XAUUSD 1H: Bearish Pressure Building Below Key ResistanceGold continues to trade under strong resistance after failing to reclaim the bearish FVG zone on the 1H timeframe. Price is currently consolidating below the supply area while showing weak bullish continuation, suggesting that sellers are still maintaining short-term control.
The repeated rejection from the 4700–4720 region highlights a lack of buying strength, while market structure continues to respect lower highs and internal bearish pressure. The projected path suggests a possible liquidity grab to the upside before continuation toward lower targets.
If sellers maintain control below the highlighted FVG resistance, the market could rotate lower toward the key support and liquidity zones around TP-1 and TP-2.
Key Technical Observations:
• Bearish FVG remains unfilled
• Multiple rejections below resistance
• Weak bullish momentum inside consolidation
• Potential liquidity sweep before expansion lower
• Sell-side targets resting near recent lows
As long as price remains below the bearish imbalance zone, downside continuation remains the higher probability scenario on the H1 structure.
Wait for confirmation and manage risk carefully in volatile conditions.
Xauusdsetup
XAUUSD 1H Liquidity Grab Before Bullish ExpansionGold is currently showing signs of a potential bullish recovery after completing a liquidity sweep below the recent lows. Price tapped into the sell-side liquidity zone and immediately reacted with bullish momentum, suggesting smart money accumulation at discount levels.
The current structure indicates that the market may retrace slightly before continuing higher toward the unfilled bearish FVG and premium liquidity resting above recent highs. The highlighted imbalance zone around 4735–4745 remains a key magnet for price if bullish momentum sustains.
Recent price action also shows multiple ChoCH formations, signaling weakening bearish control and the possibility of a broader bullish market structure shift on the 1H timeframe.
Key Technical Observations:
• Sell-side liquidity sweep completed
• Bullish reaction from discount zone
• Potential retracement before continuation
• Bearish FVG acting as upside target
• Higher liquidity resting above 4760
As long as price holds above the recent liquidity grab zone, buyers may continue pushing the market toward higher liquidity levels.
Patience and confirmation remain key in current market conditions.
XAUUSD: Liquidity Sweep or Structural Shift at $4,700?As of today, May 12, 2026, the short-term outlook for XAUUSD is leaning toward a bearish correction or consolidation, with major focus on the $4,700 level.
Here is the breakdown of the strong possibilities for tomorrow, Wednesday, May 13:
Technical Outlook (SMC & Key Zones)
Based on current price action (trading around $4,692), the market is testing critical liquidity zones:
Bearish Scenario (The Pullback):
Break of Structure: Gold has slipped below the psychological $4,700 mark. There is a strong possibility of price pushing down toward the $4,650 – $4,660 demand zone (a previous "flip area").
Next Support: If $4,650 fails, the next high-probability demand zone sits near $4,594.
Bullish Scenario (The Reversal):
The Trap: If price sweeps liquidity below $4,680 and quickly reclaims $4,700, it could signal a fakeout.
Resistance Targets: A strong move back above $4,710 would open the path to $4,742 (the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) and potentially $4,775.
Market Sentiment & Macro Catalysts
The "strong possibility" of a move tomorrow is heavily tied to the following:
US CPI Data: Inflation figures remain the primary driver. Stronger-than-estimated CPI in April has lifted US Treasury yields, which is currently putting downward pressure on gold.
Dollar Strength: The US Dollar is showing a positive tone, acting as a "ceiling" for XAUUSD price growth.
Geopolitical Cool-down: There are diplomatic signals regarding the Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz. This "risk-off" easing has reduced the immediate demand for gold as a safe haven, allowing for this corrective dip
Summary for Tomorrow:
The most likely scenario is continued pressure toward $4,660 unless we see a sudden shift in USD strength or an escalation in geopolitical news. If you are looking for entries, the $4,650 – $4,665 zone is the primary area to watch for bullish SMC confirmations (Change of Character).
XAUUSD/GOLD CORE PPI NEWS 15M SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 13.05.206After the stronger-than-expected Core PPI & PPI news, gold reacted with heavy selling pressure exactly as projected. The market respected the bearish structure and continued moving inside the descending trendline channel on the 15M timeframe.
The chart shows a clear sell-side continuation setup after the news release. Price failed to sustain near resistance and quickly rejected from the trendline area, indicating that sellers are still controlling short-term momentum.
📊 Strong US inflation data increased USD strength:
✅ USD may become stronger
✅ Fed rate-cut expectations may reduce
✅ Gold can face short-term selling pressure
✅ DXY likely bullish momentum
From the technical structure, the marked zone around 4694 – 4698 acts as a key liquidity and resistance area. If price retraces back into this zone and rejects again, sellers may continue targeting lower support levels.
📉 Projection Scenario:
Rejection from trendline + liquidity zone → bearish continuation
Support S1 near 4676 acts as first take-profit area
Further breakdown may push price towards 4659 Support S2
📌 Trade Idea:
🔻 Sell Limit Zone: 4694 – 4698
🛑 Stoploss: Above 4712 – 4715
🎯 TP1: 4676
🎯 TP2: 4659
⚠️ Since this move is news-driven, volatility can remain high. Wait for confirmation candles near resistance instead of chasing entries after big bearish candles.
XAUUSD/GOLD INTRADAY TRADING KEY LEVELS 13.05.26Gold (XAUUSD) currently trading inside a sideways consolidation zone between the marked support and resistance area. Market is waiting for a strong breakout confirmation before deciding the next major move.
The highlighted zone around 4690 – 4706 is acting as the key intraday decision range.
If price gives a strong candle close above 4706, buyers may take control and push gold towards the previous swing highs.
If price breaks and closes below 4689, selling pressure could increase and market may retest lower support zones near the day swing low.
From the chart structure, gold recently showed bullish recovery from the swing low, but momentum slowed near resistance, creating this sideways range. This usually indicates accumulation before volatility expansion. Traders should avoid entering inside the middle of the range and wait for confirmation breakout for safer entries.
📈 Buy Confirmation: Above 4706
🎯 Possible Targets: 4720 → 4740 → 4765
🛑 SL: Below 4690
📉 Sell Confirmation: Below 4689
🎯 Possible Targets: 4670 → 4640 → 4620
XAUUSD Bearish H&S Completion | Rejection at H4-Order BlockKey Technical Factors
Head and Shoulders Pattern: A clear distribution phase is visible with a defined Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder. The subsequent drop confirmed the reversal by breaking below the neckline.
H4 Order Block (H4-OB): Price has retraced into a bearish 4-hour Order Block, which is acting as a "Supply Zone." This area aligns with previous horizontal resistance around the 4,697.22 level.
Break of Structure (BOS): The chart shows multiple "BOS" labels, indicating that the previous bullish momentum has been neutralized and the market is now making lower lows and lower highs.
Bearish Rejection: We are seeing a rejection arrow stemming from the H4-OB, suggesting that sellers are stepping in to defend this zone.
Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish 📉
Entry Zone: Monitoring for a clean rejection within the H4-OB (the teal shaded box).
Resistance: Immediate overhead resistance is marked at 4,701.60.
Target: The primary downside objective is the recent liquidity pool/swing low labeled as "Target" on the chart (near the previous sharp wick low).
XAUUSD | Structural Continuity: Navigating the Bullish RetestXAUUSD is showing a strong bullish market structure after multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations and a clean impulsive rally. Price is currently retracing into a key demand zone, where buyers may step back in for continuation toward the major resistance level above.
The chart highlights a bullish accumulation phase inside a rising channel followed by expansion momentum. As long as price holds above the marked demand area, the probability favors a continuation move targeting the liquidity resting near resistance.
Key Levels:
• Demand Zone Retest
• Extreme Pivot Support
• Resistance Liquidity Target
• Bullish BOS Structure
Potential Scenario:
A sustained hold inside the demand zone could trigger another bullish leg toward the highlighted target area. Failure to hold may lead to a deeper retracement into the extreme pivot point before continuation.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 11.05.26🟢 Gold market is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour timeframe after rejecting from the lower support zone.
💰 Price collected downside liquidity and respected the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area, which triggered a strong bullish reaction in the market.
🕯️ A Three White Soldiers pattern has also formed, indicating that buyers are gaining control and momentum is shifting toward the upside.
🔄 Currently, price is retesting the breakout zone around 4722 – 4725. If this area holds successfully, gold may continue moving higher toward the major resistance zone near 4748 – 4750.
🚀 Overall market structure remains bullish unless price breaks below the support/FVG region.
📌 BUY ENTRY: 4722 – 4725
🛑 STOPLOSS: 4708
🎯 TARGET 1: 4740
🎯 TARGET 2: 4748
🎯 TARGET 3: 4755
XAUUSD: Bearish Rejection at H1 Order Block1. Market Structure & Context
The chart displays a transition from a bullish trend to a potential bearish reversal.
BOS (Break of Structure): Earlier bullish momentum is evident through the "BOS" labels on the left, showing the market making higher highs.
CHOCH (Change of Character): The price reached a peak and failed to sustain higher levels, marked by the CHOCH line. This indicates a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
2. Supply and Resistance Zones
The price is currently reacting to a dual-layered supply area:
Major Resistance: A broad grey zone at the top which halted the previous aggressive rally.
H1-OB (1-Hour Order Block): A more refined area of interest where institutional selling likely occurred. Price has returned to "mitigate" this block, creating a high-probability entry point for shorts.
3. Price Action & Execution
The analysis anticipates a distribution phase:
Consolidation: The price is currently hovering just below the H1-OB, consolidating after the initial rejection.
The Path: The yellow zig-zag line suggests a minor corrective bounce or "fake-out" into the Order Block before the primary move downward.
Target: The immediate downside target is the previous swing low (marked with the yellow horizontal line), representing a liquidity grab below recent support.
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL PROJECTION 11.05.26Gold market currently looks bearish on the 4H timeframe after rejecting from the strong resistance zone near 4708–4710. Price already broke the neckline support and completed a clean retest, which indicates seller confirmation in the market. If gold continues trading below the resistance area, sellers may push the price toward 4660 minor support first, followed by the major support zone around 4640–4632. Market structure still favors sellers unless price breaks above the resistance zone strongly.
ENTRY ZONE: 4672 – 4676
SL: 4702
TP1: 4660
TP2: 4640
TP3: 4632
XAUUSD | Bullish Continuation After Structural ShiftTechnical Breakdown
Change of Character (CHoCH): The market successfully breached the previous major lower high (marked by the yellow dashed line), signaling that the bearish cycle has ended and a new bullish phase has begun.
Bullish Structure (BOS): Following the CHoCH, price has consistently created higher highs and higher lows. The recent BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside confirms that buying pressure remains dominant.
Ascending Channel: Price is currently oscillating within a well-defined rising channel.
While the slope is steep, the respect for the lower trendline validates the strength of the current trend.
Demand Zone Entry: We are seeing a corrective pullback into a Grey Demand Zone (Order Block). This zone aligns perfectly with the lower boundary of the channel, offering a "buy the dip" opportunity with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Trade Parameters
Entry Strategy: Look for bullish price action (e.g., pin bars or engulfing candles) within the 4,720 – 4,723 grey box area.
Target: The immediate objective is the recent swing high at approximately 4,727, with potential for extension if the upper channel resistance is broken.
Invalidation: A decisive close below the grey demand zone or the lower trendline would invalidate this bullish thesis.
XAUUSD: Liquidity Grab at Ascending Resistance Technical Analysis Breakdown
Resistance Zone: Price has touched the upper boundary of an ascending channel/trendline for the third time. This "triple tap" often leads to a corrective move as buy-side liquidity is swept.
Market Structure:
BOS (Break of Structure): Previous bullish breaks are noted, but the momentum is slowing down as we hit the resistance ceiling.
MSS (Market Structure Shift): We are looking for a definitive shift on lower timeframes to confirm the reversal.
The Setup: A clear rejection candle has formed at the top of the range. The gray highlighted box represents the Order Block / Supply Zone where sellers are likely stepping in.
Trade Strategy
Entry Zone: Current market price to the immediate resistance level (approx. 4,715 - 4,720).
Primary Target: The immediate swing low/support level (marked as TARGET on the chart) around the 4,690 area.
Stop Loss: A daily close above the recent wick high (Resistance line) would invalidate this bearish thesis.
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 08.05.26Gold is currently reacting from a strong resistance zone on the 4H timeframe. After reaching the Resistance R2 area, the market formed a strong bearish engulfing candle, which indicates that buying pressure is weakening and sellers are starting to gain control of the market.
At the moment, price is attempting a retracement toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Resistance R1 zone. This area is considered a potential entry zone for sellers. If the market gives rejection confirmation from this region, the bearish movement may continue further downward.
According to the projection, the first downside target is the Support S1 zone, marked as Take Profit 1. If the market breaks below that support, the next major target could be the Support S2 zone, marked as Take Profit 2.
The stoploss area is placed above the bearish engulfing candle high. If price breaks and sustains above that level, the bearish setup could become invalid.
XAUUSD (1H) Setup: Waiting for a Deep Pullback for next LevelHello Traders,
Taking a look at the Gold (XAUUSD) 1H chart, the overall structure remains heavily bullish. Recently, the price tapped into a minor supply zone around the 4755 - 4765 area and is currently undergoing a retracement.
Based on SMC principles, I am not interested in catching the falling knife or buying in the middle of this range. As indicated by my blue projected path, here is the game plan:
📊 Trade Plan:
The Pullback: I am anticipating a deeper pullback into the major, unmitigated Demand Zone located around the 4630 - 4660 level (marked in red/green box at the bottom). This is a high-probability POI because it was the origin of the previous massive impulsive push.
The Execution: Once the price mitigates this lower demand zone, I will drop down to Lower Timeframes (15m/5m) and wait for clear bullish confirmations—such as a CHoCH (Change of Character) or a liquidity sweep.
The Target: If the setup is confirmed, I will look for long entries to ride the trend back up, targeting the recent highs and potentially the 4800 level.
💡 Key Takeaway: In SMC, patience pays. Let the retail traders get chopped up in the middle. We wait for the price to come to our specific Points of Interest.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
Do you think Gold will drop to this demand zone before flying? Let me know your thoughts in the comments and smash the LIKE button!
Gold 1H: Smart Money Pullback Before ExpansionGold continues to respect bullish market structure after a clean ChoCH → BOS transition, confirming strong buyer control on the 1H timeframe.
The recent rejection from local highs does not yet invalidate the bullish structure. Instead, price appears to be setting up a controlled retracement into discount territory before the next expansion leg higher.
Current Market Narrative
Bullish structure remains intact
Internal liquidity has already been taken
Price is now reacting near short-term resistance
A retracement into the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci zone aligns with:
• Ichimoku support
• Previous demand imbalance
• Institutional discount pricing
This creates a high-probability scenario for smart money accumulation before continuation toward higher liquidity.
Projected Scenario
📉 Short-term corrective move into demand
📍 Sweep of weak-handed longs
📈 Strong bullish expansion targeting premium liquidity above highs
The blue projection highlights the possibility of a deeper engineered pullback before impulsive continuation, while the black path reflects a more immediate reaction from current levels.
Key Levels to Watch
Discount Zone: 4636 – 4610
Deep Liquidity Level: 4573
Bullish Target: Above recent highs toward premium liquidity
Trader Insight
Most retail traders panic during retracements.
Smart money uses them for positioning.
As long as higher timeframe structure holds, this pullback may simply be fuel for the next bullish leg.
Title: XAUUSD (Gold) 1H Analysis: Potential Reversal from StrongHello Traders,
Here is a 1-hour (1H) timeframe chart for XAUUSD (Gold / U.S. Dollar). As we can see, the price has recently been in a strong uptrend, but it has now entered a crucial supply/resistance zone, highlighted by the red box at the top.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance: The price is currently testing a major resistance level. This zone has likely acted as a strong area of selling pressure in the past.
Potential Pattern: As indicated by the blue projection lines on the chart, if the price fails to break above this resistance, it could reject the zone (potentially forming a double top or similar reversal pattern) and start moving downwards.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio: Taking a Short (Sell) position at this level offers an excellent Risk-to-Reward ratio, as the invalidation level (stop loss) is very tight compared to the potential downside.
Trade Setup (SHORT):
Entry: Around the current resistance zone (~4703 - 4708)
Stop Loss (SL): Just above the red resistance box (~4716)
Take Profit (TP): Down to the next major support zone (green highlighted area around ~4643)
(Note: Trading in the forex/commodities market involves significant risk. This idea is for educational purposes only. Please Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and use proper risk management before executing any trades.)
What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments below! If you found this analysis helpful, please don't forget to hit the Like (👍) button.
Rejection at Bearish OB & Trendline ConfluenceKey Technical Factors
Market Structure (SMC):
CHOCH (Change of Character): The initial shift in sentiment occurred after the first major break of the swing low.
BOS (Break of Structure): Follow-through bearish momentum was confirmed by subsequent breaks to the downside.
MSS (Market Structure Shift): The recent aggressive push upward has shifted short-term structure, but it is now heading straight into a high-timeframe supply zone.
Supply & Demand: Price is currently entering a Bearish Order Block (highlighted by the green rectangular box). This zone previously acted as the catalyst for a significant "Break of Structure" to the downside.
Trendline Confluence: A multi-touch descending trendline is intersecting perfectly with the supply zone. This "double confluence" increases the probability of a reversal as late buyers (breakout traders) get trapped.
The Setup
We are looking for a rejection within the 4,675 - 4,685 zone. The red arrow indicates the expected path: a failure to hold above the trendline followed by a rapid descent back into the internal liquidity pools (previous swing lows).
Trading Plan
Entry: Look for a 1m or 5m MSS (Market Structure Shift) to the downside once price taps the green zone.
GOLD 4500+: DEADLY BOUNCE OR LONG-TERM BOTTOM?1. GEOPOLITICAL OVERVIEW: THE GULF “POWDER KEG”
The US–Iran ceasefire is hanging by a thread. Attacks in the Persian Gulf and Fujairah port aren’t just headlines—they are direct catalysts for inflation:
Oil prices rising: fueling inflation expectations again.
More hawkish Fed: CME FedWatch shows rate hike probability jumping from <10% to 35%.
USD remains King: In times of uncertainty, capital flows into the dollar as a safe haven, putting massive pressure on Gold (a non-yielding asset).
2. MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS (SMC PERSPECTIVE)
Despite bullish news, price action tells a completely different story:
Market Shift: After a liquidity sweep at the 4.86x high, price confirmed a CHoCH (Change of Character). The bullish trend is broken—we are now in a Distribution phase.
The Trap: The current bounce from 4.500 lacks volume. This is likely a bull trap, designed to lure early buyers before a deeper move down.
3. TRADE PLAN
🔴 Scenario 1: Short at Supply Zone (High Probability)
Entry Zone: 4.57x – 4.59x (Premium zone + FVG confluence)
Stop Loss: Above 4.60x
Take Profit:
TP1: 4.51x (previous low)
TP2: 4.46x (Discount zone – real buyer interest)
🟢 Scenario 2: Counter-Trend Buy (High Risk)
If price holds 4.46x – 4.48x and forms CHoCH on M15
Target: Short-term move back to 4.51x
💎 KEY INSIGHT
Don’t let news fool you! Gold rallies on war are often emotional and short-lived. In the long run, high interest rates + strong USD = poison for gold.
The market is currently playing a “fill FVG + trap buyers” game. Patience is key—waiting for price to reach the Premium zone (4.57x) offers the best RR instead of chasing moves.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER: This analysis reflects personal views based on current market structure. Always manage risk strictly (max 1–2% per trade).
💬 What do you think? Will Gold drop to 4,400 or is this a buying opportunity? Drop your thoughts below and FOLLOW for more high-probability setups!
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingStrategy #SMC #PriceAction #ForexNews
XAUUSD Bearish Continuation from H4 Order BlockXAUUSD (Gold) is showing a strong bearish continuation setup after rejecting a key H4 Order Block aligned with a long-term descending trendline.
After a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS), price retraced into a premium zone, forming multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframe. However, the momentum shifted again with a bearish CHOCH (Change of Character), confirming that buyers are losing control and sellers are stepping back in.
The H4 Bearish Order Block, combined with dynamic trendline resistance, creates a high-probability confluence zone for short positions. The strong rejection from this area indicates institutional selling pressure.
📉 Trade Plan:
Entries: Lower timeframe confirmation within H4-OB
Stop Loss: Above swing high / OB zone
Targets:
✔️ Short-term liquidity (recent lows)
✔️ Major sell-side liquidity pool (higher timeframe demand)
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation After H4 FVG TapTechnical Breakdown
1. Bearish Phase (The Setup)
Head and Shoulders Pattern: A clear reversal pattern formed at the top of the range (Left Shoulder, Head, Right Shoulder).
Breakout: Price broke below the neckline (marked by the red circle/breakout label), triggering a sharp, impulsive move downward to establish the local swing low.
2. Bullish Transition & Reversal
Ascending Support Channel: Price found buyers at the bottom and established a rising trendline (red support channel), validated by three distinct touches (indicated by the teal arrows).
Market Structure Shift (MSS): The previous bearish trend was invalidated as price aggressively broke above the recent swing high, shifting the market bias from bearish to bullish.
Break of Structure (BOS): A subsequent continuation break of structure occurred, confirming the upward momentum.
3. The Current Entry Trigger & Targets
H4-FVG (Fair Value Gap): Price has pulled back directly into a 4-hour Fair Value Gap, which sits immediately above the ascending support channel. This confluence makes the zone a high-probability demand area.
Projected Price Action: The expectation is for price to reject this combined support zone (FVG + Trendline) and push higher.
Target: The ultimate target is the previous swing high liquidity pool (marked by the green target box).
Trading Idea Parameters
Direction: Long (Bullish)
Entry Zone: Inside the H4-FVG zone, aligning with the ascending trendline support.
Invalidation / Stop Loss: A sustained close below the ascending channel support line.
Take Profit (Target): The recent structural high liquidity zone (indicated by the green Target box).
GOLD: H4 FVG Retest & Bearish Continuation SetupKey Technical Observations:
Structure: Bearish market structure confirmed following the break of the horizontal support.
POI: The green box highlights the H4-FVG, which aligns perfectly with the previous support-turned-resistance zone.
Expectation: Looking for bearish price action confirmation within this zone (e.g., an m15/m5 displacement) to target the recent swing lows.
Trade Parameters:
Entry Zone: 4,635 – 4,650 (FVG Fill)
Targets: 4,580 | 4,550
Invalidation: A sustained close above the FVG high would shift the immediate bias to neutral/bullish.
GOLD: FOMC Trap or Bearish Confirmation?Hello Traders,
Gold is currently at a critical inflection point. After failing to sustain momentum above the 4,86x highs, we are now seeing clear signs of weakness in the bullish structure. The key question: is this just a correction, or the beginning of a broader bearish phase?
Let’s break it down.
1. Market Structure – Bearish Shift Confirmed 🐻
On the H4 and D1 timeframes, the narrative has clearly shifted:
CHoCH (Change of Character): Following the distribution phase around the 4,86x zone, price printed a decisive shift in behavior — the first warning signal for bulls.
BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple lower lows confirm that bearish control is now established.
Volume Profile Insight: A strong High Volume Node (HVN) sits between 4,78x – 4,80x. Price trading below value indicates acceptance at lower levels — a clear sign sellers are in control.
2. The Key Zone – Fair Value Gap (FVG) 🎯
The main area of interest lies at 4,65x – 4,68x:
Imbalance: This zone represents inefficiency left behind by impulsive selling.
Confluence: Aligns with previous structure (BOS → resistance flip).
Execution Idea: Expect a corrective pullback into this zone, a liquidity sweep, and then continuation to the downside.
This is where smart money typically reloads positions.
3. Macro Drivers – FOMC & Geopolitics 🏛️⚓
Technicals lean bearish, but fundamentals will be the catalyst:
FOMC & Powell: A hawkish tone on inflation could strengthen the USD further, putting additional pressure on Gold.
Geopolitical Tension: Rising risks around the Strait of Hormuz are supporting oil prices. While inflation can support gold, current USD strength is dominating the equation.
4. Trade Plan – High RR Setup 📝
We don’t predict — we react.
Sell Zone: 4,65x – 4,68x
(Wait for LTF confirmation: CHoCH on M5–M15)
Stop Loss: 4,70x
Take Profit 1: 4,51x
Take Profit 2: 4,46x
Risk/Reward: ~1:3.5+
⚠️ Execution Tips
No FOMO: If price drops without tapping the FVG, stay disciplined — don’t chase.
Liquidity Traps: Expect stop hunts before and during FOMC volatility. Let the market reveal its hand before entering.
Final Thought:
Is this a classic FOMC liquidity trap, or the start of a deeper bearish leg toward 4,46x?
What’s your view?
Drop a “BOOST” if this breakdown adds value — and stay tuned for real-time updates.
#Gold #XAUUSD #SMC #ICT #TradingStrategy #FOMC #PriceAction
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 29.04 26This is a XAUUSD (Gold) 4H sell limit setup, where the market has already shown a strong bearish move with a large bearish candle, indicating strong selling pressure and possible trend continuation. After this sharp drop, the price is expected to make a pullback (retracement) into a key resistance zone, which is marked as the “Best Place for Selling” around 4600 area. This zone is acting as a supply / resistance cluster (R1) where sellers are likely to re-enter the market.
The analysis suggests that price will first move up into this resistance zone to collect liquidity, and then continue its downside move. The projected move shows a rejection from resistance leading to a fall towards support levels near 4570, which is marked as the target zone. This area has already shown multiple liquidity collections, making it a strong downside target.
The trade setup follows a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, which is a good professional trading approach.
Trade Plan:
Entry (Sell Limit): Around 4598 – 4602 (Resistance zone)
Stop Loss: Above 4610 (R2 resistance)
Take Profit 1: Around 4580 (mid support)
Take Profit 2: Around 4570 (strong support / liquidity zone)
Overall, this setup is based on pullback + resistance rejection + liquidity concept, expecting the market to continue bearish after a temporary upward correction.






















