Get started

Xauusdidea

GOLD LOSES ITS SHINE - DISTRIBUTION PHASE BEGINSSymbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3244 Gold breaks below 3270, entering a distribution phase amid a strengthening US dollar. The market appears to be in the early stages of a potential trend reversal. On Thursday, gold remained under sustained pressure, trading at a two-week low, as market sentiment responded to statements by President Trump regarding potential trade agreements with multiple countries, including China. Growing optimism surrounding trade negotiations is enhancing risk appetite, thereby diminishing demand for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. Notably, even weak US GDP and inflation figures failed to support gold prices, as investor focus remains firmly on trade developments and upcoming labor market data. Gold's price trajectory is shifting due to the strengthening of the dollar and evolving macroeconomic fundamentals. A break below the recent local low could further reinforce the downward momentum. The initial downside target is set at 3190. A potential retest of the previously breached consolidation support at 3268 may occur before the downward movement resumes. Resistance levels: 3245, 3270 Support levels: 3190, 3186, 3167 A break below the local low of 3221 could act as a catalyst for a deeper decline, with 3190 as the initial target. A retest of the 3245–3270 resistance range cannot be ruled out prior to the continuation of the downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
9
WAITING GAME - GOLD STUCK IN A HOLDING PATTERNSymbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3307 Gold continues to consolidate within a defined range, with immediate attention on the 3370–3269 zone. With key economic data scheduled for release, the metal is expected to remain within this consolidation band for the next several sessions. Renewed optimism surrounding US trade negotiations has lifted risk sentiment and strengthened the US dollar. The US Treasury Secretary reported constructive progress in discussions with India, while President Trump’s more measured rhetoric regarding China further supported the dollar. Meanwhile, investors are adopting a cautious, wait-and-see approach ahead of the release of first-quarter US GDP data. Should the data underwhelm, gold may experience a sharp uptick as safe-haven demand intensifies. Overall, the gold market remains highly reactive to trade headlines and macroeconomic indicators, particularly amid anticipated portfolio adjustments at month-end. In the context of current momentum and corrective movement, a short-term recovery is anticipated from the 0.5–0.7 Fib zone. A possible retest of the 3323–3325 resistance area could precede a continuation of the correction within the prevailing consolidation structure. Key Resistance Levels: 3323, 3352, 3370 Key Support Levels: 3290, 3270 Traders remain attentive to both the resolution of ongoing tariff disputes and the forthcoming economic releases. While price action remains confined within a consolidation pattern, a rebound from support is the base case scenario. However, if price action continues to compress toward either boundary - particularly toward support, the probability of a breakout from the consolidation base may increase accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by akshit_official
10
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 20.04.25Buying Zone around the 1.618 Golden Ratio (3435.255) – A classic Fibonacci extension target indicating a strong potential reversal or take-profit zone. Price Movement Forecast: Price is expected to test the Immediate Support (S1) and bounce back. Resistance levels: R1, then R2 & New ATH (All-Time High). Take Profits (TP1 & TP2): Clearly marked targets for bullish momentum continuation. Candlestick Patterns: Fake Bearish Spinning Top Bullish Marubozu Fake Bearish Harami These patterns typically suggest false bearish signals and continuation of the uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
GOLD’S IN OVERDRIVE - MISSED THE TRAIN? WAIT FOR THE NEXT STOP!Symbol - XAUUSD CMP - 3330 Gold remains in a strong upward trend, consistently reaching new all-time highs. Entering a rapidly advancing market without sufficient opportunity to assess risk is inadvisable. Therefore, engaging in the current momentum without a confirmed technical setup is not recommended. A potential price correction ahead of upcoming US retail sales data and a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may provide a more favorable environment to identify trading opportunities. The rally is being driven by several fundamental factors, including robust economic data from China, increased demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions, and trade uncertainties between the US and China. Further upward momentum is being supported by ANZ’s revised forecast, which projects gold prices could reach $3,600 by year-end. From a technical standpoint, the psychological resistance zone between $3330 and $3350 is of particular interest, where a pullback may be expected. The preferred strategy would be to await a correction toward local or intermediate support levels before considering long positions. Key Resistance Levels: 3330, 3350 Key Support Level: 3275, 3265, 3244 Given the strength of the prevailing bullish trend, breakout strategies above resistance levels may be effective. However, such an approach requires clear price consolidation, which is not currently present. Alternatively, a more prudent strategy would be to wait for a retracement, a confirmation of support, and then consider initiating long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
2
"Gold Price Rejection Setup – Trendline + Resistance Combo"XAU/USD 1H Chart Analysis 🪙📉 🔹 Trendline 📐 * Descending trendline marked by 3 touches * Shows consistent bearish pressure * Price is respecting it—watch for rejections 🔹 Resistance Area ⛔ * Blue zone between $3,014 - $3,025 * Strong supply zone—price failed to break it before * Potential reversal zone if price touches again 🔹 Entry Point 🎯 * Suggested short entry at $3,014.29 * Just under resistance + near trendline * Great spot for catching a downward move 🔹 Stop Loss ⚠️ * Placed at $3,025.13 * Above resistance = smart protection * Keeps risk under control if breakout happens 🔹 Target Point 💰 * Take-profit marked around $2,964.45 * Down at a key support level * Clean risk-to-reward around 1:5 (sweet setup!) 🔹 Moving Average (DEMA 9) 📈 * Dynamic resistance (line hugging candles) * If price closes below, confirms bearish move Summary ✅ This setup is a classic trendline + resistance short. You're betting on price respecting resistance and heading lower. Bias: Bearish 🔻 Entry: $3,014.29 SL: $3,025.13 🛑 TP: $2,964.45 ✅
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Jameshead007
2
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 08.04.25Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H) Current Price: ~$2,995.25 Projection Date: April 8, 2025 Analysis Type: Bearish/Sell Projection 📊 Technical Elements: 🔹 Trend Analysis: A 1H downtrend is marked with a descending trendline. Price previously broke a key support zone, retested it (now acting as resistance), and is expected to drop again. 🔹 Trade Setup: Entry: Near current price ($2,995.25) Stop Loss: Above Resistance R1 at $3,010.27 Take Profit Targets: TP1: At Support S1 (~$2,980) TP2: At Support S2 (~$2,957) 📈 Indicators: 📍 Stochastic Oscillator (5, 3, 3): Reading: 79.61 (green) and 80.17 (red) Interpretation: Just above 80 → Overbought Zone Signal: Potential reversal downwards 📍 Relative Strength Index (RSI - 14): Value: 44.84 Interpretation: Below neutral 50, not oversold Signal: Bearish momentum building 🧠 Conclusion / Strategy: The chart suggests a short/sell setup for XAUUSD. The price has retested the broken support (now resistance) and formed a rejection candle at the trendline. Indicators support a potential downward move (Stochastic overbought + RSI weak). Targeting lower supports for potential exit points.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL PROJECTION 28.03.25Trendline Resistance: The price is projected to reverse after reaching this resistance level. Sell Entry: Positioned near the trendline resistance, anticipating a downward move. Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP 1: First target near the Support S1 level. TP 2: Second target near the Support S2 level. Stop Loss (SL): Positioned above the trendline resistance in a red zone to limit risk. Breakout Zone Retest: Potential price action area before further movement. Parallel Trendline: The price is moving within a channel, and a possible break could indicate further downside momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
4-hour price projection for XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on MarchKey Observations: Current Market Price: The price is around $3,046.450 at the time of analysis. The high and low of the period are $3,053.485 and $3,045.005, respectively. Technical Analysis & Patterns: Rising Wedge Pattern has been identified. A Bullish Engulfing Candlestick has formed, indicating potential upward momentum. Break and Retest Strategy: The chart suggests a breakout zone retest while respecting the trendline before further upward movement. Key Levels: Resistance 1: Around $3,054.264. Target Price 1: Between $3,054 - $3,070. Resistance 2 & Trendline Resistance: Near $3,076 - $3,080. Stop-Loss: Set at a weekly low around $3,025 - $3,016. Price Projection: Expected price movement suggests a pullback to support levels before continuing its bullish trajectory. A potential move toward $3,076+ is anticipated. This chart analysis suggests a buying opportunity, with key resistance levels to monitor for profit-taking.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD 4H BUY PROJECTION – March 18, 2025This chart presents a bullish projection for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential buying opportunity based on trend analysis and key levels of support and resistance. Key Components of the Analysis: Uptrend Confirmation: The price is moving within an ascending channel marked by two parallel blue lines. The 4H parallel trendline suggests a continuation of bullish momentum. Possible Buy Zone: The chart highlights a potential buying area around the trendline, where price may pull back before resuming the uptrend. Support & Resistance Levels: Support S1: Around $3,015, where buyers might step in. Resistance R1: Around $3,030, which could act as the first hurdle for price movement. Resistance R2: Near $3,053, serving as a major target for bullish movement. Target Prices: Target Price 1: Around $3,030 (first take-profit level). Target Price 2: Around $3,053 (second take-profit level). Stop Loss: Set at approximately $2,997, below key support, to limit downside risk. Market Structure & Price Action: The chart indicates higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend. A possible W pattern (double bottom) suggests a strong bullish breakout. Trading Plan Summary: Buy Entry: Around the support/trendline zone. Take Profit Levels: First at $3,030, second at $3,053. Stop Loss: Below $2,997 to manage risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
GOLD - CONSOLIDATING AT HIGHER LEVELS - MORE UPSIDE AHEAD?Symbol - XAUUSD CMP - 2913 Gold continues to strengthen amidst escalating economic uncertainties and the aggressive sell-off in the US dollar. The metal is currently encountering resistance at the 2921 level and appears poised for further upward movement. The US dollar has broken its bullish structure following comments from the US Department of the Treasury regarding potential interest rate reductions. This verbal intervention, perceived by some as market manipulation, has had a pronounced impact on the markets. Given the risks associated with trade tensions and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy, further declines in gold appear unlikely. Additionally, weaker-than-expected ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further upward momentum for gold. Gold is currently testing two critical liquidity zones: 2913 and 2903. The nearest of these zones has already been tested, and attention is now on the 2921 level. If this level holds, gold may retrace back to the 2913-2903 support range. However, if this resistance is breached, it could set the stage for a stronger upward momentum. Resistance levels: 2921, 2942, 2954 Support levels: 2913, 2903 Currently, gold is testing 2913, with a rebound forming as liquidity is absorbed. In the short term, the focus is on the 2921 level. A break above this level and a sustained price above it would likely trigger a continuation of the upward movement toward the 2942-2954 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by akshit_official
4
GOLD STUCK IN A RUT - A MAJOR CORRECTION LIKELY? POSITIONAL VIEWSymbol - XAUUSD CMP - 2907 Gold is currently consolidating and trading sideways within a defined support zone of 2892 and resistance at 2921. The metal is showing no signs of further growth as it remains stuck within this range. While there has been an aggressive sell-off in the US dollar, a typical scenario that would support gold, the precious metal has failed to show any upward momentum, suggesting a lack of bullish sentiment in the market. From a technical perspective, the larger time frames indicate strong resistance levels at 2921, 2942 and 2954. These levels are acting as significant barriers to any substantial upward movement, and it appears that gold is attempting to make lower lows in its price action - A bearish indication in the current trend. This behavior supports the notion that the market may be gearing up for further downward pressure. Furthermore, there is an expectation of a rebound in the US dollar from its current level around 104. Such a rebound would exert additional downward pressure on gold, reinforcing the ongoing bearish structure. Market participants are also anticipating the upcoming NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) data release, which could have a significant impact on the trajectory of the dollar, gold and, by extension, Fed policy. Should the data point toward a stronger labor market, it could trigger a rally in the dollar, further dampening gold's potential upside. Despite the weaker dollar and expectations of potential Fed policy easing, gold has struggled to capitalize on these factors, likely due to the pause in Trump's tariff measures. The absence of significant external catalysts for growth means gold remains largely range-bound. If the bearish structure continues, a larger correction toward the 2800 levels could be on the horizon positionally. However, if gold manages to break through the resistance zone at 2921 and move upward due to any unexpected news, there is potential for a rise towards the 2960 and even 3000 levels. That said, this scenario seems less likely given the current market conditions, with the overall outlook remaining tilted towards further downside. Key Support Levels: 2892, 2881 Key Resistance Levels: 2921, 2942, 2954, Overall, the market remains in a corrective phase, with the risk of further downside outweighing the chances of a breakout to the upside unless significant catalysts arise.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – AWAITING CPI & PPI IMPACT! GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – CPI & PPI TO DRIVE THE NEXT MOVE! 🔥 GOLD REMAINS IN A RANGE – BREAKOUT OR CORRECTION AHEAD? 🔥 📌 Market Overview Gold continues to trade sideways within a wide range, despite last week’s disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for the U.S. economy. Even though the jobs data was weak, gold failed to break a new high, indicating that investors may have anticipated the report. Key market focus is now shifting towards Trump’s trade policies & inflation rather than employment data alone. 👉 After the news release, gold reacted briefly but lacked strong bullish momentum, continuing to trade around $2,910 before closing the week at this level. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KEY PRICE LEVELS 🔹 Resistance Levels to Watch: $2,929: Immediate resistance; breaking this level could confirm bullish momentum. $2,943 - $2,954: Major resistance; a breakout here could push gold towards $2,970+. 🔻 Support Levels to Watch: $2,884: Closest support; breaking this could open the door for further downside. $2,872 - $2,859: Strong support zone where buyers may step in. $2,840: A critical level, especially if the upcoming CPI & PPI reports strengthen the USD. 📊 KEY EVENTS IMPACTING GOLD THIS WEEK 📅 CPI & PPI – The Major Catalysts Ahead 💡 Expectations: If CPI and PPI come in higher than expected ➜ USD strengthens, and gold may correct lower. If CPI and PPI are weaker ➜ USD weakens, and gold could break resistance to continue its uptrend. ⚠️ Key Technical Clues to Watch: Gold needs to break out of the $2,926 - $2,896 range to confirm a trend direction. Resistance at $2,926 - $2,928 is still holding, which doesn’t favor BUY setups yet. If gold drops below $2,896 - $2,884, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases. 🎯 TRADING PLAN 🔵 BUY ZONE: $2,874 - $2,872 📍 SL: $2,868 🎯 TP: $2,878 - $2,882 - $2,886 - $2,890 - $2,900 🔴 SELL ZONE: $2,944 - $2,946 📍 SL: $2,950 🎯 TP: $2,940 - $2,935 - $2,930 - $2,926 - $2,922 ⚡ CONCLUSION 📌 Wait for price reaction at key levels before making trading decisions. 📌 Focus on the $2,926 - $2,896 range to determine the main trend. 📌 Strictly follow TP/SL to protect your account and maximize profit! 💬 What’s your take? Will gold break higher or correct deeper? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold On Monday💡Gold could breach $3,000 level soon, analyst says 💡Trumpdeclinedto predict if U.S. could face a recession 💡U.S. CPI data on Wednesday, PPI data on Thursday 15-Minute Chart Analysis Key Zones: Order Block (OB) at $2,895 - $2,900 – Strong demand zone Order Block (OB) at $2,925 - $2,930 – Strong supply zone Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $2,918 - $2,922 – Potential retracement area 📊Price Behavior: Price is currently consolidating below the FVG area, which often acts as a magnet for price action. 📊 Conclusion: A potential bullish move may occur if price reclaims the FVG zone, targeting the OB at $2,925. Conversely, a break below $2,895 may trigger further downside pressure. 🔍1-Hour Chart Analysis Key Resistance Levels: $2,924 – Immediate resistance zone $2,942 – Strong resistance with previous rejection Key Support Levels: $2,879 – Key support zone $2,863 – Critical support below Price Behavior: The market is moving in a consolidation phase, with multiple rejections from the resistance at $2,924. Conclusion: The market is currently indecisive, consolidating between $2,900 and $2,924. A breakout in either direction may signal the next move. 🔍 4-Hour Chart Analysis Key Resistance Levels: $2,954 – Significant resistance zone Key Support Levels: $2,880 – Intermediate support $2,846 – Major support zone Market Condition: The market is clearly in a ranging phase between $2,880 and $2,925. This suggests indecision and a potential breakout on either side. Conclusion: The range-bound structure favors breakout strategies. Monitoring volume and price action near these levels is crucial. Trading Strategy Considerations 📌 Bullish Scenario ✅Wait for a breakout above $2,924 with strong volume confirmation. 📍Target: $2,942 or higher. ❌Stop Loss: Below $2,911 to manage risk. 📌 Bearish Scenario ✅Watch for a rejection at $2,924 or a breakdown below $2,900. 📍Target: $2,880 or lower. ❌Stop Loss: Above $2,924 for protection. 👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits! Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! 📢Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
OANDA:XAUUSD
by silverwolftraders029