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XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
“Gold (XAU/USD) – Breakout Play from Resistance (1-Hour View)Chart Structure & Key Levels You’ve drawn a resistance zone above current price. The label “this is the resistance area here if break we will hold” points to a horizontal resistance line or zone. You also show a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance. On the lower side, you mark LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) points, implying the prior structure was in a downtrend or consolidation. Your trade setup (green = target area, red = stop area) suggests you are expecting a break above resistance and a move upward with three target levels:  • TP1 at ~ 3,759.74  • TP2 at ~ 3,779.03  • TP3 at ~ 3,799.67 What Your Setup Implies (and Risks) Bullish Bias on Breakout You are expecting that if price breaks above the resistance zone + trendline, that resistance may flip into support, allowing the price to rally further. This is a classic breakout reversal expectation. If the breakout is confirmed (with strong candle close above, ideally with volume), then the path is “clearer” for your targets. Stop / Risk Control Your red zone (stop area) is placed below the resistance/trendline region. If price fails and falls back below this, your trade idea would be invalidated. Target Levels Logic TP1 is relatively conservative, just above resistance. TP2 and TP3 stretch further to capture the upside momentum if the breakout has strength. Additional Considerations & Technical Tips Confirm the Breakout Don’t just enter on a quick wick above resistance. Wait for a sustained close above the zone (on your timeframe) to reduce the chance of a false breakout. Check volume: higher-than-average volume on the breakout gives it more credibility. Watch for Retest Often after a breakout, price returns to retest the broken resistance (which now may act as support). This retest can offer a better entry with lower risk. Manage Risk Aggressively The more distant your TP3, the more room for price to reverse. Consider scaling out of the trade (taking partial profits as price hits TP1, TP2) to lock in gains. Keep an Eye on Macro / Fundamental Factors Gold (XAU/USD) is sensitive to U.S. monetary policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and geopolitical risk. For example, stronger U.S. data or hawkish Fed statements could work against a bullish breakout in gold. Divergences & Momentum Indicators Use RSI / MACD / ADX to check whether momentum supports your breakout idea. If momentum is weak or showing divergence, be cautious. Timeframe Alignment Make sure that higher timeframes (4H, daily) are not giving strong bearish signals conflicting with your breakout bias on the 1-hour chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 28/09/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still declining → next week we may continue to see sideways movement or further downside following D1 momentum. • H4: Momentum is also decreasing → on Monday, we expect a continuation of the downtrend. • H1: Momentum is oversold and preparing to rise → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term upward move is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: o Price is still within wave 5 (yellow). o If D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and then turns upward, but price remains sideways without reaching 3632, then wave 5 (yellow) may still extend toward the second target at 3887. • H4 timeframe: o A corrective WXY structure is forming. o With H4 momentum turning down, it is likely that wave Y is unfolding. • H1 timeframe: o A declining ABC (blue) structure appeared, followed by a rising ABC (blue) structure toward 3784. o Within this, wave B formed a triangle abcde (red). o This shows two ABC (blue) corrective structures developing within the adjustment, suggesting multiple possibilities for wave Y: 1️⃣ Flat 3-3-5: Wave Y may unfold as a 5-wave sharp decline, with an ideal target around 3713 → this is the expected Buy zone. 2️⃣ Triangle: Price may consolidate sideways above 3718 → patience is required to wait for the pattern to complete. 3️⃣ Large-scale Triangle: If the entire correction is a triangle, price will also sideway above 3718 → wait for completion before acting. • Note: If price breaks above 3792, it may confirm that the corrective structure is complete → next upside target would be 3810. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3714 – 3711 • SL: 3703 • TP: 3733 ________________________________________ 👉 Conclusion: The optimal approach is to wait for confirmation: • Either the triangle structure completes, • Or price declines into the 3713 – 3711 zone to set up a Buy entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Jobs vs. Inflation: Gold Steady Before PCE ShowdownHello, investors! Gold saw only a marginal 0.1% gain, closing at $3,739.42/oz on September 25. This struggle was due to better-than-expected US jobs data (jobless claims dropped sharply), which slightly pared back the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut in October (down to 85%). However, Gold maintains support from dovish Fed comments and potential political instability (like Trump's proposed 100% drug tariff). The entire market focus now shifts to today's (Sept 26) PCE Inflation Report. Expert Alert: If the PCE data is hotter than anticipated, Gold could face sharp, temporary downward pressure. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern and has yet to break the $375x resistance. While more selling pressure is possible before the PCE release, the long-term trend remains bullish. Outlook: Prioritize Buy if the price maintains above the Key Level $373x. If the news causes the price to break $373x, be ready to flip the strategy to Sell. Key Resistance: $3755, $3768, $3778 Key Support: $3738, $3727, $3712 Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3739 - $3737 SL: $3733 TP: $3742 - $3747 - $3752 - $3757 - $3767 BUY ZONE Zone: $3704 - $3702 SL: $3694 TP: $3712 - $3722 - $3732 - $3742 - $3762 SELL ZONE Zone: $3776 - $3778 SL: $3786 TP: $3768 - $3758 - $3748 - $3728 - $3708 The market is at a critical juncture. What is your game plan for today? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #PCE #Fed #Inflation #TradingView #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 26, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Currently decreasing → the corrective trend is likely to continue. It may take about 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter the oversold zone, after which a reversal could occur. • H4: Momentum is rising → today we may see a bullish move or sideways range. • H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term bullish reversal is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: o As analyzed previously, wave 5 (yellow) has already reached its first target at 3789. o It may take around 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter oversold → showing that the bearish leg is weakening. o Considering depth and time, the market is likely within wave 4 of wave 5. Once the correction completes, the uptrend should resume toward the second target. • H4: o A WXY corrective structure is developing. o The ABC (blue) has completed wave W → the market may now be in wave X, followed by a Y-wave decline to finish the correction. • H1: o Wave X appears to be forming a triangle, currently in the final wave e. o However:  If price rises sharply above 3762, it would suggest the corrective phase is already completed.  The target area for wave e is around 3752 → potential Sell zone.  If price breaks below 3729, it confirms wave Y is in play, targeting 3713 and 3698 → potential Buy zones. ⚠️ Note: If the Buy target is reached first, the Sell setup will be canceled. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan 🔻 Sell Zone • Entry: 3751 – 3753 • SL: 3761 • TP: 3729 ________________________________________ 🔺 Buy Zone 1 • Entry: 3714 – 3712 • SL: 3704 • TP: 3751 ________________________________________ 🔺 Buy Zone 2 • Entry: 3699 – 3696 • SL: 3686 • TP: 3751
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? Hello, investors! Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news? Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are: Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26. Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term. Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"? Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point. Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776 Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692 The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 25, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum on the daily chart has turned bearish, indicating that the main downtrend may continue. • H4: Momentum on H4 is about to turn bullish, suggesting a possible upward move today. However, if this bullish reversal fails to break the previous high, the downtrend will remain intact. • H1: Momentum on H1 is declining and about to enter the oversold zone. This downward move may need around 2 more H1 candles before entering oversold territory and reversing. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: o The first target of wave 5 (yellow) was reached at 3789. o Price is currently reacting at this level. With D1 momentum turning bearish, there is a strong possibility that wave 5 (yellow) has already completed, meaning price could move towards 3632 and potentially break below it. • H4: An ABC corrective structure (blue) has formed, opening three scenarios: 1. The correction is complete → price rallies strongly, breaking the previous high to continue the uptrend. 2. Price rallies but with overlap, forming a Flat 3-3-5 pattern → price may rise toward the previous high at 3793. 3. Price remains in a zigzag structure → another decline may occur to complete wave C. 👉 Given the bearish momentum on D1, I lean more towards scenario 2 and 3. 👉 Note: In scenarios (1) and (2), price must hold above 3729, then break 3752, which could lead to a minimum rally towards 3777. • H1: Under scenario 3 (further decline to complete wave C): o Price may break below 3718. o Wave 5 (black) targets:  3713 (first target).  3698 (second target). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3729 – 3726 o SL: 3717 o TP: 3751 • Buy Zone 2: 3714 – 3711 o SL: 3703 o TP: 3751 ________________________________________ ⚠️ Important Note The market is likely in a corrective wave at a higher structure. • Characteristic: Price often shows overlapping moves. • Therefore: Manage trades carefully, avoid over-risking, as reversals can happen at any time – this is typical of corrective waves.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 24, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum D1 • Daily momentum is currently rising. • So far, we have counted 4 bullish candles, which is the minimum requirement to complete a momentum cycle. • There may be 1–2 more daily candles before momentum enters the overbought zone and reverses. H4 • H4 momentum is in the oversold zone and about to reverse. • The upcoming H4 bullish swing is critical: o If it breaks the previous high → the uptrend continues, and we can expect another 1–2 daily bullish candles before reversal. o If it fails to break the high → we must prepare for a reversal scenario. H1 • H1 momentum is also heading into the oversold zone. • This creates a confluence between H4 and H1, signaling a possible bullish move ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 • The yellow wave ⑤ has reached its first target at 3789. • This is a strong resistance zone because: o It aligns with the 0.382 Fibo retracement of waves ①–③ yellow. o Wave ⑤ equals the length of wave ① yellow. • If D1 momentum enters the overbought zone and price fails to break 3789, this may mark the top of wave ⑤ yellow, potentially triggering a sharp and prolonged decline. H4 • Price has already seen a 5-candle decline on H4, with momentum in the oversold zone → this correction is near completion. • Two possibilities: 1. It is wave ④ of wave ⑤ yellow. 2. It is the start of wave ① of a new bearish structure. • If the next bullish move fails to break the previous high, the bearish wave ① scenario is confirmed, leading to a wave ③ decline with strong and steep characteristics. H1 • A deeper and longer correction than previous ones has appeared, which is unusual, especially since price already reached the first target of wave ⑤ yellow. • However, we should not rush to catch the top, as this unusual behavior is only visible on H1, while H4 and D1 still look normal. • If this is wave ④, or wave ① of a bearish structure, or even just wave A → the next move should still bring a bullish swing confluence, providing an opportunity to look for Buy entries. ________________________________________ 🔹 Key Support Zones • 3747 – 3737 • 3729 ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan Scenario 1: • Buy Zone: 3747 – 3744 • SL: 3735 • TP: 3774 Scenario 2: • Buy Zone: 3730 – 3727 • SL: 3720 • TP: 3767
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Sets New Record: Rate Hopes Driving Price HigherHello, traders! Gold surged to a record high of $3,726.19/oz on September 22, fuelled by growing investor expectations for a clearer Fed rate-cutting path. Traders are now betting on two more rate cuts this year with a very high probability. The growth drivers have shifted from being primarily central bank and Asian demand to now include strong buying from Western investors, as shown by increased holdings in gold ETFs. Upcoming speeches from Fed officials and the core PCE inflation data this week will be key in determining the market's next direction. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is in a strong uptrend and is continuously setting new highs. While there was a minor correction, the bullish momentum remains intact. Shorting near resistance levels is highly risky. Outlook: Continue to prioritize Buy positions if gold holds above $370x. Resistance: $3785, $3794, $3804 Support: $3774, $3764, $3754 Suggested Trading Strategy: Buy Scalp: Zone $3765 - $3763, SL $3759 Buy Zone: Zone $3754 - $3752, SL $3744 Sell Zone: Zone $3800 - $3802, SL $3810 The market is highly volatile. Do you think gold can hit the $3,800 mark this week? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD/GOLD 30 MIN BUY PROJECTION 23.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 30-min buy projection chart you shared for 23.09.25. Here’s the breakdown of what the chart indicates: 🔎 Chart Analysis Trend: Price is moving within a bullish (upward) channel, shown by the blue trend lines. Entry Zone: Around 3749.687 (marked as ENTRY, just above Support 1). Stop Loss (SL): Around 3743.131, below the 30-min FVG (Fair Value Gap). Supports: Support 1: ~3749 zone Support 2: ~3755–3757 zone Take Profits: TP1: Around 3765–3767 level (mid-channel target). TP2 (ATH – All-Time High for this projection): Around 3783–3785. Projection Path: Price expected to bounce near entry zone → rise towards TP1 → possible pullback → continue bullish momentum towards TP2 ATH following the 30-min uptrend line. ⚡ Trading Idea (based on chart) Buy Entry: ~3749 Stoploss: ~3743 TP1: ~3765 TP2: ~3783 This setup offers a risk-reward ratio > 1:3, which is strong for an intraday buy trade. 👉 Do you want me to calculate the exact risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup so you can evaluate position sizing?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonasir
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 23, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is in an uptrend, currently on the 3rd bullish candle of the cycle. This suggests we may see at least 2 more bullish daily candles from now. • H4: Momentum has turned bearish, indicating the possibility of a corrective decline within today’s H4 structure. • H1: Momentum has already turned bearish and is approaching oversold territory. This shows the current decline is weakening, and a short-term rebound is likely. However, if momentum turns back up and enters the overbought zone but fails to break the previous high, another bearish leg may follow. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1: After completing wave 4 (yellow), price broke the previous high, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Wave 5 (yellow) targets are projected at 3789.019 and 3887.117. • H4: Wave 3 (yellow) has completed, followed by a corrective structure in a flat WXY pattern. Currently, price is rising steeply, suggesting wave 5 (yellow) is underway. With H4 momentum turning bearish, this pullback could correspond to wave 4 within the ongoing wave 5 (yellow). • H1: Wave 3 (black) has formed with a complete 5-wave sequence (blue). Price is now in wave 4 (black), which could develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle correction. Wave 4 (black) target zones: 1. 3729.447 2. 3709.732 3. 3696.422 Once H4 momentum turns bullish from the oversold region, the nearest level among these zones is the most likely end of wave 4. ________________________________________ Trading Plan Buy limit strategy at support zones: • Buy Zone 1: 3730 – 3727 o SL: 3719 o TP: 3760 • Buy Zone 2: 3710 – 3707 o SL: 3696 o TP: 3729 If price extends lower, additional buy opportunities can be considered around 3696 or deeper levels marked on the chart. ________________________________________ 👉 The primary trend remains bullish, with wave 5 (yellow) in progress. The plan is to wait for wave 4 (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in alignment with the larger uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold's Rally Continues: Why a Fed Cut Isn't Slowing It DownHello, traders! Gold started the new week on an impressive note, trading at $3,685 in early Monday's session. The main drivers are the market's continued reaction to the Fed's recent rate cut and escalating geopolitical events. So, the big question is, how far will this rally go? Fundamental Analysis: Why Is Gold Still Soaring? Although the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%—the first time in 2025—Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious stance, calling it a "risk management cut." While this initially caused some market jitters, in the long run, lower interest rates are a strong supporting factor for gold. Lower Rates: They reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is a non-yielding asset. Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are escalating, boosting safe-haven demand. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reported that Russia carried out a major drone and missile attack, reaffirming gold's role as a protective asset against global risks. Technical Analysis: Breaking Resistance, The Uptrend Continues Gold had a powerful rally at the start of the week, successfully breaking the key resistance zone at $370x. The price is currently hovering around $3720 with a slight correction, but the uptrend remains firmly intact. Outlook: Given the strong upward momentum, short-selling (going short) with a tight stop-loss is extremely risky. We will continue to prioritize long positions (going long) as long as gold holds above the $370x level. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3413 - $3711 SL: $3407 TP: $3716 - $3721 - $3726 - $3731 - $3741 BUY ZONE Zone: $3700 - $3798 SL: $3790 TP: $3708 - $3718 - $3728 - $3738 - $3758 SELL ZONE Zone: $3734 - $3736 SL: $3744 TP: $3726 - $3716 - $3706 - $3796 - $3779 The market is showing unpredictable volatility. Can gold overcome all barriers and set new records? Share your opinion in the comments below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #Geopolitics
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations: The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level. A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723. A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum. The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement. The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
Fed Dovish Signals & Geopolitical Tensions Boost Gold📊 Market Context Gold continues to receive solid support from the Fed’s dovish tone and rising geopolitical tensions. However, the USD has extended its rebound from multi-year lows, which may temporarily limit gold’s upside. Broader risk-on sentiment in financial markets could act as a short-term headwind for XAU/USD before the next round of Fed speeches. Still, the long-term bullish trend has re-emerged, and gold is positioned to challenge new all-time highs in the near term—an important signal for Indian traders watching for fresh momentum in precious metals. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price has broken above the descending trendline, confirming that bullish momentum has returned. Short-term support: 3686–3684, maintaining this level preserves the bullish structure. Additional support: 3670–3668, overlapping with CP and liquidity zones on the chart. Key resistance: 3720–3722, a crucial reaction level for profit-taking or liquidity sweeps. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3707 ➡️ 3720 Support: 3685 ➡️ 3669 ➡️ 3658 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3686–3684 SL: 3680 TP: 3690 ➡️ 3695 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3720 ➡️ … ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668 SL: 3664 TP: 3675 ➡️ 3680 ➡️ 3690 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Watch): 3720–3722 SL: 3726 TP: 3715 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch for false breakouts at 3720–3722 — price could sweep stops before reversing lower. Only enter longs with price action confirmation at the buy zones; avoid chasing price mid-range. Manage trade size carefully given potential volatility from Fed comments and geopolitical news. ✅ Summary Gold’s long-term bullish trend is firmly back, supported by Fed dovishness and geopolitical factors—key drivers for India’s gold market sentiment. The plan focuses on buying dips at 3686–3684 and 3670–3668 targeting 3705–3720, while short-term selling at 3720–3722 is valid if rejection appears. 📢 Stay updated with MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for fresh market insights and actionable setups tailored for gold traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 21, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still declining → suggesting that early next week price may either experience a downward move or continue to range sideways. • H4: Momentum is in the overbought zone → likely to see a corrective move on Monday. • H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term corrective decline is highly probable. Wave Structure • D1: o Scenario 1: Wave v (black) has already completed (refer to H4). This means the market is now in a larger corrective phase, and price is unlikely to break above 3709, the high set last week. o Scenario 2: Wave 4 (black) of wave v has completed, and Friday’s rally was wave 5 (black) of wave v. In this case, early next week we could see a breakout above 3709 with a daily close higher. • H4: Since D1 and H4 momentum still support a corrective move on Monday, I will keep the current wave labeling unchanged. Only if price breaks strongly above 3709 will I update the labeling to Scenario 2. • H1: On D1, the two scenarios are contradictory: o One scenario suggests a decline. o The other suggests a new high. Therefore, the best approach for now is to wait for more confirmation. On H1, the labeling from last Friday (the bearish scenario) has not yet been invalidated and is still supported by both D1 and H4 momentum, so I will continue to monitor this count. Trading Plan During complex corrective phases, when wave structures are not yet clear, I do not recommend trading solely based on Elliott Wave. For now, the prudent approach is to continue observing until more data becomes available. If trading is necessary, it’s better to focus on short-term scalps rather than larger swing positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Dips After Fed Meeting: What's Next for the Market?Hey traders! After a super volatile session, gold prices took a hit yesterday (September 18). The precious metal dropped 0.4% to $3,643.40/oz, while futures contracts lost 1.1% to $3,678.30/oz. This comes right after gold hit a new record of $3,707.40/oz in the previous session. Is this a signal for a major correction or just a bit of profit-taking? Let's break it down! Fundamental Analysis: The Market 'Digests' the Fed's Message While the Fed did cut rates by 0.25% as expected, the message from the meeting wasn't entirely 'dovish'. Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised doubts about the pace of future policy easing. He stressed that the rate cut was just a "risk management" move to address a weakening labor market, not a firm promise for aggressive easing. USD Recovers: The Fed's cautious stance helped the USD index gain 0.5%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Long-Term Drivers Still Strong: Despite the short-term dip, experts remain bullish on gold. The core drivers for its rally are still in place: BRIC Central Bank Buying: Central banks, especially from China, continue to diversify their reserves, moving away from the USD. Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions are still a key reason for investors to flock to gold. Swiss Data Confirms: Data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China jumped 254% in August 2025 compared to July, which proves that real demand is super strong. Technical Analysis: Unpredictable Volatility After the FOMC meeting, gold was all over the place, breaking through resistance and support levels in a flash. The market is reacting more to macro news than to technical patterns right now. Resistance: $3671, $3686, $3694 Support: $3647, $3632, $3612, $3598 Outlook: Today, we should still prefer long positions if gold stays above the $365x level. However, if gold closes a candle below $364x during the US session, be cautious and consider a switch to sell positions. Suggested Trading Strategy (Use Strict Risk Management): SELL ZONE Zone: $3686 - $3688 SL: $3696 TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3638 BUY ZONE Zone: $3616 - $3614 SL: $3606 TP: $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3654 - $3664 The market is super sensitive to news right now. Always be careful and don't overtrade. Do you think this is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #BRIC
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 19, 2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, suggesting that the downtrend may continue until momentum enters the oversold zone. This process could take at least 2 daily candles, including the current one. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward, but repeated reversals at the oversold zone, along with overlapping price action, indicate that the market is in a complex corrective phase. • H1 timeframe: Momentum has already turned upward, with 3 H1 bullish candles formed. It is expected that within 1–2 more candles, momentum will likely reach the overbought zone. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: The 5-wave black structure has been completed. The current correction is expected to last longer compared to the previous WXY triangle correction. • H4 timeframe: Wave counting is complicated due to overlapping price movements. With momentum now recovering, wave B is likely unfolding, which will then be followed by the completion of wave C. • H1 timeframe: A temporary channel can be drawn to observe price behavior. The market is likely in wave B (black), forming a Flat structure (ABC in blue). Wave C (blue) is projected to equal wave A (blue) at the 3667 level. This price zone also coincides with the boundary between high and low liquidity areas on the Volume Profile, making it a strong resistance zone for potential short entries. Trading Plan • Sell Zone: 3667 – 3670 • SL: 3680 • TP: 3644
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold’s Next Bullish Move: Key Buy Zones & Targets to Watch Today🔥 Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Momentum Alert! 🔥 After a strong rally, Gold bounced back impressively from today’s low at 3633 and is pushing up towards 3673. For intraday traders, the setup is clear: look for dips to jump in on the long side around 3654 - 3646 with exciting upside targets ahead! 📈 Trade Setup – Long on Pullback Entry: Buy Gold at 3654 Add-on Dip: Add more at 3646 Targets: First target 3670-3675, then aiming for 3685 Invalidation: Cut losses if price falls below 3630 📊 Risk/Reward Snapshot This is a tight-risk, high-reward setup — perfect for traders who want to keep their stops close while chasing solid gains. As always, manage your risk wisely and size your positions according to your plan. Do you see the same bullish opportunity? 👍 Drop a like if you’re in! 💬 Share your thoughts or questions below — let’s build a sharp, winning community together! Your feedback fuels us and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
XAUUSD/GOLD Unemployment Claims 18.09.25XAUUSD/Gold – Unemployment Claims (18.09.25): Current Price Zone: Gold is trading around $3,668.81. Trading Idea: The chart suggests a buying opportunity if the U.S. unemployment claims data comes out negative (worse than expected). Key Levels: Major Resistance R1 → Around $3,685 – $3,690 Breakout and retest of this level signals a buy entry. Resistance 2 – Yesterday’s High & News High → Around $3,710 Acts as the next upside target after breakout. Resistance 3 – Expected New ATH → Around $3,736 – $3,740 This is the final bullish target if momentum sustains. Strategy: Plan A (Main Setup): Wait for breakout above R1 (3,690) → Enter buy trade on retest. Ride the move towards R2 (3,710) and possibly R3 (3,736–3,740). Confirmation Zone: If news is negative for USD, gold is expected to rally strongly (bullish bias). Risk Management: Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,680 zone, as marked in the red area. Take Profit (TP): Stepwise at 3,710 → 3,736 → 3,740. 👉 In summary: The chart indicates a news-driven bullish breakout plan — gold buys are favored if the data weakens the USD, with targets up to 3,740.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 18.09.25The 1-hour chart of Gold shows a recent V pattern formation, signaling a strong bullish reversal after a sharp drop. A downtrend breakout is confirmed, supported by a Three White Soldiers pattern, strengthening the bullish momentum. Entry Zone: Around 3,668 (current price). Support (S1): 3,655 – strong demand zone where buyers are likely to defend. Resistance (R1): 3,685 – key target level for this bullish move. Risk-to-Reward Setup: Stop-loss below support (S1) at 3,655, with take-profit at resistance (R1) near 3,685. 🔑 Conclusion: Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish signs with breakout confirmation. As long as price holds above support at 3,655, the projection favors upside movement towards 3,685.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold's U-Turn: A Dive into Fundamentals & Trading StrategyHello, fellow traders! The gold market's moves last night were absolutely wild, not at all what one would expect. After hitting a new all-time high of $3,707.40/oz, gold surprisingly took a U-turn and dropped to $3,681.39/oz. And this happened right after the Fed cut rates by 0.25% as predicted! So, what exactly went down? Fundamental Analysis: The Fed's Move and Powell's "Cool" Comments Rate Cut as Expected: The Fed delivered the 0.25% rate cut, its first this year after a pause since late 2024. This action, along with the forecast for two more cuts, met market expectations and initially sent gold soaring. USD and Bond Yields Drop: Lower interest rates tend to weaken the USD and pull down bond yields, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. This was the initial push for gold's new peak. Powell's "Hawkish" Spin: Everything changed when Fed Chair Jerome Powell stepped up. He gave some surprisingly "hawkish" statements, suggesting the Fed isn't in a hurry to cut rates and that this move was just "risk management." The Aftermath: This statement threw cold water on market expectations for a faster, more aggressive rate-cutting path. Powell was quite clever; he met market expectations and diffused political pressure (especially from the Trump administration), all while keeping investors on their toes. As a result, bond yields and the USD bounced back, putting strong selling pressure on gold. Outlook: This shock might just be temporary. Fundamentally, the Fed starting a loosening cycle is a big long-term positive for gold. While gold might face some headwinds in the short term, the underlying bullish trend is still very much intact. Technical Analysis: Volatility and Key Levels Gold had some unpredictable swings after the news. After dropping to the $363x zone, it bounced back super fast. This shows that there's still solid buying power at these key support levels. Key Support: $3624, $3612, $3600, $3584, $3569 Resistance: $3667, $3675, $3686, $3700 Today's Key Level: The $364x range. If gold holds above this level by the end of the European session, we should look for long positions for the US session. Trading Setups (Remember to Manage Risk Strictly): Buy Scalp Zone: $3639 - $3637 SL: $3633 TP: $3642 - $3647 - $3652 - $3657 - $3667 Buy Zone Zone: $3606 - $3604 SL: $3596 TP: $3614 - $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3664 Sell Scalp Zone: $3674 - $3676 SL: $3680 TP: $3671 - $3665 - $3660 - $3655 - $3645 Sell Zone Zone: $3686 - $3688 SL: $3696 TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3628 Note: The market is highly volatile. Be careful with every trade. Will gold continue its rally or see a deeper correction? Share your thoughts below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Powell #CMEFedWatch
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 18, 2025 Momentum • D1: Currently, D1 momentum is declining, therefore a downward move is likely to extend over the next 4–5 days. • H4: Momentum is falling, so today we may see further downside to push momentum into the oversold zone before a potential reversal. • H1: Momentum is still heading down, suggesting the bearish move is likely to continue. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1: With momentum turning lower, it is highly probable that wave v black has completed and price has entered a corrective ABC phase. If this is the case, the correction will likely last for at least more than one week. • H4: A 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) within wave v black has been completed. The current decline could be wave A of the correction. We need to observe closely to confirm whether wave A is done. Note: during corrective phases, trading becomes more difficult; targets beyond 500 pips are rarely achieved as price tends to overlap. Toward the end of corrections, price often compresses and whipsaws both sides, so trade with smaller positions and manage risk carefully. • H1: o Scenario 1: Wave 1 of wave (5) black has formed, and the market is now in wave 2. This scenario is invalidated if price breaks below 3626. o Scenario 2: Wave v black has already completed with a 5-wave structure. Price is now in a larger corrective phase (i–ii–iii–iv–v black on the D1). In this case, the correction will likely last longer than previous waves ii and iv – an important guide to prepare for an extended bearish or sideways phase. On H1, the current drop is steep and impulsive, likely part of a 5-wave structure. The recovery was capped at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, which indicates: • If this is wave 4 of the decline, price will break below 3649, with wave 5 of A projected toward 3632 → Buy zone. • If price breaks above the minor high at the 38.2% Fibonacci level, it is more likely wave B of an ABC correction. In that case, the upside targets would be 3677 or 3694 → Sell zones. ⚠️ Note: Once price hits one target, the opposite entry setup will be canceled. ________________________________________ Trading Plan Buy Zone: • Entry: 3633 – 3630 • SL: 3620 • TP: 3649 Sell Zone 1: • Entry: 3676 – 3679 • SL: 3686 • TP: 3657 Sell Zone 2: • Entry: 3693 – 3696 • SL: 3703 • TP: 3677
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX