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Xauusdidea

XAU/USD Bullish Continuation Setup Toward 4,223 After Liquidity 1. Market Structure The chart highlights a COCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure. Several smaller coch points confirm internal bullish structure building. 2. Liquidity & POI Zones There is a clear liquidity sweep near the PDL (Previous Day Low), where price dipped into a demand zone to collect orders. An Extreme POI (Point of Interest) sits below current price — this acted as the strong reaction zone for the bullish move. PDH (Previous Day High) is marked as an early short-term target/liquidity area. 3. Expected Move The projection (zig-zag line) indicates bullish continuation after a pullback into the POI zone. The target is marked around 4,223.629, matching the red horizontal resistance line. The EMA (9) serves as dynamic support, showing price respecting the bullish trend. 4. Probability Outlook As long as price stays above the trendline and POI, the bias remains bullish. A break below the POI would invalidate the setup and open the lower liquidity region again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
2
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea: Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing). There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap. The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance. 🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward) Parameter Plan Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone. Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout). Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled. Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance. ⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch) FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited. A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin. But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid. Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
Resistance Rejection → Bearish Pullback Toward Support🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Major Resistance 🟥📉 🔍 Key Technical Insights Price rejected the major resistance zone around 4,245 – 4,255 Rising Support Line has been broken → signals weakening bullish momentum ❌ Current structure favors a pullback toward demand area Market seeking liquidity below recent swing lows 💰 🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers) Target Type Price Area Sticker TP1 → Support Retest 4,210 – 4,215 🎯 TP2 → Demand Zone 4,195 – 4,205 📉💰 📌 TP1 is your high-probability target 📌 TP2 is for extended move if bearish momentum continues ⬇️ 📌 Trade Setup Idea 📍 Sell Entry Zone: ➤ 4,238 – 4,245 (after failed breakout) 🎯 Take Profit: ➤ TP1: 4,215 🎯 ➤ TP2: 4,200 📉💸 🧭 Overall Market Outlook Factor Bias Short-term Trend Bearish Pullback 🔻 Liquidity Downside targets in focus 💧 Resistance Reaction Strong rejection 🚫
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 1 of December 20251. Momentum W1 – Weekly Timeframe Weekly momentum is currently turning upward, exactly as warned last week: if weekly momentum continues to rise strongly, the market may enter a bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. However, the candlestick structure still shows short, overlapping candles, which do not yet reflect a clear long-term uptrend. Therefore, we need to continue monitoring closely. D1 – Daily Timeframe Daily momentum remains compressed in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal on the daily chart in the coming week. H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe H4 momentum is currently rising, suggesting that early in the Asian session on Monday the market may continue with another upward move or remain in a sideways structure. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure W1 – Weekly Timeframe On the weekly chart, the main focus remains on weekly momentum: • If weekly momentum pushes decisively into the overbought zone and price breaks the 4,396 high, the current corrective structure may be considered complete, and the market could begin yellow wave 5. • The initial upside target in this scenario would be the 4,592 region. However, weekly candles still do not support a long-term bullish view, as they lack a pattern of higher highs and higher lows and instead show overlapping behavior. Therefore, for now, we prioritize monitoring the wave structure and momentum on D1. ________________________________________ D1 – Daily Timeframe The strong rally on Friday pushed the price higher, threatening the red 1–2–3–4–5 count. However, to fully invalidate this structure, price must reach or exceed 4,245. → Therefore, at this moment, the red 1–2–3–4–5 wave count remains valid. If price breaks above 4,245, it suggests that purple wave X is still unfolding, forming a W–X–Y Flat correction in purple, with wave Y potentially ending near the previous wave X bottom. If price breaks strongly above the orange wave 3 high (4,383), the market will enter orange wave 5, and given the nature of commodities—where wave 5 often extends—targets could exceed 4,592. ________________________________________ H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe Since the red 1–2–3–4–5 count has not been invalidated, we continue to follow this plan. On the H4 chart: • Price is currently inside blue wave 5, which itself belongs to black wave 5 of blue wave C. • Black wave 5 shows a five-wave internal structure in blue, but with overlapping price action, suggesting a possible ending diagonal formation for black wave 5. If this is indeed an ending diagonal, the market should experience a sharp decline to confirm the pattern. Key confirmation signals to watch on Monday: • A H4 candle closing below 4,184 • Ideally, a stronger close below 4,158 If these conditions appear, we will prioritize breakout trading around: • 4,184 • 4,158 I will provide a detailed update once we have real market data early next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
TRADING PLAN XAUUSD 12/1/2025🔔 Hello everyone! Let’s take a quick look at today’s market context and the trading plan for gold (XAUUSD). 📌 1. Market Context & Fundamentals Gold has broken above the previous descending trendline and is maintaining a bullish structure on the H4 timeframe. Bullish momentum is supported by several macro factors: Expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, as well as rising friction between Japan and China, which increases safe-haven demand. Price may move sideways/pin during the session before continuing its broader uptrend. 2. Main Trading Idea: BUY BIAS ✅ Key BUY Zones 4190 – 4194 4150 – 4153 4105 – 4110 (deeper zone) Nearest zone: 4210 – 4215 ➡️ Each entry targets approximately 100 pips 3. Short-term SELL Reaction Zones (Scalping Only) 4250 – 4256 (recent high) 4294 – 4295 4300 4312 – 4315 ➡️ Sell setups are only for quick scalps, not for holding long. Target ~100 pips 4. Expected Price Scenarios If price pulls back to support → look for BUY setups aligned with the trend. If price reaches strong resistance → only scalp SELL setups, avoid long holding. Overall trend remains bullish, so BUY remains the primary strategy. Summary H4 Trend: Bullish Trading Bias: Mainly BUY – SELL only at key resistance for scalps Macro & geopolitical environment is supportive for gold upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 28/11/2025Hello my friends, let’s update the Elliott Wave analysis on Gold together to see how the wave development may unfold today. 1. Momentum Momentum D1 D1 momentum is currently contracting. We need to wait for a strong bearish daily close to confirm a momentum reversal. Once confirmed, the market may enter a downward phase lasting 4–5 days. Momentum H4 H4 momentum is also narrowing, suggesting a potential short-term downside reversal. However, note the following: • Price highs and momentum highs are forming higher highs and higher lows, which still supports the bullish structure. • If H4 momentum truly reverses and moves into the oversold zone, price must break below 4142 to confirm a structural break and signal a genuine trend reversal. Momentum H1 H1 momentum is turning downward and is aligned with H4. I expect the current price area to be the potential wave top. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure Wave Structure D1 The D1 wave structure remains unchanged. With D1 momentum still converging, price action continues to show slow upward movement. • If price breaks above 4243, the 5-wave structure of the purple Y wave is invalidated. • In that case, a different wave structure will be triggered (as mentioned in the previous plan), and I will update you when it occurs. Wave Structure H4 We continue to follow the green ABC corrective structure, with price currently in wave C (green). • As H4 momentum is in the overbought zone, I expect the current region to be the top of wave C. • If H4 momentum dips into the oversold zone and price breaks below 4142, this will confirm a structural breakdown. • However, if momentum enters oversold while price stays above 4142, we must be prepared for a continued bullish move. Wave Structure H1 Yesterday, the RSI on H1 showed divergence, suggesting a possible completion of wave C. However, with the additional push during the Asian session, wave C likely extended further. Price is now at the target zone calculated earlier. • With D1, H4, and H1 momentum all preparing to reverse, I expect the current price zone to be the top of wave C. ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan The current price region remains our preferred SELL zone. During the next H4 momentum cycle: • If momentum enters the oversold zone but price fails to break below 4142, we should consider exiting early to protect capital. Trade Setup • Sell Zone: 4187 – 4190 • Stop Loss (SL): 4210 • TP1: 4158 • TP2: 4112 • TP3: 4081
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
“BOS Confirmed — Demand Retest for Next Bullish Leg🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Setup from High Probability Demand Zone 🆙 🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Insights Price created a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside → confirming bullish momentum ✔️ Retested the Demand Line + Support Zone → buyers defending strongly 💪 High Probability POI (previous accumulation zone) remains valid with liquidity swept below → smart money accumulation evidence 💰 Current pullback = healthy retracement into demand before potential continuation 🎯 Targets (With stickers) 🎯 Target Zone Price Region Sticker TP1 → Retest recent high 4,165 – 4,175 🎯 TP2 → Liquidity above highs / extended target 4,180 – 4,195 🚀💸 TP1 hit possibility is HIGH due to bullish structure 📈 TP2 depends on strength of breakout ⬆️ 📌 Trade Idea (High Probability Setup) 🟩 Buy Entry Zone: ➤ 4,120 – 4,130 (pullback entry at support) 🟢 Take-Profit: ➤ TP1: 4,170 – TP2: 4,190 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3+ ✔️ 🧭 Market Structure Sentiment Factor Outlook Trend Bullish 📈 Liquidity Upside still available 💧 Smart Money behavior Accumulation & continuation expected 💼 ⚠️ Just watch if price breaks below the demand line → would weaken this bullish plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
BTC/USD – Support Reclaim Signals Potential Bullish ContinuationChart Analysis 1. Key Support Zone (≈ 90,350 – 90,920) Your chart highlights a strong support zone where price previously reacted. Price has reclaimed this area, showing that buyers stepped in aggressively. This support aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, strengthening its validity. 2. Current Price Structure BTC is consolidating just above support, forming a minor bullish structure. A higher-low formation is visible, suggesting buyers remain in control. The drawn white arrow also suggests an expected retest before continuation. 3. Local Resistance Cluster (≈ 92,500 – 94,000) The upper shaded zone marks a major resistance, possibly a supply region. This aligns with Fib extension levels (2.618–3.618). This is the area where sellers are likely to show up again. 4. Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Chart) If BTC holds above 90,920, a rally toward the resistance zone is likely. The large grey projection box indicates a potential move to ~93,500–94,000. Momentum from the recent strong bullish candle also supports the upside. 5. Bearish Risk Scenario Losing 90,350 on strong volume could invalidate the bullish setup. If that happens, price may revisit 87,500–88,000 (Fib confluence).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 27/11/20251. Momentum D1: D1 momentum is contracting and preparing to reverse. We need to wait for today’s daily candle to close to confirm the reversal signal. If confirmed, the market may enter a downward phase lasting around 4–5 days. H4: H4 momentum continues to decline and is approaching the oversold zone. This indicates that the current downward move is weakening, and a corrective bounce is likely once H4 momentum reverses in the oversold area. H1: H1 momentum is also decreasing and moving toward the oversold zone. Therefore, we expect a mild bounce once H1 momentum turns upward. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1: The wave structure on H4 remains unchanged from previous analysis. The key difference is that D1 momentum has now contracted and shows signs of reversal, strengthening the scenario of a continuation of the purple Y wave. The completion of this Y wave will likely align with the moment D1 momentum descends into the oversold zone and reverses. H4: On the H4 timeframe, the blue ABC corrective structure is close to completion, and the market is currently in the final stage of wave C. Based on H4 momentum reversal cycles, a series of lower highs and lower lows suggests that the ABC structure is likely complete and price is in the final phase of wave Y. H1: On H1, a 5-wave black structure is forming. In yesterday’s analysis, I presented two scenarios and explained the characteristics of each. With D1 momentum now reversing, I am leaning toward the scenario where the 5 black waves represent the C wave of the blue structure. Yesterday’s targets for wave 5 (black) and wave C (blue) were truncated — price only reached 4173.8 and failed to touch 4184. Since then, the market has been moving sideways within a wide range. Key observations: • Price rose but failed to break the 4173.8 high. • Price later dropped near 4137. • RSI showed bearish divergence from wave 3 (black): price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs → suggesting wave 5 likely completed as an Ending Diagonal. At this stage, I want to see price break below 4137 before H4 momentum reverses upward. This would provide additional confirmation that the ABC corrective structure has completed. The 4058 zone continues to be a strong liquidity area to look for sell entries under the assumption that wave 5 has finished. ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Sell Zone: 4158 – 4160 SL: 4178 TP1: 4081 TP2: 4020 TP3: 3958
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 26, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis D1 (Daily) Daily momentum is deeply inside the overbought zone, meaning the probability of a bearish reversal is very high—possibly today or tomorrow. This upcoming downward phase will align with the next downward cycle of D1 momentum. H4 H4 momentum is currently rising. Therefore, price may: • Continue with another upward push, or • Move sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone. H1 H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward, suggesting that a short-term bearish move on H1 may appear very soon. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 The overall D1 structure remains unchanged from the previous plan. The only difference is that D1 momentum has pushed deeper into the overbought region, increasing the likelihood of a reversal either today or tomorrow. H4 Price is forming a green ABC corrective structure, and it appears price is approaching the final stage of wave C (green). With H4 momentum turning upward, price may still produce: • One more small push upward, or • A mild sideways upward drift to complete wave C. H1 On H1, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5, black). This creates two possible interpretations: Scenario 1 (Primary Expectation) This 5-wave pattern represents wave C (green) inside the ABC correction of wave 2 (red). → Since wave C is always a 5-wave structure, this scenario is fully consistent with Elliott Wave rules and remains our main working count. Scenario 2 The 5-wave structure is actually the beginning of a new trend, potentially forming wave 1 of a larger bullish cycle. Although there isn’t enough evidence to support this scenario yet, the mere presence of a clean 5-wave structure means we must keep this possibility in mind. ________________________________________ 3. Relationship Between D1 Momentum & Wave Structure The previous downward and upward swings inside wave Y (purple) on D1 correspond almost perfectly with the downward and upward cycles of D1 momentum. D1 is now overbought and preparing to turn down. ➡️ Therefore, the upcoming corrective decline is extremely important. Case 1 – Price holds above 4021 If D1 momentum reaches oversold territory and turns upward without price breaking below 4021, then: • The current 5-wave structure may represent wave 1, • The upcoming decline will be wave 2, • When D1 momentum turns upward → wave 2 finishes. Case 2 – Price breaks below 4020 If D1 momentum reverses upward from oversold but price breaks below 4020: • The current 5-wave structure is wave C (green), • Price will extend downward to complete wave Y, • Wave Y completes when D1 momentum turns upward again. 🎯 In both scenarios, the next key move is still a downward leg. ________________________________________ 4. Wave C Target Levels Yesterday, two targets were provided: • 4158 • 4184 – 4193 Price already hit 4158, then reversed strongly, producing 300 pips profit. We now expect the remaining target 4184 – 4193 to act as the primary sell zone. ________________________________________ 5. Trading Plan 📍 Sell Zone: 4184 – 4185 • SL: 4205 • TP1: 4123 • TP2: 4081 • TP3: 4020
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
WHICH SIDE TO CHOOSE TODAY — BUY OR SELL?1. Quick Market Context PPI, Core PPI, and Retail Sales came in weak → low inflation → Fed may cut rates in December. Price has broken out of the H4 accumulation zone → BUY bias for today. Tonight we have Unemployment Claims → if the data is higher → XAU tends to continue rising. ✅ MAIN STRATEGY – BUY ON DIP 📌 All setups follow SL 100 pips – TP 100 pips 🎯 BUY ZONE 1 (Primary Entry) 4130 – 4136 → Open BUY. → Retest zone after breakout. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 BUY ZONE 2 (Major Support Zone) 4108 – 4113 → Strong BUY zone. → If broken → deeper correction possible. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🔵 POTENTIAL BUY ZONES (SWING ENTRIES) Use for bottom-picking with flexible RR (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4...) 4100 – 4102 4092 – 4094 4088 4060 – 4066 → For swing setups: SL/TP depends on larger RR (not fixed 10 pips). ❌ SECONDARY STRATEGY – SELL REACTION (COUNTERTREND / QUICK SCALP) 📌 SELL setups also follow SL 10 pips – TP 10 pips. 🎯 SELL ZONE 1 (Strongest Reaction Area) 4192 – 4195 → Short SELL for quick reaction. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 SELL ZONE 2 4200 – 4202 → Psychological resistance → SELL scalp. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 SELL ZONE (Fibo Extension) 4180 – 4187 → Short-term SELL for a small pullback. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🔶 BI / INVALIDATION ZONES If price breaks these levels → short-term trend shifts: Break below 4108 → BUY invalid → potential drop to 4100 / 4092. Break above 4202 → SELL invalid → upside extension toward 4215 – 4220. ⚠️ Risk Management Manage your capital strictly, observe market reactions, and adjust accordingly. This plan is for reference only, not financial advice. Trade responsibly. Have a good day, guys!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup Toward Liquidity TargetsChart Analysis Your chart shows a potential bearish reversal on XAUUSD with a clear smart-money structure. Here’s the breakdown: 1. Market Structure Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) indicate a shift from bullish momentum to bearish intent. Price made a final sweep / liquidity grab at the recent high before sharply dropping into your marked entry zone. 2. Entry Zone The “ENTRY” mark aligns with: A bearish mitigation zone from the last up-move A distribution pattern forming (rounded top + BOS) This suggests institutional selling activity. 3. Target One – 4,080.064 This level is a logical first target because: It aligns with previous demand acting as newly created liquidity. You expect a corrective pullback before continuation—your white zig-zag path reflects this. 4. Target Two – 4,040.652 A deeper liquidity pool and the next major imbalance area. If price breaks Target One, momentum likely accelerates. This is the main downside liquidity sweep zone. 5. Context The shaded half-circle structures highlight swing points where price formed lower highs, reinforcing the bearish narrative. The clean equal-lows and imbalances under price give strong bearish draw-on-liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 25/11/2025 1. Momentum D1 D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone and is showing early signs of reversal. This indicates the current bullish leg is weakening. Today or tomorrow, if a strong bearish D1 candle appears, it will likely confirm the reversal. H4 H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone, with the lines sticking tightly together — a typical sign that a reversal could happen at any moment. Once we see a bearish H4 candle close, we can consider the current high as a potential top. H1 H1 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward. This means price may still show one more short-term bullish correction or move sideways before any meaningful decline. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 Yesterday’s bullish daily candle did not change the D1 wave count. We are still in the Y wave (purple). However, one critical point needs attention: • D1 momentum is already overbought. • When D1 momentum rolls over, what we want to see is: o Price failing to break the current X-wave high, and o A strong, sharp decline to complete wave Y. If price does not decline sharply as expected, the market may shift into a more complex corrective structure — such as a triangle or a larger WXY formation. I will update the count if that scenario develops. ________________________________________ H4 Yesterday’s bullish move broke above the previous wave (2) high. This invalidates the 5-wave scenario and confirms that the structure is instead forming a 3-wave corrective pattern. With H4 momentum turning down and D1 momentum already overbought, the current price region is highly likely to be the top of wave 2. ________________________________________ H1 A clear 3-wave ABC corrective pattern has completed. Wave C (blue) now reaches the target area around 4158, making this a very attractive region to look for Sell entries. However, keep in mind: • H1 momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward. • This suggests price may still push slightly higher or move sideways before H1 reaches the overbought zone. The best Sell timing will be when H1 and H4 momentum align together in overbought zones. ________________________________________ 3. Key Liquidity Zones Two important liquidity areas lie ahead: • 4143 • 4184 If price holds above 4143, the probability of reaching 4184 increases — especially with H1 momentum turning upward. Because H1 momentum is about to rise, it is difficult to find a precise Sell entry at 4143–4158–4184 without waiting for a clear price reaction. The safest approach is to wait for bearish confirmation signals at each zone. For my personal plan: • First attempt to catch the top with a small position at 4158. • Second attempt at 4184 if price extends further. ________________________________________ 4. Trade Plan 📌 Sell Zone 1 • 4156 – 4158 • SL: 4168 • TP1: 4123 • TP2: 4081 • TP3: 4020 📌 Sell Zone 2 • 4184 – 4185 • SL: 4205 • TP1: 4123 • TP2: 4081 • TP3: 4020
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
HOW FAR WILL GOLD RISE? 1. MARKET CONTEXT Yesterday, during the Asian and European sessions, gold prices mainly moved sideways – accumulating within a narrow range. In the U.S. session, gold prices broke strongly through the 413X region and formed: Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (iH&S) The upward structure returns → buyers dominate This indicates that the upward momentum has returned, and the market leans towards continuing to rise if it does not break the important support area. Fundamental factors supporting buyers The market is expecting the Fed to cut interest rates in December. Tonight there is PPI news — an important indicator directly affecting inflation expectations and Fed expectations. → This could be a catalyst for strong volatility in the U.S. session. 2. MAIN TRADING DIRECTION FOR THE DAY ➡️ Prioritize BUY (look to buy) according to the main trend. ➡️ SELL is only reactive – for retracement, not the main trend. 3. POTENTIAL BUY ZONES Beautiful support areas to look for buying opportunities today: 📍 BUY zone 1 – Nearest 413X (early day resistance and yesterday's breakout area) → Beautiful entry area for scalping or buy follow trend. 📍 BUY zone 2 4100 – 4103 → Psychological support & structural confluence area. 📍 BUY zone 3 4088 – 4090 📍 BUY zone 4 4060 – 4065 → Strong support area, look to catch the bottom in case of deep price correction. 4. REACTIVE SELL ZONES (ONLY SELL FOR RETRACEMENT) Only sell when price hits the area — clear rejection signals appear: 📍 SELL zone 1 (nearest) 4180 – 4186 📍 SELL zone 2 4190 – 4195 📍 SELL zone 3 4202 – 4205 Safe SELL conditions: Only sell counter-trend, prioritize scalping. If these areas are strongly broken + H1/H4 candle closes, consider buyers winning, then do not sell anymore. 5. CAPITAL MANAGEMENT – RISK MANAGEMENT SL = 10 points TP = 10 points RR ratio = 1:1.2 Do not hold positions through PPI news if not really sure about the pattern. 6. NOTES ON METHOD Buy orders will dominate the day. Sell only when there is a strong reaction at resistance. Scalping: open orders on smaller timeframes (M1–M5–M15) to optimize Entry. Always wait for price action confirmation (pinbar, engulfing, retest…) before entering orders. 7. SUMMARY Today's tendency is mainly BUY, based on: The return of the upward trend Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern Expectations of a dovish Fed PPI news triggering volatility Wishing everyone an effective trading day — total victory! 🔥💹
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations 📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance) Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line 📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support) Buyers defending higher lows Strong bullish reaction off support 💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$) Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up 🟢 Bullish Confirmation If price holds above demand line + support zone Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest 🎯 Suitable Target Levels Target Level (Approx) Status 🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest 🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation 📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario) Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩 Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌ Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯 Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀 RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈 🧭 Market Sentiment 📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish 🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line ⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 21/11/2025 1. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum is contracting, signaling a potential reversal. If today’s candle confirms this, it will further support the continuation of wave Y. H4: H4 momentum has turned downward, so the expectation for today remains bearish movement. H1: H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting a small corrective bounce. However, in the current context, price is likely to remain sideways within the 4046 – 4081 range. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 – Higher timeframe With D1 momentum preparing to turn down, the continuation of wave Y is reinforced. But since momentum is near the oversold zone, two potential scenarios may unfold: 1️⃣ Strong decline: A sharp drop may break 3888, opening the way toward deeper targets such as 3746. 2️⃣ Weak decline – Compression: Price may continue down but fail to break 3888. Once momentum turns upward again, a new trend could form. ________________________________________ H4 – Pattern outlook The H4 structure remains unclear—price may still be in wave (3) or wave (2). • If it is wave (3), strong bearish candles or a test of 4001 should appear. • If price keeps moving sideways without breaking 4001 until H4 momentum reaches oversold, the current move is likely wave B of an ABC correction inside wave 2. Based on the current depth of wave B, wave C is estimated to target 4175. ________________________________________ H1 – Lower timeframe Wave 2 (green) is taking longer than ideal, but not enough to invalidate the current labeling. The 4081 resistance is very strong and serves as our sell zone. Below, the 4020 support is equally important: • A sharp decline with H1 closing below 4020 may trigger a larger bearish continuation. • Typically, price reacts with a bounce when it first touches this area. ________________________________________ 3. Trade Plan Sell Zone: 4073 – 4075 SL: 4093 TP1: 4020 TP2: 3958 TP3: 3885
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown: 1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side) Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent. CHoCH followed by accumulation zones. Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points). Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation. 2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength. Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible. Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone. 3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right) Market reaches Premium Ceil­ing Zone. Signs of exhaustion appear: Lower high formations Reversal zone highlighted Shift in character from expansion → distribution 4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming The chart shows: A potential descending structure Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902 Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700 These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing. 5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached Smart money distributing positions Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
Gold (XAU/USD) 2H Chart Analysis – Sell Setup from High ProbabilBased on the chart you provided, Gold is currently reacting near a High Probability POI (supply zone) after a corrective bullish move. The structure still shows: Lower highs and lower lows → Bearish market structure Price is approaching a supply zone where sellers previously dominated Liquidity has been taken above internal highs (marked as "$$$"), indicating a liquidity grab This supports a short position idea from the supply zone. 🔍 Key Technical Levels Zone / Level Meaning 4,125 – 4,150 USD High Probability POI / Supply (Sell area) 4,080 – 4,100 USD Entry region (price is currently here) 4,040 – 4,025 USD First reaction / partial take zone (50% area) 3,990 – 4,000 USD Main Target (previous demand + equal lows) 🎯 Suggested Target Primary Target: $4,000 (Exactly aligning with your chart’s marked “TARGET” zone where liquidity sits) If momentum continues and structure breaks more aggressively: Extended Target: $3,975 – $3,960 (deeper sweep into demand) 🛑 Risk Management Detail Level Stop Loss Above 4,155 USD (beyond POI + liquidity) R:R Potential Approx. 1:3 to 1:4 📌 Summary Price has retraced into a key supply zone Liquidity was taken → seller confirmation likely Expectation is continuation downward towards the liquidity pool below 📊 Title Recommendation: “Gold Retests Supply Zone – Bearish Continuation Toward $4,000 Expected”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 24.11.25(XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 24.11.25). 🔍 What the Chart Shows Your chart displays a buy setup on the 1-hour timeframe with the following key elements: 🟦 1. Support Zone (S1) Price is reacting from the horizontal support zone. This zone aligns with the 1H uptrend line, adding confluence. Good demand area. 📉 2. Trendline Support (1H Uptrend) The price is touching the ascending trendline, indicating continuation of the uptrend. 🔦 3. Hammer Candle Confirmation A bullish hammer candle is highlighted (yellow box). This indicates seller exhaustion and possible reversal to upside. This candle gives confidence for a buy entry. 🎯 4. Entry, SL, TP Entry: At the hammer candle close near 4043–4045 zone. Stop Loss: Below support zone and trendline (~4020–4025 zone). Target: Back to Resistance R2, around 4100+ zone. Risk/Reward: 1:4 shown — good reward potential. 🟪 5. Resistance Levels Resistance R1: Mid chart area. Resistance R2: Strong resistance zone near 4100+. 📌 Overall Summary Your setup is logically structured with: Support + Trendline confluence Hammer reversal confirmation Clean R:R Uptrend continuation expectation This is a valid 1H buy setup based on price action and structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November W4, 2025 1. Momentum W1 – Weekly timeframe Weekly momentum is showing early signs of a reversal. If next week forms a confirmed bullish weekly candle, the market may enter 4–5 consecutive bullish weeks, pushing weekly momentum into the overbought zone. D1 – Daily timeframe Daily momentum continues to rise, suggesting the market may experience 1–2 more days of upward movement before reaching the overbought region. H4 – 4-hour timeframe H4 momentum remains bullish, indicating that Monday is likely to show a continuation of upward movement or sideways consolidation. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure Weekly Structure (W1) The last three weekly candles are bullish, but not strongly decisive: • Two candles have short bodies • One is a bullish candle with an upper wick This behavior suggests the market is completing wave X (purple). Therefore, the main expectation is a continued decline to complete wave Y (purple) toward the lower target zones. Once wave Y finishes and weekly momentum confirms reversal, a new major bullish trend is likely to begin. ________________________________________ Daily Structure (D1) • Wave X (purple) is likely complete. • Price is now progressing within wave Y (purple). Inside wave Y: • Wave 1 (red) appears to have finished. • Price is currently in wave 2 (red) or has already started the early phase of wave 3 (red). 🔸 Key confirmation level: A break below 4001 would confirm that the market has entered wave 3 (red), leading to a sharp and decisive decline. 🔸 Alternative scenario: Because D1 momentum is still rising, wave 2 (red) may be forming a WXY corrective pattern (green zigzag), meaning the market may still produce a final upward swing before the next strong decline. ________________________________________ 3. H4 Wave Structure At the moment, there are two scenarios in line with the D1 structure: • The market may already be in the early phase of wave 3 (red). • Or price is completing the final leg of the WXY correction of wave 2 (red) (indicated by the green zigzag). The zone around 4081 currently acts as the balance area, also the region with the highest traded volume (green POC line). • If price stays below 4081 during Monday, the probability favors wave 3 (red), meaning strong support zones 4020 and 3958 are likely to break. • If price stays above 4081, upside targets at 4145 and 4184 become ideal levels for completing wave 2 (red). ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 📌 Preferred Limit Sell Zones: • 4145 • 4184 📌 Direct Sell Zone: • 4020 → only valid if a strong H4 candle closes below 4020, followed by a retest. A more detailed trading plan will be updated on Monday, once fresh market data becomes available.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Bullish Retracement Setup from Support Zone Toward Key Re1. Market Structure Price is currently trading near a major support zone (~4055–4060 area), highlighted in blue. Multiple rejections from this zone in the past indicate strong buying interest. The structure shows higher lows forming intraday, suggesting bullish pressure building. 2. Key Zones 🔵 Support Zone (Entry Region) Marked around 4055–4060. Price dipped into this zone and bounced, showing a potential demand area for long positions. 🔵 Resistance Level (First Target Region) Around 4081–4098. This is the first major resistance the price is likely to test after bouncing. 🔵 Final Target Zone 4120 area, the upper major resistance. Previous highs around this level show strong selling interest historically. 3. Expected Price Movement The chart suggests a potential bullish move: Price bounces from the support (entry) area. Climbs toward 4081 (minor resistance). Retraces slightly. Continues upward toward 4097–4100. Final push toward 4120 target zone. This is a classic retracement + continuation bullish structure. 4. Trade Idea Bias: Bullish Entry: 4055–4060 (support zone) First TP: 4081 Second TP: 4097–4100 Final Target: 4120 Stop Loss: Below 4050 (beneath support zone)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 20, 20251. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum is turning upward, suggesting the market may see a mild bullish retracement or continue moving sideways within a narrow range. H4: H4 momentum is also preparing to turn upward. This indicates that today we may see a slight bullish push on the H4 chart, or price may continue to move sideways. H1: H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward, meaning we may see a small corrective bounce or continued sideways movement. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1: Price is currently moving sideways with small candle bodies. Combined with rising momentum, this suggests the market may continue forming a short-range corrective bounce. H4: Our main expectation remains a 5-wave structure for wave Y (purple). Currently, price may be: • Entering the early phase of wave 3, or • Still completing wave 2. 👉 A clear confirmation for wave 3 will only come when price breaks below 4001. At that point, we expect price action to turn fast and steep—characteristics of a true wave 3 decline. H1: I have temporarily labeled the current structure as a bearish wave sequence since our primary bias is a developing red wave 3. In this scenario, price may already be in the early part of wave 3. ❗️If price breaks above the green wave 2 high at 4097, this wave count becomes invalid. It would mean the market is still in red wave 2, and I will update the plan if that happens. ________________________________________ 3. Trade Plan Sell Zone: 4093 – 4096 SL: 4016 TP1: 4000 TP2: 3885 TP3: 3746
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 21.11.25XAUUSD / GOLD 1H SELL projection based on the chart you uploaded: ✅ Overall View The chart shows a confirmed uptrend line break + clean retest, which is a strong bearish signal on 1H timeframe. Your setup is technically correct and follows proper structure. 📉 SELL SETUP ANALYSIS 1. Entry Zone Your entry is placed exactly at the support → turned resistance zone after the trendline break + retest. This is a smart location because: Price rejected the retest Previous support is now acting as resistance Weak bullish candles on retest confirm sellers are active 🛑 Stop Loss Stop loss is placed above the retest wick, which is correct. Because: If price moves above this, structure becomes bullish again SL protects you from fake breakout 🎯 Targets TP1 – Resistance 1 (Now Support Zone) Good first target. High probability area where price may react. TP2 – R2 This level has strong confluence: Previous consolidation zone Fresh liquidity area High chance price may reach here if bearish momentum continues. TP3 – R3 (Final Target) This is your deep liquidity zone ($$$). Smart money usually reaches this zone after trend reversal. ⭐ Trade Quality Rating: 9/10 Reasons: Trendline break + retest = strong confirmation Clean structure Proper RR setup Logical TP placements SL placed safely 📌 Suggested Trade Plan Enter only if candle closes below your entry zone again Book partial profits at TP1 At TP1: move SL to breakeven Let runner hit TP2 / TP3
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonasir