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XAUUSD Bearish Structure Shift & Liquidity Hunt1. Structural Breakdown & Trendline ViolationThe Trendline Break: Price was respected by a clear ascending trendline originating from the May 20 swing low near 4,460. However, the most recent price action shows a sharp, impulsive red candle breaking below this trendline.Change of Character (CHoCH): This breach serves as an early warning that the buyers are losing control, shifting the immediate bias to bearish.2. Immediate Outlook: The Retest PhaseResistance Validation: Right now, price has pulled back slightly to retest the underside of the broken trendline and a minor horizontal resistance block (around 4,535 – 4,540).The Trap: This region is a classic "sell zone" for retail traders, but smart money often induces a bit of volatility here before the actual move happens.3. Projected Price Path (The Zig-Zag Scenario)The overlaid path outlines a highly probable market maker model designed to engineer liquidity:Initial Drop: Price is expected to reject the current resistance level and push lower toward the 4,490 liquidity pool.The Bear Trap (Fake Rally): A sharp corrective bounce is projected back up to around 4,520. This move serves to trap early shorters and entice breakout buyers into thinking the dip is over.The Liquidity Flush: Once liquidity is engineered, a final, aggressive leg down is anticipated, targeting the major institutional demand zone (gray box) situated between 4,440 and 4,460.4. The Stabilizing Phase (Early June)Consolidation: After mitigating the deep demand zone at 4,440–4,460, the chart projects a period of sideways consolidation (the zig-zag compression line on the right).Value Building: This tight consolidation signifies that the aggressive selling momentum has exhausted itself, allowing institutional players to accumulate orders for the next macroeconomic leg.Summary Trading MatrixParameterKey Price LevelStrategic ContextCurrent Pivot4,536.53Major decision zone; retesting broken trendline.Immediate Resistance4,540.00Strict invalidation point for the short-term bearish bias.Interim Target4,490.00Minor support where the first corrective bounce is expected.Major Demand Zone4,440.00 – 4,460.00Deep liquidity pool; primary target for institutional buyers.Market Note: Keep an eye on upcoming high-impact USD economic data (indicated by the US flag icon on the 28th). News catalysts during that window will likely act as the fuel required to drive price down into the primary 4,440 demand target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Turbohelpflix
XAU/USD 45M Market Structure – Bearish Retracement Before Bullis1. Previous Bearish Trend The left side of the chart highlights a strong bear market impulse: Lower highs and lower lows Aggressive sell pressure Momentum-driven decline This created a major move down into the demand zone around 4500–4460. 2. Accumulation Phase After the strong sell-off, price entered a sideways consolidation range. Key observations: Price repeatedly respected the lower green demand area Sellers failed to create new lows Buyers slowly absorbed liquidity This often signals: smart money accumulation weakening bearish momentum preparation for reversal 3. Manipulation / Liquidity Grab The highlighted “Manipulation” area suggests a fake move upward before price retraces. What likely happens here: Retail traders buy breakout too early Price dips back into support Stops/liquidity are collected Then the real expansion begins The circled zone near 4500–4510 is acting as: liquidity pool support retest possible bullish entry zone 4. Expected Scenario The projection suggests: Small retracement into support Strong bullish reaction Expansion toward the upper supply zone around 4700–4720 This would confirm: bullish market structure shift successful accumulation breakout Key Levels Support Zone 4490 – 4510 Critical bullish defense area Resistance / Target 4690 – 4720 Major bearish order block / supply zone Trading Bias Current bias appears: Short-term: slight bearish retracement Mid-term: bullish continuation Confirmation Needed Bullish continuation becomes stronger if: Price holds above 4500 Bullish engulfing candles appear in support Volume increases on upward moves Break of recent consolidation highs occurs Invalidation: Clean breakdown below the green demand zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Turbohelpflix
XAU/USD 4H Analysis – Descending Triangle Breakdown Hinting at BKey Observations 1. Descending Triangle Breakdown Price formed a descending triangle, which is typically a bearish continuation pattern. The lower highs and flat support zone eventually failed, leading to a sharp downside move. The breakdown accelerated bearish momentum toward the highlighted green demand/support area. 2. Elliott Wave Structure The structure appears to follow an A-B-C corrective wave: Wave (A): Initial bullish impulse. Wave (B): Corrective retracement inside the triangle. Wave (C): Final bearish leg completing near support around 4,400–4,430. This suggests the bearish correction may be nearing exhaustion. 3. Major Support Zone The highlighted green zone around: 4,390 – 4,430 acts as: Dynamic trendline support Historical reaction area Potential institutional demand zone Price rejection from this zone indicates buyers are beginning to defend the area. 4. Recovery Projection The dotted projection path suggests: Short-term consolidation/retest Bullish rebound from support Upside targets at: 4,547 4,671 4,793 – 4,796 These levels align with previous resistance zones. Bullish Scenario If price holds above the green support zone: Momentum could shift bullish. A breakout above 4,547 would confirm stronger recovery potential. Medium-term upside target remains near 4,796. Bearish Risk If support breaks decisively below 4,390: The bullish recovery setup becomes invalid. Gold could continue lower along the long-term descending path. Trading Insight Bias: Cautiously Bullish from support Confirmation Needed: Higher lows + breakout above near resistance Risk Area: Breakdown below support trendline This setup currently suggests a potential trend reversal after a completed bearish correction, but confirmation is still required before aggressive long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Turbohelpflix
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 20.05.26The 1-hour chart on XAUUSD currently shows a bearish setup forming inside a clear sloping downtrend structure. Price recently moved upward and collected liquidity near the resistance zone around 4489–4505, where strong rejection is expected. The market is also forming a triangle pattern, and after the breakout retest, sellers appear to be gaining control again. The highlighted sell entry zone near Resistance R1 indicates an area where institutional liquidity may have been collected before a potential downward move. The stochastic indicator is already in the overbought region, signaling weakening bullish momentum and possible selling pressure. At the same time, RSI remains below the 50 level on the 1H timeframe, confirming that the overall trend is still bearish. As long as price stays below the major resistance and stop-loss zone around 4505, the probability favors continuation toward the downside targets.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD: Liquidity Sweep Into Weekly Support — Bullish Reversal Market Structure Shift Early phase: Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside, showing bullish momentum. Price made a "Strong High" and tagged the RESISTANCE zone around 4,543+. CHoCH: Two Change of Character events marked the shift from bullish to bearish. After the second CHoCH, price failed to make a higher high and broke below the last swing low. Bearish BOS: Confirmed downtrend with a clean BOS to the downside. Price moved impulsively into the SUPPORT / WEEK LOW zone. Key Zones Zone Level Significance RESISTANCE ∼4,543+ red zone Previous strong high. Liquidity above it was taken before the drop. TARGET ∼4,525-4,530 cyan zone Mid-level liquidity/imbalance. First profit target if price reverses. SUPPORT Green zone at bottom "WEEK LOW" area. Price is currently reacting here. High probability demand zone. Current Scenario Liquidity grab: Price swept the week low/support zone. This often traps late sellers and fuels reversals. Bullish projection: The red arrow suggests the analyst expects a reversal from support, targeting the cyan TARGET zone first. That would be a 50%+ retracement of the bearish leg. Moving average: The blue MA is sloping down but price is now extended far below it. In SMC, that often signals a mean reversion move is due. What to watch next Confirmation needed: Look for a BOS to the upside on lower timeframes within the support zone. A bullish engulfing or CHoCH up would validate the reversal idea. Invalidation: If price closes strongly below the green SUPPORT zone, the bearish trend continues and next liquidity is even lower. Targets if reversal holds: First target is the cyan zone. If momentum is strong, the red RESISTANCE becomes the next major level. Summary Structure went from bullish → bearish after CHoCH, and price has now reached a key weekly demand zone. The chart outlines a classic "sell-side liquidity sweep + bullish reversal" play. The bias flips bullish only after confirmation from the SUPPORT zone. Until then, this is still a bearish trend in a high-probability reversal area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAU/USD Facing Key Resistance — Potential Drop Toward Support ZoKey Observations Price previously moved inside a descending channel and later broke out. After the breakout, gold attempted recovery but is now struggling near a major resistance zone around 4555–4570. Current price action suggests weakening bullish momentum with repeated rejection candles. Bearish Scenario (Most Likely) The projected path on the chart indicates: Price may retest the resistance area once more. Sellers could step in aggressively near the green resistance block. A decline toward the blue intermediate level (~4520) is expected. If bearish pressure continues, the market could fall toward the main support zone around 4460–4470. Trade Management Levels 50% Profit Zone: Around 4520 Final Take Profit: Around 4483 Major Support Area: 4460–4470 Market Structure Insight The structure currently reflects: Lower highs forming after the breakout Strong supply overhead Lack of continuation buying momentum This favors sellers unless price breaks and closes strongly above the resistance zone. Bullish Invalidation The bearish setup becomes weaker if: XAU/USD closes decisively above 4570 Momentum candles break the resistance zone with volume In that case, gold could target higher liquidity areas near 4585–4600.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Turbohelpflix
XAU/USD Bearish Continuation Setuphe chart shows a strong bearish market structure with multiple confirmed breakout points followed by a clear rejection from the marked selling zone. After the BOS and CHoCH confirmations, sellers maintained momentum and pushed price into a consolidation phase below resistance. The highlighted SELLING AREA indicates a potential bearish retest zone where smart money may continue distributing positions before another downward impulse. Price is currently struggling to reclaim the resistance area, keeping the bearish bias intact. 📉 Key Analysis Multiple bearish breakouts confirm strong seller dominance. Price remains below the moving average, supporting downside momentum. Weak bullish retracement suggests continuation rather than reversal. Selling zone acting as dynamic resistance. 🎯 Expected Target Immediate downside target lies near the recent liquidity lows. Further bearish continuation could extend toward the lower support region marked in the target box. ⚠️ Trade Idea Sell on rejection from the highlighted resistance/supply zone. Watch for bearish confirmation candles before entry. Invalidation occurs if price closes strongly above the selling area. 🔥 Market Sentiment: Strongly Bearish 📊 Bias: Sell the Rally 🎯 Setup Type: Breakout Retest Continuation
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
3
XAU/USD Rising Channel Rejection SetupGold is trading inside a clear ascending channel and approaching a major seller zone near the upper trendline. The chart shows multiple ChoCH & BOS confirmations, signaling weakening bullish momentum as price nears resistance. 📊 Market Analysis Price is respecting the rising channel structure. Strong resistance/seller zone is visible around the upper boundary. Bearish reaction is expected if price rejects from the highlighted supply area. The projected move suggests a pullback toward the lower support zone before the next major decision. 🎯 Bearish Targets 🔻 TP1: 4,688 🔻 TP2: 4,676 🔻 TP3: 4,662 (Major Support Area) ⚠️ Invalidation A strong breakout and candle close above the seller zone could continue bullish momentum higher. 🧠 Trading Idea 📌 Sell the rally from resistance 📌 Watch for bearish confirmation candles inside the seller zone 📌 Manage risk carefully around trendline breakouts 🚨📉🐻 “Liquidity often gets taken near the highs before the real move begins.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 17.05.26XAUUSD / GOLD is currently showing a potential bearish continuation setup on the weekly structure after breaking down from a major triangle pattern. The market had been consolidating inside the triangle for an extended period, and the recent breakdown below the lower trendline indicates weakening bullish momentum and increasing seller control. Based on the current structure, price may not continue downward immediately; instead, the market could revisit the previously broken support area for a retest before continuing the bearish move. This retest zone, marked around the 4620–4640 region, is considered the primary seller area where previous support may now act as resistance. In addition, the chart highlights a possible liquidity sweep scenario, where price may temporarily push higher to trigger breakout buyers and collect stop losses before reversing aggressively to the downside. If bearish rejection forms inside this zone, sellers may regain momentum and drive the market lower toward the projected downside targets around 4580, 4550, and eventually the strong demand zone near 4500–4510. The setup also offers an estimated 1:4 risk-to-reward structure, making it technically attractive if proper confirmation appears. However, traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation before entering positions, while also monitoring DXY strength, US economic news, and overall market volatility, as a strong bullish close above the seller zone could invalidate the bearish projection. 🔴 PAIR: XAUUSD / GOLD 🔴 TYPE: SELL LIMIT 📍 ENTRY ZONE: 4620 – 4640 🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: ✅ TP1 – 4580 ✅ TP2 – 4550 ✅ TP3 – 4500 🛑 STOP LOSS: 4665
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
1
XAU/USD Bearish Channel Signals Further DownsideKey observations: Price rejected strongly from the 4,780 resistance supply zone Lower highs continue forming The trendline resistance is pushing price downward Current structure suggests a possible bearish continuation move Important Levels Resistance Zone 4,780 → Major supply / rejection area Multiple failed attempts indicate sellers are defending this zone aggressively Current Price Area Around 4,560 Sitting near mid-channel support Bearish Targets 4,240 → First downside target 4,076 → Major lower support and second target Pattern Analysis The setup resembles a: Bearish descending channel Possible distribution phase Momentum exhaustion after previous bullish rally If price breaks below channel support decisively, downside acceleration toward the marked targets becomes more likely. Trade Bias Short-Term Bias: Bearish As long as price remains below: descending resistance trendline and the 4,780 supply zone the market favors sellers. Bullish Invalidation Bearish outlook weakens if: Price breaks and closes above 4,780 Channel structure gets invalidated Buyers reclaim higher highs Probability Outlook Bearish continuation: High probability while inside channel Bullish reversal: Only after breakout above resistance
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Turbohelpflix
XAUUSD/GOLD CORE PPI NEWS 15M SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 13.05.206After the stronger-than-expected Core PPI & PPI news, gold reacted with heavy selling pressure exactly as projected. The market respected the bearish structure and continued moving inside the descending trendline channel on the 15M timeframe. The chart shows a clear sell-side continuation setup after the news release. Price failed to sustain near resistance and quickly rejected from the trendline area, indicating that sellers are still controlling short-term momentum. 📊 Strong US inflation data increased USD strength: ✅ USD may become stronger ✅ Fed rate-cut expectations may reduce ✅ Gold can face short-term selling pressure ✅ DXY likely bullish momentum From the technical structure, the marked zone around 4694 – 4698 acts as a key liquidity and resistance area. If price retraces back into this zone and rejects again, sellers may continue targeting lower support levels. 📉 Projection Scenario: Rejection from trendline + liquidity zone → bearish continuation Support S1 near 4676 acts as first take-profit area Further breakdown may push price towards 4659 Support S2 📌 Trade Idea: 🔻 Sell Limit Zone: 4694 – 4698 🛑 Stoploss: Above 4712 – 4715 🎯 TP1: 4676 🎯 TP2: 4659 ⚠️ Since this move is news-driven, volatility can remain high. Wait for confirmation candles near resistance instead of chasing entries after big bearish candles.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD/GOLD INTRADAY TRADING KEY LEVELS 13.05.26Gold (XAUUSD) currently trading inside a sideways consolidation zone between the marked support and resistance area. Market is waiting for a strong breakout confirmation before deciding the next major move. The highlighted zone around 4690 – 4706 is acting as the key intraday decision range. If price gives a strong candle close above 4706, buyers may take control and push gold towards the previous swing highs. If price breaks and closes below 4689, selling pressure could increase and market may retest lower support zones near the day swing low. From the chart structure, gold recently showed bullish recovery from the swing low, but momentum slowed near resistance, creating this sideways range. This usually indicates accumulation before volatility expansion. Traders should avoid entering inside the middle of the range and wait for confirmation breakout for safer entries. 📈 Buy Confirmation: Above 4706 🎯 Possible Targets: 4720 → 4740 → 4765 🛑 SL: Below 4690 📉 Sell Confirmation: Below 4689 🎯 Possible Targets: 4670 → 4640 → 4620
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
Bullish Continuation After Demand Zone RetestTechnical Analysis The chart shows a bullish market structure developing in WTI Crude Oil after a strong impulsive rally from point A toward point D. Price is currently consolidating near a key resistance region around 98.68 – 101.00. Key Observations The market formed a clear higher low sequence, confirming buyers remain in control. After the rally to point D, price entered a correction phase and is now stabilizing above major support. The red horizontal level near 98.68 acts as an important breakout and confirmation zone. Two major demand zones are identified: Demand Zone 1: around 95 – 96 Demand Zone 2: around 90 – 92 These zones are likely areas where institutional buying interest may re-enter the market. Bullish Scenario If price: Holds above the demand zones, and Breaks decisively above 101 – 104 then the next upside targets become: 104.00 – first resistance target 112.29 – major bullish expansion target The projected path on the chart suggests a temporary pullback into demand before continuation upward. Bearish Scenario The bullish outlook weakens if: Price breaks below 90, or Demand Zone 2 fails to hold. In that case, crude oil could revisit lower support areas near 88 – 84. Trading Perspective Buyers May look for entries on pullbacks into demand zones. Confirmation through bullish candlestick reaction or breakout volume would strengthen the setup. Sellers Need a confirmed breakdown below the lower demand zone to gain control. Conclusion WTI Crude Oil remains in a medium-term bullish structure despite short-term consolidation. The current setup favors: Buy-the-dip opportunities Accumulation near demand Potential continuation toward 104 and possibly 112.29 as long as price stays above the major support region near 90–92
TVC:USOILLong
by Turbohelpflix
Gold Rejects Premium After H4 Liquidity SweepPrice swept the H4 highs and immediately delivered a bearish CISD on H1 while trading inside premium pricing. Current framework: H4 liquidity already raided H1 bearish CISD confirmed Fresh H1 bearish FVG created Price retracing into premium arrays Sell-side liquidity resting below current structure Major H4 lows acting as downside draw My expectation: As long as price trades below the bearish H1 FVG and order block, the probability favors continuation lower into resting liquidity and H4 lows beneath. The market often engineers upside liquidity first before expanding aggressively into sell-side targets.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
Bullish Reversal Setup – Buyers Defending Pivot Zone📊 Market Analysis: The chart shows a strong bullish structure after multiple breakout confirmations and successful retests of the pivot zones. Price is currently reacting near the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area while holding above the major buyer zone, indicating potential continuation toward higher resistance levels. 🔍 Key Observations: Multiple Breakout + BOS confirmations visible. Buyers defended the Pivot Point aggressively. Price remains above the major Buyer Zone, keeping bullish momentum intact. Current pullback looks like a healthy retracement before the next upward move. Fibonacci resistance aligns with the projected upside targets. 🎯 Bullish Targets: Target 1: 4,719 – 4,730 Target 2: 4,740 – 4,760 Target 3: 4,775 – 4,800 🚀 ⚠️ Invalidation Zone: A breakdown below the buyer zone could weaken bullish momentum temporarily. 💡 Trading Bias: Bullish Continuation 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 11.05.26🟢 Gold market is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour timeframe after rejecting from the lower support zone. 💰 Price collected downside liquidity and respected the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area, which triggered a strong bullish reaction in the market. 🕯️ A Three White Soldiers pattern has also formed, indicating that buyers are gaining control and momentum is shifting toward the upside. 🔄 Currently, price is retesting the breakout zone around 4722 – 4725. If this area holds successfully, gold may continue moving higher toward the major resistance zone near 4748 – 4750. 🚀 Overall market structure remains bullish unless price breaks below the support/FVG region. 📌 BUY ENTRY: 4722 – 4725 🛑 STOPLOSS: 4708 🎯 TARGET 1: 4740 🎯 TARGET 2: 4748 🎯 TARGET 3: 4755
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAU/USD at Key Resistance – Bearish Pullback Loading?🔍 Analysis: Gold is currently trading inside a major resistance zone (4715–4725) where price action is showing hesitation after a strong bullish run. The ascending trendline has supported the rally so far, but momentum is weakening near resistance. 🟡 Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Resistance Zone: 4715–4725 🚧 🔸 Strong High Breakout Level: 4764 🚀 🔸 First Bearish Target: 4620 🎯 🔸 Main Bearish Target: 4550 🎯🔥 🔸 Strong Support Zone: 4514–4500 🛡️ 📌 Market View: 🐻 If price gets rejected from 4725, a correction toward 4620 looks likely, with deeper downside toward 4550. 🐂 If bulls break and hold above 4764, bearish pressure weakens and upside continuation may follow. 💡 Trade Idea:** 🔴 Rejection = Sell setup 📉 🟢 Breakout = Buy continuation 📈 ⚠️ Wait for candle confirmation before entry.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
XAU/USD 2H Chart Analysis — “Liquidity Sweep Before Bearish ExpaKey Technical Observations Major Resistance (Daily CLS Zone): Price is repeatedly rejecting around the 4720–4750 area. This blue horizontal level acts as a strong supply/resistance zone. Range Formation: Gold is trading inside a broad range: Range High: ~4720 Range Low: ~4500 Liquidity Behavior: Recent candles show: Weak bullish continuation Multiple upper wicks Failure to break and hold above resistance This usually signals: buyer exhaustion institutional distribution possible liquidity sweep before reversal Projected Path (Yellow Arrow): Your markup suggests: Small retracement upward into liquidity Rejection from resistance Strong bearish move toward the range low near 4500 This scenario aligns with a: bearish market structure shift lower-high formation potential expansion move after consolidation Bearish Confirmation Signals The downside setup becomes stronger if price: rejects again below 4720 breaks below the current intraday support around 4670–4660 creates displacement candles downward Potential downside targets: 4620 4580 4500 range low Invalidation Scenario The bearish thesis weakens if: price closes strongly above 4720–4750 bullish momentum increases with volume structure forms higher highs on the 2H timeframe In that case, gold could attempt continuation toward: 4780 potentially new highs Overall Bias Current Bias: Bearish below 4720 Market structure currently favors: liquidity engineering near highs distribution expansion toward lower range support The chart reflects a classic: “Sweep → Rejection → Expansion Down” setup often seen in smart money concepts / liquidity trading models.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Turbohelpflix
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL PROJECTION 11.05.26Gold market currently looks bearish on the 4H timeframe after rejecting from the strong resistance zone near 4708–4710. Price already broke the neckline support and completed a clean retest, which indicates seller confirmation in the market. If gold continues trading below the resistance area, sellers may push the price toward 4660 minor support first, followed by the major support zone around 4640–4632. Market structure still favors sellers unless price breaks above the resistance zone strongly. ENTRY ZONE: 4672 – 4676 SL: 4702 TP1: 4660 TP2: 4640 TP3: 4632
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAU/USD (Gold) 4H: Bullish Continuation or Supply Trap?Market Overview: Gold has shown impressive resilience, reclaiming the $4,715 level after a strong bounce from the recent demand zone. Market sentiment is currently driven by a mix of cooling geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation, pushing prices toward key resistance levels. Technical Observations: Support & Demand: The price recently swept the lows near $4,513 (Liquidity Grab) and aggressively moved up, confirming a strong demand zone in that area. The "Bullish Path": As indicated by the blue arrows, the current structure suggests a "Higher High, Higher Low" formation. The price is currently consolidating just below the immediate supply zone of $4,725 - $4,735. Retest & Go: The projected path shows a potential minor pullback (retest) toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level (approx. $4,670 - $4,690) to gather liquidity before a target move toward $4,765+. Trading Scenarios for the Week: The Bullish Continuation (Primary Idea): If Gold successfully holds the $4,700 psychological level on a pullback, look for long entries. Target 1: $4,735 (Immediate Supply) Target 2: $4,765 (Recent Swing High) Extended Target: $4,800+ The Bearish Rejection: A failure to break and sustain above $4,735 could lead to a deeper correction. Watch for a bearish engulfing candle at the current levels to signal a move back to the $4,650 support. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: $4,727 Major Resistance: $4,765 Immediate Support: $4,701 Critical Demand: $4,660 Strategy: I am leaning Bullish as long as the price stays above the $4,670 mark. The current momentum favors the buyers, but I prefer entering on a "Dip" rather than chasing the current market price. Watch for the US session volatility to confirm the direction. Risk Management: Gold volatility is high due to shifting energy prices and interest rate expectations. Use tight stop-losses and manage your position size carefully. #Gold #XAUUSD #ForexAnalysis #SMC #TradingView #Commodities Note: The ceasefire news and US dollar index (DXY) movements will be the primary drivers for XAU/USD this week. Stay alert for any sudden fundamental shifts!
FX:XAUUSD
by forex_pathshala
Before Nonfarm — Is The Market Starting A Liquidity Sweep?Yesterday, the market continued reacting to geopolitical headlines while ADP Nonfarm came in lower than expected. However, in my view, ADP is not the real focus right now — the market is waiting for this week’s official Nonfarm report. Meanwhile, oil continues moving sideways within the 90–100 USD range, keeping gold stuck in a wide consolidation without confirming a clear direction yet. Personal View I believe the market could still create deep liquidity sweeps toward: 4600 | 458X | 455X before choosing the next real direction. That’s exactly why today I’m comfortable looking for SELL scalps and trading the current range. Support 4660 | 4640 | 4600–4610 | 4583–4584 Key Structure Zone 4545 → key level holding the short-term bullish structure Resistance 4765 | 4772 | 4795 | 4800 | 485X Trading Plan Expecting gold to remain sideways within roughly a ~100-point range before Nonfarm Prefer short-term scalps inside the current trading range SELL STOP around 4655–4657 SL: 20 points TP target: 4580–4585 (~80–100 points) After a liquidity sweep into support, I’ll look for opportunities to BUY back from deeper demand zones. Main Idea Right now, the market looks more like a “liquidity compression phase” before major news rather than a clean trend. H1 is also showing signs of bearish divergence, which means short-term SELL positions should be taken seriously. For me: 👉 before Nonfarm = trading range 👉 liquidity sweeps before the real move remain the most likely scenario “The market usually sweeps both sides before revealing the real direction.” If the market sweeps deeply into 458X before Nonfarm… will you panic and sell — or wait for the opportunity to enter?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 08.05.26Gold is currently reacting from a strong resistance zone on the 4H timeframe. After reaching the Resistance R2 area, the market formed a strong bearish engulfing candle, which indicates that buying pressure is weakening and sellers are starting to gain control of the market. At the moment, price is attempting a retracement toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Resistance R1 zone. This area is considered a potential entry zone for sellers. If the market gives rejection confirmation from this region, the bearish movement may continue further downward. According to the projection, the first downside target is the Support S1 zone, marked as Take Profit 1. If the market breaks below that support, the next major target could be the Support S2 zone, marked as Take Profit 2. The stoploss area is placed above the bearish engulfing candle high. If price breaks and sustains above that level, the bearish setup could become invalid.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD (1H) Setup: Waiting for a Deep Pullback for next LevelHello Traders, Taking a look at the Gold (XAUUSD) 1H chart, the overall structure remains heavily bullish. Recently, the price tapped into a minor supply zone around the 4755 - 4765 area and is currently undergoing a retracement. Based on SMC principles, I am not interested in catching the falling knife or buying in the middle of this range. As indicated by my blue projected path, here is the game plan: 📊 Trade Plan: The Pullback: I am anticipating a deeper pullback into the major, unmitigated Demand Zone located around the 4630 - 4660 level (marked in red/green box at the bottom). This is a high-probability POI because it was the origin of the previous massive impulsive push. The Execution: Once the price mitigates this lower demand zone, I will drop down to Lower Timeframes (15m/5m) and wait for clear bullish confirmations—such as a CHoCH (Change of Character) or a liquidity sweep. The Target: If the setup is confirmed, I will look for long entries to ride the trend back up, targeting the recent highs and potentially the 4800 level. 💡 Key Takeaway: In SMC, patience pays. Let the retail traders get chopped up in the middle. We wait for the price to come to our specific Points of Interest. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management. Do you think Gold will drop to this demand zone before flying? Let me know your thoughts in the comments and smash the LIKE button!
FX:XAUUSD
by forex_pathshala