“BOS Confirmed — Demand Retest for Next Bullish Leg🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Setup from High Probability Demand Zone 🆙
🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Insights
Price created a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside → confirming bullish momentum ✔️
Retested the Demand Line + Support Zone → buyers defending strongly 💪
High Probability POI (previous accumulation zone) remains valid with liquidity swept below → smart money accumulation evidence 💰
Current pullback = healthy retracement into demand before potential continuation
🎯 Targets (With stickers)
🎯 Target Zone Price Region Sticker
TP1 → Retest recent high 4,165 – 4,175 🎯
TP2 → Liquidity above highs / extended target 4,180 – 4,195 🚀💸
TP1 hit possibility is HIGH due to bullish structure 📈
TP2 depends on strength of breakout ⬆️
📌 Trade Idea (High Probability Setup)
🟩 Buy Entry Zone:
➤ 4,120 – 4,130 (pullback entry at support)
🟢 Take-Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,170 – TP2: 4,190
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3+ ✔️
🧭 Market Structure Sentiment
Factor Outlook
Trend Bullish 📈
Liquidity Upside still available 💧
Smart Money behavior Accumulation & continuation expected 💼
⚠️ Just watch if price breaks below the demand line → would weaken this bullish plan.
Xauusdsetup
USD Stunned: Buy Gold at the Adjustment Bottom!1. Fundamentals Quick Take
US Data: Positive (Jobless Claims 216K, lowest in 7 months, Durable Goods +0.5%).
Fed Policy: Extremely Dovish. Fed officials hint at a 25bps rate cut as early as December.
Impact: Low interest rate expectations push DXY down: Strong support for Gold.
2. Technical Outlook - H1
Trend: Strong Uptrend.
Position: Price is below Resistance/Supply (CP Zone - around 4,175 - 4,195). High likelihood of short-term adjustment.
Strategy: Focus on BUY (Long) at strong Demand/Support zones, do not Short based on short-term reactions.
Ideal Long Zone: Around 4,129 or 4,096.
Conclusion: Wait for price to adjust to the Demand zone to enter Long orders following the main trend, based on the USD's decline momentum from Fed signals.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Fed #DXY #TradingView
XAUUSD BUY OR SELL TODAY?1. Main Market Context for Today
Jobless claims came in better than expected → USD strengthens, but gold did not drop — it continued to move sideways → the market is in accumulation and waiting for a breakout.
Today’s priority strategy is range trading:
Lower range: 4130–4135
Upper range: 4170–4175
Once price breaks clearly out of either range → switch to trend-following (pursuit) trading.
2. Range-Trading Plan (Primary Strategy for Today)
(A) Buy at the Lower Range – 413X Zone
Buy area: 4130–4135
SL: 100 pips
TP: 100 pips
Reason: This is the main demand zone and aligns with the ascending trendline shown on your chart.
➡️ Strategy:
Wait for price to “sweep” the lows → show confirmation → then take a quick BUY trade.
(B) Sell at the Upper Range – 417X Zone
Sell area: 4170–4175
Reason: Strong supply zone with repeated reactions.
➡️ Strategy:
Wait for a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) → then SELL.
3. Current Reaction Zone – 414X
This is the zone price is currently testing.
Do not enter immediately; just observe:
If price bounces strongly from 414X → target is to retest 417X
If 414X breaks → price will likely retest 413X → better BUY entries there.
4. Deeper BUY Zones (If Price Breaks Downward)
Here are the levels you mentioned, organized clearly:
BUY Zone
4110–4108
4102–4100
4096–4094
→ These are deeper liquidity zones below the main range, activated only if gold breaks below 413X.
5. SELL Zones if Price Breaks Upward (Above 417X)
SELL Zone
4202–4200
4194–4190
4183–4180
→ These are upper supply retest zones, activated only after price breaks above 417X.
🟨 6. Main Scenarios for Today
Scenario 1 – Expected Sideway (Highest Probability)
Price moves within 413X – 417X, bouncing between the range limits.
→ Trade the range (scalp/intraday).
Scenario 2 – Break Below Range
If 4130 breaks → price will head to 4110 → 4100 → 4094
→ BUY at deeper zones.
Scenario 3 – Break Above Range
If 4175 breaks → price will aim for 4183 → 4194 → 4200–4202
→ SELL at higher zones.
✅ One-Line Trading Summary
Trade primarily within the 413X–417X range (buy low – sell high). If the range breaks, switch to trend-following using the deeper BUY zones or higher SELL zones provided above.
Gold (XAU): Fed Cut Incoming? Breakout Time!I. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (FA)
The Vibe: The US Dollar (DXY) is facing serious heat! The US Fed's recent dovish signals are a major tailwind for non-yielding Gold.
Fed's New Tune: Big guns like Governors Williams and Waller are now talking about rate cuts soon. Why? Because US economic data (Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence) is getting weaker, boss.
Market Buzz: The market is pricing in a strong nearly 85% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December. Picture clear, right?
Takeaway: This shift is Massively Bullish for Gold because lower interest rates make the Dollar less attractive.
II. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA)
The Scene: Gold is currently bumping heads with a major hurdle – the Discount Zone (our supply zone). The real action is here!
Crucial Resistance: Gold is testing the Discount Zone (the main resistance area). This is the make-or-break level.
The Short Game (Bearish): Wait for a clear rejection signal at this resistance zone. If it holds, a correction is coming.
The Long Game (Bullish): For Gold to go on a proper rally, it needs a Strong Breakout and Close above the entire resistance area.
💡 THE STRATEGY
Focus on the Resistance Level: Trade based on Confirmation, whether that's a reversal signal for a short correction, or a strong breakout for a fresh long position.
Don't miss the US data tonight (Durable Goods/Jobless Claims) – it will be the real fire starter!
#GoldTrading #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #FedRates #DovishFed #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #FinanceIndia
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations
📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance)
Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line
📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support)
Buyers defending higher lows
Strong bullish reaction off support
💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$)
Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal
Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up
🟢 Bullish Confirmation
If price holds above demand line + support zone
Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest
🎯 Suitable Target Levels
Target Level (Approx) Status
🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest
🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation
📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario)
Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩
Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌
Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯
Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀
RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈
🧭 Market Sentiment
📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish
🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target
GOLD (XAUUSD): FINAL SQUEEZE! TRADE ZONES READY!Timeframe: 1H | Gold is tightly consolidated between 4,040 - 4,085 (Symmetrical Triangle).
1. ⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA) & ACTIONABLE ZONES
The market is coiled like a spring. We have identified specific zones for high-probability setups.
🔥 BUY ZONE (Reversal Play):
Entry: 4,044 - 4,046
Stop Loss (SL): 4,038
Strategy: This is our Strong Support confluence area. A golden opportunity for a bounce play.
⚠️ SELL Scalp (Intra-range):
Entry: 4,071 - 4,073
Stop Loss (SL): 4,077
Strategy: Near-term resistance. Quick profit booking expected here.
🚨 SELL ZONE (Strong Resistance):
Entry: 4,097 - 4,099
Stop Loss (SL): 4,107
Strategy: A major supply zone. Excellent spot to short if the initial Long move fizzles out.
⚡ MEGA BREAKOUT SCENARIO
LONG Breakout: Above 4,085 to TP: 4,110 to 4,130.
SHORT Breakout: Below 4,040 to TP: 4,020 to 4,000.
2. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (FA)
The market is waiting for Major US Data (Jobs report, PCE Inflation) and Fed sentiment. This data will be the ultimate catalyst for the breakout
Weak Data: Supports Gold (Long) due to a weaker USD.
Strong Data: Pressurizes Gold (Short) due to a stronger USD.
💡 THE GOLDEN STRATEGY
Patience is key! Do not jump the gun inside the triangle. Set strict SLs for all trades. Act only on a confirmed technical breakout backed by the Fundamental news flow.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #IndianTraders #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #BreakoutTrade #GoldAnalysis #TradingSetup
Gold (XAU/USD) 2H Chart Analysis – Sell Setup from High ProbabilBased on the chart you provided, Gold is currently reacting near a High Probability POI (supply zone) after a corrective bullish move. The structure still shows:
Lower highs and lower lows → Bearish market structure
Price is approaching a supply zone where sellers previously dominated
Liquidity has been taken above internal highs (marked as "$$$"), indicating a liquidity grab
This supports a short position idea from the supply zone.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Zone / Level Meaning
4,125 – 4,150 USD High Probability POI / Supply (Sell area)
4,080 – 4,100 USD Entry region (price is currently here)
4,040 – 4,025 USD First reaction / partial take zone (50% area)
3,990 – 4,000 USD Main Target (previous demand + equal lows)
🎯 Suggested Target
Primary Target: $4,000
(Exactly aligning with your chart’s marked “TARGET” zone where liquidity sits)
If momentum continues and structure breaks more aggressively:
Extended Target: $3,975 – $3,960
(deeper sweep into demand)
🛑 Risk Management
Detail Level
Stop Loss Above 4,155 USD (beyond POI + liquidity)
R:R Potential Approx. 1:3 to 1:4
📌 Summary
Price has retraced into a key supply zone
Liquidity was taken → seller confirmation likely
Expectation is continuation downward towards the liquidity pool below
📊 Title Recommendation:
“Gold Retests Supply Zone – Bearish Continuation Toward $4,000 Expected”
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 24.11.25(XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 24.11.25).
🔍 What the Chart Shows
Your chart displays a buy setup on the 1-hour timeframe with the following key elements:
🟦 1. Support Zone (S1)
Price is reacting from the horizontal support zone.
This zone aligns with the 1H uptrend line, adding confluence.
Good demand area.
📉 2. Trendline Support (1H Uptrend)
The price is touching the ascending trendline, indicating continuation of the uptrend.
🔦 3. Hammer Candle Confirmation
A bullish hammer candle is highlighted (yellow box).
This indicates seller exhaustion and possible reversal to upside.
This candle gives confidence for a buy entry.
🎯 4. Entry, SL, TP
Entry: At the hammer candle close near 4043–4045 zone.
Stop Loss: Below support zone and trendline (~4020–4025 zone).
Target: Back to Resistance R2, around 4100+ zone.
Risk/Reward: 1:4 shown — good reward potential.
🟪 5. Resistance Levels
Resistance R1: Mid chart area.
Resistance R2: Strong resistance zone near 4100+.
📌 Overall Summary
Your setup is logically structured with:
Support + Trendline confluence
Hammer reversal confirmation
Clean R:R
Uptrend continuation expectation
This is a valid 1H buy setup based on price action and structure.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 21.11.25XAUUSD / GOLD 1H SELL projection based on the chart you uploaded:
✅ Overall View
The chart shows a confirmed uptrend line break + clean retest, which is a strong bearish signal on 1H timeframe. Your setup is technically correct and follows proper structure.
📉 SELL SETUP ANALYSIS
1. Entry Zone
Your entry is placed exactly at the support → turned resistance zone after the trendline break + retest.
This is a smart location because:
Price rejected the retest
Previous support is now acting as resistance
Weak bullish candles on retest confirm sellers are active
🛑 Stop Loss
Stop loss is placed above the retest wick, which is correct.
Because:
If price moves above this, structure becomes bullish again
SL protects you from fake breakout
🎯 Targets
TP1 – Resistance 1 (Now Support Zone)
Good first target. High probability area where price may react.
TP2 – R2
This level has strong confluence:
Previous consolidation zone
Fresh liquidity area
High chance price may reach here if bearish momentum continues.
TP3 – R3 (Final Target)
This is your deep liquidity zone ($$$).
Smart money usually reaches this zone after trend reversal.
⭐ Trade Quality Rating: 9/10
Reasons:
Trendline break + retest = strong confirmation
Clean structure
Proper RR setup
Logical TP placements
SL placed safely
📌 Suggested Trade Plan
Enter only if candle closes below your entry zone again
Book partial profits at TP1
At TP1: move SL to breakeven
Let runner hit TP2 / TP3
GOLD (XAU/USD): THE BATTLE OF NFP AND FED!1️⃣ TECHNICAL VIEW (TA): Awaiting Sell Confirmation
Structure: The short-term uptrend has ended, prices are adjusting/reversing.
Main Supply Zone (Order Block - OB): Prices are retracing to the ideal sell zone (around $4,064 - $4,081).
Strategy: Prioritise seeking SELL signals at the OB zone.
Target: $3,976 and $3,931 if the OB zone holds.
2️⃣ FUNDAMENTAL VIEW (FA): Interest Rate Pressure
Selling pressure is increasing from:**
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Dwindle: The probability of a 25bps rate cut in December has fallen below 50%. The "Higher for Longer" signal reduces Gold's appeal.
Upcoming Risks: The market awaits NFP and FOMC Minutes. Strong data will bolster USD and sink Gold.
⚠️ Opposing risk: Uncertainty from the US Government shutdown and geopolitical tensions (Russia/Ukraine) may restrain the decline.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSetup #SELLZone #Fed #NFP #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #Forex
GOLD (XAU/USD): 2 Crucial Orders Before the NFP Storm!📉 Technical Analysis (SMC - 2H)
Trend: Decline after a clear MSS/BOS.
Focus: Price is retracing to the Selling Zone (Premium) to fill the FVG.
⚔️ Detailed Trading Plan (R:R > 1:2)
1. Priority Strategy: SELL Limit (Trend Following)
Entry: 4,157.782 (FVG Peak - Supply Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,206.895 (Safe SL above the nearest structural peak)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,051.733 (Main structural target - Nearest bottom)
Objective: Participate in the ongoing price decline.
2. Counter-trend Strategy: BUY Limit (Technical Rebound)
Entry: 4,051.733 (Nearest structural bottom - Support)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,018.699 (SL below lower FVG)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,126.333 (Rebound to the upper FVG bottom)
Objective: Capitalise on the technical rebound from strong support.
🚨 Basic Risk: This Week's Focus
Hawkish Fed: Officials like Schmid assert high inflation, unwilling to ease policy, maintaining high interest rates (Negative for Gold).
Major News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) and especially NFP (Thursday) will determine the short-term momentum of USD/Gold.
Risk Management: Gold will be highly volatile from Wednesday. Adhere to SL and manage capital under 2% per order.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FVG #SmartMoney #Fed #NFP #TradingView
XAU/USD – Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to Support Hook: XAU/USD – Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to Support 4,151 USD
Body: 📊 Market Structure
After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD region, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment.
The price has touched the Resistance Zone 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone 4,151 USD – which previously created an impulsive move.
Below Support 4,151, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD.
As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply area + where a downward reaction occurs
• Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting upward reaction
• Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of the upward structure
• Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → next wave expansion area
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend-following priority
If the price adjusts correctly to discount areas:
• Entry 1: 4,151 USD
• Entry 2: 4,104 USD (best area – confluence OB)
SL: below 4,090 USD
TP1: 4,208
TP2: 4,237
TP3: 4,260
→ Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend)
If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 area and creates a clear rejection:
Entry: 4,218 – 4,230
SL: 4,245
TP1: 4,180
TP2: 4,151
→ Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The current structure is very precise:
Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continue upward wave.
The 4,151 USD area is the focal point to observe.
The 4,104 USD area is the best BUY area if the market wants to hunt deeper liquidity.
As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, buyers still hold the entire advantage.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 11.11.25XAUUSD/GOLD 1H Sell Projection (11.11.25) chart.
Here’s a quick technical breakdown of what this chart represents:
🟣 Setup Overview
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup)
🧩 Key Levels
Resistance / High: 4148.82
Stoploss: ~4141.63
Entry Zone: ~4129.45–4128.32
Target 1 (TP1): Around 4110 (S1 + FVG zone)
Target 2 (TP2): Around 4081 (S2 zone)
📉 Projection Logic
Price rejected from major resistance at 4148.
A short-term pullback / retracement is expected into the entry zone.
After possible retest, price is expected to drop towards TP1 and TP2.
The setup suggests a Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of roughly 1:2.5 to 1:3, favoring the sell side.
⚙️ Trading Idea Summary
Parameter Value
Bias Sell
Entry Range 4128–4130
Stop Loss 4141
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4110
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4081
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3
Confirmation Bearish engulfing or rejection from resistance zone
GOLD: US Fed is Not Giving Up! Big Selling Zone is Activated.Hello, Traders! It's a crucial time, yaar! Gold is at a major crossroads. The pressure from the US Fed is real, and it’s lining up perfectly with our key price levels. Let’s do a quick scan of the market.
I. FUNDAMENTALS: The Big Boss (The Fed) is Hawkish 📰
Main Reason for Bears: The US Fed officials are not interested in rate cuts for now. They are very much "hawkish" due to inflation concerns. This has crushed market optimism.
The Direct Impact: Higher US interest rates mean the Dollar is strong and mighty. For a non-yielding asset like Gold, this is a major negative signal.
Long-Term View (The Hope): Don't lose heart completely! Big institutions still see Gold climbing (like Morgan Stanley projecting $4,300/oz by 2026). So, current dips are good for long-term accumulation.
II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Supply-Demand Game 🎯
The H4 chart is showing a confirmed DOWNTREND. The recent small rally is just a necessary pullback to test the sellers' power before the next big drop.
1. Primary Strategy: GO SHORT (Following the Main Trend)
The Hot Selling Zone: $4,059 to $4,085. This is our Supply Area where the institutional players are likely waiting. This level is key.
Action Plan: Wait for Gold to enter $4,059 - $4,085. Look for a solid rejection (a strong reversal candle) to confirm your SHORT entry.
Final Target (TP): Our main target is the Strong Demand Zone at $3,939 - $3,952.
2. Counter-Trend Strategy: The Bounce Level
Crucial Buying Zone: $3,939 - $3,952. This is a major support level.
Action Plan: If the price really drops here, you can watch for a quick long entry for a bounce, but maintain tight stop-loss.
🔑 Final Verdict
Best Bet: We must look for a SELL near the $4,059 - $4,085 Supply Zone. Everything is lining up for a continued downside move. Risk management is paramount, okay?
What's your plan for Gold? Will the market respect the $4,085 level? Tell me in the comments! 👇
#XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #Bearish #TradingStrategy #IndianTrader #MarketAnalysis
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 02.11.25XAUUSD (Gold) 4H Weekly Buy Projection for 02.11.25.
Here’s a breakdown of what your chart indicates:
🧭 Technical Overview:
Pattern Forming: Symmetrical Triangle inside a larger Parallel Downtrend Channel.
Key Confirmation: “W” pattern confirmation with 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, indicating strong potential reversal.
Current Price Zone: Around 4002, consolidating near triangle resistance.
🔍 Key Levels:
Support S1: ~3960
Support S2: ~3920
Resistance R1: ~4040
Resistance R2: ~4080
Resistance R3: ~4160
📈 Projection Summary:
If Price Breaks Triangle Upward:
→ Strong bullish momentum expected toward R1–R3 zones.
→ “Huge buy expected” once breakout candle closes above the upper trendline with volume.
Invalidation:
→ If price breaks below 3960, the bullish setup weakens.
→ Below 3920, trend may retest the lower parallel channel zone.
💡 Trading Plan (Based on Chart Logic):
Buy Entry: Above 4040 confirmation breakout
Target 1: 4080
Target 2: 4160
“Gold Rebounds from Demand Zone — Short-Term Recovery Ahead”Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour chart shows a strong corrective decline after forming an SMC trap near the 4,250–4,300 zone, where liquidity was swept before a sharp selloff. Price has now reached the High Probability POI (Point of Interest) around the 3,850–3,880 region, showing early signs of a bullish reaction.
The recent candle structure indicates buyers are stepping in from this demand zone, confirming a potential short-term reversal. If momentum sustains, the first target zone lies around 3,950–3,980, aligning with minor resistance and previous imbalance fill.
Outlook:
📈 Bias: Bullish correction (short-term)
🧭 Key Support: 3,850 – 3,880
🎯 Target: 3,950 – 3,980
⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,840 may reopen bearish continuation toward 3,780
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 28.10.251H Sell Limit Projection Chart for XAU/USD (Gold):
📝 Chart Summary (28.10.25)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Setup Type: Sell Limit Projection
Market Structure: Bearish
📈 Key Levels:
Sell Limit Zone (Entry Area): Around $3,958 (Resistance R1)
Stop Loss: Around $3,982 (Top of FVG + Trendline)
Target 1 (TP1): Support S1 – around $3,920
Target 2 (TP2): Support S2 – around $3,883
📉 Technical Confluences:
🔹 1H Downtrend Line acting as dynamic resistance
🔹 FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with entry zone
🔹 Fibonacci retracement zone overlap
🔹 Resistance R1 matches previous supply zone
🧭 Trading Plan Idea:
Wait for price to retrace back to $3,958 zone.
Place Sell Limit order in the zone.
Stop loss: Above $3,982 zone to protect from fakeouts.
Take Profit: First target at $3,920 (partial booking), second target at $3,883 (runner).
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Watch for liquidity grabs above R1 before rejection.
Avoid market entry — wait for price confirmation near the zone.
Adjust SL if price structure shifts on lower timeframes.
GOLD - ENTERS COREECTION PHASESymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase following approximately six weeks of aggressive upward movement. Price action is forming a consolidation range while continuing to pressure the support zone.
The recent record breaking rally became overheated, prompting profit-taking and long liquidation. Additionally, a gradual shift in market sentiment and macroeconomic backdrop is contributing to capital outflows. However, ongoing US–China trade negotiations, the US government shutdown, and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, including the cancellation of Trump’s meeting with President Putin, continue to pose economic risks that could provide underlying support for the precious metal.
Overall, the current pullback appears to be a healthy corrective pause within the broader structure. The 4000 level remains a critical support area. A sustained recovery above 4110 would indicate that buyers are interested, though further momentum largely depends on developments surrounding global trade policies.
Resistance levels: 4100, 4110, 4163
Support levels: 4058, 4000
A decisive breakdown of the lower boundary of the trading range could trigger a deeper corrective wave. The 4000 level is the primary focus, as strong volatility may occur around this zone. Given the current market conditions - with declines matching the previous intensity of the rally, patience is warranted until momentum stabilizes, enabling more informed technical decisions.
XAUUSD: Structure Broken! Can the Fed Rate Cut Save Gold?Gold has just completed its first losing week in 10, after a historic rally. Following the record peak of $4,381.21, Gold experienced a sharp correction driven by profit-taking and easing US-China trade tensions. However, weaker-than-expected US CPI data has strongly reinforced expectations for an upcoming Fed rate cut, creating a significant market conflict.
I. MARKET CONTEXT ANALYSIS (H4)
Structure: The prior bullish structure has been broken, shifting the bias to bearish in the short term.
Liquidity: Market forces are now targeting key stop-loss zones to collect liquidity before the next major move.
Strategy: We look to Sell when price pulls back to the Supply Zone (Premium) and Buy when price sweeps liquidity into the strong Demand Zone.
II. DETAILED TRADING PLAN
1. SELL Scenario 📉 (At Supply Zones)
Trade 1:
Entry: $4,202 - $4,204
SL: $4,212
TP: $4,194 / $4,184 / $4,174 / $4,164
Trade 2:
Entry: $4,252 - $4,256
SL: $4,272
TP: $4,236 / $4,216 / $4,196 / $4,176
2. BUY Scenario 📈 (At Demand Zones)
Trade 1:
Entry: $4,158 - $4,161
SL: $4,151
TP: $4,168 / $4,178 / $4,188 / $4,198
Trade 2 (Critical):
Entry: $3,966 - $3,969 (Strong Demand Zone, post-liquidity sweep)
SL: $3,949
TP: $3,989 / $4,009 / $4,029 / $4,049
III. RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE
Capital: Always limit risk to ≤ 1% of capital per trade.
Confirmation: Prioritize waiting for reversal confirmation on lower timeframes (M15/M5) to optimize Risk/Reward ratio.
This is the decisive moment! Trade safe and good luck!
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #Forex #Trading #Fed #Inflation
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 26.10.25Here’s a clear explanation of the 4H SELL SETUP shown in your chart 📊👇
📌 Chart Breakdown (XAU/USD — Gold 4H)
Pattern: Rising wedge / structure breakdown
Trendline: “4H Uptrend Line – Broken” ✅
Candle signal: Bearish Engulfing at ATH (strong reversal confirmation)
🧭 Key Levels
🟥 Stop Loss: Around 4,225.640 (above structure high)
🟡 Entry Zone: ~4,192 (below trendline break)
🟢 Targets:
TP1: 4,125
TP2: 4,075
TP3: 4,031
🧠 Trading Logic
Market formed a Bearish Engulfing at the top.
The main trendline was broken, indicating possible trend reversal.
After a retest of the broken structure, price is expected to continue downward.
Multiple TPs (TP1, TP2, TP3) help scale out profits gradually.
SL is placed above the previous high to protect against a fake breakout.
Gold Rebounds as CPI Cools and USD WeakensMarket Overview:
Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals.
CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November.
As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz.
Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart.
Technical Outlook (H2):
The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg.
Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones.
Key Technical Levels:
Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940
Resistance / Neckline: 4,211
Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342
Trading Plan – MMFLOW View
🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play)
Entry: 4,058 – 4,050
Stop Loss: 4,035
Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260
🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,002 – 3,930
Stop Loss: 3,915
Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211
Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues.
🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade)
Entry: 4,260 – 4,342
Stop Loss: 4,355
Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058
Weekly Bias & Summary:
With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle.
However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback.
🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy.
Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week.
📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY OVERVIEW PROJECTION 25.10.25“XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY OVERVIEW 25.10.25”:
🟡 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold vs USD)
📅 Timeframe: Weekly
📊 Chart Type: Price action with liquidity zone and retest entry plan
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance / Upper Target Zone: ~4,360 – 4,400
Entry Zone / Supply-Demand Range: ~4,057 – 4,145
Support / Lower Target Zone: ~3,868
🧭 Market Structure Analysis:
The price is currently consolidating inside a mid-range zone (4,057–4,145) after a strong previous down move.
Liquidity zones are marked both above and below, suggesting potential breakout and retest setups.
The market is showing accumulation or indecision before a big move.
🛒 Buy Scenario (Bullish Plan):
Price may retest the lower boundary of the entry zone (~4,057–4,145).
If a bullish retest/confirmation candle forms → Long Entry.
Target: ~4,360 area (major resistance).
Stop-loss likely placed slightly below 4,057.
🟢 This aligns with a potential reversal or continuation of higher timeframe bullish structure.
🐻 Sell Scenario (Bearish Plan):
Price may break below the entry zone, retest it from the bottom, and reject.
If a bearish retest/confirmation candle forms → Short Entry.
Target: ~3,868 support level.
Stop-loss likely placed slightly above 4,145.
🔴 This aligns with a continuation of the recent bearish momentum.
⚠️ Additional Notes:
Watch for fake breakouts near the entry zone.
Weekly candles can give strong direction but might take 1–2 weeks to fully play out.
High impact news related to gold or USD can accelerate the move.
✅ Summary Plan:
Buy entry: After bullish retest of 4,057–4,145 → TP 4,360
Sell entry: After bearish retest of 4,057–4,145 → TP 3,868
SL: Just outside the opposite edge of the entry zone.
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Kindly Wait for SELL at $4185📰 FUNDAMENTALS (Context is Key)
Gold has seen a massive drop—sharpest since 2013, mind you—after hitting that record high of $4,398. This steep fall is primarily technical profit-booking, not any major panga (trouble) on the macro side. The core drivers (inflation, uncertainties) for Gold are still intact, pakka (surely), for the long term. However, short-term, a good correction is compulsory.
📊 TECHNICALS (1H Chart Basis)
Market Structure Shift (MSS) Done: The price has given a proper Breakout of the strong support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone is now our New Resistance—the best place for selling, no doubt.
The market is currently undergoing a Technical Pullback.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (Actionables)
Our main focus is to SELL at the Resistance re-test, which aligns nicely with the changed market structure.
1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade)
SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185
SL (Stop Loss): $4193
TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145
2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp)
BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055
SL (Stop Loss): $4030
TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185
🔥 Expert Mandate: Kindly wait for the price to revert to the $4183 - 4185 zone. That is where you Do the needful and look for a SELL (Short) setup. The Risk-Reward is quite handsome.
Please ensure strict risk management (1-2% capital) is followed.
What is your good name for this market? BUY or SELL? Leave your comments and Kindly Follow for the timely updates!
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