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Xauusdwave

Xauusd after a series of important news from the Fed Yesterday's news announced to us First, the ppi decrease combined with the unemployment benefits application index increased. Combined with a decrease in CPI, this is beneficial for Gold to increase because the economic situation seems to be weakening, putting pressure on the Fed to reduce interest rates. However, Nonfarm data, specifically the employment index, has increased sharply in the recent period, which is the motivation for the Fed to keep the current interest rate at 5.9%. This is the reason why PPI news, although beneficial for Gold, cannot last long. Look at H1 - We are having the idea of ​​an abc correction model. In which we expect wave c to complete - In front of us we have 2 important price zones: 2307 and 2287, these are 2 price zones that help us determine the direction of the price. - If the price breaks out at 2307, this is a necessary condition for the orange wave c to complete. Then we have 2 target price zones of wave c: 2350.4 and 2364.6. These are 2 areas where we can look for Sell orders - If the price breaks out below 2287, this is a necessary condition for the price to fall to the target zone of wave 5, which is 2264. This is the area where we look for a Buy order.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 13, 2024 After news of CPI and Fed interest ratesYesterday we had the Fed's announcement about the CPI index, we saw that this index was 0.3 to 0.4 lower than the previous period. This is the result when the Fed implemented tightening monetary policy in the past. After that, the FOMC meeting announced that interest rates would continue to remain at 5.5%. - This made gold yesterday, after the announcement of CPI increased to 2340, then the news that interest rates remained high at 5.5% continued to push gold prices down. Look at the H1 chart - Yesterday's pullback to the 2340 price range reached the 50% Fibo level, which is a level that has surpassed the usual 38% level of wave 4. This suggests to us a more complex wave model - For now, at this position, we observe the price zones to confirm the formation model, which are the price zone 2307 and the price zone 2287. - If the price holds above the 2307 area, then we will have wave 5 formed at the 2287 area, meaning wave C during the ABC correction looks like D1 has completed. Then we have wave C higher than bottom B. Looking at D1, we see that a new complex correction model can form (I will update later). - If the price breaks through the 2287 area, we have wave 5 targets as on the chart we mentioned before.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 12, 2024 everyone waiting for the CPI roundLast week we had strong market fluctuations - Looking from the US economic perspective, we see that with the economic indicators announced last week, we see a number of important issues. - ISM PMI index, which is an index measuring the development of the industry, is lower than 50 standard units of this index, signaling that the industry is slowing down. - The unemployment rate and the number of applications for unemployment benefits increased, showing that the economic situation is slowing down With bad economic signals, the main reason is due to high interest rates, which reduces the cash flow in the US economy, causing a lack of capital for economic development. However, on Friday when the Nonfarm index was released, we saw a sharp increase in the job change rate, which could be the medicine to help the Fed maintain high interest rates for a while longer. Curbing inflation to 2% will come at the cost of economic stagnation, so today's CPI will help us have a clearer view of the decision to cut interest rates in the near future. . From an analytical perspective according to Elliot - After forming the abc wave structure (black), the price does not decrease according to the previous trend but forms a structure running in a triangle wedge. This brings us to a complex adjustment model abcde - Looking at the complex correction model, it is difficult to specifically identify each wave. We can only recognize when the model is complete - This pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the lower boundary of the triangle. We will wait for this Breakout to enter a sell order. - In case the price breaks out to the upper edge, this correction model is no longer correct when measuring, we must confirm the price model at that time. After wave 4 completes, the price continues to follow the previous downtrend to complete wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets at 2 price zones 2264 and 2229. - We can find buy points in these areas. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 11, 2024 waiting for an opportunity to buy up?This week we have important news: CPI news. Last week's Nofarm newsletter provided indicators that allow the Fed to continue maintaining monetary policy as rising employment data gives the Fed confidence that people can still withstand tightening monetary policy. But with other recent data, the US economy is clearly being adversely affected by the Fed's monetary policy. On Wednesday, CPI news will be released and will clearly show us the Fed's trend in the near future. When the forecasted indicators are very positive for the Fed's work to control inflation. If the news is announced as expected, it could be a signal for the Fed to loosen its monetary policy. Looking at H4, we see the recovery after the sharp decline last week, signaling that wave 4 is forming. - Looking at the corrective wave structure, we see that there have been 3 corrective waves a b c and the current position of wave c has also reached the target area that we predicted the day before. - It is possible that wave C in the corrective structure or wave 4 as shown on the chart has now formed and we expect wave 5 to continue the downtrend. - Looking at the momentum of the H4 frame, we see that the H4 momentum has reversed to decrease in the overbought area, this reinforces the upcoming decline. - We measure the end target of wave 5 ending at 2 price target areas: area 2264 and area 2229. In the immediate future, we can look for sell down orders When the price continues to target wave 5, which is 2264 or 2229, we look for buy orders. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
How much will the price of XAUUSD drop on May 21, 2024?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. The war between Russia and Ukraine has not yet found a voice at the negotiating table, plus President Putin's recent visit to China further shows that Russia will not make concessions to Nato. And recently both Russia and Ukraine rejected the French president's call for a ceasefire during the Olympics in Paris on May 17. These moves further demonstrate tensions in the geopolitical situation The US economy, after a long period of maintaining high interest rates to control inflation, has led to a situation where the economy is showing signs of weakening, although it is not yet in a recession, but with the leading economic index falling. of the US fell 0.6% MoM in April following an uncontrolled 0.3% decline in March. Weaker consumer outlook on business conditions, weaker new orders , negative interest rate differentials and falling new construction permits fueled April's decline. It suggests weaker US economic conditions going forward. With such potential risks, Gold will continue to set new ATHs until the above conditions are resolved. Use the Elliot wave principle to evaluate the situation on the H1 chart - Yesterday gold created a new ATH at 2450, this is the target area of wave 5 that we launched. - Then the price dropped to 2408 and recovered slightly to 2436, so we have the current gold price in the ABC correction wave. - Looking at H1, we see that wave a and wave b are likely to have completed and currently the gold price is completing wave c of the correction. - The expected price range of wave c has 2 target areas: area 2397 and area 2381, this is the target for the end of wave c. Plan to trade when the price approaches the 2397 or 2381 zone Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP