Gold Maintains Upward Channel Toward $4320 TargetAnalysis:
The XAU/USD 45-minute chart shows gold continuing its steady rise within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action maintains higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained bullish trend.
Currently, gold is testing the midline of the channel, suggesting a possible minor pullback before resuming upward momentum toward the projected resistance near $4320. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the channel, acting as the next potential target zone for buyers.
As long as the price remains above the lower channel support, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above $4320 could open further upside potential, while a drop below the channel could signal early weakness or short-term consolidation.
Xauusdforex
Gold Pullback Opportunity Within Strong Bullish MomentumAnalysis:
The XAU/USD chart shows that gold has maintained a powerful upward trajectory, breaking out of its previous consolidation channel (highlighted in purple). After the breakout, price surged to new highs near 4,120, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Currently, the market is showing a minor pullback toward the 4,090–4,060 zone — a region aligning with previous resistance turned support. This retracement appears healthy and could provide buyers a chance to re-enter before another leg up.
The bullish continuation setup is supported by:
Previous breakout retest: The price is testing the prior resistance area, which could now act as strong support.
Momentum structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain intact.
Favorable risk-reward ratio: The long position targets around 4,180, with stops below 4,060 support.
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis:
The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios:
Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run.
Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical Outlook:
Support: $3,855 / $3,785
Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935
Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline
Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chartXAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chart.
Here’s a clear technical summary of what your chart shows:
🔹 Overall Structure
The chart projects a bullish move for XAUUSD (Gold).
Title: Weekly Buy Projection – 05 Oct 2025
Main trend: Ascending continuation pattern (marked by blue upward trendlines).
Current price zone: around $3,886.45.
🔹 Key Levels
Support S2: around $3,838 – $3,846
Support S1: around $3,870 – $3,878
Resistance 1: around $3,900 – $3,910
Resistance 2 (New ATH): around $3,939 – $3,970
🔹 Pattern & Projections
Golden Ratio (0.618 Fibonacci) formed near $3,874, signaling a retracement support.
Bullish engulfing candle noted at Support S1, confirming buying interest.
Possible Double Top highlighted near Resistance 1, indicating a short-term pullback risk before continuation.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between $3,875–$3,890, suggesting potential liquidity refill before next le
“Gold (XAU/USD) – Breakout Play from Resistance (1-Hour View)Chart Structure & Key Levels
You’ve drawn a resistance zone above current price. The label “this is the resistance area here if break we will hold” points to a horizontal resistance line or zone.
You also show a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance.
On the lower side, you mark LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) points, implying the prior structure was in a downtrend or consolidation.
Your trade setup (green = target area, red = stop area) suggests you are expecting a break above resistance and a move upward with three target levels:
• TP1 at ~ 3,759.74
• TP2 at ~ 3,779.03
• TP3 at ~ 3,799.67
What Your Setup Implies (and Risks)
Bullish Bias on Breakout
You are expecting that if price breaks above the resistance zone + trendline, that resistance may flip into support, allowing the price to rally further. This is a classic breakout reversal expectation.
If the breakout is confirmed (with strong candle close above, ideally with volume), then the path is “clearer” for your targets.
Stop / Risk Control
Your red zone (stop area) is placed below the resistance/trendline region. If price fails and falls back below this, your trade idea would be invalidated.
Target Levels Logic
TP1 is relatively conservative, just above resistance.
TP2 and TP3 stretch further to capture the upside momentum if the breakout has strength.
Additional Considerations & Technical Tips
Confirm the Breakout
Don’t just enter on a quick wick above resistance. Wait for a sustained close above the zone (on your timeframe) to reduce the chance of a false breakout.
Check volume: higher-than-average volume on the breakout gives it more credibility.
Watch for Retest
Often after a breakout, price returns to retest the broken resistance (which now may act as support). This retest can offer a better entry with lower risk.
Manage Risk Aggressively
The more distant your TP3, the more room for price to reverse. Consider scaling out of the trade (taking partial profits as price hits TP1, TP2) to lock in gains.
Keep an Eye on Macro / Fundamental Factors
Gold (XAU/USD) is sensitive to U.S. monetary policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and geopolitical risk.
For example, stronger U.S. data or hawkish Fed statements could work against a bullish breakout in gold.
Divergences & Momentum Indicators
Use RSI / MACD / ADX to check whether momentum supports your breakout idea. If momentum is weak or showing divergence, be cautious.
Timeframe Alignment
Make sure that higher timeframes (4H, daily) are not giving strong bearish signals conflicting with your breakout bias on the 1-hour chart.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 28.09.25XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (27.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of what it shows:
Current Price Level: Around 3,759.85.
Technical Zones Marked:
Broke the Uptrend Line (earlier support turned resistance).
Bearish Engulfing Failed (bullish strength seen).
Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 3,740–3,750 zone, acting as a demand zone.
Projection Path:
Price expected to bounce from the FVG/demand area.
Then follow an upward zigzag movement toward the target zone around 3,860.
Trend Channel:
Multiple parallel blue channels drawn indicate a bullish structure.
Projection suggests continuation of the uptrend.
Target Price:
Marked close to 3,860, aligning with the upper channel line.
🔑 Summary of Projection:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,740–3,760 (Fair Value Gap zone)
Target Zone: 3,860
Risk Area: If price breaks below 3,720, projection may fail.
👉 Do you want me to prepare a trading plan (entry, SL, TP, and risk %) based on this projection for you?
XAUUSD/GOLD 30 MIN BUY PROJECTION 23.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 30-min buy projection chart you shared for 23.09.25. Here’s the breakdown of what the chart indicates:
🔎 Chart Analysis
Trend: Price is moving within a bullish (upward) channel, shown by the blue trend lines.
Entry Zone: Around 3749.687 (marked as ENTRY, just above Support 1).
Stop Loss (SL): Around 3743.131, below the 30-min FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Supports:
Support 1: ~3749 zone
Support 2: ~3755–3757 zone
Take Profits:
TP1: Around 3765–3767 level (mid-channel target).
TP2 (ATH – All-Time High for this projection): Around 3783–3785.
Projection Path:
Price expected to bounce near entry zone → rise towards TP1 → possible pullback → continue bullish momentum towards TP2 ATH following the 30-min uptrend line.
⚡ Trading Idea (based on chart)
Buy Entry: ~3749
Stoploss: ~3743
TP1: ~3765
TP2: ~3783
This setup offers a risk-reward ratio > 1:3, which is strong for an intraday buy trade.
👉 Do you want me to calculate the exact risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup so you can evaluate position sizing?
XAUUSD/GOLD Unemployment Claims 18.09.25XAUUSD/Gold – Unemployment Claims (18.09.25):
Current Price Zone: Gold is trading around $3,668.81.
Trading Idea: The chart suggests a buying opportunity if the U.S. unemployment claims data comes out negative (worse than expected).
Key Levels:
Major Resistance R1 → Around $3,685 – $3,690
Breakout and retest of this level signals a buy entry.
Resistance 2 – Yesterday’s High & News High → Around $3,710
Acts as the next upside target after breakout.
Resistance 3 – Expected New ATH → Around $3,736 – $3,740
This is the final bullish target if momentum sustains.
Strategy:
Plan A (Main Setup):
Wait for breakout above R1 (3,690) → Enter buy trade on retest.
Ride the move towards R2 (3,710) and possibly R3 (3,736–3,740).
Confirmation Zone:
If news is negative for USD, gold is expected to rally strongly (bullish bias).
Risk Management:
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,680 zone, as marked in the red area.
Take Profit (TP): Stepwise at 3,710 → 3,736 → 3,740.
👉 In summary: The chart indicates a news-driven bullish breakout plan — gold buys are favored if the data weakens the USD, with targets up to 3,740.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 12/09/2025
1. Momentum
• D1: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. We should wait for a bullish reversal signal here to confirm a new upward move.
• H4: Momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to reverse. This suggests price may continue sideways or move into a corrective decline.
• H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and about to reverse → the current upward move is weakening, and a short-term corrective pullback is likely.
2. Wave Structure
• D1:
The market is forming a 5-wave black structure. The current D1 momentum decline is nearly complete and may reach the oversold zone within 1–2 days, signaling that wave iv (black) is close to completion.
• H4:
Price is moving sideways. Since H4 momentum is preparing to turn down from overbought, wave iv (black) may still be in progress. We need to wait until H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and reverses up to better evaluate the completion of wave iv.
• H1:
Price has been consolidating within a high liquidity zone (Volume Profile). The sideways and time-consuming behavior fits the nature of wave iv.
o A reliable confirmation of wave iv completion would be a breakout and daily close above 3657.
o If price fails to break this level and declines further, wave iv may develop into a triangle or complex corrective pattern.
o With both H1 and H4 momentum preparing to turn down, the scenario of wave iv continuing is more likely for now.
3. Trading Plan
• Scenario 1: If price breaks and closes above 3657, wait for a retest of this level to look for a Buy Breakout targeting wave v.
• Buy Zone 1:
o Entry: 3596 – 3594
o SL: 3585
o TP: 3669
• Buy Zone 2:
o Entry: 3557 – 3555
o SL: 3547
o TP: 3597
tXAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key SupportXAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key Suppor 📈🟢
📊 Chart Analysis:
Rounded Bottom Structure ⬆️
The price has formed a rounded bottom pattern, indicating potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Multiple bounces (🟠 circles) from the curved support trendline confirm the validity of this structure.
Support Zone Rejection ✅
Price recently rejected from a major horizontal support zone (around 3,303.796 USD) with a strong bullish wick.
This zone has acted as a springboard for prior upward moves.
Falling Wedge Breakout 💥
A falling wedge (bullish pattern) has formed and is breaking to the upside.
Breakout confirmation is underway, indicating momentum shift.
Target Projection 🎯
The projected move from the breakout suggests a potential target at 3,385.820 USD.
This aligns with previous resistance areas.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,385.820 USD (target) and 3,425–3,450 USD (major resistance zone)
Support: 3,303.796 USD (short-term), followed by 3,225–3,250 USD zone
🔔 Conclusion:
Price action suggests a bullish bias with a possible upward continuation if it sustains above the wedge breakout.
Confirmation above 3,330 USD with volume can fuel a rally toward the 3,385–3,400 USD target zone.
📌 Risk Management Tip: Watch for fakeouts near wedge resistance or a re-test of 3,303 USD for better entries.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 07.06.25Strong Selling Zone: Area near the top, where price has been rejected multiple times.
Strong Buying Zone: Area near the bottom, suggesting demand or potential price support.
Trend Line: Uptrend line intersecting around the strong buying zone — potential bounce area.
Resistance & Support Levels:
Resistance 1 & 2
Support 1, 2, & 3
XAUUSD/GOLD 30MIN SELL PROJECTION 28.05.25Bias: Bearish (Sell)
Pattern Identified: Evening Star (Bearish Reversal Pattern)
Entry Zone: Around 3,318.4 (just below the resistance marked S2)
Stop Loss: Just above the high of the Evening Star (~3,323.7)
Take Profits:
TP1: Around 3,311.0
TP2: Around 3,303.9 (near support S1)
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 27.04.25Rise of the DXY (US Dollar Index) since March.
US Tax exemptions for some products.
Slower imposition of new taxes.
Technical Chart Summary:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders (classic bearish reversal setup).
Key Zones:
Selling Zone: Identified between Resistance R1 and Triple Top area.
Resistance Levels:
R1 near 3359–3400
Major resistance at around 3480–3500 (All-Time High zone).
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 20.04.25Buying Zone around the 1.618 Golden Ratio (3435.255) – A classic Fibonacci extension target indicating a strong potential reversal or take-profit zone.
Price Movement Forecast:
Price is expected to test the Immediate Support (S1) and bounce back.
Resistance levels: R1, then R2 & New ATH (All-Time High).
Take Profits (TP1 & TP2): Clearly marked targets for bullish momentum continuation.
Candlestick Patterns:
Fake Bearish Spinning Top
Bullish Marubozu
Fake Bearish Harami
These patterns typically suggest false bearish signals and continuation of the uptrend.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 03.03.25A primary reason for gold price falls is a strong US dollar, as gold has an inverse relationship with the dollar, meaning when the dollar strengthens, gold prices tend to decrease; other factors include rising interest rates, which can make alternative investments more attractive to investors, leading to decreased demand for gold, and a stable economic environment that reduces the need for gold as a safe haven asset
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTIONA "gold sell-side movement" refers to a situation in the gold market where there is a significant selling pressure, meaning more investors are looking to sell their gold holdings than buy, causing the price of gold to decline; essentially, the "sell side" of the market is driving the price downward due to increased selling activity.
Gold Trading Levels for 09th December 2024Gold Trading Levels and Analysis
Gold has been consolidating for the past week, indicating a potential breakout is imminent.
Here are the key levels and details:
Buy Setup
Entry: Buy above 2,643 if the price breaks and closes above this level, signaling an upward breakout.
Targets:
2,700-2,710
Stop Loss: Below the low of the breakout candle for risk management.
Sell Setup
Entry: Sell below 2,624 if the price breaks and closes below this level, signaling a downward breakout.
Targets:
2,560-2,550
Stop Loss: Above the high of the breakdown candle.
Market Context
Gold has been trading in a tight range, creating pressure for a potential breakout in either direction. This week’s market movement could determine the direction, so watch for the key levels closely.
Disclaimer
The above analysis is provided for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or investment advice.
Trading in commodities carries risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Please perform your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Always trade responsibly and use proper risk management techniques.