character) to the upside confirms the transition from bearish to bullish market structure.
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) levels to the upside indicate strengthening bullish momentum.
Order Flow & Liquidity
Price respected a bullish BOS after sweeping sell-side liquidity near the recent lows.
The impulsive bullish move created stacked Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) below current price, suggesting strong institutional participation.
These FVGs act as premium demand zones for potential pullbacks.
Key Zones
Bullish FVG / Demand Zone: ~4,330 – 4,380
→ Ideal area for bullish continuation if price retraces.
Current Price: ~4,439
Upside Liquidity / Target: ~4,500 – 4,550
→ Equal highs and external liquidity resting above.
Bias
Bullish continuation bias as long as price holds above the most recent BOS and FVG support.
Shallow pullbacks into FVGs are likely to be bought.
Invalidation
A strong H1 close below the lowest FVG (~4,330) would weaken the bullish bias and suggest deeper retracement.
Trade Idea (Conceptual)
Buy on retracement into FVG zone
Targets: 4,485 → 4,520 → 4,550
Risk: Invalidation below demand structure
“Gold Base Holds — Ready for Breakout?”📊 Technical Chart Analysis (XAU/USD)
📌 Key Levels
Strong Support Zone (Red Box) – Price has been respecting this area and has bounced multiple times — signaling accumulation/support.
Mitigated FVG & CHoCH Area (Green Zone) – This area shows prior imbalance and a possible change of character, now acting as resistance.
Higher Resistance Region (Dark Grey) – A key supply zone the price may target if bullish momentum continues.
Important Horizontal Levels:
• Around ~4300—support (green line)
• Around ~4258—deeper support (red horizontal)
📈 Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
✔ Price is holding above support.
✔ A potential CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates buyers may be stepping in.
✔ The mitigated FVG zone above ~4375/4400 is a logical target if bullish momentum resumes.
✔ The black dashed path on your chart suggests a retest of the support before continuation.
Bullish Path:
Retest support
Bounce and clear local resistance
Rally up toward the grey supply zone above ~4400–4500
📉 Bearish Alternative
If support breaks decisively:
Price could revisit the deeper support ~4258 (red horizontal)
Then possibly resume higher momentum from that level (red dashed path)
🧠 Fundamental Reasons Supporting Bullish Gold (2026)
Here are core macro drivers that could push gold prices higher:
✔ 1. Central Bank Buying & Safe-Haven Demand
Major central banks have been accumulating gold reserves aggressively, reinforcing structural demand and reducing available supply.
The Times of India
✔ 2. Anticipated Monetary Easing
Markets increasingly expect interest rate cuts or easier policy from major central banks in 2026. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t yield interest).
State Street Global Advisors
✔ 3. Weakening U.S. Dollar
Gold is priced in USD — a weaker dollar typically boosts gold due to increased purchasing power for foreign buyers.
State Street Global Advisors
✔ 4. Geopolitical & Economic Uncertainty
Inflation risk, geopolitical tensions, and global macro instability have historically driven capital into gold as a hedge and safe-haven asset.
Financial Times
✔ 5. Portfolio Diversification & ETF Inflows
Record flows into gold ETFs and strategic institutional allocations have supported price strength.
Morgan Stanley
🟢 Bullish Fundamental Summary
Gold’s fundamentals point to a continued structural bull cycle — even if price consolidates in the short term. Central bank demand, possible rate cuts, USD weakness, and geopolitical uncertainty all provide strong backing for a continued uptrend into 2026.
State Street Global Advisors
+1
📌 Technical + Fundamental Confluence
Bullish Scenario is stronger if:
• Support holds above ~4300–4258
• Price breaks above mitigation zone around ~4400
• Volume increases on upward moves
Gold (XAU/USD) — Bullish Continuation Setup on 1H📊 Technical Analysis
1. Overall Trend
The market remains in an uptrend, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows.
A trend line drawn from lower left is supporting price structure nicely.
Price is above both the 9 EMA and 15 EMA, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Zones
Immediate resistance (red box): Currently challenging this level — price is struggling to break above.
Larger supply area above: A wider grey zone above the immediate resistance — likely the next target once cleared.
Major target: ~4580 — marked as the next significant upside.
Support Zones
Minor support (thin horizontal): Around ~4510, could act as intraday support.
Strong demand zone: Around ~4475–4490 — significant buyers previously entered here.
Trend line support beneath the candles — dynamic support reinforcing bullish bias.
3. Price Action & Structure
Recent Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside indicates buyers are in control.
After the BOS, price retraced slightly then resumed higher, a sign of healthy bullish behavior.
Current consolidation at resistance suggests a potential shakeout / liquidity hunt before continuation.
4. Possible Scenarios (as annotated)
Bullish Scenario (favored):
Price consolidates slightly, retests support ~4510–trendline zone,
Then breaks above the red resistance box,
Targets the larger grey supply zone and then ~4580+.
Alternative Short Pullback:
Minor pullback into support,
Then bounce for continuation.
The dotted projected line on your chart reflects this potential pullback → rally sequence.
📉 Volume Context
Buying volume tends to increase on bullish moves,
Showing participation from demand zones — supportive of upside continuation.
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H BUY PROJECTION 28.12.25Pair: XAUUSD / Gold
Timeframe: 4H
Bias: Bullish (Buy continuation)
Date: 28-12-2025
Market is in a strong uptrend, respecting a parallel ascending channel.
📈 Technical Structure Explained
1️⃣ Trend & Pattern
Price is moving inside a Parallel Uptrend Channel
A Bullish Flag formed after a strong impulsive move
Then price formed a V-Continuation Pattern → strong bullish sign
Breakout happened with momentum candles
👉 This confirms trend continuation, not reversal
2️⃣ Key Levels Marked
🟦 Supports
Support S1: ~4520
Support S2: ~4500
These are dip-buy zones if price retraces.
🟥 Resistance / Breakout Area
Immediate Resistance: ~4530
Price broke & retested this zone
Also aligns with Fibonacci retracement + structure break
👉 This level is now acting as support
3️⃣ Entry Logic (Buy Setup)
✅ Buy Confirmation Zone
After breakout + retest
Strong bullish candle close above 4530
Momentum continuation (higher highs & higher lows)
🟩 Safe Buy Area:
4525 – 4535 (retest zone)
4️⃣ Targets (Upside Projection)
🎯 Target 1 (R1 / Previous High): ~4560
🎯 Target 2 (Expected ATH): ~4620
🎯 Extended Target: ~4660 – 4680
(Top of the channel / projected ATH)
5️⃣ Stop Loss (Risk Management)
🛑 SL Options:
Conservative SL: below 4500
Aggressive SL: below 4510
ATR-based SL preferred for volatility control
Gold Looks Prime for All-Time High Breakout📈 Technical Analysis of the Chart
The chart shows XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) moving in what appears to be an upward-sloping channel — higher lows are marked by trend-line support.
Price recently revisited the lower boundary (support zone + trendline) and appears to have held firm — a bullish signal (i.e. a “retest & bounce”).
The annotation “POI” (Point of Interest) near that bounce suggests a probable pivot from support → initiating the next leg up.
On the upside, the chart projects a move toward a new all-time high (ATH) — the red horizontal line — implying a breakout of the current consolidation zone.
If gold breaks above current resistance and stays above the channel’s upper boundary, that increase could accelerate with bullish momentum. This aligns with typical breakout + retest strategies often used in gold trading.
Conversely, if price fails to hold this support zone and drops below the trendline, the bullish setup would be invalidated — a risk to watch, especially if sentiment shifts.
Technical conclusion: The chart shows a classic channel-retest setup — if upward momentum continues, a move toward the all-time high is well justified. The current bounce from support provides a favorable entry setup for bulls, with manageable risk if a stop-loss is set just below the channel support.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
Gold’s recent strength is driven by expectations of lower interest rates: as a non-yielding asset, gold tends to benefit when rates fall because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases.
A weaker U.S. dollar — often accompanying potential rate cuts — makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, adding further demand support.
Broad economic context: unsteady global growth, geopolitical uncertainty, and rising demand for safe-haven assets help maintain strong gold demand.
Market forecasts remain bullish: some analysts see gold reaching as high as $4,950/oz by 2026, with a more likely base-case target around $4,500/oz — assuming rate cuts and continued macroeconomic uncertainty.
That said, the key risk remains in a potential rebound of the U.S. Dollar or abrupt shift in monetary policy (e.g. fewer rate cuts than expected) — either could undercut gold’s rally.
Fundamental conclusion: The macro backdrop — rate-cut expectations, weak USD, and global uncertainty — strongly supports a continuation of gold’s upward trajectory. If these tailwinds persist, gold’s push toward new highs is fundamentally justified.
✅ What This Setup Means & What to Watch
If bullish scenario plays out
Expect price to challenge the all-time high. A breakout may target or even exceed prior ATHs.
A bounce-and-run scenario may attract momentum traders, fueling further upside.
Key triggers to monitor
Keep an eye on announcements from Federal Reserve: rate-cut decisions or dovish signals accelerate gold demand.
Watch USD strength: a strong dollar could cap gains or reverse the uptrend.
Monitor global risk sentiment — geopolitical events or economic slowdown fears tend to push money into gold.
Risk control considerations
Use the channel support / trendline as a stop-loss anchor. A breakdown below could invalidate the bullish bias.
Consider that strong moves in the dollar or surprising inflation data might compress gold’s upside or spark a pullback.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute: Liquidity Grab Setup with Order Block1. Current Price Structure
Price is trending upward on the 30-min timeframe.
Recent candles show higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish pressure.
2. Liquidity Zone & Order Block
The grey shaded area marked as “liquidity + orderblock” is a confluence zone where stops and institutional orders are likely clustered.
Expect price to revisit this area for a shake-out of weak hands before moving higher.
The up arrow suggests that this zone could act as a launchpad for the next bullish leg.
3. Potential Pullback and Continuation
The scrawled black path shows a probable scenario:
Minor pullback to liquidity/order block area
Support test on the trendline or zone
Followed by a rejection and bullish continuation
4. Key Indicators
EMA 9 (blue) is below current price — supports short-term bullish momentum.
Ichimoku cloud is mostly supportive, with price above key lines (suggests trend stamina).
5. Resistance Ahead
The horizontal red zone near ~4,353 to 4,382 is a major supply area.
A breakout above this would confirm bullish continuation.
However, failure there could lead to deeper pullbacks.
🔥 Summary Bias
Bullish (higher probability setup)
Price is likely to:
Pull back to the support or order block area
Grab liquidity
Rally toward or above the resistance zone
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Level Significance
~4,353 – 4,382 Major resistance / breakout target
Order Block Zone Liquidity grab & support
Trendline (rising) Dynamic support
EMA 9 Short-term support
“Support Bounce → Bullish Continuation Toward 4,245🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Rejection from Support & Breakout Potential 🚀📈
🔍 Key Technical Analysis
Price respected the Support Level (4,185 – 4,190) and bounced strongly ✔️
Price is currently following an ascending Support Line → bullish structure intact 📈
Previous liquidity sweep (POI Points) shows buyers absorbing sell pressure 💰
Multiple breakouts indicate strong bullish momentum returning 🔥
Current consolidation suggests accumulation before next move up
🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers)
Target Type Price Range Sticker
TP1 → Breakout Target 4,235 – 4,245 🎯
TP2 → Upper Expansion Zone 4,255 – 4,265 🚀💸
📌 TP1 = High-probability target
📌 TP2 = If bullish momentum continues strongly
📌 Trade Idea (Based on Chart Structure)
🟩 Buy Entry Zone:
➤ 4,195 – 4,205
🟢 Take Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,240 🎯
➤ TP2: 4,260 🚀
🧭 Market Outlook
Factor Bias
Trend Bullish above support ✔️
Liquidity Upside liquidity open 💧
Momentum Strengthening 📈
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 4252 – Smart Money StructurChart Analysis
1. Market Structure
Price previously formed a strong swing high near 4252, marked with the red circle.
After that, the market corrected downward and consolidated in a sideways range (highlighted box).
Price has since broken out of that range and is now retesting the breakout zone.
2. Current Zone
Price is hovering around 4198–4200, which appears to be:
A support retest level
A higher-low formation, indicating bullish intent
3. Bullish Expectation
Your arrows and markup suggest:
A small pullback
Followed by a bullish move toward:
First target: ~4219
Main target: 4252, the previous liquidity grab area
This aligns with:
Break of structure (BOS)
Imbalance fill
Smart money concepts (liquidity resting at prior highs)
4. Stop Loss
SL marked near 4180
This sits below the retest zone and protected liquidity — a logical invalidation area.
5. Overall Bias
Bullish, with expectation of:
Retest → Higher-low → Move toward major liquidity at previous highs
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 10.12.25“Character Invalid Here” (Lower Pink Zone)
This zone represents heavy sell pressure.
Price dropped deeply here → buyers were weak → sellers dominated.
From this area, the market started recovering upward slowly.
2️⃣ Day High as Resistance R1 (Middle Pink Zone)
This is a strong resistance level.
Price tested this zone multiple times and faced rejection.
This confirms it as a key intraday resistance.
Once price breaks and retests this area, bullish confirmation becomes stronger.
3️⃣ Bounce Back Area (Green Horizontal Zone)
This area is where you expect the pullback (retracement) to happen.
When price returns to this zone:
✔ Buyers re-enter the market
✔ Trend continues upward
✔ You get safe entry confirmation
This is a high-probability buy zone.
4️⃣ Entry After Bounce Back (Red Zone)
This is the ideal buy entry area after confirmation.
Your structure shows:
Price breaks the resistance
Pulls back for retest
Holds the major trendline
Respects the curved support (cup structure)
This indicates a strong bullish continuation setup.
5️⃣ Target Price (Weekly High Resistance & TP)
This is the weekly high, which acts as the final target.
The price is expected to reach this level due to:
Strong bullish momentum
Breakout + retest confirmation
Trendline support
Clean upside liquidity
This is a realistic and high-probability target.
XAUUSD/GOLD JOLTS Job Openings News Projection 09.12.25Main Idea
Gold is currently ranging between 4,191 – 4,210 zones.
During JOLTS news volatility, price may either break upward or break downward from this zone.
Your plan is a breakout + retest entry with a 1:3 Risk–Reward Ratio.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup)
Conditions to Buy:
Price breaks above 4,210 zone
Retests the same zone and holds as support
Enter after bullish confirmation
Target:
4,250 zone
Stoploss:
Below 4,191 zone
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup)
Conditions to Sell:
Price breaks below 4,191 zone
Retests the level as resistance
Enter after bearish confirmation
Target:
4,163 zone
Stoploss:
Above 4,210 zone
🎯 Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3
Both setups aim for a low-risk and high-reward breakout trade using news momentum.
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup With Liquidity Sweep and Sell-OfAnalysis:
The chart shows a bearish setup on XAUUSD where price has tapped into a supply zone (highlighted in red) and is expected to reverse downward.
Key elements visible:
Supply Zone (SL area): Price recently reached a premium area where sellers previously stepped in. This is marked as the stop-loss region.
Distribution Pattern: The zig-zag sketch indicates expected consolidation / distribution before the drop.
Entry Zone: The current level sits just below the supply, suggesting a short opportunity after confirmation.
TP 50% Level: A midpoint partial take-profit level is marked around 4193.439, indicating a measured extension.
Final Target: The dark teal zone at the bottom represents the larger bearish target, aligning with previous demand / liquidity areas.
Overall, the chart expresses a short bias, expecting price to form a top structure and then sell off toward the deeper target zone after taking liquidity above.
XAUSD/GOLD 4H SELL PROJECTION 07.12.251. Major Rejection Zone
Price tapped into the Huge Liquidity Collection Zone (yellow zone).
Strong rejection with bearish candlestick formations (Engulfing + Spinning Top).
2. Pattern Confirmation
Double Top formation at Resistance R1–R2.
Neckline broken and candle closed below – confirming trend reversal.
Break of a major triangle pattern also supports bearish continuation.
3. Entry Zone
Entry marked at 4,207.97 zone after retest and bearish confirmation.
Confluence with:
Resistance Rejection
Structure Break
Bearish candle patterns
4. Stop Loss (SL)
SL placed at 4,243.17, above the wick and liquidity grab zone.
5. Take Profit (TP)
Targeting Premium Zone around 4,146.62.
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1 : 2
🎯 Final Sell Projection
Expecting price to drop towards 4,146–4,150 zone after rejection from liquidity and break of structure.
Bearish candlestick confirmation increases probability of continuation move.
Bullish Breakout & Golden Zone Reversal AnalysisChart Analysis (Gold – 15m)
1. Trend Structure
Price has been moving inside a descending channel, showing short-term bearish pressure.
Now price is attempting a breakout from the channel, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
2. Key Support Zones (Demand Areas)
4,187.08 → First support where buyers reacted.
4,178.10 → Deep liquidity zone (strong demand).
These levels align with Fibonacci retracement clusters:
0.618 (4,186.98)
0.705 (4,184.22)
0.79 (4,181.51)
This confirms a high-probability reversal zone.
3. Fibonacci Strategy
Price touched the 0.618–0.79 golden pocket and bounced.
This supports a long setup targeting the 1:1 impulse projection.
4. Moving Averages (EMA Strategy)
EMA 70 and EMA 200 are above price during correction.
A breakout + retest above EMAs would confirm further bullish momentum.
5. Breakout Strategy
A clear breakout above the descending channel suggests the beginning of a new bullish leg.
6. Target Projection
The measured move indicates:
Target Point: 4,240.21
Expected gain: ≈ +1.25% (≈ 52.5 points)
7. Signal Summary
✔️ Support respected
✔️ Breakout forming
✔️ EMA alignment improving
✔️ Fibonacci golden zone bounce
✔️ Bullish target activated
📌 Final Signal
Bullish Bias (Long) above 4,187
🎯 Target: 4,240
🛡 Stop-loss: Below 4,178 NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NSE:NIFTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:SI1!
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI – SSS Liquidity SChart Analysis
1. Market Context
The chart shows XAUUSD after a decline, now tapping into an EXTREME POI (Point of Interest).
Price reached a previous demand zone where strong reactions occurred before.
2. Liquidity Structure
Multiple areas are labeled “SSS” (Sell-Side Liquidity / Sell-Side Sweep).
Price appears to have:
Swept liquidity beneath local lows (SSS).
Tapped the extreme POI.
Shown an immediate rejection wick, indicating buyers stepping in.
This suggests the market may be exhausting sellers and preparing for a bullish leg.
3. Execution Zone
The grey region represents the entry zone (likely a demand imbalance / mitigation area).
The large blue box above marks the risk-to-reward projection for a long position.
4. Targets
You’ve placed two clear targets:
Target 1
A mid-range liquidity level at approximately 4217.279.
Represents a logical first take-profit based on prior structural inefficiencies.
Target 2
The upper area (labeled “TARGET”), aligning with:
Prior swing highs
A supply zone
A premium pricing zone (after retracement)
This would be the full TP for the bullish move.
5. Bias Summary
Bias: Bullish
Reason: Liquidity sweep + POI tap + structure showing potential for upside displacement.
The setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts:
Sweep → Mitigation → Displacement → Targeting Imbalances & Liquidity Pools
1. Bullish Reversal Setup From POI Toward Key TargetChart Analysis (Gold – 30m)
Trend Structure:
Price is currently in a corrective down-move inside a rising channel, but overall structure still respects higher-timeframe bullish momentum.
🔵 Key Zones
Bullish POI (Demand Zone): Lower blue zone – strong reaction point from previous impulsive move.
Bullish Order Block: Upper blue zone – price is retesting this area for liquidity collection.
📈 Indicators Used
EMA 70 & EMA 200:
Price is oscillating between both EMAs.
EMA 70 above EMA 200 → bullish bias still intact.
Liquidity Sweep:
Wick rejections below structure indicate liquidity grab before bullish reaction.
📌 Market Behavior
Price is expected to dip into POI to collect liquidity.
From POI, a bullish reversal is projected toward target zone 4,264.57.
🎯 Target
4,264.57 (Highlighted target level; aligns with channel top + liquidity zone)
📊 Summary Signal
Price likely retraces into the Bullish POI, then forms a strong bullish impulse toward the target. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CME_MINI:ES1! NYMEX:CL1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! NSE:NIFTY1! COMEX:SI1!
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea:
Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing).
There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap.
The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance.
🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward)
Parameter Plan
Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout).
Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled.
Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance.
⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch)
FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited.
A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin.
But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid.
Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
Gold Price at Critical Resistance Breakout or Rejection SetupChart Analysis (All Strategies Used)
1️⃣ Trend Analysis
Price is moving inside a descending structure, but recently broke above the short-term trendline, showing bullish momentum.
EMAs 70 & 200 are acting as dynamic support—bullish signal
2️⃣ Support & Resistance
Strong resistance zone: 4,228 – 4,236 (multiple rejections earlier).
Support zone: around the 4,195 – 4,200 region.
If price stays above support + EMAs, bullish continuation likely.
3️⃣ Breakout Strategy
Price is retesting resistance again.
A clean breakout above 4,236 can send the price toward the buying target: 4,263.60 🚀.
4️⃣ Rejection / Pullback Strategy
If price fails at 4,236 and rejects strongly, expect a drop back toward:
Support 4,195
Selling Target: 4,162 📉
5️⃣ EMA Strategy
Price is above both EMAs → trend favors buyers.
If price dips and closes below EMA 70 + EMA 200, selling pressure strengthens.
6️⃣ Risk–Reward Strategy
Buy setup: Break & retest above 4,236 → target 4,263.
Sell setup: Strong rejection at resistance → target 4,162.
Good RR on both sides depending on breakout vs. rejection.
📌 Final Summary
Price is at a critical resistance zone (4,236).
➡️ Breakout = BUY toward 4,263
➡️ Rejection = SELL toward 4,162 CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:ES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME_MINI:MES1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! COMEX:SI1! NYMEX:CL1! CME_MINI:NQ1!
Gold 4H Technical Outlook: Demand Zone Re-Test and Bullish ContiChart Analysis (Gold – 4H)
1. Market Structure
Price is in a clear ascending channel, respecting both the support line and rejection line.
Recent pullback has returned to a demand zone (4,114–4,148), which has acted as a strong buy area before.
2. Key Zones
Demand Zone: 4,114 – 4,148
Strong reaction expected; buyers previously stepped in here.
Target Point: 4,319
Based on channel top + measured move projection (153 pts).
3. Moving Averages (EMA 200 & EMA 70)
Price is trading above both EMAs, indicating bullish market sentiment.
EMA70 is acting as dynamic support inside the channel.
EMA200 supports the overall long-term uptrend.
4. Pattern Recognition
A bullish flag (red highlighted area) recently broke upward, confirming continuation.
Current movement shows another retest of the demand zone, which aligns with the channel support.
5. Trendline Analysis
Support trendline has been touched multiple times — strong confirmation.
Rejection line shows sellers but remains intact inside the channel.
6. Price Action Signals
Recent wicks near the demand zone show buyer interest.
Higher lows continue to form.
🎯 Expected Move
If price maintains above 4,114–4,148, the next target remains:
➡️ 4,319 (upper channel resistance)
Bullish continuation is favored unless price closes below 4,114, which would break structure. CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:NQ1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! NYMEX:CL1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:SI1!
XAUUSD Pullback Zone Buy Setup – Demand Re-Entry Toward Higher TMarket Structure & Price Action Analysis
Trend Context:
Price recently pushed into a higher-timeframe supply zone (the blue area) and rejected strongly, creating a short-term downtrend.
Pullback Behavior:
Price is currently retracing downward, breaking minor support levels and forming lower lows, but the bearish momentum appears to be slowing.
Demand Zone (Entry Area):
Your marked Entry zone (around 4177–4180) aligns with:
Previous consolidation
A prior breakout origin
A sweep of liquidity (the pin-bar wick marked with the red circle)
This makes it a high-probability demand area for a bullish reaction.
📌 Trade Idea Breakdown
Entry
Around 4177–4180 where price may retest the demand zone.
Confirmation
Look for:
Bullish engulfing
Strong rejection wick
Break of short-term structure (e.g., break above 4198)
Target
Re-test of the upper supply zone (around 4208–4215).
This aligns well with your green projection arrow.
🎯 Bias
Bullish from demand → Targeting supply, as long as price holds above 4177 and shows bullish confirmation.
If price breaks below this zone with momentum, bullish setup becomes invalid.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 02.12.25“Gold is currently reacting strongly from the premium weekly support zone.
A clear bullish engulfing candle has formed at the bottom, indicating strong buying pressure.”
Next:
Price was moving inside a parallel downtrend channel, but
The bearish structure has now broken, confirming a potential trend reversal.
The market has also broken the trendline, showing strong momentum from buyers.
After breaking the trendline, price is expected to:
Retest the break level (support turning from resistance).
Continue bullish towards Resistance R1 around 4228–4232.
If momentum holds, the move may extend towards Resistance R2 at 4255–4260.
This structure aligns with a clean liquidity grab, followed by trend reversal and bullish continuation.
🎯 Key Points (Easy to Explain on YouTube)
✅ Premium Weekly Support Zone Hit – strong reversal area
✅ Bullish Engulfing Formed – confirmation of buyer strength
✅ Downtrend Channel Broken – trend reversal confirmation
✅ Expecting Retest → Buy Continuation
🎯 Target 1: Resistance R1 (4230 level)
🎯 Target 2: Resistance R2 (4260 level)
⛔ Stop Loss: Below Weekly Support Zone (around 4185)
📌 Summary for Your Video / Telegram Post
“Gold is showing a strong bullish reversal from the premium weekly support zone.
A bullish engulfing followed by a clean trendline break confirms a potential buy setup.
As long as price holds above the retest zone, we expect upside targets towards 4230 and 4260.”
If you want, I can also prepare:
✔ YouTube Title + Description
✔ Thumbnail text (big bold letters)
✔ Short-form script (30–45 sec)
✔ Hashtags
✔ PDF or PNG formatted analysis
Just tell me “make title, description & thumbnail” and I’ll generate it.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 02.12.25Market Structure
Price has broken the uptrend line, causing a corrective move inside a descending channel.
The correction is respecting channel boundaries (multiple rejections on top & bottom).
🔹 Key Zones
Support Zone: 4180 area
→ Confluence of FVG (Fair Value Gap) + Demand Zone + Channel Bottom.
Target Zone: 4218–4220
→ Retest of the broken structure zone.
🔹 Buy Setup Logic
Price dipped into OBEY CHANNEL + FVG + SUPPORT zone (blue/purple box).
Expectation: Price should bounce from support and move higher.
First target aligns with:
Channel Top
Breaked zone retest
Previous minor structure level.
🔹 Projection Outcome
A bullish push towards 4218.89 zone is projected if support holds.
SL should be placed below the 4168–4170 zone under channel + FVG.
Resistance Rejection → Bearish Pullback Toward Support🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Major Resistance 🟥📉
🔍 Key Technical Insights
Price rejected the major resistance zone around 4,245 – 4,255
Rising Support Line has been broken → signals weakening bullish momentum ❌
Current structure favors a pullback toward demand area
Market seeking liquidity below recent swing lows 💰
🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers)
Target Type Price Area Sticker
TP1 → Support Retest 4,210 – 4,215 🎯
TP2 → Demand Zone 4,195 – 4,205 📉💰
📌 TP1 is your high-probability target
📌 TP2 is for extended move if bearish momentum continues ⬇️
📌 Trade Setup Idea
📍 Sell Entry Zone:
➤ 4,238 – 4,245 (after failed breakout)
🎯 Take Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,215 🎯
➤ TP2: 4,200 📉💸
🧭 Overall Market Outlook
Factor Bias
Short-term Trend Bearish Pullback 🔻
Liquidity Downside targets in focus 💧
Resistance Reaction Strong rejection 🚫






















