Xauusdsetup
GOLD - BEARSIH STRUCTURE FORMING. WILL IT BREAK CHANNEL SUPPORT?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold has recently tested lower levels of rising channel and is now engaging with trend support, creating volatility in the market. The strengthening of the U.S. dollar is exerting downward pressure on the precious metal. Gold appears to be entering a corrective phase, with the market gradually shifting from a bullish to a bearish outlook due to increasing demand for the dollar, driven in part by concerns over potential trade wars arising from U.S. policies under former President Trump's administration.
The issue of tariffs imposed by the U.S. remains unresolved. Meanwhile, traders are closely monitoring U.S. economic data, including durable goods orders and consumer confidence, as well as the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, with its outcome expected to be released on Wednesday.
From a technical perspective, after the breakdown of the bullish market structure, the price is currently testing the support of the established channel. It is unlikely that this support level will be breached on the first attempt, and the price may experience a corrective move towards 2745 or potentially the imbalance zone, such as the 2750-2760 range, before resuming its downward trajectory due to selling pressure.
Key resistance levels: 2745, 2751, 2760
Key support levels: 2735, 2718
If the price fails to breach the 2745 resistance level and retreats to 2735, this could signal a potential break of trend support. In that scenario, an impulsive move towards 2718 may materialize. However, if the 2745 resistance level is overcome, gold could test the 2750-2760 range before continuing its downward movement which is more likely.
GOLD - TRADING IN ASCENDING CHANNELSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold has been oscillating near the support level of 2762 since the session's opening. The probability of a retest of the all-time highs remains elevated. The dollar's current correction provides opportunities for bullish movements. Traders are experiencing profit-taking while awaiting the Federal Reserve's statements and the Trump administration's stance on trade tariffs. U.S. tariff policies, along with PMI data, continue to shape market sentiment, impacting both the dollar and gold. From an economic perspective, the upcoming week holds significant importance with key events such as the Fed's rate decision, U.S. GDP report, and PCE data release.
From a technical standpoint, gold has tested a critical support zone, though it has yet to reach the risk area where a trend reversal might be expected. It appears that less committed market participants have exited their positions, securing profits.
Resistance levels: 2760, 2790
Support levels: 2750, 2745
The primary focus at this stage is on the 2760 support level. Should gold manage to establish a sustained move above this level, a potential rise toward 2790 can be anticipated. However, this remains a pivotal zone that continues to attract the attention of speculators. We expect a retest of the ATH and anticipate a possible false breakout in the near term.
XAUUSD MONDAY MARKET OPENING PROJECTION 26.01.24he chart illustrates an analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a detailed projection for Monday's market opening on January 26, 2025. Key elements of the chart include:
Price Levels:
Current Price: $2,770.885.
Target Price: $2,785.816.
Stop Loss: $2,755.726.
Support Level: Around $2,766.852, marked by a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement line.
Technical Indicators:
Stochastic Oscillator (5,3): Indicates oversold conditions, with values of 16.24 and 20.94.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Shows a neutral reading of 52.22, suggesting no strong directional bias.
Projection:
The blue arrow anticipates a bullish movement from the current price toward the target price after a potential bounce near the $2,766.852 support zone.
A bearish scenario is mitigated with a stop loss at $2,755.726.
Context:
The analysis implies a buying opportunity around the support zone, aiming for a potential upward move.
This chart represents a calculated setup for traders, combining Fibonacci levels and momentum indicators to define a strategy for Monday's market session.
XAUUSD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 24.01.24Key Components of the Chart:
Channel Analysis:
The price is moving within a clearly defined parallel upward trend channel.
The channel is marked with two parallel trendlines: an upper resistance trendline and a lower support trendline, indicating the prevailing short-term bullish momentum.
Resistance Zone (R1):
A major resistance level is identified near 2788-2790, which aligns with the upper boundary of the trend channel.
This area is marked as a potential entry zone for a sell limit order, based on the expectation of a rejection from this resistance level.
Support Zone (S1):
A support level is marked near 2780, acting as the take profit (TP1) for the proposed trade. This is also in line with the midline of the channel, suggesting a likely pullback target.
Entry & Stop Loss (SL):
Entry zone: 2788–2790 (at resistance R1).
Stop loss (SL): 2798, placed just above the resistance zone to account for false breakouts.
Take profit (TP1): 2780, aiming for a move back toward the support level.
Trendlines and Candlestick Interaction:
The chart highlights how price action respects both the upper resistance trendline and lower support trendline through previous touchpoints, indicating strong adherence to the channel.
Bearish Projection:
The setup assumes a short-term bearish reversal from the resistance zone, as the price is anticipated to test the lower levels within the channel.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 23.01.24Reason for Sell
Looking at the year ahead and 2025 and it will no doubt be interesting. Geopolitical risk remains a threat with the Middle East still on edge and the Russia-Ukraine situation no closer to a resolution. Just yesterday there were rumors that a proposal by the incoming Trump administration to delay Ukraine joining NATO by 10 years will not be accepted by the Kremlin.
Anyone with knowledge of the situation there will know that this will not change as the main reason for the conflict (at least from a Russian perspective) is Ukraine joining NATO. These developments are likely to keep some geopolitical risk premium in play and keep safe haven demand going.
Global Central Banks were one of the main drivers of the Gold price rise in 2024. This is expected to continue in 2025. The World Gold Council survey revealed in the second half of 2024 that Central Banks are likely to purchase more Gold in the next 12 months. This should further bolster demand for the precious metal.
When it comes to risks affecting Gold prices moving forward, it does get challenging. The reason for this is the incoming Trump administration is expected to do good things for the economy but some policies could lead to higher interest rates. This could weigh on Gold prices.
This is a double-edged sword however, in that the increased risk of uncertainty from Trump policy and concern around the impact of tariffs could actually bolster the demand for safe haven assets and thus Gold.
All in all analysts are largely pricing in further gains for the precious metal in 2025, personally I do see the potential for upside as well. However, I would not rule out a deeper correction before price does actually breach the current ATH resting around the 2790 handle.
XAUUSD - ENCOUNTERING SUPPLY AREASGold is encountering significant resistance at 2721 and has entered a correction phase, which aligns with shifts in the broader economic landscape and fundamental factors. Easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have reduced the demand for safe-haven assets like gold, the US dollar, and US bonds. Moreover, improved market sentiment is being driven by expectations of potential stimulus measures from China.
Nonetheless, the downward pressure on gold may remain limited due to the unpredictable nature of Trump's policies and the anticipation of two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year. As a result, gold prices are likely to experience short-term volatility, influenced by holiday market conditions and upcoming executive actions from Trump.
From a technical perspective, gold is currently within a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is also situated within an ascending channel. If resistance is not breached, the price may face downward pressure toward support.
Resistance levels: 2713 - 2721
Support levels: 2702 - 2690
A retest of 2702 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown of support, leading to a further decline. This could follow a retest of the resistance level. There is also the possibility of a false breakdown at one of the mentioned resistance levels before the market moves lower.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 31.12.24Reason for Bullish
XAUUSD is a symbol used in Forex trading to indicate the number of US dollars needed to buy one ounce of gold. Gold was used to determine the value of a country's currency. Nowadays, gold is still considered a very valuable asset and is used by traders as an investment opportunity.
XAUUSD GOD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTIONIf demand for the real metal goes up due to economic or political factors, it tends to increase XAUUSD's price too. The same things that impact supply and demand for gold bullion – like market conditions, policies, and shortages/ surpluses – also feed into movements in the gold/ dollar rate
Gold Trading Strategy for 03rd December 2024.Buy: When the price of gold is above 2652 on the close of a one-hour candle. Sell: When the price of gold is below 2624 on the close of a one-hour candle.
Current Price: 2639
Support Levels: 2634 | 2624 | 2618 Resistance Levels: 2643 | 2661
Disclaimer: This strategy is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Gold Trading Strategy for 02nd December 2024Gold Trading Strategy
Buying Strategy:
Buy Trigger: Initiate a buy order if the price closes above the high of the candlestick at 2661. This suggests a potential upward momentum.
Support Levels:
2632: A minor support level where the price might find temporary support.
2617: A stronger support level, indicating a possible reversal or consolidation zone.
2574: A major support level, suggesting a significant buying interest at this price.
Selling Strategy:
Sell Trigger: Initiate a sell order if the price closes below the low of the candlestick at 2646. This suggests a potential downward momentum.
Resistance Levels:
2682: A minor resistance level where the price might face temporary resistance.
2705: A stronger resistance level, indicating a possible reversal or consolidation zone.
2725: A major resistance level, suggesting significant selling interest at this price.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should perform your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU USD From Dec 2nd to Dec 6th (target1000 pips )These levels are valid from Dec 2nd to Dec 6th.
XAUUSD should touch 2672 and from 2672 to 2674 we can see good selling opportunity SL can be 2681 and target 2562 and 2552 is the last target(1000 pips).
From 2649 we can see good buying opportunity up to 2569 (200 pips).
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 24.1024Reason for Bearish
1. Breaked Major Support 2720 yesterday and now retesting tthe breaked Zone
2. Rsi 14 below 50 and tends to be selling confirmation
3. Stochastic Overbiught in abobe 80 and 1h Bearish Movement
Over all Projection
XAUUSD SELL 2720-23
SL 2730
TP 1 2715
TP 2 2710
TP 3 2701
XAUUSD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 19.10.24Reason for Bullish
Gold hit a record high last month. Goldman Sachs analysts think it's not done rising.
1
The firm in a Monday note said it has a price target of $2,700 per ounce on the precious metal. That's actually a bit less bullish than before, since the bank is now targeting early next year instead of later in 2024 — but that's still an 8% premium over the $2,525 high on Aug. 27.
2
CNBC. “Gold / US Dollar Spot.”
Gold futures ticked higher Wednesday to around $2,524 an ounce.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a better trader
thank you
#XAUUSD:Will Further Escalation In Middle East Support The BullsGold was retested on Friday after USD data came out in support of the USD. The DXY rose back strongly, leading many USD pairs to melt heavily. Furthermore, the gold price dropped to the 2633 region and then retested a few more times before ranging between 2633 and 2658. Now, since the last three daily candles closed with strong wick rejections, we believe the price is likely to continue going up, up until 2730.
Fundamentals and technical analysis support our view since the ongoing conflict in the Middle East is likely to worsen in the coming days. That will likely raise concerns among investors worldwide.
If you like the idea, please like and comment. Let's discuss the idea in the comment box.Gold was reassessed on Friday following the release of USD data that favored the USD. The DXY experienced a significant increase, causing several USD pairs to decline sharply. Furthermore, the gold price fell to the 2633 region and underwent multiple retests before fluctuating between 2633 and 2658. Given that the last three daily candles closed with notable wick rejections, we anticipate a continued upward trend in the price, potentially reaching 2730.
Our perspective is supported by both fundamental and technical analyses. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to escalate in the coming days, potentially generating increased investor apprehension worldwide.
If you find this analysis valuable, please indicate your approval by liking and commenting. We encourage a constructive discussion of this concept in the comment section.