Gold (XAUUSD) – Bears Eye the 4045 Wall! Short Setup AheadGold is currently trading within a tight range of 3980 – 4045, and price action is now approaching the crucial resistance zone at 4035 – 4045.
📈 This area has acted as a strong supply zone in recent sessions — and could once again attract sellers.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔸 Sell Zone: 4035 – 4045
🎯 Targets: 4021 and 4012
🛑 Invalidation: View remains valid below 4051.5 — a sustained break above this level would negate the short setup and could open the door for further upside momentum.
📊 Bias: Bearish near resistance until confirmed breakout above 4051.5
💬 Watch for rejection signals or bearish candles in this zone before entering.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
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Xauusdshort
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context
After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone .
If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD .
💎 Key Technical Structure
Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH).
Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance.
Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone.
Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone
Entry: 4,010 – 4,015
SL: 4,025
Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open
➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions.
2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone
Entry: 4,043 – 4,060
SL: 4,065
Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open
➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4.
3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD
Entry: 3,945 – 3,950
SL: 3,965
TP: 3,884
➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone.
4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD
Entry: 3,900
SL: 3,880
TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open
✅ Condition:
Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1).
➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range.
Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1).
If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support.
The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom.
👉 Comprehensive Strategy:
Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯
Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯
Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯
🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 28/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAUUSD SELL TRADE | WILL 4150 ACT AS A BARRIER?Yesterday, Gold experienced a significant sell-off after breaking below our previously identified positional sell level at 4185, triggering a sharp decline down to 4004.
Currently, Gold is showing signs of a retracement. The 4150 level is now acting as a strong resistance.
Trade Idea:
Sell Gold near 4150
Stop Loss: 4157.6
Target Levels: 4121, 4111, and 4101
Note: Monitor price action around these levels closely and manage risk accordingly.
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GOLD - ENTERS COREECTION PHASESymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase following approximately six weeks of aggressive upward movement. Price action is forming a consolidation range while continuing to pressure the support zone.
The recent record breaking rally became overheated, prompting profit-taking and long liquidation. Additionally, a gradual shift in market sentiment and macroeconomic backdrop is contributing to capital outflows. However, ongoing US–China trade negotiations, the US government shutdown, and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, including the cancellation of Trump’s meeting with President Putin, continue to pose economic risks that could provide underlying support for the precious metal.
Overall, the current pullback appears to be a healthy corrective pause within the broader structure. The 4000 level remains a critical support area. A sustained recovery above 4110 would indicate that buyers are interested, though further momentum largely depends on developments surrounding global trade policies.
Resistance levels: 4100, 4110, 4163
Support levels: 4058, 4000
A decisive breakdown of the lower boundary of the trading range could trigger a deeper corrective wave. The 4000 level is the primary focus, as strong volatility may occur around this zone. Given the current market conditions - with declines matching the previous intensity of the rally, patience is warranted until momentum stabilizes, enabling more informed technical decisions.
XAUUSD Analysis - Levels and Pridiction#Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 27, 2025
Current Market Status: Retracement on Higher Time Frame,
Lower Timeframe Bearish Breakdown⚠️
Gold is trading at 4,033.67, having broken down from the previous #consolidation zone. The market has violated key support levels and is now showing clear bearish momentum with multiple technical confirmations.
Critical Technical Developments:
1️⃣ Triangle Pattern Breakdown (1H Chart)
The 1-hour chart reveals a confirmed triangle #pattern breakout to the downside. After breaking below the triangle support, price attempted a retest of the breakdown level around 4,093-4,144 but was rejected, confirming the pattern's validity. This is a classic bearish continuation signal.
2️⃣ Demand Zone Invalidation
A crucial demand level that previously held multiple tests has now been completely invalidated. The chart explicitly notes: "Demand Level to be invalidated to move the Price Further Down" - this condition has been met, opening the path for deeper downside movement.
3️⃣ Minor Trend Shift Level Breach
Price has broken below the **Minor Trend Shift Level** at approximately 4,093, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish short-term structure. This level now acts as resistance.
Target Zones (High Probability):
🎯 Immediate Targets:
- 3,945 - Next support cluster (current proximity)
- 3,845 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (PRIMARY TARGET)
- 3,719 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (EXTENDED TARGET)
The Fibonacci levels in green boxes, are the key magnetic zones for price action.
📉 Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)
Price continues lower toward 3,845, potentially extending to 3,719 if selling pressure intensifies. This move would represent a healthy correction within the broader uptrend from the yearly lows.
📈 Bullish Reversal (30% Probability)
Requires reclaiming 4,144 with strong momentum AND holding above it on daily timeframe. Only then would the bearish structure be invalidated.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a confirmed downtrend on lower timeframes with clear downside targets visible. The invalidation of demand zones and triangle breakdown provide strong bearish confirmation. Traders should focus on the 3,845-3,719 zone as the primary area of interest for potential reversal setups. Until price reclaims 4,150+, the path of least resistance remains **DOWN**.
Risk Management: Use proper position sizing as volatility remains elevated. The 3,845 level will be crucial - watch for buyer reaction there.
XAU/USD – 15-Minute Timeframe Analysis (Short Bias)Market Overview
Following the latest round of China–U.S. trade negotiations, market sentiment has shifted toward a more risk-on environment, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. As optimism surrounding the talks strengthens the U.S. dollar, gold prices have continued to decline during the Asian and early European sessions.
Technical Outlook
On the 15-minute timeframe, XAU/USD maintains a clear short-term bearish structure, characterized by consecutive lower highs and lower lows. The pair is currently trading below key moving averages, reinforcing the prevailing downward momentum.
A potential retracement toward intraday resistance could present a favorable opportunity for short positions, provided that bearish price action confirms rejection at that level.
Key Resistance: 2360 – 2365 zone (previous support turned resistance)
Immediate Support: 2348 – 2350 zone
Extended Support Target: 2338 – 2340
XAUUSD, Whats the Trend? If Pattern Breaks out?#Gold (#XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 24, 2025
Current Market Bias: **BEARISH**
Gold is currently trading at 4,109.12, positioned within a critical decision zone. The price action shows a developing #Descendingtriangle pattern with a clear resistance trendline connecting the recent highs around 4,150-4,200.
Key Observations:
The market has failed to break above the dynamic resistance multiple times, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price is currently hovering near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (4,153.81) but struggling to maintain above it. The horizontal support around 4,015 has been tested multiple times, forming the base of this triangle pattern.
#Breakout Scenarios:
📉 Bearish Breakdown (Higher Probability)
If the horizontal support at 4,015 breaks decisively:
- First Target: 3,918 (1.272 Fibonacci extension)
- Second Target: 3,865 (1.414 Fibonacci extension)
- Extended Target: 3,791 (1.618 Fibonacci extension)
- Major Support: 3,652 (2.0 Fibonacci extension)
This breakdown would represent a continuation of the corrective move from the all-time highs, potentially triggering significant selling pressure as stop-losses are triggered below 4,000.
📈 #Bullish Breakout (Alternative Scenario)
If price breaks above the descending resistance trendline AND reclaims 4,150-4,200:
- First Target: 4,250
- Extended Target: 4,300 (previous highs)
This would invalidate the bearish triangle pattern and could trigger a rally back toward recent highs.
#Risk Management
The pattern suggests a #risk-reward favoring short positions on breakdown confirmation. Traders should wait for a decisive close below 4,015 with increased volume before entering bearish positions. Stop-loss above 4,150 would be prudent for short positions.
Current stance: Monitor the 4,015 support closely - a break here opens the door to significant downside.
SELLOFF IMMINENT GOLD TRAPP Final Warning Before $4000 COLLAPSEWelcome Traders! The Gold market (XAU/USD) is tightly constrained, and the pressure from the USD, combined with the technical breakdown risk, makes the SHORT scenario our highest conviction trade!
1. Sharp Technical Analysis
The H1 chart confirms a Bearish Consolidation structure after the steep drop from $4,370$. The price is locked in a high-stakes "No-Trade Zone".
Dominant Trend: BEARISH (following the breakdown of the Double Top pattern at $4,100$).
Consolidation Range (No-Trade Zone): Price is squeezed between $4,005 (Support) and $4,159 (Resistance).
Bear Flag Warning: A highly probable Bear Flag pattern is forming, suggesting an explosive downside move upon breakout.
Action Mandate: WAIT FOR THE BREAKDOWN CONFIRMATION!
2. Fundamental Analysis: USD Fueling the Drop
USD Strength: The USD sustained its upward momentum, increasing the burden on Gold. While a slight pullback occurred at the US open, the overall positive USD momentum remains a significant bearish factor.
Impact: Consistent USD demand makes a decisive break above $4,159$ highly unlikely. This heavily favors the scenario where Gold breaches the critical $4,000$ support.
3. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT)
We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support.
Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005$. Confirm with an H1 candle closing decisively beneath this level.
STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159$. Placed safely above the No-Trade Zone Resistance.
TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,955.772. The next structural support target.
TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.251. The final objective, aligning with the larger pattern target.
Contingency Scenario (LONG)
Activate LONG: ONLY if Gold decisively breaks $4,159$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,332.127.
Note: This is a counter-trend, high-risk trade requiring massive news to justify.
Community Interaction 🚀
Are you ready for the break? Will Gold collapse to $3,889$ or surprise us with a break of $4,159$?
Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
Is Gold (XAUUSD) Set for a Major Pullback? Short Below 4185!Gold has been in a massive range between 3500 and 3120 (a 320-point base). Following the breakout, we witnessed an explosive rally up to 4380 —an 880-point surge, nearly 2.5x the previous range!
But now, caution is warranted. Gold has formed a bearish reversal candle at the peak, and the RSI is deeply overbought . Despite the strong bullish trend, a confirmed short signal will trigger only if Gold breaks below 4185 .
Trade Setup:
Entry: Sell Gold (XAUUSD) below 4185
Sell on Rallies: Add to shorts near 4280
Targets:
1st target: 4050 - 4000
2nd target: 3850
Stop Loss / Invalidation: Close shorts if price moves above 4402
Why this setup matters:
With Gold’s momentum stalling at key resistance and technical indicators signaling overextension, a well-timed short could capture a strong corrective move.
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XAU USD SELL OFF Good sell off in Xau USD from top level .it's falling from 4331. Now at support near 4200. If crossed below 4200 then again good sell off . Or may take support here and then fall again after taking retracement. Let us see what may happen further. Support 4200 Round level . If fall then 4167 possible.
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XAUUSD – Bearish scenario activatedXAUUSD – Bearish scenario activated: watch for sell retest at 4,303–4,305, deep buy at 4,208–4,210 🟡
Gold just hit a historic peak at 4,381 but the subsequent sharp drop opens up the risk of a short-term correction. On H1, the price is blocked by the descending trendline and the sell zone cluster at 4,30x; below are liquidity zones and the bottom trendline waiting to be retested.
Quick chart insights
The structure shifts to a descending triangle pullback after breaking the upward momentum.
Sell zone 4,303–4,305 coincides with the descending trendline + thick volume (VP).
Below 4,26x is Liquidity Buy; deeper is the 4,208–4,210 mark near FE 4.236 and the trendline base — the final “shakeout” zone before recovery.
Trading plan (if–then)
Sell retest (priority in weak rebound)
Entry: 4,305–4,303
SL: 4,310
TP: 4,287 → 4,260 → 4,242 → 4,220
Condition: rebound to 4,30x and appearance of rejection/engulfing candle on H1 below the descending trendline.
Deep buy (liquidity sweep + bounce back)
Entry: 4,210–4,208
SL: 4,204
TP: 4,225 → 4,242 → 4,270 → 4,298
Condition: deep shakeout to 4,21x, appearance of pin bar/absorbing volume at the bottom trendline.
Invalidation
Sell scenario invalidated if H1 closes above 4,310.
Buy scenario invalidated if H1 closes below 4,204 (risk of deeper trendline range).
Key levels to watch (easy to view on mobile)
Resistance: 4,303–4,305 • 4,320–4,325 (descending trendline)
Support: 4,260–4,255 • 4,242 • 4,210–4,208 • 4,200
Expected move: rebound to 4,30x → sell down to 4,26x/4,24x; sweep 4,21x → bounce back to 4,27x–4,29x.
Quick context (macro)
Expectations of Fed rate cuts + geopolitical risks keep the major trend upward, but post-ATH often sees short-term sell-offs to rebalance positions.
Monitor USD/yield fluctuations: a strong USD will support the sell retest scenario; a cooling USD creates opportunities for rebounds from buy zones.
Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones.
Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur.
After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected.
FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested.
OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate.
Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD
When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break),
→ open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday).
Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD.
Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD.
➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction
When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD ,
and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again),
→ open buy orders in line with the main trend.
Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD.
➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend.
⚠️ Risk Management
Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone.
Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones.
Keep light volume when trading against the main trend.
Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone.
If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing.
The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear.
Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
m15 timeframe sees gold drop sharply by 50 points 🔍 Market Context
Gold prices have just reached an all-time high (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD mark, following a steep upward rally over several sessions.
Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of structure (BoS) – a sign that the upward momentum is weakening .
Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , and this is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price zone that needs to be filled.
Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction.
Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deeper demand zone, large liquidity confluence, possibly becoming the main "accumulation point."
Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish .
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment
If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD zone without surpassing it,
→ consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase.
Target: the first OB Buy Zone at 4,050 USD .
Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak).
➡️ This scenario suits short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation.
2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone
If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection .
Upon confirmation, initiate a trend-following buy order .
Target: zone 4,125 → 4,145 USD or the previous peak at 4,180 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD.
If the first OB zone does not hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD zone will be an ideal area for long-term "accumulation."
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled.
Prioritise trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge).
Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital.
💬 Conclusion
After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase .
The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend.
If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short-term sell when price reacts at FVG.
Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed bullish signal.
XAUUSD / GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The market is currently showing strong bullish momentum after a clean V-shaped reversal from the support zone around $3,960–$3,980.
✅ Key Technical Highlights:
Support S2 Zone held well, forming a reversal V pattern, confirming buyers stepping in.
Price has broken and retested the breakout zone around $4,000, indicating buying strength.
A bullish momentum candle confirms continuation towards higher levels.
Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone aligned perfectly with the support, giving more confluence for long entries.
If momentum sustains, price is projected to push towards:
📍 Resistance R1: $4,060 zone (first TP)
📍 Resistance R2 / New ATH Zone: $4,120 zone (final TP)
🛡️ Invalidation:
A clean break below the $3,960 support and the fair value gap would signal weakening momentum and cancel the bullish outlook.
📈 Summary:
Entry: After retest of breakout zone ($4,000–$4,010)
TP1: $4,060
TP2: $4,120
SL: Below $3,960 (Fair value gap)
🚀 Bias: Bullish
📅 Timeframe: 4H / Weekly
⚠️ Note: Always manage risk with proper position sizing and SL discipline
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
LiamTrading – Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark?
Hello everyone,
Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term correction.
According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “too hot,” and a mid-cycle correction could occur soon.
📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation)
Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming:
The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal zone.
The Buy zone 3963–3965 is the retest point of local support, where sellers often tend to take short-term profits.
The Wolfe trend line indicates the possibility that the price will take liquidity above the peak zone before a corrective decline appears.
If a correction occurs, the 3940–3955 zone will be the first reaction area, where strong buying support is present.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy retest:
📍 3963–3965
🛑 SL: 3960
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000
Sell following Wolfe wave:
📍 3988–3990
🛑 SL: 3995
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945
🧭 Medium-term Outlook
Although the upward momentum remains dominant, the momentum is gradually decreasing and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation rhythm.
Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback, before gold gains momentum to advance to the ATH zone of $4000 in the late-week sessions.
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short correction is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure.
Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo zones – Volume Profile – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern.
I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily.
👉 Follow me to not miss important wave rhythms!
The Unstoppable Rise of GoldTechnical Analysis (XAU/USD):
Gold is trading around $3,816, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at $3,797, $3,759, and $3,718. As long as price stays above the $3,718 zone (major support), the bullish structure remains intact.
The chart indicates two bullish scenarios:
A direct continuation higher from current levels.
A potential retest of the $3,797 – $3,759 zone before another push upward.
Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between $3,860 – $3,900, with further momentum potentially extending beyond $3,925.
Fundamental Analysis:
Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold.
Inflation Hedge: Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand.
Central Bank Purchases: Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward $3,759–$3,718 may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations:
The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level.
A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723.
A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum.
The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement.
The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.
XAUUSD / Gold FOMC Interest Rate Update – 18.09.25Fundamental Reason for Bullish:
The Federal Reserve cut rates from 4.25% → 4.00%.
This supports gold’s bullish momentum since lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Technical Structure:
Potential Reversal Zone: Highlighted in yellow. Price is currently testing this area around 3645–3655.
A bounce from this zone aligns with the 3-month uptrend line (black trendline).
If price respects this support, bullish continuation is expected.
Bullish Projection Path:
First, a rebound from the reversal zone.
Then, a push towards 3700–3720 with a possible retest.
Final Target Price Zone: ~3750–3780.
Risk Area (Stop Loss Zone):
If price breaks below the reversal zone and trendline (~3640–3635), bullish outlook weakens and downside risk opens.
🎯 Summary
Bias: Bullish (Fundamental + Technical confluence).
Reason: Rate cut + uptrend line support.
Targets: 3700 → 3750 → 3780.
Invalidation: Break below 3640.
Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025
Current Price: ~3666
Key Levels Identified:
Resistance R1: ~3700
Trendline Resistance R2: ~3780
Support S1: ~3623
Support S2: ~3540
📰 News Impact Projection:
If the Federal Reserve Cuts the Funds Rate
Expect bullish momentum.
Strategy: Buy after a retest above Resistance R1 (~3700).
Target: Trendline Resistance R2 → ~3780.
If the Federal Reserve Increases the Funds Rate
Expect bearish momentum.
Strategy: Sell after a retest below Support S1 (~3623).
Target: Support S2 → ~3540.
⚠️ Stop Loss (SL):
Around 3658, near current consolidation zone.
🎯 Summary
Bullish case (Rate Cut): Buy above 3700 → Target 3780.
Bearish case (Rate Hike): Sell below 3623 → Target 3540.
Market direction will strongly depend on FOMC Funds Rate decision.






















