XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 17.05.26XAUUSD / GOLD is currently showing a potential bearish continuation setup on the weekly structure after breaking down from a major triangle pattern. The market had been consolidating inside the triangle for an extended period, and the recent breakdown below the lower trendline indicates weakening bullish momentum and increasing seller control. Based on the current structure, price may not continue downward immediately; instead, the market could revisit the previously broken support area for a retest before continuing the bearish move. This retest zone, marked around the 4620–4640 region, is considered the primary seller area where previous support may now act as resistance. In addition, the chart highlights a possible liquidity sweep scenario, where price may temporarily push higher to trigger breakout buyers and collect stop losses before reversing aggressively to the downside. If bearish rejection forms inside this zone, sellers may regain momentum and drive the market lower toward the projected downside targets around 4580, 4550, and eventually the strong demand zone near 4500–4510. The setup also offers an estimated 1:4 risk-to-reward structure, making it technically attractive if proper confirmation appears. However, traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation before entering positions, while also monitoring DXY strength, US economic news, and overall market volatility, as a strong bullish close above the seller zone could invalidate the bearish projection.
🔴 PAIR: XAUUSD / GOLD
🔴 TYPE: SELL LIMIT
📍 ENTRY ZONE: 4620 – 4640
🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
✅ TP1 – 4580
✅ TP2 – 4550
✅ TP3 – 4500
🛑 STOP LOSS: 4665
Xauusdidea
XAU/USD Bearish Channel Signals Further DownsideKey observations:
Price rejected strongly from the 4,780 resistance supply zone
Lower highs continue forming
The trendline resistance is pushing price downward
Current structure suggests a possible bearish continuation move
Important Levels
Resistance Zone
4,780 → Major supply / rejection area
Multiple failed attempts indicate sellers are defending this zone aggressively
Current Price Area
Around 4,560
Sitting near mid-channel support
Bearish Targets
4,240 → First downside target
4,076 → Major lower support and second target
Pattern Analysis
The setup resembles a:
Bearish descending channel
Possible distribution phase
Momentum exhaustion after previous bullish rally
If price breaks below channel support decisively, downside acceleration toward the marked targets becomes more likely.
Trade Bias
Short-Term Bias: Bearish
As long as price remains below:
descending resistance trendline
and the 4,780 supply zone
the market favors sellers.
Bullish Invalidation
Bearish outlook weakens if:
Price breaks and closes above 4,780
Channel structure gets invalidated
Buyers reclaim higher highs
Probability Outlook
Bearish continuation: High probability while inside channel
Bullish reversal: Only after breakout above resistance
XAU/USD Rising Channel Rejection SetupGold is trading inside a clear ascending channel and approaching a major seller zone near the upper trendline. The chart shows multiple ChoCH & BOS confirmations, signaling weakening bullish momentum as price nears resistance.
📊 Market Analysis
Price is respecting the rising channel structure.
Strong resistance/seller zone is visible around the upper boundary.
Bearish reaction is expected if price rejects from the highlighted supply area.
The projected move suggests a pullback toward the lower support zone before the next major decision.
🎯 Bearish Targets
🔻 TP1: 4,688
🔻 TP2: 4,676
🔻 TP3: 4,662 (Major Support Area)
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong breakout and candle close above the seller zone could continue bullish momentum higher.
🧠 Trading Idea
📌 Sell the rally from resistance
📌 Watch for bearish confirmation candles inside the seller zone
📌 Manage risk carefully around trendline breakouts
🚨📉🐻 “Liquidity often gets taken near the highs before the real move begins.”
XAUUSD/GOLD CORE PPI NEWS 15M SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 13.05.206After the stronger-than-expected Core PPI & PPI news, gold reacted with heavy selling pressure exactly as projected. The market respected the bearish structure and continued moving inside the descending trendline channel on the 15M timeframe.
The chart shows a clear sell-side continuation setup after the news release. Price failed to sustain near resistance and quickly rejected from the trendline area, indicating that sellers are still controlling short-term momentum.
📊 Strong US inflation data increased USD strength:
✅ USD may become stronger
✅ Fed rate-cut expectations may reduce
✅ Gold can face short-term selling pressure
✅ DXY likely bullish momentum
From the technical structure, the marked zone around 4694 – 4698 acts as a key liquidity and resistance area. If price retraces back into this zone and rejects again, sellers may continue targeting lower support levels.
📉 Projection Scenario:
Rejection from trendline + liquidity zone → bearish continuation
Support S1 near 4676 acts as first take-profit area
Further breakdown may push price towards 4659 Support S2
📌 Trade Idea:
🔻 Sell Limit Zone: 4694 – 4698
🛑 Stoploss: Above 4712 – 4715
🎯 TP1: 4676
🎯 TP2: 4659
⚠️ Since this move is news-driven, volatility can remain high. Wait for confirmation candles near resistance instead of chasing entries after big bearish candles.
XAUUSD/GOLD INTRADAY TRADING KEY LEVELS 13.05.26Gold (XAUUSD) currently trading inside a sideways consolidation zone between the marked support and resistance area. Market is waiting for a strong breakout confirmation before deciding the next major move.
The highlighted zone around 4690 – 4706 is acting as the key intraday decision range.
If price gives a strong candle close above 4706, buyers may take control and push gold towards the previous swing highs.
If price breaks and closes below 4689, selling pressure could increase and market may retest lower support zones near the day swing low.
From the chart structure, gold recently showed bullish recovery from the swing low, but momentum slowed near resistance, creating this sideways range. This usually indicates accumulation before volatility expansion. Traders should avoid entering inside the middle of the range and wait for confirmation breakout for safer entries.
📈 Buy Confirmation: Above 4706
🎯 Possible Targets: 4720 → 4740 → 4765
🛑 SL: Below 4690
📉 Sell Confirmation: Below 4689
🎯 Possible Targets: 4670 → 4640 → 4620
Bullish Continuation After Demand Zone RetestTechnical Analysis
The chart shows a bullish market structure developing in WTI Crude Oil after a strong impulsive rally from point A toward point D. Price is currently consolidating near a key resistance region around 98.68 – 101.00.
Key Observations
The market formed a clear higher low sequence, confirming buyers remain in control.
After the rally to point D, price entered a correction phase and is now stabilizing above major support.
The red horizontal level near 98.68 acts as an important breakout and confirmation zone.
Two major demand zones are identified:
Demand Zone 1: around 95 – 96
Demand Zone 2: around 90 – 92
These zones are likely areas where institutional buying interest may re-enter the market.
Bullish Scenario
If price:
Holds above the demand zones, and
Breaks decisively above 101 – 104
then the next upside targets become:
104.00 – first resistance target
112.29 – major bullish expansion target
The projected path on the chart suggests a temporary pullback into demand before continuation upward.
Bearish Scenario
The bullish outlook weakens if:
Price breaks below 90, or
Demand Zone 2 fails to hold.
In that case, crude oil could revisit lower support areas near 88 – 84.
Trading Perspective
Buyers
May look for entries on pullbacks into demand zones.
Confirmation through bullish candlestick reaction or breakout volume would strengthen the setup.
Sellers
Need a confirmed breakdown below the lower demand zone to gain control.
Conclusion
WTI Crude Oil remains in a medium-term bullish structure despite short-term consolidation. The current setup favors:
Buy-the-dip opportunities
Accumulation near demand
Potential continuation toward 104 and possibly 112.29
as long as price stays above the major support region near 90–92
Gold Rejects Premium After H4 Liquidity SweepPrice swept the H4 highs and immediately delivered a bearish CISD on H1 while trading inside premium pricing.
Current framework:
H4 liquidity already raided
H1 bearish CISD confirmed
Fresh H1 bearish FVG created
Price retracing into premium arrays
Sell-side liquidity resting below current structure
Major H4 lows acting as downside draw
My expectation:
As long as price trades below the bearish H1 FVG and order block, the probability favors continuation lower into resting liquidity and H4 lows beneath.
The market often engineers upside liquidity first before expanding aggressively into sell-side targets.
Bullish Reversal Setup – Buyers Defending Pivot Zone📊 Market Analysis:
The chart shows a strong bullish structure after multiple breakout confirmations and successful retests of the pivot zones. Price is currently reacting near the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area while holding above the major buyer zone, indicating potential continuation toward higher resistance levels.
🔍 Key Observations:
Multiple Breakout + BOS confirmations visible.
Buyers defended the Pivot Point aggressively.
Price remains above the major Buyer Zone, keeping bullish momentum intact.
Current pullback looks like a healthy retracement before the next upward move.
Fibonacci resistance aligns with the projected upside targets.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
Target 1: 4,719 – 4,730
Target 2: 4,740 – 4,760
Target 3: 4,775 – 4,800 🚀
⚠️ Invalidation Zone:
A breakdown below the buyer zone could weaken bullish momentum temporarily.
💡 Trading Bias: Bullish Continuation 📈
XAU/USD (Gold) Technical Analysis: Bearish Reversal SetupThe chart illustrates a bearish setup focusing on a potential reversal from a recent high.Resistance & Entry: The price is testing a strong resistance zone around $4,728, which aligns with a previous high. An entry point for a short position is marked near $4,703.Target Point: The primary bearish objective is a "target point" at $4,500.76, representing a potential decline of approximately -4.15% or roughly $194.87 per ounce.Stop Loss: To manage risk, a stop-loss is placed just above the resistance at $4,728.32.Structure: The price action is contained within an ascending channel, but the current bearish pressure suggests a break below this channel's support toward the highlighted demand zone near $4,500.Current Market Context (May 12, 2026)As of early May 12, 2026, gold has been under pressure, trading around the $4,700 level.Fundamental Drivers: Market sentiment is currently influenced by tensions in the Middle East, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, and upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which traders are watching for inflation clues.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 11.05.26🟢 Gold market is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour timeframe after rejecting from the lower support zone.
💰 Price collected downside liquidity and respected the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area, which triggered a strong bullish reaction in the market.
🕯️ A Three White Soldiers pattern has also formed, indicating that buyers are gaining control and momentum is shifting toward the upside.
🔄 Currently, price is retesting the breakout zone around 4722 – 4725. If this area holds successfully, gold may continue moving higher toward the major resistance zone near 4748 – 4750.
🚀 Overall market structure remains bullish unless price breaks below the support/FVG region.
📌 BUY ENTRY: 4722 – 4725
🛑 STOPLOSS: 4708
🎯 TARGET 1: 4740
🎯 TARGET 2: 4748
🎯 TARGET 3: 4755
XAU/USD at Key Resistance – Bearish Pullback Loading?🔍 Analysis:
Gold is currently trading inside a major resistance zone (4715–4725) where price action is showing hesitation after a strong bullish run. The ascending trendline has supported the rally so far, but momentum is weakening near resistance.
🟡 Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance Zone: 4715–4725 🚧
🔸 Strong High Breakout Level: 4764 🚀
🔸 First Bearish Target: 4620 🎯
🔸 Main Bearish Target: 4550 🎯🔥
🔸 Strong Support Zone: 4514–4500 🛡️
📌 Market View:
🐻 If price gets rejected from 4725, a correction toward 4620 looks likely, with deeper downside toward 4550.
🐂 If bulls break and hold above 4764, bearish pressure weakens and upside continuation may follow.
💡 Trade Idea:**
🔴 Rejection = Sell setup 📉
🟢 Breakout = Buy continuation 📈
⚠️ Wait for candle confirmation before entry.
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL PROJECTION 11.05.26Gold market currently looks bearish on the 4H timeframe after rejecting from the strong resistance zone near 4708–4710. Price already broke the neckline support and completed a clean retest, which indicates seller confirmation in the market. If gold continues trading below the resistance area, sellers may push the price toward 4660 minor support first, followed by the major support zone around 4640–4632. Market structure still favors sellers unless price breaks above the resistance zone strongly.
ENTRY ZONE: 4672 – 4676
SL: 4702
TP1: 4660
TP2: 4640
TP3: 4632
XAU/USD (Gold) 4H: Bullish Continuation or Supply Trap?Market Overview:
Gold has shown impressive resilience, reclaiming the $4,715 level after a strong bounce from the recent demand zone. Market sentiment is currently driven by a mix of cooling geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation, pushing prices toward key resistance levels.
Technical Observations:
Support & Demand: The price recently swept the lows near $4,513 (Liquidity Grab) and aggressively moved up, confirming a strong demand zone in that area.
The "Bullish Path": As indicated by the blue arrows, the current structure suggests a "Higher High, Higher Low" formation. The price is currently consolidating just below the immediate supply zone of $4,725 - $4,735.
Retest & Go: The projected path shows a potential minor pullback (retest) toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level (approx. $4,670 - $4,690) to gather liquidity before a target move toward $4,765+.
Trading Scenarios for the Week:
The Bullish Continuation (Primary Idea):
If Gold successfully holds the $4,700 psychological level on a pullback, look for long entries.
Target 1: $4,735 (Immediate Supply)
Target 2: $4,765 (Recent Swing High)
Extended Target: $4,800+
The Bearish Rejection:
A failure to break and sustain above $4,735 could lead to a deeper correction. Watch for a bearish engulfing candle at the current levels to signal a move back to the $4,650 support.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $4,727
Major Resistance: $4,765
Immediate Support: $4,701
Critical Demand: $4,660
Strategy:
I am leaning Bullish as long as the price stays above the $4,670 mark. The current momentum favors the buyers, but I prefer entering on a "Dip" rather than chasing the current market price. Watch for the US session volatility to confirm the direction.
Risk Management: Gold volatility is high due to shifting energy prices and interest rate expectations. Use tight stop-losses and manage your position size carefully.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ForexAnalysis #SMC #TradingView #Commodities
Note: The ceasefire news and US dollar index (DXY) movements will be the primary drivers for XAU/USD this week. Stay alert for any sudden fundamental shifts!
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 08.05.26Gold is currently reacting from a strong resistance zone on the 4H timeframe. After reaching the Resistance R2 area, the market formed a strong bearish engulfing candle, which indicates that buying pressure is weakening and sellers are starting to gain control of the market.
At the moment, price is attempting a retracement toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Resistance R1 zone. This area is considered a potential entry zone for sellers. If the market gives rejection confirmation from this region, the bearish movement may continue further downward.
According to the projection, the first downside target is the Support S1 zone, marked as Take Profit 1. If the market breaks below that support, the next major target could be the Support S2 zone, marked as Take Profit 2.
The stoploss area is placed above the bearish engulfing candle high. If price breaks and sustains above that level, the bearish setup could become invalid.
XAUUSD (1H) Setup: Waiting for a Deep Pullback for next LevelHello Traders,
Taking a look at the Gold (XAUUSD) 1H chart, the overall structure remains heavily bullish. Recently, the price tapped into a minor supply zone around the 4755 - 4765 area and is currently undergoing a retracement.
Based on SMC principles, I am not interested in catching the falling knife or buying in the middle of this range. As indicated by my blue projected path, here is the game plan:
📊 Trade Plan:
The Pullback: I am anticipating a deeper pullback into the major, unmitigated Demand Zone located around the 4630 - 4660 level (marked in red/green box at the bottom). This is a high-probability POI because it was the origin of the previous massive impulsive push.
The Execution: Once the price mitigates this lower demand zone, I will drop down to Lower Timeframes (15m/5m) and wait for clear bullish confirmations—such as a CHoCH (Change of Character) or a liquidity sweep.
The Target: If the setup is confirmed, I will look for long entries to ride the trend back up, targeting the recent highs and potentially the 4800 level.
💡 Key Takeaway: In SMC, patience pays. Let the retail traders get chopped up in the middle. We wait for the price to come to our specific Points of Interest.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
Do you think Gold will drop to this demand zone before flying? Let me know your thoughts in the comments and smash the LIKE button!
(XAU/USD) H1 Analysis — Bullish Breakout Testing Resistance
This 1-hour Gold Spot chart shows a strong bullish recovery structure after a prolonged corrective phase. Price is now testing a major resistance zone near 4,741–4,750.
Market Structure
The chart formed a large descending corrective structure from April 26 to May 5.
A clear trend reversal occurred after the higher low near 4,520.
Since May 6, buyers aggressively pushed price upward with strong bullish momentum candles.
Key Technical Zones
Resistance Zone
4,741 – 4,750
Price is currently rejecting this level slightly after touching resistance.
This area acted as a previous swing high and supply zone.
Support Zones
4,673
Important breakout support.
Previous resistance turned support.
4,620 – 4,650
Dynamic support area aligned with the rising green trendline.
4,520
Major swing low and bullish invalidation level.
Trend Analysis
The green ascending trendline indicates a developing bullish trend continuation.
Price remains above:
the moving average (blue line),
ascending structure,
and Supertrend support.
This suggests buyers still control the short-term trend.
Pattern Observation
The chart resembles:
a descending broadening wedge / falling structure breakout,
followed by a strong impulsive rally.
The breakout above 4,673 confirmed bullish continuation.
Momentum & Signals
Multiple “My Long Entry Id” signals appeared during the rally phase.
Short signals near resistance suggest temporary exhaustion rather than confirmed reversal.
Momentum remains bullish unless price closes back below 4,673.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario
If price breaks and holds above 4,750:
next targets may be:
4,780
4,820
psychological continuation higher.
Bearish Pullback Scenario
If rejection continues from resistance:
expect retracement toward:
4,700
then 4,673 support retest.
As long as support holds, dips may attract buyers.
Overall Bias
Short-term Bias: Bullish
The chart currently favors buyers after a confirmed breakout and strong momentum expansion, but price is now at a critical resistance where profit-taking and volatility are likely.
Title: Bullish Breakout Confirmed – Momentum Building for HigherAnalysis:
The chart shows a strong bullish market structure shift, with multiple confirmations:
✅ BOS (Break of Structure) signaled the end of bearish control
✅ Several CHoCH / CHoCG formations confirmed bullish reversal momentum
✅ Price made an aggressive breakout from consolidation and is now holding above the support zone (~4,630–4,645)
✅ Moving average is curving upward, supporting continued bullish momentum
As long as price stays above the highlighted support zone, buyers remain in control.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 4,720 – first resistance / short-term upside objective
Target 2: 4,800 – major bullish continuation zone
Extended Target: 4,880+ – if momentum accelerates
⚠️ Invalidation Zone:
A break below 4,615 could weaken the bullish setup and trigger a pullback.
Outlook: Bullish Bias 🚀📈🔥
Buyers are defending structure, and continuation toward higher targets looks likely if support holds.
.XAUUSD/GOLD INTRADY PROJECTION 07.05.26Gold intraday outlook is currently bullish, as the market has already shown a strong upward move from the recent swing low around the 4550 zone. After this impulse, price is now in a healthy pullback phase, which is a normal retracement before the next potential move. In your chart, the key buying area is clearly marked between 4635 (0.5 Fibonacci level) and 4614 (0.618 level), which is a strong demand zone where buyers are expected to step in. If price reacts positively from this zone, we can expect continuation towards the previous highs, with targets around 4725 (day swing high) and further upside towards 4760 resistance. This setup is mainly a buy-on-dip opportunity, not a breakout trade, so patience is important to wait for price to reach the discount zone. However, if the market breaks and closes below the 4610 area, the bullish structure will weaken, and it’s better to avoid buying positions. Overall, the plan is simple: gold is bullish, wait for retracement, enter from support, and target the highs
XAU/USD (Gold) 45M – 🔍 Market Structure Overview
The chart clearly reflects a dominant bearish trend, characterized by consistent lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirm sustained selling pressure. Attempts at bullish recovery have been weak and short-lived, indicating that buyers lack control.
🧱 Supply & Demand Zones
Several supply zones (POIs) are stacked above current price (around 4,600 – 4,720), acting as strong resistance. Each rally into these zones has resulted in rejection, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
A key demand zone (POI) sits near 4,480, which aligns with the projected downside target.
📉 Current Price Behavior
Price recently formed a short-term base near 4,520 and is now retracing upward. This move appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a pullback within a broader downtrend rather than a reversal.
📌 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias)
Entry Zone: 4,560 – 4,600 (pullback into minor resistance / supply)
Stop Loss: Above 4,640 (above recent supply zone)
Target: 4,500 → 4,480 (major demand zone)
📊 Key Confluence Factors
Bearish market structure (BOS continuation)
Supply zone rejection history
Weak bullish retracement (low momentum)
Alignment with liquidity draw toward lower demand
⚠️ Risk Consideration
If price breaks and holds above 4,640, the bearish structure may weaken, opening the door for a deeper retracement toward higher supply zones.
🧠 Conclusion
The overall bias remains bearish, with the current upward movement likely offering a sell-on-rally opportunity. Traders should watch for confirmation signals (rejection candles, lower timeframe BOS) within the marked supply zone before entering positions.
Bearish Channel Continuation After Rejection from Supply & FVG 🔍 What’s Happening (Clean Analysis)
You’re looking at a well-defined descending channel with price respecting both boundaries consistently — that already biases things bearish unless structure breaks.
The earlier Break of Structure (BOS) confirms downside momentum.
Then a Change of Character (CHoCH) gave a temporary bullish shift — but it failed to create continuation.
Price rallied into:
A supply zone (green area)
The channel resistance
A marked Fair Value Gap (FVG)
That’s a triple confluence rejection area, and price reacted exactly there.
Now price is rolling over again → suggesting the bullish move was just a retracement, not a reversal.
⚠️ Key Insight
This is not a neutral setup.
It’s a bearish continuation setup unless structure is broken above the channel + supply.
🎯 Target Levels (Logical, Not Random)
🥇 First Target (Conservative)
Mid-range / internal liquidity
Around the previous consolidation base
Roughly: ~4,600 – 4,595 zone
👉 This is where price may pause or bounce.
🥈 Second Target (Primary)
Channel low / previous swing low
Alignment with prior BOS area
👉 Roughly: ~4,580 – 4,570 zone
🥉 Extended Target (If Momentum Expands)
Channel continuation projection
Potential liquidity sweep below lows
👉 Roughly: ~4,550 area
🚫 Invalidation (Important)
Your bearish idea weakens if:
Price breaks and holds above the supply zone
Or closes above channel resistance
That would shift bias toward a deeper bullish retrace or reversal.
🧠 Bottom Line
Trend: Bearish
Current move: Retracement into supply
Expectation: Continuation downward
Best mindset: Sell rallies, not chase lows
XAU/USD (Gold) 45M 🔍 Market Structure Overview
On the 45-minute timeframe, gold is clearly maintaining a bearish structure, characterized by consistent lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirm that sellers remain in control. The overall flow suggests distribution after previous bullish momentum, transitioning into a sustained downtrend.
📉 Supply Zones (Resistance)
Several strong supply zones are marked above current price:
4,640 – 4,660 (near-term supply)
4,680 – 4,720 (mid-range supply)
4,750+ (major higher-timeframe supply)
These zones have repeatedly rejected price, indicating institutional selling pressure. Any bullish retracement into these areas is likely to face resistance unless a strong breakout occurs.
📊 Current Price Action
Price is currently trading around 4,547, sitting just below a recent BOS level. The latest move shows weak bullish attempts, followed by continued rejection—reinforcing bearish momentum.
There is a short-term projected move suggesting a dip followed by a bounce (as marked), indicating a possible liquidity grab before a retracement.
📌 Demand Zones (Support)
Key demand zones lie below:
4,480 area (minor demand)
4,400 – 4,420 (major demand zone)
These levels could act as targets for bearish continuation and potential areas for short-term bullish reactions.
⚠️ Trade Outlook
Primary Bias: Bearish Continuation
As long as price remains below 4,640 supply, downside pressure is likely to continue
Targets: 4,520 → 4,480 → 4,420
Alternative Scenario: Counter-Trend Bounce
A short-term reaction from current levels or lower demand could push price upward
Potential retracement target: 4,580 – 4,620 zone
This move would be corrective unless structure shifts
🧠 Key Insight
The chart reflects a classic Smart Money Concept (SMC) structure: distribution at highs, BOS confirmations, and movement toward liquidity below. Until a bullish BOS occurs, buying remains risky and counter-trend.
✅ Conclusion
Gold remains in a controlled bearish phase, with price likely seeking lower liquidity zones. Short-term rebounds may occur, but they should be treated as selling opportunities within the broader downtrend.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLU BUY & SELL PROJECTION 03.05.26📊 XAUUSD (GOLD) Weekly Projection – 03.05.2026
🔍 Market Structure
Overall trend previously downtrend (trendline visible)
Price reached Support S1 (~4530 zone) and reacted strongly
A Bullish Engulfing candle formed → strong buying signal
Also Rising Three Methods pattern indicates continuation of bullish momentum
📈 Current Scenario
Price is now pushing towards Resistance R1 (~4718 area)
This zone is a major supply/resistance zone
Market likely to react here before next move
🔁 Expected Movement (Important)
🟢 Scenario 1 – Bullish Move First
Price may continue buy → hit Resistance R1
If breakout happens → next target R3 (~4800 zone)
🔴 Scenario 2 – Rejection & Sell
From R1 zone, strong rejection expected
Then price may drop back to Support S1 (~4530)
This is shown in your chart with the zig-zag path
🎯 Trade Idea (Simple)
Buy Zone: Near current support / after confirmation
Sell Zone: At Resistance R1 (strong rejection confirmation)
BTC/USD 45M – 🔍 Market Structure
On the 45-minute timeframe, BTC/USD is currently transitioning from a bullish recovery phase into a potential distribution zone. After forming a clear higher low around the 75,000–76,000 region (green demand zones), price impulsively moved upward, creating a short-term bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows).
However, this bullish momentum is now stalling near a strong supply (order block) zone around 78,800–79,500, where previous selling pressure has already been established.
📉 Key Observations
Supply Zone (Bearish Order Block):
The red zone above current price represents a high-probability resistance area, where institutions previously entered sell positions. Price has tapped into this zone again and is showing signs of rejection.
Liquidity & Structure:
The recent push upward appears to have swept buy-side liquidity (equal highs), which often precedes a reversal or pullback.
Momentum Shift:
Internal structure is weakening, with minor lower highs forming inside the resistance zone, suggesting buyer exhaustion.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Preferred)
If price fails to break and hold above the supply zone, expect:
A rejection move downward
First target near 78,000 (intra-range support)
Further continuation toward 76,500 – 75,500 demand zones
The marked “Take Profit” area aligns with a logical liquidity draw and previous structure support.
🔄 Bullish Invalidation
A strong breakout and consolidation above 79,500 would invalidate the bearish bias.
This would signal continuation toward 80,000+ levels, confirming renewed bullish strength.
🧠 Conclusion
The chart presents a classic smart money concept setup: price rallies into a supply zone, sweeps liquidity, and begins to lose momentum. Unless buyers reclaim higher ground decisively, the probability favors a short-term bearish retracement.
Patience is key here—confirmation (rejection candles, structure break) will strengthen the setup before execution.






















