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XAUUSD June 18, 2024 a potential sharp declineGold prices are recovering after last week's sell-off as the US economy forced the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance. Weak manufacturer inflation data and a rise in initial jobless claims supported lower interest rates. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions, such as increased attacks by Hezbollah on Israel and more Russian warships in the Caribbean, have contributed to this rebound. Looking at the adjustment process from June 8 to the present time, we can see that this is a complicated adjustment process. - Trading in a complex correction is not recommended. We watch for this adjustment process to complete - During this process we can scalp in short price ranges in smaller frames. - When the price reaches the expected targets, we will consider placing an order. Looking at H1, we see that the wave C correction process is still continuing. We observe the price reaching the target price zones 2350 and 2356. - The price will confirm the target areas of wave C when it breaks out of the 2341.8 area, then we focus on observing the chart to find a Sell order. - In case the price breaks out of the 2296 price range, it is likely that the adjustment process has been completed and if the price also breaks out of the 2287 area, then the target price area for wave 5 is 2256 and 2210 will be the areas we focus on. closely to find Buy orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD After a week of volatile news from the Fed Last week we observed that US inflation indicators showed signs of cooling down. - Wednesday's CPI dropped from 3.45 to 3.3% - PPI index decreased -0.2% Inflation indicators decreased while economic indicators were negative - As the unemployment rate and unemployment benefit application rate increase This shows that the Fed's monetary policy is effectively reducing inflation, specifically consumer price CPI and production costs, while also reflecting the negative economic impact of the policy. this book. This requires that the Fed may begin to loosen monetary policy in the near future Look at D1 - We see that the correction has completed wave B and is continuing wave C of wave 4. - We can measure the target of wave C at 2 price zones 2256 and 2210 price zones. - We have a price zone confirming the final wave 4 which is the 2150 price zone. If the price breaks through this zone, our ABC wave counting process is no longer correct, then we have to re-plan a new plan based on new data. Look at H1 - The price has broken out through the 2323 zone and is testing this zone again. Looking at the reversing momentum in the oversold area, it is likely that the price has successfully tested and continues to rise to the target areas of wave C above. - Yesterday we measured the target wave C which is 2 areas 2354 and 2360 - The target area of ​​wave C is a very good area for us to look for Sell down orders - Combined with chart D1, we will have the price range where this decrease will end at 2256 or 2210. - We also have a zone that denies this wave counting process when the price surpasses the 2388 zone, then the price has entered an uptrend and we are forced to change our trading strategy at that time (I will update later if that happens).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
2
Xauusd after a series of important news from the Fed Yesterday's news announced to us First, the ppi decrease combined with the unemployment benefits application index increased. Combined with a decrease in CPI, this is beneficial for Gold to increase because the economic situation seems to be weakening, putting pressure on the Fed to reduce interest rates. However, Nonfarm data, specifically the employment index, has increased sharply in the recent period, which is the motivation for the Fed to keep the current interest rate at 5.9%. This is the reason why PPI news, although beneficial for Gold, cannot last long. Look at H1 - We are having the idea of ​​an abc correction model. In which we expect wave c to complete - In front of us we have 2 important price zones: 2307 and 2287, these are 2 price zones that help us determine the direction of the price. - If the price breaks out at 2307, this is a necessary condition for the orange wave c to complete. Then we have 2 target price zones of wave c: 2350.4 and 2364.6. These are 2 areas where we can look for Sell orders - If the price breaks out below 2287, this is a necessary condition for the price to fall to the target zone of wave 5, which is 2264. This is the area where we look for a Buy order.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 13, 2024 After news of CPI and Fed interest ratesYesterday we had the Fed's announcement about the CPI index, we saw that this index was 0.3 to 0.4 lower than the previous period. This is the result when the Fed implemented tightening monetary policy in the past. After that, the FOMC meeting announced that interest rates would continue to remain at 5.5%. - This made gold yesterday, after the announcement of CPI increased to 2340, then the news that interest rates remained high at 5.5% continued to push gold prices down. Look at the H1 chart - Yesterday's pullback to the 2340 price range reached the 50% Fibo level, which is a level that has surpassed the usual 38% level of wave 4. This suggests to us a more complex wave model - For now, at this position, we observe the price zones to confirm the formation model, which are the price zone 2307 and the price zone 2287. - If the price holds above the 2307 area, then we will have wave 5 formed at the 2287 area, meaning wave C during the ABC correction looks like D1 has completed. Then we have wave C higher than bottom B. Looking at D1, we see that a new complex correction model can form (I will update later). - If the price breaks through the 2287 area, we have wave 5 targets as on the chart we mentioned before.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 12, 2024 everyone waiting for the CPI roundLast week we had strong market fluctuations - Looking from the US economic perspective, we see that with the economic indicators announced last week, we see a number of important issues. - ISM PMI index, which is an index measuring the development of the industry, is lower than 50 standard units of this index, signaling that the industry is slowing down. - The unemployment rate and the number of applications for unemployment benefits increased, showing that the economic situation is slowing down With bad economic signals, the main reason is due to high interest rates, which reduces the cash flow in the US economy, causing a lack of capital for economic development. However, on Friday when the Nonfarm index was released, we saw a sharp increase in the job change rate, which could be the medicine to help the Fed maintain high interest rates for a while longer. Curbing inflation to 2% will come at the cost of economic stagnation, so today's CPI will help us have a clearer view of the decision to cut interest rates in the near future. . From an analytical perspective according to Elliot - After forming the abc wave structure (black), the price does not decrease according to the previous trend but forms a structure running in a triangle wedge. This brings us to a complex adjustment model abcde - Looking at the complex correction model, it is difficult to specifically identify each wave. We can only recognize when the model is complete - This pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the lower boundary of the triangle. We will wait for this Breakout to enter a sell order. - In case the price breaks out to the upper edge, this correction model is no longer correct when measuring, we must confirm the price model at that time. After wave 4 completes, the price continues to follow the previous downtrend to complete wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets at 2 price zones 2264 and 2229. - We can find buy points in these areas. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 7, 2024 before important Non Farm news Today we will have information about the Non Farm index published. From Non Farm ADP data US ADP employment rose 152,000 in May, less than the gain in April. It was below market expectations and hit a three-month low. Additionally, April data has been revised downward. Employment in the goods-producing sector increased by just 3,000, down significantly from 47,000 the previous month. The services sector increased by 149,000 jobs, of which 55,000 came from trade, logistics and utilities, but the number of jobs in the information industry continued to decrease by 7,000. We realize that the US labor market is weakening, because ADP is the index used to predict official Nonfarm, so today's index will be very important for the upcoming gold trend. Many indicators published during this time signaled that the US economy was weakening due to the impact of the FED's tightening monetary policy to reduce inflation. This will be one of the important conditions for the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the coming time. Looking at H1 we see that a small wave 1 2 3 4 5 is about to complete. Wave 3 target has been completed and currently the price is completing waves 4 and 5. - We measure the target of wave 5 at the price range of 2390 and 2413 - After the price completes wave 5, the next wave will be the abc correction - We will monitor Take Profit with purchased transactions at the price range we have previously given such as area 2317 and area 2354. - Short-term sell orders can be initiated at this target price range of 2390 or 2413. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD on June 6, 2024, the uptrend officially begins? Yesterday Israel attacked Hamas, causing gold prices to increase sharply last night despite the ISM PMI index being greater than 50. Looking at H1, the news of Israel attacking Hamas has caused the price of Gold to rise through tradingrank for more than a week now. - Price surpasses 2464 and confirms wave 5 has ended at our target area of ​​2317. - From the chart we see that wave 5 is an Ending Diagonal Triangle (ED) wave. This wave usually appears at the end of the trend. When this wave ends, a new trend will open - So we hope the next price target is 2397 - Looking at the H4 momentum indicator, we see that this indicator is in the overbought zone and is about to reverse. Looking at the H1 momentum indicator, we see that this indicator is entering the overbought zone. So in the immediate future, we expect a correction to confirm wave 1 and wave 2. - We have 2 temporary target areas measured on the H1 chart measured from existing data. We continue to observe to wait for this confirmation adjustment to complete. In our plan, we pay attention to the 2397 zone. If the price reaches this zone, there may be a big correction that we can take advantage of to sell down. Adjustment areas 2464 and 2354 may be the price will retest these areas and we can proceed to buy up. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 5, 2024 Yesterday's decline has endedWith the PMI being lower than expected at only 48.7 compared to 49.2 in the previous period, if this index is lower than 50, it signals that the expansion of industrial production scale is shrinking. With this index being lower than 50 for two consecutive periods, especially this period being lower than the previous period, it is a sign that the US economy is showing signs of stagnation. The main impact is that interest rates remain high for a long time, making it difficult for people and businesses to access capital. This continues to be a sign for the Fed to decide to cut interest rates in the near future. Looking at H1 we see - After the increase on the 3rd, the price touched the target of wave 5, we expected that wave 5 would have ended and the price would begin to continue a new uptrend. At that time, we also said that to confirm that wave 5 has ended, the minimum condition is that the price must break the 2464 zone. - As of yesterday, the price had dropped back to the target wave 5 area that we measured before. This signals that wave 5 could be a diagonal triangle pattern according to the Elliot principle. - So from H1 in the diagonal triangle model, the price has now reached the end of wave 5 in this diagonal triangle. - We focus on the wave 5 target areas at 2317 and 2311 to buy. - Or safer, we wait for the price to break the upper level of the diagonal triangle and wait for confirmation to proceed with buying.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 4, 2024 has the uptrend begun? Yesterday after the PMI news was announced, we witnessed a price increase to the 2354 area. - The PMI index is used to measure the degree of expansion of industries. We see that this index is lower than the previous period, which continues to support the fact that the US economy currently continues to show signs of decline. - In recent weeks, economic indicators have signaled that the US economy is showing signs of decline, combined with inflation cooling down, this is a signal for the FED to cut interest rates in the near future. . Looking at H1 last night's increase continues to confirm for us that the wave 5 target has been achieved at the price range of 2317. - So now we may have a new trend forming. We have the 2464 price range used to confirm this trend when the price surpasses this price range. - Currently, we expect a correction to consolidate this newly formed trend when the price does not surpass the 2315 price range. That is, we measure the target of this correction at the 2335 and 2330 zones. Planning to buy more when the price reaches these areas, we wait for a reaction to find a reversal signal to execute the buy order Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
1
XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone?We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset. Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area - Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong - Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5 - Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time. - We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD week 1 June 2024 US economy going down?1. US Q1 GDP was revised down due to weak consumer spending. 3. Israel will not end the conflict to reach an agreement to release all hostages. 4. OPEC+ is working on a complex production cut agreement for the period 2024-2025. 5. US April pending home sales suffered the largest decline in three years. With important information last week we see - The US economy is under strong pressure from the Fed's tightening monetary policy. - Besides, OPEC cutting oil production will push oil prices up and when oil prices increase, gold also increases. - The continued escalation of the Israeli conflict will push gold prices higher. Looking at H4 we see - After news of PCE, gold price increased sharply then decreased, completely negating the previous increase and breaking 2323 stone. - The 2323 price range was broken, invalidating our previous wave counting process with the expectation that the correction had ended. So with the 2323 price range being broken, the correction process is still continuing. - So it is possible that the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at the price range 2317 and 2311. - We have the 2465 zone which confirms wave 5 has completed when the price surpasses this zone - Next week we will wait for the price reaction in these areas to conduct buying transactions. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals. The news was announced yesterday Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6% Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k News that pending home sales are down 7.7% Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control. Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy. The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. . Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded. - After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week. - Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332. Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD on May 30, 2024, the rally is about to beginWith the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. Today will release news on unemployment claims, preliminary GDP, and pending home sales, with forecasts worse than last period, if tonight's actual index reflects correctly. This seems to signal that the US economy is being affected by monetary policy due to maintaining current high interest rates. Tomorrow is an important day to announce the PCI index (Index of price changes and consumer goods purchased by consumers excluding food and energy). If this index cools down, it could influence the Fed to loosen current monetary policy. Looking back over recent times, we see that the CPI inflation index has begun to show signs of decreasing, combined with economic pressure that may cause the Fed to decide to loosen its monetary policy, especially tomorrow if PCI index cooled down. Looking at H1, we see that the price has completed wave 4 and is continuing to complete wave 5. - We see that the current price has broken below the supply and demand balance zone as shown on the chart - With the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. - We wait for the price to reach the 2322.7 or 2311.5 areas to find reversal signals to decide to buy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 29, 2024 Is the upward correction over?Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 Looking at the preliminary forecast of US economic indicators tomorrow night we see. - Prelim GDP q/q decreased from 1.6% to 1.2% - Unemployment Claims increased from 215K to 218K - Pending Home Sales m/m decreased 3.4% to -1.1% US economic indicators show that the economic situation appears to be weakening due to tightened monetary policies. Maintaining high interest rates today makes it difficult for people and businesses to access capital, leading to a decrease in people's demand for housing consumption, in addition to pushing up raw material prices, leading to increased commodity prices. making it difficult to maintain operations of factories, leading to an increase in people applying for unemployment benefits. This continues to put pressure on the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the near future. Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 and the price is reacting sideways in this area. If the price breaks below the 2352 area and then recovers without exceeding the previous peak area, this is a very good sell down signal. - If the price rises above the 2364 area, we wait for the target wave number 2 of wave 4 to find a sell signal. - After the price completes wave 4, it will continue to trend with wave 5. From the current data, we will get the expected targets of wave 5 at target zone 1 at 2322 and target 2 at zone 2311. - In the target areas of wave 5, we will find suitable conditions to enter a BUY order Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 28, 2024 How will gold inflation cool down?We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order. With recent signs of cooling inflation and the fact that the US economy in particular has been directly impacted by high interest rates, the employment rate has decreased. These things will make the Fed's statements no longer resolute in maintaining high interest rates. In addition, the European central bank ECB also announced data to support the interest rate cut in June. Signals show that gold will continue to be supported in the near future to continue its upward price trend. Looking at H1, we see that wave 4 is about to complete. With the price data from the morning of the previous day, we measured the price target at the 2351-2355 range, but now that we have new price data, we have more information. The 2 new target areas are area 2362.5 and area 2371 - Plus the momentum in the H4 frame is still in the overbought zone, this shows that the upward price momentum is showing signs of weakening, besides the H1 momentum is increasing and is also about to approach the oversold zone. reinforces the goals of wave 4 - We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 28.05.24KEY POINTS: U.S. PCE data due on Friday Traders price in about 62% chance of rate-cut by November Vietnam's central bank to stop domestic gold auctions Gold prices held steady on Tuesday as the dollar eased, while investors looked forward to key U.S. inflation data that could offer clues on how soon the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates. Spot gold GOLD was flat at $2,350.85 per ounce, as of 0350 GMT, after rising about 1% in the previous session. U.S. gold futures GOLD rose 0.8% to $2,352.00.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD May 27, 2024 gold's reaction after a sharp declineWith investors' expectations of interest rate cuts in the market increasingly decreasing, especially when statements from Fed members last week all hinted that there will be no plans to cut interest rates in the near future. This interest rate causes the expectation to buy gold to decrease, leading to a weak demand for accessing the market. Looking at H1 last weekend, we witnessed a strong decline according to the Elliot wave principle. This strong decline may be a characteristic of wave 3 of wave c in the abc correction wave as shown on the chart. - Currently the price is in a recovery phase and this could be wave 4. We measure the target of wave 4 ending at the price range 2351-2355 - Then the price continues to decrease to complete wave 5 as well as wave c, then we have the target price area of this wave 5 at 2322.7 or 2311.5 Trading plan - We can sell at area 2351-2355 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area. - We can buy in 2 areas 2322.7 and 2311.5 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD on May 23 2024 fluctuated strongly after the Fed meeting?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Yesterday the Fed meeting with its published content showed - The data shows that commodity prices have increased significantly recently, which indicates that inflation is increasing. - Fed says inflation may take longer to fall - The current federal funds rate is enough to slow US economic activity and reduce inflation With such announcements, it appears that the prospect of interest rate cuts expected by the Fed this year may be changed. When this information was announced yesterday, it immediately pushed gold prices down sharply yesterday session to 2370. Look at H1 - Wave c is the last corrective wave of the abc corrective wave, the structure of wave c includes 5 small waves - The strong and sharp price decrease last night can be said to be wave 3 in wave c being formed. - We expect that the expected target of wave 3 is level 2365 and level 2345 - Then there could be a small correction to complete wave 4 before continuing to complete wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction. - We observe the formation of wave 4 ending to determine the target of wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction Trading plan We continue to observe the completion of wave 3 and wait for the end of wave 4 to determine the target of wave 5 to buy. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 22, 2024 Is the current correction over?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Yesterday there were many statements from members of the Fed 1. Fed's Jefferson says it's too early to know whether deflation will last. 2. Fed's Mester says economic conditions do not support three rate cuts. 3. Fed's Bostic expects only one rate cut this year. The main content is to maintain the increase in interest rates. This information continues to support the current adjustment period Looking at the H1 chart we see - The current correction process is likely to be an abcde triangle correction wave model. - This process is likely entering the final stage of the correction. Looking at the price model, we wait for wave e to form to end the correction. - The correction process is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through the peak of wave d (2433.8), then the price continues to increase to the target of 2500 Trading plan If price stays above 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2408 If the price breaks down to 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2401 Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
How much will the price of XAUUSD drop on May 21, 2024?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. The war between Russia and Ukraine has not yet found a voice at the negotiating table, plus President Putin's recent visit to China further shows that Russia will not make concessions to Nato. And recently both Russia and Ukraine rejected the French president's call for a ceasefire during the Olympics in Paris on May 17. These moves further demonstrate tensions in the geopolitical situation The US economy, after a long period of maintaining high interest rates to control inflation, has led to a situation where the economy is showing signs of weakening, although it is not yet in a recession, but with the leading economic index falling. of the US fell 0.6% MoM in April following an uncontrolled 0.3% decline in March. Weaker consumer outlook on business conditions, weaker new orders , negative interest rate differentials and falling new construction permits fueled April's decline. It suggests weaker US economic conditions going forward. With such potential risks, Gold will continue to set new ATHs until the above conditions are resolved. Use the Elliot wave principle to evaluate the situation on the H1 chart - Yesterday gold created a new ATH at 2450, this is the target area of wave 5 that we launched. - Then the price dropped to 2408 and recovered slightly to 2436, so we have the current gold price in the ABC correction wave. - Looking at H1, we see that wave a and wave b are likely to have completed and currently the gold price is completing wave c of the correction. - The expected price range of wave c has 2 target areas: area 2397 and area 2381, this is the target for the end of wave c. Plan to trade when the price approaches the 2397 or 2381 zone Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 20, 2024 What is the target of this price increase?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Last week, the Russian president's visit to China will have two purposes: first, Russia and China create cooperation, which will make Russia's war in Ukraine continue to take place according to Russia's plan after the With China's support, the war in the Middle East and the factions supported by these two countries will gain more momentum. Second, these two countries are key members of the BRICS bloc. This visit will create momentum for the bloc to continue buying Gold to strengthen the bloc's common currency that is about to be released. In addition, with last week's announcement of US economic indicators, we see a decrease in the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the context of a continuous decline in the labor market, and at the same time the CPI index is at a high level. This shows that the American people are gradually adapting to the current economic situation, which will create confidence for the Fed to at least keep interest rates high to restrain inflation. So we see that the current volatile world situation is having a stronger impact on gold prices than the US economic index. Looking at the H1 graph based on the Elliot wave principle, we see - The price is at the end of wave 5. After measuring the target forecast for the end of wave 5, we have potential target areas that are 2444 and 2460. - After wave 5 ends, we expect an ABC correction before continuing the uptrend - The corrective wave target is expected to launch from the peaks of wave 5. We have 2 expected targets: area 2400 and area 2380. But according to the Elliot wave principle, corrective waves are often very complicated and take a long time. Trading plan In the Sell plan, we align the important price zones at 2444 and 2460 In our Buy plan, we watch the important price zones at 2400 and 2380 Scalping strategies are applied when the upper resistance - support area provides an entry signal. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DEEKOP