XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL PROJECTION 28.03.25Trendline Resistance: The price is projected to reverse after reaching this resistance level.
Sell Entry: Positioned near the trendline resistance, anticipating a downward move.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: First target near the Support S1 level.
TP 2: Second target near the Support S2 level.
Stop Loss (SL): Positioned above the trendline resistance in a red zone to limit risk.
Breakout Zone Retest: Potential price action area before further movement.
Parallel Trendline: The price is moving within a channel, and a possible break could indicate further downside momentum.
Xauusdidea
4-hour price projection for XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on MarchKey Observations:
Current Market Price:
The price is around $3,046.450 at the time of analysis.
The high and low of the period are $3,053.485 and $3,045.005, respectively.
Technical Analysis & Patterns:
Rising Wedge Pattern has been identified.
A Bullish Engulfing Candlestick has formed, indicating potential upward momentum.
Break and Retest Strategy:
The chart suggests a breakout zone retest while respecting the trendline before further upward movement.
Key Levels:
Resistance 1: Around $3,054.264.
Target Price 1: Between $3,054 - $3,070.
Resistance 2 & Trendline Resistance: Near $3,076 - $3,080.
Stop-Loss: Set at a weekly low around $3,025 - $3,016.
Price Projection:
Expected price movement suggests a pullback to support levels before continuing its bullish trajectory.
A potential move toward $3,076+ is anticipated.
This chart analysis suggests a buying opportunity, with key resistance levels to monitor for profit-taking.
XAUUSD 4H BUY PROJECTION – March 18, 2025This chart presents a bullish projection for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential buying opportunity based on trend analysis and key levels of support and resistance.
Key Components of the Analysis:
Uptrend Confirmation:
The price is moving within an ascending channel marked by two parallel blue lines.
The 4H parallel trendline suggests a continuation of bullish momentum.
Possible Buy Zone:
The chart highlights a potential buying area around the trendline, where price may pull back before resuming the uptrend.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Support S1: Around $3,015, where buyers might step in.
Resistance R1: Around $3,030, which could act as the first hurdle for price movement.
Resistance R2: Near $3,053, serving as a major target for bullish movement.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: Around $3,030 (first take-profit level).
Target Price 2: Around $3,053 (second take-profit level).
Stop Loss:
Set at approximately $2,997, below key support, to limit downside risk.
Market Structure & Price Action:
The chart indicates higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend.
A possible W pattern (double bottom) suggests a strong bullish breakout.
Trading Plan Summary:
Buy Entry: Around the support/trendline zone.
Take Profit Levels: First at $3,030, second at $3,053.
Stop Loss: Below $2,997 to manage risk.
GOLD - CONSOLIDATING AT HIGHER LEVELS - MORE UPSIDE AHEAD?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2913
Gold continues to strengthen amidst escalating economic uncertainties and the aggressive sell-off in the US dollar. The metal is currently encountering resistance at the 2921 level and appears poised for further upward movement.
The US dollar has broken its bullish structure following comments from the US Department of the Treasury regarding potential interest rate reductions. This verbal intervention, perceived by some as market manipulation, has had a pronounced impact on the markets. Given the risks associated with trade tensions and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy, further declines in gold appear unlikely. Additionally, weaker-than-expected ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further upward momentum for gold.
Gold is currently testing two critical liquidity zones: 2913 and 2903. The nearest of these zones has already been tested, and attention is now on the 2921 level. If this level holds, gold may retrace back to the 2913-2903 support range. However, if this resistance is breached, it could set the stage for a stronger upward momentum.
Resistance levels: 2921, 2942, 2954
Support levels: 2913, 2903
Currently, gold is testing 2913, with a rebound forming as liquidity is absorbed. In the short term, the focus is on the 2921 level. A break above this level and a sustained price above it would likely trigger a continuation of the upward movement toward the 2942-2954 range.
GOLD STUCK IN A RUT - A MAJOR CORRECTION LIKELY? POSITIONAL VIEWSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2907
Gold is currently consolidating and trading sideways within a defined support zone of 2892 and resistance at 2921. The metal is showing no signs of further growth as it remains stuck within this range. While there has been an aggressive sell-off in the US dollar, a typical scenario that would support gold, the precious metal has failed to show any upward momentum, suggesting a lack of bullish sentiment in the market.
From a technical perspective, the larger time frames indicate strong resistance levels at 2921, 2942 and 2954. These levels are acting as significant barriers to any substantial upward movement, and it appears that gold is attempting to make lower lows in its price action - A bearish indication in the current trend. This behavior supports the notion that the market may be gearing up for further downward pressure.
Furthermore, there is an expectation of a rebound in the US dollar from its current level around 104. Such a rebound would exert additional downward pressure on gold, reinforcing the ongoing bearish structure. Market participants are also anticipating the upcoming NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) data release, which could have a significant impact on the trajectory of the dollar, gold and, by extension, Fed policy. Should the data point toward a stronger labor market, it could trigger a rally in the dollar, further dampening gold's potential upside.
Despite the weaker dollar and expectations of potential Fed policy easing, gold has struggled to capitalize on these factors, likely due to the pause in Trump's tariff measures. The absence of significant external catalysts for growth means gold remains largely range-bound. If the bearish structure continues, a larger correction toward the 2800 levels could be on the horizon positionally.
However, if gold manages to break through the resistance zone at 2921 and move upward due to any unexpected news, there is potential for a rise towards the 2960 and even 3000 levels. That said, this scenario seems less likely given the current market conditions, with the overall outlook remaining tilted towards further downside.
Key Support Levels: 2892, 2881
Key Resistance Levels: 2921, 2942, 2954,
Overall, the market remains in a corrective phase, with the risk of further downside outweighing the chances of a breakout to the upside unless significant catalysts arise.
GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – AWAITING CPI & PPI IMPACT! GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – CPI & PPI TO DRIVE THE NEXT MOVE!
🔥 GOLD REMAINS IN A RANGE – BREAKOUT OR CORRECTION AHEAD? 🔥
📌 Market Overview
Gold continues to trade sideways within a wide range, despite last week’s disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for the U.S. economy. Even though the jobs data was weak, gold failed to break a new high, indicating that investors may have anticipated the report. Key market focus is now shifting towards Trump’s trade policies & inflation rather than employment data alone.
👉 After the news release, gold reacted briefly but lacked strong bullish momentum, continuing to trade around $2,910 before closing the week at this level.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KEY PRICE LEVELS
🔹 Resistance Levels to Watch:
$2,929: Immediate resistance; breaking this level could confirm bullish momentum.
$2,943 - $2,954: Major resistance; a breakout here could push gold towards $2,970+.
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
$2,884: Closest support; breaking this could open the door for further downside.
$2,872 - $2,859: Strong support zone where buyers may step in.
$2,840: A critical level, especially if the upcoming CPI & PPI reports strengthen the USD.
📊 KEY EVENTS IMPACTING GOLD THIS WEEK
📅 CPI & PPI – The Major Catalysts Ahead
💡 Expectations:
If CPI and PPI come in higher than expected ➜ USD strengthens, and gold may correct lower.
If CPI and PPI are weaker ➜ USD weakens, and gold could break resistance to continue its uptrend.
⚠️ Key Technical Clues to Watch:
Gold needs to break out of the $2,926 - $2,896 range to confirm a trend direction.
Resistance at $2,926 - $2,928 is still holding, which doesn’t favor BUY setups yet.
If gold drops below $2,896 - $2,884, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases.
🎯 TRADING PLAN
🔵 BUY ZONE: $2,874 - $2,872
📍 SL: $2,868
🎯 TP: $2,878 - $2,882 - $2,886 - $2,890 - $2,900
🔴 SELL ZONE: $2,944 - $2,946
📍 SL: $2,950
🎯 TP: $2,940 - $2,935 - $2,930 - $2,926 - $2,922
⚡ CONCLUSION
📌 Wait for price reaction at key levels before making trading decisions.
📌 Focus on the $2,926 - $2,896 range to determine the main trend.
📌 Strictly follow TP/SL to protect your account and maximize profit!
💬 What’s your take? Will gold break higher or correct deeper? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
Gold On Monday💡Gold could breach $3,000 level soon, analyst says
💡Trumpdeclinedto predict if U.S. could face a recession
💡U.S. CPI data on Wednesday, PPI data on Thursday
15-Minute Chart Analysis
Key Zones:
Order Block (OB) at $2,895 - $2,900 – Strong demand zone
Order Block (OB) at $2,925 - $2,930 – Strong supply zone
Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $2,918 - $2,922 – Potential retracement area
📊Price Behavior:
Price is currently consolidating below the FVG area, which often acts as a magnet for price action.
📊 Conclusion: A potential bullish move may occur if price reclaims the FVG zone, targeting the OB at $2,925. Conversely, a break below $2,895 may trigger further downside pressure.
🔍1-Hour Chart Analysis
Key Resistance Levels:
$2,924 – Immediate resistance zone
$2,942 – Strong resistance with previous rejection
Key Support Levels:
$2,879 – Key support zone
$2,863 – Critical support below
Price Behavior: The market is moving in a consolidation phase, with multiple rejections from the resistance at $2,924.
Conclusion: The market is currently indecisive, consolidating between $2,900 and $2,924. A breakout in either direction may signal the next move.
🔍 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Key Resistance Levels:
$2,954 – Significant resistance zone
Key Support Levels:
$2,880 – Intermediate support
$2,846 – Major support zone
Market Condition: The market is clearly in a ranging phase between $2,880 and $2,925. This suggests indecision and a potential breakout on either side.
Conclusion: The range-bound structure favors breakout strategies. Monitoring volume and price action near these levels is crucial.
Trading Strategy Considerations
📌 Bullish Scenario
✅Wait for a breakout above $2,924 with strong volume confirmation.
📍Target: $2,942 or higher.
❌Stop Loss: Below $2,911 to manage risk.
📌 Bearish Scenario
✅Watch for a rejection at $2,924 or a breakdown below $2,900.
📍Target: $2,880 or lower.
❌Stop Loss: Above $2,924 for protection.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
📢Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
Weekly Buy Projection for XAUUSD (Gold) as of March 9, 2025This chart presents a **weekly buy projection** for **XAUUSD (Gold) as of March 9, 2025**. Here are some key takeaways:
### **Key Zones & Levels:**
- **Entry Zone:** Around **2,892.189 - 2,892.277** (aligned with a major trendline and support).
- **Support Levels:**
- **S1:** Weekly low acting as support.
- **S2:** Stronger support at **2,859.812** (also the stop-loss level).
- **Resistance Levels:**
- **R1:** Weekly high acting as resistance.
- **R2:** **2,956.190** (all-time high resistance).
- **Target Prices:**
- **Target 1:** **2,929.162**
- **Target 2:** **2,956.190** (major resistance zone).
### **Trend Analysis:**
- The chart highlights a **V-pattern formation**, confirming a **buy signal**.
- The **4H uptrend line was breached**, but the **daily timeframe trendline remains intact**.
- **Sideways movement** expected before continuation upwards.
- **Braked resistance retest** suggests a bullish continuation if price holds above support.
### **Trade Plan:**
- **Buy Entry:** Around **2,892.189 - 2,892.277** (as long as it respects the trendline and support).
- **Stop Loss:** Below **2,859.812** to manage risk.
- **Take Profit:**
- **Target 1:** 2,929.162 (first resistance)
- **Target 2:** 2,956.190 (major resistance & ATH)
GOLD & NONFARM SHOWDOWN – WILL THE MARKET EXPLODE OR CRASH?📌 Market Outlook Before Nonfarm
The global financial markets are eagerly awaiting the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, set to be released tonight. As one of the most anticipated economic indicators, it directly impacts the U.S. Dollar (DXY), Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, and Gold prices (XAU/USD).
Currently, Gold is consolidating within the 2,892 - 2,929 range, waiting for a breakout. This report could serve as the catalyst to define the next major trend.
📊 Expected Nonfarm Scenarios & Impact on Gold & USD
✔ If Nonfarm Data Comes in Weak (~Below 180K)
A lower-than-expected jobs report could signal economic slowdown, weakening the USD.
Gold could break above 2,929 and move towards 2,943 - 2,954, as investors seek safe-haven assets.
✔ If Nonfarm Data is Strong (>250K)
A robust jobs report would strengthen USD, reinforcing expectations that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts.
Gold may drop towards 2,884 - 2,872, or even test deeper support at 2,859 - 2,840.
✔ If Nonfarm Matches Expectations (~200K)
Market volatility may increase temporarily, but a clear trend will only emerge if price reacts strongly at key levels.
📈 Technical Overview – Key Resistance & Support Levels
🔺 Resistance Levels to Watch:
2,929: Immediate resistance, breaking this could confirm bullish momentum.
2,943 - 2,954: Major resistance; if surpassed, Gold could aim for 2,970+.
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
2,884: Closest support, breaking this could open further downside risks.
2,872 - 2,859: Strong support zone where buyers might step in.
2,840: Critical level if the Nonfarm report significantly boosts USD.
📉 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for Gold?
📊 The Nonfarm Payrolls report is expected to trigger high volatility, determining Gold's next major trend.
📉 If data is weaker than expected, USD may decline, pushing Gold above 2,929 toward 2,943 - 2,954.
📈 If data exceeds expectations, USD will strengthen, leading Gold to retest supports at 2,872 - 2,859 or lower at 2,840.
⚠ Traders should remain cautious, as price swings may occur before a clear trend is established. Risk management is crucial!
📢 What’s your prediction for Gold after Nonfarm? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframeKey Observations:
Bullish Engulfing Pattern – A strong reversal signal suggesting upward momentum.
Ascending Trendline + Support Level – Price respects the trendline, reinforcing bullish bias.
Entry Confirmation – The breakout above consolidation inside the triangle.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: First resistance level.
Target Price 2: Day’s high at $2,928.78.
Stop Loss: Set below the trendline and support at $2,901.60.
GOLD - BROKEN OUT 2881 RESISTANCE, BULLS ARE IN CONTROLSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold has surpassed the downtrend resistance and is consolidating above the critical resistance level of 2881. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near 2894, signaling the potential for upward movement amidst a dollar correction.
Trump has confirmed the imposition of new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which has led to retaliatory actions and heightened concerns regarding the risk of a U.S. recession. The decline in PMI and the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast contributed to a sell-off on Wall Street, which, in turn, increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical tensions remain high as Trump announced the suspension of military aid to Ukraine, leading to dissatisfaction within Europe. Market participants are closely monitoring the upcoming U.S. employment data, which will likely influence Federal Reserve policy and the dollar exchange rate.
The price has breached the 2881 resistance level, which had previously acted as a dividing line in the market. A pre-breakdown consolidation is currently forming around the 2895 level. A break above this resistance, coupled with price consolidation above 2895, may further reinforce the upward trend.
Resistance levels: 2895, 2921, 2929
Support levels: 2885, 2876, 2859
The primary objective for bulls is to maintain support above the 2885 - 2895 range. Given the increasing economic risks and the weakening dollar, gold is well-positioned for continued growth following the shift in the local trend.
In this scenario, potential targets are 2915, 2921, and 2929
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 03.03.25A primary reason for gold price falls is a strong US dollar, as gold has an inverse relationship with the dollar, meaning when the dollar strengthens, gold prices tend to decrease; other factors include rising interest rates, which can make alternative investments more attractive to investors, leading to decreased demand for gold, and a stable economic environment that reduces the need for gold as a safe haven asset
XAUUSD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 03.03.25Bearish Signals:
Bearish Engulfing at the Top: This pattern often signals a potential reversal.
Evening Star Formation: A strong bearish reversal pattern.
Bearish Spinning Top: Indicates indecision but leans toward bearish sentiment.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: Around 2,885 - 2,904.
Immediate Support: Around 2,857.
Target Price 1: Approximately 2,840.
Target Price 2: Around 2,784 - 2,783 (Major Support).
Trend Analysis:
Broken Uptrend Line: A possible retest of the broken trendline before further downside.
Rising Wedge Pattern: This is typically a bearish continuation pattern, confirming downside potential.
Trade Setup:
Possible Short Position: Entry near 2,885 - 2,900, stop loss at 2,922.
Target Levels: First at 2,840, second at 2,784.
GOLD - FALSE BREAKDOWN & PULLBACK BEFORE FURTHER FALLSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently revisiting recent lows within the context of a shifting local trend. The price is testing the 2852 liquidity zone, with the potential for a rebound before continuing its downward movement.
On Friday, gold traded near its two-week lows, falling below the 2900 mark in Asian markets, ending an eight-week streak of gains. The precious metal is facing downward pressure due to a strengthening U.S. dollar, fueled by President Trump’s renewed tariff threats and developments in the U.S. economy. Trump has confirmed a 25% tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada, effective March 4, along with an additional 10% tariff on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, weaker-than-expected U.S. GDP data 2.3% for Q4 and rising jobless claims further bolster the U.S. dollar.
Market participants are awaiting the release of the PCE core price index to assess the Federal Reserve’s potential monetary policy actions and their implications for gold prices.
Resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2885
Support levels: 2852, 2834
A false break at the 2852 support level could lead to a short-term rebound towards the imbalance zone 2869-2877 or the liquidity zone 2885 before a continuation of the downward trend. Both the fundamental and technical outlook remain weak, suggesting that gold may attempt to test and potentially break through the recent lows.
GOLD - BULLISH STRUCTURE SHAKING - WHAT'S NEXT?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2910
Gold has transitioned from a locally bullish trend to a neutral, sideways market. Despite this shift, bullish forces continue to defend key support levels. What can we anticipate for the precious metal in the near term?
Investor sentiment has gravitated back toward safe-haven assets amid concerns surrounding President Trump's tariff policies and disappointing U.S. economic data. On Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback from its record high of $2,956 due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. However, a weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence index facilitated a recovery in gold prices.
The upward movement in gold is currently constrained by a strengthening U.S. dollar and rising bond yields, but ongoing trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal.
Key resistance levels: 2921, 2929, 2942
Key support levels: 2905, 2888
As a result, gold is likely to remain within a sideways trading range. There is potential for a short-term decline to retest support in the 2905-2888 range before resuming upward movement. Alternatively, a breakout above resistance levels could signal further gains.
If the bulls manage to sustain trading above the 2921-2929 zone, the metal could resume its upward trajectory.
GOLD - BREAKDOWN OF RISK ZONE 2880 MAY TRIGGER TREND CHANGESymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is deviating from its recent trend and is now testing the panic and risk zone at 2880 as part of a corrective phase. A retest of this level would increase the likelihood of a potential trend reversal.
The recent loss in gold's upward momentum can be attributed to the uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariff plans and ongoing economic challenges in the United States. Conflicting statements from the president are providing support for the dollar, while rising bond yields are exerting downward pressure on gold prices.
Market participants are closely monitoring the upcoming US GDP data. Should the results fall short of the forecasted 2.3% there is potential for gold to appreciate. Additionally, speeches from Federal Reserve officials will be crucial, but the key factor remains President Trump's remarks, which could significantly influence market sentiment.
From a technical standpoint, the market structure is currently bearish, suggesting that a continuation of the decline is likely after a brief corrective phase.
Support levels: 2878, 2888
Resistance levels: 2890, 2907
A false breakdown of the aforementioned support levels, following a significant decline, could lead to a correction. Initially, the price may move toward the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, and after a brief pullback, the 0.7 Fibonacci level could be tested. However, market participants should closely observe the price action at these levels.
If gold continues its downward movement, attention will be focused on the 2880 level. Conversely, if the price struggles to move lower and begins testing resistance, there is a possibility that, amidst heightened risks, the market could shift back into a growth phase.
GOLD - RETEST OF TREND SUPPORT BEFORE DATA & NEWS FLOWSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently exhibiting a false breakdown of the lower boundary of its consolidation range and the support for its uptrend within the ongoing correction. Traders are awaiting the release of the S&P Global PMI indices in the United States.
The price of gold has retreated from its record high of $2955, yet it still maintains the potential for further upward momentum. The recent decline can be attributed to profit-taking as market participants prepare for the upcoming release of the S&P Global PMI indices in the U.S.
The PMI data may influence market expectations regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. However, any potential price decline driven by strong PMI results could be short-lived, particularly if President Trump's new tariff proposals reignite demand for safe-haven assets.
Although gold may continue to experience correction, any downward movement is likely to be perceived as a near-term buying opportunity.
Key resistance levels: 2933, 2939, 2946, 2955
Key support levels: 2924, trend support
A false breakdown of the uptrend support is in progress. If the bulls manage to defend the key support area, gold may continue its ascent in the short to medium term. However, the short-term outlook is contingent on upcoming news.
GOLD - BULLS NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTIONSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2916
Gold is currently testing a critical risk zone within its corrective phase, where the market faces a decision point: either the continuation of the prevailing trend or the onset of a deeper correction. Attention is focused on the recently released US CPI data, which exceeded expectations. Markets remain uncertain due to the potential impact of President Trump’s proposed tariffs and the Federal Reserve's policy stance. According to the Wall Street Journal, the administration is preparing to introduce new tariffs, further adding to global economic risks.
US CPI remained significantly above the Federal Reserve's target in January. Mr. Powell has indicated that the Fed is not in a rush to alter its course, leading to heightened expectations of a single rate cut in December, which in turn has supported rising bond yields. Gold is currently trading within a crucial zone, and at levels that suggest it is overbought. In my view, the ongoing rally is nearing its conclusion.
Resistance Levels: 2920, 2928, 2942
Support Levels: 2897, 2880, 2855
A false break below the support level at 2897 would signal continued bullish sentiment and potential aggression in the market. If the bulls maintain price levels above 2920-2928, we may see further rally towards 2942, 2960, and potentially 3000. However, if gold breaks below 2880 and remains beneath this level, liquidation could occur, leading to price declines towards 2855, 2842, and potentially lower levels.