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Gold Surges $70+ – Is XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?🔥 Market Update Gold (XAUUSD) just made a massive rally of more than $70, shaking the entire trading community. The rise in geopolitical tensions is pushing safe-haven demand to extreme levels, and gold has once again become the most-watched asset worldwide. For Indian traders, where gold holds not just market value but also cultural importance, this move is a wake-up call – volatility is at its peak, and discipline is key. 🔎 Macro Outlook 🌍 Global geopolitical risks → Strong inflows into gold as a safe haven. 💵 USD and bond yields are not enough to stop buyers rushing to gold. 📊 Upcoming US PCE data & Fed decisions could bring even bigger swings. 📊 Technical View (H4) After the sharp rally, gold built a base around CP Zone H4 before breaking out again. Key Support Levels 3,462 – 3,443 → Must hold to keep the bullish structure intact. Key Resistance Levels 3,487 – 3,518 → Likely area for pullback or reaction. A clean break could target 3,536+ next. 📌 Possible Market Scenarios ✅ Scenario 1 (Preferred) Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and can push towards 3,536. ⚠️ Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback) Break below 3,462 → Retest of 3,443 before buyers step back in. 🎯 Trade Plan (Reference Only) ✅ BUY ZONE 1 Entry: 3453 – 3451 SL: 3446 TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2 Entry: 3444 – 3442 SL: 3438 TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ??? ❌ SELL ZONE Entry: 3512 – 3514 SL: 3518 TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470 💡 Key Takeaways for Indian Traders Gold is in a powerful uptrend, driven by global uncertainty. But after such a sharp move, a technical pullback is very possible. Best approach now: ✔️ Wait for dip-buying opportunities near strong supports. ✔️ Respect stop loss – capital protection comes first. ✔️ Keep an eye on global news that can spark instant volatility. This is the kind of market where patience + discipline = survival and profit. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold (XAU/USD) Targets $3,397 – $3,406 Amid Bullish MomentumAnalysis: The 4H chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows strong bullish momentum after a corrective phase. Price has broken above consolidation and is currently trading around $3,382, with upside targets at $3,397 and $3,406 (highlighted resistance zone). The supply zone on the higher timeframe remains intact below $3,280, acting as a long-term support. Immediate support levels lie at $3,371, $3,356, and $3,348. A break below these could shift momentum bearish. Current bullish structure suggests that as long as price holds above $3,371, buyers may drive the price higher toward the resistance levels. A rejection from $3,406 may lead to a pullback toward the mid-support zone before another attempt higher.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Smart money sold at premium (after BSL sweep)1.Premium Array (Top Zone) • Price rallied into the Premium Array (above equilibrium). • This is where smart money looks to sell, because the market is at a premium. • The spike above PDH/PWH = Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) raid → stop hunt. 2.Liquidity Grab • That long wick above the Premium Array shows liquidity being taken. • Breakout traders went long; their stops funded institutional sell orders. • After liquidity is taken, price reverses down. 3.Market Structure Shift (MSS) • Once price rejected the premium zone, it broke lower, showing bearish intent. • This aligns with the “sell high, buy low” ICT logic. 4.Discount Array (Lower Zone) • The area below equilibrium (50% of the range) = Discount Array. • Smart money looks for buys in this zone. • Your chart shows 1H FVG + PDL + Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) as confluence. 5.Bullish Setup Area • The shaded “Good area for bullish” + “Powerful A+ area for bullish” means: • Price may drop into the PDL/SSL/FVG confluence. • Once liquidity is grabbed below → market could reverse upward again. 📘 Narrative in ICT Style • First, price ran above BSL in the Premium Array to engineer liquidity. • Then, distribution happened at premium, shifting structure bearish. • Now, price is likely being delivered toward discount zones (PDL, FVG, SSL). • These are the optimal trade entry (OTE) zones for longs if bullish narrative holds. 👉 So in short: will look to buy back at discount (PDL/SSL/FVG zones).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TurtleSoupConcept
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 26/08/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Price is currently in the overbought zone. The ongoing bullish cycle has already produced 5 daily candles. Combined with the overbought condition, this suggests that upside momentum is weakening. If no strong breakout occurs within the next 1–2 days, it is likely that the market is still in a larger corrective phase on the daily chart. • H4 timeframe: Momentum has turned bearish, with strong selling pressure emerging right after wave 2 was considered complete. This is an unusual sign and raises caution for the bullish scenario. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to turn bearish, which implies an incoming corrective pullback. This is not an encouraging signal at a stage where wave 3 is expected to develop. 2. Wave Structure • D1: The main scenario still follows the larger corrective triangle. Price is unfolding waves 1–2 (green), and the current bullish leg is expected to be wave 3 (green). However, the strength so far has not been convincing. Having already completed 5 D1 candles without a decisive breakout suggests weakness in the rally. • H4: The Asian session opened with a strong rally, but this momentum quickly faded and was followed by aggressive selling. Momentum reversed sharply, highlighting abnormal behavior for the expected uptrend. • H1: At the 3387 level, strong selling pressure appeared, whereas this should have been the breakout zone for wave 3 (black) after surpassing wave 1 (black). Ideally, price should have pushed straight toward 3403 to confirm the impulsive strength of wave 3. This unusual behavior suggests that wave 1 (black) actually completed at 3387, and the market is now in wave 2 (black). On the lower timeframe (M15), the current decline is forming an ABC structure, with the measured target for wave C at 3364 – a potential buy zone. If price falls back to 3350 and breaks below, the 1–2–3–4–5 (yellow) count will be invalidated. In that case, the market may be unfolding a larger corrective structure, and the wave count plan will need to be updated. 3. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3365 – 3363 • Stop Loss: 3349 • Take Profit 1: 3387 • Take Profit 2: 3403 ⚠️ Note: The stop-loss range is relatively wide, and momentum does not fully support the bullish wave scenario yet. Traders should consider carefully before entering directly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD: Bulls Eyeing a Spark from the 3357 – 3352 Launchpad!We witnessed a strong bullish surge in Gold following Friday's event-driven move. Now, XAUUSD is pulling back toward a key support zone at 3357–3352, where fresh buying interest is likely to emerge. A confirmed bounce from this area could pave the way for a bullish reversal and a push toward higher targets. 🔻 Trade Setup Entry: Buy at 3357 | Add on dips near 3352 Targets: Refer to marked zones on the chart Invalidation: Setup becomes invalid on a daily close below 3346 📌 Risk-Reward Outlook This setup offers a tight downside risk with strong upside potential. Stick to disciplined risk management and adjust your position size accordingly to suit your strategy. 👍 If this idea resonates with your view, drop a like and share your thoughts in the comments — let’s learn and grow together! Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
1
Gold's Bullish Run Meets Resistance – Time to Fade the Rally?Gold (XAUUSD) surged strongly after Friday’s event-driven move, but the momentum now appears to be stalling. Price is consolidating in a defined range, and we’re watching a key resistance zone between 3475 – 3488, where fresh sellers may step in to challenge the bulls. 🔻 Short Trade Setup – Fading the Strength Entry: Sell at 3475 Add on Strength: 3485 Targets: See chart for marked zones Invalidation: Daily close above 3495 📉 Risk-Reward Outlook This setup presents a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially for short-term traders aiming to capitalize on a potential rejection at resistance. As always, keep your risk tight and position sizing disciplined. Gold has had its run — now the odds may favor the contrarian. Keep an eye on momentum and price action at the resistance zone. 👍 If this idea aligns with your view, give it a like and drop your thoughts in the comments — let’s exchange ideas and insights! 🔔 Follow us for more actionable trade setups. Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
Gold Weekly Plan: Correction or New Rally Ahead? 🇮🇳Gold surprised everyone last week with a strong rally after the Jackson Hole symposium. The weakness in USD gave bulls fresh momentum, and now traders are once again eyeing the possibility of a new ATH in the coming weeks. But remember — after every big impulse, the market loves to test patience. A short-term correction is possible before the next strong leg up. This is where smart traders prepare, while emotional traders often get trapped. 📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Chart) Gold is moving inside a tight triangle pattern, signaling that a breakout is close. Friday’s bullish candle shows the market still favors buyers, but watch out: gold often dips lower before making a major breakout move. The strategy? Stay disciplined and only enter at confirmed Key Levels. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3370 – 3383 – 3400 – 3425 Support: 3350 – 3340 – 3326 – 3315 🔥 Trading Plan (MMFlow Strategy) BUY ZONE 🟢 Entry: 3340 – 3338 SL: 3334 Targets: 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 – 3390 – 3400+ SELL ZONE 🔴 Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3407 Targets: 3395 – 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3375 – 3370 ✨ Question for Indian Traders: Do you think Gold will retest supports first or break 3400 directly? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 24/8/2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising → High probability that price will continue its bullish move on Monday. • H4 timeframe: Momentum remains bullish → Price is expected to keep rising early in the week to complete wave (3) in yellow. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → The short-term correction is nearing its end, we look for buy opportunities. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Friday’s strong bullish candle reinforces the scenario that wave (1) and (2) in blue are complete, and wave (3) in blue may already be forming. We need price to break above the top of wave (1) in blue to confirm the development of wave (3). • H4 timeframe: Price rallied sharply and broke above the top of wave (1) in yellow → This confirms price is currently in wave (3) in yellow. With momentum on H4 still rising, wave (3) likely has more room to continue. • H1 timeframe: The corrective ABC structure has completed, followed by a sharp and steep rally (as projected in Friday’s plan). Price broke above 3350 – the top of wave (1) in yellow → Confirming the scenario that price is in wave (3) in yellow. o Minimum target for wave (3) in yellow: 3387. o Principle: Do not counter-trade wave (3); instead, wait for wave (4) correction to look for buy entries in wave (5). Trading Strategy With H1 approaching the oversold zone and showing a mild correction, we have two options for entries: 1. Breakout: Wait for price to break above the small descending trendline as shown on the chart → Enter breakout buy. 2. Pullback entry: Wait for price to retrace to the 3362 area → Buy from there. Trade Plan: • Buy Zone: 3364 – 3361 • Stop Loss: 3354 • Take Profit: o TP1: 3378 o TP2: 3387 o TP3: 3403
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Gold getting ready for a big breakout!Gold is moving exactly as expected: consolidation – breakout – consolidation again. Right now, price is forming a tight triangle pattern, showing strong pressure for the next move. 👉 With both technical setup and global macro headlines creating indecision, the market is waiting for a clear breakout. Once it happens, we can expect a strong trend in either direction. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3337 – 3343 – 3350 – 3356 – 3365 Support: 3325 – 3320 – 3314 📌 Buy Plan Buy Zone: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3309 TP: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 📌 Sell Plan Scalp Sell: 3348 – 3350 SL: 3355 TP: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330 Sell Zone: 3365 – 3367 SL: 3372 TP: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340 🎯 MMFLOW Note The tighter the range, the stronger the breakout. Always prepare for both bullish & bearish scenarios. Wait for confirmation at the Key Levels before taking positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – BTCUSD 22/8/2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently in the oversold zone, with the downside range narrowing → suggesting the decline is slowing. This supports the potential for a short-term bullish rebound. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward, but the current strength is not yet enough to confirm a sustainable uptrend. Key signal: if H4 momentum enters the overbought zone and price breaks above the previous high, it will confirm a more solid bullish trend. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning down. Ideally, the pullback should not break below the 112k level. If this support holds, it would be the first signal of a possible bullish reversal. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price has broken below the wave 4 low and is now reacting around this zone → confirming the risk of a longer-term corrective decline. However, D1 momentum still supports a short-term rebound in the form of wave B. This means we should avoid long-term Buy positions for now, and only treat upcoming upside moves as corrective rallies. • H4 timeframe: Price remains within a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5, red). This could either be wave A of an ABC correction or wave 1 of a larger corrective structure. Further observation is needed. • H1 timeframe: A 5-wave structure (black) seems to be forming, with wave 5 potentially unfolding as an ending diagonal (triangle). Once this triangle completes, a sharp upward move is expected. Confirmation will come if price breaks above the 2–4 trendline. For now, watch for a break above 113.5k to trigger entry. Trading Plan • Stay patient and wait for a breakout above the 2–4 trendline on H1. • If confirmed, consider entering Buy positions to ride the corrective rebound.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 20/8/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum lines are still “sticking” together, signaling that the bearish pressure is weakening. However, without a strong bullish D1 candle to confirm reversal, there is still a risk of sudden downward spikes. Patience is required until a clear bullish confirmation appears. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is currently turning bullish, suggesting a potential upward move today. But caution is needed: if the bullish candles are short, overlapping each other, and when momentum reaches the overbought zone without breaking the previous high → this move is likely just a corrective rebound. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought area, indicating the possibility of a minor pullback or sideways movement in the short term. 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: The corrective triangle structure remains valid (only invalidated if price breaks below 3270). The main scenario continues to favor wave 1 and 2 in blue, with price currently in wave 2. • H4 timeframe: The decline in wave C shows overlapping sub-waves, each formed by 3-wave structures, hinting at the possibility of an ending diagonal for wave C. The pattern is not yet complete, so we need further observation for confirmation. • H1 timeframe: Within the 5-wave structure of an ending diagonal, wave 3 is typically the strongest and a divergence usually occurs between wave 3 and wave 5 on RSI. Yesterday’s decline pushed RSI into the oversold zone, but no divergence has formed yet. Combined with H4 momentum turning bullish, this suggests the current move is likely wave 3 (yellow). A corrective wave 4 upward is expected, followed by a final decline to complete wave 5 with RSI divergence. Once wave 5 ends, the entire wave C diagonal will be complete, paving the way for a strong bullish rally — a typical characteristic of ending diagonals. 3. Trading Plan The strategy is based on the ending diagonal pattern: • Conservative approach: Wait for a breakout above the upper boundary of the diagonal before entering. • Aggressive approach: Wait for wave 5 to complete and enter at the projected bottom of wave 5. Trade setup: • Buy Zone: 3301 – 3299 • Stop Loss (SL): 3219 • Take Profit (TP1): 3314 • Take Profit (TP2): 3362 • Take Profit (TP3): 3381
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 19/8/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Price is still waiting for confirmation of a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. The current decline has lasted for 7 daily candles, which is usually sufficient for a corrective wave → suggesting the down move is in its final stage. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. We can expect 4–5 bullish H4 candles ahead, indicating a possible upward move today. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is tightening in the overbought zone. o If price makes a strong rally above 3343, the bullish move will be confirmed. o If price continues to consolidate sideways, a downward liquidity sweep may occur before pushing higher. 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Expectation remains that the abcde red triangle correction has been completed. The market is likely forming waves 1 and 2 (blue) of a new 5-wave bullish sequence. • H4 timeframe: The red ABC correction has already reached its first target at 3322. Combined with reversal signals on D1 and H4, this level could mark the bottom of wave C red or wave 2 blue. • H1 timeframe: After a strong rally yesterday, price is now in a deep pullback. This is likely wave 2 red, following the completion of wave 1 red. o Wave 2 has retraced to the 0.782 Fibonacci level of wave 1, making it a potential ending point. o However, since H1 momentum is still in the overbought zone, another drop is still possible. o If price breaks below 3324, then wave C might still be in progress, with key support zones at 3322 – 3315 – 3300. 3. Trading Plan • Current Buy position 3329–3332 is running with about 100 pips profit → this trade can be held for longer. o TP1: 3343 o TP2: 3362 o TP3: 3381 • If not in position yet, consider a Buy Limit: o Entry: 3333 – 3330 o SL: 3323 o TP1: 3343 o TP2: 3362 o TP3: 3381 👉 Note: If price breaks below 3324, I will update with new entry levels at lower support zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD: Navigating the Uptrend and Key Support LevelsPrice Structure: Gold has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicative of a general uptrend. The chart labels a "high" and a "higher high," confirming this bullish structure. Support and Resistance: Two key support areas are identified: Support area S1: A narrow zone around 3,320 USD. The price recently bounced off this area. Support area S2: A broader, more significant zone around 3,290 USD, which appears to have been a strong support level in the past. Several horizontal resistance levels are marked: Immediate resistance: Around 3,351.231 USD and 3,366.029 USD. Higher resistance: At 3,408.819 USD and 3,438.677 USD. Channels and Trendlines: The price has been moving within a series of ascending channels (highlighted in green rectangles), suggesting a stair-step upward movement. A primary ascending trendline (black line) serves as a long-term support, with the price currently hovering just above it. Recent Price Action and Projections: The price recently broke out of a small downtrend and is showing signs of recovery from the "support area S1." A potential price path is drawn with a red arrow, indicating a possible move towards the immediate resistance levels around 3,351 USD and 3,366 USD. The chart highlights two specific price points, 3,360.604 USD and 3,350.685 USD, which likely represent a short-term trading range or target. Volume: The volume spikes visible at key price points (e.g., at the low on July 30 and during the recent drop) indicate strong market activity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – August 15, 2025 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse and the two lines are converging. We need to wait for the daily candle close for confirmation. At this stage, buying pressure is weak, but sudden downward spikes to sweep liquidity are still possible. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential rebound today. If this rebound fails to break above Wave B’s high, another downward move is likely. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning down, so a short-term drop is possible. If price breaks below 3331 and approaches the lower targets, it will align with H4’s upward momentum, creating the basis for a more stable rally. 2. Wave Structure • D1 Timeframe: The abcde triangle pattern may have completed. We now have a black 5-wave structure, with Wave 1 formed and price possibly in Wave 2. A break below 3270 would invalidate this 5-wave count. • H4 Timeframe: The black 12345 5-wave structure appears complete. Price may now be forming a purple ABC correction, with Waves A and B done, and price currently in Wave C. Based on Fibonacci from W12345, Wave C has two potential targets: o Target 1: 3322 (Fibo 0.618) o Target 2: 3298 (Fibo 0.782) • H1 Timeframe: Within Wave C, a black 5-wave structure seems to be developing, and price may now be in Wave 4. Wave 4 has two possible targets: 3343 and 3350, after which price could drop to complete Wave 5. 3. Key resistance zones where Wave 5 may end: • Target 1: 3322 • Target 2: 3315 • Target 3: 3299 4. Trade Plan • Scenario 1: o Buy Zone: 3322 – 3320 o SL: 3312 o TP1: 3332 o TP2: 3357 o TP3: 3381 • Scenario 2: o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298 o SL: 3290 o TP1: 3314 o TP2: 3343 o TP3: 3381
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
3330 Liquidity Zone – A Fresh Bullish Structure is Emerging!The 3330 liquidity zone continues to prove its strength as gold rebounds sharply from this level, forming a clean new bullish structure on the M30 timeframe. Buyers are now pushing price to trade around 334x, and if this momentum holds, the next upside targets lie at the FIB – CP Zones above 335x and 336x. On the higher timeframe, the corrective wave is still in play, but short-term price action is opening opportunities for both BUY & SELL setups, provided we time our entries with precision. Market Context & Key News Today, the market will be watching the Trump–Putin meeting, which could trigger sharp geopolitical-driven moves. This Friday also brings the usual liquidity sweep, adding to potential volatility. That’s why MMFLOW recommends observing the trend closely to pick safe entry points and avoid getting caught in false breaks. Trading Plan 1. SELL Zones 3355 – Prime OBS SELL ZONE, expecting strong reaction. 3362 – Higher resistance, aligned with the descending trendline. Note: Best to take entries here if reached during Asia or early London; late London/NY session tests are prone to false break traps. 2. BUY Zones Watch 3334 – 3336 for early BUY entries on lower timeframes. Safe stop-loss: below 3330. If 3330 breaks → wait patiently for BUY opportunities around 331x. Action Strategy Prioritise early BUYs at 3334–3336 with confirmation signals. SELL at 3355 or 3362 if clear rejection occurs. Manage risk strictly – SL below 3330 for BUYs and above 3365 for SELLs. 💡 MMFLOW NOTE: This is gold – volatility can erupt at any moment. Control your emotions, wait for precise setups, and you’ll gain the edge.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of reversal. Although price may not reverse immediately when the two momentum lines converge, this is a clear signal that the current selling pressure is weakening. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining and has only formed 2 H4 candles since the reversal began. It will likely take another 2–3 H4 candles to enter the oversold zone and potentially reverse upward. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is also falling, suggesting a likely downward move during the Asian session. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • On H1, price is moving in a choppy manner, indicating a corrective phase that has nearly reached its target. • However, the D1 momentum preparing to reverse upward creates two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: D1 momentum reverses upward and confirms → The uptrend could last for 4–5 days, conflicting with the current scenario of a corrective wave B. In this case, we would have an alternative scenario of an initial diagonal wave 1 as shown in the right-hand chart. Scenario 2: D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and stays there → A strong drop would be needed to confirm that the current price action is wave B. ________________________________________ 3. Two Potential Price Scenarios 1. WXY corrective pattern → Target for wave Y is around 3381. 2. Initial diagonal wave 1 → Wave 2 could decline toward 3345 before wave 3 rises again. This scenario currently aligns better with the D1 momentum signal. ________________________________________ Conclusion: At present, there is a conflict between momentum signals and wave structure. Further observation is required to determine a clearer trading plan, so no trade recommendation for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (August 13, 2025) 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. By the end of today, it is likely to be fully in oversold territory. This stage often leads to strong price movement – either a sharp decline or a bullish reversal. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close for confirmation. If confirmed, a recovery move is likely to occur today. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently tightening and approaching the overbought zone – a typical sign of sideways price action. This explains why, despite the high probability of a recovery, H1 does not yet provide a good entry signal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence between price and the indicator – a pattern often seen in wave 3 or wave 5. This supports the view that wave 5 (black) has completed around the 3333 level. • With a complete 5-wave structure, wave A (red) of the ABC (red) correction may already be in place. • A recovery in wave B (red) is expected, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn upward. Wave B typically forms a 3-wave corrective structure, where price moves in a choppy, overlapping manner rather than trending strongly. • Wave B target zones: 1. 3371 2. 3381 These two levels are close to each other, so they can be treated as one combined zone. The plan is to take the first target as the base level while extending the SL to cover the second target. If price approaches these levels, it’s best to watch real-time price action before entering a trade. • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, the 3323 zone remains a good Buy opportunity (as per the previous analysis). ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Sell Setup: • Entry Zone: 3371 – 3373 • SL: 3385 • TP1: 3358 • TP2: 3331 • TP3: 3323 Buy Setup: • Entry Zone: 3323 – 3321 • SL: 3313 • TP1: 3331 • TP2: 3357 • TP3: 3371 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence, often seen in wave 3 or 5, suggesting wave 5 (black) may have completed around 3333. • Wave A (red) of the ABC cycle may be complete; wave B (red) is expected to recover in a 3-wave, choppy pattern. • Wave B target zone: 3371–3381 (treated as one zone; monitor price action before entry). • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, 3323 remains a potential Buy zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 12, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining → the downtrend remains intact. It may take another 2–3 daily candles for price to reach the oversold zone and potentially reverse. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising → from now until the U.S. session, price may either retrace upwards or move sideways. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn down → a minor pullback could occur in the short term, so this move should be monitored. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure • The green wave structure in the form of an ending diagonal may have been completed. This could mean that Wave 5 or Wave C (black) has formed. • Personally, I do not want to see the Green 5-Wave Structure end with an ending diagonal at this stage because: o If this is an impulsive uptrend structure, we are only at Wave 1 of the larger degree. o An ending diagonal in Wave 5 (black) indicates weak buying pressure, which is not ideal when price hasn’t broken the previous high to confirm a new trend → increasing the probability that this is a corrective wave. • Looking at the current downward wave structure, I tentatively label it as five black waves 1-2-3-4-5. The current slight rebound is expected to be Wave 4, which could take the form of either a Flat or Triangle. • Wave 4 targets: 1. 3358 2. 3364 • If price breaks 3381, the current 1-2-3-4-5 bearish count will be invalidated (Wave 4 would overlap Wave 1). In that case, the structure could turn into a corrective ABC or a new 5-wave advance. • With a Wave 4 target at 3364, the projected Wave 5 target would be 3323. ________________________________________ 3. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure • D1 downtrend → supports the scenario of another drop, forming Wave 5. • H4 rising + H1 declining → could indicate Wave 4 forming as a triangle, with the key signal being that the current drop does not break 3342. o If 3342 breaks, Wave 5 may already be in play, targeting 3323. • Since H4 momentum is still rising, there remains a chance that price breaks above 3381, which would require a full recount—possibly turning into an ABC correction or a 5-wave rally. ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan • If Wave 4 forms as a triangle → the 3358 area is a good sell zone, or wait for a breakout below 3342. • Limit Sell Order: o Entry: 3364 – 3366 o SL: 3374 o TP1: 3342 o TP2: 3333 o TP3: 3323
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 10, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum lines are still overlapping without a confirmed reversal signal. This suggests that a potential reversal could occur within the next 1–2 days. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, indicating that prices may continue to climb during the Asian session tomorrow. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is also rising, further supporting the expectation of continued upside movement in the Asian session. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure Analysis • Current price action is overlapping, reinforcing the hypothesis that an ending diagonal is forming. • This structure could either be part of Wave 5 (black) or Wave C (black). In both cases, it represents an ending diagonal 12345, with the market currently in Wave 4 (blue). • Confirmation signal: A sharp and steep decline will confirm the ending diagonal — as mentioned in previous plans, this has not yet occurred. • The projected completion targets are at 3412 or 3419. If the price breaks 3439, it will likely confirm the completion of Wave 5 (black). ________________________________________ 3. Possible Scenarios • Scenario 1: If the current move is part of a 5-wave 12345 black structure, once Wave 5 completes, a corrective ABC 3-wave decline could follow, targeting 3333. • Scenario 2: If the current move is part of a 3-wave ABC black structure, once Wave C completes, a 5-wave bearish sequence could unfold, breaking below 3315. ________________________________________ 4. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure Given that: • D1 is in the overbought zone and could reverse within 1–2 days, • H4 momentum is rising, and • Price is likely in Wave 4 (blue), → On Monday, we may see one more upward push to complete Wave 5 (blue). This presents a potential SELL opportunity in the 3412–3419 target area. Since this is a wide zone, it’s best to wait for clear reversal signals before entering. ________________________________________ 5. Trade Plan SELL ZONE 1: 3411 – 3413 • SL: 3416 • TP1: 3400 • TP2: 3381 • TP3: 3342 SELL ZONE 2: 3419 – 3421 • SL: 3429 • TP1: 3400 • TP2: 3381 • TP3: 3342
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 8, 2025📊 🔍 Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is currently turning down, limiting the potential for a long-term rally in the current bullish wave. This also suggests that the top may already have formed around the 3,409 level. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is still declining and needs about one more H4 candle to reverse upward. For now, the downward move is likely to continue, so caution is advised. • H1 Timeframe: Showing early signs of a short-term bearish reversal. This decline is important and will be analyzed further after the wave structure review. 🌀 Wave Structure The current price action suggests a potential Ending Diagonal formation. Once completed, this pattern is typically followed by a sharp and sudden drop. So far, no sharp decline has occurred, meaning the ending diagonal may not be finished yet. The ideal completion zones for Wave 5 are around 3412 or 3419. Ending diagonals tend to develop in a complex manner, so a safer approach is to enter trades after price breaks below the lower boundary of the diagonal. 👉 Additional Scenario: If H1 momentum reverses downward and price breaks below 3381, it is likely to drop toward 3371. This area could be considered for a Buy setup. Conversely, if price does not break below 3381 and instead rises toward 3412, it may indicate that Wave 5 is completing at that level. 📈 Trading Plan • SELL Zone 1: 3412 – 3414 o SL: 3417 o TP1: 3393 o TP2: 3372 • SELL Zone 2: 3419 – 3421 o SL: 3429 o TP1: 3395 o TP2: 3372
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | August 7, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis: • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is turning bearish, signaling that a medium-term downtrend may have already started and could last until mid-next week. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising, but the slope of the two momentum lines is relatively flat → indicating weak bullish strength. We should closely watch the overhead resistance zones. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone → a short-term reversal is likely, especially near the 3386 level. ________________________________________ 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure: • Based on the bearish momentum shift on the D1 chart, we expect the market is entering an ABC corrective pattern (in green). • Currently: o Wave A is completed. o Wave B is in progress. • Since Wave A appears to be a 3-wave structure, Wave B may unfold as a flat correction. In that case, potential target zones for Wave B are: o 3385 o or 3395 → these are the key resistance levels to monitor. • Within Wave B (green), we observe an internal 3-wave ABC structure (in red), where: o Wave C (red) may reach:  3386  or extend toward 3395 → In alignment with the D1 momentum signal, 3386 is considered a potential entry point for a short position. ________________________________________ 📈 Trade Plan: • SELL Zone: 3386 – 3389 • Stop Loss: 3397 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3370 o TP2: 3353 o TP3: 3333
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX