XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 28.05.24KEY POINTS:
U.S. PCE data due on Friday
Traders price in about 62% chance of rate-cut by November Vietnam's central bank to stop domestic gold auctions
Gold prices held steady on Tuesday as the dollar eased, while investors looked forward to key U.S. inflation data that could offer clues on how soon the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates.
Spot gold
GOLD
was flat at $2,350.85 per ounce, as of 0350 GMT, after rising about 1% in the previous session.
U.S. gold futures
GOLD
rose 0.8% to $2,352.00.
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD May 27, 2024 gold's reaction after a sharp declineWith investors' expectations of interest rate cuts in the market increasingly decreasing, especially when statements from Fed members last week all hinted that there will be no plans to cut interest rates in the near future. This interest rate causes the expectation to buy gold to decrease, leading to a weak demand for accessing the market.
Looking at H1 last weekend, we witnessed a strong decline according to the Elliot wave principle. This strong decline may be a characteristic of wave 3 of wave c in the abc correction wave as shown on the chart.
- Currently the price is in a recovery phase and this could be wave 4. We measure the target of wave 4 ending at the price range 2351-2355
- Then the price continues to decrease to complete wave 5 as well as wave c, then we have the target price area of this wave 5 at 2322.7 or 2311.5
Trading plan
- We can sell at area 2351-2355 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area.
- We can buy in 2 areas 2322.7 and 2311.5 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
XAUUSD on May 23 2024 fluctuated strongly after the Fed meeting?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
Financial freedom is true freedom.
Yesterday the Fed meeting with its published content showed
- The data shows that commodity prices have increased significantly recently, which indicates that inflation is increasing.
- Fed says inflation may take longer to fall
- The current federal funds rate is enough to slow US economic activity and reduce inflation
With such announcements, it appears that the prospect of interest rate cuts expected by the Fed this year may be changed.
When this information was announced yesterday, it immediately pushed gold prices down sharply yesterday session to 2370.
Look at H1
- Wave c is the last corrective wave of the abc corrective wave, the structure of wave c includes 5 small waves
- The strong and sharp price decrease last night can be said to be wave 3 in wave c being formed.
- We expect that the expected target of wave 3 is level 2365 and level 2345
- Then there could be a small correction to complete wave 4 before continuing to complete wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction.
- We observe the formation of wave 4 ending to determine the target of wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction
Trading plan
We continue to observe the completion of wave 3 and wait for the end of wave 4 to determine the target of wave 5 to buy.
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
XAUUSD May 22, 2024 Is the current correction over?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
Financial freedom is true freedom.
Yesterday there were many statements from members of the Fed
1. Fed's Jefferson says it's too early to know whether deflation will last.
2. Fed's Mester says economic conditions do not support three rate cuts.
3. Fed's Bostic expects only one rate cut this year.
The main content is to maintain the increase in interest rates. This information continues to support the current adjustment period
Looking at the H1 chart we see
- The current correction process is likely to be an abcde triangle correction wave model.
- This process is likely entering the final stage of the correction. Looking at the price model, we wait for wave e to form to end the correction.
- The correction process is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through the peak of wave d (2433.8), then the price continues to increase to the target of 2500
Trading plan
If price stays above 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2408
If the price breaks down to 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2401
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
How much will the price of XAUUSD drop on May 21, 2024?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
Financial freedom is true freedom.
The war between Russia and Ukraine has not yet found a voice at the negotiating table, plus President Putin's recent visit to China further shows that Russia will not make concessions to Nato. And recently both Russia and Ukraine rejected the French president's call for a ceasefire during the Olympics in Paris on May 17. These moves further demonstrate tensions in the geopolitical situation
The US economy, after a long period of maintaining high interest rates to control inflation, has led to a situation where the economy is showing signs of weakening, although it is not yet in a recession, but with the leading economic index falling. of the US fell 0.6% MoM in April following an uncontrolled 0.3% decline in March. Weaker consumer outlook on business conditions, weaker new orders , negative interest rate differentials and falling new construction permits fueled April's decline. It suggests weaker US economic conditions going forward.
With such potential risks, Gold will continue to set new ATHs until the above conditions are resolved.
Use the Elliot wave principle to evaluate the situation on the H1 chart
- Yesterday gold created a new ATH at 2450, this is the target area of wave 5 that we launched.
- Then the price dropped to 2408 and recovered slightly to 2436, so we have the current gold price in the ABC correction wave.
- Looking at H1, we see that wave a and wave b are likely to have completed and currently the gold price is completing wave c of the correction.
- The expected price range of wave c has 2 target areas: area 2397 and area 2381, this is the target for the end of wave c.
Plan to trade when the price approaches the 2397 or 2381 zone
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
XAUUSD May 20, 2024 What is the target of this price increase?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
Financial freedom is true freedom.
Last week, the Russian president's visit to China will have two purposes: first, Russia and China create cooperation, which will make Russia's war in Ukraine continue to take place according to Russia's plan after the With China's support, the war in the Middle East and the factions supported by these two countries will gain more momentum. Second, these two countries are key members of the BRICS bloc. This visit will create momentum for the bloc to continue buying Gold to strengthen the bloc's common currency that is about to be released.
In addition, with last week's announcement of US economic indicators, we see a decrease in the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the context of a continuous decline in the labor market, and at the same time the CPI index is at a high level. This shows that the American people are gradually adapting to the current economic situation, which will create confidence for the Fed to at least keep interest rates high to restrain inflation.
So we see that the current volatile world situation is having a stronger impact on gold prices than the US economic index.
Looking at the H1 graph based on the Elliot wave principle, we see
- The price is at the end of wave 5. After measuring the target forecast for the end of wave 5, we have potential target areas that are 2444 and 2460.
- After wave 5 ends, we expect an ABC correction before continuing the uptrend
- The corrective wave target is expected to launch from the peaks of wave 5. We have 2 expected targets: area 2400 and area 2380. But according to the Elliot wave principle, corrective waves are often very complicated and take a long time.
Trading plan
In the Sell plan, we align the important price zones at 2444 and 2460
In our Buy plan, we watch the important price zones at 2400 and 2380
Scalping strategies are applied when the upper resistance - support area provides an entry signal.
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
XAUUSD week 3 May 2024 Is the uptrend over?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
Financial freedom is true freedom.
Last week, we saw that the US economy also sent remarkable messages. For the first time, the number of applications for unemployment benefits decreased despite the softening of the labor market, this shows that the American people are gradually adapting to the current controlled economy, plus the CPI released last week has increased beyond expectations, this will create motivation for the Fed to continue maintaining high interest rates in the near future
Although the US economic situation will still keep high interest rates to restrain inflation, this will create strength for the USD, but the current geopolitical fluctuations in the world will still create conditions for gold prices to increase and volatility to occur. The gold became a safe place for him to hide
Looking at the 1D chart, we rely on the Elliot wave principle to analyze price movements
- Last week we saw a strong price increase and currently the price is clinging to the peak of 2433.
- At this point, it is still early to conclude whether correction wave 4 has completed or not.
- We have the price level that confirms the completion of wave 4 and the start of wave 5 at 2433.
- If next week the price breaks out through 2433 then we have confirmation that wave 4 has completed and the price is in rising wave 5 then we will measure 2 expected price targets for the end of wave 5 which is the 2500 area. and area 2550
- If the price cannot break the 2433 zone and turns down, then the price is still in correction wave 4 and at a smaller wave level, the price will complete wave b and will continue to complete wave c as shown on the chart.
- Then wave b is confirmed when the price breaks out through the 2280 area, then we will have the target to end wave c measured at the price range 2455 and 2211
Above is Deekop's plan for next week and the daily plan will be updated by Deekop every day
Scalping strategies are applied when the upper resistance - support area provides an entry signal.
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
#XAUUSD Has Already Acquuired Big Liquidity For NFP Data As expected, the market movers executed a well-coordinated setup to clear out sellers who had entered short positions below 2300. This move triggered stop losses for sellers. Subsequently, after reaching 2320, many buyers entered the market anticipating a further rise towards 2350. However, the market makers took advantage of this, triggering stop losses for both buyers and sellers, thus achieving the necessary liquidity for a significant movement ahead of tomorrow's NFP.
I anticipate that during the NFP release, we may witness a move towards 2200-2180 if we observe another H4 closing below 2290.
Once We Get H1/H4 Closing Below 2295 We Can Sell Till 2286-2280 with Sl around 2305 .If H4 Closes Below 2290 Than It Will Confirm Our Bearish Trend And We Can Expect 2260-2200.
XAUUSD 13.04.24 SELL & BUY PROJECTION Reson For Sell
1.Reached all time High and Seller Pushes to Lower
2. Breaked Support @ 2365
3.Retesting the Breaked Zone
Reason For Bullish
1. Obey Trendline $ Support @ 2310-20
2.Fundamendal News and Politics
Overall Possible Outcomes
XAUUSD SELL 2355-60
SL 2370
TP 2320
XAUUSD BUY 2310-2320
SL 2270
TP 1 2360
TP 2400
TP 3 2430
XAUUSD SELL BEARISH PENNET + TRENDLINE RESISTANCE |24.02.24 Reason Behind Fall
1. Bearish Pennet Chart Pattern Formed
2. Obey Strong Trendline & Resistance @ 2048
Reason For First Buy
Breaked Resistance 2031 and moving towards Next Resis 2048
Overall Possible Outcomes
XAUUSD SELL @ 2048-50
TP 1 2030
TP 2 2010
TP 3 1985
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In GOLD we got weekly BUY CHOCH @01dec2023 (in Daily we got buy BOS)
And we got a HEAD AND SHOULDER formation @28dec2023(Daily)
1st buy correction 4H- sell CHOCH @17jan2024
2nd 4H-sell BOS @13feb2024
now the market @ 50% fibo of weekly of that sub-swing
In here we got 2 entry
2029(flip entry)
2031-2035 is the main sell entry
We took this entry bcz of our strategy works here..
IF THIS CROSS 2044
Next strong zone will be 2054(Flip entry)-2064(main entry)
i think it will RED ROSE soon
bcz 2044.5 is the H&S -trendline retracement
so this 2029-2032-2035 entry will be more strong one for sell
Targets based H&S (head top to neckline)
1st target 1986
2nd 38% target 1975
3rd 50% target 1950
4th 100% target 1860
BECARE FUL
DAILY sell CHOCH will be 1973 if cross and close down then only sell trend will be confirm in daily