GOLD ON THE EDGE- WILL SUPPORT HOLD OR WILL THE BEARS TAKE OVER?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2912
Gold is currently testing a key level, bouncing off previously tested trend support, which opens up a potential for upside movement. As global economic risks remain high, gold continues to be in demand as a safe haven. This demand is especially pronounced amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the upcoming US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia, where a potential resolution of the Ukraine conflict could alter market sentiment. These talks could significantly impact the outlook for risk assets and the demand for safe-haven investments like gold.
Market participants are also cautious as the US Federal Reserve remains vigilant over inflation. Despite gold’s recent rally, weak risk appetite is boosting the dollar, and the hawkish tone from Fed officials continues to fuel concerns over inflation. They have voiced their preference for caution in cutting rates, especially with inflation still above target levels. This has led to expectations of a single rate cut this year, which in turn is influencing bond yields and investor sentiment. In terms of technical analysis, gold is trading within a critical risk zone.
Resistance Levels: 2915, 2928, 2942
Support Levels: 2897, 2880, 2855
A false break below the support level at 2897 could signal a continuation of bullish momentum, while maintaining price levels above 2920-2928 could open the path towards 2942, 2960, and potentially even 3000. Conversely, if gold fails to hold above the support levels and breaks below 2880, liquidation could occur, it could lead to a significant retracement and further downside risks.
Xauusdtrend
GOLD - TRADING AT CHANNEL RESISTANCE - TIME TO SELL?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2858
Gold has reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $2861 & trading at rising channel resistance, amidst heightened risks of tariff conflicts and persistent inflation, encountering resistance at the channel trend. However, due to potential political manipulation, the possibility of a market correction exists.
Currently, gold is consolidating above $2840 following its ATH, as it awaits key data such as US employment figures and speeches from Federal Reserve officials. Increased volatility has been observed, driven by conflicting statements regarding former President Trump's tariff policies: tariffs were initially imposed, only to be rescinded a few hours later, highlighting the influence of political decisions. Following a false breakout at the resistance of the ascending channel, gold is now undergoing a correction, partly prompted by news of the temporary suspension of tariff hikes by the United States. Despite these fluctuations, gold remains resilient, supported by the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts.
Key Resistance levels: $2860 and $2872
Key Support levels: $2845, $2840, $2818
Should the price fall below the $2840 mark and consolidate beneath this level, a short-term correction towards $2824 - $2815 may occur. However, no significant trend reversal is indicated, and growth may resume from these key support areas.
GOLD - BEARSIH STRUCTURE FORMING. WILL IT BREAK CHANNEL SUPPORT?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold has recently tested lower levels of rising channel and is now engaging with trend support, creating volatility in the market. The strengthening of the U.S. dollar is exerting downward pressure on the precious metal. Gold appears to be entering a corrective phase, with the market gradually shifting from a bullish to a bearish outlook due to increasing demand for the dollar, driven in part by concerns over potential trade wars arising from U.S. policies under former President Trump's administration.
The issue of tariffs imposed by the U.S. remains unresolved. Meanwhile, traders are closely monitoring U.S. economic data, including durable goods orders and consumer confidence, as well as the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, with its outcome expected to be released on Wednesday.
From a technical perspective, after the breakdown of the bullish market structure, the price is currently testing the support of the established channel. It is unlikely that this support level will be breached on the first attempt, and the price may experience a corrective move towards 2745 or potentially the imbalance zone, such as the 2750-2760 range, before resuming its downward trajectory due to selling pressure.
Key resistance levels: 2745, 2751, 2760
Key support levels: 2735, 2718
If the price fails to breach the 2745 resistance level and retreats to 2735, this could signal a potential break of trend support. In that scenario, an impulsive move towards 2718 may materialize. However, if the 2745 resistance level is overcome, gold could test the 2750-2760 range before continuing its downward movement which is more likely.
GOLD - TRADING IN ASCENDING CHANNELSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold has been oscillating near the support level of 2762 since the session's opening. The probability of a retest of the all-time highs remains elevated. The dollar's current correction provides opportunities for bullish movements. Traders are experiencing profit-taking while awaiting the Federal Reserve's statements and the Trump administration's stance on trade tariffs. U.S. tariff policies, along with PMI data, continue to shape market sentiment, impacting both the dollar and gold. From an economic perspective, the upcoming week holds significant importance with key events such as the Fed's rate decision, U.S. GDP report, and PCE data release.
From a technical standpoint, gold has tested a critical support zone, though it has yet to reach the risk area where a trend reversal might be expected. It appears that less committed market participants have exited their positions, securing profits.
Resistance levels: 2760, 2790
Support levels: 2750, 2745
The primary focus at this stage is on the 2760 support level. Should gold manage to establish a sustained move above this level, a potential rise toward 2790 can be anticipated. However, this remains a pivotal zone that continues to attract the attention of speculators. We expect a retest of the ATH and anticipate a possible false breakout in the near term.
Gold Trading Strategy for 25th November 2024Gold Trading Strategy: Buy Above 2,725 / Sell Below 2,694
Current Price: 2,716.335 USD
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 2,725 on the one-hour candle, it indicates an upward momentum, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 2,694 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a downward momentum, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 2,750 and 2,766
Support: 2,684 and 2,662
Market Analysis:
The current price is around 2,716.335 USD, indicating potential for both bullish and bearish activity based on the key levels.
Pay close attention to the range between 2,694 to 2,725 for support and resistance levels.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 2,725 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions. Book partial profits at 2,735 or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 2,750 and 2,766.
Sell: If the price breaks below 2,694 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions. Book partial profits at 2,785 or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 2,680 and 2,662.
Disclaimer: This trading strategy is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in financial markets, including gold, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite before making any trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and seek advice from a qualified financial advisor before investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold Trading Strategy for 14th November 2024Gold Trading Strategy: Buy Above 2,586 / Sell Below 2,568
Current Price: 2,574.00 USD
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 2,586 on the one-hour candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 2,568 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 2,574.00 USD, just below the buy signal level.
It's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 2,570 to 2,590 levels, which could act as support or resistance.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 2,586 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 2,600 and 2,615.
Sell: If the price breaks below 2,568 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 2,550 and 2,535.
Disclaimer: This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
#XAUUSD/H1 Adjustment rhythm creates momentum, surpassing peaks.Analysis of XAUUSD gold trading trends for the European-American session on September 10, 2024:
As noted on September 9, 2024, gold prices have increased at the beginning of the week. However, the upward momentum does not appear strong; a deeper correction is needed to build momentum for a breakout. Current expectations may target the 246x or 247x area.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to watch:
SELL zone: 2511 - 2513 and 2518 - 2522.
BUY zone: 2498 - 2501 and 2482 - 2486.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2511 - 2513
SL 2516
TP 2508 - 2500 - 2490 - 2475.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2519 - 2521
SL 2524
TP 2516 - 2510 - 2500 - 2475.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2471 - 2473
SL 2468
TP 2476 - 2485 - 2495 - 2565 - open.
Will GOLD take Support & Return to Bullish Trend ?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold is entering the correction phase after a breakout failure scenario of ascending channel resistance and the previous ATH. The fundamental background is changed by Thursday's news that supported the dollar index.
Overall, the structure & environment on is still bullish. If the price finds a strong support in the near future, for example 2390-2400, this area may get the status of an intermediate bottom, thus forming a new trading range.
There is no news today, thus the fundamental background remains the same. Trading has been complicated lately by the presidential race in the USA. The statements of Powell, politically dependent Fed, Trump can be perceived by traders quite strongly. But the medium-term outlook is determined by the fact that politicians are generally set to lower the dollar (DXY), which is generally favorable for gold, which may soon return to the bullish trend phase.
The price may continue the correction to trend support, but due to the pool of liquidity in the area where the price may land within the correction, gold may get a reaction in the form of a bounce to the nearest resistance, make a double bottom & may test channel resistance in future.