XAUUSD 7/30/2024 How far will the price go?
After the 5-wave downtrend structure, we are witnessing an increase from 2354 to 2402
- So we will have 2 cases either the 5-wave downtrend structure has completed wave C then we have the current increase as a 5-wave structure, case 2 is the 5-wave downtrend structure above has just completed wave 1 in the 5-wave structure of wave C so the current increase is wave 2 and will have an ABC wave structure.
- We will have an important price to confirm that is the price of 2402, both cases need the price to break out through 2402. After the price breaks out through 2402 and the price returns below 2402, then we will lean towards the current situation being just a correction wave 2 in the 5-wave structure of the purple wave C. If the price breaks out through 2418, we will lean towards the possibility that this is a 5-wave increase structure and the possibility that the price will break through the peak of 2433.
So at the 2418 area, this is the current area containing a large amount of supply, which will be a strong resistance level for the price, so when the price touches this area, there will be a reaction, and we will choose this area as the SELL target
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2415 -2418
SL: 2425
TP1: 2402
TP2: 2390 TP3: 2374 BUY ZONE: 2357 - 2354 SL: 2347 TP1: 2365 TP2: 2374 TP3: 2382
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD 1H Sell Projection Customs duty cuts: The Indian government announced cuts to customs duty on gold in the Union Budget 2024, reducing it from 15% to 6%.
Concerns over demand in China: Demand for gold in China may also have contributed to the price drop.
Better-than-expected US data: Better-than-expected US Q2 GDP and jobless claims data may have also put downward pressure on gold prices.
XAUUSD 7/29/2024 Is the uptrend over?
Looking at H1, we can see that the corrective uptrend may have ended.
- The price will continue to move in a downtrend to complete the purple wave C as shown on the chart.
During the move to the target price zone of wave C, we see that at the 2374 treble line, this is the previous breakout price zone and has not been retested, so there is still a very strong demand force in this price zone.
- We expect the price to bounce back to the 2374 zone, so we will place a BUY order in this zone.
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2376 - 2373
SL: 2366
TP1: 2382
TP2: 2400
TP3: 2410
SELL ZONE: 2314 - 2417
SL: 2424
TP1: 2401
TP: 2382
TP3: 2365
XAUUSD BUY & SELL PROJECTION 27.02.24Buy Reason
The allure of non-yielding bullion tends to increase when interest rates are lowered because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases. Investor sentiment has played a significant role in the recent spike in gold prices. The current market positioning reflects a strong bullish outlook on gold.
Sell Reason
The reasons why gold prices may experience a fall in value include an excess of supply relative to demand and shifts in investor sentiment. A strong dollar and rising interest rates can also hurt the price of gold, as can low inflation.
XAUUSD 7/26/2024 Is there a pullback?
Looking at H1, we see that the price breaking the 2382.5 zone has confirmed that the price is in the purple wave C
- From the peak of 2433 to the bottom of 2353, we see a small 5-wave structure has been completed and now we see that the bullish recovery wave is continuing, we expect a corrective wave
- The target of the rebound wave I measured at the price zone of 2402 and the price zone of 2411
- So this increase we expect is a rebound wave before the bearish wave continues to the target zone of the purple wave C
- The target of the purple wave C we measured at the zone of 2334 and the zone of 2307
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2366 - 2363
SL: 2356
TP1: 2382
TP2: 2394
TP3: 2402
SELL ZONE: 2310 - 2312
SL: 2320 TP1: 2400 TP2: 2390 TP3: 2382
GOLD SHOING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction
niw it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will bost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout
BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capital
follow risk reward and tradeing rules
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XAUUSD 1H W Pattern Formation 24.07.24The W pattern is made up of several key components. The first bottom usually forms after a prolonged price decline, indicating the lowest point of the current downtrend. The price then rises, forming the middle peak, before declining again to form the second bottom.
GOLD BUYING SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD BUYING SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARD
A good BUYING setup detected on XAUUSD
it a very good setup
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 30 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the support zone
3. VERY GOOD SETUP
Just grab out will your own risk MAXIMUM 1%
4. also in day chat its showing its trying to break the 1d big trendline
it will consolidate here but after breakout the upcoming move will be OSM
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
The gold market is full of risks, investors should be careful
Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their losing streak for a third trading day, falling to nearly $2,410 during the European session on Friday. The precious metal is under profit-taking pressure after hitting a record high above $2,480 on Tuesday. The strong recovery of the USD and bond yields pulled gold prices lower.
Expectations for Donald Trump to return as President of the United States have increased following his assassination. The prospect that President Joe Biden could abandon his re-election bid due to his health also boosted Trump's chances of winning. Trump, with his protectionist trade policies, has increased the attractiveness of the USD, contributing to downward pressure on gold prices.
Political uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, along with demand for gold from central banks, could limit the decline in gold prices. Investors see any further price decline as a buying opportunity, based on expectations that prices will rebound once current negative factors are resolved.
Price range to note:
Buy zone: 2399 - 2401
Stop loss: 2395
Take profit 1: 2410
Take profit 2: 2420
Buy zone: 2391 - 2389
Stop loss: 2385
Take profit 1: 2390
Take profit 2: 2400
XAUUSD July 22, 2024 Is the decline over?
The information that President Biden withdrew from running due to his health further confirmed Trump's high chance of winning the election. This information immediately caused XAU to gap up on Monday morning
Looking at H1 we see a sharp sharp decline, this is the ongoing wave 3.
- At the price range of 2394, we have a strong rebound. From this rebound we expect that wave 3 has ended and this rebound is wave 4.
- The target of wave 4 I measured at the price range 2420 or price range 2428
- After completing wave 4, the price continues to decrease to complete the 5-wave pattern
- With the current price data, I can temporarily measure the expected target of wave 5, the last down wave of this downtrend, at the price range of 2382 or the price range of 2366.
- After the end of this price reduction, we expect a strong recovery and I will update the specifics of this recovery after the price completes this 5-wave decline.
- Our trading strategy is to observe price reactions at support and resistance zones to enter orders
XAUUSD on July 18, 2024 continues to wait for the target zone?
Continue with the previous day's plan
- Looking at H1, we have black wave 5 which is an expanding wave.
- In the black wave 5, there is a yellow 5-wave structure and now we have a yellow 4 wave that may have completed.
- From the measured targets for the end of wave 5 of the plans in recent days, we will have the first target at the round number area of 2500
- Currently we wait for the price to reach the target area of 2500 to find conditions to SELL
XAUUSD DAILY BUY PROJECTION The allure of non-yielding bullion tends to increase when interest rates are lowered because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases. Investor sentiment has played a significant role in the recent spike in gold prices. The current market positioning reflects a strong bullish outlook on gold.
XAUUSD July 17, 2024 Will the rising wave continue?XAUUSD July 17, 2024 Will the rising wave continue?
The information we received is that Mr. Trump's brother is officially named as the Republican candidate. The fact that Mr. Trump is a bright candidate for the United States is creating conditions for XAU to increase in price because of its policies. In the past, he advocated for reducing interest rates to focus on economic growth.
The information released from the Fed in recent days shows dovishness with announcements that curbing inflation is very effective as well as statements from Fed Chairman Powell also making dovish comments. . This also makes the expectation that interest rate cuts will happen sooner.
Looking at H1, we see that yesterday there was a strong increase, which shows that we are having wave 5 extension.
We are measuring wave 5 and currently have two important target price areas to observe: the 2481.6 area and the 2500 round resistance area.
- At this time we should limit buying because the price is at the peak of the price force. Looking at the RSI, we see that the price momentum is weakening, while the price is still increasing, this signals that the current uptrend has ended. weakening force increased insignificantly
- We have target price zones to find selling points at 2481.6 and 2500.
- We expect the price to have a slight correction and then create a new peak near the 2500 area and the RSI peak will then diverge, which will be a nice sell trade setup. We continue to observe the price in this area to find a Sell down point.
- In the immediate future, we have a target area for the downward correction wave at the price range of 2438.6. When there is more data about the dark price, this target area will be updated
XAUUSD trading plan for week 1, July 2024
Looking at D1, we see that the adjustment process has reached the end of the period
- Unlike impulse waves, corrective waves take a long time and often have complex patterns that are difficult to predict.
- Looking at the current model, I am leaning towards the complex triangle correction model with ABCDE structure in Elliot
- The beauty of Elliot is that there are price levels that confirm whether we are moving in the right direction.
- We have 2 prices that confirm our wave counting
+ If the price level 2284.37 is broken below then our current assumption is no longer correct then our previous assumption that the ABC correction model I mentioned last week will apply
+ If the price level of 2365.7 is broken, the triangle correction model we are predicting will be confirmed.
- So our plan is to wait for the price to break out of the 2365.7 price range and test again to enter a Buy order.
- If the Breakout price drops below 2284.37, then we wait to test again and enter a Sell order. If that happens, I will update.
How will XAUUSD fluctuate after Trump's case?
The failed assassination of presidential candidate Trump increasingly increased his odds of winning the election as well as helping the Republican party hold a large number of seats in the parliament. If the Republican Party prevails in the election, This will promote a reduction in USD interest rates. This is also the reason why XAU has increased in recent days.
Looking at H1:
- The purple 5-wave structure has been completed. This could be the wave 1 structure in a larger wave. and so next will be the corrective wave structure
- Like I said before, corrective waves often take a long time and move complicatedly, we need a lot of follow-up data to shape the corrective structure.
- But for simplicity we can expect a simple ABC structure to observe
- Then we temporarily have the target area for corrective wave C at 2 price areas: 2367.7 and 2349.3.
- The current plan is that we can sell at the price range of 2429 to the price range of 2440 and set the SL at the top of 2440.
XAUUSD July 9, 2024 potential buying point?
Looking at h1 yesterday, we continued to successfully predict the direction of price movement
- Currently, the price is approaching the target area of wave C. As I said yesterday, we need data from waves A and B to be completed to determine the target of wave C.
- Currently, I measure the target of wave C located at 2 price areas 2355 and 2346 price areas. These 2 price items form a narrow area where we can enter a Buy order at this price area.
- If the price breaks through 2339, our current wave counting process is no longer correct, then I will update you again.
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARDGOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARD
A good BUYING setup detected on XAUUSD
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bullish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
4. also in day chat its showing its trying to break the 1d big trendline
it will consolidate here but after breakout the upcoming move will be OSM
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARD
A good buying setup detected on gold
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bullish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
Stay happy
XAUUSD 30M BUY PROJECTION 12.07.24Gold has been used over millennia as jewelry and a means of exchange. Gold has an important economic role as a means of exchange should currency collapse. Gold is a store of value and thus an investment opportunity for individuals. Gold is rare and difficult to extract.
XAUUSD 15M SELL PROJECTIONKEY TAKEAWAYS
Throughout history, gold has been seen as a special and valuable commodity.
Today, owning gold can act as a hedge against inflation and deflation alike, as well as a good portfolio diversifier.
As a global store of value, gold can also provide financial cover during geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty.
Gold has an actual purpose as it's been used in electronics and dentistry.
Gold is becoming easier and easier to buy, and you can now own gold without having to physically maintain or secure it.
XAUUSD July 8, 2024 Will the rising wave continue?
Nonfarm news last weekend with lower employment data than the previous period caused gold to have a strong increase in price to 2392.2, this price increase may need to continue a correction of wave 4 before completing wave 5. final increase.
Looking at H1 we see
Black wave 5 has exceeded our measured target and approached the 2392 area.
- So the next 5 waves are a correction. The corrective wave is a complex wave that is difficult to specifically identify, but we still take the ABC corrective wave as the standard for price observation.
The specific target of this corrective wave needs to be observed at least as waves A and B complete to be accurate, but from the current data I measure the target of the corrective wave ending at the price range 2363 or 2355.
These are the two price zones I expect to continue buying. We will continue to observe price behavior during the correction wave to more accurately determine the target price zones of the correction wave.
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:6 RISK REWARDGOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:6 RISK REWARD
A good falling detected on GOLD
It's showing a fall due to these reason
1. It's following THE 15M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bearish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:6 RISK REWARD
A good falling detected on GOLD
It's showing a fall due to these reason
1. It's following THE 30 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bearish pressure
4. a range breaking on 30m chat
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more