OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
FX Rate Bias US vs EU 2Y
FX Rate Bias – US vs EU (2Y)
This indicator implements a rate-differential based macro bias model using the 2-year government bond yield spread between the United States and Germany.
The methodology focuses on the short end of the yield curve, which primarily reflects central bank expectations rather than long-term inflation or risk premiums.
By applying light smoothing and a zero-line regime framework, the script classifies market conditions into USD rate advantage or EUR rate advantage states.
Calculation logic:
Retrieves daily 2Y sovereign yields for the US and Germany
Computes the yield differential (US − DE)
Applies optional smoothing to reduce noise
Uses the zero line as a regime boundary to define relative monetary bias
Practical use:
This tool is designed to provide directional macro context for FX analysis, particularly for EURUSD.
It helps traders align technical setups with prevailing interest rate expectations, and is not intended as a standalone signal or timing indicator.
This indicator implements a rate-differential based macro bias model using the 2-year government bond yield spread between the United States and Germany.
The methodology focuses on the short end of the yield curve, which primarily reflects central bank expectations rather than long-term inflation or risk premiums.
By applying light smoothing and a zero-line regime framework, the script classifies market conditions into USD rate advantage or EUR rate advantage states.
Calculation logic:
Retrieves daily 2Y sovereign yields for the US and Germany
Computes the yield differential (US − DE)
Applies optional smoothing to reduce noise
Uses the zero line as a regime boundary to define relative monetary bias
Practical use:
This tool is designed to provide directional macro context for FX analysis, particularly for EURUSD.
It helps traders align technical setups with prevailing interest rate expectations, and is not intended as a standalone signal or timing indicator.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.