GOLD - RESISTANCE RETEST BEFORE THE DROPSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase, retesting a significant resistance and liquidity zone within the broader context of a prevailing downtrend. The global trend appears to be approaching a critical juncture, potentially signaling a reversal.
Ahead of the forthcoming US inflation report, gold prices have stabilized following a 3% decline, trading steadily around the 3250 level. This consolidation is occurring against a backdrop of a weaker US dollar. Market participants are awaiting the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to provide clearer direction for both monetary policy expectations and asset flows.
Support for gold prices is being derived from a combination of factors, including optimism surrounding the US-China trade dialogue, signs of easing geopolitical tensions, and profit-taking on long dollar positions. However, the market remains cautious, closely evaluating the potential implications of inflation data on Federal Reserve policy and the demand for safe-haven assets.
Despite the current stabilization, skepticism persists regarding the sustainability of any upward momentum. Technical conditions suggest the possibility of a sharp reversal, with attention focused on key inflection points that could trigger renewed selling pressure.
Key Resistance Levels: 3269, 3284
Key Support Levels: 3246, 3200, 3167
Should the CPI report fail to deliver any major surprises, a false breakout within the 3260-3270 resistance zone followed by price consolidation could serve as a catalyst for a decline toward the 3200-3150 range.
Xauusdsetup
GOLD - BEARISH FLAG OR BULLISH TREND REVERSAL?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3238
Gold is emerging from a local corrective channel, commonly identified as a 'Flag' formation. Consolidation continues near the base of this potential reversal pattern, with market focus centered on the critical 3200 level.
Gold is experiencing downward pressure amid renewed trade optimism and strength in the US dollar. Prices are retreating early Wednesday as market participants engage in profit-taking following a recent rebound from weekly lows. Although US inflation data came in below expectations, it failed to support earlier assumptions of imminent monetary easing. The Federal Reserve’s continued reluctance to initiate rate cuts is exerting additional pressure on the precious metal. Moreover, growing optimism surrounding potential trade agreements between the United States, China, the United Kingdom, and other nations-along with renewed hope for diplomatic progress in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is dampening gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, the outlook remains bearish. The absence of a meaningful rebound from support suggests sustained selling pressure. A consolidation phase appears to be developing ahead of a potential test of the 3200 support level.
Key Resistance Levels: 3243, 3257, 3269
Key Support Levels: 3222, 3200
Should price action continue to consolidate within the current local range and repeatedly test support in the 3222-3200 zone, further downside may be anticipated in the short to medium term. However, in consideration of common market maker tactics, a brief short squeeze targeting local resistance zones cannot be ruled out prior to any subsequent decline.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 10.05.25From easing tariffs to strong labor data, multiple factors are shaping gold's short-term corrections. Gold prices fall as US jobs data beats expectations and trade talks ease global tension. Spot gold slips from record highs amid China's holiday, but long-term support remains strong
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 08.05.25Bearish setup on XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) with a strong indication for a potential short/sell opportunity based on several technical signals:
Key Observations:
Three Black Crows Pattern:
Clearly marked and highlighted on the chart.
This is a classic bearish reversal pattern indicating strong selling pressure.
Break of Neckline:
The price has broken below a previously established neckline area, confirming bearish momentum.
Support Becomes Resistance:
The neckline zone (~$3350.880) is now acting as resistance after the breakdown, further validating the short setup.
Target Levels:
Support S1 around $3330.
Support 2 near $3311.354 – likely the final target area for the sell projection.
Stop Loss Zone:
Clearly marked at $3362.631, above the broken support (now resistance).
Summary:
Entry Zone: Around current price (~$3344)
Stop Loss: $3362.63
Take Profit Zones:
TP1: ~$3330 (Support S1)
TP2: ~$3311.35 (Support 2) bearish setup on XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) with a strong indication for a potential short/sell opportunity based on several technical signals:
Key Observations:
Three Black Crows Pattern:
Clearly marked and highlighted on the chart.
This is a classic bearish reversal pattern indicating strong selling pressure.
Break of Neckline:
The price has broken below a previously established neckline area, confirming bearish momentum.
Support Becomes Resistance:
The neckline zone (~$3350.880) is now acting as resistance after the breakdown, further validating the short setup.
Target Levels:
Support S1 around $3330.
Support 2 near $3311.354 – likely the final target area for the sell projection.
Stop Loss Zone:
Clearly marked at $3362.631, above the broken support (now resistance).
Summary:
Entry Zone: Around current price (~$3344)
Stop Loss: $3362.63
Take Profit Zones:
TP1: ~$3330 (Support S1)
TP2: ~$3311.35 (Support 2)
GOLD LOSES ITS SHINE - DISTRIBUTION PHASE BEGINSSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3244
Gold breaks below 3270, entering a distribution phase amid a strengthening US dollar. The market appears to be in the early stages of a potential trend reversal.
On Thursday, gold remained under sustained pressure, trading at a two-week low, as market sentiment responded to statements by President Trump regarding potential trade agreements with multiple countries, including China. Growing optimism surrounding trade negotiations is enhancing risk appetite, thereby diminishing demand for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. Notably, even weak US GDP and inflation figures failed to support gold prices, as investor focus remains firmly on trade developments and upcoming labor market data.
Gold's price trajectory is shifting due to the strengthening of the dollar and evolving macroeconomic fundamentals. A break below the recent local low could further reinforce the downward momentum. The initial downside target is set at 3190. A potential retest of the previously breached consolidation support at 3268 may occur before the downward movement resumes.
Resistance levels: 3245, 3270
Support levels: 3190, 3186, 3167
A break below the local low of 3221 could act as a catalyst for a deeper decline, with 3190 as the initial target. A retest of the 3245–3270 resistance range cannot be ruled out prior to the continuation of the downtrend.
WAITING GAME - GOLD STUCK IN A HOLDING PATTERNSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3307
Gold continues to consolidate within a defined range, with immediate attention on the 3370–3269 zone. With key economic data scheduled for release, the metal is expected to remain within this consolidation band for the next several sessions.
Renewed optimism surrounding US trade negotiations has lifted risk sentiment and strengthened the US dollar. The US Treasury Secretary reported constructive progress in discussions with India, while President Trump’s more measured rhetoric regarding China further supported the dollar. Meanwhile, investors are adopting a cautious, wait-and-see approach ahead of the release of first-quarter US GDP data. Should the data underwhelm, gold may experience a sharp uptick as safe-haven demand intensifies.
Overall, the gold market remains highly reactive to trade headlines and macroeconomic indicators, particularly amid anticipated portfolio adjustments at month-end. In the context of current momentum and corrective movement, a short-term recovery is anticipated from the 0.5–0.7 Fib zone. A possible retest of the 3323–3325 resistance area could precede a continuation of the correction within the prevailing consolidation structure.
Key Resistance Levels: 3323, 3352, 3370
Key Support Levels: 3290, 3270
Traders remain attentive to both the resolution of ongoing tariff disputes and the forthcoming economic releases. While price action remains confined within a consolidation pattern, a rebound from support is the base case scenario. However, if price action continues to compress toward either boundary - particularly toward support, the probability of a breakout from the consolidation base may increase accordingly.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 27.04.25Rise of the DXY (US Dollar Index) since March.
US Tax exemptions for some products.
Slower imposition of new taxes.
Technical Chart Summary:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders (classic bearish reversal setup).
Key Zones:
Selling Zone: Identified between Resistance R1 and Triple Top area.
Resistance Levels:
R1 near 3359–3400
Major resistance at around 3480–3500 (All-Time High zone).
> "Gold (XAU/USD) - Demand Zone Bounce Targeting 3500 "Current Price: $3,319.59
Indicator: 70 EMA at $3,324.95 ➡️ 📈 (still slightly above price = bearish pressure)
---
Main Observations:
🔵 Demand Zone (📦 Buyers' Area):
Between $3,253 - $3,280
Every time price dips here ➡️ buyers react!
✏️ Descending Trendline:
⬇️ Short-term trend is bearish
Price is trying to break above it now (watch closely!)
🎯 Target Point:
$3,500 🏹 (Big upside if breakout succeeds!)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
$3,253 🔥 (just below the demand zone = good protection)
Trade Idea:
✅ Buy near demand zone 🔵 after breakout confirmation 📈
✅ Target: $3,500 🎯
✅ Stop-Loss: $3,253 🛡️
Quick Dots Summary:
🔵 Demand zone is strong (buyers defending)
🔻 Still under 70 EMA (bearish until breakout)
✏️ Watching for breakout of trendline = key signal
🎯 Massive Risk:Reward ratio if it works
⚡ If no breakout and price falls, stop-loss saves capital.
(XAU/USD) 1H Chart – Bullish Reversal Setup from RBS + RBR Zone1. Current Price:
$3,317.27
● Price is currently in a downtrend after a recent high.
● EMA (9) is at $3,333.80 — acting as dynamic resistance.
⚠️ Watch for potential reversal!
2. Support Zone:
📦 Blue box marked as "RBS + RBR zone!"
● This is a key support area where price might bounce.
● RBS = Resistance Becomes Support
● RBR = Rally-Base-Rally
● Expecting buyers to step in here.
3. Trade Idea:
● Buy near $3,280 - $3,270 (inside the support box)
● Stop Loss: ❌ Below $3,258.00
● Target: 🎯 $3,500.13
4. Risk-Reward Ratio:
● Target: 🟦 +205.62 points (6.25%)
● Stop: 🔻 Small risk below support
● Good R:R setup if price respects the zone!
Scenario Summary
📉 Price is retracing
⬇️ Approaching strong support zone
📈 Possible bounce to $3,500
✅ High-probability reversal area
❗ Manage risk with tight stop below zone
"(XAU/USD) Bullish Setup: Demand Zone Bounce with 5.89% tgr ptnl🔵 Current Price: $3,451.03
🟡 EMA (9): $3,457.20
🔻 Price is just below EMA — short-term pressure.
Zones & Key Levels:
🟦 Demand Zone:
🔽 Price bounced here before — strong buyer interest!
📍 Zone Range:
* Top: $3,442.38
* Bottom (Stop Loss): $3,395.87
* 🔴 Stop Loss set here to limit risk.
🟨 Entry Point:
* Entry suggested at $3,457.20
* Just above the current price and EMA — needs confirmation
* ⚠️ Wait for bullish candle or price action signal above EMA
🟩 Target Point:
🎯 Target: $3,645
* 📈 Potential gain: +202.78 pts (5.89% upside)
* 🚀 Aiming to break previous ATH (All-Time High)
Visual Trade Plan Summary:
* ✅ Buy Entry: $3,457.20
* ❌ Stop Loss: $3,395.87
* 🎯 Target: $3,645.00
* ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Solid, over 3:1
Sentiment:
* If price respects demand zone and reclaims EMA — bullish setup
* 🕵️♂️ Watch for volume or confirmation candle near entry
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 20.04.25Buying Zone around the 1.618 Golden Ratio (3435.255) – A classic Fibonacci extension target indicating a strong potential reversal or take-profit zone.
Price Movement Forecast:
Price is expected to test the Immediate Support (S1) and bounce back.
Resistance levels: R1, then R2 & New ATH (All-Time High).
Take Profits (TP1 & TP2): Clearly marked targets for bullish momentum continuation.
Candlestick Patterns:
Fake Bearish Spinning Top
Bullish Marubozu
Fake Bearish Harami
These patterns typically suggest false bearish signals and continuation of the uptrend.
GOLD’S IN OVERDRIVE - MISSED THE TRAIN? WAIT FOR THE NEXT STOP!Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3330
Gold remains in a strong upward trend, consistently reaching new all-time highs. Entering a rapidly advancing market without sufficient opportunity to assess risk is inadvisable. Therefore, engaging in the current momentum without a confirmed technical setup is not recommended. A potential price correction ahead of upcoming US retail sales data and a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may provide a more favorable environment to identify trading opportunities.
The rally is being driven by several fundamental factors, including robust economic data from China, increased demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions, and trade uncertainties between the US and China. Further upward momentum is being supported by ANZ’s revised forecast, which projects gold prices could reach $3,600 by year-end.
From a technical standpoint, the psychological resistance zone between $3330 and $3350 is of particular interest, where a pullback may be expected. The preferred strategy would be to await a correction toward local or intermediate support levels before considering long positions.
Key Resistance Levels: 3330, 3350
Key Support Level: 3275, 3265, 3244
Given the strength of the prevailing bullish trend, breakout strategies above resistance levels may be effective. However, such an approach requires clear price consolidation, which is not currently present. Alternatively, a more prudent strategy would be to wait for a retracement, a confirmation of support, and then consider initiating long positions.
"Gold Demand Zone Bounce – High R:R Long Setup!"📈 This is a bullish setup using a demand zone bounce strategy on the 15-minute timeframe.
Key Zones & Levels
🔵 Demand Zone:
The blue box is where price previously bounced strongly.
Buyers are likely to step in again here.
✳️ Entry Point:
3,292.38
Just above the demand zone – a safe place to catch the next bounce.
⛔ Stop Loss:
3,280.93
Below the demand zone to protect against a breakdown.
🎯 Target Point:
3,345.09
Near a previous resistance area.
Potential gain: +51.94 pts / 1.58%
Indicators
🟡 EMA (7):
Current value: 3,303.63
Price hovering around EMA = consolidation or setup for a bounce.
Risk-Reward Calculation
⚠️ Risk: 11.45 points
✅ Reward: 52.71 points
⭐ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~4.6:1
Very favorable!
Price Action Summary
📊 Strong uptrend into demand zone
🔁 Minor pullback = potential setup
✅ Ideal entry after bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern)
Conclusion
This setup looks solid:
✅ Clear demand zone support
✅ High R:R ratio
✅ Clean target above
Just wait for a bullish signal inside the zone and ride it up!
"Gold Bullish Setup: From Demand Zone to 3280 Target!"🟦 Key Zones
🔵 Demand Zone (Support):
📍 Around 3,210 – 3,200
🟢 Buyers stepped in here previously, forming a base for a potential upmove.
🔴 Resistance Zone:
📍 Around 3,240 – 3,250
🚫 Sellers have rejected price from this level several times.
🎯 Target Point:
📍 3280
🚀 If price breaks resistance, this is the expected move.
❌ Stop Loss:
📍 3,195.52
🛡️ Placed just below the demand zone to minimize downside risk.
📊 Price Action & Indicators
* 🟠 Current Price: 3,225.32
* 📉 EMA (7): 3,223.57 – providing dynamic support
* 🔼 Trend: Short-term uptrend with higher lows
🧠 Trade Idea
* ✅ Entry: Around 3,220–3,225
* ❌ Stop Loss: 3,195.52
* 🎯 Take Profit: 3,280
* 📌 Risk-Reward: Favorable if resistance breaks
📈 Possible Scenarios
🔸 Scenario 1:
✨ Immediate breakout through resistance → target 3,280
🔸 Scenario 2:
🔁 Pullback to demand zone → bounce → then move toward 3,280
(XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart –Bullish Setup with RBR Zone& Breakout T🔷 Chart Structure
* 📊 Ascending Channel
↗️ Price is moving within an upward-sloping channel
• Higher Highs
• Higher Lows
* 🔍 Short-Term Trend: Bullish momentum is intact
🟦 Key Zones
* 🟦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
📌 Support area where buyers stepped in
🔄 Price bounced from this zone
* 🟥 Resistance Zone
🚫 Around 3,250 – sellers previously active here
👀 Watch for breakout confirmation
✅ Trade Setup
* 🎯 Entry Point: 3,226.38
* ⛔ Stop Loss: 3,216.30
* 🥅 Target: 3,267.00
* 💰 Potential Gain: 38.67 points (1.20%)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 — very favorable!
📍 Indicators
* 📉 EMA (7) — acts as short-term support
🟡 Price is consolidating near EMA — possible setup for next move.
📌 Outlook
* 🟢 Bullish Bias – As long as price stays above RBR zone
* 🔔 Breakout Alert – A break above resistance may lead to sharp upside move toward the target.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 13.04.25Trend: Price is following a clear bullish trend channel.
Bullish Indicators:
"Three White Soldiers" candlestick pattern suggests continued bullish momentum.
"Bounce back area" suggests a buying opportunity after a dip.
Price Targets:
Target Price 1: Around 3,200–3,240
Main Target Price: Near 3,293
Support Zones:
Support S1: ~3,184
Support S2: ~3,140
Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: Just below the target price zone.
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup –Bullish RBR Zone & High Reward Poten🔹 Key Levels:
📍 Entry Point: 3211 🔵
📍 Stop Loss: 3185.109 🔴
📍 Target Point: 3300 🟢
🔹 Market Structure:
📈 The price has formed a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) zone 📊, which is a bullish continuation pattern 🚀.
🔄 The market surged and is now consolidating within the RBR zone 📦 before potentially resuming its uptrend 📢.
🔹 Trading Plan:
✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces into the RBR zone (around 3211), consider a buy position. 🛒📊
🔻 Stop Loss: Set below the base at 3185.109 to limit risk. ⚠️🚫
🎯 Take Profit: Aiming for 3300, a major resistance level. 🎯📈
🔹 Indicators & Confluence:
📏 DEMA (9): 3223.297 (Currently acting as resistance 🛑)
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup (High Reward Potential ✅)
🔹 Potential Risks:
⚠️ If price drops below 3185, it could indicate a trend reversal 🔄⛔.
🌎 Economic News & Geopolitical Factors may impact Gold prices significantly. 📰📉
🔹 Conclusion:
📊 Bullish Opportunity 🦅📈 – If the price respects the RBR zone, it may continue upwards towards 3300! 🚀💰
"Gold on Fire: Demand Zone Bounce with Bullish Target Ahead! "Key Zones & Levels:
Demand Zone 🔵
Area: 3099.36 – 3110
This is where buyers stepped in strongly before – price bounced up from here twice!
Strong support zone!
Resistance / Mini Consolidation ⚠️
Around 3125 – 3135
Price is hesitating here – needs to break this box for continuation.
Target Point 🎯
Level: 3168.17
Based on previous highs – this is the bullish target zone!
Stop Loss ❌
Level: 3099.36
Placed just below the demand zone to limit losses if price breaks down.
Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: ✍️ 3110–3125
Stop Loss: ❌ 3099.36
Target: 🎯 3168.17
Risk-Reward Ratio: 5:1 ⭐️ (Great setup!)
What to Watch For:
✅ If price holds above demand and breaks the mini consolidation, expect bullish continuation.
❌ If price drops below the demand zone, setup is invalid – risk of further decline.
GOLD FACES MAJOR PULLBACK: WILL IT BOUNCE BACK OR BREAK DOWN?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3032
Gold is currently undergoing a significant liquidation phase, primarily driven by profit taking following last week's favorable market news. The market sentiment has been further pressured by the robust Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report released on Friday. The economic risk landscape is showing signs of divergence.
Following a decline in the Asian trading session, gold prices have rebounded, consolidating the earlier drop precipitated by the escalating trade tensions between the United States and China. Comments from Trump rejecting potential trade deals with China have heightened recession concerns, which, in turn, have increased expectations of a potential Federal Reserve rate cut.
In this environment, gold has gained traction as a safe-haven asset, even amid rising dollar strength and climbing bond yields. However, the sustainability of gold's upward momentum remains uncertain due to ongoing profit-taking and the absence of new economic data from the United States.
From a technical perspective, gold is consolidating under pressure near the support levels of 3017-3013, with a descending triangle pattern forming on the local timeframe.
Resistance Levels: 3033, 3057
Support Levels: 3017, 3013, 2981
Given the current market dynamics and the strong pressure exerted on prices, two scenarios appear plausible:
A breakdown below the support range of 3017-3013, should the descending triangle structure on the local timeframe persist. In this case, the next targets for support are 3000 and 2981
Alternatively, the price could consolidate within the range, with potential targets of 3057, 3033, and 3013, reflecting a phase of consolidation following the sharp decline and liquidation.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY PROJECTION 06.04.25April 10 – China to impose 34% tax on US goods
→ Trade tension increases risk-off sentiment, potentially lowering gold prices if USD strengthens.
US Manufacturing Tax (NO - 37%)
→ Negative manufacturing data or tax burden could weaken USD sentiment but also stir market uncertainty.
BRICS exploring an alternative currency (moving away from USD)
→ Could signal reduced demand for USD-backed assets like gold in the long term.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish trend Demand Zone – Trend Analysis🔵 Demand Zone (Support Area):
This blue zone represents a strong buying area where buyers are expected to step in.
If the price touches this zone and bounces, it confirms bullish strength.
📉 Trend Line Break:
The previous trendline has been broken ⛔, signaling a possible retest before a move up.
🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management):
Positioned at 3,108.52 🔴, meaning if the price drops below this, the trade setup becomes invalid.
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit Level):
3,167.77 ✅ is the potential profit zone if the price moves upward from the demand area.
🟠 Expected Price Movement:
The orange dotted line 🔶 suggests a likely move:
1. Price dips into the demand zone (🔵).
2. Bounces back up 🔄.
3. Breaks minor resistance 🟦.
4. Rallies to the target zone 🎯.
Overall, bullish movement 📈 is expected if the demand zone holds! 🚀