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Xauusdsetup

XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Outlook - 12/12/2025XAU/USD is trading around $4,278 with a Strong Buy trend across all major timeframes, confirming a solid bullish structure. As long as price holds above the 4,257 pivot, the uptrend remains intact, supported by the price trading above all moving averages. The bullish targets for the day are 4,283 → 4,311 → 4,340, with ideal buying opportunities on dips between 4,260–4,270 or a breakout entry above 4,285. Stop-loss for dip buying is 4,247, and for breakout buying is 4,270. A bearish scenario becomes valid only if price falls below 4,257, opening downside targets toward 4,230 and 4,175, but this remains a low-probability setup. Price: $4,278 | Trend: Strong Buy All timeframes (30M–Monthly) show bullish momentum Price trading above all MAs = uptrend confirmed Bullish Scenario Bullish above 4,257 Targets: 4,283 → 4,311 → 4,340 Buy dips: 4,260–4,270 Breakout buy: Above 4,285 Bearish Scenario (Low Probability) Bearish only below 4,257 Targets: 4,230 → 4,175 Day Strategy Dip Buy SL: 4,247 Breakout Buy SL: 4,270 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in Forex, Commodities, and Crypto involves risk. Always do your own research and trade at your own responsibility.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
XAU/USD: SEIZE THE BUYING OPPORTUNITY BEFORE THE FED STORM!1. 📰 Fundamental Analysis (FA) Cash flow is focusing on the FED this Wednesday. Rate cut: A 25 basis point cut is expected. This puts downward pressure on the USD, pushing Gold (a non-yielding asset) to rise. Safe haven: Ongoing Ukraine tensions further support the rise of precious metals. Risk: Strong employment data (JOLTS) could slow the USD's decline, but the main trend remains policy easing. 2. 📊 Technical Analysis (TA) On the 1H chart, Gold is completing a correction to the important Demand zone. Buy Zone (Order Block): 4,175.00 – 4,195.00. This is where Smart Money accumulates before major events. Target 1 (TP1): 4,228.214 – Fill the price gap (FVG). Target 2 (TP2): 4,259.407 – Potential supply zone (POI). Stop Loss (SL): Below 4,170.00 to protect the account if the scenario changes. Strategy: Wait for the price to drop to 4,176.247 and a reversal signal to appear on the M15 chart to trigger a Long order. Be cautious of Chairman Powell's statements! #XAUUSD #Gold #FED #FOMC #InterestRates #SmartMoneyConcept #OrderBlock #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
Holding Breath for FOMC News - Will History Repeat?XAUUSD Trading Idea Today 10/12/25 (FOMC - Big News) Will history repeat: Before the news: Sideway | News release: prioritize SELL Today's range: 417X–423X Expectation: FOMC release leads to selling (Powell is usually hawkish → price drops like in September & October) 1) Intraday Trading (catching the Sideway range) Upper range: 4218–4220 4230–4233 Lower range: 4170–4173 4180–4182 → Morning & afternoon prioritize catching the range – trade within the range for safety before the news. 2) During the news (for those who trade the news) Not suitable for those who are risk-averse, so you can skip if you can't handle it. Limit if you want to learn and profit using a very small account. 1) 4218–4220 (Risk-only) (if it doesn't break all day) • High reaction area • Safe → skip • Risk → Probe sell, small SL 2) 4230–4233 (Main Sell) • Strong resistance within the range 3) 4240–4244–424X (Best Sell) • Liquidity zone • If spike during/before news → High RR sell 3) Target down TP1: 418X TP2: 416X-5x TP3: 409X (main target – swing + FVG + fibo) 4) BUY? Attention area: 4150-52 4128-32 4102-96 5) Note on the news This scenario holds if Powell maintains a hawkish tone. If Powell is more "dovish" → it may go against expectations. Risk-averse traders → do not trade the news. News traders → use a small account to test market reactions. Quick Summary Before the news → Sideway, catch the range 417X–423X News release → prioritize SELL SELL zone: 4218, 4230–4233, 4240–4244 Main target: 409X The price will move with each statement from the Fed Chairman and keep an eye on Trump too. Wishing everyone a victorious day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 10.12.25“Character Invalid Here” (Lower Pink Zone) This zone represents heavy sell pressure. Price dropped deeply here → buyers were weak → sellers dominated. From this area, the market started recovering upward slowly. 2️⃣ Day High as Resistance R1 (Middle Pink Zone) This is a strong resistance level. Price tested this zone multiple times and faced rejection. This confirms it as a key intraday resistance. Once price breaks and retests this area, bullish confirmation becomes stronger. 3️⃣ Bounce Back Area (Green Horizontal Zone) This area is where you expect the pullback (retracement) to happen. When price returns to this zone: ✔ Buyers re-enter the market ✔ Trend continues upward ✔ You get safe entry confirmation This is a high-probability buy zone. 4️⃣ Entry After Bounce Back (Red Zone) This is the ideal buy entry area after confirmation. Your structure shows: Price breaks the resistance Pulls back for retest Holds the major trendline Respects the curved support (cup structure) This indicates a strong bullish continuation setup. 5️⃣ Target Price (Weekly High Resistance & TP) This is the weekly high, which acts as the final target. The price is expected to reach this level due to: Strong bullish momentum Breakout + retest confirmation Trendline support Clean upside liquidity This is a realistic and high-probability target.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
2
XAUUSD/GOLD JOLTS Job Openings News Projection 09.12.25Main Idea Gold is currently ranging between 4,191 – 4,210 zones. During JOLTS news volatility, price may either break upward or break downward from this zone. Your plan is a breakout + retest entry with a 1:3 Risk–Reward Ratio. 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup) Conditions to Buy: Price breaks above 4,210 zone Retests the same zone and holds as support Enter after bullish confirmation Target: 4,250 zone Stoploss: Below 4,191 zone 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup) Conditions to Sell: Price breaks below 4,191 zone Retests the level as resistance Enter after bearish confirmation Target: 4,163 zone Stoploss: Above 4,210 zone 🎯 Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3 Both setups aim for a low-risk and high-reward breakout trade using news momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
3
XAUSD/GOLD 4H SELL PROJECTION 07.12.251. Major Rejection Zone Price tapped into the Huge Liquidity Collection Zone (yellow zone). Strong rejection with bearish candlestick formations (Engulfing + Spinning Top). 2. Pattern Confirmation Double Top formation at Resistance R1–R2. Neckline broken and candle closed below – confirming trend reversal. Break of a major triangle pattern also supports bearish continuation. 3. Entry Zone Entry marked at 4,207.97 zone after retest and bearish confirmation. Confluence with: Resistance Rejection Structure Break Bearish candle patterns 4. Stop Loss (SL) SL placed at 4,243.17, above the wick and liquidity grab zone. 5. Take Profit (TP) Targeting Premium Zone around 4,146.62. Risk–Reward Ratio: 1 : 2 🎯 Final Sell Projection Expecting price to drop towards 4,146–4,150 zone after rejection from liquidity and break of structure. Bearish candlestick confirmation increases probability of continuation move.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD - Gold Spot US Dollar Technical Analysis🟢 BUY zones + buy confirmation levels 🔴 SELL zones + sell confirmation levels 🚫 NO-TRADE zone 🎯 TP (Take Profit) levels 🛑 SL (Stop Loss) levels 📌 Why buy / why sell (Price-Action logic) ✅ 1. NO-TRADE ZONE (as on chart) The shaded middle area 4,150 – 4,210 is a NO-TRADE ZONE. ❌ Why no trade here? Price is compressing sideways. No fresh demand or supply. Buyers/sellers both weak → liquidity building. Best area to wait for breakout above or below. 🟢 2. BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario) ✔ Buy Trigger Buy ONLY above: 4,265 → clean breakout from supply When price breaks and closes above 4,265, it confirms: Supply removed Trend continuation Buyers taking control 🛑 Buy Stop-Loss Place SL below the breakout candle or safe level: SL = 4,198 – 4,210 zone (mid-zone) Because if price falls back inside zone → fake breakout. 🎯 Buy Take Profit Levels TP1 → 4,320 – 4,350 TP2 → 4,449 (major supply zone) TP3 → 4,550+ if strong momentum continues 📌 Why Buy? Break above previous high Clean imbalance above (room to move) Price action pattern → Break of Structure (BOS) Market in bullish expansion when above 4,265 🔴 3. SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario) Sell only when price breaks below NO-TRADE ZONE. ✔ Sell Trigger Sell below: 4,096 (break of demand) This confirms: Demand removed Trend shift to bearish Sellers active after taking liquidity from the range 🛑 Sell Stop-Loss SL above failed demand zone: SL = 4,150 – 4,170 🎯 Sell Take Profit Levels Use the marked blue lines: TP1 → 3,991 TP2 → 3,952 TP3 → 3,901 TP4 → 3,762 (extended target) 📌 Why Sell? Break of key structure level (4,096) Below range → trend continuation short Liquidity targets below (equal lows + imbalances) Price action → Lower Low + Lower High continuation 🔥 PRICE ACTION LOGIC (Simple Explanation) ✔ Buy Logic Market is accumulating in the NO-TRADE zone Break above 4,265 = buyers win Price targets previous supply zones ✔ Sell Logic If price breaks below 4,096, demand collapses Market enters markdown phase Lower supports become liquidity targets
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Skalpfi
XAU/USD: Hold Gold, Await Big Waves from PCE!Gold is moving sideways within a narrow range, supported by a weak USD and expectations of a dovish Fed. All attention is focused on the upcoming PCE Index – the data will determine the long-term momentum of XAU/USD! 📰 Fundamentals: Awaiting Major Signals Gold's Advantage: USD weakens due to predictions of early Fed rate cuts + Safe haven demand. Key Point: PCE data will be the "push" confirming the Fed's path. 📊 4H Technical: Trend-Following Buy Strategy Market structure remains BULLISH. We await a correction to enter at optimal price levels: Ideal BUY Zone (OTE/Support): Price: $4,133 - $4,161 Action: Wait for reversal signals here to BUY (Long). Upside Target: $4,334 up to $4,382 (Previous high). Safe Stop Loss: Below $4,046 (Below OB), a break here will invalidate the bullish structure. 🎯 In Summary: BE PATIENT! Look to BUY in the $4,133 - $4,161 zone after PCE release to optimize R:R. #XAUUSD #GOLD #Gold #PCE #FED #TradingView #MarketStructure #OTE #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold (XAU/USD): FED WILL CUT! ADP HAS MADE IT CLEAR.🎯 Fundamental Summary SHOCKING News: ADP private payrolls unexpectedly DECREASED by 32,000 (completely contrary to the expected increase). Impact on Fed: This weak labor data strongly reinforces the expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next meeting. Conclusion: A lower interest rate environment is the main "tailwind," boosting demand for non-yielding Gold. 📈 Technical Analysis The market is approaching a decisive zone. Gold needs a breakthrough: Strong Supply Zone (Key Level): $4,200 – $4,212 Expected Action/Reaction: If Gold breaks and closes above $4,212, the fundamental momentum will prevail, confirming a strong UP trend. Important Demand Zone (Strong Support): $4,131 – $4,140 Expected Action/Reaction: The final support area. If there is a deep decline, this is a potential buying point based on the news. #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #FundamentalAnalysis #Fed #ADP #LaborMarket #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
what do you think about today's gold price?Hello Traders, what do you think about today's gold price? Today the market will have news related to Unemployment Benefits, so I expect the trading range to be slightly narrow and liquidity relatively low. Please be more cautious in placing orders and managing capital. Below are the important support – resistance zones I am monitoring today: 🔵 BUY ZONE (Support) 4180 – 4184 4160 – 4165 4150 – 4155 4130 – 4133 ➡️ These are strong support zones – prioritize watching for Buy in the Sideway range. 🔴 SELL ZONE (Resistance) 4240 – 4244 4250 – 4255 ➡️ These are the upper resistance zones – suitable for watching for Sell when the price rebounds to the range. 👀 NEAREST OBSERVATION ZONE 4217 – 4220 ➡️ This is the directional zone, observe price reactions to determine continuation or adjustment forces. 🎯 Trading orientation for the day Personal style: SL10 price – TP10 price. Trade within the Sideway range, Buy low – Sell high. Break any zone, trade that zone, avoid holding orders against the trend. Low liquidity → trade lightly & manage capital tightly. ⚠️ Note: This is a personal trading plan, not investment advice. Please consider it as reference material. Wishing you a successful trading day – enter and win! 💹✨
TVC:GOLD
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD: Rate Cut Storm Ahead! Is Gold Set to Soar?1. 📢 FUNDAMENTALS PUSHING PRICE FED About to Cut Interest Rates (90%): Cooling U.S. economic data strengthens the expectation of a 25bps cut next week. This weakens the USD and supports Gold. Geopolitical Risks: Russia-Europe tensions keep the safe-haven demand for Gold high. Key Event: Watch PCE on Friday to better determine the Fed's monetary policy path. 2. 🎯 TECHNICAL ENTRY POINTS The optimal strategy is to BUY ON DIPS at strong support: Optimal Buying Zone (Discount Zone): $4,181 – $4,186. This is the ideal Long Entry Point. Resistance/POC: $4,207. Important short-term level. Upside Target: $4,240. Next profit-taking target. 👉 Conclusion: Be patient and wait for Gold to adjust to the $4,181 - $4,186 zone to enter a buy order with low-risk advantage, leveraging macro upward momentum. #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #InterestRateCut #GoldAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 02.12.25“Gold is currently reacting strongly from the premium weekly support zone. A clear bullish engulfing candle has formed at the bottom, indicating strong buying pressure.” Next: Price was moving inside a parallel downtrend channel, but The bearish structure has now broken, confirming a potential trend reversal. The market has also broken the trendline, showing strong momentum from buyers. After breaking the trendline, price is expected to: Retest the break level (support turning from resistance). Continue bullish towards Resistance R1 around 4228–4232. If momentum holds, the move may extend towards Resistance R2 at 4255–4260. This structure aligns with a clean liquidity grab, followed by trend reversal and bullish continuation. 🎯 Key Points (Easy to Explain on YouTube) ✅ Premium Weekly Support Zone Hit – strong reversal area ✅ Bullish Engulfing Formed – confirmation of buyer strength ✅ Downtrend Channel Broken – trend reversal confirmation ✅ Expecting Retest → Buy Continuation 🎯 Target 1: Resistance R1 (4230 level) 🎯 Target 2: Resistance R2 (4260 level) ⛔ Stop Loss: Below Weekly Support Zone (around 4185) 📌 Summary for Your Video / Telegram Post “Gold is showing a strong bullish reversal from the premium weekly support zone. A bullish engulfing followed by a clean trendline break confirms a potential buy setup. As long as price holds above the retest zone, we expect upside targets towards 4230 and 4260.” If you want, I can also prepare: ✔ YouTube Title + Description ✔ Thumbnail text (big bold letters) ✔ Short-form script (30–45 sec) ✔ Hashtags ✔ PDF or PNG formatted analysis Just tell me “make title, description & thumbnail” and I’ll generate it.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 02.12.25Market Structure Price has broken the uptrend line, causing a corrective move inside a descending channel. The correction is respecting channel boundaries (multiple rejections on top & bottom). 🔹 Key Zones Support Zone: 4180 area → Confluence of FVG (Fair Value Gap) + Demand Zone + Channel Bottom. Target Zone: 4218–4220 → Retest of the broken structure zone. 🔹 Buy Setup Logic Price dipped into OBEY CHANNEL + FVG + SUPPORT zone (blue/purple box). Expectation: Price should bounce from support and move higher. First target aligns with: Channel Top Breaked zone retest Previous minor structure level. 🔹 Projection Outcome A bullish push towards 4218.89 zone is projected if support holds. SL should be placed below the 4168–4170 zone under channel + FVG.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
GOLD IN HAND WITH FED'S PUSH: ADJUSTMENT IS AN OPPORTUNITY!Wonderful! I will create another headline focusing on market dynamics and fundamental factors, excluding specific price levels, but still maintaining appeal and information. 🐂 GOLD IN HAND WITH FED'S PUSH: ADJUSTMENT IS AN OPPORTUNITY! 🚀 1. Fundamental Push Main Support Force: Expectations of a dovish Fed and weak US economic data (PMI ISM 48.2) are weakening the USD and increasing bets on a Fed rate cut in December, strongly supporting Gold. Geopolitical risks remain a potential "lifeline." 2. Technical Analysis & Opportunity The main structure (1H) remains an Uptrend. The current price drop is a Pullback. Strategic BUY Zone (DPZ): Range: $4,195.961 – $4,199.760 (Converging with the Uptrend Line). Action: WAIT TO BUY (LONG) when a confirmed reversal signal appears in this zone. Targets: TP1 (Short-term): $4,219.953 TP2 (Long-term): $4,244.426 Stop Loss: Set a safe SL below DPZ, for example: Below $4,190.00. 🔥 Conclusion: As long as XAU/USD holds above the Uptrend Line and DPZ, we prioritize seeking BUY opportunities to continue the main trend. #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #FED #USD #LongOpportunity #MarketStructure
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
What do you think about gold’s movement today?Hello traders! What do you think about gold’s movement today? Market Context This morning, the Fed Chair delivered a speech without mentioning any economic updates. Despite that, gold still showed a corrective move, indicating that the SELL side remains dominant at the moment. Main Strategy for Today 🔴 Prefer SELL setups Stop selling only if price breaks above 4,246 — a key level defended by sellers. Consider SELL entries at the previous high 4,265. Additional SELL reaction zone to watch: 4,227 – 4,225. BUY on deeper pullbacks Ideal BUY zone: 4,194 – 4,190 BUY zone: 4,209 – 4,206 → Only BUY if strong support reactions or reversal patterns appear. 🎯 Risk Management Stop Loss (SL): 100 pips Take Profit (TP): 100 pips → Maintain consistent risk throughout the session. Do you think gold will continue to face bearish pressure and break lower, or will it bounce from these deeper support zones and regain momentum?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
Resistance Rejection → Bearish Pullback Toward Support🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Major Resistance 🟥📉 🔍 Key Technical Insights Price rejected the major resistance zone around 4,245 – 4,255 Rising Support Line has been broken → signals weakening bullish momentum ❌ Current structure favors a pullback toward demand area Market seeking liquidity below recent swing lows 💰 🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers) Target Type Price Area Sticker TP1 → Support Retest 4,210 – 4,215 🎯 TP2 → Demand Zone 4,195 – 4,205 📉💰 📌 TP1 is your high-probability target 📌 TP2 is for extended move if bearish momentum continues ⬇️ 📌 Trade Setup Idea 📍 Sell Entry Zone: ➤ 4,238 – 4,245 (after failed breakout) 🎯 Take Profit: ➤ TP1: 4,215 🎯 ➤ TP2: 4,200 📉💸 🧭 Overall Market Outlook Factor Bias Short-term Trend Bearish Pullback 🔻 Liquidity Downside targets in focus 💧 Resistance Reaction Strong rejection 🚫
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
GOLD EXPLOSION: XAUUSD READY TO ACCELERATE!📰 BASIC SUMMARY (FA): PRESSURE ON USD AND SAFE HAVEN DEMAND Gold is receiving strong support thanks to: FED DOVISH: Recent comments from FED Governors (Waller, Williams) and information about Kevin Hassett potentially taking the position of FED Chairman (supporting strong rate cuts) are boosting expectations for rate cuts, weakening the US Dollar (USD). GEOPOLITICS/ECONOMICS: News about conflicts in the Black Sea and weakening Chinese manufacturing data (PMI decline) reinforce Gold's safe haven role, pushing prices to a 6-week high. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA): MAINTAINING UPWARD STRUCTURE The 2H chart shows Gold in a clear UPWARD trend (with multiple BOS). The optimal strategy is to wait for price adjustments to the key demand zone: Action: ENTRY (BUY) Price Range: $4,185 – $4,192 (Breakout/Demand zone established. Wait for confirmation here.) STOP LOSS (SL): Below $4,160.9 (Invalidates upward structure if price breaks.) TARGET 1 (TP): $4,244.8 (Nearest resistance.) TARGET 2 (TP): $4,270.1 – $4,276.1 (Main growth target.) Strategy: Patiently wait for a Pullback to the $4,185 – $4,192 zone to enter a LONG position following the trend. ⚠️ IMPORTANT ECONOMIC CALENDAR: Pay attention to the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data and other macro reports this week to assess USD momentum. #XAUUSD #GOLD #GoldAnalysis #FED #Dovish #Uptrend #MarketStructure #TradingView #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
GOLD EXPLOSION: READY TO CONQUER NEW HEIGHTS?I. HOT NEWS 💥 Gold is experiencing its 4th consecutive monthly increase, reaching $4,192.78/oz (closing on 11/28) thanks to significant changes from the Fed. Interest Rate Reversal: Recent statements from the Fed Governor have increased the probability of a rate cut in December 2025 to 89% (up from 50% last week). Gold Connection: A low-interest-rate environment is a paradise for Gold, propelling it to become a safe-haven asset. The fundamental momentum is EXTREMELY STRONG. II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊 The price is approaching a critical supply zone. The current strategy is Buy on Dip with higher targets. Short-term Resistance Target (PDI): Price Range: $4,210 – $4,235 Strategy: Short-term resistance, requires a decisive Breakout to continue the upward momentum. Ultimate Target (FVG): Price Range: $4,260 – $4,330 Strategy: The next potential profit-taking target for Smart Money. Main Long target. Strong Demand Zone (OB - Order Block): Price Range: $4,046 – $4,064 Strategy: Strategic support (Demand Zone). A safe buying area if the price corrects deeply. III. CONCLUSION & RISKS 🎯 Market Sentiment: Strongly BULLISH thanks to momentum from the Fed. Focus: Monitor price action around $4,235. If surpassed, $4,330 is not far off. Warning: Always manage risk (SL) tightly. Do not trade without Price Action confirmation! #XAUUSD #GOLD #FOREX #FedDovish #RateCuts #SMC #OrderBlock #FVG #BullishTrend #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
“BOS Confirmed — Demand Retest for Next Bullish Leg🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Setup from High Probability Demand Zone 🆙 🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Insights Price created a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside → confirming bullish momentum ✔️ Retested the Demand Line + Support Zone → buyers defending strongly 💪 High Probability POI (previous accumulation zone) remains valid with liquidity swept below → smart money accumulation evidence 💰 Current pullback = healthy retracement into demand before potential continuation 🎯 Targets (With stickers) 🎯 Target Zone Price Region Sticker TP1 → Retest recent high 4,165 – 4,175 🎯 TP2 → Liquidity above highs / extended target 4,180 – 4,195 🚀💸 TP1 hit possibility is HIGH due to bullish structure 📈 TP2 depends on strength of breakout ⬆️ 📌 Trade Idea (High Probability Setup) 🟩 Buy Entry Zone: ➤ 4,120 – 4,130 (pullback entry at support) 🟢 Take-Profit: ➤ TP1: 4,170 – TP2: 4,190 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3+ ✔️ 🧭 Market Structure Sentiment Factor Outlook Trend Bullish 📈 Liquidity Upside still available 💧 Smart Money behavior Accumulation & continuation expected 💼 ⚠️ Just watch if price breaks below the demand line → would weaken this bullish plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
USD Stunned: Buy Gold at the Adjustment Bottom!1. Fundamentals Quick Take US Data: Positive (Jobless Claims 216K, lowest in 7 months, Durable Goods +0.5%). Fed Policy: Extremely Dovish. Fed officials hint at a 25bps rate cut as early as December. Impact: Low interest rate expectations push DXY down: Strong support for Gold. 2. Technical Outlook - H1 Trend: Strong Uptrend. Position: Price is below Resistance/Supply (CP Zone - around 4,175 - 4,195). High likelihood of short-term adjustment. Strategy: Focus on BUY (Long) at strong Demand/Support zones, do not Short based on short-term reactions. Ideal Long Zone: Around 4,129 or 4,096. Conclusion: Wait for price to adjust to the Demand zone to enter Long orders following the main trend, based on the USD's decline momentum from Fed signals. #XAUUSD #Gold #Fed #DXY #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD BUY OR SELL TODAY?1. Main Market Context for Today Jobless claims came in better than expected → USD strengthens, but gold did not drop — it continued to move sideways → the market is in accumulation and waiting for a breakout. Today’s priority strategy is range trading: Lower range: 4130–4135 Upper range: 4170–4175 Once price breaks clearly out of either range → switch to trend-following (pursuit) trading. 2. Range-Trading Plan (Primary Strategy for Today) (A) Buy at the Lower Range – 413X Zone Buy area: 4130–4135 SL: 100 pips TP: 100 pips Reason: This is the main demand zone and aligns with the ascending trendline shown on your chart. ➡️ Strategy: Wait for price to “sweep” the lows → show confirmation → then take a quick BUY trade. (B) Sell at the Upper Range – 417X Zone Sell area: 4170–4175 Reason: Strong supply zone with repeated reactions. ➡️ Strategy: Wait for a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) → then SELL. 3. Current Reaction Zone – 414X This is the zone price is currently testing. Do not enter immediately; just observe: If price bounces strongly from 414X → target is to retest 417X If 414X breaks → price will likely retest 413X → better BUY entries there. 4. Deeper BUY Zones (If Price Breaks Downward) Here are the levels you mentioned, organized clearly: BUY Zone 4110–4108 4102–4100 4096–4094 → These are deeper liquidity zones below the main range, activated only if gold breaks below 413X. 5. SELL Zones if Price Breaks Upward (Above 417X) SELL Zone 4202–4200 4194–4190 4183–4180 → These are upper supply retest zones, activated only after price breaks above 417X. 🟨 6. Main Scenarios for Today Scenario 1 – Expected Sideway (Highest Probability) Price moves within 413X – 417X, bouncing between the range limits. → Trade the range (scalp/intraday). Scenario 2 – Break Below Range If 4130 breaks → price will head to 4110 → 4100 → 4094 → BUY at deeper zones. Scenario 3 – Break Above Range If 4175 breaks → price will aim for 4183 → 4194 → 4200–4202 → SELL at higher zones. ✅ One-Line Trading Summary Trade primarily within the 413X–417X range (buy low – sell high). If the range breaks, switch to trend-following using the deeper BUY zones or higher SELL zones provided above.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
Gold (XAU): Fed Cut Incoming? Breakout Time!I. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (FA) The Vibe: The US Dollar (DXY) is facing serious heat! The US Fed's recent dovish signals are a major tailwind for non-yielding Gold. Fed's New Tune: Big guns like Governors Williams and Waller are now talking about rate cuts soon. Why? Because US economic data (Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence) is getting weaker, boss. Market Buzz: The market is pricing in a strong nearly 85% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December. Picture clear, right? Takeaway: This shift is Massively Bullish for Gold because lower interest rates make the Dollar less attractive. II. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA) The Scene: Gold is currently bumping heads with a major hurdle – the Discount Zone (our supply zone). The real action is here! Crucial Resistance: Gold is testing the Discount Zone (the main resistance area). This is the make-or-break level. The Short Game (Bearish): Wait for a clear rejection signal at this resistance zone. If it holds, a correction is coming. The Long Game (Bullish): For Gold to go on a proper rally, it needs a Strong Breakout and Close above the entire resistance area. 💡 THE STRATEGY Focus on the Resistance Level: Trade based on Confirmation, whether that's a reversal signal for a short correction, or a strong breakout for a fresh long position. Don't miss the US data tonight (Durable Goods/Jobless Claims) – it will be the real fire starter! #GoldTrading #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #FedRates #DovishFed #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #FinanceIndia
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations 📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance) Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line 📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support) Buyers defending higher lows Strong bullish reaction off support 💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$) Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up 🟢 Bullish Confirmation If price holds above demand line + support zone Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest 🎯 Suitable Target Levels Target Level (Approx) Status 🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest 🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation 📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario) Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩 Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌ Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯 Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀 RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈 🧭 Market Sentiment 📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish 🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line ⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27